WEBVTT - Amazon to Buy Satellite Operator Globalstar for $90 a Share

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>A little m and a trade today here, not so

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<v Speaker 2>little for this seller here, But we're Amazon, Amazon, which

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<v Speaker 2>doesn't do a lot of acquisitions, and you agreed to

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<v Speaker 2>acquire satellite operator Global Start in a roughly eleven point

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<v Speaker 2>six billion dollar deal to boost its satellite operation. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>Michelle Davis, she's got the detailed senior deals reporter for

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News. Here, Michelle, what's Amazon up to these days?

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<v Speaker 3>You know this deal is all about basically, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>there's a massive rate to race to dominate space based productivity.

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<v Speaker 3>All the tech giants are trying to do it. SpaceX

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<v Speaker 3>is obviously the leader. Amazon also has a big ambitions

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<v Speaker 3>to be a leader in satellites and this steal is

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<v Speaker 3>all about spectrum. Global Star has really valuable spectrum, which

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<v Speaker 3>is think of it as real estate. That's you know,

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<v Speaker 3>a scarce asset. Whoever got it first was able to

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<v Speaker 3>sell it later on, and that's that's how Global Star

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<v Speaker 3>ended up, you know, being able to sell this to Amazon.

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<v Speaker 3>And not only are they getting spectrum with this deal,

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<v Speaker 3>they're also getting infrastructure on the ground and a massive

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<v Speaker 3>customer in Apple, Apples one of global Stars customers. As

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<v Speaker 3>part of the deal, Amazon was able to negotiate basically,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, keeping Apple on board, they'll be using the

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<v Speaker 3>Apple will be using its services to provide you know,

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<v Speaker 3>emergency services. If you're out hiking and there's no no

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<v Speaker 3>cell service, you can use satellites to call nine one one,

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<v Speaker 3>or you know, people can find you and find my friends.

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<v Speaker 4>Basically, is there reason to think that anyone would raise

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<v Speaker 4>their hand object to this deal?

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<v Speaker 5>Would regulators get in the way.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a good question. We've seen regulators be pretty open

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<v Speaker 3>to these spectrum deals. I mean, the regulators themselves are

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<v Speaker 3>the ones who auction off spectrum when it is of

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<v Speaker 3>available in the open market. But in a deal like

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<v Speaker 3>this where you know Global Star was the owner of it,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, you know they get to be the.

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<v Speaker 6>Ultimate decider of who buys it.

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<v Speaker 3>And because Amazon isn't the big leader in this space,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, it doesn't seem like it'd be an issue,

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<v Speaker 3>but you never know, I think what's interesting.

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<v Speaker 6>About but all of this is while this does.

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<v Speaker 3>Kind of help Amazon accelerate its ambitions to be a

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<v Speaker 3>big leader in satellite SpaceX still you know, light years

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<v Speaker 3>ahead of it has way more satellites in orbit. Amazon

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<v Speaker 3>hasn't been able to launch as many as SpaceX, so

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<v Speaker 3>that will be something else that it has to do.

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<v Speaker 4>And PAULA was just noticing that Global Star CEO is

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<v Speaker 4>Paul Jacobs, the former CEO of Qualcom.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so I mean Amazon does have this low earth

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<v Speaker 2>orbit satellite network Amazon LEO exactly, but I don't hear

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<v Speaker 2>much about that.

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<v Speaker 6>It's not really in use yet.

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<v Speaker 3>There's still kind of literally getting it off the ground,

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<v Speaker 3>and they're hoping that by twenty twenty eight, especially after

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<v Speaker 3>this deal, they will be able to launch a.

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<v Speaker 6>Direct to device service.

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<v Speaker 3>Which is like having a cell phone tower up in space,

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<v Speaker 3>and it basically means, you know, consumers companies would be

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<v Speaker 3>able to get voice text data without having to use

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<v Speaker 3>a cell tower, but by using their statellites.

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<v Speaker 4>Paul, you had mentioned that Amazon does not make a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of big deals. If you go to the buyp

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<v Speaker 4>function on the Bloomberg terminal, it shows you the buyer profile.

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<v Speaker 4>And the biggest deal is that Amazon has made direct

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<v Speaker 4>M and a Whole Foods was back in twenty seventeen

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<v Speaker 4>for thirteen point six billion dollars Global Star of course

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<v Speaker 4>what we're reporting on today, and MGM holdings the Library

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<v Speaker 4>for ten point two billion, that was back in twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty one. Otherwise, Amazon kind of builds it itself and

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<v Speaker 4>we'll see how things shake.

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<v Speaker 5>Out before it decides what the I don't know this one. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 5>you could sort by recent and by largest.

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<v Speaker 2>So what's Amazon saying is their strategy here? I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>are they going to invest in this business?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean what they're really saying is that this, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>is part of their vision to provide connectivity to people

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<v Speaker 3>and be a leader on Earth, connecting people, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>through groceries and deliveries and now you know, voice, text

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<v Speaker 3>and data.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is separate from Jeff Bezos' own little rocket. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Well that's why Michelle said on Earth, because at some

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<v Speaker 4>point it's going to expand to in space as well.

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<v Speaker 5>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am. He's done on Apple, Cocklay and

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<v Speaker 4>Let's talk about another group that obviously is affected directly

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<v Speaker 4>by the surgeon oil prices, and that is the airline sector.

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<v Speaker 4>There's a really interesting story today, Paul, about the United

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<v Speaker 4>CEO pitching President Trump about a possible combination with American

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<v Speaker 4>that kind of just struck me as bananas because it

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<v Speaker 4>would create a behemoth.

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<v Speaker 2>Yep, and they didn't let smaller airlines get together. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not sure why they let these big ones get together.

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<v Speaker 4>All right, So let's bring in Sid philipp Is, our

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<v Speaker 4>chief correspondent for Global aviation. So, I mean, as Pop

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<v Speaker 4>pointed out, they didn't let Jet Blue and Spirit get together,

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<v Speaker 4>why would someone okay a United American Airlines combination?

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<v Speaker 7>So, Scarlett, this is this is obviously a story that

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<v Speaker 7>we've sort of heard from multiple sources, and I think

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<v Speaker 7>the airlines are looking to test the administration on how

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<v Speaker 7>willing they would be to approve of deals. I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>the last administration was pretty clear that they did not

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<v Speaker 7>see consolidation as sort of beneficial to customers, but they

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<v Speaker 7>sort of Trump administration has been more business friendly, and

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<v Speaker 7>so United Airlines has sort of floated this idea to

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<v Speaker 7>the President. In terms of merging with American Airlines, I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>it would create the largest airline on the planet, and

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<v Speaker 7>it's just still wouldn't be I mean, they still only

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<v Speaker 7>have a third of the US market check combined, so

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<v Speaker 7>it's not quite this would sort of dominate the market.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean it would because I mean they would have

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<v Speaker 7>all the important rules like Dallas and Chicago, where United

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<v Speaker 7>and American control a large junk of the market, but

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<v Speaker 7>in other places like we've seen other airlines as well.

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<v Speaker 7>So it does look like it's unlikely to go through

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<v Speaker 7>because I mean, this would be opposed by all the

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<v Speaker 7>airlines who are not part of it, It would be

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<v Speaker 7>opposed by consumer rights activists, and may also sort of

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<v Speaker 7>not find fail with the legislators, and so we have

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<v Speaker 7>to see how this will go through.

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<v Speaker 2>Do we have any feeling from the regulators in the past,

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<v Speaker 2>because again, as Scarla mentioned, all we kind of know

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<v Speaker 2>is is observers is that they didn't want they didn't

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<v Speaker 2>let too little, anty bitty airlines get together. How would

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<v Speaker 2>this happen?

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<v Speaker 7>So we still we're still looking on We're still waiting

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<v Speaker 7>to see any sort of commentary from it. I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>the sort of the most direct commentary we've heard was

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<v Speaker 7>from Sean Duffy, the trap Transportation Secretary, when he spoke

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<v Speaker 7>last week and told CNN the CNBC that the President

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<v Speaker 7>likes big deals and he would any sort of and

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<v Speaker 7>when asked about a specific large merger, he said that

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<v Speaker 7>they may have to share assets. And so that's the

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<v Speaker 7>only thing we've really heard. But in terms of whether

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<v Speaker 7>or not this administration will be willing to sign off

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<v Speaker 7>on such a big deal, that's still to be seen.

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, So there's a bit of a backstory here in

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<v Speaker 4>that United CEO Scott Kirby was the one who said

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<v Speaker 4>that this is something he kind of floated, and he

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<v Speaker 4>has a history with American Airlines, so it didn't come

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<v Speaker 4>from out of nowhere.

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<v Speaker 7>Absolutely. I mean, this is also personal for Scott Kirby

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<v Speaker 7>because Scott Kirby was previously the president of American Allies

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<v Speaker 7>and he left in twenty sixteen when it became clear

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<v Speaker 7>that he wasn't going to be CEO of American Alliance,

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<v Speaker 7>and then he sort of joined the United airlines and

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<v Speaker 7>he rose to the top job. And that's really his

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<v Speaker 7>sort of backstory. And so American and United have been

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<v Speaker 7>sort of always been one uptering each other. I mean

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<v Speaker 7>at the most recent is that they've been battling in

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<v Speaker 7>Chicago over gates and market share, and then the FA

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<v Speaker 7>had to come in and sort of restrict flights because

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<v Speaker 7>there's too many airlines adding flights in Chicago and the

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<v Speaker 7>airport can't actually handle those coupes.

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<v Speaker 2>So what does it mean for I mean, I'm looking

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<v Speaker 2>at Jet Blue that stocks up eleven percent today? Are

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<v Speaker 2>people in the industry saying whoa whoa whoa?

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<v Speaker 3>What?

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<v Speaker 2>People would talk about it United in American? How about

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<v Speaker 2>everybody else? Getting together?

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<v Speaker 7>Absolutely? I mean the fact that this deals out there,

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<v Speaker 7>it also sort of opens the doors for other combinations.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, especially at times of crisis for the airline industry,

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<v Speaker 7>mergers and acquisitions tend to happen. I mean, we saw

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<v Speaker 7>that in the aftermath of the two thousand and eight

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<v Speaker 7>financial crisis, and for the airline industry at the moment,

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<v Speaker 7>this sort of surgeon oil prices is a massive blow

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<v Speaker 7>because there's only a limit as to how much a

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<v Speaker 7>consumer will be willing to pay before they sort of say, okay,

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<v Speaker 7>we'll hold off on travel this summer. And for the airlines,

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<v Speaker 7>fuel is the biggest sort of single biggest cost aside

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<v Speaker 7>from stuff costs, and so they have to sort of

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<v Speaker 7>figure out how they can actually make money on with

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<v Speaker 7>fuel being where it's at, and that sort of time

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<v Speaker 7>when typically consolidation happens where weekup players tend to get

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<v Speaker 7>snapped up by the more sort of robusts financially. Financially

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<v Speaker 7>robust ones.

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<v Speaker 5>Stay with us.

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<v Speaker 2>More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:09:32.559 --> 0:09:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not into the EV thing yet. I did get

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<v Speaker 2>one hybrid for the number four Offspring episode.

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<v Speaker 5>Who's in California, So like that's the context here.

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<v Speaker 2>Six dollars guests. So one of the EV companies I

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<v Speaker 2>kind of forget about it. It's just me is a

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<v Speaker 2>lucid group they.

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<v Speaker 5>Make because you're not a Timothy shalomy fan.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh?

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<v Speaker 3>Is that it?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, he's the global brand ambassador.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, the stocks you got two point nine billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollar valuation down sixteen percent this year, down sixty five

0:10:04.760 --> 0:10:06.280
<v Speaker 2>percent or the trailing twelve months. But they have some

0:10:06.320 --> 0:10:09.920
<v Speaker 2>news out today. They're going to new CEO and now

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<v Speaker 2>seven hundred and fifty million dollars of fresh investment from

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<v Speaker 2>two big backers here. So let's see what's going on

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<v Speaker 2>with Lucid. Ticker ELCID is the Bloomberg ticker. Craig Trudeall,

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<v Speaker 2>Global Autors, editor for Bloomberg News. He joins from London. Craig,

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<v Speaker 2>what's Lucid doing here to try to turn things around?

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<v Speaker 8>We knew it was going to be a busy morning

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<v Speaker 8>for them. It was an even busier morning than we anticipated.

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<v Speaker 8>We spoke with Sylvio Napoli, the former head of Shindler

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<v Speaker 8>holding of Elevator and you know, moving Walkway fame. He's

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<v Speaker 8>going to take over as CEO, the person who's been

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<v Speaker 8>filling that seat for over a year now on an

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<v Speaker 8>interim basis, Mark winter Off. He will return to the

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<v Speaker 8>role of COO. He took over from the CEO who

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<v Speaker 8>actually kind of took this company public. I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>Lucid in addition to you know, you mentioned that the

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<v Speaker 8>you know, commitment as well from the Saudi Public Investment

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<v Speaker 8>Fund and Uber. The other news here was as part

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<v Speaker 8>of this capital raising which they're doing some raising beyond

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<v Speaker 8>just from the PIFF, and Uber is releasing some preliminary

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<v Speaker 8>earnings which did not look great. So this is a

0:11:27.360 --> 0:11:30.640
<v Speaker 8>company that has really been struggling to execute make some

0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:34.880
<v Speaker 8>really appealing and interesting electric vehicles, but has really struggled

0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:38.200
<v Speaker 8>to make them in higher volumes than doing so in

0:11:38.840 --> 0:11:43.640
<v Speaker 8>profitable or remotely profitable way. So, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 8>in short, Napoli has his work cutout for him.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, is Loocid's goal to be a mass market

0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:52.400
<v Speaker 4>EV company? From what I can find, it doesn't deliver

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 4>a lot of cars. In twenty twenty four, for instance,

0:11:55.440 --> 0:11:58.679
<v Speaker 4>it delivered more than ten thousand vehicles, but I mean

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:00.800
<v Speaker 4>that's nothing compared to something like Tesla.

0:12:01.679 --> 0:12:04.120
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's a fraction, you know, And I do think

0:12:04.160 --> 0:12:06.680
<v Speaker 8>it's been a case where the company has been sort

0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:09.360
<v Speaker 8>of feeling around what exactly its play is. I think,

0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:11.480
<v Speaker 8>you know, for a time they were trying to go

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:15.640
<v Speaker 8>lower volume, higher higher prices, and you know, kind of

0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:19.880
<v Speaker 8>casting themselves as a premium player. But later this year,

0:12:19.880 --> 0:12:22.520
<v Speaker 8>they will start production of a mid sized vehicle where

0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.760
<v Speaker 8>they've they've flagged the rough pricing of that being around

0:12:25.800 --> 0:12:28.480
<v Speaker 8>fifty thousand dollars, so that would put them more, you know,

0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:30.920
<v Speaker 8>at least closer to the sort of mass market where

0:12:31.000 --> 0:12:33.679
<v Speaker 8>you see, you know, like a model why you can

0:12:33.720 --> 0:12:37.160
<v Speaker 8>get you know, price in that range. So you know,

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 8>this is a company that has tried to compete with

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.720
<v Speaker 8>like the Mercedes and the Porches of the world, found

0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:48.440
<v Speaker 8>that really difficult, and they are doing a bit of pivoting.

0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:51.520
<v Speaker 8>How much that has been a sort of like change

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:54.920
<v Speaker 8>in plan versus the plan all along is a little

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.720
<v Speaker 8>bit unclear, and it's kind of depending on who you ask.

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:00.520
<v Speaker 8>I think the CEO, who is sort of placed about

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.199
<v Speaker 8>a year ago, I would have preferred they stayed premium,

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 8>and I think they've changed attack a little bit under

0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:06.880
<v Speaker 8>the new regime.

0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:09.920
<v Speaker 4>So right now, the Lucid's big thing, of course, this

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:13.640
<v Speaker 4>is partnership with Uber, and this was first annunced in

0:13:13.720 --> 0:13:15.560
<v Speaker 4>July where Uber said it would buy at least twenty

0:13:15.559 --> 0:13:17.800
<v Speaker 4>thousand Lucid Gravity SUVs.

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.000
<v Speaker 5>That new vehicle you were talking about.

0:13:19.400 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 4>Has this partnership with Uber amounted to anything just yet,

0:13:24.160 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 4>I mean, is it getting its name out there.

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:28.960
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I think it's going to be really interesting to

0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:31.520
<v Speaker 8>see if that you know, is able to get off

0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.160
<v Speaker 8>the ground. They have a third party that's involved in

0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 8>that partnership, a company called Neuro that itself was working

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:43.320
<v Speaker 8>on delivery robots and has pivoted to getting into autonomous

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:45.960
<v Speaker 8>vehicles and trying to compete with the likes of Weimo.

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:49.079
<v Speaker 8>You know, this is still very much in the sort

0:13:49.080 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 8>of prototyping and testing phase, and we've not seen them

0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:56.679
<v Speaker 8>actually launched vehicles. But I'm endlessly fascinated by just how

0:13:56.800 --> 0:14:00.719
<v Speaker 8>much money Uber is throwing at trying to kind of

0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:04.040
<v Speaker 8>you know, have its own fleet of self driving vehicles

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 8>and and have you know, some competition for weimo. Even

0:14:07.640 --> 0:14:11.080
<v Speaker 8>as it partners with Weimo, there's a lot of experimenting

0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:14.599
<v Speaker 8>and playing around with business models in the space. And

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:17.400
<v Speaker 8>we are still so early. For all the headlines we

0:14:17.480 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 8>read about you know, new cities that Weimo is entering,

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:21.920
<v Speaker 8>they still have just a few thousand cars out on

0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 8>US roads across the various cities where they have deployed,

0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 8>and so this is really really early innings. Even if

0:14:28.200 --> 0:14:31.840
<v Speaker 8>people are increasingly having their first experiences with getting into

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 8>a fully driverless car.

0:14:34.240 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 2>Craig, what's the what's the latest with Tesla and it's

0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 2>bringing in a lower price model.

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, that was There was an interesting report out of

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 8>Reuters about maybe they're dipping their toe back into making

0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 8>a vehicle priced below the Model three in the Model y.

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 8>We saw Tesla China representatives deny that that report. But

0:14:59.640 --> 0:15:02.440
<v Speaker 8>what may that's so fascinating is it's it's speaking of

0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 8>sort of you know, changes in strategy by companies, you know.

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:09.240
<v Speaker 8>I think Elon Musk has sort of you know, mince

0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 8>no words about, in his words, it being stupid for

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:15.080
<v Speaker 8>for Tesla to sort of bring cars to market that

0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:19.000
<v Speaker 8>are lower price, you know, because in his mind, you know,

0:15:19.680 --> 0:15:22.480
<v Speaker 8>you know, every day is you know, going to be

0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 8>the day that Tesla sort of flips a switch and

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 8>is able to render its cars capable of driving themselves.

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:32.440
<v Speaker 8>I think regulators are extremely skeptical of that, in part

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 8>because you know, those days keep you know, coming and

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 8>going without that capability really being ready to where you know,

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 8>people behind the wheel can actually tune out and not

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 8>pay attention to the system that that Tesla sells as

0:15:45.720 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 8>full self driving, which just has not lived up to

0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 8>the name yet.

0:15:49.160 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean there's two components to that, right, the

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 4>fact that a switch could be flipped on that and

0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 4>whether regulators would allow it to technologically, whether we're there yet,

0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 4>and whether the regulators have given that the Okay, do

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 4>consumers want that?

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 8>And that's a great question too. I think you know

0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 8>some consumers absolutely and uh, you know you will see

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:13.000
<v Speaker 8>uh Tesla super fans. Many of them happen to be investors,

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 8>you know, sharing uh, you know, indications of a progress

0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 8>where you know they are fond of taping their drives

0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 8>where things go well and uh, and yet the questions

0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:27.600
<v Speaker 8>that you sort of naturally, you know, raise our how

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 8>sort of choosy are they being about what clips they

0:16:30.240 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 8>show and don't show? And you still continue to see

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:36.600
<v Speaker 8>incidents where you know, teslos that aren't being supervised or

0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:39.200
<v Speaker 8>getting into two really troubling crashes.

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:43.080
<v Speaker 5>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten a m. Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and

0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand

0:16:56.240 --> 0:17:00.200
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts, or watch US Live on YouTube.

0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 5>It is earning season.

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 4>The big banks began reporting yesterday with Goldman Sacks kicking

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:07.440
<v Speaker 4>things off, which is kind of unusual because.

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 5>It's usually not the first bank to report YEP.

0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 4>That would be JP Morgan, JP Morgan City Group and

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:14.120
<v Speaker 4>Wells Fargo reported today.

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 5>So four out of six big banks have reported.

0:17:16.680 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 4>Herman Chan, of course, is our senior bank analyst here

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 4>at Bloomberg Intelligence, and of course we needed to bring

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:25.840
<v Speaker 4>him in. Is it as simple as to say that

0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 4>the volatility in the markets is just unit directionally good

0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 4>news for these big banks?

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 9>It is, at least for the ones that reported today. So,

0:17:34.400 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 9>JP Morgan City posted really strong results on trading equities

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 9>and on the fixed income side. I would contrast that

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 9>a bit with what Goldman did yesterday where they disappoint

0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:47.560
<v Speaker 9>a bit on the fixed income side of the trading

0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:52.720
<v Speaker 9>house that was driven by areas like rates and mortgage,

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 9>which seemed like they were not positioned correctly with the

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:56.960
<v Speaker 9>volatility that happened in March.

0:17:57.640 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 2>What happened or what's going on with Wells Farg?

0:18:00.600 --> 0:18:05.679
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, Wells Fargo, it's interesting story. They reported really strong

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:11.160
<v Speaker 9>earnings from a EPs standpoints, but the disappointment came from

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:14.600
<v Speaker 9>the net interest margin. It was down thirteen basis points

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 9>quarter of a quarter. Management talked about some areas that

0:18:18.280 --> 0:18:23.160
<v Speaker 9>we're driving that growth in some lower yielding markets, businesses

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:27.200
<v Speaker 9>that they're intentionally growing due to the fact that they

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:31.240
<v Speaker 9>think that will bring along business and other areas like

0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:34.399
<v Speaker 9>trading in the prime brokerage business. So it's sort of

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 9>like build it and they will come type action going on,

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 9>and they expect some further compression in the second quarter,

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:44.119
<v Speaker 9>which is driving some of the weaker market sentiment that

0:18:44.200 --> 0:18:44.919
<v Speaker 9>we're seeing today.

0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:48.159
<v Speaker 4>Wells Fargo had its asset cap lifted by the Federal Reserve,

0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.679
<v Speaker 4>which means that it can now get bigger. So do

0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:55.439
<v Speaker 4>we expect, you know, some more spending, some you know,

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:59.080
<v Speaker 4>tighter margins for the foreseeable future as it tries to

0:18:59.119 --> 0:18:59.919
<v Speaker 4>really build.

0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 9>On its assets. Yeah, you see the assets growing really quickly.

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 9>They're probably going to be the fastest growing JISA bank

0:19:08.640 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 9>that we cover, the largest banks that we cover in

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:12.920
<v Speaker 9>terms of long growth that's about five percent quarter.

0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:15.159
<v Speaker 5>But make up a lot of lost ground it does.

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:16.920
<v Speaker 9>It has to make up a lot of lost ground,

0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 9>and they're sort of growing the balance sheet to hope

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:23.280
<v Speaker 9>to help offset some of the margin compression that I

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:28.560
<v Speaker 9>mentioned earlier, but that also portends the higher costs in

0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:33.960
<v Speaker 9>areas like advertising and headcount growth potentially over time, but

0:19:34.040 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 9>definitely you're seeing it in the advertising spend.

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:39.120
<v Speaker 2>Are the banks in general are they lending money these days?

0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 2>How does loanrigination look?

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:41.639
<v Speaker 5>Yeah?

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:44.560
<v Speaker 9>They are in pockets right. So there's not a lot

0:19:44.600 --> 0:19:49.160
<v Speaker 9>of growth in areas like mortgage because of the rate environments.

0:19:50.040 --> 0:19:52.960
<v Speaker 9>Card is seasonally softer this quarter, but it was strong

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.439
<v Speaker 9>last quarter given the holiday season. A lot of the

0:19:56.480 --> 0:20:00.959
<v Speaker 9>growth is areas like lending to non bank finds ancial institutions.

0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 9>That's been the rage in the industry, lending to these

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:06.600
<v Speaker 9>private credit firms that are in the news, lending to

0:20:06.680 --> 0:20:12.320
<v Speaker 9>areas like a venture capital and mortgage company. So it's

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:14.520
<v Speaker 9>a bit of a mixed bag in terms of where

0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 9>the long growth is coming from.

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:18.440
<v Speaker 4>We talk a lot about a K shaped economy where

0:20:18.560 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 4>the upper leg of the K is doing very well.

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:25.480
<v Speaker 4>The wealthy are getting wealthier, the less wealthy, the ones

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:29.199
<v Speaker 4>that are really struggling through this are suffering more. Are

0:20:29.240 --> 0:20:32.360
<v Speaker 4>banks actively using that as their strategy as well? I'm

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 4>wondering if the services that they're offering, the areas are

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:37.919
<v Speaker 4>choosing to grow, is pursuing that higher end of that K.

0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:38.880
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's right.

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:44.080
<v Speaker 9>That's been a trend over time where the largest banks

0:20:44.119 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 9>are really focusing on that prime customer. So there's not

0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:51.239
<v Speaker 9>a lot of lending activity towards the bottom half of

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:55.600
<v Speaker 9>the K shape, but there is deposit activity on that front.

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:55.840
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:20:55.920 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 9>So Wells Fargo mentioned that the higher gasoline prices is

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 9>increasing the spend on energy by about one percentage point

0:21:04.080 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 9>cover a quarter, and that can change every time. They're

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 9>not seeing any changes in the non discretionary spend. That

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:15.119
<v Speaker 9>happens gradually, and if we do see these persistent higher

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:17.000
<v Speaker 9>energy costs, that could change as well.

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.400
<v Speaker 2>All Right, my good friends over at City the worst

0:21:20.440 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 2>elevators on Global Wall Street, my former employer worst elevators. Yeah,

0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:27.199
<v Speaker 2>there's there's two stacked on each other. Have you ever

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 2>been one of those things? So you it sometimes it

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:32.919
<v Speaker 2>stops on your floor, sometimes it doesn't. Oh you're not

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 2>really sure why. And I was there for like three

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:36.880
<v Speaker 2>or four years. I still didn't figure it out.

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 9>So I have a former City employee as well. I

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 9>remember three eighty eight Greenwich and you just had to

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 9>wait forever for those elevators.

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 5>The several subreddits devoted to this, Oh yeah, there is.

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 5>They've turned the corner.

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 2>It looks like they we can give Jane Frasier you

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:54.359
<v Speaker 2>know that, I mean.

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 5>A pat on the back, right. Yeah.

0:21:55.480 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 9>Yeah. You're seeing that across the board in their first

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 9>quarter reporting, where they're showing really strong revenue growth throughout

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:07.439
<v Speaker 9>their businesses services which is their primary crown jewel, the

0:22:07.520 --> 0:22:12.800
<v Speaker 9>trading business and markets, banking, US cards. Everything's been going

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.760
<v Speaker 9>really well and you can see that in their return

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:19.639
<v Speaker 9>on Tangra equity profitability metric, which was thirteen point one percent.

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 9>They're targeting something about ten or eleven percent for the year,

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 9>so already cleared that at least in the first quarter,

0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:28.639
<v Speaker 9>and they alluded to the fact that in their upcoming

0:22:28.840 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 9>investor day next month that they'll increase their targets for

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:37.919
<v Speaker 9>profitability as well. So strong momentum there. It's going to

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:38.359
<v Speaker 9>get better.

0:22:38.640 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 5>It's going to get better.

0:22:39.560 --> 0:22:42.080
<v Speaker 4>And of course there's a lot of excitement about what

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:45.000
<v Speaker 4>Jane Fraser has been able to do because she streamlined

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:47.560
<v Speaker 4>this company down and really deleted all.

0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:51.160
<v Speaker 5>These extra management layers. She made it slimmer.

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:53.680
<v Speaker 4>Does that and of course this being banking, the next

0:22:53.720 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 4>question is is she going to make it bigger?

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 5>Is she going to buy something else? Right? That was

0:22:57.359 --> 0:22:58.679
<v Speaker 5>a question on the call today.

0:22:59.000 --> 0:23:01.280
<v Speaker 9>It was one of the first questions from the analysts

0:23:01.840 --> 0:23:05.360
<v Speaker 9>because and the analyst was referring to a Bloomberg News

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:07.680
<v Speaker 9>article saying that City Group might be interested in buying

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 9>a large regional bank here in the US to improve

0:23:10.160 --> 0:23:16.239
<v Speaker 9>their the past funding base. Jane was unequivalent, saying that

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.600
<v Speaker 9>they're not interested in doing any deals. They're really focused

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 9>on organic growth in order to avoid any sort of

0:23:25.320 --> 0:23:28.479
<v Speaker 9>distractions that come from a merger. So we'll take her

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:32.399
<v Speaker 9>buyer word and looking forward to seeing more improvement in

0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:34.720
<v Speaker 9>the franchise over the next coming quarters.

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:43.720
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0:23:43.720 --> 0:23:47.520
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0:23:47.600 --> 0:23:51.160
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0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:54.520
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0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.880
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