WEBVTT - Didi Included in Latest China Crackdown

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Well, I'm eager to get

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<v Speaker 1>to our next guest, Dr lag Day Williams, who's Chief

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<v Speaker 1>of Staff of Neurology at Columbia University. He's also the

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<v Speaker 1>founder of Hip Hop Public Health. It works in the

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<v Speaker 1>public sector to address health and equities and to bring

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<v Speaker 1>vital information to underserved communities through the power of art,

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<v Speaker 1>music and science. Dr lage Day Williams has joined us

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<v Speaker 1>before on the show several times. Dr Williams, how are you.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm doing well. Thanks for having me back. It's great

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<v Speaker 1>to have you back. I want to start with we

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<v Speaker 1>don't have a lot of time, so I want to

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<v Speaker 1>get right to it. And what you're doing with hip

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<v Speaker 1>hop public health, what you're focusing on right now is

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<v Speaker 1>helping to reach underserved communities of color with the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm looking right now at the New York City

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<v Speaker 1>government website that shows data for different demographics with regard

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<v Speaker 1>to how what portion of their population has been vaccinated. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>white people in New York City have been vaccinated. That

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<v Speaker 1>compares to of Hispanic and Latino and of Black New Yorkers.

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<v Speaker 1>Why are we continuing to see this disparity? So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a multiple reasons west seeing. But if you drill deeper

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<v Speaker 1>into the numbers, that has been progressed across the board,

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<v Speaker 1>but the disparity is still very real. Um, if if

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<v Speaker 1>you extrapolate across the country, you look at the national data,

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<v Speaker 1>we've actually, uh, Hispanics are doing very very well. Of

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<v Speaker 1>his Flanics have been vaccinated according to recent trends, versus

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<v Speaker 1>that total shaff the population, which is about seventeen percent.

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<v Speaker 1>But still if you look at the if youok at

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<v Speaker 1>the African American data among blacks, uh, you know we

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<v Speaker 1>have also surpassed our share of the total population with

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<v Speaker 1>about thirteen percent across the country been vaccinated versus you know,

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<v Speaker 1>twelve percent to total share. But I completely agree there

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<v Speaker 1>is still a tremendous amount of work that's left to

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<v Speaker 1>be done. You know, I've always said that building trust,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, isn't done overnight. It takes time. The real

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<v Speaker 1>challenges that we are racing against time in this situation,

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<v Speaker 1>we're racing against the variant, and so I think we

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<v Speaker 1>just need to continue to increase, escalate an ant, intensify

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<v Speaker 1>our efforts across multiple levels UM and get to the

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<v Speaker 1>place where we actually get to a door to door

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<v Speaker 1>vaccination campaign UM and UM and really hyper localifed messaging

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<v Speaker 1>adored or vaccination campaign sort of like what we what

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<v Speaker 1>we see with the census every ten years. If you

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<v Speaker 1>don't fill it out, somebody comes to your door and

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<v Speaker 1>knocks on it right exactly exactly. And that's difficult though

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<v Speaker 1>to do, especially with the two shot vaccine. It works

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<v Speaker 1>with a one shot vaccine, the Johnson and Johnson shot,

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<v Speaker 1>but how do we know that somebody will be there

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<v Speaker 1>the second time around. It's it's a challenge to it's

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<v Speaker 1>a huge challenge. But you know, if I always said,

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<v Speaker 1>this is you know, this is the United States of America.

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<v Speaker 1>We have we have we have you know, robots on

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<v Speaker 1>Mars right now. We you know, there's nothing beyond our

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<v Speaker 1>capacity to accomplish. And I think that we just need

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<v Speaker 1>to bring you know, the best minds together. But more

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<v Speaker 1>importantly than the best minds, we need really glass roots

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<v Speaker 1>approaches to the solution. I've always said, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the closer you are to a problem, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>closer you are to a solution. And so we need

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<v Speaker 1>to get people who are actually living in and with

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<v Speaker 1>the problem, and we need to figure out a way

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<v Speaker 1>to work with them to attract you know, scalable solutions.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm sure there are examples in some smaller communities

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<v Speaker 1>across across the country where success has been you know,

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<v Speaker 1>has been seen in communities of color. Um. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I think that we need to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>take these best practices and scale them up. What are

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<v Speaker 1>some of these best practices because you said it starts

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<v Speaker 1>with trust and the idea of communicating. And I know

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<v Speaker 1>several people that have yet to get a vaccine, and

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<v Speaker 1>and and they're concerned, they have concerns, they want to wait,

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<v Speaker 1>they say it's new. What's the right messaging here, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the right messaging is the for ust acknowledge and be

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<v Speaker 1>non judgmental when discussing these issues with someone who is

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<v Speaker 1>skeptical or hesitant or lacked confidence. I mean, we also

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<v Speaker 1>have to acknowledge that there's certain people no matter what

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<v Speaker 1>we say or do, UM will will continue to refuse.

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<v Speaker 1>But I do think that there are still a number

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<v Speaker 1>of people who can be persuaded. But again, it's gonna take, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, really real, you know, personalized efforts UM to

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<v Speaker 1>really identify uh you know networks UH, and leaders within networks,

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<v Speaker 1>credible messengers, champions within these networks who are open to

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccination message or or or have themselves being vaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>and working with these you know, these these these leaders,

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<v Speaker 1>these messengers, these uh you know, credible individuals with it

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<v Speaker 1>what work with that networks? UM. And and it has

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<v Speaker 1>to be one to one, it has to be one

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<v Speaker 1>on one UH persuades. You know. At Columbia where I am,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, UM, you know, we have multi layers of

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<v Speaker 1>interventions all the way down to those one on one

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<v Speaker 1>conversations with people that you trust. And I think that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't think that um uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>copper carpet bombing messages are gonna work. I think we've

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<v Speaker 1>already plucked all the low hanging fruits from that type

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<v Speaker 1>of approach. I think we're now down to that door

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<v Speaker 1>to door, that one on one conversations with people that

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<v Speaker 1>people trust. Yeah, well this is where the real work

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<v Speaker 1>really begins. And speaking of that, when we love about

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds left, But I want to get to some

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<v Speaker 1>of what else you're doing at Hip Hop Public Health

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<v Speaker 1>because it's not just about the vaccine, oh absolutely not,

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely not. You know, we address health disparities and health inequity, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, as a as a whole, and we identify

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<v Speaker 1>areas where communication that's been great comity of communications with

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<v Speaker 1>certain communities, and we take our our approach, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a really scientifically embedded, you can evident approach motivating the

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<v Speaker 1>change in the community. Right, Dr Williams, we unfortunately have

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<v Speaker 1>to leave it there this time this Dr lager Day Williams,

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<v Speaker 1>chief of staff of Neurology, also found at Hip Hop

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<v Speaker 1>Public Health. Bloomberg Philanthropies has provided in grant to Hip

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<v Speaker 1>Hop Public Health. He's also a chief of staff Neurology

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<v Speaker 1>at Columbia University chairs of d D SHO Shing d

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<v Speaker 1>D and Inc. I should say, the parent company of

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<v Speaker 1>d D SHO Shing Uh the a d r s

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<v Speaker 1>right now lower by more than twenty point five per cent,

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely plunging just a few days after going public. Here

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States. Matt Turner is stocks reporter at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. He joins us now on the phone from

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<v Speaker 1>wee Hawk in New Jersey. Matt, let's start at the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning here, slide like this all because of regulatory crackdown

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<v Speaker 1>in China. Give us the details here. What's going on?

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<v Speaker 1>That's him, thanks. I mean, this all sort of started

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<v Speaker 1>last week. We saw the we saw the idea where

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<v Speaker 1>they raised four point four billion dollars um and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>share us kind of climbed in the first few days

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<v Speaker 1>of trading and really pulled their market cap up close

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<v Speaker 1>to eight billion. But then, um, you know, Friday, we

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<v Speaker 1>had regulators in China come out saying that they were

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<v Speaker 1>going to launch this cybersecurity review into the company and

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<v Speaker 1>they had halted the registration of new users, and we

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<v Speaker 1>saw shares kind of trade lower on Friday, and then

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<v Speaker 1>you that really escalated over the weekend, we saw they

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<v Speaker 1>expanded that probe into two other firms, including d D,

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<v Speaker 1>and they also have the app stores to actually remove

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<v Speaker 1>their apps from the app stores completely. Um So, obviously

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<v Speaker 1>that leads us into this morning where we saw you know,

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<v Speaker 1>shares really really take a nose, that they were down

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<v Speaker 1>as much in pre market, and then you know, as

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<v Speaker 1>you said, now they're they're still down well over today. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>this was obviously not priced in. When you see a

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<v Speaker 1>a a decline like this, a move of this magnitude,

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that was unexpected by regulator regulatory authorities.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking, you know about the timing here, right, just

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<v Speaker 1>a few days after the company goes public. What do

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<v Speaker 1>we know about what the Chinese government has said to

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<v Speaker 1>d D and how they feel about it going public

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<v Speaker 1>in the US. Yeah, I mean it's a little unclear.

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<v Speaker 1>We've had the Wall Street Journal report earlier that the

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<v Speaker 1>Chinese regulators may have actually warned d D as as

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<v Speaker 1>far back as three months ago and had asked them

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<v Speaker 1>to delay that i p O. Obviously that wasn't the case. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>D D in fact even flagged in the regulatory filings

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<v Speaker 1>for the I p O that there were some sort

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, there were those anti trust concerns and

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<v Speaker 1>they weren't actually sure uh you know, if those would

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<v Speaker 1>be resolved fully, uh you know, if they were going

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<v Speaker 1>to face more fines in the future. Um. So it

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<v Speaker 1>was something that may not necessarily have been priced into

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<v Speaker 1>the stock, but it was definitely um you know, if

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<v Speaker 1>you kind of dug into the the filings and even

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<v Speaker 1>uh you know, spoke to some of those people in

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<v Speaker 1>analysts in China. Um, you know, it was a concern

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<v Speaker 1>at least inside the company. There's also just the latest

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<v Speaker 1>in sort of a crackdown on Chinese companies um as

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<v Speaker 1>you and flip a right in the story, Investors worried

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<v Speaker 1>that the latest security based probes have vopmened a new

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<v Speaker 1>front in Xijian things broader campaign against China's internet giants

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<v Speaker 1>that began in November with the collapse of Aunt Group

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<v Speaker 1>companies thirty five billion dollar I p O and subsequent

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<v Speaker 1>anti trust investigations into Ali, Baba and Matwan. I'm wondering

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<v Speaker 1>how investors are digesting this news when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>other tow A d r s of other Chinese companies

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<v Speaker 1>that are listed here in the US. Yeah, it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>been a pretty broad based sell off today. UM. We

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<v Speaker 1>we had looked earlier at you know, all these Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>firms that have actually I POD this year. There are

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seven that have started trading uh since we started. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And of that group, uh, thirty one of those were

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<v Speaker 1>lower at this point, uh, you know, as about half

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<v Speaker 1>an hour ago. So you know, it's a pretty broad

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<v Speaker 1>based selloff. You know, even shares of Goldman and Morgan Stanley,

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<v Speaker 1>who were both underwriters of this d D I p

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<v Speaker 1>O we're lower today. So it's kind of it's hitting

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<v Speaker 1>every everyone that's involved, and you know, even even some

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<v Speaker 1>of those antilary stocks that are not obviously directly linked

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<v Speaker 1>to d D. So does this make Chinese companies that

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<v Speaker 1>are thinking about listening in the United States? Does this

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<v Speaker 1>make them think twice about doing that? Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>from everybody that we've talked to, you know, this is

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that uh, you know, the analysts are

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<v Speaker 1>saying is going to be a concern for some of

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<v Speaker 1>these ideas that are going forward, even some of the

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<v Speaker 1>ones that are are planned for later this year. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And it is part of that push that we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>from from China and from Jun pink to to try

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<v Speaker 1>and get these Chinese firms to list domestically, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong and in China as opposed to listening

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<v Speaker 1>in the US market. Yeah, I I wonder match. Just

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<v Speaker 1>in the last ten seconds, we have what analysts are

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<v Speaker 1>saying about the business. How this actually affects the company's

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<v Speaker 1>business if people can't new customers can't download the app, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean for now, you know, it's a little unclear

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<v Speaker 1>they're saying that. You know, like we've seen some of

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<v Speaker 1>the other crackdowns. You know, the financials haven't really borne

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<v Speaker 1>any of the impact, right, you know, that's something that

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<v Speaker 1>they will be watching closely going forward. Matt Turner, stocks

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<v Speaker 1>reporter at Bloomberg News. He joins us live on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from Wee Hawk in New Jersey, giving us the

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<v Speaker 1>latest on d D Inc, The parent company of d

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<v Speaker 1>D Sho Shang. Thanks so much, Matt for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well, here

0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:03.800
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Business Week, we've been covering the unequal distribution

0:12:03.840 --> 0:12:06.560
<v Speaker 1>of vaccines around the world. What's happening here in the

0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:09.600
<v Speaker 1>United States is certainly the exception, not the rule, with

0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:13.720
<v Speaker 1>vaccines pretty much available for free to anyone who's eligible.

0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.640
<v Speaker 1>But a new story in Bloomberg Business Week by James

0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Peyton and John Lawerman talks about life saving vaccines becoming

0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:24.320
<v Speaker 1>profit machines for drugmakers and for middle income countries protection

0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:27.880
<v Speaker 1>from the virus can cost governments dearly. Joining me now

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:30.560
<v Speaker 1>is Joel Webber, editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He's with

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:34.400
<v Speaker 1>me in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Also joining us

0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 1>is James Peyton, healthcare reporter for Bloomberg News. He joins

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:40.560
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from London. Joel, this is a

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:45.560
<v Speaker 1>fantastic piece that that really dives into the cost, really

0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:49.200
<v Speaker 1>what it costs countries around the world, uh, to actually

0:12:49.200 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 1>get this life saving tonic, right, this life saving vaccine.

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 1>And I'm wondering how much should they be getting charged

0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:59.000
<v Speaker 1>by these for profit pharmaceutical companies that for decades have

0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 1>been boogeyman. That's what we're finding out right. And I

0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.720
<v Speaker 1>think what what sticks out to you, um or to

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 1>me at least in this story is is actually just

0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 1>what a big windfall COVID vaccines have become for pharma.

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:14.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we're looking at a hundred billion plus dollar

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 1>business and depending on how things go, you could just

0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 1>imagine their booster shots look like another another wave of

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.960
<v Speaker 1>money for them. But there is this have and have

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.079
<v Speaker 1>not question that I think we we as a as

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>a newsroom, have spent a lot of time thinking about

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 1>and talking about and reporting about, and I think this

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>story is another version of that. Because there are the

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 1>the America's and granted there are a few countries quite

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:43.840
<v Speaker 1>like ours that can pull off pull off what we

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 1>can pull off, and that leaves the rest of the

0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:49.760
<v Speaker 1>world in a different predicament. And especially for the load

0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:54.200
<v Speaker 1>of middle income countries, the options do not look great um.

0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:58.200
<v Speaker 1>And these vaccines are not always cheap um. And so

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:00.880
<v Speaker 1>that brings in a question of soft power. Well, so, James,

0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>let's bring you in here. What what stands out to you?

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Um as you were writing about the story. Yeah, we'll

0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 1>get to be with you. I mean, I think you

0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:12.840
<v Speaker 1>you nailed it, you know, in terms of the debate,

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 1>because um, I think it's an important one to have.

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.959
<v Speaker 1>You know, these huge sales that you mentioned that are

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>flowing to the vaccine makers raise that question right of

0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 1>what is a fair price and what is a fair

0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>profit UM in the middle of a raging pandemic. You know,

0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:32.920
<v Speaker 1>and as you say, these vaccines are saving wives, they're

0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 1>rescuing businesses, allowing countries like the US and the UK

0:14:38.160 --> 0:14:42.440
<v Speaker 1>where where I am, to reopen. Obviously that is mentally

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 1>valuable to those countries that are UM fortunate enough to

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:50.320
<v Speaker 1>have vaccines, but you know, vast parts of the world

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:53.480
<v Speaker 1>have this limited UM access and some of the people

0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 1>I talked to for this story question, you know, what

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 1>level of profits are are justified given that uneven dis

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 1>abution we're seeing and given them many of these vaccines

0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:07.640
<v Speaker 1>are heavily funded by governments, by the US, by the UK, Germany,

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 1>and some nonprofits that themselves received funding from governments, and

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:17.080
<v Speaker 1>there is an interest beyond the humanitarian one is you know,

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:20.720
<v Speaker 1>as we've written a lot about and discussed UM, you know,

0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of steak from a from a health perspective,

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:27.680
<v Speaker 1>in an economic sense as well. If this virus keeps circulating,

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 1>new variants could emerge that could be you know, problematic,

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.760
<v Speaker 1>and that could prolong the pandemic. So you know, this

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>is an important issue and it's not just a question

0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>of the availability of vaccines to win these countries will

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 1>get access to these shots, but also whether they'll be

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:52.640
<v Speaker 1>affordable uh when when they when they finally do get

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 1>the chance to uh to purchase them. So I think

0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>it's a I think it's an important topic. Well, it's

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 1>it's something that we're seeing play out right before our

0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:03.720
<v Speaker 1>eyes with the delta variant, if we were able to

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, this is the variant that is is more

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:09.120
<v Speaker 1>concerning than other variants that were predominant here in the

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 1>United States just a few months ago, and it's certainly

0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:15.760
<v Speaker 1>ripping its way around the UK and indeed the predominant

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>variant of new infections here in the United States, and

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:20.800
<v Speaker 1>it's certainly concerning. Um. I wonder about some of the

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 1>examples that you write about. Take us into what you

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.880
<v Speaker 1>learned about Senegal for example. Yeah, Well, we looked at

0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>we looked at some countries around the world and um,

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, the thing on pricing is that there's a

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>lack of transparency and there's very little disclosure about who

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>is paying what. So some of the prices are starting

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.960
<v Speaker 1>to emerge. You know, We've looked at some regulatory filings Uh,

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, government statements and some of the sources that

0:16:46.800 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>we've talked to, and you know, you can start to

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:52.080
<v Speaker 1>paint the picture. But you mentioned Senegal. You know it's

0:16:52.080 --> 0:16:57.520
<v Speaker 1>a lower income UH country. They are paying uh, they

0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:00.880
<v Speaker 1>agreed to pay about roughly twenty U S dollars a

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 1>dose for Sign of Farms vaccine. Now, this is one

0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:08.639
<v Speaker 1>of the Chinese vaccine makers that we talked about in

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 1>our piece as well. And now you know, you can

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:13.919
<v Speaker 1>look at some of these prices and say, you know what,

0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:17.199
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't sound like a lot given you know, the

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:20.080
<v Speaker 1>potential of vaccines, given what we're talking about, and also

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 1>some of these costs, to be fair, you know, they

0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:25.520
<v Speaker 1>pale in comparison to the the economic costs of of

0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>not vaccinating your population, right, I mean you consider the

0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>trillions of dollars globally that that's at stake. But for

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 1>a country like Senegal, um, you know, I mean we

0:17:36.760 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>look at some data showing that they're um annual per

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:44.280
<v Speaker 1>capita health spending is less than sixty U S dollars

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:46.359
<v Speaker 1>And for a lot of these for a lot of

0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:51.640
<v Speaker 1>these countries, you know, they're they're grappling with multiple health threats. Uh.

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:54.840
<v Speaker 1>You know around the world. They're obviously diseases like malaria

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:58.399
<v Speaker 1>and HIV and many others, and these are you know,

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 1>stretched health. But just that these countries are working with

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>and you know, they're not in a position obviously to

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>spend big vaccines. They might be able to do it,

0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:10.800
<v Speaker 1>they might be able to pull it off, but then

0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 1>that raises the risk that they'll have to divert spending

0:18:16.440 --> 0:18:19.160
<v Speaker 1>from other areas to to pay the bill for vaccines,

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:22.280
<v Speaker 1>and that could have a long term impact that will

0:18:22.320 --> 0:18:25.680
<v Speaker 1>be writing about probably for years to come. And that

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.600
<v Speaker 1>Actually there's this great quote that I loved in here,

0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 1>which is this is essentially a seller's market. And that's

0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:35.240
<v Speaker 1>a quote that refers not only to uh, what the

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.880
<v Speaker 1>US companies can charge, but also even the Chinese ones.

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.520
<v Speaker 1>What's I found surprising that in some cases the Chinese

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:45.920
<v Speaker 1>vaccines cost even more than the American ones, just bite

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:50.879
<v Speaker 1>maybe not having the same efficacy. Absolutely, And the China

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 1>side to this, I think is is fascinating because there

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:55.919
<v Speaker 1>has been a focus you know, we have done some

0:18:55.960 --> 0:18:59.399
<v Speaker 1>stories on this, but looking at the geopolitical benefits to

0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 1>China gets from exporting vaccines to the world, but overlooked

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:08.720
<v Speaker 1>perhaps is the financial benefit to China. You know, China,

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:12.679
<v Speaker 1>you may recall last year talked about vaccines being a

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.720
<v Speaker 1>global public good. You know, they wanted to treat vaccines

0:19:15.760 --> 0:19:18.600
<v Speaker 1>as the global public good. And you know, we're finding

0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 1>now China, Chinese companies are finding now that they're also

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, turning out to be lucrative products for Chinese

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:28.960
<v Speaker 1>companies as well. And now, you know, one person I

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:31.640
<v Speaker 1>talked to with the counsel on Foreign Relations pointed out

0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:36.679
<v Speaker 1>that China likely sees that as something that's actually beneficial.

0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, they can benefit the world can benefit from

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:43.199
<v Speaker 1>uh their vaccines. But some of these vaccines are not

0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:45.919
<v Speaker 1>cheap that the Chinese companies are selling well. It's a

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 1>fantastic story by James Payton along with John Lawerman. You

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 1>can read James a story on the Bloomberg and at

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.119
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, Slash business Week. James Payton his healthcare

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:57.480
<v Speaker 1>reporter at Bloomberg News. Joe Webber, editor of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Joel's with me in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. This

0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Hello. Hello, it's Bloomberg Business Week.

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.879
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinaback live in the Interactive at Broker's Studio in

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:23.840
<v Speaker 1>New York. Carol Masser taking a well deserved day off today. Well,

0:20:23.920 --> 0:20:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Andy Jasse, it's day two for the brand new CEO

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 1>of Amazon. Shares of Amazon are hired today by four

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 1>point seven and nine percent as we speak, reaching a

0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:36.920
<v Speaker 1>new intra day record. But he's got his work cut

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:40.679
<v Speaker 1>out for him long term. Jasse has to navigate Washington

0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 1>and European regulators, and of course appears a growing workforce

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:49.480
<v Speaker 1>of hundreds of thousands of warehouse employees. Heather are Younger

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:53.880
<v Speaker 1>as founder and CEO of employee Fanatics. It's an employee

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:58.200
<v Speaker 1>experienced consulting firm. She joins us now from Denver, Colorado. Heather,

0:20:58.280 --> 0:21:01.680
<v Speaker 1>it's great to have you. How are you. I'm doing great,

0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me on. So what is the advice

0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:08.520
<v Speaker 1>that you would give Amazon's brand new CEO, Andy Jassy?

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:10.680
<v Speaker 1>Who mind you? Has been somebody who's been at Amazon

0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:14.040
<v Speaker 1>for decades. He's most recently had of a WS in

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:19.120
<v Speaker 1>his first week of of being CEO. Well, I think

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>no matter what, he needs to be really clear up

0:21:22.000 --> 0:21:24.240
<v Speaker 1>what type of leader he's going to be, uh, and

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.719
<v Speaker 1>how he might be different from Paseos of course, and

0:21:27.760 --> 0:21:29.880
<v Speaker 1>even though he's been there, you know, setting his mark,

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:32.199
<v Speaker 1>deciding what kind of leader he wants to be and

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 1>how he's going to show up for all of those

0:21:34.119 --> 0:21:36.320
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of thousands of people who are looking to him

0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 1>for leadership. That's that's one thing I think. Secondly, Um,

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:41.439
<v Speaker 1>he's going to need to take some real clear steps

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:43.920
<v Speaker 1>to listen to those people, because I'm not sure anybody

0:21:43.920 --> 0:21:47.520
<v Speaker 1>has been listening and understanding what their needs are, what

0:21:47.600 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 1>their complaints might be, and just to be committed to

0:21:49.640 --> 0:21:52.080
<v Speaker 1>doing the right thing as it relates to them. It's

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 1>so interesting that you said that that element of listening,

0:21:54.560 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 1>because when I was reading the notes that our producer

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 1>Paul sent to me, Um, you mentioned listening and it

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 1>struck me because, as as I mentioned earlier in the show,

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>I just finished We're Colleague brad Stone's new book about Amazon,

0:22:05.000 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>and I was struck with many parts of it. But

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:10.240
<v Speaker 1>he shares this story from a little over a year

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:12.680
<v Speaker 1>ago April, when the United States, in the midst of

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:16.400
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic, Amazon is hiring so many new people. These

0:22:16.400 --> 0:22:20.000
<v Speaker 1>are essential workers, the service quickly becoming essential to people

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:23.840
<v Speaker 1>who are in lockdown and need to get groceries and supplies.

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:27.000
<v Speaker 1>And Jeff Bezos made a surprise visit to one of

0:22:27.080 --> 0:22:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Amazon's warehouses, but it was the first time that he

0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:34.480
<v Speaker 1>had visited one of those fulfillment centers in years. Yeah,

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 1>and I think that's a really big mistake. I'm hoping

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:38.639
<v Speaker 1>that Jesse says, you know what, I'm going to be

0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>the listening leader. I'm going to be going around and

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:43.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna do a listening tour, go to as many

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:46.159
<v Speaker 1>as Sinners as I can, even if it's virtual or

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:48.119
<v Speaker 1>in person, but in person probably better, so we can

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:50.119
<v Speaker 1>really see how people are living in the in the

0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 1>way in which they have to work every day and

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:54.720
<v Speaker 1>trying to trying to get their work done. So yeah,

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:56.840
<v Speaker 1>I hope that would be his first step as listening tours,

0:22:56.880 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>just going around, Um, you know, the listening is it's

0:23:00.440 --> 0:23:02.440
<v Speaker 1>no It'll go a huge way for those people because

0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 1>they hadn't been listening to They people know when they've

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:06.879
<v Speaker 1>been heard, they know when they're cared for by the

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>leaders who they look to for guidance, and that would

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>build a level of trust that he needs right off

0:23:11.080 --> 0:23:13.680
<v Speaker 1>the bat, particularly any new initiatives he's trying to get,

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:15.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, put through. How does he do this at

0:23:15.280 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>scale though, because this is something that Amazon is a

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:20.560
<v Speaker 1>unique piast, right, it has fulfillment centers all over the world.

0:23:20.640 --> 0:23:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Is that hundreds of thousands of employees. How does Jesse

0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:25.600
<v Speaker 1>do this in a way that makes it look like

0:23:25.640 --> 0:23:29.480
<v Speaker 1>he's going on He's going beyond just doing it for show. Yeah,

0:23:29.480 --> 0:23:31.199
<v Speaker 1>I mean in the end, he doesn't have to do

0:23:31.240 --> 0:23:33.560
<v Speaker 1>it all by himself. He can have the whole feast me.

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:36.120
<v Speaker 1>He can have outside consulting firms like my employee Fanatics

0:23:36.200 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 1>right come in and help with some of the listening sessions.

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 1>In the end, it's when they know that they are

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 1>being heard and that there's an intent to act on

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:47.080
<v Speaker 1>at least some of what it is they're saying, and

0:23:47.119 --> 0:23:49.440
<v Speaker 1>they see the results, and then you feed them back

0:23:49.760 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 1>do action, telling them what it is you're doing for them.

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 1>They know they've been heard. It makes it just makes

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 1>a huge difference. It validates it. It It makes them feel

0:23:57.000 --> 0:23:59.399
<v Speaker 1>that the world that they're doing is meaningful and they

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:01.200
<v Speaker 1>feel like there's more than just the day to day,

0:24:01.240 --> 0:24:03.399
<v Speaker 1>but that there's it's leading to some bigger mission for

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:07.239
<v Speaker 1>the world. Okay, so apart from the listening tour, what

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:09.199
<v Speaker 1>else can Joss you do, especially when it comes to

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:13.240
<v Speaker 1>working with other executives to help build up that team. Yeah,

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:14.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think you know, right off the bat,

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 1>if he's able to establish with his leadership team that

0:24:18.840 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 1>that things are going to change, that it is going

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 1>to be about making sure that they're driving a more

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:25.280
<v Speaker 1>positive culture, and that every one of those people on

0:24:25.320 --> 0:24:27.439
<v Speaker 1>the leisure team has to take responsibility so he's not

0:24:27.480 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 1>in it all by himself. That will be super clear.

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 1>Making sure that maybe he does put someone in charge

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:36.560
<v Speaker 1>that really is super focused on having the pulse for employees,

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 1>suggesting really good avenues for cultural improvements um and making

0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>sure that they're always keeping those at the front line

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:46.199
<v Speaker 1>of the customer experience right at the front of all

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:48.320
<v Speaker 1>their cultural improvement so that they're you know, it's not

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.159
<v Speaker 1>so just coming from top down, but maybe he creates

0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:54.280
<v Speaker 1>culture teams all throughout the organization and they report into

0:24:54.280 --> 0:24:56.520
<v Speaker 1>this new person, but making sure that there's someone that

0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.160
<v Speaker 1>has the pull. I think the other thing through all

0:24:59.200 --> 0:25:02.200
<v Speaker 1>of this kind of cree time is making sure that

0:25:02.200 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 1>that he and his team, and the the team members

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:08.640
<v Speaker 1>can be adaptable, less fearful, and they'll be less fearful,

0:25:08.680 --> 0:25:11.440
<v Speaker 1>more adaptable when they're aware of changes that are coming

0:25:11.480 --> 0:25:14.400
<v Speaker 1>down the pipes and being super open and communicative about this.

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:17.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's interesting that this is all happening at

0:25:17.720 --> 0:25:19.560
<v Speaker 1>the tail end at least in the United States of

0:25:19.600 --> 0:25:21.679
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. And it was announced at the beginning of

0:25:21.680 --> 0:25:24.199
<v Speaker 1>the year back in January, that Jeff Bezos would be

0:25:24.240 --> 0:25:26.639
<v Speaker 1>doing this, but it's still the pandemic. And one thing

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:30.399
<v Speaker 1>that we're seeing happen around the US is employees uh

0:25:30.600 --> 0:25:33.199
<v Speaker 1>leave firms for new jobs and in some cases, uh

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:35.119
<v Speaker 1>not even going into the office to be able to

0:25:35.160 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 1>say goodbye to employee until their colleagues who they've known

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:40.800
<v Speaker 1>for years. Because of just where we are right now.

0:25:41.200 --> 0:25:42.920
<v Speaker 1>What are the takeaways that we can learn from a

0:25:42.960 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 1>transition like Bezos and Jassy's that that we can all

0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:50.760
<v Speaker 1>apply to our own corporate lives. Mm hmm. I think

0:25:50.880 --> 0:25:54.199
<v Speaker 1>is this idea of reinvention is a big one for reinventing.

0:25:54.280 --> 0:25:56.439
<v Speaker 1>You know yourself as a leader, and then how do

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:58.159
<v Speaker 1>you and then if your over the organization as a

0:25:58.200 --> 0:26:01.359
<v Speaker 1>beastly as Almazon, how do you kind of reinvent, but

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:03.119
<v Speaker 1>don't do it in the stylo and don't just do

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:04.879
<v Speaker 1>it at the leadership level. How do you? How are

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:07.680
<v Speaker 1>you more inclusive in your decision making? Um? I think

0:26:07.760 --> 0:26:10.080
<v Speaker 1>that's gonna be the biggest thing for leaders coming forward.

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:11.960
<v Speaker 1>And and I'm not just talking from you know, the

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:14.560
<v Speaker 1>marginalized group side, I'm just talking about generally, how are

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:17.880
<v Speaker 1>we more inclusive in the decision making process that people

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>feel bought into things? And when we're talking about these

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:23.760
<v Speaker 1>people that are not coming back, it's probably because leaders

0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:26.239
<v Speaker 1>aren't getting a clue. They don't understand what it is.

0:26:26.440 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 1>They're people needed from the beginning. They needed to be

0:26:28.680 --> 0:26:31.760
<v Speaker 1>listening and they needed to be more inclusive. Thirty seconds Heather,

0:26:31.920 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>we uh, you know, we know on Wall Street leaders

0:26:35.119 --> 0:26:38.399
<v Speaker 1>of publicly traded companies are judged by returns. How are

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 1>you going to judge Jesse? You know, I hate to

0:26:42.840 --> 0:26:45.399
<v Speaker 1>say it, but those those news articles, the things that

0:26:45.440 --> 0:26:48.240
<v Speaker 1>you see, the coverage that's happening with employees and sour

0:26:48.359 --> 0:26:51.480
<v Speaker 1>paces leaving their mouth. I think I'm gonna judge him

0:26:51.520 --> 0:26:54.120
<v Speaker 1>by how how that goes down and if it's gonna

0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:56.160
<v Speaker 1>be if he's gonna be able to turn the tide

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>of the negative culture and bad press that they're getting.

0:26:59.200 --> 0:27:00.680
<v Speaker 1>What is he going to do us to his mark

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:03.640
<v Speaker 1>to create a more positive culture. Yeah, it's a really

0:27:03.680 --> 0:27:06.000
<v Speaker 1>good metric to use. Heather are Younger is founder and

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:10.920
<v Speaker 1>its CEO of Employee Fanatics. It's a firm that works

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:16.200
<v Speaker 1>with companies to help employee experience. Heather joining us from Denver, Colorado. Heather,

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:24.400
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for your time. I'm roc a journal Yeah,

0:27:24.480 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive? Oh no, no, no no, no, honey, please,

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:32.639
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the riding revel with me. I want to

0:27:32.720 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 1>drive all just drive, baby, the questions trying. This is

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:51.639
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the close community. Thanks, we'll driving us

0:27:52.160 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 1>down on Bloomberg Radio. Yes, indeed it is that time,

0:27:56.680 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the clothes. We're just over ten minutes

0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:02.439
<v Speaker 1>away from the is the market on this Tuesday, June

0:28:02.600 --> 0:28:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Lie six. But I used to saying July. We are

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.159
<v Speaker 1>more than halfway done with the year, after all. Joining

0:28:08.240 --> 0:28:11.320
<v Speaker 1>us now is Randy Watt's chief investment strategist at O'Neill

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Global Advisors, joining us on the phone from Miami. Randy,

0:28:14.960 --> 0:28:18.159
<v Speaker 1>how are you this afternoon? Tim? I'm I'm well, I

0:28:18.160 --> 0:28:19.840
<v Speaker 1>hope you and your family are well, and it's good

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:21.560
<v Speaker 1>to hear your boys. Yeah, it's good to hear yours

0:28:21.560 --> 0:28:23.640
<v Speaker 1>as well. Thanks so much for taking the time. We're

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:27.000
<v Speaker 1>doing well. Thanks Randy. Take us into how how you're

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 1>thinking about the market. I mean, look at what we're

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:31.880
<v Speaker 1>poised to do today, the sp five looking like it's

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:34.080
<v Speaker 1>going to snap a seven day winning streak, the Dow

0:28:34.200 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 1>down today for the first time in five sessions. How

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:39.680
<v Speaker 1>are you reading into it? Well, I think technically there's

0:28:39.680 --> 0:28:41.680
<v Speaker 1>a slight lag right now if the S and P

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 1>versus the Nasdaq that's really being driven by a rotation

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 1>into large cap growth stocks. The market, though, overall, is

0:28:48.600 --> 0:28:51.440
<v Speaker 1>trending within a channel that has really dated back to November,

0:28:51.880 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 1>with the upper end rising to about and the lower

0:28:55.240 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 1>end of the fifty d m A which is about eleven.

0:28:58.440 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Well right now, the leadership is in tech, retail, and healthcare.

0:29:02.280 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Some of the more cyclical value groups like transports, materials,

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>financials have been basically consolidating their gains from earlier in

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 1>the year and probably need a little bit of time

0:29:11.520 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 1>to go go sideways before they make another thrust up.

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:18.040
<v Speaker 1>How much higher does this bullmarket go. I think it

0:29:18.080 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>depends on two things. It depends on earnings and it

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:24.239
<v Speaker 1>depends on yields. As you mentioned a minute ago, you know,

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 1>the ten year back to one five because an awful

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:29.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of valuation support for stocks. I think the thing

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 1>investors are wrestling with right now is coming out of

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 1>that that first quarter earning season, earnings estimates went up

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 1>quite a bit for the S and P. People are

0:29:37.800 --> 0:29:40.320
<v Speaker 1>looking for a D eight dollars and earnings this year

0:29:40.680 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>and two eleven for next year. If those earnings come through,

0:29:45.040 --> 0:29:47.120
<v Speaker 1>I do think there's upside on the market because the

0:29:47.160 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 1>market would be about twenty times next year's earnings. But

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I think what investors are wrestling with is two things.

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 1>First is is there going to be a margin squeeze

0:29:56.720 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 1>in the second quarter. So we've seen a lot of

0:29:59.040 --> 0:30:03.640
<v Speaker 1>costs go up, whether that's raw materials excuse me, raw

0:30:03.680 --> 0:30:07.320
<v Speaker 1>materials or average hourly earnings which are obviously labor costs

0:30:07.360 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 1>are going up here. And then I think the second

0:30:09.600 --> 0:30:11.880
<v Speaker 1>thing they're wrestling with is because there are so many

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.920
<v Speaker 1>supply shortages, both in materials and also in labor, are

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:18.320
<v Speaker 1>coming to am Able to meet their production schedules for

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the for the second quarter and for the third quarter,

0:30:20.760 --> 0:30:22.480
<v Speaker 1>and so I think that's why you've seen a little

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 1>bit of a move back to growth here, is that

0:30:24.600 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 1>people aren't sure whether they should trust those earnings estimates. Well,

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 1>where are you on the transitory versus not transitory debate?

0:30:31.160 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Because when you when you talk about the margin squeeze here,

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:36.560
<v Speaker 1>what you're talking about is higher input costs and to

0:30:36.640 --> 0:30:38.840
<v Speaker 1>what extent those margins are going to be hurt by

0:30:38.880 --> 0:30:44.080
<v Speaker 1>those and by a difficult time getting supplies and inputs.

0:30:44.520 --> 0:30:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Um is this something that's here to stay or is

0:30:46.600 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>this something that is indeed the word in the words

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:51.960
<v Speaker 1>of the FED transitory. I think it's less transitory than

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:55.800
<v Speaker 1>people people are. Why why do you think that? I

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:58.160
<v Speaker 1>think for two reasons. First is that because people are

0:30:58.160 --> 0:31:01.840
<v Speaker 1>having to offer workers high wages and many jobs than

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 1>they did before the pandemic. And once labor gets back up,

0:31:05.440 --> 0:31:07.640
<v Speaker 1>it's not like they're gonna lower those wages. Right, So,

0:31:08.040 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 1>if you had someone in the kitchen in a small restaurant,

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:13.080
<v Speaker 1>you're paying eighteen dollars an hour, and now you're paying

0:31:13.120 --> 0:31:15.040
<v Speaker 1>him twenty, you're not going to cut it back to eighteen.

0:31:15.080 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Once there's a little bit more labor force, you're gonna

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:19.400
<v Speaker 1>keep paying him twenty and and the second is other

0:31:19.560 --> 0:31:22.720
<v Speaker 1>elements like rent. Though it's been down in New York City,

0:31:22.720 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 1>it's up in a lot of places around the country,

0:31:24.720 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>residential rents. I don't think those are reverting down, you know,

0:31:28.240 --> 0:31:30.479
<v Speaker 1>anytime soon. So I think there's some things that are

0:31:30.480 --> 0:31:32.959
<v Speaker 1>going to be stickier than people suspect. So I do

0:31:33.080 --> 0:31:35.960
<v Speaker 1>think inflation is going to run higher. To refresh for

0:31:36.040 --> 0:31:39.680
<v Speaker 1>your for your listeners, inflation was five percent for twelve

0:31:39.760 --> 0:31:43.320
<v Speaker 1>months at the end of May, So inflation is running high.

0:31:43.480 --> 0:31:46.120
<v Speaker 1>It's been a problem. I think the FED and many

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 1>central banks around the world are willing to let these

0:31:48.480 --> 0:31:52.760
<v Speaker 1>economies run hot because they're worried about, uh, the slow

0:31:52.800 --> 0:31:55.000
<v Speaker 1>down that we're coming out of. But I do think

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>it's an issue. Yeah, And look, you're you're kind of

0:31:58.160 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 1>reading my mind here because of the stories that I

0:32:00.960 --> 0:32:02.760
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about in a few minutes is by

0:32:02.760 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>our own Alex Tanzi talking about how storing us rents

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 1>are the sticky part of inflation with staying power and

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:11.160
<v Speaker 1>according to Apartment List, the median national rent climb nine

0:32:11.200 --> 0:32:15.320
<v Speaker 1>point two in the first half of UM that's according

0:32:15.320 --> 0:32:17.480
<v Speaker 1>to apartment list. So so that raises the question. You

0:32:17.520 --> 0:32:20.560
<v Speaker 1>talk about rising rents, you talk about rising wages. What

0:32:20.600 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 1>are the other metrics that you're looking at to tell

0:32:22.320 --> 0:32:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you whether inflation is sticky. Well, obviously commodities are up

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 1>a great deal when you look at the commodity index,

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, oils up year to date, aluminums up twenty nine,

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:35.640
<v Speaker 1>coppers up twenty two, and a lot of these. Because

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:38.360
<v Speaker 1>the supply shortages are not going to instantly go back down,

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:40.720
<v Speaker 1>but they may go back down over time, but it's

0:32:40.720 --> 0:32:42.160
<v Speaker 1>not like it's going to happen in the next month

0:32:42.240 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>or two. So I think that's going to force companies

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:46.600
<v Speaker 1>to pay some issue with either they have to let

0:32:46.640 --> 0:32:48.960
<v Speaker 1>their margins get squeezed or they're gonna have to raise price.

0:32:49.320 --> 0:32:50.840
<v Speaker 1>And if they raise price, what is that going to

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>do for demand? I do. I don't want to sound

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:56.200
<v Speaker 1>to bearish. The economy is recovering, we are growing. It's

0:32:56.240 --> 0:32:58.040
<v Speaker 1>just like the market's got a lot of good news

0:32:58.120 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 1>in it and we need those earnings as stims to

0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 1>come through for the market to continue be able to

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:04.320
<v Speaker 1>move higher. Rights So so you're saying the market's gotten

0:33:04.320 --> 0:33:06.880
<v Speaker 1>a little ahead of itself. I think the market is

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a little ahead of its self right now, but it's

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:13.000
<v Speaker 1>been supported by those low yields. Now, if the tenure

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:15.560
<v Speaker 1>was higher, we'd be having a different conversation because there

0:33:15.600 --> 0:33:17.960
<v Speaker 1>would be pressure. But I think the move back to

0:33:18.040 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 1>growth stocks recently tells you that some investors are nervous

0:33:21.680 --> 0:33:23.760
<v Speaker 1>about whether that out your number of two eleven is

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:27.480
<v Speaker 1>the right number. Yeah, look, I guess also the question

0:33:27.600 --> 0:33:30.960
<v Speaker 1>is is really about how to be defensive and not

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 1>necessarily that you need to be defensive, And that's not

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 1>what I'm saying, what you're suggesting, but it does sound

0:33:34.640 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 1>like that you know, you could be in for a

0:33:37.800 --> 0:33:40.240
<v Speaker 1>quite the ride, and how would you position your portfolio

0:33:40.360 --> 0:33:42.720
<v Speaker 1>right now? I mean, we do like some of the

0:33:42.760 --> 0:33:46.200
<v Speaker 1>big cap growth stocks still. We do like healthcare. Healthcare

0:33:46.200 --> 0:33:47.680
<v Speaker 1>in particular. We think it's going to have a better

0:33:47.680 --> 0:33:50.280
<v Speaker 1>second half of the year as the utilization rate of

0:33:50.320 --> 0:33:53.120
<v Speaker 1>health care services gets back to normal. Obviously, there are

0:33:53.120 --> 0:33:56.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of healthcare areas that suffered during the pandemic

0:33:56.120 --> 0:33:57.560
<v Speaker 1>as people didn't want to go to the doctor. They

0:33:57.600 --> 0:33:59.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't want to see their oncologists, they didn't want to

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:02.560
<v Speaker 1>see their they're cardiologists. So I think that's gonna that's

0:34:02.560 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 1>gonna pick back up. We still like a lot of

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:07.960
<v Speaker 1>areas consumer discretionary. People have been pent up. There's an

0:34:07.960 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 1>awful lot of consumer savings whity to get spent. People

0:34:11.120 --> 0:34:13.600
<v Speaker 1>didn't buy a lot of clothes and shoes, etcetera. For

0:34:13.640 --> 0:34:16.239
<v Speaker 1>a year. Now people are going back out. We like

0:34:16.320 --> 0:34:19.919
<v Speaker 1>the travel space, hotels, airlines, etcetera. So I do think

0:34:19.920 --> 0:34:22.799
<v Speaker 1>there's still a positive story with regards to this recovery.

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:25.799
<v Speaker 1>But I do think maybe some of the raw materials, transports,

0:34:25.800 --> 0:34:27.959
<v Speaker 1>financials a little bit ahead of themselves, so I would

0:34:27.960 --> 0:34:30.319
<v Speaker 1>shy away from those in the short term. Let's talk

0:34:30.320 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about some of the stocks that you

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:35.040
<v Speaker 1>are bullish on. Intuitive Surgical, the maker of the Da

0:34:35.120 --> 0:34:38.239
<v Speaker 1>Vinci surgical device. Why are you so bullish on this?

0:34:39.200 --> 0:34:41.480
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a real secular theme going there. There

0:34:41.560 --> 0:34:43.360
<v Speaker 1>there's two things. There's a cyclical in the secular. The

0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:46.160
<v Speaker 1>secular is that a lot more. They're a leader in

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:49.800
<v Speaker 1>laper scopy, so operations that are done very minimally invasive.

0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 1>They're the clear leader there. More and more operations are

0:34:53.560 --> 0:34:56.080
<v Speaker 1>being done that way. There's a great expansion and that's

0:34:56.080 --> 0:35:00.359
<v Speaker 1>going to continue. Second, people put off elective surgeries over

0:35:00.400 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 1>the last year because of COVID, no one wanted to

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:04.839
<v Speaker 1>go to the hospital. And I think now you're going

0:35:04.880 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 1>to see things like hip replacements, new replacements, etcetera start

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:10.239
<v Speaker 1>to pick up, and that's going to really provide a

0:35:10.360 --> 0:35:12.800
<v Speaker 1>nice tail win too. What's already a good secular story

0:35:13.040 --> 0:35:17.120
<v Speaker 1>for an industry leader. Okay, what about Nike. You know,

0:35:17.200 --> 0:35:19.920
<v Speaker 1>Nike had had had a great number of last quarter.

0:35:20.719 --> 0:35:23.959
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing we're seeing a pickup in demand. I think

0:35:24.000 --> 0:35:27.360
<v Speaker 1>people are spending more money on both apparel and on footwear.

0:35:27.560 --> 0:35:30.439
<v Speaker 1>They continue to do well overseas. They've done a great

0:35:30.520 --> 0:35:33.319
<v Speaker 1>job with expanding in Asia. They've also done a great

0:35:33.400 --> 0:35:36.840
<v Speaker 1>job with their digital marketing and e commerce, which is

0:35:36.840 --> 0:35:40.319
<v Speaker 1>going to continue. So I think like Intuitive Surgical, they

0:35:40.360 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 1>benefit from both the cyclical pickup what's going on right now,

0:35:44.280 --> 0:35:46.480
<v Speaker 1>as well as with Nike as secular pickup as they

0:35:46.480 --> 0:35:49.480
<v Speaker 1>expand into apparel more, they expand in Asia and they

0:35:49.480 --> 0:35:52.880
<v Speaker 1>get more of their orders coming in digitally online. Randy,

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:54.600
<v Speaker 1>we are going to have to leave it there. It

0:35:54.680 --> 0:35:56.160
<v Speaker 1>is always great to shot with you. Thank you so

0:35:56.239 --> 0:35:58.440
<v Speaker 1>much for taking the time and joining us on a

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week Radio. That's Randy Watts, chief investment strategist

0:36:02.800 --> 0:36:06.480
<v Speaker 1>at O'Neill Global Advisors, joining us on the phone from Miami.

0:36:07.840 --> 0:36:10.719
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:36:10.760 --> 0:36:13.719
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0:36:13.760 --> 0:36:15.880
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0:36:15.920 --> 0:36:19.040
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0:36:19.080 --> 0:36:19.760
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