1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at seven am Eastern 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: on Apple CarPlay or Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 5 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 2: Check Divine with thirty two years with a central intelligence agency. 7 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 2: He's written about it more on an international perspective and 8 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 2: joins us this morning, Jack Honor, that. 9 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 3: You're with us. 10 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 2: You have a global CIA perspective. Does the FBI have 11 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 2: the same acuity looking for the bad guys of terror 12 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 2: in America that you had abroad? 13 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 4: I think that's a great question. I don't know if 14 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 4: anyone knows the answer. But the FBI is really very 15 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 4: strong at home. I mean their ability to penetrate groups 16 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 4: and collect information, use their powers and authority. When they 17 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 4: leave the United States, then they're just like anyone else. 18 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 4: It's very hard to do things in an over way. 19 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 4: So I think we're much stronger, and I think our 20 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 4: ability to have sources everywhere, and I think things that 21 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 4: were very much between the FBI and the CI, so 22 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 4: it's not as if it's all compartment. 23 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 2: My Book of the Year at least a decade ago, 24 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 2: Garrett Graf, we're efforting mister graph for this conversation. And 25 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 2: the FBI, Jeck divine, does the CIA and the FBA 26 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 2: do they coalesce information daily to try to find bad 27 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 2: guys like the guy in New Orleans? 28 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 4: I think it goes twenty four to seven. All right, Now, 29 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 4: the problem in this case is they didn't even have 30 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 4: criminal records, right, So you don't know. I mean, it's 31 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 4: a big, big it's ocean full of fish, if you will. So, 32 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 4: but their abilities and the speed with which we cover 33 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 4: information and you know, AI in general is mind blowing 34 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 4: when you start to at it. So the capabilities are rich, 35 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 4: but it's the verbial needle in the haystack, right. So 36 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 4: all those that are sort of institutionalized, really organized by isis, 37 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 4: they probably have a really good fix on that. But 38 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,920 Speaker 4: when you get to those that are inspired, how it 39 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 4: could be anybody on a mountaintop, it gets inspired and 40 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 4: it's really hard. But I think we're really in a 41 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:23,839 Speaker 4: much stronger position than we are, say, at the time 42 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 4: of nine to eleven, no comparison. 43 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 5: Hey, Jack, President elect Trump will be sworn in January twentieth, 44 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 5: presumably shortly there after, he'll receive his first CIA briefing. 45 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 5: What do you think the CIA is going to present 46 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 5: him in terms of priorities. 47 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 4: Well, he's been in the office before, right, so he 48 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 4: knows the drill, he knows the capabilities. You don't have 49 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 4: to sit down and say, let me explain that this 50 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 4: is the presidential's daily brief. This is hell's collected. So 51 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 4: I think first day of all walk in the room. Actually, 52 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 4: the president will be brief substantially before he's sworn in, 53 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 4: and it'll be closing gaps and filling in the new information. 54 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 4: But you know, it's not like being present. Next thing, 55 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 4: you know, he could turn around, you have a terrorist incident, 56 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 4: and they almost are always required instantaneous information, new information. 57 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 4: So my guess is they'll be bringing him the latest 58 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 4: news that was on major issues around the world that 59 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 4: happened the night before. So you're right up the speed 60 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 4: to the moment. It'll probably be a long session and 61 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 4: probably more than one briefer. 62 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: Jack Divine, Three days of a condor is what we 63 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 2: were weaned on. Sidney Pollock, the giant, what an honor 64 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 2: to make his acquaintance. Three days of a conder was 65 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: what we were weaned on. And there's all the modern 66 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: CIA movies starting with a lot of techno, whiz bang. 67 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 2: What do you think when you watch the modern CIA movies? 68 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: What does Jack Divine think of those movies? 69 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 4: Well, I once had a conversation with Sean. 70 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 3: Connery about it. 71 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 4: Right, I made a mistake though, I mentioned the queen 72 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 4: and he told me immediately why I'm a monarchist. But 73 00:03:58,000 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 4: besides that, we talked about him, and I said, you know, 74 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 4: for years I diminished the importance of the movies, and 75 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 4: I realized everybody's thought the CIA people were in iffited, 76 00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 4: were dashing, in handsome, and you know that's not the case. 77 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 4: But my point is one of the things that I 78 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 4: think that are really interesting is many of the movies 79 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:21,800 Speaker 4: are a few years ahead, Like the one Jason Jason Bourne, 80 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 4: Man and Born. The technology was there, but it wasn't 81 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 4: integrated right. But when it was revisited Jason Bourne, the 82 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 4: material would be integrated. So there's a lot to learn 83 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 4: from the technology. They bring in a lot of advisors. 84 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,799 Speaker 4: So television, it depends on the type and the quality 85 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:41,600 Speaker 4: of the program. The good ones, really, particularly on technology, 86 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 4: are good. It's the romantic part and it's the CIA 87 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 4: is bumping off people without all that jump Hollywood jump. 88 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 4: But if you look at it just core pieces of 89 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 4: how things are done, it's pretty close. 90 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 2: Jeck, divine, don't be a stranger. Thank you so much, 91 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 2: Thank you for your public service. 92 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:05,040 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live 93 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen on 94 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:12,039 Speaker 1: Applecarplay and Android Otto with the Bloomberg Business app, or 95 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 1: watch us live on YouTube Esteemed and waiting. 96 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, with his cello or viola or base violin at 97 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 2: Duke is it perfect? 98 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 3: He gave you a quality see you snuck out. 99 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 5: We got a solid pe there, and I am very 100 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 5: proud of that. Back in the day, twenty PE's equals sixty. Jesus, 101 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 5: what we said back in the day. Campbell Harvey joins 102 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 5: his Professor Finance at the Fucal School of Business at 103 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 5: Duke University. Professor, I'm looking at your yield curve. 104 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: I think it's. 105 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,040 Speaker 5: Uninverted, as I remember you teach me back in the day. 106 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,920 Speaker 5: So we've got a steep in yield curve. What does 107 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 5: that tell me? 108 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 3: Yeah? 109 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 6: So, finally, after twenty five months, the yeld curve, which 110 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 6: is defined as the ten year yield minus the three 111 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 6: month treasure of bill yield that is normalized, meaning that 112 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,839 Speaker 6: the short rate is lower than the long rate. So 113 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 6: it's been a long time, and it's kind of interesting 114 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 6: to me that if you look at the last four recessions, 115 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 6: that the yield curve uninverted before the recession actually began, 116 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 6: and the average lead time is about five months, So 117 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 6: that's kind of the situation. Many people thought, oh, well, 118 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 6: the yeld curves inverted, but we don't have a recession. 119 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 6: But if you look at the data, the recession happens 120 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 6: after the yell curve uninverts. 121 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 5: So if that's in fact the case, how do you 122 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,479 Speaker 5: think the FED will proceed in twenty twenty five? I mean, 123 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 5: boys six months ago and Marco was discounting, you know, 124 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 5: four or five rate cuts this year. Now I kind 125 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 5: of feel like it's maybe just a couple. What do 126 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:56,599 Speaker 5: you think the Fed's going to do in twenty five? 127 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 6: So if you look at their forecasts, is well known 128 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:07,359 Speaker 6: that they've kind of revised the number of cuts, and 129 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 6: I think that this is very dangerous for the economy. 130 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 6: So the rate should not be where it is given 131 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 6: the inflation that we're experiencing right now, so they need 132 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 6: to do multiple cuts this year, and really what's factored 133 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 6: in is like two and it should be more like five. 134 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 6: In my opinion, we should be at three point five percent. 135 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 6: There's no reason not to be at three point five percent. 136 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 6: And when you keep the rate so high for so long, 137 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 6: you are like really gambling with the economy, because we 138 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 6: know that high rates are bad for economic growth. 139 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 2: Kim Harvey, I am having a great joy of reading 140 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 2: Ned phelps new book out of Columbia. It's not an autobiography, 141 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 2: but it's a walk through all of the experiences of 142 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 2: the novel laureate's life. And I thought of you because 143 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 2: he leads in the intro with his more modern concept 144 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 2: of a flourishing America where our intellectual effort feeds on 145 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: itself into a greater productivity. Is that what we have 146 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 2: going on in the United States now? 147 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 3: A flourishing America? At least for some I don't think so. 148 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 6: Indeed, we put ourselves in a really awkward position, to 149 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:34,839 Speaker 6: say the least, with thirty five trillion dollars of debt, 150 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 6: with the interest payments on the debt near one point 151 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 6: two trillion dollars a year and a structural deficit where 152 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 6: the deficit is two trillion dollars a year at a 153 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,239 Speaker 6: time where the stock markets at a record high, unemployment 154 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 6: is low, and it doesn't make any sense. So we've 155 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 6: handcuffed ourselves for the future. We will not have that flexibility. 156 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:03,959 Speaker 6: We need to deal with the structural DEFICID and the debt, 157 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,560 Speaker 6: and tough choices will have to be made. I said, 158 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 6: this is a time of great risk, and the FED 159 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 6: is definitely not helping us because holding the rate so 160 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 6: high is holding back economic growth and we need that 161 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 6: economic growth to increase tax revenues to decrease that depth 162 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 6: sid at least somewhat. There's tough choices that need to 163 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 6: be made, but we need to deal with it. 164 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 3: Too short a visit will have to do this again. 165 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 3: What do we have to do? Is there a big 166 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 3: Duke basketball game coming up? Playing football football football. 167 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 6: They're in a bowl game. 168 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 5: Dud Duke is in a ballgaggainst All missed you Just. 169 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,440 Speaker 3: Write to check out to Kim Harvey, don't they Okay? 170 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 2: Professor Harvey, thank you so much of Fuqua Duke University. 171 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Listen live each weekday 172 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 173 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen live 174 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, Just 175 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 1: say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty joining. 176 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 2: Us now, Sarah Hunt with us with Alpine six and Woods. 177 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,319 Speaker 2: I want you to talk about how people feel. SPX 178 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 2: up twenty three, twenty four percent, some of the MAGS 179 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 2: seven mutual funds up thirty five percent, whatever, and people 180 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 2: doing sixty forty. I don't know where they were. Somebody 181 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 2: told me another lousy year for bonds. I don't know 182 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 2: what total return is the break point where I feel 183 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 2: good this year fifteen percent. 184 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 3: That's a great question. 185 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 7: I would say that's high. I would say that really, 186 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 7: I would say that's high. 187 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 3: Well, I mean feel great. 188 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 7: So you've had two years of really good returns, right. 189 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 7: So the concern for me would be, or in general, 190 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,559 Speaker 7: would be, well, we just don't want to have something 191 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:51,560 Speaker 7: that goes negative. We don't want to take those returns away. 192 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 7: But I think if you got somewhere around eight nine 193 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 7: something that was higher than what people think of as 194 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,319 Speaker 7: the average and yet not nearly as punchy as we've 195 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 7: had for the Laska years. I think people would feel 196 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 7: pretty okay about that. I think the concern is after 197 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 7: back to back, it's tough. 198 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 3: I mean, Paul, jump in here. I mean, I looked 199 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 3: at one statistic and I'm catching up, folks. 200 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 2: You know, I wonder I looked at one statistic where 201 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:16,079 Speaker 2: four hundred x gazillion walked out of large cap equity 202 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 2: funds when I got. 203 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 3: On the plane Defrance. 204 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 2: I know, like a lot of money walked away from 205 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 2: blue chip America. 206 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 5: Polly, and I think there's you know, there's a run 207 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 5: up right after the election, and a little of that may 208 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:27,839 Speaker 5: be peeled off right there in the last couple of 209 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 5: weeks of trading here. But I mean, if we're going 210 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 5: to have high single digit returns, I know, I'm looking 211 00:11:33,679 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 5: at the street that it's got double digit earnings growth. 212 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 5: So it's really implying that a compression of the multiple 213 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 5: out there, is that something that you think is reasonable 214 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 5: or should happen. 215 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 7: I think that if the compression of the multiple comes, 216 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 7: it's going to come because the e is moving up 217 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 7: and not because the multiples coming down. But there's some 218 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 7: natural compression on the other side there, and I think 219 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:54,200 Speaker 7: part of that is you've got to grow into some 220 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 7: of these expectations, right, because that's where I'm thinking that 221 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 7: it's hard to look at double digit returns and it's 222 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 7: good to I think that you could get high single 223 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 7: digit returns and maybe even move into that. The flip 224 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 7: side would be if you get enough things to be 225 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 7: worried about that you don't that things start to look 226 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 7: much scarier than they do right now. So that's kind 227 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 7: of where we're. 228 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 5: Thinking, and the market seems to be discounting. I guess 229 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 5: just two interest rate cuts this year. Can the market 230 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 5: move higher with that type of interest rate environment or 231 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 5: do we need more? Like Cam Harvey from Duke University 232 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 5: was just on saying he thinks should should be five cuts. 233 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 7: And saying it enthusiastically right, But I would say that 234 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 7: the good news is we've paired it down to that 235 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 7: expectation and that then if it goes up again, that 236 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:39,559 Speaker 7: will help. You've seen those expectations move around so quickly 237 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:43,200 Speaker 7: that it's difficult to say, oh, what the market expects 238 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,239 Speaker 7: is what we're going to get, because we haven't every. 239 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 3: Single time it's changed. 240 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 7: So I think that the fact that we're down to 241 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 7: a lower cut number of cuts is actually better than 242 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 7: if we were still sitting here at five or six. 243 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 3: There's a return of. 244 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 2: The fancy stocks and everything else. You know, I guess 245 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 2: three year track record was basically flat. I don't know 246 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 2: the numbers in front of me. Should those managements change 247 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 2: to worship free cash flow like the successful stocks? Are 248 00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 2: you observing managements grinding it out at Alpine sex in 249 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 2: Woods day after day? Are you seeing it change to 250 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 2: a new worship. 251 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 3: For the free cash flow of Apple or the others? 252 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 7: I think that people management started looking at that as 253 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 7: soon as you started to see interest rates get up 254 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 7: off that zero bound. Whether or not they can actually 255 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,079 Speaker 7: pull that through has become the question. So really one 256 00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 7: of the things that we look at very carefully is 257 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,000 Speaker 7: are you managing to have positive free cash flow? Because 258 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 7: in an environment where rates are not coming down as 259 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 7: fast as Cam Harvey would like them to do, then 260 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 7: you also have to look at what can happen going 261 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 7: forward and I need to see that cash and if 262 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 7: you haven't been able to do it by now and 263 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 7: to three to this point, I think that you are. 264 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 7: It's much more problematic to be looking at those balance sheets. 265 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 5: People seem pretty optimistic about President like Trump and what 266 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 5: he means for the economy, what he means for markets, 267 00:13:56,600 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 5: whether it's for lower taxes, maybe some deregulation and easier 268 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 5: on the M and A front. Does that suggest we 269 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 5: can then move away from these big text names and 270 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:09,599 Speaker 5: think about the more cyclical areas of the economy. Is 271 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 5: that a theme for twenty five. 272 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 7: I think we're going to stick with some of the 273 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 7: themes that have already occurred. So if you think about 274 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:16,559 Speaker 7: the matic investing, right you think about what happened with 275 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 7: utility space, with some of the industrials, everything that's moving 276 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 7: into this area where technology is going to need more 277 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 7: resources that I think can continue, and I think the 278 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 7: question really becomes what happens to the rest of the economy. 279 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 7: And I think that's what people are really looking for, 280 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 7: that broadening out that we've been talking about for two 281 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 7: or three years. We're going to get the broadening out, 282 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 7: and then the Russell gets slammed in the last month 283 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 7: of December. I think that people are looking for that 284 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 7: smid cap catch up. And that's where again, those balance 285 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 7: sheets become very important, because those are companies that can't 286 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 7: afford to be continuously borrowing up. 287 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 3: I don't live the name out of it. 288 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 2: I got a venerable large cap trading in a twenty 289 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 2: one multiple. They're popping a two point two percent dividend 290 00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 2: with three percent dividend growth. 291 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 3: None of the rings MAG seven at all. 292 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 2: They got nice way to average costs of capital, nice roic, 293 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 2: but they're not in that glory group. How do they 294 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 2: get to that glory group? Pr or executive statements? How 295 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 2: do the losers become the winners of MAG seven? 296 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 7: Well, the most interesting thing is that you said about 297 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 7: that is they're sitting there with the twenty multiple that 298 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 7: would have been a high multiple in other years. Right, 299 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 7: the fact that our multiple expectations have moved up so 300 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 7: much on the industrial space, in other spaces. I think 301 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 7: the way that rest of that catches up is that 302 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 7: the rest of the market continues to stay higher and 303 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 7: people start looking for things that look relatively less expensive. 304 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 7: And I think this year you're going to see a 305 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 7: lot of people it's not so much about looking for 306 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 7: the value stocks versus growth, but where can I get 307 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 7: growth that doesn't look unreasonably priced? And that's going to 308 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 7: be I think good thing for twenty. 309 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 3: Five thirty seconds. Sure, buyback. 310 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 2: I mean, there's got to be a new formula for 311 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 2: really well run companies with lousy multiples to join the 312 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 2: halves of the stock market. 313 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 7: And raising those dividends and buying back those shares is 314 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 7: a big raising capital return. 315 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 8: We do that. 316 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 3: We got to get the guy from I think it's new. 317 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: I can't remember. No federated. Yeah, I don't have it 318 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 2: in front of me, folks. He's got a book out. 319 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,280 Speaker 2: It's the Sweeney Bible. Shut up and raise a dividend. 320 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 5: I'll say that to Tim Cook every time I see 321 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 5: him done in Duke and he just ignores me. He says, 322 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 5: I got better Sea. 323 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 3: He just wants you to write a bigger check. Yeah, 324 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 3: I mean that's what he and Rubinstein are tag team 325 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 3: in you. Yeah exactly. Sarah, thank you so much for 326 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 3: coming in today. 327 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 4: Thank you. 328 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 3: Everybody else is like you know home. 329 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 330 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Apple Corplay and Android 331 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch 332 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 1: us live every weekday on YouTube and always on the 333 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal a. 334 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 2: Good morning from the Major Publications Division. It is the 335 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:06,680 Speaker 2: Lisa Matteo Hour. She survived New Year's Eve and joins 336 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 2: us this morning. 337 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 8: All right, I have our top story. Friend's president Emmanuel 338 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 8: Macrone made his New Year's speech. I'm gonna shake it 339 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 8: up right now. I want to go to Paris, correspondent 340 00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 8: Tom Kane and see how everything. 341 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 2: Missus keene at c DG in half of the French 342 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 2: people thank you. 343 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 3: It's the oddest economy. And there's a group a couple 344 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,480 Speaker 3: calledly Friend. She's who do videos on YouTube about where 345 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 3: to go eat. So you're not a tourist. 346 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 2: So we went one Aaron d smun outside of what's 347 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 2: basically America in the middle of Paris, near the old 348 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:44,359 Speaker 2: Bastille you know bestill Day and all that, to a 349 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 2: wonderful restaurant called Beaufonte, which is like the real Paris 350 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 2: and it's totally different than what you experience in the 351 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:57,679 Speaker 2: nexus of America East. In the middle of Paris. 352 00:17:57,480 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 5: It's so, how are the consumers feeling there? Because it 353 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 5: is I can't. 354 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 2: I think the French people are flat on their back. 355 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 2: Witness the politics of mister McCrum. The observation is a 356 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 2: consumption of their tourist trade is unbelievable. I saw one 357 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,680 Speaker 2: statistic I don't have it in front of me. On 358 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 2: the margin, eighty five percent of new jobs in France 359 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 2: in the last like five years have. 360 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 3: Been tourist based. 361 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:27,439 Speaker 2: So there's like this Disneyland of America, you know, around 362 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 2: Notre Dome and all that, out to the Eiffel Tower 363 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 2: and all that. But then the moment you get outside that, 364 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 2: it's the France that mccron has to deal with. 365 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 5: So it's like goes down to the village or going 366 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 5: you know, going up the uptown versus saying kind. 367 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 3: Of a shout out. Air France just killed it. 368 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 5: It's just killed for them. 369 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 3: Just they're they're real competition for the domestic carriers. 370 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 8: Well to see, Max, how is your French trade? 371 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,399 Speaker 3: I was the uber driver, I said, Ohila, biblio tecket. 372 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 3: He took us to the library. 373 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 8: What do you okay a rolex? If you have any 374 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,920 Speaker 8: plans to buy one, No, it's going to cost you more. 375 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 8: So I just wanted to let you know they raise 376 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 8: prices some of its most popular models. Gold Value surged 377 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 8: in twenty twenty four, so they kicked off the new year, 378 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 8: they hike prices about eight percent on some models. It's 379 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 8: not new, I mean, Rolex usually raisst prices once a 380 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 8: year on January first, But this increase is larger than 381 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 8: last year's. So it's going to cost you a little more. 382 00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 8: How much to get them, I know. So here's an example. 383 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,399 Speaker 8: So you have the yellow gold Day Date with a 384 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 8: forty millimeters black dial. It'll cost just over forty five 385 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 8: thousand dollars, okay, and that is up from forty two 386 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,760 Speaker 8: thousand dollars from the year before. That's according to their website. 387 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:41,639 Speaker 8: But it's a pretty petty you know. 388 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 5: When I was in the market for that type of 389 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,199 Speaker 5: watch years and years ago, I really did look at 390 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 5: the Rolocks, but the value proposition just was not so 391 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:51,399 Speaker 5: you never got you never worked out an Omega, and 392 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:55,639 Speaker 5: for me, that value proposition felt better. So, but I 393 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 5: long ones. I looked long and harsh. 394 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 2: Cash was my oldest side, and cash flow wants an 395 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 2: Omega like astronaut watch. 396 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,760 Speaker 3: I looked at the prices that you're kiddinging. 397 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 5: They're half the Rolex stole, and I kind of feel 398 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 5: like I'm getting more value. That's kind of what I. 399 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 2: So your basic take is you walk out of the 400 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: store of the rolex and it goes down right away. No. 401 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 5: No, In fact, they hold the thousand rolexes and other 402 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 5: premium watches, including Omega. I mean we have on the 403 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Criminal a watch index. 404 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,800 Speaker 3: Can you see in a yacht master titanium things? 405 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 5: So absolutely that's in Paris. 406 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 8: This one is in the Wall Street Journal. This is 407 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 8: actually interesting. So a real estate developer in Los Angeles 408 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:39,400 Speaker 8: testing out this new blueprint for affordable housing. They're stacking 409 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,760 Speaker 8: apartments on top of a costco. Okay, so bear with 410 00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 8: me here. Okay, it's Thrive Living. They want to begin 411 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 8: construction early twenty five, eight hundred units affordable housing complex 412 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 8: in South Los Angeles, rooftop pool fitness center, one hundred 413 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 8: and eighty four apartments. 414 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:56,160 Speaker 4: Okay, it's so cree. 415 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,119 Speaker 8: No, you don't get the free hot talks. But here's 416 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 8: why they're saying it's gonna work because the rent that 417 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 8: Costco pace Thrive will help the developer rely less on 418 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:11,159 Speaker 8: government subsidies for the affordable housing, and then Costco stands 419 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,479 Speaker 8: to gain more customers. So they're saying it's a win 420 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 8: win for everyone. But it's it's started to shift because 421 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 8: a big box retailer is usually in suburban areas right 422 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 8: where you have the room. You can have the big 423 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 8: parking lot, the big warehouse. But now they're doing a 424 00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 8: little smaller stores, not as big like Target Whole Foods. 425 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 8: They do it. They have the apartments. 426 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:31,760 Speaker 3: Target there is a store in eighty sixth Street and it's. 427 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 8: Not that big right right, They're smaller, more compact, but 428 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 8: it works for the city. So they're trying to get 429 00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 8: these big box retailers more into the city because I 430 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,840 Speaker 8: remember David gour was saying, we know where you got 431 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:42,680 Speaker 8: to go for the Costco. 432 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 5: He's a hit for Brooklyn. 433 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 8: He's in the hit from Brooklyn. But it's a it's 434 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,680 Speaker 8: a new thought to put affordable housing on top of. 435 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 2: These spends for a pizza and it takes the kids 436 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,399 Speaker 2: out and it's got the whole week from Mintal. I 437 00:21:58,400 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 2: don't know Kazakh standards. 438 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 8: Next last one, not sure what you're watching on TV, 439 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,679 Speaker 8: what you've been watching streaming? Okay, but season two of 440 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:11,440 Speaker 8: Netflix's survival series Squid Game yes top the charge globally. 441 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 8: Despite having some mixed reviews, Some people liked it, some 442 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 8: people did it sixty eight million views since it debuted 443 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,159 Speaker 8: December twenty six. It's also the biggest debut ever for 444 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 8: a Netflix original show. It's a big money maker for them. 445 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 8: I mean the first season generated nine hundred million dollars 446 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 8: in value for Netflix after A debuted in twenty twenty one, 447 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,119 Speaker 8: and season three. If you wanted it or not, it 448 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 8: is coming and it's going to be next year. I 449 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 8: have never been into the squid games. 450 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,199 Speaker 2: I don't know to show you where he's killing it 451 00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 2: is Kim jinhe I mean her low life boyfriend lost 452 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:45,440 Speaker 2: money in crypto or something, so she's been sucked into 453 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 2: the squid games. 454 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:46,680 Speaker 3: It's the tragic. 455 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:48,119 Speaker 8: Oh gosh, you know. 456 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 3: I mean she looks like one of the K pop 457 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 3: girls too. It works. 458 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 8: It's a bit gruesome. But have you watched I have 459 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 8: not watched it. My husband was watching Silo last night 460 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 8: on Love It Love, Yes, he was watching it. He 461 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 8: has a month to do it because it cancels. It 462 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,920 Speaker 8: was only a three month free trial, so that's gonna 463 00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 8: get But I heard. 464 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,160 Speaker 5: You're going to forget about it and then it's start 465 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 5: hitting your. 466 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 2: It's beautifully shot and Tim Cook went out and did 467 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 2: a thing with the lead actress, Rebecca Ferguson. I believe 468 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 2: he's such a fan of the show. And you know, 469 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 2: you wonder how much Cook is driving. What is on 470 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 2: Apple TV basic idea. Those nobody watches Apple TV. 471 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 8: Rights, they don't have too much. I feel like they 472 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:34,919 Speaker 8: don't have too much. That's why I never got it. 473 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,080 Speaker 8: I just got the free trial because I feel like 474 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 8: there's not much to offer on it. But apparently this 475 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:40,359 Speaker 8: show I really got. 476 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 2: Your first newspapers for two thousand strong just starts strong. 477 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:48,480 Speaker 3: Thank you so much for the newspapers. 478 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:53,480 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 479 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:57,400 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each 480 00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 1: weekday seven to ten am Easter and on Bloomberg dot Com, 481 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:05,200 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. 482 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 483 00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal.