1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 4 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 3: Throwing a show, spectacular catch. We're sitting up to cash 5 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 3: touch down. We'll see the most gamblers when they go 6 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,720 Speaker 3: to gamble, they go to win. Oh my god, that's incredible. 7 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. 8 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kabak you want to pull, 9 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: and we are underway. 10 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 3: Welcome to another episode of the Action Network Podcast, NFL edition. 11 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 3: We are going to be talking about the Fantasy football 12 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 3: running Back one tier. So those top twelve running backs, 13 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,480 Speaker 3: those guys that are probably thinking of taking with your 14 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 3: first round pick, your second round pick. Here to break 15 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 3: it down with me none other than my guys on 16 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 3: the Action Network, mister Sewan Corner, the odds maker, and 17 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 3: mister Ian Hartitz. Sean Ian, how are you guys doing? 18 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 2: What's up? 19 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 4: Chris Rady talks some running backs? Man, we got the 20 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 4: Hall of Fame game coming up. Football is finally back 21 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 4: in the air and I absolutely love it. 22 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. 23 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 3: I mean, Sean, I know you are. You're going to 24 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 3: be managing our preseason projection, so I know you're looking 25 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 3: forward to to kind of jumping headfirst into projecting fifth 26 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 3: stringers for eleven different games over the span of three 27 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 3: days coming up starting next week. 28 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 1: Absolutely. Yeah, I've been, you know, getting antsy, needing to 29 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: project some you know, upcoming games, and we get one 30 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: this week, you know, despite it being just you know, 31 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame game. I just love it. I 32 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: love this time of year, getting back in the swing 33 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: of things. And yeah, ready to talk about some running 34 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: backs today. 35 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 3: Absolutely. And for you guys listening out there if you 36 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 3: want to see more of our rankings, Sean myself and 37 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 3: Matthew Freeman, who is on vacation right now, we'll be 38 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 3: back on the pod soon. Our rankings are up on 39 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 3: the Action Network at action dot com. If you are 40 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 3: an Edge subscriber, you can access all those. You can 41 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 3: access all of our projections with our brand new Fantasy 42 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 3: Football tool, customized cheat cheat for your league settings, so 43 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 3: be sure to check that out. And Ian as he 44 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 3: talks about all his thoughts on these backs, be sure 45 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,399 Speaker 3: to check out him and his author page again Action 46 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,960 Speaker 3: Network dot Com. Ianharditz ton of content out every day, 47 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 3: one of the hardest working people in this industry, so 48 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: just wanted to get that out off the top. Let's 49 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 3: jump right in because we're going to talk about our 50 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:32,079 Speaker 3: overall approach. We're going to talk about backs that were 51 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 3: higher on, lower on than the rest of the industry, 52 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 3: and we're going to kind of go through each of 53 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 3: these top twelve who, by the way, according to the 54 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 3: Fantasy Pros halfpoint PPR Rankings average raft position excuse me, 55 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 3: Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson 56 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 3: are the top five, followed by Le'Veon Bell now on 57 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 3: the New York Jets, Melvin Gordon holding out right now 58 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 3: number seven, James Connor of the Steelers number eight, Joe 59 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 3: Mixon for Cincinnati number nine, then Todd Gurley course with 60 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 3: those injury concerns at number ten, Nick Chubb, the second 61 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: year back for Cleveland at number eleven, and Dalvin Cook, 62 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 3: Biken's third year man at number twelve. Sean, I'm going 63 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 3: to start with you overall thoughts and approach to the 64 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 3: running back position for fantasy football in twenty nineteen. 65 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I consider the running back position 66 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: obviously the most critical for fantasy football. It's definitely the 67 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: most volatile position, one of the toughest to predict every 68 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: year just because of that volatility. You know, it's the 69 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: position that it's the most prone to injury, most prone 70 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: to you know, depth chart changes. I mean, especially this year. 71 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: I like waiting at running back. Obviously, if you have 72 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: one of the top five picks, you're taking one of 73 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: the studbacks. I think, if I were to choose, my 74 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: draft position probably be in the top four this year. 75 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: So I think it's important to get a stud running back. 76 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: Other than that, you know, I'm trying to load up 77 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: on wide receiver early on just because of my ability 78 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: to kind of just stash. I usually carry way more 79 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: running backs than your average fancy user. I usually just 80 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: kind of poured, you know, the guys that have insane 81 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: upside if the starter gets hurt or their teammate gets hurt, 82 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: where they're going to be thrust it up to my 83 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 1: you know RB two type range and my weekly rankings. 84 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: So I'm really good and confident in my ability to 85 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 1: kind of get guy at running back late. So it's 86 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: it's position I take seriously. I just think that it's 87 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: it's important to kind of load up at other positions 88 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 1: early on, just because they're more predictable. 89 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,039 Speaker 3: Okay, and Ian, I'm gonna kick it to you in 90 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 3: a second. But Sean, I just wanted to kind of 91 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 3: follow up with two things. Number One, you have you know, 92 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 3: your upside ratings out for running backs on Action Network 93 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 3: dot Com, slash NFL right now. And second, you know 94 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 3: last season, I think when we did these podcasts, you know, 95 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 3: you were a lot more bullish on taking running backs earlier, 96 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 3: and we're trying to avoid kind of that second tier, 97 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 3: that frozen pond tier for the listeners that have been 98 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 3: with us for a while. So just talk a little 99 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 3: bit about those upside ratings and how they play into 100 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 3: kind of, you know why you you are kind of 101 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 3: waiting a little bit more in twenty nineteen. 102 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's a great point. I was a little 103 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 1: bit different with my approach last year. As you know, 104 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: I hated the running back two tier last year. I'm 105 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: trying to remember, but it was guys like Jordan Howard, 106 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,799 Speaker 1: Rashad Penny, Ronald Jones, you know, guys like that. Alex 107 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: Collins was another guy, Kenny and Drake. I mean, I 108 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: just thought it was a disaster. So I said, you 109 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: need to get two stead running backs early there's there's 110 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: no option other than that. But this year I happen 111 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:33,119 Speaker 1: to like the RB two range. I mean you have well, 112 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,559 Speaker 1: I mean, I'll get to him later. I think Daniel 113 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: Williams might be a frozen Pine guy. But you have 114 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: Carrie on Johnson, Aaron Jones, Derrick Henry, Marlon Mack, you know, 115 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 1: Devonte Freeman. There's just a lot of guys I like 116 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: in that range. So I'm more willing to kind of 117 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 1: wait and kind of you know, take a stab at 118 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:51,159 Speaker 1: those guys later around three round four. So yeah, and 119 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: then you mentioned my running back Upside article. I basically 120 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: what I did was I went through all thirty two 121 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 1: teams in my weekly projection model against an average on it, 122 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: and I basically, you know, simulated if the starting running 123 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: back is ruled out or misses a game, you know 124 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: how the backfield is shaped up. And I think it's 125 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: important to kind of have that layer of you know, 126 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: running back rankings where it's kind of hard to convey 127 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 1: this and just you know, raw rankings or projections because 128 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 1: you know, running back rankings especially are so multi dimensional. 129 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: There's a little bit more of the meets the eye. 130 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 1: So I think having kind of you know, the awareness 131 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 1: of which running backs will benefit from the starting running 132 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 1: back thing out. Those are the guys I typically like 133 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: to stash later on because they have the highest upside. 134 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 1: I did a whole article on all thirty two teams. 135 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 3: There ian any ways in which your approach at the 136 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 3: running back position, especially with these top twelve guys, differs 137 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 3: in any way from Seawn's. 138 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 2: Now, I think I'm with Sean most of the way here. 139 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 2: I agree. 140 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 4: It's kind of the big five backs and that includes 141 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,719 Speaker 4: David Johnson. You know, we've been hearing a lot of 142 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 4: the Big four. But man, you want you want to 143 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 4: be as involved with that Arizona offense as I think 144 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 4: you think as I think it can possibly be. Because 145 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 4: assuming Kingsbury can just get David Johnson's a receiving workload 146 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 4: back to just average for him, I mean, he's gonna 147 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 4: put up numbers. Again, we saw him last year in 148 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 4: the worst case imaginable scenario still be the RB nine 149 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 4: and a PPR scoring. 150 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 2: So I'm all about those big five. 151 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 4: And then yeah, if I can't get and a lot 152 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 4: of this is from this Best Ball draft I've been 153 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 4: doing this offseason. But typically if I can't get one 154 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 4: of those big five. I just wait until round three, 155 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 4: get one of those Fournette Aaron Jones, Derek Henry, Josh 156 00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 4: Jacobs type guys who can be a feature backup under 157 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 4: right circumstances, and then even if that doesn't work out, 158 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 4: I'm going a little bit, maybe no round or two 159 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 4: and give me both Chris Carson and Rashad Penny because 160 00:07:35,640 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 4: if one of those guys gets hurt, the other one's 161 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 4: gonna ball out, and they might. Honestly, I think both 162 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 4: these guys have a chance of returning value even if 163 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 4: they both stay healthy the whole year, because I don't 164 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 4: think people remember really how involved Mike Davis wasn't that 165 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 4: offense last year. He's now in Chicago, so we'll see 166 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 4: if another receiving back potentially emerges there. But there is 167 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 4: a lot of talent kind of in the three to 168 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 4: five round range with these running backs. 169 00:07:55,760 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 2: I don't think it was there last year. 170 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 4: So yeah, give me, you know, at least guys that 171 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 4: have the three down skill set. Even if their role 172 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 4: to start the season isn't ideal, you know that if 173 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 4: things break a certain way, you're then going to have, 174 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 4: you know, potential RB one. 175 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 3: I think you really hit on it with that last 176 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,920 Speaker 3: thing you said, Ian, there's a lot of value in 177 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 3: that running back. You know it was rounds three to five, 178 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 3: because that's kind of my approach to It's. Yeah, if 179 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 3: I get a top three, top four guy, I almost 180 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 3: think Zeke just because of the holdout, and we'll talk 181 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 3: more about that, but just because of that, might his 182 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 3: floor might be a little too low for me to 183 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 3: really kind of go after him at this point. But 184 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 3: you know, you know that those McCaffrey's, those Barkleys, those guys, 185 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 3: I if I can't get one of them, I'm happy 186 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 3: going receiver. I'm happy going with the receiver in the 187 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 3: second round as well, or even you know, if I 188 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 3: can get Kelsey or a stud tight end toward the 189 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 3: back of that second round, maybe even a little bit 190 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 3: before their average draft position, I'm fine with that because 191 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 3: I think those top three stud tight ends there's a 192 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,559 Speaker 3: huge drop off after them. So starting a round three, 193 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 3: if I can get yeah, Josh Jacobs and Freeman and 194 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 3: Mac and two a combination of two of those guys 195 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 3: as my top two running backs, I've kind of mitigated 196 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:58,559 Speaker 3: some of the risk that comes with taking a running 197 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 3: back in those first couple of rounds because they missed 198 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:02,959 Speaker 3: about twice as many games as a receiver or tight end, 199 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 3: so you kind of mitigate that risk and you're still 200 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 3: getting that same RB one upside. So I'm with you 201 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 3: guys there, Sean, I'm gonna kick it back to you. 202 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 3: One running back you're much higher on in twenty nineteen, 203 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 3: and obviously we will get into, you know, all of 204 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 3: the backs in a minute, but just one guy you 205 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 3: own a lot more and you're higher on in twenty nineteen, 206 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 3: and then one guy you're a lot lower on, and 207 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 3: then don't really want to own any of in twenty nineteen. 208 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:26,959 Speaker 1: And one the guy I'm higher on in the industry 209 00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 1: is definitely gonna Tagus Murray. He was my top guy 210 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: in my Upside rankings article I just mentioned. He's the 211 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,839 Speaker 1: kind of guy where it's a lot it ruins me 212 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: a lot, like Derrick Henry and Tevin Coleman last year, 213 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 1: where they kind of already have some or they had 214 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: pretty good fans ability entering the season, but you know, 215 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: they just have so much upside if their counterpart were 216 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 1: to miss time. And that's the Tagus Murray. Obviously, he's 217 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: not gonna eleap frog Alvin Kamara at any point in 218 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: the season. But you know, if Kamara were at a 219 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: miss time, he would be a low and RB one, 220 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: So right off the bat, he has insane upside and 221 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: you can get him. I think he's RB thirty six 222 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: right now. But just you know, even if kamara is 223 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: healthy for all sixteen games, Latavious Murray's gonna inherit maybe 224 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: not the entire marketing room role, but maybe eighty percent 225 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 1: of it. So he's gonna be pretty consistent RB three 226 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 1: flex option for you to have. So just just having 227 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:23,079 Speaker 1: a guy like that with that that much upside baked 228 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: in and you still get useful fantasy value from him anyways, 229 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: is the type of running back I like to target heavily. 230 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: I'm going into the season, so he's my guy, And 231 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 1: you know, I've been kind of worried the Saints were, 232 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,760 Speaker 1: you know, they were talking to theoretic and Alfred Morris, 233 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 1: and I was starting to get concerned about my Latavious 234 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: Murray stock. But they brought in Rob Kelly and put 235 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 1: Buck Allen on the IR So I'm hoping that's all 236 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: they were trying to do and not trying to get 237 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: another veteran back to kind of share the load, you know, 238 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: behind Kamara with Murray. So I've been watching that very 239 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,559 Speaker 1: closely because I have a lot of stock and Murray 240 00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: right now. And then the guy I've been avoiding I 241 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 1: kind of allude to earlier is Damien Williams. I don't 242 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: really have anything bad to say about him. He just 243 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: kind of has that frozen pond vibe that I talked 244 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 1: about all last year. I think, you know, he was 245 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: absolutely amazing in that four game stretch when he took 246 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,679 Speaker 1: over for the starting running back for the Chiefs, and 247 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: I think that's you know, that's what people are remembering for, 248 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 1: and that's I think that's his ceiling. You know, if 249 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 1: he stays healthy all year in that role, he's he's 250 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 1: going to smash his value. But there's just too much 251 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: downside with him, especially spending that much draft capital that 252 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 1: I don't like taking on that much downside early in 253 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:36,440 Speaker 1: the draft. So you know, while I do like him, 254 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 1: I just rather have someone else take on that risk 255 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 1: and I'll take a safer play elsewhere. But you know, 256 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: with guys like Carlos Hyde and even rookie Darwin Thompson, 257 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: you know they can threaten his role early in the season, 258 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: and he's already missing practice right now with a hamstring injury, 259 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: so he's not off to a great start. So you know, 260 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: his ADP of RB thirteens is a little too rich 261 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: for me with the baked and downside for him. 262 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 3: You know, again, for every out, there a lot of 263 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:04,600 Speaker 3: the risk that comes with these backs early on. It 264 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,079 Speaker 3: is not as much role in many cases, cause, especially 265 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 3: when we're talking about guys in that top twelve, it's 266 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 3: just injury risk. I mean, there's certain guys that have 267 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:15,079 Speaker 3: just proven more durable than others. You know, Christian McCaffrey 268 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:16,719 Speaker 3: played almost every snap last year. He was able to 269 00:12:16,760 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 3: stay on the field. Sakwon Barkley stay on the field 270 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 3: all sixteen. Ezekiel Elliott suspensions have been an issue, but 271 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 3: besides that being able to stay on the field, Williams 272 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 3: already nicked up. I do see your point there, Sean Ian, 273 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 3: how about you one guy you're higher on one guy 274 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 3: or lower on for twenty nineteen at the running back position. 275 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 2: So I would have had the same answer a week ago. 276 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 4: Let me start with that. But Austin Eckler, guys, he 277 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 4: is a legit very good running back. He's been in 278 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 4: the league two years now. He's number three in yards 279 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,319 Speaker 4: per rush, Number three inuards for target, number two in 280 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 4: yards per touch. I mean, I know those can get 281 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 4: inflated a little bit when you have these backups. I 282 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 4: don't get as many touches per game. But I mean, 283 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 4: if you just watched the film with him playing, he 284 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 4: is a legitimately really good player that use him as 285 00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 4: a wide receiver. He's out there making contested catches. Every 286 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 4: time he scores a touchdown, he that has an awesome 287 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 4: air guitar celebration. I mean, how can you not love 288 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 4: this guy? And yet he's still being drafted outside the 289 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 4: top thirty, even with all this Melvin Gordon stuff going on, 290 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 4: because of something named Justin Jackson. We're gonna let this 291 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 4: guy ruin this year's version of James Connor. I mean, people, 292 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,839 Speaker 4: I think they assume Eckler's just like small scat back 293 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 4: for some reason. He's five nine, one hundred and ninety 294 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 4: five pounds Jackson six feet tall, two hundred pounds. I mean, 295 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 4: he's kind of slimmer back out of it too. And 296 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 4: we had three games last season without Gordon in the lineup. 297 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 4: And we saw Eckler play sixty eight percent snaps, seventy 298 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 4: eight percent snaps and ninety five percent of the snap 299 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,199 Speaker 4: So yeah, sure won't be like a little bit of 300 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 4: a two back committee maybe, but could still easily be 301 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 4: a seventy to thirty split between these guys, and that 302 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 4: would have Eckler as one of the top twelve to 303 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 4: fifteen backs in the league as far as opportunity is concerned. 304 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 4: So really does seem like Gordon's in more reposition of 305 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 4: miss games and Zeke just based on recent reports, and 306 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:51,920 Speaker 4: I think Eckler is by far the guy you want 307 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 4: to own in that Chargers backfield. And the running back 308 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 4: I'm lower on is David Montgomery out of Chicago. I'm 309 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 4: not saying you can't be a good running back in time, 310 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 4: but he's gone as the rb Twe only one right now, 311 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:02,839 Speaker 4: and that just seems pretty crazy to me with all 312 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 4: the risk we still have here. Mike Davis is on 313 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 4: that roster. Now, we'll see how involved he is. I mean, 314 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 4: it was only last season that we saw Mike Davis 315 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 4: pretty much delegate another high round draft pick for the 316 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 4: bench with Shaw Penny. So it wouldn't be the first time, 317 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 4: you know, he was able to outperform preseason expectations and 318 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 4: three Cohens still there. Why is Tree Cohen going seven 319 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 4: spots below David Montgomery. He just led the Bears in 320 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 4: receptions last year with seventy one, had ninety nine carries. 321 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 4: I mean, I can see how it goes all together, 322 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 4: for how it might work al for David Montgomery without 323 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 4: Jordan Howard and all that free opportunity. But at the 324 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 4: same time, I've got to take Miles Sanders because you 325 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 4: have a guy with similar kind of opportunity and depth 326 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 4: chart risk. You got Carson Wentz in that Eagles offense 327 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 4: instead of Miss Trubisky and a Bears offense set. 328 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 2: Let's face it wouldn't be the most surprising thing if 329 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 2: they kind of take a step back. 330 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 4: I'm still not sure if Miss Trubisky is going to 331 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 4: take a step forward or if he's just midwest Blake portals. 332 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 4: So we'll see how it works out, but I think 333 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 4: there's an underrated low four here for Dave David Montgomery. 334 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, Montgomery is going way though I don't know how 335 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 3: I continuously see him. You know in that like forty 336 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 3: forty fifth overall ADP range going ahead of you know, 337 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 3: guys who are starters essentially for their team, like Montgomery 338 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 3: is in a committee right now. It's I get it 339 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,640 Speaker 3: in bestball if you're projecting him to kind of end 340 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 3: the year better than he starts, but you're getting no 341 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 3: value there at that spot. And also like what you 342 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 3: said about Eckler, because let's remember in twenty fifteen Danny 343 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 3: Wood had in a similar type of Eckler role. He 344 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 3: finishes a top five fantasy running back. That was with 345 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 3: Melvin Gordon getting one hundred and eighty four carries that year. 346 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 3: So a ton of upside for Echo. I think there's 347 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,360 Speaker 3: a ton of upside for Jackson as well, but I 348 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 3: don't think that cuts into Eckler's upside. Gordon is the 349 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 3: guy really that that's overvalued at this point in fantasy 350 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 3: drafts in my opinion for me. A couple other guys 351 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 3: I'll mention. First of all, guy I'm really lower on 352 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 3: is Darius Geis. He still goes within the top thirty's 353 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 3: RB twenty eight and Fantasy Pros' is half point PPR 354 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 3: ADP right now. And I just don't see how you 355 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 3: take a guy that we've never seen play a snap 356 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,360 Speaker 3: coming off with torn Aco and then already dinged up 357 00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 3: in camp with a with another soft tissue injury in 358 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 3: a three back committee where he's not going to really 359 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 3: catch the ball because he got Chris Thompson there, and 360 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 3: then he's that The team has come out and straight 361 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 3: up said they want to split the reps between Geys 362 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 3: and Peterson. I think guys should be kind of going 363 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 3: in that RB forty range, kind of the same place 364 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 3: Peterson is, But it's kind of too much of a 365 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 3: projection forward in my opinion, where the only real out 366 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 3: you leave yourself is him really just outperforming everyone and 367 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 3: taking over that job and doing it really quickly and 368 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 3: doing it before he suffers another injury. It's just to me, 369 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 3: it's just low likelihood that he returns value on that ADP. 370 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 3: As for a guy I'm higher on, and I'll go 371 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 3: with one kind of in this top twenty four, but 372 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs, the rookie running back for the Oakland Raiders. 373 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 3: Most time I see him kind of at the end 374 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 3: of the back end of that top twenty tier or 375 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 3: just outside. I have him a little closer to the 376 00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 3: top twelve. I think that the Raiders drafted him in 377 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: the first round to kind of assume that Marshawn Lynch role, 378 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 3: and that role was getting about fifteen carries and three 379 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 3: to four targets a game in those six games before 380 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 3: Lynch went down. And I think John Gruden, you know, 381 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 3: he's a pretty formulaic and predictable guy for the most 382 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:07,440 Speaker 3: part of Nathan Peterman love aside, So I think he's 383 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 3: going to really use Jacobs as a workhorse, especially because 384 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 3: they're kind of contingency plan at running back. Isaiah Crowell 385 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 3: got injured lost for the season in an offseason workout, 386 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,440 Speaker 3: so they essentially resigned Doug Martin, and Martin was there 387 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 3: while you know, a Lynch coming straight off your retirement, 388 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 3: was getting huge workloads. So Jacobs is a pretty high floor, 389 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 3: high ceiling investment. And I love these rookie guys because 390 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 3: they're kind of fresh. They're young and fresh. You know, 391 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 3: Jacobs didn't get too overused when he was playing in 392 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 3: cod So love Jacobs. But let's get into the meat 393 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 3: of this pod. And just for you guys out there, 394 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:40,680 Speaker 3: we will be doing a whole other pod on the 395 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 3: running backs outside of the top twelve, So you know, 396 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,119 Speaker 3: we'll do a whole pod on this with Sean and 397 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 3: Ian and then we're gonna have a whole nother pod 398 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 3: for you coming out a few days after that on 399 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 3: all the running backs from thirteen on. But who's the 400 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 3: number one running back Sean in twenty nineteen and why. 401 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:58,199 Speaker 1: Right now, I'm going with Chalk with Sayklon Barkley. I 402 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,199 Speaker 1: just think he's a generational talent. He could score from 403 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:05,240 Speaker 1: anywhere on the field. He's able to overcome some inefficiencies 404 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 1: of his teammates. But in all honesty, if you told me, 405 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 1: you know, I'm just going to randomly give you one 406 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: of these top four backs, I'd probably take it, maybe 407 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 1: except for Zeke right now, but you know, a full PPR, 408 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,639 Speaker 1: you could definitely make a case for McCaffrey. I haven't 409 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:23,119 Speaker 1: projected for thirteen more receptions. I do have Barkley beat 410 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 1: and rushing yards. I have him getting roughly two hundred more. 411 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 1: So you can definitely make a case that McCaffrey has 412 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:31,479 Speaker 1: probably the higher upside in PPR and Kamara. You know, 413 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 1: I was talking about Latavius Murray earlier, but you know, 414 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: if it doesn't look like he's going to take over, 415 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 1: you know, a decent amount of the mark Ingram role. 416 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,880 Speaker 1: We saw you know, Kamara and the first four games 417 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 1: last year and Ingram was out due to the suspension. 418 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 1: He was the number one overall running back, so he 419 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: has number one running back upside. And then just you 420 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,199 Speaker 1: know Zeke. You can't really take him first right now 421 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,400 Speaker 1: because of the risk, but if he ends the holdout, 422 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:56,639 Speaker 1: he has running back one upside. So I'm just all 423 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 1: about getting one of the top four picks and getting 424 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: any one of these guys. But if I have the 425 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: first pick right now, I'm going Barkley. 426 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, you mentioned Sae Kwon Barkley, and he's he's the 427 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 3: number one guy for me as well. I mean, you know, 428 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 3: three hundred and eighty five point eight PPR points, the 429 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,439 Speaker 3: most of any rookie running back since the nineteen seventy Merger, 430 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 3: sixteenth best PPR running back season of all time, two 431 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:16,959 Speaker 3: hundred and ninety four point eight standard points, also the 432 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,720 Speaker 3: third best rookie back season in forty fifty years, So 433 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 3: I mean, you know, you can't go wrong with Barkley. 434 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 3: I haven't projected for two hundred and forty eight carries, 435 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,159 Speaker 3: eleven hundred twenty yards, nine nine point two scores on 436 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 3: the ground, another one hundred nine targets, eighty three catches, 437 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 3: six hundred and sixty one receiving yards, and three point 438 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 3: five receiving touchdowns in fifteen games. I always dock running 439 00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:39,879 Speaker 3: backs at least one game just because of the nature 440 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 3: of the position. So I never projected any running back 441 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 3: for it for a full sixteen or any player really, 442 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:47,159 Speaker 3: because that's kind of unrealistic. Ian, just give us their 443 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 3: top tier of running backs, because there's kind of a 444 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:50,439 Speaker 3: tier here. Sean kind of alluded to it. You got 445 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,879 Speaker 3: the top four, then the David Johnson's maybe in that 446 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,639 Speaker 3: fifth spot, which you alluded to. It's kind of that 447 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 3: tier where you finally you start looking away from running 448 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 3: backs and toward receiver in that first round. So give 449 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 3: us your your top tier backs and tell me your 450 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 3: rankings of those top guys. 451 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,679 Speaker 4: Top tier backs in this order are Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, 452 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 4: and Zeko Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and David Johnson. I understand 453 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 4: if you're a little more worried about Zeke, you know, 454 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 4: you can drop him the fourth behind Kamara. But I mean, 455 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,479 Speaker 4: if you had the number one overall pick in your 456 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 4: fantasy draft, you really want to pick the guy that's 457 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 4: going to spend more time next to Elon Manning than 458 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 4: anyone else in the league this year. I mean, that's 459 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,680 Speaker 4: my whole issue because Saquon and McCaffrey, I think there's 460 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 4: only two players in the league that could realistically lead 461 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 4: their offense in rushing and receiving. One of them's in 462 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,159 Speaker 4: a Carolina offense that's looking pretty good this year. I 463 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,920 Speaker 4: mean as long as I mean Dway Cam's been throwing 464 00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 4: the ball, expecting them to be in above average unit. 465 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 4: And then we got the Giants who looked like the 466 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 4: biggest joke in the league. They just lost the one 467 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,119 Speaker 4: wide receiver they had that defense needed to respect. And 468 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, it's cool that now they have no 469 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 4: other choice to throw check down Saquon Barkley, But I 470 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,399 Speaker 4: mean defenses, even more so in last year, are going 471 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 4: to have to sell out like none other just to 472 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,560 Speaker 4: hold Saquon Barkley. And I don't think the same can 473 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,160 Speaker 4: be said for McCaffrey because he's a little bit more versatile, 474 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 4: I think, and just their uses of them using them 475 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 4: as a. 476 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 2: Wide receiver, and he's got the higher floor there. 477 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 4: I think less things go wrong with McCaffrey, just based 478 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:09,439 Speaker 4: on how absurd that target share is. Only Michael Thomas, Jarvis, Landry, 479 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,679 Speaker 4: and OBJ along with McCaffrey have caught at least one 480 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 4: hundred and seventy passes in the first two seasons. The 481 00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 4: guy's a legitimate, like wide receiver one when it comes 482 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,719 Speaker 4: to the receiving workload. And yeah, he's a pretty good 483 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 4: rusher as well. We saw we all saw the picture 484 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 4: of him looking jacked in offseason workouts. So McCaffrey's here 485 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 4: shore of the load and he's my number one RB. 486 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 3: The way I respond to that is I'm witching that 487 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,879 Speaker 3: I have no problem taking McCaffrey over Barkley, because I 488 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 3: think Sean kind of said it. You know, you give 489 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 3: me any random pick of these top four guys, maybe 490 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 3: you could say I might even put Johnson in that 491 00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 3: over Zeke just because of the downside. But you know, 492 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 3: there there's such little separating a lot of these guys. 493 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 3: For people out there that are sweating their number one pick, 494 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,199 Speaker 3: don't like, don't sweat your number one pick. There's so 495 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 3: many better ways that you can spend your time preparing 496 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 3: for this fantasy season than lamenting over which of these guys, 497 00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:58,159 Speaker 3: are you going to take whis your first round pick? 498 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,400 Speaker 3: You're fine with any of them. I do Thinkarkeley has 499 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,680 Speaker 3: the higher ceiling because of Cam Newton's presence, because Cam 500 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 3: has averaged over seven rushing scores a year. And if 501 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 3: you're talking about absolute upside, I mean you're essentially saying, hey, like, 502 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,920 Speaker 3: if you know, if everything goes right for either offense, 503 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 3: who could score more fantasy points? And I think it's 504 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 3: Barkley because Eli Manning isn't going to take any of 505 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 3: his touchdowns. And I think, I mean the floor is 506 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 3: pretty sky high too when you consider that all those 507 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 3: reasons that, yes, they are knocks on Barkley in terms of, 508 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 3: you know, Manning in the offense, all those things are 509 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 3: present last year. Essentially, yes, they had Beckham for part 510 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 3: of the season, but they had a bad offensive line. 511 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 3: They had Eli Manning out there, you know, checking it 512 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,480 Speaker 3: down all day. So I don't think much has changed 513 00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 3: in that regard. And all you're doing is losing receivers, 514 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 3: which we know that when downfield guys aren't as much 515 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 3: of an option, that's when running back targets go up. 516 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 3: You know, if Eli or whoever's behind center for the 517 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,240 Speaker 3: Giants doesn't have Shepherd for any period of time because 518 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 3: of the thumb, and they don't have Kate for the 519 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 3: four games. That's just more likely that Barkley gets even 520 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 3: more more work. So I still I'm still riding with 521 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 3: Barkley as my RB one, followed by McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara 522 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 3: number three, and I still have Zeke number four, but 523 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 3: but I am considering dropping him to number five, below 524 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 3: David Johnson. But right around after that here, that's when 525 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 3: I'm looking at some wide receivers. But let's let's talk 526 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 3: about these holdouts, these holdout situations. Because we have z 527 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:21,400 Speaker 3: holding out in Mexico apparently wants to take full advantage 528 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,359 Speaker 3: of that. The Cowboys just signed Alfred Morris. We we 529 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,439 Speaker 3: put some additional thoughts up in our We have an 530 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,359 Speaker 3: article about this on the Action Network Ian Sean and 531 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,239 Speaker 3: myself where we kind of talk about how how these 532 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,520 Speaker 3: holdouts affect the value of these guys. But we'll talk 533 00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,399 Speaker 3: about it more here. Sean, I'm gonna kick it to 534 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,600 Speaker 3: you first. How does the holdout in camp because there's still, 535 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 3: you know, over a month out from the season, So 536 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 3: how does a holdout at this point for Ezekiel Elliott 537 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 3: and for Melvin Gordon, Uh, you know, how does it 538 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,880 Speaker 3: affect their fantasy value at this point and how does 539 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,199 Speaker 3: that change as the holdout kind of drags on. 540 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's it's definitely a vulnerable situation that you 541 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 1: have to pay attention to daily and it can change 542 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: any minute now. So you know, taking Zeke first, I'm 543 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,479 Speaker 1: a little less concerned about that. Like I said, I 544 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,439 Speaker 1: still would draft them fourth overall. And then you know 545 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: the other part is, you know, are there backs that 546 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: you want to stash later on from the Cowboys to 547 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,199 Speaker 1: take advantage of this? And the answer before yesterday was no, 548 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: it was a little too murky. You couldn't really tell 549 00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: how that backfield would shape up if Zeke misses time. 550 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 1: But you know, as you mentioned, they brought in Alfred Morris, 551 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 1: so I think, you know, super late in drafts, you know, 552 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 1: last two rounds. I think you could take a flyer 553 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 1: on Morris just in case, especially if you take Zeke 554 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 1: uh fourth overall. But I'm a little less concerned about that. 555 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: I'm still assuming Zeke will report before week one. But 556 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:44,479 Speaker 1: you know, in terms of the Chargers situation, Melvin Gordon, 557 00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:48,400 Speaker 1: I'm basically avoiding completely. I think there is a better 558 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,199 Speaker 1: chance that he misses some time this year, and you 559 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:52,800 Speaker 1: know that we talked about all the time the first 560 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 1: three rounds. Just try not to screw up. So I'm 561 00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:58,960 Speaker 1: more confident in my ability to just pass on Gordon 562 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:03,480 Speaker 1: and just you know, manage my team well to overcome that. 563 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,080 Speaker 1: I guess, but let someone else take on that risk. 564 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,080 Speaker 1: Draft someone else, and then you know, in the mid 565 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 1: rounds Ian mentioned it. I think Austin Eckler is still 566 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,439 Speaker 1: too cheap right now, so it's even more reason to 567 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 1: take him, even more reason to take Justin Jackson later 568 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: on as a flyer. Who you know, if Gordon were 569 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: to hold out the whole season, Justin Jackson is just 570 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 1: an Austin Eckler injury for injury away from being a 571 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,399 Speaker 1: league winner. So I think I'm more looking at the 572 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 1: backups for the Chargers, and I'm still drafting Zeke right now. 573 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 4: It seems like Tony Pollard or Cowboy's fourth un pick. 574 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:35,880 Speaker 4: He's kind of being pigeonholed as more their receiving back. 575 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 4: That's why they brought it out for Morris. But I 576 00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 4: think Morris has to beat out Mike Weber or at 577 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 4: least they're gonna have a competition for that potential early 578 00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 4: down role coming Weber, big guy out of Ohio stage. 579 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 4: He's got ran a four to fourth the combine. I mean, 580 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 4: not the most overworked guy either, because he kind of 581 00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,160 Speaker 4: was in a committee with JK. Dobbins for the last 582 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:54,679 Speaker 4: few years there. So I mean Morris is, you know, 583 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,040 Speaker 4: everyone's mind right now because he just got signed and everything. 584 00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 4: But I wouldn't underestimate, and I we'll see how the 585 00:25:58,720 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 4: preseason games work out. 586 00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 2: I think Wabrokul ultimately win that job. 587 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, it's tough. I think last year I 588 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 3: was a little more low on Morris than a lot 589 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 3: of people because he kind of say, a similar situation happened, 590 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 3: right we were all excited about Jared McKinnon and you know, 591 00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,360 Speaker 3: he goes down. Matt Breed is still there. Second year 592 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 3: for him, Morris gets signed and everyone's like, hey, Morris 593 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:23,640 Speaker 3: is gonna be the guy. He's gonna lead the team 594 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 3: in everything, and it didn't really shape up. And I 595 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 3: was on team Brida this year. I think I'm more 596 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,640 Speaker 3: on team Morris than anybody else in the Cowboys backfield. 597 00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 3: And that's simply because you have to kind of pay 598 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 3: attention to the organizations, and the Cowboys are a team 599 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 3: that they generally favor veteran presences. I think that goes 600 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 3: right back to Jerry Jones. You know, when they're on 601 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,119 Speaker 3: board with a rookie, it's guy guy like, it's a 602 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:47,919 Speaker 3: guy like Zeke Like. They're still taking running backs in 603 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 3: the top five. This is that kind of team. They 604 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 3: feel the need to get established guys. You know how 605 00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 3: many combined NFL carries that the guys behind Zeke on 606 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 3: the running back depth truck had sixty one and fifty 607 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:02,439 Speaker 3: five were the fullback Jimmy's. So you know, Darius Jackson 608 00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,120 Speaker 3: was a rookie action he didn't really get any work. 609 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 3: I think Weber is a guy that could make the team. 610 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 3: But I think Pollard he was kind of brought in 611 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 3: as a rookie as well to take some of the 612 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 3: work the load off Zeke on passing downs. I think 613 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 3: he could think of him more like that old Lance 614 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 3: Dunbar role. I think Pollard will get increased reps if 615 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 3: Zeke misses any time, because Poward is simply you know, 616 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 3: he's got. 617 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 2: Some juice to him. 618 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 3: He can move, but I do think the fact that 619 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:26,040 Speaker 3: they gave Morris those sixteen and a half carries two 620 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,800 Speaker 3: years ago in that six game app since that they 621 00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 3: brought him back for that specific reason for Zeke insurance 622 00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 3: that if Zeke goes down, Mars is getting is getting 623 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,560 Speaker 3: fifteen carries the game, and then Pollard is getting his 624 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 3: third down role, with maybe a little bit more on 625 00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:39,919 Speaker 3: top of that, just to kind of get some more 626 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,160 Speaker 3: explosiveness in that backfield. But I think at this point, 627 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 3: Mars is still going to be the guy, and I 628 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,240 Speaker 3: think Weber is in competition with Darius Jackson and I 629 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,639 Speaker 3: guess Jordan Chun another second year undrafted guy for probably 630 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:52,639 Speaker 3: that fourth running back spot that would move up to 631 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 3: third then if Zeke was out and become active on 632 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 3: game days. But haven't heard too much buzz surrounding Weber 633 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 3: in camp so far, So now's the kind of that 634 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 3: time to monitor, because yeah, if Webber, you know, start 635 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 3: you start hearing more about Weber, then then you start 636 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,040 Speaker 3: to pay attention because Marris, I mean, I'm not a 637 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,440 Speaker 3: fan of these two back, two down guys that really 638 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 3: aren't explosive, but it seems like the Cowboys are and 639 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:15,919 Speaker 3: they have they have the offensive line to kind of 640 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 3: do it. I have knocked Elliott down to fourteen games. 641 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:20,679 Speaker 3: He's one of the few running backs I even had 642 00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,920 Speaker 3: at fifteen to start, because he has just proven durable 643 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 3: throughout his career. He's a big guy, but I knocked 644 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 3: him down at fourteen. And Melvin Gordon I actually have 645 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 3: at twelve and a half games played because if you 646 00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 3: look at the history of running back holdouts and on 647 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,080 Speaker 3: Twitter at Chris Raybon a few days ago, I tweeted 648 00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:38,880 Speaker 3: kind of a spreadsheet of all the running back holdouts 649 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:41,320 Speaker 3: that I could recall and kind of got crowdsource some 650 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 3: help there. But it turns out that that running back 651 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 3: holdouts don't really cost many games for most guys. Like 652 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 3: the median games missed is still zero among you know, 653 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 3: it's still under two dozen sample size here, but the 654 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 3: median miss games is still zero. A couple guys have 655 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,240 Speaker 3: missed all sixteen. That's kind of that kind of bring 656 00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 3: the average to to I think that two to three range, 657 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 3: but usually you're expecting zero to two miss games. And 658 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,840 Speaker 3: the thing with Gordon is and all these guys is 659 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:09,240 Speaker 3: that they've missed games more because of injury. Once they 660 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 3: come back from that hold up, so kind of not practicing, 661 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 3: not playing at all, kind of being away for the team. 662 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 3: You can never be sure how that's going to affect 663 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 3: a guy's durability once they do return. We kind of 664 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,080 Speaker 3: saw that with Le'Veon Bell in a different way a 665 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 3: couple of years ago, and he started the year slow. 666 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 3: So that's that's where I kind of I'm at with 667 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,480 Speaker 3: the situation. But yeah, it is a really tough, involidle situation, 668 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 3: something to keep tabs on all summer long. I do 669 00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 3: like Morris's The Wait Mom Fly, you know, speaking of 670 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:35,840 Speaker 3: injuries and involved those situations. Todd Gurley when he's on 671 00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:38,240 Speaker 3: the field, he's probably the top running back in fantasy. 672 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 3: Arthritic knee condition down the stretch last year wasn't the 673 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 3: same guy. That was clear when he wasn't playing his 674 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,960 Speaker 3: usual role in the playoffs nor in the Super Bowl Seeding. 675 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 3: A lot of work to C J. Anderson, Sean, where 676 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 3: are you and Todd Gurley entering twenty nineteen? 677 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:55,880 Speaker 1: So right now I have him right around two hundred 678 00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,080 Speaker 1: and fifty to two hundred and sixty total touches. I think, 679 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,880 Speaker 1: you know, some of the the knee concern might have 680 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: been just you know, May June overreaction. We didn't really 681 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 1: have much else to talk about. But you know, I 682 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 1: think he should be relatively healthy to start there, and 683 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,240 Speaker 1: they'll probably just you know, manage his workload. They already 684 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 1: talked about having Darryl Henderson be sort of the Chris 685 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:18,960 Speaker 1: Thompson role to start there, So I think, you know, 686 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,080 Speaker 1: we'll just we'll just see a little less in the 687 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 1: touches department, but you know, he should still be pretty 688 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,200 Speaker 1: involved around the goal line. I think with him, you 689 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:28,800 Speaker 1: still have that touchdown upside, So you know, if we 690 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:33,680 Speaker 1: kind of overreacted from the initial scare, you know, he 691 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 1: could have some value. Having said that, I still, like 692 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 1: I said, I'm pretty risked verse in the first three rounds, 693 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 1: so I think unless he falls to me sort of 694 00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: in the mid third, I'm kind of staying away. And 695 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: you know, Darryl Henderson he does have some upside. He's 696 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 1: fallen to closer to the round seven or round eight range, 697 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 1: so I'm more looking to him. Just with my overall 698 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 1: draft plan, I think it's it's probably more likely all 699 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 1: you know, target gall like Henderson later on than kind 700 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:02,760 Speaker 1: of roll the dice with Curly early on. But I 701 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:04,320 Speaker 1: think it's something that we don't need to be as 702 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:05,960 Speaker 1: concerned about as we initially thought. 703 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, Ian, how are you feeling about Gurley entering twenty nineteen? 704 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 1: Where are you drafting him? 705 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,080 Speaker 4: I got him, I was like my RB thirteen right now, 706 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 4: But I'm kind of more okay letting someone else take 707 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,600 Speaker 4: a chance on him. I like the Chris Thompson point 708 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 4: by Seanks, I mean, and Sean mcvay's last year in Washington, 709 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 4: we did see kind of more of a committee backfield. 710 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 4: Chris Thomps had sixty two targets and then Rob Kelly 711 00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 4: and Matt Jones combined around two hundred and sixty carries together. 712 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 4: So if we do see that again, I think it 713 00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 4: makes sense for Gurly to become kind of the more 714 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 4: run first back in Henderson, being used a. 715 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:35,840 Speaker 2: Little bit more out of the backfield. 716 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,040 Speaker 4: But look, I mean, we still have two years of 717 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 4: evidence of the Rams, you know, working as anyone's idea 718 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:41,920 Speaker 4: of the top five offense, so the lead back and 719 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 4: that's still gonna be valuable. But yeah, I mean unless 720 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 4: he falls to me too, farm gonna take guys like 721 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,000 Speaker 4: Dowlin Cook and Nick Chubb. 722 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:48,960 Speaker 2: Ahead of him. I think every time. 723 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I do think that there was a 724 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 3: little bit of that overreactive element, you know, to Giry, 725 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 3: But I also think there's a little bit of the 726 00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 3: opposite going on as well, where you know, obviously, if 727 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:02,640 Speaker 3: girl is going to be healthy, it's going to be 728 00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:04,240 Speaker 3: in camp and it's going to be now. And the 729 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 3: question is, if you're taking this guy early on, is 730 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,120 Speaker 3: he still going to be healthy in in November and 731 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,600 Speaker 3: in those fantasy playoffs in December. So I think there's 732 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 3: kind of a give and take here where you can't 733 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,720 Speaker 3: chalk it all up to just an overreaction, because I 734 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 3: think some of it is warranted. That said, on the 735 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,320 Speaker 3: flip side, you know, you knock him down touches wise, 736 00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,280 Speaker 3: and I have him at one hundred and ninety six 737 00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:29,960 Speaker 3: carries and thirty eight receptions in fourteen games, so still 738 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:33,760 Speaker 3: about sixteen seventeen touches per game. And even when you 739 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:35,959 Speaker 3: have him at that level instead of the previous kind 740 00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 3: of twenty touch guy he's been, he still projects out 741 00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 3: as my running back ten. So that shows you the 742 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:43,719 Speaker 3: kind of upside there. And I think it's up to 743 00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 3: anyone drafting individually whether you truly want to pull that trigger. 744 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,719 Speaker 3: I tend to do it more in kind of unconventional 745 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,240 Speaker 3: week types where for example, three man best balls. A 746 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,960 Speaker 3: lot of times people are hung up on taking tight 747 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,640 Speaker 3: ends and receivers, and you'll find Girly in those last 748 00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:00,320 Speaker 3: few rounds kind of sitting there. You know, there's a 749 00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 3: lot less risk there. I'm in this traditional twelve team league, 750 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,440 Speaker 3: I'm usually am passing on him because there is usually 751 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 3: somebody that pulls a trigger on him. Even before that 752 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,280 Speaker 3: that number ten running back off the board that I 753 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 3: have him and then I also have I think I 754 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,000 Speaker 3: feel a lot more comfortable with the stud receivers over growing, 755 00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:18,680 Speaker 3: because again, receivers tendaments about half as much time as 756 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 3: running backs due to injury. Let's go on a little 757 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 3: further down these running backs here, because I know we 758 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 3: already talked a lot about about David Johnson, so I'm 759 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 3: not gonna spend too much time. I think we all 760 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 3: kind of feel like he's right at or outside that 761 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,560 Speaker 3: top tier of backs. With Kyler Million, Cliff Kingsbury his 762 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 3: one year lost to injury, it was kind of a 763 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:39,920 Speaker 3: freak risk issue. Wasn't like he's been suffering a bunch 764 00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 3: of soft tissue stuff, and I think the spread offense 765 00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 3: opens it up and mass the o Win's deficiency. So 766 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 3: let's just get right into another guy that used to 767 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 3: be talked of in the same breath as Johnson at 768 00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 3: one point. Now it seems most people are kind of 769 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:55,760 Speaker 3: a bit lower on him, and that's Rayveon Bell, of course, 770 00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 3: sat out all of last year in the contact track 771 00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 3: dispute with the Steelers and now on with the New 772 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 3: York Jets. Sean, how are you feeling about Le'Veon Bell 773 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,399 Speaker 3: this year and his value relative to that top tier 774 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 3: of running backs. 775 00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is where we definitely see, you know, 776 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:16,200 Speaker 1: a drop in tiers. I was gonna say, I haven't 777 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:18,120 Speaker 1: really touched on David Johnson yet, but he's sort of 778 00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 1: in his own little mini tier. I call that basically 779 00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 1: fantasy purgatory. If basically, if you have the fifth pick, 780 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 1: you're getting David Johnson, So I guess unless somebody lets 781 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,920 Speaker 1: Zeke fall to you. But just I just think of 782 00:34:31,960 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: the fifth pick being you get David Johnson. There's not 783 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 1: really much you could do about it. 784 00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,680 Speaker 3: There's no way you would go Johnson over Zeke at. 785 00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 1: All, period, not right now, just because I do think 786 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 1: there is enough separating them. If the Zeke thing, like 787 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,239 Speaker 1: I think, if he doesn't report by August sixth, that 788 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 1: could indicate something. You know, I'm gonna look for markers 789 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:51,040 Speaker 1: like that, But right now today I'll still be drafting 790 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:54,800 Speaker 1: Zeke fourth. But you know, it breaks up right there. 791 00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,760 Speaker 1: And I do, like Bell, I think we can bank 792 00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,400 Speaker 1: on a decent workload. You know, if Adam Gase, nothing's guaranteed. 793 00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,239 Speaker 1: He's so used to running behind that good you know, 794 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,960 Speaker 1: Steelers offensive line. He's gone the Jets, so you know, 795 00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:08,880 Speaker 1: I think it could be a concern for his patient 796 00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 1: style of running, you know, just waiting behind line of scrimmage, 797 00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:13,920 Speaker 1: waiting for hold open up. Those might not happen. So 798 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:16,600 Speaker 1: I think his efficiency could take a dip. And that's 799 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,520 Speaker 1: sort of where I think he has a He has 800 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,720 Speaker 1: a really low floor for these you know RB one guys, 801 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 1: but really, any one of these guys after David Johnson, 802 00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 1: you can make the case they have a low floor. 803 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,840 Speaker 1: I think the uh, you know, the bottom half of 804 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:31,719 Speaker 1: the RB one tier there's a lot of land mines 805 00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 1: or potential land mines, and Levion Bell could be one 806 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 1: of those guys. But having said that, I almost don't 807 00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: even think about taking him because he's going where I 808 00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,480 Speaker 1: typically just take, you know, the top one of the 809 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,920 Speaker 1: top wide receivers I mentioned earlier. My my plan this 810 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,719 Speaker 1: year is to load up on top stud by receivers. 811 00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:51,319 Speaker 1: And you know, when LiveOn Bell is going, if you 812 00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 1: know Kelsey or DeAndre Hopkins or DeVante Adams are there, 813 00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:58,480 Speaker 1: I'm just passing up on Bell completely. But yeah, I'm 814 00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:00,720 Speaker 1: curious to hear what you guys thought on him because 815 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:02,799 Speaker 1: I've i haven't been giving much, but you know, my 816 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 1: projections for him are pretty solid. I still expect a 817 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:06,839 Speaker 1: decent sized workload for him. 818 00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:09,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's definitely a lower floor situation for him. I 819 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,319 Speaker 4: think the big question mark is what is target share 820 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 4: is going to be. Like, I mean, this was a 821 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,879 Speaker 4: guy that won very few running backs that you could realistically, 822 00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:18,120 Speaker 4: you know, account for triple digit targets on a year 823 00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,840 Speaker 4: by year basis in Pittsburgh. Now he's got Sam Darnold, 824 00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,759 Speaker 4: who I mean, judging from the first year sample size, 825 00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,120 Speaker 4: I don't think he's gonna be as willing to as 826 00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,040 Speaker 4: dump it off as men. You know, Sam likes to 827 00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:28,120 Speaker 4: run around a little bit and make some plays, toss 828 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,920 Speaker 4: it deep to Robbie Anderson downfield. And now on that offense, 829 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:32,799 Speaker 4: we've got Jamison Crowder in the slot, who I think 830 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:34,239 Speaker 4: is going to take away a lot of those kind 831 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:34,720 Speaker 4: of short. 832 00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:36,080 Speaker 2: Dump off type passes. 833 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 4: Complicating matters further is the fact that Adam Gase his 834 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,600 Speaker 4: entire coaching career, has run one of the slowest paced 835 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,239 Speaker 4: offenses in the entire league. So it's gonna be less 836 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:47,760 Speaker 4: efficient touches and there's probably gonna be fewer overall touches 837 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 4: with in the course of a. 838 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 2: Game, I mean volumes volume. 839 00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,960 Speaker 4: Leveon's talking about getting what four or five hundred carries 840 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,279 Speaker 4: this year he was joking about so, I mean he's 841 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,759 Speaker 4: saying all the right things, apologizing the fantasy owners. I 842 00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,000 Speaker 4: appreciate it, but yeah, at this point the draft, just 843 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:01,879 Speaker 4: give me one of those stud wide receivers instead. There's 844 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,399 Speaker 4: just there's less of a blow flowor I think. 845 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:07,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm actually I think I'm a little more bullish 846 00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:10,320 Speaker 3: on Bell than you guys. I think that the number 847 00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,920 Speaker 3: one concern for me is that pace, that pace of play, 848 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,359 Speaker 3: because you kind of hit on it, Adam Gase. I mean, 849 00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 3: this guy will run at a snail like pace. Have 850 00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 3: the Jets projected for the fewest offensive plays per game 851 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 3: in the entire National Football League. I have him right 852 00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 3: about fifty eight offensive plays per game, which is extremely 853 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,239 Speaker 3: low and not something I tend to project often, so 854 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 3: that that is a concern. However, I think part of 855 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:41,239 Speaker 3: the reason that they will run at a slow pace 856 00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,279 Speaker 3: and be able to is because of the presence of 857 00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,439 Speaker 3: a guy like Bell when you have a running back, 858 00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:47,919 Speaker 3: and I think this is why the Dolphins used Frank 859 00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,319 Speaker 3: Gore over Kenyan Drake a lot on early downs when 860 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:53,400 Speaker 3: you have a guy that can sustain and grind out yards. 861 00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 3: And Bell's not a big play guy, so he's gotten 862 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 3: you know, four or five, six, ten yards. He's not 863 00:37:57,800 --> 00:37:59,960 Speaker 3: breaking a bunch of the thirty forty fifty yarders. Think 864 00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,400 Speaker 3: he's going to get a substantial workload on the ground 865 00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:05,640 Speaker 3: in those first half of games, regardless of the situation, 866 00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:07,560 Speaker 3: and then the second half we all know what he 867 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 3: can do through the air, and I do think there 868 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:13,160 Speaker 3: is some concern that Donald could be turned into the 869 00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,879 Speaker 3: checkdown artist. Twenty eighth in the league in deep ball 870 00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 3: accuracy last year according to Pro Football Focus, Quincy and 871 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:23,319 Speaker 3: Nowon was effectiveness decreased drastically when running routes from the 872 00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,480 Speaker 3: outside last year. He's gonna have to do that all year, 873 00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,000 Speaker 3: and then you brought in, you know, you're brought in 874 00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 3: Crowder to take up more targets in the slot. Robbie Anderson. 875 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 3: I know Sean Sean likes him, is higher on him 876 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,480 Speaker 3: than myself, But you know, Anderson was outside the top 877 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,200 Speaker 3: sixty receivers in PPR for the first like eleven weeks 878 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,439 Speaker 3: of last season. He's a guy running low percentage routes 879 00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:44,920 Speaker 3: that if they're not there, I think there's gonna be 880 00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:47,680 Speaker 3: a lot of opportunities for Darnald to dump down and 881 00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:50,120 Speaker 3: I think we we're going to see Gays kind of 882 00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:53,279 Speaker 3: build an offense centered around Bells. I think he's the 883 00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:57,240 Speaker 3: one investment that I feel comfortable making in the Jets, frankly, 884 00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:59,800 Speaker 3: because I'm not high on Anderson for the reasons I mentioned, 885 00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:02,880 Speaker 3: and I just really don't know about the upside for 886 00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,200 Speaker 3: Crowder or a Nunwa and now Herndon with of course 887 00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,480 Speaker 3: the tight end second year entering the season with a 888 00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,080 Speaker 3: lot of uh, you know, high hopes, but four game 889 00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 3: suspension for him. So Bell is the guy. I'm feeling 890 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,399 Speaker 3: pretty good about in the Jets and really the only guy. 891 00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 3: Let's talk about Bell's replacement, because James Connor comes in 892 00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:25,160 Speaker 3: year one in Pittsburgh essentially renders Bell expendable more or 893 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:28,439 Speaker 3: less huge season. Now, he's kind of in that same 894 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,400 Speaker 3: tier where if you're picking to the middle of the 895 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 3: end of the first round, you're gonna have a chance 896 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,279 Speaker 3: to draft Connor. Sean, tell me why you're or why 897 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,760 Speaker 3: not I should draft Connor over over like a receiver 898 00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:39,960 Speaker 3: like Devonte Adams or DeAndre Hopkins. 899 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,919 Speaker 1: Well, I'm not gonna recommend that, but if they're off 900 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,239 Speaker 1: the board and Kelsey's off the board, I could make 901 00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,839 Speaker 1: the case for taking James Connor because you know you're 902 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 1: gonna be able to pair him with one of the 903 00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:53,960 Speaker 1: other top receivers. I think he's He's probably the running 904 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 1: back in the bottom half of the RB one tier 905 00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 1: I have the least concern about. You know, he's a 906 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:03,200 Speaker 1: power back with receiving skills, so I'm not too worried 907 00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,759 Speaker 1: about Jalen Samuels and Benny Snell. I think there'll be 908 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:09,239 Speaker 1: more change of pacebacks and you know, if Connor were 909 00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,080 Speaker 1: to ever miss time, I think they would be a 910 00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:14,520 Speaker 1: pretty even timeshare, but I think he's he's still gonna 911 00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:16,960 Speaker 1: be the workhorse back we saw last year. You know, 912 00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:18,960 Speaker 1: he's the guy I took in the last round of 913 00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:22,120 Speaker 1: every draft last year. So it's it's important to remind people, 914 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,440 Speaker 1: don't draft a kicker defense at the end of the draft. 915 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:29,040 Speaker 1: Just get two more running backs, preferably you know, guys 916 00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:31,720 Speaker 1: that back up a running back who's in a holdout 917 00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,080 Speaker 1: or prone to injury. Just take your chances on your 918 00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: bench with running back. So it's a little disheartening that, 919 00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 1: you know, I have to spend a first round pick 920 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:41,320 Speaker 1: to get him this year, and I got him in 921 00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,520 Speaker 1: the last round last year. But it just goes to 922 00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:47,279 Speaker 1: show how vulorable running back is. You cannot just you know, 923 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,600 Speaker 1: magically get a stud wide receiver one at the end 924 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,719 Speaker 1: of the draft or pick them up in season, but 925 00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,920 Speaker 1: you absolutely can at running back. So that's that's basically 926 00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:59,120 Speaker 1: my lesson on taking wide receivers early on. But I 927 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 1: still like Connor a lot this year. I don't think 928 00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:05,800 Speaker 1: there's many concerns here, and yeah, he's the safest bet 929 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,439 Speaker 1: for the back end of the RB one tier Ian. 930 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 3: At what point in dress are you taking Connor? 931 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:13,279 Speaker 4: I think he's right there, then that RB one tier. 932 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,480 Speaker 4: I wouldn't blame you if you had guys like Mixing 933 00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 4: Chubb Cook ranks slightly above him, But I think you're 934 00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:20,719 Speaker 4: gonna be pretty okay with any of those guys, because, look, 935 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,400 Speaker 4: James Connor, we gotta give him some credit for just 936 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:25,960 Speaker 4: doing everything that you expect kind of elite running back 937 00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:27,600 Speaker 4: to do. I mean, he got hurt in the last 938 00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:30,240 Speaker 4: three weeks of last year, but in weeks one through thirteen, 939 00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:32,320 Speaker 4: the only running backs that had broken at least fifty 940 00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,480 Speaker 4: tackles were Connor, Saquon Barkley, and Kareem Hunt. I feel 941 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:36,880 Speaker 4: like a lot of people don't kind of think of 942 00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 4: Connor as being that dynamic of a back, but two 943 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:41,239 Speaker 4: hundred and thirty pounds with some moves like him, and 944 00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:43,040 Speaker 4: he's a tough guy to bring down. I don't think 945 00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 4: he's the same type of dynamic receiver as Le'Veon Bell. 946 00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,920 Speaker 4: I know his yards for targeting yards per reception are similar, 947 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,160 Speaker 4: but you just don't see him doing the same type 948 00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,360 Speaker 4: of things out of the slot. So I do worry 949 00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:56,919 Speaker 4: that maybe a more complete receiver like Samuels could steal 950 00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,160 Speaker 4: away some of his target share. 951 00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,319 Speaker 2: But I mean, I think we just got a sum. 952 00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:02,480 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh is gonna feed their number one running back because 953 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,319 Speaker 4: that's all we've seen over the last five years, whether 954 00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:08,760 Speaker 4: it be Connor, Bell, Samuelsiga, Stephan Ridley like twenty touches 955 00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 4: when he was on his deathbed, pretty much so Pittsburgh 956 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 4: the number of running back gets the ball all the time. 957 00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:15,640 Speaker 2: I don't ee go to change this year. I'm a 958 00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:16,239 Speaker 2: little more worried. 959 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,520 Speaker 4: I guess about the overall Pittsburgh offense and other people. 960 00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,160 Speaker 4: I think losing Ab, losing Bell, losing these kind of 961 00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,919 Speaker 4: walking mismatches in the throughout the formation could impact their 962 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,480 Speaker 4: offensive ceiling. But Connor's get fed the ball, and I 963 00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,759 Speaker 4: think he's good enough to get playing production out of it. 964 00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:34,239 Speaker 3: I would definitely blame somebody if they took Chubb or 965 00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 3: or who mixing over Conn like I think Connor, to 966 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,400 Speaker 3: me is is clearly a tier above those guys. I 967 00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,319 Speaker 3: think you kind of hit on it with this is 968 00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:44,319 Speaker 3: what Pittsburgh does. They feed their number one guy. I mean, 969 00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:46,840 Speaker 3: talk about guys on their deathbed. The Anguel Williams is 970 00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 3: essentially the top back in fantasy filling in for Bell. 971 00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:51,920 Speaker 3: You know, I think some of the concerns with with 972 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,720 Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh offense are unfounded. I mean, Antonio Brown average 973 00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,239 Speaker 3: about seven point eight yards per target last year. That's 974 00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:01,400 Speaker 3: essentially what an average wide receiver in league will average. 975 00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:04,000 Speaker 3: I think some of the touchdown potential that that Brown 976 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,960 Speaker 3: brought with those with those league leading fifteen scores goes away, 977 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,520 Speaker 3: but those they could, they're gonna move the ball. I 978 00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,920 Speaker 3: still think they still have a lot of guys all 979 00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:14,719 Speaker 3: over the field. They're still deep at receiver even with 980 00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,760 Speaker 3: losing Brown. If anything, Brown not there to score fifteen 981 00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:20,520 Speaker 3: touchdowns or an automatic double digit amount of touchdowns every year, 982 00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:23,239 Speaker 3: that might just increase the probability that the running backs 983 00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 3: get an extra couple of touchdowns. I agree. I don't 984 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:28,560 Speaker 3: think Samuel Jalen Samuels is a threat to Connor's workload 985 00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,399 Speaker 3: because Samuel's more, you know, he kind of he played 986 00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:33,320 Speaker 3: tight end before. He's kind of a chess piece. He 987 00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:35,960 Speaker 3: can move around, but almost profiles like a glorified like 988 00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:39,279 Speaker 3: a Marcel Reese type of player, glorified h back who 989 00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:42,279 Speaker 3: can play halfback than a true featured back. And I 990 00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,440 Speaker 3: think Snell is kind of like like the next Connor, 991 00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:47,160 Speaker 3: like maybe in a year now we're talking and Connor 992 00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:50,080 Speaker 3: goes down and then you're looking at Snell for that 993 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,759 Speaker 3: same kind of workload that Connor got. But this year, 994 00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:54,920 Speaker 3: I think Connor's clearly in a tier on the on 995 00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:57,560 Speaker 3: the right side of that drop off, and I think 996 00:43:57,560 --> 00:43:59,960 Speaker 3: if anything, he's going a little bit underlooked. That wouldn't 997 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,640 Speaker 3: especially in a non full PP, I wouldn't hesitate to 998 00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:05,719 Speaker 3: even take him before pretty much any receiver outside of 999 00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:08,759 Speaker 3: I guess Hopkins and and Adams, And even then, if 1000 00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:10,239 Speaker 3: you really feel like you need a running back and 1001 00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 3: it's a deeper league, I wouldn't. I wouldn't feel uncomfortable 1002 00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:19,040 Speaker 3: pulling the trigger. Let's talk about Joe Mixon, Sean, how 1003 00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:20,759 Speaker 3: are you feeling about mixing? You know, he's been a 1004 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,399 Speaker 3: guy who, you know, first year in the league didn't 1005 00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:26,360 Speaker 3: quite get the workload we wanted. Last year featured, but 1006 00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:29,319 Speaker 3: now the coaching staff overhauled. You did hear a report 1007 00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,359 Speaker 3: at a camp that, hey, don't forget about this guy, 1008 00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:34,319 Speaker 3: Giovanni Bernard, He's gonna be back in more of a 1009 00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:38,400 Speaker 3: that that pass catcher role. So any concerns about mixing 1010 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:41,560 Speaker 3: kind of being able to produce at the level of 1011 00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:43,720 Speaker 3: guys like Connor and Todd Gurley. 1012 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think there's some concern there. Definitely, not talent wise, 1013 00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:50,200 Speaker 1: I think he's he's certainly one of the most talented backs. 1014 00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:55,080 Speaker 1: Just lost too offensive linemen, you know, rookie Joni Williams, 1015 00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:58,600 Speaker 1: the eleventh overall pick is on I R. Clint Bowling 1016 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:03,080 Speaker 1: just retire, so you know, the offensive line could be shaky. 1017 00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:06,960 Speaker 1: And yeah, the GEO Bernard being heavily involved again this 1018 00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:09,759 Speaker 1: year is sort of a concern, especially a team like 1019 00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,319 Speaker 1: the Bengals, who are projected to be more of a 1020 00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: five to six win team, so they're going to have 1021 00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:17,879 Speaker 1: more negative game scripts that's going to favor Bernard unfortunately. 1022 00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:21,239 Speaker 1: So he just has a little more question marks. I'm 1023 00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:23,880 Speaker 1: kind of with Ian that I think Chubb is, you know, 1024 00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:26,560 Speaker 1: he's closer to the mid range RB one tier and 1025 00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:29,480 Speaker 1: he sort of falls in this you know, low end 1026 00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:32,320 Speaker 1: RB one and just you know where Joe Mixon goes. 1027 00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:35,520 Speaker 1: Typically I like him if he falls later in round two, 1028 00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:39,080 Speaker 1: but that's you already have a setback when you have 1029 00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 1: those draft picks. So he's a guy that even if 1030 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:43,920 Speaker 1: he falls towards round two, I'm still taking a top receiver, 1031 00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:46,520 Speaker 1: but like Mixon as a running back, but just the 1032 00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:50,560 Speaker 1: situation isn't ideal. And you know, they drafted Trevian Williams 1033 00:45:50,600 --> 00:45:53,719 Speaker 1: and Rodney Anderson. Roddy Anderson should start the year on 1034 00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,480 Speaker 1: the pups, so not worried about him. But it was 1035 00:45:55,560 --> 00:45:59,160 Speaker 1: interesting that they took two you know, highly touted backs 1036 00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,600 Speaker 1: like that, so, you know, just a crowded backfield just 1037 00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,040 Speaker 1: even more of a concern for mixing. 1038 00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:06,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think a lot of it with with the 1039 00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,640 Speaker 3: two pre paired Uh you know day three picks at 1040 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:11,000 Speaker 3: the position was you know, they did lose Mark Wall 1041 00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:12,879 Speaker 3: and then you know they do need some depths there. 1042 00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:14,680 Speaker 3: Running back is an important part of their offense. I mean, 1043 00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:16,440 Speaker 3: let's be serious. A j Green goes down every year, 1044 00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,279 Speaker 3: Tyler Reifort goes down. But they also took essentially which 1045 00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:21,160 Speaker 3: amounts to a blocking tight end in round two. So 1046 00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,120 Speaker 3: this team seems like they're just building depth. I mean, 1047 00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:26,480 Speaker 3: maybe it's just the dumpster fire of the league, and 1048 00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:29,080 Speaker 3: I mean they don't not a lot of it necessarily 1049 00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:30,879 Speaker 3: sounds like the sharpest things for them to be doing. 1050 00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:33,280 Speaker 3: So they are on you know, just just as jumps 1051 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,080 Speaker 3: the fire alert Ian you know, I know you are 1052 00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:37,959 Speaker 3: high on Chubb, so I guess talk to me about 1053 00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:41,840 Speaker 3: Chubb versus Mixing in that kind of end of the 1054 00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,640 Speaker 3: uh that this RB onez here and Dalvin Cook if 1055 00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:45,719 Speaker 3: you have any thoughts on him as well. 1056 00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, they're right there together. So the thing with mixing, 1057 00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:52,080 Speaker 4: I mean we talk about Javanni Bernard being involved again. 1058 00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 4: I mean all right, outside of David Johnson, Zeke Saquon 1059 00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:58,680 Speaker 4: and McCaffrey, every running back in the league pretty much 1060 00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:01,319 Speaker 4: plays fear and eighty percent of all defensive snaps. So 1061 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:04,040 Speaker 4: even though jiy Vonney is going to be involved again, 1062 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,240 Speaker 4: I mean, Mixic can still have one of the top, 1063 00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 4: you know, six to eight biggest workloads in the league. 1064 00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:10,640 Speaker 2: And that's pretty much what we saw last year. He 1065 00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:12,840 Speaker 2: played at least sixty percent of the Bengal snaps in 1066 00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,200 Speaker 2: all but one game. So yeah, you know, if it 1067 00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:15,480 Speaker 2: is a. 1068 00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:18,040 Speaker 4: Blowout, maybe maybe Gio would be out there a little 1069 00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:19,880 Speaker 4: bit more again some targets. But I don't think we 1070 00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:23,319 Speaker 4: should underestimate the chances that Mixon really takes a big 1071 00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:24,520 Speaker 4: step forward as a receiver. 1072 00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:25,880 Speaker 2: He's got the ability to do it. 1073 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,560 Speaker 4: We saw to Oklahoma, We've seen flashes over these two years, 1074 00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,279 Speaker 4: but it never quite committed to him in that way. 1075 00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:33,520 Speaker 4: And look, the new head coach, Zach Taylor, spent the 1076 00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:35,560 Speaker 4: last two years in Los Angeles. I think he saw 1077 00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:37,960 Speaker 4: first hand, you know what that can do to a player. 1078 00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:40,720 Speaker 4: Todd Gurley only had eighty four targets in twenty fifteen 1079 00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,279 Speaker 4: to twenty sixteen. He had one hundred and sixty eight 1080 00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:46,240 Speaker 4: under Taylor McVeigh the next two seasons. You know, Mixon 1081 00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 4: only had eighty nine to the last two seasons. So 1082 00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,800 Speaker 4: Mixing has that ability to take a big step forward 1083 00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:55,120 Speaker 4: in the receiving game. And last year, once he returned 1084 00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:57,120 Speaker 4: from injury in Week five and played from Week five 1085 00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:59,640 Speaker 4: to Week seventeen, he was a PPR RB six. I 1086 00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,560 Speaker 4: mean that was playing half the year with the Bengals 1087 00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,399 Speaker 4: offense that was you know, pretty much h the Land 1088 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,640 Speaker 4: of the Living Dead because half their team was hurt. 1089 00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:11,239 Speaker 4: So I do think he has a kind of underrated 1090 00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:13,600 Speaker 4: floor in his ceiling. Like Shawn said, is one of 1091 00:48:13,600 --> 00:48:15,279 Speaker 4: the most talented running backs in the league, so he 1092 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,640 Speaker 4: can do big things there. At the same time, Nick Chubb, 1093 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:21,279 Speaker 4: I mean, if you know, maybe the Browns won't reach 1094 00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,640 Speaker 4: these Super Bowl expectations everyone's talking about, but I just 1095 00:48:23,680 --> 00:48:25,400 Speaker 4: have such a hard time believe they're not, at the 1096 00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,320 Speaker 4: very least gonna have a very good offense. 1097 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,000 Speaker 2: And Trubb's gonna be the RB one there. 1098 00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:30,560 Speaker 4: I mean, he's one of the freakiest athletes in the 1099 00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:34,120 Speaker 4: entire league, regardless of positions. We saw him work as 1100 00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:37,760 Speaker 4: the PPR RB eight ones. Carlos High was traded last season. Obviously, 1101 00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:40,759 Speaker 4: Kareem Hunt coming back isn't gonna be great, but he's 1102 00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,440 Speaker 4: still guaranteed zero dollars. I think Kareem Hunt's is going 1103 00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:45,640 Speaker 4: to take the Duke Johnson role because I don't see 1104 00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,040 Speaker 4: a scenario where if Chub is bawling out the first 1105 00:48:48,040 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 4: half the season, they're just going to take him off 1106 00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:51,839 Speaker 4: the field for a guy that you know hasn't even 1107 00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:53,160 Speaker 4: taken a snap for them yet. 1108 00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:56,600 Speaker 2: So uh. And then lastly, Dovin Cook big thing here, guys. 1109 00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:59,560 Speaker 4: Gary Kubiak is now the assistant head coach in Minnesota 1110 00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:03,000 Speaker 4: and he's offensive advisor. His RB one averages two hundred 1111 00:49:03,040 --> 00:49:05,359 Speaker 4: and ninety one touches per year from nineteen ninety five 1112 00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:06,440 Speaker 4: twenty sixteen. 1113 00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:07,920 Speaker 2: How to top twelve. 1114 00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:10,560 Speaker 4: RB and PPR points per game and fourteen of those seasons, 1115 00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:13,959 Speaker 4: So Gary Kuback knows how to create fantasy football RB one's, 1116 00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:16,120 Speaker 4: and Dalvin Cook when he's been on the field, has 1117 00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:19,040 Speaker 4: been anyone's idea of an RB one. So you know, 1118 00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:21,120 Speaker 4: any of those guys, I'm happy to have, honestly. 1119 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:24,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know, going back to Chubb real quick, 1120 00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:26,800 Speaker 3: I do it because I think there is some concern that, hey, 1121 00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,359 Speaker 3: Kareem Hunt when he comes back, he might be the RB. 1122 00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:32,520 Speaker 3: I'm actually Kareem Hunt going in the top thirty six 1123 00:49:32,640 --> 00:49:34,600 Speaker 3: running backs, which is kind of crazy considering he's missing 1124 00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:39,040 Speaker 3: alf the season. But yeah, I think Chubb is that 1125 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,600 Speaker 3: RB one regardless. There I don't think there's any debate 1126 00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:44,839 Speaker 3: about that. And this is one of those teams. If 1127 00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:46,239 Speaker 3: they're as good as we think they're going to be. 1128 00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:49,000 Speaker 3: With Baker Mayfield taking another step forward in year two, 1129 00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:50,840 Speaker 3: and of course you Jackson being on, they had to 1130 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,319 Speaker 3: have pieces on defense as well. They're gonna be able 1131 00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:55,720 Speaker 3: to support multiple running backs even if Chubb maybe loses 1132 00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 3: a carry or two. But I see him getting four 1133 00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:01,879 Speaker 3: touches a quarter at the minimum, So that's sixteen a game. 1134 00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 3: He actually jumps up to my RB seven in standard 1135 00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:08,640 Speaker 3: league when touchdowns factor in a bit more. Joe Mixon 1136 00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:12,080 Speaker 3: is my RB eight. Cook I'm a little lower on, 1137 00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:14,760 Speaker 3: So Sean, I want to get your thoughts on Dalvin 1138 00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,759 Speaker 3: Cook because I agree with me and I think there's 1139 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:22,080 Speaker 3: no doubt that Kubiak wants to give Cook a heavy load. 1140 00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:23,719 Speaker 3: But I think they've always wanted to give Cook a 1141 00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:25,960 Speaker 3: heavy I mean, they fired their OC four for not 1142 00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:29,040 Speaker 3: running enough last year? Can Cook handle it? 1143 00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:31,799 Speaker 1: Like you said, They've fired John d. Flippo and then 1144 00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:34,719 Speaker 1: Cook just went off in the final three weeks. So 1145 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:37,399 Speaker 1: I mean, if Cook is healthy, absolutely I want him. 1146 00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:39,520 Speaker 1: We just don't know if you can stay healthy. So 1147 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:43,000 Speaker 1: I don't like spending high draft capital at such a 1148 00:50:43,080 --> 00:50:45,879 Speaker 1: vital position, so I usually don't take on that risk. 1149 00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:48,799 Speaker 1: But yeah, absolutely, if Cook is healthy, he's probably a 1150 00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:50,799 Speaker 1: lot to be RB one. And you know, it kind 1151 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,839 Speaker 1: of goes with Nick Chubb where, you know, I think 1152 00:50:53,920 --> 00:50:55,960 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb's going to have a great start to the season. 1153 00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,960 Speaker 1: You could be a bit concern about Hunt returning, especially 1154 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:02,960 Speaker 1: it's gonna be during the fantasy playoffs. If either one 1155 00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:06,120 Speaker 1: of these players gets off to a hot start, try 1156 00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:08,839 Speaker 1: to trade him, especially you know, if Chubb gets off 1157 00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:10,439 Speaker 1: to hot start. I think he could be a top 1158 00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:13,279 Speaker 1: five back, you know, by week six, try to flip 1159 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,279 Speaker 1: him for if any one of the top five backs 1160 00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:18,040 Speaker 1: is struggling or something, you might be able to flip 1161 00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:19,879 Speaker 1: them for a top five back and then you don't 1162 00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:21,879 Speaker 1: have to worry about cream Hunt's return, which I think, 1163 00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:24,520 Speaker 1: you know, he could lower his value just a little 1164 00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:27,080 Speaker 1: bit during the most important time the fantasy playoffs. So 1165 00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 1: that's that's just one strategy you can think of if 1166 00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,120 Speaker 1: the cream Hunt returns a concern to you at all, 1167 00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:35,640 Speaker 1: is you know, just trying to flip these guys. Will 1168 00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:37,520 Speaker 1: their stocks super high early in the season. 1169 00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:39,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I mean I think the fame could be said, 1170 00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,399 Speaker 3: probably even more so for Dalvin Cook, because if there's 1171 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:44,400 Speaker 3: any time where he's gonna go off, it's gonna be 1172 00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:46,719 Speaker 3: the early part of the season, and they probably and 1173 00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:48,560 Speaker 3: if he gets hurt, it's probably gonna because they did 1174 00:51:48,640 --> 00:51:49,000 Speaker 3: try to. 1175 00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:52,000 Speaker 1: Give him exactly exactly what touches a game. 1176 00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,239 Speaker 3: Because that's something similar I think was his first his 1177 00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:55,960 Speaker 3: rookie year. He was getting like, I think three of 1178 00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,880 Speaker 3: those four games he was getting over well like twenty 1179 00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:02,839 Speaker 3: five touches and then you know, injures himself, does run 1180 00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:05,560 Speaker 3: a little bit high, you know, pad level wise will 1181 00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:08,279 Speaker 3: expose him to some injuries. So you know I have him. 1182 00:52:08,640 --> 00:52:10,400 Speaker 3: He's one of those guys where, yeah, he's not getting 1183 00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:12,480 Speaker 3: the full you know, baseline games played for me a 1184 00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,000 Speaker 3: running back usually about fourteen and a half to fifteen. 1185 00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:17,400 Speaker 3: I have him at fourteen games, still have him for 1186 00:52:17,400 --> 00:52:19,160 Speaker 3: two hundred and forty two touches, so you can kind 1187 00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:21,200 Speaker 3: of do the math and see that I have him 1188 00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,480 Speaker 3: getting a pretty substantial touch there when he's in there. 1189 00:52:23,520 --> 00:52:26,040 Speaker 3: But fourteen is on the low end of games played 1190 00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:29,400 Speaker 3: as far as it goes with my running back projections. 1191 00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:32,360 Speaker 3: This was really u you know, informative convo. I just 1192 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:33,960 Speaker 3: wanted to kind of, you know, love talking to you 1193 00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:36,960 Speaker 3: guys about this before we get out of here. Last question, 1194 00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:41,160 Speaker 3: just we talked about the top twelve and just give 1195 00:52:41,200 --> 00:52:43,160 Speaker 3: me one guy and I know we talked about some 1196 00:52:43,200 --> 00:52:45,520 Speaker 3: sleepers ready, but one guy drafted outside of the top 1197 00:52:45,520 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 3: twelve that you think has the best chance to finish 1198 00:52:48,200 --> 00:52:50,600 Speaker 3: inside the top twelve, and let's do it like kind 1199 00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:53,320 Speaker 3: of like not necessarily like just a straight up handcuff, 1200 00:52:53,360 --> 00:52:55,560 Speaker 3: like a Chase Edmonds who with DJ goes down obviously, 1201 00:52:55,560 --> 00:52:57,520 Speaker 3: but a guy that is being drafted kind of you 1202 00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,640 Speaker 3: know that the next couple of tears twenty four to 1203 00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:04,200 Speaker 3: thirty that has the best shot at finishing as as 1204 00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:04,960 Speaker 3: a top twelve guy. 1205 00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:08,560 Speaker 1: Well, I took your question pretty literally, So I had 1206 00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:12,400 Speaker 1: my odds on favorite for that being Derrick Henry, just 1207 00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:16,719 Speaker 1: because that that stat, you know, top twelve finish implies. 1208 00:53:16,760 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 1: It usually implies they played a full season. And I've 1209 00:53:20,080 --> 00:53:22,560 Speaker 1: been saying at NonStop that Derrick Henry is the most 1210 00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:26,080 Speaker 1: likely back to actually play all sixteen games, and I 1211 00:53:26,120 --> 00:53:27,600 Speaker 1: think I may have jinks him because he's been in 1212 00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:29,879 Speaker 1: a walking boot and he's out for like the next 1213 00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:31,759 Speaker 1: two weeks of course, So you know, I have so 1214 00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:34,120 Speaker 1: many shares of Henry that I'm retiring that right now. 1215 00:53:34,400 --> 00:53:35,520 Speaker 1: So I'm going to go if the other guy have 1216 00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:38,719 Speaker 1: a ten of shares of is Carrie on Johnson. I 1217 00:53:38,760 --> 00:53:42,040 Speaker 1: was sort of anticipating their ritic getting cut, So I 1218 00:53:42,040 --> 00:53:45,640 Speaker 1: think right now, you know he's he has massive upside 1219 00:53:45,760 --> 00:53:48,640 Speaker 1: in the you know, past catching department, So I'm assuming 1220 00:53:48,640 --> 00:53:51,400 Speaker 1: we're talking half PPR here. I think he has the 1221 00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:54,000 Speaker 1: potential if he says healthy to finish in the top 1222 00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:56,920 Speaker 1: twelve pretty easily ian, how about. 1223 00:53:56,680 --> 00:54:01,120 Speaker 4: You, Josh Jacobs. Look when they drafting them, their GM 1224 00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:03,839 Speaker 4: Michael Maynock even said this is a three down back 1225 00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:06,560 Speaker 4: and even cited his pass protection. I mean, only with 1226 00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:09,439 Speaker 4: Sean Penny and Christian McCaffrey among first round running backs 1227 00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:12,160 Speaker 4: since twenty fourteen have had fewer than two hundred touches 1228 00:54:12,160 --> 00:54:14,320 Speaker 4: in the season. You know, a little bit different situations 1229 00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:16,400 Speaker 4: for them with injuries and different backs on the roster. 1230 00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,200 Speaker 4: Jacobs has a three down ability. Chris, like you said earlier, 1231 00:54:19,480 --> 00:54:22,120 Speaker 4: was hardly a workhorse at Alabama, so I mean he 1232 00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:24,120 Speaker 4: can afford to have, you know, a ton of touches 1233 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:25,200 Speaker 4: for as long as he's going to be in a 1234 00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:26,000 Speaker 4: Raider uniform. 1235 00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:27,399 Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean, the one thing we've. 1236 00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,359 Speaker 4: Seen over the years is draft round is really highly 1237 00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:31,480 Speaker 4: correlated with our Rooki year success at the running back 1238 00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,719 Speaker 4: position specifically, So maybe it doesn't happen right away. I'm 1239 00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:37,160 Speaker 4: curious to see how involved Jalen Chhard is. Kind of 1240 00:54:37,200 --> 00:54:39,360 Speaker 4: like with Detroit, if Rashard wasn't there, it'd be a 1241 00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,719 Speaker 4: whole lot easier for me to project Jacobs like it 1242 00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,160 Speaker 4: is now with Johnson and no Riddick, but I think 1243 00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:45,279 Speaker 4: at the end of the day, you don't use a 1244 00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:47,600 Speaker 4: first round to pick out a running back unless you 1245 00:54:47,640 --> 00:54:49,040 Speaker 4: plan on giving him a future workload. 1246 00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:52,240 Speaker 3: Absolutely, I'm with you there on Jacobs. I think Jacob's 1247 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:53,799 Speaker 3: and just a lot of those guys in that top 1248 00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:56,840 Speaker 3: twenty have a really good you know, the Freeman's, the 1249 00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,360 Speaker 3: Max have a really good chance at kind of cracking 1250 00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:01,839 Speaker 3: that top twelve probably just comes down to touchdown. Luck 1251 00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:05,240 Speaker 3: for me, since you already stole my thunder with Jacobs, 1252 00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:07,440 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go a little bit more outside because and 1253 00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:09,680 Speaker 3: this might be a surprise to people, especially when you're 1254 00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:13,399 Speaker 3: talking PPR. But Chris Carson, I think you know a lot. 1255 00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:15,080 Speaker 3: There's a lot of love for a shot Penny, and 1256 00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:17,920 Speaker 3: I don't think that changes anything with Carson. This is 1257 00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:19,960 Speaker 3: a guy who you know from the third you know, 1258 00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,000 Speaker 3: the first couple weeks of the season, he got only 1259 00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:25,400 Speaker 3: a little over a half dozen touches guarding in week three. 1260 00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:28,120 Speaker 3: This was a guy that was getting seventeen plus touches 1261 00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:31,359 Speaker 3: every single week essentially. And now you have Mike Davis gone. 1262 00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:34,279 Speaker 3: And let's remember Sean Penny caught exactly one pass on 1263 00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:37,360 Speaker 3: third and fourth down last year. So Carson better pass 1264 00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:41,399 Speaker 3: blocker than Penny, you know, more trusted in that passing game. 1265 00:55:41,640 --> 00:55:45,200 Speaker 3: He you know, finishes the ppr RB half ppr RB 1266 00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:50,360 Speaker 3: fourteen despite missing two games and only catching twenty passes 1267 00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:52,759 Speaker 3: all year. So I think he has some pass catching 1268 00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:54,680 Speaker 3: upside where even if he adds you know, ten to 1269 00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:56,920 Speaker 3: fifteen catches to that maybe won a game to where 1270 00:55:56,960 --> 00:55:58,879 Speaker 3: he's catching now to a game instead of won a game. 1271 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,279 Speaker 3: You know, this guy has tremendu upside because Seattle still 1272 00:56:01,320 --> 00:56:04,160 Speaker 3: needs to run the football to keep that pressure off 1273 00:56:04,160 --> 00:56:06,360 Speaker 3: their defense number one, which has lost a lot of 1274 00:56:06,360 --> 00:56:08,839 Speaker 3: talent over the years, and off their pass offense, which 1275 00:56:08,880 --> 00:56:11,520 Speaker 3: is in transition, still a great quarterback in Russell Wilson, 1276 00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:14,359 Speaker 3: but working in some new guys like DK Metcalf at 1277 00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,600 Speaker 3: receiver to replace you know, Doug Balwin has moved on, 1278 00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:20,160 Speaker 3: Trent Richardson, excuse me, Paul Richardson, and Jimmy Graham all gone. 1279 00:56:20,239 --> 00:56:23,120 Speaker 3: So I think Carson has tremendous upside. He's going to 1280 00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:24,800 Speaker 3: be a horse kind of like the poor Man's Henry 1281 00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:26,560 Speaker 3: where you could look up in a given week and 1282 00:56:26,600 --> 00:56:29,040 Speaker 3: Carson could have twenty five carries just because they need 1283 00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:30,800 Speaker 3: to ride him. So that's a guy. I think it 1284 00:56:30,920 --> 00:56:35,359 Speaker 3: easily cracked the top twelve. Thanks a lot, guys, This 1285 00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:39,439 Speaker 3: was another great Action Network podcast for you guys out there. Again, 1286 00:56:39,640 --> 00:56:42,560 Speaker 3: We'll be doing a whole nother podcast on the running 1287 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,759 Speaker 3: backs outside the Top twelve, so stay tuned for that. 1288 00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:50,080 Speaker 3: After this one shows up in your podcast app, Sean, 1289 00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:52,880 Speaker 3: tell him where people can find you on Twitter and 1290 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:54,840 Speaker 3: anything else that you might be working on that you 1291 00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:55,560 Speaker 3: wanted to check out. 1292 00:56:55,840 --> 00:57:00,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, you can find me at the Underscore Oddsmaker on Twitter. 1293 00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:04,400 Speaker 1: And I'm actually doing my tiers for Redraft League, so 1294 00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:06,160 Speaker 1: you know I'm going to be rolling out my QB 1295 00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:09,400 Speaker 1: running back, wide receiver, tight end, and then my kicker 1296 00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:12,200 Speaker 1: defense tiers. Right, I tell you don't draft them, so 1297 00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:14,160 Speaker 1: look for those coming out next week. 1298 00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:15,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, and Ian, how about you let them know where 1299 00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:16,240 Speaker 3: they can. 1300 00:57:16,200 --> 00:57:19,240 Speaker 4: Find you on Twitter at iHeart It's I H A 1301 00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:22,240 Speaker 4: R T I t Z and should be up by 1302 00:57:22,400 --> 00:57:24,040 Speaker 4: end of Tuesday early Wednesday. 1303 00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:27,680 Speaker 2: Hall of Fame game breakdown everyone. We got DFS analysis and. 1304 00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:29,520 Speaker 4: Some betting tips as well, so make sure you check 1305 00:57:29,560 --> 00:57:32,080 Speaker 4: that out before the Broncos take on the Falcons. 1306 00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:35,880 Speaker 3: Yes, looking forward, so all of that I am Chris Raybond. 1307 00:57:35,920 --> 00:57:38,560 Speaker 3: You can find me on Twitter at Chris Raybond r 1308 00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:41,760 Speaker 3: A y b O N. I am working on a 1309 00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:45,960 Speaker 3: preseason the FS Tips article to kind of more general 1310 00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:48,520 Speaker 3: to just take you through the entire preseason. Also working 1311 00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:50,440 Speaker 3: on I know I've got a lot of questions about this, 1312 00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:54,760 Speaker 3: the three key offensive coordinator tendencies for every team in 1313 00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,120 Speaker 3: the league, so be on the lookout for that as well. 1314 00:57:57,160 --> 00:58:00,800 Speaker 3: And of course on Serious Radio penduoever and Wednesday through 1315 00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:03,960 Speaker 3: Friday morning taking all of your fantasy football questions and 1316 00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:07,000 Speaker 3: talking fantasy all hour, so check that out. This has 1317 00:58:07,040 --> 00:58:11,919 Speaker 3: been another edition of the Action Network Podcast. Until next time, 1318 00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:13,240 Speaker 3: take care,