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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pi's APA,

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Speaker 1: and this is bp NFL. It's time to look ahead

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Speaker 1: to Monday Night Football. Why because we've got a double header,

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Speaker 1: so we figured out a heck with Sunday night, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Monday because there's more to talk about and

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Speaker 1: to help us get through those bets. Of course, my

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Speaker 1: best friends Scott Bogman here on the channel. Make sure

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Speaker 1: you subscribe, drop the comments below, ring the belt on

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Speaker 1: the cost, dang all that jazz, Scott Bogman. Monday night

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Speaker 1: doubleheaders are fun, so if one game is not really entertaining,

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Speaker 1: you can always flip back to the other. You get

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Speaker 1: the split screen is options. I like that as much

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Speaker 1: as I like watching the standalone primetime game. Sometimes it's

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Speaker 1: nice to have a little bit of variety. What do

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Speaker 1: you think about the double Monday Night or we've got

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Speaker 1: coming up in week four?

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Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, I like it better than Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 2: Right like Thursday Night football, as guys on short rest,

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Speaker 2: typically you don't have enough time to get over an

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Speaker 2: injury and all that stuff. I'd rather put two games

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Speaker 2: on Monday and have a late game in an early game.

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Speaker 2: But not a lot of people are night owls like

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Speaker 2: I am. Nine o'clock start or ten o'clock start on

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Speaker 2: the East coast is not very popular, so I understand

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Speaker 2: that as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, luckily with these the start times are actually

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Speaker 1: a little bit better, so that's nice. They're almost like

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Speaker 1: an hour or so apart, so that's a little bit

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Speaker 1: better at this time of year. I like that. But

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Speaker 1: because you know, old man Joe was in bed by about.

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Speaker 2: Ten thirty o'clock.

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Speaker 1: He's just not making it. He's not making it.

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Speaker 2: It's a full day, so I'm usually awake when you

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Speaker 2: get up.

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Speaker 1: That's the best part is like I will wake up

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Speaker 1: to text from Bogman about and about the games for

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Speaker 1: the night before and things, and then he will wake

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Speaker 1: up to things that I said in the morning. So

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Speaker 1: there you go, perfect reply, perfect friendship. That's why we've

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Speaker 1: been friends for so long. By the way, is your

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Speaker 1: last chance, literally your last chance to win the Alvin

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Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form, download

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app, leave a review of the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros podcast. Subscribe to social media channels on Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: on X, on TikTok and Betting Pros NFL on the IG.

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Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive,

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Speaker 1: and we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: So make sure you flip those notifications on Ring that

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Speaker 1: bell to the goes ding so you can claim your

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Speaker 1: prize from Pristine Auction dot com the Alvin Kamara signed

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Speaker 1: helmet giveaway that's gonna be given away next week. Very

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Speaker 1: exciting times. All right, let's break down these games here.

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Speaker 1: We've got the New York Jets winless, Miami Dolphins winless

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Speaker 1: right now. The way this one's looking is plus three

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Speaker 1: at BP minus two and a half on the Miami

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Speaker 1: Dolphins side, plus three for the Jets. Forty four and

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Speaker 1: a half is the best over forty five and a

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Speaker 1: half the best under plus one forty four on the

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Speaker 1: Jets money line, which Joey p likes. I like it

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Speaker 1: a lot. I'm not gonna hold it back. I've already

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Speaker 1: made it clear my best bets, it's my ups bets.

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Speaker 1: Upset Special of the Week I'm so excited I could

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Speaker 1: barely talk about it. But yeah, Justin Field seems like

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Speaker 1: as of us recording this here, seems like he's trending

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Speaker 1: in the right direction to play. But even with Taylor,

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Speaker 1: I'm confident the Jets can find a way to win

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Speaker 1: this game, because I think the Dolphins can find a

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Speaker 1: way to lose this game. This is what they do.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about this one first. What are your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on Jets Dolphins? You involved in this, you stay

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Speaker 1: in a way? How are you approaching the games and

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Speaker 1: the lines here on this first game on Monday night?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm going to stay away. I'm with

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Speaker 2: you in My lean is towards the Jets. Like, just

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Speaker 2: give me points between two miserable teams, right, So I'll

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Speaker 2: just take points and that one Monday line play is okay.

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Speaker 2: I don't love that it's on the road, and Miami

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Speaker 2: has played much better the last two weeks, so I

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Speaker 2: think there's a little bit there. They have extra time

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Speaker 2: to prep as well, So it's not my favorite game

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Speaker 2: to bet, But my leen would be towards the Jets

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Speaker 2: because I just think with Justin Fields, this is a

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Speaker 2: much better team and you know, while Miami has been

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Speaker 2: doing some stuff on offense, the defense is still really,

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Speaker 2: really bad. So I'm just not the biggest fan of

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Speaker 2: betting this game, but Milen would be towards the Jets.

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Speaker 1: I just feel like the Jets are knowing three team

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Speaker 1: that's starting to figure it out, the starting to feel themselves.

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Speaker 1: The head coach is excited that.

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Speaker 2: He knows he knows playing time rode last week, and

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Speaker 2: that they know he knows.

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Speaker 1: This team is playing better football and they're starting to

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Speaker 1: figure out who they are, and I think that's much better.

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Speaker 1: And the fact that I'm laying it out here for

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Speaker 1: the Jets, you know how far I have to go

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Speaker 1: for me to lay it out there on the line

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Speaker 1: for the Jets. Very far. So we'll see if that

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Speaker 1: could be miserable all next week if I don't hit

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Speaker 1: this next game here and the final one for Monday nights.

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati two and one digging on Denver, who's one and

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Speaker 1: two start a game they should have had last week

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Speaker 1: but they didn't have last week, and still bitter about

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Speaker 1: that one. The Denver bronc was at home. Minus seven favorites.

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Speaker 1: You're getting plus seven and a half for the Cincinnati Bengals,

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Speaker 1: forty three and a half for the over, forty four

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Speaker 1: and a half for the under, plus three ten for

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Speaker 1: the upset special on the Cincinnati Bengals, which I am

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Speaker 1: not taking. Look in theory, Denver should handle their business

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Speaker 1: here and this seven should be comfortable. I on the

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Speaker 1: other hand, I'm just gonna take the over forty three

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Speaker 1: and a half in this contest. I do think there's

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Speaker 1: more points. I do think here we get Cincinnati to

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Speaker 1: have a better showing than they had last week, can't

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Speaker 1: get much worse than they did against the Minnesota Vikings.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just sticking with the over for this game. Box.

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Speaker 1: Do you have any feels on this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Hard pass on this one, right, like, I just know

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Speaker 2: well the other one like, I'll lean and if my

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Speaker 2: bets hit on Sunday, I'll chase a little into Monday.

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Speaker 2: If I'm up money, right like, I'll put some money

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Speaker 2: on the Jets. At that point of fields is playing

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Speaker 2: this game. I don't care if I was eight to

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Speaker 2: no on Sunday. No, thank you, I am fine. I

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Speaker 2: think Jake Browning is better than what he showed last week.

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Speaker 2: But based on what games from two years ago, there's

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Speaker 2: definitely a chance he has regressed. I don't think we've

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Speaker 2: seen the Broncos defense play as well as possible yet.

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Speaker 2: I still think they're one of the better defenses, and

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Speaker 2: they haven't been showing it, and bo Nicks has been off.

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Speaker 2: Sean Bayton even said like, we need to keep slinging it.

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Speaker 2: We need to keep throwing it through these struggles that

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Speaker 2: bo Nicks has had, So you know, I think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna do that against Cincinnati. This is a good team

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Speaker 2: to get on the right track offensively against right their

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Speaker 2: defense is real bad, but mistakes turned into points and

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Speaker 2: Jake Browning is a veteran at this point, so I

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Speaker 2: expect fewer mistakes from him. But this is a hard

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Speaker 2: game on the road at elevation for Cincy. There's no

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Speaker 2: way I would ever bet Cincy. My leen is gonna

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Speaker 2: be towards the Broncos. If this comes back down under

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Speaker 2: a touchdown, then maybe I'll get involved.

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Speaker 1: All Right, We're gonna turn our attention to the props

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Speaker 1: here in just a moment. Before we do, we want

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Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts has reached the end zone in six consecutive games.

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Speaker 1: Miami has won nine home games in a row against

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Speaker 1: the Jets. Not anymore, that's right. That streak ends as

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Okay, let's get to JK. Dobbins.

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Speaker 1: That's where I want to start because I want all

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Speaker 1: the overs on JK. Dobbins. Hard Rock's got them. At

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Speaker 1: sixty two and a half, I'm smashing this over bogs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's sixty two and a half and this is

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Speaker 2: raised five from an hour ago. So I think this

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Speaker 2: one is just going to head up. But since he

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Speaker 2: their offense is thirtieth in time of possession. Dobbins has

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Speaker 2: hit this total in all three games so far. And

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Speaker 2: you know, as you and I have stated, this game

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Speaker 2: script looks to be a lot of running in the

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Speaker 2: third and fourth quarter for Denver, as they should be

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Speaker 2: up on a hurt Bengals team here that has not

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Speaker 2: looked good yet. So I think that JK. Dobbins is

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Speaker 2: going to have a lot of rush attempts in this game,

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Speaker 2: and I think he clears this one fairly easily.

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Speaker 1: What about the ten and a half receiving yards? Would

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Speaker 1: you take the over or the under on that? Just

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Speaker 1: because you're already going all in for the rushing.

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Speaker 2: I think I'm going to go under on this one,

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Speaker 2: number one. If they are up big and that's the

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Speaker 2: way it goes, then I don't think they're going to

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Speaker 2: pass the ball a lot, specifically in the second half.

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Speaker 2: So Dobbins has like a half to get this, and

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Speaker 2: he hasn't hit this in a game yet. He has

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Speaker 2: two yardets per game so far, he has fourteen total

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Speaker 2: receiving yards. He's only been targeted on fourteen point seven

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Speaker 2: percent of his routes and they literally have the worst.

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Speaker 2: He has the worst pass blocking grade of all running

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Speaker 2: backs on this team, So I don't know if you

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Speaker 2: keep him out there.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: The Broncos did go down from adding Battie in there

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Speaker 2: or Bidet, however we're saying his name. He didn't really

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Speaker 2: see the field that much last week, so they have

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Speaker 2: gone down to two, which should mean a couple more

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Speaker 2: snaps for Dobbins. But this is the type of game

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Speaker 2: that if it gets away, let's have the kid run.

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Speaker 2: Let's have R. J. Harvey in the second half. Let's

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Speaker 2: use him on third downs a little bit more. Let's

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Speaker 2: get him involved, right And I think that's going to

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Speaker 2: be part of the plan this week as well. And

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Speaker 2: it doesn't really matter because part of the plan is

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Speaker 2: not throwing the ball to JK. Dobbins. It just hasn't happened. Really.

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Speaker 2: He has six catches in fourteen or I believe five

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Speaker 2: catches and fourteen yards receiving this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't realize, or I don't know if you realize

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Speaker 1: how prolific you are, because you just created a new stat.

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Speaker 1: You met yards and targets together and you made them jargets.

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Speaker 1: Jargets Yargets. I like it. I would like to bet

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Speaker 1: on Yargets. Can we do that yards and Targets combined?

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Speaker 1: Why not Scott Bargets. It sounds like some Polish media.

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Speaker 1: I know the Yargets family actually lived down the block

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Speaker 1: for me, the Yargets, okay family. I bring them Christmas

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Speaker 1: cookies every year. They're they're so nice. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about some more running backs here, Briess Hall against

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Speaker 1: the Miami defense. That seems like a pretty good wage

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Speaker 1: or two forty nine and a half is the number?

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Speaker 1: Can we get this over Bogs?

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Speaker 2: I think this is way too low. Nineteen for one

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Speaker 2: oh seven in Week one with Justin Fields healthy, right then,

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Speaker 2: they only had twenty one to thirty nine possession against Buffalo,

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Speaker 2: twenty seven forty nine against Tampa Bay, all with to ride.

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Speaker 2: The Dolphins have allowed the fifth most rushing yards to

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Speaker 2: season and currently grade twenty eighth in run defense according

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Speaker 2: to Pro Football Focus. So I just think that this

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Speaker 2: is an easy one for Brief to clear, and they're

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Speaker 2: not involving Braylan Allen and Isaiah Davison enough to take

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Speaker 2: away from him, and if Fields is in there, those

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Speaker 2: arepos just work way way better, So give me all

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Speaker 2: the Breeze haulovers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Dee Bro I know is very into Breeze Hall too.

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Speaker 1: This week. We spoke about him on the FP live

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Speaker 1: stream a lot last couple of days. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about somebody. Also, we spoke a lot of the

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Speaker 1: fancy Bro side. He's the most traded player this week,

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Speaker 1: Chase Brown. Everybody's given up home the numbers fifty and

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Speaker 1: a half. Should we give up hope for that one

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Speaker 1: as well?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think for this week, I do think

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Speaker 2: it is a by low opportunity on Chase Brown, and

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Speaker 2: I think it could be even better, you know after

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Speaker 2: this week the by low because facing a Denver defense

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Speaker 2: on the road is really tough for this offense top

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Speaker 2: ten run d graded by PFF against a thirty second

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Speaker 2: grated run blocking offensive line. Dead last are the Cincinnati Bengals,

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Speaker 2: and I think in the second half we're going to

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Speaker 2: see more passing for Sincy than we are running. So

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Speaker 2: the one caveat to this is he should see more snaps.

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Speaker 2: I think maybe because samajp Ryan's down, but they involved

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Speaker 2: Taj Brooks and I think think he's a very good

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Speaker 2: rookie running back here. And Chase Brown's just has not

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Speaker 2: been effective quite yet. I think a lot of it's

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Speaker 2: because of the line, not so much because of Chase Brown.

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Speaker 2: But now you go on the road to Denver, good

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Speaker 2: luck with that. So I'm going to take the under

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Speaker 2: on Chase Brown.

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Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to the last of the

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Speaker 1: five props.

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Speaker 3: Here.

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Speaker 1: T Higgins fifteen and a half receiving yards against the

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Speaker 1: Denver Broncos secondary. Again, I just don't know if there's

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Speaker 1: enough to go around in this passing game. The way

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Speaker 1: it's constructed for Jamar Chase n T Higgins to both eat.

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Speaker 1: This is not the Joe Burrow Bengals anymore.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's really the thing. It's not the Joe Burrow Bengals.

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Speaker 2: And who is going to get the targets given the choice,

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Speaker 2: it's definitely Chamar Chase. So with this one, let's wait

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Speaker 2: because I think this number is only going to go

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Speaker 2: up because I think the thought process in this game

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Speaker 2: is going to be Denver wins going away. So since

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Speaker 2: he needs to pass in the third and fourth quarter

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Speaker 2: and that way, we have some extra garbage yards for

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Speaker 2: these guys at the end. So that could happen with

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Speaker 2: t Higgins. But I think because that is the initial

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Speaker 2: thought process for most people going into this game, I

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Speaker 2: think these yards are going to rise. I think people

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Speaker 2: are gonna bet the more people bet overs anyway, So

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Speaker 2: let's wait until ten minutes before kickoff to take this number, right, Like,

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to get up to fifty

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Speaker 2: six to fifty seven yards something like that. So let's

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Speaker 2: just hold on it and wait. But I think, you know,

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Speaker 2: like you said, Higgins is second to Chase. Also, Denver

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Speaker 2: not very good against tight ends, so I think the

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Speaker 2: tight ends could potentially be involved as well. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I just for me, I'm gonna be I'm gonna be

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Speaker 2: low on Bengals overall here that aren't named from our Chase.

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Speaker 1: With a good reason, I think too. And of course,

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Speaker 1: if you need more help betting, the props prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet always there at betting Pros. Download the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app. We're going to bettingpros dot com slash props.

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Speaker 1: You'll see all the passing, the rushing, the receiving stat categories,

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Speaker 1: everything there with the best projections and the best line

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Speaker 1: so you can maximize all of your bets with the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet. All right, SGP Joey P time.

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Speaker 1: So here we go. Let's take JK. Dobbs anytime touchdown

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Speaker 1: minus one fifty, and we're gonna take JK. Dobbins with

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Speaker 1: the over sixty two and a half rushing yards. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna put those two things together and we're gonna get

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Speaker 1: plus three fifteen for Monday night. That's what we're looking at.

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Speaker 1: So three to one, just two legs. If you want

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Speaker 1: to take the Denver Broncos to win the game outright

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Speaker 1: on the money line, you can push this up a

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Speaker 1: little bit more. That's fine, you want to be a

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Speaker 1: little greedy. I'm okay with that third leg there. I

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Speaker 1: don't think the Bengals I beat the Denver Broncos at home,

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Speaker 1: but even if they became a little bit.

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Speaker 2: More knocking on over there somewhere, Joey.

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Speaker 1: Wow, look, I just look, even if they challenge him,

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Speaker 1: I think the other day, Denver would find a way

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Speaker 1: to win this football game, maybe in their building, if

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Speaker 1: it was in Cincinnati. Maybe I'm a little less confident

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Speaker 1: of it. Maybe that line's not quite as big, but

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Speaker 1: Denver money line on top of it is already heavily juice.

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Speaker 1: Where you're only gonna push. Look, you're on gonna push

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Speaker 1: the three fifteen to three thirty or something like that,

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Speaker 1: But that's okay. You want to add a more variants,

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Speaker 1: knock yourself out. I'm taking the two legs. I've learned

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Speaker 1: my lesson Thursday Night Football, two legs, Night Football, two legs.

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Speaker 1: We'll see on next week whether or not I was

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Speaker 1: right or wrong on these and of course saying game

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00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,800
Speaker 1: parlay tool also available on Betting Pros two to make

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Speaker 1: all those correlation bets. Help you find a way to

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Speaker 1: get the sgps that you need. And it's time to

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Speaker 1: call some touchdowns bogs. So I'm gonna go with Courtland

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Speaker 1: Sutton plus one thirty five against that Bengals defense. I

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Speaker 1: think Sutton's do for a big game. I think he

348
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Speaker 1: has it here, and Garrett Wilson has been a touchdown machine.

349
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Speaker 1: Doesn't matter who's throwing to a football. I don't care

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Speaker 1: Fields Taylor, doesn't matter Joe Namath comes back. It would

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Speaker 1: get Browning Nagel to throw football. Who knows, But give

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Speaker 1: me Garrett Wilson plus one fifty five, bogs. Who are

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Speaker 1: your touchdowns for Monday Night Football?

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the cowards way out. Here. Look, I gave

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Speaker 2: you a fun one for Thursday. But Breese Hall plus

356
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Speaker 2: one hundred even money on Breece. I think if anybody

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Speaker 2: scores in this game, and Breece is the most likely,

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Speaker 2: so let's go with him at even money, I think

359
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Speaker 2: that's nice. And Jamar Chase plus one fifty. I mean,

360
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Speaker 2: I know Patrick's certain all of that, but if you

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Speaker 2: get down there, yeah, I think I think you draw

362
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Speaker 2: something up for Jamar. So if I'm getting one and

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Speaker 2: a half for the two most likely players to get

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Speaker 2: a touchdown, I'm taking that. So I like both of

365
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Speaker 2: those this week.

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Speaker 1: All right, everybody there, you have it, go win that.

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Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara helmet again. Bettingpros dot com Slash Contest, download

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00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 1: the hard Rock Sportsbook app right now, and of course,

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the feed here on the Betting Pros channel.

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Speaker 1: Trying to get to one hundred thousand subscribers this year.

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Speaker 1: Do we can do it with your help, do it

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Speaker 1: and drop your touchdown calls in the comments. We like

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Speaker 1: hearing your TD calls. That'll do it for us. But

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Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Scott Bog

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Speaker 1: But I'm Joey p We'll see you next time, kids,

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Speaker 1: enjoy your Monday night football.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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