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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. It's time to

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Speaker 1: talk trades. It is me, Joey P. Joe Pisapia with me,

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Speaker 1: of course is the Welsh and today we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about some names to buy to sell. We're going to

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Speaker 1: debate and ultimately you can make the decision of the

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Speaker 1: players you want to add to your roster. So before

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Speaker 1: we do, just a quick reminder, subscribe to the channel

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Speaker 1: like this video, drop your comments below and you might

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Speaker 1: win yourself a Juan Gonzales jersey that's right from Pristine

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Speaker 1: Auction this month. That's the big giveaway, Welsh. I think

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Speaker 1: a lot of people are going to start to give

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Speaker 1: away Juli Rodriguez probably one of the most disappointing Round

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Speaker 1: one selections of the MLB season. So far, he has

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Speaker 1: just eleven home runs as we approach the All Star break,

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Speaker 1: fifteen stolen bases. Is obp looks a little bit more

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Speaker 1: like you wish as batting average was. But again, we've

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Speaker 1: been doing this for the last couple weeks, buying on

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Speaker 1: principle with players I want to buy on principle. The

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Speaker 1: talent of Julio Rodriguez historically always a better second half player.

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Speaker 1: His expected adding average is two sixty five, despite the

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Speaker 1: fact he's hitting two forty seven. Has expected slugging is

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Speaker 1: four forty three despite just three eighty nine. Cal Rawley's

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Speaker 1: been the story in Seattle. But I think Julio is

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Speaker 1: the best kept secret, and I want to buy him

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Speaker 1: because I think the price is at rock bottom. What

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Speaker 1: do you think, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure if the price is at like rock bottom,

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Speaker 2: but if the person in your league is kind of

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Speaker 2: treating that like that, then I want to be the

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Speaker 2: buyer of it because I like in how you presented it,

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Speaker 2: you wouldn't you'd be surprised if you heard he has

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Speaker 2: eleven homers in fifteen stolen bases. We're like, oh, he's

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Speaker 2: the most disappointed. Still pretty decent counting stats on a

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Speaker 2: team that's held up. But I think the biggest thing

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Speaker 2: is what people have come to terms with in why

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Speaker 2: it's a disappointment, is he is not the first round player,

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Speaker 2: not the second round player. You know, there are some

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Speaker 2: free agents out there. Byron Buxton is dramatically outperforming Julio Rodriguez,

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Speaker 2: and Byron Buxton was probably taken like two fifty plus,

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Speaker 2: so those are the type of things that are going

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Speaker 2: to like stick with people. But to your point, you know,

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Speaker 2: the profile, the profile has lacks which you would really

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Speaker 2: want in like a crazy buye. But we do have

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Speaker 2: this just like historical Julio Rodriguez, the type of player

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Speaker 2: that he is at sitting with us. You mentioned he's

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Speaker 2: a second half player, absolutely right. Twenty twenty three, he

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Speaker 2: had a fifty plus almost sixty point differential in his

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Speaker 2: batting average first and second half. He hit over three

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Speaker 2: hundred and the second half last season, same thing, This

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Speaker 2: is about twenty point difference, but it was between two

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Speaker 2: sixty seven and two eighty five. So now we're going

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Speaker 2: into twenty twenty five, he's got a roughly two fifty

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Speaker 2: first half batting average, which historically it has shown us

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Speaker 2: that he'll start hitting left, he's a little bit better,

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Speaker 2: and then he's going to have a higher batting average.

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Speaker 2: The XBA is there, his barrel and hard hit her down,

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Speaker 2: so I hope he can kind of materialize there. But

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Speaker 2: I think the key to this is I don't think

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Speaker 2: he's going to return to being the first round player.

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Speaker 2: But this version of Julio Rodriguez still is projecting out

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Speaker 2: to be at least a twenty twenty guy, and if

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Speaker 2: he bounces in the second half, you might get fifteen

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Speaker 2: to fifteen out of him on a shorter second half.

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Speaker 2: So I like the idea. If someone is panicked and

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Speaker 2: they're selling them rock Low, I'm buying.

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Speaker 1: Statistically speaking, he is basically having an identical season to

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Speaker 1: Lawrence Butler, who I think all of us think of

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Speaker 1: as a massive disappointment. Also a disappointment, but nowhere near

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Speaker 1: the disappointment I got you take in the first round.

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Speaker 1: So Julio, huge disappointment, Bye bye bye. Also another disappointing

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Speaker 1: first round pick, Gunner Henderson this year hitting two seventy one.

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Speaker 1: That's okay. Ops is at seven to seventy eight. That's

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Speaker 1: all right. He's got ten homers, ten steals. Look, the

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Speaker 1: argos have just been a disaster, but the twenty four

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Speaker 1: year old Henderson has already done enough in two previous

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Speaker 1: seasons for me to be buying in on him. You

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Speaker 1: look at the paceballs of on page. You look at

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Speaker 1: a lot of red. The exit vlow is so good,

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Speaker 1: hard hit rate so good, bat speed's still good. So

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Speaker 1: all of those things are good. It just seems like

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Speaker 1: a season where you know, losing sucks and everyone's kind

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Speaker 1: of losing focus, and injuries and all the things that

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Speaker 1: have happened that could have gone wrong. But there's still

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Speaker 1: plenty of season left for Gunnar Henderson to be helpful.

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Speaker 1: And I do feel like if you had Gunner Henderson

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Speaker 1: in your first off all pick, the season probably hasn't

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Speaker 1: gone all that well for you potentially, so you could

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Speaker 1: lend a helping hand and take that hand and pull

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Speaker 1: Gunner handers and off someone's roster and put it on yours.

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Speaker 2: I'm always a buyer of guy. Actually probably feel better.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the prices are the same, but if

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Speaker 2: somehow the prices were the same on Julio and Gunner,

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Speaker 2: it would be all Gunner for me. Ten homers, ten

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Speaker 2: stolen bases, two seventy one. Like, I think he's doing

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Speaker 2: versions of what people expect. The problem is here. This

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Speaker 2: is lining up to like maybe he can be a

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Speaker 2: second round ish fantasy value, but he's just still he's

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Speaker 2: not sniffing that first round return. But there's still a

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Speaker 2: lot in his game. The hard hit rates extreme, average

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Speaker 2: exo velocities are extreme. The expected batting average I think

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Speaker 2: you mentioned like almost two to eighty and he's sitting

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Speaker 2: off speed and fastballs really well, just got to probably

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Speaker 2: start pulling the ball a little bit more. He's got

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Speaker 2: a good zone contact. He's just been unhealthy in the

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Speaker 2: first half. The question will be like, if the Oriels

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Speaker 2: are selling off, what happens, Like is he gonna step up?

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Speaker 2: The whole team context is gonna kind of come back down?

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Speaker 2: Are they not going I don't know what it's gonna

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Speaker 2: look like, but I just know that, Like, I trust

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Speaker 2: Gunner Henderson, So if you're giving me discounts, I absolutely

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Speaker 2: want to jump on any opportunity to buy Gunner because

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Speaker 2: the first half is done. Maybe we get that first.

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Speaker 2: We know there's a first round talent in there. Seems

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Speaker 2: to be stealing more bases, you know, this year, So

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's unheard of that, Like he could

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Speaker 2: end this season with near thirty twenty again and that

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Speaker 2: would just be due to a big second half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, he had thirty seven homers and twenty one

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Speaker 1: steals last year at two eighty one. The year before

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Speaker 1: his rookie season twenty eight homers ten steals, hit two

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Speaker 1: fifty five. So look, even if he's a two to

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Speaker 1: seventy hitter, and that's what he really is. Okay. I

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Speaker 1: just want to see a little bit more power here

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Speaker 1: in the second half, and I think he's capable of that.

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Speaker 1: What is Zach Gallon capable of? Well, lately, good starts.

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Speaker 1: Don't look now, boys and girls. But over his last

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Speaker 1: three starts he's two and one with a two nine

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Speaker 1: to five ERA, eighteen innings, twenty one strikeouts, just two

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Speaker 1: two walks. Unbelievable turn around for Zach Gowen, whose whip

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Speaker 1: is at one point zero nine and the rest of

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Speaker 1: the season has been fugly. That's right, it has been

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Speaker 1: absolutely downright terrible for Zach Gallen. Something has clicked recently,

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Speaker 1: which means if somebody still has Zach Gallen on their roster,

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Speaker 1: they're looking at this as an opportunity to say, okay,

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Speaker 1: let me get out from under this more than likely,

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Speaker 1: and chances are the Diamondbacks are looking to make some

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Speaker 1: moves here at the deadline. There's a good possibility you

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Speaker 1: could land on the Cubs or some other contending team,

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Speaker 1: and if so, Zach Gallen's potential is even better. In fantasy.

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Speaker 1: He has been awful, He has been unstartable, and the

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Speaker 1: last three starts, all of a sudden things have turned around. Welsh,

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Speaker 1: I know you were a tough sell, but now I

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Speaker 1: feel like you're also a buyer of Zach Gallen after

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Speaker 1: his most recent performance.

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Speaker 2: I'm interested in a buye. I'm come on, there's only

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Speaker 2: one reason that the last start didn't do anything for me.

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Speaker 2: It hasn't done a whole lot. I mentioned this on

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Speaker 2: leading off, but like you know, san al Contra had

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Speaker 2: like four really good starts. You kind of peered together.

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Speaker 2: The biggest difference in why outside of his story data,

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Speaker 2: Like Zach Gallen has historically been like just a really

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Speaker 2: good pitcher, you know, strikeouts to there, can go deep

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Speaker 2: into games. But this last start that he had, we

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Speaker 2: saw vilo increases. That's the biggest thing for me. Fastball

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Speaker 2: about a mile per hour slider was like close to

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Speaker 2: two miles per hour. Seeing those vilo increases is critical

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Speaker 2: because what Gallen wants to do is he wants to

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Speaker 2: pump strikes with a cutter and fastball and then he

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Speaker 2: wants to bury his change up and his curveball. And

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Speaker 2: you can't do that a if you don't throw your

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Speaker 2: fastball for strikes, and be also if your fastball is

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Speaker 2: just super hittable. Well, he increased the velo, he had

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Speaker 2: a high zone percentage, and then he buried his secondary

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Speaker 2: stuff and what happened just ate up the padres. That's

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Speaker 2: the winning Zach Gallen that has not been there for

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Speaker 2: two months. So am I all the way bought back

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Speaker 2: in No, because I think there's still volatility in his game.

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Speaker 2: And it comes down to one thing. If he is

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Speaker 2: not throwing his fastball in the zone and having any

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Speaker 2: command of it, he screwed. He doesn't have that other

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Speaker 2: stuff that's going there. He throws his curveball fifteen percent

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Speaker 2: of the time in the zone. At some point guys

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Speaker 2: are going to just stop swinging at it if he

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Speaker 2: can't throw his fastball for strikes. So that's what's susceptible

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Speaker 2: to me, and that's what I'm questioning. But things looked

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Speaker 2: so much better in this last start. We know he

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Speaker 2: is a just been a great pitcher. I do think

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Speaker 2: there's a possibility he could turn it around. So I

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Speaker 2: think if somebody is like wanting to get out, I

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Speaker 2: would buy on the cheap and maybe the new team,

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Speaker 2: a new team context might kind of rev him up

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Speaker 2: and get him excited. If he does get traded. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm I'm definitely interested in it, but I'm not all

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Speaker 2: the way back.

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Speaker 1: See, I think if you wait too long, the window closes.

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Speaker 1: So to me, it's now he had two good.

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Speaker 2: Now you can do it now.

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Speaker 1: I think I'll have to do it now because otherwise

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Speaker 1: the person who's held on long enough has had this patience.

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Speaker 1: It's like, oh, my patience has been rewarded, and the

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Speaker 1: next thing you know, he gets traded and then gets

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Speaker 1: completely shut. I think this is a very tiny window.

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Speaker 1: It's got huge risk attached to it. I'm willing to

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Speaker 1: take that risk, and I think a lot of managers

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Speaker 1: are right now with the way pitching injuries have gone

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Speaker 1: this year. So if you want Gallon, this is the

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Speaker 1: week to make that deal off this last start. If

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Speaker 1: you want out from Gallen, this is probably the time

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Speaker 1: to do it. But again, huge risk reward. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about some more players here, some to sell. We

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Speaker 1: might disagree on some of these names, but before we

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Speaker 1: get to them, just don't forget about the trade analyzer.

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Speaker 1: When you sink your leagues for free with Fantasy pros

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Speaker 1: all of your trades that you're thinking about. It'll suggest

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Speaker 1: trades for you too, and which trades could help you

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Speaker 1: in the standings and your starting lineup. So hit up

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Speaker 1: season and straight on into NFL. Let's start with Jason Demingez,

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Speaker 1: a player I want to sell. Why because he's had

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Speaker 1: a bunch of home runs recently and I'm still not

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Speaker 1: buying in wholeheartedly. His expected batting average at two forty six,

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Speaker 1: despite the fact that batting averages two sixty seven. His

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Speaker 1: expected slugging is under four hundred, despite the fact that

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Speaker 1: slugging is four to twenty six. The weight on bases

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Speaker 1: below average, the barrel percentage, exit velocity average at best.

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Speaker 1: Look Jason Dominguez to me, I think is still work

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Speaker 1: in progress, and I think the recent hot streak might

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Speaker 1: make him more palatable to some potential suitors. So I

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Speaker 1: want to get out from Jason Dominguez now because I

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Speaker 1: don't like some of the deeper stats. What do you

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Speaker 1: think about moving on from Dominguez?

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Speaker 2: Well, it's I mean, I look at them a little

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Speaker 2: bit different. There's some that I'm still in. The hard

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Speaker 2: hit rate is still fifty percent, which I love. His

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Speaker 2: launch angle it's one of the biggest differences, which might

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Speaker 2: be like just a game theory changed for him because

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Speaker 2: he had like a five degree launch angle last year.

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Speaker 2: It's up to thirteen, so he's getting the ball in

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Speaker 2: the air and barrels down a little bit, which I

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Speaker 2: would like to improve. But the things that keep me

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Speaker 2: going is if you can start pulling the ball with

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Speaker 2: that hard hit rateer and that launch angle, things are

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Speaker 2: going to fly. He has not been, but he's got

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Speaker 2: some splits. He has most of his homers and a

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Speaker 2: high batting average on the road, and we're talking about

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Speaker 2: like a very hit or friendly environment in New York,

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Speaker 2: which I think if things click a little bit more

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Speaker 2: and he pulls the ball tiny bit more, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: have even better results where he has eight homers and

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Speaker 2: fourteen stolen bases.

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Speaker 1: But also he's.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely destroyed righties. This year is a he's kind of

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Speaker 2: looking like he might have to be a platoony player,

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Speaker 2: which I know you don't like. I'm okay if a

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Speaker 2: guy can be put in situations where they are going

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Speaker 2: to succeed at all times, and this is a strong

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Speaker 2: side platoon guy hitting two ninety seven against rities, and

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Speaker 2: as far as like what he's done over the season,

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Speaker 2: and he's like a homer outburst here. He has improved

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Speaker 2: his batting average every single month of the season. The

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Speaker 2: next month has always been better. He hit two seventy

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Speaker 2: nine last month, with a three ninety one early on

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Speaker 2: in this month. So I guess at the end of

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Speaker 2: the day, like we're starting to see some of the pieces.

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Speaker 2: He walks, he hits the ball hard, he's getting the

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Speaker 2: ball in the air, he's hitting fastballs.

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Speaker 1: There's just a few little.

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Speaker 2: Things that need to click. While all of this is

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Speaker 2: still happening, he looks a little raw. He's still putting

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Speaker 2: up a pretty good fantasy season, and those splits I

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Speaker 2: think are pretty interesting. Where you're struggling at home, you're

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Speaker 2: hitting two thirty five with only two homers at home,

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Speaker 2: that's probably not going to continue in New York. So

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Speaker 2: if he keeps getting his opportunities, he's succeeding on the road.

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Speaker 2: I think Jason Dimingez is gonna walk into a twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty season, and I don't think he's going to continue

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Speaker 2: like every month is better, but I think there's an

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Speaker 2: opportunity he might be finding some consistency. So if Jason

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Speaker 2: Dimingez is still a fringy player for a lot of people,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna buy.

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Speaker 1: Him, all right, I'm gonna sell them. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: Nico Horner. A guy doesn't have much power, and recently

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Speaker 1: he has been a little bit of a power surge,

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Speaker 1: but again when you look at the deeper metrics, it's

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Speaker 1: not going to support everything he's expected. Slugging his three

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Speaker 1: sixty nine that's just absolutely gross. It's the worst look.

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Speaker 1: A guy doesn't hit the ball particularly hard. He's a

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Speaker 1: guy that if a team is looking for stolen base

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Speaker 1: help in your league and you've got him, you could

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Speaker 1: sell him off because the rest of the hit tool,

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Speaker 1: I think is very unimpressive. So for me, this is

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Speaker 1: a single category cell where if you're okay on stone

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Speaker 1: base and he's a bonus for you, you move on.

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Speaker 1: And I think a lot of teams in those roto

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Speaker 1: head to head category leagues especially, are looking for guys

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Speaker 1: like Nico Horner who can help you out there. If

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Speaker 1: you picked up Chandler Simpson off the waiver wire, I

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Speaker 1: think you'd rather roll with him rest of season than

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Speaker 1: Nico Horner. That's my thought process. What's yours when it

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Speaker 1: comes to Nico So.

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Speaker 2: I like that you said Chadler Simpson. So I don't

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Speaker 2: think he's a single category.

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Speaker 1: He's a three category guy.

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Speaker 2: But that's it. Like he is not He will not

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Speaker 2: compete in RBIs and Homer. So it's not like, oh,

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Speaker 2: he's a good three and he could be this. No,

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Speaker 2: he's three. That's it. He has fifty one runs, which

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Speaker 2: is pretty good this year. He's got a high batting average,

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Speaker 2: and he's got stolen bases. Those are the three categories

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Speaker 2: that you're getting. I don't buy really any of the

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Speaker 2: rest of it. What a you know, a worrisome part

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Speaker 2: would be is if the if one of those goes,

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Speaker 2: like specifically the batting average, the batting average will then

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Speaker 2: you know, affect the runs affect the stolen bases, and

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Speaker 2: that is something that could come back down to earth.

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Speaker 2: It's a little bit more supportive with his expected batting average,

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Speaker 2: but I'm fine with it. And the reason I mentioned

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Speaker 2: like the Chandler Simpsons because Chandler Simpson was just another

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Speaker 2: one of those guys that was floating back out that

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Speaker 2: you could have picked up. He's probably going to get

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Speaker 2: same categorical stuff that I do think Chasing's batting average

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Speaker 2: in runs can be important, maybe not as much as

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Speaker 2: stolen bases. If someone is willing to pay like a

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Speaker 2: premium on these stolen bases and a high current batting

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Speaker 2: average in Nico Horner, I am willing to sell, so

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Speaker 2: I'm with you. I've never been a Nico Horner guy,

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Speaker 2: but I do think he is more than just a

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Speaker 2: one category player. He's a strong three category player that

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Speaker 2: if you can materialize into something else, great, I'm very

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Speaker 2: comfortable doing it.

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Speaker 1: The recent update for Hunter Green has not been great,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a potential setback on his return

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Speaker 1: from a groin injury, which gives Chase Burns value. I

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Speaker 1: think a little bit of extra float, and I think

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Speaker 1: I want to take advantage of that in the trade market.

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Speaker 1: I still say Chase Burn's very talented. Chase Burns could

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Speaker 1: potentially develop into a really nice major league pitcher. I

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Speaker 1: think he's more of a thrower than a pitcher at

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Speaker 1: the stage in his career. Have said it on leading Off.

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Speaker 1: I say it here again, just to reiterate for those

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Speaker 1: who missed it. And so far it's been mixed results

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Speaker 1: at the big league level. Ten innings for him, nine

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Speaker 1: earned runs, and we had the one blow up start,

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Speaker 1: but still the blow up starts there, and he still

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Speaker 1: has only gotten to the fifth inning in one of

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Speaker 1: his three starts, so he's gonna be limited innings. He

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a bit inefficient, it seems like early going.

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Speaker 1: And on top of that, the fact that he is

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Speaker 1: probably gonna stick in the rotation for the next couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks. There's a lot of reasons where I think

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Speaker 1: you can sell the hype of Chase Burns, the electric fastball,

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Speaker 1: all those things that make a lot of us fantasy

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Speaker 1: nerves extremely excited. Chase Burns clicks a lot of those boxes, right.

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Speaker 1: But if you're talking about fantasy productivity down the stretch,

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Speaker 1: if you could turn Chase Burns and the Zach Gallon.

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Speaker 1: That's a trade that I make every single day, and

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Speaker 1: I think that kind of trade might be out there

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Speaker 1: to be had. Welsh, who would you rather have? Rest

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Speaker 1: of season Gallen?

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Speaker 2: Okay, So into that scenario, I do think that's interesting.

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Speaker 2: I think I think Zach Gallen is like maybe the play,

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Speaker 2: especially if he gets traded for wins and stuff like that.

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Speaker 2: But this is another one of our debate ones. I'm

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Speaker 2: not with you on the Chase Burns. I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's a great time because he's got an eight II.

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Speaker 2: Regardless of like how electric you know, some of the

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Speaker 2: stuff is. People are still going to look at surface

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Speaker 2: stats and they're going to see an eight era, they're

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Speaker 2: going to see almost six expected era, and they're going

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Speaker 2: to see the walk So people are going to think

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Speaker 2: like you, I mean, he only gave up one er

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Speaker 2: and run in the last start, and you were like

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Speaker 2: this is not a good start, and it's like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: the walks are bad, but he did maintain. He did

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Speaker 2: maintain one er and run. He struck out seven and

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Speaker 2: every single start that he's had that big blow up

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Speaker 2: has inflated everything. I think there's massive strikeout potential with

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Speaker 2: Chase Burns. I love the bounce back, and he's also

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Speaker 2: had a pretty rough go if you look at his

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Speaker 2: start so far.

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Speaker 1: His career started.

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Speaker 2: Yankees, Red Sox and the Phillies.

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Speaker 1: But give me some decent starts, and I think you're

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Speaker 1: exactly the kind of manager I'm looking for is the

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Speaker 1: one that certainly plays in Dynasty Leagues two, but also

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Speaker 1: that sees the potential. Because I think Burns has a

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Speaker 1: lot of potential. I don't think that's false. I want

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Speaker 1: to maximize that potential and change it in for productivity

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Speaker 1: rest of season to win, because I don't think it

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Speaker 1: happens in twenty twenty five for him. I think twenty

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Speaker 1: th I was a bit of a slog where he

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Speaker 1: goes five innings, has some starts where you're like, wow,

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Speaker 1: look at that start, and so I'm like, wow, look

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Speaker 1: at that start. I think that is something I don't

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Speaker 1: want to deal with. I'd rather turn them into something

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Speaker 1: that I think a little bit more comfortable starting on

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Speaker 1: a weekly basis.

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Speaker 2: And my advice would be is, if that is what

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Speaker 2: you want to do, you need to wait one more start.

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Speaker 2: This is not the time we get era. And I

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Speaker 2: think I want to say if I remember correctly, the

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Speaker 2: matchups coming up are good. I want to say it

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Speaker 2: might be like the Rockies or something like, let's have

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Speaker 2: one of those really good matchups, one more good start,

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Speaker 2: then you sell him off after he's paired, all these

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Speaker 2: strikeouts start. And I don't think that's the It's not

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Speaker 2: the worst thing in the world. And I particularly I

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Speaker 2: just like your gallon idea.

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Speaker 1: That is a way to maximize.

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Speaker 2: But just remember there's a ton of upside with Burns,

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Speaker 2: but there's volatility in his walks him Mislerowski, these young

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Speaker 2: guys walks are going to be a problem.

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Speaker 1: You just do like to see.

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Speaker 2: Guys that have a little bit of walk issues be

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Speaker 2: able to work around it and out. And two of

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Speaker 2: the three starts with Burns, he has just an electric

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Speaker 2: aspall and slider. But you know, people do overpay for rookies,

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Speaker 2: so you might not be wrong.

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Speaker 1: They overpay for rookies, but also wels. You know, if

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Speaker 1: you wait too long again, the window closes. I think

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Speaker 1: it's the one hundred green news that makes Chase Burns

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden get a bigger bump in that

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Speaker 1: trade market because people go, oh, he ain't going anywhere,

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Speaker 1: even if he struggles, and I think that is very important.

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Speaker 1: But what do you think? Who would you rather have

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Speaker 1: rest of season? Gallon or Chase Burns. Drop your comments below.

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Speaker 1: You might win yourself a jersey from Pristine auction of

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Speaker 1: signed one Gonzalez quality. That'll do it for us, but

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Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.

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Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

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Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

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00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,200
Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

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00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:47,000
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