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Speaker 1: Action Network link in this episode description. Must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one or older to gamble, know when to stop before

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Speaker 1: you start. Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's start the show. All right, here we go fifteen, twenty,

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Speaker 1: twenty five, thirty thirty five, twenty five fifty The.

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Speaker 2: Chicks Black College stun.

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Speaker 3: Oh my godness, please do.

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Speaker 1: The lateral gun.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome

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Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus podcast, presented by When

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Speaker 2: That's Sportsbook. I'm your host, Mike Caliberty is joined by

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Speaker 2: Mike Ianello as always for our group of five Deep

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Speaker 2: Dive here in week number ten. A quick reminder for

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Speaker 2: our audience, in addition to the regular content that you're

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Speaker 2: getting from us in the college football world that sources

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Speaker 2: with Bretton McMurphy, the incredible work that's Stucky and Colin

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Speaker 2: do on Thursday nights and Friday mornings, as well as

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Speaker 2: their live show on Saturdays. We're also going to be

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Speaker 2: adding in a bonus episode, every One Say Moving Forward,

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Speaker 2: which will be the Three Man Weave covering college basketball.

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Speaker 2: It's back in earnest, so be sure to check that

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Speaker 2: out on Wednesday mornings. As for this podcast, we've been

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Speaker 2: doing pretty well. I can at least speak for myself.

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Speaker 2: Last week it was a clean sheet Navy leading the

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Speaker 2: way on Friday night with that big upset of Tulsa

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Speaker 2: and then some more minor magic. I will lead that

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Speaker 2: directly into my G five Hero of the Week.

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Speaker 3: Locked Hero bave.

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Speaker 2: O. There's not one, there's two Gavins on the UTEB roster,

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Speaker 2: and Gavin Bockel, their placekicker, did a lot of the

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Speaker 2: heavy lifting for me down the stretch with UTEB trailing

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Speaker 2: twenty eight to ten lay in the fourth quarter, catching

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Speaker 2: ten and a half or eleven, depending on which sportsbook

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Speaker 2: you punched that that in on. They needed some help.

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Speaker 2: They got a touchdown at two point inversion, but there's

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Speaker 2: two fifty left on the clock. On site kick scenario

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Speaker 2: setting up. If you know they had not recovered this kick,

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Speaker 2: there's a chance that they were going to blow the cover.

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Speaker 2: He goes ahead, successfully executes the on side kick. UTEP

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Speaker 2: goes down in the field scores another touchdown. It was

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Speaker 2: a long touchdown pass about a fifty yarder. They end

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Speaker 2: up losing by three, covering easily. Gavin, We salute you UTEP.

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Speaker 2: Even when you lose, you win on this podcast. So

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Speaker 2: I really love the work that you guys have been

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Speaker 2: doing all season, and it is an absolute crime the

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Speaker 2: college game day is not in. I'll pass so this

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Speaker 2: week for eight and Zhero UTSA against six and two UTEP.

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Speaker 2: But I know where my heart and affection will be

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Speaker 2: lying this week, and it will certainly certainly be in

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Speaker 2: that Conference USA West Showdown. Who is your G five

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Speaker 2: Hero of Week?

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Speaker 4: Number nine?

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Speaker 5: Ie l, My little appetizer hero is definitely you for

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Speaker 5: carrying the pod I've been gambling probably for ten years.

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Speaker 4: Saturday was the worst.

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Speaker 5: Gambling day I've had in my entire life. And it

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Speaker 5: wasn't just the fact that I lost pretty much everybody

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Speaker 5: I made. I I did hit the UTEP. I had

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Speaker 5: that as well. I hit the South Alabama, which was

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Speaker 5: my best bet on the show. I hit a couple.

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Speaker 5: I hit that, you know, Iowa was content under a

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Speaker 5: couple other ones. Lost everything else. And it wasn't just

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Speaker 5: that I lost all my That's it. I had every

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Speaker 5: bad beat. I had the SMU money line. They give

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Speaker 5: up one hundred yard touchdown to lose that, the kick

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Speaker 5: return touchdown. I had Florida State plus nine and a half.

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Speaker 5: I'll never recover from that I had. I had that

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Speaker 5: the Temple UCF, the Temple UCF under I gave out

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Speaker 5: on the show doing forty two to nothing like pretty

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Speaker 5: much the entire game. Temple scores and meaningless touchdown with

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Speaker 5: thirty seconds left to lose forty two to seven, and

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Speaker 5: hit the over Maryland gave up a backdoor touchdown Indiana,

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Speaker 5: so they lost that guy. It was a gut wrenching day,

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Speaker 5: and I think a big part of that was I

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Speaker 5: did not have my old faithful maction to rely on

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Speaker 5: the kick.

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Speaker 3: Off midweek maction.

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Speaker 2: It's return here on other Slate. Fantastic games we have.

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Speaker 1: For you, and this is the best time of the year.

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Speaker 5: There was only one game, but that is where I'm going.

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Speaker 5: My G five here of the week is Scott Leffler,

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Speaker 5: the Bowling green Head coach. We see it in baseball sometimes,

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Speaker 5: you know, and in the dead heat of the summer,

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Speaker 5: it's hard to get your team motivatable. See Aaron Boone

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Speaker 5: go out there and kind of potentially get himself ejected

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Speaker 5: to try to fire up his bow. Scott Leffler, he

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Speaker 5: got ejected in the third quarter after two unsportsmanlike conduct penalties.

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Speaker 5: This is a you know, somewhat new rule, coach, so

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Speaker 5: I think it's only like ten years old. He's actually

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Speaker 5: the first college football coach to ever get ejected for

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Speaker 5: this rule. So he made history in that sense getting ejected.

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Speaker 5: He ejected at the end of the third quarter.

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Speaker 2: Time powers go.

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Speaker 1: The second on sportsman like conduct file was called against

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Speaker 1: against Bowling.

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Speaker 2: Green Head coach.

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Speaker 4: The Bowling green Head.

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Speaker 2: Coach has been disqualified unejected for the made of the game. Wow,

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Speaker 2: So Scott Leffler gonna head towards the locker.

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Speaker 4: Room after he got ejected.

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Speaker 5: Bowling Green went on to score twenty eight points in

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Speaker 5: the fourth quarter. To put that into comparison, Bowling Green

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Speaker 5: has not scored twenty eight points in a game in

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Speaker 5: almost three years, so this is the ultimate addition by subtraction.

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Speaker 5: He also, by the way, calls his plays credit to

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Speaker 5: Scott Leffler falling on the sword and getting out of

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Speaker 5: the way. Also a low key crazy moment in that game.

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Speaker 5: I don't know if you saw this, but Matt McDonald

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Speaker 5: went to take a knee with like thirty seconds left

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Speaker 5: in Bowling Green up a touchdown and took off and

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Speaker 5: ran for like a fifty yard touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Oh, he found a little alley.

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Speaker 2: Who should go down?

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Speaker 4: He wouldn't go down.

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Speaker 2: I shouldn't go down.

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Speaker 3: He's going in the house.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I've seen it all now, I have seen

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Speaker 2: it all.

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Speaker 1: He acts like he's gonna take a knee to the right.

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Speaker 5: He should have gone down after he got the first down.

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Speaker 4: How there was not a brawl? I don't know.

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Speaker 5: That concerns me about Buffalo that maybe they've given up fight.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you have to chase him down and absolutely clabbering.

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Speaker 4: Him in the end zone. I don't know.

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Speaker 5: Maybe maybe Buffalo has given up on the year. That's

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Speaker 5: something to follow for the future. But I'm going with

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Speaker 5: Scott the Floor as my hero of the week for

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Speaker 5: getting out of the way.

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Speaker 2: Are you serious, ma shit, you get out of love it?

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Speaker 2: I couldn't agree more. Bowling Green has been one of

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Speaker 2: those pesky teams all season, and certainly they got some

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Speaker 2: kind of weird bump from their coach getting tossed. I

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Speaker 2: love the little facts dropping in there about him calling

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Speaker 2: the plays. Maybe he's just been holding them back. It's

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Speaker 2: the only thing that's stopping them from having that early

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Speaker 2: two thousand, high flying urban Meyer Bowling Green offense that's

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Speaker 2: made me fall in love with the Mac way back

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Speaker 2: in the day Omar Jacobs and Cole Magner with his

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Speaker 2: flowing golden locks coming down from his helmet. They also

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Speaker 2: absolute peak early two thousand jerseys where they had like

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Speaker 2: weird striping that went from the shoulders down their sides.

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Speaker 2: It was pretty hideous, but for a color scheme and

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Speaker 2: a logo that's probably bottom ten in college football. I think,

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Speaker 2: you know, they really embraced it and transitioning from players

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Speaker 2: taking things into their own hands to two programs that

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Speaker 2: always follow orders, air Force versus Army. For my best

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Speaker 2: bet here in week ten, I like over thirty seven.

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Speaker 2: I'm already encouraged by the fact that Colin Wilson was

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Speaker 2: early on this one on the Action Network app. If

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Speaker 2: you go ahead and follow him, not only does he

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Speaker 2: put out his plays, but he puts out a quick

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Speaker 2: rationale of everyone, and as soon as games open, he's

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Speaker 2: right on it. This number is thirty seven, and I

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Speaker 2: get it. Historically, this is an underplay. This is an

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Speaker 2: auto underplay. It's only exceeded thirty seven once since twenty fourteen.

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Speaker 2: But here's the thing. Air Force is eighty second defensive

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Speaker 2: stuff rate not great against the run. Army's fifty ninth,

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Speaker 2: and both, as Wilson points out, are elite in finishing

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Speaker 2: drives in the red zone. They're touchdown percentages incredibly high.

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Speaker 2: They don't attempt many field goals. You have two offenses

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Speaker 2: that are going to utilize all four downs to be

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Speaker 2: able to get that short yardage, and then on top

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Speaker 2: of it, you have air Force. They're seventy six in

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Speaker 2: running plays of thirty yards are more allowed nationally, so

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Speaker 2: Army can hit the big one against them. And then finally,

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Speaker 2: when you look at what Army has done this season,

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Speaker 2: They've played in a whole bunch of shootouts for their

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Speaker 2: games have exceeded fifty points, and that Western Kentucky game

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Speaker 2: was thirty eight to thirty five Wake Forest. They scored

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Speaker 2: I want to say, like one hundred and twenty six

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Speaker 2: points in that one. Granted, I don't think it's going

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Speaker 2: to go quite that high, but you're getting the value

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Speaker 2: in a number that books historically have not been able

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Speaker 2: to make low enough. I think this is off by

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Speaker 2: close to four or five points, and when you're looking

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Speaker 2: at a spot where it's this low, thirty seven is

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Speaker 2: just one of those numbers that is predicated the fact

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Speaker 2: that they're both slow, methodical teams, and the chances of

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Speaker 2: having those ten to eleven play drives are certainly on

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Speaker 2: the table to eat up the clock. But anything below

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Speaker 2: forty just became an auto overplay for me, because I

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Speaker 2: do believe that Army's a team that can punch a

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Speaker 2: lot of totals over the closing number. So I'm going

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and play that for my best play

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Speaker 2: of the week. I know that you are anti this

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Speaker 2: play Ianello. You're fuming in the slack channel as soon

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Speaker 2: as it went up. But I just think this is

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Speaker 2: being discounted by the fact that's historically these two teams

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Speaker 2: have played very conservatively. In this year, they have more

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Speaker 2: councent offense. What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 4: I hate it. I hate everything about it.

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Speaker 5: It's one of those This is one of those plays

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Speaker 5: for me that everything you said makes total sense.

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Speaker 4: I don't care.

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Speaker 5: A man has to have principles, Mike, he has to

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Speaker 5: believe in something.

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Speaker 4: I don't believe in a lot of things.

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Speaker 5: I believe the MAC is the best conference in America.

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Speaker 5: I believe UTSA should be ranked, and I believe service

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Speaker 5: academies go under.

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Speaker 2: Insert that Kevin Costner line from Bulldrup, just toss that in.

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Speaker 2: Do you believe in them?

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Speaker 1: I believe in the soul, the hanging curveball, high fiber,

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Speaker 1: good scotch.

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Speaker 2: I believe there ought to be a constitutional amendment outlawing AstroTurf.

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Speaker 5: And the designated hitter.

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Speaker 1: And I believe in long, slow, deep, soft wet kisses

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Speaker 1: that last three days.

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Speaker 5: Service academies go under. You bet they're under blindly, Like

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Speaker 5: you said, service academy unders are thirty nine, nine and

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Speaker 5: one since two thousand and five. This is one of

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Speaker 5: those ones where even if I had a crystal ball,

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Speaker 5: I could see the future and I knew this game

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Speaker 5: was going over, I still wouldn't take it. I don't

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Speaker 5: want any part of that. That's that's dirty money. It's

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Speaker 5: it's no good here.

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Speaker 4: It may win. I hope it wins for the sake

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Speaker 4: of our show.

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Speaker 5: I don't like it because I have principles, and my

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Speaker 5: principles say, you bet Service Academy unders blindly. That's just American.

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Speaker 5: It's like apple Pie, Service Academy unders. I actually have

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Speaker 5: a play on this game as well. For my best bet,

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Speaker 5: I'm actually gonna go with air Force minus three here.

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Speaker 5: I think air Force is a pretty good team. I

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Speaker 5: know we talked about before when they played San Diego State,

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Speaker 5: which they did end up losing that game, but they

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Speaker 5: looked pretty good and they you know, they've had a

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Speaker 5: good run through the Mountain West. Obviously, they beat Boise State,

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Speaker 5: beat Wyoming, beat New Mexico State, beat fyut They lost

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Speaker 5: to Utah State, whooped Navy Armies dropped four in a row.

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Speaker 5: Now they lost to two Max schools. Obviously, Wisconsin beat them,

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Speaker 5: which you kind of expected. And then like you said,

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Speaker 5: they had that flukey game against wake Force that was bananas.

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Speaker 5: These teams know each other, they play very similar. Air

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Speaker 5: Force does everything that Army does a little bit better

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Speaker 5: there first and second in the country and rushing offense,

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Speaker 5: Air Forces first, they averaged three hundred and eighteen yards

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Speaker 5: per game. They lead the country with twenty eight rushing touchdowns.

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Speaker 5: What's kind of unique about this Air Force team versus

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Speaker 5: normal service academies like Army, Navy, you know, air Force

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Speaker 5: in the past is usually when you look at their

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Speaker 5: stats they had like Armies has it this year where

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Speaker 5: they have like six running backs that are all averaging

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Speaker 5: like around forty to sixty yards per game. They share

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Speaker 5: the ball, they don't like I mean, other than you know,

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Speaker 5: like Malcolm Perry, can you name a player that's been

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Speaker 5: on any of these teams in the last five years, Like,

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Speaker 5: no one knows who's on Army or air Force or

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Speaker 5: Navy because it's just, hey, we give the ball to

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Speaker 5: whoever's in the standing behind me and he goes for

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Speaker 5: five yards and you do that with seven different guys

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Speaker 5: he rote to him through. But this Air Force team

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Speaker 5: is unique in the sense that they really do have

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Speaker 5: two stars, Hazik Daniels and Brad Roberts, who are their

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Speaker 5: main bell cows that like most of these teams don't have.

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Speaker 5: Daniels is that he's their quarterback. He's ever doing seventy

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Speaker 5: one point eight yards per game with nine touchdowns on

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Speaker 5: the ground. Brad Roberts has gone for one hundred and

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Speaker 5: five point six yards per game with eight touchdowns. So

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Speaker 5: it's really just the two of them that dominate. They're

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Speaker 5: both very good, and I agree, you know, the the

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Speaker 5: lineyards are air Force's defensive lineyards isn't great, but like

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Speaker 5: you said, neither is Army. But air Force is much

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Speaker 5: better on the offensive line. They're eighth in the country

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Speaker 5: in run blocking great according to PFF. And while their lineyards,

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Speaker 5: you know, isn't great, they are still good against their run.

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Speaker 5: They're fourteenth in the country in rush success on defense,

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Speaker 5: where Army is fortieth. Another concern is the Falcons are

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Speaker 5: ninth in tackling were Army is seventy first, So I

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Speaker 5: do think they have a huge advantage in the tackling department.

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Speaker 5: They have a huge advantage in the offensive line, and

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Speaker 5: like I said, I really like their quarterback and running

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Speaker 5: back Combo.

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Speaker 4: I think they're the better team.

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Speaker 5: They've already beaten Aby, like I said, so if they

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Speaker 5: win this game, they clinched the Commander in Chief Trophy.

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Speaker 5: I don't like you're over, but if it hits, I

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Speaker 5: hope it's because air Force is running the ball up

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Speaker 5: on Army. Give me the Falcons minus two and a half.

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Speaker 4: So I like it.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna ride with you on that one. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: parlay it together, same game parlay. Check out the win

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Speaker 2: bets sports books to be able to toss those together

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Speaker 2: and get yourself, you know, plus two fifty if both

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Speaker 2: sides of it can hit. Speaking of pairing up plays

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Speaker 2: for optimal payouts, we're gonna go ahead with our Week

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Speaker 2: ten underdog group of five parlay.

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Speaker 3: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

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Speaker 3: money line parlay.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna get started here with a team that I've

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Speaker 2: been on for most of this season. Almost hit a

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Speaker 2: monster underdog spot against Louisiana early in the season, going

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Speaker 2: to South Alabama Jags plus one sixty five here against Troy.

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Speaker 2: Jags are five and three in the season, but they

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Speaker 2: have a pair of losses by two. As I mentioned

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Speaker 2: Ull and then also Texas State very easily without much

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Speaker 2: imagination a few plays going right for them on the season,

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Speaker 2: they could be seven in one, and I think you're

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Speaker 2: getting a discount on a team that now that we

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Speaker 2: are in the heart of Sunbelt play, you have to

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Speaker 2: evaluate them based on how they're playing against conference opponents.

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Speaker 2: Don't worry about the early season growing pains that they

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Speaker 2: were encountering when you look at what they're doing on

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00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:34,760
Speaker 2: offense their last four games thirty three and a half

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Speaker 2: points per game. Jalen Tolbert has turned into the best

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Speaker 2: receiver in the Sun Belt. Ten catches one hundred and

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Speaker 2: forty one yards and five touchdowns across the last five.

320
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Speaker 2: That's ten catches per game, one hundred and forty one

321
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Speaker 2: yards per game. The kid is just an absolute monster,

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Speaker 2: and he's allowed them to pair this suddenly dynamic offense

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Speaker 2: with a really stout defense by Sun Belt standards. This

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Speaker 2: is elite nineteenth nationally and total defense thirtieth in yards

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Speaker 2: per carry allowed. Their past defense may even really be

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Speaker 2: better fifty five percent completions allowed, and they're picking off

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Speaker 2: nearly five percent of opponents passes. They're top ten nationally

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Speaker 2: and taking the ball away when the balls in the air,

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Speaker 2: so that's led to them being top twenty five, and

330
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Speaker 2: turnover margin, all of these reasons, I think they should

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Speaker 2: be favored in this game. I love those spots where

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Speaker 2: you're a short underdog, and I really think that they

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00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:22,320
Speaker 2: should be minus three or four in this game and

334
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Speaker 2: not the Troy Trojans. So I'm going to go ahead

335
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Speaker 2: and take South Alabama. Not complicated. What are you going

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Speaker 2: to pair up for us here? In Week ten?

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Speaker 4: That was actually going to be mine.

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Speaker 5: I when I, you know, went through the card last night,

339
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Speaker 5: I had written down and done all the research.

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Speaker 4: For that as well, because that was gonna be mine.

341
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Speaker 5: Obviously, South Alabama was my best bet last week that cast.

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Speaker 4: I agree with you. I love this defense.

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Speaker 5: I think you know, Bentley's a great quarterback to kind

344
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Speaker 5: of He's a perfectly G five kind of quarterback. I'm

345
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Speaker 5: going to pair it with a team I talked about

346
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Speaker 5: last week as well. They were my hero last week.

347
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Speaker 5: I'm going with the ul Monroe Warhawks plus one fifty

348
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,200
Speaker 5: at Texas State. The Warhawks are just a lot better

349
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Speaker 5: than people think. They were zero and ten last year.

350
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Speaker 5: I think you know, most people kind of still think

351
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Speaker 5: of them as that bottom feeder of college football. They're

352
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Speaker 5: four and four, they're playing good football. They're two and

353
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Speaker 5: three in conference play, whereas Texas State's two and six

354
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Speaker 5: this season. They're one in three in conference play. And

355
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Speaker 5: you know, you is beating good teams. They're beating teams

356
00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,400
Speaker 5: better than Texas State. You just talked about Troy. They

357
00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,880
Speaker 5: beat Troy, they beat Liberty, they beat South Alabama. So

358
00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,000
Speaker 5: like they're beating teams that are much better than Texas State.

359
00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:26,920
Speaker 4: Texas State.

360
00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,640
Speaker 5: They lost to Eastern Michigan, they lost to Georgia State,

361
00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:32,520
Speaker 5: and they got whooped by Louisiana last week. Monroe has

362
00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:35,600
Speaker 5: brought in freshman Chandler Rodgers, who's looked really good.

363
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 4: He's he's very.

364
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,080
Speaker 5: Mobile, he's fast. He gives them this kind of different

365
00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,920
Speaker 5: dynamic to their offense. He did get hurt late in

366
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,600
Speaker 5: the app State game, but I was reading about it

367
00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:47,480
Speaker 5: earlier today and Terry Bowden said that it was just,

368
00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,000
Speaker 5: you know, he got hit on the arm. They were

369
00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:51,520
Speaker 5: getting smoked by app State. He figured let him rest.

370
00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,360
Speaker 5: He's expected to play. He's been back at practice and

371
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,320
Speaker 5: Rogers has played the last what four games. He's got

372
00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:01,360
Speaker 5: eight touchdowns, just three picks, very mobile. His leading wide receivers,

373
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Speaker 5: Boogie Knight, which is just a phenomenal name to bet on.

374
00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,359
Speaker 5: I don't know how you handicap awesome names, but I

375
00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:08,960
Speaker 5: like to factor it and I think it's a little

376
00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 5: bit important. So Boogie Knight's certainly the name of a

377
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,600
Speaker 5: guy i'd want to bet on. Texas State dealing with

378
00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:17,239
Speaker 5: injury concerns of their own. Brady McBride dealing with an

379
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,600
Speaker 5: ankle injury. He didn't play at all against Louisiana and

380
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:22,920
Speaker 5: we're out of campus. He's not fully practicing. Tyler Vitt

381
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,840
Speaker 5: has been taking the first team starts. Tyler Vick threw

382
00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,640
Speaker 5: for forty two yards last week against Louisiana, so he's

383
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:32,720
Speaker 5: not exactly shown me anything that screams be afraid of

384
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:36,679
Speaker 5: this quarterback. So with Terry Bowden Richardriguez, this is their

385
00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:39,560
Speaker 5: first year, both very veteran coaches, both coaches who have

386
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,400
Speaker 5: been successful as head coach at the Power five level,

387
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,719
Speaker 5: been around the block. This un ROW team is buying

388
00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:49,199
Speaker 5: into them. They're buying into what their two veteran coaches

389
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,000
Speaker 5: are preaching, and I think it shows in their play.

390
00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:52,080
Speaker 4: And the other thing that I.

391
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:55,040
Speaker 5: Like about display that's a little bit concerning is Texas

392
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:59,200
Speaker 5: State's athletic director put out this huge statement this week

393
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 5: basically saying, Hey, we suck, but we know we suck,

394
00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,399
Speaker 5: but we're gonna try harder not to suck and please

395
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 5: support us even though we suck.

396
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:10,920
Speaker 4: Maybe that inspires the fan base. It didn't come off

397
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:12,879
Speaker 4: it to me. I don't know. I'm not buying it.

398
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:13,840
Speaker 4: I think they sucked, so.

399
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,560
Speaker 5: I like I think um and I was playing better

400
00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:18,199
Speaker 5: and I think so. Kind of getting priced at the

401
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,320
Speaker 5: team last year when they've shown they're an averageam. They're

402
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,680
Speaker 5: five hundred this year, so at plus one point fifty, give.

403
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 4: Me the Warhawks.

404
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:27,800
Speaker 2: Yes. San Marcos at this point is really only known

405
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:29,920
Speaker 2: for tubing, but this team is going down the river

406
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:31,560
Speaker 2: for sure. It was a team I liked a lot

407
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:33,120
Speaker 2: last year. They had a lot of fight in them.

408
00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 2: But they did something weird in the offseason. They didn't

409
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,720
Speaker 2: recruit a single high schooler in their recruiting class. They

410
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,960
Speaker 2: brought in some transfers, and that always goes one of

411
00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:41,720
Speaker 2: two ways. Either the kids are ready to play and

412
00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:45,439
Speaker 2: their adults or just the jigsaw pieces do not fit together.

413
00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 2: And it's pretty clear at this point with the sample

414
00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 2: size being what it is, that Texas State is just

415
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 2: not putting it together on the season.

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Speaker 5: And that's a team, by the way, that's gonna quit

417
00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,840
Speaker 5: because they're not playing for next season. They're not like, oh,

418
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 5: we're gonna build on it and give It's like if

419
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 5: we're all transfers, we're all gonna be gone next year.

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00:18:58,160 --> 00:18:58,840
Speaker 4: They're gonna quit.

421
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 2: And when you put these two plays together, you know,

422
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,960
Speaker 2: both out of the sun Belt, you get plus five

423
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:05,639
Speaker 2: to seventy five on your money. So hopefully we can

424
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 2: catch that for our audience. And that is a quickerminder

425
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,359
Speaker 2: to our listeners. The Big Bets on Campus podcast is

426
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,439
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427
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428
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 2: dollar on any team and win one hundred dollars if

429
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:20,760
Speaker 2: that team scores a touchdown.

430
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Speaker 4: That's right.

431
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:22,959
Speaker 2: All you have to do is open a new win

432
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433
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,679
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434
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,320
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435
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,719
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436
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 2: as long as they score one TV, which even Acron

437
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,639
Speaker 2: could probably do. That one hundred dollars is yours. So

438
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,600
Speaker 2: if you haven't signed up at win Bett Sports Book yet,

439
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:42,560
Speaker 2: take advantage of this offer by clicking on the Action

440
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,480
Speaker 2: Network link in this episode description. Must be twenty one

441
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,639
Speaker 2: or older to gamble, know when to stop before you

442
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 2: start gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler. All right,

443
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 2: now it's time for the true moneymaker of the pod,

444
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 2: which is the group of five high five round robin

445
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,160
Speaker 2: here in week ten.

446
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 3: The G five five should be high five high five.

447
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,240
Speaker 2: Love the high five. It's somebody that's not only am

448
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 2: I clearly rooting for my own picks, but I always

449
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 2: keep an eye on what you're picking, betting it individually,

450
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,880
Speaker 2: you know, pairing it up into different parlays. So I'll

451
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 2: get it started this week. I got three on my docket.

452
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 2: Maction's back last night was fantastic. I believe we saw

453
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 2: fourteen points in the first half between Miami and Ohio

454
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 2: and the Ohio Bobcats, and then they dropped a fifty

455
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 2: four point bomb in the second half. I love that

456
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 2: kind of volatility.

457
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:31,440
Speaker 4: It's been incredible.

458
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:35,119
Speaker 2: Maybe maction has been phenomenal, So I love Kent State

459
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:38,719
Speaker 2: minus four here. With that loss last night by the RedHawks,

460
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:40,640
Speaker 2: they now have an opportunity to take a full game

461
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 2: lead in the Macwest. And really, since MacPlay has started,

462
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,399
Speaker 2: they've just been cooking on offense thirty five points per game.

463
00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 2: And Dustin Crumb has gotten off the mat after getting

464
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,639
Speaker 2: beat up by A and M and Iowa earlier in

465
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 2: the season. Last four games, he's accounted for eleven total touchdowns,

466
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:57,160
Speaker 2: but more importantly, zero turnovers. And here's the thing. Ken

467
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,880
Speaker 2: State can't stop the run one hundred and sixteenth nationally.

468
00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 2: You know we're not breaking any new ground tier. They

469
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,879
Speaker 2: also give up huge plays on the ground one hundred

470
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:05,880
Speaker 2: and twenty fourth and run plays allowed of twenty yards

471
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 2: or more. But when I look at the opposing team

472
00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:10,879
Speaker 2: and what should be a shootout, I'm going against a

473
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:14,160
Speaker 2: quarterback that I think is by far the inferior one

474
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: in this matchup in Rocky Lombardi. His QBR in almost

475
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 2: half of his games this year are just as bad

476
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 2: as his blonde haircut. He has been horrific. He's had

477
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 2: two sub twenty five point out of one hundred QBR games.

478
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 2: And I think for that reason, when the pressure's on

479
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,399
Speaker 2: to be able to move the football down the stretch

480
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,119
Speaker 2: against the Kent State team, that's going to keep the

481
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 2: pressure on them, I'm banking on him making the mistakes.

482
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,439
Speaker 2: I know that Ianello has been, you know, on the

483
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 2: fence about RockA Lombardi. I think he may actually be

484
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:42,640
Speaker 2: a closet fan. So we're going to find out now.

485
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,399
Speaker 2: Is this somebody that you're really into, that you believe

486
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 2: has a high end NFL draft, you know, a potential

487
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 2: landing spot. You know, maybe he shows out at the

488
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: NFL combine. I just want to set you up perfectly

489
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,479
Speaker 2: because I know this is somebody that elicits a lot

490
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:56,520
Speaker 2: of mixed emotions from you.

491
00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,439
Speaker 4: Hey stinks, Rocky Lombardi stinks.

492
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 5: You have no idea how much I needed to hear

493
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 5: you give out this pick because I've been wavering all

494
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 5: week because you know, there's nothing I love more than

495
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,879
Speaker 5: betting against Rocky Lombardy and I wanted to do it.

496
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 5: But the problem is I've been burned before. Nother no

497
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 5: one has been incredibly lucky, and I've been super nervous

498
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 5: because you know, it's easy to say, oh, aggression's coming

499
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 5: because they've been lucky. But my ade was a like, okay,

500
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 5: but what if they keep getting lucky? So you're on

501
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 5: Kent State. Literally just put it in as we're talking,

502
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 5: because all I needed to hear was that you agreed

503
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 5: with me. I'm taking it go Flashes, all.

504
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 2: Right, how about your pick here to pair up for

505
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 2: the G five high five.

506
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 5: I'm pretty sure you have a plan in this game coming,

507
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 5: which makes me super nervous because this didn't work for

508
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 5: me last week when I did it. But we're going

509
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,199
Speaker 5: back to the bell with our with our little two

510
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 5: for one special. I'm taking SMU minus four and a

511
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 5: half against Memphis. That game last week got a little,

512
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 5: you know, out of hand with Houston. It was kind

513
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 5: of crazy back and forth game. Like I mentioned earlier, Houston,

514
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,439
Speaker 5: SMU scored the tie with thirty seconds left and then

515
00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 5: immediately give up behind your guard kick, which and to lose.

516
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,159
Speaker 5: So I would play SMU again against Houston. They were

517
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 5: minus one. It was a coin flip game. It came

518
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 5: down to a coin flip. I got him at a

519
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,359
Speaker 5: coin flop price, so I still think that was the

520
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 5: right side. And obviously Clayton tun played a lot better

521
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 5: than we thought. But this is still a very short

522
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 5: number for a very good SMU team against a very

523
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 5: bad Memphis team. SMU is still first in the country

524
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 5: in past success rate. Memphis is eighty eighth in past

525
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 5: success defense. SMU is tenth in the country in big plays.

526
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 5: They have a huge advantage in the big play department,

527
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 5: they have a huge advantage in the havoc department, and

528
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 5: they have a huge advantage in finishing drives. SMU's defense

529
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 5: is twelfth in the country against the run. And yeah,

530
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 5: we saw Clayton Tune was able to beat them through

531
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 5: the air last week. But Memphis quarterback Seth Hennigan is hurt.

532
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 5: He's a game time decision. He didn't play. I don't

533
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 5: know that he's going to play in this game. He

534
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 5: didn't play last week. Instead, Peter Parrish came in. He

535
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 5: had no touchdowns, three interceptions. I'm going to get this

536
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 5: number soon because if Hennigan is ruled out, I think

537
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 5: the number is going to go up. Even if Hendigan's

538
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 5: ruled in. I don't we like Hennigan. We've taken him before.

539
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,879
Speaker 5: He's not better than Sander Mordecai, and there's just so

540
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 5: many weapons on this SMU offense and this Memphis defense

541
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,439
Speaker 5: is just really bad. So I think SMU is going

542
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,719
Speaker 5: to bounce back after that tough loss to Houston. I

543
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 5: like him to cover the four against Memphis.

544
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll piggyback quickly here. I like the over seventy

545
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 2: one also predicated on whether Hennigan plays or not when

546
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 2: he's started and finished the game. Memphis is averaging thirty

547
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 2: six points per game, and when you look at SMU

548
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 2: going on the road, they may be the best road

549
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 2: offense in the country. They're averaging thirty eight points per

550
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 2: game away from Dallas, and because of that, I think

551
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,200
Speaker 2: they're going to be able to light up this Memphis defense.

552
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 2: And then finally, SMU's special teams is just horrific one

553
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 2: hundred and nineteenth and kickoff defense or coverage however you

554
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 2: want to phrase it, and in terms of when you

555
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 2: know they put the ball in the air punching it.

556
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,639
Speaker 2: Calvin Austin third is one of the most electric playmakers

557
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 2: with the ball in his hands, and I think you're

558
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: going to see Memphis find a way to get him,

559
00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: maybe on the field for kickoffs for the very first

560
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,439
Speaker 2: time this season, but certainly on punt returns, so the

561
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 2: opportunity to get those bonus scores, those non offensive touchdowns.

562
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 2: I think it's ripe in this game, so I like

563
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 2: over seventy one. But once again, you're gonna want to

564
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: follow up on Twitter, College Fantasy Update dot Com. They'll

565
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,919
Speaker 2: do a good job of being tied into beat reporters

566
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 2: to give you that updated information on seth Hennigan. I'll

567
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 2: go quickly to my last round robin pick here, and

568
00:25:22,520 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 2: it's gonna probably burn you a little bit because you

569
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: had the logic last week and then the Cincinnati offense

570
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 2: didn't show up this week. Since the minus twenty three

571
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 2: against a Tulsa offense that flat out stinks. They were

572
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: held to seventeen points or fewer three times this season

573
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 2: against UC Davis, go Aggie's, Houston, and Navy where I

574
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,479
Speaker 2: hit last week. Navy just absolutely shut them down, got

575
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 2: off the field whenever they wanted. The Cincinnati defense is

576
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:48,920
Speaker 2: going to play angry. This is their time to send

577
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,199
Speaker 2: a message to the College Playoff Committee. You can even

578
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 2: see it in the comments by Luke Fickle, someone who

579
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 2: hasn't played politics with this.

580
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:55,479
Speaker 4: He's pissed.

581
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 2: He's going right after the committee and I think when

582
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,439
Speaker 2: you pair that up with college game debing on the campus,

583
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 2: the chances of a flat performance here are basically zero.

584
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,320
Speaker 2: Tulsa's eighty third against the run, I'm going to see

585
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 2: a really big performance from Jerome Ford and also Desmond Ritter,

586
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 2: you know, getting involved in the zone read. They've given

587
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 2: up so many runs of thirty yards or more ninety

588
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 2: second in the country, So big plays for the Cincinnati

589
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 2: running game, and I think there's a high likelihood they're

590
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,719
Speaker 2: going to hold them under two touchdowns when Tulsa has

591
00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,160
Speaker 2: the football. So minus twenty three, no problem. My power

592
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 2: rankings actually call it for me to be in that

593
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 2: thirty to thirty one point range, so more than a

594
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:30,919
Speaker 2: touchdown worth of value.

595
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 4: Love the Bearcats here, Yeah, obviously I like it last week.

596
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 5: Didn't have like it again this week for the same

597
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 5: reason you just said for my last pick, I purposely

598
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 5: did not tell you what this play is. You don't know.

599
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,640
Speaker 5: Usually we tell each other ahead of time. You don't

600
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 5: notice I didn't tell you on purpose. I wand your

601
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 5: live reaction. I've never seen the movie Sophie's Choice, but

602
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,880
Speaker 5: I imagine it's about a woman trying to decide between her

603
00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:57,000
Speaker 5: two favorite Conference USA schools, and we have that matchup

604
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,119
Speaker 5: this week, and I couldn't not make a play. And

605
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 5: I'd be honest, I spent a lot of time trying

606
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 5: to decide how to play it because I knew I

607
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,840
Speaker 5: had to play it. I hate to do this. I'm

608
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 5: taking UTEP plus eleven. I love me, you know that.

609
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:12,880
Speaker 5: I also thought about the under. I think it's gonna

610
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 5: be a low scoring game. I think it's gonna be

611
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 5: kind of a little bit of a slog. It's gonna

612
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 5: be a great game. College Gandy not being there's a joke,

613
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 5: cute music. We're going down to l Paso.

614
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 3: We're talking minor nation out in the West Dickson town

615
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 3: of l past So picks up.

616
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 4: Obviously, we alread talked about how good it start utips off. Dude.

617
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 5: They lost twenty eight twenty five last week to FAU

618
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,719
Speaker 5: kind of a heartbreaking fashion. But what I liked is,

619
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 5: like we talked about, backdoor was open. They didn't give up.

620
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,639
Speaker 5: They have fight. This team is so well coached. They

621
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 5: play hard for each other. I love this team. They

622
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,679
Speaker 5: scored fifteen points in the final three minutes. Covered the

623
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,479
Speaker 5: own side kick as you talked about Gavin Hardrison is

624
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 5: so much better this year than it was last year.

625
00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 5: UTEP is thirtieth in the country in past success rate.

626
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 5: Jacob Cowing has been a really good receiver for them's going

627
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,920
Speaker 5: over one hundred yards and four of the last six games.

628
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 5: They have two great running backs, Ronald ay Watt Dean Hankins.

629
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 5: Both of them are averaging over fifty yards per game

630
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 5: on the ground. UTEP's twenty third in the country in

631
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 5: rush rate. They run to run the ball. They run

632
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 5: the ball a ton, and that's good for a big spread,

633
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 5: it's good for an underdog, and the UTSA defense is good.

634
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 5: So I think it's going to be a lower scoring game.

635
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 5: But like I said, I think UTEP slows this down.

636
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 5: I think they kind of strength the possessions. Twenty third

637
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 5: in rush rate, they're one hundred and twenty second in

638
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 5: place per minute. But this UTEP defense is awesome. They

639
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 5: are tenth in the country in past success they're nineteenth

640
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 5: in rush success, twelfth in line yards, twenty eighth in

641
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 5: preventing big plagues, twenty six at preventing finishing drives, and

642
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 5: they're first in the country and have a rate. So

643
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 5: I think they're going to do just enough to get

644
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 5: into this UTSA backfield. I'm hoping it's a big time

645
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,040
Speaker 5: Sincere McCormick. Game a little less, Frank Harris, keep the

646
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 5: ball on the ground, both teams run the ball. UTSA

647
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,560
Speaker 5: wins by seven, everyone goes home happy. I had to

648
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 5: play it. I'm taking the Miners in the sun ball

649
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 5: plus eleven.

650
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 2: I mean, it's pretty simple. You love your kids, not equally,

651
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 2: I mean, don't tell your kids that, but there's always

652
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 2: one that's your favorite. And in this case, it's so close.

653
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 2: It's legitimately so close. Which team we've been carrying the

654
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 2: water for more this season. But there's only one that's

655
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 2: left with an absolute dream season on the line, and

656
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 2: that's UTSA.

657
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 4: So give them a.

658
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 2: Ten point victory. Let the Miners cover. Everybody wins. I'm

659
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 2: with you there, one hundred percent.

660
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 4: And here's the best part of this.

661
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 5: If I lose this bet because UTSA wins, then you

662
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 5: know what, good for my second favorite child.

663
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 4: I'm gonna be happy for them as well.

664
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 2: And now for a quick recap on all of our bets,

665
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 2: starting with our best bets here in Week ten, Air

666
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 2: Force and Army over thirty seven Air Force minus two.

667
00:29:56,560 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 4: And a half, Oh shit, I can't.

668
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 2: He And for our G five moneyline parlay South Alabama

669
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 2: plus one sixty five the.

670
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 3: South Alabama Jaguars.

671
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 2: Louisiana Monroe plus one fifty five.

672
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 3: The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks.

673
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 2: For a payout of plus five seventy five. And for

674
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 2: our G five high five round Robin Kent State minus four.

675
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 3: The Kent State Golden Flashes.

676
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 2: SMU minus four and a half.

677
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 3: The SMU Mustangs.

678
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,720
Speaker 2: Over seventy one between SMU and Memphis.

679
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 3: The Memphis Overs.

680
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: Cincinnati minus twenty three.

681
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 3: The Cincinnati Bearcats.

682
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:42,719
Speaker 2: And UTEP plus eleven.

683
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 3: We're talking minor nation.

684
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:47,480
Speaker 2: That's it for the group of five Deep dive here

685
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 2: in week number ten under the Big Bets on Campus

686
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 2: podcast banner, you got Colin Stuckey drop in their podcast

687
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 2: on Thursday night into Friday morning, as well as their

688
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 2: live show on Saturday, and the three Man weave now

689
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 2: being weaved in the content here at Big Bets on

690
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 2: Campus Wednesday mornings, they'll be covering everything college basketball, so

691
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 2: you will not want to miss those bonus episodes. Everything

692
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 2: else is staying the same. We're going to be with

693
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 2: you all the way through ballseason, so don't threat for

694
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 2: Mike Ianella on Mike calvaries. This has been the group

695
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 2: of five deep dive