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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen. It's bowl season.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time with the kids jingle belling

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Speaker 1: and everyone telling.

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Speaker 2: You be a good cheer.

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Speaker 1: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 3: Old.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the College Football Bowl Betting Preview, Part two.

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Speaker 2: I'm stucky with me, as always is Colin Wilson. It's

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Speaker 2: a shame he won't be able to talk about two

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Speaker 2: and eight South Carolina, who is no longer playing in

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Speaker 2: their bowl this weekend.

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Speaker 4: I can't believe they today accepted the bowl. Yeah, Bobo,

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Speaker 4: I listen that that program. Sometimes you just need to

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Speaker 4: wipe the chalkboard clean, start over, and I think that's

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Speaker 4: what needs to happen there. But hey, we still are

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Speaker 4: blessed with a Western Kentucky Georgia State, which I think

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Speaker 4: was like an initial cure Bowl rematch from a couple

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Speaker 4: of years ago. Some of these teams that are playing

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Speaker 4: in balls, it's uh, you know, finding a motivation, finding

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Speaker 4: players that are in two lane. Two lane was a

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Speaker 4: prime example of that. You know, we've got defenses missing everybody,

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Speaker 4: we got COVID coaching, we got coordinators swooping in and

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Speaker 4: picking up the playbook two days later, the Bowl season

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Speaker 4: is here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, speaking of that, there's gonna be a ton of

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Speaker 2: opt outs, insane amount. We talked about this before. What's

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Speaker 2: the point and play like you don't even get to

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Speaker 2: go out, You don't get there's no fans. So if

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Speaker 2: you have, you know, a chance to go to the

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Speaker 2: next level, you might opt out. And we see that

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Speaker 2: anyway in a normal year, but especially this year. We

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Speaker 2: saw it with Tulane. We're gonna see it with a

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Speaker 2: lot of teams. We're gonna talk about this weekend and

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Speaker 2: throughout bowl season. You know, Georgia, what are they missing?

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Speaker 2: Like a seven eight starters are going to opt out?

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Speaker 2: Kyle Hits OpEd out for Florida. Who knows who else

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Speaker 2: will opt out for them when it's all set and done.

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Speaker 2: Kyle Trust said he's most likely one hundred percent going

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Speaker 2: to play. Not sure what that means. We have a

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Speaker 2: tracker on the app that will update of Action Network

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Speaker 2: out for that'll update that all throughout ball season, so

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Speaker 2: make sure you check that out.

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Speaker 4: It's a big deal too, right because Marlin Williams was

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Speaker 4: out for Central Florida and Dylan Gabriel couldn't hit anybody

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Speaker 4: for a long time. Two Lanes missing three of their

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Speaker 4: top four tacklers, three of their top four quarterback. Hurry

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Speaker 4: guys obviously had showed on the defensive line. So go

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Speaker 4: to the Action Network and read that tracker. When you

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Speaker 4: guys wake up in the morning, want to play bets

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Speaker 4: on the day of the ball. That's going to be

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Speaker 4: a huge piece for all of us.

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Speaker 2: I mean Tu Lane, Look, that was their biggest advantage

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Speaker 2: in that game was going to be their pass rush.

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Speaker 2: And then you have two first team All Conference players

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Speaker 2: and they're starting defensive tackle that we're out. That was big,

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Speaker 2: but you had North Texas get drilled by app State

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Speaker 2: by u Zach Wilson looked great. I was shocked that

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Speaker 2: UCF couldn't score more. I feel bad for late overbackers

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Speaker 2: that game. B YU then takes a knee at the

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Speaker 2: doorstep of credit to b YU. They looked really impressive.

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Speaker 2: I'm just the happiest I am was This game going

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Speaker 2: on right now is Georgia Southern.

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Speaker 5: I got to fade La Tech. They got destroyed.

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Speaker 4: It's been a fun Bowl season. It feels like years

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Speaker 4: of past, lots of wild turnovers, teams that are motivated,

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Speaker 4: coaches that have been missing. But so far, you know,

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Speaker 4: and I think it's just gonna get even wilder as

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Speaker 4: we get going on here because the opt outs. You know,

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Speaker 4: Army getting into a Bowl of West Virginia. I know

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Speaker 4: that's not on our slave for this one, but I

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Speaker 4: couldn't be more excited. I think Army will be the

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Speaker 4: most focused and prepared team of any of any ball

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Speaker 4: team out there.

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Speaker 2: We will get to that service academies historically have in

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Speaker 2: great bets. We'll talk about that on our podcast that

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Speaker 2: will come out Monday morning, and we'll preview next week's

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Speaker 2: bowl games, and then we'll have a Weekend the Bull

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Speaker 2: Betting preview later next week for the College FOOTA Playoffs

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Speaker 2: semifinals and the balls that have played that weekend.

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Speaker 5: Today, we're going to go through this is your.

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Speaker 2: One stop shop this podcast for all of your balls.

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Speaker 2: We're going to go through all all five bowls this

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Speaker 2: upcoming weekend in depth. We have one on Christmas Eve Thursday,

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Speaker 2: we have one on Christmas Day Friday, and we have

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Speaker 2: three on Saturday.

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Speaker 5: We were going to have four, but unfortunately you ab one.

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Speaker 2: Finally, one conference to USA doesn't get to play anyone

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Speaker 2: in a bowl after getting matched up with a two

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Speaker 2: and eight South Carolina team.

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Speaker 3: He's making a listing chicken it twice. He starting to

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Speaker 3: find out save coming seven comments coming Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's start off on Christmas Eve. This is

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Speaker 2: what you're all gonna be doing and focused on when

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Speaker 2: maybe you're with your families. Maybe not this year, three

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Speaker 2: thirty Eastern on ESPN, Houston and Hawaii for the New

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Speaker 2: Mexico Bowl in Texas, So twenty twenty. Houston ten and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorite, halt at MGM over under sixty

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Speaker 2: and a half. This is the first time. This is

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Speaker 2: a two thousand and eight Sugar Bowl. Remember Hawaii got

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Speaker 2: truck by Georgia that Hawaii will play a bowl game

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Speaker 2: away from the island. These two teams actually met once

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Speaker 2: before in two thousand and three Hawaii Bowl. Hawaii won

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Speaker 2: in triple overtime fifty four to forty eight. It was

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Speaker 2: Kevin Covers Timmy Chang. His name should ring a bell

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Speaker 2: some of you. Dana Holgerson hasn't won a Bowl since

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Speaker 2: the twenty fifteen Cactus when he was back at West

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Speaker 2: Virginia and Houston as a program as it won of BOL.

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Speaker 2: Since the twenty fifteen Peach Bowl, Houston's been it's been

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Speaker 2: a weird season. They've had the most cancelations. They've had

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Speaker 2: more cancelations than any team in the country. They've only

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Speaker 2: played once since November fourteenth, of thirty to twenty seven

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Speaker 2: loss at Memphis. The biggest miss mismatch when I look

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Speaker 2: at this game is Houston's defensive line. You know, nine

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Speaker 2: point nine percent sack rate, right ninth in the country,

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Speaker 2: really good defensive line. Hawaii's offensive line is awful. Houston

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Speaker 2: has some talented pieces on that defense, Marcus Jones and

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Speaker 2: to Marion Williams at corner, but they're going to be

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Speaker 2: missing some key pieces here, which again opt outs. Their

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Speaker 2: star receiver, their deep threat, and their big returner Marcus Stevenson.

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Speaker 5: He opted out.

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Speaker 2: They're leading tackler linebacker Grant Stewart, he opted out, and

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Speaker 2: their sack leader Peyton Turner, who's just I mean, he

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Speaker 2: led the AAC and tackles for lost per game. He's

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Speaker 2: just a stud. At defensive end. He opted out as well.

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Speaker 2: And Dana Holgerson has hitted that fifteen to twenty players

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Speaker 2: could be out due to eligibility, COVID and preparation for

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Speaker 2: the NFL Draft, So we don't know who else why

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Speaker 2: he just has. All I know is Miles Reid. They're

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Speaker 2: running back. He's in the transfer portal, so it'll be

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Speaker 2: up to freshman day Day Hunter at running back. The

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Speaker 2: Hawaii run defense is really bad one hundred and fifteenth

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Speaker 2: in the nation and yards per rush, all loud opportunity rate,

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Speaker 2: power success rate. However, Houston's not They're not really that

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Speaker 2: prolific of a running seat. Only seven runs of twenty

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Speaker 2: plus yards and seven games they're averaging four point three

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Speaker 2: yards per ky. That's sixty eighth in the nation. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure that they could take advantage. And I just

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Speaker 2: don't know if Houston. I mean, what this comes down

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Speaker 2: to to me, and I like, why anything over ten

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Speaker 2: these opt outs are big for Houston. I'm just not

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Speaker 2: sure how much Houston will care with all these players

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Speaker 2: opting out, they could have more out. It's kind of

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Speaker 2: like a signal to me, it's just been a mess

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Speaker 2: of a year. It feels like they just want to

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Speaker 2: get it over with. Whereas Hawaii first year coach in

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Speaker 2: a bowl game, you know, it's I think that they

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Speaker 2: will care here, It'll be up to Cordero, and I

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Speaker 2: think it'll be easier for him with these opt outs

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Speaker 2: on the Houston defense. What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with you completely. You know, the motivation

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Speaker 4: for Houston, we don't know where that's going to be

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Speaker 4: at here. The line continues, the market continues to dip

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Speaker 4: on the Cougars as if you know they're not going

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Speaker 4: to show up at all. But when you get a

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Speaker 4: little bit deeper into the numbers, like how big of

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Speaker 4: a loss is Marcus Stevenson. You know, he turned over

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Speaker 4: punt return duties and kick return duties over to their

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Speaker 4: cornerback this year and he's just been absolutely outstanding. I

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Speaker 4: think Stevenson had I don't know, I think five targets

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Speaker 4: on the season, but seven other players on the Houston

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Speaker 4: team had over twenty targets. And Clayton tune is, you know,

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Speaker 4: going to be playing the game and he's dual threat.

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Speaker 4: He had thirteen tds and five on the ground. I

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Speaker 4: know Houston may come in not motivated, but the players

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Speaker 4: that are going to be on the field, I feel

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Speaker 4: like we'll be motivated. And the question is is whether

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Speaker 4: that talent that Houston has is enough to beat a

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Speaker 4: Hawaii team that had an strength of schedule that was

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Speaker 4: eighty nine, you know, against the Mountain West Houston strength

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Speaker 4: to schedule, by the way, fifty seventh. This is being

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Speaker 4: played at Toyota Stadium, if you're not familiar with that,

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Speaker 4: that is where the FCS National title is. I didn't

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Speaker 4: see any you know this is going to game is

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Speaker 4: going to be any faster. They said the surface is

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Speaker 4: more of a fairway green in pristine condition, but that

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Speaker 4: doesn't necessarily mean that. I don't think it affects the

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Speaker 4: over under whatsoever. Hawaii has been an interesting case study

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Speaker 4: this year. They went from our run and shoot ten

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Speaker 4: personnel into a twenty personnel with the go go offense,

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Speaker 4: it's just throw all the formations and the numbers away.

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Speaker 4: It's Shavon Cordero. He's thrown for almost two thousand yards

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Speaker 4: and he accounts for thirty six percent of Hawaii's rushing yards.

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Speaker 4: And really all their offense has been is Cordero's designed

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Speaker 4: runs and scrambles for explosive runs and converting third downs.

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Speaker 4: I mean they have very long yards to go distance

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Speaker 4: on third downs. So really it's been a lot of

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Speaker 4: clutch Cordero, and that's all been happening on the island.

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Speaker 4: Away from the island, Hawaii's had all three unders, just

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Speaker 4: not the same team when they've been on the road.

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Speaker 4: And so if you look at the advanced stats, Houston's

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Speaker 4: gonna give up a few Cordero runs, but they're gonna

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Speaker 4: have a lot of success in getting that offense off

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Speaker 4: of the field. They're gonna have a ton of pressure,

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Speaker 4: a ton of pressure on Chavon Cordero doing passing downs.

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Speaker 4: Houston is top ten in the nation in sacrate, where

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Speaker 4: they're bad as their pass covers. They are dead last

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Speaker 4: in pass coverage, which means Cordero's he's gonna hit his

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Speaker 4: passes and he's gonna be able to break explosive runs.

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Speaker 4: I think the Houston angle, with the opt outs and

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Speaker 4: the motivation, I personally think that that's gonna take control

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Speaker 4: of the market leading up to this game, and I'm

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Speaker 4: gonna be the last one to buy a Houston number

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Speaker 4: after the dip ends. I took an under sixty and

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Speaker 4: a half early when this Bowl game came out, mostly

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Speaker 4: because I have projected the number down in fifty four.

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Speaker 4: The fact that Cordero is gonna run a lot, is

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Speaker 4: gonna take a lot of time off the board. I'm

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Speaker 4: not sure you know. Clayton Tune and Houston, they are

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Speaker 4: very much flurry of points. You think about that BYU game,

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Speaker 4: I think they scored like twenty four straight and then

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Speaker 4: gave up like thirty straight. Houston just has this ability

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Speaker 4: to have three possessions, three scores in a row, and

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Speaker 4: then not score again for an entire quarter or an

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Speaker 4: entire half. I haven't projected a day. If I can

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Speaker 4: get him a date, I'll take it.

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Speaker 2: One thing that I'll point out to is you still

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Speaker 2: don't know who these other opt outs are gonna be,

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Speaker 2: So keep an eye on that and who. But the

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Speaker 2: loss of Turner and store it against this Hawaii offensive

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Speaker 2: line is big. Especially Turner. I mean he's really really good,

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Speaker 2: legit NFL prospect. And then Stevenson is there, you know,

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Speaker 2: their kick with Turner ace, he's their big, he's their

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Speaker 2: deep threat down the field. I still think Houston will

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Speaker 2: be able to move the ball in Clayton Tune in

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Speaker 2: that intermediary range, especially, but I worry about where Houston

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Speaker 2: is mentally.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's going to be in the rite up on

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Speaker 4: action network with the name you need to look for

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Speaker 4: is cornerback Marcus Jones. He's the one that's been returning

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Speaker 4: Punta Troy. He see, he's a great returner at Troy.

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Speaker 4: If I'm looking for an opt out name on Houston,

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Speaker 4: they're the name that will two names that will keep

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Speaker 4: me from buying Houston on the DIP is going to

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Speaker 4: be cornerback Marcus Jones and quarterback Clayton Tune. So I

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Speaker 4: am going to wait until probably thirty minutes has been

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Speaker 4: kicked to make it soon.

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Speaker 1: Just hear those slave, those jingling tingling tube.

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Speaker 2: Come on, it's lovely weather for together with you.

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Speaker 5: All right, let's move on to Christmas Day.

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Speaker 2: We have the Chamellia Bowl two thirty eastern on ESPN,

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Speaker 2: Marshall taking on Buffalo in the historic Crampton Bowl in

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Speaker 2: downtown Montgomery at bet MGM. Right now, Buffalo is out

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Speaker 2: to a five and a half point favorite over under

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Speaker 2: fifty four. Marshall and Buffalo were actually Mac rivals from

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Speaker 2: ninety nine to two thousand and four. Marshall used to

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Speaker 2: dominate the Mac back in the day. Buffalo is playing

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Speaker 2: its fifth bowl game at school history. They won their

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Speaker 2: first bowl game last year over Charlotte thirty one nine

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Speaker 2: in the bombs Ball dominated the herd Are twelve and

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Speaker 2: three all time in fifteen Bowl games eighty percent winning percentage.

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Speaker 2: That's the highest winning percentage nationally among teams with at

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Speaker 2: least six Bowl games. Doc Halladay, who's been money in Bowls,

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Speaker 2: saw his six game Bowl winning streak end last year.

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Speaker 2: By the way Bowl trivia here, Marshall was involved in

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Speaker 2: the highest scoring Bowl game ever, sixty four to sixty

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Speaker 2: one in the two thousand and one g MAC Bowl.

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Speaker 2: They were down thirty at the half and came back

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Speaker 2: to win. The quarterbacks in that game over East Carolina.

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Speaker 2: The quarterbacks in that game two future Jaguar quarterbacks, Byron

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Speaker 2: Leftwich and David Garrard. Left Which in that game for

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Speaker 2: Marshall finished forty one of seventy for five hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventy six yards.

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Speaker 5: Ridiculou But if you look at these two.

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Speaker 2: Teams, Marshall led the nation in scoring defense, second and

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Speaker 2: rushing defense, third and total defense. They have a great

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Speaker 2: front seven DID defensive Endarius Todje, their Dtackle Edwards. They

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Speaker 2: have great linebackers to did Conference USA defensive player there

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Speaker 2: Devonte Beckett and Neil and Bopan up there as well. However,

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Speaker 2: it's worth noting that Beckett opted out. They have two

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Speaker 2: solid safeties two and Drayton and Johnson. Their numbers were great,

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Speaker 2: but the schedule was disgusting. Buffalo, their offensive numbers are stupid, silly,

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Speaker 2: and Jared Patterson went off, but again, the schedule was

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Speaker 2: a joke. We talked about this before the MAC Championship game.

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Speaker 2: Their offensive line was right rating as like the number

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Speaker 2: one offensive line in every category, but they played a

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Speaker 2: bunch of clowns in the MAC before they played ball State.

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Speaker 2: Offense still did well against ball State. They have Patterson

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Speaker 2: and Marx in the backfield. None is your threat at

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Speaker 2: wide receivers, so it's still a good offense and they

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Speaker 2: have a pro prospect on the offensive line. It doesn't

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Speaker 2: look like anyone's gonna opt out for Buffalo, whereas with Marshall,

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Speaker 2: and that includes Patterson, who I thought might opt out

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Speaker 2: for Marshall. You have their leading rusher, Knocks, one of

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00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:09,280
Speaker 2: their best offensive linemen who's a pro prospect. Their tackle

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Speaker 2: is opting out, and back at the conference will say

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Speaker 2: defensive player of the year is opting out.

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Speaker 5: These two teams.

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Speaker 2: Kind of mirror each other, and a way Marshall started.

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Speaker 2: You know, Buffalo went outdefeated, went on the MAC champions

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Speaker 2: Grade fourteen, OH then lost. Marshall was seven and oh

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Speaker 2: ranked fifteenth in the country and then melted down. Grant

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Speaker 2: Wells forgot how to play quarterback, get five picks against

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Speaker 2: Rice in a twenty to nothing lost, and then he

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Speaker 2: was OH of ten in the first half against UAB.

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Speaker 2: The team like, how can you look that good? I

298
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Speaker 2: know the competition wasn't great to looking like completely inept. Well,

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Speaker 2: there's a lot of rumors in Huntington about what's going

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Speaker 2: on with this team, you know, and they canceled their

301
00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,440
Speaker 2: their Charlotte game late in the year and they just

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00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,040
Speaker 2: have looked completely lost in their past two games. There's

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Speaker 2: rumors of like fights breaking out in the parking lot,

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Speaker 2: you know, suspensions, arguments, the seniors not liking what's going on.

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Speaker 2: And I would explain what the hell has happened with

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Speaker 2: this Marshall team. So I want no part of Marshall now,

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Speaker 2: especially with the opt outs. Both teams have great numbers,

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Speaker 2: their schedules are jokes, though you have to take them

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Speaker 2: with the grain assault you know, obviously they're two top

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00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:19,880
Speaker 2: fifteen defenses in third downs and a lot of different categories.

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Speaker 2: Buffalo just defense, I think is more vulnerable with their numbers,

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Speaker 2: suggest because of the schedule they have some talent count

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Speaker 2: off be right at linebacker Coon's gright off the edge.

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Speaker 2: But with these Marshall opt outs and the rumors kind

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Speaker 2: of swirling about what's going on with Marshall and I

316
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Speaker 2: have been reading someone message boards, I tend to believe them.

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Speaker 2: It would explain a lot of what's going on with

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Speaker 2: this team. And then throwing that Gret Wells is a

319
00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,320
Speaker 2: seemingly forgot how to play quarterback, forgot how to complete

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Speaker 2: a pass. So I want no part of Marshall here.

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Speaker 2: The line is taking off. I threw Buffalo and a

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Speaker 2: couple of money on parlays. I think they win this game.

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Speaker 2: I think Marshall is reeling. What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? And I took Marshall right away. You know one

325
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Speaker 4: odds were listed on this at three and a half,

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Speaker 4: and the reason was because if Patterson was going to

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Speaker 4: miss this game after getting Gator rolled by ball State,

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Speaker 4: I figured this number would probably come back to where

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Speaker 4: I projected, which is around a pick, and sure enough,

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Speaker 4: Patterson's just fine. And Patterson as of Tuesday, in the

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Speaker 4: practice report was warming up with no issues on the sidelines,

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00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:26,040
Speaker 4: did not partake in practice, but got warm and stretched

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Speaker 4: on the sidelines. And he will be playing in the

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Speaker 4: Kamellia Bowl. I mean, I'm not calling bullshit on that,

335
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Speaker 4: but why, like, really, like, you missed the rest of

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Speaker 4: your conference championship game and you're going to play the

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Speaker 4: Camellia Bowl on Christmas Day when you could be declaring

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Speaker 4: for the NFL Draft with you know, some of the

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00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:44,480
Speaker 4: greatest highlights we've seen in culturable history. He's extremely important

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Speaker 4: to this Buffalo team. I mean, he's second the nation

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Speaker 4: in elusiveness, he's fourth in the nation and yards after contact.

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Speaker 4: You know, Stuck mentioned it. We said this in the

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Speaker 4: preview against ball State. The schedule is one of the

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Speaker 4: worst in the country, and so is Marshall. I mean,

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Speaker 4: Marsha's one hundred and twenty eight strength of schedule, Buffalo

346
00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,760
Speaker 4: is one hundred and thirty fifth. So I really jumped

347
00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:07,280
Speaker 4: to go on Marshall. They're expecting Jared Patterson not to play.

348
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:11,360
Speaker 4: I'm a little shocked that he is. And then THEOS yeah,

349
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Speaker 4: and then the opt outs came on the Marshall side,

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Speaker 4: which I think all of that news and that would

351
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Speaker 4: be their leading running back Brendan Knox linebacker DeVante Becket

352
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:22,280
Speaker 4: Beckett you mentioned, I think all of that news is

353
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Speaker 4: the reason why this number has moved from three and

354
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Speaker 4: a half up to five, and frankly, I wouldn't be

355
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,119
Speaker 4: surprised if it moved a little bit more. So, you know,

356
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,440
Speaker 4: when we talk about wells, it's interesting he started off

357
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Speaker 4: the game oh for ten against UAB, I mean, just pathetic,

358
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Speaker 4: And you know, he had missed a couple of weeks

359
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,960
Speaker 4: leading into rice five interceptions and then you know, a

360
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,920
Speaker 4: couple of weeks go by and then we get into

361
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:45,960
Speaker 4: the game against UAB and he starts off over ten.

362
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 4: So I don't know if we're blaming it on his

363
00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:52,760
Speaker 4: focus or the fact that he was out of rhythm

364
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:54,800
Speaker 4: and hadn't played like a couple of gaps in between

365
00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:57,600
Speaker 4: his games. He did finish the game eight to thirteen

366
00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:00,919
Speaker 4: after the oh for ten start when a thirteen had

367
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:04,160
Speaker 4: two tds. But you know the fact is that UAB

368
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:08,360
Speaker 4: held Marshall to three of fifteen on third and fourth downs.

369
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:12,840
Speaker 4: That UAB defense is not Buffalo's defense. So I will

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00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 4: say that Marshall should have a little bit more offensive

371
00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:19,160
Speaker 4: success here, even without their running back. They do have

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00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 4: two backups, you know that can take the place of Knox,

373
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,160
Speaker 4: the linebackers DeVante Beckett. I know that he has plenty

374
00:18:26,200 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 4: of tackles, and people view that as a big loss,

375
00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,040
Speaker 4: but you know, nobody had more missed tackles on the

376
00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:34,560
Speaker 4: team than Beckett. And as far as the two backup

377
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,879
Speaker 4: running backs, Sheldon Evans and Knowledge McDaniel, they both had

378
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:41,120
Speaker 4: higher yards after contact and they both combined for more

379
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:44,560
Speaker 4: avoided tackles and one hundred less attempts versus Brandon Knox.

380
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,919
Speaker 4: So from a personnel standpoint, with the opt outs, I

381
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:51,080
Speaker 4: think the backups fill in really nice for Marshall here.

382
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:54,320
Speaker 4: So I always believe in Doc Holliday six and one

383
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,360
Speaker 4: against spread and bulls, and that one loss was last

384
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,239
Speaker 4: year against Central Florida. I'm not really sure that was fair. Now.

385
00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 4: I know they didn't come or the spread, but Central

386
00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:03,919
Speaker 4: Florida was firing on all cylinders and Marshall was just

387
00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:08,360
Speaker 4: not nowhere near prepared to take on that Central Florida offense.

388
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:12,480
Speaker 4: I know points spread matters But so I do believe

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00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 4: in Doc Holliday. I think I'll have his team ready.

390
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 4: I think the people behind the opt outs on the

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00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,880
Speaker 4: Marshall side will be good to go. I am gonna

392
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 4: wait for Patterson to actually see if he is on

393
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:24,480
Speaker 4: the field in warm ups and taking snaps. If it

394
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:26,560
Speaker 4: is and the line goes up even higher, I may

395
00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 4: be forced to fire on Marshall again. I like the

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00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,560
Speaker 4: fact that Grant Wells is playing two weeks in a

397
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,880
Speaker 4: row here. I would like to believe that the over

398
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,159
Speaker 4: ten last week and the five interceptions against Rice was

399
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,880
Speaker 4: because of a huge gap in scheduling. So I'm gonna

400
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,560
Speaker 4: stick on the Marshall side here and stick with Doc

401
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 4: Holliday and hopefully he can clear out the noise that's

402
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 4: going on with this team. And even if it means

403
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 4: getting rid of a few starters, at least let the

404
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,200
Speaker 4: seniors have a good day here to end the season.

405
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:53,680
Speaker 2: I disagree with that.

406
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:53,920
Speaker 4: Now.

407
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:58,239
Speaker 2: Look in bowls, sometimes it comes down to motivation and

408
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 2: sometimes you're guessing on it. You don't know. No one

409
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,200
Speaker 2: knows for sure what's going in the locker room. Sometimes

410
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 2: you're gonna be right, Sometimes you're gonna be wrong. You

411
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:05,879
Speaker 2: hope that you're right more times than not when you

412
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:09,040
Speaker 2: actually factor that into your capping. Everything I've read and

413
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 2: these opt outs look their first team All Conference left

414
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,719
Speaker 2: tackle as well, ball is opting out, and their offensive

415
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,920
Speaker 2: line has been really good this year. The fact that

416
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,639
Speaker 2: from a motivation standpoint, the fact that you're hearing all

417
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,399
Speaker 2: these rumors of Marshall and it lines up with just

418
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 2: horrendous play to end the year. The fact that Buffalo

419
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 2: they have some pro prospects on both sides of the

420
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 2: ball that everyone is playing. That shows me that they

421
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:37,359
Speaker 2: still really care and want to win this game for Leopold.

422
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 2: So that's what factored in to my decision here. I

423
00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 2: threw in some money on our places when we're like

424
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Speaker 2: three and a half four, if the line is starting

425
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Speaker 2: to get out of van, I just want to avoid

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Speaker 2: Marshall from a line value perspective, and your argument it's

427
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Speaker 2: completely valued.

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Speaker 1: Full game fever catch it.

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Speaker 6: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

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Speaker 6: want to make sure you know about the lockedwn podcast network.

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Speaker 6: Locked On has a daily podcast on your favorite team.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are Lockdown

433
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: of the Dallas, marriage weckome everybody to the Lockdown Lakers

434
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 2: podcast Let's Go.

435
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,439
Speaker 6: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

436
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 6: know your team better than anyone and give you the

437
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 6: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

438
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 6: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

439
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Saturday, and we have

440
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:31,120
Speaker 2: two games because of the cancelation with two games at

441
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,280
Speaker 2: three point thirty. Somehow they're not spread out, which is awful,

442
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 2: and one at night we'll get the Coastal Liberty. Shortly,

443
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 2: let's start the First Responders Bowl in Dallas, three third

444
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 2: Eastern on ABC between Louisiana, the co champions in the

445
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 2: Sunbelt along with Coastal Carolina. They are a thirteen and

446
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,879
Speaker 2: a half point favorite over UTSA meet Me, Meet Me

447
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 2: over under fifty seven and a half at bet MGM,

448
00:21:57,080 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 2: the official hotes provider of the Action Network podcast. I'm

449
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 2: really confident that the road Runners will care here. They're

450
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 2: seven and four under Jeff Trail in his first season,

451
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 2: and they're seeking their first Bowl victory in program history

452
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,679
Speaker 2: and only their second appearance, and it would tie, you know,

453
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:17,480
Speaker 2: a win would tie the school record for wins in

454
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,200
Speaker 2: a season, so UGSA is going to be motivated. Louisiana

455
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 2: and they didn't get to play the conference title game.

456
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,120
Speaker 2: They're playing the First Responders Bowl. Will they care here?

457
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 2: And you could argue, and I think that I would

458
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,200
Speaker 2: sign with this. They want to make a statement here.

459
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,920
Speaker 2: They feel that they got jobbed and the Sun Belt

460
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: in general in the College Wall playoff for eight ratings,

461
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:41,400
Speaker 2: But to question motivation here as a near two touchdown

462
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,639
Speaker 2: favorite is fair. Louisiana's defense, they have some good players

463
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 2: up front and Taylor Humphrey and Zion Hill, but it's

464
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 2: really the secondary is where they have the star power.

465
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 2: I mean Brayln Trey An. It's safety is an absolute

466
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 2: stud I think it's PFF All American. Two other very

467
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 2: good safeties too with them in Solomon and Butler. They

468
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: have two good corners also in Garner and gar I

469
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 2: mean the past he's very good. Third and pass efficiency

470
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 2: defense just outstanding from a coverage perspective. Now, the run

471
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 2: defense a little questionable, and they're one hundred and eleventh

472
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 2: in lineyards, so Ken Sincire McCormick, one of the best

473
00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 2: running backs in college football, take advantage. That's gonna be

474
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 2: the main question here. UTSA does have some players up front.

475
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 2: Their defensive line has been surprisingly good. You know, Madison, Haynes, Clayton,

476
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,200
Speaker 2: Dancer and Wiley off the edge. They're twenty fourth in lineyards,

477
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 2: twenty seventh and stuff, right, So they've been pretty good

478
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 2: upfront taking on Louisiana's offense with Levi Lewis, a pair

479
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 2: of really good backs Mitchell and Regis. And then you

480
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 2: know rock solid offensive line, just a great offensive line.

481
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 2: O Cyrus Torrance and Max Mitchell.

482
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:46,399
Speaker 4: Lead that group.

483
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 2: So the question here is motivation perspective. Does we need

484
00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:54,479
Speaker 2: to stand of care enough? I know UTSA will, And

485
00:23:54,480 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 2: then how much can the UTSA rushing attack Exploitiana's primary

486
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,680
Speaker 2: weakness because this is what you know, it's goint of

487
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 2: strength all weakness. Utz I just wants to feed the

488
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: ball in McCormick, and that's how you can move the

489
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 2: ball in Louisiana.

490
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,159
Speaker 5: What do you see here between meat meat and the

491
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 5: rage incasions.

492
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 4: Well, you can't get me too excited for a Marshall

493
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 4: Buffalo game, but this game has got me super excited.

494
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 4: I love watching meet meap in a bowl. They should

495
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 4: be like Stuck said, heavily motivated. We don't know where

496
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,920
Speaker 4: Louisiana is going to come in, but know this, these

497
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,400
Speaker 4: two teams rush the ball fifty seven percent clip. They

498
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 4: are a rush first offenses. And if you're looking for

499
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 4: explosive running, look no further than UTSA. It's just you know,

500
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 4: Sincere McCormick has just posted unbelievable numbers the entire season,

501
00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 4: but also quarterback Frank Harris. I believe those two combined

502
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 4: for three hundred and seventy rushing yards and three rushing

503
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,159
Speaker 4: tds against North Texas and they're sitt to end the season.

504
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 4: I know it's North Texas defense, but this is just

505
00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:01,880
Speaker 4: UTSA football. It's pretty fantastic. From a round standpoint, Louisiana

506
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 4: have been a little bit lucky. Maybe this season we'll

507
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 4: we'll get into second order win totals after the season's over,

508
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 4: and I've got one hell of a project to figure

509
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,159
Speaker 4: out if we're throwing out all the stats from this

510
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 4: year and start from scratch with power ratings for next year.

511
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,560
Speaker 4: But Louisiana went five to one and one possession games

512
00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:19,399
Speaker 4: this year, that one loss coming to Coastal Carolina. The

513
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 4: three point loss that they took earlier. You know UTSA

514
00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 4: seven and four. They won their final three games. Seven

515
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 4: of their games came down to one possession. So when

516
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 4: you see a two score spread, these are two teams

517
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 4: that love to keep it within one possession all season long.

518
00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 4: Advantages from UTSA are definitely in the trench. Stuck mentioned

519
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 4: that Louisiana is outside the top one hundred and ten

520
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 4: and plenty of rushing defensive stats. We're talking line yards

521
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 4: one hundred and eleven, stump right one hundred and sixteenth,

522
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 4: power success one hundred and twenty fourth. If you're not

523
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 4: familiar with those terms. UTSA is going to be able

524
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 4: to run the ball anytime they want, on any down

525
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 4: and distance. It doesn't matter what it is. Louisiana defense

526
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,920
Speaker 4: is eighty seventh and sacrate. They're not getting any pressure

527
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 4: whatsoever on opposing quarterbacks, and UTSA the offense top thirty

528
00:26:03,000 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 4: and finishing drives once they get past forty yard line.

529
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 4: They're putting points up on the board. So I like

530
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,680
Speaker 4: UTSA to certainly hang around here.

531
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 2: If you hope that you were going to convince me

532
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 2: on meet me, I think the whole tweak some road

533
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 2: runner gifts on Saturday night.

534
00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 4: The whole thing is is my own projections are, what's

535
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 4: you know, making me take a hammer to all of

536
00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,439
Speaker 4: this because I got it at Louisiana minus fifteen, and

537
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,240
Speaker 4: you know that could just be a half point grading

538
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 4: here and there in an advanced box score that has

539
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,959
Speaker 4: it off. So I'm a point above the market right

540
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:34,719
Speaker 4: now as we record this, and I would really, you know,

541
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 4: like to get over fourteen here to lay some money.

542
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 4: But if you look at the other side of the ball,

543
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 4: off Louisiana's offense, they'll face a rush defense that really

544
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 4: hasn't been too successful either, except for the fact that

545
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,400
Speaker 4: they're top twenty five in the line yards. They're twenty

546
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 4: fourth in line yards UTSA is on defense, but they're

547
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,400
Speaker 4: sixty first in success rates. So what that means is

548
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 4: is they're able to stop the run, but they're giving

549
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 4: up a lot of first downs. And I think that's

550
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:02,959
Speaker 4: going to be the case here with Louisiana. I think

551
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 4: they're gonna have plenty of success running the ball. They

552
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,640
Speaker 4: do play better defense than Louisiana up against the red zone.

553
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 4: They do play better defense when they're up against the

554
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 4: forty yard line. The big difference in this matchup also

555
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 4: which is also going to have me on UTSA. They're

556
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 4: third in the country in special teams and Louisiana is

557
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 4: seventy seventh. Big mismatch on special teams when it comes

558
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 4: to these two teams, you know, I make the game

559
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 4: exactly where the market is. I make it fifteen with

560
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 4: a total of fifty five. I want UTSA pretty bad.

561
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:38,199
Speaker 4: I imagine in some form or fashion, I'm going to

562
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 4: be on the road runners here. It's just a matter

563
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 4: of when do I make the investment in the market.

564
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, do you have any thoughts on potential motivation for Louisiana.

565
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,359
Speaker 4: Where is Louisiana's head? We're coach champions, Our coach is

566
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 4: leaving us. He's not leaving us. This is our final game.

567
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 4: We could have been playing against a Power five opponent.

568
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 4: We could have you know, made a New Year's six.

569
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 4: We could have got our revenge against Coastal. You didn't

570
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 4: get any of that stuff. So do you have motivation

571
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 4: if you're Louisiana to you know, take a trip down

572
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 4: I thirty and get to get to mess Amuse campus

573
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:17,359
Speaker 4: and play at gerald Ford's stadium. That doesn't scream confidence

574
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:20,159
Speaker 4: or excitement or something I would want to be doing

575
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,199
Speaker 4: the day after Christmas, especially playing a team you know

576
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 4: in UTSA, So I'll be looking for Louisiana motivation here.

577
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 4: I can't imagine putting money behind Billy Napier for a

578
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 4: long time after the decisions I've seen him make the

579
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 4: past two years. So yeah, meet me Paul the way here,

580
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 4: and I'm looking looking forward to getting into the market

581
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:39,320
Speaker 4: at some point on them.

582
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 2: Yep. I agree with you in these bowl games where

583
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 2: I know once the underdog's going to be motivated and

584
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 2: I don't know if the favorite necessarily is, and there's

585
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 2: a big matchup advantage that the underdog has.

586
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 5: I have no problems taking two touchdowns.

587
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 2: Historically taking double digit dogs in these bowl games has

588
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 2: been profitable if you go back twenty five thirty years.

589
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 2: Nothing crazy, but yeah, that's I look forward to getting

590
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: in on UTSA as well. I make the number slightly

591
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 2: under two touchdowns. So with the motivation the match up,

592
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 2: I think it's a good spot to get us on

593
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 2: meat meat, a potential spot that you guys call in

594
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 2: to the voicemails, I agree or not.

595
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,000
Speaker 4: I think one thing going for us though, is that

596
00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 4: we know that there's going to be a public appetite

597
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,920
Speaker 4: for Louisiana here. I can't imagine there being any kind

598
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 4: of appetite from anybody that doesn't follow meet me. So

599
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 4: I think there's going to be a heavy amount of

600
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 4: money that could push us into Bay Territory. On UTSA, it.

601
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 2: Seems like we're in agreement there.

602
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 1: If you hate ballgames, go listen to NPR.

603
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 2: Let's see if we're in agreement here. Let's stay in

604
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 2: the same time, three thirty eastern on ESPN. In Mobile, Alabama,

605
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,640
Speaker 2: we have the Lending Tree Bowl. We have Georgia State

606
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 2: in Western Kentucky. Georgia State is a three and a

607
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 2: half point favorite over under fifty one and a half

608
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 2: bowl history. Georgia State's one to two in bowls if

609
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: it's only win coming over Western Kentucky. Actually back in

610
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 2: twenty seventeen. Western Kentucky's four and two in bowls at

611
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: the FBS level, including a win last year over Western Michigan.

612
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,920
Speaker 2: When I look at this matchup, I mean Western Kentucky's

613
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 2: offense is horrendous. I mean it is next level bad.

614
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 2: I know that their quarterback Pigram, who transferred for Maryland.

615
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 2: He has nine touchdowns and no picks, no picks on

616
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,960
Speaker 2: the year, but there's no exposedness on his offense. His

617
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 2: passing game is horrendous. They're only averaging one hundred and

618
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 2: sixty four yards passing per game. That's one hundred and

619
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 2: twelfth of the nation five point four yards per tenth.

620
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 2: That's fifth lowest. So that's important because Georgia State's pass

621
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 2: defense sticks.

622
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 5: I mean, it is awful.

623
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 2: They're allowing two hundred and eighty five yards per game

624
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 2: through the yard's one hundred and nineteenth. It's just not good. Now,

625
00:30:56,080 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 2: their run defense and their front set it's pretty good.

626
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 5: Georgia State has actually some players.

627
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 2: You know, you have McQueen Carol Stevens, I mean Strachan

628
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 2: and Willis off the edge. And they're getting two really

629
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 2: important players back for this game that we're out I

630
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 2: think the past two and Dante Wilson, he's their stud

631
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 2: in tier defensive lineman and their safety at lane, who's

632
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,959
Speaker 2: their best defensive back. They're back and those are two

633
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 2: of the better players in their defense. But the front

634
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 2: seven is good. They're very strong up front, they're good

635
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 2: against the run. They're only allowing three point nine yards

636
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 2: per rush, so I think that their defense can hold

637
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 2: its own here because I don't trust Western Kentucky to

638
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,440
Speaker 2: move the ball through the air. That's basically what it

639
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 2: comes down to. The Western Kentucky defense, you know they

640
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: do to State offense is pretty good. Look, they have

641
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 2: a good quarterback at Dustin Coats running back picking a

642
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 2: wide receiver Carter at the tight end, but their offensive

643
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 2: line is so bad they just can't block, especially run block.

644
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 2: So I think Western Kentucky that defensive front with Ricky

645
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 2: Barber and D'Angel Malone, they I think can hold their

646
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 2: own up in the trenches. And you know Western Kentucky's

647
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 2: passed eve It's top fifteen pass efficiency, two good safeties

648
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:09,400
Speaker 2: and Kincaid and Key, So I think Western Kentucky's defense

649
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 2: will hold its own. I really like the under here.

650
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: Unders are scary in Georgia State games and in bowls

651
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 2: in general.

652
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 5: But yeah, I think that.

653
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 2: From a matchup perspective, what you really worry about with

654
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 2: Georgia State is their pass defense. This is a perfect

655
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 2: matchup for them against a really inept Western Kentucky passing offense.

656
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 2: What do you see here in the Lending Tree Bowl?

657
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'll take it a bit further and

658
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 4: saying that this is an underplay. I think this is

659
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 4: the first half under and maybe a second half over.

660
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 4: If you look at the last time these teams played.

661
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:45,960
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky hasn't played since November twenty first, Georgia State

662
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 4: hasn't played since November twenty eighth, And it's really hard

663
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 4: to make a case to back Western Kentucky here. I tried.

664
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 4: I must have spent ninety minutes on this game trying

665
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 4: to make a case for Western Kentucky, and it was tough.

666
00:32:57,880 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 4: They started the year zero to seven against the spread.

667
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 4: They're now two seven and one against the spread, depending

668
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,520
Speaker 4: on what lines you might have gotten. But they ended

669
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 4: the season against Florida Atlantic, Southern, MYSS and FIU, and

670
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 4: they were plus three in net turnovers. So it's tough,

671
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 4: I mean. And by the time they play this game,

672
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 4: it'll be what six weeks since they played, And Georgia

673
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:17,920
Speaker 4: State's three against the spread winds to end the season

674
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 4: against app State, South Alabama and Georgia Southern, that would

675
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 4: tell me that they're on a roll. So I do

676
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,959
Speaker 4: like Georgia State like that. Both strength of schedules are

677
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 4: outside the top one hundred and Georgia State has a

678
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 4: rush explosiveness advantage here, and I really think that that's

679
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 4: where they're going to be able to get them their

680
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 4: top thirty in rushing explosiveness, and they run the ball

681
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 4: fifty nine percent of the time. Georgia State is a

682
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,760
Speaker 4: run first team. They can't pass, but they are a

683
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 4: run first team. And Western Kentucky's defense, while they are

684
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 4: good in some areas, especially in pass coverage, they're not

685
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 4: very good at defending chunkyards on the ground ninety fourth

686
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 4: in defending rush explosiveness. So that's where Georgia State's going

687
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 4: to be able to eat at the table Western Kentucky. Though,

688
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 4: here's the conundrum. I say all these great things about

689
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 4: Georgia State, but there's two specific stats that are keeping

690
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 4: me off the side in this game because it worries

691
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 4: the hell out of me. One, Georgia State is one

692
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty fourth in the nation in tackling. That

693
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 4: means anybody in open space is just getting arms thrown

694
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 4: out and they can run through all day. Western Kentucky's

695
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 4: fifth and tackling that is a monster gap and you're

696
00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 4: d in the two defenses and the number of mistackles

697
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 4: that they have. Western Kentucky's going to be able to

698
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 4: tackle you in open space. Georgia State has no shot.

699
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 4: The other one major advantge for Western Kentucky here in

700
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,640
Speaker 4: special teams, Western Kentucky is seventh and special teams Georgia

701
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,240
Speaker 4: State is eighty fourth. Special teams equals field position equals

702
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 4: higher chances of scoring. I'm going to stay off the

703
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 4: side for me. These teams have not played in a

704
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 4: long time. I think it's a first half under and

705
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 4: then I think you assess it halftime whether you're going

706
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 4: to take a second half over.

707
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:51,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, good points there. I think I'm gonna have to

708
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 2: add a first half under as well. So we're in

709
00:34:56,440 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 2: agreement there. That has gotta make it the town.

710
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,919
Speaker 6: Central making Harry telling he can take the freeway down.

711
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 2: Run Run, Merry go round.

712
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 5: Now let's get to the bowl of the weekend.

713
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 2: We have two of our podcast favorite teams playing. We

714
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:33,040
Speaker 2: have chants Triple C Nation and Liberty. I've said to

715
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 2: these young people repeatedly and I'll say it.

716
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 5: Again, you are the hope of America.

717
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,600
Speaker 2: When you leave the graduation platform of Liberty, I want

718
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:43,719
Speaker 2: you to leave it running, leave it running with a

719
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:48,320
Speaker 2: vision burning in your Soul in the Cure Bowl Saturday

720
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:52,320
Speaker 2: night on ESPN in Orlando, Florida, at at MGM. Coastal

721
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 2: Carolina is a seven point favorite over under fifty nine

722
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 2: and a half. Liberty is back in the Cure Bowl

723
00:35:58,160 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 2: for a second straight year. They won their first ever

724
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 2: Bowl appearance at the Cure Bowl last year. Ever, afore

725
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 2: mentioned Georgia Southern and these two teams, like, you know,

726
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 2: you have some interesting storylines this weekend with some of

727
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:10,360
Speaker 2: these bulls.

728
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 5: Marshall Buffalo used to be rivals in the MAC.

729
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 2: These two teams used to be rivals in the Big South. Yeah,

730
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:19,880
Speaker 2: I think they're play they're playing for the first time.

731
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: Its twenty sixteen. They were supposed to meet on December fifth,

732
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,279
Speaker 2: but it was canceled due to COVID. This is an

733
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 2: important game to alumni. They used to be like big

734
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 2: rivals in the Big South. It's really a shame that

735
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 2: we have this matchup. I wanted to. I mean, Coastal

736
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 2: Carolina undefeated season, they beat Uyu. Let's see him against

737
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,320
Speaker 2: the power five team, and why not throw Liberty against

738
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 2: power five team? But alas, it's kind of like sometimes

739
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,360
Speaker 2: in the NCAA tournament and you have these two like

740
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 2: really intriguing Cinderella teams and the committee put matches them together.

741
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 2: It's always frustrating that what happens, but it should be

742
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 2: a fun game. The Coastal offense, I mean, if you

743
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 2: look at the all sumb Belt for first team, I

744
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:03,439
Speaker 2: mean it's just all Coastal players. But also about first

745
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 2: team quarterback Grayon McCall twenty three touchdowns, two interceptions. He

746
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 2: leads this spread triple option attack. I mean, he's run

747
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 2: into perfection this year as a freshman, and he ran

748
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,280
Speaker 2: in high school which did give him a head start

749
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 2: for a really similar system. If CJ. Marble at running back,

750
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,640
Speaker 2: Isaiah Likely at tight end, Javon Highley at wide receiver,

751
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 2: just really good offensive players. They have a really good

752
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,319
Speaker 2: guard and Trey Carter, so the offense has been great

753
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 2: all year. The Black Swarm defense, Tyren Jackson and Gunter

754
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:36,280
Speaker 2: on the edge, Brewer up front, Silas Kelly and Teddy

755
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 2: Gallagher kind of their senior leaders at linebacker. It's a

756
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,600
Speaker 2: really experienced front seven that can get after the quarterback.

757
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 2: I think maybe as well as any group of five

758
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,080
Speaker 2: team in the nation. To Jordan Strong is a good

759
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 2: cornerback spill him solid at safety, but this team does

760
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:54,160
Speaker 2: struggle against the run. Eighty fourth in line yards have

761
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 2: struggled to defend the run. So the question is can

762
00:37:56,520 --> 00:38:00,160
Speaker 2: Liberty take advantage of that? And can Liberty? Liberty is

763
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 2: very vulnerable to pressure on their offensive line on that

764
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 2: offense led by quarterback and the leak willis you know,

765
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:10,839
Speaker 2: so the question here is can Coastal's blackswarm defense get

766
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 2: after willis enough to cause enough havoc where that kind

767
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 2: of leaky run defense doesn't really matter. And then the

768
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 2: other side, Liberty also can get after the quarterback. Their

769
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 2: secondary has been pretty good, but they're also vulnerable against

770
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 2: the run.

771
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 5: I think they're one hundred and twenty first an opportunity rate.

772
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 2: That's a scary stack going up against Coastal Carolina. Both

773
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:33,200
Speaker 2: defenses of I think are in the top twenty and

774
00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:37,920
Speaker 2: pass efficiency defense. So it's a very intriguing game for me.

775
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 2: I think it'll be a lot of fun. I know

776
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:44,280
Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina will be fired up for this. They want

777
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 2: to have an undefeated season. They want to show everyone,

778
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,880
Speaker 2: look we should have You could argue outside to this

779
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,799
Speaker 2: is all narrative base, but you could say they are

780
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 2: disappointed to be playing Liberty, but it's their old rival,

781
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 2: it's on primetime on Saturday night. They're going for an

782
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 2: undefeated season, and I think they are going to have

783
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:03,919
Speaker 2: an edge to them.

784
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:06,839
Speaker 5: Does Liberty care? I would think you.

785
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:10,279
Speaker 7: Have sacrificed and labored for years to make this day

786
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 7: a reality, and we're proud of you.

787
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 2: Congratulations. But they did play in this Bowl last year

788
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 2: and it's been a weird season of COVID for Liberty.

789
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:22,479
Speaker 2: So from a motivational standpoint, I worry. I think both

790
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 2: teams will be fired up for this game, but I

791
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 2: would worry a little bit more about Liberty than Coastal Carolina.

792
00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 2: If you put a gun to mat you can make

793
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:32,080
Speaker 2: an argument for the other side. But Coastal seven point

794
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 2: favorite here over under sixty. What do you see in

795
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 2: this matchup?

796
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 4: I think it's seven and a half. You got it

797
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 4: by Liberty, and I love Coastal and I think they're

798
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 4: gonna win this game, and I think they're going to

799
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 4: be hella fired up because they have a chance to

800
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 4: go undefeated. But listen, there are advantages for Liberty in

801
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 4: this game. Whether Hugh Freeze is I know Hugh Freeze

802
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:52,799
Speaker 4: is there, but I'm sure he'll I don't know if

803
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:55,280
Speaker 4: he'll be off on the sidelines answering his phone from everybody.

804
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 4: They'll want them to come coach.

805
00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 2: You don't cuss, you don't drink, so what are your vices?

806
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,000
Speaker 2: Have been known to chew a bit of tobacco when

807
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 2: I get a little tired or watching Fiel.

808
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 4: But the team is intact for Liberty. Both these teams

809
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 4: are heavy rush. Liberty runs sixty two percent of the time.

810
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,560
Speaker 4: Coastal Carolina runs sixty five over sixty five percent of

811
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 4: the time. And there are advantages there. Both of the

812
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:22,319
Speaker 4: defenses rank outside the top sixty and defending rushing success rate.

813
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:24,479
Speaker 4: Both of them give up explosive plays on the ground,

814
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 4: especially Coastal they rank outside the top one hundred and

815
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 4: giving up chunk runs. So that really plays into the

816
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:33,360
Speaker 4: hands of Liberty there. And you know, one of the

817
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 4: best things about Coastal Carolina's defense really has been the

818
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 4: pass covers, the passing. You know, they've been able to

819
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 4: shut down a few passes in their time in the

820
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:44,440
Speaker 4: Sun Belt. They've been graded defensive finishing drives. You know,

821
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 4: their lineyards are only eighty fourth defensively in lineyards, and

822
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,720
Speaker 4: so I think it's just known that Liberty and Coastal

823
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:52,560
Speaker 4: are both going to be able to move the ball

824
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:54,440
Speaker 4: on the ground. Where the difference comes in is how

825
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 4: great Coastal has been at time of possession one hundred

826
00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:00,720
Speaker 4: and nineteen seconds per play. They love to during the clock.

827
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 4: They convert every third down fourth down in the world,

828
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 4: and when they have to go to the air, they

829
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:08,440
Speaker 4: can get it done. Now, this is a very successful

830
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 4: Liberty passing pass defense unit. They're tenth in the nation

831
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 4: and defensive passing success rate, and they're twentieth on defense

832
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 4: and finishing drives. So I think that this is going

833
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:21,800
Speaker 4: to be a close game. I think seven and a

834
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 4: half is a bypoint for Liberty. I wouldn't mind tye

835
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 4: in Coastal Carolina into some moneyline parlays, but I just

836
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 4: think it's too many. I mean, I make the game

837
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 4: three and a half. I think seven and a half

838
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 4: is a result of what I've said every single week

839
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:38,919
Speaker 4: about this Coast team. Sharps love them, Squares love them,

840
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:43,080
Speaker 4: Joe's love them, Pros love them, everybody loves Coastal Carolina,

841
00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:46,480
Speaker 4: and I think it's priced that way. Total wise, I

842
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 4: stick it at sixty two, so maybe a little bit

843
00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 4: under there. These are going to be two teams that

844
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 4: run the ball heavy, and considering the Coastal takes their

845
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 4: sweet time getting down the field, converting third downs and

846
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 4: making fifteen play drives, I think there's actually a good

847
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 4: case to be made for the under here, so be

848
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:08,840
Speaker 4: looking out for that. I haven't made a final decision,

849
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 4: but liberty at seven and a half is the look.

850
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 4: Anything you know, for some reason gets dropped down under six.

851
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 4: I would favor Coastal, and then I like the under

852
00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 4: in this game.

853
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,279
Speaker 2: It was only through prayer and divine intervention that this

854
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 2: university has become what it is today. We want you

855
00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 2: to remember that always. Yeah, I've tied Coastal money line

856
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 2: into a few parlays, so I agree with you there

857
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:33,120
Speaker 2: the you.

858
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:34,960
Speaker 5: Said you like the under, I do like the under

859
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:35,360
Speaker 5: a little bit.

860
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,319
Speaker 4: I make it sixty two. But really look at this.

861
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,359
Speaker 4: Both of these two teams are high rush units, and

862
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 4: Coastal at one hundred and nineteen seconds per play, and

863
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 4: they love to take twelve to fifteen plays for a

864
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:51,240
Speaker 4: scoring drive. So for me's the if that's the formula

865
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 4: for this game that's an underplay. Yeah.

866
00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 2: Both teams have been really aggressive on fourth down two

867
00:42:56,120 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 2: and they've been extremely success full on fourth downs. I

868
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,440
Speaker 2: think they're what they're both. They might be both up

869
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,680
Speaker 2: in the top ten at a high number of attempts.

870
00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 2: So you could see some regression there. You saw it.

871
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,520
Speaker 2: You know, a team like LA Tech today, they were

872
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 2: like one of the worst offenses in the country, but

873
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:16,759
Speaker 2: they somehow finishing drives in like sixteen or eighteen on

874
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 2: fourth downs.

875
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,720
Speaker 5: That regression if you were going to guess, you could see.

876
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:25,239
Speaker 2: Obviously they could go ten for ten, but if you're

877
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,520
Speaker 2: going to guess, you could see some regression there in

878
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 2: the fourth out abarm and that's all you need is

879
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 2: a couple long drives fourth downs not converted. Yeah, and

880
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:36,320
Speaker 2: these are two rush heavy teams. Now the run defenses

881
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:39,840
Speaker 2: are a little questionable, but you'll have the clock running

882
00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 2: at least for a lot of this.

883
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 4: And both teams are top thirty five in defensive finishing drives.

884
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 4: So if we get more field goals and touchdowns, that

885
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 4: helps for an undercase two.

886
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, and both teams can get after the quarterbacks, so

887
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,360
Speaker 2: you could see some second or third down sacks that

888
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 2: put teams really behind the sticks that force punts, so

889
00:43:57,040 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 2: I don't hate that call as well.

890
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 5: Out if you don't bet on a ball as the

891
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 5: Bowl even exists.

892
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,560
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904
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Speaker 7: not available into that and now back to the show.

909
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: All right, before we get out of here, let's do

910
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 2: a quick three and out. It's gonna be a really

911
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:11,399
Speaker 2: quick one because there's only five games and we cover

912
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:15,040
Speaker 2: them first down. Let me just do a quick reminder.

913
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 2: That's what I'm gonna use first down for. I'm gonna

914
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 2: be used to a shameless plug. Take a second right

915
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 2: now to go rate and review the podcast. Leave a

916
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 2: five star review. I will give away stuff to you

917
00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:31,200
Speaker 2: guys and our producer Yankees. Yankees Tim left to uh

918
00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 2: love it. Love the podcast both informative, hilarious, keep me interested.

919
00:45:34,480 --> 00:45:37,120
Speaker 2: That's that's literally all you need to do is O

920
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:41,839
Speaker 2: is my hero, lifelong degenerate. He always finds new ways

921
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 2: to lose money. He says that we have helped him

922
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 2: limit the damage that he would have caused himself. How

923
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:51,759
Speaker 2: about Tybo fifteen, g U TEP Minor Nation call out

924
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 2: and uh he appreciates our picks while keeping it fun.

925
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:57,360
Speaker 2: That's what we try to do, So just leave it.

926
00:45:57,560 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 5: It takes two minutes.

927
00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 2: It really helps us to in the rankings, and we'll

928
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:01,840
Speaker 2: give shit away.

929
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 4: All right.

930
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 2: Second down, we will do our favorite play So out

931
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:11,239
Speaker 2: of these five bowls, if you had to pick one,

932
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 2: you can only bet one, which would you bet I'm

933
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 2: gonna go. I'm gonna say the Georgia State Western Kentucky under.

934
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 2: Try to get fifty one. That's obviously a key number

935
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: in totals if you can. I still like it at

936
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 2: fifty and a half, but obviously shop around and try

937
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:31,239
Speaker 2: to get fifty one of the key number. But I

938
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,800
Speaker 2: just don't think that this Western Kentucky offense can exploit

939
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:37,600
Speaker 2: Georgia State's weaknesses on defense, and Georgia State's front seven

940
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 2: is actually really solid and similar to Georgia Southern. All Right,

941
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern has some weaknesses on the back end, but

942
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 2: Louisiana Tech didn't exploit that and they couldn't. I don't

943
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,399
Speaker 2: think Western Kentucky really can too, And I think Western

944
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 2: Kentucky's defensive front can really help stall this Georgia State offense.

945
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:56,479
Speaker 5: So I'll take that.

946
00:46:56,680 --> 00:47:00,640
Speaker 2: Under as my favorite play of these five weekend bowls.

947
00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 2: How about you?

948
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:03,439
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with UTSA. I know I haven't

949
00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:05,439
Speaker 4: made a play on it on the action app yet,

950
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 4: but looking at Louisiana's trench numbers, on defense, they can't

951
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 4: stop heavy rush attacks. It's not since here McCormick, if

952
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:16,280
Speaker 4: you haven't laid eyes on this kid for UTSA absolutely

953
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:19,240
Speaker 4: fantastic running the ball. We're talking Jared Patterson type stuff.

954
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,839
Speaker 4: Their quarterback Frank Harris, dual threat. He is just as

955
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 4: explosive on the ground. They can cover the fourteen. They

956
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 4: can keep up with Louisiana on the ground. I know

957
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 4: everybody thinks Louisiana is a superior team, but you know

958
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 4: they did face an easier schedule than UTSA. Louisiana just

959
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 4: doesn't have it on defense to control the trench against

960
00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:39,399
Speaker 4: these guys.

961
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:43,400
Speaker 2: So I love meat me all right, and then third down,

962
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:50,240
Speaker 2: let's talk just quickly. Christmas near z plans. Christmas, I'm

963
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 2: going out. I'm traveling. Actually, my wife and I are

964
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 2: going up to see my parents, who aren't in the

965
00:47:56,600 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 2: best shape health flight. I don't know how many more

966
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 2: Christmases I'll I'll get every year, so I want to

967
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 2: go up and see them. We're not having any big

968
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:08,120
Speaker 2: gatherings or anything. So I'm going up there for Christmas Eve,

969
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 2: flying up and then coming back over the weekend. So

970
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:14,200
Speaker 2: just a short trip. New Year's Eve it's a kind

971
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:17,160
Speaker 2: of amateur night. It's also my anniversary. Got married last

972
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 2: New Year's Eve. Luckily you got in before twenty twenty,

973
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:22,719
Speaker 2: so no big plans. It's amateur night for for the

974
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 2: most part. They'll be college football on so nothing crazy

975
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 2: for New Year's Eve. How about you Christmas and nears months?

976
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, Christmas is going to be pretty pretty quiet,

977
00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 4: no big family get togethers. I got a couple of teenagers.

978
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:38,399
Speaker 4: One of them is getting a first ever PC because

979
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:42,320
Speaker 4: he wants to be a twitch gaming streamer of Fortnite

980
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 4: Call of Duty. I can't wait to get into that world.

981
00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 4: But that's going to be a pretty easy Christmas. Just

982
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 4: a really small group of us. And then on New Year's.

983
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 2: Eve, can be you in Call Duty?

984
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:54,799
Speaker 4: No? No, in Fortnite? Yes, but then if I did

985
00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:56,799
Speaker 4: beat him, he'd probably report me and all that other

986
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,640
Speaker 4: he gets see gets upset when he gets beat. The

987
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:02,880
Speaker 4: life of early teenagers these days. No, so for you

988
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 4: let them.

989
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 2: Win or do you? No?

990
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:05,239
Speaker 5: God?

991
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,480
Speaker 4: No, we played chess like we watched The Queen's Gamut

992
00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 4: on on Netflix and fired up a couple of games

993
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:12,480
Speaker 4: at chess, and I just destroyed my two sons, like

994
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 4: as as a father. I mean sometimes you let them

995
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,000
Speaker 4: have the upper hand when they're like four or five

996
00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 4: and you're like arm wrestling, or if you're wrestling in general,

997
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 4: like you let your kids build their confidence up. But

998
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 4: now that like my oldest is fourteen, I smashed the

999
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 4: shit out of him because you know what, it's a

1000
00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 4: tough world and I need you to be ready. You're

1001
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,200
Speaker 4: not getting any advantages anymore. So for New Year's Eve,

1002
00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:35,320
Speaker 4: we're actually going down to Houston. We're gonna make a

1003
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 4: drive from Oklahoma down to Houston. We have got tickets

1004
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:43,839
Speaker 4: to Woo Pick Suey, Absolute dultter fire.

1005
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:45,560
Speaker 2: Don't fine. I don't know how we win a game

1006
00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 2: the rest of the year. Just blow the program up,

1007
00:49:47,719 --> 00:49:48,800
Speaker 2: give us a death sentence.

1008
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 1: Collins talking Razorback football the Texas Bowl.

1009
00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:56,560
Speaker 4: So crossing my fingers that this doesn't get canceled. We

1010
00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:59,239
Speaker 4: got them pretty close behind the razorback bench. We'll be

1011
00:49:59,239 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 4: there to share on our Razorbacks and the way that

1012
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,800
Speaker 4: the market's looking right now. I'll be pretty heavily invested

1013
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 4: in the Razorbacks. I will have to see if Iran play. Yeah,

1014
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 4: Frank should play, because I think kJ Jefferson might be

1015
00:50:10,040 --> 00:50:12,120
Speaker 4: done for the year, and this will be Frank's probably

1016
00:50:12,239 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 4: last college football game if he doesn't extend his senior season.

1017
00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 4: I don't know why he would with kJ Jefferson, but

1018
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 4: big game for the Razorbacks returned to bowl season for

1019
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:23,600
Speaker 4: us TCU is a very good, high quality team, but

1020
00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:25,759
Speaker 4: I project the game about three points lower than where

1021
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 4: it's at. So I really look forward on New Year's

1022
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 4: Eve to being in in ourg stadium, having my mask

1023
00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:33,800
Speaker 4: on and having safe distance and while my family and

1024
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:37,719
Speaker 4: I get to enjoy our first sporting event since boy

1025
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:39,319
Speaker 4: I can't even think of maybe a Razor but maybe

1026
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 4: a Bud Walton Arena basketball game back in January. I mean,

1027
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:43,560
Speaker 4: it's been a really long time Sin's been to a

1028
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:45,960
Speaker 4: live event, so I'm looking forward to it.

1029
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:50,759
Speaker 2: Sounds good, well, Happy Holidays, Merry Christmas, Happy news to

1030
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 2: you and to everyone listening. Stay safe out there. May

1031
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 2: you have a profitable Christmas weekend. We will be back

1032
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:00,400
Speaker 2: on Don't forget about voicemail. Check out my Twitter at

1033
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:03,760
Speaker 2: Stucky two for the number if you want to uh whatever,

1034
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 2: say anything, bitch cries cream yell. Thanks for listening. We

1035
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:10,480
Speaker 2: will be back on Monday with the bulls for next week.

1036
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,319
Speaker 2: During the week, a lot to get to it. Then

1037
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 2: motivation is really gonna come into play. Opt outs. You're

1038
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:18,000
Speaker 2: gonna get some more of these Power five conferences playing.

1039
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,879
Speaker 2: I look forward to diving into those matchups. Don't forget

1040
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 2: rate review, subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe. You know the drill, tell friend,

1041
00:51:25,600 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 2: tone enemy. Appreciate you guys listening. Looking forward to bringing

1042
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,760
Speaker 2: in some winners into the new year and then throughout

1043
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:35,240
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. Appreciate all of your support. Happy holidays,

1044
00:51:35,239 --> 00:51:36,359
Speaker 2: and we'll catch you all day at cheers.

1045
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 4: Peace out.

1046
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:42,120
Speaker 2: It's them squander time.

1047
00:51:42,840 --> 00:51:48,120
Speaker 3: Get the most squamner cool time, call them more squad

1048
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 3: ful time.

1049
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 2: We're finished talking.