WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Jaguars Week 1 Preview 0:00:00.160 --> 0:00:04.120 To on the Move, Dland, Deep Speedways, Peace to Hell. 0:00:05.720 --> 0:00:10.400 From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. 0:00:10.920 --> 0:00:14.640 This is Drivetime with Travis Wingfield. 0:00:16.160 --> 0:00:26.680 He's got my havings in the playoffs. What is up Dolphins? 0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:30.200 And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast. I am your host, 0:00:30.240 --> 0:00:36.600 Travis Wingfield. And on today's show, we did it, We 0:00:36.720 --> 0:00:40.360 made it. It is time to preview a Miami Dolphins 0:00:40.520 --> 0:00:42.839 regular season football game. We're taking a look at the 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:46.960 Jacksonville Jaguars, up and down their roster, their schemes, their coaches, 0:00:47.280 --> 0:00:50.839 and everything in between. Will give you the offense, the defense, 0:00:50.920 --> 0:00:53.360 the keys to each side, the keys to win the game, 0:00:53.760 --> 0:00:56.840 the range of outcomes, all of that and a heck 0:00:56.840 --> 0:00:59.680 of a lot more. From the Baptist Health Studios inside 0:00:59.720 --> 0:01:01.400 the Health Training Complex. 0:01:01.480 --> 0:01:02.120 This is. 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:08.520 The Draft Time Podcast, Week one at home against the 0:01:08.600 --> 0:01:12.760 Jacksonville Jaguars at hard Rock Stadium, one o'clock kickoff on CBS, 0:01:13.120 --> 0:01:16.520 and the weather figures to be miserable a ninety two 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:19.679 degree heat index. There is a ten percent chance of 0:01:19.800 --> 0:01:23.120 rain around three point thirty four o'clock, so that should 0:01:23.160 --> 0:01:25.679 not be a factor in this one. And I swear 0:01:25.760 --> 0:01:28.000 every year, we get really good timing on the weather, 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:29.680 and of course I probably just jinx that for the 0:01:29.680 --> 0:01:32.399 Thursday night game against the Buffalo Bills. But like it 0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:35.120 rains all the time down here, and it never happens 0:01:35.120 --> 0:01:37.399 on Dolphins football weekends, and when they're on the road, 0:01:37.440 --> 0:01:39.880 I swear it happens every single one of those weekends 0:01:39.880 --> 0:01:43.320 down here. So once again proof that the football is 0:01:43.400 --> 0:01:46.240 keying above all, also by the weather. By the way, 0:01:46.680 --> 0:01:50.000 I keep seeing this stuff about the heat advantage being 0:01:50.080 --> 0:01:52.280 reduced this year because of kickoff times. 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:54.560 I've grown quite a were at and there. 0:01:54.440 --> 0:01:56.760 Is some truth to that, but I think we make 0:01:56.840 --> 0:01:59.760 a lot more of it than what it actually is, 0:02:00.720 --> 0:02:03.920 just based upon how good the football team is year 0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:06.600 in and year out. For instance, home games played at 0:02:06.680 --> 0:02:10.640 one o'clock prior to Halloween at hard Rock Stadium. Since 0:02:10.720 --> 0:02:13.720 twenty ten, the Dolphins are fifteen and twenty two, not 0:02:14.000 --> 0:02:16.840 very good, because for the most part of that tenure 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:19.919 they were not very good. But they have been good 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:23.040 recently and McDaniel is five and two in such games, 0:02:23.280 --> 0:02:27.520 and the two losses were without Toutunga Vailoa. Brian Flores, 0:02:27.600 --> 0:02:33.720 on the other hand, zero to eleven, not good. Let's 0:02:33.720 --> 0:02:36.480 go ahead and meet the Jacksonville Jaguars here. It's funny 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:39.720 to me how the rest of the league can shift 0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:42.680 the perception of what you accomplished. And what I mean 0:02:42.720 --> 0:02:45.480 by that is, the Jags had the same record last 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:48.480 year as they did in twenty twenty two, and one 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:52.200 of those years produced a home playoff game of victory 0:02:52.280 --> 0:02:55.120 in that playoff game and then a touchdown deficit to 0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:59.360 the eventual world champion Kansas City Chiefs. And they were 0:02:59.400 --> 0:03:02.520 the darlings going into last season, the obvious AFC South 0:03:02.600 --> 0:03:06.200 champion winner, and that didn't happen. And now because they 0:03:06.200 --> 0:03:08.960 had the exact same record, but because a team tied 0:03:09.000 --> 0:03:11.679 them in the standings and got the tiebreaker over the 0:03:11.800 --> 0:03:14.880 Jags and got that position in the playoffs, they're now 0:03:14.919 --> 0:03:17.440 thought of as this kind of also ran a middling 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:20.680 team that can't compete with those same Texans in the 0:03:20.720 --> 0:03:22.280 AFC South despite. 0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:23.239 The exact same record. 0:03:23.560 --> 0:03:27.320 Now, I get that season journeys and trajectories change and 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:30.840 all that, but I think it's just funny how drastically 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.320 narratives can change for the exact same football team based 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:36.680 upon what happens Elsewhere's the same thing I talk about 0:03:36.720 --> 0:03:39.360 all the time with the Dolphins getting bad draws on 0:03:39.400 --> 0:03:41.800 top of bad injury luck in the playoffs. I mean 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:44.480 going up to Buffalo, going out to Kansas City when 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:48.040 it's negative seventy five thousand degrees, those were bad draws. 0:03:48.080 --> 0:03:51.760 If you had gotten the twenty twenty three Pittsburgh Steelers 0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:54.400 and Mason Rudolph, you probably win that game, right. I 0:03:54.440 --> 0:03:56.440 just think it's funny how much can change based upon 0:03:56.520 --> 0:03:58.200 these little tiny things. 0:03:58.080 --> 0:04:00.400 And the massive narratives that grow off those. 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:03.160 For this Jaguars team, back to back nine and eight 0:04:03.200 --> 0:04:06.560 marks in two years with Dougie p Doug Peterson after 0:04:06.600 --> 0:04:10.160 an utter disaster of a season under Urban Meyer three 0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:13.000 and fourteen, they got Trevor Lawrence because of a one 0:04:13.000 --> 0:04:15.720 in fifteen mark. The year prior to that under Doug Moron, 0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:18.159 and the two years previous to that were six and 0:04:18.279 --> 0:04:21.039 ten and five and eleven. And that was after a 0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:23.960 twenty seventeen team that won just ten games but found 0:04:24.000 --> 0:04:27.040 their way into the playoffs and held a double digit 0:04:27.120 --> 0:04:30.880 fourth quarter lead over the Tom Brady New England Patriots 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:33.560 in the AFC Championship Game. And if they don't rule 0:04:33.640 --> 0:04:36.159 Miles Jack down on a fumble recover where he was 0:04:36.240 --> 0:04:38.920 not down, then we would have gotten a Bortles and 0:04:39.080 --> 0:04:43.120 Foles Super Bowl. Back to the now. They started eight 0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:46.080 and three last year and hosted the Bengals sans Joe 0:04:46.120 --> 0:04:49.640 Burrow on a Monday night, and that is where Jake 0:04:49.680 --> 0:04:53.200 Browning starts to play well, on top of losing Trevor 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:55.640 Lawrence with an ankle injury that sure as hell made 0:04:55.640 --> 0:04:57.480 it seem like he'd missed the rest of the season 0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:00.279 alas he was back the falling week. But they lose 0:05:00.320 --> 0:05:03.039 to the Browns. They scored just seven against the Ravens, 0:05:03.160 --> 0:05:05.960 they get blown out in Tampa. They blank the Panthers 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:08.600 and give themselves a win and in for the division. 0:05:08.880 --> 0:05:13.120 In Week eighteen at the five and eleven lifeless Titans, 0:05:13.200 --> 0:05:15.880 who also kind of ruined our season, and they got 0:05:15.960 --> 0:05:18.200 absolutely handled in that game. It was never really close, 0:05:18.600 --> 0:05:20.640 even though they had a chance to tie the game 0:05:20.680 --> 0:05:23.680 on the final drive. Even that drive was futile and 0:05:23.720 --> 0:05:26.760 didn't get past midfield. So they missed the playoffs all 0:05:26.800 --> 0:05:29.360 together after an eight and three start. So now they've 0:05:29.400 --> 0:05:32.479 changed their defensive coordinator, which the fans were very adamant 0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:34.400 they had to do that. They brought in a massive 0:05:34.400 --> 0:05:37.119 piece on that defensive line in Eric Armstead, and added 0:05:37.160 --> 0:05:39.599 new weapons on offense and will largely run it back 0:05:39.640 --> 0:05:42.200 across the rest of the roster. Speaking of that, let's 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:44.280 go ahead and get into this with the Jaguars offense, 0:05:44.320 --> 0:05:47.760 which is a curveball. Based upon my normal cadence for 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:50.960 the preview podcast, I usually do Dolphins offense first. Why 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:53.200 did I do Jags offense first? I really don't know, 0:05:53.400 --> 0:05:56.600 but that's what we're gonna do here. So the Jags 0:05:56.680 --> 0:06:01.400 offensive scheme is largely West Coast by principle. Of course, 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:04.520 Doug Peterson has adapted his own version of that offense, 0:06:04.520 --> 0:06:07.080 and you get a good mix of man and zone runs, 0:06:07.440 --> 0:06:09.680 but it's all from one back looks. They do not 0:06:09.720 --> 0:06:12.359 have a full back. They do not frequently use h 0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:15.440 back action or an F if you will. They operated 0:06:15.440 --> 0:06:18.599 from eleven personnel last year sixty four percent of the time, 0:06:18.800 --> 0:06:21.479 which was middle of the pack in the National Football League, 0:06:21.600 --> 0:06:24.760 and they do love their twelve personnel grouping that's one back, 0:06:24.839 --> 0:06:28.560 two tight ends twenty three percent, is seventh most in 0:06:28.560 --> 0:06:29.159 the NFL. 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:30.279 They also get. 0:06:30.120 --> 0:06:33.280 To thirteen personnel seven percent of the time, and that's 0:06:33.320 --> 0:06:35.280 pretty much it. They do not play from two backs. 0:06:35.440 --> 0:06:38.600 They almost never go four or five wide, so it's 0:06:38.680 --> 0:06:41.359 eleven base and then adding tight ends from there to 0:06:41.440 --> 0:06:44.559 their formation. They also very rarely go with two running 0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:48.360 backs on the field. With Etn and Bigsby or Deernes Johnson, 0:06:48.560 --> 0:06:52.040 they had the twentieth highest motion rate last year at 0:06:52.080 --> 0:06:55.080 seventeen point four percent. We led the league by more 0:06:55.120 --> 0:06:58.280 than twenty percent at sixty eight. The Rams were at 0:06:58.320 --> 0:07:01.920 forty four percent, the Niners and were up next. So yeah, 0:07:02.000 --> 0:07:05.760 the Shanahan Tree likes motion and it's a big reason 0:07:05.800 --> 0:07:08.640 why their offensive lines are great what they are every 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:11.720 single year and they still produce the top offenses in 0:07:11.760 --> 0:07:14.920 the NFL year in and year out. For the Jaguars, 0:07:14.960 --> 0:07:16.960 they do love to get their counter game off of 0:07:17.080 --> 0:07:20.240 pre snap motion, which is essentially designed to get the 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:23.400 defense bumping one way. And what that means when you 0:07:23.440 --> 0:07:26.720 see linebackers shift or a defensive line shift, they're essentially 0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:29.520 bumping to fit the new strength of the formation to 0:07:29.640 --> 0:07:32.480 counter off of the motion, and then to counter off 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:35.880 of that. For Jacksonville and Travis, Etn is one of 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:39.200 the best in their game at this running counter where 0:07:39.200 --> 0:07:42.600 it's press one side and find that backside cutback lane 0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:45.200 as you've seen Dolphins backs do for the last couple 0:07:45.240 --> 0:07:47.960 of years. Right, So for this it's all about keys 0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:52.240 and why I continue to love the linebacker additions that 0:07:52.280 --> 0:07:55.440 we made this offseason in Jordan Brooks and David Long Junior. 0:07:55.440 --> 0:07:56.840 Well he was an addition, but he's here for a 0:07:56.880 --> 0:07:59.160 second year and off of that. They love to dial 0:07:59.240 --> 0:08:02.360 up play action and they'll usually go Max protection to 0:08:02.440 --> 0:08:05.880 get to it, so stopping the run is paramount for 0:08:05.920 --> 0:08:08.800 a lot of reasons. They can also operate from eleven 0:08:08.800 --> 0:08:11.360 personnel groupings and flex ingram out to give them a 0:08:11.400 --> 0:08:13.640 different look there. And they love to throw the one 0:08:13.720 --> 0:08:16.880 hitch quick timing throws to static routes which are five 0:08:16.960 --> 0:08:19.080 yards off the ball and either coming back to the 0:08:19.160 --> 0:08:22.800 quarterback or stopped as their quick game, which just as 0:08:22.800 --> 0:08:26.400 a philosophy in general, I personally loathe it. Do not 0:08:26.520 --> 0:08:29.000 have your speediest players in the field catch the ball 0:08:29.000 --> 0:08:31.240 at their feet, stand still, have them going towards the 0:08:31.240 --> 0:08:33.920 goal lines basically McDaniel versus what you saw in twenty 0:08:33.960 --> 0:08:36.720 twenty one with Waddle. They do get their play action 0:08:37.080 --> 0:08:38.840 with Max pro and cut the field in half, so 0:08:38.880 --> 0:08:41.600 you can generate some scrambles and throwaways if you can 0:08:41.640 --> 0:08:44.440 play with that front side discipline. And that takes us 0:08:44.520 --> 0:08:47.000 into our next part of the Jags offense. We're going 0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:50.160 to go over scheme, how to attack that scheme and 0:08:50.200 --> 0:08:53.000 the three key principles are three keys to that side 0:08:53.000 --> 0:08:54.920 of the ball on all these editions of the Draft 0:08:54.920 --> 0:08:58.360 Time podcast, So how to attack it. And this is 0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:01.000 why stopping the run is. It's so important in this 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:04.280 game particularly you want to create long down in distances 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.480 to get into your pressure packages, which is where I 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:09.280 think we can get our biggest wins. Captain obvious right, 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:12.120 stop the run, create third lungs, and create chaos on 0:09:12.160 --> 0:09:15.640 those third lungs. That is basically every single NFL broadcast 0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:18.480 key to the game you've ever seen in your entire life. 0:09:18.480 --> 0:09:20.360 But it's more important this one and I'll tell you why. 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:23.680 But also off of that, they added a vertical stretch 0:09:23.720 --> 0:09:26.120 with Brian Thomas Junior, their first round draft pick out 0:09:26.160 --> 0:09:29.040 of LSU, and I think they'll use Gabe Davis on 0:09:29.080 --> 0:09:33.160 that in some ways, but Buffalo used him on clear 0:09:33.160 --> 0:09:35.880 out routes on those concepts a lot, because if you're 0:09:35.880 --> 0:09:39.120 throwing deep shots to Gabe Davis. We want that because 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:42.679 one he doesn't get any separation. Two there's no extra 0:09:42.679 --> 0:09:45.280 gear to track down the field. You're basically hoping for 0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:48.199 a fifty to fifty jump ball or a defensive pass interference. 0:09:48.480 --> 0:09:50.520 And if you can create that, it's a lot like 0:09:50.600 --> 0:09:54.040 getting a contested step back three beyond the arc. You 0:09:54.120 --> 0:09:56.720 will settle for that as a defense in the NBA 0:09:57.160 --> 0:09:59.320 every single day, just like you will settle for that 0:09:59.360 --> 0:10:02.280 in the NFL against the Jacksonville Jaguars offense. 0:10:02.320 --> 0:10:05.520 I just I have very little faith in Gabe Davis's game. 0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:07.640 I don't think that he's a plus player by any 0:10:07.679 --> 0:10:10.360 stretch of the imagination. I do think we have an 0:10:10.360 --> 0:10:12.760 advantage here with regards to our flexibility to limit their 0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:16.400 pre snap movement that's designed to show the defense's hand, 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:18.680 and we have a defense they don't know much about. 0:10:19.000 --> 0:10:21.160 In fact, I talked to Tua about this today at 0:10:21.160 --> 0:10:24.440 his press conference, about how do you approach game planning 0:10:24.440 --> 0:10:27.680 for a defense that doesn't have any proof of concept 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:29.920 on tape, and he said, I start with the players, 0:10:29.920 --> 0:10:33.280 and I try to see, you know who the best 0:10:33.280 --> 0:10:35.840 players are and where we can get leverage advantages. And 0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:38.200 then I also have some information based upon guys that 0:10:38.520 --> 0:10:40.920 have played for coach Nielsen in the past. They were 0:10:40.920 --> 0:10:42.800 here for joint practices last year, guys that went up 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:45.839 against them in joint practices, Like Tua has this wealth 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:47.720 of knowledge that I'm really excited about, and I thought 0:10:47.720 --> 0:10:50.560 that answer displayed that very well. And so from my 0:10:50.640 --> 0:10:53.960 perspective and for the Jags perspective against Anthony Weaver's defense, 0:10:54.200 --> 0:10:55.960 they're going to try to figure some stuff out, as 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:57.679 Tua told us, like, we're gonna runt our best players 0:10:57.679 --> 0:10:59.679 to start with and then see what their goals and 0:10:59.679 --> 0:11:01.760 how they marry up their coverage in front. That's when 0:11:01.800 --> 0:11:03.560 you start to adjust and actually get into your game 0:11:03.559 --> 0:11:07.280 plan really after like the first quarter begins. So same 0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:08.880 concept for the Jags. They're going to do what they 0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:10.920 think they do best and then adjust to us from there. 0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:13.760 And what I like about the Dolphins defense under coach 0:11:13.800 --> 0:11:17.840 Weaver is their ability to be flexible and move guys 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:20.760 all over the formation and you know, have guys run 0:11:20.840 --> 0:11:23.400 different roles from different spots in the field and the formation. 0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:26.160 It's not going to tip your hand against that motion 0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:28.840 as much as a Vic Fangio defense would have. I 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:31.240 think that helps us match up on their biggest threat, 0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:34.440 which is Christian Kirk more on him in a moment. 0:11:34.800 --> 0:11:37.120 So stay true to your keys, you know. I think 0:11:37.120 --> 0:11:38.959 this is where again Brooks and Long are going to 0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:42.000 be so valuable to get your pressure looks and generate 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:44.640 confusion for Lawrence, to get him to hold the football, 0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:47.480 to get the footwork of the quarterback off rhythm with 0:11:47.600 --> 0:11:50.520 the timing of the routes. And that's where we frequently 0:11:50.600 --> 0:11:53.839 saw breakdowns for them in twenty twenty three was his 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:56.640 footwork did not marry up with the timing of the routes, 0:11:56.960 --> 0:12:00.079 and from there he gets kind of robotic, like robotic 0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:02.800 and static, and it just looks ugly and off kilter, 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:05.120 and it looks like nothing you've seen from an NFL 0:12:05.160 --> 0:12:07.200 offense that's run by Trevor Lawrence. Like it just looks 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:09.440 different than their other stuff when they're on rhythm. So 0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:12.280 that takes us in to the big three. When the 0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:14.560 Dolphins defense is on the field. Number one to me 0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:17.640 is changing the picture on Lawrence and the protection schemes. 0:12:17.840 --> 0:12:20.839 Because first things first, in the preseason, I thought Trevor 0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:23.200 Lawrence looked awesome. I thought he looked really, really good. 0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:27.600 Playing on time, mitigating pressure with off platform, no base throws, 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:31.040 no cleats in the ground. He's throwing anticipation shots to 0:12:31.080 --> 0:12:33.400 the correct spot for the receiver to go find the football. 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:37.240 Powerful arm on display consistently, and this goes back to 0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:39.280 last year. I just love the way he does time 0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:41.600 up the footwork when it's right to get to the 0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:45.400 right arm slot to make good throws from those different bases. 0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:48.000 He just has this innate feel for it, and that's 0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:49.880 why he was the golden boy, right the number one 0:12:49.880 --> 0:12:53.839 prospect that everyone was gunning for as far as having 0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:56.720 top draft picks back in twenty twenty or No. Twenty 0:12:56.760 --> 0:13:00.000 twenty one. He also corrected a lot of wrongs this preseason, 0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.199 you know, protection breakdowns which were frequent as they were 0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:05.640 a year ago. So if he can grow in that area, 0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:08.160 my whole thing here kind of doesn't fall apart, but 0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:10.920 it becomes harder to execute. But with his ability to 0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:14.200 both run for yards because he does have some scrambled ability, 0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:17.199 but also show the mobility that to me is always 0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:19.680 more dangerous for a quarterback to be mobile in short 0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.240 spaces because you can still attack with your arm and 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:23.839 you're much more of a threat with your arm than 0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.320 you are with your legs, unless maybe you're Lamar Jackson. 0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:28.120 Maybe even still, I think Lamar's arm is more of 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:30.120 a threat than his legs when it comes to the 0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:31.080 vertical passing game. 0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:34.120 I think that Trevor Lawrence is a problem. He's a playmaker. 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:36.560 I think that his stats don't do his tape justice, 0:13:36.679 --> 0:13:38.559 and I think we have our hands full come Sunday. 0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:40.920 Where can you get him well? 0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:44.319 Few quarterbacks have no blind spots right, and quite frankly, 0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:46.280 the only one in today's game to me that has 0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.600 no blind spots is Patrick Mahomes. Where you have to 0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:50.280 weather the storm and hope that you can compete in 0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:52.320 the fourth quarter and still a victory from those Chiefs. 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:55.360 For Lawrence, it's really the same for all top quarterbacks. 0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:56.640 You got to find a way to confuse him, to 0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:58.880 get him seeing things that aren't there, and I think 0:13:58.920 --> 0:14:03.120 that he processes mostly well at this stage. He did 0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:06.080 make a great throw in the Falcons game against albeit 0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:08.600 three third and four stringers where he was hot in 0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:10.960 the B gap and faded back from this throw going 0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:14.080 to his left, where mechanically this throw should have been 0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.400 a disaster, but he put it right on the out 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:18.800 route out of the break right on time before the 0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:22.480 receiver broke and I was like, that's pretty impressive. But Travis, 0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:24.960 the big question is how did he get hot in 0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:26.960 the b gap. I think you can go back to 0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:29.160 last year and see the same issues for the Jags 0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.120 when the offense got stagnant. It was when they became 0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:34.680 one dimensional. And I look at the Baltimore tape late 0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:36.840 in the season as kind of the carbon copy for 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:38.560 how to do that. They blitzed him just twenty three 0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.480 percent of the time, which was down from the average 0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:42.840 that he faced in the general throughout the course of 0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:45.320 the year. But he completed seven for ten passes against 0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.480 that blitz for just fifty yards, so five yards per attempt. 0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:52.680 And where it really impacted him was the sim pressure 0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.440 looks that produced just six yards per attempt when he 0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.840 was kept clean. So they got him to kind of 0:14:57.880 --> 0:15:00.240 stand in the pocket and try to process and not 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.120 have a good look at, you know, drop eight and 0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.960 drop seven coverages. Where I think Lawrence can take his 0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:07.560 game to the next level is how he sees and 0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:10.840 deals with pressures and blitzes. Because teams did bring that 0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:13.080 extra rusher on him more than a quarter of the 0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.760 time last year twenty seven percent of the time, which 0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:18.680 is two times the rate you see against quarterbacks like 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:22.120 Mahomes or Tua or even Josh Allen sometimes, and they 0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:25.120 did it because it was successful. He was just fifty 0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:27.600 five percent last year against the Blitz, with only six 0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.680 point six yards per attempt, four touchdowns, and six picks, 0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.520 and had twenty five percent pressure to sack rate. All 0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:36.680 of those numbers are outside the top twenty for starting 0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:39.160 quarterbacks last year, so he's not good against the Blitz. 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:44.200 I think you have to light this dude up and 0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:47.880 force the issue. I think that his weakness is what 0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:50.000 I mentioned earlier, how he can be a little bit 0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:53.480 robotic in how he contends with pressure against a line 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:56.320 that doesn't often play connected. And I won't put the 0:15:56.400 --> 0:16:00.000 Ryan Tannehill pocket presence jinks on him, but damn it, 0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.560 there are some times when his game kind of reminds 0:16:02.560 --> 0:16:05.160 me of te Hills with how he just looks a 0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:08.560 little bit stuck with his decision making in the pocket. 0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:11.640 It creates some really bad turnovers. It creates some just 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:14.440 like throws that are not in the area, and some 0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:17.720 you know, disjointed looking plays, and they a big part 0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:20.600 of that is they don't have any special matchup erasers. 0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:23.760 I like their skill players in general, but they don't 0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:25.800 have a Tyreek Hill, they don't have a Jalen Waddle. 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:28.480 They have nothing close to that. And in this league, 0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:29.960 I think you have to have that to be a 0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:34.560 consistent winner. Now inside a reason why that disconnect often occurs. 0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:38.200 You guys remember Brandon Shurf as like this massive guard 0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:42.240 prospect once he left the Commanders and everybody wanted to 0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:44.000 get a piece of this like seventeen million dollars per 0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:47.520 year guard. His game is declined and the way he 0:16:47.520 --> 0:16:49.640 plays in a pham booth and his sets and slides 0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:52.560 are not good. And I think that's a key element 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:54.600 for the Dolphins to attack. It's going after that right 0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:57.440 guard with mugged up pressure looks. So we'll get back 0:16:57.440 --> 0:17:01.600 to a second. Anton Harrison is an absolute maller, but 0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.840 also can be beat around the corner with speed something 0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:08.640 else we have. I think you consistently show those linebackers 0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:11.320 mugged up inside and get that right side of the 0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:14.640 Jaguars offensive line confused. Because the Falcons in their preseason 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:16.640 game go back to last year in the Titans game, 0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.919 in the finale, Mike Frable's defense got that accomplished. Go 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:21.960 back to the Bravens game. They got that accomplished. The 0:17:22.040 --> 0:17:26.840 Niners game got that accomplished. Where you take these rangy, physical, speedy, 0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:30.159 smart linebackers, you mug them up, you show pressure, you 0:17:30.240 --> 0:17:32.720 back out. He doesn't know where the protection needs to slide. 0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:34.760 They have their own issues getting things corrected from the 0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:38.600 offensive line perspective, And what I frequently saw was Shurf 0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:42.360 would because the way protection scans work is you want 0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:45.840 to protect inside first, but you have adjustments based upon like, Okay, 0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:47.600 if he goes, I have to go get him in 0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:49.800 the A gap. If he backs out, I take this 0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:52.640 quick set and then I repivot back open to get 0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.639 with to get the widest rusher who is coming. And 0:17:56.200 --> 0:17:58.840 Suref gets himself in these situations where he gets flat 0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:02.199 footed and you can beat him just by showing that 0:18:02.320 --> 0:18:04.680 look and not bringing it. And so I think about 0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:08.600 the concept of getting Jalen Phillips, for instance, over the 0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:11.560 three technique and rushing him in that spot with Jordan 0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:15.000 Brooks mugged up and force Shurf with his feet too 0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:18.720 close together, with his weight not distributed correctly. To take 0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:21.520 on a power rush against Jalen Phillips, a bowl rush 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:24.520 against Jalen Phillips, and then if he can't handle that, 0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:26.399 you've got an immediate b gap pressure from one of 0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:28.920 the best linebackers in the game. And if he gets help, 0:18:29.200 --> 0:18:32.520 now maybe you have Chop Robinson or Muhammad Kamara coming 0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:34.920 off the edge at one point six ten split time 0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:37.160 with no one there to block him besides a back 0:18:37.280 --> 0:18:41.600 stepping up in scan protection. So I think that all 0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.119 of that and creating this hesitation from the quarterback and 0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:48.600 getting these these protection confusion concepts married up, I think 0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:50.280 you can blow up their passing game if you can 0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:52.760 get that accomplished. I don't think anybody on this offensive 0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.159 line is good, particularly in one on ones, and I 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:57.960 think this design, this defense is designed to create those 0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:00.440 one on one matchups with the guys we just talked about. 0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:02.440 So I think that's a deadly proposition there for the 0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:05.720 Jaguars offense. I think individually the line does have some 0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:08.440 good parts, but you can just absolutely wreck their assignments 0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:10.520 and get him out of rhythm with that concept. I 0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:13.240 do think the addition of Mitch Morse over Luke Fortner 0:19:13.359 --> 0:19:15.600 last year helps a lot with that, but in the 0:19:15.600 --> 0:19:17.919 preseason game that I watched, it was more of the 0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:21.640 same for them. Their offensive line goes Cam Robinson, Ezra Cleveland, 0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:24.440 Mitch Morse, Brandon Schirf, and Anton Harrison. Let's go ahead 0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:26.359