1 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: Welcome and everybody to Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is the 2 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. 3 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:13,399 Speaker 2: It is Joey p and with me, of course, is 4 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 2: the Welsh, and it's you hanging out here talking baseball. 5 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 2: We just did our all Sleeper Team. Now it's time 6 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 2: for the All Breakout Team. And that is a very 7 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 2: tricky word because everyone has different definitions of breakout performers. 8 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 2: Just because you're a rookie doesn't make you a breakout 9 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 2: performer for me. So I'm gonna give you my definition 10 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 2: and then the Welsh can give you his. 11 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: My definition is the. 12 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: Player who's going to take his game to the next 13 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: level this season, is going to make a huge fantasy 14 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: impact this season. Sleepers can make minimal impacts, but overall 15 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 2: end up helping you make the playoffs in a league 16 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 2: or even win a league. I'm talking about guys that 17 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 2: are going to give you potential six months of great production, 18 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: Guys who can take your team to the next level. 19 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 2: And I think what's so interesting about some of the 20 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: names on this list. Not only are we going to 21 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 2: probably have some overlap Welsh, but we're also going to 22 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 2: have some rookies, some post type guys, and also some 23 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 2: players that might have been kicking around for a couple 24 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: of years that we think are ready to take the 25 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 2: next step. So breakout really is in the eye of 26 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: the beholder. But that's basically my definition. The players that 27 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 2: are going to up their game significantly and therefore make 28 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 2: huge impacts on fantasy rosters. Welsh, how would you define 29 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 2: breakout candidates? 30 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I think you said it really well, the 31 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 3: guy that's ready to take the next step. I think 32 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 3: the thing that just gets taken away from the breakouts 33 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 3: are obviously players that have had big seasons before. Like 34 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 3: there could be a guy that's had big seasons and 35 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 3: maybe they're ADP is low, but like maybe they just 36 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 3: had the breakout. And like by technical definition, if we're 37 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 3: saying they're going to take a next step, maybe they 38 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 3: are going to take another step, but they've already broken 39 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 3: out before. I might take out those players. Prime examples 40 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 3: would be like Victor Roblists. You know, Victor Robless is 41 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 3: coming off of a really good season. I'm not sure 42 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 3: I would identify him as like a breakout player. Bobachhett 43 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 3: would be another one of those. I think Bobachett is undervalued, 44 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 3: but and I do think he's going to bounce back 45 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 3: from last year, so he's a bounce back candidate, but 46 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 3: he's not like a breakout because he's had big seasons before. 47 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: Mine was Lawrence Butler, where I thought he had a 48 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: really good year last year or really great stretch last year. 49 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: But he's being drafted already. I think a little, you know, 50 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 2: so highly he already he's already a twenty twenty player basically, 51 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 2: like that's already a pretty good player, already established player. 52 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,679 Speaker 1: I think there's another gear. He could be a little. 53 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 3: Bit morext step. Yeah, same like James Wood is one. 54 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,359 Speaker 3: I kind of struggled with James Wood because, like James 55 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 3: Wood didn't have much of a season last year, but 56 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,359 Speaker 3: like he's already priced at a level that is kind 57 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 3: of dictating his production. So like I didn't put him 58 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 3: as a breakout even though like I think he's going 59 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 3: to have like a bigger season and maybe he does 60 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 3: beat that like rank and ADP a little bit, it 61 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 3: just didn't fit that qualification of a guy that's, like 62 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 3: you said, ready to take a next step from a 63 00:02:58,040 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 3: tier of their value. 64 00:02:59,600 --> 00:02:59,799 Speaker 1: Eight. 65 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 3: He maybe plays our valuation of rank plays a little 66 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 3: bit of a role in this as well, because you 67 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 3: look at a player and you're like, well, not only 68 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 3: is this guy going to like have a big bounce 69 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:12,639 Speaker 3: on his season, it's going to like completely alter that 70 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 3: that value of where he's being drafted. So I think 71 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 3: you said it best. It's and I took the same 72 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 3: kind of approach as you. It's guys that are gonna 73 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 3: take a bigger step, that next big step into a 74 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 3: tear change of their fantasy value. 75 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 1: Yeah. 76 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 2: And I think that you're gonna see here as the 77 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: ADP with some of those guys like Wood and Butler 78 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 2: that we were discussing, it's already baked in that they 79 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 2: are going to perform at a certain level. I feel 80 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 2: like the guys we're going to talk about, it's not 81 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 2: a sure thing that they're gonna perform at a certain level. 82 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 2: And I think that's what makes these guys so intriguing. Yeah, 83 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: all right, let's get to the names on the list 84 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 2: before we do. You like free stuff because we like 85 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 2: giving it away. We've got a John Smolt autograph jersey 86 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 2: that we're gonna be giving away very soon here on 87 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 2: the channel. 88 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 1: That's right. 89 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 2: The Braves own John Smolt and the Little Saint. 90 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: Louis Cardinal too. 91 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 2: If memory serves Pristineauction dot com, that's where the smallest 92 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 2: jersey is from the Hall of Famer autographed it himself 93 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 2: and it can be yours. All you have to do 94 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 2: is subscribe to Fancy Rose mlb our YouTube channel right now, 95 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 2: drop a comment below tell us who your favorite breakout 96 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: player is of twenty twenty five. And just like that 97 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 2: poof you might have this John Smoltz jersey on its 98 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:17,479 Speaker 2: way to you. Don't forget to ring the bell for 99 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: notifications till it goes ding, so you know, every time 100 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: a piece of content drops here on the channel and 101 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 2: we can notify you that you're the big winner of 102 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 2: the John Smoltz jersey. And for the record, everybody, we're 103 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: trying to get to twenty five thousand before opening day. 104 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 2: We're getting very close. 105 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: We can do it. Subscribe to Fancer Rowse MLB. Go ahead, Welsh. 106 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 3: I was gonna say, you know, it's funny enough. Let's 107 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 3: see if I can move my shoulder right over. 108 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 1: Oh, don't hurt yourself. 109 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I know you're older now, yeah, yeah, finger, I 110 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 2: just see a lot of balls on your shoulder, this one. 111 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 3: This one right here. See that one. Yeah, that is 112 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 3: John Smoltz. I actually I was randomly at a spring 113 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 3: training game when he was doing the MLB broadcast and 114 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 3: he was like on the outfield doing a broadcast, and 115 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 3: I was like, oh my god, that's John Smoltz. Went 116 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 3: and got a ball in like a black I know, 117 00:05:01,080 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 3: and went right up. When he was done, he came 118 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 3: out and signed for people, and that was the Met 119 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 3: John Smoltz one time. And I have that's like a 120 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 3: little like Hall of Fame ball right back there, John Smoltz. 121 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: There you go. 122 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 2: I could describe for the audio audience what you're doing 123 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 2: to that ball, but I'm not. 124 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 3: Yeah. I was like, I'm like, yeah, the fingers. 125 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 1: And the thumbs and the gesturing. This is why it 126 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: wasn't great. 127 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:23,839 Speaker 3: It wasn't great if John. 128 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 2: Smoltz one of my all time favorite pitchers. You know, 129 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,279 Speaker 2: even as a Met fan, I love John Smoltz. Like 130 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 2: that guy's just a frickin animal. All right, Hopefully some 131 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 2: of these guys will be animals. Catcher on my list 132 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 2: going as the eighth catcher one forty nine off the board, 133 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 2: Shane Langeleiers. I love where he's hitting in this lineup. 134 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 2: That's what it comes down for me when and I 135 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 2: think that lineup placement is so important. I talked about 136 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 2: it on the Sleeper Show too, for guys to be 137 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 2: productive in fantasy. We don't discuss it enough. So I'm 138 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 2: going to keep discussing it till you know everyone's sick 139 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 2: of me. And you know we just started the season, 140 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 2: so we're early. He's didn't clean up in this lineup. 141 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 2: Ahead of him is Butler Rooker bla Eday. I love 142 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 2: this situation for him, This is great, This is RBI 143 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 2: Central for him. You don't always got big time power already. 144 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: I love the change in ballpark. Everybody knows the Athletics 145 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,720 Speaker 2: the Nationals. Those are my two sleeper teams this year 146 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 2: that I think are be really pesky to annoying. So 147 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 2: Leangliers is my guy. I believe he is going to 148 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: take a big step forward, make an impact and be 149 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 2: a breakout player this season. Good cost to a catcher, Well, 150 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 2: Shoo's your catcher on your all breakout team. 151 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 3: Well, he's also on my target team. The targeting him 152 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 3: because I think he's going to break out. It is 153 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,800 Speaker 3: Austin Wells with the New York Yankees. Who is the 154 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 3: thirteenth catcher right around two to h eight. As far 155 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 3: as Fantasy Pros ADP, you guys want to go check 156 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 3: out the ADP. Go to Fantasy Pros. You can check 157 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 3: on all the tabs from Draft Rankings Dynasty. You can 158 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 3: also check ADP which has a nice aggregate ADP of sites, 159 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 3: and you can even mess around and kind of readjust them. Okay, 160 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:53,799 Speaker 3: So Austin Wells going outside of the top twelve catchers 161 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 3: thirteen homers last season two twenty nine average wasn't great, 162 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 3: really really struggled against lefties, which is going to have 163 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 3: to be fixed. This year, he hit sub two hundred 164 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 3: two thirty six. All of his homers came against righties. 165 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 3: But positively this spring he's hitting three fifty five. He's 166 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 3: already hit three homers in in spring training. Half of 167 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 3: his hits have essentially been extra base hits, and they're 168 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 3: also committing to him. That's the big thing is Travino 169 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 3: is out there committing to Austin Wells being the guy, 170 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 3: and he is a big home run hitter. It's just 171 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 3: he's got to tap into and that has been the problem. 172 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 3: Strikeout rate hasn't been an issue twenty one percent he 173 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,679 Speaker 3: walks double digit percentage of the time. It's just making 174 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 3: consistent contact around a nine percent barrel rate. If he 175 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 3: can bear a little bit more, he can hit stuff 176 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 3: quite a bit harder, and he's got to hit fastballs better, 177 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 3: all things that I think can happen in a hitter 178 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 3: friendly environment. So listen. If you know projections work out 179 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 3: and he beats expectations on it, you're probably looking at 180 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 3: a twenty plus home run hitter at catcher in the 181 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 3: Yankee Stadium. So I'm a big buye. I think Austin 182 00:07:57,480 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 3: Wells is going to take that next step. I think 183 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 3: he can push into being like a top seven fantasy 184 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 3: catcher this season. There's a couple guys that's going to 185 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 3: be hard to beat, but Austin Wells is not only 186 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 3: like a big you know, all target Welsh team, but 187 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 3: I think he is going to take that next step, 188 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 3: and he's my breakout pick for catcher. 189 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 2: All right, well, she give me your first basement on 190 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 2: on your all breakout squad. 191 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 3: Oh man, I talk about this guy a lot. 192 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: I do. 193 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 3: I really hope he does work out because it's just good. 194 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 3: I mean, I'll just sweep it under the rug. But 195 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 3: I talked a lot about Michael Tolia, and Michael Tolly 196 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 3: is my pick here. He is the nineteenth first baseman. 197 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 3: This isn't the all sleeper team, this is the breakout 198 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 3: and at one seventy four overall, I really do think 199 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 3: Michael Tolia is just batting average away from being massively 200 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 3: fantasy relevant. And if you look at his stats, if 201 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,079 Speaker 3: you could have put a two to fifty average on 202 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 3: his counting stats, everyone would be excited about him. Because 203 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 3: he hit twenty five homers last year. He stole ten bases. 204 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 3: This is a big six foot five like two hundred 205 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 3: and forty pounds first baseman, but he hit two eighteen. 206 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 3: His expected batting average, though, was two four four. He 207 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 3: also had some of the highest barrel percentages in the 208 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 3: league at seventeen percent and some of the best hard 209 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,319 Speaker 3: hit numbers at fifty percent. Love it. He also walked 210 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 3: almost twelve percent of the time, So it's the downside. 211 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 3: He strikes out and that has really hurt him getting 212 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 3: into contact. But expected stats do tell us a story 213 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:20,840 Speaker 3: where he's a better hitter. He's hitting in Colorado, which 214 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 3: is obviously and most blatantly a phenomenal ballpark to be 215 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 3: hitting in and just an environment to be in it. 216 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 3: But he also doesn't have extreme extreme splits. Brenton Doyle 217 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 3: has extreme splits. Hit three hundred at home, two hundred 218 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 3: on the road, totally has got about a thirty batting 219 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 3: average difference between home and road. So I'm hoping he 220 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 3: can hone some of that in. He can take that 221 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 3: good into the season where he hit two thirty five 222 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 3: on the second half of the season, tap into that 223 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 3: power and be a thirty to thirty five home run guy. 224 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 3: So he is my breakout first baseman at what did 225 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 3: I say, first baseman nineteen on the list. 226 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, it's still out of upside Colorado. Its power, 227 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,199 Speaker 2: I mean in points leagues where I play, where you 228 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 2: get those strikeouts kind of a gainst you. It's a 229 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 2: little bit more of a dicey investment, I think, But 230 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 2: you know, season long rodo you're looking for power. That's 231 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 2: a guy I like power at first Place too, Welsh, 232 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 2: and I like a guy in testing Costas who hasn't 233 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 2: quite had his breakout yet. Cossas, I feel like, is 234 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 2: a player that almost in some circles. You know, last 235 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,719 Speaker 2: year it's a lot of frustrations and a lot of expectations, 236 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,439 Speaker 2: and that's kind of the kind of a theme of 237 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 2: some of these players on this list. But Costas is 238 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:29,199 Speaker 2: going as the one hundred and fifth player overall right now, 239 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 2: and two years ago he played one hundred and thirty 240 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 2: two games, not quite a full season, twenty four homers, 241 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 2: sixty five sixty five right, so he's kind of in 242 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 2: that mold. Now we're in a situation where I think 243 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 2: the team around him in twenty twenty five is going 244 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: to be really the best one he's played with offensively. 245 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 2: I think that's a big positive. The power we know 246 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,439 Speaker 2: is for real. It's just a matter of now playing 247 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,960 Speaker 2: every single day, being healthy and getting those at bats in. 248 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 2: You see some of the names that are you know, 249 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 2: coming up through this system too. We're gonna talk about 250 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 2: some of them, so I don't want to talk about 251 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 2: him yet, but it's very exciting to think of the 252 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 2: athleticism that this club's going to have when you have 253 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 2: Jared Durant already there and all these other pieces we're bringing. 254 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 2: Raphaeld Devers' health is still something that I'm a little 255 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 2: concerned with here. It's been a slow spring for Rafaeld Devers, 256 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,319 Speaker 2: which might be the right call. But when you're looking 257 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,719 Speaker 2: at Cassas, you're looking at a big left handed bat 258 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 2: that's going to hit a ton of home runs in 259 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 2: that ballpark. He's going to play Yankee Stadium too. They 260 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 2: made adjustments to the ballpark in Baltimore, all favorable hitting 261 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,680 Speaker 2: environments for him. And now also, you know you don't 262 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 2: have to go to Tampa Bay to play those games either. 263 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 2: Now all of a sudden they're in the East. You're 264 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 2: playing outside there too, so different situation for him. I 265 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 2: think health is the most important thing. He feels like, 266 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 2: you know, going into the season, he is ready to go. Now, 267 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,200 Speaker 2: if he plays one hundred and fifty five games this year, 268 00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 2: I think Cosa is going to hit thirty plus home 269 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,320 Speaker 2: runs and that would be the big breakout, right being 270 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 2: a twenty home run guys. One thing the upsides there 271 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 2: Welsh for thirty five And that's why to me he's 272 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 2: a breakout contender because there's a world where there's Red 273 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 2: Sox lineup really takes off and the Bregman addition is 274 00:11:58,480 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 2: a huge help, and all of a sudden, next thing, 275 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:01,719 Speaker 2: the Red Sox win the East, and I think the 276 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 2: Yankees right now are looking really shaky. You lose Cole, 277 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 2: you lose Heel, you lose Schmidt. I mean, what this 278 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 2: rotation is gonna look like. I don't know by the 279 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,840 Speaker 2: time we get to June. But at this point I 280 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 2: know Cookie carrasco I saw I was gonna be making 281 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 2: starts for them. Yikes, let's not go into that anymore. 282 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the second basement on my 283 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 2: list here, and it's another post type kind of dude. 284 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 2: It's Jackson Holiday, friend of the show. He was just 285 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 2: a boy last year. What were we doing? 286 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 1: Uh? 287 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 2: I know I had reservations about Jackson Holiday Welsh. I 288 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 2: don't remember where you stood on him. 289 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 3: I never had reservations. 290 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 2: I was. 291 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 3: I was yeah, just also because like he was just 292 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:45,040 Speaker 3: this amazing hitter in the minor leagues. Apparently we needed 293 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:49,199 Speaker 3: to see some like only against aggressive upper level breaking 294 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 3: pitches data, but like he hit for average, he had 295 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 3: high OBP, homer, stolen bases, made really great decisions. Like 296 00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 3: I was all in and I was all wrong. 297 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: I was not all in on Holiday last year. 298 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 2: And you remember, like we had some conversations where I 299 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 2: was like, look, you know, I love the player. I'm 300 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 2: just I think people are being too aggressive. Well now 301 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 2: they're being too late. They're not being aggressive. He's the 302 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty fourth player. 303 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: Now. 304 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 2: Look, he was one hundred and ninety something about two 305 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 2: weeks ago. Now he's won eighty four. Oh wow, he's 306 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 2: the sixteen second baseman going off the board. He's made 307 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:23,839 Speaker 2: this adjustment to getting rid of the leg kick, going 308 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 2: with that toe tap show al Tani Style watched some 309 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 2: clips about that on MLB Network too, and you could 310 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 2: see it's paying off too. Like he looks good. I've 311 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 2: gone out of my way to see Jackson Holiday at 312 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 2: bats this spring, and I just like the approach so far, 313 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 2: three fourteen batting average, three eighty five OBP eight seventy ops. 314 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:42,680 Speaker 2: He has a homer, a double, a triple. He's got 315 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 2: three steals. He's been caught twice, but still the three 316 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,199 Speaker 2: steals is good. He scored eight runs already, and that's 317 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:49,839 Speaker 2: in twelve games so far in spring training. I think 318 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:53,199 Speaker 2: Holiday has shaken the dust off of a weird thing. 319 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 2: I don't think mentally, you're going to break this kid. 320 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 2: His dad was a big league player, Like, I think 321 00:13:57,320 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 2: he's used to the pressure. He's going to be fine. 322 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 2: And now is the time to buy in. Wel who 323 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 2: are you buying in on as second base for your 324 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 2: all breakout team. 325 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 3: I think that's a great pick. Probably would have picked it. 326 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:11,000 Speaker 3: We have a couple of crossovers, but and not trying 327 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 3: to cross over too many, that would have been a 328 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 3: short list of mine I am going to go with. 329 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 3: I mean, what a horrible setup now that you think 330 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 3: about it. From one second basement, I was all in 331 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 3: on last year as a breakout to another rookie or 332 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 3: at least a rookie for this year like last year, 333 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 3: except here's the deal. This guy does not come at 334 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 3: the cost of where Jackson Holiday was going. He is 335 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 3: almost free at this point. And the player we're looking 336 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 3: at this is the young breakout rookie. Look, it's Christian Campbell, 337 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 3: who has got an overall ADP of two eighty eight 338 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 3: and he's the thirtieth second basement on the list. So 339 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 3: this is cheaper than Jackson Holiday. Now, this is cheaper 340 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 3: than most guys. Yes, he can push up in some 341 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 3: instances in some leagues, but he's not pushing up into 342 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 3: the top two hundred. Now. That could change the minute 343 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 3: the team make some type of commitment and that's what 344 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 3: this is all about. Christian Campbell is coming off of 345 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 3: I mean, everybody minor league player of the Year. 346 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: Player of the year. That's he's going off the best 347 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 1: minor league season of anybody arguable. 348 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 3: But the Jews like he moved up in so many circles, 349 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 3: so high, and he's being, you know, kind of in 350 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 3: a shadow, a tiny bit for a lot of people 351 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 3: of like Roman Anthony, who think he's going to be big. 352 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 3: But I think there's the possibility that Christian Campbell could 353 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 3: be the best of all of the Big four as 354 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:27,920 Speaker 3: they called it cal til now with the White Sox 355 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 3: twenty four stolen bases, twenty homers last season, he hit 356 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 3: three point thirty with an almost four forty OBP. And 357 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 3: one of the biggest things to pay attention to here 358 00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 3: is this team has put Raphael Devers in the spot 359 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 3: where he was so mad he's thinking about potentially asking 360 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 3: for a trade because they want Bregman to be the 361 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 3: third baseman. They could easily just put Bregman at second, 362 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 3: They could have Devers at third, make everybody happy and 363 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 3: just kind of move on. 364 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, but it's not good for the team. 365 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: He's led the league in errors at third base for 366 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 2: seven years at the position I agree on. 367 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 3: And now we're doing here and the team is not 368 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 3: just acquiescing Rafael Devers. Not only is it a better 369 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 3: defensive position to put Bregman there, but they are giving 370 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 3: Christian Campbell every opportunity to break. Camp made a great 371 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 3: defensive play today. He's starting to hit. 372 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 1: Playing the so that could open up a path. 373 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 2: It's the outfield path that I'm so interested in when 374 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 2: it comes to Campbell. Unfortunately, the bat is struggling at 375 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 2: all the spring a little bit. We'll only hit one 376 00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 2: fifty two so far in the spring. I wish he 377 00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 2: was having a hot spring, but I don't know if 378 00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 2: he needs to do that to break with this club. 379 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 2: Do you think he has to pick it up in 380 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: this last couple of days. 381 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 3: I don't think so. I mean, there is the possibility 382 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 3: that they could be like, hey, we're going to have 383 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 3: David Hamilton be the guy, and they could do that. 384 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 3: I just don't think they will. I think they put 385 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 3: themselves in a position and I could be wrong. This 386 00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 3: might sound stupid out after he's sent down, but like 387 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 3: the PPI program, if they let him break and they 388 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 3: keep him on the roster, they open themselves up to 389 00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 3: a first round pick. He's playing great defensively, He's a 390 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 3: more advanced bat than I think where Jackson Holiday was 391 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 3: at that time. He's multi position eligible. I think it 392 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 3: makes all the sense in the world. So back to it, 393 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 3: the breakout is there that I do think there could 394 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 3: be some struggles, but I would liken this similar to 395 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,719 Speaker 3: maybe a Jackson trio where he might be slow in 396 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 3: the first couple months, but if the team commits and 397 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 3: stays to this commitment of him being on the roster 398 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 3: as a second baseman super util that he can bounce 399 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 3: back and we might end up seeing something close to 400 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,440 Speaker 3: a twenty twenty season. And he's absolutely free. So he's 401 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 3: the rookie that you can definitely bank on that is 402 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 3: not coming at the cost of some other rookies we 403 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,120 Speaker 3: are going to talk about, or that other people are 404 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 3: investing in. So my breakout is Christian Campbell. 405 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 2: Let's take a quick break in the action to tell 406 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,119 Speaker 2: you about fan Tracks, the home of fantasy sports. If 407 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,120 Speaker 2: you're looking for year round engagement, fan Tracks is your 408 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 2: spot offseason trades, real time updates, and seamless player transactions. 409 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 2: Keep the excitement alive three hundred and sixty five days 410 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 2: a year. 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So bring your fantasy baseball 420 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,919 Speaker 2: leagues to fan Tracks today for an unbeatable user experience 421 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:27,360 Speaker 2: and a chance to win a signed Vladimir Guerrero junior jersey. 422 00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 2: Sign up today at fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. 423 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: That's fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros and now back 424 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 2: to the action. 425 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 1: Now. 426 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,320 Speaker 2: Last year, my breakout at third base was Junior Caminero. 427 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 2: He's still my breakout at third base, but I want 428 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 2: Welsh to talk about him instead because that's his guy. 429 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 2: This year, I've got another third basement because we wanted 430 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 2: to talk about more players on the show for all 431 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 2: of your fantasy needs. So Welsh, let's talk about Junior Caminaro. 432 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:56,679 Speaker 2: Your guy here, my guy here. Uh, someone we have 433 00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 2: big expectations for. I don't think he's gonna let us 434 00:18:58,880 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 2: down two years in a row. 435 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 3: No, yeah, I mean last year it didn't work out 436 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 3: because we didn't see him. We were shocked. I mean, god, 437 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 3: I remember doing so many of these leading off by 438 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 3: the way coming like we're doing specials for the Japan 439 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:10,679 Speaker 3: series and back. 440 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 2: Twitch dot tv, Twitch dot tv, Slash Fantasy Pros. That's 441 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 2: where you find leading. 442 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 3: Watch it live or you can watch the videos here 443 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,280 Speaker 3: on YouTube as always. But like we were shocked week 444 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,399 Speaker 3: in and week out, Junior Camenario's not up. He's not up. 445 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 3: He's not up. He ended up getting like one hundred 446 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:25,640 Speaker 3: and sixty five at bats. So this is the time 447 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 3: he went and played Dominican Winner League, where he was phenomenal. 448 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 3: We saw the power going, we saw the batting average 449 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 3: up in his short stint in the majors. We saw 450 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 3: two big key metrics. We saw phenomenal barrel almost twelve percent, 451 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,360 Speaker 3: and we saw an over forty five percent hard hit rate. 452 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 3: That also paired with low strikeout numbers, and that's what 453 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 3: we want. He doesn't steal bases, so he's got a 454 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 3: hit and I think at this point he's been put 455 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 3: in a position where yeah, I mean clearly he's with 456 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 3: the team, but like he's going to be hitting in 457 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 3: the middle of the lineup. And I really do think 458 00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 3: that bat is going to thrive this year. I think 459 00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 3: he's going to push twenty five homers. He is bordered between, 460 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:04,159 Speaker 3: you know, like a cost and moving up. But I 461 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:08,679 Speaker 3: will say ADP average ADP it's low. It's at ninety 462 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 3: four as the ninth third basement. If everything works out 463 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 3: and we get to see this version we've seen in 464 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 3: the winter carrying over, Junia Camonaro is going to move 465 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,360 Speaker 3: into probably close to a top five third baseman. He's 466 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,120 Speaker 3: going to push twenty five homers. We'll see where the 467 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 3: RBI and runs go. But I think he can also 468 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:28,360 Speaker 3: hit for average. I think Junior Camanaro, like last year, 469 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 3: we're going to double down on it is your breakout 470 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 3: third basement. 471 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm again very supportive. I'm investing, and I 472 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 2: think the other thing you're going to find too is 473 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 2: you know, we do a lot of these drafts with 474 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 2: expert people, you know, people in the business, under analysts 475 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 2: and stuff like that. I think in your more casual drafts, Camonaro, 476 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 2: because of the injuries and the slow development, I think 477 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 2: he will go closer to adp where some of the 478 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 2: drafts that we're in sometimes, like you know, the analysts, 479 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 2: the sharps, they want to go up a little bit 480 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,199 Speaker 2: higher and be more aggressive on Camonaro. I don't know 481 00:20:58,200 --> 00:20:59,959 Speaker 2: in the casual leagues if you're still going to find that, 482 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 2: I think you probably still cost. 483 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 3: He did go as early as fifty, he could go 484 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 3: as late as a hunt. 485 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 2: You want to go get him, is my advance. And 486 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 2: there's drafts like last night I was in a draft. 487 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 2: I just went and got him because I was like, he's. 488 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 1: On the board. 489 00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 2: That's the dude I want. I could wait for Viento's 490 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 2: another round or so, but you know, w what I'm 491 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 2: gonna go with cam and Arrow here and after I 492 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 2: took camon Arrow, Ventos went almost right after. So there 493 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,120 Speaker 2: you have it, everybody, all right. My third basement here 494 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 2: is Matt Shaw the Chicago Cubs. Now show up my 495 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:29,159 Speaker 2: qualify at some different spots. Potentially we'll see where he 496 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 2: ends up landing here with the Chicago Cubs. 497 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 1: But a player. 498 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 2: We had Jeff Ponson at the beginning of the year 499 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,240 Speaker 2: and he spoke so glowingly about two guys, Christia Campbell 500 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 2: and the other one was Matt Shaw. 501 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: And I'm in agreement with him on both these guys. 502 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:42,040 Speaker 1: Matt Shaw. 503 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:44,679 Speaker 2: You look at what he did in the minor leagues 504 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,880 Speaker 2: three or three, batting average, three eighty four, OVP five 505 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 2: twenty two slugging in one hundred and fifty nine games. 506 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 2: I mean, there's nothing left for this guy to learn. 507 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 2: That's it, Like this is it he It's time for 508 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,399 Speaker 2: him to come up and play. And I continue to 509 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:57,640 Speaker 2: think that the Cubs will be aggressive with Shaw, because 510 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,439 Speaker 2: the Cubs are showing you they're aggressive. They went out 511 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 2: and got Tucker, they went out and got Presley, They 512 00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 2: were aggressive of the market for Imanaga last year. That 513 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 2: worked out for them. They can win this division, but 514 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,679 Speaker 2: they need players like Matt Shaw and the bottom part 515 00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:12,480 Speaker 2: of this lineup. In fact, this lineup is gonna have 516 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,199 Speaker 2: just my lineup here for breakout is gonna have not 517 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 2: one but two Cupies on it. We'll get to another 518 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,960 Speaker 2: one later on, but I think Matt Shaw is gonna 519 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:21,479 Speaker 2: be a huge part of this offense. He's a guy 520 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 2: who's got great contact skills, he's got power, he's very polished. 521 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 2: The hit tools terrific. 522 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 1: You watch him. 523 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:30,000 Speaker 2: He looks like a ready to go, lock and load 524 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 2: major league player, and I think he can hit the 525 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,399 Speaker 2: ground running. I think he is gonna be in this 526 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 2: mix for Rookie of the Year. Obviously Vegas thinks, so 527 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 2: most people do, but sometimes that fails, Like Jackson Holliday, 528 00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 2: I was unsure if he was quite ready last year. 529 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:47,440 Speaker 2: Matt Shaw, I don't have those questions about when I 530 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 2: watch him. His approach is so good, it's so sound 531 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,679 Speaker 2: that I think he is going to come in kick ass, 532 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,400 Speaker 2: take names from day one, and I think that's gonna 533 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 2: be huge for this Cubs lineup. 534 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 3: You know, one thing I want to add to this 535 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,879 Speaker 3: is because these aren't the last rookies you're going to 536 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 3: hear us talk about now, We've got a couple more 537 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 3: rookies that are coming up rightfully, so you can ask 538 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 3: this question. But guys, Jackson Alladay was such a big failure, 539 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 3: you know last year, don't you want to maybe like 540 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 3: pace back and we're talking about Christian Campbell, we're talking 541 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 3: about matchaw, which I completely agree with, by the way, 542 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 3: and these other guys. But there's a difference that I 543 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 3: think that's going on here too. You see, of the 544 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 3: two we're going to talk about coming up, you've got 545 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 3: Christian Campbell and you've got Matt Shaw. You've got a 546 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,320 Speaker 3: lot more experience. You've got multiple guys who are gonna 547 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,880 Speaker 3: mention who have already had major league experience. You've got 548 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 3: guys that have worked. You had the Premiere twelve League 549 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 3: for Matt Shaw. You've got guys that have been in 550 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:37,959 Speaker 3: camp for longer that have been longer in the minor 551 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 3: league system, I think. And you've got cheaper costs. Every 552 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:42,919 Speaker 3: single one of these guys we're talking about today is 553 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,640 Speaker 3: cheaper than what Jackson Holiday was last year. That you've 554 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 3: got cost that's more relative to I think a little 555 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 3: bit more pro ready. Bats is why I'm more comfortable 556 00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 3: talking about as many rookies as we are because I 557 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,399 Speaker 3: completely co sign you with Matt Shaw here and the 558 00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 3: rest of these guys just as a little. 559 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,399 Speaker 2: And Shaw's not a bit guy either, like he's not 560 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 2: like He's not like Cam Smith and these other guys 561 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,160 Speaker 2: that I love that are like dudes like Jack Kaglion, 562 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 2: who I absolutely love. And Wealsh knows this from last 563 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,439 Speaker 2: year we did the Draft show last year when we 564 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,840 Speaker 2: were covering the MLB draft that was I was like, geez, 565 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 2: I mean, Bizzana was my number one, but Kagliolan was 566 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 2: my two. 567 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:18,960 Speaker 1: Like, this guy's just gonna smoke balls, and I can't 568 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 1: wait to see him. 569 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 2: He's gonna be up there at some point, but probably 570 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:23,919 Speaker 2: not till July, would be my guest. 571 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 1: You know, I don't think I think it's gonna be 572 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: a while for him. 573 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 2: They're gonna let him get at least one hundred plus 574 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 2: at bats, I think down in the minor leagues. But 575 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 2: with Matt Shaw, again, it's it's approach. Whereas Holiday, to me, 576 00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 2: Holliday was so much just just that raw ability, that 577 00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,199 Speaker 2: raw athleticism, that raw baseball stuff right where that just 578 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 2: needs a little more fine tuning. That's not the thing 579 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:44,199 Speaker 2: for Shaw. And it's actually, if you asked me to 580 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 2: help my feet to the fire, Campbell or Shaw, who 581 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 2: has the better year? I probably would put my investment 582 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 2: in Shaw to be honest with you, I think like 583 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,639 Speaker 2: he is just a little bit more polished, whereas Campbell 584 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,800 Speaker 2: has that little bit of that Mookie Bets thing where 585 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 2: it's just such a great athlete just kind of pushes 586 00:24:58,800 --> 00:24:59,400 Speaker 2: the envelope. 587 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: He could do so so many special things. 588 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:02,359 Speaker 2: But again, when you get to the big leagues and 589 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 2: you face that other kind of pitching, things change a 590 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 2: little bit and not everybody adjust as quickly as they should. Shortstop, 591 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 2: for me, it's a guy that teased a couple of 592 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:11,879 Speaker 2: years ago, and now he's back, and he's back with 593 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 2: a vengeance. 594 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: Baby. 595 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:17,720 Speaker 2: It's not John McClain, it's Matt McClain. And Matt McClain is, look, 596 00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,399 Speaker 2: I think, a guy that people just have forgotten about, 597 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,879 Speaker 2: which proves it because you look at the ADP is 598 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 2: still going outside the top one hundred basically somewhere around 599 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 2: there around pick ninety six and some other scenarios and 600 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 2: NFBC where people are a little bit more aggressive as 601 00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:31,480 Speaker 2: they should be. 602 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: Now. Matt McClain so. 603 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,439 Speaker 2: Far, you know played AFL, he's playing in the spring, 604 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 2: he's healthy. That is a very athletic lineup. This is 605 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: a player that has I don't expect him to hit 606 00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 2: for as high of an average as we saw in 607 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 2: a while back. But I think power speed combination Welsh. 608 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,439 Speaker 2: It's incredibly tempting to think about what Matt McClain could be. 609 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,439 Speaker 2: I know he hit two ninety in that stretch, you know, 610 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 2: a couple of years ago, in twenty twenty three. I 611 00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,639 Speaker 2: think this is a player that could scratch the surface 612 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 2: of thirty and give you like a two to sixty average, 613 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,159 Speaker 2: and that from the shortstop position would be a huge boon. 614 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 2: Even if it lands at twenty five to twenty five. 615 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,479 Speaker 2: I mean, we're gonna be talking about Matt McClain as Oh, 616 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 2: he's kind of a third round pick next year twenty 617 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,719 Speaker 2: five twenty five shortstop, maybe second round pick if that 618 00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:17,280 Speaker 2: comes to fruition. So McLain is somebody that I think 619 00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:19,880 Speaker 2: people have kind of forgotten about a little bit because 620 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,359 Speaker 2: of the injury. He's proving he's healthy. The more at 621 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 2: bats he gets, the better he's gonna be. If he 622 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,639 Speaker 2: starts off slow, don't panic to me. 623 00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:27,239 Speaker 1: That's a big one. 624 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:29,479 Speaker 2: I think people might panic too in April. Give this 625 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,000 Speaker 2: guy time. He didn't play baseball for an entire season. 626 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 2: Give him some time to come back when he gets 627 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 2: in full swing, I think things are going to really blow. 628 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:37,120 Speaker 1: Up for him. 629 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,520 Speaker 2: Who is your breakout shortstop this year? Welsh And I 630 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,159 Speaker 2: gotta tell you this was my second choice. 631 00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I went with Mason Win with the Cardinals. It's 632 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,359 Speaker 3: so funny. I just talking with Lance and we did 633 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:48,600 Speaker 3: the breakout pitchers. He's like, man, I got all these Marlins, 634 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 3: and then I've gone and looked at I'm like, man, 635 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 3: I like a lot of these Cardinals. I've got a 636 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 3: couple of Rangers as well. There's just a lot of 637 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,359 Speaker 3: players out of that, but there's a lot of value 638 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,960 Speaker 3: on it, and Mason Win is one of those. Last 639 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,520 Speaker 3: season hit two sixty seven, fifteen homers, eleven stolen bases, 640 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 3: a lot of projections. You go and check out the 641 00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 3: different projection systems. He's pushing into that twenty twenty marker. 642 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 3: He spent some of the off season adding some muscle, 643 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 3: working I believe, over a drive line and getting that 644 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 3: bat to keep flying a little bit more. And I 645 00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,720 Speaker 3: think that's the big key. But you know, the expected 646 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,199 Speaker 3: batting average is right there. I would love for the 647 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 3: overall bat to just you know, you'd love to see 648 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 3: him barrel more. You'd love to see him hit the 649 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 3: ball harder, but he's not striking out. He's getting the 650 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 3: ball in the air. He's doing the kind of CJ 651 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,879 Speaker 3: Abrams where I don't barrel, I don't hard hit, but 652 00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,480 Speaker 3: I maximize launch angle thirteen degree launch angle. He's also 653 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 3: hitting that launch angle sweet spot. That's a Mookie Betts thing. 654 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 3: With low strikeouts. The guy can run, he can fly. 655 00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:45,720 Speaker 3: He's going to probably have a better opportunity to hit 656 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 3: higher in the lineup. And I think the bat I 657 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:49,880 Speaker 3: think the batting average is kind of a lock here, 658 00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,679 Speaker 3: so I wouldn't be shocked if one of these homers 659 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,400 Speaker 3: or stolen bases break the twenty marker. But I think 660 00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 3: he's got a real opportunity to maybe hit both of 661 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 3: those hit four average, score a lot of runs, and 662 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 3: end up being close to a top one hundred player. 663 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 3: And Mason Winn currently is one seventy three on the 664 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:10,640 Speaker 3: Composite ADP is the twentieth shortstop. So he's a phenomenal 665 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 3: middle infield pick that can protect you if you know, 666 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 3: if you ended up spending a higher pick on a shortstop, 667 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 3: then maybe some injury, some injury prone like a Corey 668 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,560 Speaker 3: Seeger something like that, get some stolen bases, get some homers, 669 00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 3: and if you needed to slot him in at shortstop 670 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,320 Speaker 3: because of some injury, he's a little bit more protection. 671 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,159 Speaker 3: So I just love Mason Win. I think he's going 672 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 3: to jump a level and break. 673 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 1: Out this year. 674 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 2: I do too, Man, love the player gives you a 675 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 2: little bit of everything. It could be very productive. Look, 676 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 2: the Cardinals, I think have some reasons. I always tough 677 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 2: on them in the last show. They have reasons to 678 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:44,040 Speaker 2: be optimistic. If Herrera hits, if one of the other 679 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 2: guys on this list, I don't want to blow it 680 00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 2: starts to realize his potential. Mason Win very good. I 681 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 2: think Barlson's very solid. There's potentially he to turn things around. 682 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 2: But it's got to start happening sooner than later. Here, 683 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 2: we got to really get there, all right, Let's get 684 00:28:57,920 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 2: to the outfielders here, Welsh and I'm just gonna save 685 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 2: everybody some time because we've got some overlap. 686 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 1: We both have. 687 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 2: Dylan Cruz thirty six outfielder overall, one twenty eight overall. 688 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 2: We both have Jason Dominguez thirty eight outfielder overall, one 689 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 2: thirty five overall. So I'm gonna let you take the 690 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 2: floor with these two guys because you've been talking a 691 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 2: bunch about them all off season, and you are the 692 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 2: prospect guy. I know people have prospect fatigue with Jason Dominguez. 693 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 2: He's having a good spring, so that goes a long way. 694 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,680 Speaker 2: And then Dylan Cruz a player that once again I 695 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 2: think we all see the potential of the question is 696 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:31,320 Speaker 2: is he ready for the long haul phase of the 697 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 2: major league season. The pitchers he's gonna face, that division 698 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 2: is very tough, you know, He's the Phillies rotation is 699 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 2: gonna be tough, the Braves rotation is gonna be tough, 700 00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:40,760 Speaker 2: even the Marlins. You know, we got your Mex Meyer 701 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: and Contro some of these pictures. It's gonna be I think, 702 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,600 Speaker 2: some tough days at the office for Dylan Cruz. But 703 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:50,160 Speaker 2: the potential of this player is another absolute star and 704 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 2: that is very exciting for the Nationals. 705 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, and these are the two rookies when I was 706 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:56,560 Speaker 3: going on that little rookie thing where it's like Matt 707 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 3: Shaw Christian Campbell. You know, they got to the higher 708 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:02,120 Speaker 3: levels a little bit more advanced, really advanced hit tools 709 00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 3: as well, and just been in systems longer. You can 710 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 3: also add in, Okay, hey, you guys are doing two 711 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,840 Speaker 3: more prospect eligible players. The nice thing about both of 712 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 3: these guys is they had major league run. We got 713 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 3: some production last year. They got to feel it out, 714 00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 3: they got to make adjustments, they got to spend a 715 00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 3: season with the major league club and then an off 716 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 3: season where they're going the breaking down swings, they're breaking 717 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 3: down approaches, and I really love that because I love 718 00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 3: the talent of both of these guys. Dylan Cruz specifically, 719 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,600 Speaker 3: I've said this a lot. ATC's projection system has him 720 00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 3: almost as a fifteen to thirty guy already. He hit 721 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 3: a ton at the top of the lineup. We'll see 722 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,320 Speaker 3: where that goes if he's hitting one or two. The 723 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 3: power potentials there. He was aggressive on the bases last year, 724 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 3: almost a forty five percent hard hit rate with an 725 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 3: under twenty percent K percentage. He's going to get more 726 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 3: breaking pitches this season, but he's shown us he's a 727 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 3: sub twenty K percentage guy at the major league level 728 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 3: so far. So if that continues, he's going to run. 729 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 3: He's going to score runs, and like it's a little 730 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 3: bit baked in eight overall outfielder thirty six, But I 731 00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 3: think he can take that next step because if he 732 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 3: becomes a twenty thirty guy, watch out and projections are 733 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 3: a median average are almost putting him in that standpoint. 734 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 3: Jason Dimingez is a little bit more argumentative for a 735 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 3: lot of people. Diminguez has a lower cost one thirty 736 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 3: five overall outfielder thirty nine on this list, but he's 737 00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 3: having a solid spring. He's hitting two fifty three homers 738 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 3: and he's stolen a couple bases, has not been caught. 739 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 3: He's going to be given the everyday role, and he 740 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:33,840 Speaker 3: was on the upper echelon of double digit barrel percentages. 741 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,480 Speaker 3: It was like ten or eleven, forty five percent hard 742 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 3: hit rate. You love to see that. He's just got 743 00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,120 Speaker 3: to lower the strikeout rate a bit. It was twenty 744 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 3: eight percent, but he walks sixteen percent of the time 745 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 3: he gets on base. He's aggressive on the base paths, 746 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,880 Speaker 3: he's got real power in that stadium, and both of 747 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 3: these guys, it's just I think there could be the 748 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 3: prospect fatigue from last year that they're not baked into 749 00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 3: the next level that they can go. And projections are 750 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 3: not far off from Dimingez being a twenty twenty guys. 751 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 3: So again median averages, if these guys work out, you're 752 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,840 Speaker 3: close to twenty twenty Domingaz and you're close to fifteen 753 00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,920 Speaker 3: thirty for Cruise. Well, if they take the next big step, 754 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 3: which both of them, batting averagers are super low, you 755 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,960 Speaker 3: could be talking about them jumping multiple tiers and they're 756 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 3: going outside the top one hundred. So as far as like, 757 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,680 Speaker 3: I think they can break out, I think their values 758 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,200 Speaker 3: outside the top one hundred, and these are two very 759 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 3: specific prospects that with major league playing time and different 760 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 3: skill sets, I think both are going to break out 761 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:32,840 Speaker 3: and be valuable in fantasy. And I know you agree 762 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 3: because we both picked. 763 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 1: Up I do. 764 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,840 Speaker 2: They're so close in ADP. Also, kids, are you're only 765 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 2: gonna get one of them? 766 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,200 Speaker 3: I know I would probably suggest only getting one of them. 767 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:42,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's all. 768 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 2: I mean, you're at the turn. It's very tempting there, 769 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:44,840 Speaker 2: they're both there. 770 00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: What you do? 771 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,600 Speaker 2: I would take Cruise, And the reason is I think 772 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 2: his I think the situation is easier for him. I 773 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 2: think there's gonna be a lot of pressure on this 774 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,280 Speaker 2: Yankee team this year. They're already dealing with it and 775 00:32:57,360 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 2: we haven't even started the season. I think that, you know, 776 00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 2: if he struggles at all, like the fan base gets 777 00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 2: really tough. I think with not the national situation is 778 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 2: they're just excited that the team is looking improved again. 779 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 2: I think it's a much easier environment for a young 780 00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,600 Speaker 2: player to have his peaks and valleys, whereas with Domingez, 781 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 2: I'm a little concerned. And you know, Dimingez did miss 782 00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 2: significant time last year with injury. That development time missed 783 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 2: sometimes rears its ugly head. So if I can only 784 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:24,680 Speaker 2: pick one of those guys, I'd pick CRUs But well, 785 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 2: shit would you take? 786 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 3: So I'm going to agree with you and take Cruise, 787 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:30,760 Speaker 3: But I want to give you a caveat that. I 788 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,000 Speaker 3: think that Cruise is the floor play and Dimingez is 789 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 3: the ceiling. 790 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,080 Speaker 1: That's fair. So that's fair. 791 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,600 Speaker 3: Pending type of constructions. If maybe you've got like a 792 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,440 Speaker 3: little bit you know, if you were to take like 793 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 3: a junior Camenero, there's some inherent risk, or you know, 794 00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:46,880 Speaker 3: maybe you got some injury prone players like Cruse just 795 00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 3: might be the safer bet for baseline, where Dimingez is 796 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,920 Speaker 3: a little bit more volatile. But if things do click 797 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 3: with Domingaz, I legitimately, like not trying to be ridiculous 798 00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,600 Speaker 3: about twenty five to twenty five, he could be a 799 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,360 Speaker 3: thirty guy. Like I would not be shocked if Domingus 800 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 3: was a thirty twenty guy. His bat has slowly progressed 801 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,279 Speaker 3: over time, so I don't know if he'll hit for 802 00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,480 Speaker 3: that average, but I'm saying that's where that peak ultimately 803 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,720 Speaker 3: could be. So if you have a really safe roster 804 00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,719 Speaker 3: and you want to play up Domingos, if you have 805 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 3: a little bit of volatility, cruise, but like just overall, 806 00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,800 Speaker 3: without any caveats, I probably agree with you, and I've 807 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 3: taken Dylan Cruz before. 808 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 1: Jason. 809 00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:26,320 Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna get to the other outfielders on 810 00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 2: our list because again we have some overlap there. Before 811 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 2: we do a quick reminder too, when you're in your drafts, 812 00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 2: you should be cheating. That's right, to do everything you 813 00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 2: possibly can to win, just like Bill Belichick would do. 814 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 2: The cheat sheet creator right now is available on draft Wizard, 815 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:43,520 Speaker 2: so it's your personal guide to a perfect draft. You 816 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,920 Speaker 2: get league specific rankings in there. You could choose your 817 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,319 Speaker 2: experts for the cheat sheet. You could choose a hybrid too. 818 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 2: You can have Welsh myself, some of the CBS boys, 819 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:52,719 Speaker 2: some of the guys at y'allhoo. 820 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:53,040 Speaker 1: Whatever you like. 821 00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:55,480 Speaker 2: You can have some of the best experts out there 822 00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 2: in one at cheat sheet, or you could just use 823 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 2: the consensus if you prefer that as well. I think your 824 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 2: league's for free right now because Draft Wizard is going 825 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,040 Speaker 2: to be able to help you through your draft with 826 00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 2: the Draft Assistant, it's going to link right to your draft, 827 00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 2: it's gonna recommend picks for you, and the chee cheek 828 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 2: creator you're going to make is going to be your 829 00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 2: guide through the entire draft from pick one to the 830 00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:19,719 Speaker 2: last round. So fantasypros dot Com slash sheet that's the 831 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,640 Speaker 2: place to get it. Or it's much easier. Just download 832 00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:24,920 Speaker 2: the app. Draft Wizard Baseball is out there wherever you 833 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,160 Speaker 2: get your apps. Get it today, sink your leagues for 834 00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,799 Speaker 2: free and thank me later for me Welsh the other 835 00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:31,839 Speaker 2: altfielder I've got on my list, and this is one, 836 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,840 Speaker 2: you know. I was tough on this player for quite 837 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,040 Speaker 2: a while when he was in the Mets system because 838 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 2: I didn't see the bat. I saw the player who 839 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 2: plays with his hair on fire. I saw a guy 840 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 2: that I really enjoyed, A good defensive player, great, you know, 841 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 2: just energy level. 842 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: I love it. 843 00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 2: But Pete crow Armstrong did not look like a major 844 00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 2: league bad to me. Then last year in the second half, 845 00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,720 Speaker 2: he made some adjustments and all of a sudden things 846 00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:00,360 Speaker 2: changed radically. So I was really curious to see, was 847 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,839 Speaker 2: that a fluke or is that going to continue this spring? Well, 848 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 2: guess what it's continuing this spring five nineteen batting average, 849 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,400 Speaker 2: a five hundred dollars base percentage, one thousand slugging a 850 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 2: fifteen hundred OPS and twenty seven at bats so far. Now, 851 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,799 Speaker 2: of course it's crazy, it's unsustainable. 852 00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,320 Speaker 1: He's got three homers eleven RBI. 853 00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:17,759 Speaker 2: He's got two steals too, So the stolen bases are 854 00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,480 Speaker 2: a huge part of this combination here. So I felt 855 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,120 Speaker 2: good about the stone bases. But you're not making good contact. 856 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,439 Speaker 2: You know, you can't steal first base. That's hard. In fact, 857 00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:28,239 Speaker 2: just can't do it right. So you got to get on. 858 00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 2: You got to make contact. Now, Pete kro Armstrong, it's 859 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,279 Speaker 2: not only making contact, but he's making hard contact. He 860 00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,360 Speaker 2: saw last year he raised that OPS from five to 861 00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,800 Speaker 2: eighty two in the first sixty games to seven thirty 862 00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:40,360 Speaker 2: six in the second half of the year over the 863 00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 2: final sixty three games. I think he is potentially one 864 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:46,960 Speaker 2: of these breakout players that we're going to look back 865 00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 2: on and go wow, pee chro Armstrong made a huge 866 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,760 Speaker 2: impact on Fantasy in twenty twenty five, and the people 867 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,640 Speaker 2: that bought into the second half ended up being paid 868 00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,960 Speaker 2: off for it. And I am finally starting to buy 869 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:02,279 Speaker 2: in because of not just the second half, the adjustments 870 00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 2: and what I'm seeing in Spring two where it's carrying over. 871 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,360 Speaker 2: That to me is the most important part. Now, the 872 00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 2: other guy on your outfield list is a player we've 873 00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:10,400 Speaker 2: been waiting. 874 00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 1: For for years. 875 00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,880 Speaker 2: Now, let's talk about Jordan Walker, because that's a guy 876 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 2: who again should have already been up. I've compared Tom 877 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:20,120 Speaker 2: to Jermaine Die before. I thought that was the kind 878 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:23,800 Speaker 2: of player he would profile like Pete Armstrong one forty 879 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:27,520 Speaker 2: two overall thirty nine, forget it. Jordan Walker seventy eighth 880 00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,440 Speaker 2: outfielder overall two ninety three, not even the same universe. 881 00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:33,799 Speaker 2: But you think Walker could finally get things right this year. 882 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,359 Speaker 3: He's one of the lowest on this list, so I uh, 883 00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:40,080 Speaker 3: if you could just avoid sprinklers. Sprinklers are his worst 884 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 3: enemy because he's still coming back from stepping on a 885 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,719 Speaker 3: sprinkler and hurting his leg. And listen, I had him 886 00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,919 Speaker 3: as a very like this is my sleeper breakout guy, 887 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,319 Speaker 3: and I kind of pared back on it, especially with 888 00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 3: the injury, but I just want to, like, come, I 889 00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 3: just want to circle back to it because the sprinkler 890 00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 3: thing set him back. He wasn't having a great spring either, 891 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,280 Speaker 3: So you've got a couple negatives that are working against 892 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:07,520 Speaker 3: but getting back and trying to put a focus on 893 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:11,600 Speaker 3: the positives because like it's a very short, small moment 894 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:14,000 Speaker 3: of baseball of like he misses a little bit of spring, 895 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 3: maybe it causes a little bit of a slow start, 896 00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:19,000 Speaker 3: but overall, what we're banking on is we're banking on 897 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 3: the playing time throughout the season. Their commitment to Jordan Walker. 898 00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,839 Speaker 3: He also retooled, and he's talked a lot about this 899 00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:29,080 Speaker 3: as he has retooled his approach and his swing, and 900 00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 3: the main point about it is getting his hands in 901 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,880 Speaker 3: lower and shortening his swing so he's got an ability 902 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:37,840 Speaker 3: to barrel up and he did a good job of 903 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,960 Speaker 3: that even in his weird stint of last season. He 904 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 3: had an almost ten percent barrel rate, which we love, 905 00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 3: forty three percent hard hit rate, which was an increase 906 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 3: year over year, and he had an average exivelocity that 907 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,440 Speaker 3: was two miles per hour on average. More so, those 908 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:54,360 Speaker 3: are really good. The negatives were obviously the consistent contact 909 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,040 Speaker 3: because his expectabatting averages just two to eleven and he 910 00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:59,040 Speaker 3: struck out twenty eight percent of the time. You can't 911 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 3: do this, You can't have that and be successful. So 912 00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,520 Speaker 3: what do you do. You have a very applicable You 913 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:07,640 Speaker 3: shorten this swing to try to get in and attack. 914 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,680 Speaker 3: And the only negative I think at this point take 915 00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:13,440 Speaker 3: out the stupid like he hurt his leg and the sprinkler. 916 00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:15,640 Speaker 3: It's the miss time to be able to work on 917 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 3: that because it wasn't super great in spring so. 918 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,080 Speaker 2: Far in ye same thing with some of the other guys. 919 00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:23,640 Speaker 2: To Byron Buxton, how much time did he miss in 920 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:25,920 Speaker 2: development because of injuries? And that was part of the 921 00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:27,600 Speaker 2: reason why he would get up there and he flashes 922 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:30,000 Speaker 2: of brilliance in the major leagues and then struggle mightily 923 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:31,640 Speaker 2: at times in his career early on. 924 00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,040 Speaker 3: And I l likely say this because it could happen. 925 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,520 Speaker 3: Of course, but like, this is not a season where 926 00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,680 Speaker 3: I think the Cardinals are going to see a month 927 00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:40,640 Speaker 3: of him and be like, you're going back down to 928 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 3: Triple A. What are they playing for? They're trying to 929 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 3: trade aeronauto. They're going to play him the season. They're 930 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 3: going to play it out, and I think the work 931 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,120 Speaker 3: is going to catch up. And what Jordan Walker provides 932 00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:52,200 Speaker 3: you is thirty plus home run potential. That's not a 933 00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,719 Speaker 3: question to me. I know he had sixteen in twenty 934 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,399 Speaker 3: twenty three, but like, I think twenty five to ten 935 00:39:57,520 --> 00:39:59,919 Speaker 3: is on the table for Jordan Walker. If the bat 936 00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,440 Speaker 3: average can get up into that two fifty range, these 937 00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,000 Speaker 3: are all things I think that can happen. So even 938 00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:06,920 Speaker 3: though I think there's some big question marks that are 939 00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:10,440 Speaker 3: working against him, the injury, the mistime in spring training, 940 00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:13,239 Speaker 3: with this, the lack of success in spring training, I 941 00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:15,319 Speaker 3: want to hold to all the work he did in 942 00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 3: the offseason and some of his underlying data that is 943 00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,360 Speaker 3: going to click for a very young player too. Just 944 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,359 Speaker 3: want to throw He's twenty two years old. There are 945 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:24,839 Speaker 3: guys that are being drafted that are older than him 946 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,400 Speaker 3: still that I think this is going to click this season. 947 00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,680 Speaker 3: I hope hopeful. It's early, so this breakout makes sense 948 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,480 Speaker 3: for the drafting perspective, but kind of hold tight. I 949 00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 3: think it's going to work out, and he is my 950 00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 3: outfield breakout. 951 00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:36,400 Speaker 1: All right. 952 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,280 Speaker 2: Well, let's go through your three starters and your relief 953 00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:41,719 Speaker 2: pitcher here for your all breakout team of twenty twenty five. 954 00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,040 Speaker 3: All right, if you've listened to me this offseason, these 955 00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:47,400 Speaker 3: should be no shocker to you whatsoever. Number one breakout 956 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 3: Spencer Schwellenbach, because of course talked about the five pitches, 957 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:56,879 Speaker 3: ten percent usage, goodwiff rates, low walk, and I think 958 00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,160 Speaker 3: the split finger if he uses it even more with 959 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 3: the setup on the fautastball, people be like, oh, fastball's 960 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 3: not great, Well, we need the fastball to set the 961 00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:06,759 Speaker 3: other stuff up that he could not just jump from. 962 00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 3: He is sp twenty five ninety one overall, but I 963 00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:11,759 Speaker 3: think he can be a top fifteen starting pitcher. He's 964 00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,360 Speaker 3: a must have, and I think he is going to 965 00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:16,760 Speaker 3: break out. And I at least have been consistent about 966 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:19,799 Speaker 3: this since November on the first episodes we did, I 967 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 3: have been talking about Schwellenbach. That's my guy. Number two. 968 00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,680 Speaker 3: Jared Jones of the Pittsburgh Pirates had a really great start, 969 00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,400 Speaker 3: so that's the start of the breakout. Thing completely tailed 970 00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 3: off and that has put him at SP forty three 971 00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:37,080 Speaker 3: one thirty nine. Overall, that fastball and slider combode were 972 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:39,319 Speaker 3: like I think he was like one of the only 973 00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:41,480 Speaker 3: pitchers with one hundred and thirty stuff plus on a 974 00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:43,680 Speaker 3: slider and a fastball. I think those are things are 975 00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 3: going to connect with the changeup, being able to throw 976 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,880 Speaker 3: off speed multiple pitches, stay healthy for the season, and 977 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 3: he's going to take a big next step. That Pittsburgh 978 00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:54,839 Speaker 3: pirate rotation is going to be disgusting. Baba Chandler gets 979 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:56,680 Speaker 3: in there, and I think Jered Jones is going to 980 00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,120 Speaker 3: take that next big step. Strikeouts are going to go 981 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 3: up to another degree. But I really think that fastball 982 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:04,680 Speaker 3: slider combo, the consistency of a full season and innings, 983 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 3: he's going to take that next jump. And then I 984 00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 3: talked about it a lot Brandon Fott. Brandon fought is 985 00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,799 Speaker 3: SP fifty four one point eighty one. One of the 986 00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 3: big things we've looked at is he had a full 987 00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:20,319 Speaker 3: run better expected era than his actual era. It was 988 00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 3: closer to a three and a half era. That sweeper 989 00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:27,399 Speaker 3: is definitively awesome. He struggles against left handers. We talked 990 00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,680 Speaker 3: about that, I think with maybe Lance or when we 991 00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:31,920 Speaker 3: I had Eno on. But like, at the end of 992 00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,960 Speaker 3: the day, I love that the sinker has worked well 993 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:37,680 Speaker 3: in setting up the sweeper and the four seam is, 994 00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:39,719 Speaker 3: but if you can start throwing that change up more, 995 00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:42,359 Speaker 3: I think he could take a next step. Ra estimators 996 00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:45,080 Speaker 3: are telling us a different story. I think strikeouts can 997 00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,040 Speaker 3: go up, walks are going down. There's a lot of 998 00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,640 Speaker 3: run support, and it's a really great rotation with better 999 00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:52,759 Speaker 3: support on the back end as well. I think Brandon Fought, 1000 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:54,919 Speaker 3: you know, I like I think Schwellenbach could move into 1001 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,640 Speaker 3: elite territory. I think Jared Jones could move into being 1002 00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,360 Speaker 3: like a top twenty five thirty. Brandon isn't quite as aggressive, 1003 00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,920 Speaker 3: but I think Fought can go from this like irrelevant 1004 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:07,399 Speaker 3: SP five or six to being like an SP three 1005 00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:08,239 Speaker 3: on teams. 1006 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,640 Speaker 2: And being that's the big impact. I think we dressed 1007 00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:12,839 Speaker 2: was a five, they become a three. That's a big impact. 1008 00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:15,719 Speaker 3: And then finally my closer, this is actually kind of 1009 00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:18,799 Speaker 3: a higher ranked player. But I've talked about a lot. 1010 00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:21,160 Speaker 3: I love Andres Munos with the Seattle Mariners and what 1011 00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 3: I think the breakout is. Again, I don't know if 1012 00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:26,240 Speaker 3: you could argue he's ever had a breakout. He's been solid, 1013 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:28,640 Speaker 3: he missed some time. There was questions like last year 1014 00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 3: was he going to lose his job. I think Andres 1015 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,040 Speaker 3: Munos is going to be one of the best closers 1016 00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:35,480 Speaker 3: in baseball this year. He's toying around with his kick 1017 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:39,400 Speaker 3: change up, disgusting fastball slider combination with one of the 1018 00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,480 Speaker 3: best rotations in baseball. They just need run support so 1019 00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 3: you can get to him. If they can improve that, 1020 00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 3: he's going to have those opportunities. I think he's going 1021 00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,040 Speaker 3: to close it down. He's healthier and if he does 1022 00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:51,160 Speaker 3: add that kick change up, it's going to be devastating. 1023 00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,200 Speaker 3: He is closer nine at one ten overall, but I 1024 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:56,400 Speaker 3: legitimately think he can be a top five closer. So 1025 00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,120 Speaker 3: this is a breakout that I think he moves into 1026 00:43:58,200 --> 00:44:00,560 Speaker 3: the next tier of clothes. I mean people are taking 1027 00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:02,960 Speaker 3: like rysa Iglacias over him, like I think you'll be 1028 00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 3: deciding like Andres Munios or Edwin Diaz. So I think 1029 00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:07,640 Speaker 3: Andres Munias is going to break out as well as 1030 00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:09,840 Speaker 3: spinster Schwellenbach, Jared Jones, and Brandon Fott. 1031 00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 2: That was my guy from a couple of years ago. 1032 00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,400 Speaker 2: I love the Jared Jones call to another player that 1033 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,160 Speaker 2: I remember last April May. We were look at each 1034 00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:18,960 Speaker 2: other on leading off every day, going, man, is this 1035 00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:21,360 Speaker 2: ever gonna end? Like he is just so good? And 1036 00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,600 Speaker 2: then you know, health rears its ugly head. 1037 00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:28,520 Speaker 3: I did a bunch of like NFBC, like dCas and stuff, 1038 00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:31,120 Speaker 3: and Bogman was like, holy crap, you have him everywhere 1039 00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:34,200 Speaker 3: I drafted. I happened to have drafted him in so 1040 00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:36,719 Speaker 3: many spots, as well as Schein's in a few, and 1041 00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:39,520 Speaker 3: he was part of the taildown unfortunately because he just 1042 00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:41,600 Speaker 3: didn't pan out on the back half of the season. 1043 00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:42,680 Speaker 3: But it was a great early start. 1044 00:44:42,960 --> 00:44:45,279 Speaker 2: It was all right, three pitchers for me and a 1045 00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:47,560 Speaker 2: closer and then we'll call it a day here. Gavin 1046 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:49,440 Speaker 2: Williams was on my sleeper team. Guess why is on 1047 00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:51,640 Speaker 2: my breakout team too. This is the only overlap player 1048 00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:54,120 Speaker 2: that I have from that list because I'm in. I'm 1049 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,080 Speaker 2: buying in. I told you the bullpens so good. I 1050 00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,480 Speaker 2: think they can bridge him to wins even if innings 1051 00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:00,680 Speaker 2: get limited. On a start by start, which I don't 1052 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:02,320 Speaker 2: know how much they're going to be at this stage. 1053 00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:04,799 Speaker 2: I think he is going to be able to get 1054 00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 2: to one hundred and forty to fifty at some point 1055 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 2: this season. But you know, the Guardians are in it 1056 00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,879 Speaker 2: and they're gonna be competing, and I think they're gonna 1057 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:16,919 Speaker 2: find clever ways to continue on. But I still think 1058 00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 2: he could be absolutely fantastic again. He is dominating this spring, unbelievable. 1059 00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:25,560 Speaker 2: Next on my list, Ryan Peppio. Pepio's gonna be in 1060 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,000 Speaker 2: this rotation. I don't care if it's five guys, six guys. 1061 00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,480 Speaker 2: Pepi always pitched well enough for me to be in 1062 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:32,359 Speaker 2: that rotation. It was a huge piece that came over 1063 00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,279 Speaker 2: from the Dodgers a few years ago to trade and 1064 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,840 Speaker 2: to me, this is your rebuilding this rotation, right, you 1065 00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:39,280 Speaker 2: know you moved on from Springs. 1066 00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:40,480 Speaker 1: Mcclanahan's coming back. 1067 00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:42,480 Speaker 2: I think Pepio is gonna end up being potentially the 1068 00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:45,200 Speaker 2: number two starter in this rotation when all said and done. 1069 00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:47,680 Speaker 2: I think he's very consistent. I like what he brings 1070 00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:51,799 Speaker 2: to the table. I think he's very unphased two, which 1071 00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:54,759 Speaker 2: I like. He's very in control of himself on the mound. 1072 00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:56,560 Speaker 2: I like the demeanor, like all the little things about 1073 00:45:56,600 --> 00:45:59,719 Speaker 2: Ryan Pepio, and of course we know statistically when you 1074 00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,239 Speaker 2: have a three to one strikeout to walk rate, you're 1075 00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 2: gonna have success at the major league level because you're 1076 00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:06,600 Speaker 2: not walking guys, you're not putting yourself in bad positions, 1077 00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,800 Speaker 2: and that's gonna be huge for Ryan Pepio in this rotation. 1078 00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,239 Speaker 2: Next up Will Warren. Now, last year, Louis Heel was 1079 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,120 Speaker 2: not somebody people were thinking it was gonna be a 1080 00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:17,799 Speaker 2: big part of the Yankee rotation when ended up being 1081 00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:20,520 Speaker 2: a Rookie of the Year kind of season for him. Now, 1082 00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:24,279 Speaker 2: obviously we know unfortunately injury is going to stop the 1083 00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:26,560 Speaker 2: beginning of or at least slow down in the beginning 1084 00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,000 Speaker 2: of his season. But Will Warren is not a guy 1085 00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,120 Speaker 2: that I had on my radar and I watched him 1086 00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,200 Speaker 2: pitch this spring, and whatever he's doing right now with 1087 00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:36,799 Speaker 2: the pitch mix has been really good. Because he is 1088 00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:40,560 Speaker 2: up to fifteen innings, sixteen strikeouts, three walks, and the 1089 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,640 Speaker 2: Yankees have no choice right now. Will Warren has to 1090 00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:46,719 Speaker 2: break camp, I think, in this rotation, and he is 1091 00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,839 Speaker 2: gonna have to make twenty starts for the Yankees here, 1092 00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 2: and I think that's gonna be very impactful because there 1093 00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:54,280 Speaker 2: is a scenario where the Yankees hold it all together 1094 00:46:54,760 --> 00:46:58,080 Speaker 2: and guys like Will Warren perform well. Just like guess 1095 00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:00,560 Speaker 2: what last year when you didn't have Garrett Cole, Louis 1096 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:03,319 Speaker 2: Heel stepped into that rotation. So Will Warren has an 1097 00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:05,560 Speaker 2: opportunity to do that this season, So keep him on 1098 00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:09,040 Speaker 2: your radar. He is going very late for forty, so 1099 00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,240 Speaker 2: he is free. Okay, the one hundred and thirtieth pitcher 1100 00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:15,800 Speaker 2: off the board, Williams Pepio Warren and my relief pitcher 1101 00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,920 Speaker 2: not a closer yet, but Ben Joyce's fun. He throws 1102 00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:22,680 Speaker 2: one hundred and seventy five million miles an hour, and 1103 00:47:23,160 --> 00:47:25,120 Speaker 2: I'm okay with that out of the bullpen more than 1104 00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,520 Speaker 2: I am with the starting pitcher. Kelly Jansen is thirty 1105 00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:29,600 Speaker 2: seven years old. I think at some point somebody's gonna 1106 00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:31,480 Speaker 2: come knock it for Kenley Jansen to help them as 1107 00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 2: a veteran bullpen presence, and then Ben Joyce is going 1108 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:35,920 Speaker 2: to get a look at that closer spot and kind 1109 00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,840 Speaker 2: of like Mason Miller last year, who was just striking 1110 00:47:37,880 --> 00:47:40,080 Speaker 2: out everybody I feel like Ben Joyce can be that 1111 00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:43,600 Speaker 2: in the meantime hold save leagues, big strikeout potential, it's 1112 00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:46,040 Speaker 2: all there. But I think at some point he does 1113 00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 2: get a crack at that closer job, and I think 1114 00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:51,640 Speaker 2: he is going to be a very intriguing guy potentially 1115 00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:53,600 Speaker 2: for the last few months of the season and when 1116 00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:56,360 Speaker 2: you need save strikeouts, all this stuff, a guy like 1117 00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,399 Speaker 2: Ben Joyce can give you at that ADP that he's 1118 00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:01,439 Speaker 2: going right now, which is the two hundred and sixty 1119 00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:02,440 Speaker 2: first player off the board. 1120 00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:03,920 Speaker 1: That's an intriguing piece to. 1121 00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:06,000 Speaker 2: Just kind of add to the bench because I think 1122 00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:08,640 Speaker 2: eventually he could have a huge breakout and end up 1123 00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,239 Speaker 2: being a guy you never know. Thirty seven years old, 1124 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:13,920 Speaker 2: Kenley Jansen. We'll see how long he is for this 1125 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,000 Speaker 2: season too, you never know. But those are our guys 1126 00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:19,880 Speaker 2: for All Breakout twenty twenty five. We want to know 1127 00:48:20,080 --> 00:48:23,200 Speaker 2: your name, so drop your names below. Subscribe to the 1128 00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:25,799 Speaker 2: channel here. Fantasy pros MLB trying to get to twenty 1129 00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:27,600 Speaker 2: five thousand by opening day and we can do it 1130 00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,319 Speaker 2: with your help. And remember when you subscribe and drop 1131 00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:32,720 Speaker 2: a comment below, you might win a John Smoltz jersey. 1132 00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:33,160 Speaker 1: That'll do it. 1133 00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,600 Speaker 2: For us, but the story of the game goes on. 1134 00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:39,040 Speaker 2: Please don't touch the John Smoltz Bowl anymore. That'll do 1135 00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:41,759 Speaker 2: it for us. I'm Joey P. That's the Welsh. We'll 1136 00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:42,520 Speaker 2: see you next time. 1137 00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:42,920 Speaker 1: Kids. 1138 00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:46,960 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast. 1139 00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:49,560 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 1140 00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:52,480 Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 1141 00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:56,279 Speaker 4: or Spotify. 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