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Speaker 1: The Volume. The Three and Out podcast with me John

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Speaker 1: Middlecoff is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. It's the NFL

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Speaker 1: in Ohio. What is going on everybody? John Middlecoff Three

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Speaker 1: and Out Podcasts. How are we doing? Super Bowl Sunday?

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Speaker 1: Right around the corner. Very very excited. Last game for

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Speaker 1: a long long time, so we got to enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: Big show coming up. Hit on a couple of things

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Speaker 1: before we dive into Stucky who we recorded actually at

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Speaker 1: the end of last week. Basically just the spread on

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Speaker 1: the game, some different props, just a lot of different

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Speaker 1: ways to gamble. I was at the Volume party last

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Speaker 1: night and we talked about someone brought it up to

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Speaker 1: me that the amount of money supposedly going to be

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Speaker 1: bet on this Super Bowl is double the highest amount

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Speaker 1: potentially ever, which makes sense, right factor in all these states,

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Speaker 1: gamblings legal now, so you know it's fun. I mean,

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Speaker 1: most of us have been playing squares since the nineties.

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Speaker 1: Now that we can bet cold, hard cash on not

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Speaker 1: just the point spread but the props. I really enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: Loved the over Chris Stapleton on the national Anthem, he's

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Speaker 1: gonna play that bad boy up. So Middlecoff mail back.

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Speaker 1: I might put one out on Sunday at John Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: as the Instagram fire in those dms as well. Colin

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Speaker 1: is going to come on the show after the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl on Sunday, so look for that on Monday morning,

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Speaker 1: reacting to what we witness in the game, very very

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Speaker 1: excited and yeah, let's let's dive into Stucky and some

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Speaker 1: takes before we dive into football, because that's what this

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Speaker 1: show is about. Super Bowl Week kind of a big deal.

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Speaker 1: Most watched television show in America coming up Sunday afternoon.

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Speaker 1: I want to tell you about my friends at game time.

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Speaker 1: of tickets. You want to go to a concert, You

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Speaker 1: want to go to a game. Spring trainings right around

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Speaker 1: the corner. You want to come out to beautiful Scottsdale.

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Speaker 1: Go to some spring training games. Dodger fan, Giants fans,

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Speaker 1: Cubs fans, I think the Cubs player. If they don't

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Speaker 1: Cardinal fan, you name it jil En twenty dollars off.

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Speaker 1: If you are an Eagles fan. If you are a

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Speaker 1: Chiefs fan and you're making some late night or last

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Speaker 1: second decisions to come to Super Bowl, Volume one hundred.

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Speaker 1: Volume one hundred get you one hundred dollars off super

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Speaker 1: Bowl tickets. You want to watch your team, both teams

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Speaker 1: going for their second Super Bowl. You know the Eagles

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Speaker 1: one in seventeen, and you know the Chiefs just won

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. So you get to witness,

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Speaker 1: get to be on top of the football world. Volume

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Speaker 1: one hundred. Save yourself a little cash, Come enjoy the game.

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Speaker 1: Highly recommended. Where do I want to start? Yesterday? Are

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday night? If you're listening to some Friday a

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Speaker 1: couple of days ago, the volume and my guy Coward

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Speaker 1: and the boys through a party, and was at the

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Speaker 1: party having some beers. You know, stay low key, nothing,

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Speaker 1: nothing too crazy. And when I was leaving the party

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Speaker 1: at like eleven o'clock, very responsible going home. You don't

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Speaker 1: just gonna get a little shut I had some work

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Speaker 1: to do today. Everyone in the Uber lines like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god, Kevin Durant got traded. I was like, Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant got traded, and then obviously he gets traded to

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Speaker 1: the to the Phoenix Suns. He's coming to the desert.

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Speaker 1: So waste managements here, the Super bowls here, and Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant's headed here. And obviously Kyrie got traded a couple

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Speaker 1: of days ago, and just in general, the NBA players

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Speaker 1: are moving around at rapid speed. One thing that really

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Speaker 1: hit me this week and I didn't go to Radio Row.

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Speaker 1: Not really my thing, though there were some players that

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Speaker 1: I would have enjoyed talking to. If I could do

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Speaker 1: it over again, maybe I would have gone at least

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Speaker 1: one day. But one thing the NFL and football in

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Speaker 1: general has going for themselves that obviously the NBA no

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Speaker 1: longer does is that when I opened Twitter today and

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Speaker 1: I see, Oh, Micah Parkson's at Radio Row, or oh

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Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel's at Radio Row. You know, as a Cowboy fan,

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Speaker 1: as a forty nine er fan, I saw te Higgins.

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Speaker 1: I mean that countless players are there right they go,

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Speaker 1: Because the way this works is when you go as

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Speaker 1: like Deebo Samuel Wells, Fargo pays you fifty grand or

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Speaker 1: one hundred grand and you just make the rounds. It's

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Speaker 1: easy money, it's fun, it's cake. Obviously, if you're Joe Montana,

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Speaker 1: you know Tom Brady, people would pay him a million

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Speaker 1: dollars to do three hits, but he doesn't even need

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Speaker 1: the money. But all these guys are getting paid to

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Speaker 1: go and they have a good time, and it's just

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Speaker 1: come and they party at night. It's the easiest money

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Speaker 1: they'll ever make. And it kind of hit me that,

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Speaker 1: like in the NBA and in basketball, it's just become

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Speaker 1: this mercenary league. Guys are going in the prime of

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Speaker 1: their career to like six different teams. It's just like,

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Speaker 1: I can't even keep up. I've honestly tapped out of basketball.

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Speaker 1: And I'm someone that grew up in the nineties, idolized

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Speaker 1: Michael Jordan loved the National Basketball Associate Associate. I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of out. I just can't really follow it too much movement,

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Speaker 1: like it's jumped the Shark. We're in football. Even when

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Speaker 1: things get really weird, Lamar Jackson, hell Jimmy Garoppol last year.

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Speaker 1: For the most part, if the team wants you to stay,

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Speaker 1: you stay on the team, and us as fans benefit.

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Speaker 1: And then when you get really good players, like if

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Speaker 1: I'm a Cowboy fan and I'm watching Michael Parsons, do

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Speaker 1: you know what? I know? The only thing that is

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Speaker 1: gonna prohibit Michael Parsons from being on my team for

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Speaker 1: a long time is an injury. He's going nowhere. And

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Speaker 1: at the end of the day, when we're young, because

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Speaker 1: most of if you're listening to this and you like

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Speaker 1: football or you like sports, you develop that. You know,

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Speaker 1: if you're a guy, and most of our listeners are

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Speaker 1: men at like seven, eight years old, nine ten years old,

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Speaker 1: and you root for teams like most people you meet,

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Speaker 1: it's like, oh, I'm from Dallas, Well you're probably a

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Speaker 1: Cowboy fan. Oh I'm from Philly, you're probably an Eagle fan.

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Speaker 1: Oh I'm from the Bay Area. You probably like the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers. Obviously, occasionally you can meet someone you

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Speaker 1: know from like Nevada that's a Packer fan whatever. But

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Speaker 1: for the most part, you grow up somewhere and you

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Speaker 1: root for teams, and that team, if they're good, has

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Speaker 1: really good players, but you root for the team. And

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Speaker 1: the NFL has built this absolute bohemoth which they are

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Speaker 1: on top of the world, and when it comes to sports,

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Speaker 1: it ain't even I got an alert on my phone

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Speaker 1: the other day from the Athletic It said, breaking news,

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Speaker 1: three million people watch Lebron break Kareem scoring record. Do

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Speaker 1: you know a bit over six million people does not

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Speaker 1: include myself, But I said it from the beginning. A

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Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna watch this stupid event. Watch

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Speaker 1: the flag football Pro Bowl game. More than three million

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Speaker 1: people watch Justice Jefferson and Jamaar Chase and fucking Derek

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Speaker 1: Carr run around in shorts, T shirts and a red flag.

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Speaker 1: Then Lebron James break the scoring record. Now, you couldn't

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Speaker 1: have paid me to watch Lebron James break scoring record.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't do it for me. I find him kind

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Speaker 1: of boring at this point in time. It doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: anything to me. But you couldn't have paid me to

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Speaker 1: watch the Pro Bowl either. I talked about football. Granted

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Speaker 1: I did flip it on and then I immediately turn

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Speaker 1: it off. I'm like, it's not for me. Six million,

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Speaker 1: three more million people watch. One of the things the

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Speaker 1: NFL is going for them is when players get drafted

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Speaker 1: do it team. They stay on that team if the

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Speaker 1: team wants them, and you can say it's unfair. And

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Speaker 1: obviously sometimes when it gets some of this contract negotiation,

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Speaker 1: the team has the advantage. Unless you're a quarterback, then

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Speaker 1: you're always kind of going to break the bank. But

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Speaker 1: for most of the position players, they kind of get,

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Speaker 1: you know, screwed, relative to like if they ever truly

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Speaker 1: hit free agency. Oh, they're still well compensated. Is the

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Speaker 1: fans benefit and the sport of football has it built

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Speaker 1: in naturally that they only play once a week, so

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Speaker 1: there's limited inventory. But I think one thing that we

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Speaker 1: don't talk enough about is the core players, the good

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Speaker 1: players on your team. Look at the Eagles. Travis Kelsey,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, Jason Kelsey, Lane Johnson, Fletchercox, and Brandon Graham.

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Speaker 1: Those guys have been on the team since I worked

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Speaker 1: for the Eagles. I haven't worked for the Eagles in

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Speaker 1: a decade. Look at the Chiefs. Travis Kelsey is gonna

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Speaker 1: play on the Kency Chiefs probably for like twelve to

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Speaker 1: thirteen years. Chris Jones is gonna beat the entire prime

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Speaker 1: of his career, is going to be on one team

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Speaker 1: that matters. And when the NBA was king when I

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Speaker 1: was a kid in the nineties, when Michael Jordan made

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Speaker 1: that sport as popular as the NFL and baseball, that's

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Speaker 1: the way it was. The really sweet players for the

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Speaker 1: most part, stayed on the squad that they were drafted

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Speaker 1: to in their primes and that benefits the business of

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Speaker 1: the sport, which is ultimately how the players get paid.

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Speaker 1: And right now football's kind of got it all rolling,

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Speaker 1: and it just it really stuck out to me watching

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Speaker 1: these star players go around Radio row like you know,

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Speaker 1: it's football has got a really good thing going. And

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Speaker 1: speaking of that, one thing the NFL does a good

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Speaker 1: job of is you know, constantly adapting, making tweaks, doing things.

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Speaker 1: I mean, when I was in the NFL, there were

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Speaker 1: like three or four Thursday night football games a year. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: for the last five or six years, every single team plays.

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Speaker 1: Last year they pivoted from you know, normal Fox or

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Speaker 1: NFL network to a streaming service. Roger Goodell said the

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Speaker 1: other day that they will entertain and probably flex Thursday

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Speaker 1: and Monday night football games. Now, obviously with Thursday night

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Speaker 1: football you would have to give teams a couple week

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Speaker 1: headstart Monday, you would probably have more flexibility. But they're

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Speaker 1: always willing to do things. And that this is not

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Speaker 1: I don't I'm not. I didn't set out to make

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Speaker 1: this podcast a shit on basketball. But the most important

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Speaker 1: partner you have as a sport is your television partners.

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Speaker 1: That's where you make the money. And if I'm t

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Speaker 1: NT or ESPN and I constantly have basketball games where

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Speaker 1: these guys are sitting out like that's not good business

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Speaker 1: for us given that we're paying you. Yet in football,

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Speaker 1: these networks and Amazon and CBS and NBC pay so

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Speaker 1: much money for these football games because as you've seen,

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Speaker 1: they are the most watched television shows in this country,

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Speaker 1: so it's well worth it. But the NFL always goes

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Speaker 1: above and beyond to take care of them, and ESPN

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Speaker 1: for a long time used to get screwed on Monday

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Speaker 1: Night football because their network talked a lot of shit

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Speaker 1: about football. Honestly, they had a period where it felt

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Speaker 1: like anti football. So Roger's like, okay, you're getting crappy games.

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Speaker 1: Well they pivoted and they've gone more being positive about football,

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Speaker 1: and they've gotten better games. They've made more of an effort.

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Speaker 1: They signed Troy and Joe. Now we will do everything

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Speaker 1: in our power to get you better games moving forward.

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Speaker 1: And the Thursday night game wall a little not an

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Speaker 1: ideal situation. But I will say this, and I'm not

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Speaker 1: some lover of Thursday night football. When Thursday night, when

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Speaker 1: there is an NFL game on Thursday, we all benefit

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Speaker 1: and fifteen million people watch it for a reason because

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Speaker 1: it's the one thing we can't agree in this country.

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Speaker 1: We will consume football. So Roger again showing that he

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Speaker 1: will adapt in the league as a whole, and they

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Speaker 1: will do whatever it takes to take care of the

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Speaker 1: most important partner they will ever have, and that is

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Speaker 1: the person the streaming services. Forever it's been these broadcast channels,

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Speaker 1: it will eventually be on Amazon, Netflix and Apple Plus

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Speaker 1: one day, but the people that are broadcasting their games,

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Speaker 1: because that's who butters their bread. Like in this business

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Speaker 1: than I'm in you know who butters my bread? You

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Speaker 1: guys listening, and then through you guys the advertisers without

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Speaker 1: you listening, and then the advertisers would not exist. Right.

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Speaker 1: The reason the NFL and these networks are willing to

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Speaker 1: spend so much money is because the amount of people us,

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Speaker 1: the fans watch, right. I was talking to someone about

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Speaker 1: Tony Romo the other day. Obviously he took some crap

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Speaker 1: about CBS not happy with his performance, and one thing

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Speaker 1: I'd listened, and maybe I'm more of a critical guy

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Speaker 1: by nature. It's in my wiring. I wouldn't say to

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Speaker 1: lean negative, but when I'm watching sports, I think I

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Speaker 1: just can turn into a fan fast, like what the

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Speaker 1: hell was that? That was a terrible play call? What

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Speaker 1: was that throw? That's how most of us react on

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Speaker 1: our couch. It doesn't mean we believe that we could

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Speaker 1: make the throw or that we would make the open

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Speaker 1: feel tackle in the NFL, But that's our reaction, sitting

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Speaker 1: on the couch, drinking up Coke zero, eating some snacks.

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Speaker 1: You know. So Tony Romo really struggles at like kind

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Speaker 1: of being critical and the NFL, like the CBS is

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Speaker 1: on him because clearly they don't think he's doing a

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Speaker 1: good job, and they need him to be better because

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Speaker 1: they're most like this is the most important partner they

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Speaker 1: will ever have. So the NFL will do jump over

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Speaker 1: hoops when it comes to taking care of their TV partners.

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Speaker 1: And listen, you know who usually gets matt like the

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Speaker 1: coaches because they never asked the coaches what they think,

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Speaker 1: because they don't care. They say, listen, cash the check

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Speaker 1: and we'll figure it out later. The owners and the

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Speaker 1: TV partners. For the Super Bowl that's right around the corner.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Chiefs, and from a gambling perspective,

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Speaker 1: I'm definitely taking them in the points. I don't feel

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Speaker 1: great about it right Like, to me, in a perfect world,

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Speaker 1: this game is basically a coin flip. Now, if Mahomes

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Speaker 1: was healthy and you didn't even think about his high

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Speaker 1: angle sprain, I would I think the Chiefs would easily

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Speaker 1: be favored. I mean, he's the best player potentially. I

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Speaker 1: mean he's gonna go down is maybe he'll never I

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Speaker 1: don't think Eclipse Brady in terms of accomplishments. He's never

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Speaker 1: winning seven Super Bowls. But I think when it's all

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Speaker 1: said and done, we might go that's the best individual

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Speaker 1: talent we've ever seen. And you could argue he's already

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Speaker 1: like in the he's for argument's sake, he's already right there,

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Speaker 1: like you could have that conversation sitting at a bar.

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Speaker 1: I think Mallames the best player I've ever seen. I've

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Speaker 1: seen Brady, I've seen Far, I've seen Rogers, I've seen Peyton.

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Speaker 1: You know, I've seen Aaron Donald, I've seen Ray Lewis,

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Speaker 1: seen them all. Like that might be the best individual

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Speaker 1: NFL player I've ever seen. And that will just be

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Speaker 1: typically my strategy when it comes to football, and I

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Speaker 1: just have the same strategy in the NBA. You have

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Speaker 1: the best player because they have the best player. Now

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Speaker 1: in football, it's a little different. Like if you're best

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Speaker 1: player is a d tackle or a guard or a safety,

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Speaker 1: you don't feel as confident. But when it's the quarterback,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean him and I'm also gonna lean in

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Speaker 1: two weeks he was gimpy against that game against Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: and obviously the Eagles have an elite pass rush. It's

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Speaker 1: special Reddick probably it went Bosa, Micah parsons him. In

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Speaker 1: terms of edge pass rushers, Hard Graves stud sweat. Really

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Speaker 1: good player Brandon Graham Fletcher can still give you good reps.

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Speaker 1: So that pass rush, there's a reason I think their

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Speaker 1: pressure rate per snap was the best in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: The only team the second best team was the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: like they get after your ass. Now, I do believe

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Speaker 1: that if Mahomes is healthier than he was two weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: which clearly his ankle injury wasn't as bad as we

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Speaker 1: originally thought when we threw out the world high ankle spring.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying he doesn't have a high ankle sprain,

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Speaker 1: but clearly not high. All all high ankle sprains are

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Speaker 1: the same, So I expect him to be, you know,

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Speaker 1: much closer to one hundred percent than whatever the hell

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Speaker 1: we saw against the Bengals. And we saw him against

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Speaker 1: the Bengals like, refuse to lose that game. And Tony's healthy,

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Speaker 1: guess how Hardiman's out. But I just Kelsey, I just

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Speaker 1: feel the Chiefs are gonna find a way. And when

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Speaker 1: I think about Kansas City and this kind of era

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Speaker 1: of Mahomes and the Eagles have had a fantastic season.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying they like if you tell me Jalen

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Speaker 1: Hurts hits the passes that he I mean, he was

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Speaker 1: way off against the forty nine ers. He was off.

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Speaker 1: I mean he missed a go route by about seven

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Speaker 1: yards to a J. Brown. He missed a couple other

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Speaker 1: throws that Spagnola say what you want about him, has

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Speaker 1: had some legendary defensive schematic game calling performances in the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl, and that was against Belichick and Tom Right.

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Speaker 1: He has he has come to fucking play when the

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Speaker 1: lights have been the brightest as a defensive coordinator in

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Speaker 1: this game, and I expect him to do the same.

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Speaker 1: Like I'm just sorry, Like I'm taking Spags as a

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Speaker 1: defensive game planner against Shane Steikeen and Nick Sirianni. I

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Speaker 1: just am because I've seen him do it at the

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Speaker 1: highest level. And the one thing like in this game,

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Speaker 1: clearly you just make Jalen beat you. Doesn't mean he can't.

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Speaker 1: He did earlier in the season when he was on

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Speaker 1: But a guy we saw a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: even if you're an Eagles fan, you have to admit

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Speaker 1: he didn't look great. He did not look great throwing

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Speaker 1: the football. So I'm going Chiefs and very very excited.

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Speaker 1: It's it's kind of bitter suite, right, last game of

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Speaker 1: the year, don't have a football game if you count

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Speaker 1: the preseason, which, let's face it, it's always great in theory,

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Speaker 1: and then the preseason game you turn it on, you're like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: this kind of sucks, but you were a long way

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Speaker 1: away from early September when either the Eagles or Chiefs

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Speaker 1: are hosting whoever. Right, So enjoy it. The game's always fun.

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Speaker 1: It's it's become you know, it's been the biggest game

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Speaker 1: in the country for the majority of my life, but

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Speaker 1: it's become an event all onto itself. I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of people argue that the day after the super

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Speaker 1: Bowl should be a should be a holiday. I can't

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Speaker 1: the one thing I can't totally relate to just because

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Speaker 1: I've usually either had a radio show the next day

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Speaker 1: or I worked in the NFL. I had to go

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Speaker 1: to work about football and now doing this like I

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Speaker 1: do work around the foot the super Bowl in terms

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Speaker 1: of like I do it for a job. So I've

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Speaker 1: never I don't think I've gotten drunk during the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl since like cal poly oh, five oh six. But

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Speaker 1: I know a lot of you do enjoy it. I

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Speaker 1: eat a lot during the super Bowl, I mean a

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Speaker 1: ton Like everybody, the rules of discipline in terms of

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Speaker 1: what goes into your body go completely out the window.

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Speaker 1: Everything you see you put into your body. Dip burritos, sliders,

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Speaker 1: I mean everything in iceight, chicken wings. If you go

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Speaker 1: to a party, the snacks, Like, there is no party

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Speaker 1: that consistently gets me to eat more than a Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl party or anything necessarily relating around sports. I feel

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Speaker 1: like I eat more on Super Bowl Sunday than I

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Speaker 1: do on like Thanksgiving or I do on Christmas. You know,

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Speaker 1: you just lay out the food. I am eating the

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Speaker 1: shit out of everything I see. And that's like quor

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Speaker 1: to one just ended. I'm like, haven't even scratched the

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Speaker 1: surface of what is going into this mouth. So enjoy

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Speaker 1: the super Bowl. You know, we still have a couple

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Speaker 1: of teams without coaches. I think at this point in time,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that both teams will wait till after

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I guess you could assume that maybe

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Speaker 1: one of the coaches, if not two of them, are

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Speaker 1: coming from this game. That would probably mean that both

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Speaker 1: guys are getting nabbed from the Eagles stike In and Gannon.

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Speaker 1: But you never know with old, Jim rs a little weird,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of bizarre. We usually have a lot

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Speaker 1: more clarity with teams that fired their coaches. I mean,

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Speaker 1: thinking about this, Arizona fired their guy the day after

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Speaker 1: the season, right. I mean that's even if the owner knew.

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Speaker 1: The Colts fired Frank Reich like four months ago. I mean,

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Speaker 1: what did Frank get fired? Like middle of October? Early October?

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Speaker 1: And they's deliving you talk about no team in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: them in Carolina. How did an enormous head start? What

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Speaker 1: are we waiting on here? How's it taking you this long?

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Jim if people think this is a little bizarre,

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Speaker 1: because I think it all gets back to that they

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Speaker 1: kind of wanted to hire Jeff Saturday and Jim Ursay

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Speaker 1: was just looking for a reason to be able to

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Speaker 1: pull the trigger, and maybe guys are trying to talk

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Speaker 1: him out of it. But the other I guess one

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Speaker 1: more story before we get out of here, is that

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr visited the Saints. I've said over and over,

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Speaker 1: I think he just belongs in a dome the NFC South.

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Speaker 1: I think all those teams if he does get cut

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Speaker 1: and worth four or five days away from that, if

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Speaker 1: he doesn't accept the trade, the South makes a lot

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Speaker 1: of sense. He is not a cold weather quarterback, so

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Speaker 1: playing Saints in the Dome, Tampa's going to need a

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Speaker 1: quarterback that really good weather. And the Carolina Panthers, which

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Speaker 1: probably is the worst weather of the three teams. Obviously

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Speaker 1: the Saints don't have weather because they're indoors, would make

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Speaker 1: some sense too. Frank clearly likes veteran quarterbacks. So I

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Speaker 1: think by this time next week we get some clarity

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Speaker 1: on one whether Derek's going to accept a trade. He

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Speaker 1: has that right because he's got a no trade clause

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Speaker 1: and kind of where he's leaning. Maybe he's just taking

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Speaker 1: his time. What's the rush, because if he does get caught,

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Speaker 1: he's got a month jump to make his decision. But

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Speaker 1: you know, I think Derek, I know, Jimmy technically has

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Speaker 1: accomplished more right, winning playoff games. He's got four playoff

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Speaker 1: victories to his name. Now you could argue three of

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00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 1: those four playoff victories he didn't have to do that much.

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Speaker 1: Played pretty good against the Cowboys. Yeah, but even that

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00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,359
Speaker 1: game two years ago, he wasn't great. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I to call him some like super accomplished player, like

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Speaker 1: he's been a part of really good teams. I think

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr, like, Derek's never won a playoff game, and hell,

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Speaker 1: there's a chance Derek card is never gonna win a

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Speaker 1: playoff game. But Derek's pretty durable. You know. Jimmy gets

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Speaker 1: hurt a lot. So I think if you're having to

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Speaker 1: decide on those two guys, now here's the other element,

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Speaker 1: salary cap league, how much am I paying these two guys?

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Speaker 1: Obviously Derek is going to be more expensive than Jimmy.

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Speaker 1: So can I get Jimmy for like ten million dollars?

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Speaker 1: Probably not? But do I gotta pay Derek thirty five

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Speaker 1: million dollars? This is gonna be what we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about for the next month because a lot of stuff's

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Speaker 1: gonna go down the pipe. So let's dive into stuckey

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Speaker 1: this year. The only app you need it your Super

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Speaker 1: Back at it again for the last time. So fall

452
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 1: a man, stucky. We've given a lot of bets. I

453
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 1: know I haven't talked to you since, but I hit

454
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 1: a golf. I hit Max Holmea last week. I put

455
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars on him, one twenty two hundred dollars

456
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 1: I put, then put two g's on basically brock Purdy's

457
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: right arm. But I didn't know brock Purdy's right arm

458
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 1: wasn't gonna work, So those two d I might as

459
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 1: well just flushed it down the toilet I did. They'll

460
00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: put a future on Max Homer to win the US

461
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 1: Open because he's played there before at LA Country Club.

462
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,640
Speaker 1: So I didn't waste all my money, but the majority

463
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 1: of it I did, and shows you you know gambling,

464
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 1: the highs are high, the lows are loads are pretty low.

465
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: What's up man, Yeah, it's going on, brother. Yeah, I

466
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:44,879
Speaker 1: think I think we went three in one of the

467
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 1: props last week. One of them that we lost was

468
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 1: McCaffrey under Rushtaurants, which I knew was Donna soon is

469
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,959
Speaker 1: put down's right out our quarterbacks. And yeah, it just

470
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 1: goes to show you, like in sports and especially in betting,

471
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,400
Speaker 1: like nothing's are guaranteed, nothing's a locked on that over

472
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 1: your head because things like this happened. We have NFC

473
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 1: Championship game once you didn't have a quarterback. So yeah,

474
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: it was the look and Eagles fans get mad at

475
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: me on Twitter. You can say that they have the

476
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 1: easiest path I've ever seen him out and they can

477
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,680
Speaker 1: still be good, Like both things can be true. You're

478
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 1: not also going to get to play the Giants. And

479
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 1: then the team got a quarterback. I'm still confused out

480
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:24,439
Speaker 1: why and I didn't. I haven't paid attention enough of

481
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 1: the Shanahan pressers. I'm sure you have because they're done playing,

482
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 1: But why go with a quarterback who can't run and

483
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:32,560
Speaker 1: throw in the second half? Like, why not? I know,

484
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 1: they don't have them practiced the wildcat, but the Eagles

485
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: also have him practiced against it. I felt like Party

486
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:42,400
Speaker 1: in there with being incapable of throwing, right, and he's

487
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,399
Speaker 1: not a guy that's going to be mobile run all

488
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,120
Speaker 1: over the field. Why play with a it's the last

489
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 1: game of the year. Why play with a quarterback who

490
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 1: can't run or pass? That was that was crazy to me.

491
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: But Shannah, basically, I mean, as soon as Party got hurt,

492
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,679
Speaker 1: then John's got her. Yeah. No, so he justified it

493
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 1: by saying that they could just run every single run

494
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:05,679
Speaker 1: play they had instead of doing the wildcat. Were like

495
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: you said, they don't work on it and they basically

496
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 1: just have two runs, you know, off the wildcat. So

497
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 1: at least with Purdy who can't throw, well, I guess

498
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 1: he did throw a couple of screen passes, but you

499
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,959
Speaker 1: can't basically throw. Probably ninety eight percent of your passing

500
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 1: plays was just because they could run every run play.

501
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: But as like Kittle was saying, they were putting like

502
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,679
Speaker 1: six and seven defensive linemen in the game. So and

503
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 1: it was obvious pretty quickly that you know, he was compromised.

504
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, it was just an all time disaster.

505
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 1: Bro I mean there's yeah, I think it's forty nine

506
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 1: ers and injuries. It was kind of like a culmination

507
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: of the past couple of years. It's the team's so

508
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 1: good when healthy, and they just that just ended up

509
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 1: being their demise. What do you think about? And the

510
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,479
Speaker 1: other problem I have before and before we move on,

511
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 1: is why not on an you know, high stakes game,

512
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 1: NFC Championship, super Bowl? Why not carry three quarterbacks? Like

513
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 1: do you really need the last if you if you

514
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 1: run your first especially with the concussion rules right like

515
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 1: hit your head, someone spot you're out gun so you

516
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 1: can can you can just go, hey, let's who cares

517
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:12,959
Speaker 1: about this fifth safety. If we run out of our

518
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,439
Speaker 1: first two quarterbacks, our season is over. So I think

519
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,440
Speaker 1: you might see now people don't You don't really think

520
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 1: that until you see something like this. So I think

521
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,439
Speaker 1: you might see more teams carry three quarterbacks in these

522
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,600
Speaker 1: high state games. I think the problem because the Niners

523
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 1: did start the season with three quarterbacks, Trey Lance, Jimmy Growl,

524
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 1: Brock Party. Two of them were on the sideline and

525
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 1: sweats grab assing, smiling and fucking around soty nine ers.

526
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 1: You know, someone out of all the quarterbacks. My girlfriend

527
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 1: kept saying, does this ever happened? I'm like, well, yeah,

528
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 1: it has never happened that a team has made it

529
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:47,159
Speaker 1: this far on the basically their fifth quarterback because for

530
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 1: a split second, like McCaffrey's gonna have to go. It's

531
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 1: just it's unheard. Usually, if I tell you a team's

532
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 1: rattling through quarterbacks throughout the season, you're like, they're gonna

533
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 1: be a top pen for sure, maybe top five drafting team.

534
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:00,920
Speaker 1: They're usually not good in irony. This whole thing is

535
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: Party was their best quarterback, so they were It was

536
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 1: like in still watching them talk this week, it's like

537
00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 1: they saw a ghost because they feel they didn't even

538
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: get a shot. You know, the Eagles might have beat

539
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 1: them straight up, but they might not have the way

540
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: we saw it. And there's nothing wrong. Like the Eagles

541
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 1: made a lot of incredible moves right the last couple

542
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 1: of years, Hard Graves Reddick a couple of years ago

543
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: trading for Slay anyone could have had him. The offseason

544
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: move of the draft day moves pick seventeen for aj

545
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:31,240
Speaker 1: like drafting Jalen Hurts, like they set themselves up to

546
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: be in a position to be really sweet. But I

547
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 1: was texting with a Packer buddy the other night and

548
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 1: I was like, think of all the teams you've had

549
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: with Rodgers and all the matchups you've got over the years.

550
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 1: Now you've lost a majority of them. But at least

551
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: it's been Russell Wilson. Some of these Niner teams hit

552
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,479
Speaker 1: Tom Brady. You're looking at the fucking Eagles, You're like,

553
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 1: what the hell, man? You know, it's it's pretty incredible

554
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 1: and the whole the easiest schedule during the regular season too.

555
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 1: But yeah, at least for forty nine Ers fans, he

556
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 1: takes sauce in the fact that look, I mean, now

557
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 1: you have Brady is retiring, who Rogers, We're gonna go

558
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 1: to the jail then suck. The NFC is bad and

559
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers just keep a quarterback healthy and

560
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 1: they'll probably back in this game next year. Well that's

561
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 1: you know. Then the night game, you start realizing you

562
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 1: and I are similar ages. Like you know, you hear

563
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 1: these stories growing up, like Marino Alway, Montana, and then

564
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 1: it led right into like Farv and Young to Peyton

565
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 1: and you're watching Mahomes and Borrow, You're like, holy shit.

566
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 1: And then you start looking at the other quarterbacks in

567
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 1: the AFC, and who knows, maybe Sean Payton gets Russell

568
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:33,080
Speaker 1: Wilson back to just solid, to Sean just as solid.

569
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just it's so deep with Pro Bowl

570
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 1: level guys that you go the AFC is just a

571
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 1: completely different animal. Yet the Chiefs, you know, third Super

572
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: Bowl four years, uh, five straight AFC championship games. Regardless

573
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 1: of what happens in the Super Bowl, right are they

574
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 1: are they gonna be the betting favorite in the AFC

575
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 1: to come out again or at least, you know, tied

576
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 1: with with the Bengals. I mean, they're not going anywhere.

577
00:29:57,080 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 1: What's crazy about the Chiefs is how many young guys,

578
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: like they feel like they've been They're actually a completely

579
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: different team, a bunch of rookies in their defensive backfield. Karlovskis,

580
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 1: you know, the young pass rusher Chris Jones is still

581
00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: relatively young. Obviously, they've proven that they can just take

582
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 1: some random guys on offense, sky More you think will

583
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,239
Speaker 1: be better. Pacheco's young, They got their draft picks like

584
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:22,200
Speaker 1: they're not going away, and clearly Andy you know, is

585
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 1: better than like Sean McDermott, for example, or Brandon Staley.

586
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 1: So it's like they just have they just feel like

587
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 1: the powerhouse moving forward in the Bengals. You know, as

588
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 1: a buddy with the Chiefs said, you know, the one

589
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 1: thing this offseason, with the Bengals paying Borrow, paying Higgins,

590
00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 1: you know, it's not just everyone on cheap deals anymore. Yeah,

591
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: So the Chiefs that a well run organization, good good draft.

592
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: They've drafted well of late, which is the key because

593
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: Mahomes is not on the a rookie deal and that's

594
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 1: the benefit that the Bengals have right now, which is

595
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 1: not going to last forever. So they're gonna have to

596
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:00,719
Speaker 1: make some tough decision and that's not the most well

597
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 1: run organization. So we'll see how they handle all of that.

598
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,880
Speaker 1: I mean, basically, they just locked into Joe Burrow and

599
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 1: then they drafted a couple of good receivers and then

600
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: from there, you know, they're good, good defensive coordinator. But

601
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: it's not like they have a great track record, So

602
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: we'll see how they handle that. That's the big question

603
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: with the Bengals. BIAFC is loaded, but it's funny that

604
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,120
Speaker 1: and this is the big talking point going to the

605
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. The Chiefs are an underdog right now just

606
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 1: because of the injury. Yeah, that's because of the injuries.

607
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: There's injuries at receiver, there's you know, Jerry's sneed at

608
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 1: corner concussion. I think that he'll be fine by then,

609
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: although I don't have no real info on that. I

610
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: bet the Chiefs is an underdog. Look, I think the

611
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 1: Eagles are really good. Their roster's really good. They're gonna

612
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: have the advantage of the trenches on both sides. But

613
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: I mean, this is Patrick Mahomes an underdog in the

614
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. I think that they'll have some of the

615
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: receivers back healthy. They also have two weeks to figure

616
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 1: some stuff out to get the whole playboo lookout. Coaching staff,

617
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: the quarterback have the experience advantage. And this Eagles defense

618
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 1: just I mean, look, who who have they what offense

619
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: have they faced all year? So I think they're good.

620
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,760
Speaker 1: But this is gonna be kind of like a shock

621
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 1: it away after going through you played the team with

622
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,960
Speaker 1: no quarterback, and then you played the Giants to get here,

623
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 1: and then maybe the best offense you faced all year

624
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 1: was the the Lions in Week one when you gave

625
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 1: up thirty five. I mean, honestly, that's if you look

626
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: at their look at their schedule, I mean that that

627
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 1: could be it. I mean, I guess the Cowboys who

628
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 1: were really inconsistent Cowboys when they played them in a

629
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 1: dome and now they're playing in a dome where you're

630
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 1: just a little faster. Now it was Minshew playing but

631
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 1: that Christmas eve Day, every time I looked up, the

632
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 1: Cowboys are scoring. You know it's not Yeah, they got

633
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 1: the thirty five as well. See, I think that the defense,

634
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 1: that defense might be a tad overrated, but look, the

635
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 1: team is good. There's some holes on the Chiefs defense.

636
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: But the Chiefs, I mean stack Noel always comes up

637
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 1: with a great game plan and I think we'll have

638
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 1: one here. And Hurts, like Ken Hurts go toe to toe,

639
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 1: needing to drop back more. You're seeing teams understand how

640
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 1: they run the ball. You saw that with the forty

641
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 1: nine ers with Hurts, and he wasn't really consistent throwing

642
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:10,959
Speaker 1: the ball. That's I mean, they were, they were, they

643
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 1: were getting out gained in the first set. They average

644
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 1: like four yards per play and Hurts usually is and

645
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 1: he had an MVP caliber season, but he's usually in

646
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 1: a game state where they're running the ball and they

647
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 1: have a lead because they played nobody all year and

648
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: they were also really good. But this is still Patrick Mahomes.

649
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 1: Ken hurts, drop back and keep up. I'm not so sure.

650
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 1: I think it'll be a great game, but Patrick Mahomes

651
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 1: is an underdog. I had to take it well. The

652
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 1: crappy part about the injuries is like we didn't get

653
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 1: to see the schematical like what the Niners and the

654
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 1: Eagles were going to look like. Now. Early on in

655
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 1: that game, they were not doing their crazy like up

656
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 1: the field wide ninety nine defensive pressures. They were kind

657
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 1: of taking a step and making him stay behind the

658
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 1: line of scrimmage, and you could tell it was he

659
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 1: ain't Peyton Manning, and especially where he's telling Aaron Andrews

660
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,120
Speaker 1: or whatever for the game. I'm still injured. So he's

661
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: not right. And he's never been a pinpoint passer. He

662
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 1: is a good explosive down the field passer, and that

663
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 1: was a little off for him. He overthrew a J.

664
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 1: Brown on the one, the other ones he kind of

665
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,240
Speaker 1: left short. That's an area to me on those go routes.

666
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: He's when he was healthy. He was dominating and if

667
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 1: that's a little off, he's not gonna like pick you apart.

668
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,760
Speaker 1: Now they can run the ball and their offensive line.

669
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:33,720
Speaker 1: You know, obviously he's really good. But you know, I'm

670
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: with you, I'm I'm taking the Chiefs now. You know,

671
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 1: maybe with the Eagles, luck, maybe Mahomes actually breaks his foot,

672
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:41,880
Speaker 1: you know, in the first quarter and they just you know,

673
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: win by twenty. But I think, like you said, Mahomes,

674
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,280
Speaker 1: what what percent would you give him against the Bengals?

675
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,719
Speaker 1: Was he sixty five percent? Hobbling day? Probably? Like yeah,

676
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: as far as mobility, I expect him to be like

677
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 1: and he's the type of quarterback. I mean twice we've

678
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 1: seen him hobble, just absolutely rip apart defenses. I would

679
00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 1: say he's probably gonna be you know, two more weeks

680
00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,919
Speaker 1: with the sprained ankle, and obviously it wasn't like devastating

681
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 1: sprained ankle. Give them two more weeks, I think, you know,

682
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 1: obviously we'll get shot up here. It's a Super Bowl,

683
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 1: taking all kinds of pain killers, and I think he'll

684
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: be closer to like eighty ninety percent, So we'll have

685
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:25,439
Speaker 1: some more mobility here. And you know, the Eagles zone

686
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 1: heavy defense. I think that he'll be able to pick

687
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 1: a part of the Kelsey have a big game. So

688
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: I don't think the Chiefs are gonna have They're gonna

689
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 1: have a great game plan. I don't think that they're

690
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 1: gonna have any issues moving the ball. I also played

691
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 1: a little bit of it over which is still I

692
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 1: think you still find fifty and a half. I like

693
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 1: it up to their fifty ones a key number. I

694
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 1: think the Eagles will be able to run the ball

695
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 1: on the Chiefs and the Chiefs defense. Look, I mean,

696
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: there's there's definitely some holes there. And these are two

697
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,279
Speaker 1: teams that like to use tempo, and I think the

698
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 1: Chets are gonna come out and use a lot of

699
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 1: tempo because that's one of the one of the strengths

700
00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 1: of this Eagles defense is the depth up front, and

701
00:35:58,640 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 1: one of the ways that you can kind of new

702
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 1: ualize that is using tempo. So I think this will

703
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,360
Speaker 1: be a fast paced game, an exciting game, and I

704
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:08,399
Speaker 1: like the over up to up to fifty and a half.

705
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 1: Fifty one's a key number. So yeah, I'm going I'm

706
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 1: going Chiefs riding with Mahomes and the over here as

707
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 1: far as the side in the total. Well, one thing,

708
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 1: like in theory, when Jalen's right, the Eagles are a

709
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 1: really good dope team, right. They have explosive pass rushers,

710
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: they got explosive wide receivers, that running backs are all fast.

711
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 1: A quarterback can run, so you know, maybe that's a

712
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,400
Speaker 1: little bit more of an advantage for them, assuming Jalen's

713
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,839
Speaker 1: a little you know, healthier. But it's hard to tell.

714
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 1: Like with Mahomes, you can tangibly see him gimping, with Jalen,

715
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:42,399
Speaker 1: you can't really tell. It just kind of looks off

716
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 1: from when he was really good. Right, it's hard to

717
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 1: see more throws that are just off and off target

718
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 1: and they look a little different. Yeah, and it's not

719
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 1: as simple as yeah, just the ankle and okay, you

720
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 1: see on the first play, all right, how'll hobbled? Is he?

721
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 1: See right? It's it's it's more difficult to discern. And

722
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 1: then the other thing here is that, yes, there is

723
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:05,720
Speaker 1: the added uncertainty. So the reason why the Eagles basically

724
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 1: this line came out and Better said, you know, more sophisticated.

725
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 1: Better said, look, I'm taking the Eagles just because there's

726
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:15,239
Speaker 1: this all this uncertainty and it can come back the

727
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 1: other way, because look, you have all the receivers, you

728
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 1: have a corner, you've had offensive guard that got banged up,

729
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: a linebacker. They said, look, i'm gonna take the with

730
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:26,719
Speaker 1: all the uncertainty here, I'm gonna take the Eagles, and

731
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 1: then we started to see it come back. I ultimately

732
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,879
Speaker 1: think the Chiefs will close his favor. If you gotta

733
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,479
Speaker 1: remember in this Super Bowl, in the playoffs, a line

734
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:36,480
Speaker 1: moving from one, you know, plus one to night as

735
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 1: one is basically meaningless because zero means something you can't tie,

736
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: So you're going through a dead, completely dead number. But

737
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 1: I think ultimately, as long as there's just some positive

738
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:49,279
Speaker 1: updates at the receiver and I think sneed will get

739
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,520
Speaker 1: confirmed in two weeks swim a concussion, as long as

740
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 1: it's not too bad, I think the Chiefs will ultimately

741
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:57,920
Speaker 1: take more money. More sharper money is sharper money is

742
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:00,919
Speaker 1: the game approaches, will see them close as a small favor. Okay,

743
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 1: let's let's do some props. Yeah, you know, one of

744
00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 1: the I would say probably the most casual prop that

745
00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 1: most people just are kind of interested in, especially now

746
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 1: the gambling is legal in so many places. The anthem

747
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,880
Speaker 1: over under. And when I saw that Chris Stapleton is

748
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 1: the anthem singer, I mean anyone that's listened to Chris

749
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: Stapleton knows. I mean he he draws out some verses.

750
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 1: Now you know this is not he ain't just firing

751
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: through these really quick. You know, if he was a golfer,

752
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 1: he's playing five hour rounds, not two and a half.

753
00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 1: So I love the over with Chris Stapleton. I think

754
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:34,239
Speaker 1: he's really gonna let this thing rip, you know. I

755
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 1: mean it's you know, two minutes three seconds. I'm taking

756
00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: the over now. I'm pretty sure from a gambling perspective

757
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 1: it typically like hits under. But I just think Stapleton

758
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 1: could go like five minutes to sing the anthem. Yeah,

759
00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:52,280
Speaker 1: the dramatic singers, they tend to go over on the open.

760
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: So this is key. Like if you like the over here,

761
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: you want to bet this as soon as you can.

762
00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 1: And these aren't like you can't bet like one hundred

763
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 1: thousand dollars. These aren't like uh limits limits, so they

764
00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 1: so they move quick. And then as the game approaches,

765
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 1: these the practices that you know, the League of rehearsals

766
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: get out and then the number, it gets like right on.

767
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: So yeah, if you like the over which I would

768
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 1: tend to do the dramatic, more drawn out singers, you

769
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 1: want to bet it sooner because it'll just get more

770
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: and more efficient as people you know, someone someone's buddy

771
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 1: is there. That's the sound guy who's texting someone and

772
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 1: then ends up texting. Ever, then it's on a message

773
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:33,799
Speaker 1: board and it's like, here's the exact amount, and then

774
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:35,919
Speaker 1: it gets bet with a ton of you know, five

775
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 1: hundred and five hour bets, and then it gets shaped.

776
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, but I would agree, I don't mind that mean,

777
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: hopefully start out with a winner. I found this the

778
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:47,360
Speaker 1: position of MVP. You know, obviously quarterbacks are never gonna

779
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:50,479
Speaker 1: be great odds because they're gonna win it more often

780
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,360
Speaker 1: than not. Now we've seen before, you know position guys.

781
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 1: You know Edelman the one year. But if you look

782
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:58,279
Speaker 1: at these two teams, I mean, Travis Kelsey's You're gonna

783
00:39:58,280 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 1: go down as the greatest receiving tight end of all

784
00:39:59,880 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 1: time time and God or you know is right up

785
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 1: there right with Kelsey and Kittle is one of the

786
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 1: best tight ends in the league. It's not I mean,

787
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:10,600
Speaker 1: we've seen Kelsey have four touchdown games. He could easily

788
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 1: have a three four touchdown game, and there is momentum

789
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,399
Speaker 1: with him specifically right like because Mahomes would also get

790
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,279
Speaker 1: credit for those. But it does feel like people would

791
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 1: have no problem voting for Travis Kelsey godd Or would

792
00:40:22,239 --> 00:40:25,959
Speaker 1: have to have a massive game. But it's not inconceivable

793
00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:29,040
Speaker 1: to see like nine catches, one hundred and twenty yards,

794
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 1: two or three touchdowns. Maybe he has a couple of

795
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 1: sweet like broken tackles. If you it's basically nine to one,

796
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:39,360
Speaker 1: way better than the receivers, the running backs, and definitely

797
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks, which one to one. I think this is

798
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 1: pretty good value the tight end position. Factoring in how

799
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:48,239
Speaker 1: good these two guys are. Yeah, running the problem is

800
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 1: it's I mean running back is almost impossible to win

801
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 1: it now. I mean, I think you have to go

802
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 1: back to Threll Davis was the last one to win it.

803
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 1: And both these two teams use a lot of running

804
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 1: backs too, right, lot of running backs, and I mean

805
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: Damian Williams. In the Super Bowl where Mahomes won it,

806
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 1: he had two one hundred and twenty five rushing yards,

807
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, including the game winner, and then they won

808
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 1: to take the lead, like to put the game away.

809
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 1: I mean, and he didn't even win it. Mahomes won it.

810
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, but it's interesting enough if you go back,

811
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: there's been fifty seven MVPs. There's two MVPs in one

812
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:23,400
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. The thirty one of them have been quarterbacks,

813
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 1: so it's not as heavy as you might assume. And

814
00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 1: there's been eight receivers, seven running backs, and then in

815
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 1: a mix of eleven defenders and special teams. Never been

816
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:37,359
Speaker 1: a tight end now maybe, So that's like a talking point.

817
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,279
Speaker 1: And you have Kelsey who could just get especially with

818
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: the wide receiver injuries, he could get targeted in this

819
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: game like fifteen to twenty times and just have an

820
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 1: absolute monster game. And I think I do think that

821
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 1: the Eagles are vulnerable against tight ends. And you could

822
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,439
Speaker 1: say tight ends have never won it, which is fair

823
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,279
Speaker 1: because it went. But Kelsey's like a wide receiver, right,

824
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: I mean, we can say he's a tight end, So yeah,

825
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 1: I don't hate that. It's the only thing is it's

826
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,240
Speaker 1: like if Mahomes is a little Mahomes is such star power,

827
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 1: and like it's kind of a narrative award that if

828
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,680
Speaker 1: no matter what Kelsey does, is it's still gonna go

829
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 1: to the Homes. That is my only fear. But I

830
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 1: don't hate that if there's we're gonna have a tight

831
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,880
Speaker 1: end eventually, and if there was ever a game for it,

832
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 1: it would be this one. Yeah. I mean, to me,

833
00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:26,799
Speaker 1: he has for the MVP props. You you remove the

834
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 1: two quarterbacks, which are basically you know, one to one,

835
00:42:31,040 --> 00:42:33,239
Speaker 1: he has the second best odds or I mean, the

836
00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 1: best odds of all the position players, better than a J. Brown,

837
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 1: better Miles Sanders. So when I look at MVP odds,

838
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:41,879
Speaker 1: I look at it a little bit like you could.

839
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 1: I don't blame anyone for taking you know, one of

840
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:49,240
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks, especially Mahomes. But if you look at the Eagles,

841
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 1: if they're gonna win it, to me, back to the

842
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 1: tight end, think God, or it's like fifty six to

843
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: one feels a little less likely as you saw last week,

844
00:42:56,600 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 1: like not really on point with the two why receivers,

845
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:02,440
Speaker 1: you know, or either one of them going to have

846
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 1: a massive game, you know God, or it just feels

847
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 1: a little more likely at fifty six to one. And

848
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 1: then from the Chiefs perspective, you know, he got the

849
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 1: little banged up clearly, in that Bengal game. But they

850
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 1: love this Pacheco guy. I mean, is it out of

851
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 1: the real possibility that he accumulates two, maybe three touchdowns

852
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,320
Speaker 1: if he gets a couple of goal line type carries,

853
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 1: they'll throw on the ball, they'll run the ball with him.

854
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 1: The Eagles are susceptible, you know, to the run for

855
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,520
Speaker 1: you know, really good defense. They were better clearly, I

856
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:31,479
Speaker 1: think in the month of December. But it was gonna

857
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:33,040
Speaker 1: be a huge chest gainst the Niners, and we didn't

858
00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 1: really get to see it because it couldn't grow. So

859
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 1: I kind of like Isaiah Pochco, you know, just pretty

860
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:39,759
Speaker 1: long odds at forty three to one, where you're looking

861
00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:41,839
Speaker 1: at some of these other guys like thirteen to one,

862
00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 1: twenty five to one, like Miles Sanders, Like I have

863
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,520
Speaker 1: a hard time seeing one Eagle running back at it

864
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,919
Speaker 1: because they just they can rotate the guys and they'll

865
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: write a hot hand. Though it's not inconceivable that Miles

866
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 1: Sanders has you know, one hundred yards and maybe like

867
00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 1: a fifty yard touchdown run. And it's kind of a

868
00:43:56,680 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 1: sexy game, but I would be more in line to

869
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 1: take Patago. Yeah, it's it's still it's it's hard for

870
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:04,960
Speaker 1: I would I would go with tight ends over running

871
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 1: backs here and check out. Look he's still rookie, so

872
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 1: maybe and near the goal line they don't trust him

873
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 1: as much with the ball handling. So but end, look this,

874
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 1: the MVP bat in the Super Bowl is supposed to

875
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 1: be fun. Sure you're not prevetting this to for your

876
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:25,239
Speaker 1: your job. And I did white En. I did Devin

877
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:27,839
Speaker 1: White in the Tampa Chiefs game. And remember he had

878
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,239
Speaker 1: like twenty tackles, he had a sack. I think he

879
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:33,319
Speaker 1: had almost had a pick. Obviously he didn't win it,

880
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 1: but he had a good case at like fifty and one,

881
00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:38,080
Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm gonna hit this. Yeah, And then there's

882
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:39,360
Speaker 1: a there's a guys, if you want to go to

883
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,200
Speaker 1: the random defender, and there's been plenty, I mean Dexter Jackson,

884
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:46,120
Speaker 1: Malcolm Smith that just luck into a you know, pick

885
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,319
Speaker 1: six and then they recover a fumble. So if you

886
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,279
Speaker 1: like a certain defender, one route forour But the best

887
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,399
Speaker 1: part about the MVP, you know, if you have tight ends,

888
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:54,879
Speaker 1: it's the whole game you're just rooting for. So you're

889
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 1: gonna be rooting for every tight end near the goal

890
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: line to get a touchdown, like just throw it to

891
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 1: the tight end and makes it more fun. And yeah,

892
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:01,520
Speaker 1: if there's ever gonna be a Super Bowl for a

893
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 1: tight end to be the first MVP, it's this one

894
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 1: first touchdown also always a little fun, you know. With

895
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:14,279
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, Kelsey's odds are so good. I mean, does

896
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:17,520
Speaker 1: mvs clearly, you know, I think it's pretty clear that

897
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,840
Speaker 1: Mahome's starting to trust the guy. He's made big plays before,

898
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 1: not just for the Chiefs, but you know in his

899
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 1: career he's played for a real team. When the Packers

900
00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 1: get him eighteen to one first touchdown, don't hate that.

901
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:33,799
Speaker 1: I also, I also don't mind if you want to

902
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 1: take a flyer now on this thing, Mike shock you

903
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 1: Jody Fortson, So Jody Fortson, especially with all of the

904
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:48,759
Speaker 1: Chiefs injuries last week he played, I think, you know,

905
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:50,799
Speaker 1: he's like there, I guess we'd be like they're a

906
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 1: third title, but he's basically he's kind of more like

907
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 1: a receiving tight end. Last week he played a bunch

908
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:58,759
Speaker 1: of snaps because of all the injuries, and twenty nine

909
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: percent of his career recepts have gone for a touchdown.

910
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,680
Speaker 1: Thirty eight percent of his targets this season have come

911
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 1: inside the ten yard line, and he's averaging eight routes

912
00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:12,360
Speaker 1: per game. So you could find some stupid silly numbers

913
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:17,400
Speaker 1: out there on Jody Fortson even just anytime touchdown. So

914
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 1: with all the potential injuries, I got them forty five

915
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 1: to one first touchdown score. It's pretty good odds. Yeah,

916
00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:27,200
Speaker 1: and I like the Chiefs will have some especially early on,

917
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 1: They'll have some you know, kind of exotic plays drawn

918
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 1: up when they get near the goal line. It could

919
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 1: be a forts In touchdown. With all the attention on Kelsey,

920
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:36,640
Speaker 1: I could say it. Andy will have no problem running

921
00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 1: some play that like the Joe Namath Jets ran you

922
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 1: know in like nineteen sixty eight. You know, obviously they're

923
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 1: want to run a wide receivers all have like three

924
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:47,799
Speaker 1: tight ends, so yeah, you know he's they're a lot

925
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,000
Speaker 1: to do that, right. I mean he's done it before

926
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:53,160
Speaker 1: with like the rose ball from like the forties. You

927
00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 1: gotta keep it light, you know, they did it with

928
00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:58,399
Speaker 1: the Raiders with the ring around the rosie. So when

929
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:01,400
Speaker 1: you do stuff like that, it does open it up

930
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:04,520
Speaker 1: to a random guy getting it right because everyone freaks out.

931
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:06,759
Speaker 1: They're just gonna go to the best player. And then

932
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:08,920
Speaker 1: the Rando cuts in the corner of the end zone.

933
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 1: He's wide open. Yep. Yeah. Do you have any other

934
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 1: props that you like? Uh, it's tough with the Like

935
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 1: I don't mind hurts rushing yards under again, they gets

936
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 1: around the same number. I like that. Last week, I

937
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 1: think teams he's not fully healthy. Teams are starting to

938
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:26,960
Speaker 1: scout what the Eagles do. They have two weeks to

939
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: do it here. I think they're gonna take a similar

940
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 1: approach to the Niners, like you're gonna have a spy

941
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:33,759
Speaker 1: and they're gonna, you know, rush on the edge is

942
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 1: a similar way to make sure that he's just contained.

943
00:47:37,040 --> 00:47:39,399
Speaker 1: So I don't mind that it's tough on the Chiefs

944
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 1: because we don't know like who's healthy at receiver yet

945
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:48,279
Speaker 1: I like that forts in one I one another A

946
00:47:48,320 --> 00:47:52,240
Speaker 1: prop that I like and a weird prop is because

947
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 1: I like the Chiefs to win. And ultimately I just think,

948
00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 1: like when I when this first line first came out

949
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:00,920
Speaker 1: and I have Patrick Williamson underdog, I think in ten

950
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:03,719
Speaker 1: years Eagles could mean Eagles could easily win this game.

951
00:48:03,719 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 1: But in ten years I'm gonna be like, I didn't

952
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 1: bet Patrick Mahomes an underdog against Jalen Hurts and the

953
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:11,880
Speaker 1: Eagles and the Super Bowl. To me, that's basically what

954
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 1: it boils down to. Jake Elliott under seven and a

955
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:22,480
Speaker 1: half kicking points. It's about even money he has. By

956
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 1: the way, he's one of only two kickers that has

957
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 1: missed an extra point in the Super Bowl since nineteen

958
00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:29,799
Speaker 1: ninety him and gus Kowski under seven half kicking points.

959
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 1: So I like the Chiefs to win, and I think

960
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 1: that this will be a higher scoring game, which means

961
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 1: two things. It's more extra points than field goals. And

962
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:41,680
Speaker 1: this is the Eagles are because I think they'll be

963
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 1: playing from behind and I think they know this is

964
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:44,799
Speaker 1: a smart staff. They go for a ton of four

965
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:49,279
Speaker 1: downs and so yeah, and you can see a missed

966
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:51,680
Speaker 1: extra point here, but I think that's a tad high.

967
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: And I think you're going to see the Eagles be

968
00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:54,840
Speaker 1: really aggressive. Another reason why I like the over, and

969
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: I think you'll see the Chiefs do the same. So yeah,

970
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:00,279
Speaker 1: Jake Elliott under seven half kicking points. Also, teams the

971
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 1: Chiefs have been really unlucky from a kicking standpoint of

972
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 1: opposite of the posing teams. Teams have made every single

973
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:11,600
Speaker 1: extra point against them this year one hundred percent, and

974
00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:15,640
Speaker 1: the average is like ninety four and ninety four percent

975
00:49:15,680 --> 00:49:18,280
Speaker 1: of field goals the average is like eighty five percent,

976
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:20,839
Speaker 1: and no one has missed a kick against the Chiefs.

977
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,719
Speaker 1: So that means not I mean just law of averages regression.

978
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 1: Maybe it's just times comes due here in the Super

979
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:29,120
Speaker 1: Bowl and you see a couple of misses, So yeah,

980
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:31,879
Speaker 1: that's a random one. I like. And I don't mind

981
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 1: hurts under passing yards like two forty seven. The problem

982
00:49:35,560 --> 00:49:37,080
Speaker 1: is because I like the Chiefs. They might be playing

983
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:40,800
Speaker 1: from behind, but he's he's gone under two forty four

984
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:44,640
Speaker 1: in twelve of seventeen games, and we don't know if

985
00:49:44,640 --> 00:49:48,279
Speaker 1: he's fully healthy. So and I think that they'll be

986
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 1: able to run the ball on the Chiefs with their backs.

987
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, I kind of like that as well. And

988
00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 1: you said Miles Sanders, Miles Sanders to lead the game

989
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 1: in rushing yards plus one seven five. I think that

990
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:03,880
Speaker 1: that there's some value there after, like all the split

991
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:07,040
Speaker 1: carries of late. I think this is the game where

992
00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:09,080
Speaker 1: you say, look, we're gonna give it to Miles more

993
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:11,640
Speaker 1: than we have. It's the last game, and then the

994
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 1: Chiefs have such a split and Holmes isn't fully healthy

995
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:18,440
Speaker 1: with his ankle hurts, I think will be contained. So

996
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:21,640
Speaker 1: I think there's value on Miles Sanders plus one seventy

997
00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:24,319
Speaker 1: five to be the leading rusher in this game. Hey,

998
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 1: before I get you out of here, because I don't

999
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:27,359
Speaker 1: think i'll talk to you again for a while on

1000
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:32,120
Speaker 1: the pod, did you have any non like Purdue? You know,

1001
00:50:32,239 --> 00:50:34,400
Speaker 1: the elite teams that could win the national championship that

1002
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 1: you get decent odds on right now in college basketball?

1003
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:38,440
Speaker 1: Because it does. I watched a little Xavier last night.

1004
00:50:38,520 --> 00:50:42,600
Speaker 1: Xavier Providence sneaky, pretty good game. You like any like

1005
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:46,600
Speaker 1: you know fifty five to fifteen level teams that could

1006
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 1: win the whole thing feels wide over. Yeah, yeah, as

1007
00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 1: wide open as you'll ever see in this year. There's

1008
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 1: no elite teams. If I think if you're fifth, top

1009
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,800
Speaker 1: fifteen to twenty, yeah, this year have a has a

1010
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 1: My team my pick to win it. Chop around and

1011
00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:04,840
Speaker 1: see the best number that you can have. This is

1012
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,560
Speaker 1: my pick to win four the year of TCU. Mike Miles,

1013
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:10,399
Speaker 1: who's a will play in the NBA's best transition guard

1014
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:14,000
Speaker 1: and college bessel. He hyper extented his knee. They thought

1015
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:15,520
Speaker 1: it was the aco in their season would have been over.

1016
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:19,439
Speaker 1: But they have two guards him and Ball, who are

1017
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:22,879
Speaker 1: NBA caliber. They both actually went to the draft, didn't

1018
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 1: hire an agent and pulled out and came back. They

1019
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 1: are deadly in transition, and then they are dominant on

1020
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:32,279
Speaker 1: the offensive glass. They almost beat Arizona last year. That

1021
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 1: really good Arizona team. They got even better, great coach

1022
00:51:35,160 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 1: and Jamie Dixon. They can just get out score. They're

1023
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:41,920
Speaker 1: not two three point reliant. They have NBA talent, and

1024
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: they have a guy in Miles who should be back

1025
00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:46,200
Speaker 1: in you know, two to three weeks. I think you

1026
00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 1: could find a good price on them, and he's a

1027
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:51,120
Speaker 1: guy who could take over a game. Late. I really

1028
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 1: liked TCU. They were hurt like a couple of Ball

1029
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:56,600
Speaker 1: had got suspended because he talked to an agent. Of

1030
00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 1: the first like four games, so they've lost like a

1031
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:03,440
Speaker 1: couple random games, so they're they're season long. Metrics are down,

1032
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 1: but if you remove their first like four games, they've

1033
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:08,440
Speaker 1: been the third best team in the country in a

1034
00:52:08,440 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 1: lot of advanced metrics since and I agree. I think

1035
00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:12,440
Speaker 1: they're a top five team. You can find pretty good

1036
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 1: odds on them because Miles is going to come back.

1037
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 1: I like TCU, didn't they I mean pretty recently beat

1038
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:21,319
Speaker 1: Kansas and Kansas Yeah, they beat them by thirty when

1039
00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:23,759
Speaker 1: they were fully healthy, which never happens in fog Allen.

1040
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:25,800
Speaker 1: And yeah, if you want to take a flyer on Xavier,

1041
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:30,400
Speaker 1: very well coached. They have bigs who can shoot and rebound,

1042
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,279
Speaker 1: sul Boom, a really good guard that they're They're a

1043
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:36,880
Speaker 1: really complete team. So yeah, yeah, I think that you

1044
00:52:37,320 --> 00:52:39,279
Speaker 1: see a team you like, you watch them and you're like,

1045
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 1: all right, this team, top fifteen, twenty team, and you

1046
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 1: like what you see. This is a year to take

1047
00:52:45,239 --> 00:52:49,960
Speaker 1: a flyer on. It's not. There's not just some Anthony

1048
00:52:50,040 --> 00:52:52,919
Speaker 1: Davis led Kentucky team that's just out there. Yeah. Yeah,

1049
00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,279
Speaker 1: you're not gonna get it. Like then you're gonna say,

1050
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:59,080
Speaker 1: ah shit, I'm in a bra I'm in the quadrant

1051
00:52:59,120 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 1: the quarter with a team that I can't beat. It's

1052
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:02,799
Speaker 1: the most dominant once they're gonna come through. Like, no,

1053
00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:04,839
Speaker 1: there's not. There's not one of those teams this year.

1054
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 1: So yeah, take a if you like Xavier, see it's

1055
00:53:10,160 --> 00:53:14,440
Speaker 1: the year of the horn frocks. Bro's true. That would be,

1056
00:53:14,600 --> 00:53:16,879
Speaker 1: that would be honestly, they just made the final four.

1057
00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:21,320
Speaker 1: What a year for that athletic program. Yeah, it's crazy. Well, Stuckey,

1058
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 1: enjoy the super Bowl. Enjoy you go out to Vegas

1059
00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:28,279
Speaker 1: for some of the nc DOUBA tournament stuff. Yeah, match

1060
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:31,280
Speaker 1: this year, I'm actually going out for the first weekend,

1061
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:35,759
Speaker 1: which is always incredible. Yeah, it's always doing that. Do

1062
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,360
Speaker 1: that one time in your life. I then I'm like,

1063
00:53:38,400 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 1: I'm too old for it, but i gotta go out

1064
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 1: for like podcast stuff and I'll have a really good time.

1065
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:45,279
Speaker 1: But it's it's crazy and it's so everything's so expensive

1066
00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 1: and packed. My favorite is going like either conference tournament weekend,

1067
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:52,880
Speaker 1: the second weekend, Final four. It's all fun, but you

1068
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:54,799
Speaker 1: gotta do the first week on once. Put it on

1069
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 1: your bucket list. Like if you're listening, you ever have

1070
00:53:57,200 --> 00:54:00,640
Speaker 1: like a a bachelor party or an older guy's trip

1071
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,839
Speaker 1: or like a reunion with like do that once if

1072
00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 1: you just want to. And then it's like it's a

1073
00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:08,680
Speaker 1: little much if I was twenty one, but I will

1074
00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 1: be out there from like Wednesday to Monday all weeks.

1075
00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 1: If you find me out, tweet out where I am.

1076
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 1: That's Stucky two on twitter out. Always happy to buy

1077
00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 1: followers drinks and sweat some games. Well. Enjoy brou talk

1078
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 1: to you soon. Absolutely have a go long the volume