1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 3 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:24,600 Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 6 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: am Paul charchy In. My co host this week is 7 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: Matt Harrison. Hello, Matt, hey church. Do you know who 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: does like the like by name, who does the cool 9 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: voice intros for our for our show? I think this 10 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: one was a guy named Miguel Okay, I think really Yeah? 11 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: Do you think it has a good job? Yeah, he does. 12 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:45,639 Speaker 1: He does a great job. I just wonder if that's 13 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 1: his real voice. Hey, can you make me some pancakes? 14 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: At which point you go, yes, I kind of make 15 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: you pancakes. That's uh. We can all get into the 16 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: smooth voice so you know, Um, I can't do it 17 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: as well right now, but just because I just did 18 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: three hours of radio, but I can IF voice. I 19 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: can do FM voice if I need to, but I'm 20 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 1: not gonna do it right now. All right, let's we 21 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: got a bunch of stuff to get to now, because 22 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: our last several shows. Last four shows were all about 23 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 1: breaking down all the teams in the NFL from a 24 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: fantasy standpoint, and then we had our COVID show. This 25 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 1: is our first time to catch up on news from 26 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: around the league. So I want to really orient today's 27 00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: discussion around some of the bigger topics of the past 28 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 1: month or so. And um, just sit on a few 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: of these things, and then um and also at the end, 30 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: this isn't necessarily new news, but I've been fascinated but 31 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: the by the idea of a starting backfield of Clyde 32 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: Edwards Hilaire and Damian Williams, and you just you start 33 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: those two chief running backs every week, but they're by 34 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 1: week You're you're fascinated by idea. I am, So we'll 35 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 1: we'll we'll look into the viability of that strategy a 36 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: little later in the show. Let's start here with more 37 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: recent news. Derrick Henry signs a four year extension and 38 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: by the way, brilliant on his part. When you look 39 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 1: at all of the players that are coming into free 40 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 1: agency next year, Alvin Kamarin, Dalvin Cook, and it's of 41 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: course they all on deals done too, they do. But 42 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: Henry was smart enough to get. There's a good deal. 43 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 1: It's not bad deal. He took twenty five million and 44 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: guaranteed money fifty million dollar upside if he plays through 45 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:30,119 Speaker 1: the whole contract, and he doesn't have to sweat being 46 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:33,679 Speaker 1: one of a dozen meaningful running back free agents. And 47 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 1: I'm not kidding, there's a dozen guys coming. Yeah. And 48 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,519 Speaker 1: the nice part is it's also a team friendly contract 49 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: really because there is a potential out in two with 50 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: the dead cap of only six million for those final 51 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,239 Speaker 1: two seasons of the deal. So it it's if if 52 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: his knee explodes in the next year or two, the 53 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: Titans can get out of it scott free. And if 54 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 1: if Derrick Henry performs, he's going to get paid some 55 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: decent money where he at fifteen million each for those 56 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: last two years. So I think it's a good deal 57 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: for everyone around right there. You know, there's some people 58 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: who feel like, well, they could have paid Jack conkle 59 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: in their star tackle or Derrick Henry. I don't that's 60 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 1: you know, in this world, tackles are a lot more 61 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: valuable than running backs. Derrick Henry is pretty special. But man, 62 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: I don't know that that's the choice I would have 63 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: made for the Titans. But it's let's talk about Derrick 64 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 1: Henry's fantasy value. Let's start with redraft. How do you 65 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: feel does this and does this signing in any way 66 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: change this year's No, because I think everybody in redraft 67 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: leagues they knew Derrick Henry wasn't making any noise. There 68 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 1: was no holdout speculation on him. Everybody knew that he 69 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: was going to run into this year as as the 70 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: lead back there. So I don't think it changes anything 71 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: at all from a redraft person. Now, you spent a 72 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: lot of your time on Dynasty and Empire League related matters. 73 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: You've got the best cheat sheet in existence for Dynasty 74 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: and Empire players of trade values and all kinds of stuff. 75 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: So let's look a lot more long term and let's 76 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: talk about this Henry deal. For those people that own 77 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: Henry or maybe are interested investing in Henry, how do 78 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: you feel like this changes his his value for Dynasty 79 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 1: and Empire League owners. For Derrick Henry, I mean I'm 80 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: gonna bump him up a little bit. Um. I currently 81 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 1: have him as tied for running back eight with a 82 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: few guys who are on a little bit longer contracts 83 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: and are a little bit younger Josh Jacobs and Miles Sanders. 84 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: So he's right in that neighborhood, but I'll probably bump 85 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 1: him up above them, and he's going to be in 86 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: the right between Joe Mixon and Alvin Kamara. You know, 87 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 1: the fact that he just doesn't catch passes to me 88 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 1: just caps his upside. He can never be the top 89 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 1: running back, of the top two or top three, because 90 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: those guys just he's the Adrian Peterson. Yeah he is. 91 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,839 Speaker 1: I mean he really is. And and he he runs 92 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: with violence. He runs with Vim and Vigor. Yes, they 93 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: always go together, don't they. Nobody runs with Vim without 94 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: also running with Vigor. I think with Vigor without Vim, though, 95 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: I think you can have Viggers got it way better 96 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 1: you're not attached to vim um. I saw this stat 97 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: that blew me away regarding Derrick Henry. Once Ryan Tannehill 98 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 1: took over last year, the Titans averaged seven and a 99 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: half yards per play, most in the His line was 100 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: the last twenty years of the NFL, going back to 101 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 1: two thousand. That's unbelievable. And they started handing off to 102 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: Terry Henry, and Henry is obviously a huge part of that, 103 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: right you know, when you're running back is getting you 104 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 1: chunk yardage of five and eight and twenty yards and carry, 105 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 1: it certainly helps. So brief aside on that, who is 106 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator that essentially ruined his value for the 107 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: first two three years of his career. Not Mike mclarkey. 108 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 1: That was Uh, he's currently a head coach right in 109 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: the Packers, Matt La Matt Lafleur. Yeah, I think that 110 00:05:57,040 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: Aaron Jones is kind of in the market for the 111 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: same aggression this year. But other people would say, look 112 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: at Aaron Jones had last year in r Matt la floor. 113 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 1: But Matt, Aaron Jones is one of my my biggest 114 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: fades this fantasy season. I really worry about what A J. 115 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: Dillon is going to do to him, especially near the stripes. 116 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: So much of the fantasy value that Aaron Jones had 117 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: was because they used him a lot near the stripe. 118 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: If those go away his and he's just now he's 119 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: in and now he's in a three person time share. Yeah, 120 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: and Jamal Williams wasn't the guy they were handing off 121 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: in the five too, So it was all Aaron Jones was. 122 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 1: A J. Dillon is two hundred fifty pounds. He's as 123 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 1: big as Derrick Henry. Yes, he's Derrick Henry. It's it's 124 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:43,279 Speaker 1: bonkers what he's gonna be like. So, uh, I think 125 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 1: for me Derrick Henry also, I love him in this offense. 126 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: I like the way they want to use him here. Um, 127 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 1: and it's it's a proven commodity. If Derrick Henry had 128 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:56,200 Speaker 1: hit free agency next year, he could have ended up 129 00:06:56,760 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: anywhere and maybe, you know, maybe into a time himeshare role. 130 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 1: Who knows. Here he remains one of the few locked 131 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: in workhorse backs for the remainder of his contract. In 132 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: all probability, it's pretty nice consistency, that's for sure. It 133 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: definitely is. All right, So we're high on on Derrick Henry. 134 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: I want to touch on this as well before we 135 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 1: jump into uh some other matters. Dak Prescott is has 136 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: let the uh the deadline to sign a guess he 137 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 1: could always sign a new deal, but um, he's let 138 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: the deadline pass. He's gonna pay the play this year 139 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: as a as a under the franchise tag and will 140 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: probably enter next year. People assume enter next year as 141 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: a free agent, and the team could refranchise him again. 142 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 1: At that point, So he's heading down the Kirk Cousins path. 143 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 1: Do you think is there any real scenario here where 144 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: Dak ends up missing, doesn't play. Is there a scenario 145 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: here where he just this season he just goes stop, 146 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 1: mom out. Well, I'm gonna hold out until I get 147 00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 1: my You know, he turned out a hundred million dollar deal. 148 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 1: He turned on a hundred and seventy five million dollar deal. 149 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 1: I saw that was worth a hundred and ten and 150 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 1: guaranteed me on a five year deal. Now he is 151 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: on the franchise tag and I don't know how this works. 152 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 1: But according to spot track, yeah, um who, I think 153 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 1: most of my contract information from his cap hit of 154 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: thirty one point four million this year under the franchise 155 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 1: tag makes him the highest paid player in the NFL 156 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 1: this year. But according to them, so if he's if 157 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: he's not going to play this year as the highest 158 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: paid player in the NFL, what is he doing? Yeah, 159 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: when push comes to show, the players want their game checks, 160 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: and at that level of game checks, when you're making 161 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: two million dollars a game, sure, yeah, you're gonna show 162 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: up for those games. Don't think you will? I think 163 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: you will too. Now I also saw this that was 164 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: interesting about Dak. If they have to refranchise him next year, 165 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,319 Speaker 1: the thirty one and a half a million only goes 166 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: only goes to thirty eight million. Year after that it 167 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: explodes to like fifty million or something. Um. So it 168 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: could be that they he gets the franchise take twice 169 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 1: just like Kirk did. It could be, could be, We'll 170 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 1: see it's Dak remains my quarterback number three. Is a 171 00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 1: your quarterback three or four? I think I have him 172 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: at three or four one of the two. I'm probably 173 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 1: more on the three bandwagon. I'm pretty on the on 174 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 1: the Dack thing. Seed. I love Ceedee Lamb and once 175 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: they picked Seed. Once Ceedee Lamb was on that team, 176 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: Like that's at these three. Yeah, Dak and c d 177 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 1: are on my Scott Fish Bowl roster. I'm pretty pleased 178 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: about that. I bet you are. I'm jealous of that. 179 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, let's take a quick break, Matt. 180 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 1: When we come back, I want to talk about Cam Newton. 181 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:40,199 Speaker 1: I'm contending no fantasy quarterback has a bigger variance impossible 182 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: outcomes than Cam Newton. Will touch on him. When we 183 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 1: returned to Fantasy Football Weekly, Welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly, 184 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 1: Paul Charchi and Matt Harrison with you. Cam Newton replaces 185 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: Tom Brady obviously in New England. I believe, as I 186 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,439 Speaker 1: said going into the break, no play, no quarterback has 187 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:00,640 Speaker 1: more variance impossible outcome than Cam Newton. He could lose 188 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: the job outright, We're not We don't know for sure 189 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 1: before the season starts. It costs the team nothink him. 190 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: They literally, I don't think they would. He's an ideal 191 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: backup and he's cheap, but he may not even be 192 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 1: the starter. There's a slim but non zero chance that 193 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: he gets beaten out by him. Man, it's I don't 194 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 1: know where he is as a passer, but what we 195 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:28,439 Speaker 1: do know is he's only four seasons removed from being 196 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: the best fantasy player in the league. Um. When he's 197 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: a running quarterback, he's awfully good. So what what are 198 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:36,599 Speaker 1: your thoughts in Cam Newton? You with me on the 199 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: upside and downside that he can that he can bring, 200 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,679 Speaker 1: and what's your strategy if any, on selecting it. So 201 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: I'm I'm with you on on the on the variants, 202 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: and but Bill Belichick obviously saw something that he likes 203 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: that and I got a few stats to dig into 204 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: this might might help us make this decision. As you mentioned, 205 00:10:55,760 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: was his huge year. Um, He's never hit four thousand 206 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: and passing yards in a season though. Yeah, it's kind 207 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 1: of surprising for a quarterback of his MP stature. He 208 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: was an m v P one year, never once and 209 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 1: and a lot of guys hit four thousand yards every year. 210 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: Jake Cutler was a four thousand. It's it's pretty easy 211 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: mark to hit. He's had only one season of more 212 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: than twenty four touchdown passes UM. That was again when 213 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: he threw thirty five and last year, by the way, 214 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: fourteen quarterbacks through touchdown passes or more. It's not that high. 215 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: It's not that high marks. It's easy. Now I'm gonna 216 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna jump in because I have a stat that 217 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: is right into the same wheelhouse that you're in. If 218 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: I looked at his past three full seasons for Cam Newton, 219 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: his average game two hundred thirty one passing yards and 220 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: one point four passing touchdowns. That is exactly Andy Dalton. 221 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 1: So when you draft Cam Newton's arm, you are getting 222 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:59,359 Speaker 1: Andy Dalton's arm. Yeah. Um, I guess the the interesting 223 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 1: thing that I think that Belichick saw was his teen season, 224 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,679 Speaker 1: the last season he was mostly healthy. Um, that was 225 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:10,960 Speaker 1: an outlier in one category specifically for Cam, and that 226 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: was completion percentage. He almost completed sixty eight percent of 227 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 1: his balls. That right, that's a really good number. He 228 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 1: never topped more than sixty one and a half the 229 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: rest of his career, so he really rocketed up the 230 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: completion percentage. That coincided with Christian McCaffrey grabbing a hundred 231 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: and seven passes. Does this make you think a little 232 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:41,439 Speaker 1: bit about James White? He's absolutely becomes very serviceable. I 233 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: think James White becomes really really interesting in these leagues. 234 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: But really, you're buying Camp for his rushing ability. Yes 235 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: you are. How comfortable are you in investing in a 236 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: thirty one year old running back? Chart? Um? Most running backs, 237 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,559 Speaker 1: I'm not comfortable old. How about when they're coming off 238 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:03,559 Speaker 1: a sgnificant injury well through and yep, that's that is 239 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:07,240 Speaker 1: absolutely fair. Cam did record four eight rushing yards and 240 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: four rushing tds age twenty nine season. Let's say the 241 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 1: Pats can magically get seventy of that. Yeah. Uh, that's 242 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 1: three sixty six yards and three scores. That's about what 243 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson had last year, and people do pay for 244 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: the Russell Wilson. But Russell Wilson's got way more passing upside, 245 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: way more passing. So I think the long and short 246 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: of this is, I think Cam just finishes as the 247 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 1: middle of the pack quarterback. He's got, He's got the 248 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: upside variants, he's got the downside variants. He's gonna finish 249 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: his quarterback seventeen on the year, and I think everybody's 250 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: almost exactly ranked right now, go back sixteen here, let 251 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: me give you another scenario where Cam can hit the upside. 252 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 1: Your Belichick, You've watched what Baltimore has done with Lamar 253 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,199 Speaker 1: Jackson running in with abandoned, and you know that Cam 254 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: can still run. It's just the last several seasons teams 255 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,680 Speaker 1: he's and hurt, and the teams of consciously Panthers constantly 256 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 1: chose not to have him run as much. Do I 257 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: want to keep him healthy? But does Belichick have a 258 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 1: motivation to keep him healthy the same way. It's not 259 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: a one year deal that cost him nothing, so Belichick 260 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 1: might just figure I'm gonna run him for sixteen games 261 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: and if he makes it and it helps us win, fine, 262 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 1: and if it doesn't, who cares. I'll do it doesn't 263 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: cost me anything, and I'll go to Jared' Stidham. It 264 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: could go that way. Belichick might just figure I'll run 265 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: him and just see how long it lasts and maybe 266 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:30,520 Speaker 1: all the way to the super Bowl. I don't know. 267 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: There's I think there is there is I think upside 268 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: for that. Um, your worst case scenario we've already documented. 269 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: He could get benched Andy Dalton, who you know we 270 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: said he's and he's Andy Dalton is a phassor Andy 271 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 1: don't got bench last year? And keep in mind Camp 272 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: has been a sub five quarterback in six of his 273 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 1: nine seasons. Subid Belichick may not stand for that. Wins. 274 00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:57,680 Speaker 1: Just talk about wins. That's right. So, um, here's where 275 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: here's the drafting strategy for me. I love Cams my 276 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: second quarterback. Yeah, oh, because you get you get all 277 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: the upside and none of the risk. So I'm willing 278 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 1: to take Cam around before a DP if I've already 279 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: got a quarterback. Okay, And so regardless of where I 280 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: took that first quarterback, although if I took Patrick Mahomes, 281 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,760 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, I'm probably not gonna waste what would have 282 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,240 Speaker 1: to be ultimately about a ninth or tenth round pick 283 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: to go get Cam. But you know, if I if 284 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: I let that quarterback position slide and I'm taking my 285 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: you know, my number ten rand quarterback and round seven, 286 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: I'd come back in round nine for Cam. Now, I 287 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 1: think it'll be interesting to see where his ADP kind 288 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: of falls as we get into mid delay at August, 289 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 1: because there are a lot of Patriots fans that might 290 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: bump up his value. They see that he's with Belichick 291 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 1: and Josh McDaniels over there, and and we're really gonna 292 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 1: bump up this value. Does does he sneak into like 293 00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: the top twelve is ADP quarterbacks? You might? I think 294 00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: he might by the by the end of this. So 295 00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 1: I don't think you're going to get him as a 296 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: second quarterback in a lot of cases. And if you're 297 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,680 Speaker 1: not getting him as a second quarterback, I'm probably letting 298 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: him pass fantasy. If it's any indication right now in 299 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 1: late July seasons, getting close the drafts I'm in, nobody 300 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: wants the other Patriots. It's like they're still in the 301 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: Precam mindset. We just got done with the scott Fish Bowl. 302 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 1: Jay I got James White in the eighth round of 303 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: the scott Fish Bowl. Eighth round, A guy who's been 304 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 1: a top twenty handcuffs Sony Michelle. Didn't you god know? Nikkil? 305 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: Harry is um, I'm I'm doing this upcome Nikkill. Harry 306 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: went somewhere in the neighborhood of round fifteen. Julian Edelman 307 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 1: went somewhere in the neighborhood of round eight nine. It 308 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 1: seems like people haven't figured out even if you even 309 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 1: if you acknowledge the cam's there and he's a massive 310 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: improvement over Jared Stidham. I don't hear anybody taken. I don't. 311 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 1: I just it doesn't. It doesn't seem like the ADP 312 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,679 Speaker 1: has moved accordingly for the rest of the Patriots. No, 313 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,400 Speaker 1: and I think the ADP for for the Patriots has 314 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: just remained low. And I mean when we started the draft, 315 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: we weren't quite on the Cam bandwagon yet. So right, 316 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: all right, final segment for this podcast, Paul Charging and 317 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 1: Matt Harrison with you. I am fascinated by a starting 318 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 1: backfield of Clyde Edwards, A Laire and Damian Williams. Let's 319 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:30,760 Speaker 1: start with this. So obviously you're getting the two chiefs 320 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 1: running back. So we think you give me all the 321 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: positives here because I'm gonna come with the Okay, I'm 322 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 1: fascinated by it. Here's here's why. First I got we 323 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 1: think the timeshare is gonna be somewhere sixty one way 324 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: or the other. Okay, does that seem fair? It seems 325 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 1: fairish sixty, you know, and I I think it'll insert 326 00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 1: Darwin Thompson like, hey, we're not fall for that again. 327 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: Remember excited we were for Darwin Thompson in the preseason. 328 00:17:55,760 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: Dwayne Washington's like, what's going on right? Um, it's gonna 329 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 1: be sixty? You don't, you don't. The part of the 330 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: beauty of this is I don't need to know who's 331 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 1: gonna be sixty and who's gonna be forty because I 332 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: got both guys and together they're gonna get close to 333 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: one of the work. The other guys should not be 334 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 1: any kind of significant factor here. So here's let's start 335 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:15,359 Speaker 1: with this. And the most important thing is what is 336 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,359 Speaker 1: it gonna cost you to get Clyde Edwards Hilaire and 337 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 1: Damian Williams. It's gonna cost you a third round pick 338 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: for Clyde, it's gonna cost you an eighth round pick 339 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 1: for Damian Williams, who, by the way, it's gonna be 340 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,000 Speaker 1: the starter on week one. Okay, I mean you know, 341 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 1: for all the things that are that are working against 342 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 1: rookies here in this offseason and this preseason, I think 343 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 1: there's a nine chance Damian Williams is gets the majority 344 00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 1: of the work in the beginning of the season. Eighth 345 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 1: round pick. So I'm I'm gonna start both guys as 346 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: my starters. So that means now available to me matt 347 00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:52,640 Speaker 1: is my first round pick, my second round pick, my fourth, 348 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: my fifth, my six, and my seventh to not be 349 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: running backs. Those picks can be other stuff. That means 350 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 1: of other stuff I love. Who doesn't love other stuff? 351 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:06,920 Speaker 1: That's the next Oreo. They should make other stuff. They 352 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: could anything. No, they got every variation of Oreo possible, 353 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: but not other stuff. But the big question mark on 354 00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: the package, that's right, that's it's the sawdust they swept 355 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:25,880 Speaker 1: from under the factory floor. Um So now my first 356 00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,880 Speaker 1: round pick I can go. I can go wide receivers, 357 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 1: I can go tight ends. I've got all this these 358 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,479 Speaker 1: other picks. I could even go other running backs. If 359 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 1: I wanted to, with the intention of still starting Clyde Edwards, 360 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: Hiller and Damian Williams, I could still work in another 361 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: running back or two. Now in how would it work 362 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:45,439 Speaker 1: if if I'm if I'm really bundling the two the 363 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,679 Speaker 1: one A and the one B running backs from the Chiefs, 364 00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 1: what am I getting? Well, this is the best offense 365 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,320 Speaker 1: in football in two seasons under Patrick Mahomes. These are 366 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:57,080 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes starts. The Chiefs average day staggering thirty three 367 00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: points per game. Keep in mind the NFL average over 368 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,200 Speaker 1: the as two years is twenty one, so basically getting 369 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 1: two extra touchdowns into your scoring. In rushing touchdowns scored, 370 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: the Chiefs were third last year their fourth year before, 371 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 1: so you're getting You're getting top tier production from the 372 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 1: running backs in terms of touchdowns. In the Homes era, 373 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 1: running backs are averaging over one and a half touchdowns 374 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 1: per game over one and a half, So that means 375 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 1: in a typical week, I'm getting a touchdown out of 376 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:30,399 Speaker 1: one and in the next week, I'm getting a touchdown 377 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: out of each one, or I'm getting two combined touchdowns. 378 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: That's pretty good production out of my third and eighth 379 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 1: round pick a running back. Now, both Clyde Edwards Hilaire 380 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 1: and Williams are elite level pass catchers. And I'll remind 381 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 1: listeners two years ago Kareem Hunt, in the eleven games 382 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 1: that he played before he went dumbass, he caught he 383 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 1: caught seven touchdowns, caught seven. So if I had those 384 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 1: seven in with the one and a half touchdowns per 385 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: game that we were getting before of rushing touchdowns, these 386 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: two running backs are going to average two touchdowns a 387 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: game between them. Fatsy elite running back production right now? Yes, 388 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: it is. If you have one running back position you're 389 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,280 Speaker 1: using in your starting lineup. To do it, you gotta 390 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: use two though. You have to use both of your 391 00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 1: running back starting slots on these guys, and that means 392 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,159 Speaker 1: I don't get to have a second running back in play. 393 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: That's the thing. But or you're taking these two guys, 394 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 1: you're combining them together. They're fantastic running back, right Yeah, Well, 395 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,400 Speaker 1: but you gotta take two touchdowns. You gotta take those 396 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: two guys and put them into two starting spots where 397 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,400 Speaker 1: if I get a bell cow back in the first 398 00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 1: two rounds or the first three rounds, I slot him 399 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,919 Speaker 1: into one of my running back spots, and then I 400 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,440 Speaker 1: still have an extra running back spot where I can 401 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 1: start and get gravy from anybody else. So here you 402 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 1: want the negatives, bring it on, although I want to 403 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,119 Speaker 1: I'd like to respond to that too. Okay, go for it. Okay, 404 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,919 Speaker 1: So you're you're suggesting Dalvin Cook, for example, is my 405 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 1: first round pick? The beauty of my system is with 406 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards, Laer and Damian Williams. Is I just drafted 407 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:12,400 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas or Davante Adams? You know, you know I've 408 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:16,520 Speaker 1: got I've got Michael Thomas on my team, don't you do? 409 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 1: Get to use your draft picks for other things, But 410 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,199 Speaker 1: when it comes down to your starting lineup, you're taking 411 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 1: a roster spot out of your starting lineup. By starting 412 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,920 Speaker 1: two Chiefs running backs, I'm contending to get their they're 413 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 1: both effectively RB one's combined. Ahead, Let's bring it on. 414 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: Bring some more perfect right? Okay? Good? How many times 415 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:41,160 Speaker 1: in the last four years have two running backs from 416 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: the same team finished in the top twenty four? And 417 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 1: now it's time for a guessing game chart. Here we go. 418 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: In two thousand nineteen, we had one pair of running 419 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 1: backs finish in the top twenty four, because you want 420 00:22:56,880 --> 00:23:00,639 Speaker 1: two top twenty four running backs. They're both starting running 421 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 1: back worthy for last year. If if I can just 422 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 1: use the second half of the season, I know both 423 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb were top twenty four while 424 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,879 Speaker 1: they were while once Kareem Monk got off suspension. Okay, 425 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 1: but I'm sure that's the answer to this. You're asking 426 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 1: me for a full season, all right, I don't Melvin 427 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: Gordon ast Neckler, that is correct? Ding ding? Do we 428 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,400 Speaker 1: have a ding ding on there? There? We get the duck. 429 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: Uh Eckler finished seventh, Gordon finished In two thousand eighteen, 430 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,159 Speaker 1: there was one pair of running backs who both finished 431 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,879 Speaker 1: in the top twenty four. You're not gonna get it, no, 432 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: all right, tell me the Chicago Bears duo of Tariko 433 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 1: and at number seventeen and Jordan Howard. In two thousand 434 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 1: seventeen we had three sets. That was the most successful 435 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:57,159 Speaker 1: year by far of the last four. Okay, can you 436 00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 1: guess any of those well history now years you can 437 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 1: get and you can get a couple of these. Um 438 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:13,680 Speaker 1: uh NFC South, NFC South Okay? Oh? Was it Freeman 439 00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: and uh it was it Freeman and Coleman? Coleman was 440 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 1: one of Okay, Freeman finished twelfth, Coleman, Alvin Kamara and 441 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 1: Market finished four and six. How did they? Yeah, Okay, 442 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 1: you surprised they didn't hit that two years ago. That 443 00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:34,719 Speaker 1: Freeman camera weren't in two years ago? Okay. And then 444 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:38,879 Speaker 1: and then shocking the Vikings the duo of Littavius Murray 445 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:45,240 Speaker 1: and Jerick McKinnon four now, okay now, and and then 446 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:49,439 Speaker 1: in one pair again it was the Falcons again. I 447 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 1: would say, all right, list to the teams, just the 448 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: teams that you just said for all these pairs of 449 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,160 Speaker 1: running your backs that finished in the top twenty four, 450 00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 1: the Chargers and the Bears, and the Saints and Atlanta, 451 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 1: the Vikings, do I think the Chiefs are a lot 452 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 1: better than all those. The Chiefs are awesome. There's a 453 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 1: lot of Chiefs. There's a lot of touchdowns. There's a 454 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:20,200 Speaker 1: lot of touchdowns go around. In four years with thirty 455 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,480 Speaker 1: two teams in the league, that's a hundred and twenty 456 00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:24,679 Speaker 1: eight chances for running back due to finish in the 457 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,679 Speaker 1: top seven times. It has done six times, success rate 458 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,800 Speaker 1: of four point six pc. I just think the chiefs 459 00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: are special enough that they can do that. They they're 460 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 1: definitely special enough that they can That doesn't mean that 461 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: you should do what you're thinking about doing. Don't you 462 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: just want to get one to run away with this 463 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,760 Speaker 1: job and feel confident that's the other and one of 464 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 1: them running away with the job. I don't mind having 465 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,399 Speaker 1: both on my team. It's gonna be really difficult for 466 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 1: me to go into a draft and going, I'm getting 467 00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,680 Speaker 1: these two. Let's play this out. Okay. So let's say, 468 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 1: either through injury or incompetence, one of them breaks away 469 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: from the other one and this thing turns into an 470 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,880 Speaker 1: eight instead of you can't really start the other one. 471 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 1: Can I find a running back? Is it impossible to 472 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:08,639 Speaker 1: get a running back? Am I gonna? You know, if 473 00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna If I'm gonna execute this plan as I 474 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,360 Speaker 1: mentioned before, You're gonna have a first and fourth, first 475 00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: and second and fourth, fifth, six and seventh round picks. 476 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 1: One of those might be another running back. And then 477 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 1: after that, after the eighth round, I'm gonna, you know, 478 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: throw a bunch of picks at running back again. Can't 479 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,399 Speaker 1: I be seeing that in the waiver wire? Can't I 480 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 1: find me going back. I don't mind the handcuff of 481 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 1: the Chiefs backs. What I do mind is the forethought 482 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 1: of going into your draft going I'm getting these two 483 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 1: Chiefs backs that I'm sluffing the rest of the position 484 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,199 Speaker 1: and not thinking about it and starting these two and 485 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 1: going everywhere else with it with all my other picks. 486 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,159 Speaker 1: I want some safety. I want a little bit of 487 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: insurance to back this up. What if Mahomes goes down? 488 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,880 Speaker 1: What if that what if that offense goes upside down? 489 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:51,679 Speaker 1: If Mahomes goes down and he did go down for 490 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: a couple of games last year, That's something that's pretty 491 00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 1: nerve racking to me because I have two guys that 492 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 1: are tied to two positions on my team, him and 493 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 1: if another guy who's completely separate goes belly up, it 494 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: might torpedo all of my value. I think I could 495 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,239 Speaker 1: say that about almost every right back, that they're all 496 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: in trouble when their quarterbacks down. But I guess you 497 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 1: double you double the risk, and I'll give you this. 498 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 1: You didn't bring this up. What if Covid sweeps through 499 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,360 Speaker 1: the Chiefs lock. I was going to mention that that's 500 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: a Williams and Clyde stay in separate running back rooms 501 00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:26,359 Speaker 1: throughout the air. Probably not PLEXI glass them apart. You 502 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:28,120 Speaker 1: know that to me is to me, that's as big 503 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 1: a risk as anything of the Edwards A layer Williams strategy. 504 00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: Is that right, there could be trouble. I hope not. 505 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: I want to execute this. By the way, I think 506 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,960 Speaker 1: way x easier to execute this plan in a draft 507 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: than an auction. Here's why. In an auction, when you 508 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,720 Speaker 1: somebody's gonna throw out Clyde Edwards a laire pretty or leaks, 509 00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:48,439 Speaker 1: it's gonna you know, I think he's gonna be a 510 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,320 Speaker 1: hot pick and people are gonna want to throw them out, 511 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 1: So you go get when you, Matt, go get Clyde 512 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 1: Edwards a layer. And then I hear you bidding on 513 00:27:55,600 --> 00:28:00,119 Speaker 1: Damien Williams. Why you see through this strata of g 514 00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: in a second, if you're gonna if you're gonna go 515 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 1: in with that strategy, you need to get Damian Williams first. 516 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 1: I think you do need to get him first. And 517 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:09,159 Speaker 1: people might still bid you up on Clyde Edwards a 518 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 1: layer at that point, but you could back out and 519 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,919 Speaker 1: it doesn't cost you that much. How about this charge? Um, 520 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 1: I know guillotine leagues are a whole another beast because 521 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: they're seventeen team drafts. Would you feel comfortable You'd have 522 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 1: to probably draft Clyde in the second round and it 523 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:28,040 Speaker 1: would probably increase Damien Williams to like the sixth maybe 524 00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,680 Speaker 1: probably because it's seventeen teams. Yes, Clyde is going to 525 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: go on the side. Would you feel comfortable using this 526 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 1: strategy and a guillotine league? Less comfortable because it is 527 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,960 Speaker 1: because it's a sixty forty. There's gonna be a lot 528 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,480 Speaker 1: of games where one of them has two touchdowns in 529 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: a hundred and twenty total yards and the other one 530 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 1: has forty total yards, and in totality, I'm willing to 531 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 1: take that. But if I've only got one guy or 532 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: the other, I'm in deep trouble if it's not his week, 533 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: and I don't know, I'm nervous about that. It seems 534 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 1: like you're looking for safety and guillotine area, and what's 535 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 1: what's more safe than to have the combination of these 536 00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: two running backs. It is that that's a pretty safe way. Actually, 537 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: you know, you know, maybe you're right because between them, 538 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 1: how many duds are they going to post? You're probably 539 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:16,960 Speaker 1: not getting many done. Maybe we're onto something with the 540 00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:21,040 Speaker 1: handcuffing backfields, but you've got to be a Chiefs level 541 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 1: offense to pull it off. Thirty three points per game 542 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: under Patrick Mahomes. I don't know if there's another running 543 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 1: back duo out there that you could that could be 544 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 1: this interesting. Now, probably not. They're probably maybe Dobbins and Ingram, 545 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: but yeah, maybe although the quarterback worries me, you know, 546 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:41,960 Speaker 1: to touchdowns, yeah, you know, and Patrick Mahomes will you know, 547 00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 1: he'll steal five over the season or four, But um, 548 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: these guys between them could end up scoring eight touchdowns 549 00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:53,800 Speaker 1: and I you know, between them, I wouldn't be surprised 550 00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 1: if one has a ten eleven twelve touchdown season and 551 00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,360 Speaker 1: one has a twelve fourteen, sixteen touchdown season. Well, I 552 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: would be super interested to see what somebody's draft to 553 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 1: look like if they drafted these in a guillotine league. 554 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: So probably go over to guillotine leagues dot com. Good idea, Uh, 555 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 1: take a couple of Chiefs yeah and for running backs, 556 00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: and then show me what the rest of your roster 557 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 1: looks like, because I'd be fascinated to see it. Tweeted 558 00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 1: at me. If you can execute it that is at 559 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,200 Speaker 1: explosive output is where we would tweet you and at 560 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: Paul Charchie, it's where we would tweet me. Um. So yeah, 561 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: all there's it's a fascinating turn and we'll we'll spend 562 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 1: more time I think looking at this particular draft strategy 563 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: as the preseason unwindes. Let's hope we have a regular preseason. 564 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,800 Speaker 1: The two games is great. I just want to just 565 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 1: give me a month of you know, all the preseason stuff, 566 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 1: the training camps and everything else. Yeah, is that okay? Yeah? 567 00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,120 Speaker 1: You know, in some ways we're better off not having 568 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: those first couple of games where we get bad intel 569 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: in those first games Darwin time. Everybody just wants this 570 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: all to go back to normal. We just want to 571 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 1: have a football season where you can sit on the 572 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 1: couch with your family and watch some football games and 573 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: cheer on the numbers on Sunday night and Monday night, 574 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: and I just want that back. Phenomenal great job, thanks Matt, 575 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 1: Thank you. By the way. Reminder, for those that are 576 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:18,640 Speaker 1: listening to Fantasy Football Weekly, for the markets that carry 577 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 1: the radio show, we're back on the air in two weeks. 578 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 1: We're on there August first, The long form two hour 579 00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,360 Speaker 1: version of Fantasy Football Weekly is coming in just two 580 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 1: episodes from now. You know, this is a scamp thirty 581 00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 1: one minutes right now. This is a piece of cake. Yea, 582 00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 1: this is nibble exactly. H Matt, great job. We'll talk 583 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:42,600 Speaker 1: to you next week. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production 584 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:45,400 Speaker 1: of I Heart Radio. For more podcast from my Heart Radio, 585 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: visit the i heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever 586 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 1: you listen to your favorite shows.