1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Live from our nations. This budget thing is going to 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,040 Speaker 1: do nothing the spaceports. I still think it's interesting President 3 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:09,719 Speaker 1: Trump not playing his cards yet. Headlines Policy and Politics 4 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: colliding to Bloomberg Sound On, The Insiders, the Influencers, the insides. 5 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,439 Speaker 1: I would rather see a congressional solution. It's part of 6 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: my DNA. The Senate map in looks a lot different 7 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: than it looked ins You really have a divide within 8 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: Team Trump. The President has to do exactly what people 9 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: sent him here to do, which is to get it done. 10 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:32,880 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 11 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: nine one one five h D two. John Bolton is 12 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: out President Trump, shocking the belt Way earlier today and 13 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 1: the nation saying that John Bolton, his National security advisor, 14 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: has been ousted after a dispute over negotiating with the Taliban. 15 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: We have this story covered from every which angle, plus 16 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: who's on the shortlist to replace John Bolton and what 17 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: does it mean for foreign Paul let See and Iran elsewhere. 18 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: We're just days away from the third Democratic presidential debate. 19 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: I'm headed's a Houston. Bags aren't pat quite yet, but 20 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 1: we're gonna get a complete preview from Matt Gorman, vice 21 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: president at Target of Victory. Former NRCC communications director Kevin 22 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 1: Schados makes his debut on Bloomberg Radio sound on Democratic strategist, 23 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: managing partner at the Shadows Group and former president of 24 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 1: the d C Young Democrats, and Brett Brewin joins us 25 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: with the latest pertaining to Bolton. President Donald Trump says 26 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: he fired his hawkish national security advisor, John Bolton, after 27 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: disagreeing quote strongly with many of his positions. It's ended 28 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: a tumultuous tenure marked by multiple setbacks in the US 29 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: foreign policy. John Bolton, tweeting out, quote I offered to 30 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: resign last night, and President Trump said, quote let's talk 31 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: about it tomorrow. Well. President Trump tweeting out shortly before 32 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: noon today that he had accepted the resignation of his 33 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: national security advisor, joining us on the telephone line as 34 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: Brett Bruin. He's president of the Global Situation Room and 35 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: former White House Director of Global Engagement. Brett, what does 36 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 1: it mean for US foreign policy that John Bolton is out? 37 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: It's destabilizing, It's dangerous. You want someone at the head 38 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 1: of the National Security Council who one has the relationships 39 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,359 Speaker 1: with all leaders, and they feel like they can give 40 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 1: them a call and sound out ideas or understand what's happening, 41 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: especially this kind of one house. So to go through 42 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 1: three different national security advisors, he's turn of destructive into 43 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: and a half years. So you know, I'm looking through 44 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 1: and just in just the lay of the land. You know, 45 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 1: last week on the program, we have Brian Hook, who's 46 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: the senior advisor to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on 47 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: our program, as has appeared several times. You would think 48 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,400 Speaker 1: that given the news of Bolton's ousting, that someone like 49 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: a Brian Hook his cloud within the administration would grow. 50 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: But I'm also struck because Jason Greenblatt, a longtime adviser 51 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: to President Trump, even dating back to his private citizenship 52 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 1: days on Israel. Jason Greenblatt departing the administration as well. 53 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: We're just a few weeks months away from Jared Kushner's 54 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: on veil of the Middle East Peace Plan. Meanwhile, the 55 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: President's anticipated later this month to head up to the 56 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: United Nations General Assembly meeting of Ron very much on 57 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: the minds of of of the administration. He had a 58 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 1: hardline approach Bolton did, and in addition to Iran, but 59 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: to North Korea, to Venezuela President Nicolas Madoro. So he's 60 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: his departure comes at a time in which there's a 61 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 1: lot of unknowns in US foreign policy. It comes at 62 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: a time when we're heading into the biggest show in 63 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: deploy Macy, the UN General Assembly. This is not the 64 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: moment that you remove your national security advisor. All of 65 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: these meetings with world leaders, they alone beating heads at 66 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: who is this acting national security advisor? How am I 67 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 1: supposed to get through this important message to President Trump, 68 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:23,840 Speaker 1: to his administration. We're gonna miss signals, We're gonna miss opportunities, 69 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 1: and most concerning to me, we are not going to 70 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: have that steady hand at the tiller. There are no 71 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 1: adult left in the situation room. Charlie Kupperman is the 72 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: deputy National Security Advisor. White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham 73 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: saying that Charlie Kupperman will assume Bolton's position on an 74 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: acting basis. Hogan Gidley said that the deputy White House 75 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 1: Press Secretary, so Charlie Kupperman assumes power. We mentioned Secretary Pompeo, 76 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: who had clashed reportedly with with Bolton for quite some time, 77 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: but he's exp did the run for Senate. So, uh, 78 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 1: does this change the calculation for Secretary of Pompeo. Well, 79 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: I think Pompeo is gearing up all indications and my 80 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: sources at the State Department suggests that he's preparing for 81 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: that big run out in camp as even though he 82 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: won't admitted, and he's continuing to use public resources to 83 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 1: do it. But Pompeo is a yes man. You won't 84 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,600 Speaker 1: tell truth to Trump. I think Bolton tried and clearly 85 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: he failed. So who is going to be the person 86 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: that says, Mr President, you cannot buy Greenland. Mr President, 87 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: you cannot invite the Taliban to camp David Bolton was there. 88 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: He was pushed aside on a lot of these decisions. 89 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 1: I fear there's not going to be anyone left to 90 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 1: stand between Trump in a really bad decision. I was struck, 91 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: Bret bruined by the optics that were put out by 92 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: the White House today Treasury Secretary Stephen Manution and Secretary 93 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: of State Mike Pompeo appearing at the White House trying 94 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: to show a unified front. Did it work? Not at all? 95 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: The world is worrying right now. Our national security establishment 96 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 1: is worrying. John Bolton. Well, I may disagree with him 97 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: on a lot of points. Deep trying to institute some discipline, 98 00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: did put in place some policy processes. All of that 99 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: loss now and nobody is sure where we're headed, and 100 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: quite frankly, who is steering the ship. I want to 101 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: play for you a portion of what Secretary of State 102 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 1: Mike Pompeo said at the White House earlier this afternoon. 103 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: He was bombarded by questions from reporters regarding National Security 104 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: Advisor John Bolton. Take a listen. Take a listen to 105 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 1: what Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said about the differences 106 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:53,720 Speaker 1: between himself and John Bolton. Here's the Secretary of State. 107 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 1: There were many times, Ambassador Bolton, I disagree, that's to 108 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: be sure, but that's true for lots of lots of 109 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: people who with whom I interact. So in in layman's terms, 110 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 1: Brett Brewin as the consummate insider on all things foreign 111 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: policy related. What were the main differences between Secretary Pompeo 112 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 1: and John Balton. Well, there's any number of them, ranging 113 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: from most recently Afghanistan, an idea of pringing Taliban leadership 114 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: to Camp David, you go back on issues such as 115 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: a wrong North Korea. Particularly, Bolton was much more of 116 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 1: a hawk. He wasn't willing to sit down with North Korea. 117 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: He said as much in the past. I have to say, 118 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: you know, he did an admirable job of trying to 119 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: subsume those personal views and say, like, I am now 120 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 1: the National Security Advisor and need to speak for the 121 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: president and for our country. The challenge with Pompeo is 122 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 1: this is someone who from his day as the CIA director, 123 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: has never been willing to tell the President of the 124 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 1: United States you can't do that. And that is what 125 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: scares me is Pompeo now is the most experienced foreign 126 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: policy cabinet member and a national security hand. This is 127 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: not somebody who's going to pull Trump back in the brink. 128 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: We'll take a listen, make us to that point. Secretary 129 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: Pompeo was asked about just that, just how how perhaps 130 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: President Trump's foreign policy will change as a result of 131 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: John Bolton's ousting from the administration as National Security Advisor. 132 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: And that's really the big question is with John Bolton 133 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 1: out and not breaking news happening earlier this afternoon. What 134 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: does it mean for the future of US foreign policy? 135 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: Take a listen to what Secretary Pompeo said with regards 136 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: to whether or not there will be a change in 137 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: course for foreign policy in the Trump administration. Here is, 138 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 1: I don't think any leader around the world should make 139 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: any assumption because some one of us at the hearts 140 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: that President Trump's scorn policy will change in a material life. 141 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:09,079 Speaker 1: Do you agree with him? Brett? Not true. I think 142 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 1: what your seam already is signaling out of the White 143 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: House that when it comes to Uranians Trump wants to 144 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: sit down and talk. They'll use Bolton's departure as an 145 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: excuse as a cover to say, look, you know, Bolton 146 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 1: is out. He was the one really driving that hardline policy. 147 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 1: Let's sit down and talk, and Trump desperately needs that 148 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: deal UH piece so the heat can hold it up 149 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: during the elections and say I tid something. Afghanistan has 150 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: UH fall one apart, North Korea is going no where. 151 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: Ron's best bat and Democrats really out in full force 152 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 1: this afternoon, reacting to the news of National Security Advisor 153 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: John Bolton departing. Departing the administration alsting fired. Uh, and 154 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: just to go again over that TikTok time line, Uh, 155 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,960 Speaker 1: John Bolton, will we first get news earlier today, shortly 156 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: before noon via tweet, President Trump says he's accepted the 157 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: resignation of his National Security advisor. John Bolton tweets just 158 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 1: moments after that, saying that he offered his resignation last 159 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: night and the President told him, according to John Bolton's account, 160 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: we'll talk about it tomorrow morning. We then get reporting 161 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 1: from our colleagues on the White House team on the 162 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal that the tipping point was over that meeting 163 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 1: with Taliban leaders that the President canceled Saturday evening. Now 164 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:41,679 Speaker 1: White House publicly pushing back against their any being any 165 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 1: type of final straw, so to speak. But you know, 166 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: you put the timeline together. And that was the latest 167 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 1: development over the weekend when President Trump tweeted out on 168 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: Saturday night that he was not going to be meeting 169 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: with the Taliban leaders on Sunday at Camp David. I 170 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 1: want to thank Ret Bruin. He is the director of 171 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 1: and the president of the Global Situation Room. Coming up, 172 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk more policy and politics. I'm Kevin Serelli, 173 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. You 174 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 1: can download the Bloomberg Sound On podcast on Apple iTunes, 175 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business App. 176 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot Com, I 177 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. You're listening to Bloomberg. You're listening 178 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surreley on Bloomberg and 179 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 1: one oh five point seven F M h D two. 180 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday, folks, It's only Tuesday. I'm Kevin Cereli, chief 181 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 1: Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. We're navigating 182 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: through the geopolitics and the domestic politics. The news today 183 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: dominated by National Security Advisor John Bolton's austing from the administration, 184 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:03,079 Speaker 1: but that has stop the differentiations from occurring on the 185 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: twenty campaign trail. We're now just about two days away 186 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 1: from Thursday Nights third Democratic presidential debate, and here with 187 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,959 Speaker 1: me to give a preview. Matt Gorman, Vice President a 188 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: targeted victory. He's also the former NRCC communications director, and 189 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,880 Speaker 1: Kevin shave It's making his debut on Bloomberg's Sound On 190 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 1: he's a democratic strategist, managing partner at the Shavets Group 191 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: and the former president of the d C Young Democrats. Kevin, 192 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 1: welcome to the program. You've been so patient. I want 193 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:39,679 Speaker 1: to play for you what Senator Bernie Sanders said on 194 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: the campaign trail last night in Colorado, and I want 195 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: to get your response to it, because he's surging in 196 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: the top of the polls, and I want to know 197 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: what contrast he's gonna make in Houston come Thursday. Here, 198 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: Senator Bernie Sanders, take a listen. On the day after 199 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:58,960 Speaker 1: week together are inaugurated. We are gonna have to come 200 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 1: together five millions to tell the corporate elite that they 201 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 1: agreed and corruption is going to end. So when you 202 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 1: listen to Senator Bernie Sanders delivered that type of message, 203 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:17,440 Speaker 1: how is he going to contrast himself. We know he's 204 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 1: going to do it against Biden. How's he going to 205 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:23,040 Speaker 1: do it against Senator Elizabeth Warren. Well, that's the big question, Kevin. 206 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,439 Speaker 1: He's gonna have to at some point draw a distinction 207 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 1: between himself and Senator Warren. So far they both um 208 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: avoided that confrontation. But a lot of her rise has 209 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: come at his expense. As you mentioned, he's still doing 210 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: pretty well. Um A lot of polls have him um 211 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: at worse than third off and in second. But at 212 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: some point he's gonna have to paint himself. I would 213 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 1: think as sort of the original he ran in sixteen. 214 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: He's the one that gets a lot of credit for 215 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,679 Speaker 1: pulling the party more to the left of Can he 216 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 1: sort of harp on that in the debates and and 217 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: cling to his base that got him so close to 218 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 1: winning seen, that'll be his test. Mc gorman. I'm fascinated 219 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 1: by Jennifer Epstein's reporting on the Bloomberg Terminal earlier today 220 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:11,439 Speaker 1: that Joe Biden aims to use debate to question Elizabeth 221 00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 1: Warren's corporate work. Joe Biden plans to argue at this 222 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 1: week's debate that all presidential candidates, including the incumbent, must 223 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 1: be transparent about their finances and any business dealings in 224 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 1: the past. According to a Biden advisor, on the condition 225 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 1: of an amenity, this could be availed attack on Elizabeth Warrant. 226 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: I don't know, there's something in me. According to my reporting, 227 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren wants to have that debate all day long. Yeah, 228 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 1: A couple of things to begin with, I never understand 229 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: I did rap response from it in on on his 230 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: debates primary in general, worked with Jeb on his and sixteen. 231 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 1: I never understood previewing the attack before debate. Kamala's attack 232 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 1: on Joe Biden busting worked so well because he was 233 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: so taken it back by it. As you saw what 234 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: happened with Kerson, Jilla Brand and Biden. When he's ready, 235 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 1: When somebody's ready for attack, you can bet darn sure 236 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 1: that Elizabeth Warren is going over this in debate prep 237 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: as we speak. So I never understood telegraphing your punch beforehand. Um, 238 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: but look, I don't even know if this is the 239 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 1: right punch though. Well it's hard, right because Elizabeth Warren 240 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: doesn't have many vulnerabilities on this front, especially with Joe Biden. 241 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: Right burns a different story, but when it comes to 242 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, he doesn't have much to hit. But this 243 00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: is a broader problem for Democrats because Warren is undoubtedly 244 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: rising the polls, her trajectory is ascending. How do you 245 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: bring her down? You need to find something to latch onto, 246 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: and for Biden, you know, telegraphing the Societe it's gonna 247 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: be tough to do. Cap shave It's Democratic strategist, managing 248 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 1: partner at the shave It's Group, and former president of 249 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: the DC Young Democrats. I mean, it kind of reminds 250 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:48,920 Speaker 1: me back when Obama was debating Hillary towards the end 251 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 1: of the O eight Remember that, like there can only 252 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: be one and it was the whole like NBA thing. 253 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: Remember that. Uh, but it reminds me of how every 254 00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: time the Clinton campaign in o Wait tried to drap 255 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: all a sharper contrast with Obama, he would just say 256 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: see that, Uh, they're going negative again and that I 257 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 1: feel like, if you're Elizabeth Warren, You're just gonna say, 258 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 1: see that the corporate democrat from Delaware is is is 259 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 1: trying to make me out to me and to be 260 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 1: the Wall Street Demaican. I don't know, it just it 261 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 1: just feels like there might be another attack that that 262 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 1: would work better. I don't know. Well, they they're gonna 263 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: have to find a way to do it. But I 264 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: do think there are some differences between her and Barack Obama, 265 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 1: right because he was a lot unknown um she became 266 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 1: a Democrat I believe at age forty seven, So I 267 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: would think someone could bring that up and say, you know, 268 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: what you're doing in the eighties and nineties, that's why 269 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: people don't know that Elizabeth Warren was a Republican MC woman. 270 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 1: How does that make you feel as a Republican strategist, 271 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 1: that Elizabeth Warren once was a Republican hard you know, confused, weary, 272 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 1: you know, come back, Elizabeth, come back please. I'm gonna 273 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 1: leave it there. Coming up. We're gonna do what's on 274 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: the panel's radar. But that's a great, you know, come 275 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 1: back that could be. That could be the Republican rapid 276 00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:05,680 Speaker 1: response for the future mcwarman's days. Kevin Shaved stays, it's 277 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: only Tuesday, folks, chin up. Download the Bloomberg Sound On 278 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 1: podcast on Apple, it tunes, at Bloomberg dot com, or 279 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. You can also find 280 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 1: me on Radio dot com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. 281 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg Television and 282 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg 283 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: Sound On with Kevin Sirel on Bloomberg and one oh 284 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: five point seven f M. H D two. I'm Kevin Cirelli, 285 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio. Happy Tuesday, folks, 286 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 1: We've got special coverage on Thursday night in Houston, Houston, 287 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: Texas for the third Democratic presidential debate, the first time 288 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders will share the debate stage 289 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 1: with the front runner, former Vice President Joe Biden. In 290 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: many ways, it's really become a three way race, and 291 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 1: the others are jockeying for a position, trying to carve 292 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 1: out another centrist lane, the centrist alternative to Joe Biden. 293 00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 1: Con Senator Kamala Harris, the Democrat from California bounce back, 294 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 1: Will South Ben Mayor Pete Buddha g Edge continue his assent, 295 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:22,159 Speaker 1: or Senator Corey Booker, and who will drop out? After 296 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 1: all of that, I was struck by the way of 297 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,760 Speaker 1: Andrew Yank. Hey, I don't take positions. I'm just a reporter. 298 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 1: But Andrew Yank tweeted out on Sunday that he doesn't 299 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: like the New England Patriots. I thought, hey, I agree 300 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: with them. There with me here. Matt Gorman, vice president 301 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 1: at Targeted Victory, former NRCC communications director Kevin Shavits. He's 302 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:42,639 Speaker 1: a democratic strategist, managing partner at the Shavetz Group, and 303 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 1: former president of the d C Young Democrats. All right, 304 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 1: let's just do this quickly, predictions who's gonna win Thursday's debate. 305 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 1: We'll do this to Marrow too, But who's gonna win 306 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:58,399 Speaker 1: Thursday's debate? Elizabeth Warren really do? Yeah, Biden's attack and 307 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: here's gonna fall flat. She's gonna rally the rooms and 308 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: attacked herself to Bernie, just like Ted Cruise Day with 309 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 1: Donald Trump in sixteen. I don't think if I don't 310 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: my prediction, I don't think Senator Elizabeth Warren's going to engage, 311 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,439 Speaker 1: which is gonna hander the victory. I think she's just 312 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,640 Speaker 1: gonna not engage on because that's how she's always been. 313 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 1: Even back in in Massachusetts against Scott Brown. She never 314 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 1: would engage. She just would She's so on message. Kevin, 315 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,360 Speaker 1: what here you think gonna women? Well? I think that 316 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 1: Senator Kamala Harris has the most to gain and lose. 317 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 1: It seems like her debate performances have even either caused 318 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 1: her to sort of launch and take off, or in 319 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,360 Speaker 1: the last debase she kind of fell flat. I think 320 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 1: she may try to take on Warren, maybe Bernie. It'll 321 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 1: be the first time they're all on the same stage, 322 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,239 Speaker 1: so I'm interested to see how she does. All Right, 323 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna do this. This is one of my favorite 324 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 1: parts of the program What's on Your Radar, where we 325 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,880 Speaker 1: dive into some stories of the day that otherwise might 326 00:19:55,960 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 1: not have gotten as much attention as potentially the lead 327 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 1: they observe. I'm gonna stop. I'm gonna this definitely didn't 328 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 1: get attention today because of the John Balton news. But 329 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 1: I was literally up in Dirkson, you know, Senate Dirkson, 330 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: and on the fifth floor outside of the Senate Banking 331 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 1: room two Cabinet secretaries Secretary Manution and Treasury Ben Carson 332 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: of Hood and they're testifying. Mark Collaborate is there too, 333 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: and they're testifying about this new Fannie Freddie proposal. Did 334 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 1: you guys hear about this this gay blank and you'll 335 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: miss it. So the administration came out a couple of 336 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 1: days ago, I believe Monday is when it was formally 337 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 1: unfailed about their plan to to reprivatize, reprivatize uh Fannie 338 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 1: and Freddy. Remember after the two thousand and eight economic collapse. 339 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:48,240 Speaker 1: The Bush administration tail end w Bush administration. They put 340 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,399 Speaker 1: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack in a conservatorship because they 341 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 1: totally wrecked the economy. So they've been in this conservatorship 342 00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 1: for more than a decade now and they've turned to profit. 343 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:01,439 Speaker 1: So what the Trump adminished ration and Republicans want to 344 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 1: do is put it back in the private sector. Secretary 345 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 1: Monutions set on CNBC earlier today that he would make 346 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,679 Speaker 1: money of the hedge fund companies because hedge fund companies 347 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 1: is gonna be a moon for investment. It would reopen 348 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: competition in the mortgage industry. They do like the considerable 349 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,160 Speaker 1: mortgage backing in the US. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack, 350 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,640 Speaker 1: and so they were up there testifying on Capitol Hill. 351 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 1: Democrats don't like it. They say that it's going to 352 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 1: be it's gonna be a disadvantage to low income earners 353 00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:35,359 Speaker 1: and and the like. Uh and Republicans are saying, hey, 354 00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: you know, taxpayer shouldn't shouldn't be on the hook for 355 00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:40,359 Speaker 1: for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I know it's not 356 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 1: gonna get anywhere, but if you're in the real estate market, 357 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,359 Speaker 1: this is this is huge news, right, I think so. 358 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: And and look it's one of those interesting parts where 359 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 1: Trump ran as a populist. It's not very populous what 360 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:53,960 Speaker 1: he's doing right now and so these but you're right, 361 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 1: like no one's talking about it. And you know, I 362 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 1: think now one of these things is a lot of 363 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 1: the the memories have faded from this financial crisis um 364 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 1: that was over ten years ago, as you said, so, 365 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see more of this now start 366 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 1: seeping in where things are starting eating back to pre 367 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 1: oh seven level. And just to be careful here, no 368 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:19,200 Speaker 1: economist is predicting that the slowdown or the potential looming 369 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:21,640 Speaker 1: recession in the next fifteen to eighteen months is going 370 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 1: to be nearly as horrible as the two thousand and 371 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:31,200 Speaker 1: eight collapse of the Great Recession. You know, this is cyclical, 372 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: we go through ebbs and flows in the economy. But 373 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,640 Speaker 1: that said, I mean, uh keV to to to Gorman's 374 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 1: point here, I mean the the populous rhetoric, whether it's 375 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack maybe a bit too in 376 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 1: the weeds, but the recession looming is definitely now in 377 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:50,560 Speaker 1: the political zeitgeist. On the main stage. Now, yeah, absolutely, 378 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,679 Speaker 1: And I think President Trump will do whatever you can 379 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 1: to make sure that at least for the next you know, 380 00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: year and a half, that we don't fall into recession, 381 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,200 Speaker 1: or that he can at least still claim that the 382 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 1: economy is very strong. So doing things to take us 383 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 1: back to pre two thousand seven sort of status would 384 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 1: help him make that argument to say, hey, we're strong. 385 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 1: We're going back to where we were when the economy 386 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: was doing well or at least pre um great recession. 387 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 1: And for the record, Treasury Secretary of Venution, he was gaggling, 388 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 1: as it's known in the in the biz, in Dirks 389 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 1: and Hallway. So we're all out there the hearing, you know, 390 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 1: trying to interview. Meanwhile, Trump's tweeting about firing Bolton. Story 391 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 1: of my life and like the past four years, Trumps 392 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 1: tweeting on one thing, and you can't cover the story 393 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 1: you were assigned to cover. Um uh. And he says 394 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 1: that they might actually appeal a case to the Supreme 395 00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:40,000 Speaker 1: Court with regards to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack, and 396 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 1: he might even appeal it all the way to the 397 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 1: Supreme Court. So I think we're gonna be talking housing. 398 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 1: Is there a housing bubble? Is there not a housing bubble? 399 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: That's what's all my radar. Uh, keV, what's on your radar? Uh? Well, 400 00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,240 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be interesting to see what happens 401 00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 1: with the gun control. Yes, yes, great one. As we 402 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 1: know we've seen, UM, we've had some unfortunate mass shootings 403 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 1: that have occurred a couple on the last month or so, 404 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 1: and Donald Trump, after those shootings, came out and said 405 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:08,160 Speaker 1: that he was in support of maybe expanding background checks. Um. 406 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: He didn't seem as warm on the assault rifle band, 407 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: but definitely on background checks. But now he's trying to 408 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: pivot and make it about mental health and saying he 409 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: wants to increase access to mental health resources for those 410 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:25,239 Speaker 1: who maybe UM at risk or sort of people who 411 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 1: could commit these types of acts. But as we've seen 412 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 1: in recent polling, three fourths of the country UM support 413 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:34,400 Speaker 1: some type of expanded background checks. So I think it'll 414 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,480 Speaker 1: be interesting to see how this how this plays out. Um, 415 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 1: we have the Northnline special election, which I know Matt's 416 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:43,400 Speaker 1: gonna talk about, UM, where that issue will got out 417 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:48,440 Speaker 1: ahead there. Uh. But if you know that the Senate 418 00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 1: Democrats have come out and said they're gonna force this 419 00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,880 Speaker 1: bill again to Trump's desk. Just yeah, just to bring 420 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,680 Speaker 1: folks up to speed. I mean, lawmakers returning from congressional 421 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 1: recess on Monday, uh and Democrats out with full force, 422 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 1: want to see gun control, gun legislation, gun reforms somehow 423 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,640 Speaker 1: addressed over the next month or so. We were talking 424 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 1: about this yesterday. Just the calendar, the calendar and the 425 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:14,120 Speaker 1: clock on the Senate and the House floor is so tight. 426 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: Time is so precious, especially they gotta get those spending 427 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,200 Speaker 1: bills and whatnot passed. But Jeff Merkley, to your point, 428 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: Kevin Schaffe's Democratic strategist, Senator Jeff Merkley, the Democrat from Oregon, 429 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:27,680 Speaker 1: he was talking about gun control on Capitol Hill earlier today. 430 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,159 Speaker 1: Take a listen to what he said. President gets one 431 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 1: phone call from the n r A and his strong 432 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:40,200 Speaker 1: wildy collapses, his spine collapses, and meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader 433 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 1: Mitch McConnell, calling all of the Democratic rhetoric quote unquote, theatrics. 434 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 1: Take a listen to Leader McConnell. Here's the Senate Majority leader. 435 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:53,720 Speaker 1: They are working on coming up with a proposal that 436 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 1: the President will sign until that happens. All of this 437 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: is the tricks MacMan suburban nite Republicans. This is a 438 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:08,200 Speaker 1: this is a Is this a winning independence even in suburbs? 439 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: Is this a winning issue for Democrats? It's an issue 440 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,879 Speaker 1: that Republicans need to show movement on. I'll speak from 441 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:16,240 Speaker 1: experience here. The largest dip at the NRCC when I 442 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,439 Speaker 1: was there last cycle in terms of the generic ballots 443 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 1: so blind our versus de polling was right after Parkland, 444 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 1: and that was the worst of the cycle by far. 445 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:28,639 Speaker 1: We saw negative sixteen, negative eighteen for Republicans um generic 446 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:33,359 Speaker 1: ballot deficits, and that incident, it wasn't the number one 447 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: issue amongst suburban voters, say places like outside of Houston, 448 00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,680 Speaker 1: you know North Virginia, pockets in North in New Jersey 449 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 1: and New York. However, skyrocketed from being maybe a non 450 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 1: issue to in the top three, especially among women. So 451 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 1: this is something Republicans need to show at least movement on. 452 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,159 Speaker 1: So how do they move I mean, how how do 453 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,080 Speaker 1: Republicans do that? Especially in the bourbs. Here's the biggest 454 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:57,040 Speaker 1: thing again, President Trump needs to tell Congress what he 455 00:26:57,119 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 1: will sign and exactly here's the problem. No matter what 456 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 1: I don't believe Democrats will go for it. I think 457 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 1: they don't want they'll they will say it's too timid, 458 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: they won't want to give. Republicans don't win on this. 459 00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: That's again, even if Republicans move on this, which I 460 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,680 Speaker 1: believe they need to. So I don't see much getting 461 00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,000 Speaker 1: done on this. I just almost feel that it's such 462 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,600 Speaker 1: a complex issue. And I mean it's simple in the 463 00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:25,840 Speaker 1: sense that these mass shooting shouldn't happen. But the complexities 464 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: of the Second Amendment debate that is being had in 465 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 1: the cities versus in rural America are two they're not 466 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,879 Speaker 1: even remotely the same debate. Two points. The n r 467 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,240 Speaker 1: A has never been as week politically as it is right. 468 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 1: Rough summer, a rough summer. And in what was so 469 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: interesting was Republicans members in Congress who were so taken 470 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:48,119 Speaker 1: off off guard by this having this debate because they 471 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 1: never had to talk about it in ten years. Right. 472 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 1: Democrats in their hand got emboldened by park on another incidents, 473 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,200 Speaker 1: so they were totally an offense with this, and it 474 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,879 Speaker 1: was a very interesting dynamic, one that hasn't been around 475 00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 1: since ninety four. All right, mac Gorman, what's on your radar, 476 00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,320 Speaker 1: But just as a disclaimer, I do want to note 477 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 1: that Michael Bloomberg is the founder and majority owner of 478 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:12,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg lp UH, and he is founded 479 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: and helps fund every Town for Gun Safety, and nonprofit 480 00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:19,240 Speaker 1: that advocates for universal background checks and other gun violence 481 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,320 Speaker 1: prevention measures. Just want to make sure we have that disclaimer. 482 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 1: What's on your radar? I don't know if you guys 483 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 1: know this, but is still happening right now. It's in 484 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:30,119 Speaker 1: North Carolina nine, the ninth district. There is a revote 485 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 1: a quote unquote special election going on tonight. UH. It is, 486 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: according to folks in both parties, extremely tight. It's among 487 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,760 Speaker 1: Dan McCready and a Republican named Dan Bishop. UM. I 488 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: think it's gonna tell us a lot about where things 489 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 1: are headed right now. It's a nice gut check in 490 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: the middle of nineteen one thing I'm watching right now, 491 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 1: especially Mecklenburg County. So this ninth districts right outside the 492 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 1: Charlotte suburbs. Mecklenburg County is really the true suburbs of this. UM. 493 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 1: You know, we'll see what happens in the broader a strict, 494 00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,800 Speaker 1: but I think we're a Republican, the Harbor's devote in 495 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: that county. I'm um, I think so. And we're seeing 496 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 1: the way the candidates are discussing the race. It certainly 497 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,920 Speaker 1: is obvious that they're making it a bell weather. I mean, 498 00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 1: Dan Bishop has said that he'll go to Congress and 499 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:21,480 Speaker 1: he'll defend Donald Trump very earnestly. Uh dam McCready sort 500 00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 1: of positioning himself as a younger, fresh face, sort of 501 00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: m guy, never been in public office, and you know, 502 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: we'll bring fresh ideas. Uh. I know. Trump has tried 503 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 1: to say that it won't be sort of a bell 504 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,520 Speaker 1: weather or it's not. Um, it's not. It won't pass 505 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 1: judgment on his chances in but I think it will 506 00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 1: because it's Matt alluded to. The um dynamics in Charlotte 507 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 1: are very much like other suburbs in the country. All Right, 508 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 1: I want to thank our panel. I'm Kevin Ceili, Chef Washington, 509 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 1: correspondent from Bloomberg Television of Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to 510 00:29:51,400 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg when I love Last