WEBVTT - The Black Thread, Ep 3:  Challenging the Narratives

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<v Speaker 1>Hello and welcome back to Drilled. I'm Amy Westervelt. Today

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing you the third part in the four part

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<v Speaker 1>mini series from Communicating Climate Change podcast host dick and

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<v Speaker 1>Bombickstone and Norwegian nonprofit KLIMA Cool Tour The Black Thread,

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<v Speaker 1>about Norway's conflicted identity as both an oil state and

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<v Speaker 1>a progressive leader in the world today. Episode three challenging

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<v Speaker 1>the narratives. Much of the ability of Norway's oil industry

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<v Speaker 1>to maintain its influence and continue with business as usual

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<v Speaker 1>comes from the lack of questions being asked about its

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<v Speaker 1>ideas and about how the world works. In this episode,

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<v Speaker 1>The Black Thread steps away from that norm and challenges

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<v Speaker 1>industry rhetoric head on.

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<v Speaker 2>Enjoy it.

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<v Speaker 3>Welcome back to The Black Thread, a podcast unraveling Norway's

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<v Speaker 3>complex relationship with prosperity, identity, and responsibility in a warming world.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Dickon, a climate communications expert based in Oslo, the

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<v Speaker 3>Norwegian capital, Tracing the Black Thread oil through Norway, society

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<v Speaker 3>and culture. Last time we delved into petroganda in Norway,

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<v Speaker 3>hearing how critics perceive the industry's strategic use of sponsorships,

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<v Speaker 3>advertising and storytelling work to uphold a narrative of oil

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<v Speaker 3>normalization and acceptability. We learned how oil interests are embedded

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<v Speaker 3>in the boards of cultural institutions, government agencies, and even

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<v Speaker 3>the nation's schooling whilst what many consider to be faded

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<v Speaker 3>journalistic scrutiny contributes to the erosion of public awareness and debate. Plus,

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<v Speaker 3>we heard how oil and climate are often treated as

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<v Speaker 3>separate issues in policy, and how this shapes the limits

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<v Speaker 3>of public discourse. Yet both critics and industry voices agreed

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<v Speaker 3>about one thing. Norway needs open discussions about its future

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<v Speaker 3>grounded in facts. In this episode, we'll explore where the

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<v Speaker 3>facts do and don't match up to the stories being

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<v Speaker 3>told by Nory's fossil fuel industry, amplified by its government,

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<v Speaker 3>and legitimized through a wealth of public outreach. We'll hear

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<v Speaker 3>experts challenge some of the most familiar narratives that keep

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<v Speaker 3>Norwegian oil and gas pumping, and industry voices will explain

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<v Speaker 3>the logic behind their rhetoric. Along the way, we'll try

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<v Speaker 3>to find answers to questions like was Norway really poor

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<v Speaker 3>before oil? Will it be poor if it stops pumping

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<v Speaker 3>fossil fuels today? What will happen to the famous Norwegian

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<v Speaker 3>welfare system, won't. Lots of people lose their jobs and

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<v Speaker 3>many more. As we've heard in previous episodes, oil has

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<v Speaker 3>become important to the Norwegian identity and plays a major

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<v Speaker 3>role in public perceptions of the country's success as well

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<v Speaker 3>as its wealth. But Norwegian attitudes towards oil haven't always

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<v Speaker 3>been unwavering. In the early days, there was caution and concern.

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<v Speaker 3>Kick things off by exploring this shift in perspective. Author

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<v Speaker 3>journalist and project leader at the Norwegian Climate Foundation an

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<v Speaker 3>A Current Satha, explains how Norway's first oil discoveries were

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<v Speaker 3>met with careful consideration.

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<v Speaker 4>In the beginning in the nineteen sixties and the nineteen seventies,

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<v Speaker 4>it was a lot of criticism actually towards this new industry,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's not part of the story, funny enough, but

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<v Speaker 4>people were asking, why should we do this? Isn't it dangerous?

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<v Speaker 4>And what's actually happening? People were skeptical. I guess it

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<v Speaker 4>was only in the eighties when we were sort of prouder.

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<v Speaker 4>It was established as something in the Norwegian debate and consciousness.

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<v Speaker 3>Even though oil and gas have become central to Norway's economy,

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<v Speaker 3>and identity. It's worth noting that this influence has taken

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<v Speaker 3>shape in just a few decades. According to our experts,

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<v Speaker 3>Norwegians weren't automatically on board with this new national venture.

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<v Speaker 3>To learn more, I asked bord Land from the University

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<v Speaker 3>of Oslo's Oil and Society Research Network to expand on

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<v Speaker 3>how the industry was first perceived.

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<v Speaker 2>The discussions about oil and gas policy and kind of

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<v Speaker 2>how to govern Norwegian oil and gas resources tended actually

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<v Speaker 2>to be much more critical during the first couple of decades.

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<v Speaker 2>And this whole kind of success story about the Norwegian

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<v Speaker 2>only Aventa, the oil adventure, the oil fairy tale, and

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<v Speaker 2>this whole idea that Norway has been so good at

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<v Speaker 2>handling and managing the wealth from the oil and gas.

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<v Speaker 2>All of these things are quite new constructs, and so

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<v Speaker 2>the idea that oil is overwhelmingly positive to Norwegian society

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<v Speaker 2>is something that to some extent appeared alongside the Oil Fund.

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<v Speaker 2>The discussions about the role of oil in Norwegian society

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<v Speaker 2>were actually much more hesitant, and you even see it

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<v Speaker 2>in official documents. They are definitely highlighting the wealth and

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<v Speaker 2>the prosperity that oil might bring, but there also skeptical

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<v Speaker 2>towards the downsides and the problems and the potential tensions

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<v Speaker 2>that might arise due to this new industry.

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<v Speaker 3>So, according to Board, it wasn't always a fairy tale

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<v Speaker 3>of fate and fortune, as we're often led to believe

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<v Speaker 3>in Norway. He points out that this narrative of oil

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<v Speaker 3>as an unmitigated success only really took shape once climate

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<v Speaker 3>change became a core issue. Based on what we've heard

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<v Speaker 3>in the previous episodes about industry efforts to shape public perception,

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<v Speaker 3>even targeting young people to ensure a future generation of

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<v Speaker 3>oil positive citizens, it's worth considering whether this story emerged

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<v Speaker 3>organically or whether it was ceded strategically. With both Board

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<v Speaker 3>and Anakarn claiming that the narrative around Norway's oil discovery

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<v Speaker 3>has changed over time, we have to ask how this

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<v Speaker 3>has happened. When I spoke to Anna Karin, she identified

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<v Speaker 3>three myths that she says have contributed to this shift

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<v Speaker 3>in perspective.

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<v Speaker 4>The first is that we have climate friendly oil and

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<v Speaker 4>gas production. We have less during extraction due to an

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<v Speaker 4>early ban on flaring and electrification of the installations offshore,

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<v Speaker 4>and since Nowechan oil and gas have relatively lower emissions

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<v Speaker 4>than the average in the world. It will be good

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<v Speaker 4>if you use nowech and oil instead of oil and

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<v Speaker 4>gas from other places. So that's why they have been

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<v Speaker 4>calling it climate friendly or clean oil and gas. But

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<v Speaker 4>the thing that is not so much talked about in

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<v Speaker 4>this area in strategic communication, you sort of put a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of light on some parts of the story and

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<v Speaker 4>others are put in the shade. And what is put

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<v Speaker 4>in the shade when it comes to this is that

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<v Speaker 4>the production counts up to something like two or three

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<v Speaker 4>percent of the total of emissions. What counts is when

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<v Speaker 4>you combust the oil and gas, that's like ninety seven percent.

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<v Speaker 4>And if you have a fossil fuel car a petrol

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<v Speaker 4>car and you drive it on the highway, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 4>really matter if the petrol comes from Norway or Nigeria

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<v Speaker 4>or other countries. The emissions will be just as big.

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<v Speaker 3>The first of Anikarin so called oil myths is that

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<v Speaker 3>Norway's oil is climate friendly. We've heard that one before.

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<v Speaker 3>In fact, it's a line that comes up often from

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<v Speaker 3>all kinds of sources. But just as we found with

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<v Speaker 3>the industry communication discussed in the previous episode, important context

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<v Speaker 3>that would reveal the true nature of such a claim

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<v Speaker 3>tends to be left out, but let's hear some more

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<v Speaker 3>from Anikarin.

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<v Speaker 4>The second one is that gas from Norway replaces coal

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<v Speaker 4>in Europe. Since Europe can use gas instead of coal,

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<v Speaker 4>we can contribute to lowering emissions in Europe. And the

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<v Speaker 4>oil industry has used data showing us how much emissions

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<v Speaker 4>will be reduced in Europe if our gas replaces coal.

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<v Speaker 4>But that's not what's happening because there's just a little

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<v Speaker 4>bit of the gas that is actually going into power

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<v Speaker 4>generation and that's where they compete oil and gas with

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<v Speaker 4>renewables and with energy efficiency. But that's not part of

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<v Speaker 4>the story. And gas may replace coal in the short run,

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<v Speaker 4>but it will lock us to gas infrastructure, and it

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<v Speaker 4>will hinder the energy transition. It will sort of stand

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<v Speaker 4>in the way for more renewables, and that's not part

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<v Speaker 4>of the story unfortunately.

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<v Speaker 3>So the second of Ana carn so called oil myths

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<v Speaker 3>is that replacing coal with gas is a climate solution.

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<v Speaker 3>But let's hear the last one.

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<v Speaker 4>The third myth is that we must stand on the

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<v Speaker 4>shoulders of today's petroleum industry in order to succeed in

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<v Speaker 4>the green transition, and as with all myths, you could

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<v Speaker 4>argue that it is some truth in it, because offshore

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<v Speaker 4>know how from the petroleum industry is useful when we're

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<v Speaker 4>to build offshore win like it was useful back in

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<v Speaker 4>the days to have a maritime industry history when we

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<v Speaker 4>started off with oil and gas. But it obscures the

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<v Speaker 4>fact that we're standing at the crossroad and that we

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<v Speaker 4>have to make a choice. Do we go into even

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<v Speaker 4>more oil and gas or do we go into more renewables.

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<v Speaker 4>It's actually a choice, and by saying that we have

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<v Speaker 4>to stand on the shoulders of oil and gas, you

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<v Speaker 4>sort of say that we can just continue, we can

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<v Speaker 4>build upwards, we can just do more of the same

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<v Speaker 4>and somehow one day wake up and be in a

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<v Speaker 4>renewable society. It's so deep in the Norwegian debate, this

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<v Speaker 4>last one. It's fascinating, But we can't do two things

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<v Speaker 4>at the same time. You have a limited amount of expertise,

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<v Speaker 4>employees and available money to invest, So there's obviously problems

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<v Speaker 4>with all this story.

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<v Speaker 3>The third of anakharinsarth that's so called oil myths is

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<v Speaker 3>that the fossil fuel industry is essential to a green

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<v Speaker 3>transition together. She claims these myths shape a story in

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<v Speaker 3>which Norwegian oil and gas come across as not just

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<v Speaker 3>acceptable but even good, a story that makes the industry

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<v Speaker 3>appear more compatible with climate action than it might really be,

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<v Speaker 3>and that helps justify continued drilling. To many, such messaging

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<v Speaker 3>might sound too convenient to be taken at face value,

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<v Speaker 3>But how does the industry itself explain and defend it.

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<v Speaker 3>To explore the logic behind these narratives and the paradox

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<v Speaker 3>of the Norwegian identity they help sustain, I spoke with

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<v Speaker 3>and Catharine vorga climate policy manager at Offshore Norway, the

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<v Speaker 3>organization that represents companies operating on the Norwegian continental shelf,

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<v Speaker 3>many with a direct stake in oil and gas. As

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<v Speaker 3>someone whose role is shaping climate policy whilst at the

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<v Speaker 3>same time advocating for the very industry that that policy

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<v Speaker 3>is meant to regulate, her perspective is especially useful for

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<v Speaker 3>understanding how the industry squares its climate ambitions on the

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<v Speaker 3>one hand with its dependence on fossil fuel production on

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<v Speaker 3>the other.

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<v Speaker 5>My role as a climate policy manager is to give

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<v Speaker 5>advice and input to the authorities on climate policies and regulations.

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<v Speaker 5>When oil and gas are burned, considerable emissions are released

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<v Speaker 5>to the atmosphere, contributing to the global warming and climate change.

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<v Speaker 5>And I think that's why the work with the climate

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<v Speaker 5>policy within the oil and gas industry is so important.

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<v Speaker 5>We must both reduce emissions linked oil and gas, but

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<v Speaker 5>at the same time we must increase the production of

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<v Speaker 5>renewable energy also not gaz. Together with our partners, we

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<v Speaker 5>have established very ambitious climate targets and we aim to

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<v Speaker 5>reduce emissions from the oil and gas production by fifty

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<v Speaker 5>percent in twenty third thirty and to near zero in

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<v Speaker 5>twenty fifty and this will be very challenging. We are

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<v Speaker 5>engaged in reducing emissions from the use of the oil

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<v Speaker 5>and gas by capturing the C two and storing it

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<v Speaker 5>or by producing blue hydrogen.

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<v Speaker 3>Let me quickly help here. Blue hydrogen is a fuel

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<v Speaker 3>created using methane derived from fossil gas. Now back to

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<v Speaker 3>and Catherine.

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<v Speaker 5>We are also heavily engaged in the development of offshore

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<v Speaker 5>wind sector in Norway and the policy measures that are

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<v Speaker 5>needed for the energy transition from fossil fuels to the renewables.

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<v Speaker 5>So I wouldn't say that there are tensions between working

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<v Speaker 5>with climate policy and working in the oil and gas sector.

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<v Speaker 5>On the contrary, climate policies is actually a full of

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<v Speaker 5>integrated part of shows activities.

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<v Speaker 3>And Catherine points to efforts to reduce emissions from oil

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<v Speaker 3>and gas production to zero by twenty fifty as evan

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<v Speaker 3>of the industries taking responsibility for its actions. But as

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<v Speaker 3>we just heard, only three percent of the total emissions

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<v Speaker 3>from oil and gas are associated with their production. Even

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<v Speaker 3>if the industry hits its twenty fifty targets, that doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>help with the ninety seven percent of emissions released into

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<v Speaker 3>the atmosphere when Norwegian oil is burned at the use phase.

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<v Speaker 3>At the same time, while she highlights the likes of

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<v Speaker 3>CO two capture, blue hydrogen production and offshore wind development

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<v Speaker 3>as ways that the industry is contributing to both dealing

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<v Speaker 3>with those use phase emissions on the one hand and

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<v Speaker 3>transitioning away from oil and gas towards renewable energy on

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<v Speaker 3>the other, critics contend that neither carbon capture and storage

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<v Speaker 3>nor blue hydrogen are anywhere near developed enough to make

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<v Speaker 3>a meaningful impact. In fact, Equinor and others recently scrapped

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<v Speaker 3>plans to export blue hydrogen abroad due to a lack

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<v Speaker 3>of demand for fossil based fuels compared to their renewable counterparts. However,

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<v Speaker 3>despite this demand and ambitious goals to develop Norways off

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<v Speaker 3>shore wind capacity, earlier this year, Equinor, who are perhaps

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<v Speaker 3>best placed to make strides in the sector, and several

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<v Speaker 3>of their peers, also rolled back their offshore wind targets too.

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<v Speaker 3>So while Anne Catherine claims that climate policy is fully

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<v Speaker 3>integrated into oil and gas activities, the messaging seems to

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<v Speaker 3>be moving much faster than the technologies it's highlighting. Next,

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<v Speaker 3>I asked how the planned expansion of Noua's oil and

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 3>gas industry could be even remotely in alignment with the

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 3>international obligations set out by the Paris Agreement. It's here

0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:35.720
<v Speaker 3>in Ane Catherine's response that the black thread becomes a knot,

0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 3>a tightly wound tangle of industry led narratives, strategies and claims.

0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 3>As Anakar and Sath from the Norwegian Climate Foundation told

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:47.800
<v Speaker 3>us earlier, in strategic communication, some things are brought into

0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 3>the light and others are left in the shade. So

0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.640
<v Speaker 3>as we listen to Ann Catherine's answer to my question,

0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:58.120
<v Speaker 3>it's worth asking ourselves what's left out? How are her

0:14:58.160 --> 0:15:01.600
<v Speaker 3>claims framed to make oil gas appear more compatible with

0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 3>climate goals than perhaps they actually are, and which so

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:07.480
<v Speaker 3>called myths does she invoke along the way?

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 5>An increase of the total oil and gas production will

0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:17.000
<v Speaker 5>obviously lead to more emissions, and it is not in

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 5>line with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Aill oil

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 5>and gas have the same amount of emissions when you

0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 5>use it, but emissions link to the production and the

0:15:27.240 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 5>transportation of the oil and gas differ significantly, and using

0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 5>oil and gas from Norway instead of using oil and

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.640
<v Speaker 5>gas from other countries can then lead to less emissions

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:43.840
<v Speaker 5>as we have less emissions from the production side, and

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 5>therefore be in line with the aim of the Paris Agreement.

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 5>But also replacing coal with oil and gas will have

0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:57.360
<v Speaker 5>a significant effect on emissions. So if the expansion of

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:02.600
<v Speaker 5>the oil and gas production replaces alternatives with more emissions

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 5>and leads to actual total lower emissions, that is in

0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:11.080
<v Speaker 5>line with aim of the Peri's agreement to reduce the

0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 5>greenose gas emissions.

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Did you catch that we just heard two of the

0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 3>so called oil myths, first the idea of Norwegian oil

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 3>being climate friendly and second that replacing coal with oil

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 3>and gas is a climate solution. As we've discussed, the

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:31.160
<v Speaker 3>climate friendly oil framing highlights production efficiency but doesn't account

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:34.480
<v Speaker 3>for the total emissions from consumption or the long term

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 3>lock in effects of continued fossil fuel dependence. Similarly, replacing

0:16:38.920 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 3>coal with oil and gas might reduce emissions in the

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 3>short term, but it still locks in carbon intensive energy infrastructure,

0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:49.120
<v Speaker 3>as Anakarr and Sather explained earlier, delaying the shift to

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:53.600
<v Speaker 3>genuinely renewable sources. But let's keep listening. Here's and Catherine

0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 3>Vorga again moving on to the expansion of noise oil

0:16:56.760 --> 0:16:57.680
<v Speaker 3>and gas activities.

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 5>The outlook for the production of the oil and gas

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 5>in Norway is that in some years we will reach

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 5>peak production and then we will see a significant decline.

0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:13.399
<v Speaker 5>So the exploration for new resources will ensure that the

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:18.120
<v Speaker 5>downward production curve will not be steeper than the demand curve.

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:22.200
<v Speaker 5>So exploration for more oil and gas in Norway as

0:17:22.240 --> 0:17:25.679
<v Speaker 5>we see today will not be an expansion from the

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:29.440
<v Speaker 5>current level. Almost all of the oil and gas produced

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 5>in Norway alsold to uk and ere and the Russian

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:38.359
<v Speaker 5>invasion of Ukraine has clearly demonstrated how dependent Europe is

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 5>of the energy from Norway, and EU has now decided

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:45.480
<v Speaker 5>to stop the import of oil and gas from Russia,

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 5>and their main priority is of course to replace this

0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:55.479
<v Speaker 5>by investments in renewable energy and energy efficiency. But it

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 5>takes time to build new renewable capacity, and in the

0:17:59.600 --> 0:18:02.920
<v Speaker 5>short medium term the oil and gas from Russia will

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:06.440
<v Speaker 5>have to be replaced by oil and gas from other countries,

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:10.640
<v Speaker 5>and in climate perspective, oil and gas from Norway are

0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 5>produced with lower carbon footprint than oil and gas from

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 5>other contries.

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:18.160
<v Speaker 3>In this part of her response, we hear the familiar

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 3>petroganda narrative of energy security, as discussed in the previous episode.

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 3>While valid in the context of Europe's immediate needs, this

0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 3>argument can also be read as a justification for maintaining

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 3>production levels in the longer term, even when the broader

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:37.000
<v Speaker 3>climate context calls for a rapid transition away from fossil fuels,

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 3>a transition we've already heard is made all the more

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:44.480
<v Speaker 3>difficult if we continue investing in the oil industry. Meanwhile,

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 3>on the expansion issue, my understanding of what and Catherine's

0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:50.960
<v Speaker 3>saying is that we shouldn't worry too much, because she

0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:55.439
<v Speaker 3>argues any such activity isn't about increasing overall use of

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:59.240
<v Speaker 3>fossil fuels, but instead about ensuring that there'll be enough

0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:02.600
<v Speaker 3>to get us through the forthcoming energy transition in line

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 3>with the projected decline in demand for oil and gas

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:08.680
<v Speaker 3>from the likes of Europe and the UK. However, a

0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty four report found that if the EU curbs

0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 3>demand in line with its targets, existing oil and gas

0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:20.000
<v Speaker 3>projects and contracts will be sufficient to meet declining European needs,

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:23.719
<v Speaker 3>which means there's no need for more Norwegian oil and gas.

0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 3>But let's hear the final part of and Catherine's response.

0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:30.240
<v Speaker 5>The main driver in the energy market is the demand

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 5>for energy. Society needs enough and affordable energy, and to

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Speaker 5>limit the climate crisis, the energy must be as clean

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:45.280
<v Speaker 5>as possible, So both UK and THEY asset ambitious targets

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:49.920
<v Speaker 5>for transition of their energy mix away from fossil fuels

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:54.160
<v Speaker 5>and towards for renewables. But even in the scenarios where

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:58.000
<v Speaker 5>they reach their climate goals, they will need more oil

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 5>and gas than Norway from over prognosis can deliver. So

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.080
<v Speaker 5>in the case where UK and E need oil and

0:20:06.119 --> 0:20:09.439
<v Speaker 5>gas as a part of their energy mix, this Shurrado

0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 5>coom from more production in our Way than from other

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 5>producing countries, and that's also from a climate perspective.

0:20:17.440 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 3>Right, So then we're back to the idea that Norway's

0:20:19.840 --> 0:20:22.800
<v Speaker 3>oil and gas is simply filling the British and European demand,

0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 3>but with the added twist that assumes Norwegian oil and

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:29.040
<v Speaker 3>gas will substitute products from other providers based on the

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 3>logic of it being cleaner. It's a lot to take in,

0:20:32.359 --> 0:20:35.400
<v Speaker 3>and that's kind of the point. Each of these industry

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:39.200
<v Speaker 3>narratives builds on or intertwines with the next, which, according

0:20:39.240 --> 0:20:43.640
<v Speaker 3>to the industry's critics, complicates any effort required to challenge them.

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:48.000
<v Speaker 3>And while the arguments are pretty straightforward, Norwegian oil has

0:20:48.000 --> 0:20:51.320
<v Speaker 3>a lower production footprint than other imports, replacing coal with

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:55.200
<v Speaker 3>gas can reduce emissions, and Europe's current energy situation makes

0:20:55.200 --> 0:21:00.200
<v Speaker 3>Norwegian supply important. These strategic framings, as are experts of expan,

0:21:00.800 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 3>often present partial truths or short term solutions as evidence

0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 3>of alignment with climate goals, but seen through the lens

0:21:08.720 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 3>of the oil myths and the petroganda narratives we've heard

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 3>about from expert observers and voices critical of oil industry rhetoric.

0:21:15.800 --> 0:21:19.119
<v Speaker 3>Such communication seems to reinforce a story that makes fossil

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:25.280
<v Speaker 3>fuels seem necessary, acceptable, and even beneficial, while obscuring broader

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:28.880
<v Speaker 3>context and the structural challenges of a full energy transition.

0:21:29.760 --> 0:21:32.479
<v Speaker 3>So we now have a better understanding of the logic

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:35.680
<v Speaker 3>behind the communication coming out of NOI's fossil fuel industry,

0:21:36.160 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 3>much of which seems to rest on this idea or

0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:42.440
<v Speaker 3>myth of climate friendly oil. I was curious to learn

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.239
<v Speaker 3>more about this, so I asked Cilia ask Lundberg from

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:49.359
<v Speaker 3>research and advocacy organization oil Change International for her take.

0:21:49.800 --> 0:21:52.679
<v Speaker 6>We've had so many different slogans that are connected to

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:56.160
<v Speaker 6>how we frame it. It's like, it's the green oil, it's

0:21:56.160 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 6>the climate friendly oil. Now it's the democratic oil. So

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 6>it just keeps on filling it with all of these

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:06.520
<v Speaker 6>wonderful words, basically just to be able to continue to

0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:10.280
<v Speaker 6>say that we should be the last country on Earth

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:13.160
<v Speaker 6>to produce oil and gas, which is like the narrative

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.480
<v Speaker 6>that is being built by the industry, and unfortunately that

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:18.880
<v Speaker 6>is accepted by a lot of politicians.

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:23.639
<v Speaker 3>Indeed, many politicians, including the Norwegian Minister for Climate and

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:27.280
<v Speaker 3>the Environment, have repeated these lines about climate friendly oil,

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:31.119
<v Speaker 3>and all of Anakharan's so called myths can be identified

0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:34.919
<v Speaker 3>in the Norwegian government's recent climate strategy, alongside a number

0:22:34.920 --> 0:22:38.680
<v Speaker 3>of Drilled media's petroganda narratives discussed in the previous episode.

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:42.800
<v Speaker 3>Tocillia's point and echoing an Catherine Vorga from off Shore

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 3>Norway's position. In an interview with The New York Times,

0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:49.919
<v Speaker 3>Prime Minister of Norway Jonas Garstura said, I believe that

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:52.840
<v Speaker 3>the change here will have to come from the demand side,

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:56.399
<v Speaker 3>and it cannot be by having political decisions to cut

0:22:56.480 --> 0:23:00.320
<v Speaker 3>the supply side. I asked Oslo based author, journalist and

0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 3>climate data expert Catan Joshi what he thinks about this

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:05.120
<v Speaker 3>kind of reasoning.

0:23:05.520 --> 0:23:09.240
<v Speaker 7>Something that's important to note is that countries that supply

0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:11.919
<v Speaker 7>a large amount of fossil fuels to other places in

0:23:11.960 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 7>the world are very emotionally centered on making sure that

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:20.920
<v Speaker 7>people burn those fossil fuels. We as a country that

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 7>supplies fossil fuels, frame ourselves as passive or somewhat neutral.

0:23:26.480 --> 0:23:29.680
<v Speaker 7>We just happen to have been born on top of

0:23:30.080 --> 0:23:32.920
<v Speaker 7>a whole bunch of oil and gas, and it's therefore

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 7>our neutral and unbiased responsibility to pick it up out

0:23:37.000 --> 0:23:40.000
<v Speaker 7>of the ground and transfer it elsewhere. What happens in

0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 7>reality is that when you are invested in supplying fossil fuels,

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 7>you will go out of your way to come up

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 7>with stories and lines of argument that encourage people to

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:53.399
<v Speaker 7>burn them. A nice example, of course, has been the

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 7>energy crisis in Europe. Russia invaded a neighboring country, and

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:01.240
<v Speaker 7>as a consequence, a lot of the countries in Europe

0:24:01.240 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 7>that buy its gas products decided to try and reduce that.

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 7>Norway stepped up and said, hey, don't worry about all

0:24:08.640 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 7>the electrification and the demand reduction and energy efficiency. Just

0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 7>swap it out with Norwegian gas instead. We can supply

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 7>it. It's all good. And then we take that argument and

0:24:20.359 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 7>say we are providing energy security where the real energy

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:28.920
<v Speaker 7>security for Europe would have been reducing reliance on important fuels.

0:24:29.520 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 7>And so not only are we compelled to tell the

0:24:33.600 --> 0:24:36.439
<v Speaker 7>world different ways that they can feel good about burning

0:24:36.440 --> 0:24:39.520
<v Speaker 7>our products, we feel proud about it. We sort of

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:41.840
<v Speaker 7>present it as if we're sort of doing a heroic

0:24:41.880 --> 0:24:44.320
<v Speaker 7>thing for the rest of the world. This is the

0:24:44.320 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 7>headspace of the fossil fuel exporterer. It's a line of

0:24:47.640 --> 0:24:52.720
<v Speaker 7>argument that allows the maintenance of prolonged fossil fuel extraction.

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:56.800
<v Speaker 3>Katan believes that, as we've discussed in the previous episode,

0:24:57.000 --> 0:25:01.480
<v Speaker 3>Norway's leaders are prone to motivated reasoning, finding any justification

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.919
<v Speaker 3>they can for continuing business as usual. Along with the

0:25:04.960 --> 0:25:08.800
<v Speaker 3>personal and political benefits it brings. The so called myths

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:11.959
<v Speaker 3>that Anakhar and Satha described, like the idea of climate

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:16.520
<v Speaker 3>friendly oil, become particularly powerful in this context. They aren't

0:25:16.560 --> 0:25:21.240
<v Speaker 3>just stories, they're convenient frames of reference, offering leaders information

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 3>that allows them to defend the path they're already on board.

0:25:25.080 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 3>Land from the University of Oslo's Oil and Society Research

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 3>Network illustrates how this plays out. He describes how projections

0:25:32.160 --> 0:25:34.360
<v Speaker 3>of falling oil and gas demand, like the ones Zan

0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:37.200
<v Speaker 3>Catharine Voger invoked to reassure me that the industry is

0:25:37.240 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 3>simply walking at the pace of European needs, can be

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:44.239
<v Speaker 3>weaponized by different actors to reinforce the very narratives that

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:45.399
<v Speaker 3>keep drilling going.

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:48.000
<v Speaker 2>If you look at the projections for future oil and

0:25:48.000 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 2>gas production, they show a quite significant decline over the

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 2>next twenty to thirty years. Those figures are used very

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 2>differently by different actors in the political scene. So some

0:25:57.520 --> 0:25:59.879
<v Speaker 2>would point to them and say this, I guest thing

0:25:59.920 --> 0:26:02.080
<v Speaker 2>is it's not really a problem because it's going to

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 2>fix itself over time, So why bother discussing phase outdates.

0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:08.600
<v Speaker 2>But then at the same time, the oil industry and

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:11.679
<v Speaker 2>the Ministry of Energy are using those same numbers and

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 2>forecasts to argue, Look, we need to work to keep

0:26:14.359 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 2>production going. We need more exploration, we need tax incentives,

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:20.440
<v Speaker 2>we need all of these new things to avoid this decline.

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:24.000
<v Speaker 3>Board explains how some actors use these figures to downplay

0:26:24.040 --> 0:26:27.240
<v Speaker 3>the urgency of policies to curb fossil fuel extraction, while

0:26:27.320 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 3>others use them to justify continued exploration and subsidies, ultimately

0:26:32.080 --> 0:26:35.920
<v Speaker 3>to develop the industry rather than dismantle it, which brings

0:26:36.000 --> 0:26:38.280
<v Speaker 3>us to the only so called oil myth. We've yet

0:26:38.320 --> 0:26:41.280
<v Speaker 3>to dig into the idea that the oil industry is

0:26:41.400 --> 0:26:44.840
<v Speaker 3>vital to enabling the green transition. A key piece of

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:48.520
<v Speaker 3>the puzzle here is carbon capture and storage or CCS,

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:51.800
<v Speaker 3>the fossil fuel industry's effort to suck CO two out

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:54.919
<v Speaker 3>of the air and lock it deep underground. Let's hear

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:59.000
<v Speaker 3>from Offshore Norway's climate policy manager again and Catherine Vorga

0:26:59.080 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 3>about carbon cap in storage and how it works in practice.

0:27:03.160 --> 0:27:06.320
<v Speaker 5>The emissions from the use of both oil and gas

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:12.440
<v Speaker 5>are considerable and Norway has a particular responsibility for these emissions.

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:17.160
<v Speaker 5>I think a good example of Norway taking this responsibility

0:27:17.560 --> 0:27:20.800
<v Speaker 5>is Norway's contribution to the development of a value chain

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:25.440
<v Speaker 5>for C two capture and transportation and storage. The Novisian

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:28.960
<v Speaker 5>state has taken a majority of the investments and now

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:33.040
<v Speaker 5>the value chain is in place. CO two is captured

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:37.480
<v Speaker 5>and transported by ships to the Northern Lights receiving terminal,

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:40.399
<v Speaker 5>and then the CO two is transported by pipeline to

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:44.080
<v Speaker 5>a reservoir at a continental shelf and its story two

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:48.080
<v Speaker 5>thousand and six hundred meters under the seabed. Norway has

0:27:48.200 --> 0:27:50.919
<v Speaker 5>by this project paved the way for other CEO two

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:55.440
<v Speaker 5>capture and storage projects. The Northern Lights terminal is now

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:59.399
<v Speaker 5>actually expounding its capacity to five million ton z with

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:04.920
<v Speaker 5>finance she'll support from EU, and in addition, several storage

0:28:04.960 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 5>projects are underplanning in Norway. So it's a clear example

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 5>on how Norway takes the responsibility for their missions and

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 5>at the same time liverageure or technolological and geographical advantage.

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:24.639
<v Speaker 3>Despite this successful depiction of the Northern Lights project, it

0:28:24.720 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 3>wasn't until several weeks after our conversation that the very

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 3>first volumes of CO two an undisclosed amount, were injected

0:28:31.840 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 3>into the undersea reservoir associated with the initiative, So five

0:28:36.080 --> 0:28:39.400
<v Speaker 3>million tons a year. I asked Doan Catherine by when,

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 3>to which she answered that it would quote take some time. Indeed,

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:48.360
<v Speaker 3>in always climate and energy circles, ambition often outruns delivery.

0:28:48.800 --> 0:28:51.360
<v Speaker 3>Although the country is off track to meet its existing

0:28:51.400 --> 0:28:55.640
<v Speaker 3>decarbonization goals, earlier this year, Climate and Environment Minister Andre

0:28:55.800 --> 0:28:58.440
<v Speaker 3>s bl and Eriksson claimed that the most important thing

0:28:58.520 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 3>Norway could do for the climate was to set even

0:29:01.280 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 3>higher goals. Ketan Joshi has been following Norway's progress closely.

0:29:05.880 --> 0:29:08.960
<v Speaker 3>He's also been analyzing the development of carbon capture and

0:29:09.000 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 3>storage for several years, and, based on his findings, like

0:29:12.680 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 3>many others, believes this technology serves only to prolong society's

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:17.680
<v Speaker 3>reliance on fossil fuels.

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 7>Norway is held up as a global example of ccs' success,

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 7>but the percentage of our emissions that CCS avoids keeps

0:29:25.240 --> 0:29:28.240
<v Speaker 7>getting smaller and smaller every year. And the reason is

0:29:28.280 --> 0:29:31.080
<v Speaker 7>that CCS stays small in the amount that we extract

0:29:31.080 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 7>in cell keeps increasing.

0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 3>Katan calls CCS a quote false promise, essentially that the

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 3>idea that a single technology could erase all of our

0:29:40.920 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 3>emissions is so enticing that we cling to it even

0:29:44.160 --> 0:29:47.640
<v Speaker 3>as real progress remains slow. The longer we hold on,

0:29:48.000 --> 0:29:50.280
<v Speaker 3>the more the incumbent powers of the oil and gas

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 3>industry benefit from business as usual, all while the climate

0:29:54.040 --> 0:29:57.280
<v Speaker 3>crisis grows more urgent. To me, it seems a bit

0:29:57.400 --> 0:30:00.400
<v Speaker 3>like clinging to a balloon As it rises higher. The

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:04.160
<v Speaker 3>hope seems real, but the distance to the ground only widens,

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 3>and you can only hold on for so long. Despite

0:30:07.240 --> 0:30:10.480
<v Speaker 3>the lack of progress, though, Katan notes one benefit Norway

0:30:10.520 --> 0:30:12.840
<v Speaker 3>gains from its work with CCS.

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:17.080
<v Speaker 7>That helps maintain our self image of being a green country.

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:21.400
<v Speaker 3>According to our experts, all these myths are used to

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:25.360
<v Speaker 3>justify the growth of Norway's oil industry and duplicate its

0:30:25.400 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 3>people into oil positivity while boosting that self image as

0:30:29.400 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 3>a green country. But critics contend that yet another myth

0:30:33.320 --> 0:30:36.200
<v Speaker 3>that Norway needs oil to remain rich and maintain the

0:30:36.200 --> 0:30:40.400
<v Speaker 3>welfare system plays a part here too, indeed, and Catherine

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 3>Vorga explained that oil revenues help grow the Oil Fund

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 3>for the benefit of the annual state budget and the

0:30:46.160 --> 0:30:50.880
<v Speaker 3>Norwegian welfare system. But here again commentators shed some doubt

0:30:51.400 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 3>the idea that Norway needs more oil to remain wealthy,

0:30:54.480 --> 0:30:57.600
<v Speaker 3>and according to anakhar And Sather, project manager at the

0:30:57.600 --> 0:31:01.240
<v Speaker 3>Norwegian Climate Foundation, the long stand notion that Norway was

0:31:01.320 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 3>poor before oil and gas are two of the major

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 3>misconceptions Norwegians hold about their wealth. Let's hear more from

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 3>Anna Karn about Norway's economic situation before the oil boom.

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:17.480
<v Speaker 4>I think most Norwegians there are quite aware that we

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:22.000
<v Speaker 4>became richer because of oil and gas, and some people

0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 4>even think that we were poor before, and that goes

0:31:26.800 --> 0:31:32.400
<v Speaker 4>from lots of politicians to the crown princesses and others.

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:37.760
<v Speaker 4>Talking to people abroad or the discussions in Norway is

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:40.880
<v Speaker 4>often about that that the oil and gas revenue kind

0:31:40.920 --> 0:31:45.719
<v Speaker 4>of saved us. But that's not really the fact. We

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:49.160
<v Speaker 4>did become richer because of oil and gas, but we

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:53.000
<v Speaker 4>were already number ten on the list of the richest

0:31:53.080 --> 0:31:56.800
<v Speaker 4>countries in the world before we found oil and gas.

0:31:57.320 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 4>We had timber. We had hydropower, shipping, huge marriage sector,

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:08.800
<v Speaker 4>growing industry, lots of other activities that actually made us

0:32:09.040 --> 0:32:14.080
<v Speaker 4>fairly rich before we found oil. So that's a problem

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:18.520
<v Speaker 4>with the perception among most Norwegians, I think, and that

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:25.040
<v Speaker 4>legitimize further exploration. Unfortunately, so in contrast to the mainstream

0:32:25.120 --> 0:32:28.520
<v Speaker 4>notion that Norway was poor before it struck oil, Anakaran

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:32.240
<v Speaker 4>claims the country was actually pretty wealthy. The rags to

0:32:32.320 --> 0:32:35.400
<v Speaker 4>riches story, though, which ties wonderfully into the sense of

0:32:35.440 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 4>Norway being the clever underdog from those folk tales we

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:42.960
<v Speaker 4>discussed in episode one, is now deeply entrenched and according

0:32:43.000 --> 0:32:46.400
<v Speaker 4>to our experts, it shapes people's fears about and even

0:32:46.400 --> 0:32:50.719
<v Speaker 4>their inability to consider the end of Norwegian oil and gas.

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:53.400
<v Speaker 4>Let's hear a bit more from Anna Karan and the

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 4>gap between the perception and reality of Norwegian wealth. We

0:32:57.240 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 4>did a study among Norwegians and we found that two

0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:03.600
<v Speaker 4>out of three think we have to do more exploration

0:33:03.800 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 4>in order to have a proper welfare system. Where our

0:33:07.400 --> 0:33:11.760
<v Speaker 4>work now in the Norwich Climate Foundation, we got some

0:33:12.200 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 4>really good economists to do a study for us, and

0:33:16.080 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 4>we ask them what will further exploration for more oil

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:24.000
<v Speaker 4>and gas mean for the welfare system in the years ahead,

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:29.160
<v Speaker 4>and they said, after this long report, not really much,

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 4>because we have the oil fund and that will grow

0:33:32.480 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 4>almost no matter what. The oil fund now is just

0:33:36.920 --> 0:33:41.320
<v Speaker 4>as much money money as oil money, and we only

0:33:41.400 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 4>take out a few percent each year, so it doesn't

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 4>really matter. They say that the place we would have

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:52.800
<v Speaker 4>been in twenty forty nine, we can be in twenty

0:33:52.920 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 4>fifty when it comes to welfare without further exploration. But

0:33:57.680 --> 0:34:02.360
<v Speaker 4>this is a surprise to Norwegians. And when we have

0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:06.760
<v Speaker 4>this Semini in Stavangna presenting this study, there was even

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:10.400
<v Speaker 4>one guide saying that I don't believe this number. I

0:34:10.440 --> 0:34:13.600
<v Speaker 4>don't believe this study. But that doesn't really matter because

0:34:13.640 --> 0:34:16.160
<v Speaker 4>it's the facts.

0:34:15.760 --> 0:34:19.120
<v Speaker 3>To Anakharin's point that Norway doesn't actually need new oil

0:34:19.160 --> 0:34:23.440
<v Speaker 3>revenue to remain wealthy. Yence Stoltenberg, current Norwegian Minister of

0:34:23.480 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 3>Finance and former head of NATO, confirmed in an interview

0:34:27.000 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 3>with NRK, the National radio that oil money isn't actually

0:34:31.000 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 3>spent at all. He said, quote, I often say, and

0:34:35.680 --> 0:34:38.760
<v Speaker 3>many others say, that we use oil money. The truth

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:41.839
<v Speaker 3>is that we don't really spend oil money. We have

0:34:41.880 --> 0:34:45.359
<v Speaker 3>spent zero oil money since two thousand and one. What

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:48.839
<v Speaker 3>we use is financial income, the return of the oil

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:51.959
<v Speaker 3>revenues we have saved, and as long as we stay

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:55.960
<v Speaker 3>within that then this fund can last forever end quote.

0:34:56.400 --> 0:35:01.360
<v Speaker 3>So Norway's wealth isn't at risk even without new oil.

0:35:01.520 --> 0:35:04.040
<v Speaker 3>If we reflect on the petroganda narrative of having to

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:07.359
<v Speaker 3>choose between the economy or the environment, then we see

0:35:07.360 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 3>how Norwegians may be being presented with a false dilemma. Yet,

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:14.480
<v Speaker 3>earlier this summer, the Norwegian government opened for the largest

0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:17.719
<v Speaker 3>ever offering of potential oil and gas areas, with an

0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:21.120
<v Speaker 3>emphasis on the Arctic waters of the Barren Sea. In

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:24.800
<v Speaker 3>the face of such continued expansion of the industry, anakhar

0:35:24.840 --> 0:35:28.600
<v Speaker 3>and Star that explains that whether fossil fuel companies, politicians

0:35:28.719 --> 0:35:31.279
<v Speaker 3>or the Norwegian public want to acknowledge it or not,

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:35.840
<v Speaker 3>rising risks, regulatory pressures and the worsening impacts of climate

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:38.799
<v Speaker 3>change are coming, and they won't wait for the narratives

0:35:38.840 --> 0:35:39.520
<v Speaker 3>to catch up.

0:35:40.000 --> 0:35:42.839
<v Speaker 4>So that are also some facts that they have to

0:35:43.000 --> 0:35:43.600
<v Speaker 4>get used to.

0:35:43.880 --> 0:35:47.920
<v Speaker 3>Unfortunately, with the growing sense that norways entrenched dependence on

0:35:48.000 --> 0:35:51.080
<v Speaker 3>oil and gas is approaching its limits, the question becomes

0:35:51.120 --> 0:35:54.520
<v Speaker 3>not if, but how the country will navigate this challenge.

0:35:54.760 --> 0:35:57.879
<v Speaker 2>Much of the political approach at the moment is to

0:35:57.960 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 2>just keep saying that we want to develop the industry,

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:03.000
<v Speaker 2>we want to maintain it into the future.

0:36:03.440 --> 0:36:06.360
<v Speaker 3>That's Bored Land from the University of Oslo, again reflecting

0:36:06.360 --> 0:36:09.480
<v Speaker 3>on politicians' reluctance to prepare for the end of Norwegian

0:36:09.480 --> 0:36:10.200
<v Speaker 3>oil and gas.

0:36:10.560 --> 0:36:13.920
<v Speaker 2>That's problematic whether it succeeds or not, because if it succeeds,

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 2>it's of course prolonging the oil age, and that's problematic

0:36:16.640 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 2>for climate reasons. If it doesn't succeed, then we're kind

0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:22.360
<v Speaker 2>of fooling ourselves into not dealing with the problems that

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:25.480
<v Speaker 2>we're facing when this industry is declining. One thing that

0:36:25.520 --> 0:36:28.439
<v Speaker 2>would help a lot would be to get a more

0:36:28.520 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 2>widespread acceptance that we are nearing the end of the

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.600
<v Speaker 2>Norwegian oil and gas age, that we are on a

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 2>declining path.

0:36:37.560 --> 0:36:41.360
<v Speaker 3>Board argues that if efforts to sustain production succeed, it

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:45.480
<v Speaker 3>extends the oil age, harming the climate, while if they fail,

0:36:45.760 --> 0:36:49.759
<v Speaker 3>it delays confronting the challenges of a declining industry. He

0:36:49.880 --> 0:36:52.960
<v Speaker 3>suggests a more realistic acknowledgment of this decline would shift

0:36:53.000 --> 0:36:56.400
<v Speaker 3>policy towards managing a planned phase out of the industry

0:36:56.760 --> 0:36:59.200
<v Speaker 3>rather than trying to maintain it indefinitely.

0:36:59.520 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 2>We need a strategy for the final phase of the

0:37:03.480 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 2>region oil and gas production.

0:37:05.239 --> 0:37:08.360
<v Speaker 3>A clear strategy could not only guide noway through this shift,

0:37:08.520 --> 0:37:11.760
<v Speaker 3>but also help prepare the oil industry workforce for the future.

0:37:12.320 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 3>As we noted in the first episode, many Norwegians personally

0:37:16.040 --> 0:37:18.960
<v Speaker 3>know people working in the industry, and commentators point out

0:37:19.040 --> 0:37:21.759
<v Speaker 3>that one of the industry's regular defenses against phasing out

0:37:21.760 --> 0:37:24.719
<v Speaker 3>operations is the perceived size of the workforce and the

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:28.320
<v Speaker 3>number of jobs that could be lost. To explore this issue,

0:37:28.480 --> 0:37:31.879
<v Speaker 3>let's hear from Cillia ask Lundberg from Oil Change International.

0:37:32.440 --> 0:37:35.839
<v Speaker 6>For those people working there, that of course will be

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:38.880
<v Speaker 6>a very big thing, but that is not an excuse

0:37:38.920 --> 0:37:41.399
<v Speaker 6>to not do anything, and you can meet that if

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:44.400
<v Speaker 6>you plan for it. You can meet that with policies

0:37:44.640 --> 0:37:50.120
<v Speaker 6>so you can shift them or transition them into other jobs.

0:37:50.440 --> 0:37:53.120
<v Speaker 6>But one of their old big issues in Norway is

0:37:53.160 --> 0:37:55.719
<v Speaker 6>that there is no will to try to plan for this,

0:37:56.360 --> 0:38:00.279
<v Speaker 6>or to even try to start imagining a world without

0:38:00.040 --> 0:38:02.800
<v Speaker 6>out continued Norwegian oil and gas production.

0:38:03.680 --> 0:38:07.000
<v Speaker 3>Interestingly, in connection with the oil price drop between twenty

0:38:07.200 --> 0:38:11.239
<v Speaker 3>fourteen and twenty sixteen, many thousands of workers left the

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 3>Norwegian oil industry, but according to Christopher Berger, senior advisor

0:38:15.520 --> 0:38:19.400
<v Speaker 3>at Statistics Norway, most found jobs in other sectors within

0:38:19.440 --> 0:38:23.200
<v Speaker 3>a year. My understanding then is that a well managed

0:38:23.200 --> 0:38:27.000
<v Speaker 3>transition could ease the impact on the workforce. Yet with

0:38:27.120 --> 0:38:29.680
<v Speaker 3>little planning for a final phase of oil and gas,

0:38:30.040 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 3>the government risks failing the very people as long celebrated

0:38:33.640 --> 0:38:39.160
<v Speaker 3>as heroes. Meanwhile, public opinion is moving ahead of politicians.

0:38:39.200 --> 0:38:43.040
<v Speaker 3>Sillier notes that polls show how Norwegians are increasingly supportive

0:38:43.080 --> 0:38:46.200
<v Speaker 3>of measures to limit fossil fuel expansion, a shift that

0:38:46.280 --> 0:38:48.080
<v Speaker 3>leaves policymakers.

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:48.239
<v Speaker 7>Playing catch up.

0:38:48.760 --> 0:38:53.360
<v Speaker 6>We are seeing that that realization is beginning to happen

0:38:53.400 --> 0:38:56.000
<v Speaker 6>to more and more Norwegians, more and more borders are

0:38:56.040 --> 0:38:59.759
<v Speaker 6>starting to ask for more restrictive policy for the oil

0:38:59.800 --> 0:39:00.680
<v Speaker 6>and gas industry.

0:39:01.239 --> 0:39:04.319
<v Speaker 3>Cilia shared that according to recent polling, more than half

0:39:04.360 --> 0:39:07.200
<v Speaker 3>of Norwegian voters are against oil and gas production in

0:39:07.280 --> 0:39:10.280
<v Speaker 3>areas that are important for the fishing industry and against

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:13.720
<v Speaker 3>oil and gas production in Arctic waters, and even believes

0:39:13.719 --> 0:39:16.440
<v Speaker 3>that Norway should stop looking for more oil and gas.

0:39:17.080 --> 0:39:20.759
<v Speaker 3>Despite this rising public opposition to new oil and gas activities,

0:39:21.160 --> 0:39:24.439
<v Speaker 3>especially in sensitive Arctic areas like the Barren Sea, which

0:39:24.440 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 3>we just heard was central to the recent government exploration offering,

0:39:28.239 --> 0:39:30.960
<v Speaker 3>the government continues to push for expansion.

0:39:31.280 --> 0:39:35.160
<v Speaker 6>The major obstacle in Norway are the major political parties.

0:39:35.320 --> 0:39:38.080
<v Speaker 6>If you look at the Labor Party, the Conservative Parties

0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:41.640
<v Speaker 6>and the Progress Party, those three parties are very much

0:39:41.680 --> 0:39:45.200
<v Speaker 6>a favor of continuing to explore for more oil and gas,

0:39:45.600 --> 0:39:49.160
<v Speaker 6>so they are at odds with the majority of Norwegian borders.

0:39:49.840 --> 0:39:53.760
<v Speaker 3>Cilia believes the issue is Norway's politicians, who she claims

0:39:53.840 --> 0:39:55.840
<v Speaker 3>remain under the spell of the industry.

0:39:56.360 --> 0:39:59.759
<v Speaker 6>I think this shows how strong a grip the oil

0:39:59.800 --> 0:40:05.239
<v Speaker 6>and gas industry have over Norwegian politics and how implemented

0:40:05.280 --> 0:40:08.560
<v Speaker 6>those narratives that we've been talking about are also in

0:40:08.600 --> 0:40:12.520
<v Speaker 6>the minds of the politicians. Europe needs energy now, but

0:40:12.640 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 6>Europe is on a path of getting rid of their gas.

0:40:16.320 --> 0:40:19.359
<v Speaker 6>They're starting with the Russian gas, but they're not ending there.

0:40:20.000 --> 0:40:23.560
<v Speaker 6>Norway is now planning on expanding and producing way more

0:40:23.840 --> 0:40:26.399
<v Speaker 6>than what the EU is asking for.

0:40:27.280 --> 0:40:30.640
<v Speaker 3>Just as bord Lain explained earlier, Cilia shares how Norway's

0:40:30.640 --> 0:40:34.080
<v Speaker 3>political leaders are incapable of even addressing the idea of

0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:37.880
<v Speaker 3>a Norway after oil, fixated instead on the rhetoric of

0:40:37.920 --> 0:40:40.920
<v Speaker 3>the industry, much of which we've heard throughout this and

0:40:41.000 --> 0:40:42.239
<v Speaker 3>the previous episode.

0:40:42.440 --> 0:40:45.480
<v Speaker 6>If you try to talk to a labor politician or

0:40:45.520 --> 0:40:50.720
<v Speaker 6>a conservative politician about trying to plan for Norway post oil,

0:40:51.040 --> 0:40:55.000
<v Speaker 6>the conversation just stops. They are not interested at all,

0:40:55.080 --> 0:40:58.960
<v Speaker 6>and I think what drives them is fear. They are

0:40:59.360 --> 0:41:03.480
<v Speaker 6>afraid because that would mean that they do something a

0:41:03.520 --> 0:41:06.360
<v Speaker 6>bit new and unheard of in Norway, which is stand

0:41:06.440 --> 0:41:09.040
<v Speaker 6>up to the oil and gas industry. So then it's

0:41:09.080 --> 0:41:10.960
<v Speaker 6>easier to just do nothing.

0:41:12.000 --> 0:41:15.520
<v Speaker 3>According to Cilia, the disconnect between political decisions and the

0:41:15.560 --> 0:41:18.440
<v Speaker 3>majority of view is not only frustrating for a growing

0:41:18.480 --> 0:41:22.840
<v Speaker 3>number of citizens, it's also affecting how Norway is perceived internationally.

0:41:23.160 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 6>When you have international criticism of Norway asa oil and

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:31.160
<v Speaker 6>Gas major, if the Financial Times write about it or

0:41:31.239 --> 0:41:33.920
<v Speaker 6>the Guardian, that ends up being headline used in Norway

0:41:33.960 --> 0:41:36.880
<v Speaker 6>as well in terms of like, wow, we're getting criticized.

0:41:37.080 --> 0:41:41.040
<v Speaker 6>Governments in other nations have been very afraid to criticize

0:41:41.320 --> 0:41:45.239
<v Speaker 6>governments like Norway, but it looks like that might be

0:41:45.280 --> 0:41:47.040
<v Speaker 6>starting to shift a bit.

0:41:48.320 --> 0:41:50.560
<v Speaker 3>Governments of other countries might be warming up to the

0:41:50.600 --> 0:41:54.040
<v Speaker 3>idea of criticizing Norway, but citizens around the world are

0:41:54.080 --> 0:41:57.520
<v Speaker 3>already on the case. Campaigns like Fight for the Bite

0:41:57.560 --> 0:42:01.319
<v Speaker 3>in Australia mobilized thousands against Quinor's plans to drill in

0:42:01.360 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 3>a highly sensitive marine area, attracting international media attention and

0:42:05.680 --> 0:42:09.920
<v Speaker 3>ultimately prompting the company to withdraw. Similarly, the Stop Willow

0:42:09.960 --> 0:42:13.160
<v Speaker 3>campaign in Canada has sought to halt Equinor's development of

0:42:13.200 --> 0:42:17.640
<v Speaker 3>oil in Arctic waters, raising concerns over environmental impact and

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:22.160
<v Speaker 3>indigenous rights, and in the UK, the ongoing Stop Rosebank

0:42:22.200 --> 0:42:26.239
<v Speaker 3>campaign challenges Equinor's plans to exploit the country's largest undeveloped

0:42:26.280 --> 0:42:29.400
<v Speaker 3>oil field. While outrage from the energy town game discussed

0:42:29.400 --> 0:42:32.719
<v Speaker 3>in the previous episode only adds to the negativity, these

0:42:32.840 --> 0:42:36.719
<v Speaker 3>high profile campaigns and criticisms call out both Equinor and

0:42:36.960 --> 0:42:41.040
<v Speaker 3>Norway directly, increasingly framing the country as a climate offender

0:42:41.440 --> 0:42:44.600
<v Speaker 3>rather than a climate leader. Anakhar and Satha from the

0:42:44.600 --> 0:42:48.239
<v Speaker 3>Norwegian Climate Foundation agrees that Nou's reputation in the international

0:42:48.280 --> 0:42:49.440
<v Speaker 3>scene is suffering.

0:42:49.960 --> 0:42:55.200
<v Speaker 4>I think our reputation has gotten pretty much worse, especially

0:42:55.400 --> 0:42:59.960
<v Speaker 4>since Russian full scale invasion of Ukraine in two thousand

0:43:00.400 --> 0:43:03.879
<v Speaker 4>and twenty two, because now people start talking, at least

0:43:03.920 --> 0:43:08.320
<v Speaker 4>in Brussels and EU countries, that we have been profiting

0:43:08.560 --> 0:43:13.000
<v Speaker 4>from the war and the high gas prices, and when

0:43:13.200 --> 0:43:17.960
<v Speaker 4>people in Europe they've had an energy price crisis and

0:43:18.200 --> 0:43:21.600
<v Speaker 4>someone took those money that they have been paying out

0:43:21.680 --> 0:43:24.960
<v Speaker 4>of their pockets and that was us. So we're not

0:43:25.239 --> 0:43:27.600
<v Speaker 4>that big a hero any longer, I think.

0:43:28.120 --> 0:43:31.240
<v Speaker 3>As Norway faces scrutiny on the international stage in response

0:43:31.280 --> 0:43:35.200
<v Speaker 3>to Equinor's activities, the government and industry often respond by

0:43:35.200 --> 0:43:39.279
<v Speaker 3>emphasizing the careful planning, strategy and adherence to facts that

0:43:39.400 --> 0:43:43.080
<v Speaker 3>underpin their actions. Framing their conduct in this way ensures

0:43:43.080 --> 0:43:47.000
<v Speaker 3>it appears rational and evidence based, even as critics point

0:43:47.040 --> 0:43:51.000
<v Speaker 3>to the widening gap between words and outcomes. And Catherine

0:43:51.040 --> 0:43:55.160
<v Speaker 3>Vorga from Offshore Norway reflects this approach, highlighting the importance

0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:59.400
<v Speaker 3>of grounding decisions in evidence and demonstrating tangible action.

0:44:00.400 --> 0:44:05.040
<v Speaker 5>That laws, regulations and policies are established based on facts

0:44:05.840 --> 0:44:10.880
<v Speaker 5>and the deep understanding of the different aspects and the consequences.

0:44:11.200 --> 0:44:14.480
<v Speaker 5>For me, it's the most important thing is actually what

0:44:14.680 --> 0:44:17.840
<v Speaker 5>we do and to demonstrate what we do, to have

0:44:17.960 --> 0:44:21.600
<v Speaker 5>a clear strategy and set the clear targets. And that's

0:44:21.640 --> 0:44:24.359
<v Speaker 5>why we have a strategy on a climate target now

0:44:24.400 --> 0:44:28.040
<v Speaker 5>to reduce the emissions, but also to contribute to more

0:44:28.080 --> 0:44:31.640
<v Speaker 5>offshore bind and reduce emission from the use of oil

0:44:31.680 --> 0:44:34.800
<v Speaker 5>and gas. So for me, in my position, the most

0:44:34.800 --> 0:44:36.719
<v Speaker 5>important thing is the actions.

0:44:37.520 --> 0:44:40.960
<v Speaker 3>Yet after listening to the wider picture, Norway is ongoing

0:44:40.960 --> 0:44:46.680
<v Speaker 3>oil expansion, growing public opinion against new drilling, international campaigns

0:44:46.719 --> 0:44:50.320
<v Speaker 3>calling out the country and its flagship companies, the glacial

0:44:50.400 --> 0:44:54.480
<v Speaker 3>progress of technological solutions like CCS and blue hydrogen, and

0:44:54.719 --> 0:44:58.120
<v Speaker 3>rollbacks of offshore wind targets by the industry's biggest players.

0:44:58.719 --> 0:45:02.280
<v Speaker 3>We have to ask whether tangible action is really taking

0:45:02.320 --> 0:45:05.560
<v Speaker 3>place here. But the real question, according to Catan Joshi,

0:45:05.920 --> 0:45:08.720
<v Speaker 3>is not where the plans exist or targets are set.

0:45:08.960 --> 0:45:12.560
<v Speaker 3>It's where the Norway is actually showing ambition, honesty and

0:45:12.600 --> 0:45:15.840
<v Speaker 3>giving its absolute best effort to achieve real world impact.

0:45:16.280 --> 0:45:20.440
<v Speaker 3>For him, climate credibility isn't a technical exercise. It's a

0:45:20.480 --> 0:45:24.040
<v Speaker 3>test of a country's metal, its intent, and its integrity

0:45:24.239 --> 0:45:25.440
<v Speaker 3>on the global stage.

0:45:25.880 --> 0:45:29.600
<v Speaker 7>There's been a really loud and somewhat nervous debate in

0:45:29.640 --> 0:45:33.880
<v Speaker 7>the climate community around targets. A country will set a

0:45:33.920 --> 0:45:37.280
<v Speaker 7>target and they kind of have to nominate what level

0:45:37.320 --> 0:45:40.120
<v Speaker 7>of the world heating up that they're aiming for, even

0:45:40.120 --> 0:45:43.160
<v Speaker 7>though the country alone doesn't decide it. You have to

0:45:43.280 --> 0:45:45.440
<v Speaker 7>kind of figure out the future that you're aligned to.

0:45:46.320 --> 0:45:48.840
<v Speaker 7>And what happened is in twenty fifteen around the Paris

0:45:48.840 --> 0:45:51.359
<v Speaker 7>Climate Agreement, a lot of country is decided that they

0:45:51.360 --> 0:45:55.279
<v Speaker 7>wanted to align with a planet that heats by one

0:45:55.280 --> 0:45:58.279
<v Speaker 7>point five degrees relative to what it was before the

0:45:58.400 --> 0:46:03.400
<v Speaker 7>industrial age, and this was sort of calculated as being

0:46:03.719 --> 0:46:06.680
<v Speaker 7>the highest ambition that you could have based on what

0:46:06.680 --> 0:46:09.120
<v Speaker 7>we knew at the time. In twenty fifteen, it's very

0:46:09.239 --> 0:46:12.239
<v Speaker 7>likely that we're going to pass that target level, and

0:46:12.640 --> 0:46:16.000
<v Speaker 7>there's been this almost anxious debate about what the next

0:46:16.280 --> 0:46:19.120
<v Speaker 7>number is going to be. Do we kind of just

0:46:19.160 --> 0:46:21.840
<v Speaker 7>do like a point five increment and go to two.

0:46:21.960 --> 0:46:26.080
<v Speaker 7>I like one point five zero one myself, But it's

0:46:26.080 --> 0:46:29.439
<v Speaker 7>a silly debate. What was really trying to be expressed there,

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:31.920
<v Speaker 7>And when you go back and look at the statements

0:46:31.960 --> 0:46:36.400
<v Speaker 7>from the nations, particularly the small island Pacific Nations, that

0:46:36.440 --> 0:46:39.600
<v Speaker 7>were the ones pushing for that target. Is they weren't

0:46:39.640 --> 0:46:43.320
<v Speaker 7>talking about a number. They were talking about the strength

0:46:43.440 --> 0:46:46.040
<v Speaker 7>and the will of action and the need to protect

0:46:46.120 --> 0:46:51.320
<v Speaker 7>human survival. They don't talk about emissions and global atmospheric modeling.

0:46:51.880 --> 0:46:54.319
<v Speaker 7>They were talking about something much more material, which is

0:46:54.360 --> 0:46:57.040
<v Speaker 7>whether or not people are trying their hardest to reduce emissions.

0:46:57.560 --> 0:46:59.479
<v Speaker 7>Is the line going up or is it going down?

0:46:59.880 --> 0:47:04.240
<v Speaker 7>Actually need to look at a country and determine whether

0:47:04.280 --> 0:47:07.040
<v Speaker 7>it has that feeling in its heart, is it actually

0:47:07.080 --> 0:47:09.719
<v Speaker 7>trying as hard as it possibly can to reduce emissions?

0:47:10.320 --> 0:47:13.040
<v Speaker 7>And you can actually determine this type of thing. Are

0:47:13.040 --> 0:47:15.520
<v Speaker 7>they cheating, are they using tricks? Are they being honest?

0:47:15.600 --> 0:47:19.200
<v Speaker 7>Are they being transparent? Are they taking risks? Are they

0:47:19.239 --> 0:47:23.320
<v Speaker 7>actually having successes that are surprising? All of these things,

0:47:23.400 --> 0:47:26.480
<v Speaker 7>With time and effort, you can cage and determine. It

0:47:26.560 --> 0:47:31.280
<v Speaker 7>takes accountability into this completely different space, a very emotional space.

0:47:31.520 --> 0:47:34.080
<v Speaker 7>But I think it's actually really important. And you compare

0:47:34.120 --> 0:47:36.560
<v Speaker 7>that with all of the calculations and the charts that

0:47:36.600 --> 0:47:38.759
<v Speaker 7>you want, right, because that's what I do, is that

0:47:38.920 --> 0:47:41.120
<v Speaker 7>I like doing, but I like to pair it with

0:47:41.200 --> 0:47:45.239
<v Speaker 7>an assessment of whether or not the hardest effort is

0:47:45.280 --> 0:47:46.320
<v Speaker 7>being applied.

0:47:45.960 --> 0:47:50.680
<v Speaker 3>To the problem, With politicians openly discussing the irrelevance of

0:47:50.719 --> 0:47:54.000
<v Speaker 3>oil to always continued wealth, failing to align with a

0:47:54.040 --> 0:47:57.920
<v Speaker 3>growing public discontent with fossil fuel activities, missing targets for

0:47:57.960 --> 0:48:01.640
<v Speaker 3>domestic climate measures, and bringing no clear strategy for the

0:48:01.640 --> 0:48:04.200
<v Speaker 3>final phase of Norwegian oil and gas to the table.

0:48:04.600 --> 0:48:07.480
<v Speaker 3>It raises serious questions about whether the Norway's leaders are

0:48:07.520 --> 0:48:11.239
<v Speaker 3>responding effectively to the concerns and long term interests of

0:48:11.320 --> 0:48:15.560
<v Speaker 3>their citizens. Reflecting on Catan's question, is the hardest effort

0:48:15.640 --> 0:48:19.120
<v Speaker 3>being applied to the problem in Norway's case, the evidence

0:48:19.160 --> 0:48:23.560
<v Speaker 3>seems to suggest that the answer is known. In this episode,

0:48:23.640 --> 0:48:26.840
<v Speaker 3>we tested the stories and the rhetoric against the facts.

0:48:27.200 --> 0:48:30.960
<v Speaker 3>What did we learn well? For starters, Norway wasn't poor

0:48:31.040 --> 0:48:33.600
<v Speaker 3>before oil and gas and is unlikely to be poor

0:48:33.719 --> 0:48:37.200
<v Speaker 3>after it. We heard how what might sound like common sense,

0:48:37.640 --> 0:48:42.120
<v Speaker 3>climate friendly oil colld to gas substitution economic and energy

0:48:42.160 --> 0:48:47.480
<v Speaker 3>security unravels under scrutiny, exposing strategies that risk driving fossil

0:48:47.480 --> 0:48:51.240
<v Speaker 3>fuel dependence for decades, and that while the industry promotes

0:48:51.320 --> 0:48:55.080
<v Speaker 3>actions over ambitions, it also puts its faith in as

0:48:55.160 --> 0:48:58.839
<v Speaker 3>yet unproven technologies to justify its worldview, which is then

0:48:58.960 --> 0:49:03.040
<v Speaker 3>amplified by Norway's politicians acting against the wishes of the

0:49:03.080 --> 0:49:07.239
<v Speaker 3>public majority. But these lines aren't just rhetoric in isolation.

0:49:07.760 --> 0:49:10.719
<v Speaker 3>Our experts argue that they provide the underlying logic that

0:49:10.800 --> 0:49:15.000
<v Speaker 3>politicians and the industry rely on to defend continued oil production.

0:49:15.480 --> 0:49:19.799
<v Speaker 3>They shape public understanding, influence policy debates, and reinforce the

0:49:19.840 --> 0:49:22.279
<v Speaker 3>idea that Norway can be both a major fossil fuel

0:49:22.320 --> 0:49:26.120
<v Speaker 3>producer and a climate leader, a paradox that continues to

0:49:26.160 --> 0:49:30.640
<v Speaker 3>guide communication strategies and political decision making. Next time, in

0:49:30.719 --> 0:49:33.640
<v Speaker 3>the final episode of The Black Thread, we'll look forward

0:49:33.880 --> 0:49:37.799
<v Speaker 3>into Norway's future. We'll explore the pressing need for imagining

0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:40.800
<v Speaker 3>how Norway and its people could support a truly green

0:49:40.920 --> 0:49:44.759
<v Speaker 3>and just energy transition, to create spaces for genuine, good

0:49:44.760 --> 0:49:48.120
<v Speaker 3>faith discussions about oil and climate, to realign the nation's

0:49:48.120 --> 0:49:52.360
<v Speaker 3>actions with its values, and potentially safeguard its international reputation

0:49:52.480 --> 0:49:56.640
<v Speaker 3>on climate related issues before it's too late. Thanks for listening,

0:49:56.920 --> 0:50:01.759
<v Speaker 3>and catch you next time. The Black Thread is a

0:50:01.760 --> 0:50:06.160
<v Speaker 3>collaboration between Communicating Climate Change and Klimaculetur. It was written

0:50:06.160 --> 0:50:10.080
<v Speaker 3>and narrated by dickon Bonvicstone produced and edited by lever

0:50:10.239 --> 0:50:14.760
<v Speaker 3>Solid Schulearud and the executive producer was vigdis Bonvickstone artwork

0:50:14.840 --> 0:50:18.600
<v Speaker 3>is by Anya Jimushkevich. For more information see the show

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:18.960
<v Speaker 3>notes