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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast, pot all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen hondy twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the kick as block Look college Football world standers,

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Speaker 2: good bye, Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 1: He stumbled, and football the lateral turn a counter of

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Speaker 1: the xIDE, don't you the lad table off the field

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Speaker 1: to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the side of the fight in the roll. What's

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Speaker 2: up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 2: Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. This is the ACC

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Speaker 2: College Football Betting Preview. I'm stucky and enjoining me as

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Speaker 2: always Colin Wilson, as we are back for our eleven

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Speaker 2: part conference betting preview series. Side of the Talk some

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Speaker 2: ACC today, Colin, what's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 1: Both you and I are back for on our West

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Speaker 1: Coast swing, our little vacation time we like to get

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Speaker 1: before we come in and just commit ourselves to five

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Speaker 1: months of everyday work. I think you were chasing Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I think we'll save that for the PAC twelve preview.

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Speaker 1: I was out golfing in Oregon, drove by Audson, flew

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Speaker 1: out of Eugene, So I guess we'll save all that

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Speaker 1: for our PAC twelve preview. But it's good to be home,

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Speaker 1: wrapped up for media days and start breaking this down

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Speaker 1: on power five level.

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Speaker 2: I just got back from Yellowstone Grand Teton in Vegas.

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Speaker 2: There was, unfortunately, there was a bear. A grizzly bear

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Speaker 2: attacked and killed a woman that was jogging on a

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Speaker 2: trail right behind where I was staying, right there three

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Speaker 2: days after I left. I think it was only like

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Speaker 2: the eighth or ninth grizzly bear death attacks in the

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Speaker 2: history of the Yellowstone Park, which was pretty wild, so

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Speaker 2: unfortunate situation there, but I was I fortunately did not

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Speaker 2: run into any grizzlies. Got back from Vegas and finished

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Speaker 2: off some ACC work today, so let's dive right into

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Speaker 2: the ACC It's good to be back on and let's start.

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Speaker 2: Let's break this up. Well, we're recording the ACC our

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Speaker 2: second one that we're going to you and I are

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Speaker 2: going to record is the PAC twelve and those two

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Speaker 2: conferences are very similar in the fact that no more divisions,

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Speaker 2: so it really changes how you look at the schedules,

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Speaker 2: futures and who's going to make it to the conference.

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Speaker 2: Championship Game. I love it. I love the change. I

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Speaker 2: think it's great for the conference. I wish the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten would follow suit, but I think it's a good

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Speaker 2: thing for the AEC. So let's start at the top

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Speaker 2: with Clemson and Florida State. Clempson the favorite. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: go based off of odds at karnods at BETMGM, but

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Speaker 2: make sure you obviously always shop around for the best number.

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Speaker 2: But aber that I personally reference right now will be

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Speaker 2: the odds on bet MGM. As of right now, Clemson

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Speaker 2: is favored to win the ACC at plus one forty,

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Speaker 2: Florida State not far behind at plus one seventy. Clemson

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Speaker 2: win total over ten plus one hundred, Florida State over

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Speaker 2: nine and a half minus one forty five. The thing

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Speaker 2: to note is that Clemson will host Florida State, which

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Speaker 2: gives them, on paper a theoretical edge on I don't

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Speaker 2: know what the look aadline was, what Clemson minus three?

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Speaker 2: Maybe I think I saw three Comemson minus three, and

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Speaker 2: which is really the difference here. I personally have Florida

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Speaker 2: State power rated ahead of Clemson. I believe you do

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Speaker 2: as well. Clempson's won seven ACC titles in the past

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Speaker 2: eight years. They've also owned Florida State. But this is

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Speaker 2: a different Florida State team. We saw that last year.

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Speaker 2: Mike Norvell has completely turned this program around. Not only

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Speaker 2: are they super experience led by quarterback Jordan Travis, I

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Speaker 2: thought they also did a tremendous job in the portal

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Speaker 2: addressing some of their needs. So I mean, look, they

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Speaker 2: returned eleven all ACC players and plus they added eleven transfers.

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Speaker 2: Think a good chunk of them could really fit in. Well.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line now is not a glaring weakness, could

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Speaker 2: be a strength. And I think that's really what separates

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Speaker 2: these two teams is that the transfer portal, which Clemson

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Speaker 2: just ignores. Look, they're going to be super talented. Their

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Speaker 2: defense has a ton of talent, a lot of it's

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Speaker 2: going to come down to Claid Clubnick and we know

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Speaker 2: about the great hire on paper of Garrett Riley. That

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Speaker 2: offense needed it, so skimatic, that's a good thing that

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Speaker 2: Dabo did. Right, Let's keep everything here in house. This

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Speaker 2: is how we do it. Thinky realized, Look, we need

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Speaker 2: to shake things up from a scheme perspective on offense.

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Speaker 2: So these are the two teams at the top. What

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Speaker 2: do you see here any value on their win totals,

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Speaker 2: futures at the top or they priced right, and you

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Speaker 2: would agree you have Florida State. You do have Florida

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Speaker 2: State power to the head of Clemson.

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Speaker 1: Correct, Yeah, I do, I do. But I think the

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Speaker 1: line out there right now is minus two and a

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Speaker 1: half in the Game of the year. But you're essentially

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Speaker 1: you're squatting them home field advantage there with that number.

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Speaker 1: And you're right, Clemson one hundred and first in the

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Speaker 1: portal rankings this year. I believe Florida State finished fourth.

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Speaker 1: Clemson's still resting on the fact that they can recruit

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Speaker 1: at a top five level for a number of years

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Speaker 1: in a row. And it's good that Dabo at least

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Speaker 1: recognizes that Brandon Streeter was absolutely not worth his weight

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Speaker 1: in anything when it came to calling play. So they

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Speaker 1: went out and immediately got Garrett Riley. And if you're

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Speaker 1: unfamiliar with the hire, let's just say when you get

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Speaker 1: a TCU squad to go to the national title game

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Speaker 1: and they scored as many points as they did. I mean,

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Speaker 1: as much as I love tcent defense, but gar rarely

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Speaker 1: had such a big influence on what they were doing

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Speaker 1: on offense. That it's an instant upgrade here for Clemson.

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Speaker 1: They're going to see a lot ten and eleven, some

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Speaker 1: air raid concepts inside zone and you know TCU was

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Speaker 1: top five of the nation and pass explosives. Are we

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Speaker 1: going to see that out of Kade club Nick? I

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Speaker 1: know from an investment standpoint out there buying cada Plubnick

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Speaker 1: Bowman chrome cards just in case he does ate it big.

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Speaker 1: But I think the other side of this is Wes

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Speaker 1: Goodwin on defense. He wasn't you know, he replaced Brent

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Speaker 1: Vinables and he's been He's kept up the defensive part

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Speaker 1: on the Clemson side. Last year they ran twenty nine

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Speaker 1: percent blitz. There's about average fifty five percent success right

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Speaker 1: at creating pressure. So Clemson is one of the best

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Speaker 1: in the nation to do with that. They were sixth

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Speaker 1: in defensive havoc and I don't expect anything different this year.

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Speaker 1: I think to play the futures on these guys because

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Speaker 1: I do love Florida State. I power rate them higher.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, fourth in the portal, they have a

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Speaker 1: lot of similarities here to LSU, and I think that

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Speaker 1: played out on the field last year with the kick

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Speaker 1: hit in the crossbar. That's the difference between those two teams.

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Speaker 1: I think it's the same difference in Week one when

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Speaker 1: LSU and Florida Stay play each other again. They have

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Speaker 1: to improve on finishing drives. They were ninety first in

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Speaker 1: defensive finishing drives. Defensive coordinator Adam Fuller has got to

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Speaker 1: get it together when teams get into scoring position, because

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Speaker 1: if Garrett Riley rings the kind of offense we know

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Speaker 1: in the red zone situation, and you know, Florida State

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Speaker 1: continues to have problems when teams are trying to score,

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Speaker 1: that's going to be the difference in these two teams. Now,

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Speaker 1: as far as actuable items, I don't have anything stuck.

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Speaker 1: I project Florida State at ten point two wins can't

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Speaker 1: really act on the ten and a half. As far

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Speaker 1: as Clemson goes, they're you know, do we expect I'll

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Speaker 1: ask you, I'll toss it back to you. I don't

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Speaker 1: expect anybody else because of the new format. No more coastal,

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Speaker 1: no more trying to figure out that stupid division. These

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Speaker 1: are the two teams that should be in the championship game,

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Speaker 1: no matter who loses in the regular season. So My

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Speaker 1: question is do you try to take one to make

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Speaker 1: the college football playoff and then play against that when

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Speaker 1: they play against each other.

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Speaker 2: I'm neutral on both as far as compared to my projection,

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Speaker 2: so I have no play on either win total. I

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Speaker 2: would lean like if I had to play it, and

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Speaker 2: I do show a small amount of edge on Florida

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Speaker 2: State to win the conference and mainly just because I

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Speaker 2: have them. Let's see a field goal better than Clemson.

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm right around a pick a coin flip

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Speaker 2: with that game at Clemson. Now there are underdogs to

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Speaker 2: LSU in the opener. What is headline still too? They're

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Speaker 2: catching two and a half yeah, minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half against Florida State and the opener. So you're looking

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Speaker 2: at they're gonna be two and half point dogs against

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Speaker 2: LSCU two and a half point dogs at you know,

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Speaker 2: presumably against Clemson. That could change. That's a look headline.

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's you look at who else they could

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Speaker 2: lose to, you know, at Florida the finale. You know,

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Speaker 2: that game could be tricky, but they should win that

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Speaker 2: That pit is probably their trickiest game after those last two.

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Speaker 2: You know, Pitt, it's gonna be cold. It'll be you know,

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Speaker 2: their second straight road game before Miami. We know Pitt

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Speaker 2: historically under NARDUS is going to lose a game they

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Speaker 2: shouldn't and win a game that they should. So maybe,

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Speaker 2: you know, so Florida State could lose to LSU Clemson

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Speaker 2: and then Pit I could see that's pretty much it.

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Speaker 2: The rest of the schedule is very manageable. But I

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Speaker 2: don't show enough value in the total. If you really

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Speaker 2: like Florida State and then you know they lose LSU,

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Speaker 2: you know you would probably bet them, Bet them against LSU,

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Speaker 2: bet them against Clemson. I'm gonna wait to bet them

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Speaker 2: against Clemson in that game. There's no reason or not

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Speaker 2: enough value in the ACC Championship futures to tie up

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Speaker 2: my money. But if you're looking for a team in

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Speaker 2: the next tier, because I mean at Florida State, I

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Speaker 2: really like everything that Florida State is doing. I do

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Speaker 2: think that there's a lot of height. Now, It's like,

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Speaker 2: right these it's one of these teams that's coming into

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Speaker 2: the season that hasn't been at the top, that has

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Speaker 2: a ton of hype. We've seen these teams consistently not

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Speaker 2: live up to expectations. How do they deal with this hype,

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Speaker 2: and then how does Clemson deal with a new offensive

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Speaker 2: scheme that remains to be seen. If you're looking for

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Speaker 2: a team that could potentially sneak up and get because look,

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Speaker 2: if you're if you're removing Clemson in Florida State from

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Speaker 2: the equation because without divisions, that's the most likely matchup.

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Speaker 2: But if you're looking for a team in the futures

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Speaker 2: market where all you is pretty much then to just

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Speaker 2: get to the ACC Championship, Let's look at the second tier.

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Speaker 2: We have Duke at thirty to one. It's the you know,

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Speaker 2: look a lot of hype for Duke. I love what

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Speaker 2: Mike Elco does. I love Kevin Johns THEROC. They have

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Speaker 2: one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. And

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Speaker 2: but this is a team that screams regression right like,

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Speaker 2: schedule gets much tougher. They benefited from a ton of

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Speaker 2: turnoverlock The town is not quite there. The only case

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Speaker 2: I could make for Duke, and we'll go down the

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Speaker 2: line here, is that Clemson has a new scheme right

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Speaker 2: breaking in a new offensive scheme. They played Duke in

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Speaker 2: the opener. Duke has taken money. I think that line

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Speaker 2: is down to that comes on the Monday night of

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Speaker 2: it that lines out of like eleven or twelve. So

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Speaker 2: if you're gonna get if we like the hire of

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Speaker 2: Garrett Riley, but there's gonna be a significant change schematically

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Speaker 2: on this offense. Duke really experienced teams super experienced. If

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Speaker 2: you can pick off Clemson and pull off that upset

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Speaker 2: in week one, you know you could find a forty

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Speaker 2: to fifty to one. If you're a really big believer

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Speaker 2: in Duke, that would be their path, right, you upset Clemson,

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Speaker 2: have the tiebreaker of over Clemson, you lose to Florida

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Speaker 2: State as they would. You know, Clemson drops another one.

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Speaker 2: You're in pretty good. You're in a pretty good spot

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Speaker 2: with a huge number. There's there's some aggression coming for Duke.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on the Blue Devils this year

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Speaker 2: with Riley, Leonard and Elko who did a tremendous job

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Speaker 2: last year and they bring back a ton of experience.

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Speaker 2: But on the flip side, they only be two FBS

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Speaker 2: teams with a winning record last year. I think they

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Speaker 2: faced eight or nine this year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the big surprise was the offense, right, I mean

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Speaker 1: this team is this team last year? No one knew

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Speaker 1: that how good that we're going to be with quarterback

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Speaker 1: Riley Leonard. Now they're getting Jalen Calhoun back at wide receiver.

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Speaker 1: Wide receiver Jordan Moore is coming back. And in their defense,

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Speaker 1: you know, I expected the defense with Mike Elko to

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Speaker 1: be good, master of the four to two five at

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M and Notre Dame in previous years past.

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Speaker 1: Now somehow this team is an offensive team. They were

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Speaker 1: turned ninety five percent per TARP, they were eighth and

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Speaker 1: havoc allowed. They don't beat themselves. This is a team

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Speaker 1: that you can bet on. I know a lot of

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Speaker 1: people are into this whole Duke regression. Duke progression. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's second order win toll, there's turnovers, there's lots of

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Speaker 1: things that.

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Speaker 2: Go your way.

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Speaker 1: But maybe when you're disciplined, like Duke is saying that

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Speaker 1: your top ten and havoc allowed, meaning you don't fumble,

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Speaker 1: you don't allow tackles for a loss, maybe that is

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Speaker 1: something that is sustainable. So I do like Duke as

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Speaker 1: a whole. I think that they can upset Clemson in

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Speaker 1: the opener, even though it's a very large spread that

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Speaker 1: you know, I mean, Mike Elco is just going to

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Speaker 1: be pumped up to the Nines with that defense, the

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Speaker 1: four to twenty five, the quarters coverage to go up

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Speaker 1: against the I'm sure he's just watching tape of Georgia

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Speaker 1: dismantling Garrett Riley's office in the National Championship and that

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Speaker 1: defense is thirty fifth in defensive havoc. So I do

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Speaker 1: like Duke. The problem about getting the championship game at

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Speaker 1: Florida State and then you go at Louisville, and Louisville

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Speaker 1: is off a bye. Two weeks later you're going to

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Speaker 1: North Carolina and then Oh by the way, and the

256
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Speaker 1: sandwich in between. All that is a home game on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night against Wake Forest. It's not an easy schedule

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Speaker 1: on the second half whatsoever. So I stayed away from

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Speaker 1: Duke futures, probably going to end up taking them against Duke.

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Speaker 1: From a win total perspective, I actually make it six

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Speaker 1: and a half and they're over six and a half

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Speaker 1: plus one thirty, so I haven't taken any action on Duke.

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Speaker 1: I do like them. I believe in my projection, so

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Speaker 1: you should take an over at plus one thirty with

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Speaker 1: plus money. But at the same time, I do not

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Speaker 1: like the second half of that schedule.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not you know, on paper, I thought I

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Speaker 2: was gonna be fading Duke this year, right like a

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Speaker 2: last year. Yeah, they do have a four year really

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Speaker 2: good punt. Of their kickers been shaky, but I like

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Speaker 2: their special teams. But yeah, I looked into it. I

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Speaker 2: like Alco, I like their quarterback, I like John's And

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Speaker 2: this is the second year for this entire staff with

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Speaker 2: the super experienced team right side of the offensive line

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Speaker 2: has some questions the secondary. Losing Hayward will hurt, but

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Speaker 2: their star linebacker. They do lose a lot at corner,

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Speaker 2: but their past he wasn't eight last year, especially when

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Speaker 2: you consider who they played, and they bring in a

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Speaker 2: couple of transfers who if they hit right blades from Miami,

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Speaker 2: Jones from Texas A and m their secondary could be

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Speaker 2: better in that Elco system, and he's gonna, you know,

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Speaker 2: generate A lot of it is with scheme based with

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Speaker 2: that defense. That just the improvement they went from what

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Speaker 2: given up forty points to twenty one to twenty two

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Speaker 2: just in one year. Part of that was scheduled, but

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Speaker 2: a lot of that scheme in the pressures and the

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Speaker 2: simulated pressures that Elko designed, So yeah, I'm not looking

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Speaker 2: to fay do it would actually lean over and if

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Speaker 2: you want to get crazy, that's you can say, Hey,

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Speaker 2: I'm I'm gonna just take a shot and have some

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Speaker 2: fun with some couch change on Duke and just hope

292
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Speaker 2: that they beat Clemson in that opener, because then you're

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Speaker 2: a pretty good spot the rest of the way. The

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Speaker 2: next team that we'll look at in that second tier

295
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Speaker 2: to see if we can make a case for is

296
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Speaker 2: North Carolina. North Carolina win total over eight and a

297
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Speaker 2: half plus one ten. They are double check. Yeah, they're

298
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Speaker 2: the third favorite in the ACCT, nine to ten to one.

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Speaker 2: The simple case, if I just want to sum it up,

300
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Speaker 2: is you have arguably why would you back UNC. You

301
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Speaker 2: have arguably the best quarterback in the country. For my money,

302
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Speaker 2: I think he's the best pro prospect, and the defense

303
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Speaker 2: cannot get The defense can't get any worse, Like you

304
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Speaker 2: lose a ton of talent in the secondary. They couldn't

305
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Speaker 2: stop But last year the d couldn't stop the run,

306
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Speaker 2: they couldn't get to the quarterback, they couldn't defend the pass.

307
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Speaker 2: That's a pretty bad combo. The defense couldn't do anything right.

308
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Speaker 2: So they got a good lineback and corps. They're going

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Speaker 2: to try and plug and play in the secondary. They

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Speaker 2: can't get any worse. Like we'll see what they do schematically.

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Speaker 2: It was a weird team last year. The other thing

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Speaker 2: is that they scored forty points per game the first

313
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Speaker 2: ten games, only twenty the last four. A lot of

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Speaker 2: that was teams they gave kind of the What defenses

315
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Speaker 2: did is they gave they gave Drake May the the

316
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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes treatment. When Mahomes was just shredding everyone and

317
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Speaker 2: you see this throughout the NFL. They said, all right,

318
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Speaker 2: we're not gonna blitcher were dropping everyone back. We're gonna

319
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Speaker 2: take away the explosive to play, make you beat us underneath.

320
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Speaker 2: And May struggle with that. So we'll see the adjustment.

321
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Speaker 2: There still a really talented offense, even though they do

322
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Speaker 2: lose downs in green at receiver. I still think they're

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Speaker 2: fine on offense. It's the defense. Can the defense just

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Speaker 2: become a little bit better and then you have you know,

325
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Speaker 2: Drake May one of the best quarterbacks. I don't think

326
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Speaker 2: nine to one is enough. A little bit too much

327
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Speaker 2: love for Drake May, but it is a super experienced

328
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Speaker 2: team on paper, What are you seeing with the heels?

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Speaker 1: I have problems with the coordinators. I have serious problem

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Speaker 1: with the coordinators. So everyone knows Jane Chiswick over on

331
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Speaker 1: the defensive side of the ball. This is a defensive

332
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Speaker 1: finished one hundred and twentieth and success right last year

333
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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty fourth in defensive finishing drives and oh,

334
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Speaker 1: by the way, third worst nationally in havoc. So Gene Chiswick,

335
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Speaker 1: I don't know if he's just too busy golfing down

336
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Speaker 1: South Carolina or what he's doing, But yeah, I think

337
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Speaker 1: the other thing too is they have one of the

338
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Speaker 1: lowest blitz rates in the nation seventeen percent, and they

339
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Speaker 1: had one of the lowest success rates in creating pressure

340
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Speaker 1: at forty two percent. I don't see any reason this

341
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Speaker 1: defense is going to turn around all of a sudden.

342
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Speaker 1: Dazzlus was something new, but you know, I guess we

343
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Speaker 1: can see from that they do have a couple of

344
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Speaker 1: good linebackers that are coming back. Some questions definitely in

345
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Speaker 1: the secondary, and then on the offensive side. With Chip Lindsay,

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Speaker 1: I went back and looked at the offense as he

347
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Speaker 1: coached back at Troy from twenty nineteen to twenty twenty one,

348
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Speaker 1: and they averaged about one hundred and seventh in tempo.

349
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Speaker 1: What is the Drake May offense? And look wide receiver

350
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Speaker 1: name McCollum, he's going to be great. Running back of

351
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Speaker 1: Marrion Hampton is going to be great. But what is

352
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Speaker 1: this offense? Running ten eleven, twelve inside outside zone at

353
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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventh in tempo? It's just not the

354
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Speaker 1: Phil Longo offense that we've seen in North Carolina in

355
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Speaker 1: years past. So I had a lot of questions about

356
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Speaker 1: this team, and it's definitely not something where I'm trying

357
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Speaker 1: to take an over here, even though my projections are

358
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Speaker 1: a little bit higher than what the market is not

359
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Speaker 1: trying to back a team that just finished one hundred

360
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Speaker 1: and twenty eighth in defensive HAVOC and is completely taking

361
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Speaker 1: tempo out of their offensive game.

362
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Speaker 2: I think I liked them in the opener, which is

363
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Speaker 2: probably how I'll tach with Carolina against South Carolina Indy Charlotte.

364
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Speaker 2: But we'll get to that later. Let's move on to

365
00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:22,359
Speaker 2: let's see let's go to NC State on paper. So

366
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Speaker 2: coming into the season, I said to myself, this is

367
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Speaker 2: the time to buy NC State. Now you were you

368
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Speaker 2: were a NC State head of the you were head

369
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Speaker 2: of the fan club last year, betting the win national titles.

370
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Speaker 2: Devin Leary Heisman. I don't know what kind of an

371
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Speaker 2: NC State exposure it ended up with, but this is

372
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Speaker 2: kind of the post hype team that now comes under

373
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Speaker 2: the radar. I think like, this is the team, this

374
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Speaker 2: is the spot that Dave Dorn, similar to Wake Forest,

375
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Speaker 2: we'll get to kind of thrives in. There's not a

376
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Speaker 2: lot of hyper pressure, and I kind of like buying

377
00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:56,320
Speaker 2: into these post type teams that disappointed. I trust. Look,

378
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Speaker 2: they lost some talent, some real talent on that defense,

379
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Speaker 2: but I just trust Gibson in that three three five,

380
00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 2: there's a they have a star player at every level.

381
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Speaker 2: The offense I think is going to be There's I

382
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 2: do have some questions at receiver, but I think it's

383
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 2: going to be better because I'm just a believer in

384
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:22,600
Speaker 2: the an A Armstrong reunition, reunition, reunification where I can't

385
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,639
Speaker 2: even look how rust I am Armstrong in an A reuniting.

386
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,080
Speaker 2: Armstrong is a mess last year, but I'm putting I'm

387
00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 2: not putting any of that on him. He thrived under

388
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:35,199
Speaker 2: an a. I think this offensive scheme will be a

389
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:39,200
Speaker 2: lot better. And I don't know. I over six and

390
00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:42,080
Speaker 2: a half. It is juice to the over. It wasn't

391
00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 2: seven and a half, I probably wouldn't have bet it.

392
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Speaker 2: But the market has come down on NCA State. They

393
00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:51,040
Speaker 2: are twenty to one to win the acc'm I liked it.

394
00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 2: I just trust the it's so an experienced defense, and

395
00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:57,800
Speaker 2: I trust Gibson, and I think that the quarterback offensive

396
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 2: coordinator and the post type days down there in Raleigh.

397
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:07,120
Speaker 2: I think I'm buying NC State now they do, and look,

398
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 2: this is an underrated home field advantage. They host Notre Dame, Louisville, Clemson, Miami,

399
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,879
Speaker 2: n un C while avoiding Florida State. They also have

400
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 2: a buy before Clemson, and it's a very manageable road

401
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:24,359
Speaker 2: schedule Yukon, UVA, Duke, Wake Forest, and Virginia Tech so

402
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:30,159
Speaker 2: and all of those are regionally based. So yeah, I

403
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 2: think I'm buying in C State. Agree or disagree they're

404
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 2: gonna buy before Clemson. I mean that there are advantages

405
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 2: on this schedule. I make this number exactly five point nine,

406
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,440
Speaker 2: which is pretty in line with the market.

407
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Speaker 1: So I can't say it's going to be a play

408
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,399
Speaker 1: on me. What would make me nervous is the amount

409
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 1: of Brendan Armstrong turnovers because we are very We're used

410
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Speaker 1: to NC State Wolfpack not being a turnover machine on offense.

411
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Speaker 1: Devin Larry is going to fit at Kentucky Gray because

412
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Speaker 1: he's not a it'll have a allowed kind of quarterback.

413
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 1: But now you know you've got two new guards on

414
00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 1: the offensive line, you got some questions at wide receiver,

415
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,639
Speaker 1: and you got Brendan Armstrong who's going to escape and

416
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 1: try to make as many plays as possible. And if

417
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Speaker 1: you can sit there and handicap whether he's gonna have

418
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 1: thirty turnover worthy plays or only five fumbles on the season,

419
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: then you're more dialed in than anybody. But no, there's

420
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Speaker 1: definitely no hate on Tony Gibson and his nickel package

421
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:28,240
Speaker 1: that he runs. You know, he's got a really good

422
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Speaker 1: success rate with the blitzity sins they do lose forty one,

423
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Speaker 1: they only have forty one percent of the defense coming back,

424
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Speaker 1: but you know those they still have. You know some

425
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 1: of the Peyton Wilson at linebacker is going to be

426
00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 1: the leader there. So I don't expect any falloff no

427
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 1: play for me. Yeah, you know, I'm pretty much in

428
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 1: line with the market on this team, but I hate

429
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:53,280
Speaker 1: putting preseason money when you go when you have a

430
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: quarterback like Brendan Armstrong because the variants, right, I mean,

431
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 1: we could have seven touchdowns one game, we could have

432
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,760
Speaker 1: six turnovers and X and the variants really makes it

433
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 1: kind of a game to game. See what kind of

434
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 1: defense you're going up against.

435
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 2: Yeah. One thing that I'll say that I that makes

436
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 2: that does maybe a little bit nervous is get another

437
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:12,719
Speaker 2: special Teams mention out here early in the season. As

438
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 2: they do lose their star kicker a Luke Rosa, then

439
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 2: he win the Louke Rosa. I should know because I

440
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 2: voted for it. Yes, he won that lou Rose last

441
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 2: year and done so that could be a big loss

442
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 2: in some close games which I expect NC State to play.

443
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: But as of right now, I haven't pulled the trigger.

444
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:38,119
Speaker 2: I'm leaning to buying the post type wolf Pack. All right,

445
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 2: let's move it to another team in that second tier

446
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 2: in the ACC. Louisville over eight wins minus one ten.

447
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 2: They are ten to one right there with UNC in

448
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 2: that next tier to win the ACC. The first thing

449
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 2: you got to mention with Louisville is it's a brand

450
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 2: new staff, It's a brand new identity with brom coming in.

451
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 2: I think it's an enormous upgrade. I was not a

452
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 2: sader Field guy. I think the offense will be better.

453
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 2: I think just we saw the discipline and penalty issues

454
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 2: that Louisville had. I don't know if it'll translate right away,

455
00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:21,439
Speaker 2: but I think this was a net positive move and

456
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 2: coaching regime switch for Louisville. For what it's worth, they

457
00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:28,360
Speaker 2: are one of two teams in the ACC with new

458
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: head coaches with Georgia Tech, although Georgia Tech was an

459
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,399
Speaker 2: interim in key who was so that they're really the

460
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 2: only team that has a brand, brand new head coach.

461
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 2: There are also eight new offensive coordinators in the conference,

462
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 2: four new defensive coordinators. Louisville has one of each, and

463
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:50,959
Speaker 2: there are eight new quarterbacks in the ACC. And there

464
00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 2: are only two teams that have the same head coach,

465
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator, quarterback. That's Florida State and Virginia Tech.

466
00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,680
Speaker 2: But Louisville a lot of change, schematic changes on both

467
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,640
Speaker 2: sides of the ball. They're changing schemes on defense, It's

468
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 2: going to be a new offense. But at least we

469
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 2: have another reunion with Brom and Plumber, who were both

470
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 2: at Purdue. Plumber made a stop on the West Coast

471
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:19,119
Speaker 2: and now rejoins Brom in Kentucky. So what are your

472
00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 2: thoughts on Louisville?

473
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: Love them, absolutely, love them. When win totals came out

474
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 1: back in May, I was throwing dimes at over seven.

475
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 1: This number is at over eight. I would continue to fire,

476
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:35,679
Speaker 1: and I expect massive improvement on the defensive side of

477
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,959
Speaker 1: the ball. With Ron English, Mark Haagen coming in Louisville

478
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,360
Speaker 1: finished one hundred and twenty second tackle grading. That's all

479
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: sadderfield staff, that's all that is. I expect that to improve.

480
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 1: But when you look at this, this star of this team,

481
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 1: Now they did finish fourteenth in portal ranking, right, I

482
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,399
Speaker 1: mean they Brom's coming in. He's got his own guys.

483
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:56,679
Speaker 1: He went to the portal and got it, you know,

484
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:58,640
Speaker 1: his gown quarterback and he's going to have his own

485
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 1: flavor here and it might take a couple games to

486
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 1: get that going, which is why I'm really laying off

487
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: this number. Against Georgia Tech in Week one, it's too short,

488
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: it's too low. I think Louisville could rout them, But

489
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 1: at the same time, it's game one on the road.

490
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,679
Speaker 1: I'm not going to touch that. So the star of

491
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:17,400
Speaker 1: this Louisville team is a schedule third easiest schedule of

492
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 1: offenses in the ACC. They don't play Florida State, they

493
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: don't play North Carolina, they don't play Clemson. If I

494
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 1: remember right, Jeff brom got Purdue to the conference title

495
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 1: game at the Big Ten because he didn't play Michigan

496
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: or Ohio State. There's going to be a bit of

497
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: an uptick here in pace with totals with Purdue. I'm sorry,

498
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: there's going to be an uptick in pace with Louisville.

499
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 1: Purdue's offense was just inside the top fifty. That's going

500
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 1: to be faster than what Louisville is used to. They

501
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 1: have the best center in the ACC and Brian Hudson.

502
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: Running back Juarr Jordan is one of the most elusive

503
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: and creates tons of mistackles here. This is one of

504
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: the softest schedules. I can pick out Georgia Tech Murray State,

505
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 1: Indiana to start the season, please.

506
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:01,639
Speaker 2: And Georgia Tech's in Atlanta in theas in Indianapolis, not

507
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 2: on campus. Yeah, they are the clear schedule lottery winners

508
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 2: in the ACC. As you mentioned, avoid Clemson, Florida State,

509
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 2: and UNC. Only three true road games against NC State,

510
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: Hit and Miami, which doesn't have a great home field advantage.

511
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 2: Maybe there are good by the end of the year

512
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 2: and it's a little better. They also have a buye

513
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 2: before Duke, which is worth noting. So yes, they have

514
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 2: the ACC. They are clearly the schedule winners. They have

515
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 2: a great transfer class as well, and I'm not completely

516
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 2: sold on the wide receiver group, but I do trust

517
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:42,640
Speaker 2: brom Higgins, Bruce and Thrat Like we really we're We're

518
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 2: just saying for Rashes, an all ACC receiver, all of

519
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,159
Speaker 2: a sudden, you would get like one targeted game at

520
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,199
Speaker 2: Georgia State. So I do have some questions there, but

521
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: I trust broms So I don't hate your Louisville love.

522
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 2: Let's move on to another team that has been significantly

523
00:26:56,160 --> 00:27:01,199
Speaker 2: disappointing recent years, especially last year where they could not

524
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:03,119
Speaker 2: cover a game to save their lives. Talking about the

525
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 2: Miami Hurricanes win total sitting seven and a half or

526
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 2: over seven and a half plus one twenty five twenty

527
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 2: to one to win the acc at bet MGM still

528
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 2: the same head coach, Amaro Crystobal, but a complete shakeup.

529
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 2: From a staff perspective, I think you have seven new assistants,

530
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 2: including a new offensive coordinator, a new defensive coordinator. We

531
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:41,400
Speaker 2: know how the Josh Gaddis experiment ended last year. Now

532
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 2: we have the air raid coming.

533
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 1: To joshdis How does Josh Gaddison Daninos keep getting jobs?

534
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 2: They just key.

535
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 1: I mean you and I have been in this position

536
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 1: for six years and I think these guys have had

537
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 1: twelve jobs.

538
00:27:54,080 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, they must have some nudes stored away, but yeah,

539
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 2: I cannot wait to get to Arkansas when we do

540
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 2: our SEC betting preview coming up so we can talk

541
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 2: more dan Inos. But anyway, back to Miami two new.

542
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 2: I like the Hires. I like I think they're they're

543
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 2: both upgrades to new aggressive coordinators. First, the ball I

544
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,960
Speaker 2: think it's you know, he's always gonna be able to recruit.

545
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 2: It's a talent team, great freshman class. They could start

546
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 2: five and oh it's Miami, Ohio, Texas A and m

547
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 2: at home, they'll be close to touchdown underdogs. But Theune

548
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 2: Cookman at Temple By than Georgia Tech. You start five

549
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 2: and oh, then all of a sudden, the whole because

550
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 2: last year was like this team said I'm done and

551
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 2: I quit and there were locker room issues reported. There

552
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: was yea, yeah, Middle Tennessee State debacle. So we're we're

553
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 2: gonna see if this is you know, the new staff,

554
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 2: a new year, new lease on life, and this is

555
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 2: they're similar to NC State and like now they're little

556
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 2: post type like they're going a little more under the radar.

557
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 2: Can we see an improved Miami team? I think what

558
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: it comes down to now if you just look at

559
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 2: the schedule, they play all the top teams in the ACC,

560
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:12,760
Speaker 2: which isn't great. They also get Clemson off of a bye.

561
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 2: I do think their floor should be, you know, five wins.

562
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 2: So basically it's like if they even go over seven

563
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 2: and a half, can they go three and four against

564
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 2: these teams? You say their floors five wins and the

565
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 2: five games they should win, although Miami probably should expect

566
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 2: a game that they will lose that you don't expect

567
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 2: them to, but text saying them at home at UNC,

568
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 2: Clemson at home off of bye, at NC State at

569
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: Florida State at Boston College in the finale and Louisville

570
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 2: at home? Can they get three wins there? I think

571
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 2: a lot of it is going to come down to

572
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 2: who is Tyler van Dyk right? Two years ago? He

573
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:54,360
Speaker 2: looked great, but who was it against? Last year? He

574
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 2: did not, but he was not healthy and was in

575
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 2: a rendous system, just in a terrible situation. So trying

576
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 2: to reconcile those two seasons is very difficult. Right, it

577
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 2: looked great but against nobody. Last year looked awful but

578
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 2: was injured and in a bad situation. Can Van Dyke

579
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 2: get back to who we saw he was when he

580
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 2: flashed two years ago in this new air raid offense?

581
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 2: Because there are some things to like about this Miami team.

582
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on the Hurricanes?

583
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: Well, I think they made the correct higher on both

584
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 1: sides of the ball. Shannon Dawson's coming in to be

585
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 1: the OC. He was the former OC for Houston and

586
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 1: Dana Holgerson, so you're going to see a lot of

587
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:41,479
Speaker 1: Clayton Tune power raid eleven to ten, inside zone running.

588
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: I think this is all really good for TVD. You know,

589
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 1: it was just a dreadful season last season. I think

590
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 1: you wiped the board on that because we saw against

591
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:55,959
Speaker 1: you know, lower level competition, what Tyler Van Dyke can

592
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 1: do two years ago when he came in to be

593
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 1: the starter. So I think he can return to that.

594
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 1: And from considering that, you know, Clayton Tune did so

595
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 1: well in the wake of Dieric King and Shannon Dawson

596
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,440
Speaker 1: had a big part of that, I think that the

597
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 1: offense is going to be okay. You know, sixty nine

598
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 1: percent returns on the offensive side of the ball per Tarp.

599
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: They really got to work on their rush explosives. They

600
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 1: were only one hundred and twenty six in that category,

601
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 1: so some work there for Dawson to do on the

602
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:23,160
Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball. I love it, absolutely love it.

603
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: Former Marshall defensive coordinator. You want to know why notre

604
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:28,719
Speaker 1: Dame loss to Marshall. You want to know why Marshall

605
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,479
Speaker 1: was a thorn in everybody's ass. Was Lance Guidry as

606
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 1: the defensive coordinator. So he's going to come in ran

607
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 1: a lot of three three, five, four, two five and

608
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 1: nickel package with quarters and cover three ninety four percent

609
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 1: of the defensive production is back. We're talking PBUs stops

610
00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: tackles pressures. They were pretty bad at tackling outside the

611
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,000
Speaker 1: top one hundred per PFF, but they get a lot

612
00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 1: of those players back. And like I said, you know,

613
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 1: coverage and tackling grading on PFF are coach dependent. You

614
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 1: get lazy in those things.

615
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: It's all a.

616
00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:59,959
Speaker 1: Reflection of the coach, it's not a reflection of the players.

617
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 1: So you're getting Crystal Ball's gone out and got really

618
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 1: good coordinators. We'll see ifdawsk can pull it off with TVD,

619
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: but I think they're on the up. The problem is

620
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 1: is my projected win total, even with the power rating

621
00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: a little bit of power rating bumps that I gave

622
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 1: them for coordinators and for returning production on the defensive

623
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 1: side of the ball, I still have a projected win

624
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,720
Speaker 1: total that's underneath seven. So I can't in no way

625
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 1: on this schedule that includes a cleansing Florida State Louisville

626
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 1: stretch on the back half, I can't get them to

627
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 1: eight wins, which you would need to have to get

628
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 1: the over on a juice on a seven and a half.

629
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: So it's a no play for me on Miami. But

630
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 1: it's a team that I'm looking to play on in

631
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 1: the first half of the schedule, possibly against Texas A

632
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 1: and M.

633
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 2: Boom ding ding ding ding ding. Yeah, so I lean

634
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: over on my numbers. Don't get there, quite get there,

635
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: But I'd rather just play them week two against Texas

636
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,600
Speaker 2: A and M and hopefully Texas A and M all

637
00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 2: of the frustrations that they they felt last year. They

638
00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 2: come out and they take New Mexico behind the woodshed

639
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 2: and absolutely clobber the lowbos, which text A and M

640
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 2: has been known to do against these Really, I've seen

641
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 2: some Jimbo teams do this before. But yeah, give me

642
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 2: like a fifty nine to nothing against New Mexico. Texas

643
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 2: A and M wins. They look great, and Miami new

644
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 2: offensive scheme's I trust Chris Ball to get the offensive

645
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 2: line together. A lot of moving pieces there. Also, like

646
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 2: you said, defense re turns a lot of production. They

647
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 2: also had some promising a lot of experience of d

648
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 2: line and safety that I like, and I like what

649
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 2: they did in the portal at linebacker and at cornerback.

650
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 2: But a lot of pieces for that defense to work with.

651
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 2: But there could be a little bit of growing pains,

652
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 2: many some stoppiness in the opener, So give me like

653
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 2: Miami against Miami Ohio in the opener, give me Miami

654
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 2: by like eight sneak it out, you know, don't look great.

655
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 2: And then Texas A and M fifty nine to nothing,

656
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 2: and then we get the seven week two and yes,

657
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 2: that's what we're hitting. That's that's that's what probably the

658
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 2: scene as well.

659
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 1: I do too. The problem is at Miami game and

660
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio game in week one for the Hurricanes is

661
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:17,840
Speaker 1: on Friday night. It's going to get a lot of

662
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 1: national TV pub because it's on Friday night.

663
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: So yes, we're not going to struggle.

664
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would love for the Hurricanes to struggle.

665
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 2: I'm with you.

666
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 1: I'm not buying the game of the year on, but

667
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 1: I am definitely it's probably gonna be the first bet

668
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 1: off the board for week two because I'm telling you,

669
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 1: in front of the scenes, what you guys have been

670
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,120
Speaker 1: seeing with Texas A and M and what I'm hearing

671
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:41,399
Speaker 1: behind the scenes, there is a potential chance not of thunderstorms,

672
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 1: but of a complete shit show going on with Texas

673
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 1: A and M. So yeah, I'm right there with you.

674
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, we will get to that, along with more Danny

675
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,440
Speaker 2: Noos coverage when we get to the sec that in

676
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 2: previous blocked on Twitter by the way, a whole podcast amazing.

677
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 2: Maybe we all try to get dan Enos on for

678
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 2: that episode. All right, No, I would not because we

679
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 2: need to There needs to be some slander. All right,

680
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 2: let's stay in that second tier and with our let's

681
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 2: talk pitt over seven minus one fifteen twenty five to

682
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 2: one to win the ACC What's noteworthy here? Another reunion,

683
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 2: Another quarterback reunion with Djerkovic and Signetti. Again, similar to

684
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 2: questions that we have with Vandyk. Who is Phil Djerkovic?

685
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 2: It's like the mystery, no, no, who is Phil jerk

686
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 2: He was hurt again? Was he hurt last year? Was

687
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:44,279
Speaker 2: he not as good as we saw it a couple

688
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:48,680
Speaker 2: of years ago? We're going to see this year. As

689
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 2: we said before, I you know, last year I thought

690
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:54,720
Speaker 2: I was on pit under did get there. But generally

691
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 2: speaking with Pitts and this range, they're always gonna win

692
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 2: like eight games. Well, Pitts in this range, I don't

693
00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 2: like to that their win totals because, like I just

694
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 2: they're gonna win a game or two that they shouldn't

695
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: and they're gonna lose a game or two that they shouldn't.

696
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 2: Just that's is what Nardouzi does. They did go nine

697
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 2: and four last year. They were three and two and

698
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 2: one possession games. Is Djerkovic healthy and Kenny stay healthy.

699
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 2: The offensive line has a lot of experience. The d

700
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 2: lost a lot of talent to the NFL. I mean,

701
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 2: can't Sye Hill, Botonado, ale Xander Hall at Will's Dennis.

702
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 2: But they tend to just reload and that's and be fine.

703
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 2: That's what Pitt does. Still a lot of death on

704
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:39,319
Speaker 2: that defensive line. Just no stars have emerged yet. Two

705
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 2: or three starters back at linebacker. They do both cornerbacks back,

706
00:36:42,600 --> 00:36:45,319
Speaker 2: but they have questions at safety. But again, like you

707
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 2: just kind of trust that the hit defense will be okay.

708
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 2: It all comes down to Darkovic. From a schedule perspective,

709
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 2: if Jerkovic is okay, really good chance, I shouldn't say

710
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 2: really good, but in chance they could start seven and

711
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 2: oh if Jerkovic is healthy and firing, it's you know,

712
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,880
Speaker 2: Wafford at home, since he at home at West Virginia,

713
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:11,399
Speaker 2: North Carolina, at home at VA Tech Louisville, at home

714
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 2: at Wake Forest, and then before before a stretch of

715
00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:18,720
Speaker 2: at Notre Dame in Florida State, then a pretty easy

716
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 2: stretch to end the season with Syracuse Boston College. Then

717
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: at only three true ACC road games, a lot of

718
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:30,680
Speaker 2: coin flips from you know when I project their their spread.

719
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 2: So like another reason why I don't want any part

720
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:35,239
Speaker 2: of this wind total, because it really just comes down

721
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:39,319
Speaker 2: to what kind of year Jerk vic has. I do

722
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:41,560
Speaker 2: like that they're they're both their lines should be good,

723
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 2: so they should be good in the trenches. They're super

724
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 2: deep there too, and they did lead in the second

725
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 2: half of all three ACC losses last year. They could

726
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:51,320
Speaker 2: have beat Tennessee. What are your thoughts on the Pittsburgh

727
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 2: Panthers and you're beloved Nardoozi.

728
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:58,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I definitely projected lower than the seven that's in

729
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 1: the market. There's just too many losses on the defensive

730
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: side when you lose Servasier Dennis and Brandon Hill, and

731
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 1: you know, they had some of the best defense. I

732
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,120
Speaker 1: love that defense reason I was on them last year.

733
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 2: They're just I think seven guys on the defense are

734
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:14,479
Speaker 2: on an NFL roster right now.

735
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, And that's why I think per Tarp, we

736
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 1: had them about twenty two percent returning production on and

737
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 1: transfer activity on the defensive side, and they were fourth

738
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: in defensive havoc. Now it's a Nardoozi defense, you know,

739
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,759
Speaker 1: it's Randy Bates calling the plays a high thirty four

740
00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: percent blitz rate. They're above fifty percent on success in

741
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 1: creating pressure. That's going to continue. But they took a

742
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 1: hit in power rating because of how much they lost

743
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,239
Speaker 1: on defense. Although we haven't really ever seen Pitt or

744
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 1: Nardozi's defense is no matter the stop that he's been

745
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:47,839
Speaker 1: at really kind of fall off. So this comes down

746
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 1: to Trakovic. You know what, will the real yeah, will

747
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,319
Speaker 1: the real slim shady please stand up? I mean so

748
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:55,960
Speaker 1: highly touted coming into Notre Dame. I think you go

749
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 1: back to the old story where Brian Kelly did not

750
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 1: want him to be quarterback, Tommy Reeved want him to

751
00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 1: be quarterback. He exits to Boston College, nothing happens there, signeated,

752
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: he gets them to come over to Pitt. So it's

753
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:09,160
Speaker 1: probably time for him to re up his NFL draft stock.

754
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,799
Speaker 1: Problem is that I just can't make it. I mean,

755
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 1: they have a pretty good offensive line at offensive tackle,

756
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 1: They've they've got a pretty good wide receiver and Cannata Mumpfield.

757
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:21,759
Speaker 1: So you know I can't get up to get them

758
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: to eight wins. I can't get them to seven wins.

759
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 1: I would play the under here. The problem is you're right,

760
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:28,719
Speaker 1: they end up beating teams that they should not beat.

761
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 1: Can they win at Notre Dame on the road on

762
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 1: October twenty eighth? Sure?

763
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:35,320
Speaker 2: Can they beat it Florida State? Yeah?

764
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:37,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean if you get so a little bit

765
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 1: of shitty weather and pitt and Florida State comes up there,

766
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,840
Speaker 1: absolutely they can win that game. So it's a no

767
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:43,319
Speaker 1: play for me. If I had to play it, i'd

768
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:43,879
Speaker 1: play the under.

769
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 2: Yeah. I didn't downgrade the d as much. I could

770
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 2: see why you did, which is why I mean. I'm

771
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:53,800
Speaker 2: I don't show any value on their Let me double

772
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 2: check that before I say it. I don't think I did.

773
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 2: Let's see, Yeah, I don't show any value on their

774
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 2: win total. Either way, I didn't. I didn't regress their

775
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 2: d as much as some might have, just because it's

776
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 2: all they just it just works. Like their defense line

777
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,239
Speaker 2: is a lot of depth. They still have two really

778
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: good corners, and that's like kind of the foundation of

779
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,560
Speaker 2: the bait Steed. They're gonna play a lot of quarters.

780
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 2: They're gonna leave their corners on islands and then they're

781
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 2: gonna blitz and then bring pressure. And so they still

782
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 2: have the defensive line. They have two or three linebackers

783
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,080
Speaker 2: back and then they have two good corners. Like so

784
00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 2: I do have questions about safety, and then obviously just

785
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,399
Speaker 2: it's just a ton of talent, like there's a talent

786
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 2: drop off. They just somehow there's gonna be two guys

787
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 2: that emerge up front and they're gonna be fine. So

788
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 2: we'll see. I'll be interested to see how that defense

789
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: looks on the first couple of weeks. You know, maybe

790
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 2: Agains sinciat West Virginia. North Carolina will be a really

791
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,319
Speaker 2: good test at home in week four. So yeah, it's

792
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,040
Speaker 2: a pass for me on pit. They'll just come down

793
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 2: to the Jerkovich and whether or not, like they're gonna win.

794
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 2: I think six is their floor and then like nine

795
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 2: is their ceiling, and it just comes down to Djerkovic

796
00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 2: and then which did they win two games they shouldn't

797
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,520
Speaker 2: have and losed one or they lose two and win one.

798
00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:05,279
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think it's a team that we just

799
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 2: focus on during the season pass from a free season

800
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:14,240
Speaker 2: betting perspective, so that'll do it for the second tier

801
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 2: of teams. We talked to Clemson, Florida State right off

802
00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:20,160
Speaker 2: the bat as the class of the ACC, and then

803
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:22,800
Speaker 2: we kind of made cases for against in the second

804
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,560
Speaker 2: tier of UNC Duke, n C State, Louisville, Miami Pitt.

805
00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:28,799
Speaker 2: I guess we could throw a wake in there, but

806
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 2: I kind of separated in fifty to one and lower

807
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 2: as the third tier. But Wake's win total is over

808
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 2: six and a half. Choose to the under over six

809
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 2: and a half plus one twenty fifty to one to

810
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 2: win the ACC at Thatt MGM. The big storyline with

811
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:48,279
Speaker 2: Wake Forest is they lose Sam Partman at quarterback, You're

812
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 2: gonna have Mitch Griffiths takeover. And there are some questions

813
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 2: in the trenches on both sides of the ball, which

814
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:57,720
Speaker 2: is what I'm a little worried about. I love Lambert

815
00:41:57,719 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 2: as DC, but there's some questions on defense as well.

816
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 2: Wake Forest is one of those teams though that has

817
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 2: no hype. Now. It's like, hey, Hartman's gone, sort of

818
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 2: like NC State, right, But that's what this is what

819
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 2: classon thrives in like, right, the team that just no

820
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,480
Speaker 2: one believes in and they're just gonna win the games

821
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 2: that they should probably pull off an upset, and I

822
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 2: showed a little value on the under. I think it's

823
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:28,600
Speaker 2: just a I loved Hartman. I'm not a huge Griffis guy.

824
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 2: Some people like him. I am not. The wide receiver

825
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 2: room still should be fine even though they lost Perry.

826
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:36,959
Speaker 2: It is a rebuilt defensive line. I do have questions

827
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 2: about the offensive line, which could be really problematic for Griffiths,

828
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:43,680
Speaker 2: but they've gone to a Bowl game seven straight years.

829
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,319
Speaker 2: They're I'm very confident they'll find it. Class will find

830
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 2: a way to get him the six wins. So I

831
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 2: do I want to bet under six and a half

832
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 2: minus one forty five and just hope they don't get

833
00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 2: the seven. Probably not. I'll probably look to for them

834
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,359
Speaker 2: or in the Sea. And it's not a very experienced team,

835
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,200
Speaker 2: like they're outside the top one hundred in overall experience.

836
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,480
Speaker 2: What are you seeing? Also, by the way, last year,

837
00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:13,239
Speaker 2: if you want to look at some regression there, their

838
00:43:13,239 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 2: red zone efficiency was through the roof last year, and

839
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 2: a lot of that was Hartman, and he kind of

840
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 2: uh masked some of the issues that were on the

841
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 2: offensive line that their red zone efficiency could drop precipitously.

842
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:30,000
Speaker 2: And I'm also worried about their special teams, their kicker

843
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:36,360
Speaker 2: with field position and long field goals. And yeah, I

844
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 2: like Lambert, but I still have questions about this defense

845
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:39,800
Speaker 2: for sure. What do you see with d wake.

846
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,840
Speaker 1: Forest Well, the offensive side of the ball scares me,

847
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 1: you know, and I do have you. I'm project this

848
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 1: five point nine wins. I would take under six and

849
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 1: a half minus one twenty. That'd be the limber I'm making.

850
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:54,320
Speaker 2: I'm at five, I'm at five eight, so I'm with yeah.

851
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 1: It's an under idea. You're not going to find seven

852
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,680
Speaker 1: wins on the schedule. But I hate counting have Dave

853
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 1: clauses because he covers against spread a lot. You know,

854
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 1: he was covering against spreads before Sam Hartman was even around.

855
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 1: How much does this offense change? Because warrener Giro has

856
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: been there since twenty fourteen and he runs a lot

857
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:13,240
Speaker 1: of man run schemes with only six in the box.

858
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: It's not a real heavy box, but he still runs

859
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 1: it a lot. He had a high thirty four percent

860
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 1: RPO rate with Sam Hartman. But are you are you

861
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:24,719
Speaker 1: still running mesh rpo with this I don't know this

862
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:28,000
Speaker 1: box of crayon quarterback names that we've got here, I

863
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 1: don't know. There's so many, so many names that could

864
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 1: play quarterback here this season, especially if there's an injury

865
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 1: up to Mitch Griffis here to the beginning.

866
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 2: But you know, they had a high twenty three surfaces

867
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 2: like that has the body of like a high score,

868
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 2: and there's some question in the laflines of line. So

869
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 2: we'll see if he can.

870
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: Well a new center, a new right guard, and you

871
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:46,440
Speaker 1: and you and you're what five eleven one to ninety

872
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,360
Speaker 1: Mitch Griffis and he's going to run the mesh rpo.

873
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 1: That's not that's not going to work maybe against Elon

874
00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:53,839
Speaker 1: on Thursday night in the opener, but that's not gonna

875
00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 1: work against Clark Lee's Vanderbilt defensive front. So I'm nervous.

876
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:02,600
Speaker 1: I would be nervous back King wake Forest considering you know,

877
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:04,360
Speaker 1: of course there's a drop off from Sam Hartman. But

878
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 1: when you throw the center in the right guarden there

879
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:08,240
Speaker 1: and then I look at the sizes of these people,

880
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 1: these these guys that are filling out this, it makes

881
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,360
Speaker 1: me a little bit nervous. So and you're right fifth

882
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 1: in offensive finishing drives one of the best in the

883
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 1: nation after the forty yard line of getting points up

884
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: on the board, taking touchdowns not field goals. And you know,

885
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 1: on defense, we love Brad Lambert. There will be no

886
00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 1: negative for defensive coordinator Brad Lambert, who came in ran

887
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 1: his nickel package, a lot of Cover one. He's one

888
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 1: of the only coaches that runs Cover one, really messes

889
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,480
Speaker 1: with quarterbacks heads. On the other side, he runs one

890
00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 1: of the highest rates of blitz at forty percent, and

891
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:38,640
Speaker 1: he hit home more than fifty percent of the time.

892
00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: I mean, he is an excellent defensive coordinator, So I

893
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 1: don't expect a lot of drop off there, even though

894
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,560
Speaker 1: they're only returning forty one percent. But then they were

895
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 1: second in PFF pass rush last year. But take that

896
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,440
Speaker 1: all back. I just don't know where you're coming up

897
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 1: with the points against some of these teams that are

898
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 1: on your schedule. So I'm saying under six and a half,

899
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:58,680
Speaker 1: and I am going to be putting probably just a

900
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:00,920
Speaker 1: two unit play on it into the action app. After this,

901
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:02,200
Speaker 1: I kind of wanted to just talk with you and

902
00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:03,680
Speaker 1: confirm you as one of the ones as a little

903
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 1: kind of kind of tweeting on so but I am.

904
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm probably I think I'm gonna bet this as

905
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 2: well after hearing your take also, but yeah, I mean

906
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 2: clost And scares me a little bit. But like I

907
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:16,080
Speaker 2: think if they overchieve a little, but they're just gona

908
00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:18,120
Speaker 2: theyre gonna get their ball edgibility w six games like it.

909
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,879
Speaker 2: But I wouldn't be shocked they won four or five.

910
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:25,320
Speaker 2: I'd be more shocked if they won eight then three.

911
00:46:25,560 --> 00:46:27,319
Speaker 2: And like if you look at their schedule, like they

912
00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 2: got Clemson, Florida State, Duke, and NC State only avoid

913
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,560
Speaker 2: unc out of the top projected five. They also they're

914
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 2: at Duke on a short week after playing Florida State

915
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:41,160
Speaker 2: tough spot. They're also at Notre Dame, who's coming off

916
00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 2: of a bye the week before at VA Tech is

917
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 2: the week after at Clemson, tough spot. So like there's

918
00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:51,440
Speaker 2: some tricky spots in it. They could start.

919
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 1: Carriers at the Carrier Dome, man, I mean that's that's rough, yep,

920
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 1: after at Notre Dame.

921
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,319
Speaker 2: So the schedule is tough now. And I also think

922
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:03,240
Speaker 2: that there's going to be some growing pains obviously rebuilt

923
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:09,239
Speaker 2: defensive line, offensive line questions, the Hartman transition, and then like,

924
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 2: so you could see some growing pains early and then

925
00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:12,879
Speaker 2: they could drop a game or two and then you're

926
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 2: sitting really pretty because if things go right, they yes,

927
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:17,279
Speaker 2: they could start four and oh and then you're gonna

928
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:20,040
Speaker 2: be sweating, but you know they're gonna beat Elando open

929
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 2: the season. Could easily lose to Vanderbilt in week two.

930
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:27,279
Speaker 2: They could, They could lose to at Old Dominion, that's

931
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:30,439
Speaker 2: a weird game, and then they got Georgia Tech could

932
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 2: lose that gings it. I think as long as they

933
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:35,120
Speaker 2: lose one of those games, which I think is I

934
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:37,960
Speaker 2: think will happen, then this unders should get to the window.

935
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 2: And even if they do start four and oh, there's

936
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 2: still a really good shot. I think you can still

937
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:46,279
Speaker 2: keep them under seven wins. So I agree with you

938
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 2: on wake.

939
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:52,280
Speaker 3: Underfore we go any further. As a reminder, Big Bets

940
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 3: on Campus is presented by bet MGM, So get it

941
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:58,879
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942
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944
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945
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 3: code action. Visit betmgm dot com for terms and conditions.

946
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:18,960
Speaker 2: Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, at, Iowa, Kansas, Louiana, Michian, Misissippi, Nevada,

947
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:22,839
Speaker 2: New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

948
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 2: West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be twenty one

949
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:28,000
Speaker 2: or older to wager nineteen or older. In Ontario New

950
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 2: Customer Offer. All promotions are subject atqualfcation intelligibility requirements. Rewards

951
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 2: issued as non withdrawable free bets or site credit free

952
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:37,120
Speaker 2: bets expire seve days. Formissionings excludes Michigan disassociated persons. Please

953
00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:40,239
Speaker 2: gamble responsibly. Gambling problem call one hundred, next Step in

954
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 2: Arizona one one hundred and five to two two four

955
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 2: seven zero zero in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming,

956
00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:48,359
Speaker 2: or Virginia one eight hundred two seven zero seven one

957
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 2: one seven For confidential help in Michigan one eight hundred

958
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 2: gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey or West Virginia one

959
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 2: eight hundred bets off in Iowa one hundred ninet eight

960
00:48:57,000 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 2: one zero zero two three. In Puerto Rico, call eight

961
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 2: seven seven eight hope and Why, or text hope and

962
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,920
Speaker 2: Why in New York car text the Tennessee Redline at

963
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,200
Speaker 2: twenty one hundred eight nine ninety seven eight nine or

964
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 2: call one eighty eight seven seven seven nine six nine

965
00:49:09,680 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 2: six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions or

966
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:13,839
Speaker 2: concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please

967
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,319
Speaker 2: contact Connects Ontario at one eight six six five three

968
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 2: one two six zero zero to speak to an advisor

969
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,600
Speaker 2: free charge. Sports betting is VOYD in Georgia, Hawaii and

970
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 2: Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not available

971
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 2: in Nevada. In New York, Let's transition to the final

972
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:30,200
Speaker 2: four teams in the ACC. At the bottom tier. Let's

973
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 2: start with the aforementioned Sarahcuse Orange win total over six

974
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:37,360
Speaker 2: and a half plus one forty five at bet MGM

975
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:43,640
Speaker 2: sixty six to one to win the ACC. We have

976
00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:46,200
Speaker 2: a new offensive coordinator here and Jason Beck who is

977
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 2: the quarterbacks coach. Their Garrett Trader does return, although he

978
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 2: missed spring practice with an injury. Your boy Tucker is

979
00:49:55,560 --> 00:50:00,480
Speaker 2: gone at running back. Interesting team here, Baber was on

980
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 2: the hot seat. Kind of saved his job last year.

981
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 2: Basically just because they had a really easy early part

982
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:11,400
Speaker 2: of the schedule and then they faded late. They do

983
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 2: have three fairly easy non conference games, and then they're

984
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:19,120
Speaker 2: at end at Purdue. It's Colgate Western Michigan and you know,

985
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 2: transitioning Army team at home and then at Purdue, so

986
00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:27,280
Speaker 2: some opportunities to start fast once again before you're hosting Clemson,

987
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 2: and they've historically given Clemson some fits at UNC, at

988
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:34,800
Speaker 2: Florida State, at VA Tec, three straight road games scheduled.

989
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:39,960
Speaker 2: Then gets very tough in the middle, some significant defensive losses.

990
00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 2: Williams Jones, Chestnut Carter really got hit hard in via

991
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:49,839
Speaker 2: the portal Passteve was so good last year. Not sure

992
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:52,279
Speaker 2: it will be as good. They will still play the

993
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,400
Speaker 2: three three five because they brought in Rocky Long as

994
00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 2: a new defensive coordinator, who is the architect of that

995
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:02,759
Speaker 2: defensive scheme. It's you know, it's going to be a

996
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:05,000
Speaker 2: new offensive scheme though, it's going to be like a

997
00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:07,839
Speaker 2: little bit of a nice PROS style offense and then

998
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 2: a little bit of Dino's veer and shoot mixed in.

999
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:12,359
Speaker 2: So we'll see how that works out and see how

1000
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:17,879
Speaker 2: healthy Strader is. What do you see with Syracuse also

1001
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:19,719
Speaker 2: some questions on the offensive line worth mentioning, what do

1002
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:20,200
Speaker 2: you see here?

1003
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 1: They got bumps in the power rating for me thanks

1004
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:26,440
Speaker 1: to Tarp and their second order win total. So there

1005
00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:28,839
Speaker 1: is some you know, whatever metrics you want to use

1006
00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:32,560
Speaker 1: for win probability at the end of their games, that's

1007
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 1: dictated they should have won more than they lost last year.

1008
00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:38,440
Speaker 1: And then they were turning production seventy on the offensive

1009
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 1: side of the ball, sixty four percent on the defensive

1010
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,280
Speaker 1: side of the ball, both of those at or above

1011
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:46,000
Speaker 1: national average, So they did get some bumps. So they

1012
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 1: didn't get a huge bump. But for me, somehow on

1013
00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 1: this schedule, I project them to win eight games, which

1014
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: means I'm going over six and a half plus one.

1015
00:51:54,160 --> 00:51:55,719
Speaker 1: Twenty five is out there right now.

1016
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:56,400
Speaker 2: Uh.

1017
00:51:56,560 --> 00:51:58,400
Speaker 1: You know, I do love Garrett Trader. I love the

1018
00:51:58,400 --> 00:52:00,359
Speaker 1: fact that he can tuck it and run and likes

1019
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,719
Speaker 1: to run into people. I mean, obviously that could work

1020
00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:05,640
Speaker 1: out an injury situation, but he does have a second

1021
00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 1: team all acc tight end Rode Gadson. I do like

1022
00:52:09,560 --> 00:52:11,720
Speaker 1: Rocky Long coming in. He's going to get Marlo Wax

1023
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 1: returning at linebacker, who created twenty seven pressures last season,

1024
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:17,760
Speaker 1: but he only you know, creating only twenty seven pressures

1025
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:19,919
Speaker 1: is one thing, but in eight hundred and twenty five

1026
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:24,040
Speaker 1: defensive snaps, he missed just ten tackles last year. That

1027
00:52:24,280 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 1: is the kind of guy that I think you can

1028
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 1: stick right there in the middle of Rocky Long's three

1029
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:31,720
Speaker 1: three five defense. They're going to be heavy favorites over Colgate, Western, Michigan,

1030
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:35,400
Speaker 1: Army BC. Listen, you want to throw Purdue in at

1031
00:52:35,400 --> 00:52:38,000
Speaker 1: the beginning of this schedule. There are some offensively and

1032
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:41,720
Speaker 1: net teams that Syracuse is going to get to play

1033
00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:43,640
Speaker 1: off the top, So I think there can be some

1034
00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 1: success for this defense. You know, I kind of disagree

1035
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 1: that the back half of their schedule and where I

1036
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 1: power rate Pit Wake, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech is

1037
00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:55,879
Speaker 1: is really where the difference is. And how I got

1038
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:59,400
Speaker 1: so high on Syracuse's total clear underdog Florida State and

1039
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:01,839
Speaker 1: North Carolina. They're not gonna win those games whatsoever. But

1040
00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,719
Speaker 1: you know, I mean they can beat Purdue early with

1041
00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,200
Speaker 1: a new offense and a new defensive system going on

1042
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:10,839
Speaker 1: in there. I'm very bullish on syracuses here.

1043
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:14,080
Speaker 2: Yeah I'm not quite there, and yeah, I don't mind

1044
00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:19,400
Speaker 2: the bottom half of their schedule, and I project them

1045
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:21,839
Speaker 2: let's see, and by the way, I project them at

1046
00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:26,239
Speaker 2: six point nine, so I would actually I would lean

1047
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:27,719
Speaker 2: over and by the way, you can find over six

1048
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 2: and a half plus one forty five at that MGM.

1049
00:53:32,520 --> 00:53:35,239
Speaker 2: But and I didn't regress, similar to Pitt, I didn't

1050
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:39,080
Speaker 2: regress this defense as much as maybe some have just

1051
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:42,000
Speaker 2: because I mean, Rocky Long just his defenses are always

1052
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 2: going to figure it out. I am worried about there

1053
00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:47,720
Speaker 2: the secondary. They had some you know, some really important losses,

1054
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 2: but they just well. And then Jones is a heart

1055
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,279
Speaker 2: of their d I like the punter ad you gotta

1056
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,520
Speaker 2: gotta find a kicker. So there's I do have some questions,

1057
00:53:55,040 --> 00:53:58,840
Speaker 2: but Rocky Long basically just always figures it out. But

1058
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:02,800
Speaker 2: I'm not quite that that middle. Yeah, they got to

1059
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,359
Speaker 2: start fast, that middle part of the schedule, like even

1060
00:54:05,400 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 2: at VA Tech after you know, Clemson, at UNC, at

1061
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,799
Speaker 2: Florida State, third Trade rogame oft vot Tech. That's a

1062
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:13,879
Speaker 2: tough tough spot. They do get Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech,

1063
00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 2: which is what you want the ACC but both of

1064
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:21,080
Speaker 2: them on the road. So yeah, I'm neutral on Syracuse,

1065
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:24,040
Speaker 2: but don't mind your over bet. Even though I'm not

1066
00:54:24,200 --> 00:54:30,319
Speaker 2: as high on the Orange. Let's talk VA Tech over

1067
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:33,400
Speaker 2: five and a half plus one point fifteen one hundred

1068
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 2: to one to win the ACC. At that NNGM, you

1069
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 2: do have Grant Wells back at quarterback, but he might

1070
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:46,640
Speaker 2: not be the guy, and you have Baylor transfer drones

1071
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 2: in the mix as well. I think he came out

1072
00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,040
Speaker 2: and said, I think today that they doesn't really know

1073
00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,880
Speaker 2: who's the guy yet. Maybe though they're gonna have a

1074
00:54:56,920 --> 00:55:00,160
Speaker 2: guy that they use in certain packages. So there's still

1075
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:03,000
Speaker 2: questions at quarterback and who's going to be the guy,

1076
00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:07,480
Speaker 2: and we know Grant Wells is an enigma. I think

1077
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 2: I like some of the transfers. They had a wide receiver.

1078
00:55:09,920 --> 00:55:13,040
Speaker 2: The offensive line a lot of questions. Only two starters

1079
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:14,719
Speaker 2: are moving more to center. They need to find some

1080
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:17,439
Speaker 2: guards keep their tackles healthy. That could make this whole

1081
00:55:17,440 --> 00:55:21,719
Speaker 2: thing fall apart quickly. Assuming even the quarterback position works out.

1082
00:55:23,000 --> 00:55:25,240
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a run first, play action heavy offense

1083
00:55:25,320 --> 00:55:29,399
Speaker 2: under Pry and you're gonna have a new play caller

1084
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,120
Speaker 2: probably did it until the last game last year. We'll

1085
00:55:32,160 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 2: see if that can have some positive results, and the

1086
00:55:36,200 --> 00:55:39,440
Speaker 2: defense just needs to find a way to generate turnovers.

1087
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:42,680
Speaker 2: Havoc and pass us was really lacking last year. They

1088
00:55:42,680 --> 00:55:45,120
Speaker 2: were one in four and one possession games. They were

1089
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:47,399
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirteenth in turnover margin, but a lot

1090
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:50,799
Speaker 2: of that was just, hey, wells just will ship the

1091
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:53,680
Speaker 2: bed every once in a while. So we'll see what

1092
00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:56,760
Speaker 2: VATEC looks like this year. They do avoid Clemson, UNC

1093
00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:59,880
Speaker 2: Duke in Miami, you're at Florida State, which is on

1094
00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:03,759
Speaker 2: certainly a loss, and at Louisville's probably a loss. But

1095
00:56:04,000 --> 00:56:07,120
Speaker 2: on paper, you know, if quarterback position works out, you

1096
00:56:07,120 --> 00:56:09,440
Speaker 2: can generate a little more havoc on D and the

1097
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 2: offensive line pieces come together. The other ten games are

1098
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:17,880
Speaker 2: all winnable on paper. So there is some upside with

1099
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:20,880
Speaker 2: this VA Tech team. There's also some downside, so like

1100
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:22,839
Speaker 2: there's a lot of coin flip games in here. I mean,

1101
00:56:22,920 --> 00:56:26,160
Speaker 2: just look at their start Old Dominion at home, Purdue

1102
00:56:26,239 --> 00:56:30,400
Speaker 2: at home, at Rutgers at Marshall, Hit at home. I mean,

1103
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 2: these are games you could think would start one and four,

1104
00:56:32,800 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 2: three and two, A lot of variants in that early

1105
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:37,520
Speaker 2: part of the schedule. What do you see with the

1106
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 2: Hokies here a lot of some staff shakeups, maybe a

1107
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:45,719
Speaker 2: quarterback shakeup. Basically you're betting on can they get to

1108
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:50,120
Speaker 2: boil eligibility with a win total of over five and

1109
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:51,240
Speaker 2: a half plus one fifteen?

1110
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:54,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I say no. You know, if Grant Wells is

1111
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:56,680
Speaker 1: not going to be the starter, then you know drones

1112
00:56:56,680 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 1: can possibly get the shot. He was pretty highly recruited.

1113
00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 1: Highly ranked was Pop Watson who played in the spring game.

1114
00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 1: So quarterback, we just have no clue, and even when

1115
00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:07,759
Speaker 1: they start the season, it could be somebody else once

1116
00:57:07,800 --> 00:57:10,160
Speaker 1: we get into play. Brent Priy went and tapped Tyler

1117
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:12,319
Speaker 1: Bone to be the offensive coordinator, someone he worked with

1118
00:57:12,360 --> 00:57:14,360
Speaker 1: at Penn State. So you can expect a lot of

1119
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:18,600
Speaker 1: gap schemes inside zone running out of eleven offense only

1120
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:22,200
Speaker 1: returns forty four percent. There's just this. There is a

1121
00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:25,800
Speaker 1: swinging door here, a revolving door of players in, players out.

1122
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 1: Makes it really hard to try to predict what this

1123
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:30,800
Speaker 1: team is going to do. I did come in. I

1124
00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 1: came to a projected win total of four and so

1125
00:57:34,320 --> 00:57:38,600
Speaker 1: the under five at plus one hundred would have, you know,

1126
00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:40,520
Speaker 1: some play on it. For me, I think this is

1127
00:57:40,520 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 1: a team that since I don't know much about what

1128
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:46,080
Speaker 1: they're going to line up at quarterback and also there

1129
00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:48,440
Speaker 1: you know they're a big running back. They got through

1130
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:50,840
Speaker 1: the portal. You know Vason Tootin, I think he was

1131
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,919
Speaker 1: at NCA and t I mean, I'd like to see

1132
00:57:53,920 --> 00:57:55,840
Speaker 1: some film. I'd like to see more film against real

1133
00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:58,280
Speaker 1: defenses before I go and say this is the electric

1134
00:57:58,400 --> 00:58:00,640
Speaker 1: kid that's just going to sidestep back everybody in the

1135
00:58:00,640 --> 00:58:03,960
Speaker 1: ACC play. So there's just not enough information for me here.

1136
00:58:04,160 --> 00:58:06,240
Speaker 1: There's not a lot of players on the defense, which

1137
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:09,640
Speaker 1: is supposed to be I would think the specialty here,

1138
00:58:09,920 --> 00:58:12,720
Speaker 1: considering your head coaches and where he came from, you

1139
00:58:12,720 --> 00:58:14,520
Speaker 1: know that I would think that they would be better

1140
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:17,439
Speaker 1: than what we've seen. But it can't get any worse

1141
00:58:17,440 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 1: on the offensive side. One hundred and twenty ninth in

1142
00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:22,120
Speaker 1: offensive finishing drives. There's nowhere to go but up from there.

1143
00:58:22,440 --> 00:58:24,640
Speaker 1: They were twenty fifth and third down defense last year,

1144
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:26,360
Speaker 1: so maybe it is showing out a little bit, but

1145
00:58:27,080 --> 00:58:29,120
Speaker 1: you know, they don't have very much success. They have

1146
00:58:29,200 --> 00:58:32,120
Speaker 1: one of the lowest success rates and getting blitzes into

1147
00:58:32,160 --> 00:58:35,040
Speaker 1: pressure at forty two percent last year, running four two,

1148
00:58:35,160 --> 00:58:37,120
Speaker 1: five and four to three. So we'll see if Chris,

1149
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:39,080
Speaker 1: Marven and Brent probably could change that, but I don't

1150
00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:42,560
Speaker 1: have a lot of faith that they can. And this

1151
00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech roster for what the third season in a

1152
00:58:45,360 --> 00:58:48,840
Speaker 1: row since the pandemic. You never recognize these names over year,

1153
00:58:49,040 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 1: year after year after year. So we'll see. But definitely

1154
00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:55,800
Speaker 1: not any preseason investment from me.

1155
00:58:57,480 --> 00:59:01,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I basically like, for what it's worth, the three

1156
00:59:01,920 --> 00:59:04,560
Speaker 2: of their final four games are on the road. They

1157
00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:07,200
Speaker 2: do it. Yeah, they do to play three teams off

1158
00:59:07,240 --> 00:59:11,320
Speaker 2: for bye, including you know, they've play Syracuse off by

1159
00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:13,680
Speaker 2: they're also for bye, but they also at Florida State

1160
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:17,320
Speaker 2: State's coming off for bye, and then at Marshall Marshall's

1161
00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:18,200
Speaker 2: coming off for bye.

1162
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:21,240
Speaker 1: Early Wells goes against Marshall.

1163
00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:26,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, Grant Wells revenge game at Marshall Marshall be coming

1164
00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:30,160
Speaker 2: off of bye. My prediction not a coin flip stare

1165
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:32,280
Speaker 2: you know when was that game? He had like five

1166
00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:34,880
Speaker 2: interceptions in the first quarter. They I think years it's

1167
00:59:34,960 --> 00:59:39,600
Speaker 2: like Rice. Yeah, Marshall's ranked fifteenth. Wells through five picks.

1168
00:59:39,920 --> 00:59:43,080
Speaker 2: This was in twenty twenty. Race got its first win

1169
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:46,280
Speaker 2: over a ranked team since nineteen ninety seven. They beat Marshall,

1170
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 2: who's ranked fifteenth at the time, twenty to nothing. One

1171
00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:52,400
Speaker 2: of the weirdest, uh, one of the weirdest games of

1172
00:59:52,440 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 2: that twenty twenty season anyway. But my prediction, you know,

1173
00:59:56,600 --> 01:00:00,040
Speaker 2: unless you are really your numbers are really off of

1174
01:00:00,280 --> 01:00:04,040
Speaker 2: the win total, or you have a really strong take

1175
01:00:04,120 --> 01:00:06,360
Speaker 2: on if Virginia Tech's going to be much better or

1176
01:00:06,360 --> 01:00:11,600
Speaker 2: worse than the market implies, I bet their Bolgiboody win

1177
01:00:11,600 --> 01:00:13,600
Speaker 2: total is gonna come down to the finale at Virginia.

1178
01:00:14,520 --> 01:00:16,959
Speaker 2: So just wait to that that game. All right, Let's

1179
01:00:16,960 --> 01:00:19,240
Speaker 2: move on to speaking of what we had. I think

1180
01:00:19,240 --> 01:00:21,880
Speaker 2: I might have said Brent Key for Virginia Tech at

1181
01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:24,160
Speaker 2: one point, but as Brent Bry, how are there are

1182
01:00:24,160 --> 01:00:27,360
Speaker 2: two acc coaches with first name Brent's three latter last

1183
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:29,400
Speaker 2: names that both end and why the hell of the

1184
01:00:29,480 --> 01:00:32,120
Speaker 2: chances to that? Yeah, both had text schools. Georgia Tech,

1185
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:36,840
Speaker 2: coached by Brent Key, who took over last year, really

1186
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:40,520
Speaker 2: did a tremendous job with what Georgia Tech had down

1187
01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:42,640
Speaker 2: the stretch. Did a lot of what I think brom

1188
01:00:42,680 --> 01:00:44,600
Speaker 2: can do at Louisville, like some of the discipline in

1189
01:00:44,680 --> 01:00:49,320
Speaker 2: game coaching decisions, just structure, communication fixed a lot of

1190
01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:53,480
Speaker 2: that in Georgia Tech. You know the just like the

1191
01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 2: block punts, just getting like just getting the punt formation

1192
01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:59,360
Speaker 2: right that you saw all those issues under Colums, like

1193
01:00:59,400 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 2: the mentalers in game management. Georgia Tech was able to

1194
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:04,040
Speaker 2: finish four and four, unfortunately for me because I had

1195
01:01:04,040 --> 01:01:05,840
Speaker 2: their win total under and I thought that was a

1196
01:01:05,880 --> 01:01:10,880
Speaker 2: lock with Collins and then they just turned it around

1197
01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 2: under kid. They did go four and one in one

1198
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:15,520
Speaker 2: possession games and they were six in the country in

1199
01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:19,240
Speaker 2: turnover margin. It's a potential negative regression looming there. Their

1200
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:21,480
Speaker 2: win total over four and a half plus one oh

1201
01:01:21,640 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 2: five one hundred and fifty to one to win the

1202
01:01:24,960 --> 01:01:29,160
Speaker 2: ACC SIMS has gone at quarterbacks, you're going to have

1203
01:01:29,240 --> 01:01:33,760
Speaker 2: a quarterback battle. There could be an it could be

1204
01:01:33,880 --> 01:01:37,280
Speaker 2: Haines King the Texas A and M transfer. A lot

1205
01:01:37,320 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 2: of questions with Ken transfer slot in a wide receiver

1206
01:01:40,520 --> 01:01:43,720
Speaker 2: and linebacker. That'll probably go a long way in determining

1207
01:01:43,720 --> 01:01:47,240
Speaker 2: if Georgia Tech can exceed their win total of four

1208
01:01:47,240 --> 01:01:50,080
Speaker 2: and a half. From a schedule perspective, they avoid Farida State,

1209
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 2: but they do go to Clemson and it's a pretty

1210
01:01:54,240 --> 01:01:57,120
Speaker 2: tough schedule as it usually is with Georgia Tech because

1211
01:01:57,120 --> 01:01:59,720
Speaker 2: they put Georgia in the finale at home. They're also

1212
01:01:59,800 --> 01:02:03,560
Speaker 2: at Ole Miss, and they only have three true ACC

1213
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:08,720
Speaker 2: home games because they're starting off with Louisville at in

1214
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,920
Speaker 2: Atlanta to kick off their season. The wins that you

1215
01:02:11,960 --> 01:02:14,160
Speaker 2: feel confident about on the schedule, it's like South Kunta

1216
01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:17,720
Speaker 2: State at home, Bowling Green at home. I mean, even

1217
01:02:17,760 --> 01:02:20,360
Speaker 2: you know they got to go to Virginia, you got

1218
01:02:20,400 --> 01:02:25,880
Speaker 2: BC and Syracuse at home. I am right on market

1219
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:27,840
Speaker 2: with this. Do you have any strong feel or takes

1220
01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:28,520
Speaker 2: which orda ten?

1221
01:02:29,360 --> 01:02:31,800
Speaker 1: I'm below the number of what four four or four

1222
01:02:31,840 --> 01:02:33,600
Speaker 1: and a half depends on the juice that you're looking at.

1223
01:02:33,600 --> 01:02:37,280
Speaker 1: But I don't want to fade Brent Key and what

1224
01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:40,040
Speaker 1: he's doing. A former offensive line coach. This is his

1225
01:02:40,080 --> 01:02:43,320
Speaker 1: alma mater, and I don't want to fade them. Primarily,

1226
01:02:43,320 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 1: they covered three of their last four, winning outright as

1227
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:48,440
Speaker 1: a dog against Virginia Tech in North Carolina. At the

1228
01:02:48,520 --> 01:02:50,400
Speaker 1: end of last year. They covered against Georgia and the

1229
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:53,360
Speaker 1: season finale. I mean the team played hard for Brent

1230
01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 1: Key until the very end. He goes out and gets

1231
01:02:56,200 --> 01:02:59,280
Speaker 1: Southern MISSUS OC buster Faulkner to come in do his

1232
01:02:59,320 --> 01:03:01,880
Speaker 1: ten to eleven in side outside zone. What we saw

1233
01:03:01,920 --> 01:03:04,680
Speaker 1: with Frank Gord junior at Southern Miss is what we're

1234
01:03:04,680 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 1: going to try to see out of Trey Cooley, who

1235
01:03:06,240 --> 01:03:08,880
Speaker 1: transferred in from Louisville, or Dante Smith who's on the roster.

1236
01:03:08,960 --> 01:03:11,760
Speaker 1: But we'll see if that's going to work in acc

1237
01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:14,120
Speaker 1: if you can score enough points fast enough. This team

1238
01:03:14,200 --> 01:03:17,480
Speaker 1: was bottom ten and pass explosives last year. Haines King

1239
01:03:17,560 --> 01:03:19,920
Speaker 1: is on the roster, didn't know if he was one

1240
01:03:19,920 --> 01:03:22,080
Speaker 1: of the ten thousand quarterbacks that's on Texas A and

1241
01:03:22,240 --> 01:03:25,600
Speaker 1: m Zach Gibson is still there, so we'll see who's

1242
01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:27,800
Speaker 1: going to be playing quarterback. But with an offensive line

1243
01:03:27,800 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 1: and head coach, and with the Southern Miss oc that

1244
01:03:30,600 --> 01:03:33,640
Speaker 1: was letting Frank Gord take eighty percent of the steps,

1245
01:03:34,480 --> 01:03:36,560
Speaker 1: I expect we're going to see a pretty heavy ground

1246
01:03:36,640 --> 01:03:38,480
Speaker 1: unit and that's going to have to go up against

1247
01:03:38,560 --> 01:03:40,320
Speaker 1: you know, some of these defenses I see on their

1248
01:03:40,320 --> 01:03:42,760
Speaker 1: schedule that may struggle to have to feel the defensive

1249
01:03:42,800 --> 01:03:45,600
Speaker 1: front seven. So there are chances for wins here. So

1250
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 1: I'm not going to fade Georgia Tech when you have

1251
01:03:47,240 --> 01:03:49,960
Speaker 1: a young head coach AT's Alimona and he's and he's

1252
01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,000
Speaker 1: getting the team to produce three covers in the month

1253
01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:54,760
Speaker 1: of November against teams like North Carolina Georgia last year.

1254
01:03:55,560 --> 01:03:57,960
Speaker 1: I'm not going to fade him, not saying that the

1255
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,040
Speaker 1: team is on the rise, but I certainly am not

1256
01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:02,600
Speaker 1: fading a team that plays really hard for their coach.

1257
01:04:02,880 --> 01:04:04,720
Speaker 1: Most of these offensive line coaches come in and they

1258
01:04:04,720 --> 01:04:06,720
Speaker 1: get the most out of their team. So not going

1259
01:04:06,760 --> 01:04:09,000
Speaker 1: to fade them, but I do project them lower than

1260
01:04:09,000 --> 01:04:10,960
Speaker 1: the four and a half in the market. I think

1261
01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:14,720
Speaker 1: one deliverable we should have is that Georgia Tech was

1262
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:17,040
Speaker 1: up there in tempo I think top fifty last year.

1263
01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:19,920
Speaker 1: Buster Faulkner was a Georgia analyst. I couldn't get a

1264
01:04:19,960 --> 01:04:21,840
Speaker 1: lot of background on him coming in and calling place

1265
01:04:21,880 --> 01:04:24,280
Speaker 1: for offensive coordinator, but Georgia was one hundred and thirteenth

1266
01:04:24,280 --> 01:04:26,800
Speaker 1: in pace under Todd Munkin. So Faulkner is going to

1267
01:04:26,840 --> 01:04:29,440
Speaker 1: try to take some sort of Georgia Bulldog template and

1268
01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:31,880
Speaker 1: apply to Georgia Tech. We're really going to have to

1269
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:34,000
Speaker 1: look at some unders here because this would be one

1270
01:04:34,000 --> 01:04:37,280
Speaker 1: of the slowest paces when you consider like the pace

1271
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:39,880
Speaker 1: of Southern miss when he was there too. This is

1272
01:04:39,920 --> 01:04:42,000
Speaker 1: completely different than what Georgia Tech's been running the last

1273
01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:43,840
Speaker 1: couple of years. So there could be a really good

1274
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:46,080
Speaker 1: chance for Georgia Tech unders here early in the season

1275
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:47,760
Speaker 1: until Oddsmaker's catch up.

1276
01:04:48,320 --> 01:04:51,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe in that first game against Louisville, who could

1277
01:04:51,400 --> 01:04:53,880
Speaker 2: have some growing pains on offense. The strength of the

1278
01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:57,560
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech defense is that secondary against the Brown passing attack.

1279
01:04:58,040 --> 01:05:01,440
Speaker 2: We'll see they do have to replace their defensive end

1280
01:05:01,880 --> 01:05:04,480
Speaker 2: white or they lost the NFL in two really good linebackers.

1281
01:05:05,480 --> 01:05:07,600
Speaker 2: It's going to come down to the quarterback and then

1282
01:05:07,640 --> 01:05:11,600
Speaker 2: can transfers fit in a wide receiver and linebacker for

1283
01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:13,840
Speaker 2: what's going to determine I think Jeordia Tech success. But

1284
01:05:13,920 --> 01:05:15,960
Speaker 2: you know they're going to play hard, They're gonna be

1285
01:05:15,960 --> 01:05:20,600
Speaker 2: a feisty underdog, and they're I would put a bet

1286
01:05:20,600 --> 01:05:23,400
Speaker 2: in the they'll pull off an upset or two this year.

1287
01:05:23,520 --> 01:05:26,400
Speaker 2: Might not be a sizeable one, but they're gonna be

1288
01:05:26,400 --> 01:05:29,160
Speaker 2: feisty and probably a good team to back as a dog.

1289
01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:34,680
Speaker 2: Quarterback battle worth watching. And finally, last and certainly least,

1290
01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:38,720
Speaker 2: we're going to finish up with Virginia win total three

1291
01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:40,040
Speaker 2: and a half over three and a half plus one

1292
01:05:40,120 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 2: twenty five. They're two hundred to one to win the

1293
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:45,480
Speaker 2: ACC year or two of Tony Elliott, which is not

1294
01:05:45,640 --> 01:05:48,400
Speaker 2: going well. It's amazing that all offense didn't work last

1295
01:05:48,440 --> 01:05:51,320
Speaker 2: year with all that talent, and it still couldn't work

1296
01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:54,040
Speaker 2: this year. Can't say the same. They only bring back

1297
01:05:54,080 --> 01:05:57,400
Speaker 2: what they're running back their tight end and center. There's

1298
01:05:57,440 --> 01:06:00,240
Speaker 2: a quarterback battle between their back of Wolfolk and then

1299
01:06:00,240 --> 01:06:03,040
Speaker 2: a Monmouth transfer. I haven't even looked to see if

1300
01:06:03,240 --> 01:06:07,400
Speaker 2: there's been an update today. They're rebuilding their offensive line

1301
01:06:07,440 --> 01:06:08,720
Speaker 2: for a third straight year.

1302
01:06:10,080 --> 01:06:10,959
Speaker 1: In passar if.

1303
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:15,920
Speaker 2: Seventeen returning starts on the offensive line. The D has

1304
01:06:16,040 --> 01:06:18,919
Speaker 2: the D line's deep and they got some experience. They'll

1305
01:06:18,960 --> 01:06:20,920
Speaker 2: be able to generate some pressure. Like it's gonna They're

1306
01:06:21,160 --> 01:06:24,920
Speaker 2: gonna be a good underlook. I would imagine. A cornerback

1307
01:06:24,960 --> 01:06:28,320
Speaker 2: is certainly a question which could be problematic. On this schedule.

1308
01:06:28,360 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 2: They do avoid FSU, Pitt, Clemson and get to host

1309
01:06:33,080 --> 01:06:36,160
Speaker 2: NC State and Duke, so that is like I mean,

1310
01:06:36,200 --> 01:06:41,000
Speaker 2: they are one of the schedule winners in the ACC. However,

1311
01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:44,320
Speaker 2: still doubt they are winning road games at Maryland, Tennessee,

1312
01:06:44,520 --> 01:06:48,400
Speaker 2: UNC Louisville, Miami, I mean even Boston College. They're the

1313
01:06:48,440 --> 01:06:50,760
Speaker 2: most winnable games. You got James Madison at home, which

1314
01:06:50,760 --> 01:06:54,000
Speaker 2: won't be easy. You know, NC State at home, William

1315
01:06:54,000 --> 01:06:56,520
Speaker 2: and Mary at home should be a win, Georgia Tech

1316
01:06:56,560 --> 01:07:00,880
Speaker 2: at home, Duke and Virginia Tech at home. Like look,

1317
01:07:00,960 --> 01:07:03,720
Speaker 2: I know that they won the schedule lottery. Their defense,

1318
01:07:04,000 --> 01:07:07,480
Speaker 2: I think is a little underrated. I'm a big fan

1319
01:07:07,520 --> 01:07:12,200
Speaker 2: of their coordinator, but this offense might be so inept

1320
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:18,200
Speaker 2: you could not pay me to bet Virginia's over I

1321
01:07:18,360 --> 01:07:20,640
Speaker 2: lean under here, not enough to pull the trigger unless

1322
01:07:20,640 --> 01:07:22,640
Speaker 2: you're going to convince me to do so. Not a

1323
01:07:22,680 --> 01:07:25,720
Speaker 2: fan of Elliott, not a fan of this offense. And

1324
01:07:26,600 --> 01:07:29,800
Speaker 2: it's gonna be another rough year in Charlottesville. What do

1325
01:07:29,840 --> 01:07:30,320
Speaker 2: you see here?

1326
01:07:31,120 --> 01:07:33,520
Speaker 1: They could be underdogs at home to James Madison on

1327
01:07:33,560 --> 01:07:39,080
Speaker 1: the week two? I would, welly, where do I start

1328
01:07:39,080 --> 01:07:43,800
Speaker 1: with these guys? I think if Advil was smart, they

1329
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:46,280
Speaker 1: would give Virginia a call and say can we be

1330
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:49,440
Speaker 1: your primary sponsor? I started diving into what offensive Grander

1331
01:07:49,480 --> 01:07:51,760
Speaker 1: des Kitchens does and what Tony Elliott wants to do,

1332
01:07:52,640 --> 01:07:54,480
Speaker 1: and of course they run a lot of eleven right

1333
01:07:54,520 --> 01:07:58,760
Speaker 1: one running back, one tight end. Their second highest personnel

1334
01:07:59,840 --> 01:08:03,200
Speaker 1: is zero two no running backs and two tight ends.

1335
01:08:03,440 --> 01:08:05,520
Speaker 1: I don't even know what that is. Like, I had

1336
01:08:05,560 --> 01:08:07,280
Speaker 1: to go back and watch some film, which I think

1337
01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:11,040
Speaker 1: I blew a couple June days in this. But it's

1338
01:08:11,040 --> 01:08:13,720
Speaker 1: a mess. The offensive calling is a mess. Like I said,

1339
01:08:13,720 --> 01:08:15,680
Speaker 1: they're one hundred and twenty fifth in pass blocking. They've

1340
01:08:15,720 --> 01:08:18,720
Speaker 1: done nothing to address that through the portal as they

1341
01:08:18,840 --> 01:08:22,080
Speaker 1: finished fifty fourth in portal ranking sixty fourth in national recruiting.

1342
01:08:22,400 --> 01:08:25,600
Speaker 1: So whatever Tony Elliott's got going on there, it's not improving.

1343
01:08:26,040 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 1: John Razinski is calling the plays on defense about twenty

1344
01:08:29,280 --> 01:08:31,880
Speaker 1: six percent blitz. We can expect the you know, mid

1345
01:08:32,000 --> 01:08:35,720
Speaker 1: range success. They don't run quarters coverage, they don't run

1346
01:08:35,760 --> 01:08:40,120
Speaker 1: cover three, they only run cover one. It's definitely very interesting.

1347
01:08:40,160 --> 01:08:44,120
Speaker 1: They were dead last in the nation and stuff rate,

1348
01:08:44,680 --> 01:08:47,200
Speaker 1: and I love me some stuff rate on defense, but

1349
01:08:47,479 --> 01:08:49,720
Speaker 1: you are the worst, and you're in the Power five.

1350
01:08:49,960 --> 01:08:52,679
Speaker 1: You are a Power five program that is dead last

1351
01:08:52,880 --> 01:08:55,240
Speaker 1: and controlling the line of scrimmage when teams are trying

1352
01:08:55,280 --> 01:08:58,879
Speaker 1: to get their proper yards on their respective down and distance.

1353
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:01,240
Speaker 1: I have no love for these guys.

1354
01:09:01,680 --> 01:09:06,400
Speaker 2: Under or nothing. This offense. No love for Virginia, not

1355
01:09:06,520 --> 01:09:08,080
Speaker 2: enough to pull the trigger the under, but it should

1356
01:09:08,120 --> 01:09:11,080
Speaker 2: be ugly. All right. That'll wrap up going through each

1357
01:09:11,120 --> 01:09:13,920
Speaker 2: of the teams in the ACC, all fourteen of them

1358
01:09:13,920 --> 01:09:16,200
Speaker 2: before we get out of her here, let's go three

1359
01:09:16,240 --> 01:09:16,559
Speaker 2: and now.

1360
01:09:18,680 --> 01:09:20,800
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1361
01:09:21,560 --> 01:09:24,080
Speaker 2: We're gonna do this for all of our Power five

1362
01:09:24,080 --> 01:09:28,120
Speaker 2: conference previews. First down, we're gonna do a week one

1363
01:09:28,400 --> 01:09:32,479
Speaker 2: or zero for first down, and that can be a

1364
01:09:32,560 --> 01:09:36,160
Speaker 2: bet that you like. It could be a game of

1365
01:09:36,200 --> 01:09:38,000
Speaker 2: the year line as well. If there's nothing you like

1366
01:09:38,040 --> 01:09:41,000
Speaker 2: in that conference four, week zero or week one For

1367
01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:46,000
Speaker 2: second down, we're gonna do a favorite over or future

1368
01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:48,920
Speaker 2: in that conference. And for a third down, we're gonna

1369
01:09:48,920 --> 01:09:52,960
Speaker 2: do our favorite under that you like. Let's start off

1370
01:09:53,000 --> 01:09:57,719
Speaker 2: with week zero one ACC related bet that you would

1371
01:09:57,800 --> 01:10:00,000
Speaker 2: like to call out. Now I'll start. I'm just gonna

1372
01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:03,000
Speaker 2: throw out a little teaser for our SEC betting creuise.

1373
01:10:03,000 --> 01:10:04,400
Speaker 2: We're gonna have two, by the way, we'll do one

1374
01:10:04,439 --> 01:10:08,320
Speaker 2: for each division. I'm gonna throw out North Carolina under

1375
01:10:08,320 --> 01:10:11,080
Speaker 2: a field goal. I do think the North Cound defense

1376
01:10:11,080 --> 01:10:13,280
Speaker 2: will be better because it can't get any worse. I'm

1377
01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:16,960
Speaker 2: still a big fan of Drake May, but this is

1378
01:10:17,080 --> 01:10:21,599
Speaker 2: more so a fate of South Carolina early on with

1379
01:10:21,680 --> 01:10:23,679
Speaker 2: Drake May in my back pocket, just needing to basically

1380
01:10:23,680 --> 01:10:25,720
Speaker 2: win this game. But I'll save the rest of that

1381
01:10:26,200 --> 01:10:28,759
Speaker 2: take for the SEC review.

1382
01:10:28,960 --> 01:10:29,240
Speaker 1: Colin.

1383
01:10:29,280 --> 01:10:31,479
Speaker 2: Anything you want to mention for week zero one that's

1384
01:10:31,520 --> 01:10:32,800
Speaker 2: ACC related.

1385
01:10:33,240 --> 01:10:36,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm taking August Thursday night, August thirty. First, I'm

1386
01:10:36,000 --> 01:10:39,880
Speaker 1: gonna go Yukon plus sixteen against NC State. This is

1387
01:10:39,880 --> 01:10:42,080
Speaker 1: a number that I make at seven. I would expect

1388
01:10:42,160 --> 01:10:45,080
Speaker 1: this to continue to steam down With Yukon, You're gonna

1389
01:10:45,120 --> 01:10:47,800
Speaker 1: get a lot of experience. Although not efficient, you're gonna

1390
01:10:47,800 --> 01:10:49,280
Speaker 1: still gonna get a bowl team with a lot of

1391
01:10:49,320 --> 01:10:52,600
Speaker 1: experience coming back taking on a NC State team that

1392
01:10:53,240 --> 01:10:56,000
Speaker 1: has a new offensive coordinator, has a new quarterback, and yes,

1393
01:10:56,080 --> 01:10:58,240
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to produce. But in the first

1394
01:10:58,240 --> 01:11:01,040
Speaker 1: two or three quarters of this game, again it's Yukon's defense.

1395
01:11:01,479 --> 01:11:03,679
Speaker 1: I expect them to have a little bit of hiccups

1396
01:11:04,360 --> 01:11:06,160
Speaker 1: coming out of the gate. You have an offensive line

1397
01:11:06,200 --> 01:11:09,400
Speaker 1: that's got to learn new blocking schemes. You know, Yukon

1398
01:11:09,439 --> 01:11:11,960
Speaker 1: plus sixteen is too high considering the nature of this

1399
01:11:12,040 --> 01:11:14,639
Speaker 1: game and how good that Tony Gibson three three five

1400
01:11:14,680 --> 01:11:16,840
Speaker 1: defenses for NC State. I don't expect a lot of

1401
01:11:16,880 --> 01:11:20,479
Speaker 1: points in this whatsoever, making sixteen a real premium here

1402
01:11:20,680 --> 01:11:22,280
Speaker 1: with what should be a really low total.

1403
01:11:22,760 --> 01:11:25,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, it could be a good first half spread or

1404
01:11:25,160 --> 01:11:29,479
Speaker 2: money line. Look as well, good stuff that else moved

1405
01:11:29,479 --> 01:11:32,760
Speaker 2: a second down in the ACC. We're gonna go with

1406
01:11:32,880 --> 01:11:35,799
Speaker 2: our favorite over or future.

1407
01:11:38,400 --> 01:11:42,320
Speaker 1: I'm from the future, then tell me, future boy.

1408
01:11:42,479 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 2: What kind of my cut do you call that? I

1409
01:11:45,400 --> 01:11:47,720
Speaker 2: could make a case for Duke as the future, but

1410
01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:52,880
Speaker 2: couldn't quite get there. So my favorite over, I'm gonna go. Oh,

1411
01:11:52,960 --> 01:11:55,160
Speaker 2: a team we didn't even talk about, So this is perfect.

1412
01:11:56,120 --> 01:11:58,400
Speaker 2: The one team that we missed was Boston College. We

1413
01:11:58,439 --> 01:12:00,519
Speaker 2: did't even get to. This isut Russia to the thirteen

1414
01:12:00,520 --> 01:12:03,080
Speaker 2: to fourteen teenths. But it's perfect because Boston College is

1415
01:12:03,120 --> 01:12:07,840
Speaker 2: actually my favorite over of any ACC team. I do

1416
01:12:07,920 --> 01:12:10,519
Speaker 2: like NC State as well. Disagree with you, I think

1417
01:12:10,560 --> 01:12:14,599
Speaker 2: on that one. I like the new offensive coordinator quarterback combination,

1418
01:12:14,680 --> 01:12:17,080
Speaker 2: and I just trust Gibson in that defense. And it's

1419
01:12:17,160 --> 01:12:20,000
Speaker 2: kind of the post type NC State team. They're gonna

1420
01:12:20,000 --> 01:12:23,360
Speaker 2: fly under the radar all their toughest opponents at home

1421
01:12:23,680 --> 01:12:26,160
Speaker 2: manageable road schedule. So I'll throw out NC State, but

1422
01:12:26,160 --> 01:12:30,280
Speaker 2: also Boston College. I mainly this what this comes down

1423
01:12:30,280 --> 01:12:33,439
Speaker 2: to is, look, they did lose Djerkovic, but he was

1424
01:12:33,479 --> 01:12:36,720
Speaker 2: awful last year, mainly because the offensive line was a disaster.

1425
01:12:37,000 --> 01:12:39,160
Speaker 2: It was a brand new offensive line. You get four

1426
01:12:39,200 --> 01:12:44,040
Speaker 2: freshmen out, there should be a significantly improved offensive line.

1427
01:12:44,360 --> 01:12:46,400
Speaker 2: Good new offensive line coach coming in, a lot more

1428
01:12:46,439 --> 01:12:51,000
Speaker 2: experience there. And look we saw more very efficient down

1429
01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:53,759
Speaker 2: the stretch at quarterback. You do lose a star receiver

1430
01:12:53,840 --> 01:12:56,880
Speaker 2: in Flowers, but I think just because of the offensive line,

1431
01:12:57,280 --> 01:13:00,720
Speaker 2: the offense will be so much better. And what will

1432
01:13:00,720 --> 01:13:04,160
Speaker 2: that lead to the defense improving. I like some of

1433
01:13:04,560 --> 01:13:07,120
Speaker 2: what they're bringing back and what they added in the

1434
01:13:07,160 --> 01:13:10,880
Speaker 2: front seven, the secondary. There are significant questions, but that's

1435
01:13:10,960 --> 01:13:14,559
Speaker 2: halflee strong suit. So with this Boston College team over

1436
01:13:14,680 --> 01:13:17,719
Speaker 2: five and a half, I just need them to get

1437
01:13:17,760 --> 01:13:21,720
Speaker 2: to Bowl eligibility, and I'm willing to take that bet.

1438
01:13:21,720 --> 01:13:25,719
Speaker 2: They have eight very winnable games. You know you're Northern Illinois,

1439
01:13:25,720 --> 01:13:28,839
Speaker 2: they'd be like about a ten point favorite. Holy Cross, Uva.

1440
01:13:28,920 --> 01:13:32,479
Speaker 2: We talked about at Army transitioning from the triple option

1441
01:13:32,640 --> 01:13:36,679
Speaker 2: could be a disaster. At Georgia Tech after a bye

1442
01:13:37,000 --> 01:13:40,639
Speaker 2: Yukon at home at Syracuse Virginia Tech at home, they

1443
01:13:40,680 --> 01:13:44,080
Speaker 2: eight winnable games. I think athlete gets this team to

1444
01:13:45,120 --> 01:13:51,120
Speaker 2: a bowl. Better turnover luck, you know, better defense, better offense,

1445
01:13:51,160 --> 01:13:54,120
Speaker 2: and it all starts that offensive line trickle down effect here,

1446
01:13:54,920 --> 01:13:58,640
Speaker 2: better injury luck as well. They go from four to

1447
01:13:58,720 --> 01:14:02,639
Speaker 2: one hundred and forty offensive line starts for turning year

1448
01:14:02,680 --> 01:14:07,080
Speaker 2: over year. So give me Boston College over five and

1449
01:14:07,120 --> 01:14:07,879
Speaker 2: a half wins.

1450
01:14:08,439 --> 01:14:10,519
Speaker 1: Boston College is a team that I think has a

1451
01:14:10,600 --> 01:14:13,120
Speaker 1: chance of surprise. Halfley has got to start producing there,

1452
01:14:13,280 --> 01:14:15,519
Speaker 1: especially the defensive metrics have been so off for him,

1453
01:14:15,560 --> 01:14:17,400
Speaker 1: So we'll see what he can do. But I will

1454
01:14:17,720 --> 01:14:19,880
Speaker 1: definitely back you on that. I'm going to pivot over

1455
01:14:19,960 --> 01:14:23,320
Speaker 1: to Louisville. Probably can't talk about it enough of this year,

1456
01:14:23,320 --> 01:14:24,840
Speaker 1: how much I like to over on this team. I

1457
01:14:24,880 --> 01:14:27,240
Speaker 1: think it's ran up from seven up to eight. I

1458
01:14:27,240 --> 01:14:30,000
Speaker 1: still think it's got more room to steam. This is

1459
01:14:30,000 --> 01:14:31,880
Speaker 1: a team that's getting a brand new coach, and Jeff

1460
01:14:31,880 --> 01:14:34,400
Speaker 1: brom approved himself at Purdue, even making it to the

1461
01:14:34,439 --> 01:14:38,360
Speaker 1: Big Ten championship and went fourteenth in the Transfer portal rankings.

1462
01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:40,680
Speaker 1: He has brought in the players that he wants and

1463
01:14:40,760 --> 01:14:45,240
Speaker 1: getting them in place. Probably the easiest Power five schedule

1464
01:14:45,360 --> 01:14:48,559
Speaker 1: in all of college football. Bram is a proven coach

1465
01:14:48,600 --> 01:14:50,400
Speaker 1: and we bet on him often, we have for years.

1466
01:14:50,439 --> 01:14:53,120
Speaker 1: So I'll give me Louisville over eight, and.

1467
01:14:53,120 --> 01:14:56,040
Speaker 2: Finally we finish things up with third down favorite under.

1468
01:14:56,400 --> 01:14:58,880
Speaker 2: We might agree here, but the only under I like

1469
01:14:59,400 --> 01:15:02,600
Speaker 2: in the AC see wake Forest under six and a

1470
01:15:02,640 --> 01:15:08,200
Speaker 2: half wins. You know, Hartman leaving tough schedule. Questions in

1471
01:15:08,240 --> 01:15:11,800
Speaker 2: the trenches, might be some growing pains early, which is

1472
01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:15,240
Speaker 2: where the most winnable games come claws, and look, we'll

1473
01:15:15,240 --> 01:15:17,120
Speaker 2: probably find a way to get this team to six wins,

1474
01:15:17,160 --> 01:15:19,360
Speaker 2: but I think that's probably it.

1475
01:15:19,439 --> 01:15:21,519
Speaker 1: Definitely under six and a half here is the play.

1476
01:15:21,960 --> 01:15:23,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, give four of the top five in the ACC,

1477
01:15:23,920 --> 01:15:26,360
Speaker 2: and then you're also at Notre Dame, who comes off

1478
01:15:26,360 --> 01:15:28,960
Speaker 2: of a bye. All right, that'll do it for us.

1479
01:15:29,160 --> 01:15:33,599
Speaker 2: It was nice to kick off the rust. We forgot BC,

1480
01:15:33,800 --> 01:15:37,920
Speaker 2: but luckily got them in. Now it's everything is firing

1481
01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:41,160
Speaker 2: from here on out. We have a lot more betting

1482
01:15:41,200 --> 01:15:45,280
Speaker 2: previews to come every conference, and then it'll be week zero.

1483
01:15:45,400 --> 01:15:47,400
Speaker 2: We'll have a recap episode as well, going through our

1484
01:15:47,439 --> 01:15:50,400
Speaker 2: favorite bets, but thanks for tuning in. It's great to

1485
01:15:50,400 --> 01:15:53,439
Speaker 2: be back you guys all make the podcast. Make sure

1486
01:15:53,520 --> 01:15:56,519
Speaker 2: you leave a review of five star review. You know

1487
01:15:56,560 --> 01:15:59,439
Speaker 2: we're just getting back in action, so those really help

1488
01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:01,519
Speaker 2: us out. I'll do a bunch of giveaways as well,

1489
01:16:01,520 --> 01:16:03,439
Speaker 2: and if you've already left one, you know, borrow your

1490
01:16:03,439 --> 01:16:07,280
Speaker 2: friend's phone, borrow your girlfriend's phone, leave a five star review.

1491
01:16:07,840 --> 01:16:10,559
Speaker 2: Do some giveaways there. Tell a friend tone enemy. Make

1492
01:16:10,600 --> 01:16:14,120
Speaker 2: sure you subscribe on subscribe subscribe. Time for us to go.

1493
01:16:15,080 --> 01:16:19,000
Speaker 2: Keep up with more betting preview howege football will be

1494
01:16:19,080 --> 01:16:21,800
Speaker 2: here before we know it. It's good to be back.

1495
01:16:22,160 --> 01:16:24,559
Speaker 2: Good to be back with you, Colin, and we will

1496
01:16:24,760 --> 01:16:25,519
Speaker 2: catch you all later.

1497
01:16:25,680 --> 01:16:42,360
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace Out. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1498
01:16:42,800 --> 01:16:45,639
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1499
01:16:45,880 --> 01:16:48,519
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1500
01:16:48,600 --> 01:16:49,439
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler