WEBVTT - We're Drunk On Texans! 0:00:00.320 --> 0:00:04.000 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:06.160 --> 0:00:10.400 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:10.480 --> 0:00:14.440 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:14.480 --> 0:00:17.200 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:19.640 Now here's your host, Paul Chargion. 0:00:23.160 --> 0:00:28.080 It's Fantasy Football Weekly, another playoff edition. Very excited for 0:00:28.120 --> 0:00:32.040 the divisional round games. Joining me like you did last week, 0:00:32.200 --> 0:00:37.000 Brian Johnson. Brian, we could not have Look, I don't 0:00:37.000 --> 0:00:39.840 want to immediately come right out of the gate and 0:00:40.400 --> 0:00:44.640 start with this. We couldn't have been hotter last week, 0:00:45.159 --> 0:00:46.160 could not have been hotter. 0:00:46.360 --> 0:00:48.360 I mean it's. 0:00:49.440 --> 0:00:52.000 Look, I don't know, Brian, but the way that the 0:00:52.120 --> 0:00:56.320 angles provided on this show last week were frankly staggering 0:00:56.800 --> 0:00:58.400 in their accuracy. 0:01:01.040 --> 0:01:03.720 I'm assuming you're just talking about yours. I think mine 0:01:03.720 --> 0:01:08.440 were pretty good. I'm trying to remember. I'm feeling better 0:01:08.440 --> 0:01:11.080 about this week, though. I think we say it every year, 0:01:11.080 --> 0:01:14.199 this is the best weekend of football. It is the playoffs. YEP. 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:15.880 In the old days, we used to bring all our 0:01:15.880 --> 0:01:18.880 employees out. This was this was the week. You go 0:01:19.080 --> 0:01:21.319 this week, you get the you get the four games, 0:01:21.360 --> 0:01:22.920 you get great teams, you don't have any of the 0:01:22.920 --> 0:01:24.920 wild card suckers that shouldn't be in there. 0:01:25.120 --> 0:01:26.640 They all got bounced. 0:01:27.200 --> 0:01:31.080 Oh yeah, they got filtered out pretty easily last weekend. 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:34.920 I think this weekend, though, I think every underdog has 0:01:34.959 --> 0:01:38.680 a legitimate chance. Don't sleep on them, the Texans, the Chiefs, 0:01:38.680 --> 0:01:42.080 of course, even the Packers. I mean, we're gonna get 0:01:42.080 --> 0:01:44.480 into all these games, of course, and what am I 0:01:44.840 --> 0:01:45.440 weaving out? 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:48.200 Lastly, I think the reckoning comes for the Packers here. 0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:51.800 If they came into last week Lucy Goosey, nothing to lose, 0:01:52.200 --> 0:01:55.800 lots of intangibles going their way. I think I get 0:01:55.800 --> 0:01:58.480 the feeling it all comes it all comes back here. 0:01:58.600 --> 0:02:02.120 We'll find out in the book. The last underdog, of course, 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:05.640 and the other chance, but the Packers and the Texans went. 0:02:06.200 --> 0:02:08.720 There's something to be said about these red hot teams 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:11.919 as a Giants fan, because that's how they've won their 0:02:12.120 --> 0:02:14.040 most recent Super Bowl. So they have not been that 0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:17.120 recent recently, but just they're hot. And then they go 0:02:17.200 --> 0:02:20.160 face the number one seed who has rested their players 0:02:21.200 --> 0:02:23.960 the last week of the regular season. They've been run 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:25.920 by of course, so they've been sitting around and the 0:02:25.919 --> 0:02:28.200 other team's got a lot of momentum though, but we'll 0:02:28.200 --> 0:02:28.960 get them to them all. 0:02:29.040 --> 0:02:30.000 Well, let's start with that one. 0:02:30.040 --> 0:02:32.519 Baltimore Houston, Right, So this is you know, Baltimore hasn't 0:02:32.560 --> 0:02:35.280 played in a couple of weeks. Houston comes in off 0:02:35.720 --> 0:02:40.680 a big win that was previewed on this very show. 0:02:40.919 --> 0:02:43.240 Signature win for these new look Texans, right, I mean, 0:02:43.280 --> 0:02:46.440 this is no matter what happens here, they roll into 0:02:46.480 --> 0:02:51.560 next year feeling great organizationally and for the first time 0:02:51.560 --> 0:02:54.920 in five years for Houston. I love I love what 0:02:54.919 --> 0:02:57.080 they've built. We talked, you know in the preseason. 0:02:57.120 --> 0:02:57.560 I loved him. 0:02:57.600 --> 0:02:59.720 I banked the wrong guy in Damian Pierce, but we 0:02:59.760 --> 0:03:02.079 talked about how much how much better we thought that 0:03:02.560 --> 0:03:05.519 Houston would be and they got a real chance here. 0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:08.360 There's I'm gonna give you some angles, and the Prey 0:03:08.919 --> 0:03:11.280 should mention the way we're gonna do this for the 0:03:11.320 --> 0:03:13.760 all of these We're just gonna break down angles that 0:03:13.760 --> 0:03:15.400 we like in all these games. We're not doing the 0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:17.320 whole that all the letter grades for every single player, 0:03:17.320 --> 0:03:21.200 but we've found we've unearthed angles that we love. I 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:25.400 want to start here, Brian Baltimore's best cornerback, Marlin Humphrey 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:27.320 has been ruled out of this game. 0:03:28.000 --> 0:03:28.480 Humphrey. 0:03:29.240 --> 0:03:32.480 Humphrey missed the first three games of the season. You 0:03:32.480 --> 0:03:35.280 want to hear what the Ravens gave up through the 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:38.600 air in those games. And keep in mind first three 0:03:38.640 --> 0:03:41.240 games this season, they saw c. J. Stroud in his 0:03:41.440 --> 0:03:44.640 very first NFL game. Then they saw Joe Burrow who 0:03:44.720 --> 0:03:46.960 was playing hobbled at the time. Remember when Burrow couldn't 0:03:46.960 --> 0:03:50.000 complete a pass more than ten yards downfield. They saw 0:03:50.080 --> 0:03:52.720 Joe Burrow during that stretch. And then they saw Anthony 0:03:52.800 --> 0:03:55.760 Richardson in his first then his third NFL start. Right, 0:03:57.400 --> 0:04:00.240 they gave up just to the wide receiver position with 0:04:00.360 --> 0:04:02.960 Marlon Humphrey out, they gave up one hundred and eighty 0:04:03.000 --> 0:04:07.600 four yards to wide receivers per game in that stretch. 0:04:07.720 --> 0:04:11.680 That would have made them thirty first across a full season. 0:04:12.520 --> 0:04:14.920 And so Nico Collins feels really good here. 0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:15.560 What do you think? 0:04:16.880 --> 0:04:19.680 Oh? For sure, you gotta love love Nico in this one. 0:04:19.760 --> 0:04:23.159 And I just it's been a long time. I still 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:27.120 implementing tank Dell going down because it's imagine if they 0:04:27.240 --> 0:04:30.800 tank Dell right now, I mean, yeah, yeah, yeah, it's 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:33.200 a huge boon. You'll get into a little more for 0:04:34.279 --> 0:04:36.359 Collins with Humphrey out, that's for sure. 0:04:36.920 --> 0:04:39.039 Singletary is the other angle I really like. 0:04:39.080 --> 0:04:39.200 Now. 0:04:39.279 --> 0:04:42.000 Ravens are this great defense, right are they? 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:44.960 Mostly? Yeah? But you know where? You know where they're 0:04:45.000 --> 0:04:47.400 really struggling against the run. Get this. 0:04:47.480 --> 0:04:52.000 Over the last five weeks, Ravens rank twenty ninth in 0:04:52.120 --> 0:04:56.960 rushing yards allowed, thirtieth in yards per carry five point 0:04:57.000 --> 0:05:00.559 two yards per carry allowed for the Ravens over five games. 0:05:00.560 --> 0:05:03.280 I man's that's a pretty long sample size in the NFL. 0:05:03.720 --> 0:05:07.880 Since Week ten, five different backs have topped one hundred 0:05:07.960 --> 0:05:12.599 yards against Baltimore. And that's even when Baltimore has blowout wins. 0:05:12.600 --> 0:05:15.239 They're still getting run upon. Houston runs the ball twenty 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:17.880 six times per game. Singletary gets almost all of that work, 0:05:18.080 --> 0:05:20.360 and since taking over the starting job in week nine, 0:05:20.440 --> 0:05:24.640 Singletary averaging seventy four percent of the carries. This could 0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:26.880 you know his overline by the way, fifty six and 0:05:26.920 --> 0:05:28.640 a half. This is not a betting show, but this 0:05:28.720 --> 0:05:35.359 is an opportunity for Devin Singletary. 0:05:36.240 --> 0:05:39.200 Yeah, sorry, I was. I wanted to look at his price, 0:05:40.240 --> 0:05:42.919 his DFS price. I won't list. I won't say the 0:05:43.040 --> 0:05:44.920 name of the site because we're not sponsored by them 0:05:45.040 --> 0:05:47.320 or anything. But he's he's coming in too cheap. I 0:05:47.320 --> 0:05:50.279 know that. So I love Singletary from a DFS angle, 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:52.359 and I'm gonna guess he's probably like the fifth or 0:05:52.400 --> 0:05:54.960 sixth most expensive running back when there's not a lot 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:57.120 of running backs on the slate. So yeah, I like 0:05:57.160 --> 0:05:59.159 Singletary in this one. I think people are just gonna 0:06:00.279 --> 0:06:03.880 they'll see uh yeah, you know, middle of the pack, 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:06.400 fourteenth against So people are not gonna think it's a 0:06:06.400 --> 0:06:10.360 smash like you pretty much waited out. It kind of 0:06:10.400 --> 0:06:11.640 is a smash spot for a single time. 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:13.000 It is. It really is. 0:06:14.440 --> 0:06:19.479 The seventh he's under, he's priced lower than Edwards, Montgomery, Cook, Oh, Gibbs, Jones. 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:21.400 Okay, let's go to right to Gus Edwards and Well, 0:06:21.440 --> 0:06:23.120 I think Gus Edwards is going to struggle here in 0:06:23.160 --> 0:06:26.440 this game. Last week we hit the under on the 0:06:26.480 --> 0:06:30.159 Browns number one runner against the Texans Jerome Ford. 0:06:30.440 --> 0:06:31.440 So we're going back to the. 0:06:31.400 --> 0:06:34.520 Well and we're gonna go against Gus Edwards against this 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:41.040 tough Houston run defense. Over the past five regular season games, 0:06:41.240 --> 0:06:45.120 the Texans ranked number one in yards per carry allowed, 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:48.080 three point two yards per carry. Then in the playoff 0:06:48.120 --> 0:06:51.599 game last week, they held Kareem Hunt and Jerome Ford 0:06:52.080 --> 0:06:54.640 to two point five yards per carry. 0:06:55.120 --> 0:06:55.800 That's it. 0:06:56.600 --> 0:06:59.760 And Gus Edwards he's a replacement level runner four yards 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:02.480 per carry. He's the forty fourth ranked runner by Pro 0:07:02.520 --> 0:07:06.040 Football Focus. And you always get this rotation in Baltimore, right, 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:07.720 so we know there's gonna be a bunch of Justice Hill, 0:07:07.960 --> 0:07:10.320 there's gonna be some Dalvin Cook worked into this thing. 0:07:10.920 --> 0:07:14.800 And since week twelve, Gus only averaging eleven carries per game. 0:07:15.040 --> 0:07:17.560 I'm anti Gus in this one. I don't think Gus 0:07:17.680 --> 0:07:18.400 is gonna do much. 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:22.520 Yeah, he'll, like you said, he'll certainly gonna get some 0:07:22.560 --> 0:07:25.119 more more of the pass down back, but he still 0:07:25.200 --> 0:07:26.880 gets some carries. But I think we're gonna see more 0:07:26.960 --> 0:07:30.240 Dalvin Cook than expected in this one. I think we're 0:07:30.240 --> 0:07:34.280 gonna see like five to eight carries, which is five 0:07:34.320 --> 0:07:36.240 to eight carries too many for Dalvin Cook. I has 0:07:36.280 --> 0:07:39.120 got a bad feeling that there's gonna force Dalvin Cook 0:07:39.160 --> 0:07:41.760 into this game, which does not bode well for a 0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:45.080 Gus Edwards hitting that over. So I'm with you on 0:07:45.080 --> 0:07:47.240 the under there. I like that call after. 0:07:47.240 --> 0:07:49.280 Fifteen and a half yards for the betters out there. 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:51.280 Dalton Schultz could be in a tough spot. And let 0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:55.360 me explain why. Kyle Hamilton is the star safety for 0:07:55.440 --> 0:08:01.240 the Ravens elite coverage safety. Here's how they deploy him. 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:06.880 If there's an opposing great, good slot receiver, the Ravens 0:08:06.920 --> 0:08:10.400 will put Kyle Hamilton on that slot receiver. But with 0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:16.040 Tank Dell out, John Mitchie is not worthy of Kyle 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:18.960 Hamilton's attention. 0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:22.800 But you know who is is Dalton Schultz. They're gonna roll. 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:26.920 So they will roll Kyle Hamilton over to good tight 0:08:27.000 --> 0:08:29.480 ends if there isn't a great slot receiver. And I 0:08:29.560 --> 0:08:31.840 think Dalton Schultz is sitting out a tough game against 0:08:31.880 --> 0:08:32.560 Kyle Hamilton. 0:08:33.600 --> 0:08:36.800 And Brevin Jordan has proven himself to be quite a weapon. 0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:40.640 Took a seventy six yard like screen pass essentially to 0:08:40.679 --> 0:08:43.880 the house last week. He's a tight end for those 0:08:43.920 --> 0:08:45.440 that don't know, he might be more of a threat 0:08:45.600 --> 0:08:50.079 than Metchi and the the zombie corpse of Robert Woods, 0:08:50.080 --> 0:08:52.240 who still gets trotted out there every now and again. 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:56.800 So yeah, I like that that call as well. K 0:08:56.880 --> 0:08:59.120 I get a quick DFS angle on this game. Yeah, 0:08:59.600 --> 0:08:59.880 are you. 0:09:00.200 --> 0:09:03.200 Yeah, go for it anything, We're just having fun. 0:09:03.720 --> 0:09:06.680 Yeah, well yeah, we can jump in and out of 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:09.720 each other's matchups. Here we should mention Mark Andrews was 0:09:09.840 --> 0:09:12.880 ruled out or it's most likely will be ruled out 0:09:12.920 --> 0:09:17.120 when it looked like he was coming back. Yeah, so everyone, 0:09:17.160 --> 0:09:20.840 of course isay likely great for him. But Charlie Kohler, 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:23.760 if you just if you want to punt play a 0:09:23.880 --> 0:09:24.600 tight end. 0:09:24.760 --> 0:09:27.120 Charlie Cohler again, what's your what's your thinking on this? 0:09:27.160 --> 0:09:27.960 Help me understand? 0:09:29.080 --> 0:09:31.719 He has caught touchdowns, not many, but I mean he 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.600 gets run. Since Andrews has been down, he's the backup 0:09:34.640 --> 0:09:39.440 tight end. You know what's interesting about likely? Well, so 0:09:39.679 --> 0:09:41.959 Mark Andrews, We've talked about this so many times, was 0:09:42.480 --> 0:09:45.840 the second tight end drafted by the Ravens. ZERI was drafted. 0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:48.719 They took Hayden Hurst in the first round, Andrews in 0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:52.600 the second round. The Ravens took Charlie Kohler. I mean 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:55.720 it was last year, yeah, before they took Isaia Likely. 0:09:55.960 --> 0:09:58.640 So like like Mark Andrews, isay likely was the second 0:09:58.720 --> 0:10:01.240 tight end drafted by the team. He was drafted. But 0:10:01.320 --> 0:10:03.600 Charlie Kohler, he's just gonna be a bare minimum punk 0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:06.400 play tight and and everyone's going to be on Isaiah 0:10:06.440 --> 0:10:09.319 Likely as he should be as a great matchup. But 0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:11.959 it's a it's a he's a pun play and it's 0:10:11.960 --> 0:10:15.080 a great pivot play too, or leverage play. I should say, well, 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:18.199 while everyone's gonna be on Likely, Charlie Coler gets a 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:20.520 cheap touchdown and a good matchup. You never know. That's 0:10:20.559 --> 0:10:20.920 all say. 0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:24.000 He saw a huge up tick in usage last last game, 0:10:24.040 --> 0:10:26.160 but that was the meaningless Week eight team game for 0:10:26.200 --> 0:10:28.400 a team that already locked, already locked, So I don't, 0:10:28.440 --> 0:10:28.680 I don't. 0:10:28.880 --> 0:10:30.960 I'm not with you on the didn't play in that game, 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.640 though Likely did play. I was shocked to see Isaiah 0:10:33.760 --> 0:10:35.960 Likely playing in that game and Justice Hill. I remember 0:10:35.960 --> 0:10:38.000 being like, why are these guys out there? I know 0:10:38.040 --> 0:10:39.200 they have a bye coming up. 0:10:39.440 --> 0:10:41.640 And I think that was why. I think that was why. 0:10:41.920 --> 0:10:45.160 All right, let's go over to Green Bay at San Francisco. 0:10:45.720 --> 0:10:49.760 I'll start it off by mentioning this. The Packers are 0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:52.079 known as a team that has a traveling fan base, 0:10:52.480 --> 0:10:55.920 but the reports are that ninety seven percent of the 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.800 tickets are being held by held close by forty nine 0:10:58.880 --> 0:11:00.920 ers fans, so it might not be the way game 0:11:00.960 --> 0:11:03.400 advantage that the Packers often get when they travel. 0:11:04.960 --> 0:11:07.320 Yeah, and I know it's not San Francisco anymore, but 0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:11.240 that's probably better for the sack the Packer fans. San 0:11:11.240 --> 0:11:17.600 Francisco underrated, fear for your safety city, go to away games. 0:11:17.640 --> 0:11:20.120 Oh yeah, like they throw they throw you out at 0:11:20.120 --> 0:11:20.920 the top of the stadium. 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:21.800 What are we talking about? 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:25.679 Yeah, like like Philly Oakland used to be in that 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.800 territory back when the Raiders played in Oakland. And yeah, 0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:32.040 San Francisco not a place you want to be flaunting 0:11:32.400 --> 0:11:36.480 your the post colors. I didn't know that, okay, but 0:11:36.480 --> 0:11:38.319 now they're in like Santa Clara or whatever. But I 0:11:38.320 --> 0:11:40.000 don't know the riff raft travels. 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:41.600 But anyway, it feels so suburban. 0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:46.400 It's what like forty five minutes outside of San Francisco. 0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:51.320 But I don't know, just Packers fans. They'll be happy 0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:53.920 they're not there, but maybe they may be sad they're 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:57.120 not there, because is this the matchup of the two 0:11:57.160 --> 0:11:59.840 best offenses in the NFL? Charge And I'm gonna make 0:11:59.880 --> 0:12:02.880 it for it right now. The Packers and the forty 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:06.679 nine ers. Since Week nine, the most yards per play 0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:11.040 Number one forty nine Ers number two the Packers. Wow, 0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:15.480 the highest EPA per play Now. EPA stands for expected 0:12:15.520 --> 0:12:17.520 points added. Not going to get too deep into it, 0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:20.600 but at the highest level, EPA is a measure of 0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:23.480 how well the team performs relative to expectations. So high 0:12:23.520 --> 0:12:27.880 EPA very good for an offense. Number one since week 0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:32.439 nine forty nine Ers number two the Packers, Wow, we 0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:36.080 got we got a shootout on our hands here. From 0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:41.080 an injury perspective, JayR Alexander, stand out corner for the Packers, 0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.000 did reaggravate his ankle injury last week. He is questionable 0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:47.040 to play. That would be huge if he misses this game, 0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:51.120 so monitor his datus obviously would benefit Brandon Ayuk, Deebo 0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:54.920 Samuel and company. AJ Dillon might make his return, but 0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:59.880 no really cares. Aaron Jones looked incredible last week, Like. 0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:02.320 Wen he has for like three or four straight weeks 0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:05.040 since They've basically opened up the throttle on him and 0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:06.800 just let him let him play. 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:07.199 Which is great. 0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.560 Yeah, he's playing out of this world right now. And 0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:13.240 nothing too major. On the forty nine er side, starting 0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:17.360 linebacker Dre Greenlaw might not play with an Achilles injury, 0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.839 but he probably played. But anyway, back to the fantasy aspects, 0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:23.600 I got a couple of dfs angles. I like here. 0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:26.880 I like naked Jordan Love. Now, don't like your mind 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:32.160 wander too much there. Naked Jordan Love means you don't 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:35.240 pair him with anyone. You play Jordan Love and you 0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:38.120 just roll him naked. You don't try it because, honestly, 0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:40.920 how hard is it to predict who's going to catch 0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:44.080 a touchdown for the Packers these days? Right? Jaden Reid 0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:46.040 didn't have a catch last week, and he was like 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:49.240 top ten in receptions in the NFL. You have to 0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:50.040 catch last week. 0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.199 I think the bounce back is coming for real. 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:53.960 I think they're gonna feed Read the ball, give him 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:55.760 some extra love this week to make up for you. 0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:58.280 It is a good If I had to pick one, 0:13:58.280 --> 0:13:59.920 it would be Read and people will be kind of 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:01.760 off of him because of the goosegg last week. But 0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:07.280 I love Jordan Love. Price lower. The only quarterback price 0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:09.560 lower than Love right now is Baker Mayfield, which is 0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:12.079 criminal for a guy as hot as Love has been. 0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:14.240 And the forty nine Ers have yielded the third most 0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:18.199 pass attempts this regular season. Since Week four, they've allowed 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:20.680 at least forty rushing yards indoor a rushing touchdown to 0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:24.560 an opposing quarterback six times. That's a fair amount during 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:26.760 that span, and Love has rushed for at least thirty 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:29.280 yards end or a touchdown in six games. So long 0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:31.480 story short, Love is a dual threat and this is 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.040 a great matchup for him. Games. Trip is going to 0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:36.200 be in his favorite It's going to be neutral at best, 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.760 and Packers' offense is rolling, so I think people are 0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:41.960 gonna they'll gravitate towards Love, but I think they're going 0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:43.800 to try it to stack him up and that they 0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.560 might whiff. So just rolling him out there solo is 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:49.320 how I would approach Love in this game. And a 0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:52.720 cheap guy like in this matchup is Juwan Jennings, wide 0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:55.400 receiver for the Packers. I'm sorry for the forty nine 0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.960 Ers has n't played since Week fifteen, been out with 0:14:57.960 --> 0:14:59.920 a concussion, but he is back. He's ready to go. 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.280 Jennings takes more than sixty percent of his snaps from 0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:06.760 the slot, and since Week thirteen, Green Bay has allowed 0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.480 the fifth most receiving yards and their top ten in 0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:15.120 the most points per target allowed to slot receivers, So Jennings, 0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:17.480 you know, everyone's going to be all excited about McCaffrey 0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:18.800 of course, and Ayuk. 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:21.120 And Debo and running from the slot too. 0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:24.440 Yes, Diebo runs from the slot as well, but technically 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:27.280 Jennings is the primary. But they move all these guys 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.400 all over the place. But overall, great matchup for the 0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.400 forty nine ers wide receivers, and so the Jennings the 0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:37.200 cheapest option and by the least rostered option as well. 0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:40.080 So I like Jennings in this one. And what should 0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:41.600 be a good game. We might see a little rain, 0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:45.200 but nothing that you should have warrants any real concern 0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:46.960 when it comes to weather terrorism. 0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:49.320 I like the passing game for San Francisco. 0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:49.520 Here. 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:54.400 Green Bay has played an incredibly soft schedule of opposing quarterbacks. 0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:57.880 And when I was looking to try to find what's 0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:01.400 happened when Green Bay has played at a purty level 0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:05.520 of quarterback, so you know, above average quarterbacks, I counted 0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:09.800 exactly five all year, including Dak last week. The average 0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:13.040 game that they yielded two hundred and ninety five yards 0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:16.440 and two touchdowns. I feel like that's probably about the 0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:19.280 right ballpark here for brock Perty sitting on a pretty 0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:22.560 nice game and green Bay is getting rocked by tight ends, 0:16:22.680 --> 0:16:26.120 including Jake Ferguson's three scores last week. But get this, 0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:30.560 recent touchdowns allowed to the tight end positioned by green 0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:37.000 Bay mentioned Ferguson, Johnny munt co keif Noah Gray and 0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:39.240 Stone Smart. 0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:41.120 Here comes George Kittle. 0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:44.840 Yeah, I'm with you. And when Kittle goes off, he 0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:47.920 goes off big, big time. Yeah. It feels like it 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:50.160 worth the shooting for the Kittle in this one. 0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:50.880 Yeah, agreed. 0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:53.960 All right, let's go to our next matchup, which is 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:55.520 I think it's Bucks Lions. 0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:56.440 Yes, Bucks Lions. 0:16:56.520 --> 0:16:59.880 This would be the first game on Sunday, and they 0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.400 they decided to go interestingly, you know, no, there is 0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:04.879 not an early game. There's the late afternoon start and 0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:10.560 then there's an evening game on Sunday. My first angle 0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:15.800 of attack here is Rashad White, who I do not 0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:20.040 like in this matchup. The Bucks don't run very well 0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:22.639 in general, but they do pass well. Meanwhile, the Lions 0:17:22.720 --> 0:17:25.560 run defense is very good and they can't stop the pass. 0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:28.040 I mean, just everything says pass pass pass for the 0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:31.000 Bucks offense, including if you think the six and a 0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:34.000 half points spread is legit. That means you've got negative 0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:37.879 game script working against Rashad White as well. Lions finished 0:17:37.880 --> 0:17:41.560 the season number one in rushing yards allowed, number three 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:45.440 in yards per carry allowed, number two in rushes attempted, 0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:47.960 and I think that's going to be a problem for 0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:53.080 Rashad White here as well. Of the Lions' last nine opponents, 0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:57.320 seven of them did not have a runner reach fifty 0:17:57.359 --> 0:18:00.280 five yards, which by the way is Rashad White's over under. 0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:03.200 And the two that barely did that did go over 0:18:03.240 --> 0:18:05.560 fifty five, they were like sixty two and sixty five. 0:18:06.119 --> 0:18:08.600 So nobody really goes off against the Lions. I don't 0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:09.720 like Rashad White here. 0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:13.560 Yeah, I would be. It's all about it. I know 0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:15.800 you're probably gonna get into it. It's all about the past, 0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:18.639 and Rashad White can catch passes, but you want to 0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:21.480 have a somewhat solid matchup on the ground, and it's 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:24.520 it's not the Lions or not that forposing running backs. 0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:25.040 They're not. 0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:28.480 So let's talk Kendall Vildor again. We identified him as 0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:31.760 a huge problem in that Lion's secondary last week. We 0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:34.560 thought we were like Pooka Nakula. Every way you can 0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:41.280 find imaginable this week, Chris Godwin, let's talk it through 0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:42.919 and why not, Mike Evans. 0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:44.480 You might be wondering. Here's why. 0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:48.080 The way the Lions handled last week, how they handled 0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:51.960 Poka Nakula with Kindall Vildor, is they hid Kindall Vildor 0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:57.200 wherever wherever Pooka Nakula was, Kendall Vildor hit the other 0:18:57.240 --> 0:18:57.960 side of the field. 0:18:58.640 --> 0:18:59.800 They wouldn't let him. 0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:04.960 Need Puka Nakua and Nicolea only ended up catching one 0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:10.000 of his many catches came against Kendallvildor, but it didn't 0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:14.200 matter because Kendallvildor still gave up gigantic plays to to 0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:16.120 Atwell's long touchdown. 0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:18.919 Derek Allen, all these guys. 0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:21.879 Just pounding Kendallvildor last week, who ended up giving up 0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.359 one hundred one yards and a touchdown in his coverage. 0:19:24.720 --> 0:19:27.960 So what's gonna happen here is I believe they're gonna 0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:31.280 make sure Kendallvildor is not on Mike Evans' side of 0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:35.199 the field. They're gonna take their chances with Kendallvildor on 0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:38.120 the other side of the field. And that's Chris Godwin, 0:19:38.960 --> 0:19:42.639 get this and we mentioned this last week regular season 0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:48.480 Kendallvildor giving up twenty two yards per reception, which is insane. 0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:53.640 Last week Kendallvildor gave up twenty five yards per reception. 0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:56.600 You're giving up a quarter of the field every time 0:19:56.640 --> 0:19:57.679 anybody throws at you. 0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:05.560 Insane. So the Godwin, how's that? 0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:09.400 The revolving kill door, the revolving killed door. I like it. 0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:12.040 I like it nicely done. 0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:14.480 Baker Mayfield sitting out a big game because I don't 0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:17.160 think they're gonna run well, They're gonna pass with relative ease. 0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:22.119 Here Baker didn't score in the earlier matchup between these teams, 0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:23.640 but I don't care this way back in week six. 0:20:23.680 --> 0:20:24.840 They're just different teams now. 0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:28.000