1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also. 2 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing into spect. We're saying 3 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: it to cash. 4 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 5 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:20,279 Speaker 2: go to wind. 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 1: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,480 Speaker 1: All right, It's just the ultimate kabak. 8 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 2: If you want to pack. 9 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,840 Speaker 1: And we are way. What is up? Everybody? 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:39,520 Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. Today, 11 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: we've got our NFL player projections for Week five. 12 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: We'll run through our top five. 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,839 Speaker 2: If you skilled position, we'll discuss the players we're high 14 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: and low on. We'll throw out a player prop for 15 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 2: each position. Doing it with me one of the top 16 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 2: Fantasy football rankers in the game, Sean Kerner, Sean, what's 17 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 2: going on? 18 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 3: What's up? I had a very good Week four. I 19 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 3: think went like eleven and seven, twelve and seven for 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 3: like plus four units. Nice crushed it DFS. I had 21 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 3: those Seahawks Lions deck. But what's Chuck's rule? That I 22 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 3: dialed back a bit on the Lions unfortunately, but our 23 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 3: boy Jared Goff still went off regardless, had a really 24 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 3: good week in Fantasy Cross. I think I snuck in 25 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,119 Speaker 3: the top ten after this week. Although there's no way 26 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 3: I passed you up, no way, but I think I'll 27 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 3: be joining in the top ten barely this week. 28 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I know you had a pretty good week. 29 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 2: I was looking at some of your rankings. I think 30 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 2: you worked you like eleven and two and props at 31 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 2: one point on the oh yeah, yeah. 32 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,040 Speaker 3: I was loving in two and then I feel like 33 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 3: sometimes this happens to both of us. We just crush 34 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 3: really slight and then just systematically to lose like two 35 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 3: or three over the next four hours. Yeast, I lost 36 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 3: the Jared Goff I had under twenty four and a 37 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 3: half completions and if I hadn't known they would be 38 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 3: down one hundred for the entire game, I wouldn't have 39 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 3: bet that, obviously, but he barely went over at the end. 40 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 3: And then I had said football excruciating. Was there so 41 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 3: nice to go to it out last night for my football. 42 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 3: But overall, very solid week. How to go for you? 43 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 2: Another good week? I ended up five and two. I 44 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 2: didn't make as many bets because I was out with you. Uh, 45 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 2: I had to dial back, But no, I'm so I'm 46 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: up to thirty three and eleven on the season, I believe. 47 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 2: So yeah, it's been a good year so far, so 48 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 2: let's try to keep it going. 49 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 3: I mean, you had a good week on Fancy Bros. 50 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,399 Speaker 3: Hopefully you'll you'll take the top spot this week, right. 51 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,079 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean, like honestly that I don't start 52 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 2: thinking about that until later year. 53 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 3: Guys. 54 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: I just got to. 55 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 3: That's all. 56 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: I appreciate it, man. 57 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 2: I mean, hey, you're always up in the area. I 58 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 2: just gotta gotta gotta do my part. Man. All right, 59 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 2: let's jump into quarterbacks still, because we got a big 60 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 2: show to get to, and I think I want to 61 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: talk about a lot of players on this show because 62 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 2: I feel like we threw four weeks. We finally have 63 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: enough data to really kind of dig in, and we have, 64 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 2: you know, defensive data, we. 65 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 1: Have you know, all kinds of and there's a lot 66 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: of injuries, have some rookie. 67 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 2: Quarterbacks playing, so a lot of things happening in the 68 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:13,399 Speaker 2: National Football League. 69 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: So let's start at quarterback top five. 70 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 3: So Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Cashorn Mahomes, and 71 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 3: then the goat Tom Brady at number five. 72 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 1: I have the exact same top five, except. 73 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:34,079 Speaker 2: I have Jackson number two still and Jalen Hurts number three. 74 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 2: I could see switching those around. That Cardinals defense. I 75 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 2: mean that Cardinal's defense actually looked pretty good against Baker, 76 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: thank you, thank you very much. But you know, I 77 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 2: could see myself switching out. But either way, Yeah, still 78 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 2: got Allen here and Brady, Yeah, I see him at 79 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 2: I guess we'll talk about it, but yeah, I think 80 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: we're a little higher on him. 81 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: But who are you high on at quarterback this week? 82 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 3: Well, let's just start with the goat, I guess, so 83 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 3: I have Tom Brady inside my tough It looks like 84 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 3: consensus is QB eight. But you know it's huge getting 85 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 3: both Mike Evan and Chris Golloman back, and also you know, 86 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 3: he got back his left tackle Donovan Smith. So while 87 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 3: they suffered that brutal loss on say football against the Chiefs, 88 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:19,840 Speaker 3: you know, I looked for Brady to bounce back this or. 89 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 3: I mean, he had a good game, but you know 90 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 3: I looked for him to take out his frustrations on 91 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 3: the Falcons this week. And they could be, you know, 92 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 3: have a pass heavy game script despite you know, being 93 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: eight point favorites, but the running game has looked really 94 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 3: bad lately, so I could just see them leaning on 95 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:37,600 Speaker 3: Brady in the passing game with everybody healthy this week, 96 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 3: so Brady could go off. So that's why he's inside 97 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 3: my top five. And then the other QB I love 98 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,039 Speaker 3: is Teddy Bridgewater. I have him at QB thirteen. He's 99 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 3: my favorite streamer this week looks like consensus is QB 100 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 3: twenty four. I can't imagine it's going to stay that low. 101 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 3: But he's one of the better backups in the league, 102 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 3: and he's very much a system quarterback and he will 103 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: be taking over a system under Mike MiG that has 104 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 3: turned to it into you know, a legit QB one 105 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 3: option this year. And it doesn't hurt that he has 106 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 3: one of the best wide receiver duos in the game 107 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: with Tyreek Kill and Jaylen Waddel. So we got we 108 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,359 Speaker 3: already got a sneak peek of it last week. You know, 109 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 3: he put up over one hundred and ninety yards at 110 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 3: the touchdown in just over two quarters of action. So 111 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 3: this week against the Jets, he is definitely a fringe, 112 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 3: you know, a low end QB one. So I love 113 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 3: Teddy Rigelard this week. 114 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Bridge order as well, and to your point, 115 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 2: not only his bridge order like a great backup, but 116 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 2: he's great on the road in his career, and this has. 117 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: Spanned like multiple teams all time. 118 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 2: In his career, he is twenty four and six against 119 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 2: the spread, covering by an average of five point two 120 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 2: points per game. So the Dolphins are like three four 121 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,239 Speaker 2: point favorites. They have one of the highest implied totals 122 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 2: on the road this week, around twenty four points, but 123 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 2: if you factor in that bridge order, they may end 124 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 2: up covering about like five points. I mean, you could 125 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 2: see the Dolphins still put up a good number here 126 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 2: on a road against the Jets, who, by the way, 127 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 2: are somehow thirtieth in past defense Dvoa. They got a 128 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 2: defensive head coach and some talented corner I think I 129 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:06,480 Speaker 2: like their cornerback play. I mean, they're gonna need all 130 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 2: they can get this week against Waddle on Hill, but 131 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 2: I think Saucin and Reed are pretty good. So it's 132 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 2: it's weird that they're still kind of sitting at the 133 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 2: bottom of the league in all the defense pass defense metrics. 134 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 2: I like Brady as well, though, you know, to your point, 135 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 2: Atlanta has the third lowest pressure rate so they're. 136 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: Not gonna get home. I mean that's that. 137 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 2: You know, they give it up the eighth most pass 138 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 2: yards per game, but like third most, third lowest pressure rate. 139 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 1: You know what's gonna happen right there. 140 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 2: They are gonna go past heavy because they're not going 141 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 2: to feel like they're putting Brady at risk. 142 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: So yeah, I have Brady for two hundred and eighty. 143 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 2: Two yards and two point one touchdowns this week. 144 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: And one more. I'll mention. 145 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna be on an island here, but hey, 146 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 2: got to get ahead of it with these rookies. I 147 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,719 Speaker 2: got Kenny pick it up at QB seventeen. He's the 148 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: QB twenty nine consensus, and I think I know the reason. 149 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 2: It's because my rushing stats for him are are a 150 00:06:56,279 --> 00:07:00,279 Speaker 2: little bit higher than consensus. I haven't projected for about 151 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 2: twenty eight yards on the ground in point two touchdowns. 152 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna scramble a decent amount. And uh, 153 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,840 Speaker 2: you know they're obviously designing some runs for him. And 154 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 2: now he's even a threat. 155 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: You know they're not. 156 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 2: They don't have a high and fly total, but he's 157 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 2: even a threat to you know, vulture a goal line touchdown, 158 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: as we saw twice last week against the Jets. So 159 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 2: and this is a game where you're going up against 160 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 2: Buffalo good pass defense. Obviously they're probably gonna sit back 161 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 2: in a lot of his own Still they're still not 162 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 2: fully healthy. 163 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: But uh, you know it's a fourteen point spread. 164 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 2: You could get some garbage time stats in this one, 165 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 2: So you know, I'll uh, I think you're gonna I 166 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 2: think I know you're gonna go for the crop, So 167 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 2: I won't. 168 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: I won't mention my numbers. I did it. I did 169 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: write her in the outline, so you do have an 170 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: idea of. 171 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 3: Where it definitely it must be heard than nine if 172 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 3: you haven't. 173 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:48,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, And you. 174 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: Said his rushing touchdown production one point. 175 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: I had that tweet. 176 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,239 Speaker 3: Can you pickt had more rushing touchdowns than Jonathan Taylor, 177 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 3: Alvin Kamara? For who else was there? Can you Peckett? 178 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 2: Yeah? 179 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I love his rushing up side. Mid twenties is fair. 180 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 3: I think I have him like high teens. But yeah, 181 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 3: I could certainly see him running loose, especially against the Bills, 182 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 3: who should be able to get some pressure against them. 183 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 3: So yeah, I love his rushing upside for sure. 184 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see. 185 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,679 Speaker 2: You know, I'm usually a little That's where I'm usually 186 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 2: off from the market the most on rushing stats for 187 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 2: quarterback because I project them. I think a little differently 188 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 2: than most, Like I separate out scrambles, non kneel down 189 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 2: design runs and then kneel down. So it's like there's 190 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 2: a lot going on. But rushing metrics for quarterbacks are 191 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 2: pretty sticky once you know, so like, you know, seeing 192 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 2: what he did in against in that you know, time 193 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,680 Speaker 2: he came in the game was pretty encouraging. 194 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 1: But who are you low on? 195 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 3: I'm low on Carson Wentz. I have me too. I've 196 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 3: been low on Carson Wentz for years. Yeah we know that, 197 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 3: but we ecr. I was like minus seven or eight 198 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 3: against him. I didn't understand it, but now I really 199 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 3: don't get it. The ecer for him is QB sixteen. 200 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 3: Can you help figure that out with me? But I 201 00:09:02,760 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 3: have in QB twenty three, And you know, it's especially 202 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 3: concerning that he could be without very talented rookie Johan 203 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 3: Dotson this week. It sounds like he could miss one 204 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 3: or two games his hamstring injury. So who the hell 205 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 3: is he gonna throw touchdowns? Too? I mean, four of 206 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 3: his eight touchdowns have been the Dutson this year, So 207 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: losing a weapon like that when you're already pretty bad 208 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 3: has got hurt. So he's still you know, low twenty 209 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 3: for me. So I treat him like a you know, 210 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 3: a low MQB two and he has a nice rushing upside, 211 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 3: But why is the ecer still so high on them? 212 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 2: So I think what's going on is that we're four 213 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 2: games into the season, and I think what's happening. 214 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: Is people are using a. 215 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 2: They're overweighting this season's four games and like, oh yeah, 216 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 2: because he's he's averaging up two hundred and fifty eight 217 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 2: passing yards per game, right, Yeah. But in my projections, 218 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 2: I have him for two twenty eight, you know, so 219 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 2: like I'm that's thirty yards below his season average. I'm 220 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 2: not sure you have him, But I think that's what's 221 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 2: kind of doing it. 222 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: I would. I'm guessing most people have him closer to fifty. 223 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess any any quarterback that's facing the Lions 224 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 3: this year, you kind of have to throw that game 225 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 3: out because that's like a few things a little bit north. 226 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 3: But yeah, but I mean, did he didn't go to 227 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 3: against the Jaguars, which turns out that was a you know, 228 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 3: pretty tough matchup face the Eagles and Cowboys. But yeah, 229 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 3: I agree. I think maybe people are overweighting the first 230 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 3: two games for sure. 231 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 2: I mean he's averaging nine point six yards of completion, 232 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 2: so like you know, like that's you know, if you 233 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 2: expect him to complete you know, twenty one to twenty 234 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 2: two passes, you know, you're not getting anywhere near to 235 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty yards, all right. I yeah, I'm 236 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,199 Speaker 2: well on ons as well, not as well. I actually 237 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 2: have him QB twenty one, So I mean we're we're 238 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 2: both low with the consensus. But I'm actually going to 239 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 2: go with the guy who, you know, everyone's been showing 240 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 2: a lot of love too lately. 241 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: I think we showed up to him last week, Jared Goff. 242 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 2: I think this is the week you want to get 243 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 2: off the Jared Goff train, you know. 244 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: You know, just like you know, just like Sean McVay did. 245 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 2: And you don't want you don't want GoF against Bill 246 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,959 Speaker 2: Belichick in Fox Broke. We didn't want goth against Belichick. 247 00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 1: In the Super Bowl. 248 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 2: We don't want golf against Belichick. There's somehow an underdog 249 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 2: in this game, even though O don't. The Patriots probably 250 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 2: are starting Bailey ZAPPI you know, New England is tenth 251 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 2: in past defense DVOA and the Lions. You know, both 252 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 2: of these teams are probably gonna want to run the ball. 253 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 2: New England's thirty first and run defense DVA, so it's 254 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 2: kind of a run funnel. And then on the other side, 255 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 2: you know New England's going to be running the ball 256 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 2: all day, so this could be a game with you know, 257 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,840 Speaker 2: a slower pace and fewer total plays. And I just 258 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: don't think, you know, the Lions are going to need 259 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,720 Speaker 2: to throw quite as much. So I have GoF around 260 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 2: two hundred and thirty five yards and one point six touchdowns, 261 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 2: which is again like lower than his his season averages. 262 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 1: So I have him at QB number nineteen. 263 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I didn't realize I had him pretty low to 264 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 3: have QB seventeen. And to be fair, you know, we 265 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 3: started the week off pretty high on him. I thought 266 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 3: am On Raw was gonna play, I thought DJ Chark 267 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 3: was gonna play, and then I lowered him before Sunday. 268 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 3: But sure enough, just that defense kind of helped Jarry 269 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 3: Guff having to keep throwing the ball. But we were 270 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 3: both very high on him heading into the season. He 271 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 3: was being drafted but outside of the top twenty five. 272 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 3: So that that looks pretty smart now. But yeah, I 273 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 3: went you there. I didn't realize I had him outside 274 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 3: the top fifteen. But yeah, it certainly makes sense. 275 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,719 Speaker 1: All right, who you got four quarterback from? 276 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 3: We gotta go Canny Pickett passing cards at Buffalo. I 277 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 3: mean it's a tough matchup. They should be trailing love 278 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,560 Speaker 3: the weapons there. So this is a very tricky projection. 279 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,200 Speaker 3: I won't let what you said about him influence my number. 280 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 3: I'll just give it to you straight up and here 281 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 3: here we have to think about it. But I'm going 282 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 3: two thirty and a half. 283 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 2: What do you got Ooh, that's a good line I have. 284 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 2: I have the the average at six. Oh okay, I'll 285 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,679 Speaker 2: go under our trust the numbers. But that's a very 286 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 2: good line. I do think, you know, his average depth 287 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 2: of target really helps. He's averaging over thirteen yards depth 288 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:09,199 Speaker 2: to throw pass the line of scrimmage, whereas Trubisky was 289 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 2: around ten. So I think you know it's gonna be 290 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: it's gonna make some of the his completion rates probably 291 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 2: not gonna stay like seventy whatever percent. It was like, no, 292 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 2: he didn't throw it in completion. It was all interceptions 293 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,839 Speaker 2: and yeah the ground or something like that. 294 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: Right, I do think. 295 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,800 Speaker 2: That'll go down, but you know, it's a it's a 296 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 2: negative game script. So yeah, I think that's a good line. 297 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 2: But I have him just under so I'll both the 298 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:32,839 Speaker 2: under damn. 299 00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess. Yeah with the scrambling rate too. Maybe 300 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 3: you're a little bit lower on the passing yards, but 301 00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 3: overall he makes up for it with the rushing production. 302 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 3: Makes sense. But yeah, like he's really tough to project 303 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 3: because that high a dot, like he's gonna be a 304 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:47,959 Speaker 3: you know, pretty boom bust. So the trailing game script, 305 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 3: I do like his upside in the passing hour department. 306 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: I like him this week. All right, let's jump to 307 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 1: run back. Who's your top five? Oh man? 308 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 3: So this is a dumpsterfire with no Jonathan Taylor in there. 309 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 3: I got Sego and Bark, Christian McCaffrey, Nick Chubb, Austin Eckler, 310 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 3: and then Derrick Henry number five, And honestly, I could 311 00:14:06,160 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 3: you know, flip any one of these any directions. So 312 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:11,199 Speaker 3: it's it's a pretty tight top five to be honest. 313 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, man, you know, I let you shut up my 314 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 2: Derrick Henry top five last week, but I'm not doing 315 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:17,680 Speaker 2: it this week. 316 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: I got Derek Henry number one this week. Murdered. 317 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 2: He murdered the coach the top three run defense DVOA 318 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 2: uh so, and he looked good like he you know, 319 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 2: he didn't look great like first game of the season, 320 00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 2: but he looks back to form. And I love that 321 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 2: they're throwing him the ball now, so you know I 322 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 2: have him. Uh he's around forty percent routes run now 323 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 2: and uh you know you can actually project him for 324 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 2: a couple of catches these days, which you know used 325 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: to be you know, unheard of for Derek Henry. So 326 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,320 Speaker 2: I love his usage in the passing game. He's number one, McCaffrey, 327 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 2: number two, say Quan number three, only he's only my 328 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 2: number three because you know, going to London with we 329 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 2: don't know who the quarterback is going to be, just 330 00:14:57,040 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 2: the whole team touchdown projection goes down for me for 331 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 2: the Giant, so and it could be a negative game script, 332 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 2: which you know is still that idea even though he 333 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 2: does catch passes. And then I got Dalvin Cook number four. 334 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 2: You know, he didn't really get knocked down even with 335 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 2: his you know, harness, shoulder harness. He still carried the 336 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:19,200 Speaker 2: load for Minnesota against the Saints and did pretty okay. 337 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 2: So like him and then Ekwa, Yeah, Ekwer's back in 338 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 2: my top five at number five. Love loved the touchdown 339 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 2: aggression for him last week. And this grounds team just 340 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 2: got run over by Caleb Huntley. 341 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 1: So of all people, give me who you hire a 342 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 1: Breese Hall? 343 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:40,160 Speaker 3: I mean, finally, finally we can say Breese Hall is 344 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 3: the workhorse back in the South offense. That took what 345 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 3: four weeks, But I don't have to promote Michael Carter anymore, 346 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 3: thank god. But you know he nearly doubled Michael o'carter's 347 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 3: touches on the ground. Breese Hall seventeen carries the Carter's nine, 348 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 3: and more importantly, he saw both goaling carries, that being 349 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 3: Breese Hall, and he punched one in for a touch. 350 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 3: I think it was the go had a touchdown if 351 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 3: I'm not mistaken. But and he's tied for the most 352 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 3: targets for running back with Os Snackler with twenty nine, 353 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 3: so he's basically doing it all right now. He was 354 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:13,240 Speaker 3: definitely my favorite rookie running back heading into the season. 355 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 3: I thought he was a blend of Joe Mixon and 356 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,760 Speaker 3: Kareem Hunt. I didn't love the landing spot because Carter 357 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 3: was there. But it looks like he has finally become 358 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 3: the workhorse back. So he's you know, running back nineteen. 359 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 3: For me, consensus is Harby twenty eight. Ohkay good, that 360 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 3: is high. 361 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, I got him twenty sixth I thought. 362 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 3: I was, like I have I've been waiting for this moment, 363 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 3: so I'm just whatever ECR is going to add ten 364 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 3: to that. It's just like I said, he's seeing the 365 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 3: goaling touches and a lot of the passing work. I mean, 366 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 3: like I said, he's tied for the most targets for 367 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 3: running back with twenty nine and that was despite last 368 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 3: week was his highest routes run right at sixty one, 369 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 3: So he has room to grow there. You know, maybe 370 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 3: Zach Goils is not going to dump it off as 371 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 3: much as Flacco, but either way, love Resall this week 372 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 3: and going forward the other guy, I looks like you're 373 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,239 Speaker 3: on too, so I'll make it quick. But Mndrick Stevenson 374 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 3: love him as well. He's my RB twenty gets to 375 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 3: face the Lions this week. I don't we don't know 376 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 3: who's going to be the quarterback for the Patriots this week, 377 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:12,520 Speaker 3: but either way, should be a pretty conservative game plan 378 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 3: where they want to run it against this terrible Lions 379 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 3: D and maybe some dump off passes Stevenson. But it 380 00:17:17,880 --> 00:17:21,120 Speaker 3: looks like Stevenson and Damian Harris are sort of sharing 381 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 3: the early down work, with Stevenson dominating the passing down work. 382 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 3: So love Stevenson's short term and long term. I mean 383 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 3: he has set up for a potential RB two rest 384 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 3: of the way ranking for me. So this week you 385 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 3: know he's rby twenty, but rest of the season, you know, 386 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 3: the sky's linement with him. 387 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was surprised to see him pop the high 388 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 2: in my model, but yeah, I got him at RB eighteen, 389 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 2: so I mean a big there. He's been averaging seventeen 390 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 2: touched his ninety five scrimmage yards per game his last 391 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 2: two Detroit. Oh yeah, they're just thirty second dead last 392 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,679 Speaker 2: and run defense DVA and twenty third in DVA on 393 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,679 Speaker 2: targets to running backs. So yeah, I have Stevenson projector 394 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,479 Speaker 2: for fifty two rushing twenty one receiving yards and in 395 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 2: point five little over half a touchdown total. 396 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: So love him. 397 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 3: Uh. 398 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 2: Jeff Wilson Junior, he's RB twenty one. I got him 399 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 2: RB fifteen. He's averaging seventeen point seven touches ninety four 400 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 2: yards over his last three games. So I have him 401 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 2: for seventy one rushing, fourteen receiving uh and points sixty 402 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,120 Speaker 2: six touchdowns against the Panthers. I think they'll be able 403 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 2: to feed him. They're really not working in any other bats. 404 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 2: I think Kevin Coleman got elevated, played like two snaps. 405 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: Use check does handle some the passing downs. But either way, 406 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,920 Speaker 2: you know, this should this should be a game where 407 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,479 Speaker 2: the Niers are able to dominate time of possession with 408 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,679 Speaker 2: that you know, number one defense going against the Baker 409 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:47,120 Speaker 2: Bayfield led Carolina offense. So like Wilson, and then one 410 00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 2: more Raheem Moster. His snap rates the last in the 411 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 2: four weeks as a Dolphin forty two percent in week one, 412 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 2: fifty five percent in week two, fifty six percent in 413 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 2: week three, seventy two percent last week, and now he's 414 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 2: had a ten day break, so I you know, I 415 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 2: think they like him. 416 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: You know, McDaniels just. 417 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,120 Speaker 2: Likes him more is that's his guy from San Francisco. 418 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 2: And you know most had had that crazy stretch during 419 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 2: that Super Bowl run under McDaniel. So, you know, I 420 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:15,239 Speaker 2: think Moster could continue to build on what he's been doing. 421 00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 2: Had a season high seventeen touches last week. So I 422 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 2: haven't projected for fifty four rushing yards, seventeen receiving yards 423 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,400 Speaker 2: and over half over half a touchdowns. 424 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:24,719 Speaker 3: Seventeen receiving yards night. 425 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean he's he dominated the pass down work 426 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 2: yea from Edmunds, even though Edmunds did get the touchdown. 427 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:33,199 Speaker 2: Let's see, it was believe it was like in the 428 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 2: sixties for most of last week. 429 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,680 Speaker 3: It was. Yeah, it was like sixty one or something 430 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:37,959 Speaker 3: like that. 431 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:42,080 Speaker 2: Sixty seven, sixty seven, sixty seven, twenty three to twenty 432 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 2: three for Edmunds last week in terms of route participation. 433 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: So I don't have it projected that high. 434 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 2: But you know, even with just kind of going off 435 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,919 Speaker 2: the you know, Frends, he still comes out as like 436 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: a top thirty. 437 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 3: He was getting some thirty long work. I think he 438 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 3: was in for the two minute offense too, So he's 439 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 3: already dominating the early done work and now he being 440 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 3: into Chase Edmonds passing hour. Not good for Chase Edmonds 441 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:05,159 Speaker 3: but great for most are. That was one of the 442 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 3: props where I had the over in week three and 443 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 3: he had zero catches for zero ears and then he 444 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 3: just shattered it the next week. So any losing prop 445 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:14,879 Speaker 3: I have out there, you know, back it up the 446 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 3: next week. It's the recommendation there. But yeah, no, I 447 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 3: love the Mozart call. I'm not I'm not as high 448 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:21,360 Speaker 3: as you, but love the process. 449 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: All right, what about guys, you're will one. 450 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 3: So the guy in long this right now is Naji 451 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 3: Harris at Buffalo. He's my rby twenty four consensus has 452 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,160 Speaker 3: a RB fourteen for some reason where he saw Kenny 453 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 3: Pickett Vulture two touchdowns from Nause and also he didn't 454 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:40,920 Speaker 3: really target Nause at all. Nag had zero receptions last week. 455 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,200 Speaker 3: So I don't really know what we're hanging our hat 456 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 3: on with Nause right now other than inefficient carries between 457 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 3: the twenties. And this should be a negative game script 458 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 3: against the Bills. So I'm gonna want to see Pickett, 459 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,159 Speaker 3: you know, dumping it off to Harris to really trust 460 00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:57,919 Speaker 3: Harris is even a high end RB two, So I'm 461 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 3: very low on Harris. It was the other week we 462 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,199 Speaker 3: saw a little bit of Jalen Warren. He sort of 463 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 3: looked like he popped, so he could be somebody that 464 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 3: you know, starts to eat it into Harris's role. There's 465 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 3: just a lot of things not to like about Nausea 466 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 3: right now. So going into this week, I'm super low 467 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:14,640 Speaker 3: on him. He's more of a low end RB two 468 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 3: until we see more out of him. 469 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's I have am RB twenty, so I'm a 470 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 2: little higher, but still well within consensus. But it's it's 471 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 2: crazy because I haven't projective for like nineteen touches and 472 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,119 Speaker 2: eighty scrimmage yards, but you know, he's still down there 473 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 2: at R twenty because he just you know, his touchdown 474 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,600 Speaker 2: projection is like zero point four. 475 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:30,879 Speaker 3: You know. 476 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 1: It's just it's just. 477 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 2: Not a good week for the Steelers offense, especially now 478 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 2: that picket, like you said, is under is behind center. 479 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 2: You know, that's that could just take away some of 480 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:42,640 Speaker 2: that those Russian scores. 481 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:43,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 482 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 3: Also, just you know Pickett scrambling more, isn't that going 483 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,640 Speaker 3: to impact Nause's target again? Zero targets last week, So. 484 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's that kind of that's I think, yeah, 485 00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 2: like I just kind of I don't overreact to that, 486 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 2: but you know, it's just overall Pittsburgh. I have him 487 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 2: projected for like what one point eight total touchdown, so 488 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 2: the rushing touchdowns are only like point seven, and then 489 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,640 Speaker 2: I have Picket getting point two of those. 490 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,360 Speaker 1: So it's just not there's only. 491 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 2: You know, he's once less than fifty to fifty back 492 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,360 Speaker 2: this week I think to score a touchdown. 493 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 3: Yep. 494 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,639 Speaker 1: Another guy on one on is Melvin Gordon. He is 495 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 1: RB twenty. 496 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 2: Like I don't know how why, but he's I mean, 497 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 2: there's a chance he could be the backup. There's a 498 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 2: chance he could even be the third string if they 499 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 2: really like Withadavius Murray and they activate him. The point 500 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 2: is there's too much uncertainty to rank him in the 501 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 2: top twenty. He got out snapped nineteen to ten by 502 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:39,719 Speaker 2: Michael Boone last week, and even if you go back 503 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 2: to the last two weeks, Boone started mixing in the week before, 504 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 2: so Gordon only has a five snap edge over Boon 505 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,239 Speaker 2: over the last two weeks thirty eight to thirty three. Uh, 506 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,919 Speaker 2: He's fumbled four times in four games three times in 507 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,440 Speaker 2: the last two games. And he's which is this is 508 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 2: the most crazy, the craziest that I've ever heard. He 509 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 2: has three fumbles that have been taken back to the 510 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 2: house by the defense in his last eleven games. Like 511 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 2: some dudes could go a whole career without one, he. 512 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 1: Has three in the last eleven games. 513 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 2: So, you know, I think, you know, seeing that with 514 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 2: Tavius Murray was game, you know, kind of just got 515 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 2: caught up in the practice squad and led that Saints 516 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 2: backfield last week. 517 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,399 Speaker 1: I think he if he's active, that could be a problem. 518 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 2: But even if he's not, I don't know how you 519 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 2: can really project Gordon for anything more than like a 520 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 2: fifty to fifty split with Boone at this point, giving 521 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 2: that Boone doubled him up and snap break last week. 522 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 2: So I have Gordon and outside the top forty right now. 523 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:34,679 Speaker 2: I just I just don't trust him. I don't think 524 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,880 Speaker 2: you want to trust any of these Broncos back this week, 525 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 2: and we just don't know what's going on. And the 526 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:42,200 Speaker 2: coach are still somehow top three and run defense DVOA, 527 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,960 Speaker 2: even after giving up some yardists to Derrick Henry last week. 528 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 2: So I guess the schedule adjustments kind of playing into that. 529 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 2: But yeah, it's just tough matchup and too much uncertainty. 530 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 2: And then one more guy I'll mention is Antonio Gibson. 531 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,200 Speaker 2: When I first checked, he was a little higher. Now 532 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,760 Speaker 2: he's I'm only a couple of spots lower than CONSENTSUS 533 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:02,479 Speaker 2: on him, but I have him all the way down 534 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 2: at RB thirty two, and I might lower him more 535 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 2: depending on the status of Brian Robinson. But Gibson snaps 536 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 2: have gone him sixty four percent in week one, fifty 537 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 2: four percent, Week two, forty four percent, Week three, forty 538 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 2: one percent last week, and you know Tennessee is top 539 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 2: ten in run defense DVOA and their third in DVOA 540 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 2: on targets to back. So I only have Gibson projective 541 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:28,760 Speaker 2: for around just a little over sixty total youngs and 542 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,159 Speaker 2: might be lowering it even more if Robinson ends up 543 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 2: being active this week. 544 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:35,919 Speaker 3: I can't believe I didn't think that the Gibson call 545 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,159 Speaker 3: it because I have him RB thirty seven. 546 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:38,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. 547 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 3: Now, granted I am I am projecting Brian Robinson a return, 548 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 3: but I mean Gibson, his routes run rate has plummeted 549 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,679 Speaker 3: it was twenty percent last week. Jad McKissick, is you know, 550 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 3: in his normal role running close to sixty percent of 551 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:56,120 Speaker 3: routes run. But yeah, like Jonlyn Williams started to eat 552 00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 3: into Gibson's rushing shirt just Gibson doesn't looked good this year, 553 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 3: Jonathan Williams, Uh, you look pretty good, so he could 554 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 3: eat into it. Certainly, Brian Robinson will eat into it. 555 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 3: So if there's ever a time to get on and Anton, 556 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 3: it gives me like he can't sell low, sell high. 557 00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 3: I don't know what his market value is right now, 558 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:13,400 Speaker 3: but get rid of him. 559 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 2: Yeah what it was one hundred and thirty scrimmage yards 560 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 2: in week one and then forty one scrimma yards in 561 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 2: a week two, forty scrimma yards in week three and 562 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:24,520 Speaker 2: in sixty three last week. 563 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 1: So I mean it's he really. 564 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 2: If he's he's touchdown dependent as it is, and if 565 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:32,160 Speaker 2: Robinson ends up like getting goal on work, that could 566 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 2: really torpedo his value. 567 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:39,439 Speaker 1: Okay, let's do a prop and uh, I'm gonna go. 568 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,640 Speaker 2: I'll spare you with Melbourne Gordon and his whole broncos 569 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 2: quagmire because we don't we don't even know, like if 570 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 2: Murray's gonna be active. 571 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:46,879 Speaker 1: Or not so? 572 00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 3: Right? 573 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: Right? 574 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 2: Oh, another one that's kind of interesting and I think 575 00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 2: people are gonna need to figure out, and that's Tyler Algier. 576 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 2: So you know he had the kind of split work 577 00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,639 Speaker 2: with Caleb hunt We last week. So let's go this 578 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 2: rush yards. Let's go with forty four and a half. 579 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 3: Oh my god, I was gonna say, under, no matter 580 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 3: what I have, forty four shit, you not nice. But 581 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 3: I'm still going under just that this whole running back 582 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 3: situation has a very low floor. They're at Tampa Bay, 583 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,400 Speaker 3: but Algier was playing sort of like the pass catching back, 584 00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 3: which has really no value in this offense. Mariota hasn't 585 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,920 Speaker 3: been targeting his running backs, and Huntley was sort of 586 00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 3: the goal line back, which again doesn't have much value 587 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 3: in this offense because they don't score ma any touchdowns. 588 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 3: So it was really tricky to project. And then Damien 589 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 3: Williams correct me if I wrong. I think he's returning 590 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 3: next week or could return the next couple of weeks. 591 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 3: So I'm avoiding this back to like the plague. But 592 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,640 Speaker 3: I love Algier. He was my favorite running backs heading 593 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 3: into the season. It reminds me of like a discount 594 00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 3: James Connor, but they didn't really use them that way 595 00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 3: last week. So well, I'm sorry, short, I'm going under. 596 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,639 Speaker 3: But that is an amazing line because I have that 597 00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 3: forty four. 598 00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,760 Speaker 2: It's an interesting projection for me because you know, how 599 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 2: much do you value kind of like the bucks and 600 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:07,200 Speaker 2: the game script. But one thing about the Falcons that 601 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 2: that's really interesting. They are leading the league in yards 602 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 2: before contact for their for their halfback, so that means 603 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 2: is that their offensive line is playing really well. Uh 604 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,800 Speaker 2: and they're also one of the top teams in PFF's 605 00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 2: team run block rating, so it's a fascinating matchup. But yeah, 606 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,080 Speaker 2: I just set them undred forty four. You know, eleven 607 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 2: carries four yards of pop. 608 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,399 Speaker 3: Right there with you, and we're done projecting in the 609 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 3: top ten. Right. 610 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,639 Speaker 1: Oh my god? That that was. That was miserable. I 611 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: started one. 612 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 2: I started him over Brady because like it was like 613 00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,720 Speaker 2: an early game, and like I didn't know if Brady 614 00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:46,359 Speaker 2: was gonna have all these guys and so like I 615 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,600 Speaker 2: was like, yeah, no, the close enough, Like yeah. 616 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,520 Speaker 3: He's like he's like justin fields without the rushing yards 617 00:27:52,560 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 3: right now. Just can't believe what they're doing with them anyways. 618 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: Justin field, just like Taysom Hill without the rushing yards. 619 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, exactly one one completion. 620 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 1: All right, wide receiver. Who's in the top. 621 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 3: Five Cooper Cup, Justin Jefferson, Safon Diggs, Terry Hill, Jamar Chase. 622 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 3: So pretty straightforward this. 623 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 1: Week, yep, Cup, Jefferson digs at it. Wait who do 624 00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:21,320 Speaker 1: you have number four? Oh? 625 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:22,920 Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill? Ever heard of him? 626 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:23,160 Speaker 1: Oh? 627 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 2: Oh okay, No, no, no, I was like someone different 628 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 2: from mine. 629 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 630 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Adams at this point and then and 631 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,160 Speaker 1: then Chase number five. Uh yeah, you know, I'm going 632 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,400 Speaker 1: back to Adams here against Kansas City. You know, high 633 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:37,080 Speaker 1: total game. 634 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 2: I did have healing I think it was five or 635 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 2: six last week, though, So. 636 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 3: Do you have Hima Renfro coming back this week? Is 637 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 3: that maybe the difference? 638 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: No? 639 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I do have him coming back, so, oh okay, 640 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,640 Speaker 2: And I still have Adams that high. I mean he's 641 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 2: he's running round ninety eight percent of the dropbacks. 642 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, No, I'm not going to argue against if 643 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:57,760 Speaker 3: you have him start him. 644 00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 2: And we've kind of been seeing you know, like Hill 645 00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 2: got that lucky sixty five yard grabs, so like we 646 00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 2: might we've kind of been seeing them kind of alternate 647 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 2: the game sometimes Hill and oh yeah, no, yeah, I 648 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 2: heard that. 649 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 3: Jerry Hill is quarterback proof. He remember he was posting 650 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 3: legit wide receiver one numbers with who is it? Matt Moore? 651 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, no, I love that. I love Yeah. 652 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:21,040 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter that it's Teddy under center. Just really 653 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,719 Speaker 3: this top seven yeah, top seven, it's all elite. 654 00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, debo oh man, yeah, oh my god. 655 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:28,960 Speaker 3: Yeah we called that one right. 656 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 1: Whoa he always goes around just completely just stressed, so good, 657 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:35,360 Speaker 1: all right? Who who I am? 658 00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson? You know I faded him his receiving prop 659 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 3: last week. I took the under four and a half 660 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 3: and that hit. He's coming off his worst game of 661 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 3: the season and only cut two balls for forty one yards. 662 00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 3: But I was very encouraged from what I saw from 663 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 3: Zach Wilson last week. Wilson's routs run rate spiked up 664 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:56,640 Speaker 3: to eighty eight percent. Granted week three he was in 665 00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 3: and out of the lineup with an injury, so this 666 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 3: is coming, but could be in for a big week 667 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 3: against Dolphins defense that ranks thirty first in Day against pass. 668 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 3: This could be a sneaky shootout. This could be a 669 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 3: game that I'm stacking heavily in DFS. So love Garrett 670 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 3: Olson this week. He's my wide receiver twenty four. Yeah, 671 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:18,480 Speaker 3: well I got a thirty three? 672 00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 1: Wow? Oh what what? What do you have? Zach Wilson's 673 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:22,920 Speaker 1: passing yards? 674 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 3: Who Zach Wilson's pass Yes, let's see. Oh yeah, that 675 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 3: was a fun one to project. I said, let's know, 676 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 3: you're only you're only stale Joe Flacca this week. 677 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 2: But yeah, like you're only thirty yards. 678 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I know, I've just said screw it. Whoa. 679 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 1: I mean, you. 680 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 3: Look good doing the gritty like I have all offense. 681 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,000 Speaker 3: So just this is a good matchup, but I think 682 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,440 Speaker 3: this will be sort of a shootout. So I just 683 00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 3: went all in on the Jets passing attack. How could 684 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 3: you not? So the other guy, The other guy i'm 685 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 3: high on is Adam Feelin. My god, the past couple 686 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 3: weeks I have been high on him, but he's come through. 687 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 3: You know, he's running route over ninety five percent of 688 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,760 Speaker 3: the time all four games. His target per rout run 689 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,920 Speaker 3: rate has been over twenty percent the past two weeks. 690 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,160 Speaker 3: So you know you can project from coast to five 691 00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:22,480 Speaker 3: receptions that sort of underlying usage. So he's established a 692 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 3: very solid weekly floor and he's only scored one touchdown 693 00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 3: this year. We already even banking on touchdowns with them, 694 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 3: so could see a much higher higher ceiling for him 695 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 3: once he starts, as you know, to have positive touchdown aggression. 696 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 3: So he's my wide receiver twenty two right now, compared 697 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 3: to the consensus wide receiver thirty three. I believe so 698 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 3: love Adam Field this week. 699 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got him at twenty five. 700 00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 2: It's it's an interesting one because the Bears, I know, 701 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,520 Speaker 2: no one's throwing at Jamon Johnson, so I'm interested to 702 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 2: see how O'Connor kind of schemes that up. Is he 703 00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 2: is he gonna get Like is he just gonna like 704 00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 2: try to Osborne, like you throw him to the dogs 705 00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:00,520 Speaker 2: and like let let him just occupy him, because I 706 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 2: think Johnson stays for stationary, but no one's been thrown 707 00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:07,320 Speaker 2: at this dude. So but yeah, I have to even 708 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 2: uh not as you but eight spots higher the consensus. 709 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 2: I have about four twenty catches fifty four yards and 710 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 2: a point four to three touchdown. People, there were certain 711 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 2: some of these number two receivers, Like I feel like 712 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 2: people were way too long on coming into the season. 713 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 2: Dehen was one of them. Tyra Lockett was another. Like 714 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 2: it's like these guys are getting a little older, but 715 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,320 Speaker 2: you're not dead, like Al Robinson is dead. 716 00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 3: Robins Yeah, crushing. 717 00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:44,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll go with t Higgins. I got him wire, 718 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 2: I got him top ten. You told me to always 719 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 2: put him in the top ten, so I'm listening. He's 720 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,760 Speaker 2: got he's averaging in the non concussion game, so he 721 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 2: left week one early. In the other three games, six catches, 722 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 2: ninety six yards, point sixty seven touchdowns per game. 723 00:32:58,800 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: Uh, that's just monstrous. 724 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 2: He's kind of he's kind of cutting into Jamar Chase's production. 725 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 2: Chase is only like my wide receiver five now because 726 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 2: the Higgins has been so good. So I haven't projected 727 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 2: for five point two for seventy seven this week with 728 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 2: point four to touchdowns. And I mean he could get 729 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,640 Speaker 2: that all in the fourth quarter against the Ravens given 730 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,320 Speaker 2: what's been going on with their defense lately. And then 731 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:22,920 Speaker 2: another guy be highd is Chris Godwin. I just don't 732 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 2: think people realize that he played eighty three percent of 733 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 2: the snaps and ran arount eighty five percent of the time, 734 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 2: So I mean, we're gonna rank him high waile he's 735 00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 2: healthy and just hope he can finish games. But he 736 00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 2: ran around eighty five percent of the time. Evans was 737 00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:39,840 Speaker 2: up at ninety two, Gage was at sixty two, Julio 738 00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 2: is at thirty two. So I think we've kind of 739 00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 2: we're back to some form of normalcy in this Bucks 740 00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:46,800 Speaker 2: passing game. Eighty five is usually what you expect to 741 00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:48,440 Speaker 2: see Gaglin at and so. 742 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:49,160 Speaker 1: I've be't projected. 743 00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,160 Speaker 2: And he caught seven balls, by the way, on ten 744 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 2: targets last week. And I think this Atlanta defense is 745 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,640 Speaker 2: as we talked about with Brady very. 746 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 1: It's easy. 747 00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,160 Speaker 2: It's not hard to be like, it's not going to 748 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,240 Speaker 2: offer a ton of resistance in the pressure department. So 749 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:09,520 Speaker 2: the last game Godwin had against Atlanta fifteen catches, seventeen targets, 750 00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:13,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and forty three yards. In four games versus 751 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,560 Speaker 2: the Falcons with Tom Brady as his quarterback, he's averaging 752 00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:19,399 Speaker 2: seven for ninety four and a touchdown per game. So 753 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 2: I have Godwin at five and a half catches for 754 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,280 Speaker 2: sixty yards and just over a point four touchdowns. 755 00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,719 Speaker 3: Oh okay, okay, good, because when I was doing my 756 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:30,399 Speaker 3: initial projections. I was like, what the hell is going 757 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 3: on with Chris cat I had him at five and 758 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 3: a half catches and yeah, like I said, sometimes those 759 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,319 Speaker 3: projections kind of scare me. So like, you know, you're 760 00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:40,759 Speaker 3: trying to pack in a suitcase, you like, shut it down. 761 00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,440 Speaker 3: I lured him to four point nine, but after hearing that, 762 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 3: I think I'm going to raise him up. And yeah, 763 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:49,120 Speaker 3: he looked like he hit his knee snapping half or something. 764 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 3: Oh break, he got hurt again, But he should be fine, 765 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,680 Speaker 3: right name injury. I was scared. 766 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:56,919 Speaker 2: I haven't heard anything about it, so I'm a suit 767 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 2: like we he. 768 00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 3: Came back in the game fine, but my god, I 769 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 3: thought the season was over. But yeah, as long as 770 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,319 Speaker 3: he's healthy, you know, we should be projecting him over 771 00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:08,960 Speaker 3: five catches. So yeah, I love that calling. Yeah te Higgins, 772 00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,560 Speaker 3: I forgot the stat like, when both Higgins and Chase 773 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:16,600 Speaker 3: are healthy, I think Higgins leads him in targets, receptions, yards, 774 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 3: touchdowns or something crazy like that. But I think people 775 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 3: just don't appreciate just how close those two actually are. 776 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:24,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, Higgins is some on STU. 777 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,600 Speaker 2: I mean not catch against the Jets where he looked 778 00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 2: like he got can cussed again and just held onto 779 00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 2: the ball. Probably wasn't even conscious, like just like just 780 00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:32,840 Speaker 2: held on. 781 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:33,319 Speaker 1: To the ball. 782 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 2: But yeah, I love Higgins and Atlanta. I have them. 783 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 2: You know, defenses, you know, it's it's really noisy, so 784 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:43,440 Speaker 2: you know, I don't make a ton of adjustments. 785 00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:45,440 Speaker 1: You have very minor, but Atlanta. 786 00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:49,640 Speaker 2: I have the biggest adjustment to the opposing teams completion 787 00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:53,000 Speaker 2: rate against the Atlanta defense. They're allowing sixty nine percent 788 00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 2: completions this year. So that's also probably why I'm pretty 789 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,600 Speaker 2: high on gogin receptions. I think it's just going to 790 00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,239 Speaker 2: be pitching catch with the Falcons, you know, not getting 791 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:00,800 Speaker 2: any pressure. 792 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:02,360 Speaker 1: Who are you low? 793 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:06,200 Speaker 3: So I'm along Deontae Johnson. I have him as my 794 00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,840 Speaker 3: wide receiver twenty seven to open the week. Looks like 795 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 3: his consensus is wide receiver twenty What do you picket? 796 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:14,399 Speaker 1: What do you have? What do you like? Real quick 797 00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:16,520 Speaker 1: before you what are your projections for him? 798 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,799 Speaker 3: Just for Johnte. Yeah, yeah, that's a great question. Let 799 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:23,560 Speaker 3: me see. Uh so I have him at five point 800 00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 3: two receptions, sixty yardser point two six touchdowns. 801 00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I have him at five point eight that's 802 00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,560 Speaker 2: that's that's probably where the consensus is different. You're you're 803 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,840 Speaker 2: probably factored in Picket's like erratic a dot. 804 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:41,040 Speaker 3: You're absolutely your darn tutin And yeah, so pick that's 805 00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:45,239 Speaker 3: higher A dot third highest week four with massive for 806 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 3: George Pickens, and it could hurt Jontay. We already saw 807 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,960 Speaker 3: last week Johnte only went two for eleven h pat Friarmouth. 808 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,760 Speaker 3: He's emerging, you know, seven catches for eighty five yards, 809 00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 3: so similar to Garrett Wilson last week. I'm just taking 810 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,880 Speaker 3: a little bit of a step back. You know, whenever 811 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:04,080 Speaker 3: you have a QB change, the target teching order could change. Now, 812 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:08,799 Speaker 3: certainly Deanta Johnson is a beast. This could change later 813 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:10,720 Speaker 3: in the season. You know, I expect him to dominate 814 00:37:10,760 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 3: the target share, but at least for this week, I'm 815 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:15,919 Speaker 3: a little bit higher on Pickens, a little bit higher 816 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 3: in Firemouth, and a little bit lower on Downte Johnson. 817 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,480 Speaker 3: That's all that's going on here, So that's why he's 818 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:21,720 Speaker 3: my wide receiver twenty seven. 819 00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:25,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm pretty high on Pickens. I'm right on consensus 820 00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:29,200 Speaker 2: with Johnson. I haven't docked Pickts like were you have 821 00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 2: Pickens Pickens. 822 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,319 Speaker 1: I have watched three forty four you have, I think 823 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:33,560 Speaker 1: you have. 824 00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,920 Speaker 3: I'm a lower yeah the fifties. 825 00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 2: Pickens was targeted on thirty one percent of his routs last. 826 00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,080 Speaker 1: Week, so yeah, I think he should as he should. 827 00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:44,239 Speaker 1: But yeah, that that does knock Johnson down. 828 00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:46,759 Speaker 2: But Johnson's usually like in my top like twelve, so 829 00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 2: that kind of knocked them at twenty. 830 00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:49,640 Speaker 1: But I do have them for five point eight catches. 831 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 2: I'm I just think against this buffalo, you know, zone, 832 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 2: Like it's still I'm not knocking Picket too much for 833 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,919 Speaker 2: his A dot yet because he also completed every throw 834 00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:00,520 Speaker 2: that wasn't picked, so like, you know, I mean it's 835 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:02,600 Speaker 2: like the sample is still small enough for me to 836 00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:04,919 Speaker 2: like like say, I'm gonna wait and see and see 837 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:06,920 Speaker 2: how it kind of plays out with a week to 838 00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:10,440 Speaker 2: prepare and whatever. But yeah, who else, who's you wrong 839 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:11,000 Speaker 2: on anyone else? 840 00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:12,160 Speaker 3: Now? 841 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,080 Speaker 1: I got I got quite a few guys so far away. 842 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is this is, I mean these 843 00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:20,799 Speaker 2: are there's some of mines at wide receiver this year 844 00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:25,399 Speaker 2: and a Marii Cooper I'm surprisingly pretty well on this week. 845 00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:27,960 Speaker 2: I have him a wide receiver thirty six he's consensus 846 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:30,480 Speaker 2: wide receiver twenty one, so he had two games with 847 00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:33,040 Speaker 2: one hundred receive one hundred and one receiving yards exactly. 848 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 2: But his other two games he hit seventeen yards and 849 00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 2: nine yards. So to me, that's just too inconsistent right 850 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,719 Speaker 2: now for a wide receiver two you know ranking, so 851 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,239 Speaker 2: he's more of a wide receiver three for me. The 852 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,600 Speaker 2: Chargers are playing man coverage at the fifth highest rate, 853 00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:49,440 Speaker 2: so he couldn't even see a lot of J. C. 854 00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:49,960 Speaker 1: Jackson. 855 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:51,759 Speaker 2: I know Jackson hasn't had a great year so far 856 00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 2: coming off the injury, but still not something I want 857 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:56,040 Speaker 2: to mess with with a guy who's had two games 858 00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:58,719 Speaker 2: below twenty receiving yards and in an offense that. 859 00:38:58,880 --> 00:38:59,920 Speaker 1: Wants to run the football. 860 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,280 Speaker 2: So you know, Cooper is gonna have some good weeks, 861 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:05,040 Speaker 2: but he's more of like a DFS tournament play than 862 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,200 Speaker 2: like a bona fide top twenty four wide receiver in 863 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,560 Speaker 2: my opinion. So I have him for four point seven 864 00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:13,879 Speaker 2: for fifty three with a point three touchdowns. DJ Moore, 865 00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 2: by the way, I beat you on our DJ Moore prop. 866 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 2: You got you had over fifty and a half. He 867 00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,600 Speaker 2: landed at fifty. That should be that should be. That 868 00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:23,800 Speaker 2: should be like a tie breaker anytime somebody gets like 869 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 2: a perfect line, like if we end up tied at 870 00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:25,880 Speaker 2: the end of the. 871 00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:30,080 Speaker 1: Year, whoever has the most perfect lines I got. 872 00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 2: I don't think any of us, any of us, we've 873 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:34,399 Speaker 2: had any other ones that have been right on perfect yet. 874 00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:37,720 Speaker 1: But yeah, I can't believe you have like eleven targets. 875 00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:40,160 Speaker 2: Well no, I mean, but if you go over on 876 00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,359 Speaker 2: it and I hit the right, you know what I mean. 877 00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,520 Speaker 2: It's if you got under then I would have needed 878 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:48,000 Speaker 2: you know what I mean? Yeah enough, But yeah, DJ Moore, 879 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,520 Speaker 2: I'm still down on I having wide receiver thirty eight, 880 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,239 Speaker 2: So he's a wide receiver thirty five consensus. But I 881 00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:55,719 Speaker 2: do want to point out that San Francisco's number one 882 00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 2: in past defense DV away the third and DVO versus 883 00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 2: number one receivers. They they've short up their cornerback group, 884 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:04,360 Speaker 2: which is, like I said this before the season, like 885 00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,399 Speaker 2: San Francisco is gonna have an elite defenses this year, 886 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,759 Speaker 2: and they're they're out well on what ten points a game. 887 00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,920 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is your quarterback, He's not. He's not even 888 00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 1: hitting throws from a clean pocket. 889 00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:15,120 Speaker 2: Everything's batted down, Like I think Baker Mayfield just got 890 00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:15,600 Speaker 2: another pass. 891 00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,880 Speaker 1: Bat it down. It is Tuesday, so you know what 892 00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:19,239 Speaker 1: I mean. 893 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 2: Like, he hasn't top fifty yards this year, and he's 894 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,919 Speaker 2: averaging a career low three point three catches, thirty four 895 00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:28,000 Speaker 2: and a half yards per game, career low forty five 896 00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:30,520 Speaker 2: percent catch rate. Thank you very much, Baker Mayfield. And 897 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:32,560 Speaker 2: by the way, no drops, so that's a true catch 898 00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:36,359 Speaker 2: rate right there. Forty forty fifty five percent of the 899 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:41,360 Speaker 2: passes DJ Moore's way have been uncatchable this year. So 900 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 2: I'm going out, what's crazy? Is all that being said? 901 00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,200 Speaker 2: I still have him projected to set a season high 902 00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 2: and receiving yards at fifty four on four point four touches. 903 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:54,440 Speaker 2: But he's still wide receiver thirty eight, so you know, 904 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,200 Speaker 2: it's just zero point twenty five touchdowns. We know DJ 905 00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:00,160 Speaker 2: Moore four y five touchdowns a year, so that that's 906 00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:01,640 Speaker 2: pretty standard projection for him. 907 00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:03,920 Speaker 1: Got a shout out, Alan Robinson. 908 00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,320 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm waiting for you to show up, Alan, 909 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:11,280 Speaker 2: but you're averaging twenty four yards per game, you're averaging 910 00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:13,600 Speaker 2: two point three catches a game, zero point two to 911 00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:16,279 Speaker 2: five touchdowns, and you're doing all this despite running a 912 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:20,880 Speaker 2: route on ninety six percent of the Matthew Stafford dropbacks. 913 00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:21,520 Speaker 1: I don't know. 914 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:24,960 Speaker 2: How Like it's it's almost impossible to put up a 915 00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:28,839 Speaker 2: worse receiving stat line while running a route ninety six 916 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:29,359 Speaker 2: percent of the time. 917 00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:31,960 Speaker 1: Mean what Like I can't even think of somebody who. 918 00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:35,000 Speaker 2: Because like not even like Jalen Geiten or Andre Patton 919 00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:37,319 Speaker 2: ran that many routes when they were on the Chargers, right, Like, 920 00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:39,520 Speaker 2: who's the last guy to run this many routes to 921 00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:41,759 Speaker 2: not get like even two and a half catches a game? 922 00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:43,680 Speaker 3: I mean, Decus Robinson. 923 00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:48,160 Speaker 2: Oh no, here like the seventies percent, Like he's not 924 00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,120 Speaker 2: just ninety six percent, he's he's essentially out of the 925 00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:55,680 Speaker 2: game for like one to two pass naps a game, right, Well, he's. 926 00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:59,359 Speaker 3: Watching target vacuum that is Cooper Cup to be fair, 927 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:02,799 Speaker 3: but I at your play, oh Keelyn Cole last week, 928 00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:03,279 Speaker 3: I think he. 929 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,960 Speaker 1: Ran like oh yeah, yeah, no targets. 930 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:10,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, basically whoever the third receiver is for the UH Raiders. 931 00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:14,080 Speaker 1: Yeah takes the cake. But yeah, it's been ugly for Robinson. 932 00:42:14,200 --> 00:42:18,120 Speaker 2: So again another guy I'm still factoring into progression, So 933 00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:20,480 Speaker 2: still have him around three catches for forty yards. 934 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 1: But uh, you know it's. 935 00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 2: You know, it's actually a decent matchup for him this 936 00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,720 Speaker 2: week because the Cowboys like to play more man. Robinson 937 00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:29,680 Speaker 2: just doesn't get open versus his own anymore. Like it's 938 00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:31,520 Speaker 2: just he's two. I don't know what it is, but 939 00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:34,319 Speaker 2: it was a problem last year in Chicago. It's been 940 00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:36,320 Speaker 2: a problem. It's here and that's it's just a problem 941 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,600 Speaker 2: because most defenses, even the ones that are man heavy, 942 00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:41,759 Speaker 2: are still playing usually over fifty percent zone. So but 943 00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:43,960 Speaker 2: this week Dallas, you know, they do play a good 944 00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:45,840 Speaker 2: amount of man, so maybe maybe Robinson gets in the 945 00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:47,920 Speaker 2: end zone, but still having wid receiver fifty seven, don't 946 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:48,359 Speaker 2: start him. 947 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,479 Speaker 1: And the last one is Corey Davis. Uh, listen. 948 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:53,960 Speaker 2: He had a great second half with Zach Wilson, a 949 00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 2: lot of clutch catches. 950 00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:56,399 Speaker 1: Great to see it. 951 00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:58,600 Speaker 2: He still ran around on just seventy one percent of 952 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:01,919 Speaker 2: the dropbacks because as you mentioned, Garrett Wilson not leaving 953 00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,400 Speaker 2: the game this time up at eighty eight percent, and 954 00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:08,680 Speaker 2: then DJ not DJ Elijah Moore was over ninety percent. 955 00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,600 Speaker 2: So Davis is the third receiver in this offense. He's 956 00:43:11,680 --> 00:43:13,680 Speaker 2: running a route about seventy to seventy five percent of 957 00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:17,320 Speaker 2: the time. And you know, with Zach Wilson at quarterback 958 00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,560 Speaker 2: as the third receiver and Conquen's kind of cutting into 959 00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,839 Speaker 2: it too, I just don't think you're gonna get any 960 00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:27,600 Speaker 2: consistency with Davis. So I have Davis projected for forty 961 00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:30,560 Speaker 2: yards with under three catches and just point two touchdowns 962 00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,600 Speaker 2: this week. So he's he's wide receiver for forty nine consensus, 963 00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:35,839 Speaker 2: but he's my sixty seven. 964 00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:37,839 Speaker 1: Who are you going with for the pro? 965 00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:42,880 Speaker 3: Gotta go with Romeo Dobbs here total receiving yards against 966 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:46,840 Speaker 3: the Giants, and I'm going with let's go DJ Moore's 967 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:48,960 Speaker 3: line last suit. Let's go with fifty and a half. 968 00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:50,600 Speaker 1: I got him at fifty. 969 00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:56,920 Speaker 2: No, let me think about this. 970 00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,640 Speaker 3: Dan know he looks good though, doesn't he He looks. 971 00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,279 Speaker 1: I mean we called this, we were on this. 972 00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,040 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go over just love the guy, and I'm 973 00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:05,200 Speaker 2: calling because I have him. 974 00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:07,280 Speaker 1: I have him two point five percent. 975 00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,280 Speaker 2: Routes run behind Tizard, but I could easily just equal 976 00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:12,040 Speaker 2: them out and then like he would get another yard. 977 00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:12,360 Speaker 1: Stuff. 978 00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:15,600 Speaker 2: He's my He was twenty eight, but right now I 979 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,200 Speaker 2: have him four point six for fifty uh and zero 980 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,240 Speaker 2: point four touchdowns, so expecting. 981 00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:23,960 Speaker 3: He had a thirty yard touchdown called back last speaker. 982 00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,880 Speaker 2: Yep, that's what's making me want to go over because 983 00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:29,279 Speaker 2: like there's like un although I do account for that 984 00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,279 Speaker 2: somewhat and like I cause I factor in the A 985 00:44:31,360 --> 00:44:34,280 Speaker 2: dot when I'm projecting, you know, like receiving yardage and stuff. 986 00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:37,040 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's uh, it's looking go for Dobbs. 987 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:40,479 Speaker 2: He's uh, he's going to be key to them making 988 00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,000 Speaker 2: a playoff run this year because. 989 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:43,120 Speaker 1: He he's the guy that can get open. 990 00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:46,319 Speaker 2: Although I will say this, Uh, you liked Wizard in 991 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:47,880 Speaker 2: the preseason, I didn't. 992 00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,439 Speaker 1: I was wrong. He looks a lot better to see. 993 00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,719 Speaker 2: I know, he's looking more and more like a Drake 994 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,839 Speaker 2: London than like a like you know, he just never 995 00:44:56,120 --> 00:44:57,480 Speaker 2: he looked like he's look he looks a. 996 00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,000 Speaker 1: Little bit Spry's you know what I mean. 997 00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:03,279 Speaker 2: So you know he's not quite Mike Evans out there, 998 00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,560 Speaker 2: but he's looking a lot better and he's he's been 999 00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:08,360 Speaker 2: open a little bit more, uh than I thought he 1000 00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,440 Speaker 2: was gonna be. So yeah, his his target route run 1001 00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,960 Speaker 2: is still eighteen Lazard Dobbs is twenty two, but uh 1002 00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:17,680 Speaker 2: that you know, that's still I think if anyone, if 1003 00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:19,560 Speaker 2: you said Lazard was going to be an eighteen percent, 1004 00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:21,560 Speaker 2: I think that anyone would be happy with that. Touch 1005 00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 2: on upside, Yeah, exactly exactly. And Cop is looking good too, right, 1006 00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:28,360 Speaker 2: Like it's so weird, like even Watkins look good. I 1007 00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 2: don't watch the Packagers have a good receiving core after all. 1008 00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:33,000 Speaker 3: Too soon on the Cop I had an under two 1009 00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,360 Speaker 3: and a half receptions. Yeah, zero with like five minutes 1010 00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:38,799 Speaker 3: left and got three. Yeah, oh my god, you got 1011 00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,799 Speaker 3: that game. Yeah, you got the garbage run to end 1012 00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:43,239 Speaker 3: the game. They just dumped them off and he was like, 1013 00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:44,480 Speaker 3: what do you want me to do? And he just 1014 00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,400 Speaker 3: danced around for a little bit and laid down and 1015 00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,400 Speaker 3: then they got a shoe stream touch and ot. But 1016 00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:51,600 Speaker 3: that was that was a brutal be with Kyle. But yeah, 1017 00:45:51,600 --> 00:45:52,239 Speaker 3: he does look good. 1018 00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:53,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's finish it up. 1019 00:45:53,480 --> 00:45:55,160 Speaker 2: Let's go quick through to the tight ends you got 1020 00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:55,600 Speaker 2: into tough on. 1021 00:45:55,880 --> 00:46:00,960 Speaker 3: Travis Kelcey, Mark Andrews, Darren Waller, Tyler Higbee, and Dallas Daddard. 1022 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,160 Speaker 2: Let's go, oh, I like this because I have a 1023 00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 2: like a totally different top five. Uh you remember one 1024 00:46:07,120 --> 00:46:12,239 Speaker 2: what no, no, no, no, He's like it's like he's like 1025 00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:14,759 Speaker 2: their new like He's like he's like their new running back. 1026 00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,279 Speaker 2: She's like handoffs him like five yard catch over and 1027 00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:22,960 Speaker 2: over again. But I have Chelsea Andrews. It'll three, Goddard four, 1028 00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:29,720 Speaker 2: Hockinson five. So a little, a little, a little different Waller, 1029 00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:33,919 Speaker 2: I'm just Waller where I don't know. US vegans would 1030 00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,759 Speaker 2: like to know. Derek Carr would like to know one 1031 00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:39,520 Speaker 2: in three Vegas and Josh mc daniz we would also like. 1032 00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:40,680 Speaker 1: To know where Darren Waller is. 1033 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 2: I don't know the answer to that question, but he's 1034 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:47,560 Speaker 2: not tight end six just you know, I think Hockinson. 1035 00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:50,239 Speaker 2: You know, it's like, I know he's not gonna get 1036 00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,080 Speaker 2: the same kind of usage with all the guys back, 1037 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 2: but uh, you know there's a chance that guys are 1038 00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:58,120 Speaker 2: still banged up and just projecting him for his normal 1039 00:46:59,120 --> 00:46:59,719 Speaker 2: staff count. 1040 00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:03,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, he cracks the top five over Waller this week. 1041 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:06,279 Speaker 2: You know, maybe if I think renfro out, then you know, 1042 00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,640 Speaker 2: it switches around, but then it's kind of early in. 1043 00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:10,360 Speaker 1: A week for that, but maybe no flip five. But 1044 00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:11,759 Speaker 1: I want who are you high on? 1045 00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:14,640 Speaker 2: Because I want to talk about Goddard, but I'll let 1046 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:15,240 Speaker 2: you go first. 1047 00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,920 Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, man, I wrote him down as I'm high on, 1048 00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,320 Speaker 3: but I moved off to him. I'm going, but logan Thomas. 1049 00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:23,600 Speaker 3: You know, he saw his routes run rate jump up 1050 00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:25,960 Speaker 3: to seventy three percent last week. We know, based on 1051 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:30,560 Speaker 3: the Commander's football team, their history, this could go over 1052 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:33,399 Speaker 3: eighty percent. So he's still on the climate. I think 1053 00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:35,279 Speaker 3: in terms of playing time, they could be without Johan 1054 00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:39,120 Speaker 3: Dottson this week. So I've been sneaking like he's like 1055 00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,000 Speaker 3: low end tight end won these new guys every week. 1056 00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:44,760 Speaker 3: Last week is time in the week before is like conklin. 1057 00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:46,719 Speaker 3: I'm going with Thomas this week. Let's go and then 1058 00:47:47,120 --> 00:47:49,839 Speaker 3: we have to talk about him. Tay some hill. He's 1059 00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 3: my tight end eighteen. His cons for some reason is 1060 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:56,879 Speaker 3: tight end thirty six. You laugh, but just think about it. 1061 00:47:56,920 --> 00:48:01,720 Speaker 3: His his floor zero obviously, but that's every in this range, right. Yeah, 1062 00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:03,920 Speaker 3: So I just say he's worth mentioning just because he 1063 00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:07,160 Speaker 3: has a wide range outcomes. He offers a shit ton 1064 00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:10,680 Speaker 3: of upside and the tight end twenty range, I mean 1065 00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:13,720 Speaker 3: doesn't see a catch usually or doesn't see many targets. 1066 00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,560 Speaker 3: But you know, the rushing ability, especially on the goal line, 1067 00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,080 Speaker 3: the threat of him maybe throwing the ball a couple 1068 00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:21,759 Speaker 3: of times, especially with Jameis Winston out. I just have 1069 00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:23,440 Speaker 3: to mention him like he is way up there for me. 1070 00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:24,960 Speaker 3: He's my tight end eighteen right now. 1071 00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:29,920 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I so I just bumped him up because 1072 00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:31,640 Speaker 2: you just made a good point. Like I had his 1073 00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:34,680 Speaker 2: routes run projected at ten percent, which was the season average, 1074 00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:38,040 Speaker 2: but he ran around on seventeen percent last week. Sony, 1075 00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:39,880 Speaker 2: any excuse I have, I'll just do I'll just do 1076 00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:40,439 Speaker 2: that number. 1077 00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:41,319 Speaker 1: Any excuse I have. 1078 00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,640 Speaker 3: To projecting passing SATs for him too. 1079 00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,600 Speaker 1: Like, yeah, I do all that. I got him. 1080 00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:48,600 Speaker 2: So I got him four point seven carries and a 1081 00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:52,160 Speaker 2: point and point five catches, so five point two touches 1082 00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:55,880 Speaker 2: just on on like scrimmage stuff, and yeah, so yeah, 1083 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:56,440 Speaker 2: I like him. 1084 00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:57,399 Speaker 1: I like him as well. 1085 00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,239 Speaker 2: Juwan Johnson, though, has to be one of the of 1086 00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:02,040 Speaker 2: the year in terms of like up there at Curtis 1087 00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:04,520 Speaker 2: Samuel in terms of guys that are just like completely 1088 00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:07,880 Speaker 2: obliterating what the usage we thought they're gonna get. 1089 00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:10,839 Speaker 1: But yeah, no, I like that, Sayson Hill call. 1090 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:16,280 Speaker 2: I think that's especially in DFS like that's a uh 1091 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:19,000 Speaker 2: you know, always a guy that range for sure. Yeah, 1092 00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:22,000 Speaker 2: but yeah, I gotta go with Dallas Goddard, man, I 1093 00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:23,799 Speaker 2: got to show him some loves your boy, man, I'm 1094 00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:25,319 Speaker 2: surprised you didn't stay on him, but. 1095 00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:28,320 Speaker 3: Just permanently high on him, talking about. 1096 00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:30,320 Speaker 2: He ran a route on one hundred percent of the 1097 00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:33,240 Speaker 2: dropbacks last week, which for a tight end is pretty 1098 00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:34,680 Speaker 2: much unheard of elite. 1099 00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:35,720 Speaker 3: You could say elite. 1100 00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty It's like because like huge me, you're 1101 00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:41,040 Speaker 2: gonna pass block or chip or something at least once 1102 00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:42,680 Speaker 2: or just there's gonna be like a screen where you 1103 00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:44,200 Speaker 2: don't run a route and you're just blocking. 1104 00:49:44,239 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 1: But no, ran around one hundred percent of the dropbacks. 1105 00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:49,359 Speaker 2: The only game where he his routes went down he 1106 00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:51,360 Speaker 2: he left the game due to injury, and all the 1107 00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:55,120 Speaker 2: other games he's averaging about ninety over ninety percent routes run. 1108 00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:58,040 Speaker 2: Uh So I have him conservatively about eighty seven point 1109 00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,000 Speaker 2: five and I still have him as a tight end 1110 00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:03,920 Speaker 2: and four. Arizona defense thirtieth in dvo A against tight end. 1111 00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:07,279 Speaker 2: Arizona defense second most receptions per game to tight end 1112 00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,879 Speaker 2: seven point oh second most yards per game the tight 1113 00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:12,960 Speaker 2: ends eighty five and tied for the third most touchdowns 1114 00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:15,680 Speaker 2: per game to tight ends at point seven to five. 1115 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 2: So I have a nice you know, fourth smooth four 1116 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,480 Speaker 2: for fifty line for Goddard with just over point three touchdowns. 1117 00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,880 Speaker 3: This is Goddard versus zach Ertz. Baby, let's go. 1118 00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:26,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, ERTs is. 1119 00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:28,560 Speaker 2: I think Art is like my tight end seven or eight. 1120 00:50:28,560 --> 00:50:29,920 Speaker 2: He's like in that Waller range. 1121 00:50:30,680 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 3: But three years doctor Routes run game, we finally got it. 1122 00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 1: Texty, it looks it looks a spreadsheet. It's like I 1123 00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,200 Speaker 1: have it, like uh formatic. 1124 00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:48,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's all it's nice and green n blue, Yeah, 1125 00:50:49,120 --> 00:50:49,600 Speaker 3: same thing. 1126 00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:51,200 Speaker 1: All right, who you will? 1127 00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:54,360 Speaker 3: So let's just go with Albert. Oh, let's get this 1128 00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:57,440 Speaker 3: out of the Wedding's like my tight end fifty or 1129 00:50:57,480 --> 00:51:01,160 Speaker 3: something like that. Obviously, by now, everybody, you shouldn't play him. 1130 00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:04,279 Speaker 3: I get it. But he played one snap last week. 1131 00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:08,200 Speaker 3: One snap. It is the Eric Sabert Show. But I 1132 00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,520 Speaker 3: wanted to bring him up because I think there's a 1133 00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:12,160 Speaker 3: guy that we need to have our eye on right now, 1134 00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:14,759 Speaker 3: and that's Greg Dolciic. He should be returning in one 1135 00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:18,520 Speaker 3: to two weeks. So I doubt the Broncos want to 1136 00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:20,799 Speaker 3: roll with Eric Tomlinson and Eric Saubert the rest of 1137 00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:23,480 Speaker 3: the season is their top tight end. So Doults is 1138 00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:25,520 Speaker 3: a guy that you should be, you know, taking a 1139 00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:27,840 Speaker 3: flyer on in deep leaves or whatever, you know, wherever 1140 00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:30,080 Speaker 3: you can get him, because he could be a high 1141 00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:31,680 Speaker 3: end tight end to the rest of the team. We 1142 00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,279 Speaker 3: don't know. But either way, Albert Oha is not the guy. 1143 00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:37,359 Speaker 3: So he is way down. I don't know what's going 1144 00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:39,480 Speaker 3: on exactly with him, but he's outside my top fifty 1145 00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,200 Speaker 3: and his ECR is still somewhere in the high thirties. 1146 00:51:42,200 --> 00:51:44,640 Speaker 3: So just have to throw him out there for the 1147 00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:45,760 Speaker 3: last time this season. 1148 00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:48,680 Speaker 2: It's like keating almost. It's like he has I'm predicted 1149 00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:51,760 Speaker 2: for like one reception and that's being generous. Like that's 1150 00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:54,120 Speaker 2: That's what worries me about Melvin Gordon though, is because 1151 00:51:54,160 --> 00:51:57,359 Speaker 2: like this Hacket doghouse, man, I don't know. I don't 1152 00:51:57,360 --> 00:51:59,160 Speaker 2: want any part of this Hacket dog house. 1153 00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,840 Speaker 3: But I thought that was more interesting than talking about 1154 00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:09,320 Speaker 3: like Hayden Hurson is growing down thirty five slots lower 1155 00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:09,799 Speaker 3: than over. 1156 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:13,160 Speaker 2: Oh I got, I got, I got a more reasonable 1157 00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:16,920 Speaker 2: one that may actually help people with their fantas great dulsage. 1158 00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,480 Speaker 3: That was my advice there, like I have to find 1159 00:52:19,480 --> 00:52:22,480 Speaker 3: it is like the Richie James of Broncos tight end. 1160 00:52:22,480 --> 00:52:23,440 Speaker 3: It's like you. 1161 00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:26,440 Speaker 2: Think, you think's gonna have a good game and then 1162 00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:27,520 Speaker 2: he runs like fifty percent. 1163 00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:29,080 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, by the way, I wish I had a 1164 00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:31,880 Speaker 3: white flag. I am raising the white flag and trying 1165 00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:35,759 Speaker 3: to told you, like do anything with Giants receiver point 1166 00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:38,440 Speaker 3: I told you anyway, we're off the rails and the 1167 00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:38,880 Speaker 3: tight end. 1168 00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, Pat Fryar move. 1169 00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:44,280 Speaker 2: I'm actually so you had a great game last Yeah, exactly, 1170 00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:45,560 Speaker 2: you had a great game last week. 1171 00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:46,960 Speaker 1: But I learned my lesson. 1172 00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:49,640 Speaker 2: But one of my biggest mistakes of the year was 1173 00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:52,160 Speaker 2: I had Travis Kelce Titan one all week. Then I 1174 00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:54,399 Speaker 2: was like, you know what, Like the Bucks have all 1175 00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:56,960 Speaker 2: these linebackers and safeties that are good, Like I'm just 1176 00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:59,719 Speaker 2: gonna I'm gonna keep Andrews there and like put like 1177 00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:03,239 Speaker 2: Andrews back at Titan one. And then I remembered and 1178 00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:04,719 Speaker 2: then like the game happened, and then I was like, 1179 00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,239 Speaker 2: oh my god. Yeah, like Buffalo, they even with all 1180 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:09,839 Speaker 2: these injuries, they're still just playing lightside against tight ends. 1181 00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:12,640 Speaker 2: Buffalo has is number one in DVOA against tight ends. 1182 00:53:12,760 --> 00:53:16,400 Speaker 2: They allowed thirty nine yards on eleven targets to Tyler Higbee, 1183 00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 2: so so three about three point three or whatever yards 1184 00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:23,480 Speaker 2: for target three point four and then fifteen yards on 1185 00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:27,239 Speaker 2: five targets to Mark Andrews. To all tight ends, they're 1186 00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:30,000 Speaker 2: allowing a fifty percent catch rate four point three yards 1187 00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:30,480 Speaker 2: per target. 1188 00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:32,839 Speaker 1: So I know, Friar, we's had a big game. 1189 00:53:32,880 --> 00:53:35,880 Speaker 2: I know we're all excited about Picket, but I think 1190 00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:39,000 Speaker 2: this is gonna be a matchup where he's gonna look 1191 00:53:39,040 --> 00:53:41,200 Speaker 2: to exploit some of those, you know, some of that 1192 00:53:41,239 --> 00:53:45,160 Speaker 2: inexperience at the corner positions for Buffalo. I don't think 1193 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:47,719 Speaker 2: he's gonna want because you still got Poyer back there, 1194 00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,560 Speaker 2: and we saw what he was doing, and you still 1195 00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:52,800 Speaker 2: got Milano who was a break. The Buffalo covers linebackers 1196 00:53:52,840 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 2: are great. Still got one good safety there. 1197 00:53:55,680 --> 00:53:56,400 Speaker 1: Uh you know. 1198 00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:58,440 Speaker 2: So I think it's it's a good time to kind 1199 00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:00,439 Speaker 2: of like jump off Friar moves for for a week, 1200 00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:01,840 Speaker 2: So I haven't It's not crazy. 1201 00:54:02,040 --> 00:54:03,640 Speaker 1: I have him tied in eleven, he's tight in eight. 1202 00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:06,239 Speaker 2: But in a ten team league, I would look to 1203 00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:08,480 Speaker 2: start a guy like Gerald Everett, maybe even the joku 1204 00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:09,879 Speaker 2: in the twelve team league over him. 1205 00:54:10,200 --> 00:54:12,120 Speaker 1: He's on that fringe this week for me. 1206 00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:16,000 Speaker 3: Oh, Gerald Ett. Even if McKee and Ellen and Donald Parham, 1207 00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:18,760 Speaker 3: if he ever joins the twenty and twenty two season, 1208 00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:22,279 Speaker 3: you would still rank Everett ahead of him, depending on. 1209 00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:24,160 Speaker 1: Like yeah, no, no, I have I have Keenan Allen 1210 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:26,160 Speaker 1: in here now and ever? Yeah, everthead of him. 1211 00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:27,080 Speaker 3: Oh okay, nice? 1212 00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:27,960 Speaker 1: Like yeah, I don't. 1213 00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:29,920 Speaker 2: I don't expect any real change in Everetts usage. I 1214 00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,160 Speaker 2: think it's part because mckittie's been running around on thirty 1215 00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:34,279 Speaker 2: one percent of the drop, so I just think part 1216 00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,640 Speaker 2: of him just gets most of that. I don't think 1217 00:54:36,640 --> 00:54:39,000 Speaker 2: he really cuts into Ever too much. But uh, we 1218 00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:42,840 Speaker 2: gotta go back to the Falcons because every ok got it. 1219 00:54:42,840 --> 00:54:45,040 Speaker 2: It's like the second time this year. But gotta go 1220 00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,359 Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts here. You know, it seemed like last time 1221 00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:51,680 Speaker 2: everyone was on Arthur Smith for you know, not involving him. 1222 00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:53,320 Speaker 2: He came through the big game the next week. But 1223 00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:55,840 Speaker 2: he's down to my tight end nine. So I'm curious 1224 00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,160 Speaker 2: as to what you're doing with his yardage. I'm going 1225 00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:00,799 Speaker 2: to give you a line of fifty two and a. 1226 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:03,839 Speaker 3: Half under and I was a couple of weeks, remember 1227 00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:05,320 Speaker 3: he was outside of my top five. I was like, 1228 00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:07,799 Speaker 3: I don't like what I'm seeing. His target rate has 1229 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:09,800 Speaker 3: been elite though when he's on the field. The problem 1230 00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:12,439 Speaker 3: is he hasn't been on the field running routes. And 1231 00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:16,160 Speaker 3: like I said, we're both finally we're low on Marcus Mariotta. 1232 00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:18,640 Speaker 3: So I have Marioda throwing for like, you know, one 1233 00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:22,560 Speaker 3: ninety yards or something like that, so a bit lower. Unfortunately, 1234 00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:26,080 Speaker 3: love the talent, but I got pits around forty eight. 1235 00:55:26,200 --> 00:55:28,879 Speaker 3: That's his average, So his median for me, he's got 1236 00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:31,600 Speaker 3: to be like forty four and a half. But any 1237 00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:33,680 Speaker 3: given week, he could go off if they if they 1238 00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,560 Speaker 3: let him run a route on over seventy percent of 1239 00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:40,319 Speaker 3: the dropbacks and actually throw to him, Yeah, he could 1240 00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:42,680 Speaker 3: go off, but I think it's for as dangerously low 1241 00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:44,080 Speaker 3: right now. So he's my tight end eight. 1242 00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:46,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't projected for seventy five percent of the routes, 1243 00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:49,239 Speaker 2: which is his season average. I have him at three 1244 00:55:49,239 --> 00:55:52,760 Speaker 2: point six catches for fifty one as the average projection. 1245 00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:58,239 Speaker 3: But what's your touchdown projection? Okay, all right, I'm on 1246 00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:00,399 Speaker 3: two to five. That's that's why you haven't at nine 1247 00:56:00,440 --> 00:56:01,759 Speaker 3: and said tell you that I got it. 1248 00:56:02,040 --> 00:56:03,799 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, I told you. 1249 00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:06,640 Speaker 2: I'd like you have to actually catch a touchdown to 1250 00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:08,440 Speaker 2: like get some of that regression in my like you 1251 00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:10,000 Speaker 2: know what I mean, Like if any every time he 1252 00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:12,799 Speaker 2: doesn't catch a that down and catches balls, like it 1253 00:56:12,960 --> 00:56:16,480 Speaker 2: just goes down and down. And yeah, but for the 1254 00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:17,920 Speaker 2: for the line I set you, I sent you just 1255 00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:21,040 Speaker 2: took his career average in yards per catch itch is 1256 00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:26,120 Speaker 2: around fifteen and just did three point five catches, So fifteen. 1257 00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:29,600 Speaker 3: Yards per catch. Yeah, I think I think that that's 1258 00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:30,160 Speaker 3: gonna go down. 1259 00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:33,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I don't know, but I mean it's it's one. 1260 00:56:33,280 --> 00:56:34,080 Speaker 1: We're talking about one game. 1261 00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:35,680 Speaker 3: So yeah, like I gave. 1262 00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:36,719 Speaker 1: You, Yeah, I gave you some. I gave you. 1263 00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:38,480 Speaker 2: I figured you were gonna go under, so I gave you. 1264 00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:40,520 Speaker 2: I gave you the inflation of like the best back 1265 00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:43,080 Speaker 2: you know, like they might try to force him the 1266 00:56:43,080 --> 00:56:43,680 Speaker 2: ball next week. 1267 00:56:44,360 --> 00:56:45,799 Speaker 3: At this point, I have to give you a couple 1268 00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:46,480 Speaker 3: of yards. 1269 00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:47,640 Speaker 1: We'll see what happens. 1270 00:56:47,680 --> 00:56:49,960 Speaker 2: But uh, that is going to wrap it up for 1271 00:56:50,040 --> 00:56:52,719 Speaker 2: our Week five NFL Player Projections episode of the Action 1272 00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:54,160 Speaker 2: Network podcast presented by Fando. 1273 00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,680 Speaker 1: For more great fantasy content from Sean and I, be. 1274 00:56:56,600 --> 00:56:59,359 Speaker 2: Sure to check out our full Fantasy preview episode out 1275 00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:02,520 Speaker 2: right now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. And 1276 00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:04,200 Speaker 2: if you're into betting, be sure to check out my 1277 00:57:04,239 --> 00:57:07,520 Speaker 2: weekly betting preview episode every Thursday with the Prime Minister 1278 00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:11,320 Speaker 2: Degenerate Nation Stucky right here on the Action Network podcast channel. 1279 00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:13,480 Speaker 2: Check out Action network dot com for all of our 1280 00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:16,440 Speaker 2: NFL betting and fantasy content, as well as Fantasy Labs 1281 00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:18,720 Speaker 2: dot com for our DFS tools and models. You can 1282 00:57:18,720 --> 00:57:21,400 Speaker 2: follow Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker and 1283 00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,680 Speaker 2: me at Chriss Raybond and at those same handles on 1284 00:57:23,720 --> 00:57:26,600 Speaker 2: the free, award winning Action Network app. Until next time, 1285 00:57:27,160 --> 00:57:43,360 Speaker 2: let's get dish money.