WEBVTT - FOMC Rate Decision and VC Interest in AI

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<v Speaker 1>From Marhart where Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon Valley, NBN.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Caroline Hyde at Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York.

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<v Speaker 3>And I'm Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>Technology coming up.

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<v Speaker 2>We count you down to the FED rate decision and

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<v Speaker 2>get a real look of you on the state of

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<v Speaker 2>the banking system and the FinTechs have helped speed up

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<v Speaker 2>deposit flight adding to crisis concerns.

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<v Speaker 3>We're going to dive deep into the world at Venture

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<v Speaker 3>Capital and speak with Sequoia general partner Constantine Beula and

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<v Speaker 3>Coastladventures founder Vinode Coastler.

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<v Speaker 2>Plus how malware operators are caching in on the AI height.

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<v Speaker 4>To target your businesses.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll talk CHATCHYPT and cybersecurity with let Us.

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<v Speaker 4>Head of Security later this hour.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's turn towards, of course, what else the Federal Reserve

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<v Speaker 2>is really trying to navigate how you can hight rates

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<v Speaker 2>amid what is an ongoing banking crisis in part brought

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<v Speaker 2>through of course higher interest rates. Also, though, is there

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<v Speaker 2>a bit of an acceleration of some of these crises

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<v Speaker 2>because of the ease with which we can pull cash

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<v Speaker 2>out of our deposits. Joining us now to discuss all

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<v Speaker 2>of this cannis known us OURGP management consultant.

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<v Speaker 4>You've got what.

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<v Speaker 2>Sixteen years in career of risk management, you worked at

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<v Speaker 2>the FDIC. Canis I put it to you of how

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<v Speaker 2>much of a worry is at the moment fintech is

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<v Speaker 2>the ability with which we can withdraw our deposits from banks.

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<v Speaker 2>Does that sort of speed up some of the anxiety

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<v Speaker 2>and the crisis cycles we're seeing?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, thanks for having me. It certainly plays a role.

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<v Speaker 5>I think we have fintech technology to pull out our

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<v Speaker 5>deposits very quickly. But what really is the problem with

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<v Speaker 5>this particular banking crisis is the high concentration of uninsured

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<v Speaker 5>deposits we have banks. Silicon Valley Bank had over ninety

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<v Speaker 5>percent exposure to uninsured deposits. And by their very nature,

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<v Speaker 5>uninsured deposits are not sensitive to the FED insurance, the

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<v Speaker 5>FDIC insurance. Rather, they're very opportunistic, so they move fast

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<v Speaker 5>on to a better opportunity, or they get spooked, and

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<v Speaker 5>they kind of all move in tandem. And that's what

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<v Speaker 5>we saw in this most recent banking crisis.

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<v Speaker 2>Are you expecting a change to whether all deposits end

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<v Speaker 2>up being ensured by the FDIC.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, if all deposits end up being insured by the FDIC,

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<v Speaker 5>that means that the FDIC bank fees. The fees that

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<v Speaker 5>the FDIC charges for deposit insurance is going to have

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<v Speaker 5>to increase and is going to have to be distributed

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<v Speaker 5>differently among banks. I mean, I suppose that's an option,

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<v Speaker 5>but I think that there are so many more prudent

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<v Speaker 5>decisions that can be made beforehand to improve revision, including

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<v Speaker 5>the use of technology and supervision, such that we don't

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<v Speaker 5>have to ensure all deposits. It kind of really doesn't

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<v Speaker 5>make sense when there are so many other interim things

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<v Speaker 5>that you can do.

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<v Speaker 1>The regulators can do.

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<v Speaker 5>And if you've read their most recent reports by both

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<v Speaker 5>the FED and the FDIC, they admitted their shortfalls. They

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<v Speaker 5>admitted their short but I think that that can be

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<v Speaker 5>ameliorated with the use of technology, among other things.

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<v Speaker 2>Interesting ed almost technology at the heart of this, but

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<v Speaker 2>also what's at the heart is the fact that we

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<v Speaker 2>have neobanks fintech able to offer higher returns. ED to

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<v Speaker 2>that extent, we're seeing a bit of a stampede. It

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<v Speaker 2>keeps being the watchword.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, stampede or herd mentality. I mean, kend this. I

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<v Speaker 3>go back to what happened with SVB and more recently

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<v Speaker 3>with First Republic, that it's an issue of confidence, right,

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<v Speaker 3>Depositors lose confidence and pull their money. The point that

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<v Speaker 3>Caroline raised this morning is so smart that now you

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<v Speaker 3>have so many means technologically speaking to transfer funds. I

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<v Speaker 3>just want you to try and give us some granularity

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<v Speaker 3>on how much that has changed the game. How much

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<v Speaker 3>is contributed through the risk of a bank run.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh, I think it's contributed greatly to the risk. I

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<v Speaker 5>mean you can have a bank run from your cell phone,

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<v Speaker 5>as kind of what you're suggesting. Back in the olden days,

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<v Speaker 5>people stood in line and waited for the banks to

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<v Speaker 5>open in order to pull out their physical cash. Now

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<v Speaker 5>you can have a bank run from your living room.

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<v Speaker 5>So I don't think payments are not going to slow down.

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<v Speaker 5>Payment technology, fintech technology, that's not going to slow down.

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<v Speaker 5>I think as a result of that, risk managers need

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<v Speaker 5>to be more prudent with regard to their concentration and

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<v Speaker 5>their distribution to exposures of things like uninsured deposits, so

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<v Speaker 5>you're going to continue to have advances and payments. I

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<v Speaker 5>think they're healthy for the economy in a lot of ways.

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<v Speaker 5>They make our lives as consumers very convenient. But that's

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<v Speaker 5>not going to change, and we're still going to be

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<v Speaker 5>exposed to the risk of rapid withdrawals from bank and

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<v Speaker 5>financial institutions, given our ease with which we can do it.

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<v Speaker 3>Candice, what have you been advising your clients since Silicon

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<v Speaker 3>Valley collapse, since First Republic was acquired by JP Morgan.

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<v Speaker 3>What have you told them to do from a tech perspective.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think that you know, this is unlike our

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<v Speaker 5>last crisis, where it was a credit crisis. This is

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<v Speaker 5>an asset liability mismatch. And we always advise our clients

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<v Speaker 5>even despite this, and admittedly we've worked with the more

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<v Speaker 5>larger and mid size clients in my particular space, but

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<v Speaker 5>we always advise them to stay on top of stress

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<v Speaker 5>testing and be very prudent about managing your risk and

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<v Speaker 5>managing your exposures to shift in the macroeconomic market. Look

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<v Speaker 5>for macro hedges to whatever it is that you're taking

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<v Speaker 5>exposure to. We're still giving the same good risk management

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<v Speaker 5>advice despite what's going on here in the market, because

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<v Speaker 5>these things were foreseen and they continue to be able

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<v Speaker 5>to you can you can gauge them, and that's what

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<v Speaker 5>we're revising our big clients to do.

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<v Speaker 6>Right.

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<v Speaker 3>Candice, knowness of our GP, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 3>your time. Now coming up what to make of the

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<v Speaker 3>rapid evolution in the generative AI space, will bring you

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<v Speaker 3>that conversation with Sequoia Capital partner an AI expert, Constantine Buler.

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<v Speaker 7>Caroline.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and of course we have got to keep our

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<v Speaker 2>eyes on all things chips, on all things MD. After

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<v Speaker 2>a really tepid set of numbers coming out of what

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<v Speaker 2>is the second biggest PC chip maker, and we know

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<v Speaker 2>the woes, we know the concern about the PC market

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<v Speaker 2>we saw in an Intel. We move it to AMD,

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<v Speaker 2>but all eyes there from Qualcom after the bells, as

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<v Speaker 2>that particular chip maker has really diversified, perhaps away.

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<v Speaker 4>From just PCs. We're off by more than eight and

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<v Speaker 4>a half percent.

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<v Speaker 2>As a Bloomberg, let's talk artificial intelligence with AI. Jeffrey

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<v Speaker 2>hidden Hinton leaving Google and adding his voice to a

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<v Speaker 2>growing chorus of experts really warning about the dangers of AI.

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<v Speaker 4>What does this mean?

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<v Speaker 2>His departure for Alphabet's efforts and its Deep Mind AI

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<v Speaker 2>lab or Deep Mind CEO Demis Hasabis sat down with

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<v Speaker 2>Bluemberg Originals and talked about how the industry is not

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<v Speaker 2>just losing people but also attracting a lot of talents.

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<v Speaker 3>To take a listen, it's an incredibly dynamic field right now,

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<v Speaker 3>all sorts of new things happening, research going on, you know, literally,

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<v Speaker 3>I would say in the last six months, probably hundreds

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<v Speaker 3>of thousands of people, very talented engineers and others, have

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<v Speaker 3>got into the field. You know. I think they've come

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<v Speaker 3>from many other fields and they've decided maybe they weren't

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<v Speaker 3>interest in AI for long, you know, until very recently,

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<v Speaker 3>but they've decided this is a this is a great

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<v Speaker 3>growth point. And so that's brought in a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>energy into the space and a lot of dynamic ideas.

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<v Speaker 3>And so even for us, who are you know, right

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<v Speaker 3>in the middle of it, it's hard to keep track.

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<v Speaker 7>Of all of that at once.

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<v Speaker 3>So you have to try and take into account and

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<v Speaker 3>look at the main trends and the main threads and

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<v Speaker 3>sort of focus on that. I would say, but it's

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<v Speaker 3>almost like you need an AI system to help you

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<v Speaker 3>keep track of all of the developments that are going on.

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<v Speaker 3>Google deep Mind CEO Demis Hasavis and you can watch

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<v Speaker 3>more of that interview on Bloomberg's Originals AI IRL and

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<v Speaker 3>stream new episodes Wednesdays eight thirty pm Eastern five thirty

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<v Speaker 3>Pacific time.

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<v Speaker 7>Let's keep the.

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<v Speaker 3>Conversation going about AI with Sequoia Capital partner Constantine Buler,

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<v Speaker 3>who's been immersed in the world of AI for a

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<v Speaker 3>decade already. We've got some catching up to do with you.

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<v Speaker 3>That was an interesting move because the history of AI

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<v Speaker 3>is very closely tied with deep Mind. They've kind of

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<v Speaker 3>brought Google and deep Mind together. You heard Demis there.

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<v Speaker 3>Can I just get your reaction to the landscape and

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<v Speaker 3>that in particular.

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<v Speaker 8>Absolutely, First, thanks for having us to pleasure to be

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<v Speaker 8>here always. So we are in the middle of an

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<v Speaker 8>incredible revolution in AI. It is probably most similar to

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<v Speaker 8>the personal computer revolution of forty years ago, and Demis

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<v Speaker 8>alludes to this briefly in his comment when he says

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<v Speaker 8>we're in the middle of something very big here. Why

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<v Speaker 8>do I say personal computer revolution because of the impact

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<v Speaker 8>it's having. Imagine, right before the personal computer revolution, you

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<v Speaker 8>were a typist and every time you made a mistake

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<v Speaker 8>or you had to make a change, you'd throw away

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<v Speaker 8>the paper. You have to put the type exactly exactly.

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<v Speaker 8>You throw away the paper, you have to put a

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<v Speaker 8>new one in and you have to start all over again.

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<v Speaker 8>And then the personal computer comes around and everything is faster,

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<v Speaker 8>it's easier, it's way more streamlined. But there are some changes,

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<v Speaker 8>there's some retraining that needs to be done. You have

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<v Speaker 8>to learn this new technology. Same kind of thing is

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<v Speaker 8>happening here in AI. So there's this massive potential. We're

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<v Speaker 8>right in the middle of it. It's been the cornerstone

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<v Speaker 8>of my career for thirteen years. Sequoya, it's been a

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<v Speaker 8>cornerstone for us for thirty years, and it is just

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<v Speaker 8>the early innings of what's going to be very.

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<v Speaker 6>Brings us to hear in now though.

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<v Speaker 3>So you are principally a seed stage and series A investor. Yes,

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<v Speaker 3>you know there are many that echo your sentiments. How

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<v Speaker 3>do you actually invest? Yes in that moment.

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<v Speaker 6>So the first thing is founder driven, Okay.

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<v Speaker 8>Founders are always the lifeblood of the venture capital industry,

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<v Speaker 8>the technology industry at large, and definitely the AI industry.

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<v Speaker 8>So think back to when Sequoia started its venture in ai,

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<v Speaker 8>which was nineteen ninety two when we backed at the

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<v Speaker 8>Series A, the first investment in arguably, if not the

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<v Speaker 8>most important AI hardware company in the world in Nvidia.

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<v Speaker 8>That was a founder driven investment. That was a founder

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<v Speaker 8>driven investment because Jensen Wang was an exceptional engineer from

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<v Speaker 8>a previous Sequoia company, So founder driven as always with Sequoia,

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<v Speaker 8>and then in nineteen ninety nine, arguably the most important

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<v Speaker 8>at maturity AI company, Google was also a Sequoia investment,

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<v Speaker 8>and that brings us all the way to today, which

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<v Speaker 8>is a lot of great AI companies that are coming up,

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<v Speaker 8>hundreds at this point that we're meeting. We're excited to

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<v Speaker 8>get to know and finding the most brilliant founders for

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<v Speaker 8>what they're building in the future is what Sequoia is

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<v Speaker 8>all about.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, Caroline's Constantine's point. We see that activity on

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<v Speaker 3>the show every single day, the hundreds of new companies

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<v Speaker 3>that he's talking about.

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<v Speaker 6>That energy.

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<v Speaker 3>It came from open Ai in November of last year,

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<v Speaker 3>and then Microsoft's investment at the beginning of the year.

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<v Speaker 4>And of course the Quoia backs open Ai.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'm interested to dig in hugging Face and then

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<v Speaker 2>others in your portfolio. Constantine, it feels as though the

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<v Speaker 2>rest of the VC community is rushing. It feels that

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<v Speaker 2>regulators are having to be forced to rush. It feels

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<v Speaker 2>as though this has taken us all by complete surprise.

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<v Speaker 2>But you've been studying at Stanford AI. As you say,

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<v Speaker 2>it's been Cornerstone for thirteen years. Why have we suddenly

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<v Speaker 2>been sort of had the rug pulled a bit?

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<v Speaker 6>Okay, so you're exactly right, Caroline.

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<v Speaker 8>This is actually decades in the making, and for us,

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<v Speaker 8>it's sekoya for me, for our team.

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<v Speaker 6>There's.

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<v Speaker 8>This is something that we've been training for and excited

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<v Speaker 8>for for decades. But there is a big, exciting change

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<v Speaker 8>and it is exactly what you described, which is this

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<v Speaker 8>new user interface. When I talk about the user interface,

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<v Speaker 8>I'm harkening back to the personal computer when you had

0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:26.800
<v Speaker 8>the graphical user interface come out, and that was the

0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:30.960
<v Speaker 8>advent of the first Microsoft Windows, that was the advent

0:12:31.000 --> 0:12:33.680
<v Speaker 8>of a lot of the first Apple computers. And the

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:37.920
<v Speaker 8>point of the first graphical user interface in the personal

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:42.840
<v Speaker 8>computer revolution is that anyone could just use their mouse

0:12:42.880 --> 0:12:46.560
<v Speaker 8>and click, as opposed to the old terminal based MS

0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:51.320
<v Speaker 8>doss that only engineers could use. Similarly, the lms that

0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 8>open Ai and others have introduced make it so that

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 8>anyone can use AI.

0:12:56.000 --> 0:12:57.520
<v Speaker 6>You don't have to be an AI engineer.

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 8>That's why we're in an incredibly important moment because all

0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:05.199
<v Speaker 8>of a sudden, AI is accessible to everyone, and that's

0:13:05.240 --> 0:13:05.720
<v Speaker 8>what shows.

0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 2>The data which it runs on is still in many

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 2>ways not perfect. BI sees within how are you thinking

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:17.360
<v Speaker 2>about the startups you invest in and the overall regulatory

0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:19.200
<v Speaker 2>environment that's going to have to play catch up in

0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:19.800
<v Speaker 2>some way.

0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:25.320
<v Speaker 8>Yes, no doubt, it's the data and you're referring to

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:28.920
<v Speaker 8>hallucination is the term that's often used. This is absolutely

0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:31.480
<v Speaker 8>top of mind for the enterprises that we're talking to,

0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:35.000
<v Speaker 8>and there's several ways that are currently being addressed from

0:13:35.040 --> 0:13:38.760
<v Speaker 8>an engineering and a company building perspective to improve that.

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 8>And in terms of policy, there's a couple responses. One

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 8>is to step back and say hey, too powerful, too dangerous,

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:49.439
<v Speaker 8>not me. Another is to just say hey, let it run.

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 8>And the third way, which is what we take at Sequoia,

0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:56.280
<v Speaker 8>what I believe is the right approach, is to say, hey,

0:13:56.640 --> 0:14:01.760
<v Speaker 8>this is incredibly powerful, let's be in evolved let's take

0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 8>actions to help form it safely. Let's let's be a

0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 8>part of this evolution of this technology so that it

0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:11.120
<v Speaker 8>can be a powerful force of good for humanity.

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 2>You're sounding positive, you're sounding optimistic. In fact, we went

0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 2>to our own viewers. We did a Twitter poll, as

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.160
<v Speaker 2>we tend to do every single day, conserting. Just take

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:20.800
<v Speaker 2>a look at the results, because we ask them whether

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 2>they're pessimist or optimists around AI great for humanity.

0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:25.520
<v Speaker 4>Actually, Ed.

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 3>Said yes, yeah, yeah, And look, they're too early to tell.

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 3>We hear it so often, so constant. You've been in

0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 3>this field for a long time. Broadly society is catching up.

0:14:35.560 --> 0:14:38.160
<v Speaker 3>His guest Caroline's point. There's a parallel I want to

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 3>draw with crypto because you are been an active investor

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:45.200
<v Speaker 3>in the crypto industry. I think the latest was edX markets, right,

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 3>that is a froth and bubble burst cycle. Why will

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:53.480
<v Speaker 3>we not see the same thing play out here in AI?

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 8>Yes, so first I am a believer in crypto as well,

0:14:57.240 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 8>But that is a separate trend for you know, further discussion,

0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:03.600
<v Speaker 8>because there's a lot of depth there too on AI.

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 8>This too early to tell point is a critical point,

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 8>and I encourage your audience to use AI and to

0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 8>actually start making it a part of their lives. You know,

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:20.080
<v Speaker 8>there's this kind of trite quote which is AI is

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 8>not going to take your job.

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 6>A human using.

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.000
<v Speaker 8>AI will, and I think that is a lot of

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 8>there's a lot of truth to that. The action that

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 8>should be taken is to start harnessing the power of AI.

0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:34.040
<v Speaker 8>If you're not using AI tools, try them out, see

0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 8>how they can make you better internally.

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 6>It's aquoia.

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 8>We talk a lot about augmented intelligence as opposed to

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:42.560
<v Speaker 8>artificial intelligence.

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 2>Constantine absolutely great to have you. Thank you, Saquiah Capital

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 2>partner Constantine Bula with the optimistic point of view.

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 9>There.

0:15:58.600 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 7>Time for Tokien tech.

0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:03.360
<v Speaker 3>Across the pond, the United Kingdom's Competition of Markets Authority

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:07.080
<v Speaker 3>has officially started a merger inquiry into Adobe's twenty billion

0:16:07.120 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 3>dollar purchase of startup Figma. The agency set a June

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:13.960
<v Speaker 3>thirtieth deadline for its phase one decision. The deal, of course,

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 3>also ander scrutiny from regulators here in the US. Now,

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 3>TSMC is drawing up plans to build its first chip

0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 3>fabrication plant in Europe. According to sources, the chip maker

0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:25.600
<v Speaker 3>is in talks with partners to spend as much as

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 3>eleven billion dollars on the new plant, which would be

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 3>based in Saxony, Germany. And finally, Goldman Sachs is just

0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:36.600
<v Speaker 3>named Kim Posnet as Global head of TMT Banking. According

0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 3>to a company memo, she is a veteran deal maker

0:16:39.120 --> 0:16:42.960
<v Speaker 3>whose recent work includes Endeavors Group Indeavor Group's nine point

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 3>three billion dollar takeover of WWE Carrot.

0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 4>A great array of news there.

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 2>Meanwhile, let's dig into another part of the news agenda

0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:53.040
<v Speaker 2>that we've got to touch. Because the latest in the

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 2>war on Ukraine, Russia actually saying it is able to

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:58.000
<v Speaker 2>avert an attack by a pair of drones aimed to

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:01.080
<v Speaker 2>hit President Vladimir Putin's residence in Most Tuesday night, and

0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:04.720
<v Speaker 2>blame was immediately placed on Ukraine, but without providing evidence.

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:08.520
<v Speaker 2>State Department Secretary Anthony Blincoln said that he couldn't validate

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:11.120
<v Speaker 2>the reports and warned to take any Kremlin claims with.

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:14.000
<v Speaker 4>A large shaker of salt. For now.

0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 2>Selinsky has said that this is untrue. Welcome back to

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:27.360
<v Speaker 2>Blue Blow Technology. I'm Caroline Hyde and New.

0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:29.639
<v Speaker 3>York and I met Lovelo in San Francisco.

0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 2>Turning back now to AI ed, of course, we've got

0:17:32.840 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 2>to do it. Microsoft chief, in fact, the chief economist

0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:37.639
<v Speaker 2>for that particular company, Michael Schwartz, was out with a

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:40.960
<v Speaker 2>warning about the extent to which artificial intelligence will actould

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 2>be dangerous in the hands of bad actors. He spoke

0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 2>earlier at the World Economic Forum panel in Geneva.

0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 10>I'm quite confident that yes, AI will be used by

0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 10>bad actors, and yes it will cause real damage, and

0:17:56.760 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 10>yes we have to be very careful and very big

0:18:00.520 --> 0:18:05.639
<v Speaker 10>to avoid they all the means possible, we have to

0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 10>put saveguards.

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about that mix of cyber and AI. Meta

0:18:11.520 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 2>out with its quarterly threat report, which showed that malware

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 2>operations using for example, chat GPT, AI help tools as

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 2>phishing links to target businesses and consumers. Joining us now

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:25.119
<v Speaker 2>as metas head of Security Policy, Nathaniel Gleischer, I just

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:28.160
<v Speaker 2>want to dig into how new malware strains you're finding

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:34.359
<v Speaker 2>are basically including posing as chatchypts, browser extensions or productivity tools.

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 2>It builds as though malware bad actors are getting in

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 2>on the AI hype.

0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thank you so much for having me. I'm here

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.840
<v Speaker 1>today because we are releasing a series of threat reports

0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:48.240
<v Speaker 1>on threats we've countered around the world will help keep

0:18:48.280 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 1>people safe. One of the threats that I think is

0:18:50.400 --> 0:18:53.159
<v Speaker 1>particularly useful for this business audience is malware, and to

0:18:53.200 --> 0:18:56.359
<v Speaker 1>be thinking about malware are malicious tools that are designed

0:18:56.359 --> 0:19:00.000
<v Speaker 1>to look innofant, but focus on compromising personal devices, compromise

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:02.639
<v Speaker 1>in your accounts, and we know that they target businesses.

0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:06.400
<v Speaker 1>And as you say, malware developers always try to get

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 1>it on buzzwords. They're looking for ways to trick people

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:12.120
<v Speaker 1>into downloading malware. We've seen to do it with cryptocurrency

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty two. They try to get people to

0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 1>click on links suggesting that you would get access to

0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:19.560
<v Speaker 1>new cryptocurrency apps. Today they're trying to use generative AI,

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:21.720
<v Speaker 1>suggesting you could click on a link, you might get

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 1>access to chat, GPT or another genderate AI tool, and

0:19:24.640 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 1>actually you'd be downloading malware.

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:30.240
<v Speaker 2>Fascinating just who within a business is the most vulnerable,

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:32.199
<v Speaker 2>who are going to be being sent these links.

0:19:33.400 --> 0:19:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I think businesses should be conscious that malware actors target indiscriminately.

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 1>They will target across the business, including maybe people who

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>are connected to prominent leaders or individuals that might just

0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 1>be operating in the business and for example, maintaining or

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>administering the businesses social media pages. The good news for

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.120
<v Speaker 1>all of this, though, is that there's a number of things,

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:56.159
<v Speaker 1>fairly simple things that people can do and businesses can

0:19:56.160 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>do to keep themselves safe, whether that's turning on two

0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:02.440
<v Speaker 1>factor authentication or using strong and unique passwords across their

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:05.560
<v Speaker 1>online accounts. And we are rolling out a series of

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 1>new protections for businesses to help them strengthen their defenses

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>on meta and also to help them protect against malware

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:15.280
<v Speaker 1>wherever it might target them, whether that's on their devices,

0:20:15.560 --> 0:20:18.399
<v Speaker 1>on their other online accounts, or on our platforms.

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 3>The fact out this is a story about bad actors

0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:26.800
<v Speaker 3>posting ururls that purport to take you to attract GPT

0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 3>like product. Right, that's what you've detected. What I want

0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 3>to know is have you detected threat actors who are

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:38.399
<v Speaker 3>actually using the technology using generative AI to make the

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 3>content they post on your platforms harder to detect.

0:20:43.840 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 1>We haven't seen significant sophisticated campaigns relying on genitive AI today.

0:20:48.960 --> 0:20:52.560
<v Speaker 1>We do know that bad actors try to abuse every

0:20:52.600 --> 0:20:55.480
<v Speaker 1>new piece of technology, so we expect that they're going

0:20:55.520 --> 0:20:58.160
<v Speaker 1>to try to abuse generative AI, just like they've tried

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:01.400
<v Speaker 1>to abuse other innovations in recent years. That's why it's

0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 1>particularly important that defender teams at Meta and at other

0:21:05.040 --> 0:21:08.360
<v Speaker 1>companies around the world, including in government and civil society,

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:11.719
<v Speaker 1>are thinking about how these abuses might happen and steps

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:14.880
<v Speaker 1>we can take that protect people and counter the bad actors.

0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 3>Cisco warned that AI would make phishing attacks harder to detect.

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:23.479
<v Speaker 3>Do you share Cisco's concern.

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:29.920
<v Speaker 1>We've seen some limited examples of people using AI based

0:21:30.000 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>tools to, for example, create profile pictures that of people

0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 1>who don't exist but look realistic. We've seen some cases

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>of people trying to use generative AI tools to produce

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.040
<v Speaker 1>deep fake videos. So these threats are certainly out there,

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:47.120
<v Speaker 1>and it's important to be ready to counter them. That's

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 1>why you need to have analyst teams that hunt for

0:21:49.480 --> 0:21:51.880
<v Speaker 1>this type of thing. And the other side of generative

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.440
<v Speaker 1>AI is that generative AI has a lot of incredibly

0:21:54.560 --> 0:21:58.840
<v Speaker 1>positive potentials, and one of them is helping defenders who

0:21:58.880 --> 0:22:01.679
<v Speaker 1>are looking to protect public debate improve their detection and

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:04.000
<v Speaker 1>response systems so we can keep people safe.

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 2>Does it particularly matter where it's coming from, Nathaniel, you

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:13.200
<v Speaker 2>identify Ductail in particular, that's a Vietnam based cyber criminal operation.

0:22:13.520 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 4>Is a lot coming from there.

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:17.399
<v Speaker 2>Can you see where a lot of this attack is

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:18.320
<v Speaker 2>stemming from?

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:22.560
<v Speaker 1>Malware development happens all over the world, and it can

0:22:22.600 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 1>be hard to tell exactly where the actors are where

0:22:24.840 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 1>they're coming from. When we are able to identify a

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:31.920
<v Speaker 1>particular company or a particular actor who's behind it, we'll

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:35.119
<v Speaker 1>take additional steps to deter them and impose cost on them. So,

0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:37.600
<v Speaker 1>for example, for some of the people developing this malware,

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:40.440
<v Speaker 1>we referred them to law enforcement for further investigation, and

0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:43.320
<v Speaker 1>we send cease and assist letters. We often see or

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>sometimes see companies that try to seem legitimate but also

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:48.879
<v Speaker 1>operate on the dark side of all of this and

0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:51.480
<v Speaker 1>try to share malware. And for companies like that, you

0:22:51.520 --> 0:22:54.000
<v Speaker 1>can impose a lot of cost on them by highlighting this,

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 1>by exposing what they're doing, and by bringing law enforcement

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:58.320
<v Speaker 1>and government to bear against them.

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:02.360
<v Speaker 2>Of course, what's thing is, we're wondering about a very

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 2>global cyber attack threat. We're thinking and talking to a

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:10.280
<v Speaker 2>global company that of course has rechanged its name, talking

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:13.040
<v Speaker 2>itself about the metaphors, but also deeply ingrained in investing

0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:13.920
<v Speaker 2>in AI in some way.

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:14.119
<v Speaker 8>Ed.

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean if Aaniel I covered Meta earnings, Mark

0:23:18.280 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 3>Zuckerberg really emphasizing Meta's competence in the field of AI. Right, So,

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 3>how do you and the security team use artificial intelligence

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 3>as a tool? How can it help you?

0:23:31.400 --> 0:23:35.280
<v Speaker 1>GENERAI is a novel and fast development technology. There are

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of places where I can have real impact medicine, education,

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 1>But I do think one of the interesting opportunities is

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 1>in what we would call integrity, trust and safety, keeping

0:23:44.840 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 1>people safe. You can quickly be able to identify and

0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:52.480
<v Speaker 1>track and counter threats around the world. When we're moving

0:23:52.520 --> 0:23:55.200
<v Speaker 1>in a global environment where there are many many countries,

0:23:55.240 --> 0:23:57.440
<v Speaker 1>and there are billions of users, and there are many

0:23:57.480 --> 0:24:00.159
<v Speaker 1>threat actors. Everything we can do to help move more

0:24:00.240 --> 0:24:03.919
<v Speaker 1>quickly encountering these threats is effective. We work to pair

0:24:04.040 --> 0:24:07.880
<v Speaker 1>those types of automated tools with expert human investigators who

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.600
<v Speaker 1>can track and counter the most sophisticated threat actors and

0:24:10.680 --> 0:24:13.640
<v Speaker 1>tinys together. Pairing them up has been most effective encountering

0:24:13.680 --> 0:24:15.280
<v Speaker 1>the bad Guess all.

0:24:15.280 --> 0:24:17.679
<v Speaker 3>Right, Nathaniel Gleischer and Meta, thank you for bringing us

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 3>your latest report. Another story that we're following TikTok's head

0:24:21.840 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 3>of trust and safety for the US is leaving the company.

0:24:24.840 --> 0:24:27.919
<v Speaker 3>The senior official in charge of ensuring user safety is

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:31.640
<v Speaker 3>departing amid increased pressure for the US government to ban

0:24:31.840 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 3>the app. Eric Hahn had been one of the most

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:38.040
<v Speaker 3>prominent officials in TikTok's efforts to convince lawmakers that the

0:24:38.080 --> 0:24:40.199
<v Speaker 3>app is safe for US users.

0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 6>Carolyne I.

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:44.119
<v Speaker 2>Meanwhile, look coming up, we're more on tech, more on

0:24:44.160 --> 0:24:46.000
<v Speaker 2>competition between China and the US.

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 4>With someone who calls it the.

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:50.320
<v Speaker 2>Most important war in the next two decades, the techno

0:24:50.359 --> 0:24:52.720
<v Speaker 2>economic war would of course be joined one another than

0:24:52.800 --> 0:25:11.360
<v Speaker 2>Koslaventure's founder Venov Kosla. Time now for our VC round

0:25:11.440 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 2>up and starting with LinkedIn co founder and Read Hoffman

0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 2>and DeepMind co founder Mastuffa Sulliman, who have their own

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.280
<v Speaker 2>AI startup. Who would have thought, And they're rolling out

0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:23.639
<v Speaker 2>a chatbot called PIE, which stands for Personal Intelligence and

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:26.760
<v Speaker 2>it's intended to serve as a supportive personal companion that

0:25:26.840 --> 0:25:28.080
<v Speaker 2>gives friendly advice.

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:30.359
<v Speaker 4>Meanwhile, let's look at the VC firm Accel.

0:25:30.520 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 2>It's refocusing its India Accelerator program on who.

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 4>Guessed at AI startups?

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:36.919
<v Speaker 2>Now the firm will choose as many as half a

0:25:36.960 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 2>dozen early stage startups to fund, to mentor in that

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:43.320
<v Speaker 2>starting this month, is also targeting companies that use technology

0:25:43.359 --> 0:25:46.840
<v Speaker 2>to make conventional industrial processes all the more efficient.

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:50.879
<v Speaker 3>Ed let's stick with all things bench capital, things AI.

0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:54.040
<v Speaker 3>With Coast the ventures founder Vinode Coaster, who joins us

0:25:54.320 --> 0:25:58.119
<v Speaker 3>for today's VC Spotlight here in San Francisco, Let's go

0:25:58.160 --> 0:26:01.320
<v Speaker 3>to AI. It's all that anyone wants to talk about.

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean open ai was the first big check that

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 3>he wrote, right, and.

0:26:08.200 --> 0:26:11.720
<v Speaker 9>We wrote the first very large check in open ai

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:16.359
<v Speaker 9>that we've done, Yes, first venture capital firm, along with

0:26:16.400 --> 0:26:17.440
<v Speaker 9>some individuals.

0:26:17.520 --> 0:26:20.160
<v Speaker 3>So fast forward to present day. There is a hype

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:24.920
<v Speaker 3>cycle around US Fisher Intelligence and half of your field

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 3>of vcpaers talk about, well, we've been doing this for

0:26:27.520 --> 0:26:30.200
<v Speaker 3>a decade, and then half getting into it, and you

0:26:30.840 --> 0:26:32.880
<v Speaker 3>how do you assess what's happening?

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:36.639
<v Speaker 9>Well, everybody wants to get on the bandwagon because it

0:26:36.760 --> 0:26:39.400
<v Speaker 9>is a major trend, and it is a major trend,

0:26:39.560 --> 0:26:42.879
<v Speaker 9>so not surprising people claiming they've been doing it for

0:26:42.960 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 9>a decade. I wrote about it extensively about ten years ago,

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:49.720
<v Speaker 9>and then four years ago we invested in open ai.

0:26:50.480 --> 0:26:52.919
<v Speaker 9>Five six years ago, we had a whole bunch of

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 9>other startups we invested in in the same area.

0:26:57.760 --> 0:26:59.719
<v Speaker 7>And so it is an exciting trend.

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 9>It is hard to predict exactly how fast it is

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:06.960
<v Speaker 9>developing or how fast it will develop. Every day you

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 9>see new changes, but it is exciting, and it's exciting.

0:27:11.520 --> 0:27:13.560
<v Speaker 7>From both a business point of view.

0:27:13.600 --> 0:27:16.359
<v Speaker 9>As well as the technology capability point of view.

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.080
<v Speaker 3>Is open AI the only game in town? Is it

0:27:19.160 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 3>just a clear leader in this field right now?

0:27:21.560 --> 0:27:25.560
<v Speaker 9>No, in America, there's a lot of interesting startups in

0:27:25.600 --> 0:27:28.920
<v Speaker 9>this area. Google of course is a very credible player,

0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:32.639
<v Speaker 9>and then there's other startups that are credible too, trying

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:35.240
<v Speaker 9>to make a go at it. I think the leader

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:37.480
<v Speaker 9>always has a huge advantage.

0:27:38.320 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 2>What about leadership coming from China, because I know you

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 2>keep a keen eye on what you really see as

0:27:44.680 --> 0:27:47.440
<v Speaker 2>a competitive threat, the new war in the next couple

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:49.440
<v Speaker 2>of decades, techno economic.

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:55.439
<v Speaker 9>Oh absolutely, I probably worry more about a Chinese AI

0:27:55.720 --> 0:28:00.560
<v Speaker 9>doing bad things than anything to do with AI itself

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 9>going sentient or the kinds of things a lot must

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 9>talks about. Not that that's not a concern. China is

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 9>going to be a big enemy in this. I believe

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:15.760
<v Speaker 9>we are in a technoeconomic war with China for economic

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:19.440
<v Speaker 9>dominance and hence dominance of political systems to go with it.

0:28:19.720 --> 0:28:22.760
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So do the risk reward for us here at

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:25.439
<v Speaker 2>the moment or balance the risks when you're talking to

0:28:25.520 --> 0:28:28.240
<v Speaker 2>regulators as you have done if you talk to people

0:28:28.240 --> 0:28:30.879
<v Speaker 2>in power. You've been over there in Washington. You had

0:28:31.119 --> 0:28:33.720
<v Speaker 2>coming together of course the Hell and Valley Forum, where

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:37.520
<v Speaker 2>you gathered vcs and tech community to talk to Well, government,

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:41.160
<v Speaker 2>do you want them to regulate how we use AI

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 2>in the wild in the US at the moment? Or

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.280
<v Speaker 2>are you more worried about the regulation of China and

0:28:45.360 --> 0:28:47.240
<v Speaker 2>money flowing there to build their own AI.

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:50.760
<v Speaker 9>Well, I'm much more worried about the competitive picture with

0:28:50.960 --> 0:28:55.040
<v Speaker 9>China than about regulation here. I think it's too early

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:59.720
<v Speaker 9>to regulate AI. We don't know enough about it. I

0:28:59.840 --> 0:29:04.080
<v Speaker 9>do think we should heavily fund safety research, especially in

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 9>the universities and third parties, but regulating it would be

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:13.200
<v Speaker 9>a real mistake and put us behind China in the race.

0:29:14.000 --> 0:29:17.240
<v Speaker 2>And the race it does feel is something that vcs

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 2>that Peter til that Venola you're talking about ed and

0:29:20.000 --> 0:29:23.080
<v Speaker 2>also a relationship that's being built a little bit more

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:25.800
<v Speaker 2>firmly between DC and Silicon Valley.

0:29:25.800 --> 0:29:28.080
<v Speaker 4>Where you sit, Yeah, I think for me.

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 3>You know, the question Vinode is what was the upshot

0:29:31.120 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 3>of the Hill and Valley forum. You know that we

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:38.560
<v Speaker 3>reported on it. We discussed about the relationship between DC

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 3>and Silicon Valley.

0:29:40.640 --> 0:29:41.880
<v Speaker 6>What has happened as a result.

0:29:42.560 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 9>Well, there's clearly a lot of interest in this question,

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 9>not only AI and AI regulation, but equally importantly on

0:29:51.040 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 9>our AI race with China. My interest is highlighting how

0:29:55.560 --> 0:29:59.440
<v Speaker 9>important that issuers and how much we should focus on

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 9>the race with China for technology supremacy here. I do

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:07.480
<v Speaker 9>think there'll be multiple players, but I do think there

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:11.840
<v Speaker 9>will be winners that take a disproportionate part of the

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.480
<v Speaker 9>economic pie. And I think the US model is well

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 9>set up for it. But it's not obvious that we

0:30:18.680 --> 0:30:21.400
<v Speaker 9>can win or we will win in twenty years from now.

0:30:22.760 --> 0:30:24.560
<v Speaker 3>He said economic pie. So I'm going to do a

0:30:24.600 --> 0:30:27.440
<v Speaker 3>small pivot. There is a FED meeting today. We expect

0:30:27.440 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 3>a twenty five basis point hike. We talk daily about

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:36.400
<v Speaker 3>tighter financial conditions. VC of your experience in your scale,

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:40.400
<v Speaker 3>how does that impact the ecosystem that you are operating?

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 7>In well fed.

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:46.640
<v Speaker 9>Rate hikes affect short term things. You know what we

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:49.920
<v Speaker 9>invest in open AI four years ago. We don't expect

0:30:49.960 --> 0:30:53.480
<v Speaker 9>liquidity for six, seven, eight years, So I'd have to

0:30:53.520 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 9>predict the market in twenty thirty and the federate in

0:30:56.400 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 9>twenty thirty to really have it impact our.

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:02.160
<v Speaker 7>Very popular within this organization, if you could.

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 9>So, my goal is really to focus on what adds

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:11.360
<v Speaker 9>substantial societal value and because of that economic value and

0:31:11.440 --> 0:31:15.480
<v Speaker 9>what will be true in terms of real value active

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 9>society in twenty thirty if I'm going to make good investments.

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 9>So our focus is much longer term than short term

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:26.760
<v Speaker 9>interest rate types and not it's not that enable more

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:29.320
<v Speaker 9>or less financing to happen in the interim, So we

0:31:29.360 --> 0:31:32.440
<v Speaker 9>do pay attention to it, but mostly we ignore it.

0:31:32.560 --> 0:31:35.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, financing an interim, I mean caroline for all the

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:40.520
<v Speaker 3>volatility in public markets, and from a policy perspective, we

0:31:40.560 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 3>see checks getting written by vcs to venture founded startups.

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:46.560
<v Speaker 2>And largely in the realm of AI at the moment

0:31:46.560 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 2>of VINOD To that extent, are you writing a lot

0:31:49.040 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 2>of checks? What sort of size of company you're most

0:31:51.640 --> 0:31:53.040
<v Speaker 2>looking for at the moment? In this new.

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 7>Environment, we are writing a lot of checks. We are

0:31:57.360 --> 0:31:58.240
<v Speaker 7>being aggressive.

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:02.600
<v Speaker 9>But I would say there's many more bad AI startups

0:32:03.240 --> 0:32:07.320
<v Speaker 9>than good startups, and it's very hard to differentiate if

0:32:07.360 --> 0:32:11.000
<v Speaker 9>you're not experienced with AI. So I do think lots

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:14.640
<v Speaker 9>of bad investments will be made, but overall more money

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 9>will be made than lost. What even if ninety percent

0:32:19.680 --> 0:32:21.160
<v Speaker 9>of the startups failed, which they.

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:24.440
<v Speaker 2>Will interesting and of course that's often the bet, no,

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:27.160
<v Speaker 2>that you will have failures, but you'll then have from

0:32:27.240 --> 0:32:31.560
<v Speaker 2>those absolutely extraordinary success that gives the money and the

0:32:31.640 --> 0:32:34.680
<v Speaker 2>returns to vcs. But you know, in this current environment,

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:37.480
<v Speaker 2>we're talking a lot about so called zombie companies, the

0:32:37.480 --> 0:32:40.160
<v Speaker 2>companies that have massive valuations that can't vindicate the growth

0:32:40.200 --> 0:32:43.120
<v Speaker 2>at the moment, having to make cutbacks, having to think

0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:46.800
<v Speaker 2>more about revenue driving, profit driving. What are you doing

0:32:46.840 --> 0:32:49.479
<v Speaker 2>with those companies at the moment that just had huge

0:32:49.600 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 2>valuations that perhaps don't have the run rate that they

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:52.440
<v Speaker 2>used to.

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:59.160
<v Speaker 9>Well, there are clearly founder choices to be made. Good

0:32:59.240 --> 0:33:03.120
<v Speaker 9>founders are responding to the environment by saying, let's ignore

0:33:03.120 --> 0:33:06.440
<v Speaker 9>what happened in the past, let's ignore our old valuation

0:33:06.760 --> 0:33:10.239
<v Speaker 9>and focus in on how we create value for the

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 9>next few years. And not worry about what the valuation was.

0:33:14.360 --> 0:33:18.200
<v Speaker 9>So founders that fundamentally decide whether to cater to investors

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 9>or to the reality of the business they're in. And

0:33:21.680 --> 0:33:24.440
<v Speaker 9>most of the good founders I know are really focusing

0:33:24.480 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 9>in it in on what they need to do to

0:33:26.920 --> 0:33:30.640
<v Speaker 9>build a great business and hope that investors will get

0:33:30.680 --> 0:33:34.760
<v Speaker 9>on board later and not worry about short term perception

0:33:34.960 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 9>of valuation.

0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:40.000
<v Speaker 3>There are other deeply technical areas that you are passionate

0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:43.200
<v Speaker 3>about and that you are investing in climate or energy

0:33:43.240 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 3>related and one of them is fusion. You've written op

0:33:47.000 --> 0:33:51.480
<v Speaker 3>eds about this because AI is dominated headlines. We talked

0:33:51.480 --> 0:33:53.720
<v Speaker 3>about it less, but can you just explain why you're

0:33:53.720 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 3>so focused on that area.

0:33:55.640 --> 0:33:58.080
<v Speaker 9>Well, if you look at Commonwealth Fusion, which is an

0:33:58.120 --> 0:34:02.120
<v Speaker 9>investment we made about four years ago, five years ago

0:34:02.760 --> 0:34:06.280
<v Speaker 9>before there was a company. Actually we started working with

0:34:06.360 --> 0:34:08.960
<v Speaker 9>Bob Mumguard when he was a senior fellow at the

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:10.360
<v Speaker 9>MIT Fusion Lab.

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.439
<v Speaker 7>It was very clear if you cracked.

0:34:14.120 --> 0:34:17.040
<v Speaker 9>Fusion as a technology, it was one of the largest

0:34:17.200 --> 0:34:19.800
<v Speaker 9>markets in the world, much much larger than for example,

0:34:19.880 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 9>Google's market. Because energy markets are very large, and so

0:34:25.000 --> 0:34:27.680
<v Speaker 9>that is exciting. You can lose one time, So your

0:34:27.719 --> 0:34:29.760
<v Speaker 9>money you can make a thousand times your money.

0:34:29.760 --> 0:34:31.080
<v Speaker 7>That's a pretty good trade off.

0:34:31.400 --> 0:34:34.560
<v Speaker 3>Then I brew up against commercial breaks very quickly. Is

0:34:34.600 --> 0:34:36.480
<v Speaker 3>it a good time to be a bench catalyst.

0:34:36.680 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 7>I think it's a great time to be an a

0:34:38.800 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 7>venture capitalist.

0:34:40.160 --> 0:34:44.320
<v Speaker 9>Most of the large companies are cutting off their advanced projects,

0:34:44.960 --> 0:34:48.920
<v Speaker 9>and so the best people leave start companies. That's the

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:52.800
<v Speaker 9>raw material. We need great talent, and there's plenty of capital.

0:34:52.920 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 9>So it's a great time. The next five years will

0:34:55.120 --> 0:34:56.640
<v Speaker 9>look really, really good.

0:34:57.080 --> 0:34:59.200
<v Speaker 4>You've got to be optimistic in this game. It's great.

0:34:59.200 --> 0:35:00.520
<v Speaker 4>Tows in time with you. Thank you.

0:35:00.640 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 2>Vernodekoes of Kosler Ventures, the founder there. Of course, it's

0:35:11.960 --> 0:35:15.520
<v Speaker 2>been going viral. Nordstrom plans to give up its store

0:35:15.560 --> 0:35:18.040
<v Speaker 2>in downtown San Francisco. The company will vacate more than

0:35:18.040 --> 0:35:20.680
<v Speaker 2>three hundred thousand square feet of space at Westfield San

0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 2>Francisco Center that's on Market Street, shopping and tourist area

0:35:24.280 --> 0:35:26.839
<v Speaker 2>in the heart of downtown. It also plans to get

0:35:26.880 --> 0:35:30.400
<v Speaker 2>this shut it's nearby Nordstrom Rack Now. The move follows

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:33.719
<v Speaker 2>others like Office Depot Anthropology also shutting down the Market

0:35:33.760 --> 0:35:37.040
<v Speaker 2>Street adjacent locations. It says the city just struggles with

0:35:37.080 --> 0:35:40.200
<v Speaker 2>empty office buildings and crime concerns, and ed I felt

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:42.560
<v Speaker 2>that like having lived there briefly in twenty sixteen and

0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:44.440
<v Speaker 2>then coming back to see you as I love to do,

0:35:45.200 --> 0:35:48.040
<v Speaker 2>Market Street is just an extraordinary place. Nowadays, there is

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:49.759
<v Speaker 2>nothing to go to, nothing to buy, and when you

0:35:49.800 --> 0:35:51.799
<v Speaker 2>do go into the Macy's there, for example.

0:35:51.440 --> 0:35:51.960
<v Speaker 4>It's empty.

0:35:52.719 --> 0:35:54.319
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you know it follows on from the Whole

0:35:54.320 --> 0:35:57.239
<v Speaker 3>Food's decision right to close that downtown store around a

0:35:57.320 --> 0:35:59.759
<v Speaker 3>year after it opened. There is a big discussion in

0:35:59.800 --> 0:36:02.960
<v Speaker 3>this city about what went wrong on Market Street. Remember

0:36:03.000 --> 0:36:06.040
<v Speaker 3>they tried to bring in tech Twitter and Uber's offices.

0:36:06.080 --> 0:36:09.200
<v Speaker 3>They gave them incentives to do so to regenerate the area,

0:36:09.280 --> 0:36:10.320
<v Speaker 3>but it hasn't worked.

0:36:11.440 --> 0:36:13.880
<v Speaker 4>What do you make though of the cynicism that you see.

0:36:13.800 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 2>In social media as it goes viral, everyone sort of

0:36:16.000 --> 0:36:18.160
<v Speaker 2>wringing their hands. Do we need to be as desperate

0:36:18.600 --> 0:36:19.960
<v Speaker 2>as some of the sentiments seems?

0:36:20.640 --> 0:36:22.239
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Look, I think that there is a lot of

0:36:22.280 --> 0:36:24.680
<v Speaker 3>people calling on the mayor in the DA to take

0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:27.399
<v Speaker 3>action at street level to fix that part of town.

0:36:27.600 --> 0:36:30.280
<v Speaker 3>But there is definitely a tech and broader economic story

0:36:30.320 --> 0:36:32.840
<v Speaker 3>there that will continue to cover on this program.

0:36:33.000 --> 0:36:35.120
<v Speaker 4>And that does it for this edition of Bluebow Technology.