1 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: dot com, the radio plus mobile lap and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm camer in Moscow. 4 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: There's updates brought to you by Sector spider e t 5 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: F S. Why buy a single stock when you can 6 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: invest in the entire sector becaus its sector sp d 7 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,319 Speaker 1: r s dot com are called six sector et F. 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: European stocks falling, while German government bonds rise with gold 9 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: and the yen after explosions rocked a Brussels airport departure 10 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 1: hall and a downtown subway station. Travel and leisure shares 11 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,240 Speaker 1: are leading the slide. Futures on the s n P 12 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: five are also lower. We checked the markets every fifteen 13 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg SNP Emni futures 14 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: are down eight points down, EUNI futures down forty six 15 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,959 Speaker 1: and NAS documni futures down twenty. The decks in Germany's 16 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 1: down three tenths per cent, CAC in Paris down almost 17 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: seven tenths percent, FT one hundred down half percent ten, 18 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: Your treasury up five thirty seconds, the yield one pot 19 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: eight nine per cent to eel. Then the two year 20 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: point eight four percent Nimex crude oil down eight tenths 21 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 1: per cent or thirty two cents to forty one twenty one. 22 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 1: A barrel Comex school is up nine tenths per cent 23 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: or eleven dollars twenty cents at twelve forty announced, the 24 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: euro a dollar twelve twenty eight, the British founded dollar 25 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:19,119 Speaker 1: forty six, and a yen one eleven point six six. 26 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: And that's a Bloomberg business flash, Tom and Mike Karen, 27 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: thanks so much. What advantages of Bloomberg surveillance is we 28 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: have people that do the heavy lifting for us. Kasia 29 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: Klemasinska has done the heavy listing for me and Michael 30 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: McKee this morning. She is of Bloomberg first word and 31 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: summarizes out of Washington and her news bureau in Washington. 32 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: The response of three presidential candidates. Mr Cruz says he 33 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: will defeat radical Islamic terrorism if elected. Mr Ks of 34 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 1: Ohio says, we must strengthen our alliances, redouble our efforts 35 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: with our allies to identify, rout out and destroy the 36 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: perpetrators of such acts of evil. And Mr Trump, has 37 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: reported earlier says we should close our borders in response 38 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: to terror. Robert Muga with US with the Garape Institute. 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 1: He is hugely qualified on violence across all of our 40 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 1: global urban areas, including terrorism. Dr Mugga, if you were 41 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: to advise one of these three candidates with three very 42 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: different approaches, what would be your prescription for the new 43 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 1: protection of society against suicide terrorism? I think there are 44 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: a number of things I advise U, and the first 45 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 1: is cautme UH and data evidence to have a clear 46 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: headed understanding of what's happened before we barely in because 47 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: I think sort of bull horn style approaches are likely 48 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: to make the problem worse and amplify the risk and 49 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: perhaps reduce it. But I think there's a three or 50 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,359 Speaker 1: four things that are that that that that might apply here. 51 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: And the first is that if you're you're you're going 52 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: to drect extremist radicalist Islamic or other religious forms extremist violence, 53 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: you've got to start with your communities, in your neighborhoods UM. 54 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: And that means building resilience in your communities UM, working 55 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 1: with local groups because they're there to stay, UM to 56 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 1: to try to address the remote radicalizations taking place both 57 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: online and off. The second thing you've got to do 58 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: is you've really got to show up your police community 59 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: relations in many of these areas, in Paris or Brussels, 60 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: or even in London and frankly in the States, where 61 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: you've seen the kind of extremist violence emerging is in 62 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: those areas where the police have very little influenced where 63 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: communities are hostspiler and pagonistic to the police, and more 64 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: frankly as a lack of communication, understanding and awareness between 65 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: these groups. And you can't do proper policing and intelligence 66 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: but policing unless you start getting into the communities. The 67 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: third thing you gotta do, I think is have much 68 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: better information sharing and intelligence sharing across borders. I think 69 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: Europe has not done the greatest job when it comes 70 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: to sharing information. They're trying, they're trying to get their 71 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,160 Speaker 1: act together, but they're not aware of right now se 72 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 1: were in the midst of a long term campaign, a 73 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: guerrilla style campaign. These are not isolated incidents that we're 74 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: seeing in brust some Paris, but I think are part 75 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: of a distributed network and we have to get much 76 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: sharper and smarter both sharing our intelligence. And the final 77 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: thing i'd say, apart from investing obviously in development and 78 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: trying to reduce inequality, is don't throw up the borders 79 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: so quickly. I think part of this effort of this 80 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: ISIS and other groups UM is ostensibly to separate and 81 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: divide communities, to drive people indoors and to create others 82 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:34,840 Speaker 1: and reduced communication not just domestically but internationally. And I 83 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: think if you start shutting down borders, then we've lost. 84 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: We have the Europeans have an issue that we don't 85 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 1: have in regard to the borders, and that is the 86 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: massive number of your refugees coming from the Middle East. 87 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 1: Without shutting the borders, how do they protect themselves. I 88 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 1: think that we have to get a little bit. We 89 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: have to obviously invest much more in screaming asylum clayments. 90 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: We have to get much better at addressing the warning 91 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: signs before and during and after asylum seekers safe haven 92 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: in in community across Europe. UM. I think we have 93 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,920 Speaker 1: to avoid the hysteria, but we have to sort of 94 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: be rational about how we engaged this this issue UM. 95 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: The fact of the matter is a very small number 96 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 1: of those who are involved in both Paris and or 97 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: the Brussels bombings were in fact asylum claimants, and our 98 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: refugees many were second and third generation Europeans. And I 99 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: think you could almost say the same for the potential 100 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 1: risk in parts of North America that is less likely 101 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 1: to come from people seeking asylum ninety nine percent of 102 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: whom are legitimate asylum claimants, and much more likely to 103 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: come from let's say, longer term immigrants, second third generation 104 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: who feel somehow they haven't benefited from the dividends of 105 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: the American dream. Now, the United States UM has not 106 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: had a major terror attacks since nine eleven. Is there 107 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: something that the US is doing that the rest of 108 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 1: the world is not, or have we just been lucky? 109 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: I think that, you know, the US learned a very 110 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 1: painful lesson from from nine eleven, and there was a 111 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: great effort to try to develop much more coordinated capabilities 112 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: across different uh you know, sectors, UM and the departments. 113 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: And I think that the security and others have done 114 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: quite an effort to try to integrate and either the 115 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 1: local level, You've got dozens and dozens of these data 116 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: fusion centers have been established at the county and even 117 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 1: city level intended to try to you know, enhance the 118 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 1: intelligence sharing and the response capability. So I do think 119 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: that the United States has done, um, you know, a 120 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 1: lot of their homework to try to address some of 121 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: these threats. Does not to say at all that there 122 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: isn't a risk, because the risk is still there. Um. 123 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: The other issue that you already mentioned is the border question. 124 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: The United States has only two borders, um, through which 125 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 1: there is enormous blow of people and products. But it's 126 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 1: not the same situation in the Europe where you've got 127 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: multiple neighbors with very complex and I would say deeply 128 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: rooted migrant population to have yet to integrate effectively. UM. 129 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: So I think that you know, the issue borders is 130 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: a is a major challenge for Europe that you know, 131 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: baby thinking negotiate very carefully. But I think the risk 132 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: is throwing back up the borders is that you deepen 133 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 1: the divisions and you create more problems um. And you 134 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: essentially fulfill the wishes of ices, which is to create 135 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: a divided, separated, polarized Europe. Within the polarized Europe is 136 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: I guess the all of the fear of a breakdown 137 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 1: and post World War two institutions. That's really to me 138 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: not a goal of what we've observed in Paris and Belgium. 139 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: What is the goal of ISIS. I think the goal 140 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: is uh. But within Europe, is there a goal within 141 00:07:55,040 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: Europe with amongst the ISIS groups from Asian government among 142 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: the ISIS groups, I think the goal is to I mean, 143 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: the stated goal is to get Europe and the United 144 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 1: States coalition allies out of some of these countries, UH, 145 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: you know in which in which wars have been waged 146 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: for the the last decades. UM. So the stated goal, I 147 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: think is is about removing initially United States and its 148 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 1: allies from Syria, from Iraq, from then and from other 149 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 1: countries where they're wasting conflict. The secondary goal, I think 150 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: perhaps even it's aligned with the first, is to create 151 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: a caliphate UM that stands particular territory over which you know, 152 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 1: ISIS were utiliates with how dominion UM. And I think 153 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 1: that's what we're seeing in this large expanse of iracking 154 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: and hard to Syria UM. The third goal, I think 155 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:52,400 Speaker 1: is it perhaps about challenging UM the dominance that we're 156 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: you know, Europe and in North America over the years 157 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 1: at its heart, and this is where I think the 158 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 1: radicalization of European to self radicalization. Auto radicalization comes into 159 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: bold what people have felt disenfranchised or or or somehow 160 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: unintegrated in the in the broader project. Um. And so 161 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 1: there's a kind of vindictive striking back at the heart 162 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 1: of Europe. UM. But I think I think those are 163 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: the stated goals. The United States canceled a court hearing 164 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: today in which Apple and the government were to face 165 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:25,559 Speaker 1: off over unlocking the secrets of a terrorist cell phone. 166 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 1: What is the line? Is it easy enough to define 167 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 1: for government officials in terms of civil liberties and protection. 168 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: It's a very difficult line, and I think many companies 169 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: are are are themselves struggling to determine where that line lies. Um. 170 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 1: You know obviously that the question here is a balancing 171 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:49,959 Speaker 1: of public safety against individual privacy. Companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, 172 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: Twitter and others are all deeply sensitive about the risks 173 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:58,599 Speaker 1: to the integrity of customer data, but also the slippery slope. UM. 174 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 1: And I think what's interesting means, you know, this this 175 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: dispute or this court case that's over over over the phone, um, 176 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 1: in the standard deal case. I think it's presaging a 177 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: much more global struggle right now between companies and states 178 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: over where to draw that line. But in their defense, 179 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 1: companies like Google, Facebook, and Twitter all started the last 180 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: couple of years to take much more proactive efforts to 181 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: try to, for example, scrape out ice pro lices, websites 182 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 1: or Facebook. Twitter itself is taken down a hundred thousand 183 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 1: plus undy Twitter handles. Um. You know, Google has introduced 184 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 1: new AdWords programs to to try to have pro and 185 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: positive counter narratives, so you'll see companies I think also 186 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: stree to be more proactive. Robert greatly appreciate this. He 187 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: is from Brazil this morning from Rio, and I really 188 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,400 Speaker 1: appreciate your efforts to be with us ear Grappi institutes. 189 00:10:56,559 --> 00:11:00,319 Speaker 1: Robert uh all have much more coverage here. Much to 190 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: talk about a little bit of market coverage as well 191 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: against sterling weaker this morning, Michael McKee and Tom Keane 192 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 1: with all of Bloomberg worldwide. This is Bloomberg surveillance