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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Pereltz. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials that sports Talk Matt, and we're back after

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Speaker 1: a whoa what a hockey game? I mean, are you

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Speaker 1: kidding me? The Oilers come back down four nothing. They

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Speaker 1: were down five to three with two empty nit goals

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Speaker 1: to tie it at five and then a goal with

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Speaker 1: forty seconds left for the La Kings to win and

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Speaker 1: give us a winning day. My goodness, the Red Sox won,

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Speaker 1: but the player prop didn't come in. More on that

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Speaker 1: here in just one second. But the Clippers, Wow, Hi

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Speaker 1: Kawhi Leonard thirty nine points. I thought he'd go off

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Speaker 1: he did. Lakers sorry, LA Kings win, Clippers win, the

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Speaker 1: Red Sox win. Beasley goes nowhere near over nineteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points, rebounds and assists, but a winning day

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Speaker 1: to start the week. Two and one up one unit

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Speaker 1: for a Monday. This was This was my fear going

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Speaker 1: into the NBA Player Props because Malik Beasley had plenty

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Speaker 1: of shots. In fact, he had seven three point attempts.

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Speaker 1: He only hit one. If we get that type of volume.

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Speaker 1: That's all the prop bet cheat sheet can come up with. Right,

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Speaker 1: It's not the prop bet cheat sheets fault that that missed,

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Speaker 1: because it's not even the fault of anyone in terms

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Speaker 1: of drawing up plays and getting Malik Beasley involved. From

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Speaker 1: the Piston standpoint, he got the shots, he just couldn't

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Speaker 1: hit the broad set of a barn. He had a

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Speaker 1: shot to ice the game when they're up by three

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Speaker 1: with like eight seconds to go, and he shorted it.

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Speaker 1: So that's just one of those things, you know. That's

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Speaker 1: I told you I don't like betting NBA player props

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Speaker 1: in the postseason for this reason because it is such

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Speaker 1: a different game. The playoffs are different the regular season.

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Speaker 1: It's different. So the numbers from the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet from last year going into this year it's all

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Speaker 1: brand new. So that was a little bit of an experiment.

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Speaker 1: It didn't go well, okay, So as I said, you

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Speaker 1: could individually if you wanted to. We tried to go

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Speaker 1: out for a plus one to sixty parlay. It missed,

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Speaker 1: So I'm not doing that today. I have three sports

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Speaker 1: three bets, an NBA play a parlay for the NHL,

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Speaker 1: and a baseball bet that is really going to be

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Speaker 1: scary for you late night owls on the East Coast

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Speaker 1: and for you West coast folks. I got an interesting

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Speaker 1: play that's going to go against kind of everything what

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Speaker 1: I have been talking about. But i'll explain here in

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Speaker 1: just one second. But before I do that, let me

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast. Also, just a real quick reminder, yes for

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Speaker 1: giving away the jersey. Yes, it's the same thing as

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Speaker 1: so let's get into it here when it comes to

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Speaker 1: what we're doing for basketball tonight. The Bucks missed everything

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Speaker 1: in Game one, and I mean everything. They couldn't buy

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Speaker 1: a bucket watch the entire game. It was ugly, but

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Speaker 1: it wasn't as ugly as the game or the score

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Speaker 1: would lead you to believe. I think Milwaukee wins the game. Outright,

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Speaker 1: we saw the zigzag theory play out with the Clippers

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Speaker 1: and the Denver Nuggets and the Pistons and the Knicks.

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Speaker 1: By the way, one more Pistons win, we cash that bet.

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Speaker 1: I just I'm not gonna say I'm playing the zigsag

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Speaker 1: theory blindly, but it could very well be won to

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Speaker 1: one to you know, the Lakers could win tonight. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Memphis wins, so I think Oklahoma City. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they're fourteen point favorites, so like, I don't think think

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Speaker 1: those ziggac theory fits for the Memphis Oklahoma City theory,

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Speaker 1: but I do think it fits in for the Lakers

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Speaker 1: and the Bucks. I like the Tea Wolves at plus

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Speaker 1: five and a half. But I just I want to

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Speaker 1: end game bet that. I want to watch that. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet that pre game. I do want

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Speaker 1: more points from Minnesota. I think if we get nine

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Speaker 1: or ten points for Minnesota, I think we're good. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Lakers kill them, but I do think the

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Speaker 1: Lakers most likely win Game two. I think Milwaukee wins

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Speaker 1: Game two at Indiana. The line is four. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the points just to be safe, but I just think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see a lot of the open shots that

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Speaker 1: were missed be made. I mean, there were three point

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Speaker 1: shots I think in game one. Let me pull up

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Speaker 1: what they shot in game one. It was unbelievably pathetic.

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Speaker 1: So the Bucks in Game one from behind the arc

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Speaker 1: shot nine of thirty seven. That's twenty four percent, and

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Speaker 1: most of those threes came in the fourth quarter when

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Speaker 1: the game was completely lost. Yanna's missed seven free throws

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Speaker 1: in that game. You had just incredible, awful shooting nights.

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Speaker 1: Yannis missed every three he took. Kuzma missed every three

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Speaker 1: he took, Brook Lopez missed every three he took. Bobby

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Speaker 1: Portis missed every three he took. Kevin Porter Junior missed

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Speaker 1: every three. And it was for aj Green, the kid

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Speaker 1: out of Northern Iowa, who I've loved as an NBA player,

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Speaker 1: loved him in college for Ben Jacobson's team at Northern Iowa.

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Speaker 1: He went five for eleven, So one guy had over

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Speaker 1: half the threes made in the game, and they got smoked. Okay,

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Speaker 1: one seventeen ninety eight a completely housed. But I think

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Speaker 1: we see a much different game here about of Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee won three of the four matchups in the regular season,

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee won over Indiana, and I do think this exact

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Speaker 1: theory comes into play here. Milwaukee plus four is the

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Speaker 1: official play. But absolutely sprinkle money line on Milwaukee to

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Speaker 1: win this game outright against Indiana to even up their

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Speaker 1: series at one game a piece. I don't think Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: misses all the shots that they missed in game one.

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Speaker 1: They could very well turn around and make those threes.

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Speaker 1: They took thirty seven of them. The Pacers took thirty

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Speaker 1: four of them, and they made thirteen. That was pretty

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Speaker 1: much your margin of victory there, with five or four

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Speaker 1: more made threes there for the Indiana Pacers one seventeen

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Speaker 1: ninety eight. They shot fifty one point nine percent overall

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Speaker 1: for the game, and they shot twenty six twenty of

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Speaker 1: twenty six from the foul line. Milwaukee was thirty five

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Speaker 1: of eighty four. It's forty one point seven percent, and

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Speaker 1: nineteen of twenty eight from the foul line. That's sixty

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Speaker 1: seven point nine percent, so sixty eight percent from the

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Speaker 1: free throw line. That's unacceptable in the postseason. I think

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee is much better tonight. Give me the Bucks at

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Speaker 1: plus four. Now the hockey handicap really isn't that fun.

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Speaker 1: It's just well the teams that are playing, there's a

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Speaker 1: big mismatch. I don't think the New Jersey Devils have

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Speaker 1: anything to do with the with the Hurricanes. First game

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Speaker 1: was an easy walk. There were more big injuries for

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Speaker 1: New Jersey. I just don't think they've got anything for

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Speaker 1: it here. And I think it's going to be a

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Speaker 1: quick series for one final in Game one. Pretty sure

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Speaker 1: it's going to be some more similar. But it's minus

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Speaker 1: two forty, right, I don't want to lay that up

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Speaker 1: of juice with Carolina. They went thirty one to nine

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Speaker 1: and one at home, one of the best home teams

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Speaker 1: in all of hockey. So we need a parlay piece. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we need a piece to pair it up with and

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Speaker 1: the Golden Knights equally. I mean, they didn't walk right

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Speaker 1: through Minnesota, but it was a four to two win,

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Speaker 1: and I don't think Vegas is gonna have much much

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Speaker 1: trouble here with Minnesota in this series. Either Vegas went

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Speaker 1: twenty nine, nine and three at home. They're also minus

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Speaker 1: two forty. Here you parlay them together, it's a minus

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Speaker 1: one oh two parlay one point zero two units down

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Speaker 1: on the Golden Knights to go up two oh also

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Speaker 1: the Carolina Hurricanes to go up two to oh. I

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Speaker 1: don't love parlaying, and I don't mean to parlay every day,

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Speaker 1: but I just think two leg money line parlays in

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Speaker 1: the NHL playoffs when there's a massive mismatch. I just

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Speaker 1: I mean for fun. I actually didn't do this, but

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Speaker 1: for fun. If you want to put in Oklahoma City,

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Speaker 1: let's see, it turns it into a plus one twelve parlay.

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Speaker 1: If you want to do that, that's not horrible. You

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Speaker 1: want to throw in the thunder that turns it into

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Speaker 1: plus money. So I didn't do that. I took the

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Speaker 1: Hurricanes and the Golden Knights, but I just thought of

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Speaker 1: it while I'm taping here, to throw in the thunder.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to make it a three leg parlay,

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Speaker 1: throw the thunder in there. Now you got a three

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Speaker 1: leg parlay at plus one twelve. But I mean, I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Maybe the Grizzlies shocked the world and beat

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Speaker 1: the thunder. It would be stunning. But you know zig

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Speaker 1: zag theory if you will. So not official, but the

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Speaker 1: official bullet is Hurricanes Golden Knights money line parlay at

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Speaker 1: minus one oh two. Finally, this is nuts. The Texas

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Speaker 1: Rangers are currently the second worst team in baseball to

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Speaker 1: the over, meaning that the second best underteam in all

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Speaker 1: of Major League Baseball. They are fifteen and seven to

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Speaker 1: the under. They have more unders games so far than

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Speaker 1: anyone else in baseball, tying the Mets, who are fifteen

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Speaker 1: and eight. They have won more over same number of unders.

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Speaker 1: The Rockies are thirteen seven and one, so by overall percentages,

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Speaker 1: the Rockies are the number one under team in baseball,

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Speaker 1: but the Rangers are number two. Sacramento is ten eight

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Speaker 1: and four to the over this year and at home.

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Speaker 1: This is where we've played Sacramento saying, Okay, they're going

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Speaker 1: to be a massive over team at home and the

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Speaker 1: weather is going to be awesome. Okay, but they're just

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Speaker 1: six and three in the nine games so far. That's

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Speaker 1: sixty six percent. That's pretty good. But here's the problem

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Speaker 1: for this game. And I can't believe I'm gonna say this,

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Speaker 1: but Patrick Corbyn's been good. Patrick Corbin's pitched two games

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Speaker 1: so far. Openings card for him was on the eighth

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Speaker 1: of April. He went four innings, gave up three earned

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Speaker 1: runs in a ten to six loss at Chicago, one

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Speaker 1: of the best over teams in baseball. But then against

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Speaker 1: the Angels, he went five and a third at home

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Speaker 1: and gave up one earned run in a three to

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Speaker 1: one win. Patrick Corbyn on the Nationals was an absolute

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Speaker 1: over machine, and maybe he turned into that here today.

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Speaker 1: Maybe he's a gas can and gives up a ton

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Speaker 1: of home runs. But he's going up against Bebo a

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Speaker 1: Beato for the A's who's been out standing. He's pitched

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Speaker 1: four games so far, three on the road, one at home.

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Speaker 1: In the one home game against San Diego, it was

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Speaker 1: a two to one loss. He went five innings, gave

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Speaker 1: up nine hits, two earned runs, struck out five in

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Speaker 1: the three road games, first win against Seattle a four

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Speaker 1: to two win, five innings, one earned run. Against Colorado

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Speaker 1: a six to three win in eleven innings. By the way,

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Speaker 1: he went five give up two earth runs, and against

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Speaker 1: the White Sox, a three to one win, he went

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Speaker 1: five and two thirds, one earned run, he's three and

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Speaker 1: one to the under so far in games he has started.

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Speaker 1: Patrick Corbin equally has pitched two games. They're one in one,

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Speaker 1: but he had two defensives. The numbers ten for the

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Speaker 1: Rangers in the A's because everyone's been running to bet this, saying, like,

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Speaker 1: bet the over, bet the over, bet the over. The

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Speaker 1: Rangers haven't been scoring a ton of runs. They lost

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Speaker 1: one nothing to the Dodgers in their last game. They

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Speaker 1: beat the Dodgers for to three. They lost the Dodgers

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Speaker 1: three to nothing. They beat the Angels five to three,

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Speaker 1: three to one, and four nothing. They swept that series

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Speaker 1: at the Rangers three to one, nine two, five, three,

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Speaker 1: six two to the Cubs. I mean, this Ranger team

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Speaker 1: has not been scoring a ton of runs. We know

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Speaker 1: what the A's can do. The A's are a home

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Speaker 1: run hitting team, so if the A's hit a bunch

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Speaker 1: of home runs, were dead. But they're two and seven

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Speaker 1: straight up at home. And yes, they just gave up

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Speaker 1: fourteen runs to the Brewers on the road. That's scary.

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Speaker 1: Not gonna lie, that's scary. But the two previous games

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Speaker 1: three to one, five to three against the White Sox

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Speaker 1: eight nothing, three to one, and they won the game

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Speaker 1: twelve to three, then eight nothing against the Mets, and

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Speaker 1: three to one against the Mets. So you have two

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Speaker 1: games in which you just flew over ten twelve, three,

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Speaker 1: fourteen to one. But the others have gone way under

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Speaker 1: this I think tens too many runs. After advocating the

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Speaker 1: under a ton here, I'm gonna bet the under on

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Speaker 1: the A's and the Rangers and just hope that the

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Speaker 1: starting pitchers don't go, you know, off the rails and

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Speaker 1: give up a ton of runs here early in the game.

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Speaker 1: Both pens have been okay, not great. I've been okay,

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Speaker 1: Texas has been eh. A's have been, as we know,

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Speaker 1: up and down. I'm gonna take a flyer on this

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Speaker 1: simply because I think the number is too high at ten,

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Speaker 1: and I think the two starting pitchers are actually better

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Speaker 1: than people think. I think both betoing in Corbin. I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe they both turned back into pumpkins and they both

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Speaker 1: get lit up. But I'll bet the under for now

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Speaker 1: until we're proven. Otherwise, I'll bet the under on that

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Speaker 1: game for one point one units, so three plays for

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Speaker 1: us officially here on a Tuesday, We're going bucks plus

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Speaker 1: four sprinkle money line at one point one units, Hurricanes,

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights moneyline parlay at minus one oh two for

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Speaker 1: one point zero two units, and the under ten for

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Speaker 1: the A's and the Rangers at one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna run a bet the over because of what

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Speaker 1: we talked about going in with Sacramento and whatnot, and

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Speaker 1: gorgeous weather. It's going to be eighty degrees at first pitch.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under. I just think we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: the pictures perform better than people think. We'll see how

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Speaker 1: we do on Tuesday. Mine is Matt Parolti guess and

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Speaker 1: pollow micas all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every

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Speaker 1: single morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice