WEBVTT - Too Many Chiefs In The Kitchen? 0:00:00.840 --> 0:00:04.520 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.640 --> 0:00:10.000 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 0:00:10.280 --> 0:00:14.680 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.840 --> 0:00:18.400 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.440 --> 0:00:24.600 here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:27.240 am Paul charchy In. My co host this week is 0:00:27.360 --> 0:00:31.200 Matt Harrison. Hello, Matt, hey church. Do you know who 0:00:31.280 --> 0:00:34.360 does like the like by name, who does the cool 0:00:34.440 --> 0:00:38.199 voice intros for our for our show? I think this 0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:42.040 one was a guy named Miguel Okay, I think really Yeah? 0:00:42.120 --> 0:00:43.800 Do you think it has a good job? Yeah, he does. 0:00:43.960 --> 0:00:45.639 He does a great job. I just wonder if that's 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:51.160 his real voice. Hey, can you make me some pancakes? 0:00:52.720 --> 0:00:54.600 At which point you go, yes, I kind of make 0:00:54.640 --> 0:00:58.200 you pancakes. That's uh. We can all get into the 0:00:58.280 --> 0:01:03.640 smooth voice so you know, Um, I can't do it 0:01:03.680 --> 0:01:05.800 as well right now, but just because I just did 0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:09.399 three hours of radio, but I can IF voice. I 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:11.840 can do FM voice if I need to, but I'm 0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:13.320 not gonna do it right now. All right, let's we 0:01:13.400 --> 0:01:15.160 got a bunch of stuff to get to now, because 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:19.000 our last several shows. Last four shows were all about 0:01:19.040 --> 0:01:21.039 breaking down all the teams in the NFL from a 0:01:21.040 --> 0:01:24.319 fantasy standpoint, and then we had our COVID show. This 0:01:24.400 --> 0:01:26.119 is our first time to catch up on news from 0:01:26.120 --> 0:01:29.240 around the league. So I want to really orient today's 0:01:29.280 --> 0:01:32.760 discussion around some of the bigger topics of the past 0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:36.319 month or so. And um, just sit on a few 0:01:36.319 --> 0:01:38.240 of these things, and then um and also at the end, 0:01:38.520 --> 0:01:40.840 this isn't necessarily new news, but I've been fascinated but 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:45.600 the by the idea of a starting backfield of Clyde 0:01:45.760 --> 0:01:49.040 Edwards Hilaire and Damian Williams, and you just you start 0:01:49.080 --> 0:01:50.960 those two chief running backs every week, but they're by 0:01:51.040 --> 0:01:54.680 week You're you're fascinated by idea. I am, So we'll 0:01:55.000 --> 0:01:58.280 we'll we'll look into the viability of that strategy a 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:00.840 little later in the show. Let's start here with more 0:02:00.880 --> 0:02:05.800 recent news. Derrick Henry signs a four year extension and 0:02:06.040 --> 0:02:08.040 by the way, brilliant on his part. When you look 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:10.359 at all of the players that are coming into free 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:14.080 agency next year, Alvin Kamarin, Dalvin Cook, and it's of 0:02:14.120 --> 0:02:17.040 course they all on deals done too, they do. But 0:02:17.240 --> 0:02:19.520 Henry was smart enough to get. There's a good deal. 0:02:19.960 --> 0:02:22.520 It's not bad deal. He took twenty five million and 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:25.320 guaranteed money fifty million dollar upside if he plays through 0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:30.119 the whole contract, and he doesn't have to sweat being 0:02:30.200 --> 0:02:33.679 one of a dozen meaningful running back free agents. And 0:02:33.720 --> 0:02:36.519 I'm not kidding, there's a dozen guys coming. Yeah. And 0:02:36.680 --> 0:02:39.519 the nice part is it's also a team friendly contract 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:43.440 really because there is a potential out in two with 0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:46.400 the dead cap of only six million for those final 0:02:46.480 --> 0:02:50.239 two seasons of the deal. So it it's if if 0:02:50.280 --> 0:02:52.440 his knee explodes in the next year or two, the 0:02:52.440 --> 0:02:55.320 Titans can get out of it scott free. And if 0:02:55.360 --> 0:02:58.639 if Derrick Henry performs, he's going to get paid some 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:01.400 decent money where he at fifteen million each for those 0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:03.880 last two years. So I think it's a good deal 0:03:03.919 --> 0:03:06.760 for everyone around right there. You know, there's some people 0:03:06.760 --> 0:03:09.480 who feel like, well, they could have paid Jack conkle 0:03:09.560 --> 0:03:14.720 in their star tackle or Derrick Henry. I don't that's 0:03:14.880 --> 0:03:17.280 you know, in this world, tackles are a lot more 0:03:17.320 --> 0:03:21.960 valuable than running backs. Derrick Henry is pretty special. But man, 0:03:22.040 --> 0:03:23.480 I don't know that that's the choice I would have 0:03:23.480 --> 0:03:26.160 made for the Titans. But it's let's talk about Derrick 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:29.360 Henry's fantasy value. Let's start with redraft. How do you 0:03:29.400 --> 0:03:31.720 feel does this and does this signing in any way 0:03:31.800 --> 0:03:35.480 change this year's No, because I think everybody in redraft 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:38.280 leagues they knew Derrick Henry wasn't making any noise. There 0:03:38.320 --> 0:03:41.840 was no holdout speculation on him. Everybody knew that he 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:43.480 was going to run into this year as as the 0:03:43.560 --> 0:03:45.960 lead back there. So I don't think it changes anything 0:03:45.960 --> 0:03:47.960 at all from a redraft person. Now, you spent a 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:51.160 lot of your time on Dynasty and Empire League related matters. 0:03:51.560 --> 0:03:55.360 You've got the best cheat sheet in existence for Dynasty 0:03:55.400 --> 0:03:58.160 and Empire players of trade values and all kinds of stuff. 0:03:58.440 --> 0:04:00.360 So let's look a lot more long term and let's 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:02.880 talk about this Henry deal. For those people that own 0:04:02.960 --> 0:04:06.240 Henry or maybe are interested investing in Henry, how do 0:04:06.280 --> 0:04:10.520 you feel like this changes his his value for Dynasty 0:04:10.560 --> 0:04:12.720 and Empire League owners. For Derrick Henry, I mean I'm 0:04:12.760 --> 0:04:15.480 gonna bump him up a little bit. Um. I currently 0:04:15.520 --> 0:04:18.279 have him as tied for running back eight with a 0:04:18.279 --> 0:04:20.719 few guys who are on a little bit longer contracts 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:24.200 and are a little bit younger Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders. 0:04:24.200 --> 0:04:27.120 So he's right in that neighborhood, but I'll probably bump 0:04:27.200 --> 0:04:29.520 him up above them, and he's going to be in 0:04:29.560 --> 0:04:34.960 the right between Joe Mixon and Alvin Kamara. You know, 0:04:35.080 --> 0:04:37.520 the fact that he just doesn't catch passes to me 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:40.840 just caps his upside. He can never be the top 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:42.760 running back, of the top two or top three, because 0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:46.240 those guys just he's the Adrian Peterson. Yeah he is. 0:04:46.400 --> 0:04:48.839 I mean he really is. And and he he runs 0:04:48.839 --> 0:04:53.400 with violence. He runs with Vim and Vigor. Yes, they 0:04:53.400 --> 0:04:56.720 always go together, don't they. Nobody runs with Vim without 0:04:56.760 --> 0:04:59.880 also running with Vigor. I think with Vigor without Vim, though, 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.960 I think you can have Viggers got it way better 0:05:03.040 --> 0:05:06.839 you're not attached to vim um. I saw this stat 0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:12.880 that blew me away regarding Derrick Henry. Once Ryan Tannehill 0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:19.520 took over last year, the Titans averaged seven and a 0:05:19.560 --> 0:05:24.000 half yards per play, most in the His line was 0:05:24.040 --> 0:05:26.320 the last twenty years of the NFL, going back to 0:05:26.360 --> 0:05:29.719 two thousand. That's unbelievable. And they started handing off to 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:32.320 Terry Henry, and Henry is obviously a huge part of that, 0:05:32.520 --> 0:05:34.760 right you know, when you're running back is getting you 0:05:35.279 --> 0:05:38.640 chunk yardage of five and eight and twenty yards and carry, 0:05:38.640 --> 0:05:41.680 it certainly helps. So brief aside on that, who is 0:05:41.720 --> 0:05:46.320 the offensive coordinator that essentially ruined his value for the 0:05:46.360 --> 0:05:50.200 first two three years of his career. Not Mike mclarkey. 0:05:50.240 --> 0:05:53.200 That was Uh, he's currently a head coach right in 0:05:53.240 --> 0:05:56.960 the Packers, Matt La Matt Lafleur. Yeah, I think that 0:05:57.040 --> 0:05:59.560 Aaron Jones is kind of in the market for the 0:05:59.640 --> 0:06:03.560 same aggression this year. But other people would say, look 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:05.320 at Aaron Jones had last year in r Matt la floor. 0:06:05.440 --> 0:06:09.000 But Matt, Aaron Jones is one of my my biggest 0:06:09.080 --> 0:06:13.120 fades this fantasy season. I really worry about what A J. 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:15.680 Dillon is going to do to him, especially near the stripes. 0:06:15.760 --> 0:06:18.320 So much of the fantasy value that Aaron Jones had 0:06:18.360 --> 0:06:21.640 was because they used him a lot near the stripe. 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:24.600 If those go away his and he's just now he's 0:06:24.600 --> 0:06:27.039 in and now he's in a three person time share. Yeah, 0:06:27.080 --> 0:06:29.520 and Jamal Williams wasn't the guy they were handing off 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:32.640 in the five too, So it was all Aaron Jones was. 0:06:33.160 --> 0:06:36.560 A J. Dillon is two hundred fifty pounds. He's as 0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:40.000 big as Derrick Henry. Yes, he's Derrick Henry. It's it's 0:06:40.040 --> 0:06:43.279 bonkers what he's gonna be like. So, uh, I think 0:06:43.440 --> 0:06:46.440 for me Derrick Henry also, I love him in this offense. 0:06:46.560 --> 0:06:49.760 I like the way they want to use him here. Um, 0:06:49.880 --> 0:06:53.360 and it's it's a proven commodity. If Derrick Henry had 0:06:53.400 --> 0:06:56.200 hit free agency next year, he could have ended up 0:06:56.760 --> 0:07:00.680 anywhere and maybe, you know, maybe into a time himeshare role. 0:07:00.760 --> 0:07:05.960 Who knows. Here he remains one of the few locked 0:07:06.000 --> 0:07:09.560 in workhorse backs for the remainder of his contract. In 0:07:09.600 --> 0:07:12.600 all probability, it's pretty nice consistency, that's for sure. It 0:07:12.680 --> 0:07:15.720 definitely is. All right, So we're high on on Derrick Henry. 0:07:16.240 --> 0:07:18.160 I want to touch on this as well before we 0:07:18.240 --> 0:07:23.520 jump into uh some other matters. Dak Prescott is has 0:07:23.680 --> 0:07:28.200 let the uh the deadline to sign a guess he 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:31.120 could always sign a new deal, but um, he's let 0:07:31.120 --> 0:07:33.080 the deadline pass. He's gonna pay the play this year 0:07:33.440 --> 0:07:36.920 as a as a under the franchise tag and will 0:07:36.920 --> 0:07:40.600 probably enter next year. People assume enter next year as 0:07:40.600 --> 0:07:44.280 a free agent, and the team could refranchise him again. 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:46.240 At that point, So he's heading down the Kirk Cousins path. 0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:48.680 Do you think is there any real scenario here where 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:51.800 Dak ends up missing, doesn't play. Is there a scenario 0:07:51.880 --> 0:07:55.160 here where he just this season he just goes stop, 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:57.680 mom out. Well, I'm gonna hold out until I get 0:07:57.720 --> 0:07:59.520 my You know, he turned out a hundred million dollar deal. 0:07:59.600 --> 0:08:02.120 He turned on a hundred and seventy five million dollar deal. 0:08:02.200 --> 0:08:04.120 I saw that was worth a hundred and ten and 0:08:04.200 --> 0:08:08.120 guaranteed me on a five year deal. Now he is 0:08:08.120 --> 0:08:10.560 on the franchise tag and I don't know how this works. 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.240 But according to spot track, yeah, um who, I think 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:18.760 most of my contract information from his cap hit of 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:21.840 thirty one point four million this year under the franchise 0:08:21.880 --> 0:08:25.160 tag makes him the highest paid player in the NFL 0:08:25.240 --> 0:08:30.520 this year. But according to them, so if he's if 0:08:30.520 --> 0:08:33.400 he's not going to play this year as the highest 0:08:33.440 --> 0:08:36.720 paid player in the NFL, what is he doing? Yeah, 0:08:37.040 --> 0:08:39.800 when push comes to show, the players want their game checks, 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:42.040 and at that level of game checks, when you're making 0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:44.640 two million dollars a game, sure, yeah, you're gonna show 0:08:44.720 --> 0:08:46.240 up for those games. Don't think you will? I think 0:08:46.240 --> 0:08:47.920 you will too. Now I also saw this that was 0:08:47.960 --> 0:08:51.400 interesting about Dak. If they have to refranchise him next year, 0:08:51.800 --> 0:08:54.319 the thirty one and a half a million only goes 0:08:54.480 --> 0:08:58.040 only goes to thirty eight million. Year after that it 0:08:58.120 --> 0:09:02.000 explodes to like fifty million or something. Um. So it 0:09:02.080 --> 0:09:04.720 could be that they he gets the franchise take twice 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:07.720 just like Kirk did. It could be, could be, We'll 0:09:07.720 --> 0:09:10.280 see it's Dak remains my quarterback number three. Is a 0:09:10.360 --> 0:09:13.000 your quarterback three or four? I think I have him 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:15.680 at three or four one of the two. I'm probably 0:09:15.679 --> 0:09:17.840 more on the three bandwagon. I'm pretty on the on 0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:20.440 the Dack thing. Seed. I love Ceedee Lamb and once 0:09:20.480 --> 0:09:22.640 they picked Seed. Once Ceedee Lamb was on that team, 0:09:22.640 --> 0:09:25.120 Like that's at these three. Yeah, Dak and c d 0:09:25.280 --> 0:09:27.839 are on my Scott Fish Bowl roster. I'm pretty pleased 0:09:27.840 --> 0:09:30.200 about that. I bet you are. I'm jealous of that. 0:09:30.240 --> 0:09:32.960 As a matter of fact, let's take a quick break, Matt. 0:09:33.120 --> 0:09:35.360 When we come back, I want to talk about Cam Newton. 0:09:35.400 --> 0:09:40.199 I'm contending no fantasy quarterback has a bigger variance impossible 0:09:40.240 --> 0:09:43.880 outcomes than Cam Newton. Will touch on him. When we 0:09:43.960 --> 0:09:47.760 returned to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly, 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:50.920 Paul Charchi and Matt Harrison with you. Cam Newton replaces 0:09:51.000 --> 0:09:55.840 Tom Brady obviously in New England. I believe, as I 0:09:55.880 --> 0:09:58.439 said going into the break, no play, no quarterback has 0:09:58.440 --> 0:10:00.640 more variance impossible outcome than Cam Newton. He could lose 0:10:00.679 --> 0:10:02.920 the job outright, We're not We don't know for sure 0:10:04.120 --> 0:10:07.920 before the season starts. It costs the team nothink him. 0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:10.640 They literally, I don't think they would. He's an ideal 0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:13.000 backup and he's cheap, but he may not even be 0:10:13.080 --> 0:10:16.440 the starter. There's a slim but non zero chance that 0:10:16.480 --> 0:10:20.800 he gets beaten out by him. Man, it's I don't 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:23.080 know where he is as a passer, but what we 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:28.439 do know is he's only four seasons removed from being 0:10:28.720 --> 0:10:32.760 the best fantasy player in the league. Um. When he's 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:35.120 a running quarterback, he's awfully good. So what what are 0:10:35.120 --> 0:10:36.599 your thoughts in Cam Newton? You with me on the 0:10:36.679 --> 0:10:39.040 upside and downside that he can that he can bring, 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:41.679 and what's your strategy if any, on selecting it. So 0:10:41.880 --> 0:10:44.600 I'm I'm with you on on the on the variants, 0:10:44.640 --> 0:10:48.160 and but Bill Belichick obviously saw something that he likes 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:50.800 that and I got a few stats to dig into 0:10:50.840 --> 0:10:54.760 this might might help us make this decision. As you mentioned, 0:10:55.760 --> 0:11:00.000 was his huge year. Um, He's never hit four thousand 0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:02.040 and passing yards in a season though. Yeah, it's kind 0:11:02.040 --> 0:11:05.240 of surprising for a quarterback of his MP stature. He 0:11:05.280 --> 0:11:07.040 was an m v P one year, never once and 0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:09.800 and a lot of guys hit four thousand yards every year. 0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:13.160 Jake Cutler was a four thousand. It's it's pretty easy 0:11:13.200 --> 0:11:16.640 mark to hit. He's had only one season of more 0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:22.120 than twenty four touchdown passes UM. That was again when 0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:24.840 he threw thirty five and last year, by the way, 0:11:25.120 --> 0:11:30.360 fourteen quarterbacks through touchdown passes or more. It's not that high. 0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:32.360 It's not that high marks. It's easy. Now I'm gonna 0:11:32.360 --> 0:11:34.040 I'm gonna jump in because I have a stat that 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:37.040 is right into the same wheelhouse that you're in. If 0:11:37.040 --> 0:11:40.360 I looked at his past three full seasons for Cam Newton, 0:11:40.559 --> 0:11:45.320 his average game two hundred thirty one passing yards and 0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:50.920 one point four passing touchdowns. That is exactly Andy Dalton. 0:11:52.160 --> 0:11:54.960 So when you draft Cam Newton's arm, you are getting 0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:59.359 Andy Dalton's arm. Yeah. Um, I guess the the interesting 0:11:59.440 --> 0:12:04.480 thing that I think that Belichick saw was his teen season, 0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:07.679 the last season he was mostly healthy. Um, that was 0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.960 an outlier in one category specifically for Cam, and that 0:12:11.080 --> 0:12:15.760 was completion percentage. He almost completed sixty eight percent of 0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.120 his balls. That right, that's a really good number. He 0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:21.040 never topped more than sixty one and a half the 0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:24.600 rest of his career, so he really rocketed up the 0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:29.720 completion percentage. That coincided with Christian McCaffrey grabbing a hundred 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:37.120 and seven passes. Does this make you think a little 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:41.439 bit about James White? He's absolutely becomes very serviceable. I 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:44.720 think James White becomes really really interesting in these leagues. 0:12:45.000 --> 0:12:47.760 But really, you're buying Camp for his rushing ability. Yes 0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:50.800 you are. How comfortable are you in investing in a 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:55.840 thirty one year old running back? Chart? Um? Most running backs, 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:59.559 I'm not comfortable old. How about when they're coming off 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:03.559 a sgnificant injury well through and yep, that's that is 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:07.240 absolutely fair. Cam did record four eight rushing yards and 0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:12.440 four rushing tds age twenty nine season. Let's say the 0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:16.600 Pats can magically get seventy of that. Yeah. Uh, that's 0:13:16.640 --> 0:13:20.120 three sixty six yards and three scores. That's about what 0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:23.360 Russell Wilson had last year, and people do pay for 0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:27.640 the Russell Wilson. But Russell Wilson's got way more passing upside, 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.120 way more passing. So I think the long and short 0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:32.640 of this is, I think Cam just finishes as the 0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:34.880 middle of the pack quarterback. He's got, He's got the 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:38.520 upside variants, he's got the downside variants. He's gonna finish 0:13:38.559 --> 0:13:41.760 his quarterback seventeen on the year, and I think everybody's 0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:44.920 almost exactly ranked right now, go back sixteen here, let 0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:47.560 me give you another scenario where Cam can hit the upside. 0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:51.720 Your Belichick, You've watched what Baltimore has done with Lamar 0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:55.199 Jackson running in with abandoned, and you know that Cam 0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:59.640 can still run. It's just the last several seasons teams 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:02.680 he's and hurt, and the teams of consciously Panthers constantly 0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:04.439 chose not to have him run as much. Do I 0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:07.400 want to keep him healthy? But does Belichick have a 0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:10.000 motivation to keep him healthy the same way. It's not 0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:12.760 a one year deal that cost him nothing, so Belichick 0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:15.920 might just figure I'm gonna run him for sixteen games 0:14:15.920 --> 0:14:18.000 and if he makes it and it helps us win, fine, 0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:20.480 and if it doesn't, who cares. I'll do it doesn't 0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:23.760 cost me anything, and I'll go to Jared' Stidham. It 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:27.080 could go that way. Belichick might just figure I'll run 0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:29.160 him and just see how long it lasts and maybe 0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:30.520 all the way to the super Bowl. I don't know. 0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:34.680 There's I think there is there is I think upside 0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:38.920 for that. Um, your worst case scenario we've already documented. 0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:41.200 He could get benched Andy Dalton, who you know we 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:43.120 said he's and he's Andy Dalton is a phassor Andy 0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:46.160 don't got bench last year? And keep in mind Camp 0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:49.400 has been a sub five quarterback in six of his 0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:53.960 nine seasons. Subid Belichick may not stand for that. Wins. 0:14:54.160 --> 0:14:57.680 Just talk about wins. That's right. So, um, here's where 0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:01.440 here's the drafting strategy for me. I love Cams my 0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:05.400 second quarterback. Yeah, oh, because you get you get all 0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:08.560 the upside and none of the risk. So I'm willing 0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:12.720 to take Cam around before a DP if I've already 0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:15.800 got a quarterback. Okay, And so regardless of where I 0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:17.880 took that first quarterback, although if I took Patrick Mahomes, 0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:20.760 Lamar Jackson, I'm probably not gonna waste what would have 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.240 to be ultimately about a ninth or tenth round pick 0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:25.400 to go get Cam. But you know, if I if 0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:29.840 I let that quarterback position slide and I'm taking my 0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:32.360 you know, my number ten rand quarterback and round seven, 0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:35.040 I'd come back in round nine for Cam. Now, I 0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:37.480 think it'll be interesting to see where his ADP kind 0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:40.240 of falls as we get into mid delay at August, 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:44.800 because there are a lot of Patriots fans that might 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:48.280 bump up his value. They see that he's with Belichick 0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.560 and Josh McDaniels over there, and and we're really gonna 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:54.160 bump up this value. Does does he sneak into like 0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.400 the top twelve is ADP quarterbacks? You might? I think 0:15:57.400 --> 0:15:59.160 he might by the by the end of this. So 0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:00.680 I don't think you're going to get him as a 0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:03.240 second quarterback in a lot of cases. And if you're 0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:05.680 not getting him as a second quarterback, I'm probably letting 0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:10.160 him pass fantasy. If it's any indication right now in 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:15.560 late July seasons, getting close the drafts I'm in, nobody 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:17.640 wants the other Patriots. It's like they're still in the 0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:21.080 Precam mindset. We just got done with the scott Fish Bowl. 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:25.800 Jay I got James White in the eighth round of 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:28.000 the scott Fish Bowl. Eighth round, A guy who's been 0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:34.600 a top twenty handcuffs Sony Michelle. Didn't you god know? Nikkil? 0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:39.000 Harry is um, I'm I'm doing this upcome Nikkill. Harry 0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:43.680 went somewhere in the neighborhood of round fifteen. Julian Edelman 0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:49.240 went somewhere in the neighborhood of round eight nine. It 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:51.720 seems like people haven't figured out even if you even 0:16:51.760 --> 0:16:54.520 if you acknowledge the cam's there and he's a massive 0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:59.320 improvement over Jared Stidham. I don't hear anybody taken. I don't. 0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.520 I just it doesn't. It doesn't seem like the ADP 0:17:02.600 --> 0:17:04.679 has moved accordingly for the rest of the Patriots. No, 0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.400 and I think the ADP for for the Patriots has 0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:10.520 just remained low. And I mean when we started the draft, 0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:14.960 we weren't quite on the Cam bandwagon yet. So right, 0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.520 all right, final segment for this podcast, Paul Charging and 0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:23.920 Matt Harrison with you. I am fascinated by a starting 0:17:23.920 --> 0:17:28.800 backfield of Clyde Edwards, A Laire and Damian Williams. Let's 0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:30.760 start with this. So obviously you're getting the two chiefs 0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:32.879 running back. So we think you give me all the 0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:36.920 positives here because I'm gonna come with the Okay, I'm 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:40.040 fascinated by it. Here's here's why. First I got we 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:43.680 think the timeshare is gonna be somewhere sixty one way 0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:46.240 or the other. Okay, does that seem fair? It seems 0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:49.480 fairish sixty, you know, and I I think it'll insert 0:17:49.600 --> 0:17:52.840 Darwin Thompson like, hey, we're not fall for that again. 0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:55.720 Remember excited we were for Darwin Thompson in the preseason. 0:17:55.760 --> 0:18:01.080 Dwayne Washington's like, what's going on right? Um, it's gonna 0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:02.720 be sixty? You don't, you don't. The part of the 0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:04.240 beauty of this is I don't need to know who's 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.080 gonna be sixty and who's gonna be forty because I 0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:09.040 got both guys and together they're gonna get close to 0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:11.040 one of the work. The other guys should not be 0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:14.040 any kind of significant factor here. So here's let's start 0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:15.359 with this. And the most important thing is what is 0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:17.359 it gonna cost you to get Clyde Edwards Hilaire and 0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:19.760 Damian Williams. It's gonna cost you a third round pick 0:18:20.040 --> 0:18:22.520 for Clyde, it's gonna cost you an eighth round pick 0:18:22.560 --> 0:18:24.840 for Damian Williams, who, by the way, it's gonna be 0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.000 the starter on week one. Okay, I mean you know, 0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:29.560 for all the things that are that are working against 0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:34.560 rookies here in this offseason and this preseason, I think 0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:38.560 there's a nine chance Damian Williams is gets the majority 0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:40.560 of the work in the beginning of the season. Eighth 0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:46.400 round pick. So I'm I'm gonna start both guys as 0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:49.840 my starters. So that means now available to me matt 0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.640 is my first round pick, my second round pick, my fourth, 0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:54.840 my fifth, my six, and my seventh to not be 0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:59.600 running backs. Those picks can be other stuff. That means 0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:02.600 of other stuff I love. Who doesn't love other stuff? 0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:06.920 That's the next Oreo. They should make other stuff. They 0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:13.720 could anything. No, they got every variation of Oreo possible, 0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:17.560 but not other stuff. But the big question mark on 0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:21.280 the package, that's right, that's it's the sawdust they swept 0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:25.880 from under the factory floor. Um So now my first 0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.880 round pick I can go. I can go wide receivers, 0:19:28.920 --> 0:19:31.240 I can go tight ends. I've got all this these 0:19:31.240 --> 0:19:33.479 other picks. I could even go other running backs. If 0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.480 I wanted to, with the intention of still starting Clyde Edwards, 0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:38.960 Hiller and Damian Williams, I could still work in another 0:19:39.000 --> 0:19:41.520 running back or two. Now in how would it work 0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:45.439 if if I'm if I'm really bundling the two the 0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:47.679 one A and the one B running backs from the Chiefs, 0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:49.440 what am I getting? Well, this is the best offense 0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:52.320 in football in two seasons under Patrick Mahomes. These are 0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:57.080 Patrick Mahomes starts. The Chiefs average day staggering thirty three 0:19:57.119 --> 0:19:59.800 points per game. Keep in mind the NFL average over 0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:02.200 the as two years is twenty one, so basically getting 0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:07.560 two extra touchdowns into your scoring. In rushing touchdowns scored, 0:20:08.240 --> 0:20:11.080 the Chiefs were third last year their fourth year before, 0:20:11.080 --> 0:20:14.240 so you're getting You're getting top tier production from the 0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:19.240 running backs in terms of touchdowns. In the Homes era, 0:20:19.920 --> 0:20:23.040 running backs are averaging over one and a half touchdowns 0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:25.480 per game over one and a half, So that means 0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:28.359 in a typical week, I'm getting a touchdown out of 0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:30.399 one and in the next week, I'm getting a touchdown 0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:32.960 out of each one, or I'm getting two combined touchdowns. 0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:35.640 That's pretty good production out of my third and eighth 0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:39.639 round pick a running back. Now, both Clyde Edwards Hilaire 0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:43.399 and Williams are elite level pass catchers. And I'll remind 0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:47.480 listeners two years ago Kareem Hunt, in the eleven games 0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:52.040 that he played before he went dumbass, he caught he 0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:56.320 caught seven touchdowns, caught seven. So if I had those 0:20:56.359 --> 0:20:58.600 seven in with the one and a half touchdowns per 0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:01.960 game that we were getting before of rushing touchdowns, these 0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:06.320 two running backs are going to average two touchdowns a 0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:11.080 game between them. Fatsy elite running back production right now? Yes, 0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:14.320 it is. If you have one running back position you're 0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:16.280 using in your starting lineup. To do it, you gotta 0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:18.760 use two though. You have to use both of your 0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:22.440 running back starting slots on these guys, and that means 0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:25.159 I don't get to have a second running back in play. 0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:29.840 That's the thing. But or you're taking these two guys, 0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:33.480 you're combining them together. They're fantastic running back, right Yeah, Well, 0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:36.400 but you gotta take two touchdowns. You gotta take those 0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:38.800 two guys and put them into two starting spots where 0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:41.400 if I get a bell cow back in the first 0:21:41.400 --> 0:21:44.080 two rounds or the first three rounds, I slot him 0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:46.919 into one of my running back spots, and then I 0:21:47.000 --> 0:21:49.440 still have an extra running back spot where I can 0:21:49.480 --> 0:21:53.600