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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action boss. All right. Here we

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Speaker 2: got growing in job. I'm sitting up to cash stop.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate kabanity.

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Speaker 4: You want to pull.

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Speaker 5: And we are under way.

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Speaker 3: What's up, everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 3: your host, Chris Raybon, and this is your NFL Week

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Speaker 3: eleven betting preview. Today we're gonna build our Sunday six

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Speaker 3: pack of against the spread bets with the help, of course,

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Speaker 3: of my co host, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation,

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Speaker 3: Stucky Stuck. Good to see you get off the schneid

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Speaker 3: last week. Uh, nice week.

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Speaker 2: Hit your first two picks fit your total. Good week.

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Speaker 2: How you feeling. Yeah?

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Speaker 6: I could finally show up without beg on my face

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Speaker 6: for once. Yeah. Thursday night went well again with the Bengals.

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Speaker 6: That was a crazy game. Oh yeah, still an unacceptable

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Speaker 6: week for me because I bet the Jets probably the

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Speaker 6: worst bet I've made in the NFL in my life.

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Speaker 6: That was dominant. I can't figure out the Cardinals. The

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Speaker 6: Cardinals with one of the most dominant performances. Like that's

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Speaker 6: what the forty nine Ers game should have looked like.

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Speaker 6: Just like statistically, if you look at the box with

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Speaker 6: somehow the pot Nars only one by three. The Cardinals

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Speaker 6: were a wagon that was as humiliating of a loss

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Speaker 6: as you'll see every time they snapped the balls the

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Speaker 6: first down. Jets couldn't do anything. Last week the games

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Speaker 6: were so bad. Raven's Bengals was great, and then oh

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Speaker 6: my god, it was so boring on Sunday and Monday.

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Speaker 6: This week we got this game that we're talk on

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Speaker 6: a second, and then Chiefs Bills and Raven Steelers. So

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Speaker 6: three really good games. Because there's just almost half the

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Speaker 6: ASCs in a state of this array. Colts, Patriots, Browns, Jets, Titans, Jaguars, Raiders,

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Speaker 6: Like where are those teams headed right now? But this

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Speaker 6: week we get like three playoff caliber games, which I'm

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Speaker 6: excited for.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night Football, all.

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Speaker 3: Right, Let's start with Thursday Night football. Commanders at Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Eagles favored by three and a half. The total is

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Speaker 3: forty eight and a half. Looks like Washington's gonna be

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Speaker 3: without it's kicker, Austin Cybert again, Still no Marshaun Lattimore.

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Speaker 3: Philly looks like close to full strength. I think Devonte

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Speaker 3: Smith and got Her were both on the injury report,

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Speaker 3: but looks like they're gonna.

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Speaker 6: Go probably back to it left tackle.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I never this year with injuries until

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Speaker 3: I'm certain, you know, you know, you never know. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: we're this is about a twenty fourish hour twenty maybe

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Speaker 3: a little more than twenty four hours before kicks, so

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Speaker 3: we'll see about that. But yeah, you know, Philadelphia stuck.

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Speaker 3: You know, we talked about this team a few weeks

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Speaker 3: ago and I mentioned they kind of feel like a

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Speaker 3: sweeping giant and because their defense with those two rookie

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Speaker 3: corners has just starting to play lights out in that

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Speaker 3: Fangio scheme. Now, no one's really been able to slow

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Speaker 3: down Jayden Daniels. I mean, Pittsburgh you could say they did.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they gifted them a short field, but they

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Speaker 3: still scored twenty seven on them, So I'm not going

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Speaker 3: to count that as shutting them down. Do you think

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Speaker 3: this Eagle defense can get some stops against this Washington offense?

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Speaker 2: I think that's the first question.

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Speaker 6: You're starting to see some signs of the Commander's offense

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Speaker 6: just slowing down a bit. And they've played a really

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Speaker 6: easy schedule of defenses if you account for injuries too.

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Speaker 6: So they played a lot of teams that have got

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Speaker 6: some key injuries on defense, like the Bears. But I

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Speaker 6: mean last week against the Steelers, they didn't do much

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Speaker 6: in that game. Yeah, so yeah, there's more tape. Maybe

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Speaker 6: Cliff's starting to slow down as he usually does. I

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Speaker 6: think this Eagles defense is still undervalued in the market,

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Speaker 6: Like I think that they've reached out point where Fangio effect,

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Speaker 6: that learning curve has kind of flipped, and you could

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Speaker 6: say that the Eagles haven't really played anybody, right if

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Speaker 6: you look at their schedule too. I mean, this is

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Speaker 6: the problem with the NFL. You can make cases against

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Speaker 6: so many teams this year because there's been so many injuries.

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Speaker 6: There are so many bad teams. But the data point

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Speaker 6: that gives me a lot of confidence is the Bengals

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Speaker 6: one when they went to Sincy and they completely shut

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Speaker 6: down the Cincinnati offense on the road. I mean, since yeah,

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Speaker 6: under three yards per carry, Burrow through thirty seven times

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Speaker 6: for two hundred and twenty two yards, So that gives

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Speaker 6: me confidence that this defense is trending up. Both the

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Speaker 6: rookie corners are playing really well. I make this around

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Speaker 6: three and a half ish, by the way, like home

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Speaker 6: field advantage this year is playing around I don't know,

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Speaker 6: point seven point eight overall on average point again, small

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Speaker 6: sample size, but we know that it's going to be

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Speaker 6: trending down and that's where it's heading. My look here,

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Speaker 6: you know, I make it around three and a half.

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Speaker 6: I would lean Eagles just because I think that they're

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Speaker 6: healthier with AJ Brown. They're a different team. I mean

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Speaker 6: this is they're averaging thirty points per game with AJ Brown,

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Speaker 6: there's six to zero in those games, they're only averaging seventeen.

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Speaker 6: Without them, they're one and two. I would I would

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Speaker 6: definitely need three to play it. I think my look

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Speaker 6: here in this game is the under. It does hurt

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Speaker 6: that Latimore is not playing. He would be helpful against

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Speaker 6: Brown in particular, but I think this will be a

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Speaker 6: slower pace game, a run heavy game. And I just

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Speaker 6: mentioned one of the reasons I was on that Dallas

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Speaker 6: under last week because I thought the Eagles defense was undervalue.

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Speaker 6: And again injuries never worked. Everyone ended up playing in

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Speaker 6: that game, like all the receivers Yeah yeah a touchdown

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Speaker 6: or I yeah, dodride ceedee Lamb was in there. But

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Speaker 6: luckily they always could rush. Yeah, the game got got

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Speaker 6: shut down. Got a bit fortunate there. But yeah, I

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Speaker 6: think slower pace game, divisional game with big implications. I

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Speaker 6: think you could see both teams a bit tight early,

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Speaker 6: but the Washington defense is definitely playing better, and I

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Speaker 6: think that this Eagles defense will hold its own. So

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Speaker 6: I think that like the way that this game sets

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Speaker 6: up and how it's going to be played pace wise,

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Speaker 6: how rush heavy it'll be. And then you got to

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Speaker 6: take into account Washington's injuries along the offensive line. Not

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Speaker 6: sure what the statuses are. Who's going to go, but

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Speaker 6: they have a number of guys that are banged up.

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Speaker 6: Even if they do go might not be one hundred percent.

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Speaker 6: So the protection, which has been much better than ANTICI paided,

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Speaker 6: especially if they're down a couple of guys or up

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Speaker 6: front on a short week, that's not ideal. So that

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Speaker 6: could hurt the Washington offense. So yeah, forty eight and

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Speaker 6: a half divisional game outdoors, I think the I think, look,

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Speaker 6: here is the under Yeah.

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Speaker 3: It's kind of one of those games where you know,

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Speaker 3: I've been loving Philly, but at three and a half

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Speaker 3: it almost feels like you take Washington and at three

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Speaker 3: it feels like you take Philly. That's just kind of

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Speaker 3: how I would play it. I don't really see an

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Speaker 3: edge too big of an edge on either side.

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Speaker 2: I still want.

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Speaker 3: To see this Eagles defense go against this kind of offense.

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Speaker 3: You know, they went against at Joe Burrow offense, which

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Speaker 3: is very impressive, but it's not the quarterback's not moving

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Speaker 3: around like this, you know, because all your coverage. I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin, but after that, like, what are you wasting?

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Speaker 3: You know, it doesn't matter if you're lights out.

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Speaker 2: Against Noah Brown.

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Speaker 3: It's not how you know, unless you're the Chicago Bears,

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Speaker 3: you're not giving up a ton of production and Noah

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Speaker 3: Brown anyway, So this could still be a pretty close game.

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Speaker 3: But like you said, some of the things for Washington

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Speaker 3: are just kind of trending the wrong direction.

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Speaker 2: Like you're without your kicker, short week, Uh.

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Speaker 3: You're without some you know, your bull line is a

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Speaker 3: little banged up. These things just on a short week

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Speaker 3: for a young you know, team young offense, not the

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Speaker 3: not the greatest look, and why we and Lucas did

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Speaker 3: get a limited practice in and Soda COVID, so they all,

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Speaker 3: all all their tackles did practice on a limited basis

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Speaker 3: for what it's worth, so that that is a good sign.

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Speaker 3: But still, you know, kicker out still don't have that

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Speaker 3: ladder more help, and I still think this team is

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Speaker 3: due for more regression. So yeah, I probably lean under

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Speaker 3: as well. Don't like either side with the line at

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Speaker 3: three and a half. All right, let's go to the

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Speaker 3: week eleven Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: Thursday for action.

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Speaker 1: Let's crack open the Sunday six.

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Speaker 3: Pack picked up a couple of points on me last week,

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Speaker 3: so it's thirty six twenty two, but it's far from over.

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Speaker 3: You are up first this week and you had to

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Speaker 3: pick that I was gonna take, So why don't you

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Speaker 3: tell the listeners?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, last year around the side was down eleven, but

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Speaker 6: I don't want to catch you. I just want to

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Speaker 6: get hot and then yeah, you get hot again and

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Speaker 6: the show does well, So let's just both get hot.

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Speaker 6: I'm going to kick things off for the week eleven

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Speaker 6: Sunday six Pack with the Cleveland Browns plus one and

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Speaker 6: a half at the New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 5: Pro football's two superpowers renew their classic rivalry.

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Speaker 6: I mean, this has been one of the oddest injury years.

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Speaker 6: Did the amount the sheer amount of like key injuries,

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Speaker 6: but then just like which guys go and which guys

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Speaker 6: don't end up going? Very bizarre. Do you want to

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Speaker 6: know an injury report that I can have confidence in?

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Speaker 6: This week? The Cleveland Browns, you know, he's on the

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Speaker 6: injury report today at practice nobody no one zero, clean

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Speaker 6: mill of health, which is pretty amazing. In Week eleven,

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Speaker 6: defense obviously doesn't have j Okay their star linebackers on

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Speaker 6: IR and then they traded Zidarias to the Lions. But

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Speaker 6: other than that, they're fully healthy. They're coming off of

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Speaker 6: a buy should be healthier, just they had their secondary,

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Speaker 6: had some guys that have been banged up. Their offensive

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Speaker 6: line now fully healthy. Nick Chubb I think will really

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Speaker 6: benefit from the extended rest, and he was just kind

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Speaker 6: of ramping up to full speed. That's important because you

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Speaker 6: can run on this Saints team, and this is a

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Speaker 6: Saints team that is beat up. You want to talk

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Speaker 6: about an injury report, I mean, there's no receivers the

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Speaker 6: secondaries beat up. Maybe you've had some. You know, their

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Speaker 6: offensive line is that full strength. Talked about this last week,

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Speaker 6: and look, I had the Saints last week, figured they'd

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Speaker 6: come out with the new coach bump, with a ton

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Speaker 6: of energy and effort, and they did. But they also

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Speaker 6: got a bit fortunate in that game. You know, Coup

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Speaker 6: missed three field goals. You know they got a couple

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Speaker 6: other fourth down stops in their own territory. And how

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Speaker 6: sustainable is growing bombs to mvs, I'm not sure. And

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Speaker 6: the difference And one of the reasons that I was

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Speaker 6: on the Saints last week is I assumed Carr would

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Speaker 6: have time to make place, and he ultimately did because

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Speaker 6: the Falcons I just can't generate any pressure. Well, that

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Speaker 6: won't be the case here. You'll have a Browns team,

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Speaker 6: you know, top five in the league and pressure. Right,

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Speaker 6: this is a team You're gonna have Miles Garrett going

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Speaker 6: up against a rookie for most of the game. Car

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Speaker 6: is gonna be under pressure. Cars numbers when kept clean,

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Speaker 6: Verse under pressure night and day. And I mean, who's

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Speaker 6: he throwing to? Like, there's just not a lot of

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Speaker 6: options here. Brown's off the bye. I expect them to

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Speaker 6: be focused here. Why like there's seasons pretty much over.

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Speaker 6: It's Jamis going back to New Orleans. You know he's

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Speaker 6: gonna have this team fired up, but and look on,

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Speaker 6: they're gonna be able to get chubbed going. This Saints

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Speaker 6: defense is extremely vulnerable. You can attack them in various ways.

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Speaker 6: But I think the Browns will be able to get

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Speaker 6: their run game going, which will set up the pass

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Speaker 6: for Jamis. You just have to hope that he doesn't

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Speaker 6: make too many mistakes. But I expect car to be

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Speaker 6: under pressure, probably make a key mistake or two. Browns

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Speaker 6: they have one interception on the year. If you look

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Speaker 6: at like their passes defense, there's some regression coming. They're

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Speaker 6: gonna start to force some more turnovers. So healthy Browns

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Speaker 6: team off the bye Jamis going back to New Orleans.

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Speaker 6: I'm sure he'll be giving all kinds of crazy speeches

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Speaker 6: getting this team fired up. But stecks to fancy, you'll

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Speaker 6: have a good script. And yeah, there's there's nothing I

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Speaker 6: saw with the Saints that they were doing anything drastically

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Speaker 6: different last week. They got a bit fortunately, came a

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Speaker 6: lot of energy, nothing really sustainable. They're just so beat

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Speaker 6: up and yeah, so I like the Browns here on

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Speaker 6: the road catching one enough, I think they should be

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Speaker 6: a favorite.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this. I would have taken this if

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Speaker 2: you hadn't.

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Speaker 3: I think that the market is still looking at this

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Speaker 3: Cleveland team as you know, kind of the team that's been.

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Speaker 2: For most of the year.

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Speaker 3: Did Deshaun Watson version with all of the injuries all

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Speaker 3: over the place, you know, even with trading Smith and

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Speaker 3: j Oka and I R I think this defense is

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Speaker 3: still a lot closer to where it was last year.

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Speaker 2: You know, now that it's healthy. Same thing for the

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Speaker 2: offensive line, and it's the best.

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Speaker 6: Unit on the field, even with Smith and Joka.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and remember that on offense, it's not just Jamis.

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Speaker 3: They started to go try to run the more of

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Speaker 3: the Stefanski offense, and.

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Speaker 2: He also gave up play calling.

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Speaker 3: So it's like a lot of changes happened in the

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Speaker 3: last few weeks for this Browns.

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Speaker 6: Offensive line too. I mean they were they were down

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Speaker 6: three starters at the times, and now they're they're as

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Speaker 6: healthy as they've been. I mean, they're they're gonna they're

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Speaker 6: gonna be able to run, block, and they're gonna be

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Speaker 6: able to get James's time here.

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Speaker 3: This Saints team, I mean, it's not much different than

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Speaker 3: the Saints team that was hatching three and a half

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Speaker 3: at home to the Atlanta Falcons a week ago that

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Speaker 3: just lost what six seven in a row before that.

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Speaker 3: You know, this is still that Saints team just because

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Speaker 3: they got to win under their interim head coach. It's

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Speaker 3: not much different. But this Browns team is different. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think the market is kind of it's kind of

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Speaker 3: out of side, out of mind too, coming off to buy,

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Speaker 3: which is also an edge.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, like the Browns as well.

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Speaker 3: For my first pick and the second overall of the

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Speaker 3: week eleven Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Cincinnati

277
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Speaker 3: Bengals plus one and a half at the Los Angeles Chargers.

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Speaker 3: And for me, a couple of things here. First is

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Speaker 3: when I look at this Bengal offense going against this

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Speaker 3: Charger defense, which the metrics are very good for the

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Speaker 3: Charger defense. But who are they playing right Tennessee. So

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Speaker 3: we got Will Levis, Jameis Winston, Spencer Rattler, the Cardinals,

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Speaker 3: which are good. I'll give the Cardinals credit because they

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Speaker 3: look on point for now. And then you know Bo

285
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Speaker 3: Nicks injured, Casey in the game where she Rice went

286
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Speaker 3: down and they still didn't have Hopkins and Kelsey wasn't

287
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Speaker 3: right yet. The Justin Fields Steelers offense, Bryce Young and

288
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Speaker 3: the Gardner Minshew Raiders offense. So they've really played nobody

289
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Speaker 3: like this passing wise, because even Arizona, Arizona's strength is

290
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Speaker 3: its run game. You know Kyler's playing well, but lower

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Speaker 3: volume for Kyler this year. Joe Burrow just put up

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Speaker 3: six hundred and seventy nine yards, nine touchdowns, one interception

293
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Speaker 3: over the last two games, four sacks for fifteen yards

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Speaker 3: in those two games combined. And this is with offensive line,

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Speaker 3: this is with tackle issues and no t Higgins. He's

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Speaker 3: doing this. So I think this Charger defense could have

297
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Speaker 3: a little bit of a shock to the system here.

298
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Speaker 3: The Chargers, one thing we know is they love to

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Speaker 3: sit back in zone coverage. They play zone at a

300
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Speaker 3: top five right Joe Burrow two point two more yards

301
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Speaker 3: per pass attempt against zone coverage than against man coverage.

302
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Speaker 3: Jamar Chase has been tearing up zone this year over

303
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Speaker 3: three yards per route run. So this is gonna be

304
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Speaker 3: a shootout if most likely because you know, the Chargers

305
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Speaker 3: offense is looking better and it is healthier with Johnson

306
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Speaker 3: coming back, Edwards coming back. But I don't really trust

307
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Speaker 3: the Chargers to kind of run away with this game

308
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Speaker 3: at all, because you know the charge is still going

309
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Speaker 3: to run the football. So I think the Bengals can

310
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Speaker 3: win a shootout here. And you know Joe Burrow as

311
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Speaker 3: a dog nineteen and nine against the spread in his

312
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:10,960
Speaker 3: career thirteen and five, seventy two percent as a road underdog,

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Speaker 3: covering by an average of four point six points per game.

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Speaker 2: And when he's on the road off a loss thirteen.

315
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Speaker 3: And three against the spread eighty one percent, covering by

316
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Speaker 3: an average of four point eight points per game. So Bengals,

317
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Speaker 3: they'll be desperate here. I think Chargers just a little

318
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Speaker 3: bit of a shock to the system. Thirty first and

319
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Speaker 3: pressure rate. They just haven't played a passing game like this,

320
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Speaker 3: So give me the Bengals on the road.

321
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Speaker 6: Is Hikets going to be back?

322
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Speaker 2: I'm acting as if he's not, so I like this.

323
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Speaker 6: I have another take on this game later, but I'll

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Speaker 6: I will say this. You have a little bonus bet.

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Speaker 6: I think I'm going to bet the Bengals fifty to

326
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Speaker 6: one to win the Super Bowl. Here's my reasoning. If

327
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Speaker 6: you look at the AFC, I mean it's extremely week.

328
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Speaker 6: I just listed seven teams that are in DISARRAYE I

329
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Speaker 6: don't see the Colts making the playoffs. Who's going to

330
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Speaker 6: get that seventh spot. There's a seventh spot that's going

331
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Speaker 6: to go to either the Broncos, the Bengals, or the Colts.

332
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Speaker 6: I don't see it with the Colts. And here's the thing.

333
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Speaker 6: If the Bengals win this game, they also get the

334
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Speaker 6: Broncos at home later this year, so they would have

335
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Speaker 6: tie breakers over two of the teams that they're fighting with,

336
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,359
Speaker 6: two of the main teams they're fighting with for that

337
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,600
Speaker 6: last wild card. So this game is big. So I

338
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,760
Speaker 6: want to bet the Bengals. I probably will bet them small,

339
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 6: but I'm also going to bet them do in the

340
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:30,120
Speaker 6: Super Bowl. This is kind of like when I bet

341
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Speaker 6: the Bills last year fifty to one, and I mean

342
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:34,560
Speaker 6: they'll caw close. They came and was at the bottom.

343
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Speaker 6: Because if you look at those teams in the ANFC,

344
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Speaker 6: who are the only teams that I think could beat

345
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Speaker 6: the Chiefs in the playoffs. You're gonna have to score.

346
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Speaker 6: You need an elite quarterback to get through the AFC.

347
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Speaker 6: The Bengals have done it before. The Bengals should have

348
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Speaker 6: won in Kansas City earlier this year when they weren't

349
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Speaker 6: even fully healthy. This is a big game for that,

350
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Speaker 6: so I think I want to get out in front

351
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Speaker 6: of that and bet some Bengals Super Bowl For my

352
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:08,480
Speaker 6: second pick and the third overall the week eleven Sunday

353
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Speaker 6: six pack, I am going with the Denver Broncos minus

354
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Speaker 6: two and a half at home against the Atlanta Falcons.

355
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Speaker 6: Going back to the Falcons fade train, I was super

356
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Speaker 6: impressed with bow Knicks last week, going up against a

357
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:27,680
Speaker 6: really tough defense in a tough environment. I just thought

358
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:32,479
Speaker 6: that he looked as competent and as comfortable as he

359
00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 6: did as he has all season, just given the circumstances.

360
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Speaker 6: And here are the circumstances this week. You're going up

361
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Speaker 6: against a Falcons defense that can't get pressure, a Falcons

362
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 6: defense that you can run on. Bow Knicks will be

363
00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:54,840
Speaker 6: able to operate a clean pocket, Sean Payton will be

364
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 6: able to implement whatever he really wants to and can

365
00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 6: run his offense in a fish matter here. And not

366
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Speaker 6: only do the Falcons not get pressure, they're going up

367
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Speaker 6: against the Broncos offensive line the ranks number one pass

368
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Speaker 6: clock win rate on the year. I think the Broncos

369
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Speaker 6: can efficiently move the ball all day. Go on the

370
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,800
Speaker 6: other side of the ball, the Falcons in control their division.

371
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Speaker 6: Going outdoors to Denver non conference game, that sense of

372
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Speaker 6: urgency might not be there. But more importantly, Denver can

373
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Speaker 6: get pressure and they're going to bring the blitz, and

374
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Speaker 6: that's how you have to throw Cousins off. So on

375
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Speaker 6: one side, I have Vo Nicks in this Denver offense

376
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Speaker 6: that's going to be able to operate with a clean pocket,

377
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Speaker 6: do whatever they want, and then you're gonna have Cousins

378
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Speaker 6: under pressure, under fire, which will probably will inevitably lead

379
00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 6: to a mistake or two. So I don't show you

380
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 6: the NFL market's pretty efficient this time of the year.

381
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Speaker 6: I don't show a ton of value from a power

382
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Speaker 6: ratings perspective in this, but anything under a field goal

383
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:16,399
Speaker 6: I like. Because of the matchup, certain can take away London.

384
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:21,959
Speaker 6: This Denver defense will get pressure. Atlanta just won't. So

385
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Speaker 6: I like Denver to get it done at home. Give

386
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Speaker 6: me the Broncos minus two and.

387
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Speaker 2: A half, I like it. I need one more win

388
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Speaker 2: for that.

389
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Speaker 3: Broncos wind total to go over five and a half.

390
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 3: And also the Panthers are still alive somehow, so feeling good. Yeah,

391
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 3: I had the Giants under and the Panthers over, so

392
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Speaker 3: all of a sudden with that unit game, I'm back.

393
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Speaker 6: But yeah, you know, the Panthers can watch the field.

394
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Speaker 6: You know what would be the funniest thing ever, Chiefs

395
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,199
Speaker 6: beat the Bills this week? Yep, go to ten and

396
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,159
Speaker 6: oh you want to talk about a sleepy spot up

397
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 6: at Carolina for the Chiefs next week? Carolina off of bye.

398
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Speaker 6: I could see it like the Chiefs don't really blow

399
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,679
Speaker 6: anybody out. They play with their food every week.

400
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Speaker 3: For my second pick of the week, eleven Sunday six

401
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 3: pack the fourth overall, I'm going with the Minnesota Vikings

402
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 3: minus five and a half against the Tennessee Titans. Your

403
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 3: Tennessee Titan stuck. Uh and this is covered this year? Yeah,

404
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 3: they covered once. I think they believe. They're one and

405
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:35,080
Speaker 3: eight against the Spro Miami. The Miami game.

406
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:36,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Miami game. They blew them out.

407
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:40,239
Speaker 3: But so here's why I like Minnesota here and this

408
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 3: is a little bit uncomfortable. We're laying laying essentially a

409
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:48,359
Speaker 3: touchdown on on the Road after the Vikings just slept

410
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 3: walk through a pretty similar AFC South Road matchup last week.

411
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Speaker 3: But that's kind of a lot why or partly why

412
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Speaker 3: I like the Vikings in this spot. They you know,

413
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 3: the Titans have been unlucky this year, but it doesn't

414
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 3: really get much unluckier than the Vikings last week. I mean,

415
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,880
Speaker 3: this team put up the two.

416
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Speaker 6: Weirdest dogs to cover all year last week, the Vikings

417
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 6: and the Bucks who got destroyed. Yeah somehow covered.

418
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 3: Yeah. So I'm this is just me betting on positive

419
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 3: reversion to the mean for a Minnesota Vikings team that

420
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:30,880
Speaker 3: has a couple of things going for first of all,

421
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 3: last week, like I said, four hundred and two yards

422
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:38,920
Speaker 3: on the Jacksonville Jaguars true turtle interception in the end zone,

423
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,160
Speaker 3: an interception at the two yard line, and an interception

424
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 3: inside the thirty and then you also settle.

425
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Speaker 2: For four short field goals.

426
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 3: And you know, every single time down the field, this

427
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 3: Vikings team was just going.

428
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 2: Now they have TJ.

429
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Speaker 3: Hockinson back, they you know, their their offense is it's

430
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 3: at full strength. You know, even Darisa being out, he

431
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,360
Speaker 3: went out and got Cam Robinson. So this is all

432
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 3: on Sam Darnold. I don't think he's.

433
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: Going to throw.

434
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:12,359
Speaker 3: He's gonna commit three turnovers in the worst possible place

435
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 3: to commit them. This week going against the Titans, who

436
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,239
Speaker 3: you know, you know their defense has decent metrics, but

437
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 3: you look at who they've played and when they played

438
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 3: real offenses. You know, thirty four to Buffalo, fifty two

439
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 3: to Detroit. I know there was some special teams and

440
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 3: other things involved, but still.

441
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,800
Speaker 6: So bad, like they're gonna get right. That's that's a

442
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 6: cost on the cover last week.

443
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 3: And you can get up twenty seven to the Chargers,

444
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,119
Speaker 3: you got a backdoor just to get into, just to

445
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 3: get it to ten. Late you get up thirty to

446
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 3: the mo week Willis Packers as well.

447
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 2: So you know, this defense, I'm not really scared of it.

448
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 3: You know, they're no one's like you look at the

449
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 3: secondary and I mean, what Baker, I mean, who's who's

450
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 3: scaring who's covering these guys for? Uh, these Minnesota receivers

451
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 3: and Tennessee's below averaging pressure rate.

452
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 2: So you know, Sam Darnold should be better this week.

453
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 3: But then you turned around and I think Minnesota, even

454
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 3: if they do, you know, kind of sleep walk through

455
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 3: this again. They're good to have some margin forever here

456
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 3: because remember we got Will Levis back, you.

457
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:20,120
Speaker 2: Know, les against the Blitz and number one pressure team.

458
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 3: Will Levis PFF grade against the Blitz twenty eight point four,

459
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:27,640
Speaker 3: last of thirty nine qualified quarterbacks. Will Levis PFF grade

460
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 3: against pressure twenty seven point five. Last Will Levis passer

461
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 3: rating cleaned ninety two point one, pressure forty seven. Essentially

462
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 3: cuts in half under pressure, same thing when he's Blitz

463
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 3: goes from eighty nine to a forty eight. So, uh,

464
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 3: this has been a spot that Will Levis really hasn't

465
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,360
Speaker 3: seen yet. You know, they've been implementing him last week.

466
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,120
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I thought he'do better.

467
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 2: Carr of the ball. He did some good things.

468
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 3: Well yeah, because the Chargers are thirty first to pressure rate,

469
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 3: they're a good defense, but they just dropped back in

470
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,400
Speaker 3: the zones and kind of, you know, so you did

471
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 3: death for lack of a better term, This Viking defense

472
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 3: will drop back in the zones, but they're going to

473
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 3: confuse the hell out of Wilevis because they're also going

474
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 3: to get pressure. And this Tennessee offensive line not very good.

475
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 3: So I think that this is kind of a spot

476
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,399
Speaker 3: where you know, people probably don't want to touch it

477
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,160
Speaker 3: because what Minnesota did last week and even a week before,

478
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 3: they should have.

479
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 2: Beat the coach by a lot more.

480
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:26,640
Speaker 3: I think there was another interception in the end zone,

481
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 3: a couple of missfield goals, so Minnesota has been running cold.

482
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 2: Yeah.

483
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, So Minnesota has been running pretty unlucky these last

484
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 3: two weeks. They put up over four hundred yards of

485
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 3: offense each of the last two weeks. They won by

486
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 3: eight and they won by five, So I think that

487
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,879
Speaker 3: this is the week where it breaks open. I think

488
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 3: they're probably the odds on favorite to get a defensive

489
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 3: score in this one. Should get a ton of sacks,

490
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 3: and their offense can't possibly be as bad as it

491
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,639
Speaker 3: was last week because they're moving the football, and I

492
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 3: think they're going to do that again. So give me

493
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 3: the Vikings minus five and a half, like it at

494
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 3: minus six to two. I don't think this is going

495
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 3: to be particularly close, so I'm kind of betting on

496
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 3: a blow out here.

497
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 2: But like the Vikings in Tennessee.

498
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I think the primary anticap here is

499
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 6: just how'se levis going to operate behind this offensive line

500
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,439
Speaker 6: against this pressure? And it's not like they can lean

501
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 6: on the run game. She can't really run on Minnesota,

502
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 6: so he's going to be in a lot of known

503
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,840
Speaker 6: passing situations and that's probably going to lead to mistakes,

504
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 6: which in turn could lead to this game getting very ugly.

505
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 6: All right. For my third pick and the fifth overall

506
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 6: the week eleven Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

507
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 6: Seattle Seahawks plus six and a half. Haven't bet this

508
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 6: game yet, it doesn't matter for the contest, but I'm

509
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 6: waiting to see if it gets to seven. It's sitting

510
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 6: right at six and a half, taking a bit of

511
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,520
Speaker 6: a leap of favorite. Now, there is an element of

512
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 6: the forty nine ers that that does scare me. Like

513
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 6: they've been like they kind of have this Vikings thing right,

514
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 6: Like they've they've been dominating some teams and then they

515
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 6: the scoreboard doesn't reflect it. They've also gone from like

516
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:16,919
Speaker 6: the best team in the red zone to the worst,

517
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,639
Speaker 6: So like they have some positive regression coming their way.

518
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 6: But I just can't get to this number we just

519
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 6: talked about. A home field, as you know, for this season,

520
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:32,120
Speaker 6: is under one on average for divisional games, it's even

521
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 6: less Historically, the forty nine Ers were three three and

522
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 6: a half point favorites in Seattle a few weeks back,

523
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 6: in a horrendous spot for the Seahawks, like they had

524
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 6: all that travel and like it was the Monday night game,

525
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 6: the short week back home, then the short week on

526
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 6: Thursday night. They also were without three defensive starters, including

527
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 6: Reek Wooling. They had issues along the offensive lines, specifically

528
00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 6: at right tackle. They were just decimated and they were

529
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 6: exhausted and beat up. Now this is a great spot

530
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 6: for them on paper, and we've adjusted the line three points.

531
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,480
Speaker 6: The other direction can't get there. This is an all in,

532
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:17,240
Speaker 6: all out effort from the Seahawks coming off a buy. Meanwhile,

533
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 6: San Francisco coming back across the contract the playing in Tampa.

534
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 6: Seattle just activated Dave Lucas off the r I anticipated

535
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 6: he will start, which it means he won't, but I

536
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 6: assume he's going to start at right tackle. That's big.

537
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 6: They've had so many injuries there. They've had at times

538
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 6: just turnstiles there and it's just really hurt their offense

539
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 6: across the board, and their defense should be much healthier

540
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 6: than it was the first time around. I also think

541
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 6: the buy for this team in particular is going to

542
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 6: be super valuable. She had a first time head coach,

543
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 6: you first time NFL offensive coordinator, and I actually respect

544
00:29:56,000 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 6: both them and value both of them pretty So I think, hey,

545
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 6: let's take a look at what we needed to work

546
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 6: on through the first half of the season. Let's make

547
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 6: some adjustments. And this is a defense that I think

548
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 6: McDonald was basically tailoring and trying to take her way

549
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 6: to get to a point where it can match up

550
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 6: in the best way possible with the forty nine ers.

551
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 6: So I expect him have a really good game plan here.

552
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 6: I expect the offense to operate much more efficiently with

553
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,240
Speaker 6: DK Metcalf, who, again I assume is going to play.

554
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 6: Am I wrong there?

555
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 3: Now? It sounded like can be back after the buye.

556
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 3: I mean I can't see a practice report, but yeah,

557
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 3: it sounded they sounded like he was going to be

558
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 3: back after the buy That's why they held him out there.

559
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 6: He's limited. He's limited today, so he said he doesn't

560
00:30:52,720 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 6: know yet, be limited in practice, possibly make his return. Man,

561
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 6: he's injuries, so I think he's gonna play it. That

562
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 6: would be big, he opened. I mean, he's still he's

563
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 6: missed the last couple games. He still leads the NFL

564
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 6: in deep deep targets. He opens up everything underneath. He's

565
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 6: obviously big, so I'm gonna wait on his status. I'm

566
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 6: taking it regardless for the contest. Is why it's my

567
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 6: third pick. If he's ruled out, I will get seven

568
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 6: in which case. If not, you know, if he's ruled in,

569
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 6: maybe it goes to six and I'll bet it. But

570
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 6: try to try to beat that move. But I just

571
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 6: think you get a really good effort from which should

572
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 6: be a much healthier Seattle team, definitely on defense, should

573
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,520
Speaker 6: get your right tackle back, potentially get metcap back coming

574
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 6: off of a buye. And the San Francisco team, they're

575
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 6: just every week they just mess up. Some of their

576
00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 6: special teams are a mess. The red zone is just

577
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 6: Thearian's I think. But Christian McCaffrey came back, didn't have

578
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 6: the same burst, didn't have the same cutting ability. He

579
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 6: helps in the passing game more than anything. But I

580
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,479
Speaker 6: think this is too many points for Seattle in in

581
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 6: a desperation spot off the.

582
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 3: Buy Yeah, I mean it's it's it's one of those.

583
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 3: I agree San Francisco bet against San Francisco is scary,

584
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 3: but it tends to work out more often than not.

585
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 3: It's it's just one of these teams, like one of

586
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 3: these days they're gonna get there the stuff together.

587
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 2: But like it's a division game.

588
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 3: A lot of points. So I don't mind it at all.

589
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: I I mean, we saw San Francisco blow the lead.

590
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: To the Rams. We saw them the Cardinals.

591
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 3: You know, it's like they have the talent to blow

592
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 3: a lot of people out and go on one of

593
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 3: those runs.

594
00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 2: But who know, I.

595
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:56,760
Speaker 3: Mean maybe you know, maybe moodies just not fully healthy either,

596
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 3: so that could become an issue too. I mean, it

597
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 3: was what three of six or something, Yeah, I think

598
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 3: three of six.

599
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 6: Yeah. So it's also just you rarely see a team

600
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 6: coming off of bye after back to back losses at

601
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 6: home and by the way, the last loss they should

602
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 6: have won, they should have beat the Rams. That rarely happens.

603
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 6: But that is like the ultimate focus spot, yep, going

604
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 6: on the road after the bye after back to back

605
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 6: home losses, and it's not like you're out of the

606
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 6: division race or the playoff race. It's only happened eighteen

607
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 6: times over the path in the wild card to Era

608
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:33,080
Speaker 6: twelve five and one against the spread, So I think

609
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 6: it's a good spot to buy low in the Seahawks.

610
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 3: For my third and final pick in the sixth overall

611
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 3: of the week eleven Sunday six pack, I'm going with

612
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 3: the Indianapolis Colts plus four at the New York Gets.

613
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 2: And this is ugly.

614
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 3: This is probably an uncomfortable pick, even though the Jets

615
00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 3: have been in disarray, as have the Colts going back

616
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 3: to Anthony Richardson here, but a couple of things stand

617
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 3: out for me in this matchup, which is why I

618
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 3: like taking the points.

619
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 2: Number One, we look at the coach defense.

620
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:14,839
Speaker 3: You know, we talked last week Stuck about how they

621
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 3: were getting healthier, they were looking better now didn't fully

622
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 3: show up against the Bills. They did make some plays

623
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 3: against Josh Allen held them to no touchdown passes, got

624
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 3: two picks off of them. So but you know, he

625
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 3: got that crazy hel Mary prayer at the rollouts of

626
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 3: Mac Collins. Just a crazy, great Josh Allen play that

627
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 3: only he can do. But they played zone at the

628
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:41,800
Speaker 3: top five to eight. Aaron Rodgers and this Jet offense,

629
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:46,360
Speaker 3: they've been really struggling against zone coverage. Aaron Rodgers just

630
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 3: kind of goes underneath takes the easy throw, but it

631
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:54,839
Speaker 3: really hasn't been that easy. They are eighteenth in yards

632
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,680
Speaker 3: per attempt against man, but twenty seventh in the league

633
00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 3: against zone coverage and nearly two adjusted yards per attempt

634
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 3: worse against zone coverage.

635
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 2: All their metrics are among league worse.

636
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,880
Speaker 3: And it's even worse when you take Lizard out of

637
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 3: the pitcher, who is still banged up Tyron Smith probably

638
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:21,120
Speaker 3: out with a neck injury. That's not ideal either. DeVante Adams.

639
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 3: I mean this, he's just been completely inefficient, really low

640
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 3: yard after catch this year. So I don't think this

641
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,240
Speaker 3: Jet offense is going to be explosive in this spot

642
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 3: against the Coats. That's just what they've been against zone

643
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 3: defense all year. And then on the other side you

644
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 3: have the Jets twenty seventh run defense, So.

645
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 6: That's what Richson back helps. Like, yes, I'm so much

646
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,640
Speaker 6: more efficient. Like that's what you're gonna do here is

647
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 6: just run the ball on this Jets day exactly.

648
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 2: And I, you know, talk about it last week.

649
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 3: I ended up, you know, I wanted to bet the

650
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,319
Speaker 3: Jets as well last week, and I told you I was, like,

651
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 3: the one concern I have is that they just get

652
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 3: completely out physical in the run game and ended up

653
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 3: staying off of it for that is that reason, and

654
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:15,439
Speaker 3: that's what happened. I think this coach defense offense could

655
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 3: do the same thing.

656
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 2: Now.

657
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 3: The one thing that gives me pause is not actually Richardson.

658
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:24,560
Speaker 3: It's their left tackle Raymond. He mispracticed today or he's

659
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,040
Speaker 3: listed as a DMP, but it was just an estimated

660
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 3: report for walkthrough. So that's something to keep an eye on.

661
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 3: If he's out, this line should go up. So this

662
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:38,720
Speaker 3: you should get to at least four and a half

663
00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 3: if he's out. But that is something to watch. But

664
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 3: this coach offensive line still very good. Jonathan Taylor has

665
00:36:46,560 --> 00:36:50,839
Speaker 3: been very good all year, and this Jet team can't

666
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:54,040
Speaker 3: stot the run. And they've been bad period without Robert

667
00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 3: Sala so on defense, like every aspect of their defense,

668
00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 3: every single level has been bad. So Anthony Richardson, you know,

669
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 3: at first glance, I was like, oh man, yeah, kind

670
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 3: of was expecting Flacco to go. But Anthony Richardson is

671
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 3: seven to three career against the spread. They coaches have

672
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:19,919
Speaker 3: covered in four of his five starts this season as well,

673
00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 3: So it's it's not you know, just because he can't

674
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:24,280
Speaker 3: complete passes.

675
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 6: Or after you don't.

676
00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:28,319
Speaker 3: They are five and one is his starts, So his

677
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 3: lack of completing passes hasn't actually hurt this team as

678
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:33,280
Speaker 3: much as you think.

679
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 6: Now.

680
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 3: A couple of his worst games, you know, low completion

681
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,479
Speaker 3: percentage games, came against the Texans, who also held Josh

682
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 3: Allen to nine to thirty one. He also played a

683
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 3: couple of snaps against the Steelers, played the Bears, so

684
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 3: he's played some really tough defenses. This Jets defense, we

685
00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 3: thought it was going to be that it's not, so

686
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:56,600
Speaker 3: this is actually one of the easier matchups he's faced.

687
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 3: He can run. The Jets are in all sorts of disarrayed.

688
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 3: Davante Adams is listed is out of practice with a

689
00:38:04,239 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 3: risk and an illness, so I mean there could even

690
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:09,800
Speaker 3: be something going around the Jets. So that's something to

691
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 3: kind of watch out for as well.

692
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:12,879
Speaker 2: But I just think this.

693
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 3: Coach's defense is underrated and is going to be able

694
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:18,839
Speaker 3: to limit the explosives for the Jets. They've been doing

695
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 3: a lot better against the run as well, so you're

696
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 3: gonna see a lot of dink and dunk. I don't

697
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:25,680
Speaker 3: think you're gonna see much over the top for Garrett

698
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 3: Wilson and those guys. And then on the other side

699
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 3: of all, I think that the Coats can kind of

700
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 3: do what the Cardinals did, which is out physical the

701
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 3: Jets at the point of attack in the run game.

702
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,239
Speaker 3: And you do have like the homeless Man's version of

703
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 3: that offense because you got Richardson. He's no Kyler, He's

704
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 3: gonna throw a lot more incompletions. But Michael Pittman full

705
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 3: practice on Wednesday, or at least estimated.

706
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 2: So he should be back as well. So I think

707
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 2: this coach team is.

708
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 3: Still not going to be an easy out, and this

709
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 3: Jets team really doesn't deserve to be favored by you know,

710
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,799
Speaker 3: even even really a field goal against anyone, you know,

711
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 3: even mediocre at this point. So give me the Indianapolis

712
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 3: Colts plus over at the New York Jets.

713
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 2: Ugly.

714
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't have anything here. I can't figure out

715
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,439
Speaker 6: either of these teams. Every time that on the Colts,

716
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:19,120
Speaker 6: Pittman doesn't play when I think he's gonna play, and

717
00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 6: then if I fade them, he ends up playing. And

718
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 6: I don't think he's gonna play for what it's worth,

719
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 6: But it looks like I Hope played this week, which

720
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,839
Speaker 6: should help. But I actually think Richard said, I don't

721
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 6: know what the Colts are doing decision wise, but with

722
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,280
Speaker 6: the quarterbacksers, But I think Richardson playing this week helps

723
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 6: from matchup perspective because their rushing attack gets so much

724
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:40,040
Speaker 6: more efficient. That's how you want to pack this Jets defense.

725
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 6: And where's this Jets team at mentally?

726
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 2: I don't know.

727
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 6: They look like they quit, but I just can't figure

728
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:45,440
Speaker 6: out either of these teams.

729
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 3: All right, that is gonna do it for a week.

730
00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:55,880
Speaker 3: Eleven Sunday six pack. Let's see quarterbacks. You got Jamis Bonix,

731
00:39:56,360 --> 00:40:01,320
Speaker 3: Gino Smith, so pretty pretty average mid quarterbacks. I'd say

732
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:06,000
Speaker 3: I got Burrow, Darnold, and Richardson. So I'm all over

733
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 3: the map though. We'll see how that works out. But

734
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 3: Cleveland one and a half, Denver minus two, Seattle plus

735
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 3: six and a half are stuck, Sincy plus one and

736
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 3: a half, Minnesota minus five and a half, Indie plus four.

737
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 3: For me, that's our wee go eleven Sunday six pack.

738
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 3: Now it's time for our coaches pep talk.

739
00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 2: Every time we get ready to play, I just want.

740
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 4: To throw up.

741
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 6: I'm sick.

742
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 2: I'm wanting you guys play just how bad can it get?

743
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:32,320
Speaker 2: All right?

744
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,840
Speaker 3: For this week's coaches pep talk, we're gonna go to

745
00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:39,919
Speaker 3: Ned Batty in the nineteen seventy six Film Network, and

746
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 3: we're gonna dedicate this one to AFC North dogs we

747
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,400
Speaker 3: got in the six pack, the Cleveland Browns with Jameis

748
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:50,719
Speaker 3: Winston and the Cincinnati Bengals with Joe Burrow. Best of

749
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 3: luck to the Browns and the Bengals.

750
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:59,360
Speaker 2: There are there are no people. There is only.

751
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:07,279
Speaker 7: One holistic system of systems, one vast andy main interwoven, interacting,

752
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:10,280
Speaker 7: multivariates multinational.

753
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:14,440
Speaker 4: Dominion of dollars. It is the international system of currency

754
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 4: which determines the totality of life on this planet.

755
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 5: And you have meddle with the primal forces of nature,

756
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:33,399
Speaker 5: and you will all tone all right.

757
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:37,920
Speaker 3: Time for our favorite total of the week. Last week,

758
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 3: another good week for US totals wise to and no Chicago,

759
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,879
Speaker 3: New England never really a sweat, Dallas Philly a little

760
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 3: bit of a sweat, but all worked out in the end,

761
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 3: thirty four to six under forty two and a half.

762
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:54,000
Speaker 3: There both of us are seven and three each on

763
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,879
Speaker 3: totals this year stuck you went first and the six back,

764
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:57,880
Speaker 3: So I'll go first here.

765
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 2: I will go with.

766
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:05,799
Speaker 3: Brown Saints under forty four and a half. And for me,

767
00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:08,160
Speaker 3: this is just a high number given the fact that

768
00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 3: the Saints don't have receivers. And when I say they

769
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,239
Speaker 3: don't have receivers, I mean they really don't have receivers.

770
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 3: Marquez Valvedez Scanling is going to be their number one.

771
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:21,239
Speaker 3: Most likely their number two is either going to be

772
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 3: Mason Tipton, who was a long shot to even make

773
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:31,279
Speaker 3: the team this preseason, and or Cedric Wilson, who I mean,

774
00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:36,320
Speaker 3: he's been had on his share of healthy scratches throughout

775
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 3: the years. And then you got guys like Kevin Austen,

776
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:44,040
Speaker 3: Dante Pettis, Jermaine Jackson, who I don't even think it's

777
00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 3: played a snap, but he's listed at receiver.

778
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:47,359
Speaker 2: More of a return man.

779
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:50,279
Speaker 3: So I think Taysom Hill ran the second most routes

780
00:42:50,320 --> 00:42:53,000
Speaker 3: for the Saints last week. This Cleveland defense, they don't

781
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 3: have Zadarius, they don't have j Okay, but they got

782
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 3: their safeties. They got Denzel Award, they got Miles Garrett.

783
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 3: They still got a great coordinator. So you're gonna get pressure, Yes,

784
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 3: you're gonna get pressure on car uh. So, yeah, this

785
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 3: is a spot where I just don't think the Saints

786
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 3: are gonna do much offensively, and the Browns, I think

787
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 3: they're gonna lean into the runner little more. You know,

788
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:20,840
Speaker 3: they switched to try to go more of that Stefanski offense.

789
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 3: They were running really kind of more pass heavy scheme

790
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 3: with Deshaun Watson most of the year and then you know,

791
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 3: you ended up playing the Ravens and you got behind

792
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 3: to the Chargers. So it's been pass heavy pretty much

793
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:35,839
Speaker 3: the entire year. I think this is a spot where

794
00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 3: you could finally see them lean into Chubb. He's coming

795
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:40,840
Speaker 3: off of buy so he should be the healthiest that

796
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 3: he has been. So even if the same the Browns

797
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 3: do get some scores, you know, I think more so

798
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:50,160
Speaker 3: on the ground, chew up some clock here, So just

799
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 3: a lot, even though it's endors, just a lot of

800
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 3: points for you know, two teams that really aren't in

801
00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 3: you know, the top half of the league offensively. I

802
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,839
Speaker 3: mean Cleveland has no Mari Kooper, Tilben Iss been playing well,

803
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 3: but an easier number two receiver, and yeah, Saints have nobody.

804
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 3: They're just running Taysom Hill and you know, a prayer.

805
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 3: And Alvin Kamara has been great, but a lot less efficient,

806
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 3: you know, since early in the year, since those first

807
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 3: couple of games. So you know, if they run the

808
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,399
Speaker 3: ball with him and keep it on the ground, I'm

809
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:21,440
Speaker 3: not too scared of it. So give me Brown Saints

810
00:44:21,640 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 3: under forty four and a half.

811
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 6: I'm gonna go with the Raiders Dolphins under forty four

812
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 6: and a half. Pretty simple logic here. It's a weird

813
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 6: spot just in general this game. Dolphins coming off a

814
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 6: short week from the West Coast, Raiders coming off of

815
00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 6: a bye, pretty hot spot. But the Raiders have a

816
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:51,799
Speaker 6: new offensive coordinator and what you know, Luke Getz, he's

817
00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:55,720
Speaker 6: no longer there. What I think is going to happen

818
00:44:56,520 --> 00:45:02,320
Speaker 6: at least this week with Scott Turner taking over, is

819
00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:05,080
Speaker 6: they're going to try to go more run heavy, and

820
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 6: I'm not sure that's gonna work.

821
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 2: But Dylan Lobby, we are wed irean freedom. Dylan Lobby,

822
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 2: is that what's going on.

823
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:15,839
Speaker 6: Might be And uh yeah, I think it's gonna work.

824
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 6: But I think they're gonna go more run heavy. And

825
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:22,120
Speaker 6: the Raiders defense, I mean, the Raiders offense, it's terrible.

826
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:25,400
Speaker 6: So I don't see them doing much here.

827
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 3: Getting Minhu again too. It looked like it was going

828
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:29,240
Speaker 3: to be ritter, but it is indeed going to be Minshaw.

829
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,880
Speaker 6: Raiders defense their general principle and what they do a

830
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:36,480
Speaker 6: good job of doing is preventing explosive plays, so they'll

831
00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 6: at least make this Miami offense work for it. So, yeah,

832
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:44,320
Speaker 6: give me Miami Vegas under forty four and a half.

833
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 3: And I don't know how it's going to turn out

834
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:50,480
Speaker 3: with the new offensive coordinator, might be completely different. But

835
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,360
Speaker 3: one thing I will point out is that the Raiders

836
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:57,160
Speaker 3: have been very good opening drive this year with their script.

837
00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:00,400
Speaker 3: So it is a spot where if you like the under,

838
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 3: the Raiders happen to get the ball first or you know,

839
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 3: just you know, in their first drive they end up

840
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 3: going down and scoring a touchdown. Can look for a

841
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:09,760
Speaker 3: live under as well because they tend to cool off

842
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:14,279
Speaker 3: in a big way. All right, Vegas Miami under forty

843
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 3: four and a half for stuck. Should be some humidity,

844
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:19,239
Speaker 3: right that This is a humidity game. Yeah, humidity game,

845
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:22,280
Speaker 3: and yeah, so love the humidity. Unders and some winds.

846
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,239
Speaker 6: You could get some wins too, which obviously would help

847
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 6: the under.

848
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, that, Yeah, there is. There's definitely gonna be some win.

849
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:29,880
Speaker 3: No weather for me, Cleveland, New Orleans under forty four

850
00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:32,359
Speaker 3: and a half. I just think New Orleans offense isn't

851
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:36,080
Speaker 3: gonna do much against the Browns coming off of bye.

852
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,359
Speaker 3: So that'll do it for our favorite totals four week,

853
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:42,959
Speaker 3: number eleven. Now it's time for our favorite teasers of

854
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:43,720
Speaker 3: the week.

855
00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

856
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:55,719
Speaker 7: Don't chase, don't tease me please?

857
00:46:58,880 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 2: All right?

858
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:03,280
Speaker 3: Nothing a pit of the struggle this year, then teasers,

859
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,400
Speaker 3: because I feel like usually we.

860
00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 2: Nail these and we have not been doing well this year.

861
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:14,799
Speaker 3: I think we're six and fourteen combined on teasers, so I'm.

862
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:18,320
Speaker 6: Sixty five percent historically can't hit one to save my

863
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:18,960
Speaker 6: life this year.

864
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:22,280
Speaker 3: I mean on the pod he gave out the Chiefs,

865
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,440
Speaker 3: but it was it ended up being two and a half,

866
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 3: So gotta hopefully by the.

867
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,960
Speaker 6: Time most people listen to this, hopefully it was it

868
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:31,320
Speaker 6: should have been seven and a half. Hopefully most people

869
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:33,799
Speaker 6: hit for this week, I'm gonna go with a two

870
00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:38,960
Speaker 6: Pixar to discuss Bengals and Browns up over a touchdown.

871
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:43,799
Speaker 6: Two sides I like with totals that are sitting under

872
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 6: forty eight, which is what I look for. So Bengals,

873
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:51,400
Speaker 6: Browns plus seven and a half each.

874
00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:55,799
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with two teams. I'm on par with

875
00:47:55,800 --> 00:48:01,200
Speaker 3: the market, but teasing them up they just voodoo cover.

876
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 3: I mean, they'll probably voodoo cover anyway, but couldn't bring

877
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:07,400
Speaker 3: myself to put them in a six pack just based

878
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 3: on a trend or anything like that. And that's the

879
00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 3: Kansas City Chiefs up to eight and a half and

880
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,680
Speaker 3: the Steelers up to nine.

881
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:16,800
Speaker 2: So we know the Chiefs.

882
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes as a dog almost never doesn't cover outright.

883
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:25,320
Speaker 6: Twelve one one against the spread yep as an underdog

884
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:34,080
Speaker 6: ninety two, and they have obviously covered as the teaser

885
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 6: leg all fourteen of those games. The one game they

886
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:39,920
Speaker 6: lost as a dog, interestingly enough, was when they were

887
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,240
Speaker 6: plus two and a half at home against the Bills.

888
00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:47,120
Speaker 6: Yeah two years ago, and they lost by four And yeah,

889
00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 6: so yeah, I don't mind that teaser at all. Let's

890
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 6: I guess there's a two of the market games. We

891
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:54,320
Speaker 6: should probably talk about them. I had this game circled

892
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:56,360
Speaker 6: for the Bills. I was like, the Bills are winning

893
00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:59,359
Speaker 6: this game. I don't care about the Mahomes the dog

894
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 6: stat bet against them against the forty nine ers. I mean, look,

895
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,920
Speaker 6: you look at this Chiefs. I mean, this can't last forever.

896
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:09,400
Speaker 6: I mean this team is I mean, and if you look,

897
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 6: I think that their defense is overrated, especially on the

898
00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:15,600
Speaker 6: back end. It can be attacked. And if you look back,

899
00:49:15,680 --> 00:49:18,600
Speaker 6: like since he moved the ball on them at Will

900
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 6: weren't even at full strength. Atlanta was moving the ball

901
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 6: and then lost two offensive linemen. You know, the Chargers

902
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 6: banged up, the Saints banged up, the forty nine Ers

903
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 6: lose all of their weapons. You know, then you play Vegas,

904
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,439
Speaker 6: who actually moved the ball some. You play Tampa Bay

905
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:37,160
Speaker 6: with out their two receivers they moved the ball on

906
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 6: you get the twenty four, and then you should have

907
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 6: lost to Denver. I mean, they've been say so fortunate,

908
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 6: it's pretty insane. They've won one, two, three, four, five,

909
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 6: six seven games by one possession. Easily could have two

910
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 6: or three more losses. Now I do think you know,

911
00:49:58,000 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 6: Milana just got activeated off ire. He's not going to

912
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:01,680
Speaker 6: play the week. But the way that the Chiefs want

913
00:50:01,680 --> 00:50:06,160
Speaker 6: to attack you, which is just like dank and dunk

914
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 6: and convert third downs because Mahomes is the goat, but

915
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:12,600
Speaker 6: and over the middle of the field, and they you

916
00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:16,640
Speaker 6: can do that against the Bills. But I think Alan

917
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:27,480
Speaker 6: and this Bill's offense can't exploit this really untested Chiefs secondary,

918
00:50:27,480 --> 00:50:31,760
Speaker 6: and whenever they've been tested by anyone like competent that's

919
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 6: fully healthy, it hasn't looked great. I actually think that

920
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,719
Speaker 6: their run defense is really significantly improved. The problem is,

921
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,279
Speaker 6: and why I didn't include the Bills in the six pack,

922
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:47,760
Speaker 6: is is Kincaid gonna play? He's huge in this matchup.

923
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 6: I don't know.

924
00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:52,160
Speaker 2: Is he's probably gonna play.

925
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:54,040
Speaker 3: He's been limited, but he has a cast to.

926
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 6: Catch those Alan rockets. And then what's his name is

927
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:03,680
Speaker 6: not gonna play?

928
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:04,839
Speaker 2: Is not going to play.

929
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:08,760
Speaker 3: So you're depleted at at pass catcher, and then.

930
00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:12,800
Speaker 6: Spencer Brown might not play. You're starting right tackle. His

931
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 6: knee or ankle is swollen up. He doesn't know if

932
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:19,400
Speaker 6: he's gonna play. Because at full strength this offensive line

933
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:24,399
Speaker 6: can protect. You have Alan's legs also, and then if

934
00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 6: you have all your weapons, I think Allen would make

935
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:33,160
Speaker 6: enough plays to win this game at home against just

936
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:36,839
Speaker 6: a luck riddled Chiefs team that they just can't they

937
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:42,160
Speaker 6: their offense is just limited, call it what it is.

938
00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 6: I mean, but with all those injuries, I can't get

939
00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 6: there right now. So I think the Bills win. They

940
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 6: find a way somehow, but I need them to be

941
00:51:54,840 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 6: I need to see the final injury report. It sucks.

942
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:00,960
Speaker 6: I wish this subn is of the Chiefs every like

943
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:03,959
Speaker 6: everyone is always hurt and then they'll win by one.

944
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:05,600
Speaker 2: I totally agree.

945
00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 3: I think a healthy Bills team, they would actually be

946
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:11,200
Speaker 3: the side. But we talked about this. Home field doesn't

947
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:15,320
Speaker 3: work much with the Bills in this state. I can't

948
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:18,640
Speaker 3: really power rate the better than the Chiefs. Home field

949
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 3: still doesn't work much, even in a great environment like Buffalo.

950
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 3: So two and a half, you know, I still show

951
00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:26,840
Speaker 3: value on the Chiefs.

952
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:30,359
Speaker 6: And I laid one with the forty nine ers at home. Yeah,

953
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 6: against the Chiefs when I thought they were going to

954
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:33,799
Speaker 6: be healthy, and then obviously everyone got hurt in the

955
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:36,400
Speaker 6: first quarter. That line went up to two and a half.

956
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:40,000
Speaker 6: The forty nine ers at full strength, I have power

957
00:52:40,000 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 6: at it higher than the Bills. And the Bills now

958
00:52:43,080 --> 00:52:45,440
Speaker 6: are sitting at two and a half and we know

959
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:47,160
Speaker 6: about some of these injuries already.

960
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, this just feels like a Chief voodoo spot, by.

961
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 6: The way, which is every week every week.

962
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:57,399
Speaker 3: The Chiefs haven't lost since last Christmas, fifteen straight. So

963
00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 3: if they get this one and then they get Carolina,

964
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:01,440
Speaker 3: would be seventeen and oh in a row.

965
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:03,399
Speaker 6: I'll call my shot if the Bills. If the chief

966
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 6: win this week and they're losing at Carolina.

967
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:08,640
Speaker 3: Oh man, that'll be a fun six pack. All things considered,

968
00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:12,520
Speaker 3: I would make the Bills about one here, and you're

969
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:15,719
Speaker 3: giving me two to two and a half. So yeah,

970
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 3: the play is the Chiefs. In all likelihood, these teams

971
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:21,000
Speaker 3: will be meeting down the road a piece in a

972
00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 3: more important battle.

973
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:26,120
Speaker 5: But as they say, this one put the fat in

974
00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:26,800
Speaker 5: the fire.

975
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:28,640
Speaker 2: All right now?

976
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:32,640
Speaker 3: Raven Steelers h plus three is the line, forty eight

977
00:53:32,760 --> 00:53:33,400
Speaker 3: is the total.

978
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 2: And I know you always give us those stats. What

979
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 2: is it?

980
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:40,279
Speaker 3: Every single one of these games is decided by less

981
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:42,319
Speaker 3: than like six or something like that.

982
00:53:42,600 --> 00:53:44,560
Speaker 6: Since Harball got the Baltimore in two thousand and eight,

983
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,839
Speaker 6: favorites of three or more in Raven Steelers games are

984
00:53:47,880 --> 00:53:52,920
Speaker 6: two eighteen and three against the spread ten percent. Harball

985
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:56,640
Speaker 6: himself is ten and two against the spread when favored

986
00:53:56,640 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 6: by at least a field goal against the Steelers. Zero

987
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 6: and ten and twenty six of the thirty two regular

988
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:06,160
Speaker 6: season meetings have been decided by one possession, more than

989
00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:10,040
Speaker 6: half by a field goal or less. Average score in

990
00:54:10,080 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 6: the thirty two meetings nineteen point six to nineteen point two.

991
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 6: They are separated by twelve points over those thirty two meetings.

992
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 6: So like the plays, you just take the points. Especially

993
00:54:23,480 --> 00:54:25,799
Speaker 6: at three and a half. And if Kyle Hamilton isn't

994
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:29,319
Speaker 6: out is out. He didn't practice today. That's bad for

995
00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:32,040
Speaker 6: the Ravens defense. He's just an important piece allows him

996
00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:34,560
Speaker 6: to do so much. I mean, and he's so versatile.

997
00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, one of the best players in the NFL.

998
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 6: But yeah, so now high Smith is out. Yeah for

999
00:54:40,000 --> 00:54:40,920
Speaker 6: the SELA.

1000
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:42,919
Speaker 3: Because that was part of my cap last week. Heigh

1001
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,840
Speaker 3: smit out is a big deal. I mean, he was

1002
00:54:45,160 --> 00:54:47,200
Speaker 3: flying off the edge of last week, so that that

1003
00:54:47,360 --> 00:54:48,800
Speaker 3: is that significant as well.

1004
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:51,879
Speaker 6: This total is really high for a raven Steelers game.

1005
00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 6: So I actually I think the play and it could

1006
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:56,600
Speaker 6: be if I had to do it. I just from experience,

1007
00:54:56,640 --> 00:54:59,280
Speaker 6: I just know to take the points. The Steelers always

1008
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:02,560
Speaker 6: have a good game for these mobile quarterbacks and Jackson

1009
00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 6: in particular, Lamar is one and he missed a lot

1010
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 6: of against series. He's one and three against the Steelers.

1011
00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 6: Four touchdowns, seven interceptions, five fumbles, fifty nine percent completion rate,

1012
00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 6: sixty six passer rating, sacked twenty times in those four games. So, yeah,

1013
00:55:19,680 --> 00:55:22,239
Speaker 6: the Steelers know how to defend them. There's just a

1014
00:55:22,239 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 6: ton of familiarity between these teams. Now. The Ravens defense

1015
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:30,760
Speaker 6: has the pass defense has been bad. But number one,

1016
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:34,319
Speaker 6: they've been unlucky, like they should have like five more

1017
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:36,800
Speaker 6: picks if you just look at like their pass defense numbers.

1018
00:55:37,160 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 6: And they've played like every every top quarterback in the league.

1019
00:55:43,120 --> 00:55:46,600
Speaker 6: They've played Mahomes Borrow twice. By the rate, they've played

1020
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,440
Speaker 6: Borrow twice. You know, they've played the Cowboys in the

1021
00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:52,920
Speaker 6: are healthy, they played Allen, they played the Washington offense

1022
00:55:53,280 --> 00:55:57,440
Speaker 6: Tampa when they were healthy. They even got like Cleveland

1023
00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:00,719
Speaker 6: in their first game with Watson in this new offense. Like, so,

1024
00:56:02,640 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 6: where they've really struggled Winston, Yeah, Winston. Sorry, where they

1025
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:10,239
Speaker 6: really struggled is with their safeties and like there's been

1026
00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:16,319
Speaker 6: miscommunication deep in the middle of the field. But that's

1027
00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 6: not really where the Steelers throw the ball.

1028
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 2: Nope.

1029
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:20,960
Speaker 6: I mean, how many Russ is not? He just he

1030
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:27,080
Speaker 6: just throws moon balls down the sideline. So I actually

1031
00:56:27,120 --> 00:56:30,880
Speaker 6: think like the Ravens defense will be okay here because

1032
00:56:30,880 --> 00:56:33,480
Speaker 6: their run defense is really good. Like this total is

1033
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:35,560
Speaker 6: pretty high. I mean the Ravens have just are like

1034
00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:39,400
Speaker 6: auto overs this year. But I think this is the

1035
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:42,279
Speaker 6: type of game that ends twenty three to twenty. I

1036
00:56:42,320 --> 00:56:43,440
Speaker 6: think three is the right number.

1037
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:44,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I make it three.

1038
00:56:45,200 --> 00:56:47,279
Speaker 3: Like I said this, That's why I like it as

1039
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:51,359
Speaker 3: a tease, because we know what Mike Tomuin does as

1040
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:52,640
Speaker 3: an underdog.

1041
00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:56,960
Speaker 6: Twenty six and three seventy seven percent as a home ridiculous.

1042
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 2: Ridiculous, you know, degenerate.

1043
00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 3: I mean I like the under in this matchup two.

1044
00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:03,759
Speaker 3: It does look high half a unit on each like

1045
00:57:03,800 --> 00:57:05,960
Speaker 3: the Steelers plus three or by the three and a

1046
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:08,920
Speaker 3: half half on the under because it's I mean it,

1047
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:10,160
Speaker 3: it's just one of those things.

1048
00:57:10,200 --> 00:57:13,440
Speaker 2: It's just like awckword, man. We make the simple complex

1049
00:57:13,480 --> 00:57:14,360
Speaker 2: in this business, don't we.

1050
00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 6: I'm gonna got a Zach score twenty three twenty both

1051
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:19,800
Speaker 6: teams too, throw some pasos on it. Since I said

1052
00:57:19,840 --> 00:57:21,160
Speaker 6: it out loud, I like it.

1053
00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:23,440
Speaker 2: You gotta win it, that's the thing.

1054
00:57:23,960 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 6: This is one of the hardest stadiums to kick in

1055
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:31,120
Speaker 6: in the NFL because of the swirling wins. So in

1056
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:35,120
Speaker 6: a game that could be close, right now, you give

1057
00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:38,680
Speaker 6: the edge to the Steelers in the kicking department.

1058
00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 3: Crazy with Boswell, Oh kickers, oh kickers. All right, that's

1059
00:57:43,880 --> 00:57:46,400
Speaker 3: our teasers. Cincinnati plus seven and a half, Cleveland plus

1060
00:57:46,440 --> 00:57:48,920
Speaker 3: seven and a half for stuck Case plus eight and

1061
00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:50,320
Speaker 3: a half, Pittsburgh plus nine for me.

1062
00:57:50,440 --> 00:57:53,560
Speaker 2: Now it's time for a money line. Underdog. Are late.

1063
00:57:56,640 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1064
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:03,040
Speaker 6: It's time for the money line parlay.

1065
00:58:03,880 --> 00:58:07,000
Speaker 3: All right, Week eleven, we both hit three. Uh so,

1066
00:58:07,840 --> 00:58:12,280
Speaker 3: not crazy, but we'll get a few each. Where are

1067
00:58:12,280 --> 00:58:15,080
Speaker 3: you going with your dog for this week?

1068
00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:17,760
Speaker 6: Yeah? We got a ten to one in there.

1069
00:58:17,880 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, which is basically yeah, waitning the first ten weeks.

1070
00:58:21,880 --> 00:58:26,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm gonna go with the Bears against the Packers. Now,

1071
00:58:26,560 --> 00:58:30,960
Speaker 6: this line is crazy, way too high. But can you

1072
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,480
Speaker 6: play the Bears? I don't, I don't know. I consider

1073
00:58:34,520 --> 00:58:37,400
Speaker 6: them for the six pack. I need I need to

1074
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:40,480
Speaker 6: see who's playing on the offensive line.

1075
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,880
Speaker 3: Both of them, I think right, Anne Jones are going

1076
00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:46,520
Speaker 3: to be back to practice, so that's yeah. But Daddy

1077
00:58:46,520 --> 00:58:48,040
Speaker 3: also offs Tavin Jenkins and.

1078
00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:51,479
Speaker 2: New oc so yeah, who knows.

1079
00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 6: There's a ton of on Saturday, which is why they're

1080
00:58:53,200 --> 00:58:55,000
Speaker 6: in the money line dog section. I also don't know

1081
00:58:55,040 --> 00:58:58,280
Speaker 6: if they've quit. There's so much bad, like the way

1082
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:00,600
Speaker 6: that they've looked the past two weeks, all of the

1083
00:59:00,640 --> 00:59:02,840
Speaker 6: locker room drama that I'm reading about behind the scenes

1084
00:59:02,840 --> 00:59:05,400
Speaker 6: and hearing from people that are close to the team.

1085
00:59:05,680 --> 00:59:08,120
Speaker 6: It's not great. But usually the NFL, like teams don't quit,

1086
00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:11,440
Speaker 6: and this is their rival, Like I expect them the

1087
00:59:11,560 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 6: least show up. But it's been a mess. Like they

1088
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:17,640
Speaker 6: can't I mean, Kay Williams is holding on to the

1089
00:59:17,640 --> 00:59:22,080
Speaker 6: ball too long. They can't block. But you wanna talk

1090
00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:24,560
Speaker 6: about a bylow spot and then there's increased variance, you

1091
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:27,640
Speaker 6: get a new offensive coordinator. Should be a bit healthier

1092
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:31,960
Speaker 6: now it's not. Historically this is a good spot for

1093
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:37,200
Speaker 6: the Packers in that mccab the floor has been very

1094
00:59:37,240 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 6: good off of extended rest. Favorites off of Buy have

1095
00:59:42,080 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 6: also been really good. Yeah, especially on the road, and

1096
00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:52,760
Speaker 6: believe it or not, the yeah, I mean Packers off

1097
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:56,840
Speaker 6: foot buy on the road as a favorite. Those teams

1098
00:59:56,840 --> 01:00:00,240
Speaker 6: seventy six fifty one and four sixty over the last

1099
01:00:00,240 --> 01:00:04,840
Speaker 6: twenty years. Yea, the Packers are ten and oh straight

1100
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:07,800
Speaker 6: up and against the spread against the Bears in the

1101
01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:09,880
Speaker 6: last ten meetings. Can you believe that? Ten and oh?

1102
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:12,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can believe it. I can't believe it. I mean,

1103
01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:18,280
Speaker 2: who have to look at the bell. This is what

1104
01:00:18,320 --> 01:00:21,600
Speaker 2: they are, the Bears, the Bears will bear. Yeah.

1105
01:00:21,680 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 6: I've been on the bearnser and this line is just

1106
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:25,120
Speaker 6: too high, like on the surface, like I can't get

1107
01:00:25,120 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 6: to this number. The Packers were laying four and a

1108
01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:33,640
Speaker 6: half in Jacksonville and I bet the Jacks. So, I mean,

1109
01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:35,120
Speaker 6: how bad is it for Bears? I don't know. Maybe

1110
01:00:35,120 --> 01:00:38,920
Speaker 6: I just haven't found the bottom with the variants expecting

1111
01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:40,240
Speaker 6: the show up here against their rival.

1112
01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 3: I'm going to take the Bears like it screams out

1113
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:45,160
Speaker 3: of me too. So there's a couple of things that

1114
01:00:45,160 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 3: they work on in each side's favorite thing. One thing

1115
01:00:47,720 --> 01:00:51,200
Speaker 3: you didn't mentioned, variants wise, Jordan Love points every game.

1116
01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:54,040
Speaker 3: Jordan Love was your three points every game pretty much.

1117
01:00:54,360 --> 01:00:56,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, and their defense has been very lucky in the

1118
01:00:56,640 --> 01:00:57,440
Speaker 6: turnover department.

1119
01:00:57,720 --> 01:01:03,040
Speaker 3: However, it is still a quality defense, but very zone heavy.

1120
01:01:03,520 --> 01:01:06,840
Speaker 3: Packers Jordan Love pretty much the most explosive team in

1121
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:09,440
Speaker 3: the league against zone coverage. Usually, you know, you're explosive

1122
01:01:09,440 --> 01:01:11,440
Speaker 3: against man coverage, and then zone you have to kind

1123
01:01:11,480 --> 01:01:14,560
Speaker 3: of be a little more methodical and and whatnot. Packers

1124
01:01:14,720 --> 01:01:18,480
Speaker 3: there their efficiency numbers against zone. I mean they turn

1125
01:01:18,560 --> 01:01:21,320
Speaker 3: it over, but uh, the yards and attempt, the yards

1126
01:01:21,360 --> 01:01:22,920
Speaker 3: of completion they get.

1127
01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:26,200
Speaker 6: Takes. Love takes those shots down there, down the seams,

1128
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:27,440
Speaker 6: and they got all these.

1129
01:01:29,000 --> 01:01:31,960
Speaker 3: So this is one of those things that the weather

1130
01:01:32,000 --> 01:01:34,440
Speaker 3: could work in your favor for that because it is

1131
01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:37,120
Speaker 3: another one of these maybe it's a little bit of

1132
01:01:37,280 --> 01:01:38,000
Speaker 3: a weather game.

1133
01:01:38,280 --> 01:01:40,520
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, it booked worse.

1134
01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:42,840
Speaker 6: Earlier this week. It's yeah, there's gonna be some win

1135
01:01:42,960 --> 01:01:46,160
Speaker 6: though that doesn't but it's not gonna be like terrible

1136
01:01:46,200 --> 01:01:47,440
Speaker 6: as of now that that could change.

1137
01:01:47,760 --> 01:01:50,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, So it's you know that. But the thing about

1138
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:55,640
Speaker 3: it is like I like the Bears at one point

1139
01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:57,760
Speaker 3: this year, and I haven't I haven't been touching them

1140
01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 3: because like it's like they had so many issues coaching wise,

1141
01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:02,440
Speaker 3: and it's like.

1142
01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 2: The minute they would plug one week, another league would show.

1143
01:02:05,760 --> 01:02:07,560
Speaker 2: But the real.

1144
01:02:07,400 --> 01:02:10,800
Speaker 6: Problem is that I somehow faited them early and now

1145
01:02:11,040 --> 01:02:16,760
Speaker 6: and then and they would just cover his favorite somehow.

1146
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:19,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I had him in one of those

1147
01:02:19,640 --> 01:02:21,480
Speaker 3: one or two of those spots, but uh, like I

1148
01:02:21,600 --> 01:02:23,160
Speaker 3: haven't been touching him because.

1149
01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:25,640
Speaker 2: The real issue for me.

1150
01:02:25,880 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 3: Is that Taylor Williams against any kind of pressure just

1151
01:02:30,960 --> 01:02:32,360
Speaker 3: looks like a chicken with his head cut off, like

1152
01:02:32,400 --> 01:02:36,280
Speaker 3: he doesn't know what he's doing. It's some of these

1153
01:02:36,320 --> 01:02:40,800
Speaker 3: quarterbacks just like I've never seen pressure have an effect

1154
01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:43,960
Speaker 3: on like young quarterbacks, even like what ad c J.

1155
01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:44,440
Speaker 2: Stroud.

1156
01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:47,680
Speaker 3: Sometimes even you're like, some of these quarterbacks have so

1157
01:02:48,280 --> 01:02:51,680
Speaker 3: just jacko and hide. You know, it's not all pressure,

1158
01:02:52,040 --> 01:02:54,080
Speaker 3: but it's just like they get so it's like they're

1159
01:02:54,080 --> 01:02:54,640
Speaker 3: in their heads.

1160
01:02:54,640 --> 01:02:56,640
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on. I don't know, but

1161
01:02:57,040 --> 01:02:57,800
Speaker 2: like Cayler.

1162
01:02:57,600 --> 01:03:01,560
Speaker 3: Williams is the worst when there's just guys around him,

1163
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:04,800
Speaker 3: you run around his circles, he has no idea where

1164
01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:07,720
Speaker 3: he's going. I just can't trust Kayleb Williams even with

1165
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:11,320
Speaker 3: these receivers. And I mean he needs the offensive line back.

1166
01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:15,440
Speaker 3: But the Packers, off of by well coached team tend

1167
01:03:15,520 --> 01:03:18,160
Speaker 3: to have good schemes and good game plans, especially you

1168
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:22,280
Speaker 3: know now that Barry's gone on defense, don't love it personally,

1169
01:03:22,320 --> 01:03:24,840
Speaker 3: but I think if you're gonna take them, yeah, just

1170
01:03:24,880 --> 01:03:28,760
Speaker 3: take him as a dog because if like five and

1171
01:03:28,760 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 3: now it's under six too, I think it's five and

1172
01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:33,040
Speaker 3: a half. So I think if it could get away

1173
01:03:33,080 --> 01:03:35,080
Speaker 3: from the Bears if they lose it, but if they

1174
01:03:35,080 --> 01:03:37,360
Speaker 3: win it, he gets some extra extra juice here.

1175
01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:40,680
Speaker 2: Hungry Bears are violent bears.

1176
01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:45,439
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna go with the lot more boring pick,

1177
01:03:45,480 --> 01:03:47,520
Speaker 3: but I mentioned I did like your Cleveland pick, so

1178
01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:49,040
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with them as a money line dog

1179
01:03:49,600 --> 01:03:54,800
Speaker 3: even money Jamis is a dog always does well, so

1180
01:03:55,360 --> 01:03:57,080
Speaker 3: try to get it before you know. I could see

1181
01:03:57,080 --> 01:04:00,720
Speaker 3: it flipping from minus one Saints to mind in Cleveland,

1182
01:04:00,920 --> 01:04:03,360
Speaker 3: but you probably way those two together plus two ten

1183
01:04:03,400 --> 01:04:07,720
Speaker 3: for Chicago even money for the Browns you get plus

1184
01:04:07,800 --> 01:04:11,240
Speaker 3: five twenties. So still a pretty nice parlay. Thanks to

1185
01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:15,240
Speaker 3: the Bears. Hopefully they come through for us. Now it's

1186
01:04:15,280 --> 01:04:17,600
Speaker 3: time for the best of the rest, which are the

1187
01:04:17,600 --> 01:04:20,080
Speaker 3: games we did not discuss in any other segment.

1188
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:23,240
Speaker 4: That's going to be a touchdown, but that may be

1189
01:04:23,360 --> 01:04:26,240
Speaker 4: meaning go to some of you, so you know what

1190
01:04:26,280 --> 01:04:26,560
Speaker 4: I mean.

1191
01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:27,280
Speaker 2: All right?

1192
01:04:27,320 --> 01:04:31,880
Speaker 3: First off, we got Rams at Patriots. The Patriots are

1193
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:35,600
Speaker 3: getting four and a half at home, the total forty

1194
01:04:35,640 --> 01:04:40,720
Speaker 3: three and a half. This one, I could see a

1195
01:04:40,920 --> 01:04:42,560
Speaker 3: let down for the Rams. There are another team that's

1196
01:04:42,600 --> 01:04:45,680
Speaker 3: really hard to pay. I mean, their red zone issues

1197
01:04:45,760 --> 01:04:48,919
Speaker 3: just seem to never end, Like I don't know what

1198
01:04:48,960 --> 01:04:51,720
Speaker 3: it is. Like they could they could score over the

1199
01:04:51,720 --> 01:04:55,360
Speaker 3: top like touchdown and overtime, but they can't. They can't

1200
01:04:55,400 --> 01:04:59,440
Speaker 3: just score normal points in the red zone, normal touchdowns

1201
01:04:59,480 --> 01:04:59,960
Speaker 3: in the red zone.

1202
01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:03,400
Speaker 6: The course, when we fad with Seattle, they score from

1203
01:05:03,560 --> 01:05:05,040
Speaker 6: Seattle's red zone.

1204
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:08,920
Speaker 3: Right yeah, Yeah, it's hard to get read on the Rams.

1205
01:05:09,120 --> 01:05:11,880
Speaker 3: I thought because of the Cup and Nicola being back,

1206
01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:14,680
Speaker 3: you know, Kyron's always great. Their old line is even

1207
01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:16,880
Speaker 3: getting out there. I thought they can handle that Miami

1208
01:05:16,920 --> 01:05:20,280
Speaker 3: team and the five field goals, Like what are we doing?

1209
01:05:21,480 --> 01:05:21,720
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1210
01:05:21,800 --> 01:05:24,800
Speaker 6: I actually liked the Rams here. I considered them for

1211
01:05:24,840 --> 01:05:28,320
Speaker 6: the six pack. They their offensive line struggled when they

1212
01:05:28,360 --> 01:05:30,160
Speaker 6: got a couple guys back, But I think, you know,

1213
01:05:30,360 --> 01:05:32,520
Speaker 6: with one game under the belts will look better this week.

1214
01:05:32,840 --> 01:05:35,480
Speaker 6: This Patriots defense still isn't any good. Yeah, they had

1215
01:05:35,560 --> 01:05:37,160
Speaker 6: nine sacks last week. It was the bear. I mean,

1216
01:05:37,240 --> 01:05:40,080
Speaker 6: Kayleb Williams just looked like a Jeer in the headlights

1217
01:05:40,080 --> 01:05:43,240
Speaker 6: and they had what three or four offensive linemen out

1218
01:05:44,720 --> 01:05:47,080
Speaker 6: Like this Rams defense is playing better, they can get pressure.

1219
01:05:47,480 --> 01:05:49,880
Speaker 6: They should be able to eat this new England offensive

1220
01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:53,320
Speaker 6: line alive and get to May, who I think will

1221
01:05:53,320 --> 01:05:56,280
Speaker 6: make a couple of mistakes McVeigh. It's not a great

1222
01:05:56,320 --> 01:05:59,000
Speaker 6: spot short week going across the country, but McVeigh has

1223
01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:05,000
Speaker 6: been amazing on short rest. He's ten and one against

1224
01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:09,680
Speaker 6: the spread in his last eleven fourteen and six overall,

1225
01:06:09,840 --> 01:06:15,240
Speaker 6: and from this a spot perspective, teams off of a

1226
01:06:15,280 --> 01:06:17,440
Speaker 6: home loss is a favorite that are now favored by

1227
01:06:17,440 --> 01:06:19,800
Speaker 6: a field goal or more on the road ninety five

1228
01:06:19,920 --> 01:06:22,440
Speaker 6: sixty eight and seven against the spread since two thousand

1229
01:06:22,440 --> 01:06:26,200
Speaker 6: and three, fifty eight percent twenty nine to fifteen and

1230
01:06:26,240 --> 01:06:29,959
Speaker 6: two since twenty twenty. So I think the red zone

1231
01:06:30,040 --> 01:06:32,120
Speaker 6: issues are bizarre, but I think a lot of that

1232
01:06:32,200 --> 01:06:35,360
Speaker 6: is variants. I think the season long had to do

1233
01:06:35,440 --> 01:06:38,680
Speaker 6: with the injuries. But now with Kupp and the Kuback

1234
01:06:39,720 --> 01:06:43,280
Speaker 6: and Williams, I mean, we have a lot of data.

1235
01:06:43,280 --> 01:06:45,280
Speaker 6: This is this offense is elite when everyone is healthy,

1236
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:48,479
Speaker 6: So I think that there's probably some positive variance coming

1237
01:06:48,520 --> 01:06:51,240
Speaker 6: in that department. This is a Patriots team that we've

1238
01:06:51,280 --> 01:06:55,320
Speaker 6: seen get blown out a few times this year. This

1239
01:06:55,520 --> 01:06:58,280
Speaker 6: is like a desperation spot for the Rams after a

1240
01:06:58,320 --> 01:07:00,640
Speaker 6: home loss. I think they're focused. I think a much

1241
01:07:00,640 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 6: better game plan coaching edge, although they still can't manage

1242
01:07:05,160 --> 01:07:08,960
Speaker 6: a game or clock. But actually I like the Rams

1243
01:07:08,960 --> 01:07:10,560
Speaker 6: here minus four and a half.

1244
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:13,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I see, I see the case. They make me.

1245
01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:15,560
Speaker 3: They still make me a little nervous, just because I

1246
01:07:15,640 --> 01:07:18,480
Speaker 3: just think that they're hard to read their high variants,

1247
01:07:18,720 --> 01:07:22,600
Speaker 3: and this Patriot team is not static like GE's. I

1248
01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:25,400
Speaker 3: would say again, better they have face. I mean they

1249
01:07:25,440 --> 01:07:28,440
Speaker 3: face the Titans, the Jets and the Bears and the Jaguars,

1250
01:07:28,480 --> 01:07:30,560
Speaker 3: so that could be a lot of it. But I

1251
01:07:30,600 --> 01:07:33,280
Speaker 3: do think May May will be feisty. Like May Will,

1252
01:07:33,920 --> 01:07:38,480
Speaker 3: he'll throw them out of some home He'll probably yeah.

1253
01:07:38,760 --> 01:07:38,960
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1254
01:07:39,080 --> 01:07:41,360
Speaker 3: So it's not my favorite spot to lay four and

1255
01:07:41,400 --> 01:07:44,160
Speaker 3: a half because I got I got rather more of

1256
01:07:44,200 --> 01:07:47,640
Speaker 3: like a potential domination spot. But I could I could

1257
01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:49,760
Speaker 3: see the Ram like at some point you figure that

1258
01:07:49,800 --> 01:07:53,160
Speaker 3: red zone variants has to regret. Let's see, what are

1259
01:07:53,160 --> 01:07:53,760
Speaker 3: they in the red zone?

1260
01:07:53,760 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 2: They gotta be.

1261
01:07:55,160 --> 01:07:59,280
Speaker 3: Thirtieth Yeah, Like this is not the thirtieth best offense

1262
01:07:59,400 --> 01:08:02,080
Speaker 3: that they they have to get it going, and then

1263
01:08:02,120 --> 01:08:05,680
Speaker 3: the coaching is like, the quarterback is good, it's a veteran,

1264
01:08:05,880 --> 01:08:06,680
Speaker 3: the coach is good.

1265
01:08:06,760 --> 01:08:08,840
Speaker 2: I it's kind of inexplicable.

1266
01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:16,080
Speaker 3: But let's go to the final game, which is Jags

1267
01:08:16,360 --> 01:08:21,160
Speaker 3: at Lions. Lions laying thirteen and a half at home.

1268
01:08:22,360 --> 01:08:25,160
Speaker 3: The total is forty seven. Mac Jones looks like he's

1269
01:08:25,160 --> 01:08:27,800
Speaker 3: gonna get another start. Trevor Lawrence is gonna miss this

1270
01:08:27,840 --> 01:08:30,040
Speaker 3: one as well. I think if we were like live

1271
01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:32,800
Speaker 3: on air when we saw something weird going on Trevor

1272
01:08:32,880 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 3: Lawrence last week, and of course they end up he

1273
01:08:36,200 --> 01:08:38,559
Speaker 3: ends up missing and they still cover injuries.

1274
01:08:38,640 --> 01:08:44,400
Speaker 2: Just weird, weird season. But uh, my gut tells Lions cover.

1275
01:08:44,479 --> 01:08:47,679
Speaker 6: But I'm not saying this twenty five percent Jack's twenty

1276
01:08:47,680 --> 01:08:49,719
Speaker 6: five percent success right last week and covered.

1277
01:08:51,200 --> 01:08:55,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, they're like my my gut tells number season

1278
01:08:55,680 --> 01:09:01,479
Speaker 3: by any team crazy, Like yeah, I lean, I can't

1279
01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:02,240
Speaker 3: get to this number.

1280
01:09:02,400 --> 01:09:04,920
Speaker 2: Yeah number is too high, but like it's one of

1281
01:09:04,920 --> 01:09:06,040
Speaker 2: the where's.

1282
01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:09,120
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, first of all, Detroit just always covers.

1283
01:09:09,800 --> 01:09:11,880
Speaker 6: Last week, I actually beat Detroit. I should get two

1284
01:09:11,880 --> 01:09:13,640
Speaker 6: wins for Yeah, you should have four points for that

1285
01:09:14,680 --> 01:09:20,280
Speaker 6: I gotta come back somehow. And yeah, I mean, like

1286
01:09:20,800 --> 01:09:29,240
Speaker 6: Detroit defense is playing better than I expected, uh without Hutchinson,

1287
01:09:30,360 --> 01:09:34,439
Speaker 6: and like what's Mac Jones gonna do. There's also injuries,

1288
01:09:34,439 --> 01:09:36,559
Speaker 6: like they have injuries and the offensive line did Brian

1289
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:39,240
Speaker 6: Thomas the full go? Does it even matter?

1290
01:09:39,720 --> 01:09:42,799
Speaker 3: He's getting back to it, like you kind of expect

1291
01:09:43,920 --> 01:09:47,200
Speaker 3: him playing below his norm until week twelve ish, so

1292
01:09:47,840 --> 01:09:50,760
Speaker 3: he's still not one, but he's better.

1293
01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:52,439
Speaker 2: Gave Davis is a little better.

1294
01:09:52,240 --> 01:09:57,800
Speaker 3: Too, So it's yeah, Detroit, I mean it worries me

1295
01:09:57,960 --> 01:10:00,120
Speaker 3: because they're not physical like Jackson was just not this

1296
01:10:00,200 --> 01:10:02,120
Speaker 3: type of physical like even with you know what I mean,

1297
01:10:02,240 --> 01:10:05,000
Speaker 3: Like that's yeah, that's what worries me about, you know,

1298
01:10:05,160 --> 01:10:07,560
Speaker 3: thirteen and a half. In certain spots, it's like okay,

1299
01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:09,599
Speaker 3: you know this team could just kind of get back

1300
01:10:09,640 --> 01:10:10,200
Speaker 3: door this and that.

1301
01:10:10,400 --> 01:10:11,880
Speaker 2: It's like this.

1302
01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:13,800
Speaker 3: Is this is one of those spots with Detroit could

1303
01:10:14,200 --> 01:10:16,200
Speaker 3: like get like the Titans. They could gain like two

1304
01:10:16,240 --> 01:10:19,000
Speaker 3: hundred yards offense and it's like forty to three or something.

1305
01:10:19,040 --> 01:10:22,360
Speaker 6: So yeah, Matt Jones a couple of turnovers and yeah, yeah,

1306
01:10:22,439 --> 01:10:24,480
Speaker 6: I just don't like pure pass. Pure pass.

1307
01:10:24,880 --> 01:10:26,880
Speaker 3: I mean I if I had to beat this game,

1308
01:10:26,920 --> 01:10:29,759
Speaker 3: I would just forty one and fifteen against the spread.

1309
01:10:29,800 --> 01:10:32,640
Speaker 6: Now forty sixteen, forty and sixteen.

1310
01:10:32,400 --> 01:10:36,639
Speaker 5: Composure communication I listen man to say that I'm proud

1311
01:10:36,640 --> 01:10:38,560
Speaker 5: of you, it would be the massive understatement.

1312
01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:41,799
Speaker 6: Yeah so, and now I don't want to know against

1313
01:10:41,920 --> 01:10:43,360
Speaker 6: Dan Campbell and my last one.

1314
01:10:43,720 --> 01:10:46,479
Speaker 2: There you go, there you go, better than most, better

1315
01:10:46,520 --> 01:10:49,000
Speaker 2: than most. No, there's no way to sugarcoat that.

1316
01:10:49,280 --> 01:10:50,959
Speaker 5: You know, I'm an asshole.

1317
01:10:51,200 --> 01:10:52,719
Speaker 3: Do a lot of money coming in on the under

1318
01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:54,680
Speaker 3: which is kind of odd to me.

1319
01:10:54,920 --> 01:10:56,559
Speaker 2: I don't I don't trust it.

1320
01:10:58,000 --> 01:10:59,880
Speaker 3: All right, that's gonna be a rap for us. We

1321
01:11:00,360 --> 01:11:04,880
Speaker 3: number eleven Action Network podcast. You can hear more of

1322
01:11:05,040 --> 01:11:08,960
Speaker 3: me every week with my guy Sean Kerner, very sharp

1323
01:11:09,479 --> 01:11:14,360
Speaker 3: projector props, fantasy dfs, all that good stuff on the

1324
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:18,120
Speaker 3: Fantasy at Flex podcast. You can also hear Stuck talking

1325
01:11:18,240 --> 01:11:23,160
Speaker 3: college football over on the Big Bets on Campus podcast,

1326
01:11:23,680 --> 01:11:27,400
Speaker 3: which is really a dope college football podcast. To be

1327
01:11:27,439 --> 01:11:29,920
Speaker 3: sure to check that out. Stuck is on X at

1328
01:11:29,960 --> 01:11:32,760
Speaker 3: Stucky two. I'm at Chris Raybond. We're at those same

1329
01:11:32,760 --> 01:11:36,479
Speaker 3: handles on the free award winning Action Network at until

1330
01:11:36,560 --> 01:11:37,840
Speaker 3: next week. Let's get thish money.

1331
01:11:38,520 --> 01:11:39,120
Speaker 6: Let Hope.

1332
01:11:48,880 --> 01:11:53,400
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1333
01:11:53,439 --> 01:11:56,200
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1334
01:11:56,240 --> 01:11:59,360
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler