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Speaker 1: What is going on? Everybody? John Middlecoff Three and Out

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Speaker 1: podcast just watched a little Sunday Night football, Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 1: looking like Peyton Manning. What a performance by the new

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Speaker 1: Atlantic quarterback coming off in Achilles, throw us for over

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Speaker 1: five hundred yards and just eviscerated Tampa. Baker Mayfield was

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Speaker 1: no slouch either, He was really good and just a

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Speaker 1: crazy fourth quarter fumbles fourth and fifteen which was pretty insane,

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Speaker 1: some penalties and then they had to pump back and

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Speaker 1: go over it all. Obviously, overtime I do. I don't

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Speaker 1: have the right answer for overtime, and I'm not like

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Speaker 1: super worked up about a touchdown wins the game. But

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Shouldn't we just make the same thing universal,

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Speaker 1: Like overtime in the playoffs is the same as the

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Speaker 1: regular season. Is anyone gonna complain about that? I get

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Speaker 1: long season, and it's just the playoffs a somewhat different.

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Speaker 1: But in football, all these games matter, you know. I

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Speaker 1: would Tampa have ever been able to stop anybody? Probably not,

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Speaker 1: so it might not even have mattered. But I don't know,

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Speaker 1: what a what a crazy night though, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: let We're not going to dive into that. So we'll

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Speaker 1: dive into Baker, We'll dive into Cousins. We'll also dive

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Speaker 1: into uh, you know these wide receivers. Is trading for

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Speaker 1: a wide receiver even good business in twenty twenty four?

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Speaker 1: Don't we have enough evidence that it doesn't change that

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Speaker 1: much paying premiums and trading a lot for them. Obviously

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Speaker 1: huge game with the Jets in Minnesota. We'll have a

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Speaker 1: male not a mail bang. Actually, Stucky will join us

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Speaker 1: as he does every Thursday. It's Fugazi Friday. So I

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Speaker 1: got a Fugazi that actually might be a reverse for

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Speaker 1: Gazi my Starbucks some I've noticed. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: it's the new CEO, but the changes might be happening.

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Speaker 1: And you guys know the drill. If you listen on

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Speaker 1: Collins Feed, subscribe to three and a YouTube channel up

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Speaker 1: and running all of our contents up there. Golf video

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Speaker 1: this week, I did a reaction Davante that was YouTube only.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes I do that so like breaking news, sometimes there'll

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Speaker 1: just be a video only just at the time, in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the day because a podcast doesn't come

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Speaker 1: out till the next day. But before we dive into football,

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Speaker 1: to some football, you know, I got to tell you

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Speaker 1: about my friends, my partners in the official ticketing app

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Speaker 1: of this podcast, Game Time, very very excited to use

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Speaker 1: them again here next week, going to Dallas for a

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Speaker 1: little college football game, little Red River rivalry. And if

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Speaker 1: you want to go to any game, any game. I

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Speaker 1: had the Mets game on at halftime Pete Alonzo boot

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Speaker 1: game winning home run. It was sweet. And if you

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Speaker 1: want to go to a game, a World Series game,

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Speaker 1: a playoff game, you name it. If you live in

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Speaker 1: one of these regions. Obviously, football, the NBA starting back

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Speaker 1: up concerts, comedy shows. You better hit some of these

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Speaker 1: That game was bananas. It really was. There wasn't much

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Speaker 1: defense being played, but the end of that game was crazy.

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Speaker 1: It's hard because you're like, oh, that's what I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go all in on. When it was fourth and fifteen

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Speaker 1: after really the Bucks were driving. To end the game,

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Speaker 1: Bucky Irving fumbles. Great play by Baits, who is just

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Speaker 1: a stut I mean that guy, what a great signing

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Speaker 1: two years ago by the Atlanta Falcons. But they get

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Speaker 1: the fumble, so they get the ball back down three

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Speaker 1: with two forty eight. Then that drives a disaster. Yet

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Speaker 1: they still have three timeouts and they decided to go

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Speaker 1: forward on fourth fifteen, which at the time that's what

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Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna lead the podcast with, because

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Speaker 1: I'm like, listen, this is insane. You're only down a

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Speaker 1: field goal, punt the ball, try to play defense and

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Speaker 1: you don't need to go the whole field. Then the

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Speaker 1: Bucks have a disastrous drive. Obviously there was an uncalled

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Speaker 1: face mask, but there was also a holding, so really

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Speaker 1: those should have offset. But still there was no guarantee

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Speaker 1: they were getting into field goal range, and even if

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Speaker 1: they did, it was gonna be a long field goal.

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Speaker 1: But then they have to punt the ball back goes

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Speaker 1: into the end zone. Cousins with the great drive, they

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Speaker 1: don't have any timeouts. That's multiple big time drives in

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Speaker 1: big spots this year for him. Obviously the Eagle game

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Speaker 1: and he hits Drake London on the play where you're like, God,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty risky. You're looking at the clock, you're looking

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Speaker 1: at them, try to snap it. They get it off.

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Speaker 1: Then they take a delay of game where it's like

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Speaker 1: they're waiting for the referee, and even the referee in

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Speaker 1: the booth with Alan Herbie's like, I don't know what

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Speaker 1: they're waiting for and you're thinking, but if he misses

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Speaker 1: this field goal, he would have missed a field goal

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Speaker 1: where actually he missed two because there was an offsides

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Speaker 1: You rarely see that usually when a guy missed the

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Speaker 1: field goal, but there's like a penalty and then they

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Speaker 1: get another shot, they usually make it. He missed them both.

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Speaker 1: He had one blocked, not totally his fault. The dude

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Speaker 1: went untouched and one of the easiest field goal blocks

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Speaker 1: you'll ever see. And then you're thinking, listen, I don't

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Speaker 1: know exactly who the delay of game all is on,

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Speaker 1: but you know it's that unit. So when you're the kicker,

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Speaker 1: you're the star of the field goal unit. So you're thinking, geez,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna lose with this disastrous field goal unit. He

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Speaker 1: bangs it right down the middle, they go to ot,

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Speaker 1: they win the coin toss. Once they won the coin toss.

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Speaker 1: The Buccaneers defense, I don't know exactly. Obviously, they're missing

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Speaker 1: two starting safeties. Their dbs were getting shredded all night

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Speaker 1: and cousins bang bang boom, and they score a touchdown

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Speaker 1: with a guy Hodge who I think he had first

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Speaker 1: catch this season tonight, and a guy that you know

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Speaker 1: you think of Drake London, who's having a huge night.

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts comes out of you know, witness Protection tonight

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Speaker 1: have some moments. Darnell Mooney has really kind of become

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Speaker 1: cousins go to guy. He also had a moment early

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Speaker 1: in the game or late in the game down the

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Speaker 1: stretch I think with like five or six minutes to

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Speaker 1: go where he's coming on like a deep comeback, Cousins

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Speaker 1: has to get rid of the ball a little early,

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Speaker 1: probably because he's about to get taken out. I think

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Speaker 1: everyone on their couch is like, you got to catch that.

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Speaker 1: By the time he turns around, the ball can't be

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Speaker 1: that far away from it's coming. He drops it. Herbstreet

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Speaker 1: says he would have scored I'd say fifty to fifty.

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Speaker 1: Who knows. I know he had a little inside track,

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Speaker 1: but that assumes he would know where to cut. But regardless,

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Speaker 1: that looks like a devastating drop. Just just absolutely bananas.

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Speaker 1: And like I said, that was I'm thinking tonight when

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Speaker 1: it felt like multiple times in the fourth quarter, the

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Speaker 1: Buccaneers are gonna win. You're like they're about to go

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Speaker 1: four and one. They just beat you in Atlanta, You're

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Speaker 1: gonna fall to two and three, so you're gonna be

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Speaker 1: two games behind them. Though I looked at the Buccaneer schedule,

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Speaker 1: I think next week they play the Ravens. It's not

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Speaker 1: necessarily easy, but you're just like God, this is a

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Speaker 1: huge swing game, and then you end up winning it.

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Speaker 1: And while you still have to play go to Tampa

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Speaker 1: and go to New Orleans, you did take care of

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Speaker 1: business against them both at home. I will assume that

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Speaker 1: Atlanta's gonna sweep Carolina. So that's just a massive win

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Speaker 1: and there is no way around it. What a fucking

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Speaker 1: game by Kirk Cousins. That's as good as it gets.

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Speaker 1: I don't even care what your name is. Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: Peyton manning Aaron Rodgers forty two of fifty eight for

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Speaker 1: five hundred yards. Now, obviously that last play, he took

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Speaker 1: it the majority of the way, but how many deep

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Speaker 1: outs deep comebacks just strikes down the field. And I

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Speaker 1: get Tampa's playing awful defense, but he was just consistently

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Speaker 1: peppering guys in stride. Both The quarterback play tonight was

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Speaker 1: really really good. They both probably especially Baker missed a

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Speaker 1: couple that he would like to have back, but that

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Speaker 1: was really really high level quarterback play tonight, and we

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Speaker 1: saw as we see every week, when you hit him

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Speaker 1: and you can make a move, huge advantage because movement

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Speaker 1: is not something Cousins can do. But like Jay Gruden

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Speaker 1: said when he came on the podcast whatever three weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: there probably aren't many better seven on seven quarterbacks in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. So when he has time and he has

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Speaker 1: a clean pocket, he can eviscerate you. And even the

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Speaker 1: one pick, it was fourth and fifteen. I all picks

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Speaker 1: are not equal, and I listen, what was he supposed

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Speaker 1: to do? Take a sack? Right? He had to get

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Speaker 1: rid of the ball. Now, it was a relative easy pick,

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Speaker 1: but I think that's kind of a crazy call by

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Speaker 1: the coaching staff. But regardless you remove that play, that

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Speaker 1: was what an eligue game by Kirk Cousins. It really was.

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Speaker 1: That was that was a masterpiece. And this was a

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Speaker 1: guy that I questioned coming into the season, like this

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Speaker 1: thing could get weird. You draft this quarterback really high.

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Speaker 1: He's answered the bell, and he's answered the bell hard early.

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Speaker 1: Right the Philly moment when he drives him down the

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Speaker 1: field last week, pushing the ball down the field, getting

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Speaker 1: the big PI where really Mooney was opened down the

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Speaker 1: sideline before he got taken out, and tonight kind of

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Speaker 1: was just a masterpiece at home in that crowd. Arthur

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Speaker 1: Blank just I think every single week this season, maybe

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Speaker 1: every single week til Arthur, you know, no longer graces

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Speaker 1: our presence. They're just gonna induct someone to the Hall

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Speaker 1: of Fame a couple of weeks ago as him. Tonight

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Speaker 1: is Matty Ice, next week it'll be the ball Boy.

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Speaker 1: Following it'll be who knows. You know, you just never

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Speaker 1: know where Arthur Blank's gonna go. But that place was rocking.

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Speaker 1: And Kirk Cousins, I mean, let's face it, their defense

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Speaker 1: in the first half of that game was getting shredded.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Baker Mayfield, I'm thinking tonight through that first half.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they gave three touchdowns in the first half

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Speaker 1: and they only had thirty points going to overtime. So

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Speaker 1: defensively they did much better job. Obviously the fumble they

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Speaker 1: caused was huge, But I'm thinking to night watching Baker

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Speaker 1: Mayfield and Kirk Cousins. But Kirk Cousins, you know, he

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Speaker 1: signed a relatively shorter deal, I think one hundred million

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Speaker 1: dollars guaranteed He's thirty six years old, coming off the

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Speaker 1: Achilles Baker, obviously a little bit of a one year

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Speaker 1: wonder resurrecting his career. Tampa wanted to keep him. I

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Speaker 1: looked at his contract, three years, one hundred million dollars,

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Speaker 1: twenty eight million dollars signing bonus, and fifty million dollars guaranteed.

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Speaker 1: So on average, he makes like thirty three million dollars.

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Speaker 1: And think about the other two quarterbacks in the state

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Speaker 1: of Florida. Trevor Lawrence gets two hundred million dollars and

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Speaker 1: TUA got to think like one hundred and seventy million

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Speaker 1: dollars guaranteed. Obviously Tua is better than Trevor Lawrence, but

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Speaker 1: he's ko and who knows his career is completely in flux.

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Speaker 1: And Trevor Lawrence objectively is one of the worst three

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Speaker 1: or four quarterbacks right now in the NFL. And then

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Speaker 1: you get this guy who you got for fifty million

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Speaker 1: dollars guaranteed, who has just completely resurrected his career. I

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Speaker 1: mean those guys like if I would have told you

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Speaker 1: a couple of years ago when he was in Carolina,

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Speaker 1: because Cousins now has been good for a while, I

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Speaker 1: mean tonight's like one of his crowning achievements. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's by far the most most yards he's ever thrown for.

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Speaker 1: I think they said on the broadcast for sixty was

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Speaker 1: the previous number. Like that's that's as good as any

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Speaker 1: Like I said, any quarterback can play, but you watch Baker.

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Speaker 1: One thing Baker brings the table that Cousins doesn't bring

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Speaker 1: to the table is the movement element. Obviously throwing on

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Speaker 1: the run, and he was really really he was dominant

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Speaker 1: in that first half. I mean the touchdown he had

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Speaker 1: to Sterling Shepard, his college teammate. That's as good of

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Speaker 1: a throw as you'll see in that situation. Because in

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Speaker 1: the red zone, the field obviously, I mean, this isn't

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Speaker 1: breaking Loosier is a lot wider than it is deep.

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Speaker 1: So precision and timing are a must. We sometimes down

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Speaker 1: the field routes. You saw it tonight with both quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: You don't have to beat on time perfect. You can

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Speaker 1: still have your guy make a play bail you out.

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Speaker 1: There's just not much moving room in that red zone situation.

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Speaker 1: And that throw was awesome. But what a night. Not

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Speaker 1: a great night for the defense, especially Todd Bowles and

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Speaker 1: his secondary who just got absolutely shredded. But it's you know,

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Speaker 1: it's fun, right because Cousins now kind of is what

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Speaker 1: been well established I would say these last three or

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Speaker 1: four years, is a really just high end player. Now

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Speaker 1: he's never been considered a top five guy, but he's

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Speaker 1: I would say, pretty consistent, falling in the category if

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Speaker 1: somewhere like eight to twelve, and a guy if you

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Speaker 1: do a good enough job building your team, like you

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Speaker 1: can make the playoffs with and there's o a ton

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Speaker 1: of value there and people really really like him. And

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Speaker 1: to me, the Baker story is really cool. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this guy was I was thinking tonight, like if you're

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Speaker 1: John Dorsey and you're watching on your couch, like, that's

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Speaker 1: the guy that I drafted number one overall. The swag,

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Speaker 1: the talent, I don't I don't know if he's actually thinner,

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Speaker 1: but he definitely looks like he's moving around better than

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Speaker 1: he did in his younger career, you know, his first

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Speaker 1: couple of years. Obviously. You know there was a scene

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Speaker 1: today or I mean a visual when they were walking

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Speaker 1: off the field. I think it was on an incompletion

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Speaker 1: on third down when Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. I mean,

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Speaker 1: these guys are championship players. I mean Mike Evans is

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Speaker 1: going straight to the Hall of Fame, and Chris Godwin

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Speaker 1: has to be one of the better, you know, third

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Speaker 1: down possession type wide receivers in the league. And they're

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Speaker 1: just both walking side by side. It actually might have

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Speaker 1: been after he was sacked and might have been the

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Speaker 1: play where he was shaken off his knee, but it's

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Speaker 1: like they really like this guy and they got something

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Speaker 1: going now that secondary and that defense. They got to

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Speaker 1: get that figured out. They need to get guys healthy.

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Speaker 1: It's not the end of the world as a loss,

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Speaker 1: even as a divisional opponent, given it's the road game.

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Speaker 1: But I think it's a much bigger win for Atlanta

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Speaker 1: than it is a bad loss for Tampa. But it

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Speaker 1: definitely hurts because they had the ball in position to

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Speaker 1: kind of ice the game, and a fumble kills you

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Speaker 1: when they're running backs actually like that. Remember two years

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Speaker 1: ago with Tom his last season, and this is where

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Speaker 1: I think Baker was alluding to, because I bet Jason

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Speaker 1: light and Todd were kind of telling him like it

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Speaker 1: was just not negative, but they just had some serious flaws.

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Speaker 1: They were I think historically one of the worst rushing

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Speaker 1: teams in the history of league. They might technically be

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Speaker 1: the worst. And now with White and Irving, it's like

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Speaker 1: they got a couple of running backs. You know, obviously

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Speaker 1: they both can catch, they run really hard between the tackles.

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Speaker 1: They're both quick, so you can give it to them

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Speaker 1: on sweeps. Autumn's a very solid tight end. You got

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Speaker 1: Evans and Godwin and now Shepherd's pretty solid. Looks like

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Speaker 1: he's resurrecting his career. Like offensively, they're pretty damn good,

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Speaker 1: you know. I Mean, i'd say the same thing about Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: but it's weird late in the game, and I think

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Speaker 1: even overtime. Who's in there? Where's Bijon know where to

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Speaker 1: be found? Where's Bjon know where to be found? And

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Speaker 1: I don't quite understand that. I think we have to

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Speaker 1: admit if they would have a do over on the

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts draft pick, they would take a do over.

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Speaker 1: And it's just he wasn't bad to night by any mean.

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Speaker 1: He's actually more productive than he usually is. But I

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Speaker 1: think you kind of realize when you watch him play

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Speaker 1: he's kind of a bizarre player because he can't his

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Speaker 1: blocking is a zero out of one hundred. You know,

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Speaker 1: if like George Kittle or Gronk is like a ninety

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Speaker 1: five Kelsey just on effort throughout his career, is probably

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Speaker 1: somewhere in the middle. Like this guy's a zero, brings nothing,

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Speaker 1: but he's not quite quick enough to just spread outside,

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Speaker 1: so you kind of have to motion him around and

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Speaker 1: ideally get him on a small dB. But usually these

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Speaker 1: nickel DB's they're changing direction and their explosions really quick,

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Speaker 1: and so he basically has to win on size or

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Speaker 1: if they're in zone coverage, just kind of sit there.

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Speaker 1: But let's face it, I mean they're actually lucky. This

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Speaker 1: Mooney signing looks to be really good because he's come

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Speaker 1: right in with Drake London and Ray Ray McLeod is

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Speaker 1: pretty good signing too. He's been watching his career with

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Speaker 1: the Niners and he's he's a good player, so it's

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Speaker 1: kind of crazy that they're not. They didn't phase Pits

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Speaker 1: out of the game this week, but I think you

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Speaker 1: kind of see he's just a role player, not the

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Speaker 1: number four overall player. But luckily because of their talent

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Speaker 1: and really because of their quarterback and his ability to

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Speaker 1: kind of spread the ball around and he clearly really

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Speaker 1: likes Mooney as well as London. That's not gonna kill him.

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Speaker 1: And god, that was just my heart's pounded. That was.

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Speaker 1: We've had some duds on Thursday Night. We've had We've

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Speaker 1: had some difficult watches, especially down the stretch. And I've

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Speaker 1: admitted this over the years, the NFC South isn't exactly

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Speaker 1: my go to division, but I think it's pretty fun.

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Speaker 1: This year, it really is. Atlanta is clearly a lot

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Speaker 1: more interesting. Adding Cousins, Baker Mayfield is just a fun

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Speaker 1: watch in that offense. And obviously New Orleans, who has

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Speaker 1: a big game this week against the Chiefs, who you

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Speaker 1: guys know that that I picked to win the division,

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Speaker 1: which is not gonna be easy. Me. We got some

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Speaker 1: work to do, especially you know, I don't feel great.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna win this week, so we got we gotta

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Speaker 1: start digging ourselves out of a hole. But man, that

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Speaker 1: was fun. Okay. I wanted to dive into something that

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Speaker 1: obviously gets a lot of headlines. And DeVante Adams requesting

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Speaker 1: a trade and is gonna get traded and will eventually

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Speaker 1: get traded, and obviously he's on the Raiders because he

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Speaker 1: got traded to them for a first and second round

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Speaker 1: pick same offseason, along with Tyreek Hill first and a

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Speaker 1: bunch of Both of them got a bunch of money,

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Speaker 1: and I think we all have to acknowledge that trading

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Speaker 1: a lot for a wide receiver does not get you much.

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Speaker 1: It really doesn't, you know, when I think of the

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Speaker 1: best wide receiver moves obviously drafting them and extending them

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Speaker 1: and keeping you on your team, But when you trade

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Speaker 1: for someone else's wide receiver. Let's look at the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: they have been a joke since DeVante has been on

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Speaker 1: the team. Let's look at the Miami Dolphins. We widely

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Speaker 1: consider Tyreek Hill. The players just voted him the best

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Speaker 1: player in the league. He's one of the greatest wide

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Speaker 1: receivers of all time, definitely one of the most unique

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Speaker 1: players in NFL history. That team hasn't sniffed a big win,

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Speaker 1: let alone a division title, let alone a playoff victory

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Speaker 1: since they've had him on the squad. So I get

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Speaker 1: it makes headlines, and I'm all for the position. It

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Speaker 1: does matter. Vikings are four to zero justin Jefferson's been great.

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Speaker 1: You go around the league like you've got to have

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Speaker 1: good wide receivers. I'm not saying they're relevant. The Chiefs

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Speaker 1: are an outlier situation, but I think we need to

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Speaker 1: be careful about Like the Jets now, they'll probably end

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Speaker 1: up with DeVante. Aaron Rodgers is running a show. Their

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Speaker 1: chips are all in the middle of the table. But

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Speaker 1: some of these other teams, even if you can get

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Speaker 1: them relatively cheap, it only costs you a third rounder

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Speaker 1: because of the financial situation of his contract of salary

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Speaker 1: caps base, of all the different variables. Aren't you better

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Speaker 1: off taking a deep breath waiting and seeing what defensive

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Speaker 1: players become available, because this doesn't guarantee you a damn thing,

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Speaker 1: and you'd be renting them. I get why the Jets

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Speaker 1: have to do it. Their coach, their quarterback. They're just

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Speaker 1: all in and if it doesn't work, it's all over

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Speaker 1: and every one of them's fired. The coach is fired,

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Speaker 1: the GM's fired. If Rogers missed the play, who knows,

399
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Speaker 1: maybe he just retires and goes to do ayahuasca in Egypt.

400
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Speaker 1: But this notion that like and listen, I get excited

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Speaker 1: for it. It's great headlines. I remember when both these

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Speaker 1: guys were traded. If you could do it over again.

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Speaker 1: You could argue, well, the Dolphins, he's been important, like yeah,

404
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Speaker 1: but for what now that's made them relevant? Like that

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Speaker 1: They've won some games, but they can't win the division. Honestly,

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Speaker 1: it hasn't even been that close. And last year they

407
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Speaker 1: started with like a three lap lead. I mean, the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: no one would argue that if they could do it

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Speaker 1: over again, they one hundred percent would have turned down

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Speaker 1: this trade. It's been a disaster for them because you

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Speaker 1: have to overpay these guys now, you just do. When

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Speaker 1: you have to pay a wide receiver thirty thirty five

413
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Speaker 1: forty million dollars here soon, you better be very careful.

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Speaker 1: And if he's your guy, totally understand it. And I

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Speaker 1: get why the Minnesota Vikings pay Justin Jefferson. Hell, I

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Speaker 1: didn't even agree with Brandon Ayuk. I'm like, you know,

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Speaker 1: I probably just move on. I don't love paying this

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Speaker 1: guy this much money, but I do understand it. You

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Speaker 1: drafted him, he's produced for you. But like when a

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Speaker 1: guy's available, when are other people that make a ton

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Speaker 1: of money in the NFL ever available? When are top

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Speaker 1: pass rushers ever like TJ Watt Khalil Mack getting traded

423
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Speaker 1: is an all time outlier situation, Aaron. These guys never

424
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Speaker 1: get traded ever when are like, you know, great left

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Speaker 1: tackles on the never happens. Laramie Tunzel got traded to

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Speaker 1: the Houston Texans. Why because they were trying to tank

427
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 1: for Burrow and then Floor's at the end of the

428
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 1: season refused and led him to Tua instead of Joe Burrow.

429
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 1: But like this, trading for wide receivers gets a lot

430
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: of headlines. I think we could argue it's pretty bad

431
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 1: for business. I'm I'm excited for this game. I'm disappointed

432
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: it's at the time because for those of us on

433
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 1: the West coast nine thirty eastern, six thirty Pacific kickoff,

434
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,159
Speaker 1: it's you know, I like turning on my football at

435
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 1: ten am on Sundays, but listen, it could be could

436
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 1: be digging ditches. I do think this game's pretty interesting

437
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: because I was listening to Belichick, who has like seventeen podcasts,

438
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,280
Speaker 1: and he does like this video podcast with Lombardi and Patricia.

439
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,399
Speaker 1: Patricia speaks to Belichick like you would your father or

440
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: your boss. It's just it's just clear who the alpha

441
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: is and clear who the bait is. And Patricia says nothing.

442
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 1: It's like, I mean, it says nothing. It's like, Matt,

443
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 1: you're not in the NFL right now, you're sitting with

444
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: Bill and Lombardi, who are willing to say you talk

445
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,439
Speaker 1: like you're at the podium for a team you're you're not.

446
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: You got run out of the league and you'll go

447
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,480
Speaker 1: back when Bill takes you. But you're allowed to give

448
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: your actual opinion on things, not just the cookie cutter,

449
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:03,199
Speaker 1: boring ass version you're in the quote unquote media. Now, buddy,

450
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:07,720
Speaker 1: give me something. Every time when it's Lombardi, Belichick and

451
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 1: Patria they go to Patricia, I'm like, oh my god,

452
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,520
Speaker 1: cut off it, like one of the debates. Cut off

453
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 1: the mic, cut off the mic, because listen, I know

454
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,679
Speaker 1: for a fact, like every human being, you have opinions,

455
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 1: you just refuse to give them. Even Bill, you can

456
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 1: tell like early on in this he was letting him fly.

457
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,640
Speaker 1: I think he knows I'm coming back here relatively soon.

458
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,480
Speaker 1: But he'll still pick a spots, he'll still say some things.

459
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 1: But one thing he mentioned for Minnesota is that Minnesota

460
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: so far through four games, has had the lead in

461
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:44,359
Speaker 1: all but four minutes, all but four minutes. If you

462
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,280
Speaker 1: do the math, four games sixty minutes, that's two hundred

463
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 1: and forty minutes. So they have completely controlled every game

464
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:56,359
Speaker 1: they've been in. All of their sacks except one have

465
00:25:56,480 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: come from the lead, so they have completely bout rads

466
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 1: and own people from the jump. Right. If you're watching

467
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 1: one of these UFC fights and a dude gets clipped

468
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,120
Speaker 1: thirty seconds in and it just rattles in the rest

469
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:13,960
Speaker 1: of the fight, he's kind of on the defense. And

470
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: that's what the Ravens have done the last two weeks.

471
00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 1: They've come out of the gates like gangbusters. To me,

472
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 1: the way for the Jets to have a chance to

473
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 1: win this game, Like one thing we've learned, when they

474
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,359
Speaker 1: get into a little adversity, zero faith. They have no

475
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 1: sweat equity together. I don't even know if they like

476
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: each other that much. They will fold like a fucking

477
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 1: cheap ten. But the one way they can win, especially

478
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: against this team who is humming, is make them fight

479
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:44,000
Speaker 1: through some adversity. I think the only way the Jets

480
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: can win this game is if they come out the

481
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 1: gates and get an early lead and gain control of

482
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,239
Speaker 1: the game in the first quarter. If they're up like

483
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 1: ten to nothing or thirteen to three or something at

484
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: the end of the first quarter, I think they would

485
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 1: have a chance. But I see zero ability for them

486
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: to get down against the Vikings because the Vikings are

487
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: not comfortable playing this way. They are dominating playing this way.

488
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: They get an early lead, a touchdown or two, and

489
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,280
Speaker 1: then they suffocate you, even if you have a comeback

490
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 1: like the Packers just did, too little, too late, And

491
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: I promise you the Jets would not be able to

492
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,360
Speaker 1: stomach a comeback like the Packers just did. So if

493
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,440
Speaker 1: the Jets and Aaron Rodgers are gonna win this game,

494
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 1: because let's face it, they are on the roller coaster season.

495
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 1: When they win, everyone will just give them a nice

496
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,439
Speaker 1: little slurp job, give them a nice little tink tickle.

497
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 1: When they lose, it'll feel like everyone's getting fired at

498
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: any moment. And that's just what they've signed up for.

499
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 1: And this could be an awesome win. It really could

500
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 1: you beat the four to zero Vikings who passed the

501
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 1: eye test, pass the statistcal test, past the coaching test.

502
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 1: You know, the last two quarterbacks ironically in this game

503
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 1: back Player of the Year Geno Smith. Last year, Joe

504
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 1: Flacco this year, Sam Darnold, I mean three former Jets quarterbacks.

505
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think the only way the

506
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 1: Jets can win this game is to get an early lead,

507
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 1: and not just like you know, three nothing or six nothing.

508
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 1: I'm talking like double, like multiple scores. Can you be

509
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 1: up ten to nothing at the end of the first

510
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,880
Speaker 1: quarter where it's like, Okay, let's see the Vikings, who

511
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,760
Speaker 1: have just not been down literally at all this season.

512
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,040
Speaker 1: Let's see like no one can argue or dispute what

513
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: we've witnessed them do. But when you're always playing from

514
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:44,400
Speaker 1: in front, like it's easy to you know, I could

515
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 1: walk into any bar in America and pick on the

516
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 1: no matter who's in the bar, if Trent Williams is

517
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 1: sitting right next to me, or if I walked into

518
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 1: the bar with Chuck Lydell on my back shoulder. But

519
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: can feel invincible doesn't feel the same when you just

520
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: walk in by yourself. You might not be picking the

521
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 1: same fights and not saying some guys might be able

522
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 1: to handle their own, some guys might not be able

523
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: to handle their own. And I want to just learn

524
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 1: that about the Vikings And maybe this is just a

525
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 1: year where ninety percent of the games they just jump

526
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 1: on top and they just take over before we get

527
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:23,560
Speaker 1: out of here. Obviously it's Fugazi Friday and one Fugazi

528
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: we've talked a lot about. When we first instituted Fugazi Fridays,

529
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 1: the number one thing was tipping, which is obviously problematic

530
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: in this great country we live in. Well, recently Starbucks

531
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 1: shit can their CEO that their stock was in the tank.

532
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 1: Obviously you went there. They were out of whack. I

533
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 1: mean the company needed a reset, and they hired this

534
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 1: guy from Chipotle who actually had come from Taco Bell.

535
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 1: Really impressive in his deal. I mean he got like

536
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,760
Speaker 1: a twenty million dollars signing bonus. He gets to work

537
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 1: from home the headquarters that they they put a bunch

538
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 1: of people down with him in Newport. If he does

539
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 1: fly up to the headquarters in Seattle, they got the PJ.

540
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:07,280
Speaker 1: It's only a couple of days a week. It's a

541
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:10,600
Speaker 1: great deal. I mean, it's he's good. He's already claimed,

542
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 1: like you know, every morning I work out, I get

543
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: to the office, he does like a nine to four.

544
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:19,800
Speaker 1: He's got This guy's a badass. I've gone through the

545
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: Starbucks line twice in the last week and forever. They'd

546
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 1: hand you if you pay with card, right the card reader,

547
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: and when they hand you the card reader, obviously it's

548
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: like thirty fifty, one hundred percent tip. The last two

549
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,800
Speaker 1: times she's taken my card, handed me my two ventie

550
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 1: ice coffees and just pay ten bucks or twelve bucks

551
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 1: or whatever they came out to be. Tip option wasn't there.

552
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: I'm not saying Starbucks has gotten rid of the fugazi

553
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 1: of tipping on fifteen dollars coffees, because I can't speak

554
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 1: for every Starbucks in America, but I know the one

555
00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: I go to here in North Scottsdale. I wonder if

556
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 1: there has been a company mandate to throw this out,

557
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 1: to end this long running, long standing fugazi in America.

558
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: And the other one I've seen that I noticed last

559
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: night I was watching the Padre who they planted the

560
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 1: Braves Padre swept them to nothing the series, the little

561
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 1: mini series, right, so now they're going on to the

562
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 1: next round. And that place in downtown San Diego was

563
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 1: just awesome, and it made me think the Chargers should

564
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: still be in San Diego. It's just one of the

565
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 1: great American cities. I knew so many San diego Ins

566
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 1: who were just great Charger fans. And you see the

567
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 1: vibe and the buzz when the Padres are playing like

568
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 1: they're just so irrelevant in LA and I get it.

569
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: Maybe it meant a little more money to Dean's pocket.

570
00:31:55,080 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: They built this great practice facility in El Segundo. Nobody.

571
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh is one of the most legendary football coaches

572
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: of my lifetime and just football personality, so they got

573
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 1: a lot going for him. They got a lot going

574
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 1: for him. They will never matter in Los Angeles. They

575
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:19,640
Speaker 1: just will not. It's just never gonna happen. And they

576
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 1: had a place that was pretty special. And I get

577
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 1: it there were issues with the government. I'm not pretending

578
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: like it was some perfect situation that they just flipped

579
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 1: up the middle finger, but them being LA just it's

580
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 1: never gonna truly work. I mean, how the Rams when

581
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 1: they play certain teams are getting out drawn in their

582
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:43,680
Speaker 1: home stadium seventy to thirty so and they were in

583
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:46,560
Speaker 1: Los Angeles for a long period of time. Did it?

584
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 1: Just like San Diego, Man, that just that sucks, That

585
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:56,959
Speaker 1: really sucks. I wish the Chargers were still down there

586
00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 1: because it just it just fit. It really did. Okay,

587
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: back at it again with my main man, Stucky from

588
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 1: the Action Network. I was just watching him on YouTube

589
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 1: with a little Sunday six pack, seeing some of his

590
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 1: favorite bets. This week, you actually agree on one. All

591
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: Lines Today presented by DraftKings. It is week five in

592
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 1: the National Football League. It's week six technically in college football.

593
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 1: So we're off and running. Can you know? Sometimes when

594
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: I say that out loud, I start to get like

595
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 1: the Sunday Scaries. I'm like, we're moving too fast, We're

596
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: getting too close to the end. I mean, it just

597
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 1: flies by, Stucky. Let's let's give a hat tip to

598
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,360
Speaker 1: you the Baltimore Ravens, who you absolutely loved him in

599
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 1: that spot and they brought I mean, the game was

600
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 1: over relatively fair, definitely after the trick play failed for

601
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 1: Joe Brady. And let's give a hat tip to myself,

602
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: bore my guy, Klin de boor that three out of

603
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: the last four games against Dan Lanning, Steve Sarkisi and

604
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 1: now Kirby Smart. I know the game was close, but

605
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,799
Speaker 1: give me a fucking break. They warked them. How about that?

606
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 1: How about them apples.

607
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, Raven's that that trick play. I could tell

608
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 3: you there's been over the past five seasons as a

609
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:25,280
Speaker 3: Ravens fan, there's been a lot of blown leads, blown

610
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:26,680
Speaker 3: double digit leads.

611
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 1: And momentum shifting too.

612
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 3: I could you could feel it in the stadium and

613
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:38,960
Speaker 3: there just that play felt like it was just okay,

614
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 3: you could exhale. So, yeah, that was a classic hardball spot.

615
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 3: There's like one a season and he usually comes through.

616
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:47,799
Speaker 3: So that was nice. But yeah, good calling to Boor.

617
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,880
Speaker 3: I thought that, Look, the Alabama secondary still has issues.

618
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 3: I mean, Beck ended up throwing for like five hundred yards.

619
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 3: But and look, I got the credit Georgia to at

620
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 3: least I mean, I haven't teams can go down twenty

621
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 3: to nothing with four turnovers of safety, and granted they did,

622
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 3: They're good to go five for five and four downs

623
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 3: and then still somehow take the lead. But I think

624
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 3: I thought the difference was you were right, and it

625
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 3: was I was shocked that Georgia came out with with

626
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:19,920
Speaker 3: like a deer in the headlights. Look, this is a

627
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,920
Speaker 3: team that's played big games, but Carson Beck looked like

628
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:27,399
Speaker 3: he was seeing ghosts early. Did they not expect Miller

629
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 3: to use his legs on the edge. They had two

630
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,320
Speaker 3: weeks to prepare for this, and I thought the difference

631
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 3: in the game was ultimately that Alabama was able to

632
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:39,959
Speaker 3: build that big lead. Why because they had the better

633
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 3: game plan. And I think I also thought that they

634
00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:49,400
Speaker 3: came out, you know, more focused, more well prepared, and

635
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 3: obviously it helps here.

636
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: We have evidence now, stuck, We have evidence now stuck

637
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 1: you Right, the PAC twelve Championship game, which I would say,

638
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 1: Lean's Oregon in Vegas in terms of home crowd, he

639
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 1: came out guns blaze and controlled the game. Sark, same

640
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 1: thing came out right away. I think they might have

641
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,279
Speaker 1: like the score was like seven to seven or four,

642
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 1: but you could tell like Dubor was in control of

643
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 1: that game. Same thing obviously Michigan. I think we all

644
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 1: agree the teams it wasn't a fair fight. I mean,

645
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: Michigan was just clearly better than them. So no, you'd

646
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: have to have the greatest game plan in the history

647
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 1: of the world even to keep the thing close. But

648
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 1: if you remove that game three or four games now

649
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 1: or the other three games where they had I would

650
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 1: say close to equal teams, right, you would say Alabama

651
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 1: and Georgia equal Sark Washington and Washington Oregon do Boar's

652
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 1: advantage Like I'm a fan, but it's mind blowing how

653
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 1: fucking good the guy is.

654
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, especially against all of who's considered top tier coaches

655
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:53,280
Speaker 3: in college football, He's got the best of them almost,

656
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 3: you know, I mean, Harball is no longer there, so

657
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,640
Speaker 3: I mean every time so far and all of their matchups.

658
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 1: So yeah, other ce's coaching. Gina throwing up six hundred.

659
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 3: Yards now yep, Yeah, Gino looked spectacular, but that was Yeah,

660
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,360
Speaker 3: I thought that was the difference in the game. You know, Georgia,

661
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 3: the turnovers bit them coming back. You know, they did

662
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 3: make Kirby made some good adjustments, as you would imagine,

663
00:37:18,120 --> 00:37:21,280
Speaker 3: you know, they started taking away the edge for Miller

664
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 3: to run and that kind of cleared his mind. But

665
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 3: you're you're just not going to beat Alabama if you

666
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,239
Speaker 3: come out like that. And the difference was coaching, I think,

667
00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 3: and the game plan was just better. So yeah, a

668
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 3: good call there. The Bills. The funny thing about uh

669
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 3: the Bills game is going into last week, everyone and

670
00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 3: their mother said the Bills are the best team in

671
00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 3: the NFL. Josh Allen's winning the MVP Bills are unstoppable.

672
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,919
Speaker 3: And that's what happens when you play, you know, three

673
00:37:56,920 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 3: clown cars. They played the Jags who were still winning

674
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:04,360
Speaker 3: us the Dolphins, who were they still they're They're the

675
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 3: first team since the winless Browns to not pull a

676
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: lead through four games. Yes they have a win, but

677
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 3: they won on the final play and h who else

678
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 3: they played the the Cardinals? So and then what happens

679
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:25,240
Speaker 3: one game in the classic Carbo spot before last weekend.

680
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 3: The Ravens have all kinds of issues right in the

681
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 3: past events they can't all know too the lead the

682
00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:32,359
Speaker 3: special teams. Uh now, the Ravens are the best team

683
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 3: in the NFL. It's all I hear. It's one game.

684
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,480
Speaker 3: So the overreactions are crazy if you're and a lot

685
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,399
Speaker 3: of times if you just simply it's uncomfortable a lot.

686
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 3: But if you just because who wanted to fade Buffalo

687
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 3: last week is as an underdog. But if you just

688
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:49,920
Speaker 3: kind of very simple, high level, if you just kind

689
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: of fade those overreactions, you just buy low and sell high.

690
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,239
Speaker 3: That's just your general principle when betting the NFL. HM

691
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 3: you're doing better than mom. I mean, like this week,

692
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 3: where where is it scary? H Washington commanders, unstoppable offense,

693
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,720
Speaker 3: cannot be stopped by the way we've heard.

694
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:12,560
Speaker 1: This, everyone's gonna bet on that? And who wants to

695
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 1: bet on Deshaun Watson and Cleveland.

696
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:16,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, but now the line is, you know they're now

697
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:18,439
Speaker 3: they're ley three and a half point favorites at home.

698
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 3: That's a big difference for one of the worst defenses

699
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 3: in the NFL. Is a team that you know, three

700
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 3: weeks ago was a one point favorite at home against

701
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 3: the Giants. So and the Giants probably win that game

702
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 3: if they had a kicker on the roster. So and look, I.

703
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 1: Mean once the preseason look ahead line at this game

704
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 1: probably Washington plus two or three.

705
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, probably posted and a half. Now we dad learned

706
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,360
Speaker 3: that Daniels is a lot. I mean, I look, I

707
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,759
Speaker 3: thought he was probably gonna be like Justin Fields up

708
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 3: off and maybe he's still Fields is playing well, but

709
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 3: maybe he will not end up being what he looks like.

710
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 3: But you can't discount what he's done. So you have

711
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 3: to upgrade Washington significantly. But this is a big jump,

712
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,359
Speaker 3: and you have to remember that Daniels he's been in

713
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 3: very fortunate situations the past three weeks. I mean, they

714
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,840
Speaker 3: played the Giants, one of the worst defenses in the NFL,

715
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 3: especially their secondary. They played the Bengals, whose defense is

716
00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 3: a mess right now if their entire defensive line has

717
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 3: been out, so they were able to just run it,

718
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 3: run it, run it, and then easy passes. And then

719
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 3: you play the Cardinals. I mean the Cardinals, you could

720
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 3: argue they have the worst defense in the NFL. So

721
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:30,560
Speaker 3: the Browns defense is an upper echelon unit and they're

722
00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:32,799
Speaker 3: more aggressive, like they're gonna play a ton of Cover one.

723
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,440
Speaker 3: They're gonna be So the defenses that they played were

724
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,760
Speaker 3: more passive, and you're able to run that horizontal stuff.

725
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 3: We have heard this with Cliff Kingsbury before. The offense

726
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 3: is unstoppable. Kyler's unstoppable. This is a Arizona used to

727
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: always get out of these great but it doesn't.

728
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,760
Speaker 1: But it doesn't slow down till November, true December.

729
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 3: That's sure call of duty comes out I think October

730
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 3: twenty fifth for Kyler. So, uh so, yeah, you just

731
00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,399
Speaker 3: have to hold your horses. Look, I mean, Daniels, he looks,

732
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 3: he looks the thing I like about Daniel so far,

733
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:05,040
Speaker 3: and obviously his stats speak for themselves, and ran you

734
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 3: have to take into a cathal level competition, but he

735
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:12,120
Speaker 3: just does look extremely poised and comfortable in the pocket,

736
00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:16,279
Speaker 3: which is really what you want to see from a

737
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 3: rookie quarterback, especially this early in the season. So I

738
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 3: have to give them credit. But that, like, that's probably

739
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 3: one I look, Washington could blow out Cleveland. Cleveland is

740
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 3: not a good football team right now. They've all kinds

741
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 3: of injuries on the offensive line. Although their center did

742
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 3: practice today, which is big because their backup center was

743
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 3: really bad last week and even though he got job

744
00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,279
Speaker 3: in a holding call that probably cost him the game

745
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:39,440
Speaker 3: against the Raiders. But the other ones, like the Vikings,

746
00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 3: is this is probably the top of the market on

747
00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:44,359
Speaker 3: the Vikings. And you just saw the Jets. They can't

748
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 3: move the ball against the Bronx. They lose their home

749
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,919
Speaker 3: to the Broncos with sixty yards passing, the fewest yards

750
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:53,239
Speaker 3: passing in fifteen years for a winning team. Who wants

751
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:55,000
Speaker 3: to bet the Jets right now? How is Aaron Rodgers

752
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 3: gonna have out flits? But now you're talking about the Vikings,

753
00:41:57,960 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 3: a team that was projected to win SIXI ish games

754
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:02,440
Speaker 3: a three point favorite over the Jets on a neutral field,

755
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:05,920
Speaker 3: probably getting a little too rich. Just saw the Ravens.

756
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 3: Now everyone loves Drayton Ravens out getting out to a

757
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:11,960
Speaker 3: field goal favorite on the road in sinci. I know,

758
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:13,799
Speaker 3: since he has injuries on the defensive line, we'll see

759
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:15,400
Speaker 3: if they get healthier. They could this week, so it's

760
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 3: gonna be tough to stop that Ravens rushing attack. But

761
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:22,240
Speaker 3: now we're saying the Ravens are a field goal plus

762
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 3: home field advantage better than the Bengals. Not sure about that.

763
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 3: So those are some of the I think weekly overreactions

764
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:34,920
Speaker 3: in the market that I'll be looking to bet against.

765
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 1: Okay, let's start there, because one thing you've taught me

766
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 1: and now I look for this is as the season

767
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 1: goes on, you know, home dogs indivisional games, and that

768
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 1: game to me jumped out to me. Obviously, Cincinnati, their

769
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:53,719
Speaker 1: offense has played much better the last couple weeks. Defensively,

770
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,400
Speaker 1: they've been missing a lot of players, and like you said,

771
00:42:56,400 --> 00:43:00,120
Speaker 1: I mean, really you can't argue the two first half

772
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: for the Ravens the last two weeks are as good

773
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 1: as any team's played. So far this year, like is

774
00:43:06,120 --> 00:43:09,799
Speaker 1: dominant completion them and I mean Minnesota's also had some

775
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 1: incredible first afts, like that's that's a super high level.

776
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 1: Now divisional games, though, this team's very comfortable with the opponent.

777
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not like we have new coaching staffs.

778
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 1: Zach Taylor's been there for this, you know, era of

779
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 1: the Ravens personnel. So they're very, very comfortable. Everyone is

780
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 1: going all in on Baltimore, which I don't disagree with

781
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 1: the way they've played, but these divisional games, we know,

782
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 1: they get weird. Joe Burrow is looking more healthy. The

783
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:40,439
Speaker 1: other thing that's jumping out is, you know, those first

784
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 1: couple of weeks, Jamar Chase was kind of m I A.

785
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 1: He's starting to make some big plays. Obviously had two

786
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 1: touchdowns on the Monday Night. He had that sweet ass

787
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,920
Speaker 1: touchdown last week where he like spun around guys, break tackles,

788
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 1: run around. It's like, okay, you're getting that like that.

789
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:56,200
Speaker 1: That's what makes them pretty potent because to me, Higgins

790
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,399
Speaker 1: has always felt kind of like a stiff, tall guy,

791
00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:02,640
Speaker 1: but he is productive. But it's like I'm I defend

792
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:05,040
Speaker 1: Mike Brown, Like, yeah, I'm not giving that guy hundred million,

793
00:44:05,160 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 1: like I should be able to find it. But what

794
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase brings to the table, like holy shit, you know,

795
00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 1: can you imagine if that's always the thing like with

796
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,080
Speaker 1: the Ravens, if they ever got a guy like that, like,

797
00:44:15,160 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 1: holy moly, they would really be potent. But I'm hammering

798
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:22,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals plus two and a half now. The defense

799
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:25,680
Speaker 1: situation makes me nervous. But you know, this kind of

800
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:27,400
Speaker 1: feels like one of those where the Ravens kind of

801
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 1: got their mojo back, feeling themselves a little bit. Divisional

802
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,960
Speaker 1: game always big, but this feels like a super Bowl

803
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 1: for Cincinnati, like they're gonna get back in the season.

804
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 1: It kind of I mean, it must win. You can't.

805
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:41,719
Speaker 1: You can't be one in four, especially if Baltimore beats

806
00:44:41,760 --> 00:44:44,800
Speaker 1: you and assuming Pittsburgh wins at night, Like you're fucked,

807
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:45,279
Speaker 1: aren't you.

808
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:49,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a massive game for the division. If the

809
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 3: Ravens win, they're probably gonna win the division. If the

810
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:55,239
Speaker 3: Bengals win, this race is gonna be tight with the

811
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,279
Speaker 3: Steelers in the mix as well. I mean I think this.

812
00:44:58,480 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 1: I guess the Ravens are two and two.

813
00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:02,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I mean, you go Ravens, go to three

814
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 3: and two, and then you know, you drop to one

815
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 3: and four and you lost your home game to Baltimore

816
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,080
Speaker 3: and you lost. You had a last play schedule. The

817
00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 3: Bengals had a last play schedule. That was one of

818
00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 3: their edges coming into the season. They already lost their

819
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,439
Speaker 3: AFC East advantage, which was big because the Ravens beat

820
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:25,680
Speaker 3: the Bills and the Bengals lost at home to the

821
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 3: Patriots to the page. So that's it. It's bad. That's

822
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 3: supposed to be you know, a potential full game, you know,

823
00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:36,360
Speaker 3: maybe a full game that you would get on the Ravens.

824
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 3: So this is a huge game at home. I agree.

825
00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:41,959
Speaker 3: You look like there's the Bengals defensive line. It's definitely scary.

826
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 3: I mean even the Panthers could run on them last week.

827
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 3: The Panthers can't run on anybody because they just don't

828
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:47,920
Speaker 3: have any guys. So we'll see if they can get

829
00:45:48,000 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 3: Rankins and hillback. It looks like Hendrickson is gonna play.

830
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 3: Jackson and Murphy who have been there. They were supposed

831
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 3: to be contributors. They just had their practice windows open up.

832
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 3: They were full participants. Will see if they play on

833
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 3: the defensive line, so they should. They could have some

834
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 3: reinforcements coming along the defensive line, which would be so

835
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 3: important because it's really hard to see, you know, if

836
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:09,440
Speaker 3: they trot out the same defensive line that they have

837
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:13,000
Speaker 3: the past two weeks. I mean, the Washington could just

838
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:15,759
Speaker 3: run out will like it was just four to five

839
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 3: yards of pop. Carolina did the same thing as a

840
00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 3: team that hasn't ran the ball well in two years.

841
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 3: So we'll say if they can get some reinforcements back

842
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:26,839
Speaker 3: on the defensive line, I would imagine they get one

843
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 3: or one back, which would really help. But I think

844
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:31,800
Speaker 3: this is more about the Bengals offense that they can

845
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 3: they can keep up here. The way to beat this

846
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 3: Ravens defense, the run defense is really good. You have

847
00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,920
Speaker 3: to attack them on the outside with good receivers like

848
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 3: the Bills just don't have that. You know, Humphrey and

849
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 3: Stevens can lock down and lock down the Bills receivers.

850
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:52,799
Speaker 3: Who aren't you going to really overwhelm you? And I

851
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 3: think that the Bengals are one of those teams that

852
00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 3: can do that. And Burrow's playing really well. We always

853
00:46:57,880 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 3: see him get off to these slow starts of the

854
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:02,040
Speaker 3: first Cup weeks. He's a lot of times he's dealing

855
00:47:02,040 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 3: with injury or rust from the preseason, and then he

856
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 3: starts to get going and now he's cooking and he's

857
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:09,239
Speaker 3: got all his pieces back. And I mean this this

858
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,440
Speaker 3: kid Eric all this receiver, he looks really good. This

859
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 3: tight end he looks really good as well. So I

860
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:17,239
Speaker 3: think they can keep up and could the raven Could

861
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,359
Speaker 3: the Ravens win? Yeah, obviously it's it's a but I

862
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 3: think this is a good time to sell them at

863
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 3: the peak of their market, especially if you can get

864
00:47:25,080 --> 00:47:28,720
Speaker 3: a field goal, Like it's like flirting going there. But this, this,

865
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:31,080
Speaker 3: this sets up there's that I see value in the Bengals,

866
00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:33,400
Speaker 3: and this sets up to be like last team with

867
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:36,839
Speaker 3: the ball wins and especially if the Bengals can get

868
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 3: some guys back to the defensive line, that will really help.

869
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:42,839
Speaker 3: But yeah, home divisional dog, a lot of familiarity here,

870
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 3: Ravens off that huge win against Buffalo. This is this

871
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:52,799
Speaker 3: is the time too to buy the Bengals. I agree

872
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:53,239
Speaker 3: with you here.

873
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:57,840
Speaker 1: I feel dirty betting on this game, but honestly it

874
00:47:57,920 --> 00:47:59,920
Speaker 1: might be my favorite bet on the board.

875
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:00,719
Speaker 3: Uh.

876
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:03,680
Speaker 1: New England actually had a couple moments against the Niners

877
00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 1: early on where there was a little fight, then they

878
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:09,719
Speaker 1: just got overwhelmed. The talent discrepancy, I don't really think

879
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: it's debatable. The Dolphins version minus Tua is the worst

880
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 1: team in the NFL. Like I've watched basically every Jag snap.

881
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:19,799
Speaker 1: You know, obviously they could They're gonna end up with

882
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:22,680
Speaker 1: like five wins or four wins probably, but they are

883
00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:27,320
Speaker 1: dramatically better like this version. If they played the Dolphins

884
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: ten times, I'm taking the Jags seven or eight to

885
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:33,319
Speaker 1: Tyler Huntly version. I mean, this team, the stats for

886
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:38,160
Speaker 1: him obviously jump out the fucking screen. Offensively, what is

887
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:41,520
Speaker 1: Tyreek have like eighty seven total yards since Tool was

888
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 1: laying on the ground. It's been a complete disaster they

889
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:48,080
Speaker 1: kind of have. I mean everyone's making fun of the Titans,

890
00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 1: and Titans were kicking their ass, you know. I mean

891
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 1: that was that was a beatdown. So in fairness to McDaniel,

892
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:59,359
Speaker 1: who listen, I think's pretty overrated. Everyone's like obsessed with

893
00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 1: his look. I mean, he hasn't won a big game

894
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:05,920
Speaker 1: in two years. They fucking crumbled down the stretch. Uh,

895
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 1: But I don't know what you're like, It's Bill Walsh

896
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,960
Speaker 1: winning games with Tyler Huntley like I probably not. I

897
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:15,840
Speaker 1: do think New England this is a pretty interesting spot

898
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 1: if you are going to bet on him throughout the season.

899
00:49:18,719 --> 00:49:21,919
Speaker 1: I think Miami kind of everyone's talking about Jacksonville tapping out,

900
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,360
Speaker 1: and maybe they do. I thought they played pretty hard

901
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 1: last week. I think Miami's got one, two, three, can

902
00:49:29,719 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 1: Coon written all over them in October.

903
00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:34,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, it's been it's been a good run on

904
00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:38,800
Speaker 3: the show for three years, but this is this is

905
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:40,200
Speaker 3: probably the end of the road for me. I mean,

906
00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:42,240
Speaker 3: you're you're gonna pull me in on a Thursday afternoon

907
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,200
Speaker 3: to talk about this game. I think this is my

908
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:46,160
Speaker 3: last appearance on the show, No joking.

909
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 1: This is sick. This game.

910
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:49,960
Speaker 3: This is why we gambled. I have First of all,

911
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,120
Speaker 3: I have no idea who's playing this game. If you

912
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 3: you want to go, you want like a you're a

913
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 3: fan of CDs for seats, go look at the the

914
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 3: injury report for both teams. Don't know who's who's playing

915
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 3: on the Patriots offensive line and just they just lost

916
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:06,720
Speaker 3: their star center. Everyone else is hurt. Both their starting

917
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 3: safeties uh Dugger and Peppers. They didn't practice today. They

918
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:13,080
Speaker 3: might be out. One of their starting corners might be out.

919
00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:16,000
Speaker 3: Doesn't even matter against Miami.

920
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:18,080
Speaker 1: Jalen Phillips is out.

921
00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:21,520
Speaker 3: For Miami lost Phillips. They have offensive line injuries that

922
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 3: they don't have a quarterback. I mean, your hope is

923
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 3: that like Huntley, this is better with the timing, but

924
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 3: it's like with the of the offense after a game

925
00:50:31,080 --> 00:50:33,880
Speaker 3: and he could like just throw it deep and it

926
00:50:33,960 --> 00:50:36,480
Speaker 3: hits hill one or two times. I mean, what is this?

927
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 3: This total is that let's see, it's total thirty three.

928
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 3: Now it's a thirty six. It might go lower perfect weather.

929
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:51,239
Speaker 3: This is such a low total for but yeah, it

930
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 3: might go lower. I mean, to get a total of

931
00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:59,719
Speaker 3: thirty five or below with perfect weather is extremely rare.

932
00:51:01,480 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 3: I have no idea on this game. I guess see

933
00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:06,640
Speaker 3: I fear New England looks like they're still trying. Brissette

934
00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:10,280
Speaker 3: doesn't make mistakes generally, and he's one of the lowest

935
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 3: interception rates in NFL history, which makes why it makes

936
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 3: them such a good backup. Also, is this a game

937
00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:21,279
Speaker 3: that you try, you try some Drake mayn't. I don't know.

938
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 3: There's a ton of uncertainty. But in this spot, Miami

939
00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:26,800
Speaker 3: looks like they have quit. I mean, I don't know

940
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 3: what's called McDaniel. He's making some bizarre, bizarre decisions. And

941
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:32,920
Speaker 3: you see all these other I know it's tough. You

942
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:34,879
Speaker 3: lose all you lose to you lose all these guys,

943
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:38,280
Speaker 3: But look at these other coaches that are well respected

944
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:41,839
Speaker 3: in the league. They're winning with backup quarterbacks. I mean,

945
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:44,880
Speaker 3: look at Lafleur. He's two and out with Malik Willis

946
00:51:44,920 --> 00:51:47,000
Speaker 3: this year and in.

947
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:50,040
Speaker 1: Faress to Miami. The title defense is pretty good. Like

948
00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 1: if you just took their defense and like gave it

949
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:55,040
Speaker 1: to the Bills, I think we'd go. Uh are they

950
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:56,879
Speaker 1: the favorite to win the Super Bowl? I mean, how

951
00:51:56,880 --> 00:51:59,080
Speaker 1: good did the kid from Texas sweat? He's three hundred

952
00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 1: and fifty pounds making tackles. Their dbs are good, Like

953
00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:05,840
Speaker 1: I like the Titans kind of on defense. Obviously offensively

954
00:52:06,040 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 1: rolling with what Levis and Mason Rudolph, but the Titans

955
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: pretty respectable opponent I've thought through four weeks.

956
00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, sadly, I bet them each of the

957
00:52:16,040 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 3: first three weeks. I had some horrible losses, but I

958
00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:22,479
Speaker 3: didn't bet them against Miami. I should have, but that's

959
00:52:22,520 --> 00:52:23,919
Speaker 3: how I knew they were gonna cover because I finally

960
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:25,800
Speaker 3: didn't bet them. But yeah, I like their defen Simmons

961
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 3: Jeffrey Simons one of the best defensive line in the NFL.

962
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 3: He didn't even play ball er him and Uh Sweat

963
00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:34,680
Speaker 3: formidable more than formidable duo in the interiors. So yeah,

964
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 3: if I was gonna bet this, I didn't. It's like

965
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 3: Miami on a short week with all those injuries. I

966
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:39,920
Speaker 3: just don't know who's gonna play for him. If I

967
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 3: had to bet it, uh, and I had to watch

968
00:52:42,640 --> 00:52:44,759
Speaker 3: this game, he'd like tied me to a chair and

969
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:48,360
Speaker 3: I would bet the Patriots. So I do agree with you,

970
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:50,040
Speaker 3: and yeah, I do think the Jags are still fighting.

971
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 3: Look last week that was another example. Who of the

972
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:57,200
Speaker 3: talked about it last week that I liked the Jags

973
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:00,800
Speaker 3: against the Texans who wanted to to bet the Jags,

974
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,319
Speaker 3: but for some reason that the Texans haven't looked great

975
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,759
Speaker 3: they got blown out. The Jags also got blown out.

976
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:09,319
Speaker 3: Everyone saw it, and then the line went up to

977
00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 3: seven who wanted to bet the Jags after getting blown

978
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:15,160
Speaker 3: out by the Bills that haven't won a game. But

979
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 3: I mean you mentioned the Jag first, Dolphins the jag

980
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:18,760
Speaker 3: should have beat the Dolphins a week one. They fumbled

981
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:19,479
Speaker 3: going in the end zone.

982
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:20,560
Speaker 1: They were up seventeen to three.

983
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 3: They fumbled the ETM fumbles and the en zone to

984
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:24,759
Speaker 3: go up seventeen with the game away, then an eight

985
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:28,200
Speaker 3: r touchdown the other way. So but in that by

986
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:31,480
Speaker 3: the way, in that game, the Jags, as SVP SAIDs

987
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:33,759
Speaker 3: the pitchy wu wu they were throwing the ball back

988
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 3: towards the end zone, almost had a heart attack. Luckily

989
00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:40,040
Speaker 3: it was the ETM. They ruled forward progress at the one.

990
00:53:41,480 --> 00:53:43,880
Speaker 3: One of those is going to happen again soon. I've

991
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 3: had a couple in the past. They are ruin your day.

992
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:49,359
Speaker 3: But yeah, Jags are still fighting. That was just another

993
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 3: example of okay, market is just over selling how bad

994
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:58,160
Speaker 3: this Jaguars team is divisional game familiarity, and they were

995
00:53:58,160 --> 00:54:01,600
Speaker 3: able to cover pretty comfortably and came back to get

996
00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 3: that win with a touchdown in the final minute. But

997
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:06,160
Speaker 3: back to your original question, Yeah, it's Patriots or nothing.

998
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:09,280
Speaker 3: But I have no idea who's even playing in this game.

999
00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:12,080
Speaker 1: Before we get into that, I would say the two

1000
00:54:12,160 --> 00:54:15,719
Speaker 1: Marquee games, I know you're fired up on one. I

1001
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:20,319
Speaker 1: think we got some agreement here. The Bears, I know

1002
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:23,879
Speaker 1: they're two and two, but they just do not tap

1003
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,479
Speaker 1: past the smell test to me. I mean, especially given

1004
00:54:26,520 --> 00:54:29,359
Speaker 1: all the hype and what everyone thought. They finally won

1005
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,319
Speaker 1: a game. Obviously the run game and sweat, you know,

1006
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,839
Speaker 1: was a big addition in terms of them not being

1007
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:39,120
Speaker 1: able to run the ball through three weeks, but they

1008
00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:41,799
Speaker 1: kind of just had their quarterback then condunk. They said

1009
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 1: that hero ball shit because you're way off. I mean

1010
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:46,719
Speaker 1: when he throws the ball down the field, I heard

1011
00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 1: someone say yesterday. His metrics down the field are pretty

1012
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 1: poor so far. And the eye test is there are

1013
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 1: a couple passes in that game against the Rams where

1014
00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,520
Speaker 1: DJ Moore streaking down the sideline and it's not even close.

1015
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 1: And let's I'm not bailing on Caleb Williams, but he's

1016
00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:06,280
Speaker 1: clearly just off for the height in what we saw

1017
00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:11,120
Speaker 1: in college. But the Panthers, since going to the bullpend

1018
00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:13,760
Speaker 1: and going with d Andy Dalton, what they score thirty

1019
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:17,560
Speaker 1: seven against the Raiders, they scored twenty four. Like their

1020
00:55:17,560 --> 00:55:21,360
Speaker 1: offense is just pretty solid now and it's not like

1021
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:25,200
Speaker 1: the Bears are scoring thirty points. So I get four

1022
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 1: points on the road against a Bears team that I'm sorry,

1023
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:31,160
Speaker 1: looks much more like a six or seven win team

1024
00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:33,319
Speaker 1: than a nine or ten win team. I think it's

1025
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:34,120
Speaker 1: not o' hammer.

1026
00:55:34,160 --> 00:55:36,560
Speaker 3: No, yeah, I like the fanths here. This is the

1027
00:55:36,560 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 3: Panthers team that I was trying to tell you.

1028
00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:44,359
Speaker 1: Are the Bears good now? I don't.

1029
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 3: I don't think so. I mean their defense is playing well.

1030
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:48,880
Speaker 3: They they You were able to run it a bit

1031
00:55:48,920 --> 00:55:52,520
Speaker 3: on the Rams last week. Maybe that happens again. But

1032
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:56,240
Speaker 3: even in that game against them, they were pretty fortunate

1033
00:55:56,320 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 3: that the Rams couldn't score in the red zone. The

1034
00:55:59,640 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 3: Bears scored off a couple of turnovers. They were out gained,

1035
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,480
Speaker 3: outplayed on a down to down basis. It was a

1036
00:56:06,480 --> 00:56:08,879
Speaker 3: pretty fortunate win. Who were there two wins against this year?

1037
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:13,640
Speaker 3: The Titans? They had they were it was I won

1038
00:56:13,719 --> 00:56:17,560
Speaker 3: in a million win at home? They there. I had

1039
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:20,279
Speaker 3: a punt block for a touchdown, Will Levis throw him

1040
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:23,600
Speaker 3: a pick six for a touchdown. They came back from

1041
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:27,600
Speaker 3: down seventeen to nothing despite not scoring an offensive touchdown,

1042
00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:30,440
Speaker 3: and then they beat the Rams practice squad. I mean,

1043
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:33,240
Speaker 3: who was playing for the Rams in that game? Both

1044
00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:35,960
Speaker 3: pretty lucky wins.

1045
00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:38,080
Speaker 1: And that game was close against the run, Yeah.

1046
00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:41,399
Speaker 3: Very close, could have went either way. So, I mean

1047
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:45,440
Speaker 3: Caleb Williams just he's not there yet. He leads the

1048
00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:49,440
Speaker 3: NFL by a wide margin in off target throw percentage,

1049
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:52,399
Speaker 3: So you're right, like just anything downfield is not there.

1050
00:56:53,080 --> 00:56:55,399
Speaker 3: So credit to them. They made some adjustments. They got

1051
00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:55,879
Speaker 3: their run game.

1052
00:56:55,960 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 1: What's your take on that. Why do you think that's happening,

1053
00:56:58,600 --> 00:57:01,279
Speaker 1: because it's it's not just miss the guys on their fingertips,

1054
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,840
Speaker 1: he's he's fucking airmail and Kevin Garnett, right, Yeah.

1055
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:07,040
Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean it's part of it's the

1056
00:57:07,040 --> 00:57:11,439
Speaker 3: offensive line. So the offensive line has not been good

1057
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:14,760
Speaker 3: and it's definitely going to continue to be a struggle.

1058
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:18,280
Speaker 3: So I don't know if it's he's just.

1059
00:57:18,560 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 1: But he played with a bad offensive line last year.

1060
00:57:20,440 --> 00:57:21,880
Speaker 3: Ye, that's true. I don't know if he's like just

1061
00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:28,080
Speaker 3: struggling to deal with hey play within the structure of

1062
00:57:28,120 --> 00:57:30,600
Speaker 3: the offense. I don't think the play calling has been

1063
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 3: great either. That hasn't helped them. But and then like

1064
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 3: at USC, he had just like a longer leash and

1065
00:57:36,120 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 3: he just felt more comfortable. And so I really don't

1066
00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:42,280
Speaker 3: know what the with the issues still it's still early,

1067
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,920
Speaker 3: but you just have to go off what you're seeing,

1068
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:48,880
Speaker 3: and right now it's definitely problematic. So this is an

1069
00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:51,280
Speaker 3: offense that it's not a team or an offense that

1070
00:57:51,320 --> 00:57:55,000
Speaker 3: I want to back to win by margin by you know,

1071
00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:57,640
Speaker 3: you're laying four, you got to basically win by six,

1072
00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,320
Speaker 3: seven or more. It's not an offense that's there right now.

1073
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:00,640
Speaker 1: Now.

1074
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:03,840
Speaker 3: The Panthers d is horrendous. They had more injuries, lost

1075
00:58:03,840 --> 00:58:06,640
Speaker 3: their linebacker Shack Thomps, they already lost Theirk Brown. But

1076
00:58:07,040 --> 00:58:09,240
Speaker 3: what they're doing, you know, they're they're just taking away

1077
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:12,440
Speaker 3: the explosive play. They're gonna play a ton of Cover three,

1078
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 3: but they're blitzing a lot because they have no other

1079
00:58:14,920 --> 00:58:18,320
Speaker 3: way of generating pressure, like none. So everyro's blitzing a lot.

1080
00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 3: That's something the Bears have not shown any ability to handle.

1081
00:58:22,240 --> 00:58:25,480
Speaker 3: I mean, their their offensive line is just in disarray

1082
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:28,160
Speaker 3: when dealing with any blitzes or stunts. So the Panthers

1083
00:58:28,200 --> 00:58:30,680
Speaker 3: could have some success there and then everyroll will give

1084
00:58:30,760 --> 00:58:33,240
Speaker 3: some complex Cover three looks on the back end, so

1085
00:58:33,680 --> 00:58:36,560
Speaker 3: maybe it forces Caleb into a mistake. But you brought

1086
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:38,080
Speaker 3: up to key point here with the Panthers is that.

1087
00:58:38,440 --> 00:58:40,479
Speaker 3: I mean, their offensive scored sixty points in two games

1088
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:44,440
Speaker 3: of Dalton. They scored sixty points in eight games over

1089
00:58:44,520 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 3: the last eight games with Bryce Young combined, So this

1090
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:52,720
Speaker 3: is just a much improving. The offensive line also significantly improved.

1091
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 3: You look at pressure rate on just dropbacks allowed. Panthers

1092
00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 3: number one in the NFL by a wide margin. I

1093
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:02,240
Speaker 3: think they're like fifty teen percent. Next best teams at

1094
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:05,479
Speaker 3: like twenty one percent. So their offensive line is playing

1095
00:59:05,520 --> 00:59:08,160
Speaker 3: really well giving Dalton time, and Dalton is more than

1096
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:11,000
Speaker 3: capable of making throws. So I think that the offensive

1097
00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:16,000
Speaker 3: line can handle the Bears defensive front. So yeah, I

1098
00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:19,240
Speaker 3: think that it's Panthers are nothing here against the Bears.

1099
00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:22,640
Speaker 3: So just their offense right now. Maybe Cable will get

1100
00:59:22,680 --> 00:59:24,960
Speaker 3: there and they'll start to figure some more things out,

1101
00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:28,040
Speaker 3: But right now, it's not a team that I'm running

1102
00:59:28,080 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 3: to bet as a favorite of more than a field goal.

1103
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:34,800
Speaker 1: Okay, obviously the two big games this weekend, you know,

1104
00:59:34,840 --> 00:59:38,080
Speaker 1: the Bills Texans. It's kind of a stay away for me.

1105
00:59:39,040 --> 00:59:42,760
Speaker 1: I want to lean Bills, but they're You watch them

1106
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:45,000
Speaker 1: against the Ravens and you go god their defense at

1107
00:59:45,040 --> 00:59:48,920
Speaker 1: any moment, and we know how potent Houston is. But

1108
00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:52,480
Speaker 1: then again, you watch Houston against the Jags, You're like, ah,

1109
00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:55,080
Speaker 1: this is not the team that I hammered to be

1110
00:59:55,120 --> 00:59:58,480
Speaker 1: the number one overall seed. Nico Collins has been incredible.

1111
00:59:59,080 --> 01:00:02,760
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily have, you know, a strong opinion on that.

1112
01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:05,840
Speaker 1: I do think the night game, you just look at

1113
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:08,800
Speaker 1: it and you go, Lawrence's out, Mike A. Parsons is out.

1114
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:12,680
Speaker 1: Their defense was already shitty. I mean, that's and did

1115
01:00:12,680 --> 01:00:14,520
Speaker 1: I read that Cooks is injured as well?

1116
01:00:14,560 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 3: It's got an infection. He's out.

1117
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:20,520
Speaker 1: So you go, why don't I empty my account on

1118
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:22,880
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers? And then you go, well, I've been

1119
01:00:22,920 --> 01:00:26,240
Speaker 1: gambling long enough to know in these spots it almost

1120
01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:29,960
Speaker 1: feels too good to be true. But I listen. I

1121
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:33,400
Speaker 1: don't know how it's hard. If you did, you're basically

1122
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:36,320
Speaker 1: just fading. Everybody bet the Cowboys, but you can't feel

1123
01:00:36,400 --> 01:00:38,520
Speaker 1: confident on it. It's a big I mean, if Pittsburgh

1124
01:00:38,560 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 1: wins all of a sudden, you're four and one, you

1125
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:45,160
Speaker 1: start feeling yourself a little bit. In fields definitely has

1126
01:00:45,240 --> 01:00:47,600
Speaker 1: looked better this year in the second half. Last week,

1127
01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:49,880
Speaker 1: I know the Colts defense isn't great, but fuck he was.

1128
01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:54,080
Speaker 1: He was making some plays that just feels too easy

1129
01:00:54,160 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 1: to me. But I don't know how you take the

1130
01:00:56,200 --> 01:00:57,440
Speaker 1: Cowboys in this spot.

1131
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, will You'd be surprised how public the Cowboys are.

1132
01:01:00,160 --> 01:01:01,960
Speaker 3: I mean, I was texting with.

1133
01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:04,240
Speaker 1: The the Yankees or the Lakers or something.

1134
01:01:04,280 --> 01:01:06,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was textingally a couple bookmakers. They're like sixty

1135
01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:11,480
Speaker 3: forty Cowboys the Steelers so far. So I think that

1136
01:01:11,480 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 3: they'll actually end up getting more as far as just

1137
01:01:14,160 --> 01:01:15,000
Speaker 3: ticket percentages.

1138
01:01:15,000 --> 01:01:16,800
Speaker 1: And why do you think that is? Just because they're

1139
01:01:16,840 --> 01:01:17,880
Speaker 1: just the most public team.

1140
01:01:18,040 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, They're a pub up public team. It's like Dak

1141
01:01:19,840 --> 01:01:23,440
Speaker 3: and Lamb. People still don't trust fields. Cowboys are just

1142
01:01:23,440 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 3: the sexier team people like to bet in prime time.

1143
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:31,880
Speaker 3: So but look, I mean but public sides. I mean

1144
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:34,400
Speaker 3: last year they had a really good year. Some sometimes

1145
01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:38,280
Speaker 3: it win. Look go back to the Chiefs Chiefs Falcons

1146
01:01:38,280 --> 01:01:41,960
Speaker 3: game on Sunday night, Lions against Seahawks. That was a

1147
01:01:41,960 --> 01:01:45,000
Speaker 3: big one Monday night. I like the Steelers here. I mean,

1148
01:01:45,200 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 3: you can't underestimate what the losses of Lawrence and especially

1149
01:01:49,880 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 3: Parsons means to that defense. Now, look at the defense,

1150
01:01:53,760 --> 01:01:55,520
Speaker 3: what is it. It's a bottom of the barrel unit.

1151
01:01:55,560 --> 01:01:57,720
Speaker 3: I mean, Parsons does so much for that day. Those

1152
01:01:57,720 --> 01:02:01,600
Speaker 3: are their two best defensive linemen, not only as far

1153
01:02:01,640 --> 01:02:04,240
Speaker 3: as pass rushes concerned, but also against the run. Their

1154
01:02:04,320 --> 01:02:09,520
Speaker 3: run dye is non existent. You look at the teams

1155
01:02:09,960 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 3: that can run the ball that play Dallas this year

1156
01:02:13,800 --> 01:02:17,200
Speaker 3: and they, I mean the Saints just destroyed them. The

1157
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 3: Ravens did whatever they wanted. On the ground, they have nothing,

1158
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:23,400
Speaker 3: and on the back end they don't have. Their secondary

1159
01:02:23,520 --> 01:02:25,720
Speaker 3: is a mess yep because you had an injury to

1160
01:02:25,840 --> 01:02:29,080
Speaker 3: their on Glands. You just have Digs who you know,

1161
01:02:29,200 --> 01:02:31,440
Speaker 3: it's kind of a boom er bus corner and not

1162
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 3: much else. Lewis is decent in the slot, but you

1163
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:36,560
Speaker 3: don't really have a second corner that you rely upon.

1164
01:02:36,560 --> 01:02:38,880
Speaker 3: But what does Pittsburgh want to do? They want to

1165
01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:41,000
Speaker 3: run the ball. We want to run the ball some more,

1166
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:44,960
Speaker 3: you know, and then take their shots with pickens, you know,

1167
01:02:45,280 --> 01:02:46,920
Speaker 3: get their tight end above a little bit. And then

1168
01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:48,720
Speaker 3: Fields is playing really well. It looks like as a

1169
01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:50,760
Speaker 3: good command on this of this offense, he's using his

1170
01:02:50,880 --> 01:02:56,120
Speaker 3: legs effectively to extend drives. So yeah, they're playing well,

1171
01:02:56,120 --> 01:02:57,800
Speaker 3: but they want to run, run, run. They want to

1172
01:02:57,840 --> 01:02:59,480
Speaker 3: run up the middle. You know, it is the worst

1173
01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:02,760
Speaker 3: defense in the NFL defending runs up the middle. Well,

1174
01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:05,840
Speaker 3: the Dallas Cowboys, So they should be able to move

1175
01:03:05,840 --> 01:03:07,919
Speaker 3: the ball on the other side of the ball when

1176
01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:10,880
Speaker 3: Dallas has it. By the way, this is a really

1177
01:03:10,920 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 3: good field goal. You're into kicking, really good kicking matchup.

1178
01:03:14,280 --> 01:03:17,280
Speaker 3: Brandon Aubrey obviously is a weapon, but the Steelers have

1179
01:03:17,320 --> 01:03:19,120
Speaker 3: a weapon at their own. It doesn't get talked about enough.

1180
01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:23,240
Speaker 3: It's the most accurate kicker in NFL history. Now because

1181
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:24,520
Speaker 3: if Tucker's struggles of.

1182
01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:27,640
Speaker 1: Late, well I mentioned on the podcast, like last week,

1183
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:30,240
Speaker 1: when when did they play oh on Thursday night? In

1184
01:03:30,240 --> 01:03:32,919
Speaker 1: Aubrey just I mean, he's banging sixty yard field goals

1185
01:03:32,960 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 1: and then you look up the story. I'm like, this

1186
01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:37,240
Speaker 1: guy's I'm just overreacted best kicker. And I had a

1187
01:03:37,240 --> 01:03:40,560
Speaker 1: bunch of people like that's bullshit. Check out his numbers.

1188
01:03:40,600 --> 01:03:42,280
Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, I get it, he's fucking we're not

1189
01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:45,360
Speaker 1: ranking kickers, he's not quarterbacks. But you're right. I mean,

1190
01:03:45,960 --> 01:03:48,560
Speaker 1: Aubrey's story is pretty incredible. To be a soccer player

1191
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:51,520
Speaker 1: to then go, you know, just start training, go to

1192
01:03:51,640 --> 01:03:53,920
Speaker 1: the minor leagues and then become what he's become. I mean,

1193
01:03:53,920 --> 01:03:57,200
Speaker 1: that's that's a freaking awesome sports story, isn't that.

1194
01:03:57,280 --> 01:03:59,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, unless you've met the Cowboys last week and

1195
01:03:59,000 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 3: then he cost you recovery finally miss at the end.

1196
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:05,320
Speaker 3: But Boswell, that's a very tough stadium to kick him,

1197
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:07,000
Speaker 3: by the way. So for the fact that he's the

1198
01:04:07,040 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 3: most accurate kicker on NFL history, there are why is

1199
01:04:09,840 --> 01:04:13,360
Speaker 3: that there's some there's tricky wins, especially on one side

1200
01:04:13,600 --> 01:04:17,520
Speaker 3: of the stadium. There's like these swirling wins. So for

1201
01:04:17,600 --> 01:04:21,640
Speaker 3: the longest time there was For the longest time, Justin

1202
01:04:21,680 --> 01:04:27,200
Speaker 3: Tucker had the stadium record for most made field goals

1203
01:04:27,320 --> 01:04:31,480
Speaker 3: over fifty yards. I think Boswell has since passed him,

1204
01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:34,760
Speaker 3: But it was a road kicker, you know. I mean, look,

1205
01:04:34,760 --> 01:04:37,480
Speaker 3: how many fifty yards are made? Like fifty plus yarders

1206
01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:41,400
Speaker 3: are not easy in that stadium, especially on one side,

1207
01:04:41,400 --> 01:04:43,800
Speaker 3: because there's these swirling wins that are just hard to

1208
01:04:43,880 --> 01:04:45,720
Speaker 3: judge and they just come and take the ball, and

1209
01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:48,520
Speaker 3: so a lot of teams won't even try them, like

1210
01:04:49,040 --> 01:04:53,160
Speaker 3: at fifty three. If it's like fifty three, fifty four

1211
01:04:53,160 --> 01:04:57,040
Speaker 3: to fifty five, especially on the left side, it's they

1212
01:04:57,120 --> 01:05:00,920
Speaker 3: just punt or go for it because it's it's it's

1213
01:05:01,040 --> 01:05:02,640
Speaker 3: very difficult to kick. It's by the hardest staium in

1214
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:06,720
Speaker 3: the NFL to kick it. So yeah, good kicker matchup.

1215
01:05:06,720 --> 01:05:08,240
Speaker 3: But the other side the ball, I mean, look, the

1216
01:05:08,360 --> 01:05:13,560
Speaker 3: Dallas offenses is struggling. It's they can't run the ball

1217
01:05:13,640 --> 01:05:16,520
Speaker 3: at all, like it's non existence. So the offensive line

1218
01:05:16,560 --> 01:05:19,440
Speaker 3: is worse. She got two really good guards, but the

1219
01:05:19,520 --> 01:05:21,480
Speaker 3: tat you got, you know, a couple of rookies who

1220
01:05:21,480 --> 01:05:25,120
Speaker 3: are struggling. Steel has just met one tackle spot and

1221
01:05:25,160 --> 01:05:26,880
Speaker 3: you can't run it at all. It is the worst

1222
01:05:27,120 --> 01:05:29,960
Speaker 3: they're up there down there with you know, the Raiders.

1223
01:05:30,400 --> 01:05:33,840
Speaker 3: Uh as far as rush efficiency, they just can't run it.

1224
01:05:33,840 --> 01:05:35,520
Speaker 3: They don't have any baps. This is all talked about

1225
01:05:35,520 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 3: all off season. It's not surprising. And their offensive line

1226
01:05:37,800 --> 01:05:41,080
Speaker 3: is taking a step back, so there's no help for Dak.

1227
01:05:41,720 --> 01:05:46,640
Speaker 3: And then it's just the weapons. How much you like

1228
01:05:46,920 --> 01:05:48,600
Speaker 3: how much can how many times can you go to Lamb?

1229
01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:51,320
Speaker 3: And defenses know that, so there's so much attention but

1230
01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:55,120
Speaker 3: on defending CD Lamb and Dak's now in all these

1231
01:05:55,160 --> 01:05:58,760
Speaker 3: known passing situations, right, they're not they're not able to

1232
01:05:59,080 --> 01:06:01,600
Speaker 3: run it effectively, and they're still doing it too often.

1233
01:06:01,840 --> 01:06:04,760
Speaker 3: They're still trying to run it too frequently on early downs,

1234
01:06:05,160 --> 01:06:07,040
Speaker 3: which is just not smart. And then you're in these

1235
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:09,400
Speaker 3: third downs and guess what's gonna happen now? Is t

1236
01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:12,600
Speaker 3: J Watt that pass rush is gonna tee off. They're

1237
01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:16,280
Speaker 3: probably gonna cause a turnover to the You know, the

1238
01:06:16,440 --> 01:06:20,560
Speaker 3: Steelers play a lot of looks that Dak has struggled

1239
01:06:20,600 --> 01:06:26,200
Speaker 3: more against historically. So yeah, there's no cooks here. It's

1240
01:06:26,640 --> 01:06:29,480
Speaker 3: it's like how many how much damage can Lamb really

1241
01:06:29,520 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 3: do when there's just no help? And I just think

1242
01:06:32,040 --> 01:06:37,920
Speaker 3: the losses of Parsons and Lawrence can't be overstated. And

1243
01:06:37,960 --> 01:06:40,880
Speaker 3: this is a this is a classic bra Rah Tomlin

1244
01:06:40,960 --> 01:06:43,000
Speaker 3: spot off the loss in again that I thought that

1245
01:06:43,040 --> 01:06:46,480
Speaker 3: they were pretty unfortunate to lose against the Colts. They

1246
01:06:46,520 --> 01:06:48,120
Speaker 3: I think they outplayed them, They had a fumble in

1247
01:06:48,160 --> 01:06:50,720
Speaker 3: the red zone they got they I think that they

1248
01:06:50,720 --> 01:06:52,919
Speaker 3: were the better team down to down in that game,

1249
01:06:52,920 --> 01:06:56,480
Speaker 3: and the Cowboys were maybe a bit fortunate against the Giants.

1250
01:06:57,800 --> 01:06:59,920
Speaker 3: Dable I think should have he should have went for

1251
01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:02,200
Speaker 3: but they had two red zone trips that they kicked

1252
01:07:02,240 --> 01:07:06,280
Speaker 3: two field goals in and they were pretty fortunate to

1253
01:07:06,280 --> 01:07:08,160
Speaker 3: win that game. So yeah, I like the Steelers. Here.

1254
01:07:08,200 --> 01:07:10,040
Speaker 3: This is a classic rower off Thomas spot at home,

1255
01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:12,280
Speaker 3: prime timing and what is that translate to the defense

1256
01:07:12,320 --> 01:07:14,720
Speaker 3: coming out just with their hair on fire, probably forced

1257
01:07:14,720 --> 01:07:17,880
Speaker 3: to keep turnover. So yeah, I like I like the

1258
01:07:17,880 --> 01:07:21,120
Speaker 3: Steelers anything under three. I played some cheap money line.

1259
01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:24,160
Speaker 1: You had to get a little joy out of Flacco

1260
01:07:24,240 --> 01:07:26,160
Speaker 1: coming out of the pen and taking down the Steelers,

1261
01:07:26,280 --> 01:07:29,000
Speaker 1: throwing a couple easy touchdowns. He looked, you know, Flacco,

1262
01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:31,919
Speaker 1: who would have thought, I mean, his last couple of years.

1263
01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:34,920
Speaker 1: Pretty cool story, and this guy was clearly toward the

1264
01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:37,200
Speaker 1: end of his career. You know in Baltimore when Lamar

1265
01:07:37,360 --> 01:07:39,840
Speaker 1: kind of Wally Pipson, I guess he's not injured. He

1266
01:07:39,880 --> 01:07:42,800
Speaker 1: just got benched. But then the Jets and just kind

1267
01:07:42,800 --> 01:07:45,120
Speaker 1: of bouncing around. It's just kind of over. And then

1268
01:07:45,160 --> 01:07:47,560
Speaker 1: you come back last year and then again he just

1269
01:07:47,600 --> 01:07:50,000
Speaker 1: looks like the same guy he saw in Cleveland. It's

1270
01:07:50,040 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 1: fucking awesome.

1271
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:55,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's amazing. I actually, of.

1272
01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:57,400
Speaker 1: Course Anthony Richardson's hurt too. It's a great spot for him.

1273
01:07:57,400 --> 01:07:58,160
Speaker 1: He's gonna get to play.

1274
01:07:58,240 --> 01:08:01,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I would want to bet the Jags this

1275
01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,000
Speaker 3: week as like too and a half point favor if

1276
01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:07,240
Speaker 3: it was Richardson starting, If it's Flacco, I don't. I

1277
01:08:07,600 --> 01:08:10,479
Speaker 3: like the Colts I liked, I would like the Colts.

1278
01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:13,919
Speaker 3: Of Flacco is playing. Richardson is too he's too ratic,

1279
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:17,559
Speaker 3: he's too inaccurate right now. And the Jags, their defense

1280
01:08:17,600 --> 01:08:19,600
Speaker 3: isn't great. They're gonna play a ton of man. I

1281
01:08:19,640 --> 01:08:23,120
Speaker 3: think Flacco would be able to exploit that. I'm not Richardson.

1282
01:08:23,479 --> 01:08:25,759
Speaker 3: I don't think Keny just on a down the down basis.

1283
01:08:25,760 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 3: He's not accurate enough. And the Colts defense, I mean,

1284
01:08:29,240 --> 01:08:31,800
Speaker 3: they have injuries. Jonathan Taylor's banged up. But if you

1285
01:08:31,880 --> 01:08:35,160
Speaker 3: got Flacco out there against that defense, I trust the

1286
01:08:35,160 --> 01:08:39,960
Speaker 3: Colts more. It's one of those situations where Richardson. You

1287
01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:41,800
Speaker 3: gotta remember richards had only played a couple of games

1288
01:08:41,840 --> 01:08:43,960
Speaker 3: last year. He's still a rookie, but there was I

1289
01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:47,240
Speaker 3: had concerns about his accuracy coming out of college. I

1290
01:08:47,320 --> 01:08:51,479
Speaker 3: still do. He hasn't demonstrated the ability to consistently move

1291
01:08:51,520 --> 01:08:53,400
Speaker 3: an offense. He's going to have a couple highlight throats.

1292
01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:56,720
Speaker 3: He's got a cannon of an arm but there's no consistency,

1293
01:08:56,800 --> 01:09:02,000
Speaker 3: no accuracy. So I think Flacco is gives a higher

1294
01:09:02,040 --> 01:09:06,320
Speaker 3: floor of that offense and he'd be able to move it.

1295
01:09:06,400 --> 01:09:09,760
Speaker 3: So that's something that I'm keeping an eye on. But yeah,

1296
01:09:09,760 --> 01:09:13,160
Speaker 3: the Flaco story is pretty amazing.

1297
01:09:13,240 --> 01:09:16,640
Speaker 1: Guys ageless, Okay, I get you out of here on

1298
01:09:16,680 --> 01:09:20,040
Speaker 1: this any Saturday, A couple of games. As you jumped

1299
01:09:20,080 --> 01:09:23,280
Speaker 1: out to me, Michigan an underdog on the road at Washington.

1300
01:09:24,360 --> 01:09:28,439
Speaker 1: I'm not sure Washington's any good. Missouri I don't necessarily

1301
01:09:28,520 --> 01:09:30,160
Speaker 1: have a take on this because I don't know. I

1302
01:09:30,200 --> 01:09:34,000
Speaker 1: know Missouri is good. But on the road at A

1303
01:09:34,080 --> 01:09:38,280
Speaker 1: and M, they're getting two and a half points. That

1304
01:09:38,400 --> 01:09:40,400
Speaker 1: number kind of jumped out to me. But A and

1305
01:09:40,520 --> 01:09:43,560
Speaker 1: M now has gone they've transitioned to quarterbacks, right that

1306
01:09:44,040 --> 01:09:45,960
Speaker 1: the backup can run around a little bit. He's a

1307
01:09:45,960 --> 01:09:48,920
Speaker 1: better player, or you know, I haven't been dialed in

1308
01:09:48,960 --> 01:09:50,479
Speaker 1: on A and M as that is the other starter

1309
01:09:50,560 --> 01:09:51,400
Speaker 1: Wegman or whatever his.

1310
01:09:51,479 --> 01:09:54,599
Speaker 3: Name back might be. That's game time decision. By the way,

1311
01:09:54,640 --> 01:09:56,080
Speaker 3: I didn't, I didn't. I forgot the touch on you

1312
01:09:56,080 --> 01:09:56,799
Speaker 3: of Bill's Texans.

1313
01:09:56,800 --> 01:09:56,960
Speaker 1: Bill.

1314
01:09:57,000 --> 01:09:59,679
Speaker 3: I want to see if Nixon plays mix and or Pierce.

1315
01:09:59,720 --> 01:10:02,160
Speaker 3: They both didn't practice, so I saw on Wednesday it did,

1316
01:10:02,280 --> 01:10:05,680
Speaker 3: but not out there today, So I don't know they

1317
01:10:05,720 --> 01:10:07,720
Speaker 3: needed that. What teams are doing against Stroud while the

1318
01:10:07,720 --> 01:10:10,360
Speaker 3: Texans offense is struggling a bit, he's having a bit

1319
01:10:10,400 --> 01:10:12,599
Speaker 3: of a sophomore slump. I think they're gonna be fine.

1320
01:10:13,080 --> 01:10:15,519
Speaker 3: But they're my only Super Bowl future this year. I'm

1321
01:10:15,520 --> 01:10:17,599
Speaker 3: not too worried. But teams are just they just did

1322
01:10:17,600 --> 01:10:19,720
Speaker 3: what there. They did against the Chiefs and Momest couple

1323
01:10:19,760 --> 01:10:22,400
Speaker 3: years ago, jacked up the cover two. They tripled the

1324
01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:26,160
Speaker 3: rate of cover two from last year. Opposing defenses to

1325
01:10:26,200 --> 01:10:28,320
Speaker 3: take away the exposive play. Right, the Texans were the

1326
01:10:28,360 --> 01:10:31,240
Speaker 3: exception the rule last year, all those explosive plays. The

1327
01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:33,320
Speaker 3: Texans got to figure that out. When did they? When

1328
01:10:33,320 --> 01:10:35,240
Speaker 3: did the Texans offense look good? The best this year's

1329
01:10:35,560 --> 01:10:37,200
Speaker 3: And what do you want to do when you're against

1330
01:10:37,200 --> 01:10:39,000
Speaker 3: defenses that are playing too high safeties. You want to

1331
01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:40,960
Speaker 3: be able to run the ball, force one of the

1332
01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:44,599
Speaker 3: safeties down, then he could take your shots. Well, they

1333
01:10:44,600 --> 01:10:47,320
Speaker 3: look great this year. Mixing was running the ball well,

1334
01:10:47,320 --> 01:10:50,320
Speaker 3: I mean he ran for he ran all over the Colts.

1335
01:10:50,360 --> 01:10:53,840
Speaker 3: Without him, you know, you know Pierce has heard too,

1336
01:10:53,880 --> 01:10:56,439
Speaker 3: but they really need mixing to get that offense going.

1337
01:10:56,479 --> 01:10:59,040
Speaker 3: So that's something that I'm watching if he plays like

1338
01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:02,439
Speaker 3: I kind of like Houston in that game College. I

1339
01:11:02,520 --> 01:11:06,280
Speaker 3: like Washington, don't. I think Michigan's bad. This is the

1340
01:11:06,280 --> 01:11:08,400
Speaker 3: team they got lucky to beat Minnesota. They got They

1341
01:11:08,400 --> 01:11:11,280
Speaker 3: had two ten yard touchdown drives after turnovers in that game,

1342
01:11:12,040 --> 01:11:15,360
Speaker 3: and I mean Minnesota outgained them by like sixty yards.

1343
01:11:15,360 --> 01:11:17,879
Speaker 3: They just Minnesota, who got rent all over by Iowa

1344
01:11:18,360 --> 01:11:21,360
Speaker 3: the week before, shut down Michigan's rushing attack. They saw

1345
01:11:21,400 --> 01:11:23,519
Speaker 3: what they were going to do. Michigan was able to

1346
01:11:23,560 --> 01:11:26,760
Speaker 3: kind of surprise USC in a really good spot. They

1347
01:11:26,880 --> 01:11:29,120
Speaker 3: made the quarterback change to Org. USC didn't really know

1348
01:11:29,160 --> 01:11:33,440
Speaker 3: what to expect, and they were able to run on them. Minnesota,

1349
01:11:34,120 --> 01:11:39,800
Speaker 3: who doesn't have a good run defense, was able to

1350
01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:42,439
Speaker 3: shut down Michigan's rush tack. Well, Washington, I think we'll

1351
01:11:42,439 --> 01:11:44,360
Speaker 3: be able to do the same. Steve Belichick knows this

1352
01:11:44,439 --> 01:11:46,760
Speaker 3: is a one dimensional offense. I mean Michigan has won

1353
01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:48,479
Speaker 3: their last two games by scored the twenty seven to

1354
01:11:48,479 --> 01:11:49,880
Speaker 3: twenty four at home. By the way, it's their first

1355
01:11:49,960 --> 01:11:52,799
Speaker 3: road game traveling across the country. There's still some holdovers

1356
01:11:52,840 --> 01:11:55,599
Speaker 3: that Washington team that won some national championship revenge. I'm

1357
01:11:55,600 --> 01:11:58,080
Speaker 3: sure they're gonna be fired up. And Orgy's run for

1358
01:11:58,120 --> 01:12:01,120
Speaker 3: thirty and sixty yards in these two games and they've won.

1359
01:12:02,040 --> 01:12:04,760
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, I think it comes to an end here.

1360
01:12:04,800 --> 01:12:09,000
Speaker 3: I think Washington wins that game. I also like Minnesota

1361
01:12:10,200 --> 01:12:13,000
Speaker 3: at home against USC. It's a tricky spot for USC.

1362
01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:17,479
Speaker 3: You know, they they've played two physical what's the line there,

1363
01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:20,800
Speaker 3: They're like catching nine. There's gonna be heavy wins in

1364
01:12:20,840 --> 01:12:23,840
Speaker 3: that game, which favors Minnesota. Minnesota just wants to run it,

1365
01:12:24,320 --> 01:12:28,439
Speaker 3: control the clock, short passing attack and their transfer quarterbacks

1366
01:12:28,439 --> 01:12:30,040
Speaker 3: starting to get more comfortable. You saw that in the

1367
01:12:30,040 --> 01:12:34,160
Speaker 3: second AF against Michigan. So the wins and the conditions

1368
01:12:34,800 --> 01:12:37,040
Speaker 3: they're going to impact USC as the much more explosive

1369
01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:40,160
Speaker 3: passing offense. So I think Minnesota this is your classic

1370
01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:44,160
Speaker 3: like running dog, uh you know, catching over a touchdown.

1371
01:12:44,439 --> 01:12:47,719
Speaker 3: Those slowly one of the slowest teams in college football.

1372
01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:51,280
Speaker 3: So the limit the possessions. Uh So yeah, I like

1373
01:12:51,360 --> 01:12:55,599
Speaker 3: Minnesota there. I mean USC off two you know, physical games.

1374
01:12:55,720 --> 01:12:58,479
Speaker 3: This is a team that hasn't won in the Eastern

1375
01:12:58,560 --> 01:13:01,880
Speaker 3: or Central time zone since twenty twelve. I think they're

1376
01:13:01,960 --> 01:13:04,360
Speaker 3: h to nine straight out one and eight against the spread.

1377
01:13:05,760 --> 01:13:07,600
Speaker 3: So and they got Penn stay on deck. So this

1378
01:13:07,720 --> 01:13:10,639
Speaker 3: is just a tricky situational spot. Don't be surprised Minnesota

1379
01:13:10,640 --> 01:13:12,760
Speaker 3: gets a couple of calls. Big ten blew that game

1380
01:13:13,320 --> 01:13:15,439
Speaker 3: last week, came out, didn't apologize. They said that they're

1381
01:13:15,479 --> 01:13:19,000
Speaker 3: making just changes to how they officiate, So don't be

1382
01:13:19,000 --> 01:13:20,640
Speaker 3: surprised if the Gophers get a couple of calls. But

1383
01:13:22,640 --> 01:13:26,880
Speaker 3: and then, speaking of low possessions, you want to hold

1384
01:13:26,880 --> 01:13:28,920
Speaker 3: your nose. I bet Bandy plus twenty four. It's like

1385
01:13:28,960 --> 01:13:32,519
Speaker 3: twenty three now, still would bet at small against vet Bama.

1386
01:13:33,280 --> 01:13:37,200
Speaker 3: This bandy team is it's scary. They're like, nowhere could

1387
01:13:37,200 --> 01:13:40,400
Speaker 3: come out and they could just hit a million explosives.

1388
01:13:40,600 --> 01:13:42,519
Speaker 3: But this Bandy team is a team all year that

1389
01:13:42,560 --> 01:13:45,360
Speaker 3: I'm gonna bet as a big underdog and fade anytime

1390
01:13:45,400 --> 01:13:49,040
Speaker 3: as a favorite. They're basically a service academy. They run like,

1391
01:13:49,280 --> 01:13:51,120
Speaker 3: you know, an option esque offense. They want to roll

1392
01:13:51,160 --> 01:13:55,400
Speaker 3: the ball, they want to go so slow, so you

1393
01:13:55,439 --> 01:13:57,639
Speaker 3: know they're basically basically treat them as a service academy

1394
01:13:57,640 --> 01:14:00,559
Speaker 3: and anytime. The Services, who's their coach Clark, But they

1395
01:14:00,720 --> 01:14:03,559
Speaker 3: they brought in Jerry Kill and the new Mexico State

1396
01:14:03,720 --> 01:14:07,519
Speaker 3: staff and Diego Pavia who, by the way, Diego Pabi

1397
01:14:07,560 --> 01:14:11,240
Speaker 3: should have upset Missouri at Missouri early this year is

1398
01:14:11,240 --> 01:14:14,479
Speaker 3: twenty one point underdogs. They shortened that name. He went

1399
01:14:14,479 --> 01:14:17,360
Speaker 3: into Auburn last year. This staft they shortened that. They

1400
01:14:17,439 --> 01:14:20,759
Speaker 3: destroyed Auburn and then they upset VA Tech at almost

1401
01:14:20,920 --> 01:14:24,400
Speaker 3: two touchdown underdogs earlier this year. And like the Service guy,

1402
01:14:24,479 --> 01:14:26,519
Speaker 3: and they lost his double digit favorites to Georgia State.

1403
01:14:26,760 --> 01:14:29,120
Speaker 3: But they're coming off of by Alabama. It's just human nature.

1404
01:14:29,439 --> 01:14:33,799
Speaker 3: That was a sixty minute emotional roller coaster. All your

1405
01:14:34,160 --> 01:14:36,360
Speaker 3: eggs into that basket. Like now you're going to Vandy.

1406
01:14:36,439 --> 01:14:38,519
Speaker 3: Fandy's coming off of a bye. They'll have some wrinkles.

1407
01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:41,519
Speaker 3: Cluck Lee came out. He said, you know, they want

1408
01:14:41,560 --> 01:14:44,040
Speaker 3: they want the game to be fewer than ten total possessions.

1409
01:14:44,560 --> 01:14:46,599
Speaker 3: That's what he said this week. It's hard to cover

1410
01:14:47,120 --> 01:14:50,000
Speaker 3: twenty four if there's only ten possessions in the game.

1411
01:14:50,840 --> 01:14:53,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like vanderd A and m Missouri is

1412
01:14:53,320 --> 01:14:55,160
Speaker 3: the hardest game for me on the board. I mean,

1413
01:14:55,560 --> 01:14:57,439
Speaker 3: I don't know who's gonna be quarterback brand them. I

1414
01:14:57,439 --> 01:15:00,920
Speaker 3: think Marce I'll read the freshman. He's better fit for

1415
01:15:00,960 --> 01:15:05,200
Speaker 3: Colin Klein's RPO offense. Wegman has not looked good, but

1416
01:15:05,760 --> 01:15:09,200
Speaker 3: maybe he gives them a better ceiling against the Missouri secondary,

1417
01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:12,519
Speaker 3: which I think is vulnerable. But so I don't know there.

1418
01:15:13,200 --> 01:15:15,599
Speaker 3: Missouri hasn't really played anybody. They should have lost at

1419
01:15:15,600 --> 01:15:21,320
Speaker 3: home to Bandy. But this is their offensive coordinator, Kirby Moore.

1420
01:15:21,360 --> 01:15:23,760
Speaker 3: He usually holds things back. He did this last year

1421
01:15:24,439 --> 01:15:26,200
Speaker 3: and he doesn't really show much because they have a

1422
01:15:26,200 --> 01:15:29,200
Speaker 3: really good receivers, good quarterback, and then you know in

1423
01:15:29,200 --> 01:15:30,920
Speaker 3: one of their first big games will kind of unleash

1424
01:15:30,960 --> 01:15:32,839
Speaker 3: the offense. So you go back and look at Missouri's

1425
01:15:32,840 --> 01:15:34,599
Speaker 3: results last year, like they played like Middle Tennessee State.

1426
01:15:34,680 --> 01:15:37,000
Speaker 3: The offense looked awful, they didn't show anything, so that

1427
01:15:37,040 --> 01:15:39,080
Speaker 3: could be they're coming off of the buy here. This

1428
01:15:39,120 --> 01:15:43,280
Speaker 3: is their first road game, top environment. But I'm so yeah,

1429
01:15:43,360 --> 01:15:44,800
Speaker 3: I could make a case for either team here. I'm

1430
01:15:44,800 --> 01:15:47,719
Speaker 3: still not sold in the A and M. Yeah, because

1431
01:15:47,720 --> 01:15:49,439
Speaker 3: their secondary still have some question marks. But this is

1432
01:15:49,439 --> 01:15:50,720
Speaker 3: the team that probably should have lost at home the

1433
01:15:50,760 --> 01:15:54,320
Speaker 3: Bowling Green. They got out played by Arkansas in Arlington

1434
01:15:54,400 --> 01:15:56,440
Speaker 3: last week. They just benefited from some turnovers.

1435
01:15:57,760 --> 01:16:02,599
Speaker 1: You know, So Arkansas is not bad. I agree, they

1436
01:16:02,600 --> 01:16:04,080
Speaker 1: have played and they are.

1437
01:16:04,560 --> 01:16:07,320
Speaker 3: I'm I'm playing them catching two touchdowns against Tennessee because

1438
01:16:07,320 --> 01:16:10,160
Speaker 3: I'm an idiot and I'm fading Tennessee again. I'll probably

1439
01:16:10,720 --> 01:16:13,400
Speaker 3: uh lose more money doing that. But yeah, I think

1440
01:16:13,479 --> 01:16:15,479
Speaker 3: Arkansas ficy. They can run the ball. My thing with

1441
01:16:15,560 --> 01:16:18,960
Speaker 3: Tennessee is, look, they're great, but Nico he's not been

1442
01:16:19,600 --> 01:16:23,599
Speaker 3: as sharp as maybe the final scores indicators, and no

1443
01:16:23,640 --> 01:16:28,240
Speaker 3: one has like NC State has looked. You look at

1444
01:16:28,280 --> 01:16:30,360
Speaker 3: who Tennessee's played. They played Little Sisters of the Poor,

1445
01:16:31,520 --> 01:16:33,880
Speaker 3: you know, a couple of times, and they played NC State.

1446
01:16:34,680 --> 01:16:36,840
Speaker 3: NC State's a bad football team. We've seen that.

1447
01:16:36,960 --> 01:16:37,200
Speaker 1: Now.

1448
01:16:37,400 --> 01:16:38,960
Speaker 3: This is the team that almost lost at home to

1449
01:16:39,040 --> 01:16:41,720
Speaker 3: LA Tech. They've they had to come back to win

1450
01:16:41,720 --> 01:16:45,160
Speaker 3: against Louisianattack. The Louisiana Tack lost at home to Tulsa.

1451
01:16:45,280 --> 01:16:47,719
Speaker 3: They just lost that FIU FYU the week before lost

1452
01:16:47,720 --> 01:16:50,720
Speaker 3: to Monmouth. Uh the Lotzek scored ten points in that

1453
01:16:50,760 --> 01:16:55,280
Speaker 3: game at FIU. The NC State almost lost to Western Carolina.

1454
01:16:55,760 --> 01:16:58,599
Speaker 3: Western Carolina's one win on the year by one possession

1455
01:16:58,640 --> 01:17:03,439
Speaker 3: over Elon. I mean they got destroyed by Clemson, uh

1456
01:17:03,479 --> 01:17:06,000
Speaker 3: and then destroy attends to NC State last week, he

1457
01:17:06,040 --> 01:17:09,360
Speaker 3: goats Northern Illinois. They won, Yes, Northern oll Nois had

1458
01:17:09,400 --> 01:17:13,599
Speaker 3: four turnovers in that game. Nc stayed at zero and

1459
01:17:13,720 --> 01:17:15,479
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois still had a chance. At the end of

1460
01:17:15,479 --> 01:17:18,120
Speaker 3: that game. NCE stayed at one hundred and seventy total

1461
01:17:18,200 --> 01:17:21,960
Speaker 3: yards in that game. Buffalo, the Buffalo offense who upset

1462
01:17:21,960 --> 01:17:24,439
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois the week before at Northern had more yards.

1463
01:17:24,560 --> 01:17:26,880
Speaker 3: So NC State is bad. They can't move the ball,

1464
01:17:26,920 --> 01:17:28,799
Speaker 3: they can't run it, they can't complete a four pass.

1465
01:17:29,000 --> 01:17:30,880
Speaker 3: So like, I can't even take that much from that

1466
01:17:30,920 --> 01:17:33,960
Speaker 3: Tennessee win. Then Oklahoma is a team that I know.

1467
01:17:34,000 --> 01:17:36,439
Speaker 3: They won at Auburn last week. They gave up three

1468
01:17:36,560 --> 01:17:39,479
Speaker 3: hundred yards of the first half to Auburn. They got

1469
01:17:39,520 --> 01:17:41,679
Speaker 3: got So it's okay I had Auburn in that game.

1470
01:17:42,439 --> 01:17:46,240
Speaker 3: It still hurts. But Oklahoma. They against Houston in game's

1471
01:17:46,479 --> 01:17:50,640
Speaker 3: thirteen to ten at home in the fourth quarter. You

1472
01:17:50,680 --> 01:17:52,240
Speaker 3: know again, they could have lost a two lane. That

1473
01:17:52,280 --> 01:17:54,680
Speaker 3: game was close. Like to Oklahoma, they have all kinds

1474
01:17:54,720 --> 01:17:57,120
Speaker 3: of wide receiver injuries. They can't run the ball. It's

1475
01:17:57,160 --> 01:17:59,599
Speaker 3: like Arkansas at least can run the ball. Taylor Green.

1476
01:18:00,160 --> 01:18:01,679
Speaker 3: This is the problems that I don't really trust Taylor

1477
01:18:01,760 --> 01:18:05,559
Speaker 3: Green their quarterback. He's too an accurate, but he can run.

1478
01:18:05,960 --> 01:18:08,599
Speaker 3: And we saw Oklahoma start to move the ball a

1479
01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:11,080
Speaker 3: bit when they benched Arnold and they brought in their

1480
01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:13,800
Speaker 3: backup freshman who was able to run because they're The

1481
01:18:13,920 --> 01:18:17,120
Speaker 3: Tennessee defensive line is great. So yeah, I think two

1482
01:18:17,200 --> 01:18:20,800
Speaker 3: touchdowns is too much. Maybe Tennessee is that good, but

1483
01:18:20,840 --> 01:18:22,960
Speaker 3: the data points now looking back, they just they don't

1484
01:18:22,960 --> 01:18:25,000
Speaker 3: look as good as they might have at the time.

1485
01:18:26,080 --> 01:18:27,840
Speaker 1: You know what's weird about college football is like in

1486
01:18:27,880 --> 01:18:30,840
Speaker 1: the NFL, even when you play random teams, like you

1487
01:18:30,880 --> 01:18:33,680
Speaker 1: get tested in the regular season, it's hard. You know,

1488
01:18:33,720 --> 01:18:37,000
Speaker 1: look at Old Miss. I mean they're playing the Poor

1489
01:18:37,080 --> 01:18:41,280
Speaker 1: School of the Blind and Kentucky, who goes and plays Georgia,

1490
01:18:41,439 --> 01:18:43,639
Speaker 1: plays a real game, gets up for it, like kind

1491
01:18:43,640 --> 01:18:46,320
Speaker 1: of just just gets used to playing at a high light,

1492
01:18:47,040 --> 01:18:49,519
Speaker 1: comes in on the road and yeah, oh yeah, and

1493
01:18:49,560 --> 01:18:51,479
Speaker 1: then they come in and kind of kick their ass.

1494
01:18:51,479 --> 01:18:53,160
Speaker 1: I mean, I thought Old Miss kind of got worked

1495
01:18:53,160 --> 01:18:55,960
Speaker 1: in that game. And listen, everyone liked Old Miss. But

1496
01:18:56,439 --> 01:18:59,040
Speaker 1: is Kentucky not bad? I mean it's I don't know,

1497
01:18:59,200 --> 01:19:01,320
Speaker 1: they're clearly They're defense is not bad. I mean their

1498
01:19:01,360 --> 01:19:02,320
Speaker 1: defensive line is good.

1499
01:19:02,760 --> 01:19:05,920
Speaker 3: Their defense is elite, Their defensive front is elite. They

1500
01:19:05,920 --> 01:19:08,360
Speaker 3: got NFL guys on the defensive line at linebacker.

1501
01:19:09,680 --> 01:19:12,320
Speaker 1: And that's always the argument, right for you know, people

1502
01:19:12,360 --> 01:19:16,040
Speaker 1: get very very sensitive of like the SEC is so overrated. Listen,

1503
01:19:16,080 --> 01:19:18,840
Speaker 1: the middle of the SEC. Their records might look like

1504
01:19:18,840 --> 01:19:21,479
Speaker 1: the middle of the Big ten. But when you play them,

1505
01:19:21,640 --> 01:19:25,040
Speaker 1: you're playing three or four NFL people on defense. And

1506
01:19:25,080 --> 01:19:28,040
Speaker 1: when I play some of these Minnesotas or whatever, yeah,

1507
01:19:28,080 --> 01:19:30,120
Speaker 1: they both might end up seven to five. It's a

1508
01:19:30,160 --> 01:19:33,360
Speaker 1: different test physically, isn't that. Yeah, And you watch all

1509
01:19:33,360 --> 01:19:33,800
Speaker 1: these games.

1510
01:19:34,040 --> 01:19:36,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, the crazy thing is that Kentucky was down it's

1511
01:19:36,120 --> 01:19:40,519
Speaker 3: top corner all SEC guy in that game against ole Miss.

1512
01:19:41,040 --> 01:19:43,639
Speaker 1: They that was a fantastic win. I mean they kicked

1513
01:19:43,640 --> 01:19:44,400
Speaker 1: the shit out of Yeah.

1514
01:19:44,400 --> 01:19:45,840
Speaker 3: I mean it was physically, yeah, it was.

1515
01:19:46,040 --> 01:19:46,479
Speaker 1: It was huge.

1516
01:19:46,479 --> 01:19:47,519
Speaker 3: I mean they had a great game, but they were

1517
01:19:47,520 --> 01:19:49,680
Speaker 3: getting their defensive line. That's was the big question for

1518
01:19:49,720 --> 01:19:51,600
Speaker 3: me coming here was the ole Miss offensive line. You

1519
01:19:51,640 --> 01:19:53,479
Speaker 3: look at the transfer portal, I do think they're their

1520
01:19:53,520 --> 01:19:56,200
Speaker 3: defense now is legit Like Ole Miss has a good defense.

1521
01:19:56,760 --> 01:19:56,880
Speaker 1: Uh.

1522
01:19:57,240 --> 01:20:00,040
Speaker 3: They got guys who have you know, head agree the

1523
01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:03,800
Speaker 3: results at the SEC level. Uh that they brought in

1524
01:20:04,360 --> 01:20:07,000
Speaker 3: and you know it's they have a better defensive coordinator

1525
01:20:07,040 --> 01:20:10,760
Speaker 3: now it's more a more well schooled, serious defense. They

1526
01:20:10,760 --> 01:20:14,400
Speaker 3: have talent. So that Old Miss defense now is a serious,

1527
01:20:14,800 --> 01:20:18,800
Speaker 3: you know, SEC contender caliber unit. But the question for

1528
01:20:18,880 --> 01:20:21,439
Speaker 3: me is the offensive line. That was the one unit

1529
01:20:21,479 --> 01:20:24,240
Speaker 3: that they didn't really you know, bring in top to

1530
01:20:24,280 --> 01:20:27,160
Speaker 3: your talent. It was guys who you know, like a

1531
01:20:27,640 --> 01:20:32,000
Speaker 3: North Carolina transfer struggled at North Carolina. The talent level

1532
01:20:32,280 --> 01:20:35,240
Speaker 3: just wasn't that And what happened they got Yeah, he

1533
01:20:35,320 --> 01:20:39,160
Speaker 3: played Middle Tennessee, the school of the blind. You were

1534
01:20:39,200 --> 01:20:41,799
Speaker 3: able to just run away the talent. But you played Kentucky.

1535
01:20:41,920 --> 01:20:44,720
Speaker 3: You know Kentucky didn't do in that game. Kentucky was

1536
01:20:44,760 --> 01:20:47,920
Speaker 3: in the back of the entire game. They blitzed nobody

1537
01:20:48,360 --> 01:20:51,760
Speaker 3: was they were. They were dropping seven eight every play. Uh,

1538
01:20:51,840 --> 01:20:54,080
Speaker 3: take away the exposed to play. That's what Stoops wants

1539
01:20:54,120 --> 01:20:56,800
Speaker 3: to do. Uh. The defensive line just dominated the Old

1540
01:20:56,800 --> 01:21:00,240
Speaker 3: Miss office line. That's probably gonna be problematic. And you're

1541
01:21:00,280 --> 01:21:03,160
Speaker 3: playing the top tier team. So that's what I think

1542
01:21:03,280 --> 01:21:05,439
Speaker 3: is going to hold them back to tuck. You had

1543
01:21:05,439 --> 01:21:07,559
Speaker 3: a great game plan, it's similar to what they just

1544
01:21:07,560 --> 01:21:10,639
Speaker 3: wanted to shorten the game. Uh, take away the explosive play,

1545
01:21:10,640 --> 01:21:11,960
Speaker 3: and then when they had the ball, it was just

1546
01:21:12,600 --> 01:21:17,720
Speaker 3: bleed the clock. People Miss on the sidelines control the ball. Uh.

1547
01:21:18,000 --> 01:21:20,240
Speaker 3: And then their defensive line was the difference in the game.

1548
01:21:20,280 --> 01:21:23,760
Speaker 3: Their defensive front just whipped All Miss. I'm not sure.

1549
01:21:23,800 --> 01:21:25,880
Speaker 3: I'm curious to see what all Miss does this weekend.

1550
01:21:26,360 --> 01:21:29,400
Speaker 3: Because you're not out of it and they still host

1551
01:21:29,479 --> 01:21:31,839
Speaker 3: Georgia's one loss, you're in the SEC.

1552
01:21:33,120 --> 01:21:34,840
Speaker 1: You could get into nine and three if you get

1553
01:21:34,840 --> 01:21:37,960
Speaker 1: a big win against Georgia or Tennessee or whoever. You

1554
01:21:37,960 --> 01:21:39,800
Speaker 1: know your biggest teams on your schedule. Don't they play

1555
01:21:39,800 --> 01:21:40,599
Speaker 1: Texas too? Yeah?

1556
01:21:40,600 --> 01:21:42,720
Speaker 3: But the yeah, I mean, I would think nine and

1557
01:21:42,760 --> 01:21:47,320
Speaker 3: three is maybe, but ten and two is still realistic,

1558
01:21:47,439 --> 01:21:48,879
Speaker 3: and you could still there's.

1559
01:21:48,640 --> 01:21:50,439
Speaker 1: Gonna be a nine and three team in the playoff,

1560
01:21:50,479 --> 01:21:51,000
Speaker 1: don't you think.

1561
01:21:51,680 --> 01:21:53,599
Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's it's hard to say because there's

1562
01:21:53,640 --> 01:21:56,880
Speaker 3: just it's gonna depend on so many other things like

1563
01:21:56,920 --> 01:22:00,400
Speaker 3: what happens, Like for example, I'll just this is an

1564
01:22:00,439 --> 01:22:04,800
Speaker 3: unlikely scenario. But if like, for example, Michigan goes nine

1565
01:22:04,800 --> 01:22:08,240
Speaker 3: and three, like they're not getting in. I agree, I'm

1566
01:22:08,240 --> 01:22:10,960
Speaker 3: talking more. But see I'm talking more the SEC.

1567
01:22:11,240 --> 01:22:12,080
Speaker 1: Like if it's.

1568
01:22:11,920 --> 01:22:18,240
Speaker 3: Missouri, no, because their schedule isn't is so easy. They

1569
01:22:18,240 --> 01:22:21,400
Speaker 3: don't play any of the top teams in the SEC.

1570
01:22:21,760 --> 01:22:26,720
Speaker 3: If it's Georgia, yes, uh, Like Georgia plays you know,

1571
01:22:26,760 --> 01:22:30,800
Speaker 3: they just played at Bama. Georgia plays at Ole miss

1572
01:22:30,800 --> 01:22:34,000
Speaker 3: and at Texas. So you know, if they go nine

1573
01:22:34,040 --> 01:22:36,640
Speaker 3: to three and lose those three games, they're getting in.

1574
01:22:36,640 --> 01:22:38,200
Speaker 3: But like there's other things that can happen.

1575
01:22:38,240 --> 01:22:40,960
Speaker 1: So, but can the a CEC get two teams in,

1576
01:22:41,080 --> 01:22:44,280
Speaker 1: Like could Clemson follow Miami and get in? Now they

1577
01:22:44,280 --> 01:22:44,840
Speaker 1: look a lot.

1578
01:22:44,720 --> 01:22:46,559
Speaker 3: Better they obviously, Yeah, I think Clemson's legit.

1579
01:22:46,560 --> 01:22:48,640
Speaker 1: I guess they would probably play Miami twice.

1580
01:22:49,040 --> 01:22:51,080
Speaker 3: Right, they don't play Miami, which is the interesting part.

1581
01:22:51,200 --> 01:22:53,000
Speaker 1: Okay, so they could only lose to them on So

1582
01:22:53,040 --> 01:22:55,320
Speaker 1: that's if their two losses are Georgia in Miami, that's

1583
01:22:55,320 --> 01:22:55,840
Speaker 1: not bad as.

1584
01:22:55,800 --> 01:23:00,160
Speaker 3: I would think they would get in. Yeah, especially if

1585
01:23:00,320 --> 01:23:03,439
Speaker 3: Georgia is in. You know that's a playoff team and

1586
01:23:03,479 --> 01:23:05,799
Speaker 3: you know, say Miami he's a playoff team and Clemson

1587
01:23:05,800 --> 01:23:09,200
Speaker 3: should be favored by a touchdown plus every game the

1588
01:23:09,200 --> 01:23:12,200
Speaker 3: rest of the year. I think Clemson's good again, we'll

1589
01:23:12,240 --> 01:23:16,280
Speaker 3: see if Miami doesn't Mario as well. Yeah, they and

1590
01:23:16,439 --> 01:23:19,360
Speaker 3: cam Ward can be inconsistent. They I mean they they

1591
01:23:19,400 --> 01:23:21,519
Speaker 3: almost lost that game last week, A seventeen point favorites

1592
01:23:21,680 --> 01:23:25,439
Speaker 3: top spot against Cal this week traveling out there, Cal

1593
01:23:25,479 --> 01:23:27,160
Speaker 3: coming off, but by should be healthier. Cal gets some

1594
01:23:27,200 --> 01:23:29,880
Speaker 3: key guys back, but Ole miss they go you know

1595
01:23:29,920 --> 01:23:36,280
Speaker 3: their schedule, they host Georgia and you know, if they

1596
01:23:36,439 --> 01:23:39,559
Speaker 3: lose that game and they run the table, I think

1597
01:23:39,880 --> 01:23:42,519
Speaker 3: they're in. But if they go nine and three, they

1598
01:23:42,520 --> 01:23:45,880
Speaker 3: don't really have any other mark ewins that there are

1599
01:23:45,880 --> 01:23:52,960
Speaker 3: other games are LSU, you know, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Arkansas

1600
01:23:53,000 --> 01:23:57,720
Speaker 3: and Florida and Mississippi State. So I don't think they

1601
01:23:57,720 --> 01:24:00,880
Speaker 3: get in at nine and three there, so they're one

1602
01:24:00,880 --> 01:24:03,120
Speaker 3: team they just don't have to schedule. And then same

1603
01:24:03,160 --> 01:24:08,240
Speaker 3: with Missouri. I mean Missouri that like this is obviously

1604
01:24:08,280 --> 01:24:10,640
Speaker 3: this is a tough game against Texas A and M

1605
01:24:10,960 --> 01:24:17,080
Speaker 3: but you know, then you have UMass, Auburn, Oklahoma, South Carolina,

1606
01:24:17,120 --> 01:24:20,920
Speaker 3: Mississippi State, Arkansas, and they do go to Alabama, but

1607
01:24:21,320 --> 01:24:23,040
Speaker 3: you're not getting in with that schedule nine and three.

1608
01:24:23,080 --> 01:24:25,600
Speaker 3: But there are other things that could happen. You could have,

1609
01:24:27,840 --> 01:24:29,720
Speaker 3: you know, say was the Big twelve getting one team

1610
01:24:29,800 --> 01:24:32,280
Speaker 3: maybe though I should should get one team. But say

1611
01:24:32,360 --> 01:24:36,240
Speaker 3: Iowa State runs the table, which I don't think will happen,

1612
01:24:36,280 --> 01:24:39,120
Speaker 3: but we still have to learn about them. But say

1613
01:24:39,120 --> 01:24:41,200
Speaker 3: they run the table and then they go to the

1614
01:24:41,200 --> 01:24:46,120
Speaker 3: Big twelve Championship and they lose to say Utah or whoever.

1615
01:24:46,320 --> 01:24:49,200
Speaker 3: Big twelve is wide open, Well, then that team gets

1616
01:24:49,200 --> 01:24:52,320
Speaker 3: an automatic autobid and they'll gnna buy. They'll get the

1617
01:24:52,320 --> 01:24:55,840
Speaker 3: top five seed. But you probably still put Iowa State in.

1618
01:24:56,160 --> 01:24:59,160
Speaker 3: They were at twelve and oho, you know Big twelve

1619
01:24:59,160 --> 01:25:02,280
Speaker 3: schedule winner win at Iowa. So like a Big twelve

1620
01:25:02,360 --> 01:25:07,800
Speaker 3: could be a big thief. So yeah, the ACC if

1621
01:25:07,800 --> 01:25:10,840
Speaker 3: they get two in, if the Big twelve steals too,

1622
01:25:11,479 --> 01:25:13,920
Speaker 3: if uh, you know, then you have your group of

1623
01:25:13,960 --> 01:25:19,120
Speaker 3: five team. You know, that's that's five of the twelve spots,

1624
01:25:20,160 --> 01:25:22,559
Speaker 3: and you know the Big ten is probably gonna get

1625
01:25:22,560 --> 01:25:25,800
Speaker 3: three teams in, so then you're down.

1626
01:25:25,880 --> 01:25:28,320
Speaker 1: I think unl V or Boise State is getting you know,

1627
01:25:28,640 --> 01:25:31,439
Speaker 1: if one of those two runs the table. Let's face it,

1628
01:25:31,600 --> 01:25:33,680
Speaker 1: UNLV made the right move telling that kid to kick

1629
01:25:33,760 --> 01:25:36,439
Speaker 1: rocks because they look like a fucking they're good. They

1630
01:25:36,439 --> 01:25:39,360
Speaker 1: play Syracuse to listen to this on Friday tonight. That's

1631
01:25:39,400 --> 01:25:42,320
Speaker 1: a pretty interesting game. But it's in Vegas. Boise. That

1632
01:25:42,439 --> 01:25:46,200
Speaker 1: running back, I mean, he looks like telling you to

1633
01:25:46,240 --> 01:25:49,040
Speaker 1: me my cop. He's darren Sprolls at k State. He

1634
01:25:49,240 --> 01:25:50,360
Speaker 1: is just dominant.

1635
01:25:50,880 --> 01:25:53,479
Speaker 3: You know, he's the best running back in the country.

1636
01:25:54,360 --> 01:25:57,599
Speaker 1: Oh, he's good. So one of those two teams, if

1637
01:25:57,600 --> 01:25:59,599
Speaker 1: they run the table, are you in agreement that they

1638
01:25:59,640 --> 01:26:00,680
Speaker 1: are the representative?

1639
01:26:00,760 --> 01:26:04,400
Speaker 3: Yeah? Uh, the like the MAC is out of it

1640
01:26:04,439 --> 01:26:09,200
Speaker 3: now you can cross them off. Like, if say, uh,

1641
01:26:09,240 --> 01:26:12,640
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois ran the table, they would have gotten in

1642
01:26:12,760 --> 01:26:14,920
Speaker 3: obviously they and they lost NC State. They should have won,

1643
01:26:14,960 --> 01:26:17,360
Speaker 3: but they also lost it home to Buffalo Bowling Green

1644
01:26:17,360 --> 01:26:21,040
Speaker 3: lost it on the Old Dominion and so every MAC

1645
01:26:21,080 --> 01:26:22,200
Speaker 3: team has lost. They're done.

1646
01:26:22,760 --> 01:26:25,240
Speaker 1: So Northern Illinois lost twice since they beat Notre Dame.

1647
01:26:25,560 --> 01:26:28,720
Speaker 3: Yes, so it's not a good look for Notre Dame.

1648
01:26:30,520 --> 01:26:33,360
Speaker 3: The yeah, I mean conference, I don't think Liberty is

1649
01:26:33,360 --> 01:26:35,519
Speaker 3: getting in. Liberty had a game canceled against app State,

1650
01:26:35,640 --> 01:26:37,759
Speaker 3: like and their schedules a joke. And we saw them

1651
01:26:38,280 --> 01:26:42,479
Speaker 3: against Oregon get blasted last year, so I don't think

1652
01:26:42,520 --> 01:26:45,960
Speaker 3: they're in the mix. So uh, they just don't have

1653
01:26:45,960 --> 01:26:51,000
Speaker 3: to schedule strength the Sun Belt. Texas State was supposed

1654
01:26:51,000 --> 01:26:52,519
Speaker 3: to be up there too, but they've lost two games.

1655
01:26:52,560 --> 01:26:54,799
Speaker 3: They just lost their own to Sam Houston. James Madison

1656
01:26:55,320 --> 01:26:57,880
Speaker 3: is the one wild card. This is a team they

1657
01:26:57,920 --> 01:27:00,519
Speaker 3: lost everything all of a sudden. They're an offense juggernaut.

1658
01:27:00,520 --> 01:27:02,800
Speaker 3: Of course, seventy on North Carolina, that's a good data point.

1659
01:27:03,000 --> 01:27:04,720
Speaker 3: Kind is not great, but it's a Power five team.

1660
01:27:04,760 --> 01:27:06,920
Speaker 3: You beat them on the road seventy to fifty, they

1661
01:27:06,960 --> 01:27:10,000
Speaker 3: put up sixty I think sixty again last week. This

1662
01:27:10,400 --> 01:27:13,240
Speaker 3: quarterback Barnett is going crazy. If Jamu they have an

1663
01:27:13,280 --> 01:27:17,679
Speaker 3: easy schedule, they run the table. Maybe, But if if

1664
01:27:17,760 --> 01:27:21,280
Speaker 3: either Fresno or Boise runs the table from here on out,

1665
01:27:21,320 --> 01:27:23,200
Speaker 3: they're gonna get in over JMU. But JAMU, I think,

1666
01:27:23,280 --> 01:27:27,320
Speaker 3: is the interesting name to keep an eye on elsewhere.

1667
01:27:28,640 --> 01:27:31,920
Speaker 3: But yeah, Boise and Fresno, I mean Bois and UNLB

1668
01:27:32,560 --> 01:27:37,639
Speaker 3: will play now Fresno after that, Yeah, yeah, they'll play

1669
01:27:37,720 --> 01:27:42,280
Speaker 3: twice most likely because they'll probably play They're gonna play

1670
01:27:42,560 --> 01:27:43,080
Speaker 3: in Vegas.

1671
01:27:43,160 --> 01:27:44,120
Speaker 1: They play in the regular season.

1672
01:27:44,200 --> 01:27:48,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, October twenty fifth, and I mean the rest of

1673
01:27:48,160 --> 01:27:51,200
Speaker 3: Boise schedule is is pretty easy.

1674
01:27:52,240 --> 01:27:53,920
Speaker 1: So that game is you have to beat the other

1675
01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:56,400
Speaker 1: team twice. Whoever wins that game has to win it again.

1676
01:27:56,479 --> 01:27:58,920
Speaker 1: Yeah they split, but yeah, they're gonna be the front runners.

1677
01:27:58,920 --> 01:28:00,760
Speaker 1: They have good data points to do you have to

1678
01:28:00,800 --> 01:28:01,960
Speaker 1: put a power four team in?

1679
01:28:02,200 --> 01:28:04,080
Speaker 3: Do they have to or no, you mean a group

1680
01:28:04,080 --> 01:28:07,320
Speaker 3: of five or you excuse yeah, yeah, the.

1681
01:28:07,439 --> 01:28:10,080
Speaker 1: High the non power four or five team. You know,

1682
01:28:10,160 --> 01:28:12,200
Speaker 1: I guess the PAC twelve doesn't exist non power five

1683
01:28:12,479 --> 01:28:14,080
Speaker 1: do they automatically get a bit.

1684
01:28:14,160 --> 01:28:20,720
Speaker 3: The highest rate highest ranked UH conference champion from the

1685
01:28:20,760 --> 01:28:25,880
Speaker 3: group of five level the power four, so I is

1686
01:28:25,920 --> 01:28:29,960
Speaker 3: guaranteed to guaranteed a spot which makes the They're probably

1687
01:28:29,960 --> 01:28:31,719
Speaker 3: gonna be the twelve seed, which makes the five seed,

1688
01:28:32,200 --> 01:28:36,000
Speaker 3: and you get a pretty uh if you don't win

1689
01:28:36,040 --> 01:28:38,280
Speaker 3: your conference, getting that five is pretty big because you're

1690
01:28:38,280 --> 01:28:40,000
Speaker 3: gonna play but.

1691
01:28:40,000 --> 01:28:43,120
Speaker 1: Like a Georgia Georgia or type team, that's a pretty

1692
01:28:43,160 --> 01:28:43,799
Speaker 1: good spot.

1693
01:28:43,840 --> 01:28:44,920
Speaker 3: Instead of the sixth seed.

1694
01:28:45,760 --> 01:28:48,559
Speaker 1: You know, maybe you get the boys he gave them. Hell,

1695
01:28:48,720 --> 01:28:51,080
Speaker 1: I mean that could be a rule. The NFL remax.

1696
01:28:50,840 --> 01:28:56,639
Speaker 3: Look, I think it's it's day CE. Maybe you get

1697
01:28:55,640 --> 01:28:59,360
Speaker 3: h Army and Navy. There's a scenario this is on

1698
01:28:59,400 --> 01:29:00,800
Speaker 3: our site if you to go down the weeds on

1699
01:29:00,840 --> 01:29:03,680
Speaker 3: action dot com. The action never got where Army and

1700
01:29:03,720 --> 01:29:09,000
Speaker 3: Navy are both undefeated and then they play each other. Well,

1701
01:29:09,040 --> 01:29:12,120
Speaker 3: they play in the AC Championship. This is very unlikely,

1702
01:29:12,160 --> 01:29:15,519
Speaker 3: but Army Navy both look good. Then they play again

1703
01:29:15,640 --> 01:29:18,800
Speaker 3: again in the Army Navy game, but the College World

1704
01:29:18,800 --> 01:29:22,240
Speaker 3: Playoff has to make their decision before it's a crazy

1705
01:29:22,240 --> 01:29:25,880
Speaker 3: stund very unlikely. But yeah, at the Mountain West is

1706
01:29:26,479 --> 01:29:30,120
Speaker 3: the clear favorite. I mean maybe if if Memphis or

1707
01:29:30,160 --> 01:29:36,040
Speaker 3: two Lane gets hot, you know, but they've they already

1708
01:29:36,080 --> 01:29:38,799
Speaker 3: have losses and the Mountain West is good data points

1709
01:29:38,880 --> 01:29:42,080
Speaker 3: you and know the big wins already against powerboard teams

1710
01:29:42,680 --> 01:29:46,559
Speaker 3: Boise with genty, which gives them sex appeals, so to speak.

1711
01:29:46,560 --> 01:29:48,439
Speaker 3: But they they went toe to toe with the organ

1712
01:29:48,479 --> 01:29:51,720
Speaker 3: should have won arguably that game in Eugene. So yeah,

1713
01:29:51,760 --> 01:29:56,160
Speaker 3: I think they're their clear favorites and Mountain West brace

1714
01:29:56,160 --> 01:29:57,599
Speaker 3: will be very fun to watch.

1715
01:29:59,280 --> 01:30:02,280
Speaker 1: Okay, Stucky, let's uh, let's keep this thing rolling. Let's

1716
01:30:02,280 --> 01:30:03,760
Speaker 1: have a good weekend, and let's make some money.

1717
01:30:04,000 --> 01:30:04,920
Speaker 3: We'll see you next week. Brother.

1718
01:30:06,960 --> 01:30:12,920
Speaker 1: M the volume mm hmm