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Speaker 1: And walk men lay kick on the air. It is

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Speaker 1: Sunday Night, December twenty seventh, the view of Our Lord

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty. We are jam Jam jam packed. Tonight We've

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Speaker 1: got our college Football Playoff Prediction special, not just previews.

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Speaker 1: We are predicting games here tonight. This show comes around

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Speaker 1: once a year. Really excited about it, so obviously, how

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Speaker 1: could you be anything less than jam packed. We're going

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Speaker 1: to give you bam a Notre Dame thoughts, preview prediction

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Speaker 1: against the spread and outright, as well as Clemson and

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Speaker 1: Ohio State and the Sugar Bowl. All that, plus I've

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Speaker 1: got some more thoughts on Brian Harson going to Auburn,

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Speaker 1: and it really doesn't pertain just to Auburn. It really

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Speaker 1: pertains to the entire sport of college football. There are

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Speaker 1: a lot of things you're being told right now that

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Speaker 1: need to be fixed about college football. Half of it's

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Speaker 1: made up. There are a lot of other things that

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Speaker 1: are actually wrong with college football that are not being

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Speaker 1: told to you now. If you have common sense, if

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Speaker 1: you open your eyeball and you really pay attention, you've

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Speaker 1: probably noticed them. But some of you are very casual fans,

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Speaker 1: or maybe your fans of programs that this hasn't happened

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Speaker 1: to and so it kind kind of is oft in

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Speaker 1: the ether, but you don't really realize it. It's bad

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Speaker 1: and it really affects college football, and I'm glad Auburn

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Speaker 1: did something to try and rectify it, at least in

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Speaker 1: their little corner of the world. So I'm going to

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Speaker 1: talk about that as well. We've got a lot to

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Speaker 1: get to do. Not miss anything on the channel this week.

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Speaker 1: There's been a lot going on in Nashville. So first

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Speaker 1: and foremost, the reason I'm not sitting in a studio

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Speaker 1: in Nashville right now is because, well, we had a

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Speaker 1: bomb go off downtown and a lot of you, dozens

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Speaker 1: of you. Actually, we're hitting me up over the weekend

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Speaker 1: and over Christmas and asking me, was I all right? Well, first,

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Speaker 1: I appreciate that. So Director Colin and I are fine.

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Speaker 1: Colin lives a little bit outside of downtown. I live

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Speaker 1: right smack dab in the middle of downtown. That bomb

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Speaker 1: was about two or so blocks away from my apartment,

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Speaker 1: and I have not been home, so I was in Columbus, Georgia.

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Speaker 1: I'm back home for Christmas. So I was watching that

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Speaker 1: on the news along with you guys. I think we

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Speaker 1: had some like window damage to my place. I haven't

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Speaker 1: been back up there, but all internet is down, so

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Speaker 1: a lot of people are struggling to do work. You know,

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Speaker 1: that's the least of your concerns after a bomb goes off, obviously,

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Speaker 1: But I have not been back home because I can't

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Speaker 1: get work done up there, So that's why the show

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Speaker 1: looks a little bit different right now. I'm still in

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Speaker 1: Georgia doing the show. So you know, Director Colin and

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Speaker 1: I decided since the tornado didn't take us off air

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Speaker 1: and we were still able to get shows in when

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Speaker 1: we got hit by a tornado earlier this year, and

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Speaker 1: COVID hasn't taken us off air. Can't let a bomb

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Speaker 1: right at the end of the year take us off air.

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Speaker 1: So we're going to work straight through the bomb here.

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Speaker 1: But in all seriousness, keep the folks, especially first responders

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Speaker 1: and whatnot, and people work in that scene, keep them

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Speaker 1: in your thoughts and prayers, because that's a tough, tough

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Speaker 1: situation to be in. So I'm very fortunate and blessed.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't up there when that happened, but a lot

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Speaker 1: of people I know were and so you know, just

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Speaker 1: just kind of be mindful of that, all right. So

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Speaker 1: another thing to keep in mind as we dive into

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Speaker 1: their college football playoff preview here, the Ramen Noodle Express

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Speaker 1: is still rolling. The Ramen Noodle Express is rolling right

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Speaker 1: into bowl season, and in fact, it's caught back to

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Speaker 1: its usual fiery self again. We hit Georgia State the

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Speaker 1: other night, and there are more coming. However, I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna put them on this show tonight. You're gonna need

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Speaker 1: to be following me on Twitter at Late Kick Josh,

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Speaker 1: because we've got them released on there. I've released several

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Speaker 1: on there already. You can go back in time, and look,

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Speaker 1: I'm not tweeting like fifteen times an hour, so you

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Speaker 1: won't have to go back that far. But that's where

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Speaker 1: the picks will be. Off the top of my head.

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Speaker 1: I know we're on Wisconsin pretty big, but I don't

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Speaker 1: want to and the over in Ohio State and Clemson

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Speaker 1: at sixty six in a hook. I know we're on

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Speaker 1: that can't even remember all the games. So you're gonna

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Speaker 1: want to follow me at Late Kick Josh. All right,

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Speaker 1: With that in mind, let us dive in tonight's show.

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Speaker 1: So I wanted to just flip a coin for the

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Speaker 1: college football playoff predictions, and the coin landed on Bama

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame. So let's start it off a Rose Bowl,

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Speaker 1: one of those ultra rare Dallas Rose Bowls. You know,

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Speaker 1: the old sunset right over the interstate, just beautiful. Your

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Speaker 1: grand I probably told you about those Dallas Rose Bowls.

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Speaker 1: Haven't seen one and quite a long time, and by

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Speaker 1: that I mean ever. But here we are, Alabama Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: It's the Friday early kick. It's the four pm Eastern

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Speaker 1: time kick on ESPN. Bama is favored by twenty points,

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Speaker 1: the good old twenty spot. Here. Let me start with this. Okay,

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Speaker 1: there's a number of different directions. We could go. The

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Speaker 1: Landon Dickerson injury for Alabama at center. How big a

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Speaker 1: deal is it? It matters. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise,

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Speaker 1: Alabama or elsewhere. Don't let anyone tell you it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: It really matters. How much is this a three? Is

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Speaker 1: it a nine on the one to ten scale? How

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Speaker 1: much doesn't matter? That's the question. And so what I

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Speaker 1: have in my mind is I think it'll matter. Like

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Speaker 1: I certainly think they lose a little bit of thump

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Speaker 1: in the run game there. I mean, Landon Dickerson was

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Speaker 1: a really good two way pass pro run blocking like

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Speaker 1: he was plus in both categories. Chris Owens is likely

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Speaker 1: his replacement there. Chris Owens is a serviceable backup. Chris

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Speaker 1: Owens is a starting caliber player for a number of

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Speaker 1: teams at the POWERFY level. So the only thing I'm

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Speaker 1: worried about with them, and I don't think it'll happen

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Speaker 1: because Owens has got a lot of playing time. Would

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Speaker 1: we have any unforeseen problems? I mean, would they have

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Speaker 1: snapping problems? Would they have just leak after leak after

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Speaker 1: leak on the interior that disrupts the timing and rhythm

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Speaker 1: of Alabama's offense. I don't think we'll see that, but

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Speaker 1: that's what you would watch for early in the game.

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Speaker 1: There is a lot of Florida to Notre Dame right now.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you know where I'm going with that,

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Speaker 1: because I tried to think of a way to put

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Speaker 1: it that sounded different than anyone else has said it

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Speaker 1: because everyone else is just focused on Notre Dame. But

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Speaker 1: I always like to draw parallels. So Florida and Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame are kind of in similar positions to me. I

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Speaker 1: think that Florida may be a little bit ahead of

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame though chronologically. So think about this, they both

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Speaker 1: have this in common. They both got over really major

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Speaker 1: hurdles that heretofore seemed kind of insurmountable to the outside world. Florida,

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Speaker 1: were they ever going to get over Georgia, Well they

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Speaker 1: got them. They beat them emphatically actually in the well

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Speaker 1: in the SEC Eastern Division of the regular season, they

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Speaker 1: beat Georgia, and then you had Notre Dame, and time

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Speaker 1: after time after time, they're Cindy Lauper style. They're trying

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Speaker 1: to beat the big boys, and they finally get Clemson

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Speaker 1: to come into South Bend and they beat them, and

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Speaker 1: so you're over the big hurdles. But then what happens, Well,

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Speaker 1: what happens is Florida gets later in the season and

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Speaker 1: they just inexplicably drop a game to LSU and then

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Speaker 1: they got beat by Alabama, and so now it's almost

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Speaker 1: like some Florida folks have this one step forward, two

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Speaker 1: steps back kind of mentality about how they ended the season,

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Speaker 1: especially since Georgia ended the season hot too. It shouldn't matter,

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Speaker 1: but it does matter. Well, we're not talking about Florida,

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Speaker 1: but what about Notre Dame. See Notre Dame, they just

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Speaker 1: had a big setback against Clemson, but they're still in

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Speaker 1: the playoff. What if they let's just entertain this for

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Speaker 1: a second. What if they were to get beat by

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Speaker 1: Alabama by three touchdowns that's roughly the spread, So they

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Speaker 1: lose forty two twenty one somewhere in that range. Your

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Speaker 1: last two outings, after having validated yourself seemingly at the

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Speaker 1: beginning of the year or in the middle of the year,

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Speaker 1: will have set you two steps back, and it will

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Speaker 1: feel a lot like years past. And I don't know

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Speaker 1: that that's going to happen. I'm certainly not ready to

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Speaker 1: predict the game quite yet. That's what the video is

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Speaker 1: all about. But just think about that, because it's really

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Speaker 1: funny how perception can change and can surge and wane

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Speaker 1: week to week. I'm going to assume that the upset

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Speaker 1: is possible here. If you've watched or listened to the

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Speaker 1: show for a while, you know anytime we're entering one

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Speaker 1: of these games where it's got a big, fat point

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Speaker 1: spread on it. Well, the first question we ask is

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Speaker 1: could the upset happen. Well, this is a playoff game,

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Speaker 1: so yes, of course, I mean Notre Dame is capable

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Speaker 1: of beating Alabama. Is it likely? The point spread says no.

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Speaker 1: But could it happen? Yes, So we're going to go

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Speaker 1: with that. So let's dive into actually how this could happen,

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Speaker 1: because you know, there are only two times, if you've

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Speaker 1: watched every BAMA game this year, there are only two

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Speaker 1: times where they felt fourth quarter heat, and that was

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Speaker 1: one of them was obvious Florida. The other one was

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss. Those are the two times. It wasn't against Georgia,

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Speaker 1: it wasn't against d and M. It was against Old Miss.

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Speaker 1: But neither of those teams could get a stop. There

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Speaker 1: was no point in those games where you watched your

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Speaker 1: TV screen and said, all right, that Todd grant them

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Speaker 1: defense for Florida, they're gonna stand up right here. That

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss defense, they're gonna stand up right here. That

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Speaker 1: was never the case, and so it was a different

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Speaker 1: kind of feeling. Even though even though Alabama the scoreboard

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Speaker 1: told you the game was close as long as their

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Speaker 1: offense kept going out on the field, as long as

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Speaker 1: there weren't these series where several onside kicks were recovered

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Speaker 1: or something like that, you did not feel like they

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Speaker 1: were in legitimate danger. Well, that leads us to the

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Speaker 1: natural following question, and that is, can Notre Dames defense

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Speaker 1: get some stops? Like how many stops can they get?

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Speaker 1: Do they meet that freeze point that we talk about

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Speaker 1: a lot. Because I'll be honest with you, Georgia's defense

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Speaker 1: when they played Alabama earlier in the year was at

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Speaker 1: least comparable to what Notre Dame's putting on the field

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Speaker 1: right now, and BAMA put forty one on them. Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M had a very high caliber defense and

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Speaker 1: they do have a very high caliber defense. S Bama

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Speaker 1: put fifty two on them, So you figure. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if I'm being conservative here, it's crazy to say this,

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Speaker 1: but I think I'm being conservative when I say I

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Speaker 1: think Notre Dame would need thirty eight to start entertaining

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Speaker 1: the idea of winning this. Like, if I get BAMA

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Speaker 1: full four quarter effort, I don't know that you're holding

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Speaker 1: them under thirty eight. But let's just say thirty eight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's say that puts you on the outside fringes of

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Speaker 1: being able to possibly win the game. And of course,

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Speaker 1: if thirty eight points is winning it for Notre Dame,

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Speaker 1: that probably means a couple of turnovers have gone your

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Speaker 1: way to So at first glance, you look at Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame and you think to yourself, and I don't know

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Speaker 1: that you're wrong if you think this, You think to yourself,

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Speaker 1: rand the ball good against Clemson the first time we

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Speaker 1: played them. Couldn't run it worth anything against Clemson the

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Speaker 1: second time we played them. Well, this Alabama defense, they

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Speaker 1: haven't stood up against the run particularly well. This year.

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Speaker 1: We should have some success running the ball, especially between

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Speaker 1: the Tacklesky. I don't know that that's necessarily wrong, but

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Speaker 1: in order to do it consistently and in order to

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Speaker 1: actually give yourself a winning blueprint doing that, you better

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Speaker 1: be able to create some run pass conflicts, especially for

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Speaker 1: those linebackers. And what I'm thinking here is I'm thinking

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Speaker 1: about the things Alabama doesn't have to be scared of

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Speaker 1: with Notre Dame. There are two things in particular that

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Speaker 1: they don't really have to fear. They don't have to

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Speaker 1: fear the vertical element at the quarterback position, and they

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Speaker 1: don't have to fear perimeter speed at the wide receiver position.

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Speaker 1: But what you do have if you're Notre Dame and

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Speaker 1: your offensive arsenal that maybe has given Alabama and would

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Speaker 1: give any other team in the country some fits is

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Speaker 1: size and physicality and pass catching ability at the tight

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Speaker 1: end spot. You got several of them there actually, And

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Speaker 1: so I sat there and watched Kyle Pitts catch I

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Speaker 1: think twenty five or thirty passes over the middle last

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Speaker 1: week whenever the SEC title game was against Alabama. You

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Speaker 1: start to do that a little bit, then maybe you

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Speaker 1: losen that box up and you can run on them,

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Speaker 1: because this is not a stone wall Alabama run defense.

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Speaker 1: But if they don't have to fear certain elements, and

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Speaker 1: history tells us if you don't have that precision assassin

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Speaker 1: type quarterback and they don't have to fear that, even

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Speaker 1: if they look like they may be a little bit

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Speaker 1: down relative to Alabama standards, they can clamp down on

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Speaker 1: your run. And even if you do run it successfully

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Speaker 1: in open field, you get down inside the red zone,

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Speaker 1: things are going to really truncate very quickly. So just

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Speaker 1: kind of think through that and then also consider how

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Speaker 1: unfamiliar the territory is going to have to feel. If

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame is in position to win it. They make you,

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Speaker 1: they being Alabama, they make you do stuff that you're

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Speaker 1: not comfortable with if you're going to try and win

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Speaker 1: the game. And the kind of stuff that I'm talking about,

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Speaker 1: if you were to picture this not hypothetically, let's put ourselves,

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Speaker 1: you and I in the position you and I are

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Speaker 1: sitting in the stands. We got one of like however

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Speaker 1: many sixteen thousand tickets. And it's not the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: It's not three to nothing Notre Dame. No, it's the

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Speaker 1: latter portion of the third quarter, and it's twenty seven

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Speaker 1: to twenty six Notre Dame. At this point, it's any

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Speaker 1: one's ball game. It's less than a half of football

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Speaker 1: to go until the final bell. What are you gonna

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Speaker 1: have to do? You're gonna You're gonna take their fastball

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Speaker 1: for the next fifteen twenty twenty five minutes. How are

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Speaker 1: you gonna withstand that? We you got to score pretty

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Speaker 1: much every possession. That's what history tells us. But also

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Speaker 1: here's the unfamiliar territory doing just that, feeling like you

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Speaker 1: have to score every possession. Also, you're in a position

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Speaker 1: where sometimes you got to entertain ideas like going for

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Speaker 1: it on fourth down in your own territory. You got

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Speaker 1: to do stuff like maybe onside kicking when you certainly

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Speaker 1: wouldn't want to do that. That kind of stuff. I'm

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Speaker 1: just telling you the book. The book. Maybe the way

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Speaker 1: that you got here not always applicable in these kind

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Speaker 1: of games. If you're gonna win this kind of game

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Speaker 1: against Allabama, so it's not impossible, but to do it,

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Speaker 1: you really have to shave off some of your identity

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Speaker 1: and put on a new mask, even if it's just

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Speaker 1: one night only, just one night only, new mask. There

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Speaker 1: are two damn breakers here, and the damn breakers are

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Speaker 1: not just Notre Dame problems. Alabama gives a lot of

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Speaker 1: people these problems. But of course you cannot like your

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Speaker 1: athletic matchup with your corners, your defensive backs against their

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Speaker 1: wide receivers. That is not a knock on Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: No one likes that match up. But there are some

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Speaker 1: future NFL guys that have been humbled in this matchup defensively.

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Speaker 1: And the second one, and this is the one that

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Speaker 1: I worry about, and I really worried about it with

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame. A gets Clemson too, is Notre Dame's offensive

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Speaker 1: line with the injuries now specifically versus the interior for

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Speaker 1: Alabama's defensive line and a guy like Will Anderson on

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Speaker 1: the edge in the pass rush. And the reason I

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Speaker 1: worry about that is because you have to score and

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Speaker 1: keep scoring. You can't go on any kind of drought.

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Speaker 1: You can't have three and outs. You can't do that.

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Speaker 1: You can't get behind the stick second and sixteen. You

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Speaker 1: just can't let that stuff happen, even even two or

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Speaker 1: three times. Again, that's what history this season tells us.

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Speaker 1: It takes to compete with this Alabama offense. So Colin,

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Speaker 1: let's take a look at the game capsule. We didn't

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Speaker 1: have game capsules for conference championship weekend, and a lot

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Speaker 1: of you almost rioted. So Director Colin has been so

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Speaker 1: kind as to put the game capsules back together. And

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Speaker 1: this gives you an idea of what our model thinks

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Speaker 1: versus the Vegas odds makers. It's really hard this year.

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Speaker 1: You've never seen a year like this before. We have

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Speaker 1: no cross pollination, as I like to call it. There

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Speaker 1: are no comparable data points. There is no way to know,

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Speaker 1: in other words, the kind of the ultimate strength of

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Speaker 1: one conference versus another conference, and so we're having to

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Speaker 1: rely on a lot of individual metrics and power ratings,

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Speaker 1: the kind of proprietary stuff that we prefer to put

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Speaker 1: in our model. Having said all that, Bama minus twenty

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Speaker 1: in the Desert, Bama minus eighteen is our model's number

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Speaker 1: on this game, and so I'm going to follow the model.

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Speaker 1: I want to take Alabama to win this game. I

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Speaker 1: am going to lean ever so slightly to the Irish

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Speaker 1: plus twenty. This is not a game that I will

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Speaker 1: be wagering on personally, game I would recommend you wagering on,

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Speaker 1: at least when it comes to the traditional side here.

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Speaker 1: I don't really have a feel on the total either,

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Speaker 1: but for the videos purposes, give me Alabama to win.

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Speaker 1: Give me Notre Dame plus twenty. Now let's head Normally

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Speaker 1: we'd have to have I guess we were going to

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Speaker 1: Rose Bowl to Sugar Bowl, would have to head like

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Speaker 1: two thousand miles east. Now, well we got to head

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Speaker 1: down to Houston and over on iten to New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: So it's still a little hall just not quite as bad.

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Speaker 1: Clemson versus Ohio State primetime game on ESPN. It is

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Speaker 1: eight o'clock Friday night. It is the Sugar Bowl. It's

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Speaker 1: my most fun bowl game to go to. They feed you,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, better than any bowl game on planet Earth.

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Speaker 1: It is wonderful. I had a taco bar down there

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Speaker 1: last year that was to die for. I mean, I

327
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Speaker 1: really I almost died. I've never eaten like that in

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Speaker 1: my life. And that has nothing to do with the game.

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Speaker 1: I just wanted to share that. So Ohio State is

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Speaker 1: a seven point dog in this game, seven or seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, depending on where you look. There's this

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Speaker 1: conversation out there right now that I think is pretty laughable.

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Speaker 1: And the conversation goes a little something like this. Maybe

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Speaker 1: you've heard it, and I hope you haven't participated in it,

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Speaker 1: but if you have, it's not too late to It's

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Speaker 1: not too late to change your ways. The conversation goes

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Speaker 1: like this, Hmmm, Clemson's played in what eleven games? However

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Speaker 1: many games they played in, and Ohio State's only played six.

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Speaker 1: That means they're going to be fresher no friend, no, no, no.

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Speaker 1: Now that the games have been played and Clemson's not

341
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Speaker 1: badly banged up, all that's out the window. Ryan Day

342
00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:31,280
Speaker 1: would gladly trade his team's portfolio with Dabo Swinny's portfolio,

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Speaker 1: because there's something that Clemson's been able to do that

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Speaker 1: Ohio State through no fault of their own. It's just

345
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Speaker 1: the hand that fate dealt them hasn't been able to do,

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Speaker 1: and that is work out the kinks and find a groove.

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Speaker 1: There has been no opportunity to find a groove Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: It feels like they've played about one game in the

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Speaker 1: last half a year. And so what I don't like

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Speaker 1: about that is they haven't had to taste their own blood.

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Speaker 1: They haven't been pushed. It's just again, it's not their fault,

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Speaker 1: it's just the way things fell. On the other hand,

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Speaker 1: there is one thing that you can like about this,

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Speaker 1: and that's the ambush potential because we have not seen

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Speaker 1: Ohio State's best game. You know it, they know it,

356
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Speaker 1: Dabbo knows it. We have probably seen Clemson's best game. Now,

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Speaker 1: Clemson could play five of those games. It's not like

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Speaker 1: they have one of those in their bag. But Clemson's

359
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Speaker 1: probably hit the stride they need to hit right now

360
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Speaker 1: to give them an optimal chance to win in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: They have perfected that formula. Ohio State. There's no way

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Speaker 1: they could be there. I mean, if you were to

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Speaker 1: think back, what did Clemson look like six games into

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Speaker 1: the season, they weren't where they are right now. So

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Speaker 1: it's no different. It's not like this is an Ohio

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Speaker 1: State problem. But we'll see because with that comes the

367
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Speaker 1: ambush potential, and the ambush potential is simply this. It's

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Speaker 1: kind of like Oregon with Southern cal A couple of

369
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Speaker 1: weeks ago, Southern cow was favored in the PAC twelve

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Speaker 1: Championship game, and I picked Oregon and my simple philosophy there,

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Speaker 1: and it was kind of a guess, there's no really,

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Speaker 1: there's no real model or computer guidance system that can

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Speaker 1: tell you this is coming up. I just thought Oregon's

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Speaker 1: a more talented team than the product that's put on

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Speaker 1: the field, which means its best game is still out there.

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Speaker 1: If they're ever going to find that best game, it

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Speaker 1: would be in the PAC twelve championship game. Well, we

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00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 1: can apply that to Ohio State. If they're going to

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Speaker 1: find that best game, wouldn't it stand a reason it'd

380
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Speaker 1: be in the College Football Playoff. We'll see. You're also

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Speaker 1: going to hear a lot of fields versus Lawrence talk.

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Speaker 1: I won't participate in that because they'll never be on

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Speaker 1: the field. At the same time, a lot of NFL

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Speaker 1: draft types will talk about it from that angle, and

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Speaker 1: that's okay, that's fine. I'm going to talk more about

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Speaker 1: fields and Lawrence because there are two of the main

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Speaker 1: reasons we had college football this year. Don't ever forget that.

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Speaker 1: Do not ever forget that. There will be people actually

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Speaker 1: in the Mercedes Ben super Dome this Friday night covering

390
00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,800
Speaker 1: this game that gave zero assistance to getting this sport

391
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,399
Speaker 1: off the ground this year, covering two young men who

392
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 1: gave pretty much everything they could possibly give to get

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Speaker 1: this sport off the ground this season. I appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate it, applaud both of them. Don't really care

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Speaker 1: who wins and loses, because those two used a really

396
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Speaker 1: big platform. And actually, I'm telling you talking to some

397
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Speaker 1: people kind of after the fact, that stuff went a

398
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Speaker 1: long way in getting the sport to actually happen this year.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the game itself now. Red

400
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Speaker 1: zone is probably where the padlock stat's coming from. The

401
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:24,159
Speaker 1: padlock stat on late kick is the stat where if

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Speaker 1: you were to give it to me on Thursday, I

403
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,000
Speaker 1: guess in this case, if you were to give it

404
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 1: to me on Thursday, i'd know who was gonna win.

405
00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 1: Will you let me know? Red zone? And probably even

406
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Speaker 1: more so than in a normal game. It's gonna determine

407
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Speaker 1: this one. Two points to keep in mind when you're

408
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Speaker 1: watching the Sugar Bowl. Buckeye's Tigers here number one Clemson.

409
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Speaker 1: They watched Tray Sermon go crazy in the Big Ten

410
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Speaker 1: championship game, just like you did, just like I did.

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Speaker 1: The guy is probably still running right now. Here's what

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00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 1: they know. Brenton Venables probably looks at that and he says,

413
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Speaker 1: all right, that's fine, We're not gonna shut him down.

414
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Speaker 1: We don't need to. What they know baying Clemson is

415
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:04,640
Speaker 1: probably Sermon could run for two hundred and twenty yards

416
00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,119
Speaker 1: this Friday night, and Clemson still win the game. And

417
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Speaker 1: the reason they feel that way is because of the

418
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:14,600
Speaker 1: same reason they were able to, you know, in several instances,

419
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Speaker 1: but most famously a couple of years ago, I remember

420
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 1: being out in California at the National Championship Game, in

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00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 1: a place that had no business hosting a championship game

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Speaker 1: in the sport of college football. But I digress. There

423
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 1: was no endless taco bar in Santa Clara. Let me

424
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 1: just say that. And so Alabama was moving the ball

425
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 1: up and down the field against Clemson until they got

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. Then guess what happened? Bad, bad

427
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 1: things that team with Tuatango bay Low and Jerry Judy

428
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 1: and DeVante Smith and Henry Ruggs first the first round

429
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 1: draft picks all over the place. They put sixteen points

430
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 1: on Clemson because they couldn't get it done in the

431
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 1: red zone. And Brenton Vinnables not an overly prideful guy.

432
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 1: That night, he said, we're gonna give up some yards,

433
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,360
Speaker 1: but we're gonna win in the red zone. And that's

434
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 1: exactly what they can do this Friday. They can give

435
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 1: Tray Sermon two hundred and twenty plus rushing yards and

436
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 1: as long as they shut them down holding the threes

437
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 1: instead of sevens or forced turnovers in the red zone,

438
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 1: it's all good. But see the shoe on the other foot.

439
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 1: It still applies here too, because Ohio State, they know,

440
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: they know good and well they're not good enough to

441
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:16,560
Speaker 1: match their corners. This year's version of Ohio State does

442
00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 1: not have the corner talent to match up with big

443
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: time wide receivers, they don't. They've played soft coverage all year.

444
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 1: Because of that, it has not been a traditional Ohio

445
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:29,679
Speaker 1: State pre snap look in their secondary Buckeye fans have

446
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 1: picked up on this. If you haven't watched them closely,

447
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 1: you will see it Friday night. But having said that,

448
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: you get that compressed field down in the red zone,

449
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, you're not worried about someone

450
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 1: going fifty yards over the top of your head anymore. So,

451
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,399
Speaker 1: just as Brent Venables and company have to do against

452
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 1: the run with Ohio State, you're thinking the exact same thing.

453
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:52,640
Speaker 1: If you're Ohio State against what could be a very

454
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 1: lethal vertical pass game. That's what Bitnotre Dame last week.

455
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:58,640
Speaker 1: What do you remember, by the way, about this twenty

456
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 1: nineteen game. I intention haven't referenced it yet. I want

457
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: to reference it now. This game last year, I thought

458
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 1: the better team didn't win the game. A lot of

459
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,879
Speaker 1: people share my opinion there. Now, Clemson fans shouldn't care

460
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 1: about that one bit, nor do you. I get the sense,

461
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,120
Speaker 1: because you won the game, that's really all that matters.

462
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: I happened to think Ohio State was the better team.

463
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,160
Speaker 1: I was also a little bitter because I picked them

464
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,199
Speaker 1: and I wanted to be right and I wasn't. But

465
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,120
Speaker 1: what most people I have found remember about that game

466
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 1: is they probably think Ohio State got jilted to some

467
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 1: degree by the officials, or you remember, you know, Ohio

468
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 1: State was driving and they threw a pick in the

469
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,159
Speaker 1: end zone to pretty much steal the deal. That's not

470
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,159
Speaker 1: what I remember, though I certainly remember those things. But

471
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 1: here's what I remember. I remember a sixteen to nothing

472
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 1: lead for Ohio State and having, if you believe in momentum,

473
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 1: having all the momentum in the world, and Clemson, to

474
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 1: their credit, still finding a way to get off the

475
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,280
Speaker 1: deck and come back and win that thing. How did

476
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:55,439
Speaker 1: Ohio State build the lead? They built it with tempo

477
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,439
Speaker 1: passing game. That's how they built it, and that was

478
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,639
Speaker 1: kind of atypical to what they had done through the

479
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 1: regular season. Now what does that mean for this year?

480
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 1: Do they go about it the same way this year?

481
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 1: Because Justin Fields with the wide receiver talent he has,

482
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 1: and it's very important to note that because they haven't

483
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: always been on the field this year. But you got

484
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 1: Wilson and Olave and you've got Justin Fields, there, you

485
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 1: got talent in the backfield. If all of those elements

486
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 1: are in place, the ceiling for what that offense's potential

487
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 1: is is way higher than most teams when you measure

488
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 1: their average versus what their maximum potential is six games

489
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 1: end of the season, Like what Ohio State's offense has

490
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 1: put on the field so far this year, there is

491
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: a ceiling that is significantly higher than what you've seen.

492
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,119
Speaker 1: In other words, twenty two points versus Northwestern. I think

493
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,400
Speaker 1: they're capable of more. They didn't need it that day,

494
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,399
Speaker 1: but they're capable of more. How much higher is that ceiling?

495
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 1: Big question that we have to keep in mind going

496
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 1: into Friday night. The intangible factor here that you can

497
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:58,400
Speaker 1: ever quantify on paper, obviously, is I have seen elements

498
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 1: of a killer instinct for a high like Tray Sermon

499
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 1: played with a killer instinct. Ryan Day coaches with a

500
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 1: killer instinct. I don't question individuals on that team that

501
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 1: have it. But if you've watched Clemson play like their

502
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 1: whole team has it, they have that. It's in their DNA.

503
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 1: Most Ohio State teams have it. I haven't seen it

504
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: from this Ohio State team yet. That's one of the perils.

505
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 1: Everyone's telling you some advantage to have only played six games.

506
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: No it's not. No, it's not, because that's stuff, that

507
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 1: killer instinct stuff is sometimes if you're going to develop

508
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: that in the season, sometimes you can't develop it. But

509
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 1: sometimes an identity morph's in the season, and Ohio State

510
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:36,199
Speaker 1: hadn't had time to do it yet. They just haven't.

511
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 1: And the other intangible factor to keep in mind here

512
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 1: is Clemson has this innate ability in these big games,

513
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 1: these playoff caliber games, well not caliber, they're just playoff

514
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 1: games to make fifty to fifty balls become seventy thirty

515
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 1: balls or eighty twenty balls. EJ. Williams is a kid

516
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 1: who played just across the river from where I am

517
00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 1: right now over in Phoenix City, Alabama. Came from the

518
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,040
Speaker 1: same high school and ross did it central of Phoenix City,

519
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:06,399
Speaker 1: drove past it last night. He is the kind of

520
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,680
Speaker 1: guy who could explode on the national scene in this

521
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 1: sort of environment. It's the kind of thing that Clemson

522
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 1: has become famous for. They peak at the right time

523
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, you're just watching their wide

524
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,439
Speaker 1: receivers make circus catch after circus catch on third and

525
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,159
Speaker 1: seven and You've done everything you can to get the

526
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 1: offense behind the chains, and yet they're just what should

527
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,359
Speaker 1: be a fifty to fifty deal is a seventy thirty

528
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: eighty twenty deal. You cannot know that's coming. There's just

529
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 1: no way to know this. Gues's like forecasting turnovers. You

530
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,639
Speaker 1: can't know it's coming. All right, Colin, Let's look at

531
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,400
Speaker 1: the game capsule here. This one was really tight. Obviously,

532
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:42,199
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas number has Clumson minus seven, our late

533
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:45,040
Speaker 1: kick number, our in house model here, per one thousand

534
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 1: simulations of this game, we've got pretty much right on

535
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 1: the number two. We've got Clumson minus six and a half.

536
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,360
Speaker 1: I you know, I've felt both ways about this game

537
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,680
Speaker 1: over the last week. When I first saw the number

538
00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:01,080
Speaker 1: come out, I was leaning Buckeyes. That's with breaking anything down.

539
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: Then there was a moment where I thought I was

540
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:07,160
Speaker 1: gonna go Clemson by double digits. I have settled on, well,

541
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,959
Speaker 1: a compromise of sorts. I'm gonna take Clemson to win

542
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 1: the game, and I'm gonna take Ohio State at anything

543
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 1: plus seven or higher. So give me the Clemson Tigers

544
00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: to win it. But I think it's going to be

545
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 1: a tight game. It would not shock me at all

546
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,199
Speaker 1: to see a point spread upset here. I'm going to

547
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: take Ohio State plus the points take Clemson to win

548
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:27,199
Speaker 1: the game, outright, all right, we move on here. So

549
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 1: I talked to you the other night, but it was

550
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: just an individual clip about Auburn hiring Brian Harson, guy

551
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 1: from Boise State. He's now coming to Auburn. It's a

552
00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: completely different climate, both in terms of weather and in

553
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: terms of culture and all that. Blah blah blah. We

554
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 1: have time to talk about that. But man, I need

555
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: to circle back around to this because it seems like

556
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 1: everyone had something to say. Well I got something to

557
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 1: say too. In fact, I got halfway not fired up,

558
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 1: but I mean, I'm pretty invested in this. Like I

559
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 1: grew up in the South, I grew up a really

560
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: near Auburn. I've watched them mismanaged things internally for a

561
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,439
Speaker 1: little while. So let's just talk about this. So here

562
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 1: we go, Colin, here's a clip for individual vod use.

563
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 1: So Auburn has hired Brian Harson. Touched on it already,

564
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: but I really want to dive into this a little bit.

565
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 1: Here's what I want to dive into outsiders probably do

566
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,639
Speaker 1: not have a firm grasp on how significant this was.

567
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:20,639
Speaker 1: You're thinking Brian Harson, like, that's a name that was

568
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 1: way off the radar. Even Auburn people weren't talking about him. Great, Okay,

569
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,639
Speaker 1: they hired him, Like, what's the big deal. Coaches have

570
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 1: been hired before, or they'll be hired after this. That's true.

571
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: You need to understand the uniqueness within the Auburn sphere,

572
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: within the world of just Auburn athletics and Auburn football,

573
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 1: and then how it applies to the broader context of

574
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 1: college football. What happened at Auburn over the past week

575
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 1: could very well have implications that reach out and touch

576
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: your program. If you're a Texas fan, if you're a

577
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 1: usc fan, if you're a Tennessee fan, it could impact

578
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,000
Speaker 1: you and impact you in a positive way. Hopefully, Now

579
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 1: there's an acronym once again. My Auburn listeners, my Auburn viewers,

580
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,880
Speaker 1: you've probably heard of the acronymics jab. It's jaba. It's

581
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 1: just Auburn being Auburn. And that's something that the locals

582
00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:07,920
Speaker 1: use to describe when things are being bungled, and you

583
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,159
Speaker 1: can see it happening a mile away, and they just

584
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: they don't like it, but they also know historically they've

585
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 1: really had no control over it, and so they just

586
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 1: roll their eyes. Here we go again. That's essentially the

587
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 1: attitude here we go again, that was in the process

588
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,720
Speaker 1: of being put in motion, and then you Auburn fans

589
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 1: and Alan Green changed all that. The athletic director there.

590
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: When you're told that things are hurting college football, do

591
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 1: you listen to that, because you've heard it a lot lately.

592
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 1: It's mainly in the context of the college football Playoff.

593
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: There are a lot of people out there who want

594
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 1: you to believe the playoff is hurting college football because

595
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 1: the playoff has given a rise to the haves and

596
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 1: a widening between the gap of the haves and the

597
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 1: have nots. And there are a lot of things that

598
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 1: you're told are hurting the sport that I don't really

599
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: believe or hurting the sport nearly as much as just

600
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 1: general incompetence is hurting the sport. I'll give you an example.

601
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 1: I'm not a believer that the college football Playoff hurts

602
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: collet football nearly as much as garbage targeting rules hurt

603
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 1: college football. I'm not a believer the playoff hurts college

604
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 1: football nearly as much as coverage of the college football Playoff.

605
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 1: If I could just adjust the way that things covered,

606
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,000
Speaker 1: I think we would do away with a lot of

607
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: the problem you have with it. I've already made that point.

608
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: That's another video. You can find it on the channel.

609
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 1: But now let me circle it back around to Auburn.

610
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: Here is one of the big, big problems that exist

611
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,280
Speaker 1: and have and will continue to exist in world of

612
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 1: college football, and that is non football people making football decisions.

613
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: The very lifeblood of this sport is money. You have

614
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 1: to have it. You have to have it to survive,

615
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 1: to build those fancy facilities, to have these staffs, and

616
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 1: to be able to pay these staffs. You got to

617
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 1: have money. It doesn't come out of nowhere. Federal government's

618
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 1: not giving you grant money to run your football program,

619
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: and so a lot of times it's private donations. And

620
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 1: unfortunately those donations come with ear marks, and those ear marks,

621
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 1: as say access, that's the kind of earmark that normally

622
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 1: come along with those checks, and it creates this culture.

623
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 1: We got a lot of people who have rightly made

624
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,760
Speaker 1: their fortunes in other areas where they have some expertise

625
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 1: in most cases, thinking that that makes them an expert

626
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 1: in football matters, basketball matters, whatever the case may be.

627
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 1: And it's this weird situation where you would never see

628
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 1: a football coach walk into a bank or a car

629
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 1: dealership and just start calling the shots. But yet you

630
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 1: got folks who own tons of car dealerships or who

631
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 1: are you know, multimillionaires from the banking world. They will

632
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 1: gladly walk into an athletic department and start thinking they

633
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 1: deserve to call the shots about who's going to be

634
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,959
Speaker 1: hired to run a football program. It's the craziest thing

635
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: in the world. So Kevin Steele, the Auburn defensive coordinator,

636
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 1: was well on his way to getting this job because

637
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 1: of just that mechanism being put in place. John Talty

638
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 1: with Ale dot Com I think did a really good

639
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: job summarizing what was happening behind the scenes, and I

640
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:55,880
Speaker 1: talked about a lot of what he put in his

641
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 1: report on Late Kick. I was detailing that I told

642
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: you about steel that was in motion, Like, there are

643
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 1: two things that could be true here, guys, that could

644
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 1: have been in motion and then it could have also

645
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: been derailed. And there is no doubt in my mind

646
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: that the athletic director there, Alan Green, let it be known.

647
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: Another word for that is leaked, that Kevin Steele was

648
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 1: in line to be the head coach. That was a

649
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,520
Speaker 1: major push behind the scenes by the kinds of characters

650
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: that we're talking about right now to make Kevin Steel

651
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 1: the head coach just elevate him to the job, and

652
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 1: Auburn fans I firmly believe changed the course of history

653
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,120
Speaker 1: for that program. And then the president there, Jay Goose,

654
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: stepped in and he kind of stamped legitimacy onto this

655
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 1: thing when he backed Alan Green and Alan Greens that

656
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,480
Speaker 1: I don't like the way it's going here. I got

657
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: your backing, all right, We're going to have an actual

658
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 1: coaching search. That is why, in a nutshell, so many

659
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: Auburn fans are already in love with Brian Harson. Like

660
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 1: you got folks who didn't know who he was two

661
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 1: weeks ago that love him right now. Well, he's not

662
00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 1: yet coached a football game, he's not yet landed a recruit.

663
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: How could you love him? Here's why they love him,

664
00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:04,959
Speaker 1: and here's why it could pertain to your program. Even

665
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: if you're not an Auburn fan. They love him because

666
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 1: they know, for the first time in quite likely their lifetimes,

667
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 1: they directly contributed. It's almost like they made the higher

668
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 1: And it's not that they made sure he got hired.

669
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 1: It's they made sure someone else's choice didn't get hired.

670
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 1: Whereas in the past, it would have been Kevin Steele

671
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 1: and they would have looked around and said, I don't

672
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:29,720
Speaker 1: like it, but there's not much I can do about it. Well,

673
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 1: now they did something about it, and that's why they

674
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 1: love Brian Harrison already. And in the past, you know,

675
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 1: they would have gotten a result in spite of what

676
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 1: they wanted. Now they got a result because of what

677
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 1: they wanted. Now that's a catch twenty two sometimes because

678
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:47,959
Speaker 1: Tennessee fans pulled this with Greg Ciano and got Jeremy

679
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,719
Speaker 1: Prewett instead. I'm not so sure. If you look at

680
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 1: that proposition right now, it makes a ton of sense

681
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: for Tennessee. So you got to be careful with that.

682
00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 1: But that kind of brings us full circle. Now, what

683
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 1: does this have to do with your program? Well, I'm

684
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,120
Speaker 1: telling you right now, it could be Tennessee, or it

685
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 1: could be Texas, or it could be Southern cal How

686
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: many people are watching what's happening in Auburn here. How

687
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:13,240
Speaker 1: many people watched a very entrenched culture here get turned

688
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,800
Speaker 1: on its ear and have an actual football search by

689
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,120
Speaker 1: for all accounts around Auburn and outsider. Alan Green's not

690
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 1: an Auburn guy. He didn't play for Auburn, he didn't

691
00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 1: grow up in Auburn. He's an outsider, but yet he

692
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 1: came in. He's in the athletic director spot and he

693
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 1: actually played the role of athletic director, which is painfully

694
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: rare in these situations in the South. Sometimes at Auburn,

695
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 1: no less. So if I'm watching that in Texas, if

696
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 1: I'm watching that at Southern cal or Tennessee, I'm taking notes,

697
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 1: because here's what we got to ask ourselves. Is it

698
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 1: going to cost you something? Most of the time, people

699
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 1: in at least name plate power positions, they kind of

700
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,959
Speaker 1: cave under pressure here, and they do it because they

701
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 1: think it's going to cost him. We can't afford to

702
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 1: alienate Booster X don or why. And we can't do

703
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 1: it because we need their money. I got you, listen,

704
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,520
Speaker 1: this is going to cost Auburn. You better believe it's

705
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,719
Speaker 1: going to cost Auburn some money. In the short term.

706
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 1: It will winning cures a lot of that in the

707
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 1: long term. But let me ask you this, independent of

708
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,799
Speaker 1: what Brian Harrison ever does on the field, I'll talk

709
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:13,960
Speaker 1: about that in a second. Independent of that, what are

710
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 1: those resources worth if the ear marks attached to those

711
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:24,919
Speaker 1: resources lead to really handcuffed programs Auburn in particular, Right now,

712
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,480
Speaker 1: what does it really matter? It doesn't. It doesn't matter

713
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 1: how If you're printing money but you're using it to

714
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 1: run your program into the ground, then the money's not

715
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: really worth anything. No one cares. So I don't know

716
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,719
Speaker 1: how Brian Harrison's going to do here. Brian Harrison, for

717
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 1: all I know, is not going to work out great

718
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 1: as Auburn head coach. But I'm telling you right now,

719
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:44,719
Speaker 1: if you keep the blueprint in place that you use

720
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: to hire him, eventually they'll get it right at Auburn now.

721
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: For their sake, I hope they got it right here,

722
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,720
Speaker 1: Which leads me to this final point I wanted to address,

723
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 1: and that's a lot of folks I was hearing from

724
00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:57,399
Speaker 1: that said things like, well, he has no sec ties.

725
00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 1: You know, he's never recruited down here, he doesn't know

726
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:03,440
Speaker 1: the lay of the land. Listen, there are examples historically

727
00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 1: of guys who came in this conference. Nick Saban had

728
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,319
Speaker 1: never darkened a door in the South before he did,

729
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 1: and then he won national championships at LSU and eventually Alabama.

730
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,640
Speaker 1: A guy named Urban Meyer. I mean, what kind of

731
00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: pedigree did he have in the South? He had been

732
00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 1: where Bowling Green and Utah. The bottom line is those

733
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: are two generational coaches. I'm not comparing Harson to that.

734
00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 1: What I'm saying is, if the guy is legit, he's legit.

735
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: If he's the real deal, he's the real deal, and

736
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,759
Speaker 1: he'll come in here and he'll develop relationships and he'll

737
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 1: build a staff that knows how to attack the recruiting

738
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 1: trail and understands the JUCO circuit, understands the high school

739
00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 1: contacts and the networking you have to do. He understands

740
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,240
Speaker 1: how to play the game. He understands how to coach

741
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 1: the game. And if you got that in your back pocket,

742
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 1: there is this crazy ability that coaches have to adapt.

743
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 1: It's what they've done, it's what they do, it's in

744
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,399
Speaker 1: their blood. They do it their whole careers. If he's

745
00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: the real deal, he'll succeed Downey and if he doesn't,

746
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: then he won't. But I can tell you right now,

747
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: if Brian Harson fails at Auburn, I don't think it's

748
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: going to be because, as one person put it, oh,

749
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 1: he's done nothing but face Hawaii and Wyoming every year,

750
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 1: like he would never win down here. Well, I got

751
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 1: news for you, brother, he gets to play with a

752
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 1: team that's got a little bit better roster than the

753
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 1: one he played with at Boise, all due respect there,

754
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 1: you play in the South, you get to recruit in

755
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 1: the South. That's why it never made sense to me

756
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 1: these people arguing, boys, you would never win the SEC. Well,

757
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:28,480
Speaker 1: boys would never be in the SEC because you're in

758
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: Florida and Georgia and Alabama and they're in Idaho. Like,

759
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 1: if you put them in the SEC, they get to

760
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 1: recruit Southern talent. So now Brian Harson's going to get

761
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 1: to do that. So it remains to be seen. Again,

762
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 1: I am almost fired up for it, independent of my

763
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 1: expectations for him on the field, Like I've got questions

764
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 1: just like you do. But the bottom lines are Auburn

765
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:51,240
Speaker 1: hired a legitimate football coach. They went outside the culture

766
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 1: to do it, and I hope it pays off for him,

767
00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 1: because if it does, it'll kind of push what I

768
00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 1: hope will be a trend over the next ten years

769
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:04,239
Speaker 1: of getting football minded people in the room more so

770
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 1: than just hangers on in the room to make these decisions.

771
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: Like in the NFL, you have got football people hopefully

772
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:16,399
Speaker 1: making personnel decisions. In the college football world, you've got

773
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 1: dudes and you got ladies all over the place that

774
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 1: have no background in football whose pocketbooks allow them to

775
00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:26,800
Speaker 1: make decisions. And that's why so many programs are horribly

776
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 1: mismanaged right now. And that's why you got a few

777
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 1: elites that figured out how to run it the right way,

778
00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 1: and you got a bunch of others that should be

779
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 1: elite that aren't. But instead of taking personal responsibility, instead

780
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 1: they just want to tell you, oh, the system's broken.

781
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 1: The systems what's holding us down. No, allowing clowns to

782
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: make football decisions because of what they're worth. That is

783
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 1: what's holding you down, a whole lot more than any

784
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,520
Speaker 1: system has ever held you down. I've spoken my piece

785
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 1: now on the college football playoff. I've spoken my piece

786
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:56,799
Speaker 1: on Auburn and how you make a coaching higher. So

787
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:58,359
Speaker 1: with that in mind. I think I'll write the show

788
00:37:58,400 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 1: up now. I appreciate you listening. Make sure you se

789
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 1: subscribe to the twenty four seven Sports YouTube channel, follow

790
00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,240
Speaker 1: me on Twitter. Going to be a very busy week

791
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,479
Speaker 1: at Late Kick, Josh. At this very moment in time,

792
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 1: I don't know how we're doing the Tuesday show. I mean,

793
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 1: we plan on having one. I don't know if I'm

794
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:15,279
Speaker 1: going to be in Nashville or still down here, still

795
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,160
Speaker 1: up in the air. So having said that, either way,

796
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 1: I appreciate you tuning in. The Late Kick podcast is flying.

797
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: It's went well over one thousand five star reviews on

798
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, and I thank you already, but in case

799
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 1: you missed it, I want to thank you again. Not

800
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: only did we go past one thousand, you guys got

801
00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 1: a little carried away, to be honest with you, we

802
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 1: went past twelve hundred. So I don't know if I

803
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 1: should have sad two thousand this whole time, and it's

804
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: an early twenty twenty one goal lay there, I guess,

805
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:41,839
Speaker 1: But thank you so much for doing that, and thank

806
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:45,400
Speaker 1: you for supporting the show, supporting us in the process.

807
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 1: It really means more than we could ever put into

808
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,520
Speaker 1: words here. I can assure you so. For director Colin

809
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 1: and producer Jordan. On the podcast side of things, I

810
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,000
Speaker 1: am Josh Bate. Have you ourselves a great start to

811
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,760
Speaker 1: your week. It is playoff time and we are pumped

812
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,040
Speaker 1: until then. Thank you so much. Godless