1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,520 Speaker 1: It is Rivalry week and the final week of the 3 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: college football regular season. Today we take a first look 4 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: at Week fourteen and make our early picks and line 5 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 1: movement predictions. I'm your host at Wilcock and I'm absolutely 6 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: still reeling from the weirdest weekend of football I can remember, 7 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,639 Speaker 1: maybe ever. Today I'm joined by my partner in crime, 8 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: Scott Bogman. Ooh, Boggs. How you doing today? After getting 9 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: done dirty by those no good buck guys. I told 10 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:33,560 Speaker 1: you I don't even think I'm gonna make it into 11 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: the show. I did make it. It must go on. 12 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: How you doing? I'm here with you? 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: Yeah. 14 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 3: I mean three and four this week on my official pick, 15 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 3: so under five hundred. Again, not the best week, but 16 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 3: I was looking at reactions on Twitter and hearing people 17 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:51,480 Speaker 3: like you speak about it, and it seems like three 18 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 3: and four and not completely nuking my bank account is pretty. 19 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 2: Successful for what this week was. 20 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 3: I mean, look, we can both at least say Texas 21 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 3: won Penn State one, so we're we're on the right 22 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:10,839 Speaker 3: trajectory here. Still, that's what matters, right, But we're we're 23 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 3: trying to win you some money in rivalry week and 24 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 3: the last week of the season here, and I wish 25 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 3: I could afford to go to this Texas Texas A 26 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 3: and M game. I mean I technically I could, but 27 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,199 Speaker 3: I don't want to sell a kidney to get into 28 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 3: that stadium. So I looked today before the fees on 29 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 3: a lot of those places. It was like six hundred dollars. 30 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm gonna be watching that one from my couch. 31 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: So wow, Hey, maybe we'll win you a little bit 32 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: of money this week, and maybe you can go to 33 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: a playoff game here in a couple weeks. 34 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 2: I love that. Would let's do that one. I would 35 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 2: much rather do that. 36 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: All right. We've got a load of program for y'all rankings, 37 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: movement reaction as well, plus an early handicap of the 38 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: biggest games for this next upcoming slate. Thanks to everyone 39 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: who continues to hang out with us all season. 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So glad to see him 57 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 3: getting rolling and getting his full do as he deserves. 58 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, Minnesota Vikings gear like always a sick too. Like 59 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: they have one of the best uniforms I think I love. 60 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: I love the purple and the yellow. So make sure 61 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 1: you guys are subscribing helping us out here. We greatly 62 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: appreciate it. Bogs. Let's look back at week thirteen. It 63 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 1: was full of upsets, full of heartbreak. Ole miss they 64 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: go down to Florida, twenty four to seventeen in the 65 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:12,079 Speaker 1: swamp Ohio State they end Indiana's undefeated bid thirty eight 66 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: to fifteen. Penn State they survive in Minneapolis twenty six 67 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: to twenty five. Kansas upsets Colorado thirty seven twenty one. Yeah, 68 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: talk about a heartbreaker on that one. Arizona State beats 69 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: BYU twenty eight twenty three. Notre Dame takes down Army. 70 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: I was wrong forty nine fourteen. Auburn upsets A and 71 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: M forty three forty one. Didn't know Auburn could score 72 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: that many points and maybe the shocker of them all 73 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: and maybe the shocker of all season. Oh you beats 74 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: Bama in Norman twenty four to three. Holy Schneike's Bogs. 75 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: I feel like it's easier just at this point to 76 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: ask you what didn't surprise you from week thirteen. 77 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:54,839 Speaker 2: I mean Notre Dame, That's about it. 78 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 3: I was not shocked by that Notre Dame outcome, but yeah, 79 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 3: I mean, oh you bowing up And honestly, we almost 80 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 3: took that game off the sheet at the end because 81 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 3: I was like, this is just I mean, we know 82 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 3: what Oklahoma is and they're not anything this year, and 83 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 3: they just spanked Alabama. I mean, Milrod just had the 84 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 3: worst game. I was surprised at the ease with which 85 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 3: Ohio State beat Indiana. You know, I wasn't surprised that 86 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 3: they won, and I wasn't surprised that they covered as much, 87 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 3: but it just there was after that first drive, the 88 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 3: scripted drive worked for Indiana. Nothing else worked the rest 89 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 3: of the day. It was just that Ohio State defense 90 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 3: put the clamps on. I cannot believe how different Ole 91 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 3: Miss has been on the road versus at home this year, 92 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 3: and that bit them again in the swamp. And I mean, 93 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 3: think about this Florida team going in the next year 94 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 3: now you can you know, you don't have to spend 95 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 3: all that money on firing your coach. You can spend 96 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 3: it on getting some offensive linemen and some playmakers around 97 00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:56,920 Speaker 3: DJ Lagway. 98 00:04:57,040 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 2: So yeah, that was. 99 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 3: Really impressive to see. Minnesota gave you the scare, but 100 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 3: you guys won. Texas looked good. 101 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 2: They had to. 102 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 3: I mean, the cheap shot in Kansas was surprising, but 103 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 3: I mean they were up big before that, and they 104 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 3: just they have been slashing through everybody Kansas has recently, 105 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 3: so all they gotta do is win this week to 106 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 3: get to a bowl game. Pretty impressive there. But yeah, 107 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 3: I mean there was a lot of shocking things, a 108 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 3: lot of you know, things have to go right to 109 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 3: get to you know, some of these conference championships are 110 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 3: just so crazy. Some of them are great, like Texas, Texas, 111 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:35,679 Speaker 3: A and m you win, you go to the SEC 112 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 3: title game, that's it, you know, But in the Big Twelve, 113 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 3: if there's a waning moon on Tuesday with you know, 114 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 3: Saturn rising, then Kansas State gets in or Iowa's State. Kids, Like, 115 00:05:47,040 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 3: It's just some of these scenarios are wild. So there 116 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 3: is still a lot to be determined for the playoff, 117 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 3: even you know, coming up to the final week of 118 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 3: the season here. 119 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I one hundred percent agree with you. We've seen 120 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: the ranking shift on the ap side of things. We'll 121 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: see what the College Football Playoff Committee delivers for us 122 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 1: on Tuesday. With Ole Miss and Bama both losing, do 123 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: you think this now opens the door that both Miami 124 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: and SMU could make it in if both win this 125 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 1: next week, make. 126 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 3: It to that title game, bogs, I mean, SMU's in, 127 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:21,279 Speaker 3: Miami has to win. If they lose, Clemson can't get in. 128 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 3: But Clemson might lose to South Carolina. Yeah, I don't know. 129 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 3: I don't think so. I think that the ACC is 130 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 3: probably getting. 131 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 2: Their one team. 132 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 3: I don't know the Big twelve nine only get one 133 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,600 Speaker 3: team too, though Indiana. Indiana's got a shot now too. 134 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:39,799 Speaker 3: I think Indiana. I think before this week, we think, Okay, 135 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 3: Alabama wins and there's still a bunch of different scenarios 136 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 3: to get to the SEC title game, right, but they 137 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 3: lost and Ole Miss lost, So I think Indiana's in now. 138 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: I think take care of business at Purdue. Yeah, yeah, yeah, 139 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 1: I mean. 140 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:54,159 Speaker 2: If you can't be Purdue, you don't deserve to be in. 141 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 3: So yes, as long as they beat Purdue, which Purdue 142 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 3: gave Illinois scare earlier this year, so it's not all 143 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:02,479 Speaker 3: the realm of possibility. They're definitely not as bad as 144 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 3: the record, but they're not good. So yeah, I mean, 145 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 3: I think Indiana is definitely in. I don't know about 146 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 3: the rest of it. The rest of it is just 147 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 3: I'm not even going to try to make a prediction. 148 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 3: We'll just make predictions when we see the games. Let's 149 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 3: do that, all right. 150 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: Fair enough, Let's open up the games on Black Friday 151 00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: with the Egg Bowl Mississippi State finds themselves as twenty 152 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:25,680 Speaker 1: six point dogs against the fifteenth ranked Ole Miss Rebels. 153 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: The ReBs, they're coming off that heartbreaking twenty four to 154 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: seventeen loss to the Gators. They outgained the Gators by 155 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty yards, but we're three for fourteen 156 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: on third down five turnovers, three of those coming on 157 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 1: turnovers on downs. Still, the ReBs, they've only failed to 158 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: cover in their three losses this season. Every other time 159 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: they've covered when they've won. They have the top passing 160 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: offense the second best rushing defense in the country as well. 161 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 1: The Bulldogs. They are dead last in the SEC zero 162 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 1: to seven in conference play, but they have covered in 163 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 1: all four of their games this season. Bogs, when double 164 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: digit dogs, I know you've played them a lot in 165 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: that scenario that includes games against the likes of Texas, 166 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 1: Georgia A, and m Tennessee. Does that trend continue? And 167 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: where do you think we see this line move? My friend? 168 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think it's it's opening up because 169 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 3: last night it was twenty five and a half. Today 170 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 3: it's twenty six. I see twenty six and a half 171 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 3: and a lot of spots as well. So I think 172 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 3: it's opening up towards ol Miss. People think we're gonna 173 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 3: get this angry All Miss team. I just don't see it. 174 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 3: If you heard Lane Kiffin speaking, you know after that game, 175 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 3: he looked miserable. 176 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 2: He looks so upset. 177 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 3: I've never seen a quieter press conference where it looked 178 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 3: like the coach was about to cry. 179 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 2: I mean, it was tough. 180 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 3: It was tough to see, and I just I don't know, 181 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 3: I think that I'm gonna take the Bulldogs here. I 182 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 3: just this is too many points. They've been keeping these 183 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 3: games close, and like you said, in these big games 184 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 3: at Texas, they're thirty seven and a half point dogs. 185 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: Texas didn't even score thirty seven points. That game was 186 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 3: thirty five to thirteen against Georgia thirty three and a 187 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 3: half point Dogs they lost by ten. Tennessee twenty five 188 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 3: and a half point Dogs, they lost by nineteen. The 189 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 3: egg Ball has hasn't had a game decided by ten 190 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 3: or more points since twenty eighteen, and that was a 191 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 3: Mississippi State win thirty five to three. And ole Miss 192 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 3: hasn't covered twenty plus points in an egg Bowl since 193 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 3: two thousand and eight, when it was snead thrown to 194 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 3: Mike Wallace and Dexter mccluster was there. So this Egg 195 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 3: Bowl was a contentious rivalry. Yeah, we enjoyed a couple 196 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 3: of years in Mike Wallace in Pittsburgh for sure. Yeah, 197 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 3: but give me the dogs to cover another big line here. 198 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 3: I'll take the under as well too, because we see 199 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 3: Mississippi State hold the ball. That's their whole deal in 200 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,480 Speaker 3: this game is if we're gonna make it close, we 201 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 3: need to keep that offense on the sideline. They're gonna 202 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 3: keep passing. They're gonna pass the ball, which could mean like, look, 203 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 3: this looks like the Ole Miss Arkansas game and All 204 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 3: Mistress rolls if they do get. 205 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 2: Kind of snowballing like they do. 206 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 3: But I don't know. Jackson Dark it seems depressed. He 207 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,199 Speaker 3: was crying on the sideline. Lang Kiffin looked like he's 208 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 3: gonna cry in the press conference. And we've seen, you know, 209 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:09,559 Speaker 3: Iowa State let the loss to Texas Tech turn into two. 210 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:11,559 Speaker 3: I think that we're kind of seeing the same thing 211 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 3: with All miss I don't think they're gonna lose, but 212 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 3: I definitely don't like them to cover more than twenty 213 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 3: points in this game. 214 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the stat you threw out about nobody 215 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 1: winning this game by more than ten points in the 216 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:24,960 Speaker 1: past five games. I think that's something important, something we 217 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: need to keep in mind here as we're betting this one. 218 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: Let's stay on Friday and then let's head to Athens, 219 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 1: where the sixth ranked Georgia Bulldogs are nineteen and a 220 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: half point favorites over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Dogs, 221 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: they now control their own fate to get to the 222 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 1: SEC Championship. However, they are just three and eight ATS, 223 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 1: and they're in a tight one against U mass for 224 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 1: a second last week until they scored four straight touchdowns 225 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:52,319 Speaker 1: in the second half. Tech meanwhile, they are five five 226 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: and one ATS, but they do have back to back 227 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 1: outright wins over Miami and NC State. They've been playing 228 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: better of late. Bag. Can you trust Georgia in a 229 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 1: rivalry game? Is nearly a three touchdown favorite? 230 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 2: No? I don't. 231 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 3: And look I think can Georgia win this game by 232 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 3: more than nineteen and a half, Yes, of course, but 233 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 3: there's not a lot on the line for them here. 234 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 3: They punch their ticket. They're in the SEC title game. 235 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 3: They win that game, they're getting a bye as the 236 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 3: highest rated conference champion, so there's just not a lot 237 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 3: to play for here for them, So you know, you 238 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 3: keep your starters in hopefully you get the lead. But 239 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 3: I think that third fourth quarter we're not going to 240 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 3: see quip from Georgia Tech because it is clean, old 241 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 3: fashioned hate, right, We're not going to see any quip 242 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 3: from them. I don't think Georgia Tech has a shot 243 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 3: at winning this game. I think they have more of 244 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 3: a shot than they have recently, but I don't know. 245 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 3: I just don't like Georgia with laying this many points 246 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 3: in a game that doesn't mean a lot to them, 247 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 3: and the fact that they've been three to eight against 248 00:11:56,679 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 3: the spread this season. They know they beat some good 249 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 3: teams to get there, Clemson, Texas and Tennessee, but ten 250 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:06,959 Speaker 3: and a half is the biggest line that they've covered 251 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 3: this season, So I don't like it for Georgia. I'm 252 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:14,079 Speaker 3: going to take Georgia Tech in some points, which this 253 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 3: point of the year we kind of we should know 254 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:18,839 Speaker 3: the Lions should be good, but I feel like we're 255 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 3: building in a little bit of buffer here Vegas is anyway, 256 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 3: So yeah, give me the Yellow Jackets in this game. 257 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, Uga has won six straight in this rivalry, but 258 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: they won just thirty one to twenty three last year. 259 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 1: I would argue this Georgia team is a little bit 260 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: worse than last year's without Bowers, without Ladd out there, 261 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 1: And I would argue that Georgia Tech, when they're healthy, 262 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: I think they're one of the better teams in the ACC. 263 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: So yeah, I agree with you. I don't think I 264 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 1: will be betting this until, like, do you think it 265 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 1: could get to twenty one twenty one and a half? 266 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 1: I think maybe then I would grab Tech. 267 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:55,199 Speaker 3: Hasn't moved a lot, and tickets are split, they are 268 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 3: between Okay, I think cash is on Georgia, tickets are 269 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 3: on Georgia Tech. It might be flip flopped, but it's 270 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 3: definitely down the middle here. I think this is just 271 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 3: too many points. Georgia hasn't been covering these giant lines. 272 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 3: They didn't cover this against Mississippi State yea, so I 273 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 3: don't think they're covering against Georgia Tech Georgia Tech. I 274 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 3: doubted Georgia Tech before too, and they have screwed me 275 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:16,319 Speaker 3: a couple times already this year. 276 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 2: So I'm done. I'm I'm taking Georgia Tech on the points. 277 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead, let's bust open the Saturday slate with 278 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: the Palmetto Bowl in Death Valley number twelve. Clemson is 279 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,560 Speaker 1: a two and a half point favorite over the sixteenth 280 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,439 Speaker 1: ranked game Cock South Carolina. They've been one of the 281 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: biggest risers. I think we can both say that over 282 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 1: the second half of the season. They lost in one 283 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 1: score games early to LSU and Bama, and then they 284 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: were blown out by Ole Miss. I think that's the 285 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 1: one big blemish on their resume. They have won five 286 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: straight though, and that includes wins against A and M, 287 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,079 Speaker 1: Vandy and Maszoo. They're eight and three ats on the season. 288 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: Lenora Sellers Raheem Rocket Sanders have helped give this the 289 00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:00,959 Speaker 1: thirty second ranked scoring offense. They've been really good on 290 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,200 Speaker 1: the defensive side as well. Clemson, they are nine to two, 291 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 1: seven to one in the ACC, but they were smacked 292 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:10,079 Speaker 1: in Week one by Georgia in their only game against 293 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: an SEC opponent. They've also failed to cover in four 294 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 1: their last five, including last week against the FCS team 295 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: the Citadel. 296 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 2: Citadel. 297 00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's an academy school right right on that, that's right, yeah, 298 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 1: And I mean Kate Clubnick I think has been really good. 299 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 1: Bogs six best total offense in the country, led by 300 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 1: club Nick, but I feel like they're just average on 301 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: defense any more, forty ninth in total defense Clemson. They 302 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:39,080 Speaker 1: have won eight of the last nine against South Carolina. 303 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 1: But as he did win in twenty twenty two, Bogs, 304 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 1: what do you think we see down along lake Hartwell 305 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: on Saturday? 306 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. 307 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 3: I think this is a game where Clemson's recruiting issues 308 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 3: finally catch up to them here, and that might have 309 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 3: actually already happened against Louisville, but the schedule hasn't been 310 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 3: impressive in my opinion for Clemson. Clemson lost their two 311 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 3: hardest games this season. They played like you know they 312 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 3: Louisville was their second hardest, Georgia was the first hardest. 313 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 1: They lost. 314 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 3: About those games, the South Carolina defensive line, to me, 315 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 3: is still the strongest group in this game, and we 316 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 3: have a banged up offensive line for Clemson. I'm taking 317 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 3: South Carolina on the money line here. I think they 318 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 3: win this game straight up. I mean, it's a short 319 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 3: spread anyway, so it's not like a huge revelation here. 320 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 3: But neither of these teams were in I don't care 321 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 3: about your win against an FCS team, especially when you 322 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 3: don't cover. But I mean Clemson should have lost to 323 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 3: a bad offensive pit team, right Eli Holstein was banged 324 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 3: up in that game or don't. I can't remember if 325 00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 3: you played in that game or not. It might have 326 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 3: been a yarn l game. But Klubnik had that big 327 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 3: fifty yard run for them to win that game at 328 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 3: the end, Like they should have lost that game. I 329 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 3: think South Carolina is probably the second hardest opponent that 330 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 3: they're going to play this year, behind Georgia. I think 331 00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 3: South Carolina roles in this game. I think this defensive 332 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 3: line eats Klubnick's lunch. I just don't like Clemson this year. 333 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 3: I think South Carolina wins this game straight up. 334 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 1: Okay, do you think two and a half is probably 335 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 1: where this thing stays by Saturday? 336 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 2: Yeah? I don't think it moves too much. 337 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 3: Although cash is in favor of South Carolina, tickets are 338 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 3: still on Clemson, so I think it's going to stick 339 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 3: somewhere in this range. 340 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: Okay, let's head back to Columbus, Ohio for the one 341 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: hundred and twentieth edition of the game. The second ranked 342 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 1: Ohio State Buck guys are twenty and a half point 343 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: favorites over the Michigan Wolverines. Will Howard and those no 344 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: good buck guys. They covered last week against Indiana to 345 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 1: get to six and five ATS. That is courtesy of 346 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: the top scoring defense and the tenth ranked scoring offense 347 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: in the country. There's no way around it. It's been 348 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,880 Speaker 1: a pretty down year for the Wolverines. They're six and 349 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: five straight up four and seven ATS and four and 350 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 1: four in Big Ten play. The offense has been absolutely 351 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: anemic one hundred and twenty eighth in total offense, and 352 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 1: the defense has regressed because they've been put in tough 353 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: spots right and still, I think Michigan's kind of getting 354 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 1: it together. They covered against IU a couple of weeks ago. 355 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 1: They also beat Northwestern fifty to six last week. Michigan 356 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: has won and covered in three straight games against Ohio 357 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 1: State Bogs. Is this my absolute disdain, my absolute hate 358 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,159 Speaker 1: for Ohio State getting the best of me? But is 359 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,399 Speaker 1: there value on the Wolverines and could there be at 360 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:23,119 Speaker 1: a certain number? 361 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,639 Speaker 2: Though, No, no, there's not. I don't think there's no number. 362 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 1: There's no number. 363 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 3: There's no number for me that I would not take 364 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 3: Ohio State here. I mean, look, I think we did 365 00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 3: just see the most impressive performances of the year for 366 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 3: both these teams. Right, the difference is, oh yeah, because 367 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 3: Michigan was against Northwestern, Right, they scored fifty points. They 368 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 3: hadn't put more than thirty up on the board at 369 00:17:42,560 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 3: all this year. Week one, they scored thirty against Presno State, 370 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 3: that was it. But Ohio States was against an undefeated 371 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 3: Indiana team that had been thrashing people. And also, let's 372 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 3: not forget the hatred in this game. This is a 373 00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:58,719 Speaker 3: hateful game here and it always has been and it 374 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,879 Speaker 3: always will be, which I think a lot of people 375 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,400 Speaker 3: look at this line and go, in a hateful game 376 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 3: like this, you can't you just can't take you can't 377 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,640 Speaker 3: lay this many points. Well, when Michigan has beat you 378 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 3: three years in a row and embarrassed you, I think 379 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 3: you can lay those points because I think Ohio State, 380 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 3: you know, we saw it at the end of the 381 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 3: Indiana game when they punched that one in. 382 00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 2: That was the start of it. 383 00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:23,160 Speaker 3: That was the start of the hateful week for Michigan. 384 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 3: We're going to see all of it come out for 385 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:30,400 Speaker 3: Ohio State. Three years of frustration come out here for 386 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,199 Speaker 3: Ohio State. So for me, you know, I just I 387 00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 3: like this team in Michigan. 388 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 2: I think they. 389 00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:39,919 Speaker 3: Are probably better than their record, and I like that 390 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 3: they look better now than they did earlier in this season. 391 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 3: They're not in Ohio States League this year, so I 392 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 3: would be happy to eat my words and to see 393 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 3: Ryan Daylus. I think would be hilarious in this game. 394 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 3: Like you just for whatever reason, Michigan has your number. 395 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 3: But I just don't see how it happens. They don't 396 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:02,119 Speaker 3: have enough on offense. Indiana had enough on offense to 397 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:03,760 Speaker 3: keep pace a little bit. 398 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 2: I mean they had nothing. 399 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 3: They had no answer, and I think that's the same 400 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 3: thing that we're gonna see from Michigan here is they're 401 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 3: just not gonna have enough juice on offense to catch up. 402 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 3: I think Ohio State starts running away with it late, 403 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:20,520 Speaker 3: and I think they went't going away. 404 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 2: So give me the buck eyes. 405 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 1: I have to let the people know what happened to me. 406 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 1: For some context, I had a sixteen and a half 407 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,440 Speaker 1: alternate total that I bet, I bet with a boost 408 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 1: and I ended up getting in the back door. Boggs, 409 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 1: you sent me the gift, Like leave the back door open. 410 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,240 Speaker 1: I got in the back door with Indiana scoring late 411 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 1: in that one, and then Ohio State, and they would 412 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,719 Speaker 1: just kneeled it at the one after Trayvon Henderson slide 413 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: to the one like gentlemen, Kirk Signetty not calling any timeouts, 414 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: he's waving the white flag. And they had to. Not 415 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 1: only did they go in and score a touchdown and 416 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: undo my back door, then they did the cigarette celebration 417 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 1: stomp out right on my heart, right on my heart, 418 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 1: bugs and. 419 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 3: My wallt It's that it's a tough one, you know, 420 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,359 Speaker 3: getting back toward like that, But bad beats happened. 421 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 2: Man. 422 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 3: This week is the most important week because it's the 423 00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,719 Speaker 3: next week. Let's get some money this week, let's go. 424 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:19,120 Speaker 1: And I wanted to ask you, would you see any 425 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: value on the over. I get that this Michigan offense 426 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: has been pretty bad this season. They are starting to 427 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: get somewhat back in rhythm, though, and the average point 428 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,880 Speaker 1: scored in the last ten games of the game sixty 429 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 1: nine point one. OSU showed us last week they can 430 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: score on offense, they can score on special teams, and 431 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: they'll never be content winning by sixteen. I can promise 432 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:43,880 Speaker 1: you that. 433 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 3: I mean I think that Ohio Say can get most 434 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 3: of this over so yes. 435 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 2: Forty three. 436 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 1: Forty three is a low number. This might be might 437 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 1: be my favorite play. So yeah, okay, well you talk 438 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: you talked me off the Wolverines, but I'm gonna I'm 439 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: gonna kee. I'm gonna keep at it with the over there. 440 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:01,359 Speaker 1: I think we'll now round out the new slay in Nashville, 441 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 1: where the seventh rank Tennessee volunteers are ten and a 442 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: half point favorites against Vanderbilt on the backs of QB 443 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:11,919 Speaker 1: Diego Pavia and the thirty ninth ranks scoring defense to Commodores. 444 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: They are going bowling for the first time since twenty eighteen. 445 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: Congrats to them and their fan base. Our guy Deepak Chona, 446 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: the wonderful medical professional we do the Sunday night live 447 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:25,440 Speaker 1: stream with on Fantasy Pros. He is a big comedy fan, 448 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 1: so congratulations to him. They upset Bama back in early October. 449 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 1: They also had one score losses to Mazoo Texas and 450 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 1: most recently LSU Tennessee. They also beat Bama this year, 451 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: but they do have losses at Arcie and Georgia. They 452 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:44,120 Speaker 1: are coming off a cupcake cover against UTEP to get 453 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: to six and five ats. Dylan Sampson has really helped 454 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,679 Speaker 1: lead this offense to a top ten rushing offense in 455 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,639 Speaker 1: the country, and their sixth ranked total defense has held 456 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 1: their end of the bargain as well more times than not. Bugs, 457 00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,359 Speaker 1: where do you see this ten and a half point 458 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,679 Speaker 1: line going? And is there any value early in the week. 459 00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 3: It's ten and a half now, well, it was eleven 460 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 3: and a half last night, so we can see where 461 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 3: it's going. It is heading towards Vandy. But I think 462 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 3: the magic is done for Vandy. The stretch of almost 463 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 3: beating Missouri, they beat Bama and Kentucky and ball State 464 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 3: and then they had the narrow loss to Texas. I 465 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,520 Speaker 3: would put air quotes on that one too, because I 466 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 3: don't think there was a lot of doubt in that 467 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 3: game until the very end. But then they were smashed 468 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 3: by South Carolina. They only lost LSU by seven, but 469 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 3: that's because they scored like they got dominated on both 470 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:33,840 Speaker 3: sides of the ball. 471 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 2: They let els. 472 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,919 Speaker 3: You have a bunch of yards and time of possession. 473 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,880 Speaker 3: I just think the magic is over. Tennessee has too 474 00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,920 Speaker 3: much to lose in this game, so I think they're 475 00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:47,600 Speaker 3: gonna come in focus. Vandy has been a lot of fun. 476 00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 3: I bet they're gonna crush whoever they play in the ballgame. 477 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 3: I think Pavia is gonna have those guys way up 478 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 3: for that type of a game here, but Vandy's pesky. 479 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna trust that there's too much on the 480 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 3: line for Tennessee to lose here, and I think they 481 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 3: smash bandy in Vandy. 482 00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:06,400 Speaker 2: So okay, I'm. 483 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,640 Speaker 3: Gonna lay the points to take the balls and wait 484 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 3: on it. Wait on it, because it's already ticked down 485 00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:12,600 Speaker 3: a point. So let's see if we can get this 486 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 3: under ten. That would be great for the balls. 487 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 1: So you got a bunch of djns like Terrell probably 488 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:19,479 Speaker 1: betting Vandy. 489 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, just look, Fandy's pesky. They're a fun team. 490 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,120 Speaker 3: And maybe I'm wrong because they're at home right this 491 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 3: is our last home game in front of their crowd 492 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 3: and everything, So I get it, they're gonna get up 493 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 3: to play. 494 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 2: I just think. 495 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 3: Tennessee is too good and there's too much on the 496 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 3: line for them to lose. But I thought the same 497 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 3: thing about Bama last week. So it's in the realm 498 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 3: of possible outcomes for sure the Vandy wins this game. 499 00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:46,520 Speaker 3: I don't see how Tennessee can let that happen. I 500 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 3: don't think it happens. 501 00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 1: And before we continue, I did want to remind you 502 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,960 Speaker 1: to join our college football podcast group, Sink your Picks 503 00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,439 Speaker 1: and use the quick pick feature on the Betting Pro 504 00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:58,640 Speaker 1: Sports betting app and you'll get a chance to win 505 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:02,119 Speaker 1: some free prizes, elevate your betting strategy. And joined the 506 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:06,639 Speaker 1: conversation today at bettingpros dot com slash college. Let's go 507 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: ahead and open up the three point thirty slate in 508 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: Southern California where we have the fifth rank Notre Dame 509 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: fighting Irish, who are six and a half point favorites 510 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: against the six and five USC Trojans. Notre Dame they've 511 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,919 Speaker 1: been a money making machine since October. They've covered in 512 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:24,440 Speaker 1: six straight. That includes last week's forty nine to fourteen 513 00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: win against the previously undefeated Army Black Knights Riley Leonard. 514 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 1: He has had this offense going there the sixth ranked 515 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: total offense in the country and also even without All 516 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,439 Speaker 1: American cornerback Ben Morrison, their second in scoring defense, allowing 517 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 1: eleven point six points per game. USC. They've really underwhelmed 518 00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: so far in their first season in the Big Ten. 519 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: They've had losses to Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, Maryland, Washington. 520 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 1: I'll be honest too, like they have one some close 521 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:57,919 Speaker 1: ones lately against the likes of Nebraska UCLA, But I 522 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: just don't see much upside of this offense rank outside 523 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 1: in the top thirty in all other base defense and 524 00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:07,400 Speaker 1: offensive metrics, aside from passing offense, which kind of taken 525 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,240 Speaker 1: a hit as the seasons progressed as well. Bugs, how 526 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 1: do you feel about this six and a half point line? 527 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 1: Notre Dame has won five of the six against the 528 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 1: Trojan Yeah. 529 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 2: You mentioned, seth. 530 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 3: I mean, USC only has really one good win this season, 531 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 3: and it was Week one against LSU. The other tough 532 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 3: games that they've. 533 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 1: Had, how good is that one? 534 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 2: Yeah? 535 00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 3: I know right right, Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, Washington all losses, 536 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 3: and those losses are all close and they haven't been 537 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 3: soundly beat by anyone. But Notre Dame's only good win 538 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 3: in my opinion, was also Week one against A and M. 539 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 2: Since then they lost to NIU. But what are their 540 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 2: big wins here? 541 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,879 Speaker 3: Louisville Army Army, Navy are Army and Navy even good 542 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,359 Speaker 3: like they were good against really weak opponents? 543 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 2: But are they even good? Right? 544 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 3: So Notre Dame hasn't been as impressive. But what I 545 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 3: think this line is telling us, I don't think it's 546 00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 3: respectful enough for what Notre Dame has done and the 547 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 3: just dismantling that they have had on a weaker schedule, 548 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 3: And I think USC is one of those weaker teams. 549 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 3: They've already clinched a ball spot. There's not a lot 550 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 3: on the line for them in this game. They've been 551 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 3: playing musical chairs at quarterback. Maybe Notre Dame is a pretender, 552 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:24,560 Speaker 3: but they're averaging thirty three point seven points in those 553 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 3: hardest games that I mentioned. 554 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 2: They might get back Howard Cross as well. 555 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 3: I just feel like USSE is trying to figure it 556 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 3: out and Notre Dame has it figured out. And the 557 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 3: only out I see for USC in this one is 558 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 3: to pass early, get up and make Riley Leonard throw 559 00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 3: to beat them, and I don't think Notre Dame can 560 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 3: do that. I think that's what is going to catch 561 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,800 Speaker 3: them in the tourney, but not here against USC. I 562 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,879 Speaker 3: think they dominate USSE and roll over them like they 563 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 3: have a lot of these opponents before. Because USC is 564 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 3: kind of middling this year. So I'm going to lay 565 00:26:57,480 --> 00:26:59,639 Speaker 3: the points and take the Irish. 566 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 1: To Tucson for the Territorial Cup. The fourteenth ranked Arizona 567 00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 1: State Sun Devils are laying eight and a half points 568 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: on the Arizona Wildcats. We haven't handicapped the previously ranked 569 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: Wildcats in quite some time. They have fallen to four 570 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 1: and seven, most recently losing to TCU. Despite having potentially 571 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:20,919 Speaker 1: the best wide receiver in the twenty twenty five class, 572 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,479 Speaker 1: they're dead last in cover percentage at eighteen point two percent, 573 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 1: covered just twice this season. They're also eighty seventh in 574 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 1: total offense ninety fourth in total defense. ASU. On the 575 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 1: other hand, they are rolling right now. They beat BYU 576 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 1: last week when fans stormed the field before the game 577 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 1: was even Oh that was kind of a crazy scene. 578 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: That gives them their fourth straight cover to get them 579 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 1: to nine to two. ATS. Sam Levitt has led this 580 00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,959 Speaker 1: offense to the fifty fourth ranked unit in total offense, 581 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:52,200 Speaker 1: and the defense is also forty fourth ranked. Bogs, are 582 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,119 Speaker 1: you rolling with arguably one of the best ATS teams 583 00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:58,679 Speaker 1: against arguably one of the worst teams or does this 584 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 1: heated rivalry kind of scare you off. 585 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:03,159 Speaker 3: No, this is a fun rivalry for sure, and the 586 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 3: oldest trophy I think in college football the Territorial Cup. 587 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,359 Speaker 3: So you know, I've lived in Arizona for a long time, 588 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 3: so I've seen a lot of this. And these teams 589 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:17,919 Speaker 3: violently hate each other. I mean when ASU beat U 590 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:21,240 Speaker 3: of A seventy to seven, they put up a billboard 591 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,119 Speaker 3: about halfway from Tucson to Phoenix that said, no pity 592 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:29,040 Speaker 3: for the kiddies. So, I mean, these teams don't like 593 00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 3: each other and they like embarrassing each other. I mean 594 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 3: when Arizona finally got their payback last year, a down 595 00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,560 Speaker 3: year for ASU, they won fifty nine to twenty three. 596 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 3: So I think the foot is going to be firmly 597 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 3: on the gas for Arizona State. I think that the 598 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 3: better team here. I would love to say that Noah 599 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 3: Fafida and Ted McMillan can do something, and maybe they can, 600 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 3: because ASU doesn't blitz very well. They only hit the 601 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:56,120 Speaker 3: quarterback very well, So maybe Fafieda can come sit back 602 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:57,920 Speaker 3: and you know, score some points. 603 00:28:57,920 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 2: But this eight and a half, I think it's just 604 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 2: not enough. 605 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:04,400 Speaker 3: I think Arizona State is gonna score every single time 606 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 3: they have the ball, and I think they're going to 607 00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 3: try They're gonna go for it on fourth and shorts 608 00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,680 Speaker 3: that they're not taking a break at the end. Even 609 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 3: for the Big twelve championship game. They are going to 610 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:20,120 Speaker 3: put it on Wildcats if they can. So the over 611 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 3: is in play, But my favorite play here is definitely 612 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 3: on the Sun Devils. 613 00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 1: I was going to ask about that over. It's fifty 614 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: two and a half points. Looking at what this game 615 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 1: has provided in the past, the over is hit and 616 00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 1: four straight and also it's been an average of seventy 617 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 1: one point twenty five points scored in those games Bogs, 618 00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 1: So I feel like there's value on the over. That's 619 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 1: probably how I'm gonna be playing this. Do you think 620 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 1: if you do want Arizona State, that you should be 621 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: waiting for later in the week potentially, or do you 622 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,000 Speaker 1: think eight and a half is probably the best number 623 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:51,400 Speaker 1: we see? 624 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I'm okay with anything below ten. So 625 00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 3: it's eight and a half right now. I see you 626 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 3: can get Arizona plus nine, so it's probably not gonna 627 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 3: get better. So not enough bets on this game to 628 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 3: get numbers, but already half point in some spots. 629 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 2: I think I just go ahead and take it. 630 00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,320 Speaker 1: Now. Let's go ahead and get to the Iron Bowl, 631 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: where the Alabama Crimson Tide are eleven and a half 632 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 1: point home favorites against the Auburn Tigers. Auburn, they are 633 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,960 Speaker 1: five and six, they're within one game of a bowl game, 634 00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 1: and they're coming off their biggest win of the season 635 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 1: as well, beating A and M at home last week 636 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:33,600 Speaker 1: to get to six and five ATS. Alabama coming off 637 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 1: maybe one of the most embarrassing losses in a long 638 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 1: time for the Tide, losing twenty four to three to Oklahoma. 639 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:45,040 Speaker 1: Bama also six and five ATS, but Auburn actually ranks 640 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:49,080 Speaker 1: higher in total offense and total defense. Bogs does this 641 00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 1: eleven and a half point line seem long for a 642 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,640 Speaker 1: game that's come down to a field goal in three 643 00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 1: of the last five. 644 00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna sit here and pretend like I know 645 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,280 Speaker 3: what's gonna happen in this and Paul, this is always 646 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 3: a wacky game. I'll say that Alabama has been much 647 00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 3: better at home than they have been on the road 648 00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 3: this year, and they get this game at home. Auburn 649 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 3: is in an ultimate letdown spot after beating A and 650 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:18,000 Speaker 3: M last week. Impressive win there, but I mean this 651 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 3: is for a bull berth for Auburn, and you can 652 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 3: officially which I think Alabama is already out, but you 653 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:30,520 Speaker 3: can officially bounce Alabama with a win here. So all 654 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 3: that being said, I just still think Alabama is a 655 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 3: much better team. I just do. So I'm not betting 656 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,280 Speaker 3: this game. I'm just gonna put that caveat on this. 657 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 1: I will bet you got it. 658 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 3: I'll bet on props in this game, maybe some Ryan 659 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 3: Williams action, maybe some Jocolate's Hunter action, something like that. 660 00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 3: But I am not going to be betting this game 661 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 3: because it's just wild and it's it's it's a crazy game. 662 00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 3: And Alabama went on a Hail Mary last year. Remember, 663 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 3: like we've seen the kick six in this game. We've 664 00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 3: seen this game go too many different way endings. Dude, 665 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,480 Speaker 3: I remember exactly where I was one. 666 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,920 Speaker 1: I'll never forget it. I'll never forget it. I'll never 667 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:12,280 Speaker 1: forget it. 668 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, dude, I was listening to it on the radio. 669 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 3: I was working so uh and I dude. 670 00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 2: I just this game is insane. 671 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 3: If I'm making a pick here, it's going to be Alabama, 672 00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 3: but I am just if I'm going to play it, 673 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 3: I would sit and wait and see which way it goes. 674 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 3: I cannot imagine it goes towards Alabama. I feel like 675 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 3: it almost has to go towards Auburn here because Alabama 676 00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 3: was so embarrassing last week. So and currently right now, 677 00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 3: cash and tickets are slightly on the Auburn side. So 678 00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,400 Speaker 3: I believe if I'm going to take Bama, just wait. 679 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 2: If you want Auburn get them out. 680 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 1: In Upstate New York the Syracuse Orange. They are ten 681 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 1: and a half point home dogs to the eighth ranked 682 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 1: Miami Hurricanes. Believe it or not, Miami did cover as 683 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 1: twenty four and point favorites against Wake last week to 684 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,360 Speaker 1: get to six and four and one ats once again 685 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:08,800 Speaker 1: that they were led by Heisman hopeful cam Ward and 686 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 1: the number one scoring offense. The Orange did beat Cal 687 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, but then they failed to cover against 688 00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: Yukon at home last week. It's really hard to know 689 00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,480 Speaker 1: what you're gonna get from them every single week. They're 690 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 1: second in passing offense, but one hundred and twenty eighth 691 00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 1: in rushing, can't seem to run the ball. Much and 692 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 1: I feel like they're mid at best on defense. Bugs, 693 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:32,440 Speaker 1: are you willing to lay some points here with Miami? 694 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 1: I know three touchdowns was too much for you. Last week? 695 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 1: Is ten and a half an okay? Number four? You 696 00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: get back in bed with Mario Christaball and the boys. 697 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 2: Absolutely not, no way. 698 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 3: I'm never betting Miami again with Mario Crista Ball as 699 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 3: head coach and they just they just covered, right. I 700 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 3: don't care if I put my money on Miami they lose, 701 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:56,040 Speaker 3: so I will not curse everyone else's bets. It didn't 702 00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:58,400 Speaker 3: hit the over last week, which I thought was going to, 703 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 3: so look for this week. I'm back on the over, 704 00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:06,320 Speaker 3: and it's because Kyle McCord has looked absolutely outstanding the 705 00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 3: last few weeks. He has gone crazy. He's zipping it 706 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:15,280 Speaker 3: around like he's damn Drew Brees right now. So Miami 707 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 3: can't seem to stop anything either. Maybe they're peaking at 708 00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:20,800 Speaker 3: the right time here before the ACCEE title game. 709 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 2: In the tournament and all of that. 710 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,759 Speaker 3: But I just I like the over and it's a 711 00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 3: huge total. I think it's sixty seven and a half. 712 00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:33,880 Speaker 3: That's what it was yesterday, so it's a huge total, 713 00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:37,279 Speaker 3: but I Syracuse doesn't have much on defense. A lot 714 00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 3: of their games go over. Miami is seven and four 715 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,600 Speaker 3: to the over, so they play more games to the over. 716 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,080 Speaker 3: I think Miami scores a lot of points, but I 717 00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:46,720 Speaker 3: think Syracuse does too, so I. 718 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:47,399 Speaker 2: Like the over here. 719 00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,800 Speaker 3: Again, probably just staying away from this game totally, but 720 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 3: I'm definitely not laying. I'm not taking Miami in laying 721 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:56,400 Speaker 3: points again. 722 00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:58,320 Speaker 2: Ever, I don't. 723 00:34:58,160 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 1: Mind the over just because these are too the better 724 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:03,200 Speaker 1: offenses in the country, So agreed with you. That feels 725 00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,239 Speaker 1: weird to say Syracuse one of the better offense in 726 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 1: the country, but it's all they are. Yeah, at least 727 00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 1: they're passing offense. They're they're they're rushing offense. Outside that 728 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: UNLV game has been kind of poo poo, but all right, 729 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 1: let's move forward. Oregon opens up the primetime slate as 730 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point home favorites against the six 731 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:23,600 Speaker 1: and five Huskies in the Border War. Oregon. They're coming 732 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,560 Speaker 1: off a buy, but they also are coming off back 733 00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 1: to back games where they failed to cover barely getting 734 00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,200 Speaker 1: out of Madison alive back in Week twelve. They have 735 00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:34,839 Speaker 1: already clinched a spot in the Big Ten championship game 736 00:35:35,000 --> 00:35:38,759 Speaker 1: their first year in the conference. Congratulations to them, and 737 00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 1: it's honestly been done with a great balance of offensive 738 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:45,439 Speaker 1: explosiveness and an elite defense. Washington, they are also coming 739 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,680 Speaker 1: off the buye. They last played against UCLA at home, 740 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: winning and covering as eight point favorites. However, they haven't 741 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 1: covered in back to back games all season long. Does 742 00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:57,040 Speaker 1: that trend end here? 743 00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,919 Speaker 2: Bogman, Yeah, I I I don't think so. 744 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,359 Speaker 3: This is normally a spot where I would rely on 745 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 3: the recent trends, and that is Washington and the Helmet 746 00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:11,600 Speaker 3: just intimidated Oregon last year and beat them in both games, 747 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,359 Speaker 3: and they were favorites Oregon in both those games last year. 748 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 2: But these teams are just so different. 749 00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,840 Speaker 3: We've had so much change in the landscape of college 750 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:24,920 Speaker 3: football and they're unbelievably different. I just can't pick against Oregon. 751 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,799 Speaker 3: Washington has been struggling with identity. They've hung their hat 752 00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,240 Speaker 3: on strong defensive play, but the good offenses that they played, 753 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:35,640 Speaker 3: like Penn State Indiana both put up over thirty against 754 00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:38,719 Speaker 3: them at Iowa also put a forty on them. You know, 755 00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 3: I think Oregon had their issues against Wisconsin, but They 756 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,200 Speaker 3: were also missing their best wide receiver in Tess Johnson, 757 00:36:45,239 --> 00:36:48,959 Speaker 3: who's supposed to be coming back this week. Jordan James 758 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 3: was one hundred percent. He had a ton of carries 759 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,839 Speaker 3: in that game as well. You know a bye week 760 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,960 Speaker 3: is going to help him out. They are probably a 761 00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:00,080 Speaker 3: coin flip on Jordan Birch here on the defensive side 762 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,440 Speaker 3: him back. I just the Ducks have a lot more 763 00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,360 Speaker 3: to play for. They're at home, they're coming off the 764 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,439 Speaker 3: bye week. But I'll say my favorite calls the under 765 00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:13,640 Speaker 3: because these teams are combined seven and fifteen playing to 766 00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 3: the over this year, so I do think this is 767 00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:18,879 Speaker 3: going to be a lower scoring game. So I think 768 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:21,680 Speaker 3: we see Washington bow up maybe for the first half, 769 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,600 Speaker 3: and I think we see some adjustments and landing and 770 00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:26,759 Speaker 3: Oregon kind of takes it to them in the second half. 771 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:28,439 Speaker 3: So the under is my favorite play. 772 00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 1: Do you think the spread moves at all this week? 773 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 2: I mean, I could see. 774 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:35,040 Speaker 3: It ballooning a little bit more towards Oregon because I 775 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:36,600 Speaker 3: think bets are going to come in that way because 776 00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,239 Speaker 3: Washington just has not been impressive at all, So I 777 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,080 Speaker 3: could see it moving more towards Oregon. But I hope 778 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:46,440 Speaker 3: it doesn't I would rather take Oregon in this game. 779 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:50,200 Speaker 1: Let's move to Pharmageddon, where the seventeenth ranked Iowa State 780 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 1: Cyclones are trying to punch their ticket to the Big 781 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,879 Speaker 1: Twelve championship game as two and a half point home 782 00:37:55,920 --> 00:38:00,319 Speaker 1: favorites against Kansas State. Iowa State has responded since their 783 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 1: earlier season loss against Kansas They have now won back 784 00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,439 Speaker 1: to back games against Sincy and Utah. Rock O beect 785 00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,560 Speaker 1: He is the man on a plan right now. Twenty 786 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:14,360 Speaker 1: eighth rank passing offense for Iowa State and hoping to 787 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:18,480 Speaker 1: exposed potentially this Kansas State's ninetieth ranked passing defense. Kansas 788 00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 1: State four and seven ats. They are led by dj 789 00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: Giinnens and Avery Johnson, though, who have actually been really 790 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,839 Speaker 1: good on the ground. Sixteenth ranked rushing offense. I think 791 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,200 Speaker 1: maybe that could be trouble against one hundred thranked Iowa 792 00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,960 Speaker 1: State rushing defense. Bugs far Mageddon has had a combined 793 00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,000 Speaker 1: score of seventy seven last season, and now each team's 794 00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:42,200 Speaker 1: offensive strength lines up with the opposings defense's weakness. I 795 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:44,840 Speaker 1: love this fifty one and a half point over. Do 796 00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:46,560 Speaker 1: you as well? Or do you like a side? 797 00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:49,160 Speaker 3: Early in the week, I like the over as well. 798 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:53,240 Speaker 3: But I think my favorite play here is just Kansas State. 799 00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:59,319 Speaker 3: I because really, yeah, we've just seen the wackiness of 800 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 3: the Big Twelve this year, and I think this would 801 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:05,960 Speaker 3: just throw a wrench into everything again. And I just 802 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:09,759 Speaker 3: don't think that Iowa State matches up very well with 803 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:12,479 Speaker 3: Kansas State. They have everything to play for. A trip 804 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 3: to the Big Twelve title is on the line here 805 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:20,440 Speaker 3: and it is probably the most likely scenario to happen. 806 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,919 Speaker 3: But Kansas State is good enough to mess this up. 807 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,319 Speaker 3: They're one and four against the spread on the road. 808 00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:27,720 Speaker 3: My issue with Iowa State is they've been they haven't 809 00:39:27,719 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 3: been playing their best football right the losses to Texas 810 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,320 Speaker 3: Tech and Kansas and barely getting out of Utah alive. 811 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:36,880 Speaker 3: That is concerning to me. I think Kansas State is 812 00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,319 Speaker 3: going to be able to run here. BP is showing 813 00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:42,399 Speaker 3: the edge towards k State as well. I think I'm 814 00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:44,240 Speaker 3: going to stick to that. I think k State plays 815 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:49,040 Speaker 3: well against the run. Iowa State doesn't. It's just not 816 00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:51,800 Speaker 3: a great matchup for this Iowa State defense. They should 817 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 3: win this game. They're at home, so much to play for, 818 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:57,640 Speaker 3: But what we've seen in the Big Twelve is big 819 00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:58,240 Speaker 3: old mess. 820 00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 2: So I gotta take CA State and the points. 821 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,560 Speaker 1: Okay, I'll be on that over as well. Let's round 822 00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:09,120 Speaker 1: out the program in College Station, where the Texas Longhorns 823 00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:11,800 Speaker 1: are five and a half point favorites against twenty threeand 824 00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:15,239 Speaker 1: Texas A and m Aggie's Mike Elko's men. They have 825 00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,279 Speaker 1: flamed out down the stretch man. They've lost two of 826 00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 1: their last three to the likes of Auburn South Carolina. 827 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:23,440 Speaker 1: They're also three and eight ats on the season, and 828 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,719 Speaker 1: they don't particularly do anything extremely well on either side 829 00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,000 Speaker 1: of the ball except for run it, and they haven't 830 00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:31,560 Speaker 1: been that good at doing that either. With Le'Veon Moss there, 831 00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,360 Speaker 1: they're starting running back going down for the season. Texas 832 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:37,360 Speaker 1: strengths of schedule has been questioned. Everyone's talking about it 833 00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,560 Speaker 1: on the internet, but their defense is not ranking second 834 00:40:40,640 --> 00:40:44,200 Speaker 1: until defense. Quinn Viewers hasn't been as dominant as he 835 00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,840 Speaker 1: was early in the season, but they're starting to really 836 00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:50,000 Speaker 1: get this three headed backfield going. Will that be the 837 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,120 Speaker 1: key to winning the lone Star showdown? Bogs? And where 838 00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,320 Speaker 1: do you think the short five and a half point 839 00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:56,080 Speaker 1: line goes? 840 00:40:56,719 --> 00:41:01,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it goes towards and because to start 841 00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:04,120 Speaker 3: the week it was at seven. It was at seven 842 00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:09,120 Speaker 3: on Saturday night, so yesterday it slipped to five. Now 843 00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:11,960 Speaker 3: it's at five and a half, so maybe it ticks 844 00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:14,399 Speaker 3: back up to seven. There's gonna be there's just gonna 845 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,239 Speaker 3: be a lot of money coming in on Texas because 846 00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,799 Speaker 3: there's a lot of Texas fans, right, kind of like 847 00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:21,560 Speaker 3: betting on Alabama, Like there's gonna be a lot of 848 00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:22,360 Speaker 3: money on Alabama. 849 00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 2: There's a lot of Alabama fans. 850 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,640 Speaker 3: So we are going to see that. I think maybe 851 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,360 Speaker 3: be this trend. But I think there may be a 852 00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:31,520 Speaker 3: lot of Texas fans. There's a lot of money from 853 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 3: A and M in that area. So I think that 854 00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:38,680 Speaker 3: it's probably gonna have to stay close to five and 855 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:38,920 Speaker 3: a half. 856 00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 2: Six. 857 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 3: I don't think it goes over seven at any point. 858 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,279 Speaker 3: I think this is a touchdown game. And to me, 859 00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:47,960 Speaker 3: we just haven't seen the Aggies play good against strong 860 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 3: defenses that you know, Notre Dame beat them, South Carolina 861 00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:55,759 Speaker 3: embarrassed them, and they struggled against Auburn last week. Yeah 862 00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:57,600 Speaker 3: it was a high total, but that was a lot 863 00:41:57,600 --> 00:41:59,839 Speaker 3: of the fourth quarter and scoring in overtime as well. 864 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,560 Speaker 3: So I just they don't play well against a good defense. 865 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:07,600 Speaker 3: Texas has had problems against strong defensive lines Georgia and Arkansas. 866 00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:09,719 Speaker 3: This is a rivalry game. The atmosphere is going to 867 00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,640 Speaker 3: be insane. I mentioned the price of the tickets. Those 868 00:42:11,640 --> 00:42:12,359 Speaker 3: people are gonna be going. 869 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:12,520 Speaker 1: Now. 870 00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:16,640 Speaker 2: I'm gonna surprise the world and take Texas. 871 00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:18,160 Speaker 3: And lay the points. I know everyone's going to be 872 00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:21,360 Speaker 3: really surprised by that. I just think Texas defense is 873 00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:22,839 Speaker 3: too good for the Aggies this year. 874 00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:24,440 Speaker 2: This is a wild game. 875 00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:27,200 Speaker 3: It has come down to field goals many many times, 876 00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:31,560 Speaker 3: so we could see this go either way. This is 877 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,960 Speaker 3: going to be the most watched regular season game of 878 00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,440 Speaker 3: the season. I think it's going to be enormous in 879 00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:39,279 Speaker 3: the state of Texas. It's going to be enormous in 880 00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:43,960 Speaker 3: the Bogman household here, So we're gonna it's going to 881 00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:47,120 Speaker 3: be a huge game. I just I don't think the 882 00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:50,680 Speaker 3: Aggies have it right now. Maybe they're saving everything for 883 00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 3: this game. We heard the Freudian slip from Elco last week. 884 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:59,120 Speaker 3: We're narrowly focused on on Texas, I mean Auburn and 885 00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:01,720 Speaker 3: then maybe they have been focusing on just this game 886 00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,719 Speaker 3: all year. I can't believe that's the case though, and 887 00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:08,319 Speaker 3: there's also possibility Texas have been focusing on this game 888 00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 3: all year long, so this is going to be an 889 00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:14,040 Speaker 3: awesome game. I'm so glad to have this rivalry game back. 890 00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:17,359 Speaker 3: I will be miserable if Texas loses, but I don't 891 00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:19,360 Speaker 3: think they will. So give me Texas. 892 00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,120 Speaker 2: Okay the points and. 893 00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 1: I'm seeing it fandle. You can't get that five and 894 00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:25,520 Speaker 1: a half still, so if they do put out a boost, 895 00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:27,279 Speaker 1: I imagine this is the game they're going to be 896 00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:30,359 Speaker 1: boosting this weekend. So there's a point. It hasn't worked 897 00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:32,160 Speaker 1: the last two weeks for me trying to do this, 898 00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:34,680 Speaker 1: but maybe we go back to the alternate total and 899 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,799 Speaker 1: you could even probably get them at two maybe a 900 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,280 Speaker 1: one point favorite with that boost if if it doesn't 901 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,719 Speaker 1: spread out too far. So just something to keep in 902 00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:44,319 Speaker 1: mind there, But uh yeah, that'll do it for us 903 00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 1: today on the Bank Pros College Football Show, Thank you 904 00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,719 Speaker 1: all so much for watching. We will be back later 905 00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:51,480 Speaker 1: in the week but before Thanksgiving with Torell for our 906 00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:54,799 Speaker 1: picks and prediction show. Until then, like this video. If 907 00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,440 Speaker 1: you enjoyed it, subscribe to the Bank Pros YouTube channel 908 00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,200 Speaker 1: and podcast feed plus download the benk Pros ap up 909 00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:04,160 Speaker 1: and sink your sportsbooks today. For Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock. 910 00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:05,319 Speaker 1: Take care of y'all. 911 00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 2: See you. 912 00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:09,440 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 913 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:11,880 Speaker 1: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 914 00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,320 Speaker 1: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 915 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,239 Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 916 00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,160 Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 917 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,520 Speaker 3: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 918 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:25,560 Speaker 3: slash Betting Pros