Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and
Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show.
Speaker 2: Now here's your host, Paul Chargion.
Speaker 1: It's Fantasy Football Weekly, another playoff edition. Very excited for
Speaker 1: the divisional round games. Joining me like you did last week,
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson. Brian, we could not have Look, I don't
Speaker 1: want to immediately come right out of the gate and
Speaker 1: start with this. We couldn't have been hotter last week,
Speaker 1: could not have been hotter.
Speaker 3: I mean it's.
Speaker 1: Look, I don't know, Brian, but the way that the
Speaker 1: angles provided on this show last week were frankly staggering
Speaker 1: in their accuracy.
Speaker 4: I'm assuming you're just talking about yours. I think mine
Speaker 4: were pretty good. I'm trying to remember. I'm feeling better
Speaker 4: about this week, though. I think we say it every year,
Speaker 4: this is the best weekend of football. It is the playoffs. YEP.
Speaker 1: In the old days, we used to bring all our
Speaker 1: employees out. This was this was the week. You go
Speaker 1: this week, you get the you get the four games,
Speaker 1: you get great teams, you don't have any of the
Speaker 1: wild card suckers that shouldn't be in there.
Speaker 3: They all got bounced.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, they got filtered out pretty easily last weekend.
Speaker 4: I think this weekend, though, I think every underdog has
Speaker 4: a legitimate chance. Don't sleep on them, the Texans, the Chiefs,
Speaker 4: of course, even the Packers. I mean, we're gonna get
Speaker 4: into all these games, of course, and what am I
Speaker 4: weaving out?
Speaker 1: Lastly, I think the reckoning comes for the Packers here.
Speaker 1: If they came into last week Lucy Goosey, nothing to lose,
Speaker 1: lots of intangibles going their way. I think I get
Speaker 1: the feeling it all comes it all comes back here.
Speaker 4: We'll find out in the book. The last underdog, of course,
Speaker 4: and the other chance, but the Packers and the Texans went.
Speaker 4: There's something to be said about these red hot teams
Speaker 4: as a Giants fan, because that's how they've won their
Speaker 4: most recent Super Bowl. So they have not been that
Speaker 4: recent recently, but just they're hot. And then they go
Speaker 4: face the number one seed who has rested their players
Speaker 4: the last week of the regular season. They've been run
Speaker 4: by of course, so they've been sitting around and the
Speaker 4: other team's got a lot of momentum though, but we'll
Speaker 4: get them to them all.
Speaker 3: Well, let's start with that one.
Speaker 1: Baltimore Houston, Right, So this is you know, Baltimore hasn't
Speaker 1: played in a couple of weeks. Houston comes in off
Speaker 1: a big win that was previewed on this very show.
Speaker 1: Signature win for these new look Texans, right, I mean,
Speaker 1: this is no matter what happens here, they roll into
Speaker 1: next year feeling great organizationally and for the first time
Speaker 1: in five years for Houston. I love I love what
Speaker 1: they've built. We talked, you know in the preseason.
Speaker 3: I loved him.
Speaker 1: I banked the wrong guy in Damian Pierce, but we
Speaker 1: talked about how much how much better we thought that
Speaker 1: Houston would be and they got a real chance here.
Speaker 1: There's I'm gonna give you some angles, and the Prey
Speaker 1: should mention the way we're gonna do this for the
Speaker 1: all of these We're just gonna break down angles that
Speaker 1: we like in all these games. We're not doing the
Speaker 1: whole that all the letter grades for every single player,
Speaker 1: but we've found we've unearthed angles that we love. I
Speaker 1: want to start here, Brian Baltimore's best cornerback, Marlin Humphrey
Speaker 1: has been ruled out of this game.
Speaker 3: Humphrey.
Speaker 1: Humphrey missed the first three games of the season. You
Speaker 1: want to hear what the Ravens gave up through the
Speaker 1: air in those games. And keep in mind first three
Speaker 1: games this season, they saw c. J. Stroud in his
Speaker 1: very first NFL game. Then they saw Joe Burrow who
Speaker 1: was playing hobbled at the time. Remember when Burrow couldn't
Speaker 1: complete a pass more than ten yards downfield. They saw
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow during that stretch. And then they saw Anthony
Speaker 1: Richardson in his first then his third NFL start. Right,
Speaker 1: they gave up just to the wide receiver position with
Speaker 1: Marlon Humphrey out, they gave up one hundred and eighty
Speaker 1: four yards to wide receivers per game in that stretch.
Speaker 1: That would have made them thirty first across a full season.
Speaker 1: And so Nico Collins feels really good here.
Speaker 3: What do you think?
Speaker 4: Oh? For sure, you gotta love love Nico in this one.
Speaker 4: And I just it's been a long time. I still
Speaker 4: implementing tank Dell going down because it's imagine if they
Speaker 4: tank Dell right now, I mean, yeah, yeah, yeah, it's
Speaker 4: a huge boon. You'll get into a little more for
Speaker 4: Collins with Humphrey out, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: Singletary is the other angle I really like.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 1: Ravens are this great defense, right are they?
Speaker 3: Mostly? Yeah? But you know where? You know where they're
Speaker 3: really struggling against the run. Get this.
Speaker 1: Over the last five weeks, Ravens rank twenty ninth in
Speaker 1: rushing yards allowed, thirtieth in yards per carry five point
Speaker 1: two yards per carry allowed for the Ravens over five games.
Speaker 1: I man's that's a pretty long sample size in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Since Week ten, five different backs have topped one hundred
Speaker 1: yards against Baltimore. And that's even when Baltimore has blowout wins.
Speaker 1: They're still getting run upon. Houston runs the ball twenty
Speaker 1: six times per game. Singletary gets almost all of that work,
Speaker 1: and since taking over the starting job in week nine,
Speaker 1: Singletary averaging seventy four percent of the carries. This could
Speaker 1: you know his overline by the way, fifty six and
Speaker 1: a half. This is not a betting show, but this
Speaker 1: is an opportunity for Devin Singletary.
Speaker 4: Yeah, sorry, I was. I wanted to look at his price,
Speaker 4: his DFS price. I won't list. I won't say the
Speaker 4: name of the site because we're not sponsored by them
Speaker 4: or anything. But he's he's coming in too cheap. I
Speaker 4: know that. So I love Singletary from a DFS angle,
Speaker 4: and I'm gonna guess he's probably like the fifth or
Speaker 4: sixth most expensive running back when there's not a lot
Speaker 4: of running backs on the slate. So yeah, I like
Speaker 4: Singletary in this one. I think people are just gonna
Speaker 4: they'll see uh yeah, you know, middle of the pack,
Speaker 4: fourteenth against So people are not gonna think it's a
Speaker 4: smash like you pretty much waited out. It kind of
Speaker 4: is a smash spot for a single time.
Speaker 3: It is. It really is.
Speaker 4: The seventh he's under, he's priced lower than Edwards, Montgomery, Cook, Oh, Gibbs, Jones.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to right to Gus Edwards and Well,
Speaker 1: I think Gus Edwards is going to struggle here in
Speaker 1: this game. Last week we hit the under on the
Speaker 1: Browns number one runner against the Texans Jerome Ford.
Speaker 3: So we're going back to the.
Speaker 1: Well and we're gonna go against Gus Edwards against this
Speaker 1: tough Houston run defense. Over the past five regular season games,
Speaker 1: the Texans ranked number one in yards per carry allowed,
Speaker 1: three point two yards per carry. Then in the playoff
Speaker 1: game last week, they held Kareem Hunt and Jerome Ford
Speaker 1: to two point five yards per carry.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 1: And Gus Edwards he's a replacement level runner four yards
Speaker 1: per carry. He's the forty fourth ranked runner by Pro
Speaker 1: Football Focus. And you always get this rotation in Baltimore, right,
Speaker 1: so we know there's gonna be a bunch of Justice Hill,
Speaker 1: there's gonna be some Dalvin Cook worked into this thing.
Speaker 1: And since week twelve, Gus only averaging eleven carries per game.
Speaker 1: I'm anti Gus in this one. I don't think Gus
Speaker 1: is gonna do much.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he'll, like you said, he'll certainly gonna get some
Speaker 4: more more of the pass down back, but he still
Speaker 4: gets some carries. But I think we're gonna see more
Speaker 4: Dalvin Cook than expected in this one. I think we're
Speaker 4: gonna see like five to eight carries, which is five
Speaker 4: to eight carries too many for Dalvin Cook. I has
Speaker 4: got a bad feeling that there's gonna force Dalvin Cook
Speaker 4: into this game, which does not bode well for a
Speaker 4: Gus Edwards hitting that over. So I'm with you on
Speaker 4: the under there. I like that call after.
Speaker 3: Fifteen and a half yards for the betters out there.
Speaker 1: Dalton Schultz could be in a tough spot. And let
Speaker 1: me explain why. Kyle Hamilton is the star safety for
Speaker 1: the Ravens elite coverage safety. Here's how they deploy him.
Speaker 1: If there's an opposing great, good slot receiver, the Ravens
Speaker 1: will put Kyle Hamilton on that slot receiver. But with
Speaker 1: Tank Dell out, John Mitchie is not worthy of Kyle
Speaker 1: Hamilton's attention.
Speaker 3: But you know who is is Dalton Schultz. They're gonna roll.
Speaker 1: So they will roll Kyle Hamilton over to good tight
Speaker 1: ends if there isn't a great slot receiver. And I
Speaker 1: think Dalton Schultz is sitting out a tough game against
Speaker 1: Kyle Hamilton.
Speaker 4: And Brevin Jordan has proven himself to be quite a weapon.
Speaker 4: Took a seventy six yard like screen pass essentially to
Speaker 4: the house last week. He's a tight end for those
Speaker 4: that don't know, he might be more of a threat
Speaker 4: than Metchi and the the zombie corpse of Robert Woods,
Speaker 4: who still gets trotted out there every now and again.
Speaker 4: So yeah, I like that that call as well. K
Speaker 4: I get a quick DFS angle on this game. Yeah,
Speaker 4: are you.
Speaker 1: Yeah, go for it anything, We're just having fun.
Speaker 4: Yeah, well yeah, we can jump in and out of
Speaker 4: each other's matchups. Here we should mention Mark Andrews was
Speaker 4: ruled out or it's most likely will be ruled out
Speaker 4: when it looked like he was coming back. Yeah, so everyone,
Speaker 4: of course isay likely great for him. But Charlie Kohler,
Speaker 4: if you just if you want to punt play a
Speaker 4: tight end.
Speaker 1: Charlie Cohler again, what's your what's your thinking on this?
Speaker 3: Help me understand?
Speaker 4: He has caught touchdowns, not many, but I mean he
Speaker 4: gets run. Since Andrews has been down, he's the backup
Speaker 4: tight end. You know what's interesting about likely? Well, so
Speaker 4: Mark Andrews, We've talked about this so many times, was
Speaker 4: the second tight end drafted by the Ravens. ZERI was drafted.
Speaker 4: They took Hayden Hurst in the first round, Andrews in
Speaker 4: the second round. The Ravens took Charlie Kohler. I mean
Speaker 4: it was last year, yeah, before they took Isaia Likely.
Speaker 4: So like like Mark Andrews, isay likely was the second
Speaker 4: tight end drafted by the team. He was drafted. But
Speaker 4: Charlie Kohler, he's just gonna be a bare minimum punk
Speaker 4: play tight and and everyone's going to be on Isaiah
Speaker 4: Likely as he should be as a great matchup. But
Speaker 4: it's a it's a he's a pun play and it's
Speaker 4: a great pivot play too, or leverage play. I should say, well,
Speaker 4: while everyone's gonna be on Likely, Charlie Coler gets a
Speaker 4: cheap touchdown and a good matchup. You never know. That's
Speaker 4: all say.
Speaker 1: He saw a huge up tick in usage last last game,
Speaker 1: but that was the meaningless Week eight team game for
Speaker 1: a team that already locked, already locked, So I don't,
Speaker 1: I don't.
Speaker 4: I'm not with you on the didn't play in that game,
Speaker 4: though Likely did play. I was shocked to see Isaiah
Speaker 4: Likely playing in that game and Justice Hill. I remember
Speaker 4: being like, why are these guys out there? I know
Speaker 4: they have a bye coming up.
Speaker 3: And I think that was why. I think that was why.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Green Bay at San Francisco.
Speaker 1: I'll start it off by mentioning this. The Packers are
Speaker 1: known as a team that has a traveling fan base,
Speaker 1: but the reports are that ninety seven percent of the
Speaker 1: tickets are being held by held close by forty nine
Speaker 1: ers fans, so it might not be the way game
Speaker 1: advantage that the Packers often get when they travel.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I know it's not San Francisco anymore, but
Speaker 4: that's probably better for the sack the Packer fans. San
Speaker 4: Francisco underrated, fear for your safety city, go to away games.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, like they throw they throw you out at
Speaker 1: the top of the stadium.
Speaker 3: What are we talking about?
Speaker 4: Yeah, like like Philly Oakland used to be in that
Speaker 4: territory back when the Raiders played in Oakland. And yeah,
Speaker 4: San Francisco not a place you want to be flaunting
Speaker 4: your the post colors. I didn't know that, okay, but
Speaker 4: now they're in like Santa Clara or whatever. But I
Speaker 4: don't know the riff raft travels.
Speaker 3: But anyway, it feels so suburban.
Speaker 4: It's what like forty five minutes outside of San Francisco.
Speaker 4: But I don't know, just Packers fans. They'll be happy
Speaker 4: they're not there, but maybe they may be sad they're
Speaker 4: not there, because is this the matchup of the two
Speaker 4: best offenses in the NFL? Charge And I'm gonna make
Speaker 4: it for it right now. The Packers and the forty
Speaker 4: nine ers. Since Week nine, the most yards per play
Speaker 4: Number one forty nine Ers number two the Packers. Wow,
Speaker 4: the highest EPA per play Now. EPA stands for expected
Speaker 4: points added. Not going to get too deep into it,
Speaker 4: but at the highest level, EPA is a measure of
Speaker 4: how well the team performs relative to expectations. So high
Speaker 4: EPA very good for an offense. Number one since week
Speaker 4: nine forty nine Ers number two the Packers, Wow, we
Speaker 4: got we got a shootout on our hands here. From
Speaker 4: an injury perspective, JayR Alexander, stand out corner for the Packers,
Speaker 4: did reaggravate his ankle injury last week. He is questionable
Speaker 4: to play. That would be huge if he misses this game,
Speaker 4: so monitor his datus obviously would benefit Brandon Ayuk, Deebo
Speaker 4: Samuel and company. AJ Dillon might make his return, but
Speaker 4: no really cares. Aaron Jones looked incredible last week, Like.
Speaker 1: Wen he has for like three or four straight weeks
Speaker 1: since They've basically opened up the throttle on him and
Speaker 1: just let him let him play.
Speaker 3: Which is great.
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's playing out of this world right now. And
Speaker 4: nothing too major. On the forty nine er side, starting
Speaker 4: linebacker Dre Greenlaw might not play with an Achilles injury,
Speaker 4: but he probably played. But anyway, back to the fantasy aspects,
Speaker 4: I got a couple of dfs angles. I like here.
Speaker 4: I like naked Jordan Love. Now, don't like your mind
Speaker 4: wander too much there. Naked Jordan Love means you don't
Speaker 4: pair him with anyone. You play Jordan Love and you
Speaker 4: just roll him naked. You don't try it because, honestly,
Speaker 4: how hard is it to predict who's going to catch
Speaker 4: a touchdown for the Packers these days? Right? Jaden Reid
Speaker 4: didn't have a catch last week, and he was like
Speaker 4: top ten in receptions in the NFL. You have to
Speaker 4: catch last week.
Speaker 3: I think the bounce back is coming for real.
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna feed Read the ball, give him
Speaker 1: some extra love this week to make up for you.
Speaker 4: It is a good If I had to pick one,
Speaker 4: it would be Read and people will be kind of
Speaker 4: off of him because of the goosegg last week. But
Speaker 4: I love Jordan Love. Price lower. The only quarterback price
Speaker 4: lower than Love right now is Baker Mayfield, which is
Speaker 4: criminal for a guy as hot as Love has been.
Speaker 4: And the forty nine Ers have yielded the third most
Speaker 4: pass attempts this regular season. Since Week four, they've allowed
Speaker 4: at least forty rushing yards indoor a rushing touchdown to
Speaker 4: an opposing quarterback six times. That's a fair amount during
Speaker 4: that span, and Love has rushed for at least thirty
Speaker 4: yards end or a touchdown in six games. So long
Speaker 4: story short, Love is a dual threat and this is
Speaker 4: a great matchup for him. Games. Trip is going to
Speaker 4: be in his favorite It's going to be neutral at best,
Speaker 4: and Packers' offense is rolling, so I think people are
Speaker 4: gonna they'll gravitate towards Love, but I think they're going
Speaker 4: to try it to stack him up and that they
Speaker 4: might whiff. So just rolling him out there solo is
Speaker 4: how I would approach Love in this game. And a
Speaker 4: cheap guy like in this matchup is Juwan Jennings, wide
Speaker 4: receiver for the Packers. I'm sorry for the forty nine
Speaker 4: Ers has n't played since Week fifteen, been out with
Speaker 4: a concussion, but he is back. He's ready to go.
Speaker 4: Jennings takes more than sixty percent of his snaps from
Speaker 4: the slot, and since Week thirteen, Green Bay has allowed
Speaker 4: the fifth most receiving yards and their top ten in
Speaker 4: the most points per target allowed to slot receivers, So Jennings,
Speaker 4: you know, everyone's going to be all excited about McCaffrey
Speaker 4: of course, and Ayuk.
Speaker 1: And Debo and running from the slot too.
Speaker 4: Yes, Diebo runs from the slot as well, but technically
Speaker 4: Jennings is the primary. But they move all these guys
Speaker 4: all over the place. But overall, great matchup for the
Speaker 4: forty nine ers wide receivers, and so the Jennings the
Speaker 4: cheapest option and by the least rostered option as well.
Speaker 4: So I like Jennings in this one. And what should
Speaker 4: be a good game. We might see a little rain,
Speaker 4: but nothing that you should have warrants any real concern
Speaker 4: when it comes to weather terrorism.
Speaker 1: I like the passing game for San Francisco.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 1: Green Bay has played an incredibly soft schedule of opposing quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: And when I was looking to try to find what's
Speaker 1: happened when Green Bay has played at a purty level
Speaker 1: of quarterback, so you know, above average quarterbacks, I counted
Speaker 1: exactly five all year, including Dak last week. The average
Speaker 1: game that they yielded two hundred and ninety five yards
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns. I feel like that's probably about the
Speaker 1: right ballpark here for brock Perty sitting on a pretty
Speaker 1: nice game and green Bay is getting rocked by tight ends,
Speaker 1: including Jake Ferguson's three scores last week. But get this,
Speaker 1: recent touchdowns allowed to the tight end positioned by green
Speaker 1: Bay mentioned Ferguson, Johnny munt co keif Noah Gray and
Speaker 1: Stone Smart.
Speaker 3: Here comes George Kittle.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm with you. And when Kittle goes off, he
Speaker 4: goes off big, big time. Yeah. It feels like it
Speaker 4: worth the shooting for the Kittle in this one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, agreed.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to our next matchup, which is
Speaker 1: I think it's Bucks Lions.
Speaker 3: Yes, Bucks Lions.
Speaker 1: This would be the first game on Sunday, and they
Speaker 1: they decided to go interestingly, you know, no, there is
Speaker 1: not an early game. There's the late afternoon start and
Speaker 1: then there's an evening game on Sunday. My first angle
Speaker 1: of attack here is Rashad White, who I do not
Speaker 1: like in this matchup. The Bucks don't run very well
Speaker 1: in general, but they do pass well. Meanwhile, the Lions
Speaker 1: run defense is very good and they can't stop the pass.
Speaker 1: I mean, just everything says pass pass pass for the
Speaker 1: Bucks offense, including if you think the six and a
Speaker 1: half points spread is legit. That means you've got negative
Speaker 1: game script working against Rashad White as well. Lions finished
Speaker 1: the season number one in rushing yards allowed, number three
Speaker 1: in yards per carry allowed, number two in rushes attempted,
Speaker 1: and I think that's going to be a problem for
Speaker 1: Rashad White here as well. Of the Lions' last nine opponents,
Speaker 1: seven of them did not have a runner reach fifty
Speaker 1: five yards, which by the way is Rashad White's over under.
Speaker 1: And the two that barely did that did go over
Speaker 1: fifty five, they were like sixty two and sixty five.
Speaker 1: So nobody really goes off against the Lions. I don't
Speaker 1: like Rashad White here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would be. It's all about it. I know
Speaker 4: you're probably gonna get into it. It's all about the past,
Speaker 4: and Rashad White can catch passes, but you want to
Speaker 4: have a somewhat solid matchup on the ground, and it's
Speaker 4: it's not the Lions or not that forposing running backs.
Speaker 3: They're not.
Speaker 1: So let's talk Kendall Vildor again. We identified him as
Speaker 1: a huge problem in that Lion's secondary last week. We
Speaker 1: thought we were like Pooka Nakula. Every way you can
Speaker 1: find imaginable this week, Chris Godwin, let's talk it through
Speaker 1: and why not, Mike Evans.
Speaker 3: You might be wondering. Here's why.
Speaker 1: The way the Lions handled last week, how they handled
Speaker 1: Poka Nakula with Kindall Vildor, is they hid Kindall Vildor
Speaker 1: wherever wherever Pooka Nakula was, Kendall Vildor hit the other
Speaker 1: side of the field.
Speaker 3: They wouldn't let him.
Speaker 1: Need Puka Nakua and Nicolea only ended up catching one
Speaker 1: of his many catches came against Kendallvildor, but it didn't
Speaker 1: matter because Kendallvildor still gave up gigantic plays to to
Speaker 1: Atwell's long touchdown.
Speaker 3: Derek Allen, all these guys.
Speaker 1: Just pounding Kendallvildor last week, who ended up giving up
Speaker 1: one hundred one yards and a touchdown in his coverage.
Speaker 1: So what's gonna happen here is I believe they're gonna
Speaker 1: make sure Kendallvildor is not on Mike Evans' side of
Speaker 1: the field. They're gonna take their chances with Kendallvildor on
Speaker 1: the other side of the field. And that's Chris Godwin,
Speaker 1: get this and we mentioned this last week regular season
Speaker 1: Kendallvildor giving up twenty two yards per reception, which is insane.
Speaker 1: Last week Kendallvildor gave up twenty five yards per reception.
Speaker 1: You're giving up a quarter of the field every time
Speaker 1: anybody throws at you.
Speaker 3: Insane. So the Godwin, how's that?
Speaker 4: The revolving kill door, the revolving killed door. I like it.
Speaker 3: I like it nicely done.
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield sitting out a big game because I don't
Speaker 1: think they're gonna run well, They're gonna pass with relative ease.
Speaker 1: Here Baker didn't score in the earlier matchup between these teams,
Speaker 1: but I don't care this way back in week six.
Speaker 3: They're just different teams now.
Speaker 1: I like Godwin's matchup and Mike Evans matchup is against
Speaker 1: Cam Sutton. He's got six inches and fifty pounds on
Speaker 1: Sutton and Sutton got roasted, roasted by Pokinakua. He's allowed
Speaker 1: touchdowns in three of his past four games. Baker's thrown
Speaker 1: multiple touchdowns in six of the past seven, ten of
Speaker 1: the past thirteen. And get the yardage numbers the Lions
Speaker 1: are giving up through the air. Last four weeks, four
Speaker 1: hundred eleven yards, three hundred and forty five yards, three
Speaker 1: hundred and ninety six yards, and three hundred and sixty
Speaker 1: seven passing yards.
Speaker 3: I mean, they're just getting scorched.
Speaker 1: Baker may sitting on what I think is going to
Speaker 1: be a very good game. My friend, Miss Mitch Moss
Speaker 1: and I were texting, how about this bet to lead
Speaker 1: the weekend in passing yards Baker Mayfield plus seven hundred
Speaker 1: and fifty.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like that. I like that bet. I mean, yeah,
Speaker 4: it's all there, it's all on paper. Why this this
Speaker 4: should be a great game for Baker. Want to hear
Speaker 4: my one concern and please, it's kind of out outside
Speaker 4: the lines, and it's just I know, we share that
Speaker 4: we are in agreement with this. It pertains to coordinators
Speaker 4: interviewing for jobs while they're still coordinating in the playoffs. Yeah.
Speaker 4: So Dave Cannet, the offensive coordinator for the Bucks, the
Speaker 4: quarterback whisperer, by the way, brought Geno Smith back to life. Yeah,
Speaker 4: doing the same with Baker Mayfield. He's been interviewing this week.
Speaker 4: I think Carolina was one. So that's what I just
Speaker 4: I just hate how they do that, and it's distracting
Speaker 4: and I don't think big and Maville is gonna hit
Speaker 4: his unders because of that. But I just wanted to
Speaker 4: throw that out there that I just had to air
Speaker 4: my grievances on the coordinators interviewing while they're preparing for
Speaker 4: a huge playoff game.
Speaker 1: I can see that. I think there might be a
Speaker 1: little something there. By the way, have you noticed this?
Speaker 1: These teams are interviewing an absurd number of candidates. Panthers
Speaker 1: have had eleven interview requests that they put out, Chargers,
Speaker 1: thirteen Falcons, eleven, Titans, ten Seahawks seven these they're staggering
Speaker 1: numbers of interviews. It's I don't ever remember teams doing
Speaker 1: this many interviews before.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's crazy. And even regardless of the just going
Speaker 4: back to the coordinators, the coach is still coaching. I
Speaker 4: know teams with vacancies need a head coach immediate as
Speaker 4: soon as possible, but how can it just not be
Speaker 4: the rule, the law, whatever, that you're still your team's
Speaker 4: still alive, you're not interviewing. You gotta wait, and the
Speaker 4: other the team's gotta wait. I'll get you that bad.
Speaker 4: They can wait two weeks, three weeks from now. Tops.
Speaker 3: I like this, it's a two edged sword.
Speaker 1: If you you know, these are the most coveted These
Speaker 1: playoff coaches are the most coveted ones out there, right,
Speaker 1: And if you've got to wait a month only to
Speaker 1: find out that that coordinator doesn't even want to talk
Speaker 1: to you, or it's a bad fit, or you don't
Speaker 1: like that guy after all, and you've waited a month
Speaker 1: for that team to get through the Super Bowl or
Speaker 1: get through the conference championship games, that's it's too long
Speaker 1: to sit, to sit and not know your coach is
Speaker 1: going to be I think.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know, it'll never change for those reasons. I'm
Speaker 4: just still.
Speaker 3: Let's go to Chief Spills. Let's wrap it up with
Speaker 3: Chief Spills.
Speaker 4: Uh, this to me is outside.
Speaker 1: This is the new Manning versus Brady. In terms of
Speaker 1: non divisional rivalries, Manning Braiding Brady was the best there
Speaker 1: was for about a decade. Now it's Josh Allen Patrick
Speaker 1: Mahomes Bill's Chiefs is the best non divisional rivalry going
Speaker 1: in football. And for the first time we get to
Speaker 1: see Patrick Mahomes with an inconsistent offense on the road,
Speaker 1: and I think the.
Speaker 3: Bills are going to knock him out of the playoffs.
Speaker 4: Right here. Yeah, first time we will see Mahomes on
Speaker 4: the road. Like you said, in the playoffs, Buffalo two
Speaker 4: and a half point favorite, forty five point over under,
Speaker 4: which is not a lot for these two teams, you
Speaker 4: know in recent past. I know it's going to be
Speaker 4: cold in Buffalo and all that, but the defenses much improved, well,
Speaker 4: at least on the Kansas City side, probably the best
Speaker 4: defense Patrick Mahomes has ever played with in his career.
Speaker 4: But back to the offense, of course. For the Chiefs,
Speaker 4: Canarius Tony has been limited this week as questionable to play.
Speaker 4: Don't really care. Sky Moore could make his return.
Speaker 3: I don't care.
Speaker 4: We don't care about that. Gabe Davis has been ruled out.
Speaker 4: You kind of have to care about that, especially because
Speaker 4: he had a Easton showing the last time. He's too
Speaker 4: met in the playoffs a couple of years ago.
Speaker 3: Turned out okay, yes, two.
Speaker 4: Hundred yards and four touchdowns, but he has been ruled out.
Speaker 4: So again, we'll see a bump in usage for Khalil's
Speaker 4: here alongside Stefan Diggs, who was just a I don't know.
Speaker 4: We'll talk about digs in a second, but uh, you
Speaker 4: gotta like all the all the Bills in this matchup
Speaker 4: outside of Diggs. Really you'll be facing the Jerry as
Speaker 4: sneed the guy like most from a DFS perspective, and
Speaker 4: again it's he's a cheaper option, almost a pun play.
Speaker 4: Is Dawson Knox, who I know, he's technically the backup
Speaker 4: tight end to Dalton Kincaid, but Kincaid is more of
Speaker 4: a wide receiver. He only takes twenty percent of his
Speaker 4: snaps in line, and quite honestly, with with Gabe Davis
Speaker 4: out and with whatever Stefan Diggs is right now, the
Speaker 4: Bills need Kincaid to step up as a wide receiver
Speaker 4: in this matchup. So so back to Knox. He's Gordon
Speaker 4: back to back games. These teams played in Week fourteen.
Speaker 4: By the way, it was a twenty seventeen win by
Speaker 4: Kansas City, so not a lot of fireworks in that one.
Speaker 4: But Knox had three catches thirty six yards. Not great,
Speaker 4: but we take that for as a floor with his
Speaker 4: bare minimum price tag essentially, but Knox scored against the
Speaker 4: Chiefs last year. He also had playoff success last year.
Speaker 4: Three catches twenty yards in a touchdown.
Speaker 3: Yeah, wasn't there last year?
Speaker 4: He was m kincaid. Still he's gonna be operating more
Speaker 4: as a wide receiver. My point there is he's had
Speaker 4: three strong playoff games knocks in a row now, and
Speaker 4: so you know Josh Allen, he looks his way in
Speaker 4: the playoffs. And the Chiefs allowing five catches forty five
Speaker 4: yards per game to opposing tight ends in the regular season,
Speaker 4: so we take that all day. That's a double digit
Speaker 4: PPR points. So I like Knox here, and most people
Speaker 4: are going to be obviously gravitating towards the Sam Laportas,
Speaker 4: the George Kittles, Travis Kelcey's like the three best option
Speaker 4: today end just on you know a name basis right now,
Speaker 4: which is which is crazy? But I like Knox and
Speaker 4: you gotta love James Cook. I think he's just an
Speaker 4: auto play. I think you got to use him if
Speaker 4: you're like in a one and done pool. Since Buffalo
Speaker 4: fired offensive coordinator, well former offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey after
Speaker 4: Week eleven, the Bills have become the most run heavy
Speaker 4: offense in the NFL. Love it. So from weeks one
Speaker 4: to ten with Dorsey as OC, they're running the ball
Speaker 4: thirty six percent of the time. And now from from
Speaker 4: weeks eleven up until now through the wild Card game
Speaker 4: with Joe Brady as OC nearly fifty percent one percentage,
Speaker 4: the highest in the league since Week eleven, which is
Speaker 4: which is insane to think with a quarterback like Josh Allen.
Speaker 4: And since week thirteen, Kansas City has allowed the twelfth
Speaker 4: highest explosive run rate and the sixth lowest stuff rate.
Speaker 4: So Cook it in a smash spot in this one.
Speaker 4: It's gonna be another cold weather game. That doesn't mean
Speaker 4: they're not gonna be throwing the ball. But I love
Speaker 4: Cook here. I think he's just probably my outside of McCaffrey,
Speaker 4: might be my favorite running back. Plates Yeah, love him.
Speaker 1: When these teams met a few weeks ago, he averaged
Speaker 1: six yards a carry, and so I I love it.
Speaker 1: By the way, he also hammered the Chiefs through the air.
Speaker 1: He had five catches eighty three yards through the air
Speaker 1: in the previous matchup. But I'm with you, I think
Speaker 1: the I think rushing yards are absolutely here for Cook
Speaker 1: sitting on a potentially very good game, and I like
Speaker 1: I like him a lot. I want to talk for
Speaker 1: a second about the Bill's secondary, which basically from the
Speaker 1: point of the Rasul Douglas trade. This Bill secondary has
Speaker 1: been terrific, and I think Mahomes is sitting up potentially
Speaker 1: a really bad game. Get this, here's the last six
Speaker 1: games yards allowed. Well, let me give you touchdowns allowed
Speaker 1: by the Bills. By the Bills passing touchdowns allowed by
Speaker 1: the Bills to the last six games brian one zero, zero, zero,
Speaker 1: one and one.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 1: And one of those ones was the Patrick Mahomes was
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes in the previous matchup. It is a This
Speaker 1: is a really tricky spot and his best wide out
Speaker 1: Rashi Rice. He's got a tough matchup against Tarreon Johnson
Speaker 1: in the slot. Johnson's last ten games zero touchdowns allowed,
Speaker 1: twenty seven yards allowed per game.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 1: I think the passing game is gonna struggle for Kansas City,
Speaker 1: and I wonder if you see it the same.
Speaker 4: Way, Yeah, just like it's a better matchup on the ground,
Speaker 4: like it, you know, the best way to attack both
Speaker 4: of these defenses is on the ground. So yeah, I
Speaker 4: like the checko more than anyone in the past game
Speaker 4: for the Chiefs, and it's pretty much the same way
Speaker 4: on the on the the same way on the other
Speaker 4: side with the Bills with Cook and the pass game there,
Speaker 4: I just prefer that the ground game in this one.
Speaker 4: I think we're gonna see a lot of running in
Speaker 4: this game, which people aren't gonna be expecting, but I
Speaker 4: think it's we're going to be seeing.
Speaker 1: So do you think there's gonna be uh fewer, fewer
Speaker 1: points to be had in general in this game Chief Spills.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Like I said, I mean, forty five, that's that's
Speaker 4: pretty low, even considering, you know, the cold weather. If
Speaker 4: this game was being played last year in the same weather,
Speaker 4: the over under would be over fifty easy. I feel
Speaker 4: like I think you know, Vegas knows that the Chiefs
Speaker 4: defense is legit, and the Bills, despite losing multiple key
Speaker 4: members throughout the season, Tredavious way A corner, Matt Mulano,
Speaker 4: they're they're basically their leader on defense, linebacker, like you said,
Speaker 4: their lights out, especially their secondary. So whether factored in
Speaker 4: Taylor Swift factored in, how she factors in, but she's
Speaker 4: always a factor. Yeah, it's not going to be the
Speaker 4: shootout that people again really have come to expect when
Speaker 4: these two teams meet up. But wrong, you never know.
Speaker 1: I think the Bills are so Bills are gonna rock them.
Speaker 1: I think this they're gonna get out years of pent
Speaker 1: up frustration. I think this is the you know, this
Speaker 1: is their big chance to get some closure on the
Speaker 1: collapse of of two years ago with h with the
Speaker 1: unbelievable finish that they that they had to endure.
Speaker 3: That was two years ago, right, yeah, yeah, it was
Speaker 3: two years ago.
Speaker 4: So yeah, it's just supertime. Yeah it is double overtime.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I think that's right. I think that's right. Yeah.
Speaker 3: So there that's uh. Any other thoughts on that game.
Speaker 4: No, I'm with you. I think the Bills roll them.
Speaker 4: Honestly think the Chiefs are my my least favorite underdog
Speaker 4: to win this weekend. I like the Texans, the Bucks,
Speaker 4: and the Packers chances even more than the Chiefs this week,
Speaker 4: which is crazy because they're the defending Super Bowl champions.
Speaker 4: But yeah, finally playing on the road.
Speaker 3: And they've played it.
Speaker 1: They've been so inconsistent with their play and just last
Speaker 1: week Miami for can mailed it in.
Speaker 3: No interest in winning.
Speaker 1: That was a primrose path game for them in.
Speaker 3: The arctic conditions.
Speaker 1: And I don't I just don't think it's I don't
Speaker 1: think it's coming again.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know you don't watch Hard Knocks. I think
Speaker 4: you still should go back and watch because this in
Speaker 4: season one was overall one of the best seasons I think. Okay,
Speaker 4: but went back and watched the last one, which focuses
Speaker 4: around this game, which is awesome. Just the behind the
Speaker 4: scenes of them prepping for the cold. Yeah, but of
Speaker 4: course they show them prepping all week and Hindsight's twenty twenty.
Speaker 4: But just watching it, you could just sense they knew
Speaker 4: they were gonna get their ass kicks.
Speaker 3: Didn't seem that way.
Speaker 4: Yeah, just like they're trying to hype themselves up and
Speaker 4: you know, give me each other. It is like, you
Speaker 4: know it, you know you're not gonna win this game.
Speaker 4: It seemed that way, no chance.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you.
Speaker 4: The exciting about uh yeah, I was gonna take a
Speaker 4: moment to a lament Sports Illustrated. Yeah, we shaid shutting
Speaker 4: its doors. Have you heard? Yeah?
Speaker 1: I did some friends in the industry that were, you know,
Speaker 1: they still had a fairly bare bones fantasy operation going
Speaker 1: at Sports Illustrated. That looks like it's probably done. Some
Speaker 1: of our friends in the industry maybe looking for work.
Speaker 1: They've you know, they had a show on sirius. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, that's there's it's really sad. I mean, you know,
Speaker 1: you and I've got several years between us, But when
Speaker 1: I was growing up, and I'm sure for at least
Speaker 1: some of your childhood, same man. You like, the cover
Speaker 1: of Sports Illustrated was a signature thing. That was huge,
Speaker 1: that was a that was a big, big deal, and
Speaker 1: they were a bastion of journalistic integrity. Then they never
Speaker 1: they never got into a What killed them, terrible decisions
Speaker 1: that killed them in the two thousand range was never
Speaker 1: really going online, never really putting a meaningful effort into
Speaker 1: their online destination, and then secondarily ignoring fantasy. Sports Illustrated
Speaker 1: in the late nineties early aughts, if they had wanted
Speaker 1: to own fantasy, they could have owned fantasy.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I remember at one point they started putting maybe
Speaker 4: like a page dedicated to it. But yeah, they should
Speaker 4: have had basically the whole magazine every week almost that.
Speaker 4: I think someone thought of something like that.
Speaker 1: Yes, Unfortunately, ye, sorry, somebody, Fortunately, some other some other
Speaker 1: people decided to take the void in fantasy content when
Speaker 1: Sports Illustrated wasn't wasn't going to dabble in something so dubious.
Speaker 4: Yeah I was. I was a subscriber for for many years.
Speaker 4: I have the phone, oh yeah, football phone. And I
Speaker 4: was at the age when I don't know how long
Speaker 4: it was around, but when Sports Illustrated for Kids started,
Speaker 4: that was right in my wheelhouse. That was a great,
Speaker 4: a great magazine and it bothers me to this day.
Speaker 4: So every Sports Illustrated for Kids magazine would have nine
Speaker 4: cards in it, yeah sports card, and it would be
Speaker 4: like a sheet you could rip out and then you know,
Speaker 4: they were all perforated, so you could peel each card
Speaker 4: out to make an individual card. I would just peel
Speaker 4: out the sheet and just put them like in a stack.
Speaker 4: I did this for two or three years because I
Speaker 4: wasn't into Sports Illustrated for Kids for too long. But
Speaker 4: I know I did it in this era now where
Speaker 4: I'm seeing these cards individually being sold for thousands of dollars.
Speaker 4: Like there's Tiger Woods and like a Serena Williams. I
Speaker 4: don't think I would have the Serena Williams one, or
Speaker 4: maybe not even the Tiger Woods. I was probably too
Speaker 4: old for that. But like there's a Jordan one that
Speaker 4: I know I would have had, and I talked to
Speaker 4: some people in the industry. I'm like, well, if I
Speaker 4: had the sheet that, like, you know, if it was
Speaker 4: in the sheet and not just the card, They're like,
Speaker 4: you had that, Yeah, Like you don't want to know
Speaker 4: how much that is worth something. Yeah, anyway, pour one
Speaker 4: out for Sports Illustrated. My grandpa used to actually renew
Speaker 4: my subscription every year my birthday.
Speaker 3: That's a great gift.
Speaker 1: I love the magazine subscription as a gift because every
Speaker 1: time the magazine shows up, you're you're getting you're giving
Speaker 1: and getting a new gift, which I like, you know,
Speaker 1: whether it's every week or every month or whatever. And
Speaker 1: now heck, it's uh, it's almost downright quaint to give
Speaker 1: the gift of the printed word.
Speaker 4: Yeah, admittedly, I mean this this ended a couple of
Speaker 4: years ago as my grandpa did pass but the last
Speaker 4: few years I didn't even really open them.
Speaker 3: That's sad.
Speaker 4: I still did open the swimsuit issue though, you.
Speaker 3: Know, so I did.
Speaker 1: Uh back a month ago when s I got embroiled
Speaker 1: into a controversy because they were using a I authors
Speaker 1: and faking it and not telling people they were and they.
Speaker 3: Were looked like they were real people.
Speaker 1: They had they had they had created bios for the
Speaker 1: AI and it was it was super sleazy, honestly, And
Speaker 1: so we were talking about a little bit it and
Speaker 1: I was talking to listeners about it. It was all
Speaker 1: swimsuit issue. Everybody's like, they all love the swimshe I'm like,
Speaker 1: you know, what are your favorite memories of sports.
Speaker 3: Illustrated swimsuit issue? Swimsuit issue? Remember this? You know it's
Speaker 3: this woman, this woman, this one.
Speaker 4: I don't know.
Speaker 3: That's what it got reduced to. I guess who's.
Speaker 4: Your your all time swimsuit issue cover girl?
Speaker 3: I didn't.
Speaker 4: I don't know. I don't.
Speaker 3: I can't even name one. It's just not my thing.
Speaker 4: Really, yeh.
Speaker 3: Was Kathy Ireland on it one year?
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, Kathy Ireland, she was in all that. That
Speaker 4: might have been That was probably my that might have
Speaker 4: been my number one month answer Kathy Ireland. I mean
Speaker 4: Sidney c Sidey Crawford was on the swimsuit issue, wasn't she.
Speaker 4: I don't know, I don't know. I'm Bland. But like
Speaker 4: Ti Pirate Banks, I can like I can picture them.
Speaker 4: All the names are all envisioning, they're all they're all
Speaker 4: going away. But Kathy Ireland that would be my one
Speaker 4: O one. I used to have to rush home on
Speaker 4: swim set.
Speaker 3: I don't know, just stopp now to do. I don't
Speaker 3: need to know.
Speaker 4: I had to beat my mom to it because she would.
Speaker 4: My mom would get issue and she'd like rip out
Speaker 4: the pictures that were.
Speaker 3: Not good for her. That's actual parenting.
Speaker 4: I like it. Screw that. I didn't want my swim
Speaker 4: set issue sensor just back then.
Speaker 3: I bet you did.
Speaker 4: I had to race home to get those good stuff.
Speaker 1: All right, Thanks for listening to those that had just
Speaker 1: put up with five minutes of insanity at the end here.
Speaker 1: But we appreciate you listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. We'll
Speaker 1: be breaking down two games next week.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 4: Who are they going to be? Who are they going
Speaker 4: to be? What are your official predictions?
Speaker 1: Niners, Niners, Lions, Bill's Texans. I'm gonna go with my
Speaker 1: heart all year. I've been on Houston. I'm not giving
Speaker 1: up now.
Speaker 4: I'm kind of on the same path. I'm picking an
Speaker 4: upset both sides. I'm going Packers to shock the world. Packers, Lions,
Speaker 4: then the Ravens, Bills. My upsett is the pack.
Speaker 1: Yeah and click, I think you outlined it beautifully. Packers
Speaker 1: offense has been great, it's the defense. I just think
Speaker 1: that secondary has been so under attacked. And I just
Speaker 1: I can't see Kyle Shanahan not pounding Keyshawn Nixon and
Speaker 1: Valentine Alexander. And not only that, but they need the
Speaker 1: right version of Alexander. They need the good version to
Speaker 1: show up, which is always hit and miss.
Speaker 4: I know, I know it's a long shot. They're nine
Speaker 4: and a half point underdogs at Green Bay, But.
Speaker 3: Isn't he nine and a half under as well? I
Speaker 3: think so?
Speaker 4: Is that that probably I wouldn't be shocked that's in
Speaker 4: that ballpark? I think.
Speaker 1: All right, we'll see, we'll see how which ones we
Speaker 1: get right here, we'll find out. Look forward to talk
Speaker 1: to you next week, everybody.
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening.
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