Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice.
Speaker 1: Now along with the guys.
Speaker 2: From Guillotine Leagues dot com, here's your host, Paul Jargie.
Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It's the biggest draft week
Speaker 1: of the year. So excited to talk to you in
Speaker 1: the busiest week in fantasy football. I'm Paul Charchi and
Speaker 1: Scott Fish Matt Harrison. Are you as jacked as I am?
Speaker 3: That? That is incredible? You have so much energy coming over.
Speaker 3: You're incredibly jacked.
Speaker 4: He's pepper jacked over.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Now, I wish I was the sort of jack
Speaker 1: where you could just like flex and rip apart your
Speaker 1: T shirt.
Speaker 3: I wish I was that kind of jam fantasy muscles.
Speaker 4: Let's just try to use your hands and rip your
Speaker 4: T shirt apart. I want to see if you can
Speaker 4: do that.
Speaker 1: You could do that? Hey, I do not by crappy
Speaker 1: T shirts.
Speaker 4: Oh so obviously, high quality.
Speaker 1: High quality T shirts only for me. Absolutely true. So
Speaker 1: much exciting stuff to get you ready for your final drafts.
Speaker 1: Right now, we're going to talk through our draft personas.
Speaker 1: If you go into your draft of the particular mindset,
Speaker 1: what your outcome might look like. We'll talk about which
Speaker 1: teammates would you rather have. We'll talk about the things,
Speaker 1: the things that we're worried about that we're getting wrong.
Speaker 1: So we've been telling you all preseason about some of
Speaker 1: our big, big trends and the things, the things that
Speaker 1: we see coming. What if we're wrong, Well, we'll hit
Speaker 1: on some final news and notes. We're gonna talk auction
Speaker 1: strategies because we don't. We so rarely get to address
Speaker 1: auctions directly, and there's so much nuance and we love auctions. Here,
Speaker 1: talk a little bit of guillotine strategy. We've got three
Speaker 1: tough questions, We've got sleepers, and then we're gonna do
Speaker 1: previews of the Thursday and Friday night games coming up.
Speaker 4: Oh, we may have a special guest for the Friday
Speaker 4: night Brazil game.
Speaker 1: By I had no idea.
Speaker 4: I brought a guy to the studio. He's in the
Speaker 4: waiting room.
Speaker 1: Oh, I can't wait. I can't wait too slightly worried.
Speaker 4: Yes, that.
Speaker 1: Will be very, very fun. I'm gonna start here draft
Speaker 1: day personas and the idea behind This is do you
Speaker 1: go into your draft with a particular mindset. We'll give
Speaker 1: you four different mindsets, and we'll tell you the outcome
Speaker 1: of basically the starters for those drafts. I am doing
Speaker 1: the boring mindset conservative. Let's call it conservative conservative mindset,
Speaker 1: because nobody likes the boring. Matt. You're doing a high
Speaker 1: risk mindset, yes, which.
Speaker 4: Is completely opposite of what I normally do in drafts.
Speaker 4: So this made me real uncomfortable.
Speaker 1: Scott, you're doing a rookie heavy yes, also known as
Speaker 1: high risk. Because and if we've got time, I'm going
Speaker 1: to give it to the opposite draft, where you know,
Speaker 1: we really deprioritize running backs. All right, let's dive in. Well,
Speaker 1: I guess, because I've two of them, I suppose I
Speaker 1: should go first. And how does that sound?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with the conservative draft. I'm looking for
Speaker 1: proven players, veterans who have a long track record of success.
Speaker 1: I know it's super sexy to be the person who
Speaker 1: gets the next Pookinakua, but you're far more likely to
Speaker 1: end up with Quinton Johnston or Jonathan Mingo or Bryce
Speaker 1: Young or Zach Sharboney or Jalen Hyatt right, So this
Speaker 1: is the proven players. First round Jonathan Taylor, super safe.
Speaker 1: Second round Derrick Henry also extremely safe. Third round Travis Kelce.
Speaker 1: These players have nothing to prove. Fourth round DK Metcalf,
Speaker 1: So it's starting to hit wide receivers now. Then I'm
Speaker 1: gonna I'm actually go with three straight Amari Cooper in
Speaker 1: the fifth round and Keenan Allen in the sixth round yep.
Speaker 1: Then seventh rowne. I'm getting my backup running back Najie Harris,
Speaker 1: and my final draft pick is a quarter I need
Speaker 1: one here and I can get proven quarterbacks late in
Speaker 1: this draft, right. Kirk Cousins, Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford. I
Speaker 1: settled on brock Party. But you insert whichever one.
Speaker 4: Of those you super safe?
Speaker 3: Right?
Speaker 1: So that is the boring draft if you either of
Speaker 1: you walked out of that draft. Jonathan Taylor, Derreck Henry,
Speaker 1: Travis kelcey DK Metcalf, Mariy Cooper, Keenan Allen, Naji Harris,
Speaker 1: Brock Party. Are you feeling good about that team?
Speaker 3: Very good? Yeah?
Speaker 4: I'm feeling okay there, yeah, like like B plus yeah, yeah.
Speaker 3: I feel safe, like I'm in a nice cozy blanket
Speaker 3: in front of a fireplayer swaddled up.
Speaker 4: It does feel like a playoff team.
Speaker 1: Yes, but does it feel like a championship?
Speaker 4: I don't know about that.
Speaker 1: We sing of upside in this.
Speaker 4: We need that no risk at no biscuit that the
Speaker 4: high upside draft offer.
Speaker 3: I love that. I love that you said that because
Speaker 3: we have a guy in our home league drafts this weekend.
Speaker 3: Charge that he always drafts teams like that, and he
Speaker 3: always makes the playoffs. He has not won the play
Speaker 3: one in like fifteen years. Yep.
Speaker 1: That's It's like, it's a totally valuable strategy. Get me
Speaker 1: into the playoffs in the you know, just he'll catch
Speaker 1: a couple of breaks, you know. Yeah, Okay, let's go
Speaker 1: to our next draft. Matt, you've got the high risk,
Speaker 1: high reward draft. Tell me about your overarching philosophy on
Speaker 1: these picks.
Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think really what you're doing here is
Speaker 4: shooting for the moon that you you want to get
Speaker 4: the guys who can maybe just break Fantasy altogether, and
Speaker 4: you're trying to do it in every round, which is
Speaker 4: which is a wild way to go. If you're gonna
Speaker 4: if you're gonna be high risk, you have to take
Speaker 4: running backs in round one, Round two, and round three.
Speaker 1: I like that.
Speaker 4: So I got Bijon Robinson in the first round, I've
Speaker 4: got Devon h Chan in the second, and I've got
Speaker 4: Josh Jacobs in the third. In the fourth, I took
Speaker 4: Stefan Diggs. Uh. Not really sure where he is in
Speaker 4: this offense, but I mean there's a lot of there's
Speaker 4: a lot of risk and a lot of reward in
Speaker 4: one of the high high ranking offense.
Speaker 1: He qualifies.
Speaker 4: Round five the poster boy for high risk, high reward quarterbacks.
Speaker 4: That's Anthony Richardson right there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that you targeted him here.
Speaker 4: Round six and seven went wide receivers back to back
Speaker 4: with Rashie Rice, who could be suspended, and Deontay Johnson,
Speaker 4: whose offense could be terrible, but he could get one
Speaker 4: hundred and sixty targets this year. And then finally David
Speaker 4: and Joku, which I thought this was hilarious. In games
Speaker 4: that Watson started last year, and Joku had five targets
Speaker 4: per game, four catches per game thirty eight yards. In
Speaker 4: games that Watson did not start, he had nine targets,
Speaker 4: six catches, sixty eight yards and scored five times in
Speaker 4: eleven games and by the way, Deshaun Watson starting, Yeah,
Speaker 4: that's not good. So David and Joku. So my team
Speaker 4: is Bijon, ah Chan and Jacob's are my running backs.
Speaker 4: I got Diggs, Rice and Deontay Johnson as my wide receivers.
Speaker 4: Anthony Richardson's my quarterback, and David and Joku in the
Speaker 4: eighth round is my tight end.
Speaker 1: I think most people would prefer your draft. I think,
Speaker 1: just the way fantasy players are wired, they want the
Speaker 1: upside in the risk.
Speaker 4: Now, if you get six of these a to hit good,
Speaker 4: you're in a very good spot. But if it goes
Speaker 4: a coin flip, yeah, you're in a tough spot.
Speaker 3: Agreed, I'll be I'll be honest. I do think the
Speaker 3: rookie won this year is even more high risk and
Speaker 3: less good than both of yours.
Speaker 4: I tried to stay away from the rookies, to leave leave.
Speaker 1: Those first, Scott. I appreciate that. So, Scott, let's let's
Speaker 1: hear about your rookie heavy drafting. YEA, not every pick
Speaker 1: has to be a rookie.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, it doesn't. But if you're gonna look over
Speaker 3: the first eight rounds, you need to grab a couple
Speaker 3: of running backs you're unlikely to take rookies because Jonathan
Speaker 3: Brooks out for four weeks and Jalen Wright is, you know,
Speaker 3: a twelfth rounder. So basically you're starting off with some
Speaker 3: running You're getting running backs in these eight rounds that
Speaker 3: aren't rookies. So I started off with Breese Hall.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: He's only a thirty year player. This is more like
Speaker 1: a youth movement.
Speaker 3: Okay, okay, yeah, career four point eight yard per carry,
Speaker 3: five eight point five per reception, just explosive. We don't
Speaker 3: even talk much about him. In the second round, I'm
Speaker 3: going to Marvin Harrison.
Speaker 4: Oh, obviously my cousin. Yep.
Speaker 1: That makes a ton of s.
Speaker 3: Second round, going to Marvin Harrison, who should be in
Speaker 3: line for a ton of talker targets in an offense
Speaker 3: that very well could be a top ten offense playing
Speaker 3: from behind all the time. Uh, and one of the
Speaker 3: top two target geters there. And we've seen a lot
Speaker 3: of wide receivers come out, Chase Lamb, Jefferson. I'm on,
Speaker 3: et cetera. Studs come out and perform their first year,
Speaker 3: even if the first month is slow. In the third round,
Speaker 3: I go with Sam Laporta.
Speaker 4: Uh, still young.
Speaker 3: Second year tight ends. He scores red zone targets, end
Speaker 3: zone targets, one of the league league's highest scoring and
Speaker 3: best offenses. They even get extra downs for him on
Speaker 3: fourth down.
Speaker 4: You can't stop drafting Sam Laporta.
Speaker 3: I cannot stop drafting Sam.
Speaker 4: Even when you're instructed draft only rookies and there's a
Speaker 4: really good rookie, you still can't stop.
Speaker 2: Yea.
Speaker 3: I could have done Brock Bauers in the eighth. He's
Speaker 3: dealing with this foot issue and tight ends already are
Speaker 3: sometimes slow out of the gate, and he's he's likely
Speaker 3: for Week one right now, but he's already dealing with
Speaker 3: an injury.
Speaker 1: Super dangerous for gallanting you sprock powers, right.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So the fourth round, I'm going to Melik Neighbors.
Speaker 3: The biggest drawback, honestly, isn't him. He looks awesome, lot
Speaker 3: a lot of people had him closer to or even
Speaker 3: above Marvin Harrison coming out. His biggest problem is Daniel Jones.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the that's the governor on him. But he's
Speaker 1: got a very questionable Viking secondary in week one. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Neighbors could hit the ground running.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely could. I mean, Daniel Jones is a quarterback
Speaker 3: who couldn't even throw a touchdown past per game two
Speaker 3: years ago.
Speaker 1: And last year before he got hurt, and the sample
Speaker 1: size was longer than I thought. It was five full
Speaker 1: games for Daniel Jones. Yeah, he averaged zero point four
Speaker 1: touchdowns per game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's real good. Let's let's give at least a
Speaker 3: tiny benefit of the doubt that he's been playing with
Speaker 3: a bunch of like middling slot receivers and he's never
Speaker 3: had a Molik Neighbors and Elik Neighbors should be a
Speaker 3: lock for one hundred targets in that office.
Speaker 4: Speaking of lock, he'll start this year for the Giant Lock.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that might be interesting. Interesting, my deep dark throat segueing. Sorry, no,
Speaker 1: I'm not giving up on Sam howel.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I know you, you know, I just see
Speaker 3: this scenario. If Gino doesn't perform that grub offense, that
Speaker 3: could be really good for interesting Scott some weapons. I know.
Speaker 3: I'm going to Anthony Richardson in the next round because
Speaker 3: my quarterbacks are late Caleb Williams, Jade and Daniels like.
Speaker 3: I can't get him in the first eight rounds, so
Speaker 3: I'm going with the basically a rookie who only had
Speaker 3: two full games last year, but he was QB two
Speaker 3: and QB four in those two full games. Wow. So
Speaker 3: uh didn't produce much as the thrower, but if that
Speaker 3: even takes any kind of a step, his ceiling is very,
Speaker 3: very high.
Speaker 1: It is very high.
Speaker 3: Next round, I'm going Rashi Rice with the Hollywood Brown injury,
Speaker 3: no suspension in sight, the way he ended the last
Speaker 3: month as a true legit wide receiver. One his A
Speaker 3: dot was tiny, but he gets a ton of red
Speaker 3: zone targets and then he gets them after the catch. Yeah,
Speaker 3: Rashi Rice there. In the seventh, I'm going to mere White.
Speaker 3: I know he's third year in, but honestly, I just
Speaker 3: need a running back at this point. There's no rookies.
Speaker 3: This is about where I have to go with it.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 1: You know, Matt and I are very high on smear White.
Speaker 1: I have him in so many Keene leagues because the volume.
Speaker 1: To me, it's the volume Smir White super safe.
Speaker 3: Yeah. If Antonio Pierce had his brothers, he would not
Speaker 3: throw a pass all season. He would just run it all.
Speaker 3: We saw belcow In Zamir White last year twenty twenty two,
Speaker 3: twenty five, and twenty six touch games, averaging one hundred
Speaker 3: and fifteen total yards a game. I think that's in there.
Speaker 3: He's he never was a pass catcher before that, but
Speaker 3: in those final four games he had thirteen targets, catching
Speaker 3: the ball nine times. I should have waiting feed you
Speaker 3: up for that.
Speaker 1: You know I'll get there.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Lolby could come in for some of that work.
Speaker 3: But Zamir White is going to be a bellcow. And
Speaker 3: then in round eight, I'm going with Roma Dunze, a
Speaker 3: four favorite. He's an eighth round shot. That kind of
Speaker 3: Keenan Allen's rage of outcomes might ladden on the bad
Speaker 3: side and we haven't. He might be a top two
Speaker 3: option that offense. I'm willing to take the shot on
Speaker 3: him there over some of the other options like Bowers,
Speaker 3: who's injured and whatnot. So my my rookie, heavy, very
Speaker 3: risky offense is Anthony Richardson at quarterback, Bryce Hall ends
Speaker 3: A Mere Wide at running back, Harrison Neighbors Rashi Rice
Speaker 3: and Rome Adunza at wide receiver, and Sam Laporta at
Speaker 3: tight end.
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest, I like that.
Speaker 3: I do too.
Speaker 1: They so much want that team to come together.
Speaker 4: Now.
Speaker 3: Now replace Richardson with a fifth round player and take
Speaker 3: Caleb Williams their Jayden and Daniels the next round.
Speaker 1: Right, and that I'm even happier.
Speaker 3: You're even happier.
Speaker 1: It's absolutely true, Absolutely a lot of risk. There's a
Speaker 1: non zero chance Caleb Williams is the consensus number one
Speaker 1: quarterback next year. Yeah, that's that could happen. All right,
Speaker 1: do the opposite draft. I'm going to punt the most dangerous, volatile,
Speaker 1: and disappointing position running backs until the middle rounds that
Speaker 1: I'm gonn to take high value, proven wide receivers, quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: and tight ends with my most valuable selections in the draft,
Speaker 1: beginning with round one. Justin Jefferson, yep, I think enough said.
Speaker 1: We know that he's great. Sam Donald to be something
Speaker 1: of a limiting factor probably, but this whole offense goes
Speaker 1: through Justin Jefferson. Second round Devanta Adams. Now, I know
Speaker 1: we just said the Raiders, if they had their way,
Speaker 1: they would just run the ball constantly. But Devanta Adams
Speaker 1: super safe and dependable, tons of targets. Nobody else gets
Speaker 1: a lot of targets in that offense. Brock Bowers is
Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of time to get up
Speaker 1: to speed. Third round, Sam Laporta for reasons that have
Speaker 1: already been mentioned here, and we just we love Sam
Speaker 1: Laporta on the show, so we keep finding our way
Speaker 1: to him. Fourth round, another player who's already been taken
Speaker 1: once elite neighbors. Fifth thrown. I also have Anthony Richardson.
Speaker 4: By the way, yeah, you've taken wide receivers with the quarterbacks, Sam, Darnold, Gardner,
Speaker 4: Minshew and Daniel Jones. How do you feel about that?
Speaker 4: Their charch not right?
Speaker 1: Thank you? The fifth thrown. I also have Anthony Richardson
Speaker 1: proving that we did not coordinate these before players. And
Speaker 1: then sixth round, I'm finally turning my attention to running backs. Six, seven,
Speaker 1: and eight are my running backs. I'm taking Remandre Stevenson. Look,
Speaker 1: I know that Patriots offense is not going to be good,
Speaker 1: but I feel like he's been held back by Bill
Speaker 1: Belichick all this time. He wasn't being given goal line
Speaker 1: looks for no reason. He can catch better than they
Speaker 1: ever threw to him, and the offense can't get worse
Speaker 1: than it was last year.
Speaker 3: I almost did him. I thought about it then.
Speaker 1: Samre White for reasons you just discussed as well, and
Speaker 1: then round eight, I'm throwing a dart at Zach Boss
Speaker 1: on the chance that he ends up being the lead back.
Speaker 1: That would be outstanding, and I think there's a real
Speaker 1: chance that could end up working out that way. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Zach Moss. So again, here's the I'll
Speaker 1: recap my do the opposite team. My quarterback is Anthony Richardson.
Speaker 1: My three run are Ramandra Stevenson, Zamir White, Zack Moss.
Speaker 1: My my wide receivers are Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams, Malik Neighbors.
Speaker 1: So we get a little bit of zingy upsided Neighbors,
Speaker 1: and then my tight end Sam Laporta. I'd go to
Speaker 1: war with that team. Sure yeah, sure? Did I get
Speaker 1: all these volume backs at the back end of this
Speaker 1: draft and a little if Zack Moss pans out in
Speaker 1: week eight or round eight, that's a great opportunity for
Speaker 1: me right there.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: When we come back next segment Fantasy Football Weekly, which
Speaker 1: teammate would you rather have at their average draft position?
Speaker 1: In years past, we have tended as a group to
Speaker 1: go towards later picks. Yep, we'll see if that's going
Speaker 1: to hold. Here is it's a ritual. We do this
Speaker 1: the last preseason show every year. We'll ask which teammates
Speaker 1: would you rather have, including Tyreek Hill in the first
Speaker 1: round or Jalen Waddle in the third round. We'll talk
Speaker 1: it through when we come back to Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. If you haven't tried a
Speaker 1: guillotine league, it's the perfect time. Private league's totally free
Speaker 1: this year. A reskinned app. It's beautiful. It's never run better.
Speaker 1: It's a beautiful it's a bits a beautiful Guillotine League's app.
Speaker 1: You know how it works. Eighteen up to eighteen teams
Speaker 1: start the season. You don't have to have eighteen. You
Speaker 1: can end the season sooner if you want. Every week
Speaker 1: the low screwing team gets chopped, all the players go
Speaker 1: to the waiver wire. The rest of us build superstar rosters.
Speaker 1: I have to do is not finish last. It is
Speaker 1: super fun.
Speaker 4: I'm in the midst of a guillotine draft right now.
Speaker 4: Oh it's a slow draft. Yeah, And I ended up
Speaker 4: with both Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, and I don't
Speaker 4: know how I feel about it.
Speaker 1: Oh boy, I've got one where I messed up yeah,
Speaker 1: I got auto drafted for one of my picks. So
Speaker 1: for not to get too deep into this, people don't
Speaker 1: care about anybody else's fantasy team.
Speaker 4: I do.
Speaker 1: Jamier Gibbs, who's typically going up the board at like
Speaker 1: run at position like twelve. Overall, right, he's gonna like
Speaker 1: end of the first round of normal drafts Guillotine League draft,
Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibbs goes all the way up to eighteen turns,
Speaker 1: the corner comes all the way back to me in
Speaker 1: the end of the second round at I've got picked three. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you know whatever, So I guess that would be picked
Speaker 1: like fifteen in the second round. So I'm like, okay, fine,
Speaker 1: you know, at this point, as dedicated as I am
Speaker 1: to not taking running backs, if somebody's gonna fall that far,
Speaker 1: hey fine, I'm gonna take him, even though he's got
Speaker 1: the Week five by three rounds later, I got auto drafted.
Speaker 1: My fault I get autographed is your.
Speaker 4: Own fault, David Montgomery.
Speaker 1: David Montgomery. So now I've got both sides of the
Speaker 1: Lions backfield, which is a bad idea in Guillantine and
Speaker 1: Week five, bye, I gotta get by.
Speaker 4: Well. It's safety though, because one of them's going to
Speaker 4: score every week.
Speaker 1: That is one will.
Speaker 4: I mean when you're eat both, I mean when you're
Speaker 4: in an eighteen team league, you're probably okay starting them
Speaker 4: for the first three or four weeks.
Speaker 1: That's how it's gonna have to come. I'm just gonna
Speaker 1: have to spend some money early.
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's all.
Speaker 1: Which teammates would you rather have at their ADP? We
Speaker 1: begin with Miami wide receivers Tyreek Hill in round one
Speaker 1: or Jalen Waddle in round three? Let's begin with Scott Fish.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So, I honestly don't have a strong take on
Speaker 3: this one. It's probably Hill. Double digit targets in eleven games,
Speaker 3: twenty nine receptions of twenty more yards, which led the league.
Speaker 3: He's a big play machine, averaged well over one hundred
Speaker 3: yards per game last year. He just seems like he's
Speaker 3: more not seems he is more consistent, and he usually
Speaker 3: gets the bigger, more explosive uh Spike weeks. I think
Speaker 3: it's probably Hill.
Speaker 1: Okay, so Hill, we'll go Hill, Okay, Matt, Which teammate
Speaker 1: would you rather have? Tyrek Hill in round one? Jalen
Speaker 1: Waddle round three?
Speaker 4: It's definitely Tyreek Hill. He's the only one in the
Speaker 4: league who does Tyreek Hill things, and he's got my
Speaker 4: vote here. Waddle in the in round three is a
Speaker 4: significant price and he only had one hundred and two
Speaker 4: targets last year. That's not enough for me to spend
Speaker 4: money on a round three wide receiver.
Speaker 1: You nailed it right there, my man. I can't you
Speaker 1: know Tyrek Hill's two years in Miami one hundred and
Speaker 1: seventy targets, one hundred and seventy one ton rails. Yeah,
Speaker 1: And not only does that obviously help Hill a lot,
Speaker 1: it really daggers Wattle and it puts him on these
Speaker 1: games where he's targeted four times five times and catches
Speaker 1: three passes, and those dud games really hurt. Next Atlanta
Speaker 1: running backs Bijon Robinson or Tyler Algier Robinson in the
Speaker 1: first round, Matt or Tyler Algier in the twelfth round.
Speaker 1: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Well, I'm gonna keep talking about Bijon throughout the day,
Speaker 4: but I haven't s bent anything on him at all
Speaker 4: this year, So for me, it's part of me.
Speaker 3: Would you have any great.
Speaker 4: Remember that they really need to stretch into Dijon after
Speaker 4: that this work? I know, so I have Algier at
Speaker 4: the round twelve EIGHTYP But honestly, I think this backfield
Speaker 4: is cloudy enough that I'd really like to avoid both
Speaker 4: this year.
Speaker 1: All right, Scott Fish, would you rather have be Jean
Speaker 1: Robinson and round one or Tyler Algier in round twelve?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just don't think. I think Algier. You're gonna
Speaker 3: have to have trouble figuring out where to pick your
Speaker 3: spots with him, or there needs to be a bijon injury.
Speaker 3: I just don't think he's going to be super fantasy
Speaker 3: relevant mode.
Speaker 4: You're in a league with him, I'm not.
Speaker 3: Anymore, not anymore. And he was seven and seven in
Speaker 3: the league. So he's definition of the middle.
Speaker 1: And that's why you're not taking him in the twelve round.
Speaker 3: Yes, so I guess I'm going with Jon Robinson because
Speaker 3: over the final month of the season last year was
Speaker 3: top five and running back targets, first down targets, first
Speaker 3: three targets, first down receptions, and more nine point three
Speaker 3: yards perception, had thirty runs over ten yards. He's got
Speaker 3: game breaking talent. It's if he gets even half the
Speaker 3: goal line carries in an offense that should be pretty
Speaker 3: productive this year, and also a defense that should lead
Speaker 3: them to have leads. It should just be you know,
Speaker 3: being able to run out leads. I think Bijon's probably
Speaker 3: got the more fantasy. I mean, he does, but I'll
Speaker 3: take Bjon in the first.
Speaker 1: To support a first round ranking for Bjon Robinson, we
Speaker 1: need a massive uptick in Bijon Robinson.
Speaker 3: Utilization and you're gonna get that.
Speaker 1: And maybe it's coming. We don't know that for sure.
Speaker 1: But what I can tell you for sure is that
Speaker 1: new offensive coordinator, Zach Robinson keeps saying repeatedly Tyler Aljier
Speaker 1: is a big part of this offense. And I am
Speaker 1: worried that for.
Speaker 4: All telling the truth that he's out, that we actually.
Speaker 1: Have a coach truth that it's actually gonna happen. And
Speaker 1: in the first round, I want first round player, and
Speaker 1: you touch on this one, go Matt for my first
Speaker 1: round equity. I want a player who the offense goes
Speaker 1: through that guy, and I don't want to have to
Speaker 1: speculate that that's going to happen.
Speaker 3: Like it. My view on that is, even if al
Speaker 3: Giotic gets thirty percent and Vijon gets seventy percent, that's
Speaker 3: still probably going to put up first round numbers with
Speaker 3: how effective he is. But I agree, I can see
Speaker 3: either side.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Houston. This is the toughest one. We've
Speaker 1: alluded to this many times in the preseason shows. Scott
Speaker 1: Houston wide receiver Nico Collins and round three, Stefan Diggs
Speaker 1: in round four, Tank Dell and round five. Y. This
Speaker 1: is thorny.
Speaker 3: It can be. I know that Tennabee the other day
Speaker 3: was saying he likes Stefan Diggs. Feels like he's going
Speaker 3: to be that vet begging for the ball and poud
Speaker 3: if he doesn't get it. Honestly, these are so close
Speaker 3: in ADP that I'm taking the one that I think
Speaker 3: is the best one. The ADPs aren't ridiculously different third round,
Speaker 3: fourth round, fifth round, so you're not getting a major
Speaker 3: discount like the last the last question. Among wide receivers,
Speaker 3: Nico was third and broken tackles, eighth in yards, fourth
Speaker 3: in yards after the catch, fourth and explicit play rate
Speaker 3: with twenty five receptions over twenty yards. That's that's incredible.
Speaker 3: Second in yards per target, top ten and several other categories,
Speaker 3: not just last year but since entering the league. I
Speaker 3: think he's the best receiver of them. At this moment,
Speaker 3: so I want him.
Speaker 1: Matt, which of the Houston wide receivers are you taking?
Speaker 1: Nico Collins around three? Stuff on Digs, Round four, Tank
Speaker 1: Dell round five.
Speaker 4: If you listen to CJ. Stroud, Tank Dell is one
Speaker 4: of the top three wide receivers of all time already.
Speaker 4: And if I can get him latest out of these three,
Speaker 4: and really there's a non zero chance here that Tank
Speaker 4: Dell isn't the best wide receiver out of these three
Speaker 4: this year, I'll take Tank Dell in round five, and
Speaker 4: I think the two round discount. I'll take the two
Speaker 4: round discount. Digs isn't even in the conversation here, by
Speaker 4: the way.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you.
Speaker 1: I know ten to be love them. I'm with you
Speaker 1: as well. I prefer I prefer not to take Digs
Speaker 1: out of these three. It's complicated because all three guys,
Speaker 1: and we've mentioned this some previous shows as well, all
Speaker 1: three guys play the X, the Y, and the Z.
Speaker 1: So they're going to be shuffled all around the field
Speaker 1: and they're going to be utilized in very totally different
Speaker 1: ways game to game. It's going to be a nightmare
Speaker 1: for us doing Houston matchups. Watch me just slough those
Speaker 1: matchups to you guys. Every reason to deal with it.
Speaker 1: But I'm emotionally tied to Nico Scott and I started
Speaker 1: talking about him as a rookie and as a sophomore
Speaker 1: when the numbers weren't there. But we love this kid,
Speaker 1: and I'm not getting off the hype train now. And
Speaker 1: I'll mention this. Dwayne McFarland's preseason utilization showed Nico Collins
Speaker 1: on the field for ninety three percent of CJ. Stroud's snaps.
Speaker 1: So he looks like the safest this preseason. He looks
Speaker 1: like it's a small sample size.
Speaker 3: Okay.
Speaker 1: We acknowledge that the safest of the receivers to bank
Speaker 1: on in two receiver sets, which will happen sometimes. So
Speaker 1: I'm going Nico Collins. Let's move to Tampa Bay. Which
Speaker 1: of the two Tampa Bay receivers would you rather have
Speaker 1: Mike Evans in round three or Chris Godwin in round seven?
Speaker 1: Matt it is your turn.
Speaker 4: Something about me just doesn't fully trust Chris Godwin to
Speaker 4: bounce back here, and I'd rather just take the sure
Speaker 4: thing in Mike Evans. He just keeps doing it year
Speaker 4: after year after year. I'll just take Mike Evans in
Speaker 4: round three and get on with it, Okay, Scott.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So Evan's coming off of the year where he
Speaker 3: led the league in touchdowns top ten in a bunch
Speaker 3: of different categories. Godwin moving back to the slot where
Speaker 3: he averaged more catches, more targets, more yards per game,
Speaker 3: even scored more. Somehow, I think the safe call is
Speaker 3: probably Evans because he's going to put up his thousand,
Speaker 3: He's probably going to get double digit touchdowns. But my
Speaker 3: answer is Jalen McMillan. In the last round of your draft,
Speaker 3: wow off the board, beat out Trey Palmer for the
Speaker 3: other outside role, Liam Cohen coming from the McVeigh tree,
Speaker 3: likely to run eleven personnel all day long. He's always
Speaker 3: going to be out there and he's always going to
Speaker 3: see single coverage. I think. I think he's the cheapest.
Speaker 3: You're going to be able to flex him every once
Speaker 3: in a while. Option in Jalen McMillan, I get other
Speaker 3: guys at three and seven.
Speaker 1: I love that you went off the board for this one.
Speaker 1: I've taken Mike Evans. Now, if Evans, if Tampa hadn't
Speaker 1: just given him a brand new fifty four million dollars
Speaker 1: two year extension. I would be worried that this is
Speaker 1: like the end is coming, but they did, and they
Speaker 1: know him better than anybody coming off a great season.
Speaker 1: Seventeen games played, more receptions in yards than any season
Speaker 1: for Mike Evans since twenty eighteen, thirteen touchdowns last year
Speaker 1: his second highest total ever. I mean, Mike Evans, dude
Speaker 1: still got it based on what we saw last year.
Speaker 4: He's Baker's Wooby Baker's.
Speaker 1: Would be let's go back to running backs. We're headed
Speaker 1: to Miami. Another thorny one for our panel of experts. That's,
Speaker 1: by the way, that's you guys. Devon H. Chan round two,
Speaker 1: Raheem Mostered round seven or Jalen Wright in round twelve. Scott,
Speaker 1: who you taken.
Speaker 3: So much of me? Wants it to be a Chan
Speaker 3: because I believe he's got this Christian McCaffrey potential upside.
Speaker 3: If Moster it's done and they give Moster is you know,
Speaker 3: finally tailing off and he becomes you know, the sixty
Speaker 3: seven sixty five percent back in this backfield. But I'm
Speaker 3: gonna go with Jalen Right round twelve. The likelihood of
Speaker 3: a Chan or most Art getting hurt the just what
Speaker 3: he showed in preseason, and Mike McDaniel loves to run
Speaker 3: two backs. I think if any of that happens, he's
Speaker 3: going to find himself a role. I mean, just unbelievable speed,
Speaker 3: high i Q guy. We'll talk about him later though.
Speaker 1: Right I like it. Matt Devon ah Chan and round
Speaker 1: two were he most are Round seven or Jalen right
Speaker 1: in round twelve.
Speaker 4: In round seven, we can get the player who had
Speaker 4: the most rushing touchdowns in the league last year. I mean, well,
Speaker 4: even if we cut it in half, he's still scoring
Speaker 4: nine touchdowns on the ground this year. It's most hurt
Speaker 4: for me because the most likely outcome here is if
Speaker 4: everybody's healthy, this is still a split backfield in some way,
Speaker 4: and Mostard scores a lot of touchdowns. So I'm just
Speaker 4: gonna take most in round seven. It's easy.
Speaker 1: Same It's it's the inside the five. Stats bear this out.
Speaker 1: Miami ran the ball the seventh most times, they scored
Speaker 1: the fifth most rushing touchdowns, and Raheem Moster had the
Speaker 1: third most attempts across the NFL from inside the five.
Speaker 1: They ran him twenty times from inside the five. To me,
Speaker 1: this is a this is an easy answer. And by
Speaker 1: the way, this gives it's pause for reconsideration on Devan
Speaker 1: e Channer two for me. All right, let's work in
Speaker 1: one or two more Chicago's wide receivers DJ Moore, Keenan Allen,
Speaker 1: or Roma Dunza. Let's go to Matt for this one.
Speaker 4: You know you roam if you want to all around
Speaker 4: the world. Yes, he costs me the least, then I'm
Speaker 4: you know, really, I'm still not fully on board with
Speaker 4: the Bears offensive line situation. I think that's shaky at most,
Speaker 4: and so I'm probably not drafting many Bears this season.
Speaker 4: So if I really have to draft a Bear, I'm
Speaker 4: gonna take the cheapest one here.
Speaker 1: Okay, Scott, which of the Chicago wide receivers that you
Speaker 1: take in Dj Moore round four, Keenan Allen round six,
Speaker 1: or Roma Dunes at round eight.
Speaker 3: It's probably just cheapest. It's probably just the DUNESA. I
Speaker 3: think he's got the potential to be the wide receiver two,
Speaker 3: if not the wide receiver one, but probably the wide
Speaker 3: receiver two. And I think that Keenan Allen's likelihood to
Speaker 3: you know, fall down is more likely than his likelihood
Speaker 3: to be that would be for Kayleb Williams.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into our final. I'm Roban Dunes
Speaker 1: as well. So we all took the cheapest option for
Speaker 1: the Bears and by a fair margin, a little bit
Speaker 1: rot the way down to round eight, and man, he's
Speaker 1: got some tantalizing upside as well. I want to work
Speaker 1: in the rare tight end question. Yes, people thought it
Speaker 1: would only be receivers and running backs. Baltimore tight end
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews in round four or Isaiah Likely way down
Speaker 1: in round sixteen. Let's begin with this is a Scott one?
Speaker 3: Well, sure, sure, it's Isaiah Likely. It's I mean, it's
Speaker 3: such a huge, huge discount there. And the way Todd
Speaker 3: Monkin has been talking this offseason about Likely being, you know,
Speaker 3: having a huge role in the offense. Finally, outside of
Speaker 3: a Mark Andrews' injury, he may end up being the
Speaker 3: third passing option behind Andrews and Flowers and obviously wheels
Speaker 3: up if anything happens to Andrews. But if he becomes
Speaker 3: that third, then again, Munkin's also been talking about talking about.
Speaker 1: Retard Stott Bateman, but he's got to stay healthy.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's got to stay healthy. But I'll tay. I'll
Speaker 3: take the cheap end of roster guy.
Speaker 1: Okay, Matt, you're going Mark Andrews round four or Isaiah
Speaker 1: Likely in round sixteen.
Speaker 4: I will also go Likely, but I'll just add Mark
Speaker 4: Andrews in round four. I just never find myself wanting
Speaker 4: to draft Mark Andrews in round four. There's too many
Speaker 4: guys around there that I like just a lot better.
Speaker 4: If I want a premium tight end, I'm drafting a
Speaker 4: premium tight end before that, and if not, I'll just
Speaker 4: take Likely really late.
Speaker 1: Andrews is one season removed from being the highest scoring
Speaker 1: tight end in Fantasy football. Is you know, Likely's emerging prowess,
Speaker 1: and I do think it's coming. I don't think takes
Speaker 1: Andrews off the field. I think that's complimentary. Mostly they'll
Speaker 1: play together. In Andrews nine full games last year, he's
Speaker 1: still average fifty nine yards and point seven touchdowns per game.
Speaker 1: Those are great tight end numbers across a full season.
Speaker 1: He'd nearly had a one thousand receiving season. Again, very
Speaker 1: good numbers for a tight end. I think I'm taking
Speaker 1: the sure thing and Mark Andrews. You guys know, I
Speaker 1: love my tight ends. We're gonna do that here as well.
Speaker 1: When we come back. I might be wrong about some
Speaker 1: of our biggest takes. Find out what they are and
Speaker 1: what our real hesitancy is when we come back to
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi
Speaker 1: and Scott Fish and Matt Harry with you. Thank you
Speaker 1: for listening. This is a segment we've done the past
Speaker 1: couple of years. I think this is a Matt Harrison invention,
Speaker 1: if I recall correct, Maybe called I might be wrong
Speaker 1: about that because we spout off all these big opinions
Speaker 1: all preseason, but in the back of our minds, we're like, maybe.
Speaker 3: I'm not right. It was actually I stole it.
Speaker 1: You stole it, Okay, you stole it.
Speaker 3: I do this segment on Christopher Harris's podcast, Shout Out,
Speaker 3: and I brought it here, Christopher Harrison, I did shout
Speaker 3: it out when I brought it over. Okay, all right,
Speaker 3: So like he appreciate that, give give credit where credit
Speaker 3: is due.
Speaker 1: All right, Well let's start with you, Scott, who is
Speaker 1: the first of what will ultimately be three players. We'll
Speaker 1: all do three players. You might be wrong about.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna start with Nico Colem. I already mentioned why
Speaker 3: I love him, but why I take him over the three.
Speaker 3: But obviously there's question marks. What if Diggs does, like
Speaker 3: like Tenneby said last week on the on on the
Speaker 3: show that uh he demands the balls of Vett pouts
Speaker 3: when he doesn't get it. What if teams take away
Speaker 3: Nico and Dell deeper and Diggs runs around free constantly
Speaker 3: in the middle of the field, and that's where c J.
Speaker 3: Stroud just finds the open guy, because that's what c
Speaker 3: J Straudle do. He will find the open guy. What
Speaker 3: if the offense uh is is great but just doesn't
Speaker 3: support all three, or they support him inconsistently, where Diggs
Speaker 3: is the stud one week, the Dell is the Nico.
Speaker 1: That's the real fear for.
Speaker 3: So I could be wrong. It could be it could
Speaker 3: be any of those following options, or.
Speaker 1: Let me let me brush this idea. Yeah, draft, whichever
Speaker 1: the Houston receivers you like. If your guy blows up
Speaker 1: in week one, trade them mm hmmm, because that might
Speaker 1: be a one game sample size that makes it look
Speaker 1: like he's he's like Hi, and you sell high in
Speaker 1: that moment before week two comes and it's a different guy.
Speaker 1: And now in your guy's got three catches, Matt, what
Speaker 1: is the first of your three? I might be wrong
Speaker 1: about that.
Speaker 4: All my guys are kind of guys I've poo pooed on,
Speaker 4: but I'm I'm fearful that I'm not going to have
Speaker 4: them on my roster this and I mentioned it in
Speaker 4: my high risk draft, but I think I'm just pretty
Speaker 4: risk averse when it comes to running backs, especially in
Speaker 4: the first two rounds. It's like charges constant blah blah blah.
Speaker 4: Do the opposite has rubbed off on me? So I
Speaker 4: got Devin a chan here. I have a chan nowhere,
Speaker 4: and I know there's going to be weeks where I'm
Speaker 4: pissed off about that. He had one hundred and thirty
Speaker 4: touches last year and managed to finish as RB four
Speaker 4: and points per game. Let's say he gets one hundred
Speaker 4: and sixty rushing attempts and fifty receptions, which is only
Speaker 4: two hundred and ten touches, and that just basically means
Speaker 4: that he's just healthy all year and there's no increase
Speaker 4: in touch tootal. We're looking at a probable one thousand
Speaker 4: rushing yards with a lower yard per carry average. I
Speaker 4: even baked in there, and another four hundred receiving yards
Speaker 4: and if we keep the touchdowns right around at the
Speaker 4: same eleven. If that holds, he finishes as a top
Speaker 4: six running back. And that's with no increase in this
Speaker 4: in is usage. That's forty three percent of the snaps
Speaker 4: in every game. But mostard is looming and Hill steals
Speaker 4: touches and he did get hurt last year a little bit,
Speaker 4: so that's been enough to scare me off. But I'm
Speaker 4: scared I'm not going to have any h N this year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I have zero h CHAN.
Speaker 3: I'm scared I have too much h especially after Matt
Speaker 3: said all that.
Speaker 1: I might be wrong about Xavier Worthy. You know, we've
Speaker 1: gotten to the point where every year there's like can
Speaker 1: do an exciting receiver for the Chiefs and we all,
Speaker 1: you know, we all go to that guy and then
Speaker 1: he doesn't pan out, or in the case of Rashi Rice,
Speaker 1: it takes you about three months before you pan out.
Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy brings the insane speed to the position. Now
Speaker 1: we've seen Patrick Mahomes average distance of throw shrink, shrink, shrink,
Speaker 1: shrink last year is practically a dink and dunk passer.
Speaker 1: I know Andy Reid wants to bring back the vertical game,
Speaker 1: and that's why they drafted him.
Speaker 4: That coincided with the loss of speedy Tyree Hill exactly.
Speaker 3: I was gonna say, he's a perfect compliment to Rice
Speaker 3: and Kelsey. Kelsey in the middle, Rice is short, he.
Speaker 1: Is the perfect compliment.
Speaker 2: No.
Speaker 1: So the reason I've been pooh pooing down on Xavier Worthy,
Speaker 1: I haven't drafted him anywhere is because he fits the
Speaker 1: archetype of the most probable bust of all wide receivers
Speaker 1: track star speed receivers. Yeah, don't have the polish for
Speaker 1: all the things required and a position that is technically
Speaker 1: very difficult, and we rarely see guys that are four
Speaker 1: two speed guys end up making it in the NFL,
Speaker 1: and I'm worried that that's going to be the case
Speaker 1: here too for Xavier Worthy. But I could be wrong,
Speaker 1: and he could be the downfield threat that Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 1: has not had since Tyreek Hill and he ends up
Speaker 1: having tons of explosive plays. All of it very possible, Scott,
Speaker 1: Let's go to your second. I might be wrong about that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's got to be a guy I've taken basically
Speaker 3: in every draft, and that's Anthony Richardson. I've talked about
Speaker 3: my love of him too many times. His pointspen per snap,
Speaker 3: how he did those we mentioned already. The two weeks
Speaker 3: he had full games, he was just absurd. But what
Speaker 3: if the passing just doesn't improve. There's been talk that
Speaker 3: he's just out there throwing to spots, he's not actually
Speaker 3: throwing like targeting. What if Jonathan Taylor takes those goal
Speaker 3: line scores away. What if they you know, they didn't
Speaker 3: play together last year that what if he takes that away?
Speaker 3: He got injured twice in four games? What if the
Speaker 3: play style does that again? Like, there's a lot of
Speaker 3: there's a lot of things that could make that fifth
Speaker 3: round pick really really hurt me.
Speaker 1: All Right, Matt, your second, I might be wrong about
Speaker 1: that player.
Speaker 4: I've got Brandon Ayuk, who just signed that big deal
Speaker 4: with San Francisco a couple of days ago, so you
Speaker 4: know he's staying put in that offense. But what scares
Speaker 4: me about Ayuk is his usage. He had one more
Speaker 4: target than Elijah Moore of the Cleveland Browns. Lest he
Speaker 4: really one more, wow, one hundred, and he did a
Speaker 4: lot more with his with his target he sure did.
Speaker 4: His one hundred and five targets were thirtieth amongst wide receivers,
Speaker 4: way behind a bunch of guys who are getting drafted
Speaker 4: way way later. So I haven't drafted him because of that.
Speaker 4: But his efficiency is fantastic, it really is. He's got
Speaker 4: great hands, he gets open, he does a lot after
Speaker 4: the catch. He's scored fifteen times in the last two years.
Speaker 4: He's barely ever injured. But I've been avoiding Ayyuk because
Speaker 4: of those targets, and the wide receivers all going in
Speaker 4: the same range as Ayuk, which is Cup, Evans, Wattle, Pittman,
Speaker 4: DJ Moore, Metcalf. All of them provide similar targets, if
Speaker 4: not way more targets, and similar touchdown upside. I could
Speaker 4: be wrong, but I've been taking all those guys above
Speaker 4: eye Yuke right now, and I've been avoiding him, and
Speaker 4: I'm gonna feel sad if he goes off this year.
Speaker 1: I don't have any data to back this up, but
Speaker 1: I've seen people tweeting about this, and I think it's accurate.
Speaker 1: A lot of times, the guys that do the really
Speaker 1: protracted holdouts come into camp and the conditioning is a problem.
Speaker 1: The risk of injury is a problem. They go like
Speaker 1: zero to one hundred on the physical demands.
Speaker 4: And then get the hamstring that right.
Speaker 1: Now, now you get injuries stuff like that, and I
Speaker 1: you know, again, maybe that's not accurate, but I think
Speaker 1: there's some truth to that. Second I might be wrong
Speaker 1: about that is DeAndre Swift, who we have not talked
Speaker 1: about at all. We haven't said anything good or bad
Speaker 1: about him, and I feel like we might be missing
Speaker 1: the boat on this. Yeah, you know, we know that
Speaker 1: Bears pre season usage, that Khalil Herbert is somebody they
Speaker 1: ran all the way back to the Hall of Fame game.
Speaker 1: Roshan Johnson's just a mix it in, guy. DeAndre Swift
Speaker 1: might be sitting on a ton of usage. Shane Waldron
Speaker 1: in Seattle for three years. I mean, Kenneth Walker was
Speaker 1: the man. He got all the work that could be
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift. And we all you last year as a
Speaker 1: disappointing season for Swift, but his quarterback was scooping up
Speaker 1: fifteen touchdowns. What if half of those Jalen Hurts touchdowns
Speaker 1: go to DeAndre Swift, that would be seven extra touchdowns
Speaker 1: on top of the six he had last year, be
Speaker 1: sitting on a thirteen touchdown season. We talked about a
Speaker 1: top five, six seven running back. Absolutely, maybe we're really
Speaker 1: wrong on DeAndre Swift and he's sitting on a big year.
Speaker 3: I like it.
Speaker 1: Let's see if I don't know how much time we
Speaker 1: got left, I don't think very much. Let's see we
Speaker 1: can zip through these finals. Thoo, that might be wrong
Speaker 1: about That's.
Speaker 3: Okay. Brian Thomas, my sleeper from last week. I feel
Speaker 3: like he's walking into that Calvin Ridley role. He's only
Speaker 3: going to have competition from a backup slot guy in
Speaker 3: Parker Washington and a returner and Devin du Vernie. He's
Speaker 3: got no competition there. He should be a red zone
Speaker 3: target monster. But what if I'm wrong in taking him
Speaker 3: in the eleventh round. Every single draft I'm in, I
Speaker 3: feel like, what if they do more two receiver sets.
Speaker 3: What if Gabe Davis stays on the field more and
Speaker 3: actually pans out. What if that Jacksonville passing game can't
Speaker 3: support three wide receivers in that And what if Evan
Speaker 3: Ingram's production matches what it was last year only he
Speaker 3: finally starts catching those touchdowns that I want And think
Speaker 3: should go to Brian Thomas.
Speaker 1: Love it all right, Matt, what's the thing you might
Speaker 1: be wrong about?
Speaker 4: I got Bjon Robinson here. We've gone over at a
Speaker 4: billion times this offseason and today. I mean the adp
Speaker 4: of Bjon Robinson indicates that fantasy players do not believe
Speaker 4: in the existence of Tyler Algier. And he's a real
Speaker 4: guy and he's not bad at football. But Kirk Cousins
Speaker 4: should have that offense passing more than Desmond Ritter and
Speaker 4: Arthur Smith ever could manage. So I haven't been getting
Speaker 4: Bijon anywhere. But what if Kirk opens up that whole
Speaker 4: offense and Bijon is that other worldly guy and the
Speaker 4: most notable I mean, he was the most notable rookie
Speaker 4: runner since Saquon Barkley came out gaining five yards per touch.
Speaker 4: They can't keep him off the field. His upside is
Speaker 4: the top running back in fantasy, and I've got him nowhere.
Speaker 1: The player I might be wrong about is well the
Speaker 1: next Javonte Williams, who I've just like ruled out in
Speaker 1: my mind because I was so disappointed in how he
Speaker 1: ran last year. But what if second year off acl.
Speaker 4: You love Audric estimate and you love.
Speaker 1: Jalil Jillian McLoughlin especially, and Estimate could be their goal
Speaker 1: line back. You know, but what if Jivantia Williams comes
Speaker 1: back and performs really well. He is the starter, and
Speaker 1: maybe he's just gonna be Maybe he's gonna be every
Speaker 1: bit as good as he was pre acl when he
Speaker 1: was great.
Speaker 3: I don't know.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong about that. It's possible. I don't think so,
Speaker 1: but I could be wrong. I want to mention. I
Speaker 1: want to give share a text message I got from
Speaker 1: a friend on Wednesday. Charge I was helping my dad
Speaker 1: clean up trees from the storm Monday and a thousand
Speaker 1: pound tree fell on me and I thought it crushed
Speaker 1: every bone in my body. My parents miraculously lifted it off,
Speaker 1: and I was rushed to the hospital in an ambulance,
Speaker 1: not knowing what had happened. After they gave me fenton All,
Speaker 1: I realized I was on the clock in our Guillotine League,
Speaker 1: so I made my pick in the ambulance. Turned out
Speaker 1: I had five fractured ribs, a broken collar bone, and
Speaker 1: a punctured lung. But I made my Guillotine League draft pick.
Speaker 1: That's dedication to your league right there, all about that. Wow,
Speaker 1: Zack in Minneapolis that.
Speaker 4: Was last actually was liel movie to the hospital that
Speaker 4: now he drip everybody.
Speaker 1: When I tell the storybody asked me, well, who'd he
Speaker 1: take down to Foreman, who the next day got cut
Speaker 1: by the Browns. But fortunately they re signed him, so
Speaker 1: there's hopefully it will all end up panning out. And
Speaker 1: that was a bad ass move by Zach in St. Paul.
Speaker 4: There's so many impressive things, like his parents lifting a
Speaker 4: thousand Yes. Wow.
Speaker 1: He shared a picture with me of the paramedic hovering
Speaker 1: over him working on him that his parents apparently had
Speaker 1: taken while he was down on the ground, and unbelievable story.
Speaker 1: That's fantasy football in a nutshell right there right making
Speaker 1: your pick on fentanyl in the ambulance so you don't
Speaker 1: hold up the draft.
Speaker 3: Did he say who the pick was?
Speaker 1: No, doctor Foreman?
Speaker 3: Oh I missed that.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, doctor Foreman was the pick. When we come
Speaker 1: back our number two Fantasy Football Weekly, we're gonna start
Speaker 1: breaking down games, the Thursday night game, the Friday night game.
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about auction strategies plenty to get to
Speaker 1: in our number two Fantasy Football Weekly, our number two
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charchi and Scott Fish and Matt
Speaker 1: Harrison with you. Please go try a Guillotine league. They
Speaker 1: are free to join public leagues with We have free
Speaker 1: public leagues right now. You can play in a private
Speaker 1: league with friends. You can play with any number of
Speaker 1: players up to eighteen because there's eighteen weeks in the season.
Speaker 1: It is a ton of fun. It is free to play,
Speaker 1: and we have a brand new, super cool app that
Speaker 1: is a honestly massive improvement over what we've had in
Speaker 1: the past. I think you're gonna like it a lot.
Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention, Scott Fish to the f n N,
Speaker 1: the Fish News Network, not the fake News Network. This
Speaker 1: is all the facts the f This is the f
Speaker 1: f NN, the factual fish.
Speaker 3: Big fire news wrap up from the last week of
Speaker 3: cuts and whatnot. Let's start with the quarterbacks. We got
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson's going to be the starter for the Steelers,
Speaker 3: Jacoby Brissett is going to be the starter for the Pats,
Speaker 3: and if you care, Malik Willis was traded to the Packers.
Speaker 4: We don't we Hey, can you do the rest of
Speaker 4: this segment? Like Ron Burgundy?
Speaker 3: Can we get that in the background. Can we get up? No,
Speaker 3: let's not do it.
Speaker 4: No, I don't want that over.
Speaker 3: That doesn't work.
Speaker 1: That doesn't work. Wait, how about the let's let's move
Speaker 1: to the let's move to the wide receivers where the
Speaker 1: other there was the Russell Wilson. If they care about
Speaker 1: Drake May don't see the field this year. Yeah, you
Speaker 1: know they're punting on this whole season for the Patriots.
Speaker 1: Don't kill this kid behind a terrible offensive line with
Speaker 1: no good wat kill Stevens. That's right on editorial. You
Speaker 1: like that.
Speaker 3: Kill Stevenson behind that line.
Speaker 1: I'll quiet you.
Speaker 3: Okay. Over to the receivers. Ceedee Lamb signed, Brandon Ayuk signed,
Speaker 3: and Zach Tayler expects Jamar Chase to play Week one
Speaker 3: but week one, but he has not signed yet. The
Speaker 3: Lions signed a whole bunch of wide receivers their practice squad,
Speaker 3: down Vin Peoples, Jones, Allen Robinson, and Tim Patrick who
Speaker 3: were all formerly fantasy relevance. But we'll see if any
Speaker 3: of them happened. Mike Williams for the Jets to be
Speaker 3: available for Week one.
Speaker 1: Yeah impressive.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I didn't. I didn't know for sure that
Speaker 3: wouldn't think he would. Yeah, good for him. Over to
Speaker 3: the tight ends. Brock Bauer is likely to play Week
Speaker 3: one with that foot injury. Jolannie Woods season ending, I
Speaker 3: are I just had to bring it up. I had
Speaker 3: to bring it up. Well, you know one of the
Speaker 3: I'm done, You're done right now?
Speaker 4: Wow?
Speaker 1: Done, I'm done advocating for jolannie Woods all off season
Speaker 1: by oh super Deep's Leeber last pick year draft. He's
Speaker 1: missed two straight years.
Speaker 4: You did that with Zach Moss, didn't you? And I
Speaker 4: did it?
Speaker 1: Gave up on Zach crossing it. Yes, exactly.
Speaker 3: That's that's the patterns what that's what needs. Yeah, that's
Speaker 3: what he needs to step it up to. Some good
Speaker 3: news for me and you charge. Donald Parms signed with
Speaker 3: the Broncos.
Speaker 1: Were the last believers on Donald Park.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Tyler Higbee to start the year on PUP.
Speaker 3: I don't think that matters either. But the running backs
Speaker 3: is where all the news is. Tank Bigsby is the
Speaker 3: clear backup in Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be another one that I was a year
Speaker 1: two early on.
Speaker 3: Yeah, look at that.
Speaker 1: We don't We lost our Tank Sounder. Yeah, okay, between
Speaker 1: Tank Dell and tank and Tank Bigsby, who might end
Speaker 1: up being relevant this year. Yeah, we need our tank
Speaker 1: sounder back.
Speaker 3: Yes, Bucky Irving has won the clear up clear cut
Speaker 3: backup spot in Tampa Bay with Chase Edmonds going on IR.
Speaker 3: Trey Benson has won the backup role behind James Connor
Speaker 3: in Arizona. That could be pretty relevant.
Speaker 1: This one could be real. I've handcuffed those I'm not
Speaker 1: a big handcuff guy. I've handcuffed those two in a
Speaker 1: couple of leagues.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I like Trey Benson a lot.
Speaker 3: Not a bad idea for the forty nine ers. Elijah
Speaker 3: Mitchell put on IR, making Jordan Mason, who has looked
Speaker 3: great this preseason the clear backup.
Speaker 1: Yep? Is he the Is he the most important handcuff
Speaker 1: in football?
Speaker 3: He might be, he might to Mason. Yeah, I can
Speaker 3: see it. I can see it. Wilson back up over
Speaker 3: Marshawn Lloyd, who struggled in preseason even when he wasn't hurt.
Speaker 3: Because AJ Dillon is on season ending IR, Jalen Warren
Speaker 3: is expected to be good for Week one, but we'll
Speaker 3: see what that does. Over for the Colts, Evan Hull
Speaker 3: got cut thor is gonna be so sad he is
Speaker 3: going to be Thorsa thought he might lead the team
Speaker 3: in touchdowns, joking receptions, receptions. Trey Sermon the backup to
Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor. There the Browns, Deontay Foreman was cut then
Speaker 3: re signed, making him anderome Ford. These starters for the
Speaker 3: first four weeks, with Nick Chubb landing on pup to
Speaker 3: start the season.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep saying it. I really think this is
Speaker 1: going to be a split backfield with these two guys,
Speaker 1: because that's what Kevin Stefanski likes to do and always
Speaker 1: did with Chubb and Hunt. And I think that's coming
Speaker 1: with a you know, it's a Dollar Tree version of
Speaker 1: Chubb and Hunt, right Ford and Foreman. But I think
Speaker 1: I think that's coming.
Speaker 3: Yeah. J p Ron cut, but then are signed over
Speaker 3: by the Chiefs. John Than Brooks is gonna start the
Speaker 3: year on pup, missing the first four weeks. So it's
Speaker 3: Cuba Cuba, Hubbard's the starter and Sanders the backup. If
Speaker 3: you ask me. Dalvin Cook signed with the Cowboys. Not
Speaker 3: sure that that matters. The Vikings enter the season with
Speaker 3: just two running backs on their roster currently, I know,
Speaker 3: how odd, which is interesting well, they got a couple
Speaker 3: of guy, a couple of runners on practice squad. They
Speaker 3: cut wong Wu, and wang Wu signed with the Saints,
Speaker 3: then failed to physical with the Saints. And the last
Speaker 3: one is mcveay. Sean McVay said Karen Williams will retire
Speaker 3: return punts to start the season, but we will talk
Speaker 3: about that later.
Speaker 1: All right, sounds good. You know, we all love auctions.
Speaker 1: We all feel like it's the fairest way to distribute players.
Speaker 1: Everybody's got a crack at every player. I love working
Speaker 1: on how much I'm going to spend. I love I
Speaker 1: love driving up the price. The draft day experience gets
Speaker 1: so much more thrilling when you can have a part
Speaker 1: in virtually every player's outcome. Yeah, I mean it's just
Speaker 1: you know, I you just can't replicate all the awesomeness
Speaker 1: and the adrenaline and the excitement of an auction with
Speaker 1: a draft, right, it's just not the same. Nope, we
Speaker 1: don't talk it enough.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 1: Let's spend a few minutes on some of your favorite
Speaker 1: auction strategies. I've got five bullet points written down, but
Speaker 1: I'll yield the floor to anything you guys want to
Speaker 1: throw at first.
Speaker 3: Sure, I got two that are mainstays for me. Generally,
Speaker 3: when I'm in auctions, I generally don't bid early. I
Speaker 3: generally wait on bidding because I let some money leave
Speaker 3: the room first. I generally hold myself to a fifteen
Speaker 3: percent rule. I know that I fifteen percent of my
Speaker 3: budget on any player. It usually gives me a pretty
Speaker 3: dang deep roster. I've been known to go outside of
Speaker 3: that every once in a while when I'm just caught
Speaker 3: up in the moment, because that's what happens in auctions and.
Speaker 1: That's part of the fun of it.
Speaker 3: But I try to stay fifteen percent or less on
Speaker 3: my you know, basically my starting line of players, and
Speaker 3: then I always want to be the one who grabs
Speaker 3: players at the top of a tier instead of the
Speaker 3: to the tier the end of the tier of players
Speaker 3: that'll tend to drive up the price on a player
Speaker 3: that's similar.
Speaker 1: That is a The tiered part of that is a
Speaker 1: great conversation. For example, if you think there's a tier
Speaker 1: after if there's a tier one of running backs is
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, Breeze Hall, Bijon Robinson, Jamior Gibbs, Jonathan Taylor,
Speaker 1: that's the tier if the fifth guy to go off
Speaker 1: the board, he's going, well, he will go to premium
Speaker 1: Michael more than all the others. So even if it's
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, he might cost more than Christian McCaffrey because
Speaker 1: there's a bunch of people in the room that want
Speaker 1: a Tier one running back yep, and at that point
Speaker 1: they got to pay for it. So I think that's
Speaker 1: I think that's totally accurate. I've see a play out
Speaker 1: so many times.
Speaker 3: Yep, And if I wasn't clear on the way to
Speaker 3: spend money, let it leave the room. I'm a middle
Speaker 3: of the auction guy. Like at the end, I feel
Speaker 3: like people with money left are driving prices up, and
Speaker 3: at the beginning they're just throwing money around because they
Speaker 3: have it. I like to do my work in the middle.
Speaker 1: We've said for years, you want to be the richest
Speaker 1: person at the middle of your draft, because the players
Speaker 1: are going for half as much money, and you've got
Speaker 1: the you've got the capital to pay the half half
Speaker 1: as much, and a bunch of the other teams already
Speaker 1: spent yep. But you're already tapped out.
Speaker 4: There is a danger if you wait too long, which
Speaker 4: I did in one of my auctions last weekend where
Speaker 4: I waited too long and all of a sudden I
Speaker 4: was like, oh, my second quarterback in a super flex
Speaker 4: league is Drake Maype.
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, so right, Yeah, if.
Speaker 4: You wait too long, you can get you know, just
Speaker 4: skunked out of everything.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, well this ties into one of my overriding
Speaker 1: themes of the auction, and this is Scott's going to
Speaker 1: disagree because it's got a fifteen percent cap. Go get
Speaker 1: your guys.
Speaker 4: I agree.
Speaker 1: Go, I mean, that's your guys. You know, if you've
Speaker 1: identified four players that you just feel really strongly about,
Speaker 1: go get them. And if you got a spay, if
Speaker 1: you got to pay market price or even a little
Speaker 1: higher than market price, okay, but the beauty of the
Speaker 1: auction is you can go get your guys. That's the biggest,
Speaker 1: the biggest distinction unlike a draft, where if I'm picking
Speaker 1: out of the twelve slot of my draft, I don't
Speaker 1: even have the option to get eleven players. Go get
Speaker 1: your guys and fill in the blanks. In my opinion, Yeah,
Speaker 1: and if to me that's the biggest part, There's there's
Speaker 1: nothing I hate more about any either draft or auction
Speaker 1: than I get it. The whole thing's over, and I
Speaker 1: look at my roster and I can't recognize it as
Speaker 1: my own roster.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 1: I wanted to be filled with my dudes.
Speaker 4: Yeah. My issue this year was I like too many
Speaker 4: guys that are like mid round guys. So I went
Speaker 4: and got my guys. But it's like, eah, I don't
Speaker 4: have that star power this year.
Speaker 1: This ties into another thing, and I've fallen victim to this.
Speaker 1: Simply waiting for steals is not a strategy. No, there's
Speaker 1: too much money out there. For most of the draft,
Speaker 1: you end up with the players that nobody wants. And
Speaker 1: because the price wasn't high.
Speaker 3: Here's the absolute problem with an auction like that. It
Speaker 3: just takes one other person that likes the same guy
Speaker 3: as you.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right, Yeah, and that you know, which happens
Speaker 1: and then you got to you know when that happens,
Speaker 1: and sometimes that playson is just driving you up, driving
Speaker 1: the price up too.
Speaker 3: Sometimes I have price enforcers, for sure.
Speaker 1: I try to build a bare bones budget by position,
Speaker 1: you know, for me as a do the opposite drafter.
Speaker 1: That means I'm gonna budget like eight dollars and ten
Speaker 1: dollars for my two starting running backs. But I'm gonna
Speaker 1: budget twenty two dollars and twenty dollars for my two
Speaker 1: wideouts and maybe eighteen dollars for my tight end. That's
Speaker 1: I know, it's not a firm rule. It's not like
Speaker 1: I will never pass that, but I try to give
Speaker 1: myself walk into the auction with a sense of the
Speaker 1: most that I want to spend on positions, so that
Speaker 1: in the heat of the moment, I don't go berserk
Speaker 1: and then throw out, you know, throw out my whole
Speaker 1: overarching draft strategy. And then, of course there's this one
Speaker 1: that we've been talking about every single segment we've ever
Speaker 1: done in the pres He's a non auction strategies. Early on,
Speaker 1: you throw out high dollar value players that.
Speaker 3: You do want, do not want.
Speaker 1: You siphon off money from the others on players you
Speaker 1: don't like. If you you know, if you're nervous about
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey and you know that's you know, you throw
Speaker 1: him out early. Let's let's get thirty bucks out of
Speaker 1: the way.
Speaker 3: Honestly, it's not early for me. I don't think I
Speaker 3: ever nominate players I want.
Speaker 1: Sometimes I have, sometimes I have to it the end.
Speaker 1: Sometimes I have to, and sometimes also because everybody knows
Speaker 1: I do that, I will do the I'll try to
Speaker 1: psych him out by throwing out a player I want.
Speaker 1: I totally don't want that that they all think I
Speaker 1: don't want, because I almost always throw guys I don't want.
Speaker 1: And then I will be quiet for a long time,
Speaker 1: and then when I think he's about to he's gonna
Speaker 1: finally go, then I'll jump in there.
Speaker 3: You're all right, the price is fine, I guess. I
Speaker 3: guess I'll have him.
Speaker 4: Do you guys? Ever, when you nominate, try to throw
Speaker 4: out an initial bid that you think will just win,
Speaker 4: where the room will get cold on a player, and
Speaker 4: you throw out a player for five bucks, thinking I
Speaker 4: don't think anybody wants to get in on this guy
Speaker 4: right now.
Speaker 1: Only one at one particular moment. Do I ever do that?
Speaker 1: If I throw, if I am throwing out one of
Speaker 1: the first one or two players, there's a cold room effect.
Speaker 1: People aren't warmed up to bidding yet, yep, And I
Speaker 1: can throw out. I can throw out Jonathan Taylor into
Speaker 1: a cold room, and he may go for twenty three,
Speaker 1: whereas I'm convinced had he been thrown out five minutes later,
Speaker 1: he'll go for twenty eight or twenty nine because people
Speaker 1: just don't have like the rhythm down yet and they're
Speaker 1: nervous about getting in early. The cold room effect is
Speaker 1: a real thing in auctions.
Speaker 4: In my particular league, I threw out Brian Thomas like
Speaker 4: that early, trying to get him like at a cheap price,
Speaker 4: just thinking nobody's gonna want to bid on Brian Thomas.
Speaker 4: Now I got out bid a little out of my
Speaker 4: comfort zone. But I thought that was that was a
Speaker 4: move that I was trying to make.
Speaker 1: I can see that. Let's not guillotine league draft strategies
Speaker 1: because it's so different. Oh yeah, you're drafting so differently
Speaker 1: in a guillotine league. I'm happy to yield the Florida
Speaker 1: you guys, obviously, I've got this down cold.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you got to do.
Speaker 1: You want me to just run? You'll be the most.
Speaker 4: You win all of your guillotines, all of.
Speaker 1: Them, actually, guote, I have a very high rate.
Speaker 3: You do, not winning, but making final four, you do.
Speaker 1: You've done it. You've done a really nice job over
Speaker 1: the years. So what's your secret? I guess my map
Speaker 1: for drafting. Let's just we'll contain this to the draft.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was gonna say, my biggest secret is not
Speaker 3: spending money until after week six or week six at
Speaker 3: the earliest, but the drafting one. So I do, and
Speaker 3: I've told you about this charge. I take my tight
Speaker 3: end in my quarterback earlier than you probably should in
Speaker 3: those leagues because I want a stud kind of like
Speaker 3: a Josh Allen with a bye week twelve or whatever
Speaker 3: you know I want, or you know, I believe the
Speaker 3: Laporta also has twelve, right, that's right, Yeah, but I
Speaker 3: was trying to Yeah, But anyway, I take a stud
Speaker 3: quarterback and a stud tight end early, earlier than you
Speaker 3: probably should. I'll reach adp on them because I knocked
Speaker 3: down those two onesie positions for at least four, five,
Speaker 3: six weeks, and then I can spend the entire rest
Speaker 3: of my draft dart throwing running backs and wide receivers
Speaker 3: for ten plus rounds.
Speaker 4: I'm very similar.
Speaker 1: Some guillotine league draft strategies. And by the way, play
Speaker 1: a gayoting league chon. In a guillotine league, you are
Speaker 1: constructing a roster of safe, surefire contributors who are not
Speaker 1: going to burden you with Doug games. You know, you're
Speaker 1: just trying to finish in week one. You're just trying
Speaker 1: to finish one through seventeen, not finish eighteen. Finishing first
Speaker 1: doesn't gain you anything that the person who finished seventeenth
Speaker 1: doesn't get. So a perfect example Kirk Cousins. He's thrown
Speaker 1: touchdowns in fifty four of the last fifty five games.
Speaker 1: He's you know, he has finished his quarterback twenty or
Speaker 1: better than forty five of his last fifty games. He
Speaker 1: is super super safe. As an archetype, we're looking for safe,
Speaker 1: surefire contributors, in effect, the anti Gabe Davis. Gabe Davis
Speaker 1: is a guillotine league assassin. If he doesn't come down
Speaker 1: with that big long ball touchdown, he gives you nothing.
Speaker 1: That's the opposite of the archetype we're looking for here.
Speaker 1: Non goal line runners can be very dangerous because if
Speaker 1: they don't break off long runs, they don't get easy
Speaker 1: fantasy points. Runners who don't catch can be dangerous because
Speaker 1: they don't always give you the sure PPR floor.
Speaker 4: What you're trying to say is don't bank on yardage.
Speaker 4: I think it's bank on PPR and bank on touchdowns.
Speaker 1: I like what you're saying. Rookies are super dangerous. Last year,
Speaker 1: some of the highly drafted NFL drafted, not fantasy drafted
Speaker 1: rookies never panned out at all. Bryce Young already mentioned
Speaker 1: some of these names. Jonathan Mingo, Quinton Johnston, Michael Mayers,
Speaker 1: Zax Charbonnay never panned out all season long, and all
Speaker 1: guys that were drafted in the top like thirty nine
Speaker 1: the names I just gave you picks of the NFL draft.
Speaker 1: But more even more insidious than those guys who just
Speaker 1: look like busts, are the rookies who eventually become good producers,
Speaker 1: but not before you've been cut. And I'll give you
Speaker 1: as an example, Jamier Gibbs last year finishes RB ten
Speaker 1: and on in an absolute tear in the second half
Speaker 1: of the season, But in the first two months you
Speaker 1: wouldn't have survived if you were counting on Jamior Gibbs
Speaker 1: every week through September and October. Sure, until week eight,
Speaker 1: Gibbs topped nine Fantasy points, which is not enough. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, nine is not enough. Until week eight he
Speaker 1: topped nine Fantasy points two times. That's it. And that's
Speaker 1: the danger of rookies is that most of them need
Speaker 1: the ramp up period and even the really good ones
Speaker 1: like Jamier Gibbs.
Speaker 4: Ten fantasy points is what I'm looking for out of
Speaker 4: every player.
Speaker 1: Ten out of every player will keep you alive until
Speaker 1: like mid November before you have to start crafting more
Speaker 1: of a roster upside. And I alluded to this early
Speaker 1: and I'll give you one more guillotine League strategy. Prioritize
Speaker 1: pass catching runners. Adept pass catching runners will give you
Speaker 1: eight to ten PPR points by virtue of catching five
Speaker 1: balls for fifty yards. Then the rushing doesn't matter hardly
Speaker 1: at that point. I'm you know that guy has already
Speaker 1: gotten me to those ten PPR points that you were
Speaker 1: just talking about. For all the frustration that we endured
Speaker 1: with Bjon Robinson at the hands of Arthur Smith, Robinson
Speaker 1: only posted four dud games, thanks entirely because he averaged
Speaker 1: seven PPR points per game and just gave you a
Speaker 1: safe floor. So Bjon Robinson was the right kind of player.
Speaker 1: Prioritize pass catching running backs, all right. When we come
Speaker 1: back three tough questions, play along with our panel of experts.
Speaker 1: See if you can go three and ozher plus we'll
Speaker 1: dole out our final sleepers of the year. Oh you'll
Speaker 1: want to stay tuned for the next segment of Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargian, Scottfish,
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison with you. It's draft time, getting you ready
Speaker 1: for us. Maybe your final draft, maybe your only draft.
Speaker 3: Yes, my biggest draft.
Speaker 1: It's the Scott Fish Homely Draft. When did the term
Speaker 1: home league become a thing? I heard it for the
Speaker 1: first time like five years ago.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't.
Speaker 1: I had never heard anybody call it that prior to that.
Speaker 3: I'm not sure. I don't know. You'll be there.
Speaker 1: I'm always interested in like where some of the terms
Speaker 1: came from in fantasy football. Like, I'd love to know
Speaker 1: who did who said dynasty first?
Speaker 3: Right, you could have named it anything. I once researched
Speaker 3: an article on this and I did not find that out.
Speaker 3: But I found people who had been playing dynasty in
Speaker 3: the late seventies but didn't call it that.
Speaker 4: Ye.
Speaker 3: I started playing Festitball in ninety two, and the way
Speaker 3: I started mine was tech. Mine was a dynasty league.
Speaker 3: I didn't call that all.
Speaker 1: That, No, right, I'd love to I'd love to know
Speaker 1: who who named that?
Speaker 4: It was, Sir Frederick Dynasty.
Speaker 3: It's like the Canada goose thing that they're not Canadian,
Speaker 3: but they're named after someone named Canada.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's fantastic.
Speaker 3: I love it.
Speaker 1: I love it.
Speaker 4: Let's begin with tough question number one.
Speaker 1: What is the appropriate level of concern over the holdout
Speaker 1: of San Francisco tackled Trent Williams. You know, Brandon Ayuku signed.
Speaker 1: Now we've got this is a looming issue. Is it none?
Speaker 1: Is it some? Or is it a bowel loosening level
Speaker 1: of existential dread? Yes, it is, blow Tie Matt.
Speaker 4: You know, Christian McCaffrey's calf injury has scared a few
Speaker 4: folks off of taking him number one overall, But Trent
Speaker 4: Williams is the best left tackle in the league. And
Speaker 4: the downgrade from him to Jalen Moore, a twenty twenty
Speaker 4: one fifth round pick out of Western Michigan, who's a guard.
Speaker 4: By the way, you're taking the best left tackle out
Speaker 4: of your lineup and throwing a converted guard. You're insane.
Speaker 4: I mean, it's it's a shot of meta mules, meta
Speaker 4: mucil and some bowel loosening level of existential dread here.
Speaker 1: All right, you are officially blowed. Yeah, Trent will Yeah,
Speaker 1: Scott what's the appropriate level of concern over holdout San
Speaker 1: Francisco tackle Trent Williams. Is it non some or a
Speaker 1: bowel loosening level of existential dread?
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna drop some PFF stats and rich Rebar
Speaker 3: stats on you here, Brock party with Trent Williams off
Speaker 3: the field, Trent Williams not there, eighty nine dropbacks, forty
Speaker 3: four point nine ine percent pressure rate, six point one
Speaker 3: percent sack rate, five point two percent interception rate, two
Speaker 3: point six percent TD rate.
Speaker 1: That's my bowels, you're hearing right.
Speaker 3: And Williams on the field it drops to thirty nine
Speaker 3: percent pressure, five point four sack one point seven percent
Speaker 3: interception rate, six point seven percent TD rate. If if
Speaker 3: those rates are like those are percentages with Williams healthy,
Speaker 3: twenty eight touchdowns and two interceptions without Williams three touchdowns
Speaker 3: and nine interceptions.
Speaker 4: Wow, fish drop and knowledge bombs and kids off at
Speaker 4: the pool.
Speaker 3: So now you can argue. Also missing in those same
Speaker 3: Trent Williams games was Deebo Samuel, so there's a little
Speaker 3: bit of a factor there. But those are some pretty
Speaker 3: scary numbers, especially the pressure and sack numbers. So I'm
Speaker 3: gonna I'm gonna go with it's a at minimum sum.
Speaker 3: I wish there was something between some and ball loosening,
Speaker 3: but because there isn't, I'm gonna go ballos.
Speaker 1: Loosening levels of A.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Last year, Trent Williams was pro FOOTB focus is number
Speaker 1: two ranked run blocking lineman. Gone out of your lineup now.
Speaker 1: And Trent Williams is a principled man. You'll remember he
Speaker 1: held out from Washington for a whole year because they
Speaker 1: misdiagnosed his cancer and he was like, this is a
Speaker 1: crap organization. I want nothing to do with these people.
Speaker 1: And he was right by the way, as it turns out,
Speaker 1: and by the way, and he's way Richard now because
Speaker 1: he's been paid by San Francisco since then, he's got
Speaker 1: more money. He could hold out deep into this season.
Speaker 1: And the starting line you mentioned Jalen Moore, Aaron Banks,
Speaker 1: Jake Brendle, Dominic Poney, Colton mckivitts.
Speaker 4: What those aren't made up names?
Speaker 1: Those are made up names. Other time it's this is
Speaker 1: a I I am so worried about this. I'm officially
Speaker 1: off of Christian McCaffrey pick one because of this, Williams
Speaker 1: situation has drifted so far into the season now.
Speaker 4: And Trent Williams is thirty six, and as a principled man,
Speaker 4: he could say I'm never coming back to football, right
Speaker 4: unless you pay me what I wor right.
Speaker 1: And you know, and you know he's stacking the fines
Speaker 1: every day. He could just be like, final retire, I
Speaker 1: won't take the fines. Yeah, you know, come get it.
Speaker 1: I'm never gonna play again. So you should have a
Speaker 1: bowel loosening level of existential dread over this.
Speaker 4: Tough question number two, what.
Speaker 1: Is the appropriate level of concern over news that Los
Speaker 1: Angeles running back Kyron Williams will return punts? Is that none?
Speaker 4: Some or blowed so?
Speaker 3: And with Scott I could go a couple of ways
Speaker 3: with this. First, this caused a social media stir this week,
Speaker 3: and you could tell by the reactions who followed the
Speaker 3: Beat reporters and watched the actual Sean McVay press conference
Speaker 3: and who simply read the headline and quote tweeted it
Speaker 3: or replied to it or made their own tweets and
Speaker 3: all that. Basically McVeigh wants to start the season the
Speaker 3: same as last to where Kien Williams was the punt
Speaker 3: returner to start the season for the last three first
Speaker 3: three weeks last year, he eventually pulled him pulled him
Speaker 3: from those duty, but in those games he returned three
Speaker 3: punts and fair catch five. The punt returner after that
Speaker 3: for the rest of the season returned fifteen fair cot
Speaker 3: twenty five, So we're talking about potentially fifteen to twenty
Speaker 3: touches that he's adding to Kyen Williams. He talked about
Speaker 3: he wants to get Kyen Williams involved as much as possible,
Speaker 3: it in his hands as much as possible. He talked
Speaker 3: about how korm And Rivers He's okay putting Kyron on
Speaker 3: punts because he has confidence in korm and Rivers to
Speaker 3: spell him if need be. He wants Kyron out there
Speaker 3: the entire time. They love Kien Williams. This really wasn't
Speaker 3: anything towards oh, Korm is going to take a drive,
Speaker 3: Rivers is going to take a drive. This was just
Speaker 3: I want to get the ball in Kyron's hands fifteen
Speaker 3: to twenty more times over the course of the season.
Speaker 3: He addressed the injury concerns where he's like, I'm always
Speaker 3: gonna hold my breath, but it's fifteen or so touches,
Speaker 3: So I'm going to go with it's closer than none.
Speaker 3: But I understand the fifteen touch injury risk on punt
Speaker 3: returns if it's two percent five percent for some. But
Speaker 3: I'm going to quote Field Yates and Mike Clay who
Speaker 3: said it's nothing. Quote it's a nothing Burgner.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to Matt. What is your appropriate what
Speaker 1: do you think is the appropriate level of concern over
Speaker 1: news that Los Angeles running back Hien Williams will return punts.
Speaker 4: Now, Scott kind of alluded to it. If the Rams
Speaker 4: are toying with the idea of him in the punt
Speaker 4: return game, that means they feel comfortable enough with the
Speaker 4: other options at running back, namely Blake Koram, and the
Speaker 4: Rams have really exercised caution with the running backs since
Speaker 4: they murdered the career Todd Gurley. So if you're banking
Speaker 4: on bell Cow usage of Kyra, Blake Korum is there,
Speaker 4: they probably don't want to get him full bell Cow work.
Speaker 4: And I'd say that the tea leave saying that they
Speaker 4: want to keep him involved means that they're trying to
Speaker 4: manufacture other touches for him because they think that they're
Speaker 4: going to use Blake Korum in some other situations. I
Speaker 4: don't think Kiran Williams is a top two round pick, so.
Speaker 1: You're going some some. I am also on some. I
Speaker 1: do think this is is a vote of confidence for
Speaker 1: Blake ORRM.
Speaker 3: I mean absolutely is, you know.
Speaker 1: And I moved Blake RM up a few spots on
Speaker 1: my on my cheat.
Speaker 3: Sheet, and Korm is kind of like a Karen Williams copy.
Speaker 3: He might be better, but McVeigh did say that is
Speaker 3: his confidence in Korm is what allowed him to give
Speaker 3: Kiren and not those extra touches and not worry.
Speaker 1: And you know the Rams in the preseason never play
Speaker 1: their starters. Blake Corm never got the field. No, I
Speaker 1: mean they know what they've gone to Blake Orm. They
Speaker 1: didn't need to give him any reps. He never got
Speaker 1: near the field. You know, remember Blake Korm scored sixty
Speaker 1: one touchdowns in three years. Is the starter for Michigan.
Speaker 1: I mean it's just, you know, the dude is hyper productive.
Speaker 1: I did I lowered Kyen Williams a couple of spots
Speaker 1: on my cheat sheet, but he's still ten. He's still
Speaker 1: running back ten. Yeah, Orra moved up a few There
Speaker 1: is some concern that this is gonna be more of
Speaker 1: a split backfield than we thought. And I think korm
Speaker 1: Is gonna have is gonna be, He's gonna be to
Speaker 1: take a chance.
Speaker 3: To me, it was absolutely a vote of confidence. The
Speaker 3: the oh kyroen Is Dawn takes, We're just absurd this week. Yeah,
Speaker 3: some is a finance.
Speaker 4: Ques Gin number three.
Speaker 1: You're on the clock. Do you take your favorite available
Speaker 1: player or weigh your picks towards average draft position? So
Speaker 1: do you take your favorite available player regardless of ADP
Speaker 1: or are you factoring in average draft position?
Speaker 4: Matt, My answer is kind of a hybrid here. I
Speaker 4: tend to take my favorite available player unless I'm looking
Speaker 4: at like a two round jump in ADP, because I
Speaker 4: will give a single reach around, but I won't go
Speaker 4: as far as a double reach around. In that case,
Speaker 4: I'll wait till my next pick, and it usually works
Speaker 4: out for me.
Speaker 1: So all right, so I need to this has to
Speaker 1: be one or the other.
Speaker 4: I guess I do way average draft position, So yeah,
Speaker 4: you're on, But I still will reach a round for
Speaker 4: a player.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know how you can't not weigh average
Speaker 3: draft position a little, but I will give the double
Speaker 3: reach around. Wow, Like I never know when ADP is
Speaker 3: going to shift, and we didn't see it coming. And
Speaker 3: I still want my dang guys. And I believe fantasy
Speaker 3: should be fun. You should enjoy the players you have.
Speaker 3: You want to root for the players you have. I
Speaker 3: think I'm gonna lead a little closer to take your
Speaker 3: favorite available player.
Speaker 4: The hand gester Scott, he said, I will give the
Speaker 4: double reach around. You can't see that on radio.
Speaker 3: What here's the thing. I must have done it subconsciously,
Speaker 3: I did.
Speaker 1: I realize, Well, it's that's that's muscle memory for you
Speaker 1: right there. Oh that was oh purple right now. I
Speaker 1: wish people could see, Scott, you articulated this so well.
Speaker 1: Take your favorite available players. So we alluded to this earlier.
Speaker 1: At the end of the draft, it should look like
Speaker 1: your team take your players. Here's almost people draft and
Speaker 1: try to challenge me on this. You're on your favorite site,
Speaker 1: maybe it's on your phone or your computer. It doesn't matter.
Speaker 1: Your pick comes up. You look at the first you
Speaker 1: look at who's available, the top of their rankings, which
Speaker 1: is off an ADP or they're what their where their
Speaker 1: rankings are and you look at the top guys, you
Speaker 1: look through five, six, seventy guys, and you pick the
Speaker 1: one you like the best. That's how most of America drafts.
Speaker 1: But I'm the guy who's like, well, there's the first eight,
Speaker 1: let's keep going. Here's the next day, here's another, and
Speaker 1: that's the guy I want. I'm scrolling down. I want
Speaker 1: my guys. I don't care. And here's why. A week
Speaker 1: from now, Sunday, Sunday Football kicks off. Do you know
Speaker 1: who remembers or cares about average draft position?
Speaker 4: Nobody?
Speaker 1: Nobody.
Speaker 4: You only care that.
Speaker 1: You've got a team you like.
Speaker 3: I'll go one further on average draft position. Once the
Speaker 3: draft is done. That value is done. It's absolutely done.
Speaker 3: In trades, you shouldn't be like, oh, I I paid
Speaker 3: a third rounder for him?
Speaker 1: I should people do all the time.
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, No, it's done. He is just a player now.
Speaker 1: And average draft position is so wrong. It is so long.
Speaker 1: Every year ADP is nowhere close to reality. Life doesn't
Speaker 1: work that way, and we're mostly repeating last year with
Speaker 1: this year's ADP. It's so wrong. So don't be beholden
Speaker 1: to average drafts.
Speaker 3: The only thing that is right. Is your ranking sheet
Speaker 3: available on Guillotine Leagues dot com.
Speaker 1: That's the only one that's right exactly exactly. My free
Speaker 1: Guillotine League or my free overall just standard cheat sheet
Speaker 1: is available at Fantasy life dot com. You can get
Speaker 1: the premium fantasyteen version on Fantasy Life as well. And
Speaker 1: it's also we've now got a version of it where
Speaker 1: you can't. It's totally sortable, it's excelled, downloadable and do
Speaker 1: all kinds of cool stuff. All the Guillotine rankings cheat
Speaker 1: sheets players. Yeah, part of Fantasy Life plus for those interests.
Speaker 3: I tried to plug for you and I just didn't
Speaker 3: do it.
Speaker 4: No, Well you sent me up to the same place.
Speaker 1: Look, if you go to Guillotine Leagues dot com, we're happy, Scott.
Speaker 1: Let's talk sleepers. Sure our final chance to do sleepers? Yeah,
Speaker 1: you got this week.
Speaker 3: Yeah. We talked about him a little earlier in the
Speaker 3: which player do you want an ADP? And it's for
Speaker 3: me it's Jalen Right. Given the offense, the injury history
Speaker 3: of Raheem Mostert and Devin Chan above him, and his
Speaker 3: game taking a long late round shot on this guy
Speaker 3: could be a league winner, kind of like taking a
Speaker 3: late round shot on eight. Han was last year top
Speaker 3: two or three running back on most draft boards before
Speaker 3: the NFL Draft, nine point eight two raz out of ten.
Speaker 3: I think that's like top forty in the last twenty
Speaker 3: years for running backs four three eight forty. He's fast, agile,
Speaker 3: high football IQ. His top speed clocked as the fastest
Speaker 3: for a running back prospect in the last twenty years.
Speaker 3: His top top field speed, and he looked good in
Speaker 3: preseason two. Just good situation. I trust Mike McDaniel to
Speaker 3: use him really well if something happens to the two
Speaker 3: in front of him.
Speaker 1: Your final sleepers of the preseason matt or sleeper? Who
Speaker 1: is it?
Speaker 4: I've got Justin Fields in points per game. Last season,
Speaker 4: Justin Fields finished as QB twelve right abully, yeah, right,
Speaker 4: about the same level as c J. Stroud and Kyler Murray.
Speaker 4: But this year he's backing up Russell Wilson in Pittsburgh
Speaker 4: for now. Fields completed nineteen of twenty seven attempts for
Speaker 4: one hundred and ninety nine yards and one scoring drive
Speaker 4: in the preseason. Wilson only completed ten of twelve for
Speaker 4: seventy three yards. Fields was averaging eight point three yards
Speaker 4: per attempt in the air well, Wilson was averaging an
Speaker 4: a dot of five point seven. That's too low. Fields
Speaker 4: is a better passer, and we already know that Fields
Speaker 4: is a better runner. The Steelers lead off the season
Speaker 4: against Atlanta, then Wilson has the revenge game in Denver.
Speaker 4: But if Sean Payton doesn't know the entire book of
Speaker 4: Russell Wilson, who does, so I think the Steelers might
Speaker 4: go oh to two in their first two games.
Speaker 1: And the Steelers take this schedules really top the.
Speaker 4: Week one, it's Atlanta and Atlanta and then and then Denver.
Speaker 4: So if they switch to Field at Denver, oh, I
Speaker 4: think they might just because they know Russell Wilson so well. Maybe,
Speaker 4: but I.
Speaker 1: Think I got Denver's like one of the three worst
Speaker 1: teams in the NFA. Fields is going to.
Speaker 4: Start eventually at some point this season. They have to
Speaker 4: know what they get. They're they're trying to figure out
Speaker 4: who their quarterback for next year is. And if you
Speaker 4: get Fields in there, you get a guy who's top
Speaker 4: fifteen quarterback upside the rest of the way, and you
Speaker 4: can get him with the last pick in your draft.
Speaker 1: YEP, my sleeper of the week is in sneaky fashion,
Speaker 1: two sleepers who are connected to each other. Now, if TJ.
Speaker 1: Hockinson were healthy and he's one of my two, where
Speaker 1: would he be among your tight end list? He'd be
Speaker 1: sitting somewhere like top five, right, Yeah, I was gonna
Speaker 1: say for sure top eight, but yes, he could be
Speaker 1: pushing higher. Yeah, you know, I think Laporter would still
Speaker 1: be one, but Hockinson would.
Speaker 4: Be right in the Mark Andrews this area.
Speaker 1: Yeah, not before. So you know right now he's going
Speaker 1: off the board is like tight end fourteen. So here's
Speaker 1: the combo I want to propose to you. Okay, so
Speaker 1: you take Hockinson in what is now like round eleven
Speaker 1: or something like this around he's very likely base and
Speaker 1: everything we know right now, he's very likely to come
Speaker 1: back in October. So then I give you the other
Speaker 1: part of this sleeper duo, your handcuff to bridge the
Speaker 1: gap until Hockinson comes back. Zach Ertz, Well, you can
Speaker 1: take with the last pick of your draft. He is
Speaker 1: the veteran who's reunited with Cliff Kingsbury in Washington. Now
Speaker 1: Washington drafted Ben Sennett and his prospects look good. But
Speaker 1: Ben Sennett doesn't look like somebody who's going to be
Speaker 1: an immediate starter and an immediate impact guy. I don't
Speaker 1: think he's gonna I don't think he's at the Sam
Speaker 1: Laporta level of development yet. In fact, I don't think
Speaker 1: anybody does. So Senate's gonna take some time. In the meantime,
Speaker 1: good old safe zach Ertz, who's getting most all the
Speaker 1: run with the first team in Washington. He's going to
Speaker 1: start these start the season, and he's my bridge for
Speaker 1: you until you get TJ. Hockinson. And now you get
Speaker 1: a top five ish tight end who you didn't have
Speaker 1: to pay, you'd be paid like round ten equity for.
Speaker 4: I like it. I Oh, by the way, Johan Dotson's
Speaker 4: gun John Dog.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that frees up a bunch of targets. In fact,
Speaker 1: Washington's got several, Yeah, a lot of bag hitting targets. Anyway,
Speaker 1: I'm not totally sure what the exact number is. But
Speaker 1: when we come back, we got to break down two games.
Speaker 1: We got a Thursday and Friday night game Fantasy Football
Speaker 1: Weekly style with all the player grades coming your way.
Speaker 1: We'll tell you what we think is going to happen
Speaker 1: Thursday Friday of this coming week and get your head
Speaker 1: start on the whole regular season. Fantasy Football Weekly final
Speaker 1: segment of Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Chargi and Scott Fish
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison with you. We're breaking down the Thursday games
Speaker 1: and the Friday game. It's Friday game here, Thursday, Baltimore
Speaker 1: at Kansas City. These teams met two games ago in
Speaker 1: the AFC Championship Game, a very low scoring game seventeen
Speaker 1: to ten despite good weather in that late January game.
Speaker 1: I've got a bunch of b grades to hand out
Speaker 1: for Baltimore, beginning with Derrick Henry. His Baltimore debut was
Speaker 1: going to be a ton of fun here. It's much
Speaker 1: the same run defense, well overall defense for Kansas City,
Speaker 1: and in the AFC Championship game, the Ravens barely tried
Speaker 1: to run just six rushing attempts in the whole game,
Speaker 1: which is incredible. Kansas City's run defense was good but
Speaker 1: not dominating last year, allowing the second fewest rushing touchdowns
Speaker 1: just six all year, and even volume backs struggled. The
Speaker 1: six backs that had eighteen or more carries, which I think,
Speaker 1: like Derek Henry is likely to get eighteen or more,
Speaker 1: they still only averaged ninety yards per game and just
Speaker 1: zero point two touchdowns. So I can only get Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry to a B grade in this game. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the passing offense Lamar Jackson. Kansas City's defense was
Speaker 1: dominating for much of last year, shutting down guys like
Speaker 1: Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts and Tua, and in the
Speaker 1: playoff game against Jackson last year, he threw a whopping
Speaker 1: thirty eight times. I told you they didn't run at all.
Speaker 1: It was all passing two hundred and seventy five yards
Speaker 1: on a score, which is aboutwood feels right here with
Speaker 1: most of the same weapons on both sides of the ball.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs saw the most opposing quarterback runs last year,
Speaker 1: more than any other team, and Jackson ran for fifty
Speaker 1: four yards in the January meeting. So continue to help
Speaker 1: you out on the ground here in all probability, and
Speaker 1: a B grade for him. A B grade for Za Flowers.
Speaker 1: He posted his best game as a pro in the
Speaker 1: previous meeting, one hundred and fifteen yards and a score.
Speaker 1: Last year, Flowers moved all over the field, lining up
Speaker 1: equally from the slot the left, the right side of
Speaker 1: the field and The Chiefs have got one very good cornerback,
Speaker 1: Trent McDuffie. He finished his Pro Football Focus's twentieth ranked
Speaker 1: coverage cornerback last year, giving up just twenty nine receiving
Speaker 1: yards per game. Considering the talent drop off after Flowers,
Speaker 1: you know, McDuffie I think is going to sh shato Flowers,
Speaker 1: which worries me here because he is really good and
Speaker 1: there's nobody else worthy of Trent McDuffie's coverage, and he
Speaker 1: does shadow sometimes, so I'm worried about that. And I
Speaker 1: think that I can only get Zay Flowers to a
Speaker 1: bee and I almost knocked him down to a sea.
Speaker 1: If you told me McDuffie was going to a shadow,
Speaker 1: I'd put him at a seat. Let's talk Mark Andrews.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs were a good, not great tight end defense
Speaker 1: last year. They absolutely shut down Andrews in the playoff game,
Speaker 1: just two catches in for fifteen yards. But that was
Speaker 1: also his first game back off a two month injury,
Speaker 1: and he should be better in this game, fully healthy.
Speaker 1: And we all know Mark Andrews is a target hog
Speaker 1: when he is on the field. I've got a B
Speaker 1: grade there, And if you want to throw a speculative
Speaker 1: dart throw on Rashad Babeman C grade, earning lots of
Speaker 1: praise in training camp from John Harbaugh. With Trent McDuffie
Speaker 1: tied up with Flowers, Baateman gets much easier coverage from
Speaker 1: Chamari Connor and Nazy Johnson. Connor has seen eighteen career
Speaker 1: targets and Johnson hasn't ever seen the field before. And
Speaker 1: those guys might be starting cornerbacks here. So I think
Speaker 1: Bateman is startable. We had to take a chance to
Speaker 1: me segment. Yeah probably, Yeah, it's Kansas City. I've got
Speaker 1: an A grade on Travis Kelcey. I'll note in the
Speaker 1: AFC Championship Game eleven targets and eleven catches against Baltimore.
Speaker 1: Big game. There B grade on Patrick Mahomes. He was
Speaker 1: quiet in the AFC Championship Game, just two hundred and
Speaker 1: forty one yards in a touchdown. The Ravens were an
Speaker 1: elite pass defense last year, and almost the exact same
Speaker 1: defense of personnel comes back this year. Baltimore averaged just
Speaker 1: one passing touchdown allowed per game. That's it, and no
Speaker 1: opposing passer hit three hundred yards against Baltimore all last
Speaker 1: year and eleven quarterbacks didn't even top two hundred and
Speaker 1: twenty seven yards against the Ravens. They had the number
Speaker 1: two ranked overall pass defense by Pro Football Focus. I
Speaker 1: can only get you to a B grade on Mahomes
Speaker 1: that if I had the guts, I'd put a C
Speaker 1: grade on him. Let's stay with the receivers, for she
Speaker 1: Wright comes in with. Rice comes in with a C grade.
Speaker 1: Heavily involved in the AFC Championship game nine targets, eight receptions,
Speaker 1: but they were all close to the line of scrimmage
Speaker 1: and he only finished with forty six scoreless yards. Now,
Speaker 1: the problem here is the matchup. Rice runs fully half
Speaker 1: his routes from the slot, and that's rematches up against
Speaker 1: star safety Kyle Hamilton, who is simply awesome. He allowed
Speaker 1: one touchdown in his coverage last year and an insane
Speaker 1: opposing passer rating of forty seven. Kyle Hamilton is amazing
Speaker 1: and that's going to be a tough matchup for Rashi Rice.
Speaker 1: So I can only get you to a C grade
Speaker 1: on him. Xavier Worthy in his debut tough spot Baltimore
Speaker 1: only allowed twelve wide receiver scores all of last year,
Speaker 1: and only two were from speed guys. Out of those twelve,
Speaker 1: the rest were big bodied receivers who had much better
Speaker 1: success like Amari Cooper and George Pickens and T Higgins
Speaker 1: and Keenan Allen all posted good games against Baltimore. That's
Speaker 1: not Xavier worthy and Hollywood Brown not expected to play
Speaker 1: just the Sea grade on Xavier Worthy. Now for our
Speaker 1: Brazil game, let's go to Mateo to tell us about
Speaker 1: Green Bay Philadelphia.
Speaker 4: Hey, but Georgian, Welcome to South Bollow, where we are
Speaker 4: hairless below the neck and we kick everything. You can
Speaker 4: call me Mateo. You'll notice I don't have much of
Speaker 4: a Brazilian accent.
Speaker 1: Oh you really don't.
Speaker 4: I watch a lot of Rockford Files, and I listen
Speaker 4: to Matt Harrison on Fantasy Football Weekly every week.
Speaker 1: You are a man of distinction, mostly.
Speaker 4: Matt Harrison and Brian Johnson. I don't listen to the
Speaker 4: other guys. Smart teach me the English very good move.
Speaker 4: When you come to Corinthian Stadium, you may not wear
Speaker 4: green or will kick you. We were so pleased that
Speaker 4: the NFL sent us two of the three green teams
Speaker 4: in the league, the Eagles and Packers. Over under is
Speaker 4: forty nine, which is the third highest in Week one,
Speaker 4: so we expect to see a lot of golds, But
Speaker 4: how do you score forty nine goals in a football game?
Speaker 4: No goalkeeper? And Jordan Love is an A grade, especially
Speaker 4: with starting Eagles center back James Bradbury ending up on ir.
Speaker 4: For the receivers, Jayden Reid lines up in the slot
Speaker 4: most often, so he'll get first round rookie Quinnyan Mitchell.
Speaker 4: Mitchell only gave up six yards in coverage in the preseason,
Speaker 4: but you have to give the advantage to read in
Speaker 4: a real game. Reid gets a B grade. C grades
Speaker 4: to both Romeo Dobbs and Christian Watson, who will both
Speaker 4: take turns on the Darius Sleigh Ride, and we will
Speaker 4: see Keeley Ringo, who only saw nine targets last season,
Speaker 4: and Isaiah Rodgers, who just got reinstated to the league
Speaker 4: after being suspended last year for gambling. It's a whole
Speaker 4: new corner group for the Eagles, and consistency of the Packers'
Speaker 4: wideouts wins in this case, so C grades for Dobbs
Speaker 4: and Watson. I'll keep Dontavian Wicks on the bench, though,
Speaker 4: but he's probably gonna score. That means you probably have
Speaker 4: a better tight end on your roster than Luke Musgrave,
Speaker 4: and the Eagles didn't allow a tight end touchdown for
Speaker 4: the final seven weeks of the twenty three season, so
Speaker 4: I keep him in. Tucker Craft on the bench. Josh Jacobs,
Speaker 4: he gets a B grade. The Eagles allowed a touchdown
Speaker 4: to each of the last six lead running backs they
Speaker 4: faced last season. On the other side, Saquon Barkley, he
Speaker 4: gets a B grade as well. The last running back
Speaker 4: the Packers allowed multiple touchdowns too was Giants running back
Speaker 4: Saquon Barkley in Week fourteen. I think both teams will
Speaker 4: try to show off their shiny new running back toys
Speaker 4: this week. Jalen Hurts he gets an A grade. You
Speaker 4: drafted him crazy early because he had rushing touchdowns in
Speaker 4: eleven of eighteen games last year. AJ Brown gets an
Speaker 4: A as well, and DeVante Smith a solid B. Both
Speaker 4: will get the opportunity to go against Eric Stokes on
Speaker 4: the left side of the field, and I expect the
Speaker 4: Eagles to attack his side. Stokes allowed a passer rating
Speaker 4: of one fifty two in his shoverage last year. He's
Speaker 4: the glaring week spot on this defense, and on the
Speaker 4: other side is JayR Alley Xander's a much tougher test,
Speaker 4: but still took a major step back last season with
Speaker 4: a passer rating of one twenty two in his coverage.
Speaker 4: And finally, Dallas Goddard. He's not practicing yet with an
Speaker 4: oblique injury. We'll keep an eye on his status up
Speaker 4: to kickoff next Friday. But if I had a choice,
Speaker 4: I'd leave Goddard on the bench this week. Mateo out,
Speaker 4: nicely done, Mateo, Well done, Hill.
Speaker 1: We can't wait for the real live football starting on.
Speaker 3: Can we replace Matt Harrison with Way?
Speaker 4: I think?
Speaker 1: I think Mateo is Way?
Speaker 4: It sounds good to me.
Speaker 1: Far better looking, you know, hairless from the neck down
Speaker 1: and all. Yes, we like that about Mateo. Quite a pit.
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly, everybody. It
Speaker 1: was great to have you along. Next week we'll go
Speaker 1: into regular season mode where'll be breaking down all the games.
Speaker 1: We'll be giving you our taking chance with me players,
Speaker 1: and so much more. Can't wait to talk to you
Speaker 1: one week from to now. From today, best of luck
Speaker 1: and all your final drafts everyone, Bye bye. Fantasy Football
Speaker 1: Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio,
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