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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. And this is me Joey p Joe Pizipia,

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Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL. It's week six in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: It's time to look at the props and who better

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Speaker 1: than the Welsh and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson to help

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Speaker 1: us go through. It was a good week for the

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Speaker 1: boys last week. A good Thursday night football too. If

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Speaker 1: you watch yesterday, Scott Bogwan was red hot. So we

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Speaker 1: are cashing right now. Don't forget to sink your sportsbooks

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Speaker 1: for free. Download the Betting Pros app on iOS and Android.

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Speaker 1: And of course we're talking about props. We're talking about

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Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheets. So if you haven't checked

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Speaker 1: it out already, go to Betting Pros dot com slash props.

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Speaker 1: Check it out. A lot of the data, a lot

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Speaker 1: of the discussion you're gonna hear today is based from

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Speaker 1: stuff that we find ourselves from the prop bet cheat sheets.

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Speaker 1: So use the tools just like the pros. Again, Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros dot Com, slash props, that's the place to find it.

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Speaker 1: And well, look look at these two people I just

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Speaker 1: found here hanging out with me so Welsh. Your forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers got a victory last night. Have put the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks in their place. It looks like the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers back on track for that division. Ah.

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Speaker 2: I mean they tried to give it away. It's what

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Speaker 2: they do here. Here's my tip for betting the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers that the first half, that the forty nine

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Speaker 2: ers money line or spread in the first half, and

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Speaker 2: then take the other team and whatever plus money it

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Speaker 2: is in the second half. They cannot hold a second half.

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Speaker 2: Leave for their life. They were lucky to hold onto

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Speaker 2: that last night. That lost Jordan Mason, Isaac Eddie Guerrero

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Speaker 2: had to come in and run for them like that's

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Speaker 2: on the top rope from the top rope, exactly right.

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Speaker 2: They were able to hold it, but debo from the

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Speaker 2: top rope. Really yes, it was nice to the Niners to

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Speaker 2: not lose another like twenty point game.

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Speaker 1: It was great. Andrew Rickson My essay, we get to

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Speaker 1: see Drake May this week. You mix emotions, I assume

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Speaker 1: happening inside your tummy.

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Speaker 3: Mixed emotions but excited for something new. Right, the new

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Speaker 3: era is starting, Drake May. And there I think the

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Speaker 3: thing I'm most excited. Were is they're wearing the red

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Speaker 3: throwback jersey.

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Speaker 1: Oh this is good.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna be cooking, baby. So it's not like the

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Speaker 3: pages were good when they wore these jerseys traditionally, but

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Speaker 3: they've put some decent spankings on some teams when they

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Speaker 3: were wearing the red jerseys before.

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Speaker 1: So, well, you remember the Tom Brady want in the snow.

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Speaker 1: That was a good one. You probably touchdown. Yeah, Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady is not wearing jersey ahead.

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Speaker 2: Why do you guys think that, like, did players get

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Speaker 2: like extra jacked up on like a certain type of jersey.

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Speaker 1: I don't know that. You know what I always tell

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Speaker 1: my players that I you know, I to coach the twelve.

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Speaker 1: You kids look good, play good. You know they come in,

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Speaker 1: they got their glasses, they got their bandana things, they

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Speaker 1: got their stuff. You know, they got the eye black

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Speaker 1: whatever they got. Man, you feel good. That's the old

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Speaker 1: Dion Sanders thing. Man, look good, be good.

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Speaker 2: You know you got Sean McVay coaching vibes for sure.

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Speaker 1: I see you. Yeah, I'm definitely a Pete Carroll slash

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay hybrid on the flag football field. So let's

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Speaker 1: get to the props here, did you massive wads of

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Speaker 1: gum too? While you're no, no, but I do wear

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Speaker 1: the I will wear the sunglasses and occasion, you know,

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Speaker 1: wear the cool sunglasses once in a while. Yeah, look again,

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Speaker 1: look good, play good. Let's go hopefully we look good

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Speaker 1: to play good? Right here? For week six? Well, let's

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Speaker 1: kick things off here. Let's start with a Texans wide receiver,

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Speaker 1: but maybe not the Texans wide receiver that everybody is

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Speaker 1: going to. Let's fade the pup a little bit with

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Speaker 1: Stefon Diggs and talking about Tank Dell.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Tank Dell is my guy. Obviously, Stefon Diggs kind

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Speaker 2: of takes some of that one role, but I'm not

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Speaker 2: so sure he ends up taking the full I think

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Speaker 2: he takes some Nico targets. I don't know that he

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Speaker 2: takes over the full role. So projections are pretty high

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Speaker 2: on this for Tank Dell, which is really nice. This number.

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Speaker 2: We're looking at his fifty six and a half. It

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Speaker 2: was actually down at fifty five and a half. You've

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Speaker 2: got PFF projections over almost seventy sixty eight point five.

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Speaker 2: The loss of Nico is going to open up a

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Speaker 2: thirty percent target share and a forty percent yard share

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Speaker 2: for this team. Tank He's hit this only once this season,

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Speaker 2: but New England is giving up the eighth most passing

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Speaker 2: yards per game. And again, the thing that you love

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Speaker 2: about Tank Dell is the big playability. He is going

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Speaker 2: to be the big average depth of target play here

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Speaker 2: Stefon Diggs lower, I think it's still under ten. Nico

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Speaker 2: Collin makes his money off of those big plays and

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Speaker 2: getting downfield, and that's where Tank is gonna go. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna get right into this game. We're gonna have one

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Speaker 2: big play. I think that is going to eat up

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Speaker 2: more than fifty percent of this and the targets are

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Speaker 2: going to be there. So again they've got to make

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Speaker 2: up for a really massive target share, and Tank and

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Speaker 2: CJ Strout last year, we're getting that done. So this

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Speaker 2: isn't going to just be about Diggs. And the other

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Speaker 2: positive is Diggs is going to take on some of

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Speaker 2: the primary coverage, so number one corners are gonna jump

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Speaker 2: in on Stefan Diggs. This is an opportunity for Tank

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Speaker 2: to get those big explosive plays. So I really like

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Speaker 2: this receiving yard prop. Again, it is you can tell

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Speaker 2: by the books and everything he's only hit this once,

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Speaker 2: so this is a big number for someone that's only

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Speaker 2: hit it once. Because we can see where we're going

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Speaker 2: with this. I think he's gonna easily easily cover this

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Speaker 2: as do projection. So that's number one for me this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I bet this one too. Also in this game,

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Speaker 1: Andrew Ericson and I discussed back on Monday. I had

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Speaker 1: a hypothetical twenty two and a half for Drake May's

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Speaker 1: rushing yards running for his life, and it opened up

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Speaker 1: at twenty four and a half. So I bet it at

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half because its pretty close through

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Speaker 1: my number, and it's gone up even more. Andrew, is

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Speaker 1: it still good?

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Speaker 3: Oh?

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Speaker 2: It is still excellent.

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Speaker 3: Drake May over twenty six and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: Been teasing it all a week, just waiting for the

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Speaker 3: books to finally drop this number, and I think it's

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Speaker 3: still too low. Talk about this Matchup'm gonna put people

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Speaker 3: in the perspective of Drake May. It's gonna drop back,

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Speaker 3: There's gonna be nobody open, and the pressure is gonna

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Speaker 3: be coming because the Texans have the number one pressure

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Speaker 3: rate in the NFL. So what are you gonna do?

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Speaker 3: You're gonna drop back. Oh, Jalen Polk isn't open. None

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Speaker 3: of these receivers are getting separation. I'm gonna run. I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna run for my life because when you look at

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Speaker 3: the Texans, they rank dead last and rushing per EPA

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Speaker 3: against quarterbacks scrambles this season, allowing thirty two rushing yards

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Speaker 3: per game to opposing quarterbacks. Drake May is a mobile quarterback.

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Speaker 3: That is why he's starting this game because girod Mao

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Speaker 3: knows that, hey, he can do way more than Jacobi

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Speaker 3: Prissett behind this offensive line. That's why I think that

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Speaker 3: he's playing in this game. At Drake May what he

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Speaker 3: did at UNC when he had to shoulder a load

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Speaker 3: after he lost all the receivers to the NFL. Guy

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Speaker 3: was averaging fifty six rushing arts per game his last

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Speaker 3: two years as a starter. Look, I don't know what's

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Speaker 3: gonna happen in this game. I do like Patriots plus seven,

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Speaker 3: but I do know Drake May is going to run

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Speaker 3: a ton. So get ready, buckle up, bet you over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you on this one again. Bet that

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Speaker 1: already too, So let's continue on Welsh Rashaud White looks

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Speaker 1: like his performance might be hampered by injury. If he

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Speaker 1: plays at all, that means Bucky Irving next man up

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Speaker 1: the numbers. Thirty seven and a half. You think that's

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Speaker 1: comfortable for.

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Speaker 2: You, That's very, very comfortable for me. I'm actually as

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Speaker 2: we were talking, I was going to see if that

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Speaker 2: has adjusted it all, because it did come off. It

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Speaker 2: came off of the books for some time yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I don't even actually see it on one book right now,

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Speaker 2: but it is one of my favorites this week. Bucky

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Speaker 2: Irving thirty seven and a half is a low number

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Speaker 2: because Rashad White is kind of banged up. Saints are

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Speaker 2: currently averaging eighty nine yards given up per game rushing

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Speaker 2: on just nineteen carries, but that's over four point five

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Speaker 2: yards per carry. Irving has hit this thirty seven point

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Speaker 2: five number four of five weeks, and with Rashad White

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Speaker 2: not practicing Wednesday and Thursday, it really does look even

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Speaker 2: good if he's active, because I know Rashod White had

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Speaker 2: some of this not practicing issue last week and got in.

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Speaker 2: Even if he's active, Bucky Irving has been more of

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Speaker 2: the primary runner and he has hit this in four

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Speaker 2: or five weeks. So if this number goes up, I

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Speaker 2: would probably still be good with this anything under forty five,

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Speaker 2: not saying that he's still not going to crush it

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Speaker 2: after the fact, but we're just talking about getting a

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Speaker 2: big advantage. Interestingly, though, I will say, some of the

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Speaker 2: projections have not turned over, so it's not something you're

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Speaker 2: going to be able to go and rely on as

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Speaker 2: look at a lot of projections to help you really

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Speaker 2: on guys like Bucky Irving and Tank Bigsby and stuff

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Speaker 2: like that. But this number is fantastic because he's become

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Speaker 2: more of a primary rushing role and even though the

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Speaker 2: Saints are giving up so many yards you know, to

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Speaker 2: running backs, overall, it's the yards per carry over four

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Speaker 2: point five. So this is a great great spot for

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Speaker 2: Bucky Irving. Whether Rashad White is active or not, he

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Speaker 2: should slam this one of my favorites.

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Speaker 1: Of the week. Let's play a game here. Let's pretend

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Speaker 1: like he's inactive. Bucky Irving number goes up to fifty

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Speaker 1: two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Are you comfortable it's a good number. It's a pretty

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Speaker 2: good number. I was gonna say that's.

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Speaker 1: Why I'm Joey p because I come up with the

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Speaker 1: numbers with.

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Speaker 2: Rashonda that is that's what they all say. Actually, it's

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Speaker 2: what they say behind the scenes, or like Joey p.

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Speaker 1: With a number, Guy's got numbers, coach, Joe I would say,

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Speaker 1: like anything under fifty five feels like you're having an advantage.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, probably fifty two. I would still hit that.

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Speaker 2: Over fifty five. You know, we're we're just pushing it.

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Speaker 2: This is a Saint the Saints team. Here's a tough

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Speaker 2: thing with this team. It's like, what is this gonna

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Speaker 2: end up looking like? You know, this is this gonna

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Speaker 2: end up being like Spencer Rattler? Really does make this

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Speaker 2: team look efficient? Or is it going to be a

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Speaker 2: lot of in and out? So if the Bucks have

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Speaker 2: a big lead, this is phenomenal for Bucky Irving. If

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Speaker 2: the Saints were to look like they did in Week

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Speaker 2: one and they're playing from behind, that's more of a

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Speaker 2: restrad White play. I like the former though, So I

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Speaker 2: think the Bucks are going to be able to handle

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Speaker 2: some business in this and controlsome clock, and that works

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Speaker 2: really well for Bucky Irving.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on here. Ericson you are somebody

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Speaker 1: who's not afraid of the uglier side of betting, and

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Speaker 1: by ugly, I mean the Tennessee Titans. So you've chosen

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Speaker 1: a receiver here from the Titans you feel good about.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about Calvin Ridley and the.

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Speaker 3: Why Calvin Ridley over three and a half receptions because

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Speaker 3: the Squeaky Wheel remains undefeated. Ran Callahan came out this

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Speaker 3: week and said, quote, I need to find ways to

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Speaker 3: get you the ball Moreden talking directly to Calvin Ridley. Well,

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Speaker 3: this guy calls the players on offense. So what's gonna happen?

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Speaker 3: They're going to throw the ball to Calvin Ridley against

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Speaker 3: the Inanapolis Colts, who ranked thirtieth in yards per attempt

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Speaker 3: allowed the season, allowing the second most passing arts to

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Speaker 3: perimeter wide receivers of this season. That's how you attack

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Speaker 3: the Colts defense. If you're not running the football, you

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Speaker 3: are attacking their perimeter cornerbacks. That's where Calvin Ridley's going

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Speaker 3: to be deployed in this matchup. So look, this is

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Speaker 3: really simple for me. I think the number is too

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Speaker 3: low for a player that is the number one receiver

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Speaker 3: on his team in a positive matchup. You look at

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Speaker 3: the prop bet cheat sheet. Every receiver that has faced

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Speaker 3: the Colts, that's most comparable to Calvin Ridley has gotten

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Speaker 3: over their receptions totals this season. The projections have him

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Speaker 3: for four catches nearly fifty receiving yards, well ahead of

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Speaker 3: his projection on the lines in both receptions and receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: So I like both.

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Speaker 3: I like overruned receptions the over on the receiving yards

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Speaker 3: because really can also deliver it on a big play.

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Speaker 3: But I think that he's going to get volume here,

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Speaker 3: and we've seen games where he's had spiked weeks so

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Speaker 3: far this season with Will Levis, so it's a positive matchup.

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Speaker 3: I think you're getting a value here on this number

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Speaker 3: that I think is too low for Calvin Rick.

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Speaker 1: Well, he went over it in weeks one and two

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Speaker 1: for the receiving yards total. You know me, I'm always

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Speaker 1: hesitant to bet receptions. That's not where I like to live.

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Speaker 1: But the average number you're getting is forty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. There's still a couple of books I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at betting pros right now. And this is the joy

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Speaker 1: of the app right is I can see all the

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Speaker 1: different lines and you can still get forty one and

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Speaker 1: a half in a couple places. So take that forty

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Speaker 1: one and a half on the receiver yards. I would

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Speaker 1: let the receptions go, but Ericson makes a good case for,

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Speaker 1: as you said, the squeaky wheel getting the grease.

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Speaker 2: It is weird that you ended up doing this because

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Speaker 2: I was honed in on Taj Spears for some time.

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Speaker 2: I almost put Taja Spears receptions on this because Tony

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Speaker 2: Pollard was like two and a half at big minus money.

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Speaker 2: But it was big plus money for Taja Spears for

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Speaker 2: two and a half over. But at the end of

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Speaker 2: the day, Joe, you said this really well, Eric's is

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Speaker 2: not afraid to get into the mud and get into

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Speaker 2: the really gross side. Because then I had this epiphany.

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Speaker 2: I was like, oh, you're betting on Titans. We're not

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Speaker 2: gonna do that. We're gonna have fun this weekend. We're

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Speaker 2: not gonna sweat and have anxiety and need to sit

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Speaker 2: down half the time because we're very concerned. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: not bet on Titans. So I appreciate his ability, your ability,

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Speaker 2: Ericson to get into the mud because it's kind of gross.

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Speaker 1: It's very it's it is impressive, it is impressed.

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Speaker 3: The Remandra stevensib Bett was gross last week too. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: that's what I said on the TikTok and came absolutely did.

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Speaker 1: The Eagles are coming off of their they look to

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Speaker 1: get their two star wide receivers returning. Yet, Welsh, you

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Speaker 1: are still on Saquon Barkley's over on the receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about it, Brown Smith back. How does that

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Speaker 1: not hurt Barkley in this particular Wager.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean, in theory, it definitely can hurt it.

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Speaker 2: But Saquon Barkley has always been involved in the passing game.

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Speaker 2: That is always his thing. Three of four weeks he

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Speaker 2: has hit this number. So even with Brown and Smith

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Speaker 2: out there, we have still had that happen. The Browns

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Speaker 2: little bit more of a tougher defense in general, so

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Speaker 2: you might have a lot of secondary coverage that is targeting.

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Speaker 2: This might be a Dallas Goddard thing too, but it

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Speaker 2: might be really honed in on aj Brown and DeVante Smith.

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Speaker 2: One of the things with the Browns as well, besides

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Speaker 2: Saquon hitting this, they're averaging over eight yards given up

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Speaker 2: per reception to running backs. So Saquon is usually seeing

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Speaker 2: somewhere between three and four three and five targets of

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Speaker 2: to say, three or four catches per game. So you

293
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Speaker 2: can look at the reception prop which I believe might

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Speaker 2: even be three and a half on this one. This

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Speaker 2: is a low number, seventeen and a half. We don't

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Speaker 2: see this low of a number on Saquon that often.

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Speaker 2: And the Browns they've actually own, they've given this up

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Speaker 2: three times, three or five times this season. One of

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Speaker 2: those it was on two receptions. So I mean, you've

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Speaker 2: got big yards given up to running backs that are

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Speaker 2: getting out of the backfield. You see a lot of

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Speaker 2: other teams that you know it's like two three yards

303
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Speaker 2: per reception for RBS. These are big plays given up

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Speaker 2: two running backs to one of the players that has

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Speaker 2: to get the ball all the time in open field,

306
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Speaker 2: not just through the middle. So I love Saquon on this.

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Speaker 2: I like him to get three catches. I like him

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Speaker 2: to go over this by odds of yards per reception

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Speaker 2: that should put him over twenty. Projections across all systems

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Speaker 2: are over this seventeen and a half, Yes, seventeen and

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Speaker 2: a half over receiving yard. Saquon Barkley lock it up,

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Speaker 2: especially off the bye.

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Speaker 1: If Welsh is in on Barkley and you have a

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Speaker 1: returning AJ Brown, you gotta get him the football, So

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Speaker 1: who's the odd man out ericson could Smith? Dare I

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Speaker 1: say undertaker be staring at an under in Week six?

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Speaker 3: I think so, I'm going under on five and a

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00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:10,719
Speaker 3: half receptions for DeVante Smith at this particular number. He's

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Speaker 3: only gone over in seven of his last seventeen games

320
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Speaker 3: played with AJ Brown dating back to the beginning of

321
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Speaker 3: last season. This is something that carries over with fantasy too.

322
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Speaker 3: Dovonte Smith's numbers get boosted dramatically when AJ Brown or

323
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Speaker 3: Dallas Goddard missed time. That's really when you see him

324
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Speaker 3: step up and you see him put up lesser numbers

325
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Speaker 3: when these guys are healthy. So I think that this

326
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Speaker 3: line at five and a half is just too high,

327
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Speaker 3: especially against the Cleveland Browns, who I think that they're

328
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Speaker 3: weaker against the run than the pass. They've allowed the

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Speaker 3: fifth fuse completions to opposing offenses this season with the

330
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Speaker 3: second lowest completion rate, so you're looking at, okay, the

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Speaker 3: yardage versus the receptions totals. I don't think Smith is

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Speaker 3: going to see enough volume in this particular matchup to

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Speaker 3: go over five and a half catches, Whereas I know

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Speaker 3: that he's dynamic of enough of a player to get

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Speaker 3: to the yardage potentially. So that's why I'm staying away

336
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Speaker 3: from the yards here and going for the under on

337
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Speaker 3: the receptions because I don't know if we look at

338
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Speaker 3: this match and say, well, Jalen Hurts, you got to

339
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Speaker 3: drop back and throw forty times in this particular matchup

340
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Speaker 3: when we have saquad against the Cleveland Browns who are

341
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Speaker 3: reeling on defense right now. So going under on the

342
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Speaker 3: Eagles wide receiver.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's continue on here to number four again.

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Speaker 1: We still got some touchdown calls to make later in

345
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Speaker 1: the show, but before we get to Gooes, we're going

346
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Speaker 1: to talk about the Jets, well, because the Jets are

347
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Speaker 1: fun to talk about in some ways. I guess. So

348
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Speaker 1: the Jets move on for Robert slip, but yet still

349
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Speaker 1: Nathaniel Hackett gets devoted from play calling. I guess Jeff

350
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Speaker 1: Ulbrich said, Yeah, the problem is this, and whether you

351
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Speaker 1: want to hear it or not, I guess what's what

352
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Speaker 1: he John's gonna do. He's gonna fire the interim head coach.

353
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Speaker 1: I mean, he's going to continue to make these calls

354
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Speaker 1: here and now calling plays. It is now Todd downing

355
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Speaker 1: who likes to hand the football off last time Mike

356
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Speaker 1: check so Welsh, do we finally get a breakout Breeze

357
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Speaker 1: Hall game? Because I know Aaron Rodgers doesn't want to

358
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Speaker 1: hand the ball off. He wants to throw. He's getting

359
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Speaker 1: old and the time in the sun is setting here.

360
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Speaker 1: But does that mean that we get Breece Hall finally

361
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Speaker 1: maybe getting a little bit more action, some more volume

362
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Speaker 1: and maybe an over Dare I say, yeah.

363
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Speaker 2: That's where I'm going with this, Like I think if

364
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:09,280
Speaker 2: there are two things that are going to be in

365
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Speaker 2: play here, especially, it's kind of like the interim coach thing,

366
00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:14,080
Speaker 2: like you have a coaching change, you get back to

367
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Speaker 2: basics and what are the things that you would look

368
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Speaker 2: to do get it into your best playmaker's hands. Who

369
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Speaker 2: are those players? Garrett Wilson Breese Hall actually should be

370
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Speaker 2: number one on that list. I'm not going at rushing

371
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Speaker 2: yards because I still do think it's a little bit

372
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Speaker 2: squarely with the Braylen Allen thing, even though the numbers

373
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,840
Speaker 2: are looking good. What I am focused on are his

374
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,280
Speaker 2: receiving yards. I love running back receiving yard props and

375
00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:39,080
Speaker 2: I'm pretty heavy on it this week, but this one

376
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:41,800
Speaker 2: specifically is my favorite. Twenty three and a half for

377
00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:46,360
Speaker 2: Brecee Hall. Projections are over thirty. Breese's hit this number

378
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 2: in three of five games so far up against the Bills.

379
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:54,080
Speaker 2: Bills are averaging two running backs, six catches and over

380
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Speaker 2: sixty receiving yards to RB so far this season, and

381
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Speaker 2: four of five games the running back has hit this

382
00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 2: prop against the Bills. So this is not weighted into

383
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:09,360
Speaker 2: one thing. Four or five rbs have hit this singular

384
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Speaker 2: prop two like the number one receiving running back in

385
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Speaker 2: the NFL. So to your point, if it could go

386
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Speaker 2: heavy into Breeeshall running, but my point is you want

387
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Speaker 2: to get the ball in his hand because they like

388
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Speaker 2: putting it with Braylin between the tackles, you might see

389
00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,080
Speaker 2: a lot more screen passes to Breshall, getting him an

390
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:30,280
Speaker 2: open field because they don't have a whole lot of

391
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Speaker 2: other guy. You're gonna see Garrett Wilson, a little bit

392
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:36,040
Speaker 2: of lizard, but open field. Breashall this receiving yard prop

393
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Speaker 2: it's gonna hit this week. Really, if I were putting

394
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Speaker 2: these in like my value of how much I really

395
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Speaker 2: like them, this one would actually be number two. This

396
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Speaker 2: is just how I ended up putting them for the show.

397
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Speaker 2: But this is probably my second favorite of the week.

398
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Speaker 1: You know, it's funny. For the juice you're getting on that,

399
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Speaker 1: I think I would rather me personally, rather take the

400
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 1: fifty two and a half over on the rushing. He's

401
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,640
Speaker 1: hit this actually three of his five games this year

402
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Speaker 1: before the last two weeks debacle of this offense. So

403
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,520
Speaker 1: in two of those three games the Jets actually won.

404
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Speaker 1: So if you're gonna win this football game here, and

405
00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:09,400
Speaker 1: it is a huge football game, you take the ball

406
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:10,639
Speaker 1: a baron Rodgers hands and you put it in.

407
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Speaker 2: Well, you just what you just told everybody is actually

408
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,720
Speaker 2: just do rushing and receiving and take eat a little

409
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Speaker 2: bit of the juice and.

410
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Speaker 1: If you want it, if you can find the combo too,

411
00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:20,120
Speaker 1: that's an interesting one because you give yourself more outs.

412
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Speaker 1: But you gotta look at what the juice is on there.

413
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Speaker 1: For my money, again, if I'm gonna go to something

414
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Speaker 1: that's minus one twenty, I want something it's a little

415
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,399
Speaker 1: bit more controllable in my opinion, which is the rushing.

416
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Speaker 1: But to Welsh's point, it's Breece Hall this week, like

417
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Speaker 1: you have to get back to utilizing your best weapon.

418
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Speaker 1: Play defense, run the football, keep it simple. Now. Whether

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Speaker 1: or not that's gonna fly with aa Ron, we'll see.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to one of the big games we've got

421
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Speaker 1: on the slate here. This is a marquee matchup Washington

422
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Speaker 1: Baltimore one where you have Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels. You

423
00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:53,920
Speaker 1: got a lot of fun things happening in this game, Ericson,

424
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Speaker 1: Let's talk about a receiver in this game that stands

425
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Speaker 1: out to you that you want to bed.

426
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Speaker 3: Look at Terry McLaurin, number one wide receiver for the

427
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 3: Washington command and is looking over four and a half

428
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 3: receptions for him. Looking at the Ravens defense, how do

429
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 3: you attack this defense through the air? I really think

430
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 3: that the Commanders might actually struggle to run the football here.

431
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 3: Brian Robinson is banged up and the Ravens are playing

432
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:13,880
Speaker 3: at home, so I think they're going to make Jade

433
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 3: Daniels have to throw the ball, and we know that's

434
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 3: going to go to Terry McLaurin. They've allowed the fifth

435
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 3: most receptions on defense this season, So because I think

436
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 3: that they're going to be trailing in this spot, I

437
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 3: think McLaurin is really set up well here When you

438
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,920
Speaker 3: look at the two times McLaurin has gone over this

439
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 3: number of this season weeks two and four. Those came

440
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 3: in contests where Jade Daniels attempted at least twenty nine passes.

441
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 3: Look at his pass attempts prop this week to thirty

442
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 3: one and a half attempts. So the median projection is

443
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 3: he's going to be passing the ball at least thirty times.

444
00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,679
Speaker 3: And when he's done that so far this year, Terry

445
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 3: has benefited the most from it. So every quarterback the

446
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 3: Ravens have faced this year has attempted at least twenty

447
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 3: eight passes. So if they're dropping back to throw, I

448
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 3: know it's going to Terry McLaurin. So I like the

449
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 3: overhere on his receptions prop.

450
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 1: Okay, so we're going to over on TMC. We got

451
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 1: one more pick for the guys. Let's go to Arizona,

452
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 1: one of the upstart potentially Arizona Cardinals. I mean, it's tough.

453
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,640
Speaker 1: They're Jackal and Highwalsh every single week, so it's tough

454
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,600
Speaker 1: to figure out which version of Kyler Murder we're going

455
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 1: to get. If we get the good one this week,

456
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 1: what does that mean potentially for let's say Marvin Erison junior.

457
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,119
Speaker 2: Big big positives. We're gonna have the bounce back on

458
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,920
Speaker 2: Marvin Harrison this week. Harrison's receiving yard prop sitting at

459
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 2: fifty five and a half projections are over sixty going

460
00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,840
Speaker 2: over to PFF, he has the number one wide receiver

461
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 2: corner matchup according to PFF, which you definitely like to watch,

462
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 2: even if it doesn't end up being, you know, the greatest.

463
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 2: It's one of the best overall matchups for separation, which

464
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 2: is kind of a problem with him. You get a

465
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,880
Speaker 2: bad corner with a guy that hasn't had really good

466
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 2: separation numbers, then we can take advantage of it. You

467
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:46,359
Speaker 2: get a really lockdown corner and we're gonna have some struggles.

468
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,640
Speaker 2: You have a bad time, you're gonna pivot going back over.

469
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 2: It's my self park thing. You didn't get it.

470
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:54,919
Speaker 1: I always pizza when I should friends, exactly, it's my

471
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:55,679
Speaker 1: undoing thank you.

472
00:20:56,119 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 2: A wide receiver in five games against the Packers has

473
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,760
Speaker 2: gone over this marker. So five times has gone over

474
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 2: this marker. So this is a good spot. It's a

475
00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 2: great cornerback matchup. We're gonna bounce. We're gonna have to

476
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 2: bounce back off of the really bad performance from Marvin Harrison,

477
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 2: and I think we're gonna get the big targets going

478
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 2: back as well. That's we were talking. Ericson and I

479
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 2: were talking about, you know, maybe the cell potential that's

480
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 2: on Marvin Harrison right now because the separation numbers are

481
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,239
Speaker 2: so bad. And part of that as well is the

482
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,080
Speaker 2: catch rate isn't great, so he's got to get volume.

483
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 2: This is a matchup where you're gonna get volume. This

484
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 2: is a matchup where you're gonna have points scores, probably

485
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: a matchup where the Cardinals are going to be playing

486
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,439
Speaker 2: from behind. So due to all of that, this is

487
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 2: a very very obtainable number that projections really like. And

488
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 2: I dig on the receiving yard numbers. Anything under sixty

489
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 2: seems like a really smashed play for Marvin Harrison. So

490
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,679
Speaker 2: that's my final one.

491
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 1: All right, last for Ericson, we'll get to the touchdown calls. Andrew.

492
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 1: We always like to find the small numbers. The small

493
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: numbers sometimes are the best ones. But you're still going

494
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:00,399
Speaker 1: under on a small number this week when it comes

495
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 1: to eight and O'Connell, let's talk about it.

496
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 3: A O'Connell making the start for the Las Vegas Raiders.

497
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 3: An Tony appears has seen enough of Gardner Minshow it

498
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 3: only took five weeks. I'm going under two and a

499
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,919
Speaker 3: half rushing yards O'Connell. Last year, he went over two

500
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards in just four of his

501
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 3: eleven games played, and in each of those games when

502
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,600
Speaker 3: he went over, he had three rushing yards. When it

503
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 3: comes to Adan O'Connell, he is one of the most

504
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 3: immobile quarterbacks basically ever to play in the NFL. Looking

505
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,080
Speaker 3: at per Next Gen Stats, right, O'Connell did not record

506
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 3: a single scramble rush attempt on any of his three

507
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 3: hundred and sixty seven dropbacks last season, joining fellow Purdue

508
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 3: alumni Drew Brees as the only qualified passers to not

509
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,080
Speaker 3: attempt a single scramble run in the season in the

510
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:45,919
Speaker 3: Next Gen Stats era Perdue, quarterbacks apparently just don't like

511
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 3: to scramble at the NFL level. So given the fact

512
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 3: that they're facing the Steelers pass rush, am O'Connell is

513
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 3: sitting duck and he's not getting able to move and

514
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,959
Speaker 3: pick up yards. So I am slamming the under here

515
00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 3: at two and a half rushing yards because even if

516
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 3: he's able to the pocket, he's not going over the

517
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 3: lat of scrimmage. He just doesn't do it. He's gonna

518
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 3: try to look downfield and try to get off a throw.

519
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 3: So for me, it's under you here on Aidan O'Connell.

520
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 3: I love the guy, love I think that he was

521
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 3: kind of plucky last year at times. But yeah, he's

522
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 3: not a mobile quarterback and he's gonna be sitting duck

523
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:15,679
Speaker 3: this week, all.

524
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:19,840
Speaker 1: Right, So sitting duck, Aiden O'Connell. Sorry, Raiders fans might

525
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 1: not be getting too much better for you, especially with

526
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: the Steelers come into town. Let's talk about touchdowns, and

527
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 1: of course the Touchdown Score Report at bettingpros dot com

528
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 1: slash touchdown is a great way for you to get

529
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: edge as on touchdown bets. That's what we're trying to do.

530
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 1: We love the TD calls around these parts. Our Touchdown

531
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 1: Score Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds

532
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:41,200
Speaker 1: and projects how helpful it's going to be for the

533
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown to actually hit. So if you want to

534
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,160
Speaker 1: get ahead of the curve here, go to betting pros

535
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 1: dot com slash touchdown so you can score with all

536
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 1: of your TD bets. Let's get to Welsh. Give me

537
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 1: two guys to find the end zone in week.

538
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 2: Six, Marvin Harrison. Just like I talked before, you get

539
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 2: the best cornerback wide receiver matchup and you get plus money.

540
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 2: We're going plus one twenty on Marvin Harrison this week.

541
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 2: I really like that one, and I got a plus

542
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 2: two hundred play. It's a little bit grosser because quarterback

543
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 2: we just talked about him, Aidan O'Connell. I'm going with

544
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 2: Brock Bowers. But we're getting two to one on our money.

545
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 2: You get a backup quarterback in we're gonna play safety net.

546
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 2: They don't have safety nets in the backfield for them

547
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 2: to throw to. So what do you do? Rock Powers?

548
00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:27,920
Speaker 1: You do Brock.

549
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,640
Speaker 2: Powers all day long, baby, because you're not going deep.

550
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 2: There's no even receivers to go to anymore. The Steelers

551
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 2: have given up two receiving touchdowns to tight end so

552
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: far this year and got Torch last week nine for

553
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,879
Speaker 2: ninety eight on Jake Ferguson. So this is going to

554
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 2: be I don't think the Raiders are going to particularly

555
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 2: play super well, but wherever the ball is going, it'll

556
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: be going to Bowers. And I really like when they

557
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 2: get in the red zone for them to target him.

558
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 2: Good rush defense, for the Steelers to take Alexander Madison

559
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 2: out of that brock Bowers anytime touchdown, I believe it's

560
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 2: plus two hundred, maybe even two ten. So give me Bowers.

561
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,959
Speaker 1: Let me tell you, I love this one. And I

562
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: know it's gonna be tough sledding for them against that

563
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh defense. But at the same time, you got no Adams,

564
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:14,919
Speaker 1: you got Myers hurt run game is crap, uh, brock Bowers.

565
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,679
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just telling you what it is. It

566
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 1: is crap. Is being polite. Sorry, Raiders fans. I mean

567
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 1: hopeful it gets better, but you know, maybe someday Eric said.

568
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 3: You got twenty twenty five right round the corner.

569
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:30,919
Speaker 1: Can't come soon enough for the Raiders fans. All right, Well,

570
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 1: least your stadium's cool. I mean, you got that sweet.

571
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 2: Dude cool, good job, sweet dude.

572
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:37,919
Speaker 1: And your owner's got an amazing haircut.

573
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 2: I would give anything for you to have the Davis hair.

574
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 2: I would kill.

575
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 1: Halloween's not that far away. If you can find a

576
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 1: wig that matches that with a visor or something, I

577
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:52,360
Speaker 1: will I will wear.

578
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,120
Speaker 2: That listeners on the shan Duty. We need a link.

579
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 2: Get us a link. I need that one.

580
00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,080
Speaker 1: Drop it in the comments below. Please any sort of

581
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 1: of you know, Mark Davis, Oh my god, please, Rack

582
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: have a show.

583
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 2: But we all do like we did with baseball with

584
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,960
Speaker 2: mind Joe Dirt, will just all wear Mark Davis Wiggs

585
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 2: and then we're.

586
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 1: Not above the Wigs. Well should I have already proven

587
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 1: that on the Baseball Channel, which by the way, you

588
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:21,680
Speaker 1: should subscribe to off season baseball stuff. Canna hurt hicking

589
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 1: up pretty soon? All right, Erickson, give me two guys

590
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: a score in week six?

591
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, enough of this baseball nonsense. I'm going with more nonsense.

592
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 3: Zach Ertz plus four to twenty five to score. Look,

593
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 3: with tight ends, you just need games with us points, right,

594
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:37,239
Speaker 3: That's what I'm looking for here.

595
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 1: Zach Ertz.

596
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 3: He had four red zone targets last week. I think

597
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 3: the Commanders are going to be throwing a lot in

598
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:44,880
Speaker 3: this particular matchup. The Ravens are second in terms of yards,

599
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 3: targets and receiving arts two tight ends this season, So

600
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 3: zach Ertz, He's not great. He's got to fall in

601
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 3: the end zone. But the Ravens are keying in on

602
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 3: stopping the run. I think they have to throw the

603
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:55,919
Speaker 3: ball in the red zone. I'm gonna go with zach

604
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,199
Speaker 3: Ertz a plus four twenty five, and then one of

605
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,879
Speaker 3: our London games early Keenan out. I like him at

606
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 3: plus two to fifteen. I think Welsh had Keenan Allen

607
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 3: as anytime touchdown score.

608
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,479
Speaker 2: I almost picked it this sight too, but they're London.

609
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 2: I'm not doing that, so I almost did.

610
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 3: I want the people to wake up to a winner

611
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: with a touchdown score. So Keenan Allen to me, he

612
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 3: has been still heavily involved in the red zone, especially

613
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 3: even last week he had a two point conversion attempt

614
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 3: but it came up short. But when I've been watching

615
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,639
Speaker 3: these Bears games, Caleb is looking for Keenan Allen in

616
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 3: the red zone. So given that the Jaguars play the

617
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 3: NFL's highest rate of man coverage, Keenan Allen leads the

618
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 3: team in target share against man coverage. So I know

619
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 3: that he's been quiet for the majority of the season.

620
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 3: Obviously was missing a couple games with an injury, but

621
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 3: I think he's got a surprise here. So I think

622
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 3: he's undervalued at plus two to fifteen as kind of

623
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 3: that Bears number three receiver. I think he finds the

624
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,480
Speaker 3: end zone in London. That's my London prop bet to

625
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 3: a touchdown of the week.

626
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: There you go, all right, I've got two for you

627
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 1: in the same game, and they're both quarterbacks. I think

628
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: it's going to be as advertised, Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson.

629
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:59,919
Speaker 1: Give me Jayden Daniels at plus one fifty Lamar ja

630
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 1: accident plus one forty five. Both qbs to have rushing

631
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: touchdowns in this game. I think it's gonna be a

632
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 1: wild one. I think it's gonna be fun. I don't

633
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: think Jayde Daniels has any pressure on him. Again, this

634
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 1: is all just fun for him. I don't think he's

635
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: going to choke in the big spot. I really don't.

636
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,399
Speaker 1: I think he's going to at least be competitive for

637
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 1: the first three quarters of this game. We'll see if

638
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 1: they can hang for four with the Baltimore Ravens. But

639
00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 1: Lamar has a lot to prove. He's the MVP. He's

640
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: got a team right now that I think is finally

641
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 1: going in the right direction. And most importantly, if you're

642
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,199
Speaker 1: the ragning MVP, the last thing you want to hear

643
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 1: about this young kid coming into town and how good

644
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 1: he is and all this, and he's the new Lamar Jackson.

645
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 1: I think the old Lamar Jackson shows up and reminds

646
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 1: everybody he is the best Lamar Jackson. So give me Lamar,

647
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 1: give me Jayden Daniels in what I think is not

648
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: going to be a disappointing game between the Ravens and

649
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 1: the Commanders. I can't believe I said those words. A

650
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 1: non disappointing game with the Commanders in it? Unbelievable.

651
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 3: Do you like the Commanders? What plus seven do you like?

652
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 3: Do you like that side? You know?

653
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 1: This game has so many variables. I think I just

654
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: want the over because I do think that, you know,

655
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 1: I don't think there's quit in the Commanders. I just

656
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 1: don't see that in them. Now. Could be wrong, Maybe

657
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 1: we'll get the real test here, but I think this

658
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 1: game has a lot of variables and ranges of outcomes

659
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,320
Speaker 1: of how things can go, and I think the best

660
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 1: path is maybe just to stay away from that line

661
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 1: altogether and just go for the over. Under Welsh, what

662
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 1: do you think.

663
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 2: About saying it sounds like Rickson likes plus seven Commanders?

664
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 2: Sounds like I would probably tease them. I don't think

665
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 2: I would. If I were to have a play, it

666
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: would be the over. I'm not sure that I would

667
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,480
Speaker 2: actually touch this game. I think I could see the

668
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 2: scenario where the Ravens blow this out. I would just

669
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 2: point out the Commanders like they're playing really well, but

670
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 2: most touchdowns given up receiving. I know this is a

671
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 2: heavy running team. I dabbled with maybe doing a Mark

672
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 2: Andrews anytime touchdown in this game, because if there was

673
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:54,719
Speaker 2: a time to do it.

674
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 1: Oh, I love it. I already I'd rather bet, you know.

675
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 2: But I'm just saying I've had.

676
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 1: The over for Mark Andrews this week. It was twenty

677
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 1: three and a half yards or something that I'm over.

678
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:06,680
Speaker 1: I'm already I.

679
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 2: Could see the Ravens beating the Commanders by twenty in

680
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 2: this game, or I could see this coming down to

681
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 2: the wire because Jayden Daniels is the defining factor. He

682
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 2: keeps this Commander's seen. He is so efficient, he's the

683
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,080
Speaker 2: anti early Lamar Jackson. He can run and he is

684
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 2: massively efficient. So I guess what I'm saying is I

685
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 2: don't have a great field. The only feel I would

686
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 2: have is to play an over on the total. Everything

687
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 2: else is just I don't know, man, I can't say.

688
00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: There's also be the garbage s time where the Ravens

689
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 1: get ahead and then all of a sudden the Commanders

690
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 1: kind of chip away, chip away, and all of a

691
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 1: sudden that seven doesn't look so good anymore. But ericson

692
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 1: where are you at with the seven?

693
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one is interesting to me because all the

694
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 3: media that I've absorbed this week talks about and rightfully so, oh,

695
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 3: this is a great game, Like CBS is sending its

696
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 3: star crew to cover this game with Romo and nance,

697
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 3: and you look at how many times have we seen,

698
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 3: like the game of the week be a seven point spread, right?

699
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:58,719
Speaker 3: Isn't that kind of weird where it's almost like the

700
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 3: talk of this game said, oh point spread, baby, Like

701
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 3: it's gonna be a shootout, it's gonna be back and forth,

702
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 3: but the spread still sits at seven points. So I

703
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 3: kind of lean with Welsh here where I think the

704
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 3: Ravens might destroy the Commanders or it's gonna maybe the

705
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 3: Commanders win out right, So I kind of like going

706
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 3: on the two opposite ends of the spectrum versus oh,

707
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 3: it's gonna be.

708
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:19,680
Speaker 1: You know, the last time I thought the Ravens were

709
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: gonna destroy a team, they lost at home to the Raiders.

710
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 1: So that's all I'm saying, is like, I I respect

711
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:29,560
Speaker 1: what the Ravens have been doing. They've gotten back on track,

712
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: but they also have a weird way of letting teams

713
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 1: hang around sometimes, and that's.

714
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 3: Bad teams that they do that. And I don't think

715
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 3: that the Commanders are viewed as a bad team, right,

716
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 3: I don't know if.

717
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 1: They're I think they're viewed as a fun team. I

718
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 1: don't know if they're good or bad yet. I'll tell

719
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: you I think we're gonna get answer, get the crown.

720
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: Joey King, Henry King, Henry is always a good bed.

721
00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 2: Folks, exactly, there you go, King Henry.

722
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: Always, always, always a bet on King Henry always. That'll

723
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 1: do it for us. Make sure you download the check

724
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: out the prop bet Chee Cheet to help you make

725
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 1: the best prop bets for Week six in the NFL.

726
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: The King is now officially abdicating the throne and leaving

727
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 1: you all to have a wonderful Week six for the

728
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 1: Welsh and Andrew ericson the Undertaker, I'm Joey P. King,

729
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. Oh look

730
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 1: at it. Shot My god. Let that be a lesson

731
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 1: to all the minions. Thanks for listening to the Betting

732
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 1: Pros podcast. If you love the show, the best freeway

733
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,600
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734
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,160
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735
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:40,800
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736
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,840
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737
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:45,560
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