WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - October 12th, 2019

0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:06.440
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio. I'm Jason

0:00:06.480 --> 0:00:08.799
<v Speaker 1>Kelly and I'm Carol Master. Welcome to the Bloomberg Business

0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:12.559
<v Speaker 1>Week Weekend Podcast. Another busy week here at Bloomberg, and

0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:14.600
<v Speaker 1>over the next couple of hours will bring you some

0:00:14.640 --> 0:00:16.639
<v Speaker 1>of the news of the week and a lot that's

0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:19.920
<v Speaker 1>in the magazine. It's such an interesting issue of the magazine, Carol,

0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:22.640
<v Speaker 1>because I feel like there's an underlying theme, and it's

0:00:22.680 --> 0:00:26.320
<v Speaker 1>all about the Silicon Valley notion of move fast and

0:00:26.440 --> 0:00:30.600
<v Speaker 1>break stuff, the disruptors, and the implications of taking that

0:00:30.720 --> 0:00:33.519
<v Speaker 1>as your business model. It shows up in Tesla, it

0:00:33.600 --> 0:00:38.240
<v Speaker 1>shows up in Jewel and what we're seeing is doesn't

0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:40.559
<v Speaker 1>always work so great, right some of the consequences as

0:00:40.560 --> 0:00:42.800
<v Speaker 1>a result of it. And I love the Tesla story

0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:45.720
<v Speaker 1>in particular, it's the cover story, but it really gets

0:00:45.720 --> 0:00:48.600
<v Speaker 1>into ethical questions that as we move into this self

0:00:48.680 --> 0:00:53.000
<v Speaker 1>driving universe, how comfortable are we that we want this?

0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:56.400
<v Speaker 1>But probably to get to it to full self driving,

0:00:56.440 --> 0:00:58.440
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna lose some lives along the way. So what's

0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the public's comfort hall with that? And speaking of Silicon value,

0:01:02.560 --> 0:01:06.280
<v Speaker 1>we've got a deep dive into Oracle it's adventures, shall

0:01:06.319 --> 0:01:10.960
<v Speaker 1>we say, in the cloud. And also economics taking the

0:01:12.040 --> 0:01:15.720
<v Speaker 1>and also economics taking center stage again. The risk of

0:01:15.760 --> 0:01:18.360
<v Speaker 1>a global recession? What is it? And what are the

0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:20.880
<v Speaker 1>risk of the recession closer to home? Well and right?

0:01:20.959 --> 0:01:24.480
<v Speaker 1>And the US And and that's right, Jason, because the

0:01:24.480 --> 0:01:26.800
<v Speaker 1>next US recession, it's probably not going to be homegrown.

0:01:26.800 --> 0:01:29.200
<v Speaker 1>It's going to be the result of some geopolitical factors,

0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.760
<v Speaker 1>some big macro story that's out there around the globe.

0:01:32.040 --> 0:01:33.840
<v Speaker 1>So what will it be like and what can the

0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:37.080
<v Speaker 1>FED do to prevent it? First up, Carol. This week,

0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:40.559
<v Speaker 1>Turkey launched air strikes, fired artillery, and began a ground

0:01:40.560 --> 0:01:45.639
<v Speaker 1>offensive against Kurdish fighters in northern Syria. This came after

0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:48.520
<v Speaker 1>President Trump pulled US troops out of the area, and

0:01:48.560 --> 0:01:50.520
<v Speaker 1>that paid the way for an assault on forces that

0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:54.639
<v Speaker 1>have long been allied with the United States. Republican Senator

0:01:54.720 --> 0:01:58.280
<v Speaker 1>Lindsay Graham says the move will have dire consequences. The

0:01:58.400 --> 0:02:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Kurds are the owned forces that destroyed the caliphate with

0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:06.200
<v Speaker 1>American air power. We've abandoned them. That breaks my heart.

0:02:06.240 --> 0:02:08.800
<v Speaker 1>I hope the President will change his mind and readjust

0:02:08.840 --> 0:02:12.040
<v Speaker 1>his policy before it's too late. Another busy news cycle

0:02:12.240 --> 0:02:15.800
<v Speaker 1>this week, Jason, no doubt about it, and another geopolitical concern,

0:02:15.960 --> 0:02:18.320
<v Speaker 1>and this one had to do with US policy in Syria.

0:02:18.320 --> 0:02:21.360
<v Speaker 1>I feel like this took a lot of folks in Washington,

0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:23.760
<v Speaker 1>around the country, around the world by surprise. Well, and

0:02:23.840 --> 0:02:26.919
<v Speaker 1>that global element is especially important because it affects other

0:02:26.960 --> 0:02:31.440
<v Speaker 1>countries in the US relationship with other countries, none more

0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:35.520
<v Speaker 1>so in many ways than Russia. Henry Meyer joins us

0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:40.840
<v Speaker 1>from our Moscow bureau with some really good context his story.

0:02:40.960 --> 0:02:43.560
<v Speaker 1>His reporting on the terminal this week has been key

0:02:43.600 --> 0:02:46.640
<v Speaker 1>to understanding everything that's going on here. So there in

0:02:46.720 --> 0:02:51.480
<v Speaker 1>your backyard, Henry, help us understand Russia's place in all

0:02:51.520 --> 0:02:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of this well. Russia has been looking to restore the

0:02:57.040 --> 0:02:59.840
<v Speaker 1>influence at Hann in the Middle East, which was very

0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:05.679
<v Speaker 1>strong during the Soviet era that changed dramatically after the

0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:11.200
<v Speaker 1>collapse of the Soviet Union and really Putin. President Putin

0:03:11.400 --> 0:03:17.320
<v Speaker 1>has had immense success in this field. The intervention that

0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:21.280
<v Speaker 1>Russia did in Syria starting a few years ago, in

0:03:21.320 --> 0:03:25.800
<v Speaker 1>which they succeeded in reversing the outcome of the Civil War.

0:03:26.560 --> 0:03:30.080
<v Speaker 1>President Assett was on the verge of being overthrown and

0:03:30.160 --> 0:03:35.000
<v Speaker 1>he's now firmly empowered. This has been a great success.

0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:40.280
<v Speaker 1>But what is happening now is that the US withdrawal

0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:46.680
<v Speaker 1>from Syria is providing Russia and opportunity to really cement

0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:50.400
<v Speaker 1>that situation in Syria. But it's not just about Syria.

0:03:50.440 --> 0:03:52.240
<v Speaker 1>I think you're right that Russia has since filled the

0:03:52.320 --> 0:03:56.240
<v Speaker 1>vacuum from Syria to Libya, even luring Turkey into buying

0:03:56.520 --> 0:03:59.040
<v Speaker 1>um some military equipment. I mean, it's it's a much

0:03:59.080 --> 0:04:04.000
<v Speaker 1>broader impact here potentially, right for Russia. That's right. I mean, Syria,

0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:06.600
<v Speaker 1>if you like, has been Russia's calling card in the

0:04:06.640 --> 0:04:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Middle East. It's the reason why it's taken seriously now.

0:04:11.120 --> 0:04:14.200
<v Speaker 1>But it's using that to expand its role in in

0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:20.280
<v Speaker 1>many other countries. In Libya, there are increasing reports that

0:04:20.839 --> 0:04:26.880
<v Speaker 1>Russia is backing the strongman in the East, General Halftar,

0:04:27.680 --> 0:04:33.440
<v Speaker 1>and it is developing relationships with traditional US allies like

0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:38.279
<v Speaker 1>Saudi Arabia. President Putin is due to visit Saudi Arabia shortly.

0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:43.120
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned Turkey. That's very important. The decision by Turkey

0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to defy US pressure and to go ahead with buying

0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:51.680
<v Speaker 1>the S four hundred missile defense system. It could be

0:04:51.720 --> 0:04:55.520
<v Speaker 1>a turning point actually for that country's relationship with the

0:04:55.520 --> 0:04:58.799
<v Speaker 1>West and with Russia. And so what is the most

0:04:58.920 --> 0:05:04.279
<v Speaker 1>likely next move for Russia. You talked about President Putin

0:05:04.360 --> 0:05:08.400
<v Speaker 1>visiting Saudi Arabia. Obviously that neighborhood as it were, has

0:05:08.440 --> 0:05:13.320
<v Speaker 1>become very complicated. As you described, what might Russia and

0:05:13.400 --> 0:05:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Moscow do next? Well, their first priority is to try

0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:20.719
<v Speaker 1>and use the current situation to its advantage in Syria,

0:05:21.800 --> 0:05:27.560
<v Speaker 1>So it's trying to engineer a solution involving President Assad,

0:05:27.640 --> 0:05:33.400
<v Speaker 1>the Koords and Turkey which would allow Assad to essentially

0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:37.680
<v Speaker 1>reclaim control of most of the of the Kurdish area um.

0:05:37.800 --> 0:05:41.960
<v Speaker 1>And then secondly, it's clearly going to be looking for

0:05:42.720 --> 0:05:48.560
<v Speaker 1>corporation from Gulf country, Saudi Arabia and others in reconstruction

0:05:49.279 --> 0:05:53.720
<v Speaker 1>or Syria. It has very ambitious goals in terms of

0:05:54.000 --> 0:05:57.440
<v Speaker 1>remaking its relationships with all the countries in the region.

0:05:58.200 --> 0:06:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Russia has a very speci ific role in the sense

0:06:02.120 --> 0:06:05.360
<v Speaker 1>that it keeps ties with all of the different countries,

0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:08.960
<v Speaker 1>mutual enemies. It's quite unique in that way. And that's

0:06:08.960 --> 0:06:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Henry Meyer joining us from Moscow and Carol I thought

0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:15.200
<v Speaker 1>that was so interesting in part because we've obviously been

0:06:15.200 --> 0:06:18.880
<v Speaker 1>looking at this through a very US focus, Lens, but

0:06:19.120 --> 0:06:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Russia is a major player in all of this well,

0:06:21.560 --> 0:06:25.280
<v Speaker 1>especially when if we're creating vacuums in an area like

0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the Middle East, which is so unsettled, it does provide

0:06:28.600 --> 0:06:31.240
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity for Russia to fill that and you do

0:06:31.279 --> 0:06:34.680
<v Speaker 1>wonder about the consequences UH in the future as a

0:06:34.720 --> 0:06:37.479
<v Speaker 1>result of that. This is an important story. The story

0:06:37.520 --> 0:06:39.960
<v Speaker 1>of Jewel is not unlike that of so many esteem

0:06:40.000 --> 0:06:42.720
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley tech startups that moved fast. It disrupted an

0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:46.000
<v Speaker 1>established industry. We're talking about the cigarette business, that's right,

0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:49.320
<v Speaker 1>and it has found itself in the middle of probably

0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:52.599
<v Speaker 1>one of the biggest public health controversies we've seen in

0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:56.599
<v Speaker 1>quite some time. Lornetta joins us from l A. She

0:06:57.080 --> 0:06:59.800
<v Speaker 1>is the co author of one of the really most

0:07:00.000 --> 0:07:03.080
<v Speaker 1>spelling reads in the magazine this week, It's all about Jewel.

0:07:03.240 --> 0:07:06.400
<v Speaker 1>I learned a ton from this story. Lauren, take us

0:07:06.400 --> 0:07:09.520
<v Speaker 1>back to the beginning, because the origins of this company

0:07:09.560 --> 0:07:14.400
<v Speaker 1>are fascinating. Yeah, absolutely so. Like many other Silicon Valley companies,

0:07:14.440 --> 0:07:17.840
<v Speaker 1>this one started at Stanford University. The two founders of

0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:21.680
<v Speaker 1>the company were graduate students studying at the Business school,

0:07:22.120 --> 0:07:26.640
<v Speaker 1>and they were smokers and they were sharing smokes out

0:07:26.640 --> 0:07:30.360
<v Speaker 1>back and decided that, wow, this is a very outmoded

0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:33.240
<v Speaker 1>product and maybe we can innovate on this. So that's

0:07:33.240 --> 0:07:35.200
<v Speaker 1>what they set out to do. They did a lot

0:07:35.240 --> 0:07:38.280
<v Speaker 1>of research, they launched their very first version of an

0:07:38.280 --> 0:07:41.080
<v Speaker 1>east cigarette UM at a time when there wasn't too

0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:44.960
<v Speaker 1>much competition on the market. So they basically innovated in

0:07:45.000 --> 0:07:49.320
<v Speaker 1>the cigarette space and launched what became the most popular

0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:51.120
<v Speaker 1>east cigarette in the world. All right, but it wasn't

0:07:51.120 --> 0:07:53.160
<v Speaker 1>so easy, right, because at first I think that the

0:07:53.200 --> 0:07:55.600
<v Speaker 1>initial device maybe didn't work so well. It was hard

0:07:55.720 --> 0:07:58.880
<v Speaker 1>getting investor money to initially. Yeah. Yeah. You know. It's

0:07:58.920 --> 0:08:01.600
<v Speaker 1>interesting because is at the time when they were seeking money,

0:08:01.640 --> 0:08:04.280
<v Speaker 1>this is circa two thousand and five to two thousand

0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:06.520
<v Speaker 1>and ten, when they were really starting to they have

0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:09.600
<v Speaker 1>their prototype, they want to start launching it, and they

0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:13.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of got the cold shoulder from Silicon Valley investors. Originally,

0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:16.680
<v Speaker 1>this is considered the tobacco industry is kind of considered

0:08:16.720 --> 0:08:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to be one of the sin industries, and Silicon Valley

0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:22.840
<v Speaker 1>really kind of shunned and shunned those sin industries. So

0:08:23.120 --> 0:08:26.239
<v Speaker 1>they originally had a very tough time getting some funding.

0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:28.560
<v Speaker 1>But that all changed, of course a little bit later

0:08:28.560 --> 0:08:31.240
<v Speaker 1>down the road. And what changed it, I mean, obviously

0:08:31.320 --> 0:08:34.800
<v Speaker 1>part of it was positioning, because they got people on

0:08:34.840 --> 0:08:36.960
<v Speaker 1>board with this idea of no, no, no, no, this

0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:41.600
<v Speaker 1>is actually an antidote in a way to what was

0:08:41.679 --> 0:08:47.320
<v Speaker 1>already considered then a public health crisis. Exactly. So two things, well,

0:08:47.520 --> 0:08:50.880
<v Speaker 1>multiple things happened, but really cigarettes had just it was

0:08:51.360 --> 0:08:54.920
<v Speaker 1>very clear that cigarettes were going to be a dying industry.

0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:58.640
<v Speaker 1>Fewer people every year, we're smoking three percent declines year

0:08:58.720 --> 0:09:02.720
<v Speaker 1>over year, and everybody was starting to turn away from cigarettes.

0:09:02.800 --> 0:09:06.120
<v Speaker 1>But of course they're addicted. They are addicted to the nicotine.

0:09:06.200 --> 0:09:09.160
<v Speaker 1>So that's sort of what the company founders really zeroed

0:09:09.160 --> 0:09:12.480
<v Speaker 1>in on. We can allow smokers to continue to have

0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:14.959
<v Speaker 1>a nicotine fix, but it's not going to have the

0:09:15.000 --> 0:09:17.960
<v Speaker 1>combustion that causes the tar and the lungs and is

0:09:18.040 --> 0:09:20.400
<v Speaker 1>ultimately the cause of lung cancer. So they kind of

0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:24.200
<v Speaker 1>positioned it almost as a more healthful product, as a

0:09:24.200 --> 0:09:30.000
<v Speaker 1>healthful alternative to cigarettes, and that's really it started catching on. Um.

0:09:30.040 --> 0:09:34.360
<v Speaker 1>But the second thing was really it's a very addictive product. Um.

0:09:34.440 --> 0:09:39.480
<v Speaker 1>They invented something called a nicotine salt vape liquid. And

0:09:39.600 --> 0:09:43.280
<v Speaker 1>basically they had chemists early on in their laboratories and

0:09:43.320 --> 0:09:47.880
<v Speaker 1>they devise this ultra powerful nicotine liquid and that for

0:09:47.960 --> 0:09:50.840
<v Speaker 1>sure helped get a lot of people hooked onto their products. Well,

0:09:50.880 --> 0:09:53.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think what is so troubling is how did

0:09:53.559 --> 0:09:58.320
<v Speaker 1>so many teenagers, right those under age get hooked on

0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a product like Jewel. Well, this is the thorniest issue

0:10:01.960 --> 0:10:05.400
<v Speaker 1>regarding Jewel. Um. But the fact of the matter is

0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:09.960
<v Speaker 1>early on, Jewel laid out and marketing campaign that was

0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:14.480
<v Speaker 1>pretty much designed to attract kids. It was super edgy,

0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:19.120
<v Speaker 1>had colorful graphics, really bold, they hired models, um it

0:10:19.240 --> 0:10:21.600
<v Speaker 1>just made it look like a very cool product. They

0:10:21.679 --> 0:10:26.520
<v Speaker 1>marketed on Instagram and sure enough, too much to nobody's surprise,

0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:30.479
<v Speaker 1>high school students eventually and meddical middle school students eventually

0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:34.439
<v Speaker 1>started trying the product. And the combination of the marketing

0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:38.160
<v Speaker 1>and the highly addictive nature of the product really allowed

0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:42.080
<v Speaker 1>this product or facilitated this uh facilitated the spread of

0:10:42.120 --> 0:10:47.520
<v Speaker 1>this product across America and high schools and middle middle schools. Um.

0:10:47.800 --> 0:10:50.280
<v Speaker 1>So now you have millions of people addicted to it. Well,

0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:52.120
<v Speaker 1>the other element of your story that's so interesting, as

0:10:52.160 --> 0:10:55.120
<v Speaker 1>you say, like many other Silicon Valley starts, I think

0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of something like Uber that just kind of came into

0:10:57.040 --> 0:11:00.520
<v Speaker 1>the market may be ignored, you know, regulation in this

0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.720
<v Speaker 1>fast moving mindset. That was very much a part of

0:11:03.720 --> 0:11:05.920
<v Speaker 1>the Jewel model, like just kind of get it out there,

0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:09.000
<v Speaker 1>because from what I understand, and you're reporting along with

0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Ellen Hewitt, is that there were folks within the company

0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:14.839
<v Speaker 1>that were uncomfortable about kind of how fast they were

0:11:14.920 --> 0:11:17.839
<v Speaker 1>ramping up into who they were ramping up. Yeah, exactly.

0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:21.520
<v Speaker 1>They really adopted and embraced the model that is asked,

0:11:21.840 --> 0:11:25.120
<v Speaker 1>ask forgiveness, not permission. And that's we saw that with

0:11:25.240 --> 0:11:28.199
<v Speaker 1>Uber when they flooded the streets with these on demand

0:11:28.280 --> 0:11:30.839
<v Speaker 1>cab drivers, and then we saw it with birds scooters.

0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:34.640
<v Speaker 1>That's why you trip over bird scooters everywhere on street corners.

0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:37.480
<v Speaker 1>So they really they adopted that model like let's just

0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:40.160
<v Speaker 1>get it out there as fast as possible. We need

0:11:40.200 --> 0:11:43.680
<v Speaker 1>to really own this market as quickly as possible because

0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:46.520
<v Speaker 1>it was rapidly becoming more competitive with a big cigarette

0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:49.720
<v Speaker 1>companies getting in it. So they really did. They scaled

0:11:49.800 --> 0:11:52.920
<v Speaker 1>up super quickly. They were hiring lots of new people,

0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:57.160
<v Speaker 1>they were producing the product at a really fast rate,

0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and yeah, that did make people inside the company uncomfortable.

0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.680
<v Speaker 1>All they felt like, wait a minute, let's let's slow

0:12:02.720 --> 0:12:05.360
<v Speaker 1>down a little bit. Let's make sure our internal controls

0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:08.560
<v Speaker 1>are adequate enough so we don't have any sort of

0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:12.319
<v Speaker 1>problem down the road. But there was constantly a mindset

0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:15.840
<v Speaker 1>of growth first and then let's figure it all out later,

0:12:15.960 --> 0:12:19.400
<v Speaker 1>which is a traditional silicon valley model. But when you

0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 1>have a product that has such a huge health implications,

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.520
<v Speaker 1>that's sort of that's where it got sticky Well and Lauren,

0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:29.520
<v Speaker 1>it feels like also mindful of the fact that regulators

0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:32.400
<v Speaker 1>didn't really know what to make of this. Lawmakers didn't

0:12:32.400 --> 0:12:34.120
<v Speaker 1>know what to make of it, so they had this

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:38.200
<v Speaker 1>moment that they could seize that while those were folks

0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>were figuring it all out, they were going to build

0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.120
<v Speaker 1>a big business. Yeah. This is the most interesting aspect

0:12:43.160 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>of all of this is when the cigarettes and jewels

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 1>started really unrolling unrolling their product. It was around two

0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:54.079
<v Speaker 1>thousand and fifteen and the FDA had been regulating cigarettes

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:57.120
<v Speaker 1>and tobacco products now for several years, but when they

0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:01.079
<v Speaker 1>wrote the regulation, they didn't include e cigarettes as a

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:05.280
<v Speaker 1>quote unquote tobacco product. So here come these companies that

0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:09.160
<v Speaker 1>are starting to sell these highly addictive nicotine products and

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>there's virtually no regulation from the FDA, So they had

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 1>a golden opportunity. Jewel and all these other cigarette companies,

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.319
<v Speaker 1>they had a golden opportunity to seize the market, to

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:23.080
<v Speaker 1>flood the market with as much as their product before

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:26.120
<v Speaker 1>regulators came in and kind of rain them in. So

0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:30.440
<v Speaker 1>Jewel definitely exploited that, and all the other cigarette companies

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>did too, and that facilitated definitely the rapid wildfire spread

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:36.600
<v Speaker 1>of the Jewel that we've seen over the past few years.

0:13:36.880 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 1>That's Lauren Eddar joining us from Los Angeles. This feature story, Jason,

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 1>you and I talked about it a lot in the

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>news room. I think what's interesting about this one is

0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:45.440
<v Speaker 1>I think we all just kind of take for granted

0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:49.559
<v Speaker 1>Jewel in the marketplace, But this gets into the to Stanford,

0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:53.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, graduates who worked on this, created this um,

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.199
<v Speaker 1>the troubles and kind of bringing it to market initially,

0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 1>but how they became really the major player in this market,

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 1>and how they did it by flying really under the

0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 1>radar of regulators well and now very much front of

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 1>mine for regulators. And very much front of mine. I

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:13.199
<v Speaker 1>feel like in the broader public conversation, this happened very quickly.

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 1>It's a fast moving story, and this is really important

0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>context and full transparency. Michael Bloomberg, the founder majority owner

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:22.880
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg LP, the parent company of Bloomberg Radio Bloomberg Television,

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 1>has campaigned and given money in support of a ban

0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:29.360
<v Speaker 1>on flavored East cigarettes and tobacco. So, Jason, I think

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:31.920
<v Speaker 1>safe to say that increasingly we are seeing medical research

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 1>tap into using the human body to figure out what

0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 1>ails it. Yeah, I was struck with this story. You know,

0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 1>we've talked a lot about immunotherapy when it comes to

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:44.720
<v Speaker 1>fighting cancer. That brings us to a story in the

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:49.720
<v Speaker 1>Tech section about really harnessing the body's garbage disposal. I

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:53.360
<v Speaker 1>love the imagery here. It's technical, but even I understood

0:14:53.360 --> 0:14:57.320
<v Speaker 1>it after reading it. Rebecca Penty joins us from London.

0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.920
<v Speaker 1>She's got the details. So, Rebecca, what do we talk

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:02.960
<v Speaker 1>about here? So for a long time, scientists have known

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 1>about the body's own garbage disposal. This is at a

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:10.760
<v Speaker 1>molecular level, when when the body realizes that there's proteins

0:15:10.800 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 1>that are malfunctioning, that are bad proteins or just simply

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 1>proteins that it doesn't need anymore. It sends out these

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 1>compounds that actually collect those proteins and break them down

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:26.480
<v Speaker 1>and either junk them or recycle them and create new ones.

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>And so for years, for decades, scientists have been trying

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 1>to figure out could we actually use that that system

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 1>and harness it in a way that would allow us

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 1>to go after diseases, because keep in mind, most diseases

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 1>are really just clusters of um of proteins that are

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:51.440
<v Speaker 1>clumped together and that are misbehaving in a way, and

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:54.120
<v Speaker 1>they need to be broken up, and most traditional medicines

0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 1>really make them, you know, kind of put them on pause,

0:15:58.040 --> 0:16:02.240
<v Speaker 1>pause their growth. In this new way of thinking, in

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>this new technology, the drug companies are testing treatments that

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:12.160
<v Speaker 1>would go in and piggyback onto the body's own garbage

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>disposal units and target those bad proteins and get rid

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 1>of them. I feel like it makes so much sense,

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think they call them degraders. Right, So talk

0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>to us about what's going on in the medical world,

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 1>who's working on it, who's who's doing the cutting edge research,

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>Because it sounds like some big drug companies are also

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:33.080
<v Speaker 1>getting involved. Yeah, that's right. It started out as an

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.040
<v Speaker 1>idea that came out of Yale University, and then it

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>turned into sort of a fringe area of medical research.

0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 1>It was very difficult for scientists involved in the early

0:16:42.520 --> 0:16:46.840
<v Speaker 1>stage to get funding. But earlier in this past decade,

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.200
<v Speaker 1>what scientists started discovering is that some of the most

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:54.400
<v Speaker 1>successful drugs, so Revlimid, for example, it's a it's a

0:16:54.480 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>multiple my aloma cancer drug, functioned by blocking the body's

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 1>own garbage recycling unit so or process. Rather, so they

0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:10.400
<v Speaker 1>discovered that these drugs work by blocking that process. Now

0:17:10.520 --> 0:17:12.679
<v Speaker 1>scientists started to think, what if we could do the

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.800
<v Speaker 1>reverse and what if we could harness that process, and

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 1>so in around two fourteen, two fifteen was when things

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.879
<v Speaker 1>really started to take off. And since then all the

0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>big drug companies as well as some smaller biotechs. So

0:17:25.840 --> 0:17:28.159
<v Speaker 1>if you think of the big guys like Beer and

0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:32.960
<v Speaker 1>em Gine, Novartis, they're all involved in testing these new

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:39.560
<v Speaker 1>treatments targeting various cancers, Alzheimer's, you know, pick a disease,

0:17:39.600 --> 0:17:42.359
<v Speaker 1>you name it, they're looking at it. Um this this

0:17:42.400 --> 0:17:46.640
<v Speaker 1>could have broad, broad appeal. Is worth mentioning that this

0:17:46.680 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>is still very early stage. Um. Only a few of

0:17:50.240 --> 0:17:52.400
<v Speaker 1>these drugs have hit human trials and a few more

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:55.080
<v Speaker 1>going to hit human trials in the coming year. So

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:57.520
<v Speaker 1>it'll be a few years yet before we find out

0:17:57.560 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 1>whether this treatment, this type of treatment is really effective

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>and safe. But there are high, high hopes. And so, Rebecca,

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 1>what was the breakthrough moment in terms of moving it

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:12.480
<v Speaker 1>from the fringe to the mainstream. I mean, obviously the

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 1>answer would seem to be there's some commercial appeal, that's

0:18:15.280 --> 0:18:17.919
<v Speaker 1>why these big drug companies are getting into it. But

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 1>as you said, initially when it was coming out of

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Yale or when the research was happening, there weren't a

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:25.720
<v Speaker 1>lot of takers and a lot of skepticism about whether

0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 1>this could even be a thing. It was. It wasn't

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>one moment, but it was a series of discoveries with

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 1>regards to drugs that were already on the market that

0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:38.000
<v Speaker 1>they either found out they worked like REVLEMD the litamide,

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.680
<v Speaker 1>which is a predecessor drugs to revlement that they either

0:18:40.840 --> 0:18:45.760
<v Speaker 1>worked by blocking the recycling process or they actually worked

0:18:45.800 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 1>by using the recycling process. You know, sometimes drugs we

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.280
<v Speaker 1>don't actually know why they work or how they work.

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:54.880
<v Speaker 1>But they work, and then scientists go when they reverse

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 1>engineer that and try to figure out how does this work.

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 1>So in around thousand and fourteen, thousand and fifteen, two

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 1>thousands sixteen, they were discovering that a lot of the

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 1>most popular drugs were working by tapping into this garbage

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 1>disposal system, and so scientists started doing more targeted work, thinking, Okay,

0:19:13.359 --> 0:19:15.640
<v Speaker 1>what's the protein we want to go after to cure,

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:19.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, prostate cancer. If we've got a patient who

0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:23.680
<v Speaker 1>is not responding well to traditional hormone treatments, could we

0:19:23.760 --> 0:19:28.200
<v Speaker 1>start going after these proteins piggybacking onto the the garbage

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:32.119
<v Speaker 1>recycling process, and that's what they're doing. So various biotechs

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 1>are doing different things. Some are doing more kind of

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:38.719
<v Speaker 1>experimental work, some are trying to just improve existing drugs,

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>like the prostate cancer treatment. And that's Rebecca Penty joining

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 1>us from London. This was an interesting little story, I

0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:50.040
<v Speaker 1>have to say, because we've talked a lot about immunotherapy,

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 1>but this whole notion of the garbage disposal. It was

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>a technical story in many ways and ultimately kind of simple, yeah,

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.159
<v Speaker 1>very simple. And what's interesting is we increasingly in the

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:04.280
<v Speaker 1>medical community about using the body to combat illness disease,

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>and these protein degrade ers. They could be one of

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 1>the most significant advances in drug making technology in decades.

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:12.639
<v Speaker 1>Everybody's all and it may take some time for them

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:15.040
<v Speaker 1>to come out. They're still in the early stages. But

0:20:15.160 --> 0:20:19.040
<v Speaker 1>I think fascinating about the possibilities. So getting to a

0:20:19.080 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 1>world with self driving cars could be in a world

0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:24.239
<v Speaker 1>where we save lives. Getting there, though, is probably going

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 1>to require losing a few lives first. It's a predicament.

0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 1>This story really struck me because it is a very

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen story in the sense of technology and ethics

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>and are very humanity all colliding in one story. Zach

0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:45.040
<v Speaker 1>Miter is here with us. It's all about Tesla and

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>its efforts to create the ultimate self driving car. What's

0:20:49.680 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>going on? So a lot of companies are trying to

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 1>build driverless cars, and the promise is that set aside

0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:59.840
<v Speaker 1>all the other good things that might come with driverless

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 1>UH technology, it could has the potential to save a

0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 1>ton of lives. Something like thirty eight thousand people die

0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:09.399
<v Speaker 1>every year. It just in the United States, more than

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 1>a million globally, and most of those UH fatalities are

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 1>caused by human error of one kind or another. So

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 1>if you can remove somehow keep the cars but remove

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:24.199
<v Speaker 1>the human error, there's just massive life saving potential. Well,

0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and that's the predicament, right that in order to get

0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:31.119
<v Speaker 1>to that point. Unfortunately, we're going to see some accidents

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 1>as people continue to test auto pilots correct because they

0:21:34.640 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>need the data to get better. Well. So Tesla is

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.119
<v Speaker 1>taking an approach that's totally different from everyone else in

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:46.840
<v Speaker 1>the autonomous industry. Almost everyone else is basically saying, we

0:21:47.000 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>have to be really careful about safety. We're going to

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>try to build an autonomous car that works autonomously before

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 1>we really like start producing it in large quantities and

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 1>selling it to people, and we we have to sort

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:05.399
<v Speaker 1>of get it perfect or almost almost perfect before because

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:08.440
<v Speaker 1>otherwise the concern is the public is gonna react, They're

0:22:08.440 --> 0:22:11.040
<v Speaker 1>going to freak out, they're gonna ban these things. It

0:22:11.080 --> 0:22:13.560
<v Speaker 1>could be a big problem. And then there's Tesla test

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 1>is taking the total opposite approach, which is saying, listen,

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 1>we don't have autonomous technology yet, but we have this

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:22.399
<v Speaker 1>stuff that's like pretty good. You have to oversee it.

0:22:23.119 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 1>It might sometimes make mistakes, but we'll just tell we'll

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>just sell it. We'll put it in the cars, and

0:22:28.119 --> 0:22:31.679
<v Speaker 1>we'll tell the customers. You have to oversee this thing

0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:34.040
<v Speaker 1>at all times. You have to constantly supervise. It only

0:22:34.080 --> 0:22:37.600
<v Speaker 1>works on highways basically, but it works pretty well on highways.

0:22:37.680 --> 0:22:43.240
<v Speaker 1>You can um without touching a pedal or or the

0:22:43.320 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 1>steering wheel. You can drive for miles. You got in

0:22:46.640 --> 0:22:50.880
<v Speaker 1>a car, correct, that's right? And what was it like? Yeah,

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:54.680
<v Speaker 1>walk us through that. It's it's creepy, you know, it's

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.400
<v Speaker 1>a it's a creepy feeling. It's very different from cruise

0:22:57.440 --> 0:23:00.720
<v Speaker 1>control because it's doing all this stuff without you and

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 1>you you get to see kind of what the car seas, right,

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:05.760
<v Speaker 1>so you can you have a little video screen that

0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:08.640
<v Speaker 1>shows you, you know, if you drive along and there's

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:11.120
<v Speaker 1>a bicyclist in front of you, it shows an icon

0:23:11.240 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 1>of a bicyclist. It's recognizing somebody on a bike, or

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 1>it's recognizing a truck, or it's recognizing a car, and

0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:21.879
<v Speaker 1>it's making decisions about what these other objects are going

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 1>to do where the road is, and it's it's driving.

0:23:26.720 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 1>And so Tesla's approach, just so we totally understand it

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>is this notion that they think you need a certain

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:37.399
<v Speaker 1>amount of data that can only really be captured in

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:41.560
<v Speaker 1>real life situations, Like, what is there? What's their approach here?

0:23:41.720 --> 0:23:47.240
<v Speaker 1>Help me understand that their approach is essentially they think

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:51.919
<v Speaker 1>that to get to a fully driverless car, rather than

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:54.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of keep it in the lab and perfect it

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:57.159
<v Speaker 1>and get it right, they're going to put something that

0:23:57.280 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>needs human supervision into a car they can sell for money, right,

0:24:01.920 --> 0:24:03.960
<v Speaker 1>and get hundreds of thousands of them on the road.

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:06.760
<v Speaker 1>So there's like more than half a million of these

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:09.680
<v Speaker 1>cars out there today that you can use autopilot on.

0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:13.480
<v Speaker 1>And the theory is it's a little bit like the

0:24:13.520 --> 0:24:16.640
<v Speaker 1>Google search engine, right, which kind of gets smarter every

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 1>time you search on it because it sees how well

0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:22.960
<v Speaker 1>it did in giving you the right search result. There's

0:24:23.000 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>a Tesla claims that they're doing a similar thing with

0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 1>their cars, that they're they're actually collecting data from all

0:24:30.040 --> 0:24:33.359
<v Speaker 1>these cars and they think that they claim that that

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 1>will allow their their software to improve faster than the competition,

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:44.120
<v Speaker 1>because the competition, um the other the other companies using

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:48.400
<v Speaker 1>developing autonomous vehicles are doing it mostly. You know, they've

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.160
<v Speaker 1>got a hundred test cars, six D test cars, there

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:54.120
<v Speaker 1>Tesla's got you know, hundreds of thousands on the road.

0:24:54.400 --> 0:24:56.159
<v Speaker 1>I have to say one data points stood out for

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:58.440
<v Speaker 1>me zach test. The customers have logged more than one

0:24:58.480 --> 0:25:01.880
<v Speaker 1>point five billion mi is an autopilot, right, and they're

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:04.600
<v Speaker 1>often pushing the limits, even though Tesla says, you know,

0:25:04.760 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 1>you have to be aware, you have to be you know,

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.119
<v Speaker 1>in control at all times. We know, we've seen the

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:12.920
<v Speaker 1>stories of people doing other things while driving their Tesla.

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:15.359
<v Speaker 1>But at the same time, Tesla takes that data right

0:25:15.400 --> 0:25:17.879
<v Speaker 1>and they can continue to refine the software and then

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.440
<v Speaker 1>spit out upgrades right to these cars. I mean, this

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:24.400
<v Speaker 1>is kind of a constant loop that is going self learning. Yeah,

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:28.719
<v Speaker 1>that's the theory, right, But this is also a company

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that up until very recently sounds skeptical. I think, you know,

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 1>I think we have to be skeptical of all these

0:25:36.119 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>companies and and try to kick the tires as it were,

0:25:39.200 --> 0:25:43.320
<v Speaker 1>about you know what they're claiming, and it's it's uh,

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:46.120
<v Speaker 1>it may just be a coincidence. But Tesla until recently

0:25:46.840 --> 0:25:49.760
<v Speaker 1>was telling everyone that it was going to become super

0:25:49.840 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>profitable by selling the you know, by by building the

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:56.560
<v Speaker 1>first kind of mass market electric car. And selling those.

0:25:57.320 --> 0:26:00.480
<v Speaker 1>It's building the first mass market electric car them at three,

0:26:01.880 --> 0:26:04.879
<v Speaker 1>but it's not profitable yet. And so now the focus

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 1>is kind of in this new direction. We're going to

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:10.040
<v Speaker 1>get to autonomy. First, we need more time from investors

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:12.560
<v Speaker 1>more well, what about its safety record? What do we

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>know about that? Because if this is this is what

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:17.240
<v Speaker 1>everybody's concerned about, and if Tesla saying, hey, listen, we

0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:19.199
<v Speaker 1>know the way to do it by throwing a ton

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 1>of cars on the road, what is their safety record? Right,

0:26:21.840 --> 0:26:26.400
<v Speaker 1>so you would think that, um, you you would think that, uh,

0:26:26.760 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 1>it would be relatively easy to tell because there's so

0:26:30.280 --> 0:26:33.080
<v Speaker 1>many miles that they've already got under their belt. And

0:26:33.280 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Tesla has of course such a good data about what

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:37.879
<v Speaker 1>all these cars are doing. It's constantly talking to all

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:41.920
<v Speaker 1>these cars. Um. But it's actually a mystery to outsiders

0:26:42.080 --> 0:26:48.960
<v Speaker 1>exactly how dangerous this technology is. Regulators have basically up

0:26:49.040 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>until now not um taking any action. They open and

0:26:53.720 --> 0:26:57.119
<v Speaker 1>they open a defect investigation that closed without you know,

0:26:57.280 --> 0:27:00.000
<v Speaker 1>ordering a recall or forcing Tesla to make any change.

0:27:00.119 --> 0:27:04.360
<v Speaker 1>Just um, but it's actually quite hard to figure out

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 1>how safety these cars are. And you know, the kind

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>of UM positive case is that Tesla says, Look, humans

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:15.920
<v Speaker 1>are always supervising these cars, so you have all the

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:19.120
<v Speaker 1>safety of a human driver. It's just that the car

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>is doing things to help you write almost like almost

0:27:22.680 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 1>like analoc brakes or something. It's it's it's just the

0:27:25.359 --> 0:27:30.240
<v Speaker 1>safe and added its additive safety feature. But um, the

0:27:30.320 --> 0:27:34.560
<v Speaker 1>skeptical case says, when you take so much responsibility away

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:38.040
<v Speaker 1>from the driver, uh, they get lulled into a sense

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:41.919
<v Speaker 1>of complacency and they get distracted. It's actually very difficult

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:46.800
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention to supervising system that's working, that appears

0:27:46.800 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 1>to be working perfectly well on its own right and

0:27:49.440 --> 0:27:52.240
<v Speaker 1>so and this is a problem that airlines have had

0:27:53.200 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, as autopilot on airplanes is so

0:27:56.640 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 1>good that you know, they sometimes just get distracted the

0:27:59.640 --> 0:28:05.119
<v Speaker 1>pilot zone out. Yeah, and you mentioned regulators. What's the

0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:08.400
<v Speaker 1>issue with regulators? Have they just not caught up essentially

0:28:08.440 --> 0:28:11.160
<v Speaker 1>to to where the technology is? Can they not fully

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:16.440
<v Speaker 1>essentially comprehend where to go next? What what happens with them?

0:28:17.240 --> 0:28:20.960
<v Speaker 1>This is a very different issue than the ones that um,

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:27.119
<v Speaker 1>federal uh car regulators are used to. A more kind

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 1>of straightforward problem for them is, you know, company makes tires,

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the company that the tires fail, People get an accidents,

0:28:37.040 --> 0:28:40.479
<v Speaker 1>something that you could kind of identify on a test track, right,

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:43.960
<v Speaker 1>breakston't work, the steering, steering doesn't work, something like that.

0:28:44.600 --> 0:28:47.640
<v Speaker 1>That's the kind of straightforward problem that regulators are very

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:51.320
<v Speaker 1>well equipped to handle. This is is it's a little

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:57.840
<v Speaker 1>bit more like an experimental pharmaceutical. There's potential life saving opportunity,

0:28:58.320 --> 0:29:00.640
<v Speaker 1>but it also might have deadly side effect, and you

0:29:00.760 --> 0:29:02.760
<v Speaker 1>have to kind of weigh those things, and it's very

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:05.400
<v Speaker 1>hard to know that on a test track. You really

0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:07.400
<v Speaker 1>have to put it out in the real world to

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:09.959
<v Speaker 1>find out how it's going to react when another car

0:29:10.040 --> 0:29:12.240
<v Speaker 1>does something weird. I love that parallel that you make

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:15.080
<v Speaker 1>that you know, we do have a model for this industry,

0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:18.280
<v Speaker 1>for the self driving vehicle industry, and that is the

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 1>drug industry, right, because they do go through various phases

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:24.960
<v Speaker 1>of testing these ultimately on people to see if it works,

0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:27.840
<v Speaker 1>and sometimes it does and sometimes it doesn't. Right, And

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:29.680
<v Speaker 1>so there are people who are who are following the

0:29:29.720 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 1>autonomous car industry who are saying we need to um

0:29:33.960 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 1>to equip regulators to essentially act like the FDA does

0:29:37.800 --> 0:29:40.960
<v Speaker 1>and have kind of a series of phase tests that

0:29:41.040 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 1>are overseen by somebody outside the company. The Tesla Story

0:29:44.000 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the cover's story, one of the future stories in the

0:29:45.960 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>magazine as well, written by Zach Mydor. This story he

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 1>drove around in a Tesla Model three. He gave us

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.760
<v Speaker 1>his firstand experience of what it's like. But as we

0:29:53.840 --> 0:29:56.200
<v Speaker 1>talked with Joel Weber, the editor of the magazine, what's

0:29:56.240 --> 0:29:58.719
<v Speaker 1>great about this story is it really does look at

0:29:58.760 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 1>the ethical dilemma we've talked about, like autopilots having to

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:05.160
<v Speaker 1>make a choice between maybe somebody with a baby carriage

0:30:05.240 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 1>versus somebody walking a dog. But this takes it even deeper.

0:30:08.600 --> 0:30:11.840
<v Speaker 1>How willing are we as a society um going to

0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:14.760
<v Speaker 1>be comfortable with autopilot? We want it, but are we

0:30:14.800 --> 0:30:16.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be comfortable with losing some lives along the

0:30:17.040 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 1>way to get to that end? And there is, Carol,

0:30:19.200 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>a really strong connection between this story and the Jewel

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>story all around the regulatory framework, the ethos of Silicon

0:30:26.520 --> 0:30:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Valley in a lot of ways, and some big questions

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:31.360
<v Speaker 1>that I think we're all wrestling with in terms of

0:30:31.440 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the role of big tech in our lives. This story

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>was among the most read on the Bloomberg terminal. When

0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:38.120
<v Speaker 1>it came out, we talked about it so much on

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:41.040
<v Speaker 1>our daily radio program, and it was looking at what

0:30:41.280 --> 0:30:43.960
<v Speaker 1>the next US recession might be like. And it will

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 1>probably be like no other, right, we always talk about

0:30:46.960 --> 0:30:50.000
<v Speaker 1>this time will be different. It's beginning to feel like

0:30:50.240 --> 0:30:52.080
<v Speaker 1>it actually may be true when it comes to the

0:30:52.160 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>US economy. Christina lind Lad, who oversees the economic coverage

0:30:55.560 --> 0:30:58.640
<v Speaker 1>in the magazine, here with us about this story. So

0:30:58.800 --> 0:31:02.440
<v Speaker 1>give us the potential shape of a recession even when

0:31:02.480 --> 0:31:05.600
<v Speaker 1>it ever comes. Well, they're usually from history. We know

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 1>that they're triggered by a spike in inflation followed by

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:11.760
<v Speaker 1>a spike in interest rate as a FED intervened, and

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 1>then that causes an unwinding of you know, either economic

0:31:17.120 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 1>um you know, excesses or financial excesses. But this time,

0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:25.400
<v Speaker 1>inflation is low, the FED is cutting, and we don't

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>really see any bubbles. You know, stock prices don't really

0:31:28.280 --> 0:31:31.880
<v Speaker 1>seem to be you know, out of out of sync

0:31:31.920 --> 0:31:35.000
<v Speaker 1>considering that that rates are still low. So what is

0:31:35.080 --> 0:31:37.480
<v Speaker 1>going on? Why is there so much talk about recession?

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:41.719
<v Speaker 1>And basically, as we joked around this week, it's geopolitics stupid,

0:31:41.960 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's it's coming. It's sort of an

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:48.520
<v Speaker 1>external shock that we kind of self induced because we

0:31:48.840 --> 0:31:52.040
<v Speaker 1>started this trade war. But it's causing so much uncertainty

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 1>that businesses are are not investing or not spending and

0:31:56.400 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 1>creating new capacity because they're afraid that their supply chains

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:02.480
<v Speaker 1>going to start unwinding and lower interest rates by the

0:32:02.560 --> 0:32:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve. I mean they're already low, you know as

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 1>we as we sit right now, but even lowering them,

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:10.880
<v Speaker 1>that's not going to necessarily give businesses the confidence, right

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 1>Christina to go out and spell. So it doesn't change

0:32:13.920 --> 0:32:15.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it doesn't change the outlook. I mean, it

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 1>may weaken the dollar, which you know that would be helpful,

0:32:18.640 --> 0:32:22.200
<v Speaker 1>but it doesn't materially change you know. It's basically you

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:25.760
<v Speaker 1>know what we call the fog of the trade warld right, well,

0:32:25.840 --> 0:32:28.320
<v Speaker 1>And we talked so much about the strength of the

0:32:28.440 --> 0:32:32.360
<v Speaker 1>consumer amid all of this, and there is this notion

0:32:32.480 --> 0:32:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that at some point, if businesses do curtail spending by

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:40.320
<v Speaker 1>curtail hiring, people start to get a little bit more

0:32:40.720 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 1>worried about their jobs or promotions or bonuses or raises. Uh.

0:32:46.320 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 1>But we don't see any signs of that yet, how

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 1>is the consumer looking amid all this? The consumer is

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>feeling pretty good because the consumer was you know, kind

0:32:54.320 --> 0:32:58.800
<v Speaker 1>of late to harvest the fruits of this tenure um expansion,

0:32:59.080 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 1>you know that we've been in companies and other investors

0:33:01.680 --> 0:33:05.120
<v Speaker 1>felt at first. So wage growth has been ticking up

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:08.760
<v Speaker 1>in in the you know, in the recent year, you know,

0:33:09.000 --> 0:33:11.360
<v Speaker 1>and hiring, you know, even though there's been a little

0:33:11.360 --> 0:33:13.280
<v Speaker 1>bit of wobbles, is still a pretty you know, on

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>a high sustained pace. So we don't see yet that

0:33:17.480 --> 0:33:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the consumer has lost their nerve. But that really is

0:33:20.320 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 1>going to be one of the things that people are

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:23.800
<v Speaker 1>going to be looking at the next year, and they're

0:33:23.800 --> 0:33:26.720
<v Speaker 1>when we get hiring and how companies, because the feeling

0:33:26.800 --> 0:33:29.680
<v Speaker 1>is that at some point the trade wark will may

0:33:29.880 --> 0:33:34.240
<v Speaker 1>cause companies to start, you know, really um dialing back

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:36.960
<v Speaker 1>on hiring, right, right, if they start to look for

0:33:37.000 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 1>ways to cut costs, right they either or let start

0:33:39.960 --> 0:33:41.600
<v Speaker 1>to let people go, and then it just kind of

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.440
<v Speaker 1>all snowballs from there. I mean, the odds of a recession.

0:33:45.000 --> 0:33:46.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I feel like we keep seeing different polls

0:33:46.800 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 1>of you know, maybe a little bit higher than they

0:33:48.400 --> 0:33:49.880
<v Speaker 1>were a year ago, maybe a little bit lower. I

0:33:49.920 --> 0:33:52.280
<v Speaker 1>mean kind of go back and forth. Actually, bloomber Economics

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:55.200
<v Speaker 1>said there were higher than the beginning of the year,

0:33:55.240 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 1>but actually lower than during the summer. So people are

0:33:58.040 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 1>looking at a twelve month horizon and are seeing you know,

0:34:00.680 --> 0:34:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Economics, for example, says less than chance of ever recession.

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:10.120
<v Speaker 1>I think the highest you see. The big one big

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:13.320
<v Speaker 1>wild card is whether Trump would go ahead and levy

0:34:14.000 --> 0:34:18.200
<v Speaker 1>UM tariffs on the remainder of Chinese UM imports that

0:34:18.280 --> 0:34:20.759
<v Speaker 1>have not been tariffed yet. Some people say that if

0:34:20.840 --> 0:34:23.719
<v Speaker 1>that happens, it's inevitable. Well, and we've certainly heard from

0:34:23.760 --> 0:34:26.560
<v Speaker 1>FED chief J. Powell right who has talked about They

0:34:26.600 --> 0:34:30.040
<v Speaker 1>seem to still be optimistic about the outlook and say

0:34:30.080 --> 0:34:32.680
<v Speaker 1>that there's no reason why this expansion can't continue except

0:34:32.719 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 1>for these kind of macro factors, and they often point

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:37.839
<v Speaker 1>to trade at this point right at the same time,

0:34:37.920 --> 0:34:41.480
<v Speaker 1>though most people expect that they will cut again, you know,

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:43.720
<v Speaker 1>at the at the meeting at the end of October.

0:34:43.840 --> 0:34:46.200
<v Speaker 1>And that's Christina Lynn Blad. She oversees all of our

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:50.479
<v Speaker 1>economics coverage at Bloomberg Business Week. Carol always loved getting

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:54.279
<v Speaker 1>her perspective. It's global and also has a lot of

0:34:54.480 --> 0:34:57.880
<v Speaker 1>context about what's happened before and what actually, I know,

0:34:58.000 --> 0:34:59.759
<v Speaker 1>we say this all the time, may be different this

0:34:59.840 --> 0:35:01.920
<v Speaker 1>time right, And this story really digs into what might

0:35:02.000 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 1>cause the next US recession. It's been a long time

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:06.279
<v Speaker 1>in coming, we keep talking about it, and yet it

0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:10.040
<v Speaker 1>hasn't happened. The expansion continues. What's interesting about this story

0:35:10.239 --> 0:35:12.440
<v Speaker 1>is that it might be different this time around in

0:35:12.600 --> 0:35:15.640
<v Speaker 1>terms of what causes a recession here in the United States.

0:35:16.880 --> 0:35:19.239
<v Speaker 1>It's been the talk of the global IPO circuit for years,

0:35:19.320 --> 0:35:21.360
<v Speaker 1>the saudio around co I p O, and after several

0:35:21.440 --> 0:35:24.839
<v Speaker 1>falls Stars Jason, it seems to be finally finally happening. Well,

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:29.160
<v Speaker 1>this one is such a collision of politics, economics, financial markets,

0:35:29.200 --> 0:35:33.120
<v Speaker 1>investment banking, and of course the global energy market. Will

0:35:33.200 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Kennedy joins us from London with the latest. So we'll

0:35:37.080 --> 0:35:40.040
<v Speaker 1>remind us where we are now and a little bit

0:35:40.360 --> 0:35:44.600
<v Speaker 1>about where we've been. So this was first suggested by

0:35:44.680 --> 0:35:48.600
<v Speaker 1>the Crown Prince Society Arabia back in twenty sixteen, and

0:35:48.880 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 1>he stunned the world actually when he announced it by

0:35:51.600 --> 0:35:54.719
<v Speaker 1>saying that this company, Saudi Aramco, which had been part

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>of the Saudi state for decades. He was going to

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>do an I p O and a billions of dollars

0:36:01.200 --> 0:36:05.799
<v Speaker 1>and bring it to global scrutiny and open up its finances.

0:36:06.120 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 1>Then it went away for a while. They have been

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:11.880
<v Speaker 1>talking about listing in London or New York, but investors

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:14.759
<v Speaker 1>bought really that the valuation the Crown princes had put

0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:17.319
<v Speaker 1>on the company of two trillion dollars, which is, as

0:36:17.400 --> 0:36:20.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, double what even the Microsoft or Apple. Currently

0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 1>the world's too large as companies are worth. All of

0:36:24.080 --> 0:36:26.840
<v Speaker 1>a sudden has come back, but it's come back in

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:29.880
<v Speaker 1>a slightly different form. It's going to be listed in

0:36:30.000 --> 0:36:32.680
<v Speaker 1>React only. They're going to sell one or two percent

0:36:32.760 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 1>of the company. And it seems that they've got the

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:38.840
<v Speaker 1>backing of some of Saudi of Ages, Saudi Arabia's richest people,

0:36:38.960 --> 0:36:41.880
<v Speaker 1>richest families, and at the moment they think they can

0:36:41.920 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 1>get that two trillion dollar valuation. Well that's what I

0:36:44.520 --> 0:36:46.400
<v Speaker 1>think is also interesting. First of all, in terms of

0:36:46.440 --> 0:36:48.960
<v Speaker 1>the listing, well, it's not like it's New York, it's

0:36:48.960 --> 0:36:51.640
<v Speaker 1>not London, it's not Hong Kong. They're doing it on

0:36:51.719 --> 0:36:54.759
<v Speaker 1>the Saudi Exchange. And I do feel like even though

0:36:54.800 --> 0:36:57.640
<v Speaker 1>it's going public. The Saudi government will still have a

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:01.600
<v Speaker 1>lot of oversight here. That's exactly right. I mean, the

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:06.600
<v Speaker 1>the rules on transparency are not quite the same as

0:37:06.600 --> 0:37:08.279
<v Speaker 1>they would have been in New York. For example, I'll

0:37:08.320 --> 0:37:10.759
<v Speaker 1>give you one example of that. In New York, sec

0:37:10.880 --> 0:37:13.879
<v Speaker 1>regulations mean you have been very precise on your oil

0:37:13.960 --> 0:37:16.440
<v Speaker 1>reserves as an oil company, how much is ready to

0:37:16.520 --> 0:37:19.400
<v Speaker 1>drill now, how much might be ready to drill in

0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:22.120
<v Speaker 1>the near future, and how much is still pretty speculative.

0:37:22.400 --> 0:37:24.400
<v Speaker 1>They won't have to do that, for example, listing in

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:28.680
<v Speaker 1>the read UM. They will be able to encourage Saudi

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:32.360
<v Speaker 1>banks to lend to potential investors, both large and small.

0:37:32.840 --> 0:37:35.400
<v Speaker 1>And the Saudi government actually has a history of when

0:37:35.440 --> 0:37:37.400
<v Speaker 1>there's an I p O in read it tends to

0:37:37.520 --> 0:37:40.440
<v Speaker 1>encourage some intervention in the market to ensure that the

0:37:40.480 --> 0:37:43.360
<v Speaker 1>price stays buoyant. So it's not quite like an IPO

0:37:43.400 --> 0:37:46.360
<v Speaker 1>would have been in New York or London UM, but

0:37:46.480 --> 0:37:48.879
<v Speaker 1>it's still a very vay by exercise, and they will

0:37:48.960 --> 0:37:54.480
<v Speaker 1>be marketing the equity outside the AD to international investors

0:37:54.520 --> 0:37:56.960
<v Speaker 1>who want to come in through that mechanism. There will

0:37:56.960 --> 0:37:59.160
<v Speaker 1>be a one four for a mechanism in New York

0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:02.080
<v Speaker 1>for example, So it will be there for international investors,

0:38:02.120 --> 0:38:03.759
<v Speaker 1>but it's not the same as the New York listing.

0:38:03.840 --> 0:38:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Hell well, and when you go back and think about

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:09.960
<v Speaker 1>where the world was in sen what the world thought

0:38:10.000 --> 0:38:14.400
<v Speaker 1>of Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia's place in the global economy

0:38:14.440 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 1>and the global political scene, Well that's changed pretty dramatically,

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:23.440
<v Speaker 1>not just for Saudi Arabia, but specifically for a Ramca

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:29.680
<v Speaker 1>was targeted by some Iranian made strikes missile strikes not

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:33.560
<v Speaker 1>too long ago. How has that changed the perception of

0:38:33.680 --> 0:38:38.520
<v Speaker 1>this deal. Yes, this is a world class oil company

0:38:38.560 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 1>and operationally it's probably on a par with excellent Shell,

0:38:41.520 --> 0:38:44.719
<v Speaker 1>but it operates Jason in a wholly different political situation.

0:38:44.800 --> 0:38:47.919
<v Speaker 1>And we see that in several ways. This attack from

0:38:49.200 --> 0:38:51.320
<v Speaker 1>drone strike, people aren't sure exactly what it was, a

0:38:51.360 --> 0:38:55.319
<v Speaker 1>missile strike, showed the very vulnerability of the Saudi energy

0:38:55.400 --> 0:38:56.960
<v Speaker 1>system and the fact that it's in the world's most

0:38:57.040 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 1>dangerous neighborhood. And that's going to presume in the encourage

0:39:00.600 --> 0:39:03.440
<v Speaker 1>investors to perhaps apply some kind of discount. And then

0:39:03.480 --> 0:39:06.279
<v Speaker 1>you've got the political risk associated with Saudi Arabia that

0:39:06.400 --> 0:39:10.440
<v Speaker 1>was illustrated by the murder of Jamal Ka Shoggy, So

0:39:10.680 --> 0:39:13.439
<v Speaker 1>investors are going to have to take those things into

0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:16.480
<v Speaker 1>account when they assess the I p O for for sure.

0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:18.799
<v Speaker 1>I do also find it interesting in you I think

0:39:19.200 --> 0:39:21.960
<v Speaker 1>mentioned this or references earlier, that some of those are

0:39:22.040 --> 0:39:24.640
<v Speaker 1>some of the investors who were once under house arrest

0:39:25.160 --> 0:39:27.800
<v Speaker 1>by MBS right, who are you know, kept up in

0:39:27.840 --> 0:39:31.200
<v Speaker 1>that hotel a crackdown on corruption in they are now

0:39:31.280 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>being asked to be potentially anchor investors. It's just kind

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:37.239
<v Speaker 1>of interesting to see how it all works friend and foe,

0:39:37.360 --> 0:39:39.000
<v Speaker 1>it feels like at the same time in terms of

0:39:39.080 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>relationships in Saudi Arabia, I mean from from the Crown

0:39:43.040 --> 0:39:45.760
<v Speaker 1>Prince's point of view, he probably thinks that's the legitimate

0:39:45.840 --> 0:39:47.520
<v Speaker 1>way to go, that a lot of these families, a

0:39:47.560 --> 0:39:51.480
<v Speaker 1>lot of these people had managed to construct fortunes on

0:39:51.560 --> 0:39:54.879
<v Speaker 1>the back of perhaps favorable contracts with a savvy state,

0:39:54.920 --> 0:39:57.480
<v Speaker 1>and that it's legitimate to ask them to take part

0:39:57.560 --> 0:40:01.480
<v Speaker 1>in his program of economic reform. But perhaps one way

0:40:01.520 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 1>of looking at the deal as it's structured at the moment,

0:40:04.040 --> 0:40:06.879
<v Speaker 1>as it will move a very large sum of money

0:40:07.280 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 1>from the pockets of private Saudi investors, whether those are

0:40:10.640 --> 0:40:15.319
<v Speaker 1>big millionaire and billionaire families or indeed smaller individuals who

0:40:15.320 --> 0:40:17.479
<v Speaker 1>will be asked to subscribe in a big retail offer

0:40:18.040 --> 0:40:21.279
<v Speaker 1>from private pockets and Saudi Arabia into the coffers of

0:40:21.360 --> 0:40:24.960
<v Speaker 1>the Sovereign Wealth Fund. And it's a way of financing

0:40:25.040 --> 0:40:29.120
<v Speaker 1>the Prince's economics ambitions. This public investment fund he has

0:40:29.480 --> 0:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>to both drive economic change inside Saudi Arabia and invest

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:37.360
<v Speaker 1>in companies outside Saudi Arabia. Well and well, I'm so

0:40:37.440 --> 0:40:39.839
<v Speaker 1>glad you mentioned that. I believe it's called the PITH,

0:40:39.960 --> 0:40:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the Public Investment Fund, which obviously will stand to gain

0:40:43.600 --> 0:40:47.040
<v Speaker 1>huge amounts. And by virtue of that, you've got global

0:40:47.160 --> 0:40:49.919
<v Speaker 1>investors in private equity and hedge funds and other types

0:40:49.960 --> 0:40:52.239
<v Speaker 1>of funds just licking their chaps at the prospect of

0:40:52.760 --> 0:40:55.600
<v Speaker 1>this huge new pool of money, not to mention the

0:40:55.719 --> 0:40:59.359
<v Speaker 1>investment bankers who are signed up to work on this deal.

0:40:59.480 --> 0:41:05.040
<v Speaker 1>So it has financial ramifications far beyond the Kingdom, it does.

0:41:05.120 --> 0:41:07.319
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's worth dwelling on the banks for a minute.

0:41:07.320 --> 0:41:10.040
<v Speaker 1>I think, Jason, there were more than twenty five banks

0:41:10.520 --> 0:41:13.800
<v Speaker 1>around the world manddated on mandated on this deal. It

0:41:13.840 --> 0:41:17.960
<v Speaker 1>includes all the giants of Wall Street Goldman Sacks, JP

0:41:18.160 --> 0:41:22.919
<v Speaker 1>Morgan Morgan Stanley UM and they will make good money

0:41:22.960 --> 0:41:26.560
<v Speaker 1>outside from this deal if and when it goes ahead.

0:41:26.640 --> 0:41:29.319
<v Speaker 1>But also, as you say, it's sort of kicks off

0:41:29.920 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 1>more transactions because that capital will then go through the

0:41:33.600 --> 0:41:37.240
<v Speaker 1>p I F which will invest it in places outside

0:41:37.280 --> 0:41:39.960
<v Speaker 1>side of the Arabia in private equity funds. So there's

0:41:39.960 --> 0:41:42.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of transactions here from people for people to

0:41:42.760 --> 0:41:45.319
<v Speaker 1>make money from. And don't forget this is just one

0:41:45.360 --> 0:41:47.839
<v Speaker 1>side of the deal. There was a deal last year

0:41:47.880 --> 0:41:50.399
<v Speaker 1>which isn't yet completed, where a RAMCA would buy from

0:41:50.400 --> 0:41:56.480
<v Speaker 1>the p IF stake in the Saudi Arabia's chemical giant Sabbok,

0:41:57.080 --> 0:41:58.960
<v Speaker 1>and that money is also going to p IF. So

0:41:59.000 --> 0:42:00.560
<v Speaker 1>when you take both deals to David, you may be

0:42:00.640 --> 0:42:02.680
<v Speaker 1>looking at something in the region of a hundred billion dollars.

0:42:02.880 --> 0:42:05.800
<v Speaker 1>That's Will Kennedy. We caught up with him in London, Jason,

0:42:05.920 --> 0:42:08.359
<v Speaker 1>and this aroundco I p O, it's been the talk

0:42:08.400 --> 0:42:11.520
<v Speaker 1>of the global IPO circuit for years. Finally seems to

0:42:11.560 --> 0:42:14.600
<v Speaker 1>be happy, but lots of questions about the valuation UH

0:42:14.800 --> 0:42:16.759
<v Speaker 1>coming to market when the price of oils and as

0:42:16.840 --> 0:42:18.320
<v Speaker 1>high as it's been in the past and I do

0:42:18.440 --> 0:42:20.640
<v Speaker 1>think it's also interesting in terms of the exchange. It's

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:22.600
<v Speaker 1>not rolling out in London and New York, it's rolling

0:42:22.640 --> 0:42:25.359
<v Speaker 1>out in Saudi Arabia well. And there are also all

0:42:25.440 --> 0:42:31.400
<v Speaker 1>of these questions for investment bankers, for politicians, for investors

0:42:31.520 --> 0:42:33.719
<v Speaker 1>on the other side of this who are waiting to

0:42:33.760 --> 0:42:36.799
<v Speaker 1>get their hands on the proceeds of that I PO

0:42:37.600 --> 0:42:40.280
<v Speaker 1>For years, Oracle has been making promises about its potential

0:42:40.360 --> 0:42:42.960
<v Speaker 1>footprint in the cloud, and yet Jason, it has not

0:42:43.239 --> 0:42:46.320
<v Speaker 1>quite happened yet well, and so much drama going on

0:42:46.560 --> 0:42:50.280
<v Speaker 1>there in the C suite as well as just around

0:42:50.480 --> 0:42:54.239
<v Speaker 1>this marketplace, a different sort of see the cloud, as

0:42:54.320 --> 0:42:57.680
<v Speaker 1>you say. Nicole Grant joins us from San Francisco with

0:42:57.920 --> 0:43:01.799
<v Speaker 1>that story. So what are oracles ambitions and how are

0:43:01.840 --> 0:43:04.800
<v Speaker 1>they playing out at this moment in the cloud? So

0:43:05.080 --> 0:43:07.160
<v Speaker 1>first I want to unpack a little bit what the

0:43:07.280 --> 0:43:09.359
<v Speaker 1>cloud is and what we mean by the cloud here.

0:43:09.800 --> 0:43:14.040
<v Speaker 1>So there are three parts to cloud computing. One is

0:43:14.440 --> 0:43:20.000
<v Speaker 1>where Amazon and Microsoft dominate, and this is renting computing

0:43:20.239 --> 0:43:24.320
<v Speaker 1>and storage from a network of server farms around the world,

0:43:24.760 --> 0:43:27.440
<v Speaker 1>and this is the market that Oracle has struggled the

0:43:27.520 --> 0:43:30.840
<v Speaker 1>most with. And then you have you know right above

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:35.640
<v Speaker 1>that sitting on top coding languages, databases, UM and other

0:43:35.760 --> 0:43:39.360
<v Speaker 1>tools that organizations use. And then at the very top

0:43:39.480 --> 0:43:43.160
<v Speaker 1>of of that cloud pyramid you have applications. Think of

0:43:43.239 --> 0:43:46.160
<v Speaker 1>these like your smartphone apps. You know, tools that can

0:43:46.239 --> 0:43:49.840
<v Speaker 1>help a business, for instance, manage its customers, or manage

0:43:49.880 --> 0:43:53.719
<v Speaker 1>its human resources, manage its accounting. Oracle has for a

0:43:53.800 --> 0:43:57.600
<v Speaker 1>long time touted its ability to play in all three

0:43:57.680 --> 0:44:00.759
<v Speaker 1>of these markets. The companies started out being very strong

0:44:00.800 --> 0:44:05.280
<v Speaker 1>and databases, and then over time it developed and acquired

0:44:05.320 --> 0:44:10.239
<v Speaker 1>many applications. But this bottom layer, where Amazon has been

0:44:10.320 --> 0:44:15.200
<v Speaker 1>the pioneer and really shown what's possible, Oracle has struggled.

0:44:15.400 --> 0:44:18.800
<v Speaker 1>And right now what we see is the company deciding

0:44:18.880 --> 0:44:22.360
<v Speaker 1>to de emphasize UM this part of the market basically

0:44:23.000 --> 0:44:26.680
<v Speaker 1>using its cloud infrastructure, which is the name of the

0:44:26.719 --> 0:44:30.040
<v Speaker 1>bottom layer, in order to be you know, the hosting

0:44:30.120 --> 0:44:33.440
<v Speaker 1>site for the rest of the tools that they actually

0:44:33.600 --> 0:44:36.680
<v Speaker 1>think UM they can sell to customers and make a

0:44:36.719 --> 0:44:39.880
<v Speaker 1>mark in the in the industry. So tell us what

0:44:40.000 --> 0:44:42.880
<v Speaker 1>happened here, because they certainly put a lot of efforts

0:44:43.000 --> 0:44:45.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money, they kind of put this whole

0:44:45.760 --> 0:44:48.360
<v Speaker 1>cloud group separate from the rest of the company was

0:44:48.440 --> 0:44:50.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of a kind of a hit place to be

0:44:50.520 --> 0:44:53.719
<v Speaker 1>in terms of working. They got engineers from a lot

0:44:53.800 --> 0:44:56.920
<v Speaker 1>of the other Silicon Valley companies. So what went wrong?

0:44:57.800 --> 0:45:01.400
<v Speaker 1>Mm hmmm. So Oracle basically old, you know, a colony

0:45:01.600 --> 0:45:05.520
<v Speaker 1>within itself, and it was based up in Seattle. It

0:45:05.640 --> 0:45:08.959
<v Speaker 1>still is up there. It's led by a man named

0:45:09.040 --> 0:45:13.319
<v Speaker 1>Don Johnson, no relation to Melanie Griffith sex husband Um.

0:45:13.480 --> 0:45:17.840
<v Speaker 1>And the idea was to find a lot of people

0:45:18.280 --> 0:45:21.640
<v Speaker 1>from the cloud diaspora up in Seattle, people who had

0:45:21.920 --> 0:45:25.680
<v Speaker 1>helped build the Amazon Web Services cloud, helped build Microsoft

0:45:25.760 --> 0:45:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Azure UM and get them to really make Oracle competitive

0:45:31.080 --> 0:45:34.680
<v Speaker 1>in this market. And so starting in it began a

0:45:34.800 --> 0:45:38.200
<v Speaker 1>process of hiring lots of people and it ended up

0:45:38.239 --> 0:45:42.759
<v Speaker 1>being thousands of people UM. In terms of budget, you know,

0:45:43.320 --> 0:45:47.479
<v Speaker 1>there was a lot of flexibility for them to pay

0:45:47.600 --> 0:45:52.160
<v Speaker 1>staffers a lot of money. Mid level product managers were

0:45:52.239 --> 0:45:56.800
<v Speaker 1>offered seven hundred fifty thousand UM. Engineers who were senior

0:45:57.080 --> 0:46:01.439
<v Speaker 1>with vice president titles were sometimes paid more than five

0:46:01.520 --> 0:46:04.840
<v Speaker 1>million dollars in total compensation. This is all from a

0:46:04.960 --> 0:46:08.440
<v Speaker 1>company that, by Silicon Valley standards, is thought of as

0:46:08.520 --> 0:46:12.759
<v Speaker 1>thrifty UM. Oracle generally doesn't give races to employees from

0:46:12.880 --> 0:46:16.040
<v Speaker 1>year to year. Uh. The company also never tops any

0:46:16.400 --> 0:46:19.440
<v Speaker 1>any lists in terms of compensation in the valley, like

0:46:19.600 --> 0:46:22.239
<v Speaker 1>you know Google and Facebook and other companies we can

0:46:22.280 --> 0:46:27.120
<v Speaker 1>think of. And so they gave these engineers um lots

0:46:27.160 --> 0:46:31.080
<v Speaker 1>of resources. They gave them these beautiful offices up in Seattle,

0:46:31.719 --> 0:46:34.759
<v Speaker 1>UM with you know, lots of whimsy that you don't

0:46:34.800 --> 0:46:39.440
<v Speaker 1>find at other Oracle offices. Uh. You know, massive chess

0:46:39.520 --> 0:46:42.719
<v Speaker 1>sets for instance, and game rooms and pool tables and

0:46:43.280 --> 0:46:46.920
<v Speaker 1>doctor who telephone booths. And you know, the prompt was

0:46:47.760 --> 0:46:50.799
<v Speaker 1>make us a cloud that is competitive, and also make

0:46:50.880 --> 0:46:53.840
<v Speaker 1>us a cloud that you know works best for Oracle

0:46:53.960 --> 0:46:58.080
<v Speaker 1>applications and Oracle databases. And you know what we saw

0:46:58.440 --> 0:47:03.040
<v Speaker 1>is that group grew to be thousands of people. UM.

0:47:03.480 --> 0:47:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Larry Ellison, the co founder and chairman of Oracle, placed

0:47:06.920 --> 0:47:11.239
<v Speaker 1>so much trust in Don Johnson that he actually decided

0:47:11.320 --> 0:47:16.840
<v Speaker 1>to reorganize Oracle and take thousands of staff members away

0:47:17.000 --> 0:47:22.120
<v Speaker 1>from Thomas Curian, who had been seen as his technological air.

0:47:22.960 --> 0:47:25.640
<v Speaker 1>His last job at Oracle was being president of the

0:47:25.680 --> 0:47:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Product Organization, the only president that the company had at

0:47:29.120 --> 0:47:33.799
<v Speaker 1>the time. And he, you know, gave those cloud engineers

0:47:33.920 --> 0:47:36.600
<v Speaker 1>to Don Johnson and this group in order to expand

0:47:36.640 --> 0:47:39.960
<v Speaker 1>it further. And that's Nico Grant joining us from San Francisco.

0:47:40.160 --> 0:47:42.759
<v Speaker 1>I really love his reporting about Oracle. It's so in

0:47:42.920 --> 0:47:45.759
<v Speaker 1>depth and this story really captures a lot of what

0:47:46.120 --> 0:47:50.440
<v Speaker 1>was going on at the company in this ambitious effort

0:47:50.719 --> 0:47:52.840
<v Speaker 1>to really make a dent, as it were, in the

0:47:52.880 --> 0:47:54.840
<v Speaker 1>cloud business. I also love that Nico went into the

0:47:54.880 --> 0:47:56.880
<v Speaker 1>three layers of the cloud. If you really don't understand

0:47:56.920 --> 0:47:59.560
<v Speaker 1>what's going on, he laid it out so clearly, so

0:47:59.719 --> 0:48:02.520
<v Speaker 1>I gets an important read, a must read. So time

0:48:02.560 --> 0:48:04.400
<v Speaker 1>for check on pursuites lots of stories to get us

0:48:04.400 --> 0:48:07.759
<v Speaker 1>all ready for the colder weather and for skiing. It's

0:48:07.760 --> 0:48:10.279
<v Speaker 1>ski season. That's very excited. We caught up with the

0:48:10.560 --> 0:48:13.880
<v Speaker 1>CEO of Veil Resorts actually last week when we were

0:48:13.920 --> 0:48:16.120
<v Speaker 1>out in Colorado. Here with this in New York City

0:48:16.280 --> 0:48:19.520
<v Speaker 1>is Chris Rouser. And one of the things I guess

0:48:19.560 --> 0:48:23.840
<v Speaker 1>we may be doing is ice polo. You maybe watching

0:48:24.000 --> 0:48:27.319
<v Speaker 1>some polo on the ice. We were closing this. Every

0:48:27.360 --> 0:48:30.319
<v Speaker 1>year we do a snow special, so skiing, snowboarding, um,

0:48:30.520 --> 0:48:32.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, winter camping, and as we were closing it,

0:48:32.840 --> 0:48:34.800
<v Speaker 1>it was eighty degrees in New York City. We were like,

0:48:34.880 --> 0:48:37.680
<v Speaker 1>this feels crazy, but it's snowing out west and it's

0:48:37.719 --> 0:48:39.480
<v Speaker 1>time for us to think about the winter. And one

0:48:39.560 --> 0:48:43.200
<v Speaker 1>of the best, most crazy events during the winter around

0:48:43.200 --> 0:48:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the world is the annual snow Polo in St. Maritz

0:48:47.000 --> 0:48:49.480
<v Speaker 1>And it happens after Davos, and so a lot of

0:48:49.520 --> 0:48:51.560
<v Speaker 1>people just hop in their private jets and go there.

0:48:51.560 --> 0:48:54.279
<v Speaker 1>And it's sponsored by net Jets and Maserati and some

0:48:54.360 --> 0:48:57.680
<v Speaker 1>other really luxury companies. And it's just a three day weekend.

0:48:57.800 --> 0:49:00.960
<v Speaker 1>It's a polo tournament. They clear off the ice and

0:49:01.160 --> 0:49:04.000
<v Speaker 1>they play polo all weekend and it's champagne and for

0:49:04.560 --> 0:49:07.920
<v Speaker 1>and parties and bling the whole thing. It sounds a decadent.

0:49:08.440 --> 0:49:10.640
<v Speaker 1>It's it's nearly over the top. It's the first time

0:49:10.680 --> 0:49:12.719
<v Speaker 1>and we cover luxury. And I had not heard of

0:49:13.040 --> 0:49:15.520
<v Speaker 1>what they call a caviar bump, which is when they

0:49:15.560 --> 0:49:19.000
<v Speaker 1>spoon caviar directly onto your fist for you for you

0:49:19.120 --> 0:49:21.200
<v Speaker 1>to eat it that way, which you know, caviar on

0:49:21.280 --> 0:49:23.840
<v Speaker 1>flash is a thing. But I had not party like

0:49:23.920 --> 0:49:25.680
<v Speaker 1>you can go you can get beers and brought worst

0:49:25.760 --> 0:49:28.080
<v Speaker 1>or you can have somebody you know, put some caviar

0:49:28.200 --> 0:49:30.840
<v Speaker 1>right right hand. Well, and that is something that jumped

0:49:30.840 --> 0:49:33.200
<v Speaker 1>out at me is that this isn't even though you

0:49:33.280 --> 0:49:35.239
<v Speaker 1>have to get the stand words to it, like they

0:49:36.440 --> 0:49:39.440
<v Speaker 1>it's not just for the ultra decadent wealthy, like you

0:49:39.520 --> 0:49:42.279
<v Speaker 1>can actually go as a like a regular. Yeah. So

0:49:42.520 --> 0:49:45.200
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, it's one of the spots on sort

0:49:45.200 --> 0:49:47.880
<v Speaker 1>of the global ultra high net worth calendar. But what

0:49:47.960 --> 0:49:50.400
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to do is also make it accessible to anybody,

0:49:50.440 --> 0:49:52.960
<v Speaker 1>so you can actually go and if you're there, you're

0:49:52.960 --> 0:49:55.440
<v Speaker 1>a local, you're living nearby, you can go for free. Actually,

0:49:55.800 --> 0:49:58.280
<v Speaker 1>although tickets in the grandstands can cost up to almost

0:49:58.400 --> 0:50:01.080
<v Speaker 1>seven hundred Swiss francs. But yeah, yeah, you can go,

0:50:01.239 --> 0:50:03.440
<v Speaker 1>get a beer and just sort of watch this crazy

0:50:03.600 --> 0:50:05.399
<v Speaker 1>sport of kings. It brings in a lot of money

0:50:05.440 --> 0:50:07.480
<v Speaker 1>to the area too, right, Yeah, it brings in like

0:50:07.640 --> 0:50:10.960
<v Speaker 1>twelve million francs and it um you know, they get

0:50:10.960 --> 0:50:14.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money from sponsorships. Uh, and they you know,

0:50:14.880 --> 0:50:17.439
<v Speaker 1>once they stopped doing it one year, they immediately start

0:50:17.480 --> 0:50:19.640
<v Speaker 1>planning for the next year. Well, and the other thing

0:50:19.719 --> 0:50:22.960
<v Speaker 1>that struck me as just the mechanics and the logistics

0:50:23.000 --> 0:50:26.360
<v Speaker 1>of how to put on a polo match on a

0:50:26.440 --> 0:50:28.600
<v Speaker 1>frozen lake? Is it is what they're doing right? Yeah,

0:50:28.800 --> 0:50:32.200
<v Speaker 1>so it's about three thousand tons of stuff, of tens

0:50:32.280 --> 0:50:34.400
<v Speaker 1>of grandstands and stuff on the ice. The ice is

0:50:34.400 --> 0:50:37.000
<v Speaker 1>about twenty six inches thick, so it's totally fine and

0:50:37.080 --> 0:50:40.640
<v Speaker 1>a polo u the polo pitch is actually smaller than

0:50:40.680 --> 0:50:43.480
<v Speaker 1>a normal pitch. You can get closer to the games.

0:50:43.520 --> 0:50:47.080
<v Speaker 1>They call them Chucka's and I was like, the horses

0:50:47.160 --> 0:50:50.879
<v Speaker 1>must slip right like the man uh, And actually they don't.

0:50:51.040 --> 0:50:53.480
<v Speaker 1>They give them special who's that have studs in them

0:50:54.040 --> 0:50:57.239
<v Speaker 1>and braces to protect them from injury. But the you know,

0:50:57.320 --> 0:50:59.400
<v Speaker 1>the only sort of injuries are stopped they actually have

0:50:59.480 --> 0:51:02.160
<v Speaker 1>as usually from people getting hit by mallets, which is

0:51:02.160 --> 0:51:06.400
<v Speaker 1>actually kind of something that can happen in any standard polo. Yeah, right,

0:51:06.440 --> 0:51:09.120
<v Speaker 1>a standard hazard of polo. But it's a big business event.

0:51:09.200 --> 0:51:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Like I think about the sponsors that get involved. I

0:51:10.880 --> 0:51:13.440
<v Speaker 1>think you guys talk about Maserati, right, They organized kind

0:51:13.480 --> 0:51:16.279
<v Speaker 1>of some driving things around the Maserati will do like

0:51:16.400 --> 0:51:19.279
<v Speaker 1>a snow driving test drives and they say they do

0:51:19.360 --> 0:51:22.359
<v Speaker 1>about twelve They do about a dozen deals every time

0:51:22.400 --> 0:51:25.880
<v Speaker 1>they do this, so they're selling cars, people are selling clothes,

0:51:26.160 --> 0:51:28.680
<v Speaker 1>and you know it's for net jets. They do about

0:51:28.719 --> 0:51:31.759
<v Speaker 1>twenty flights in just that weekend. That's like a flight

0:51:31.800 --> 0:51:34.480
<v Speaker 1>every cup private for every couple of hours. And it's

0:51:34.560 --> 0:51:36.600
<v Speaker 1>and and in town there's a bunch of festivities to writes,

0:51:36.640 --> 0:51:40.439
<v Speaker 1>some like black tie events. There's a club they're called

0:51:40.600 --> 0:51:43.400
<v Speaker 1>Dracula's Ghost Riders Club where they has that want to

0:51:43.440 --> 0:51:46.239
<v Speaker 1>go to something shaped like a head of garlic, which

0:51:46.320 --> 0:51:50.080
<v Speaker 1>now I have to go. Yeah, they have parties all

0:51:50.200 --> 0:51:52.640
<v Speaker 1>weekend long. All right, So if you're not doing that,

0:51:52.719 --> 0:51:56.640
<v Speaker 1>you're probably thinking about skiing. And everybody's always looking for

0:51:57.120 --> 0:52:02.520
<v Speaker 1>the next place. Zermat is so yeah, I guess, So

0:52:02.640 --> 0:52:05.640
<v Speaker 1>what's the new place? So there is this place that's

0:52:05.680 --> 0:52:08.719
<v Speaker 1>been in development since about two thousand seven called Andermatt,

0:52:08.760 --> 0:52:11.319
<v Speaker 1>which is it was actually quite an old resort um,

0:52:11.400 --> 0:52:14.359
<v Speaker 1>but it kind of fell out of use by most

0:52:14.400 --> 0:52:16.600
<v Speaker 1>people in the eighties and it used to have a

0:52:16.680 --> 0:52:19.000
<v Speaker 1>military base and the military base clothes in the nineties

0:52:19.239 --> 0:52:21.120
<v Speaker 1>and so it kind of became very sleepy. And then

0:52:21.160 --> 0:52:26.759
<v Speaker 1>this Egyptian billionaire named Sammy Sars actually looked at this

0:52:27.080 --> 0:52:28.680
<v Speaker 1>looked at the place and was like, you know what

0:52:28.840 --> 0:52:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I could develop this. This has all the bones of

0:52:30.960 --> 0:52:35.240
<v Speaker 1>an amazing resort. So he developed a hotel, the Hotel Chetty,

0:52:35.280 --> 0:52:37.400
<v Speaker 1>He built a golf course, and actually he got a

0:52:37.440 --> 0:52:41.520
<v Speaker 1>special distimppensation to allow foreigners to buy second homes there,

0:52:41.520 --> 0:52:44.239
<v Speaker 1>which you can actually really do in Switzerland. Um. And

0:52:44.400 --> 0:52:47.000
<v Speaker 1>so basically over the past few years it's become more

0:52:47.040 --> 0:52:49.759
<v Speaker 1>and more of an international destination. And of course it's

0:52:49.760 --> 0:52:51.880
<v Speaker 1>a cute old Swiss town, so it's got all the

0:52:52.000 --> 0:52:54.640
<v Speaker 1>charm that want of a kind of like Shamoni that

0:52:54.800 --> 0:52:58.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of thing, but it's actually kind of untouched. And

0:52:58.760 --> 0:53:01.480
<v Speaker 1>now they're replacing all the old lists with gondolas and stuff,

0:53:01.520 --> 0:53:04.359
<v Speaker 1>and it's really an amazing place. And it's big. Yeah,

0:53:04.480 --> 0:53:08.560
<v Speaker 1>it's really big. And they're actually connecting more fountains with

0:53:09.200 --> 0:53:11.120
<v Speaker 1>with gondolas and stuff, so you can actually connect to

0:53:11.160 --> 0:53:13.800
<v Speaker 1>other resorts too. Yeah, because it says the interconnected c

0:53:14.239 --> 0:53:17.359
<v Speaker 1>Ski area ultimately a d eight kilometers hundred twelve miles

0:53:17.400 --> 0:53:20.000
<v Speaker 1>of slopes and thirty three lifts and just by way

0:53:20.040 --> 0:53:23.400
<v Speaker 1>of comparison, it's two more lips than Veil, yeah, exactly,

0:53:24.360 --> 0:53:26.480
<v Speaker 1>and some pretty cool hotels and places to stay. Yeah,

0:53:26.560 --> 0:53:28.360
<v Speaker 1>So there's the Chetty, which is which is actually a

0:53:28.400 --> 0:53:30.920
<v Speaker 1>small chain and it's quite big and glamorous and new.

0:53:30.960 --> 0:53:32.960
<v Speaker 1>But then there's some old ones like the Hotel Zone,

0:53:33.000 --> 0:53:35.759
<v Speaker 1>which are have been around for a while and there

0:53:36.080 --> 0:53:38.120
<v Speaker 1>even though the Chetty is kind of the big new thing,

0:53:38.320 --> 0:53:40.719
<v Speaker 1>all the hotels are pretty sight because a lot more

0:53:40.760 --> 0:53:43.239
<v Speaker 1>people are coming now. Well, and we should point out

0:53:43.360 --> 0:53:46.520
<v Speaker 1>not all the locals are thrilled. It sounds like, yeah,

0:53:46.800 --> 0:53:50.120
<v Speaker 1>this was kind of one of those throwback places, well

0:53:50.600 --> 0:53:54.439
<v Speaker 1>hidden sort of secret gem for the locals, and people

0:53:54.560 --> 0:53:56.840
<v Speaker 1>do it and now it's solid commercial. Yeah, that's the

0:53:56.880 --> 0:53:59.920
<v Speaker 1>story of a lot of these ski resorts, right, like Whistler,

0:54:00.000 --> 0:54:02.600
<v Speaker 1>and now everyone's worried it's gonna it's going corporate. You know,

0:54:02.640 --> 0:54:05.120
<v Speaker 1>they're all charming, they're all independent, and then as they

0:54:05.160 --> 0:54:07.280
<v Speaker 1>get bigger, it's it's good for a lot of the businesses,

0:54:07.360 --> 0:54:09.319
<v Speaker 1>but then it does lose some of the character. All right.

0:54:09.480 --> 0:54:13.840
<v Speaker 1>So um, speaking of characters, the puffer coat kind of

0:54:13.920 --> 0:54:15.800
<v Speaker 1>getting a bit of a makeover, right, I think a

0:54:15.840 --> 0:54:18.360
<v Speaker 1>puffer coats and you just feel like the Michelin Michelin

0:54:18.400 --> 0:54:23.319
<v Speaker 1>man right, bouncing off of each other during the winter time.

0:54:23.760 --> 0:54:26.400
<v Speaker 1>You make it fancy, you guys have some nice versions.

0:54:26.560 --> 0:54:29.120
<v Speaker 1>So the question when it gets the winter and style

0:54:29.160 --> 0:54:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that we get asked the most is like, what is

0:54:31.239 --> 0:54:34.520
<v Speaker 1>a cute puffer coat? Which is like kind of an oxymoron,

0:54:34.640 --> 0:54:37.680
<v Speaker 1>and also the newsroom goes silent, right, Well, one that

0:54:37.760 --> 0:54:40.120
<v Speaker 1>doesn't look this like Canada goose, you know, they kind

0:54:40.120 --> 0:54:41.959
<v Speaker 1>of all look the same. They're gray, they're blue, they're black,

0:54:42.200 --> 0:54:44.319
<v Speaker 1>and they have that same look. So we went out

0:54:44.440 --> 0:54:47.440
<v Speaker 1>and tried to find, uh, some other puffer coats that

0:54:47.480 --> 0:54:49.200
<v Speaker 1>don't look the same and that are sort of trim

0:54:49.320 --> 0:54:52.239
<v Speaker 1>and tailored. So we found a few and I brought

0:54:52.320 --> 0:54:54.799
<v Speaker 1>some in case you guys want to and we're going

0:54:54.840 --> 0:54:57.000
<v Speaker 1>to try and describe them for radio. And for those

0:54:57.040 --> 0:54:59.440
<v Speaker 1>folks on radio, please go to Bloomberg dot com or

0:54:59.480 --> 0:55:01.080
<v Speaker 1>buy the magazin check it out so you can really

0:55:01.080 --> 0:55:03.319
<v Speaker 1>see the pictures. So one of my favorites is by

0:55:03.400 --> 0:55:06.440
<v Speaker 1>this brand called Perfect Moment, and it's four dollars and

0:55:06.520 --> 0:55:10.000
<v Speaker 1>it's got this like harring Bone red and blue and white.

0:55:11.120 --> 0:55:15.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to sign like digital Harry's cute. It's pretty

0:55:15.080 --> 0:55:19.719
<v Speaker 1>short though it's in the picture because you get jeans,

0:55:19.920 --> 0:55:21.759
<v Speaker 1>so you will if you're going to ski you were

0:55:21.800 --> 0:55:23.799
<v Speaker 1>Skypands with the you know, the ones that go at

0:55:23.800 --> 0:55:26.200
<v Speaker 1>the top. And then one of my favorite new brands

0:55:26.280 --> 0:55:29.600
<v Speaker 1>is called Aztec Mountain. They actually have the designer from

0:55:29.880 --> 0:55:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Mooglaire is also which is a very fancy fashion brand.

0:55:33.040 --> 0:55:35.480
<v Speaker 1>They also have that's Adjason kind of Yeah, this is

0:55:35.840 --> 0:55:39.000
<v Speaker 1>this is sex? Are these like? Is this one you're wearing?

0:55:39.040 --> 0:55:41.880
<v Speaker 1>The perfect moment? One is for women, and then Jason

0:55:41.960 --> 0:55:45.720
<v Speaker 1>they have for men and women like this little yoga

0:55:45.760 --> 0:55:50.120
<v Speaker 1>a little yoga hands, little elastics that cover your that

0:55:50.239 --> 0:55:52.640
<v Speaker 1>cover your hands, and so Jason's is all blue and

0:55:52.680 --> 0:55:56.759
<v Speaker 1>that's seven but it isn't. That's like a technical like

0:55:56.840 --> 0:55:59.600
<v Speaker 1>a puffer, but like more hardcore. And yeah, and that's

0:55:59.640 --> 0:56:04.360
<v Speaker 1>called the Nukes Suit. And that's Strands for you. And

0:56:04.440 --> 0:56:06.919
<v Speaker 1>then I have one call from a brand called mam Mood,

0:56:06.960 --> 0:56:09.239
<v Speaker 1>which is eight hundred dollars and it is the blingiest,

0:56:09.520 --> 0:56:11.799
<v Speaker 1>goldest thing. Are you gonna put it on? I'm gonna

0:56:11.800 --> 0:56:13.839
<v Speaker 1>put it on. Oh my god, it's going over alright

0:56:13.840 --> 0:56:18.200
<v Speaker 1>for a bidden radio. Chris is putting it over, so

0:56:19.160 --> 0:56:22.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm not going to lose everyone. Yeah, but it definitely

0:56:22.800 --> 0:56:25.640
<v Speaker 1>um looks good. Yeah, and it's so warm. The second

0:56:25.640 --> 0:56:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you put it on, You're like, this is warm and

0:56:27.120 --> 0:56:30.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of like a solar panel too. Yeah. That's Chris Rouser,

0:56:30.520 --> 0:56:34.160
<v Speaker 1>the editor of Pursuits and so much in this magazine,

0:56:34.200 --> 0:56:36.040
<v Speaker 1>and Jason. What I love about it is there are

0:56:36.120 --> 0:56:38.239
<v Speaker 1>some really great deep dives. You and I talked a

0:56:38.320 --> 0:56:41.560
<v Speaker 1>lot about Jewel, finding out how the company was created,

0:56:42.120 --> 0:56:45.320
<v Speaker 1>its process, hard to find investors initially on um but

0:56:45.400 --> 0:56:47.440
<v Speaker 1>it was a great deep dive. It's what the magazine

0:56:47.520 --> 0:56:49.160
<v Speaker 1>is known for. And I feel like the story with

0:56:49.239 --> 0:56:51.480
<v Speaker 1>Tesla too, it took us in another direction well, and

0:56:51.520 --> 0:56:54.240
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of connective tissue between those two stories,

0:56:54.280 --> 0:56:55.960
<v Speaker 1>and we have talked a lot about that with the

0:56:56.080 --> 0:56:58.600
<v Speaker 1>editor of Business Week, Joe Webber and others here in

0:56:58.719 --> 0:57:01.080
<v Speaker 1>the newsroom, because we do seem to be at this

0:57:01.320 --> 0:57:04.120
<v Speaker 1>moment where we're asking a lot of questions about what

0:57:04.440 --> 0:57:08.759
<v Speaker 1>big tech has wrought, what our responsibility is just as

0:57:08.880 --> 0:57:12.320
<v Speaker 1>people and as investors and as human beings, you know

0:57:12.440 --> 0:57:15.000
<v Speaker 1>where this all goes and what the trade offs are

0:57:15.320 --> 0:57:18.680
<v Speaker 1>as we really embrace these different advances. And speaking of questions,

0:57:18.680 --> 0:57:20.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's questions about are we headed for a

0:57:20.480 --> 0:57:23.680
<v Speaker 1>US recession and if so, what will ultimately cause it,

0:57:23.840 --> 0:57:26.720
<v Speaker 1>and what can maybe the US Central Bank do to

0:57:27.080 --> 0:57:29.960
<v Speaker 1>help us along the way to maybe stay away from

0:57:30.000 --> 0:57:32.080
<v Speaker 1>it or get us through it. The other thing in

0:57:32.200 --> 0:57:34.640
<v Speaker 1>terms of questions Syria, right, and the change in terms

0:57:34.680 --> 0:57:37.640
<v Speaker 1>of US policy, the Turkey invasion, I think you know,

0:57:37.760 --> 0:57:40.080
<v Speaker 1>just added to the list of macro concerns that are

0:57:40.120 --> 0:57:42.640
<v Speaker 1>out there. We'll be keeping an eye on all of that.

0:57:42.960 --> 0:57:45.160
<v Speaker 1>And that's going to wrap up the Bloomberg Business Week

0:57:45.200 --> 0:57:47.480
<v Speaker 1>Weekend Podcast. Thank you so much for joining us. I'm

0:57:47.520 --> 0:57:49.360
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly and I'm Carol mass Or. Be sure to

0:57:49.400 --> 0:57:52.080
<v Speaker 1>tune into Bloomberg Business Week Radio Live Monday through Friday

0:57:52.120 --> 0:57:54.080
<v Speaker 1>starting at two pm Wall Street time. And if you

0:57:54.080 --> 0:57:56.240
<v Speaker 1>can't catch us live, get our daily podcast for the

0:57:56.360 --> 0:57:59.040
<v Speaker 1>ride home. Check that out at Bloomberg dot com or

0:57:59.160 --> 0:58:01.240
<v Speaker 1>wherever you at your podcast, and of course you can

0:58:01.280 --> 0:58:04.000
<v Speaker 1>get this week's edition of the magazine on newsstands. Now,

0:58:04.120 --> 0:58:06.640
<v Speaker 1>you know you want to see pictures of those puffer coats, right,

0:58:06.760 --> 0:58:08.600
<v Speaker 1>you can see them in the magazine, but you'll have

0:58:08.640 --> 0:58:12.000
<v Speaker 1>to go to Twitter to check us out modeling those

0:58:12.120 --> 0:58:15.640
<v Speaker 1>puffer coats. I'm at Jason Kelly News and she's at

0:58:15.720 --> 0:58:18.439
<v Speaker 1>Carol Master and we'll be back right here next week.

0:58:18.520 --> 0:58:20.480
<v Speaker 1>At the same time, this is Bloomberg