1 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,600 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. 4 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt. 5 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 6 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and this podcast is being brought 7 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 2: to you by your friends at draftings. 8 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 1: All right, winning night last. 9 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: Night for us little two and one night Brooklyn got 10 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: throttled by my Boston Celtics. I faded my own team 11 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 2: and it burned me from having a three. 12 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 1: To oh day. 13 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: Unfortunately, because Boston was hot in the second half. In 14 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 2: the third quarter, Jason Tatum took it over, so we 15 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 2: didn't get the nine and a half there, But the 16 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 2: Sons and the King game goes over and the Houston 17 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 2: and Louisiana game went under, so we went two and 18 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 2: zero in those plays. So two and one on the night, 19 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 2: up point nine units. So we are up for last night. 20 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 2: As we head towards a Thursday, I have an NFL 21 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 2: football bet for us to jump on in with. I 22 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 2: have a couple of college basketball bets to give you, 23 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:06,680 Speaker 2: and a reminder that we will be back doing the 24 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 2: live stream with me solo seven thirty Eastern time on 25 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: the betting Pros YouTube channel with prop bets that will 26 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 2: give you give out for the Eagles and the Commanders 27 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 2: tonight on Thursday Night football. Hope to see you all 28 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 2: there if you haven't gone over there. We spend about 29 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 2: fifteen twenty minutes breaking down the game and then I 30 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 2: take questions thoughts from you guys as to what bets 31 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 2: you have made, what bets you think you're thinking about making, 32 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 2: and we just have some fun talking gambling and strategies. 33 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 2: Coming up every Thursday night on the Betting Pros YouTube 34 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 2: channel seven thirty in Eastern time four to thirty Pacific time. 35 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 2: Here for today, this podcast is being brought to you 36 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 2: by our friends at edge boost. 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That's Bettingpros dot Com slash Boost 69 00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 2: and sign up today. 70 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: Okay, let's start. 71 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 2: With the game tonight that is a Thursday night football 72 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 2: game the Commanders on the road against the Eagles. There 73 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 2: are some very interesting numbers here involving the Eagles. 74 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: AJ Brown. 75 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 2: He's played nine years, sorry, nine games this season and 76 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 2: the Eagles are sorry. The Egos have played nine games. 77 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: Six of them have said I have had AJ Brown 78 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: in the game. They've won every game the AJ Brown 79 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 2: has played six and zero. They're averaging about thirty points 80 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: per game. When he's out, they average about seventeen points 81 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 2: per game, and they're one to two straight up. AJ 82 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: Brown will play tonight for the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles 83 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 2: haven't covered a spread at home in six straight home games. 84 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 2: That's the longest streak according to the Action Network since 85 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 2: they failed to cover ten games in a row back 86 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 2: in twenty twelve and twenty thirteen. This is the twelfth 87 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 2: home game at night for Jalen Hurts as the quarterback 88 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 2: of the Eagles. He is an impressive eight two to 89 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 2: one ats in those games. That is the sixth best 90 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 2: of any quarterback since two thousand and three. The only 91 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 2: quarterbacks who have better numbers at home in primetime Aaron Rodgers, 92 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: Philip Rivers, Russell Wilson, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees since 93 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,600 Speaker 2: two thousand and three, and Jalen Hurts has been tremendous 94 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,479 Speaker 2: during this five game win streak for the Eagles, where. 95 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: They're five and zh straight up. 96 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 2: He's been tremendous second in EPA per play, in yards 97 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:53,119 Speaker 2: per attempt, and success rate. He's been tremendous sixteen total 98 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 2: touchdowns with just one interception over this five game winning streak. 99 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: However, and you probably can see. 100 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 2: Where I'm going with this, if the Eagles have a 101 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 2: lead of ten points or more, they're just six six 102 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 2: and two against the spread. So if they go up 103 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 2: by ten points or more, we are absolutely coming in 104 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 2: and taking the Eagles, sorry, taking the Commanders rather with 105 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 2: a chance to middle this. If you want to bet 106 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: the over, you can, but careful, okay. Over the last 107 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 2: two seasons, games played on Thursday Night are nineteen and 108 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,159 Speaker 2: ten to the over. This number opened at fifty has 109 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 2: been bet down to forty eight and a half. Interesting 110 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:37,359 Speaker 2: trend is this Thursday night home teams are just forty 111 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 2: two and fifty five against the number since twenty nineteen, 112 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,239 Speaker 2: and for teams playing in a game outside of Sunday 113 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 2: Night football since twenty nineteen. They're ninety seven one, sixteen 114 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 2: and three against the number. That's crazy. However, I'm gonna 115 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 2: go against that trend. Give me the Eagles. Why Jalen 116 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 2: Hard I think he's playing at an elite level. AJ 117 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 2: Brown's playing that's tremendous. They run the ball as well 118 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 2: as anybody in football, and I think this Commander's defense 119 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 2: can be had. I'm just not in love with the 120 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 2: Commanders overall. This is a rookie quarterback. This is prime time. 121 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 2: This is an Eagles team that's gonna remind the Commanders 122 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 2: as to who the best team in the division is. 123 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 2: Washington has been great, okay, but nah, I don't know. 124 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:33,559 Speaker 1: It is a Thursday night game on the road. 125 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 2: Tough spot for them to play here with Philadelphia, who, 126 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 2: as I said, hasn't covered in a while. I think 127 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 2: they win the game by four or five or six points. 128 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna come in and lay the three and a 129 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 2: half points with the Eagles. Eagles minus three and a 130 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 2: half for one point one units. If you want to 131 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: tease the Commanders up, you can do that. You want 132 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 2: to play around with the tollal, you can do that. 133 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 2: I don't want to do that. I just want to 134 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,719 Speaker 2: come in and play strictly with the side and lay 135 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 2: the three and a half with the Eagles for one 136 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 2: point one units. 137 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: All right, two bets. 138 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 2: In college basketball, Let's start with Wichita against Northern Iowa. 139 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 2: This is wild so Northern Iowa. We were on them 140 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: the last two games they played at home. They won 141 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 2: and covered that game, and then the last game they 142 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 2: got destroyed by UC Irvine lost the game by twenty 143 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 2: points at home. That is a bad sign for Northern 144 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: Iowa on the road here against Wichita. This is Paul 145 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 2: Mills's second year with the Shockers. Historically, I hate Wichas State, 146 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: longtime rival of the Creaton and Blue Jays. I have 147 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 2: not gotten along with their head coaches. But Paul Mills 148 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 2: likes to play fast. He was very successful at Oral Roberts. 149 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 2: He's a guy who was under the Scott Drew mentality 150 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 2: of run, run run. The numbers are quite wild. Wichita 151 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 2: State is in the top sixty for offensive possession length. 152 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 2: For how short of a time it is. Northern Iowa 153 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 2: wants to make you hold the ball. That's two hundred 154 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: and eighty sixth in terms of average possession length. But 155 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 2: Wicha State is going to try to really get up tempo, 156 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,679 Speaker 2: and when the roundhouse is rocking, it's a really hard 157 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 2: place to play. I'm afraid that Northern Iowa just got 158 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 2: exposed by UC Irvine, and I'm not sure how good 159 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 2: the defense is here early for Northern Iowa, you know, 160 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency, they're outside the top one forty defensively, which 161 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 2: is crazy for a Northern Iowa team to come in here. 162 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 2: Effective field goal percentage one hundred and sixty six. They're 163 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 2: not turning anybody over as well, they're not giving up 164 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: offensive rebounds two hundred and fifth in offensive rebound percentage, 165 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 2: giving up a ton of second chance opportunities here, which 166 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 2: the state should be able to get to the glass. 167 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 2: And the Shockers to start the year offensively have been 168 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 2: good enough. They've not been outstanding, but they've been good 169 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 2: enough top seventy five and adjusted offensive efficiency. They are 170 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:49,199 Speaker 2: in the top top seventy in free throw percentage when 171 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 2: they get to their free throws. On the other side, 172 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 2: Northern Iowa has hit a ton of threes. They're forty 173 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 2: six point three percent three point shooting is top ten 174 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 2: in the country. Their effective field goal percentage is fifty 175 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 2: one point one but they're scoring. Just defensively, they're not 176 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 2: right at the moment. Going on the road for the 177 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: first time, I'm going to lay the seven and a 178 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 2: half points Shockers minus seven and a half tonight at 179 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 2: home against Northern Iowa. And finally, UNLV is at home tonight. 180 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 2: This is a game I have. I don't know I 181 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,120 Speaker 2: may wind up going to this game. I haven't really 182 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 2: decided yet as to what I'm going to do in 183 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 2: this game. I very well win up going to this 184 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 2: game for U and LV. They're laying sixteen points, okay, 185 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 2: but it's against Nebraska Omaha. This is a game I've 186 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 2: seen this before where UNLV just runs them out of 187 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 2: the gym. They lost to Memphis in their last game 188 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 2: at home. They were laying one and a half points. 189 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 2: They lost by six. It's a great bounce back spot 190 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 2: here with UNLV to take out some frustration here and 191 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 2: get a big w They beat Alabama State in their 192 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 2: first game. 193 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 1: They laid fourteen. They won by fourteen. 194 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 2: Against Minnesota Nebraska Omaha was twenty and a half point favorites. 195 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,959 Speaker 1: Sorry dogs, Rather they lost by four. 196 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 2: I think UNLV will. I think they will be focused tonight. 197 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 2: I think they'll have their attention. I don't think they're 198 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 2: going to completely overlook this here and go, oh it's 199 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 2: Nebraska Omaha. 200 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 1: We should kill them. Nah, they got to come and 201 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: get a w here. 202 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 2: According to Kempom, this is an eighteen point win for 203 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 2: for UNLV. I think this is a chance for you 204 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 2: and LV to come in. Well, I'm doing a math 205 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:32,079 Speaker 2: wrong on that home. It's right on the number, isn't it. Yeah, 206 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 2: it's on the number. So I think you and LV 207 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 2: will have a big win here tonight. I don't think 208 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 2: the reds Gobaha scores all that much. I think they 209 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 2: put some the clamps down offensively. I'll lay it with 210 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,680 Speaker 2: you and LV. It's a big number. This game is 211 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 2: being played at ten o'clock Eastern time, seven o'clock local 212 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: time here in Las Vegas. It's a Thursday night. It's 213 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 2: a chance to kind of get the students going in 214 00:10:56,240 --> 00:11:01,199 Speaker 2: a hostile environment. UNLV is top six and adjusted efficiency 215 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 2: on offense. They are shooting the ball behind the arc 216 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 2: thirty ninth forty percent shooting from mind the arc. They're 217 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 2: scoring on the flip side. Nebraska Omaha's defense is not 218 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 2: very good three hundred and fifth in adjusted efficiency. I 219 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 2: think the Rebels are going to get out, They're going 220 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 2: to push, They're gonna get to some easy buckets, turn 221 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 2: the basketball over. And offensively, Nebraska Omaha is two hundred 222 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 2: and sixtieth and adjusted offensively offensive effecion efficiency, they're two 223 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 2: hundred and thirty third in effective field goal percentage, they're 224 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: two hundred and sixty eighth and two point percentage. Yeah, 225 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 2: give me the Rebels. I'll lay it with UNLV here tonight, 226 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:39,320 Speaker 2: laying sixteen. Okay, so we are going with the Eagles 227 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 2: MIAs three and a half, a lot of chalk here 228 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 2: tonight on a Thursday Eagles MIAs three and a half 229 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 2: for one point one units, UNLV laying sixteen at home 230 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 2: up against Nebraska Omaha, in which just State laying seven 231 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 2: and a half at home against Northern Iowa. All those 232 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 2: bets are for one point one units, and we'll have 233 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 2: player props coming up on the live stream that is 234 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 2: at seven thirty Eastern time four to thirty Pacific time 235 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:04,760 Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. We'll have some more 236 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 2: player props to give you guys coming up tonight for 237 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 2: the Eagles and the Commanders here on a Thursday, mis 238 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 2: Matt Perrault follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 239 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,959 Speaker 2: Every morning it is The dil Juice Podcast, presented by 240 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:18,599 Speaker 2: DraftKings