WEBVTT - Media Mob Fighting Hard - November 4th, Hour 3 0:00:00.640 --> 0:00:03.120 Stay right here for our final news round up and 0:00:03.320 --> 0:00:07.120 Information Overload my news round up in Information Overload hour. 0:00:07.160 --> 0:00:09.280 Here's our tot free number this election eve. It's eight 0:00:09.360 --> 0:00:10.240 hundred and ninety four one. 0:00:10.320 --> 0:00:10.520 Sean. 0:00:10.560 --> 0:00:13.000 If you want to be a part of the program, 0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:16.120 we're going to get to Mark Halprin in just a second. 0:00:16.600 --> 0:00:19.919 He's been very outspoken. His coverage has been phenomenal. He 0:00:20.000 --> 0:00:22.880 seems one of the few people out there in the 0:00:22.920 --> 0:00:27.600 mainstream media that doesn't have a bias. I admit I'm 0:00:27.640 --> 0:00:29.400 a talk show host. I have a point of view, 0:00:29.400 --> 0:00:33.440 but unlike everybody else that claims that they're there they're 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:36.040 journalists and they're objective there or anything. But if you 0:00:36.120 --> 0:00:38.400 just listen to them for two or four or five minutes, 0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:40.960 it's like, really, you're going to call yourself a journalist, 0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:44.400 You're not. Yeah, you're remember the press. Yeah, okay, you 0:00:44.440 --> 0:00:47.160 have an opinion that makes you a talk show host. 0:00:47.600 --> 0:00:51.320 That's fine, just be honest about it. He's had this 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:53.840 to say, which I found pretty interesting. I don't want 0:00:53.840 --> 0:00:58.080 to get his final analysis. As we head into you know, tomorrow, 0:00:58.120 --> 0:01:00.680 election day, they'll they'll be eighty to nine million people 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:04.319 I would assume voting tomorrow. It's a big deal and 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:08.080 every vote's going to matter. My suggestion is ignore the 0:01:08.160 --> 0:01:13.080 polls even though we use them, ignore what others say, 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:17.040 and just just do your part. We have been given 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:20.600 this incredible opportunity in this country to vote for the 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:24.320 candidate of our choice. And if you're happy with the borders, 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:26.399 if you're if you if you think we're headed in 0:01:26.440 --> 0:01:29.240 the right direction, well then I guess you want Kamala 0:01:29.319 --> 0:01:33.040 Harris as your president. But if you don't like defund, 0:01:33.040 --> 0:01:36.600 dismantled and reimagine no bail laws, if you don't like 0:01:36.680 --> 0:01:40.920 decriminalizing illegal immigration, then you probably want Donald Trump to 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:44.560 be your president. If you've been unhappy with inflation that 0:01:44.640 --> 0:01:48.600 has persisted now for four straight years and record high 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.520 interest rates we haven't seen in decades, Okay, then I 0:01:51.560 --> 0:01:53.680 guess you'll vote for Kamala Harris. If you'd like to 0:01:53.680 --> 0:01:56.160 see gas prices come down, you're probably going to vote 0:01:56.160 --> 0:01:59.680 for Donald Trump. If you'd like to see America regain 0:02:00.440 --> 0:02:03.120 on the world stage. I think it's a pretty obvious 0:02:03.160 --> 0:02:06.800 answer there too. Here's Mark Calprin of making comments on 0:02:06.840 --> 0:02:09.320 his show on those on a lot of these issues 0:02:09.360 --> 0:02:11.359 that we're facing heading into it tomorrow. 0:02:11.560 --> 0:02:14.480 Big topic today. I've said this before. The only thing 0:02:14.480 --> 0:02:17.040 harder than running against Donald Trump is covering Donald Trump. 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.679 The very difficult to cover him. Okay, why is it 0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:21.920 difficult to cover him? The press doesn't like him in 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:26.280 the main, as Jonathan Alter has said here and others say, regularly, 0:02:26.400 --> 0:02:30.519 he lies, he's cruel, he does things that no politician 0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:33.840 have ever done outside of the norm, and you can't 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:37.600 keep up with that ecking him. However, the press, because 0:02:37.639 --> 0:02:39.960 they're liberally biased and because they don't like Donald Trump, 0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:43.799 they regularly do things that are wrong. They're they're taking 0:02:43.840 --> 0:02:46.520 something Trump did and they're twisting it. They do that 0:02:46.560 --> 0:02:48.280 to common flers too. They do that to Joe Biden. 0:02:48.320 --> 0:02:50.359 I do that to politicians. But you know, when I 0:02:50.400 --> 0:02:53.240 played high school basketball, my coach always told me, an 0:02:53.360 --> 0:02:56.240 error in the first quarter is a mistake. A turnover 0:02:56.520 --> 0:02:58.320 is not as bad as a turnover or a mishot 0:02:58.360 --> 0:03:00.839 in the fourth quarter because there's less time to make 0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:03.639 up for the error. Okay, four days out, the press 0:03:03.680 --> 0:03:06.920 doing something unfair can have a real impact on the race, 0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:10.840 and we've seen in the last few days extraordinary unfairness 0:03:10.840 --> 0:03:13.160 to Donald Trump. Now again there are people on the 0:03:13.240 --> 0:03:15.639 left and people in the media who say, screw him. 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:17.919 He must be stopped at all costs. And he lies 0:03:18.000 --> 0:03:20.920 so much, what does it matter the calibration of her 0:03:20.960 --> 0:03:23.200 holding him accountable. And what I'm here to tell you 0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:24.880 is some of the things that happened in the last 0:03:24.880 --> 0:03:27.600 few days are extraordinarily unfair. 0:03:27.760 --> 0:03:31.280 Well anyway, Mark Alprin joins us now. Mark, by the way, 0:03:31.360 --> 0:03:33.640 is the editor in chief of this new interactive video 0:03:33.680 --> 0:03:36.800 platform two Way. Sean Spicer is a part of it 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:40.480 as well. One of the few that I really can't 0:03:40.520 --> 0:03:43.040 figure out where you fall politically. I used to think 0:03:43.080 --> 0:03:46.400 you were a little bit more left of center. You 0:03:46.600 --> 0:03:48.760 do you have an opinion or do you just stay 0:03:48.760 --> 0:03:49.200 out of it. 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:51.600 I have an opinion that journalists should be none bun 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:54.160 biased and for the American people, and that when they 0:03:54.200 --> 0:03:56.760 do things that are wrong or it reflects bias, they 0:03:56.760 --> 0:03:59.080 should acknowledge it rather than pretending it didn't happen. 0:03:59.200 --> 0:04:02.360 You mean, like ring squad for Liz Cheney when Donald 0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:04.680 Trump meant no such thing, and it was obviously he 0:04:04.720 --> 0:04:05.520 meant no such thing. 0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:08.760 That's the latest example. And again, because it's happening at 0:04:08.760 --> 0:04:10.680 the end of a campaign, and it's just, it's just, 0:04:10.800 --> 0:04:13.600 it's just, it's just a falsehood, and it's a falsehood 0:04:13.720 --> 0:04:17.000 driven by their resistance mentality. There's always been liberal bias 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:21.280 in the media. It's unfortunate, but Republican presidents who who've succeeded, 0:04:21.320 --> 0:04:23.440 have found a way to work around it. You take 0:04:23.480 --> 0:04:26.200 the normal historical liberal bias and you add in Trump's 0:04:26.279 --> 0:04:29.360 derangement syndrome, and you find what things like you find 0:04:29.360 --> 0:04:32.159 the other day. I mean, they're callous examples. I know, 0:04:32.240 --> 0:04:34.960 you know, Sean, but the Vice president regularly says Donald 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:37.160 Trump said there'd be a bloodbath if he if he 0:04:37.360 --> 0:04:40.520 lost the election. It's not what he said. And and 0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:42.159 the fact that the press just lets her say it 0:04:42.160 --> 0:04:45.000 over and again. Donald Trump sells lives over and over again, 0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:47.680 and he gets called on it. She says that, and 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:50.400 nobody notices. And so part of why I think if 0:04:50.400 --> 0:04:52.680 he does win, he'll win is I talk to people 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:54.480 on two way all the time who say I don't 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:56.080 love Trump. I a lot of problems with Trump, but 0:04:56.160 --> 0:05:00.719 the bias, along with the indictments are so anesthetical to 0:05:00.839 --> 0:05:02.919 what America should be about, that they're voting for Trump 0:05:02.920 --> 0:05:05.279 at a protest. And the irony, of course is the 0:05:05.360 --> 0:05:09.760 people who have sacrificed their professional credibility the most are 0:05:09.800 --> 0:05:13.440 the ones out of desire determination to stop Donald Trump. 0:05:13.760 --> 0:05:16.640 Are just like in twenty sixteen, if he wins, going 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:18.479 to have played one of the largest roles in helping 0:05:18.560 --> 0:05:22.040 him inadvertenty because the backlash against the unfairness is. 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:26.159 It pretty unbelievable. So since Kamala Harris got in this race, 0:05:26.240 --> 0:05:29.479 she has never been asked about her stated position on 0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:32.279 co sponsoring the Green New Deal with Bernie Sanders and 0:05:32.360 --> 0:05:35.640 her willingness to eliminate the filibuster to achieve that. She 0:05:35.680 --> 0:05:39.560 has never been asked about her position about government or 0:05:39.680 --> 0:05:42.479 Medicare for all, government health care for all, and the 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:45.080 elimination of private health insurance. I have not heard her 0:05:45.240 --> 0:05:49.360 answer have to answer that question. She's never had to 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:52.360 answer for her tweeting out a bail fund. We had 0:05:52.360 --> 0:05:54.560 five hundred and seventy four riots in the summer of 0:05:54.560 --> 0:05:58.240 twenty twenty. She tweeted that out four days after Minneapolis 0:05:58.240 --> 0:06:00.960 police precinct was burned to the ground and then went 0:06:01.000 --> 0:06:03.360 on CBS and said they're not going to stop rioting 0:06:03.440 --> 0:06:05.359 and they shouldn't stop writing, and I'm not going to 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:08.680 stop supporting them. She's never been asked about any of this. 0:06:09.640 --> 0:06:14.160 She gave a halp hazard answer on her repeated comments 0:06:14.200 --> 0:06:16.640 that she would ban fracking and offshore drilling. I'm not 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:20.440 sure I believe it. She's never been asked about why 0:06:20.520 --> 0:06:23.520 she thinks it's courageous never to say the words radical 0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:28.760 islamic terrorism, or illegal alien. I mean, it's beyond malpractice, 0:06:28.800 --> 0:06:32.040 of my view. How is it possible in one hundred days, 0:06:32.040 --> 0:06:33.880 She's never been asked any of those questions. 0:06:33.960 --> 0:06:35.640 Well, the list goes on and on. I know you 0:06:35.680 --> 0:06:37.679 were just giving a sample. But when she was asked 0:06:37.680 --> 0:06:40.640 about an issue that the Trump campaign has raised in advertising, 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:45.920 support for government funded operations for trans individuals who are 0:06:45.920 --> 0:06:49.960 here illegally, you know, kind of like a quadruple issue 0:06:50.000 --> 0:06:52.680 of controversy, she said, I'll follow the law. She didn't 0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:55.000 answer that. So part of it is when she has 0:06:55.000 --> 0:06:57.039 been asked bout these things, and I think Bratt and 0:06:57.080 --> 0:06:58.880 a few other of the interviewers have done a good 0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:00.720 job of trying to get her to Yeah. 0:07:00.760 --> 0:07:03.719 They gave Brett twenty six minutes, and they iced them. 0:07:03.760 --> 0:07:06.360 They knew he had to turn the show around, and 0:07:06.680 --> 0:07:09.480 she showed up seventeen minutes late. First words out of 0:07:09.520 --> 0:07:12.320 their mouth was, instead of thirty minutes, we won twenty. 0:07:12.920 --> 0:07:14.640 You know, you could see in his eyes they tried 0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:16.480 to wrap him at twenty and he pushed it to 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:19.840 twenty six. But I mean, and she wouldn't answer a question. 0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:22.200 She tried to filibuster, which put him in a really 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:24.840 difficult position of having to interrupt there because she wasn't 0:07:24.840 --> 0:07:25.640 answering the question. 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:28.200 I agree with all that, but a few interviewers, however 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:30.880 much time they've had, have tried she doesn't answer. Now, 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:33.680 if Donald Trump answered about the Affordable Care Act, as 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:37.280 Donald Trump answered about how he'd stop the war in Ukraine, 0:07:37.800 --> 0:07:41.480 he's been the difference. The difference is he was president. 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:43.720 The difference is he talks to the press a lot more. 0:07:44.200 --> 0:07:47.520 And the difference is she has a track record of 0:07:47.640 --> 0:07:52.440 extremely liberal positions from her presidential campaign that the country, 0:07:52.560 --> 0:07:55.200 even if you followed it closely, would actually have no 0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:57.560 idea what she would do as president. So I think 0:07:57.640 --> 0:08:00.000 I think a short campaign is going to have special rules. 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:03.720 But she's chosen to mostly do interviews with friendly and 0:08:03.760 --> 0:08:05.600 the one she's done, like with Bratt as you said, 0:08:05.680 --> 0:08:07.440 I have been under circumstances where we can't get to 0:08:07.440 --> 0:08:10.280 the bottom of it, and the debate where everybody said 0:08:10.280 --> 0:08:11.680 she did such a good job, and she did a 0:08:11.680 --> 0:08:14.920 great job baiting Donald Trump, was not at all revealing 0:08:15.360 --> 0:08:18.160 of her positions. Now, I will say if she loses, 0:08:18.200 --> 0:08:20.400 and if she loses, to some people close to the president, 0:08:20.440 --> 0:08:22.200 as you know, thinks she'll lose badly, there'll be a 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:23.840 lot of reasons for it, and Joe Biden will get 0:08:23.840 --> 0:08:26.160 a lot of the blame, for instance, my Democrats at least. 0:08:26.320 --> 0:08:28.600 But one of the reasons I'm quite confident from talking 0:08:28.600 --> 0:08:31.160 to voters every day on my two way platform is 0:08:31.640 --> 0:08:35.840 she was some combination of this unspecific about what she'd 0:08:35.840 --> 0:08:40.040 do and unconvincing that her liberal positions are actually changed. 0:08:40.240 --> 0:08:43.400 And I think to some extent, again, I understand the 0:08:43.400 --> 0:08:46.920 frustration you feel as a partisanate, and I have a 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:51.000 comparable or parallel frustration as a journalist. But the system 0:08:51.040 --> 0:08:53.120 may work. In other words, part of why she'll loses 0:08:53.200 --> 0:08:56.080 she failed to explain her positions on things in a 0:08:56.120 --> 0:08:57.880 way that voter are fell comfortable to say. 0:08:58.120 --> 0:09:01.160 I don't think she can mark because of she does. 0:09:01.520 --> 0:09:03.920 How do you explain away all never mind, I co 0:09:04.000 --> 0:09:06.760 sponsored the Green New Deal with Bernie Sanders, and I 0:09:06.760 --> 0:09:09.960 said I'd eliminate the filibuster. Never mind, How do you 0:09:10.040 --> 0:09:14.280 explain away co sponsoring Medicare for all, elimination of private 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:17.880 health insurance? How do you how do you expect these 0:09:17.920 --> 0:09:21.040 are recent positions? We're not talking about ten years ago. 0:09:21.520 --> 0:09:24.360 Well, I mean her sort of textbook, her boiler play 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:27.559 language is they think basically as part of the administration, 0:09:27.600 --> 0:09:30.880 I changed my view, but I will say, you know, 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:33.000 I've known Kamala Harrison covered her for a long time. 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:37.360 I think that her achilles heel politically is she does 0:09:37.400 --> 0:09:41.440 not like to make difficult choices under pressure. Now, unfortunately 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:43.800 for her, that's kind of the job description for president 0:09:44.120 --> 0:09:46.160 and to a large extent, the job description of president 0:09:46.200 --> 0:09:49.199 the United States or of a presidential candidate. But that's 0:09:49.320 --> 0:09:51.480 I believe why she doesn't answer these questions because she 0:09:51.600 --> 0:09:54.640 knows the answers are hard. She's either going to alienate 0:09:54.679 --> 0:09:56.680 the left or alienate the center. 0:09:57.200 --> 0:09:59.400 You mean, like she wouldn't answer how she voted on 0:09:59.440 --> 0:10:03.679 Prop thirty in California. So I actually have the cud. 0:10:03.760 --> 0:10:05.800 Let me play it for you. How did you vote 0:10:05.800 --> 0:10:06.800 on Prop thirty six. 0:10:07.679 --> 0:10:11.239 So I have my ballad is on its way to California, 0:10:11.400 --> 0:10:13.560 and I'm going to trust the system that it will 0:10:13.760 --> 0:10:17.120 arrive there. And I am not going to talk about 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:20.080 the vote on that because I honestly it is the 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:23.800 Sunday before the election, and I don't intend to create 0:10:24.040 --> 0:10:25.160 an endorsement. 0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:25.880 One way or another around it. 0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:27.600 But I did vote. 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:30.440 I mean, it's just a typical answer from her, which 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:31.319 is a non answer. 0:10:31.320 --> 0:10:34.480 But John, if you accept my prism to evaluate all 0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:37.120 of these non answers, then I think it explains every 0:10:37.120 --> 0:10:39.600 one of them. If she took a position on that issue, 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:42.320 she would alienate the left or the center. And she 0:10:42.360 --> 0:10:44.560 doesn't want to do it because she does not like 0:10:44.600 --> 0:10:48.360 to make difficult choices under pressure, and figuring out how 0:10:48.400 --> 0:10:51.560 to answer these questions is a difficult choice, so she 0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:54.600 just chooses not to. That produces the word salad. It 0:10:54.640 --> 0:10:58.080 produces the evasions. Again. President Trump is evasive about a 0:10:58.120 --> 0:11:01.160 ton of stuff too, but it's not costing him because 0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:03.120 people have a better sense of what he thinks. I 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:04.880 say to people all the time, tell me what Donald 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:06.560 Trump would as president, whether you like it or not. 0:11:06.880 --> 0:11:12.199 Less regulation, lower taxes, no forever warse you know some 0:11:12.760 --> 0:11:14.000 conservative cultural. 0:11:13.679 --> 0:11:16.600 Build the wall. Don't forget that mark, that's an obvious one. 0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:17.280 You're right. 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:20.760 And by the way, he's in commalist closing arguments, she 0:11:20.840 --> 0:11:24.400 says she's lying to people about stealing Grandma and Grandpa's 0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:27.559 social Security and Medicare. Actually it went up under his 0:11:27.600 --> 0:11:30.719 first term. She's lying when she says he's going to 0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:34.400 support a national abortion band. It's an outright lie. Or 0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:40.000 limit access to contraception another lie, or IVF another lie. 0:11:40.800 --> 0:11:45.040 The twenty twenty whatever project that I don't even know 0:11:45.080 --> 0:11:47.719 what it's about. And I'm a you know, prominent conservative, 0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:49.640 but I have no idea, never read it, don't know 0:11:49.679 --> 0:11:52.320 who's involved in it, don't care, want no part of it, 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:53.840 based on a little bit that I do. 0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:56.839 Know about it. Look, I left off my list of 0:11:56.880 --> 0:11:58.839 things people know about Trump, as you said, shut down 0:11:58.840 --> 0:12:01.559 the border and all some more energy production. I ask people, 0:12:01.600 --> 0:12:04.880 even her supporters, what is she for. It's all opposition 0:12:04.960 --> 0:12:07.679 to Trump. It's all she won't let she won't do projects. 0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.400 Is that going to be enough? He's a Nazi fascist 0:12:10.679 --> 0:12:12.520 where all garbage is that going to work? 0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:14.200 Well, it'll be enough. 0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:18.480 If if four things happen, If if productive reproductive freedom 0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:21.520 turns out to be a bigger issue for voters than 0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.760 the poll suggests, if women make up fifty five percent 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:27.520 of the electorate, if her turnout operation turns out to 0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:30.760 be masterfulow of the early vote doesn't suggest that, and 0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.760 it turns out that basically no one else gets meaningful vote. 0:12:34.760 --> 0:12:37.040 It's just basically a two person race. And it turns 0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:39.600 out Donald Trump's steeling is forty eight percent. If those 0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:41.760 four things happen, I believe she can get exactly two 0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:44.760 hundred and seventy electoral votes, probably no more. No one's 0:12:44.800 --> 0:12:47.160 ever won with one pass to exactly two hundred and seventy. 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.960 Most of my sources and both parties say that's where 0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:51.400 she is. That's where Joe Biden was on the eve 0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:53.559 of the debate, and that's a that's a tough thing 0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:56.480 to pull off, no margin of error, but that's but 0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:57.320 that may be enough. 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:00.680 This is my analysis, And you tell me where you 0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.400 think I'm wrong, and I like you. I have sources 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:07.080 that are Democrats and Republicans. Maybe that'llso surprise some people. 0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:12.359 I based on all the modeling, early voting, every indication 0:13:12.880 --> 0:13:15.960 is they have a math problem for Kamala Harris, and 0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:19.000 that is early voting goals that she needed to reach 0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:22.000 she didn't come close to reaching. And according to everybody 0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.360 that I speak to in Georgia, it looks like Donald 0:13:25.360 --> 0:13:27.920 Trump's gonna win Georgia. It looks like he's gonna win 0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:30.560 North Carolina. Now, if you disagree with any of this, 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:34.800 I want to hear it with you. You've reported, and 0:13:35.000 --> 0:13:38.600 my sources are saying exactly what you reported is she's 0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:41.440 in trouble, big trouble. In Wisconsin. Early vote is down 0:13:41.480 --> 0:13:43.880 forty percent the election model that has been used there 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.599 for fourteen years. As Trump up by one and a 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:49.320 half points. That would be the end of it the 0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:52.079 way I see where she is now. If Trump wins 0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:54.760 Arizona has a shot at Nevada, although that would only 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.760 get him to two sixty eight. She needs a clean 0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:00.200 sweep of the Blue Wall. He needs one of the 0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:01.240 three and he wins. 0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:05.040 Perfectly stated, And again, I think any electoral college analysis 0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:07.440 here one day out starts with the question do you 0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.520 think she'll win one of the southwestern one of the 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:12.240 sun Belt states. My sources don't. And so if she 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:14.480 can't win one of the three big Sunbelt states Arizona, 0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:16.920 at North Carolina or Georgia. Then she has to go 0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.080 three for three and Trump has to go one for three. 0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:21.400 In the Great Lake States, going one for three is 0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:23.120 a lot easier than going three for three. There's been 0:14:23.240 --> 0:14:26.440 I think, an over emphasis on Pennsylvania. I did it too. 0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:28.480 I did a whole two hour show called It's All 0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:31.440 about Pennsylvania. But you're hearing what I'm hearing now, which 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:37.479 is surprisingly firm confidence from Democrats and Republicans in Wisconsin 0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:40.320 that Trump will win the state. And if she can't 0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:42.160 win a Sun Belt state and she can't win Wisconsin, 0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.280 it is over. It's not sort of over, it's over. 0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:47.000 And as for the early vote and the early early vote, 0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:49.320 I said, if this keeps up, we will go into 0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:51.800 election day knowing mathematically she can't win. 0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.480 All right, So I'll tell you what on that point, 0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:58.160 I normally wouldn't hold a guest over, but I'm going 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:02.360 to pick up mathematically where we are because I have 0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:04.680 not heard you discuss that, and I want to ask 0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:07.120 you specifically about Pennsylvania because I have a lot of 0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:12.000 thoughts on that and about the registration shift since twenty 0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:14.320 twenty that nobody talks about, and even a shift in 0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:17.600 Nevada as well. Can you stick around a few more minutes? 0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:19.760 A few more I got to leave in about ten minutes. 0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:21.640 I will have you out here and lessen that, all right? 0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:23.880 Mark Alpriton is with us, Say eight hundred and ninety 0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:25.280 FOURT one, Shawn is a number you want to be 0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:26.680 a part of the program. We'll get to your calls 0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.880 coming up straight ahead. Today's economic environment. You have two 0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:34.360 thirds of Americans literally saying they're gulping water financially. Now, 0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:38.440 if you're putting bare necessities on credit cards, that means 0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:41.480 you're paying high interest credit card debt. Now, if you're 0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:45.400 a homeowner, well the average home valuation has gone up 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.480 ten percent in the last year. 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That's real money in your pocket. 0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:22.160 And you need to get your free consultation, no obligation 0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:24.760 call and make it now at eight sixty six six 0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:27.040 one five ninety two hundred eighty sixty six six one 0:16:27.080 --> 0:16:30.640 five ninety two hundred on the Webitsamericanfinancing dot Net, nmls 0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:32.800 twenty two through through four, Animalist Consumer Access at Work 0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:36.160 by twenty five to the top of the hour eight 0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:38.040 hundred nine to four one sean. If you want to 0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:40.440 be a part of the program, we continue a few 0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.440 more minutes now with Mark Halpern is with us. He's 0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:46.200 the editor in chief of this new interactive video platform. 0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:51.000 Two Way. You had said that we may know the 0:16:51.080 --> 0:16:56.120 winner of the election before election day. Today's election eve. 0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:58.080 Do you think you know the winner? 0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:00.440 It would take a lot for Kamla Harris's team, which 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:03.160 is underperformed and get out the vote on the early vote, 0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:08.040 to come back and do better on election day. They 0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:09.720 have a lead in most of the states in the 0:17:09.720 --> 0:17:11.320 early vote, but it's not as big a lead as 0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.920 they had in twenty twenty, and so we'll have to 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:17.600 look at the final early vote numbers. But in several 0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:21.400 of these states, including Pennsylvania, it's difficult to see how 0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:25.160 she'll win. It's not impossible, but the Dark Eye party 0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:29.919 has become the early vote party, accelerated by COVID, And 0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:33.239 so how she's going to do better enough on election day? 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.800 Where we've seen so far on early vote, which again 0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:40.800 is absentee ballots and in person of early voting, underperformance 0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:42.520 in the urban areas, and every one of the seven 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:46.119 states has urban areas over performance by Team Trump and 0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:50.119 the rural areas and underperformance with a demographic groups that 0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:53.879 she needs to do well in. So, for instance, in Pennsylvania, 0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:56.840 for lead is much smaller than even some Democrats told 0:17:56.880 --> 0:17:59.440 me going in it needed to be to survive the 0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:02.560 greater expect to turn out and buy Republicans on election day. 0:18:02.920 --> 0:18:05.280 Is it possible that they'll be not as good as 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.199 they thought they'd be on early vote but better on 0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:11.480 election day. It's possible, but it's unlikely. And that's why 0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:13.879 right now, based on as we had from the early 0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.840 early vote to the late early vote, it's very hard 0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:19.119 to see mathematically how she's going to do this unless 0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:20.720 there's a surge to polls, which there could be. 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.119 Well, they're going to have to based on what you're describing. 0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:25.919 What I've been saying myself in my own commentary is 0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:28.280 that they are going to have to do something that 0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.560 they've never done before, and that is have the biggest 0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:36.760 day of voting ever, historic numbers for that to be accomplished. 0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:39.439 And I have the same data that you have, and 0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:43.520 that is the urban turnout in every single swing state, 0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.040 the female vote, which we've been hearing a lot about, 0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:50.199 and you're right with your fifty five percent number, or 0:18:50.400 --> 0:18:54.120 but then if they were people were so if they 0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:56.480 were so excited to vote for Kamala, why wouldn't they 0:18:56.480 --> 0:18:58.720 have voted early. That doesn't kind of make That doesn't 0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:00.959 make sense to me. And then we're going to expect 0:19:01.280 --> 0:19:04.600 that they'll show up on election day, which historically Democrats 0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:08.080 don't do. Rural turnout, as you point out, is through 0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:12.240 the roof everywhere, which brings me to the question of Pennsylvania. 0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:13.800 And you said you did a whole show on this 0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:18.719 one thing. People have not discussed. Pennsylvania demographics have changed 0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:21.840 a lot over seven hundred thousand new Republicans. I've not 0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:26.760 heard anybody talk about that nearly eighty thousand increase in 0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:32.679 demographically Republican new registrations in Nevada, and you see similar 0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:34.879 stories around the rest of the country and swing states. 0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:36.600