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Speaker 1: All right and welcome and to the Betting Pros College

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Speaker 1: Football Show. Today, we recover from the weekend by making

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Speaker 1: another lap around the nation to give you our week

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Speaker 1: six early picks and line movement predictions. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Seth Woolcock. I had a huge weekend of NASCAR betting

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Speaker 1: and NFL betting. However, there is still work to be

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Speaker 1: done on the college football side of things. And to

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Speaker 1: help me with that, I'm joined by a man who

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Speaker 1: is living and dying with his Diamondbacks right now as

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Speaker 1: they buy for a spot in the MLB postseason. He's

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Speaker 1: got to be sick after what happened here with a

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Speaker 1: couple of our plays in week number five of the season.

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Speaker 1: He also has a sick head of lettuce, and we'll

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Speaker 1: share some sick analysis for you today as well. Give

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Speaker 1: it up for Scott big time Bogman. Scott, how you

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Speaker 1: doing today?

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Speaker 2: Man?

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Speaker 3: Hey, you know my calls of Alabama hit. At least

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Speaker 3: it didn't make me really nervous at the end. For

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Speaker 3: God's sake, good Lord, what a game that was incredible

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma analysis wrong call correct. So sometimes it's better to

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Speaker 3: be lucky than good. So we will take it.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely on the show outline for today, we will be

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Speaker 1: doing a quick reaction to the movement in the rankings

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Speaker 1: and the fallout from week five. We had one major

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Speaker 1: upset and a few near misses as well. We'll also

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Speaker 1: give you an early handicap with our favorite twelve games

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Speaker 1: four week number six, and shout out to everyone who

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Speaker 1: makes this part of their weekly mix. While the sport

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Speaker 1: of college football continues to grow, it's still very cold

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Speaker 1: niche with some really, really loyal fans out there. So

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Speaker 1: today I want to know who you're rooting for. Who

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Speaker 1: are the teams that you're following? Let us know below

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Speaker 1: in the comments. I'm a Penn State fan of course,

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Speaker 1: and Boggs he bleeds that burn orange. And before we

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Speaker 1: jump in, I want to remind you if you want

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Speaker 1: a chance to win a sign Kyen Williams Los Angeles

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Speaker 1: Rams jersey for free courtesy of our friends over at

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Speaker 1: Pristineauction dot com, all you do is subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel right now and drop a comment

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Speaker 1: below on any of our videos.

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Speaker 2: That's it.

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Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel,

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Speaker 1: so make sure you turn on those notifications so you

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Speaker 1: know when new videos are coming up, and so you

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Speaker 1: can claim your prize if you do, in fact win.

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Speaker 1: And let's look at week five here. Un week five,

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Speaker 1: it was an absolutely wild one Kentucky. They upset number

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Speaker 1: six Ole Miss twenty to seventeen. The Rebels fall now

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Speaker 1: to number eleven in the rankings. As a result, Alabama

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Speaker 1: is now number one in the rankings after beating Georgia

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Speaker 1: forty one to thirty four and one of the best

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Speaker 1: all time college football games, and top ten teams including

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Speaker 1: Miami and Penn State survived tight games at home. What's

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Speaker 1: it out to you here in week number five? Bugs?

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Speaker 3: I mean, All Miss absolutely not showing up Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: And it's so crazy.

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Speaker 3: I'm telling you that Kentucky game against South Carolina is

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Speaker 3: one of the worst I've ever seen a team play.

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Speaker 3: And you know, for them to stand tough against Georgia

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Speaker 3: and then beat All Miss is pretty awesome.

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Speaker 2: And they're definitely on the right track now All Miss.

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Speaker 3: And this is kind of the deal when you you know,

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Speaker 3: when you play all these scrubs and beat them by

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Speaker 3: seventy points and all that stuff, you know, that's not

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Speaker 3: really as our boy Mike Tomlin would say, that's not

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Speaker 3: iron sharpening.

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Speaker 2: I am right, that is warm ups.

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Speaker 3: You're not you're going through the motions there, and they

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Speaker 3: just did not come to play in Kentucky beat him.

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Speaker 3: I mean that game was the most surprising but obviously

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Speaker 3: one of the best college football games maybe ever between

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Speaker 3: Georgia and Alabama. I mean, we thought that was over

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Speaker 3: at halftime, and then Georgia comes roaring back and says, hey,

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Speaker 3: you know we're not going to get stomped by anybody,

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Speaker 3: takes the lead, and then Ryan Williams with the unbelievable

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Speaker 3: play to put Bama back up.

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Speaker 2: Then they got the stops. So just what a weekend. Man,

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Speaker 2: It was crazy.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, And before we jump into this week's game, I

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Speaker 1: want to play a quick game with you, bagman. Should

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Speaker 1: I cash out my Travis Hunter Heisman ticket. I want

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Speaker 1: to keep doing this every week until I eventually cash out,

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Speaker 1: because I think I should. I went in a zero

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Speaker 1: point two of a unit at sixty five to one

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Speaker 1: back in July. He is now plus seven fifty and

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Speaker 1: I'm being offered one point twenty five unit six time

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Speaker 1: my investment. Jalen Milroe is the favorite right now plus

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Speaker 1: two ten. I kind of spoke about that last week.

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Speaker 1: While I didn't want to get invested in that Alabama

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Speaker 1: Georgia game, I was interested maybe taking a shot on

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Speaker 1: Mill Road to be the heisman. He's now plus two ten.

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Speaker 1: Should I be looking at cash out? You think this

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Speaker 1: Travis Hunter Heisman ticket? You think we're at the end here?

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Speaker 2: You know what I want to do.

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Speaker 3: I want to look at Colorado's schedule coming up here

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Speaker 3: before I say one way or the other, because I

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Speaker 3: know I think they're on a bye this week, right,

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Speaker 3: So Colorado, Kansas State, Arizona, Cincinnati, Texas Tech. So I

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Speaker 3: would cash out after Tech. Okay, that's what I would do. Okay,

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Speaker 3: because I mean, Kansas State's a tough game. But if

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Speaker 3: they're in that, I think Travis Hunter is still going

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Speaker 3: to be pretty high up there. I think they can

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Speaker 3: beat Arizona, even though Arizona just beat Utah that was

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Speaker 3: another upset. Yeah, this week very strange. When Cincinnati they're

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Speaker 3: gonna beat them, they're going to be Texas Tech. I think,

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Speaker 3: so maybe before that Utah game when they get you know,

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Speaker 3: potentially stomped into the ground and then they got Kansas

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Speaker 3: and Oklahoma State the next week.

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Speaker 2: But we'll see.

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Speaker 3: I mean you know, Utah didn't show up against Arizona.

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Speaker 3: These are still kids we're dealing with some times. You know,

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Speaker 3: they're not going to show up and have some bad games,

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Speaker 3: but are young men, I guess I should say, But yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think I would wait a little bit because I

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Speaker 3: think your odds are going to get better, because I

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Speaker 3: think the mindset that I hear on shows and articles

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Speaker 3: and everything that I see is that, I mean, how

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Speaker 3: is Travis Hunter not the most outstanding player in the country.

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Speaker 2: He plays both ways.

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Speaker 3: He had a touchdown and a pick last this week, right,

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Speaker 3: So I mean he's just he is the best player.

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Speaker 3: But then you get into the politics of they're not

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Speaker 3: contending for much, you know, all of that stuff. Can

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Speaker 3: you put a guy like that in there? I think

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Speaker 3: you can. I think he's the best player in the country.

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Speaker 3: So I would wait. I want a little more.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let us know in the comments right now.

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Speaker 1: Should I keep hanging on to this Travis Hunter Heisman

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Speaker 1: ticket love to hear from all of you as well,

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Speaker 1: And let's go ahead and jump into the game. Starting

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Speaker 1: on Friday night, where at nine pm Eastern time, the

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Speaker 1: number six Oregon Ducks will be laying twenty three and

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Speaker 1: a half points on Michigan State at home Oregon one

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Speaker 1: and three against the spread After beating UCLA thirty four

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Speaker 1: to thirteen last week on the road, Michigan State continues

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Speaker 1: to have a very middling season here. They have failed

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Speaker 1: to cover again here in week number five against Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: losing thirty eight to seven. Michigan State is now also

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Speaker 1: three and one to the under and four to ozher

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Speaker 1: to the points total in this game fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half to the under as well Oregon two and

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Speaker 1: two to the under. These Friday night games will have

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Speaker 1: been extremely tricky Bogs. We saw Virginia Tech make it

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Speaker 1: a game against Miami this past Friday. The week before

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Speaker 1: Illinois they beat Nebraska as well. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: bed early. I'm probably not going to bet this one.

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Speaker 1: What say you? And where do you expect this line

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Speaker 1: to move? My friend?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the way the tickets were in cash

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Speaker 3: were last night where they were on the Michigan State side,

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Speaker 3: And as I'm double checking this second right now, I

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Speaker 3: believe they are.

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Speaker 2: Big on the Michigan State. Wow.

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Speaker 3: So I think this is gonna come down. I think

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Speaker 3: a lot of this is exactly what you said, Seth.

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Speaker 3: You know, we saw Virginia Tech's Miami and a lot

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Speaker 3: of people think that was more than a scare. They

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Speaker 3: think maybe Virginia Texture won the game with that call

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Speaker 3: at the end. We even talk about that crazy game. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: but it's it's like you said, how can we count

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Speaker 3: on either one of these teams? Neither one of these

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Speaker 3: teams is very good against the spread this year, We've

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Speaker 3: seen Oregon have these big lines and not cover them.

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Speaker 3: We've seen Michigan State have big lines against them and

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Speaker 3: not cover them. For me, I think that Michigan State

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Speaker 3: is pretty bad. I don't think they're a very good team.

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Speaker 3: AID and Child's is developing. This is a tall task

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Speaker 3: to go on the road on short rest in Oregon,

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Speaker 3: and Oregon's had some scares already. So my gut says,

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Speaker 3: lean towards Oregon in this game and lay the points.

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Speaker 3: But if all this money is gonna come in down

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Speaker 3: Michigan State, let's wait. Let's wait and see what this

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Speaker 3: gets down to and how low it goes, and then

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Speaker 3: take Oregon. So I'm I'm gonna wait and see how

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Speaker 3: much this line shifts one way or the other before

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Speaker 3: I take it if it opens up towards Oregon not touching,

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Speaker 3: but cash and tickets right now are all on Michigan State,

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Speaker 3: so this line could dip a little bit, so okay,

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Speaker 3: I would wait in the holding pattern and see which

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Speaker 3: way it goes.

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Speaker 1: Okay, some patients there from Bogman, And keep in mind DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: They have been offering about a fifty percent boost on

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Speaker 1: Friday nights if you wait until then to get invested.

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Speaker 1: They keep getting me in with those and I keep

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Speaker 1: taking the boost at odds and not coming out a winner.

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Speaker 1: But hopefully we can change that here on Friday. Moving

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Speaker 1: to the Saturday slate, we head to the city that

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Speaker 1: Scotty Scheffler was arrested in Louisville, Kentucky, where the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: try to respond to their thirty one to twenty four

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Speaker 1: defeat to Notre Dame. They're playing SMU here this week.

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Speaker 1: The bil though is four and zero against the spread

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Speaker 1: in three and one to the over this season, they're

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Speaker 1: laying six and a half points on the SMU Mustangs here,

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Speaker 1: and we last spoke about this SMU team heading into

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Speaker 1: Week zero, where the season started pretty shaky to them.

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Speaker 1: They barely got buy Nevada. There, they then lost to

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Speaker 1: BYU's big favorites, which doesn't look like a bad beat now,

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Speaker 1: but they have since responded with huge wins against both

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Speaker 1: TCU and Florida State at home. Bogman, I think I

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Speaker 1: want to get invested with the Cardinals QB. Tyler, Schuck

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Speaker 1: here and company. They played very well in South Bend

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Speaker 1: despite losing that game. But this is a big one

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Speaker 1: in the ACC standings, and the spread has dropped from

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Speaker 1: eleven to six and a half. So some mixed signals

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Speaker 1: we're getting here. Do you think the spread continues to

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Speaker 1: shrink as the week continues.

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Speaker 3: I'm I don't think so, Okay, I do think this

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Speaker 3: one is maybe it's going to be difficult to move

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Speaker 3: because it is closer to fifty to fifty. We're slightly

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Speaker 3: shaded towards Louisville right now. So SMU, it's exactly what

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Speaker 3: you said.

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Speaker 1: Man.

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Speaker 3: It was like, man, they were, you know, last week

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Speaker 3: one not impressive. Yeah, I mean, just made the change

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Speaker 3: at quarterback and you had all this experience coming in.

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Speaker 3: You thought maybe this is a team that can fight

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Speaker 3: for the ACC. Doesn't look like that now, but still

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Speaker 3: a very very solid team. So like you said, this

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Speaker 3: line has dropped. Louisville made big mistakes against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 3: I think they're a much better team than how they

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Speaker 3: played against Notre Dame. And I think they're a much

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Speaker 3: better team than SMU.

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Speaker 2: So I'm with you.

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Speaker 3: I think I want to get invested in Louisville here

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Speaker 3: over SMU. But this game is going to be a

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Speaker 3: little bit tighter than we expected two weeks ago. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: and you know, the opening line being at eleven and

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Speaker 3: a half was definitely too big. But I think if

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Speaker 3: it's going to be, if it's gonna stick at less

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Speaker 3: than a touchdown a full to seven points, I think

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Speaker 3: I like Louisville.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's shift to college station here where Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M are actually favored against the ninth ranked

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Speaker 1: and undefeated Missouri Tigers. Missouri has been fortunate so far

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Speaker 1: this season. They did fail to cover in their last two.

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Speaker 1: They went in overtime against Vandermilt two weeks ago, and

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Speaker 1: then they beat Boston College by just six three weeks ago.

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Speaker 1: They have had a bye week to figure some things

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Speaker 1: out here, but Texas A and M continues to win

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Speaker 1: since losing in Week one to Notre Dame here. That

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Speaker 1: includes this past week where they did beat Arkansas in

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Speaker 1: world However, they are still just one and four against

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Speaker 1: the spread. If I can get Maszoo as the dog

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Speaker 1: in this, I feel like I have to go right now.

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Speaker 1: I feel like maybe we could see the favorite flipping

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Speaker 1: in this one. What say you, Bogman?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think I'm on the Missouri side here,

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Speaker 3: specifically coming off that by week two weeks to prep

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Speaker 3: for this team. This is a tough game to play

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Speaker 3: on the road, though, you know, Kyle Field at Texas

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Speaker 3: A and M and college station that they get up

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Speaker 3: edit that is you know, it's your number one most hard,

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Speaker 3: hard place to play on the road in NCAA right

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Speaker 3: for a reason.

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Speaker 2: It's the twelfth Man.

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Speaker 3: The Seahawks have to rent the twelfth Man moniker from

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Speaker 3: Texas A and M because they started it. So uh yeah,

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Speaker 3: the crowd is going to be a big difference here.

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Speaker 3: But I'm with you, like I think Missouri has had

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Speaker 3: a couple scares. I think we see a refocused team,

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Speaker 3: a veteran team going on the road here against A

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Speaker 3: and M.

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Speaker 2: A and M good wins.

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Speaker 3: You know, has looked much much better since that bad

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Speaker 3: loss to Notre Dame at home to start the season.

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Speaker 3: I just don't how do they slow down Missouri's offense?

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Speaker 3: And then if they can't, how do they catch up?

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Speaker 3: That's really the big thing. So if Missouri puts up

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Speaker 3: points here, I don't think A and M is in

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Speaker 3: a position offensively to come back and compete in this game.

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Speaker 3: Maybe my thought process is going to be incorrect here.

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Speaker 3: And maybe the Texas A and M defense is really

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Speaker 3: good and they steinny Missouri, but not from what I've seen.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna take Missouri, and if you're giving

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Speaker 3: me a point, I'll take the point right now.

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Speaker 1: Do you think we should get in right now? Then?

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Speaker 1: Do you think this maybe flips by the time we

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Speaker 1: get to game time on Saturday?

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Speaker 3: Ninety seven percent of the cash is on Missouri, So really, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think it's probably gonna move.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, I think I'll probably be getting invested

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Speaker 1: right after the show then, and before we continue, I

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Speaker 1: did want to remind you to join our college football

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Speaker 1: podcast group. You can sink your picks and use our

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Speaker 1: quick pick feature on the Betting Pro Sports betting app

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00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:53,760
Speaker 1: and get a chance to win free prizes. You can

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Speaker 1: elevate your betting strategy and join the conversation today at

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash college under the three thirty slate

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Speaker 1: that is going to be dominated by the SEC here Georgia,

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Speaker 1: they'll try to avenge their loss to Alabama by whacking

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Speaker 1: the tides in state rival Auburn known line movement so far,

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Speaker 1: which I was a little surprised to see. The Bulldogs

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Speaker 1: were initially favored by twenty three and a half. They

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Speaker 1: are still favored by twenty three and a half despite

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Speaker 1: the loss to Alabama. The Bulldogs are also now just

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Speaker 1: one and three against the spread this season, one and

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Speaker 1: three to the under as well. But they did show

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Speaker 1: a ton of grit, a ton of determination to get

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Speaker 1: themselves back in the game on Saturday. Bogman, you correctly

301
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:35,079
Speaker 1: faded the Auburn Tigers last week. They lost to Oklahoma

302
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Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty one. They are now one and

303
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,880
Speaker 1: four against spread and two and three to the over.

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Speaker 1: Peyton Thorne did look a little bit better last week,

305
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Speaker 1: but is that enough to stop Georgia here from covering.

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Speaker 1: Georgia's covered against Auburn four last five games. The Unders

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Speaker 1: hit four last five games in this matchup as well.

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Speaker 1: Where's this line heading? And do you think we hop

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Speaker 1: on a side of the total right now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,920
Speaker 3: I mean I think right now the line is going

312
00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:03,800
Speaker 3: to head towards Auburn because you saw Georgia play in

313
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Speaker 3: a close game, and right now, at least the numbers

314
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Speaker 3: that I'm looking at, most of the cash almost all

315
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Speaker 3: of it is on Auburn side. This is a lot

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Speaker 3: of points here, and I understand that I think I

317
00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:17,800
Speaker 3: want Georgia in this game, but I want to wait

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Speaker 3: to see how far this line comes back towards Auburn.

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Speaker 2: So this is.

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Speaker 3: Another Let's wait, Let's recheck in this game on Wednesday

321
00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:28,120
Speaker 3: and see what the line is, see if it has

322
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Speaker 3: moved down or enough, and if that cash is still

323
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Speaker 3: flowing towards Auburn. And you know, like I said, I

324
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Speaker 3: think my analysis was incorrect on Oklahoma and Auburn because

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Speaker 3: Auburn was able to move the ball. On Oklahoma, I

326
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Speaker 3: thought Oklahoma's defense was going to play much better. They

327
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Speaker 3: were able to hit those deep shots which we saw

328
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Speaker 3: Alabama hitting against Georgia. The difference to me is, you know,

329
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Speaker 3: I don't think that you're only going to have one

330
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Speaker 3: turnover from the Auburn Tigers in this game like you

331
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Speaker 3: did against Oklahoma. I think Georgia is one of the

332
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Speaker 3: better defenses in the country. Hopefully they come in a

333
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:04,560
Speaker 3: little bit more healthy. They had a lot of guys questionable.

334
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Speaker 3: We'll see, you know, in a tough, physical game against Bama,

335
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Speaker 3: how many of those guys are going to end up

336
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Speaker 3: being on that midweek injury report and you know, remaining

337
00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:17,280
Speaker 3: questionable or however it goes. So right now, I kind

338
00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,840
Speaker 3: of want to wait and see where this line shifts.

339
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Speaker 3: But I don't want to take Auburn at any point.

340
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:27,160
Speaker 3: Their quarterbacks have been turnover heavy in this and that's

341
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Speaker 3: what caused them to lose.

342
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Speaker 2: That was so my take was right.

343
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Speaker 3: You know, they did turn the ball over and Oklahoma

344
00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:37,080
Speaker 3: won because of that pick six, But I didn't think

345
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,120
Speaker 3: Auburn was going to put four hundred yards on them.

346
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Speaker 3: So the offense looks better for Auburn against Oklahoma, though,

347
00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:46,080
Speaker 3: you know when Oklahoma didn't have much on offense, So

348
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:49,880
Speaker 3: Georgia is not the same way. They really unlocked their

349
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Speaker 3: offense in that second half against Alabama. If they can

350
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Speaker 3: do it against Alabama, you could do it against anybody.

351
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Speaker 3: So I think I want the Bulldogs here, but I

352
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Speaker 3: do want to see how much lower this line shifts

353
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Speaker 3: towards the Tigers.

354
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Speaker 1: Do you like the total at all? Would you prefer

355
00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:09,360
Speaker 1: the over based on seeing the improved offense from Auburn

356
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,400
Speaker 1: last week? Or do you like the trends that tell

357
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Speaker 1: us to bet the under in this SEC clash.

358
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:16,360
Speaker 3: I'm not a big trends guy, but I am. I

359
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,120
Speaker 3: think I'm on the under in this game. I don't

360
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:19,720
Speaker 3: really like it. I think this is going to be

361
00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,720
Speaker 3: a one sided game, so I think Georgia puts up

362
00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,400
Speaker 3: the points and then leans on a lead. So I

363
00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:27,480
Speaker 3: like the under in this game.

364
00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:30,800
Speaker 1: Okay, I do as well. Let's move to Columbia South Carolina,

365
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:33,680
Speaker 1: where the twelfth ranked Rebels try to respond against the

366
00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 1: game Cocks. Here Ole missus early season schedule kind of

367
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,280
Speaker 1: caught up with them last week against Kentucky. Penalties and

368
00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:43,480
Speaker 1: the inability to get off the field really hurt this team,

369
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:46,120
Speaker 1: and now we don't really know what's going to happen

370
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,400
Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball. With Lenora Sellers,

371
00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:50,800
Speaker 1: it felt like if he didn't get hurt against the LSU,

372
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,400
Speaker 1: there's a good chance the game Cocks are undefeated here. However,

373
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Speaker 1: they are still three and one against the spread and

374
00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,320
Speaker 1: three and one against the Rebels in their past four games.

375
00:16:58,320 --> 00:16:59,920
Speaker 1: That does date all the way back to two thousand

376
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:03,920
Speaker 1: Nate however, though, with no words on sellers availability currently,

377
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,440
Speaker 1: can we get invested on any side of the ball here.

378
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,200
Speaker 3: No, I want to see you're right and Rocket Sanders

379
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 3: also hurt yes in the last game as well, So

380
00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,320
Speaker 3: we're waiting on word for those guys. But yeah, I'm

381
00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,080
Speaker 3: not investing in this until we hear a little bit more.

382
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,720
Speaker 3: Like you said, You know, I did not expect Ole

383
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 3: Miss to lose to Kentucky, but Kentucky bowed up in

384
00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,560
Speaker 3: their good defense, obviously much better than they played against

385
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:31,840
Speaker 3: South Carolina. I do like South Carolina at home. You know,

386
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,159
Speaker 3: I'm gonna stay away until we hear what's going on

387
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,639
Speaker 3: with this quarterback, because if Sellers is out, I don't

388
00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:41,080
Speaker 3: know how you can take South Carolina. But Ole Miss

389
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,600
Speaker 3: showed us they were not ready for SEC play last week.

390
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,119
Speaker 3: Is that going to be a bump in the road

391
00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,080
Speaker 3: or is that going to be Is it going to

392
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:49,720
Speaker 3: now be a bumpy road?

393
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:50,680
Speaker 2: Is the question here.

394
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,440
Speaker 3: I think it's probably a bump in the road and

395
00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,760
Speaker 3: ole Miss gets back on track, because I do think

396
00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,680
Speaker 3: they're a playoff team, at least a playoff caliber team.

397
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,240
Speaker 3: I don't know if they're going to get there, but

398
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 3: South Carolina bows up there, tough man. So I just

399
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:05,720
Speaker 3: I really want to see what's going on with Sellers

400
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,440
Speaker 3: first before I do anything in this game.

401
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:10,879
Speaker 1: Rounding out the three point thirty slate here, it's the

402
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,399
Speaker 1: Ohio State buck Guys laying twenty and a half points

403
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,520
Speaker 1: on Iowa at home. This has been an awesome Ohio

404
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:18,560
Speaker 1: State offense. We talk about it every single week on

405
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 1: the show. However, Ohio State is still just two and

406
00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 1: two against the spread this season. Iowa, meanwhile, they left

407
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:26,600
Speaker 1: us hanging in the Syhawk, but they're still three and

408
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 1: one against the spread this season. Actually three and one

409
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,439
Speaker 1: to the over this season as well, pretty surprising for

410
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,480
Speaker 1: an Iowa team. Still, these teams have played just once

411
00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,880
Speaker 1: over the past five years, despite being in the Big

412
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,400
Speaker 1: Ten together. The buck Geys won that matchup fifty four

413
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,639
Speaker 1: to ten. Do you have an early lean here, Bogging,

414
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 1: because I'm somewhat perplexed the lack of history the former

415
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:47,640
Speaker 1: Big Ten divisions cause kind of make me not want

416
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,120
Speaker 1: to get invested a ton with this one right now.

417
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I'm I'm on the Buckeye side here.

418
00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:55,920
Speaker 3: This is a lot of points, right But I do

419
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,640
Speaker 3: think I do think that Iowa was a little bit

420
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 3: too one dimensional. I think that's that's the thing is.

421
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 3: You know, I don't think this passing game gets going

422
00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:08,240
Speaker 3: at all. It's gonna be really tough to run against

423
00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,840
Speaker 3: Ohio State, and I think that this offense is going

424
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:13,879
Speaker 3: to have enough. We've seen Iowa get beat by some

425
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 3: big plays. Like you said, they're playing more to the

426
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 3: over this year. You know, I got the under on

427
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 3: a hook, but that was because I took that line

428
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:26,120
Speaker 3: early in the week in that game against I think

429
00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 3: that was us the Sihawk game, if I'm not mistaken.

430
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 3: But yeah, so to me, I think Ohio State's the

431
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:35,399
Speaker 3: better team here. The money right now is coming in

432
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:39,159
Speaker 3: on Iowa, so this can slip a little bit. So

433
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,800
Speaker 3: let's another game where I kind of want to lay

434
00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:45,359
Speaker 3: the points, but it's got to get to the right level.

435
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:49,480
Speaker 3: I think that's about if it gets closer to eighteen

436
00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 3: and a half, seventeen and a half somewhere in that range,

437
00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 3: that's where I like it. Better on the Ohio State side.

438
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 3: So this line is a little bit big right now.

439
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:02,080
Speaker 3: But like I said, the offense has put them in

440
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 3: bad spots against Ohio State in that big game. They

441
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: had six turnovers in that huge game. And I just

442
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,760
Speaker 3: do not trust Kate McNamara. You see Ohio State get

443
00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 3: you know, a two score lead and they have to

444
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,480
Speaker 3: play from behind a little bit, They're going to start

445
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 3: putting the ball in harm's way. So I just think

446
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 3: Iowa was two one dimensional. I think Ohio State is

447
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:25,760
Speaker 3: one of the better teams. Yes, they haven't played anybody,

448
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,640
Speaker 3: but you can look at old miss and learn from

449
00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:30,920
Speaker 3: their mistakes and go, Okay, we can't do this again

450
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:32,879
Speaker 3: like they did.

451
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:33,920
Speaker 2: Let's show up in.

452
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,399
Speaker 3: Iowa's not a team you get to sleepwalk against either,

453
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 3: so because they will Kentucky, you just like all missed

454
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 3: it if you sleepwalk against them. So I think Ryan

455
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:43,879
Speaker 3: Day's going to have those guys ready to play. So

456
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 3: give me Ohio State.

457
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,560
Speaker 1: Here, okay, And yeah, I think I'm with you that

458
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 1: I am going to be waiting if I do want

459
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,399
Speaker 1: to get invested with Ohio State because it spread was

460
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,359
Speaker 1: twenty four and a half when it opened up last

461
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,520
Speaker 1: week on the look ahead. So it has shrunk. Let's

462
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,640
Speaker 1: hope it continues to shrink and we can get invested

463
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 1: with the Buckeyes there. Let's go ahead and crack open

464
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 1: this loaded primetime slate and moved to Tallahassee, where Florida

465
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 1: State fans have been very very quiet on the internet

466
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 1: as of lay. After opening up the season one and

467
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,560
Speaker 1: four straight up and zero to five against the spread.

468
00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 1: Dju did get banged up in this last game. He

469
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 1: hit the pine. Mike Norvell said he was quote going

470
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 1: to make a change anyways, brought Glenn saw a little

471
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 1: bit of action there at the end of that game. However,

472
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,159
Speaker 1: it was oh for four passing the ball. They are

473
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 1: now fourteen and a half point dogs against Clemson. The

474
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 1: Tiger story of the season's slow against Georgia, but they

475
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 1: have covered in three straight games against pretty decent teams Stanford,

476
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: NC State and app State. Cadklubnick also starting to kind

477
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: of lead this offense a little bit. I feel like

478
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 1: they're starting to get the wheels under them. They're now

479
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 1: top thirty in total offense and club Nick himself twenty

480
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:48,679
Speaker 1: five to one to win the Heightsman as well. So

481
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,120
Speaker 1: is it time to get back reinvested with Clemson here.

482
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 1: Do we think now is the time to go or

483
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,160
Speaker 1: should there maybe be a better number we might see

484
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 1: later in the week.

485
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:57,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that.

486
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,239
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't know how you trust any thing

487
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,919
Speaker 3: from Florida State, Like if we thought DJ you was

488
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 3: the best option at quarterback this entire time they're off,

489
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 3: they're one hundred and twenty six and points per game.

490
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 3: There's one hundred and thirty four teams, and Florida State,

491
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,680
Speaker 3: one of the premier programs in the country, is one

492
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty six, averaging fifteen point two points per game.

493
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 3: They're one hundred and twenty fifth in time of possession,

494
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 3: and then they're gonna hang with Clemson.

495
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:27,760
Speaker 2: I don't think so. I think Clemson comes in here

496
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 2: and stomps.

497
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,199
Speaker 3: And I hate that I'm on all these favorites this week, right, Like, uh,

498
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 3: these are big lines that we have, so I don't

499
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 3: necessarily like taking all of them. But I just think

500
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 3: Clemson is so much better than this team, and this

501
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,880
Speaker 3: is one the reverse of what we've been talking about.

502
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 3: You need to get on in on it early if

503
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 3: you want Clemson because all of the cash is coming

504
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 3: in towards them right now, So I think Clemson maybe

505
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,000
Speaker 3: we see a hiccup. I mean, we did see Stanford

506
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 3: run against them a little bit last week, so that

507
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,720
Speaker 3: was interesting. I don't this is not the cleanest Clemson

508
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 3: team we've ever seen, right, This is not a national

509
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 3: title contender, I don't think, But I do think they're

510
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 3: very good. And I think Florida State is miserable right now.

511
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 3: Maybe a change of quarterback will do that team wonders.

512
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 3: I don't know how it didn't happen earlier than this.

513
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 3: When they're averaging fifteen point two points per game, that's pathetic.

514
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:26,120
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, I'm I'm on Clemson right now. Get

515
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,360
Speaker 3: it early if you want Clemson, though, because I think

516
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,679
Speaker 3: this line's going to very open up a lot.

517
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, in Ames, I would the sixteenth rate side Clones

518
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 1: look poised to make a run at the Big twelve

519
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 1: championship game after a four to zero start and three

520
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 1: to one against the spread record. Rock Obeck not only

521
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 1: does he have a pretty cool name, also pretty good

522
00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 1: at spinning the football as well. Nine total touchdowns for him,

523
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 1: just two interceptions, and while Baylor is two and three,

524
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 1: they've had a pretty tough schedule to open up here.

525
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 1: They lost to Colorado and overtime just a couple weeks ago,

526
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 1: and then BYU by just one score this past week

527
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 1: as well. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has looked much better, better

528
00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 1: than Dakwan fin Did, who started the season under center.

529
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 1: These teams play every single year and it's gone back

530
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,440
Speaker 1: and forth with the team's splitting wins since twenty twenty.

531
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 1: Both teams are two and two against spread in those games,

532
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 1: but the total has gone to the over three of

533
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,199
Speaker 1: four of those games. Baylor kind of feels like they

534
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 1: could be sneaky here a little bit Bogwin. Do you

535
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: feel the same that there might be some value on

536
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,160
Speaker 1: the Bears or could there be maybe more value later

537
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:24,600
Speaker 1: in the week.

538
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,480
Speaker 3: Perhaps must be reading my notes here, Seth, because I

539
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:31,640
Speaker 3: said this game feels trappy, It feels very very traffic.

540
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 3: Baylor hasn't passed any test that has been put in

541
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: front of them. As you mentioned, lost to Utah, they

542
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 3: couldn't score, Colorado, they couldn't hold a lead, and then

543
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:47,199
Speaker 3: BYU they just they couldn't get a stop. So but

544
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,639
Speaker 3: in this game, Iowa States defense has been just so

545
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:55,640
Speaker 3: unbelievably dominant. Their offense has been okay, you know they've

546
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 3: they've been sputtering a little bit. I like the under

547
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 3: in this game. It's a low total of forty five

548
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 3: and a half right now. The cash just slightly towards

549
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 3: the over. The tickets are way towards the over in

550
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 3: this game. Sawyer Robertson is going to start in this game.

551
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,399
Speaker 3: Over to Kwanfinn that I just saw that announced, like

552
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:17,719
Speaker 3: right before we started recording this show. So I just

553
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 3: I really like what Iowa State's defenses look like. I

554
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,200
Speaker 3: think they're the best unit in this game. I think

555
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 3: Baylor is kind of waiting for the knife to drop

556
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 3: so on their coach here, So don't I think this

557
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 3: team is kind of ready to give up. I think

558
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,880
Speaker 3: Iowa State is a hard nosed team playing at home.

559
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,359
Speaker 3: So the line I don't love. Like I said, it

560
00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,920
Speaker 3: feels tracked, like everything in my gut says, lay the points,

561
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 3: lay the points.

562
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 1: Yeah.

563
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 2: I don't know though, take the under. That's what I

564
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:45,120
Speaker 2: like here.

565
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 3: I like the I think this game is going to

566
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 3: be slow moving, slow paced, and I think Iowa States

567
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 3: defense controls it.

568
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,200
Speaker 1: Meanwhile, we have a big ten matchup in Minneapolis as

569
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 1: the eleventh ranked USC Trojans head to town after an

570
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 1: early scare to Wisconsin last week. USC is favored by

571
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: eight and a half here, but they're three and one

572
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: against the spread, and they've kind of plagued themselves with turnovers,

573
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 1: with penalties, kind of just sloppy ball overall. But they're

574
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 1: still twenty ninth in total offense, thirty second in total defenses.

575
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 1: Is still a good club. Meanwhile, Minnesota actually fifth in

576
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 1: total defense, and they're also three and one against the spread.

577
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: They're getting a ton of production out of their running backs,

578
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 1: especially Darius Taylor, who has over two hundred and fifty

579
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 1: rushing yards and one hundred and fifty receiving yards as well.

580
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 1: This is USC's first night game on the road in

581
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,320
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. Is this a sneaky spot for Minnesota

582
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 1: potentially cover or could we maybe see a better number

583
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 1: later in the week for the Gophers.

584
00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:40,239
Speaker 3: I think it is, but you're not going to get

585
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 3: a better number right now.

586
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 2: Okay for the.

587
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 3: Well, I don't know. Because tickets are on USC. They're

588
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 3: popular school, right people want to bet them. They're fun

589
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:53,760
Speaker 3: to watch, but almost all the cash is on the Gophers.

590
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: Really.

591
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, it's it's a one of those weird ticket is.

592
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 3: Tickets are up in the seventy percent, but over ninety

593
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:02,919
Speaker 3: percent of the cash is on the other team. Okay,

594
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 3: so that's you know, public perception. USC is a good

595
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 3: school and they the good team right now, and you

596
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 3: know they I think that The thing here is USC's

597
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 3: offense first, Minnesota's defense.

598
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 2: Can Minnesota hold them? Right?

599
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 3: We know Michigan one dimensional, very very one dimensional. So

600
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 3: stop to run, stop to run, stopped to run. Michigan

601
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 3: made a couple mistakes, Minnesota comes back. I can't figure

602
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 3: Michigan out to save my life this year. You know,

603
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 3: I bet against them they win, I bet for them,

604
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 3: they don't cover.

605
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 2: That's just like what Michigan is this year. To me.

606
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,439
Speaker 3: That was Notre Dame for me last season. So it

607
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 3: just seems to be the way it's going. USC also

608
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 3: having to run through this physical, B one G schedule

609
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,199
Speaker 3: is going to be interesting as these games start to

610
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 3: pile up. They played LSU, Michigan, Wisconsin last two weeks

611
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 3: to get Minnesota this week, then Penn State, Maryland, Rutgers

612
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 3: in Washington right right before the bye. So this schedule

613
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,199
Speaker 3: is piling up for USC right now. I think my

614
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:07,679
Speaker 3: gut says, Minnesota at home, take the points, and I

615
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,479
Speaker 3: think you might you need to take it now if

616
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 3: you want Minnesota, if you want USC, I think you

617
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 3: can wait a little bit, okay and see what this

618
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 3: line goes towards. But I think right now the line

619
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 3: is going to come back down towards Minnesota with all

620
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 3: the cash coming in on their side.

621
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 2: Okay.

622
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: In Fayetteville, Arkansas, we get the Razorbacks as thirteen and

623
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: a half point dogs against fourth ranked Tennessee.

624
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 2: Here.

625
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:30,200
Speaker 1: It was a strong start to the season for Arkansas, however,

626
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 1: they did lose last week to A and M twenty

627
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: one to seventeen in Jerry's world, and they've kind of

628
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 1: been a bit inconsistent now overall on the spread and

629
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: the total hard to kind of get invested with with

630
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 1: the Razorbacks there. Meanwhile, Tennessee perfect four to zero against

631
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: the spread, three and one to the over as well.

632
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: The question here is not will Tennessee win this game,

633
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: but can they cover the thirteen and a half point spread.

634
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 1: They last played Arkansas in twenty twenty, where the Hogs

635
00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: won twenty four to thirteen.

636
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 2: Bogs has Tennessee played a good offense yet?

637
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 1: Oh that's a loaded question. That is a loaded question,

638
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: my friend.

639
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 3: Because that's when this game, I think it leaps off

640
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 3: the page of Tennessee coming off of BUYE. Come on,

641
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 3: let's go with Tennessee here. What are we thinking? This

642
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 3: is not enough points?

643
00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 2: Right?

644
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 3: But then you start to really break down, look at

645
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,480
Speaker 3: the schedule, and maybe Old Miss and some of these upsets,

646
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 3: you know, Kentucky playing Georgia top maybe those are in

647
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,120
Speaker 3: my head a little bit. But I'm like, is NC

648
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 3: State good? I don't know. I think they're kind of middling.

649
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 3: Is Oklahoma Oklahoma's offense is bad? I don't think there's right.

650
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 3: You know, that's not a question right now. So I

651
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 3: don't think we have an Old Miss Kentucky, but Tennessee

652
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 3: doesn't have like a really great win. I think Arkansas

653
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 3: is gonna be the best team that they played against.

654
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 3: Oklahoma is probably a better roster overall and a better

655
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 3: team overall. But they had the wrong quarterback obviously for

656
00:29:56,040 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 3: most of that game. So Arkansas doesn't have the wrong quarterback.

657
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 3: But they did just come off a physical game against

658
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 3: A and M. They lost that game too, And I

659
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 3: think Tennessee's way better than A and M.

660
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

661
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:12,640
Speaker 3: I'm wishy washy in this game as it stands. Right now,

662
00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 3: I think I want to lay the points and take Tennessee.

663
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 3: That's my gut is howling at me. But after seeing

664
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 3: some of these upsets, after seeing some of these close games,

665
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 3: Arkansas's at home, I don't love it. So I think

666
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 3: right now I'm gonna stay away. Let's see what Terrell

667
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 3: has to say. Maybe it's a little more confidence on

668
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 3: Wednesday here, but I just you know, and I've seen

669
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 3: Arkansas beat Texas before, Like, I know, this team bows

670
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 3: up and plays well.

671
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 2: Pittman's a good coach.

672
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 3: Sometimes he's a bad coach other times, Like I don't know,

673
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 3: there's too much wishy washing this for me right now,

674
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 3: and in just Arkansas's overall performances. So I think Tennessee's

675
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 3: a dominant team. Everything in my brain says Tennessee wins

676
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 3: is by twenty five, you know, But I don't know.

677
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 3: This feels weird, so I'm gonna stay away from now.

678
00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 1: Okay, let's head to the shores of Lake Washington, where

679
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 1: some of the Huskies aren't eye popping two and a

680
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 1: half point favorite against Michigan. They're originally nine and a

681
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 1: half point favorites on the look aheadline, but they took

682
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 1: their foot off the gas against Minnesota. They failed to

683
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 1: cover that one. They're now one and four against the

684
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 1: spread this season. Alex Orgy threw eighteen times last week

685
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: eighty six yards, one touchdown, one interception. So somewhat better

686
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 1: stat line for the new starting quarterback for the Wolverines here,

687
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: and does look like Khalel Mullings did take over the

688
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 1: starting running back role from Donovan Edwards as well. He

689
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 1: had another twenty four rushes for one hundred and eleven

690
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: yards and two touchdowns on the ground on Saturday. Still,

691
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: does Washington really deserve to be favored in this matchup here?

692
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 1: They lost to Rutgers twenty one to eighteen on Friday night.

693
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:43,920
Speaker 1: They moved a three and two straight up, two and

694
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 1: three against the spread and zero to five to the

695
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 1: over this season. This is a rematch of the National

696
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: title game from last season. We know, very different teams,

697
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,160
Speaker 1: different head coaches as well. Michigan won that game thirty

698
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 1: four to thirteen. Boggs, I know we got absolutely burned

699
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: by Michigan at the altar lie last week. But do

700
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: we now hammer this spread or plus one thirty money

701
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: line a while it's still available. I feel like I

702
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: got to get back in.

703
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, give me Michigan in this game. I'm just in.

704
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 3: Listen, my gut feeling about Michigan has been wrong every time.

705
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: I agree, if you want to.

706
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 3: Fade me, I completely understand that, right has not been good.

707
00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 3: But I'm with you, Seth, like I don't understand why

708
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:24,280
Speaker 3: Washington is favored in this game. Anytime they've had a test,

709
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 3: they've failed. They failed against Washington State in the Apple Cup.

710
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 3: They didn't win that game. They put up almost five

711
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 3: hundred yards and couldn't put the ball in the end

712
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 3: zone against Rutgers. Yeah, so that that game was on

713
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: the road across the country. Weird whatever, right, But Rutgers won.

714
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 3: Rutgers beat them, So I don't think that gets better

715
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 3: against Michigan even at home.

716
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 4: Agreed.

717
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:52,200
Speaker 3: So I kind of like I like Michigan here. I

718
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 3: also like the under in this game at forty and

719
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 3: a half right now, So I think I like the

720
00:32:57,840 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 3: under a little bit more than I like a side,

721
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 3: mainly because my take on Michigan has been so terrible

722
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 3: this year. But this is another This is a head

723
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 3: scratcher when you look at it. So, like you said,

724
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 3: what do they know that we don't?

725
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 2: You know?

726
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:14,719
Speaker 3: Maybe they know that Alex org is miserable and this

727
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:16,719
Speaker 3: offense is very very one sided.

728
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: But I don't know.

729
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 3: Man, Michigan is gonna out physical most teams they had.

730
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 3: They had Minnesota wrapped up to those big mistakes in

731
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 3: the fourth those big chunk plays in the fourth quarter

732
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 3: and the most amazing touchdown catch you've ever seen too,

733
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 3: by the way, kind of kind of lucky a little

734
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 3: bit there. So for me, I'm gonna take the Wolverines here,

735
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 3: and I like the under as well.

736
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,320
Speaker 1: Would you hit the money line or you're just taking

737
00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 1: the points here with Michigan?

738
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,520
Speaker 3: You think, uh no, I would take the money Okay,

739
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 3: I do think Michigan went straight up.

740
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and round out the program with the

741
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 1: host of College Game Day, Berkeley, California, where the three

742
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 1: and one Golden Bears host the undefeated and eighth ranked

743
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 1: Miami Hurricanes. Miami had three turnovers on Friday night against

744
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 1: vaw Tech. Can they beat col here by nearly two touchdowns?

745
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,120
Speaker 1: I think that's the question we all want to know here, Bogman,

746
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 1: It's kind of been an up and down season for

747
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 1: Cal so far. They went to Auburn in Week two,

748
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:08,880
Speaker 1: they won that one as nine point underdogs, and now

749
00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:12,760
Speaker 1: they have lost outright since in Tallahassee to this Florida

750
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,760
Speaker 1: State team that we've been taking shots at all season.

751
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,280
Speaker 1: The last time we saw them in Week four. However,

752
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 1: they are still twenty third in total defense. This feels

753
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 1: like a really tough game to handicap as Cal is

754
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 1: four and oho to the under and Miami is four

755
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 1: to zero to one to the over. Do you have

756
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: an early lead here? What do you expect from from

757
00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:31,759
Speaker 1: this game in general? And where do you think this

758
00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 1: line shifts to.

759
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:34,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is one of those games where

760
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 3: you look at it and you go, all of this

761
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:41,880
Speaker 3: adds up towards Cal. But it is the Miami scare

762
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,359
Speaker 3: that we just saw enough to go all right, like

763
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 3: we saw their scare, We're gonna see them come in

764
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:50,760
Speaker 3: refocus because this is going across the country.

765
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:51,360
Speaker 2: Right.

766
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,239
Speaker 3: You're playing at eleven thirty local time, right, isn't this

767
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 3: a nine to thirty PM kickoff or whatever?

768
00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 2: Or is it nine to thirty Eastern?

769
00:34:58,480 --> 00:34:59,799
Speaker 1: Ten thirty pm Eastern time.

770
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 2: Ten third.

771
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 3: Okay, so ten thirty eastern. That's a late kick for

772
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,360
Speaker 3: the Hurricanes here. So you know, you see those things

773
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 3: and you go, okay, maybe this is too much for Miami.

774
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,520
Speaker 3: They did not come out to play against Virginia Tech either,

775
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 3: But I think that's scare actually helps Miami here. This

776
00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 3: should be a refocused Miami team. I just don't think

777
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 3: Cal has enough on offense to keep up with Miami here.

778
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 3: I think Miami is still a national title contender team,

779
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,879
Speaker 3: team that should make the playoff, a team that can

780
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:37,400
Speaker 3: win the ACC. So Vo Tech maybe they got hoes

781
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 3: last week, but they came to play, they bowed up,

782
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 3: they played great.

783
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:42,640
Speaker 2: They played votech played like the team that we thought

784
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 2: they were all off site.

785
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 3: Right finally, finally, once he did he was completely correct

786
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 3: about that, So I was not. I got my first

787
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 3: quarter somehow, even though they turned that ball over so

788
00:35:55,840 --> 00:36:00,400
Speaker 3: fast and they jumped out my first quarter call minus

789
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 3: six and a half on my show on Friday, I

790
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 3: like that halftime one. Virginia Tech was up at halftime,

791
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 3: So I don't know. My Miami is a frustrating team

792
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 3: right now. For what happened last week with all the

793
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 3: money I bet on them, but I think I'm just

794
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 3: gonna I'm gonna roll it again, and I think I'm

795
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,360
Speaker 3: gonna take the Canes again. The money is pretty splittier,

796
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 3: so I don't know how much movement we're gonna get

797
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 3: at least early this week. Maybe one side, maybe you know,

798
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:26,799
Speaker 3: one side will open up more this week, but right

799
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 3: now it seems pretty stable.

800
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 1: Why I don't have a take on this game, I

801
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 1: will say the odds of me staying up till the

802
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 1: end of this one slim slim.

803
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 2: I'm a night oul anyway, so I'll be watching it.

804
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 1: I used to be, and I feel like as I've aged,

805
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,680
Speaker 1: I've slowly become my father who falls asleep on the

806
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 1: couch with a beer sitting next to me.

807
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 2: So that's funny. I know, I'm I'm a night owl.

808
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,319
Speaker 2: I stay up late, I wake up late. Okay, that's

809
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:53,759
Speaker 2: how I work.

810
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 1: I appreciate that, and I appreciate everyone for tuning in

811
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 1: with us as well. Thank you guys so much for

812
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 1: watching today. That'll do it for us on the Betting

813
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,920
Speaker 1: Pros College Football Show. We'll be back later in the

814
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,240
Speaker 1: week with Terrell and our picks and prediction show until then.

815
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:06,879
Speaker 2: Like this video.

816
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 1: If you enjoyed it, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube

817
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:12,120
Speaker 1: channel and podcast feed, plus download the Bank Pros app

818
00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 1: and sink your sportsbooks today. For Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock.

819
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: Thanks for watching, Take care of y'all.

820
00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

821
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,560
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822
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:27,000
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823
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,880
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824
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,640
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825
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