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Speaker 1: Terms and Responsible Gaming Resources. Hi, everybody, and welcome into
Speaker 1: our Friday morning podcast. So you know, in my career,
Speaker 1: I've always thought I'm not against sportscasters who are like homers.
Speaker 1: Like a lot of local TV and radio people are
Speaker 1: big homers. You know, if you listen to WFA and
Speaker 1: in New York, you know they're all wearing their jet
Speaker 1: hoodies and they're doing their thing. That didn't bother me
Speaker 1: at all. But I've never that's never been my thing.
Speaker 1: I always feel like I'm the judge. You're the jury
Speaker 1: and the two teams, or the prosecuting attorney, the DA,
Speaker 1: and my job is to just give sort of a
Speaker 1: unemotional opinion on stuff, and I think I built my
Speaker 1: career on trying not to be a Homer. It's hard
Speaker 1: with Washington because when I was a kid, it was
Speaker 1: the first team I loved. It wasn't the Seahawks, it
Speaker 1: wasn't the Mariners. The first team I loved was the
Speaker 1: Washington Huskies. And I can remember the radio being on
Speaker 1: on Saturday afternoons, and they had a running back named
Speaker 1: Robin Earl. He wore number ninety nine, and they had
Speaker 1: these just very purple gold, kind of generic uniforms, and
Speaker 1: I just loved college football. And I don't know why,
Speaker 1: but I love the Huskies. And then Don James takes
Speaker 1: them over in the seventies and Warren Moon and Spider
Speaker 1: Gaines and Michael Jackson the linebacker. It's the first team
Speaker 1: I loved. And whatever you love at nine ten years
Speaker 1: old is what you love for life, right, And it's
Speaker 1: the one team, not USC not the Patriots, not Brady.
Speaker 1: The one team I really have an emotional attachment to
Speaker 1: is Washington. So I've always kind of pushed back on that.
Speaker 1: You know, I don't want to be a Homer. I
Speaker 1: don't think they match up with Michigan terribly well, and
Speaker 1: my guess is that Michigan wins. My guess would be
Speaker 1: like thirty to twenty three. You know, if I had
Speaker 1: to bet my four oh one k, I would actually
Speaker 1: take Michigan here. And the reasons being is that I
Speaker 1: think Kaylin de Boor is really a prep monster. I
Speaker 1: think he's one of those rare coaches like an Andy
Speaker 1: Reid that is almost unbeatable when he has extra time,
Speaker 1: and now they don't. And so when you've got a
Speaker 1: month to prepare for Texas, you can bring in things
Speaker 1: that you just don't have time to put in over
Speaker 1: the course of five days or four days of practice.
Speaker 1: But once you get to the championship game, both teams
Speaker 1: equally rested and it's short, it's just your regular college
Speaker 1: football week. I think Michigan's just got better players. Washington
Speaker 1: is heavily penalized, Michigan is rarely penalized. Washington's got some age,
Speaker 1: but a lot of underclassmen. And Michigan's old O line
Speaker 1: for Washington, some say is the best in the country.
Speaker 1: If it's not. Michigan's is d line huge edge. Michigan
Speaker 1: both great coaches, but I just feel like Michigan feels
Speaker 1: like a national champion. They have seven blowouts, you know,
Speaker 1: and Washington feels like a really good football team that
Speaker 1: is brilliantly coached and quarterbacked. I do think personnel wise,
Speaker 1: I don't you know, Washington's wide receivers are better than Michigan's.
Speaker 1: That's not terribly close, and Penix is better than JJ.
Speaker 1: McCarthy is a collegian. But I think Michigan would have
Speaker 1: the majority of the starters in the game, and I
Speaker 1: think on regular week of practice, neutral field, you'll see
Speaker 1: Michigan flex. It'll be a good game. Washington certainly good
Speaker 1: enough and potent enough to win backdoor cover or back
Speaker 1: door win with a couple of late aerial touchdowns. But
Speaker 1: you don't get any cheapies over the top against Michigan.
Speaker 1: I said, I thought Washington it was a great matchup
Speaker 1: against Texas because the Longhorns, frankly had a not very
Speaker 1: good in the back end, and that's Washington strain. But
Speaker 1: you know, one of the things about Michigan is that,
Speaker 1: and I talked about this on FS one. Whatever makes
Speaker 1: you sleep better at night, go ahead. But the Patriots
Speaker 1: and Brady were better after Spygate, and they were better
Speaker 1: after the flake Gate. Brady's numbers went up after the
Speaker 1: flate gate. The Colts were bitter because New England was
Speaker 1: dominating the series, and so they turned the Patriots in
Speaker 1: for deflate Gate. Brady's numbers went up once there was
Speaker 1: no extra additive air to the mall or less air
Speaker 1: in the ball. Connor Stallions, it was at most one
Speaker 1: percent for Michigan they've played. If they beat Washington in
Speaker 1: their favor, to beat Washington, they will have beaten Washington, Alabama,
Speaker 1: and Ohio State in order with no quote cheating. This
Speaker 1: team is about hardball, their O line, D line, their
Speaker 1: lack of penalties, their NFL bodies, their upper classmen. They're
Speaker 1: discipline and intelligence. Whatever makes you sleep better at night. Spygate,
Speaker 1: the flightgate, Connor Stallions, but now we know they're not
Speaker 1: quote cheating. If they beat Washington, when's the last time
Speaker 1: Washington lost a football game. They've beaten Oregon twice and
Speaker 1: Texas twice in those four games. The last time they've
Speaker 1: played Texas twice two Bowl games, beat them both Texas
Speaker 1: Texas who hammered Alabama, overwhelmed them in Tuscaloosa, physically pushed
Speaker 1: them around. So they're gonna have beaten Washington, Ohio States
Speaker 1: a juggernaut, and Alabama without the Connor Stallion's advantage. This
Speaker 1: team is about so many things. If you think it's
Speaker 1: cheating signals, there's no reason. Like I said before, I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna argue uncertain things like the vaccines absolutely saved
Speaker 1: millions of lives, especially for older people. They weren't needed
Speaker 1: for kids. I'm not a fan of mandate. They saved
Speaker 1: a lot of lives. I know six or seven people
Speaker 1: that didn't get them. They were stubborn or they don't
Speaker 1: like needles. They got sick as hell, My family, me friends,
Speaker 1: lots of it. We took the vaccines. We had COVID
Speaker 1: boom two days. Fine, right, So I'm just not gonna
Speaker 1: argue with you. You go ahead and live in your
Speaker 1: conspiracy theory. I don't care. And you can go ahead
Speaker 1: and convince yourself that you know, Connor Stallions is the
Speaker 1: reason they won. Yeah, I'm gonna go with no. They're
Speaker 1: gonna give Washington's offense problems, and virtually nobody gives Washington's
Speaker 1: offense problems. And you're gonna watch mondy night and go yeez,
Speaker 1: Washington's facial little pressure Washington seems to be off, and
Speaker 1: you're going to look up and realize this has never
Speaker 1: been about an iPhone's shaky video and hand signals. This
Speaker 1: Michigan team is one great college receiver away from being
Speaker 1: an Alzheimer. This is a really good football team. Let's
Speaker 1: talk Chad Millman, Sharper Square, shall we all?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 1: Time for Sharper Square, Chad Millman, CCO, The Action Network,
Speaker 1: All odds provided by DraftKings. I'm not prone to brag,
Speaker 1: but I am on a little bit of a heater.
Speaker 2: I don't talk about it, don't say it. You're gonna
Speaker 2: turn yourself into a cooler man, I know.
Speaker 1: So listen, there's only two games all year that have
Speaker 1: made me bitter and losing. I lost a doint in
Speaker 1: the Saints game because they hit the crossbar and a kick.
Speaker 1: And that Colts Raiders game you told me to stay away.
Speaker 1: I still contend this morning. The Colts was aside. Whatever whatever.
Speaker 2: You know what though, here's the good news. Here's the
Speaker 2: good news. You and I were texting and I was
Speaker 2: begging you to bet the Cardinals, to be my betting buddy,
Speaker 2: and you did. I did, and it felt good, right.
Speaker 1: It felt great? But I you know what's funny, I
Speaker 1: really I Greg co Sell comes on my show and
Speaker 1: I told Greg today, I said, Greg, I watch him play,
Speaker 1: and I'm like, there's not three of him on the planet.
Speaker 1: I like Kyler Murray. I don't care about his video games.
Speaker 1: I watch him. I'm like, I wouldn't want to tackle him.
Speaker 1: He's just great. He's just like if you were in
Speaker 1: a school yard and you're like, who's the guy that
Speaker 1: nobody can tackle, you'd be like that guy him and
Speaker 1: Lamar like I just like him. So all right, let's
Speaker 1: start with this because it's a weird week. It's a
Speaker 1: bad week. You don't have starters. Who really cares? One
Speaker 1: of the things a sports gambler told me years ago,
Speaker 1: he loved betting March Madness. He goes because everybody's in.
Speaker 1: There's no like, oh, you know, it's a long road trip,
Speaker 1: like the NBA goes NBA. You've got to pick your spots.
Speaker 1: March Madness. All games are true. This is the most
Speaker 1: untrue week of the NFL season, Like, who cares? So
Speaker 1: I would take the Texans minus one and a half
Speaker 1: against the Colts because basically, you're saying to yourself, who
Speaker 1: do you trust?
Speaker 2: Yes.
Speaker 1: I think CJ. Stroud is better than we think, and
Speaker 1: I think we all think he's good. I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Texans. I I think CJ. Stroud I watch him play.
Speaker 1: I love his I love his setup, I love his
Speaker 1: arm strength, I love his accuracy. I think he's sensational. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I had no idea his comp was Jared Goff. I
Speaker 1: didn't know he would be slightly better than Jared his
Speaker 1: first year. I thought comp is like he'll become. I'm like,
Speaker 1: he's Jared Goff with more of a power arm that
Speaker 1: moves better. So I like the Texans. Here Sharper Square.
Speaker 2: Well, look, we discussed this exact game today and for
Speaker 2: those who are listening for the first time on my podcast,
Speaker 2: The Favorites, we will do this segment where we do
Speaker 2: something called Sharp Calls, and we get calls me and
Speaker 2: my co host Simon Hunter. We'll get calls from professional
Speaker 2: betters throughout the week who listen to our show on
Speaker 2: Tuesday and then on Thursday. By Thursday, they've got opinions
Speaker 2: and they will call us over the forty eight hours
Speaker 2: between Tuesday and Thursday and give us their opinions. This
Speaker 2: game was completely so the Texans opened as one and
Speaker 2: a half point underdogs in this game Sunday night. I
Speaker 2: will tell you right now, it was the first game
Speaker 2: that I bet the Texans plus one and a half.
Speaker 2: The wise guys bet at two. They bettered at one,
Speaker 2: then they better at pick, then they better at Texans
Speaker 2: minus one. Now it's minus one and a half. So
Speaker 2: you're I agree that Texans are still the right side.
Speaker 2: I think CJ.
Speaker 1: Strouder last week, I told you I think they're gonna
Speaker 1: clobber the Titans. They're a better team.
Speaker 2: One hundred percent right, they are a better team. Gardner
Speaker 2: Minshew plays with fire every week. He has the fourth
Speaker 2: most turnover worthy throws of anybody in the NFL, behind
Speaker 2: Josh Jobbs, Desmond Ritter, Daniel Jones. Okay, Shane Steiken just
Speaker 2: keeps him out of trouble. But when Gardner Minshew has
Speaker 2: to come back or potentially is in trouble, that's when
Speaker 2: there's trouble, right, And so you're kind of betting on CJ.
Speaker 2: Stroud to be better than Gardner Minshew in a price
Speaker 2: game where every possession is going to matter on the field,
Speaker 2: that's what you're doing. Totally sharp here's why the wise
Speaker 2: guys might not be on your side. And this is
Speaker 2: why this game was split and such a good debate today.
Speaker 2: When you start betting on a team that goes from
Speaker 2: being an underdog to being a favorite, historically, the percentages
Speaker 2: work against you in terms of covering. So that's why
Speaker 2: wise guys, when it's at one and a half Texans
Speaker 2: minus one and a half, they start to walk away
Speaker 2: and start to think about the cults.
Speaker 1: The second game is Bill Belichick is nothing if not
Speaker 1: a grudge holder. He wants to win this game so
Speaker 1: much because his career. I mean, there's like multiple stories
Speaker 1: out of the Boston Herald Belichick's out, He's told his
Speaker 1: staff he wants to screw up their draft. He's gonna
Speaker 1: walk out of here get the Washington job. He cares
Speaker 1: so deeply about winning, you think he wants to hand
Speaker 1: them Michael Nix or Drake May You want some fifth
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say they if they if you watch
Speaker 1: them the last three weeks, I mean, I guess Buffalo,
Speaker 1: you're like, oh, they're really competing. Oh yeah, they're really competing.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Patriots minus two and a half
Speaker 1: at home to beat a listless Jets team.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's totally square. You're stepping in it. Look, it's
Speaker 2: not a game that anybody wants to bet. This all
Speaker 2: of a sudden is the corner TV game, right, because
Speaker 2: you're getting a short home favorite in which the bookmakers
Speaker 2: are saying to the squares, come on, I dare you
Speaker 2: take the short home favorite. Take the team that has
Speaker 2: been competitive the past few weeks at less than a
Speaker 2: field goal. That's what we want you to do. If
Speaker 2: the bookmakers are telling you they want you to do something,
Speaker 2: then you want to do something else. So the wise
Speaker 2: guys are going to be on the Jets here. But
Speaker 2: this is not one of those games where everyone's like,
Speaker 2: oh yeah, I gotta take. There is huge edge in
Speaker 2: the Jets or the Patriots in this game. I will
Speaker 2: tell you one other thing, and it's interesting for this
Speaker 2: week because it's applicable for every game home teams in
Speaker 2: division games the past five years forty seven percent against
Speaker 2: the spread.
Speaker 1: It's weird.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's weird, it is. But then you got to like, look, Colin,
Speaker 2: there's a million stats and trends that you could sort
Speaker 2: of layer onto this.
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 2: You got to think about and It's not applicable in
Speaker 2: this game, but it will be in others. Like you
Speaker 2: can't take every trend and just say, Okay, I'm going
Speaker 2: to do it. Trends are the handrail on the roller coaster.
Speaker 2: If you've got an opinion, they might make you feel
Speaker 2: a little more secure. It can make you feel like
Speaker 2: you're making a better decision. It should not be what
Speaker 2: you base your decision on.
Speaker 1: All Right, a game, I like Bill's minus three at Miami.
Speaker 1: Now Chubb and Phillips are out no pass rush against
Speaker 1: John Allen. I think the Bills are a better team.
Speaker 1: I think they were looking ahead to Miami when they
Speaker 1: played New England. I thought the Dolphins were awful defensively.
Speaker 1: I think the reality has hit Miami. They now their
Speaker 1: defense had a pass rush and not much else, and
Speaker 1: now it doesn't have a pass rush. Buffalo is a
Speaker 1: better team. Josh Allen has eaten against Miami like Brian
Speaker 1: Flores couldn't stop him. Mike mcdett, they just don't have
Speaker 1: the personnel. I'm gonna take Buffalo to win by a
Speaker 1: touchdown minus three. Sharper square most interesting game on the board.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now it's square. But I will also.
Speaker 2: Tell you, you and I and our best friend Simon, we're
Speaker 2: making an executive decision on this. We're going to be
Speaker 2: in the fox hole together. We like the Bills in
Speaker 2: this spot. Let me give you some interesting stats.
Speaker 1: I didn't Diyreek Hill by the way, house burns down midweek.
Speaker 2: Look, so i'll mention you.
Speaker 1: Tell me that's not disrupt.
Speaker 2: Listen, you mentioned Chubb, you mentioned the injuries on the
Speaker 2: defensive side. Out of the ball. Tyreek Hill has been
Speaker 2: playing injured. Waddle has been playing injured. I do think
Speaker 2: I am not a guy who believes that there are
Speaker 2: emotional storylines that can be hindrances, because these guys are professionals.
Speaker 2: But look, Tyreek Hill, there was video from practice. He
Speaker 2: did not look like it looked like he was taking
Speaker 2: this as he should, which is scary and something that
Speaker 2: can be a distraction. Right. I agree with you in
Speaker 2: every respect on this game. Here's something cool October second.
Speaker 2: So on October second, Buffalo was minus one forty to
Speaker 2: win the AFC East. Miami was plus one thirty eight.
Speaker 2: On December third, two months later, Buffalo plus I let
Speaker 2: me get my glasses on here, because I want to
Speaker 2: make sure you'd it right. I didn't know you were
Speaker 2: going to ask me this question. So it just just
Speaker 2: happens to be Buffalo plus fifteen hundred to win the
Speaker 2: AFC East, Miami minus four hundred. Okay, basically, for those listening,
Speaker 2: you don't know, Buffalo was such a long shot that
Speaker 2: they were not even a consideration to win the AFC East.
Speaker 2: Miami was so much was expected to win so easily
Speaker 2: that you had to spend so much money if you
Speaker 2: wanted to bet on them. Right now, Buffalo has the
Speaker 2: shortest odds it's had all season, minus one sixty five
Speaker 2: to win the AFC East. It has been a roller coaster.
Speaker 2: What's amazing is Buffalo could end up being the best
Speaker 2: team in the NFL right now, and if they don't
Speaker 2: win this game, they might not make the playoffs.
Speaker 1: Okay, Seahawks minus two and a half at Arizona. So
Speaker 1: Seattle's humiliated. And not only that, I always say a
Speaker 1: well coached team, capably quarterback team that's physically humiliated. I
Speaker 1: mean literally, Pittsburgh just threw them around there like bully them.
Speaker 1: Seattle playing for a playoff spot, I think they're going
Speaker 1: to play very well here. If the number was three.
Speaker 1: I would pass. It's a numbers get Arizona's off. By
Speaker 1: the way, their best performance in two years. It probably
Speaker 1: a little overvalued on the market. I'm going to probably
Speaker 1: take Seattle minus two and a half. I know I
Speaker 1: like favorites this week, Sharper square.
Speaker 2: It's a little square. The number was at three, it
Speaker 2: moved down to two and a half. It's hard to
Speaker 2: find a reason to like Seattle. What they did against
Speaker 2: the Steelers. Their inability to tackle anybody is not bad.
Speaker 2: It was not It was not something that was a
Speaker 2: one off. This has been their m all year, Like
Speaker 2: they cannot tackle. Like watching Pete Carroll trying to implore
Speaker 2: his defense to tackle Najee Harris was sad and sort
Speaker 2: of disheartening as someone who was kind of hoping the
Speaker 2: Seahawks would win that game. So I don't like this bet, Colin.
Speaker 2: I don't like it one bit. And there are so
Speaker 2: many bets on the board that are that are attractive,
Speaker 2: and you could throw me the Jets and the Patriots.
Speaker 2: You're the one who says to me your philosophy, I
Speaker 2: want to bet on games I want to watch you
Speaker 2: want to watch these games?
Speaker 1: Well, it's a limited week, and I think Belichick will
Speaker 1: be interesting. Okay, so now let's move into the two categories.
Speaker 1: I have a talk me into it game and a
Speaker 1: dumpster dive. So I do think Bears Packers is interesting
Speaker 1: because I do think eber Flus and Justin Fields are
Speaker 1: largely playing for their job. And although I do think
Speaker 1: Jordan Love had maybe his best game as a Packer,
Speaker 1: there's a desperation here on the Chicago Bears. Employment's desperate,
Speaker 1: and I would probably, I would probably take the Bears here.
Speaker 1: Plus three. Man, you're if I'm doing a show for
Speaker 1: my job. That's a whole different ballgame. Is that Sharper square?
Speaker 2: Colin? I need you to think that every day your
Speaker 2: job is on the line. Because you are taking the
Speaker 2: Chicago Bears this week, that will be in your blaze.
Speaker 2: In five Chicago Bears plus three, great matchup for the Bears.
Speaker 2: So number one, it hits that trend I talk about
Speaker 2: where you want to play the road team against the
Speaker 2: home team in the division. There is another trend going
Speaker 2: back to nineteen ninety that hits it as sixty percent
Speaker 2: clip where the teams that are out of it playing
Speaker 2: teams that are in it cover sixty percent of the time.
Speaker 2: Now that's that's fine. Again, take trends with a grain
Speaker 2: of salt. You want to use them to sort of
Speaker 2: complement your overall philosophy. Right, let's look what's happening on
Speaker 2: the field of play. The Bears defense since they got
Speaker 2: meant to Monte sweat lights out, not just like a
Speaker 2: good defense.
Speaker 1: For the record, it was remarkable to me to watch
Speaker 1: Chicago media crush their front office. Wouldn't you give up
Speaker 1: a second round pick for a dominating defensive lineman.
Speaker 2: Dominating defensive line.
Speaker 1: I mean, I didn't understand, Like Chase Claypool's different. There's
Speaker 1: a million receivers, there's nine great defensive linemen in the league.
Speaker 1: Second round pick.
Speaker 2: Great trade. Now again talk about trade, talk about talk
Speaker 2: about sort of your job being on the line. The
Speaker 2: Bears GM he made a great trade. What does he
Speaker 2: do next? And now this is where it gets interesting. Right,
Speaker 2: So that defense is elite. And by the way, what
Speaker 2: we saw last week is Minnesota with the Packers is
Speaker 2: Minnesota likes to blitz. Jordan Love has thirty touchdown passes
Speaker 2: this year. He has been incredibly accurate and efficient against
Speaker 2: the blitz. So they were set up to get blown out.
Speaker 2: The Vikings were set up to get blown out in
Speaker 2: that game. No matter who's playing quarterback. The Bears are
Speaker 2: not a team that is going to blitz you NonStop.
Speaker 2: They will get home with their front four. Their front
Speaker 2: four has also made their linebacking crew, especially TJ. Edwards,
Speaker 2: much better. And don't forget Jalen Johnson, he's a Pro
Speaker 2: Bowl cornerback. Grating is one of the best cornerbacks in
Speaker 2: the league according to Pro Football Focus. So their defense
Speaker 2: is stout right Now, now you've got justin Fields playing
Speaker 2: against a defense for the Packers that has truly been terrible.
Speaker 2: Forget about what happened in terrible on Sunday night, right,
Speaker 2: forget about that the Packers. Since they beat the Chiefs,
Speaker 2: and by the way, they got a little help from
Speaker 2: the rest of that game. What did they do? They
Speaker 2: lost to the Giants. Right, they gave up thirty points
Speaker 2: to the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have not scored
Speaker 2: more than three touchdowns since October fifteenth except for that game.
Speaker 2: This is not a good defense going up against a
Speaker 2: very good offense. A team in the Bears seven and
Speaker 2: five the past twelve games. Take the Bears.
Speaker 1: One more. Talk me into it. Arthur Smith coaching for
Speaker 1: his job plus three and a half at the Saints.
Speaker 1: It feels like to me, the Saints are not It's
Speaker 1: an offensive coach against the defensive coach. It's a division
Speaker 1: rival getting over a field goal. Atlanta pl and I
Speaker 1: hate betting Atlanta. They have been an ATM machine my
Speaker 1: entire life. I just just take money out and throw
Speaker 1: it into the wind. But it feels like Atlanta plus
Speaker 1: three and a half. Although I think the coach is
Speaker 1: getting fired. Mondays to play Sharper square totally sharp.
Speaker 2: It's exactly the right side you want to be on
Speaker 2: Atlanta here. So number one, it's the trend we just
Speaker 2: talked about. You want to take the road team in
Speaker 2: the division. Number two. Schematically, look at the matchup. You
Speaker 2: know Arthur Smith is coaching for his job. Right the
Speaker 2: Bucks lose, the Saints lose to the Falcons, they are
Speaker 2: in the playoffs, they win this division. What is Arthur
Speaker 2: Smith going to do. He's going to run the ball
Speaker 2: because that's where his best talent is, that is where
Speaker 2: he is most comfortable, that's where he can be most creative.
Speaker 2: Get it to Algiers, get it to b Jean Robinson.
Speaker 2: Don't let this be a game in which the quarterback
Speaker 2: ruins it for you. The Saints running defense has not
Speaker 2: been very good. Dennis Allen as a favorite. One of
Speaker 2: the worst coaches the past twenty years. Derek Carr as
Speaker 2: a favorite. He has not been above five hundred as
Speaker 2: a favorite since before Donald Trump was inaugurated as president
Speaker 2: in two thousand and sixteen. I'm not even kidding. Okay,
Speaker 2: you don't want to bet on the Saints as a favorite,
Speaker 2: just walk away and bet the Falcons.
Speaker 1: Okay, now we do a dumpster die, but since most
Speaker 1: of the schedules dumpster dice, I want to end this
Speaker 1: week with Michigan and Washington. So I took Washington money
Speaker 1: line against Texas, and I took Michigan against Bama, went
Speaker 1: to and Ozho. I do think Michigan matches up much
Speaker 1: better against Washington. They don't give up cheap over the
Speaker 1: top touchdowns, and I do worry Klin de Boor is
Speaker 1: a remarkable coach with extra time. They don't have extra time.
Speaker 1: So now you've got to play back to back against
Speaker 1: a superior team. Washington heavily penalized. Michigan never penalized. The
Speaker 1: older team is Michigan. They're the better team. They have
Speaker 1: seven blowouts. Washington just keeps winning narrowly. I'm a Husky.
Speaker 1: I'm now down to Washington, but I think Michigan wins
Speaker 1: this game by a touchdown. I would swallow the four
Speaker 1: four and a half all odds provided by DraftKings Sharper Square.
Speaker 2: I don't have a strong opinion. I haven't gotten that
Speaker 2: much intel in the market where they're not the wise
Speaker 2: guys are going to be on the Huskies or they're
Speaker 2: gonna be on the Wolverines. I don't want to mislead
Speaker 2: you in any way with that. I don't disagree with
Speaker 2: your assessment. And look, I love this Washington team. I've
Speaker 2: like I went to Indiana. I'm a huge fan of
Speaker 2: Michael Pennix. Like the only time we've been relevant since
Speaker 2: I graduated college was when Michael Penix was playing quarterback
Speaker 2: for half of three seasons because he couldn't stay healthy.
Speaker 2: I think the guy got job not getting the Heisman.
Speaker 2: You put someone with that record, those stats, the gauntlet
Speaker 2: of teams that he played in the SEC or the
Speaker 2: Big Ten or even the ACC. He's winning the Heisman
Speaker 2: hands down. I think it's I think he got robbed completely.
Speaker 2: But I do agree with you. Like this Michigan team.
Speaker 2: They are unafraid and they beat people up and at
Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage, they are just so freaking physical.
Speaker 2: It is really daunting. And there is nothing like that
Speaker 2: in the PAC twelve. And that is something that Alabama
Speaker 2: was used to seeing, like something that combination of speed
Speaker 2: and physicality that doesn't exist in the PAC twelve. So
Speaker 2: I do think that it'll be a quarter of Washington
Speaker 2: being like Oh, even on film, we thought it was different,
Speaker 2: but it's different when you're playing it. So I can't
Speaker 2: give you a specific side, but I do like your analysis.
Speaker 2: All Right, my man, you don't want to bet the Giants,
Speaker 2: you don't want to bet the Panthers, you don't want
Speaker 2: to bet the Titans.
Speaker 1: Ough gross, I will say this. I took the Giants
Speaker 1: against the Rams. You know I've said this before. I
Speaker 1: think Tyrod Taylor is the best backup in the league.
Speaker 1: That's my opinion. So what's the number? This week?
Speaker 2: The Giants were at five five and a half. I
Speaker 2: like the Giants. A buddy of mine we were talking
Speaker 2: about Tyrod Taylor and he used a great analogy, he said.
Speaker 2: Tyrod Taylor is like getting nineteen at the blackjack table.
Speaker 2: You're not going to get excited about it. You got
Speaker 2: a pretty good chance at winning, but there's still a
Speaker 2: chance you can lose, but you're comfortable with it. You
Speaker 2: feel like you got a shot. Yeah. I thought that
Speaker 2: was brilliant, and I'm stealing it and I'm giving it
Speaker 2: to you, and I want you to steal it. It
Speaker 2: is exactly who Tyrod Taylor is, So I think, Look,
Speaker 2: the Giants are more competitive with him. They will want
Speaker 2: to win this game. They will blitz. The Eagles offensive
Speaker 2: line is in really struggling right now. They are play
Speaker 2: calling you struggling. AJ Brown is struggling. There's something going on.
Speaker 2: We have seen it all year long with this locker room.
Speaker 2: So I'll be playing the Giants and I will definitely
Speaker 2: playing the Tennessee Titans plus five and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna talk about that. I can't. They're unwatchable.
Speaker 2: You can talk about Arizona and Seattle.
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I love Kyler Murray so I love watching
Speaker 1: them play. I love watching Kyler Murray play. Love him,
Speaker 1: I really do. Connor's great. They're running back, Kyler. I
Speaker 1: can watch them all day. Tennessee is like walking past
Speaker 1: the construction site. It's just loud, overbearing. I can't get
Speaker 1: out of it fast enough. It's just gross clanking, nothing
Speaker 1: good about it.
Speaker 2: What about Minnesota Detroit, that's another one.
Speaker 1: Oh fascinating, I stay away, you know again, it's what's
Speaker 1: Detroit playing for. I don't like those. I don't like
Speaker 1: these games where I wouldn't be shocked. Two series, Detroit
Speaker 1: lead seven nothing and they sit all their starters. They
Speaker 1: just wanted their guys to get practice.
Speaker 2: That's why you're taking Minnesota in that game. Ugh, Nick Mullins.
Speaker 2: Nick Mullins lit him up. Listen, Nick Mullins is the
Speaker 2: epitome of gambling. If Tyrad Taylor is, you know, comfortable nineteen,
Speaker 2: Nick mud he was a fourteen. Nick Mullens is hitting
Speaker 2: on sixteen. That is, Nick Mullins is hitting on sixteen
Speaker 2: when the dealer is showing twenty, like you are just
Speaker 2: going for it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, but you know what a sixteen is in blackjack.
Speaker 1: You're embarrassed, you're holding, but you know you have to
Speaker 1: or the table disrespects you. But you literally feel like
Speaker 1: I've lost all my testosterone I mean you literally, every
Speaker 1: time I have a sixteen, I'm like, you got to
Speaker 1: hit a sixteen, but you can't because you're being judged
Speaker 1: at the table by all the smart people.
Speaker 2: And that's how Nick Mullins plays.
Speaker 1: I think he's a twelve, is what he is. It's
Speaker 1: like you want to hit it, but not supposed to.
Speaker 2: Wow, all right, fine, all right, buddy. I then taught
Speaker 2: to you later the volume