WEBVTT - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Russ Broncos Disaster + 'Sharp or Square' Week 5 NFL Picks 0:00:01.240 --> 0:00:08.399 The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by fan 0:00:08.520 --> 0:00:12.200 Duel Football Seasons. Here no better place to get in 0:00:12.280 --> 0:00:15.520 on the action. FanDuel app is safe. You get paid fast. 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:18.800 A lot of ways to play the spread, the money line, 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:23.239 team totals, players, props, a lot of stuff over unders, 0:00:23.360 --> 0:00:26.799 jump into the action, same game parlays are my favorite. 0:00:26.880 --> 0:00:30.000 Just use the promo code, Colin and download the FanDuel 0:00:30.000 --> 0:00:45.320 app today. All right, let's have an instant reaction to 0:00:45.479 --> 0:00:50.879 what we all just witnessed the Colts and overtime escaping. 0:00:52.479 --> 0:00:57.840 What was like an ugly accident on a freeway, smoldering, 0:00:58.080 --> 0:01:01.640 smoke and awful, except you didn't even want to crane 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:03.800 your neck to look at it. It didn't slow traffic. 0:01:03.840 --> 0:01:05.760 People just drove by. They didn't want to look at 0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:12.840 this thing. That was really atrocious. So generally in football, 0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:16.520 there is a way out of most of yr problems. 0:01:17.280 --> 0:01:19.040 This is going to be a lot of finger pointing. 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:22.520 I don't think Nathaniel Hackett is a head coach, even 0:01:22.520 --> 0:01:25.120 the special teams. At the end of the half whatever, 0:01:25.120 --> 0:01:27.200 it's like five seconds left and a half, the ball 0:01:27.319 --> 0:01:30.240 was kicked seven yards deep and somebody brought it out. 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:33.800 You wouldn't see that with the Patriots, Like what are 0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:38.800 you doing? I mean, that's just lack of discipline, a 0:01:38.880 --> 0:01:42.840 lack of coaching. There's special teams in Denver bad and 0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:45.440 you can get rid of Nathaniel Hackett. You can after 0:01:45.440 --> 0:01:47.280 the year get rid of him. That's the easy one. 0:01:48.640 --> 0:01:51.720 I mean, that's what teams like the Giants do with 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:55.760 Ben McAdoo Cleveland, Freddie Kitchen, Steve Wilkes in Arizona. You 0:01:55.760 --> 0:01:58.520 can move off a coach pretty quickly. Wilkes got one year. 0:01:59.480 --> 0:02:03.600 That is oble. Denver's got some really good players at 0:02:03.640 --> 0:02:08.240 all levels. What is not really solvable is Russell Wilson. 0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:12.760 That's a huge contract. So listen, we know what washed 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:16.799 looks like. Remember Big Ben about a year ago, rolled 0:02:16.840 --> 0:02:22.320 out and just fell over. That's washed. Baker Mayfield looks washed. 0:02:23.200 --> 0:02:27.440 Cam Newton in New England at the end of that year. Accuracy, 0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:32.280 Jake Cutler, Peyton Manning in Denver's final year, Like, we 0:02:32.320 --> 0:02:35.880 can see what washed is Russell Wilson scrambled a couple 0:02:35.880 --> 0:02:38.920 of times in the first half. He looked athletic. His 0:02:39.080 --> 0:02:43.680 velocity is good enough. But the one thing with Russell 0:02:43.720 --> 0:02:48.840 Wilson that even I can't deny is that he was 0:02:49.080 --> 0:02:54.160 known I think beyond his ability to make people miss 0:02:54.160 --> 0:02:57.320 and move around in the pocket. His second pitch was 0:02:57.360 --> 0:03:02.480 always he threw the softest, pretty most accurate deep ball 0:03:02.480 --> 0:03:05.360 in the league. It was a rain drop, and he 0:03:05.440 --> 0:03:09.160 was just sort of understood that's what he did as 0:03:09.160 --> 0:03:12.680 well as anybody. And some thought, ever, just that rainbow 0:03:12.800 --> 0:03:16.800 over the defense. That is no longer a great element 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:18.959 to his game. He can still move. We saw it 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:21.519 in the first half. We've seen it five or six 0:03:21.560 --> 0:03:23.760 times this year. He can still move. He still has 0:03:23.800 --> 0:03:27.280 decent speed. I think he has his fastball. I don't 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:31.560 see his velocity. Matt Ryan looks like he's lost about 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:35.360 seven miles an hour off his fastball. But Rus Soul's 0:03:35.520 --> 0:03:38.880 deep ball, which was really he could throw for a 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:42.800 strike anywhere on the field, it's bad. He had the 0:03:42.800 --> 0:03:45.600 worst interception that I can recall in his career at 0:03:45.640 --> 0:03:49.360 one point on a deep ball, and then that interception 0:03:49.400 --> 0:03:51.839 in the end zone. He just threw it too late. 0:03:53.080 --> 0:03:57.520 So there are elements to his game that remain. He 0:03:57.560 --> 0:03:59.880 doesn't look like Big Band. The last two years we're 0:04:00.120 --> 0:04:05.760 been literally couldn't move, fell down, rolling out he doesn't 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:10.280 look as physically incapable as Peyton Manning's last year or 0:04:10.400 --> 0:04:14.000 like Baker Mayfield right now, that's not what I see. 0:04:14.680 --> 0:04:18.880 But his inability to drop that deep ball in was 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:24.080 such a part of his game and it's not there now. 0:04:24.480 --> 0:04:29.960 People aged differently. Lebron has aged wonderfully, Carmelo, Anthony and 0:04:30.000 --> 0:04:36.440 Westbrook have not. Brady has aged wonderfully. Aaron Rodgers has 0:04:36.480 --> 0:04:39.560 aged very well. He's late thirties, and there's a lot 0:04:39.600 --> 0:04:45.239 of different reasons Matt Ryan isn't aging well. Is it pliometrics? 0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:46.919 How do you take care of your body? Some of 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:50.640 it's just genetics. Some guys are just built to compete longer. 0:04:50.839 --> 0:04:55.280 Brady's obviously been obsessed with nutrition, working out and off seasons. 0:04:56.080 --> 0:05:00.880 But Russell Wilson's inability to hit on that deep ball 0:05:01.480 --> 0:05:03.880 when you have Jerry Judy, who's a burner, is a 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:07.560 real problem. It's not an element of Denver's offense. And 0:05:07.600 --> 0:05:09.840 then with Hackett you have what I consider to be 0:05:10.000 --> 0:05:14.000 a suboptimal creator of offense. He's not a play designer 0:05:14.040 --> 0:05:19.000 like Andy Reid. I will give Nathaniel Hackett credit for this. 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:23.360 On that big drive, latent regulation fourth down and two, 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.200 he went for it. I would have done the same. 0:05:26.440 --> 0:05:28.240 He went for it. He knew it was an ugly night, 0:05:28.240 --> 0:05:30.760 we're at home, we're gonna go for it. And in overtime, 0:05:30.960 --> 0:05:34.719 fourth and one, he went for it. I'll give Nathaniel 0:05:34.760 --> 0:05:38.880 Hackett credit for that. There was no indecision, no pause 0:05:39.320 --> 0:05:41.840 in both instances. He was trying to win the game. 0:05:42.080 --> 0:05:44.200 That's what you should do when you have a playmaker 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:46.160 at quarterback and you're at home and you're facing an 0:05:46.160 --> 0:05:48.920 average team. So Hackett gets credit for that. I still 0:05:48.960 --> 0:05:51.640 don't think they'll run enough motion. They don't have enough 0:05:52.240 --> 0:05:55.280 variants in their sets. They're not multiple enough. They're kind 0:05:55.320 --> 0:05:58.839 of predictable. They don't roll the pocket out ever. For 0:05:58.920 --> 0:06:01.839 Russell Wilson. They never ever roll the pocket out. It's 0:06:01.920 --> 0:06:07.120 just uncreative. It's lacking in juice or energy. They don't 0:06:07.120 --> 0:06:12.440 put Russell Wilson in great situations to succeed. But I 0:06:12.480 --> 0:06:16.080 don't think Russell's washed. But he has lost his number 0:06:16.080 --> 0:06:20.720 two pitch. He's lost it. He just can you regain it. 0:06:22.320 --> 0:06:25.520 I also think the offensive line for Denver and Mitchell 0:06:25.640 --> 0:06:30.839 Schwartz on social media Twitter mentioned this. I mean he's 0:06:30.839 --> 0:06:33.920 been there like five six months. The offensive line, the 0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:38.560 cadence with Russell Wilson, doesn't feel great. It's just things 0:06:38.640 --> 0:06:44.200 aren't clicking. They're not hitting. Matt Stafford's first game was 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:48.400 Sean McVay. Remember that against the Bears. Good defense was outstanding. 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:54.160 But then again Tom Brady in Tampa. He had an 0:06:54.160 --> 0:06:57.240 awful Thursday night game against the Bears in Chicago. It 0:06:57.279 --> 0:06:59.919 took him until week fourteen or fifteen to get it 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:03.719 going with an offensive coach, Bruce Arians. So Stafford and 0:07:03.800 --> 0:07:09.120 McVeigh clicked immediately. By the way, Shannon and Jimmy Garoppolo 0:07:09.560 --> 0:07:12.280 remember that first year, he came his first five starts, 0:07:12.400 --> 0:07:15.560 five and oho, this thing is a work in progress. 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:21.760 I have great reservations about Hackett going forward, but some 0:07:21.840 --> 0:07:24.120 of it has to go on Russ. Those were two 0:07:24.200 --> 0:07:30.600 of his worst interceptions. He's still mobile, but they don't 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.640 roll the pocket. He still has a fastball. You could 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:35.640 see that in a couple of his sideline throws. He 0:07:35.680 --> 0:07:38.440 gets rid of it quickly. But you take away that 0:07:38.640 --> 0:07:42.720 rain drop deep ball and he's not the same quarterback. 0:07:43.400 --> 0:07:45.920 So of course you add to this that Geno Smith 0:07:46.240 --> 0:07:49.080 is like second or third in the NFL and quarterback rating. 0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:53.440 John Snyder, the GM of the Seahawks, and Pete Carroll, 0:07:53.520 --> 0:07:56.560 the head coach. You and I know they were texting 0:07:56.600 --> 0:08:00.560 each other tonight watching this. You know it and I 0:08:00.640 --> 0:08:04.480 know it. Pete Carroll and John Snyder were on the 0:08:04.520 --> 0:08:09.320 phone texting tonight and those were laughing emogs because this 0:08:09.520 --> 0:08:17.040 was a standalone game and incredibly ugly. And for those listen, 0:08:18.040 --> 0:08:21.640 for those people who think Russell Wilson is washed, you 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:26.560 win tonight. Now, can it become Brady and Arians in 0:08:26.560 --> 0:08:31.880 week twelve or thirteen? I don't know. I don't have 0:08:31.960 --> 0:08:35.680 high hopes. I don't think Nathaniel Hackett's Arians. I don't 0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:41.319 think Russell Wilson is Brady. Listen, a lot of times 0:08:41.320 --> 0:08:43.920 in the NFL, you can cut people. The answers are quick. 0:08:44.880 --> 0:08:48.320 That Russell Wilson contract with those new owners. You can't 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:51.520 get out of that thing. I mean, you cannot get 0:08:51.559 --> 0:08:55.360 out of that contract. You can get out of Nathaniel Hackett. 0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:58.120 I mean, you can fire him today, just give it 0:08:58.120 --> 0:09:01.640 to a coordinator. But I mean when they took those 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:07.960 shots of John Elway and George Peyton, the GM of 0:09:08.000 --> 0:09:10.040 the Broncos, who I think is really sharp. I mean 0:09:10.080 --> 0:09:13.559 you saw the look on his face. It was not anger, 0:09:13.760 --> 0:09:18.080 it was despair. It was not anger for a bad moment, 0:09:18.120 --> 0:09:21.280 it was how are we going to get out of this? 0:09:23.080 --> 0:09:26.439 Let's go to chat Millman Action Network, the CCO. We're 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:29.240 doing sharp and square. But first, let me tell you 0:09:29.280 --> 0:09:31.760 about my friends at LinkedIn Listen. These days, every new 0:09:31.800 --> 0:09:35.200 potential hire can feel like a high stakes wager for 0:09:35.280 --> 0:09:38.120 your small business. Right the margins have never been tighter. 0:09:38.840 --> 0:09:40.840 You want to be one hundred percent certain you have 0:09:40.880 --> 0:09:45.160 access to the best qualified candidates and fast. That's why 0:09:45.160 --> 0:09:49.160 you should check out LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering 0:09:49.280 --> 0:09:55.560 quality hires in America. 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It's sharp or square. 0:10:42.720 --> 0:10:46.200 I didn't like the lines initially this week, but I'm 0:10:46.320 --> 0:10:49.920 warming to them. Let me throw you out one that 0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:53.559 just feels right. Tomlin is one of the great underdog 0:10:53.600 --> 0:10:58.040 coaches in the league. Pittsburgh plus fourteen against Buffalo feels 0:10:58.080 --> 0:11:02.160 like the obvious one. Fourteens an absurd number. Buffalo jumps 0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:05.240 to a lead, hides the playbook, pulls some starters. They're 0:11:05.240 --> 0:11:09.760 already missing five due to injury. Steelers plus fourteen sharper square, 0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:14.760 totally sharp. That's Look, you look at a fourteen point 0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:18.880 favorite in the NFL, and it's like a forty two 0:11:19.000 --> 0:11:22.239 point favorite in college football. And I'm not even exaggerating, 0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:24.760 That's just what it is. And you're talking about Mike 0:11:24.800 --> 0:11:28.560 Tomlin being in a Mike Tomlin ra Ros spot. That's 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.360 the favorite spot. And that doesn't matter if he's got 0:11:31.360 --> 0:11:36.280 Ben Roethlisberger or Duck Hodges or now Kenny Pickett, who 0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:41.320 at least showed some mobility, He showed some ability to 0:11:41.360 --> 0:11:45.040 throw the ball downfield, he showed some athleticism. This is 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:47.679 a team that I think has more opportunities with Kenny 0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.040 Pickett to move the ball than they had with miss Rubisky. 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:52.520 So and it's always hard to play a quarterback for 0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:54.520 the first time. You don't have any film on him yet. 0:11:55.400 --> 0:11:57.160 The wise guys are going to be on the Steelers 0:11:57.200 --> 0:12:00.480 A plus fourteen. Okay, here's a game. Some times a 0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:04.360 line is so weird. I think Vegas knows something, or 0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:08.520 fan Duels knows something that I don't. Saints minus six 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:12.080 hosting the Seahawks, who have looked good, I don't get 0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:15.080 it at all. I think the line should be three 0:12:15.080 --> 0:12:19.880 and a half. I would lean Saints. Sharper square Well, 0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:23.640 you would lean Saints if you think the line should 0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:27.120 be three and a half. Well, there's something here I 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:31.680 am missing. Now. I know the Saints defense is really good. 0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:36.199 They're at home. Gino has done it a little bit. 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:40.880 They have rookie tackles a little bit, smoking mirrors playing 0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:45.920 better at home on the road. Saints awful loss. It 0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:50.160 seems to me the Saints. That line seems way too big. 0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:53.960 So Vegas knows something I don't. I would lean Saints, 0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:57.679 all right. So this is a very interesting game, and 0:12:57.760 --> 0:13:01.160 it's come up a lot in plenty of wise guy 0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:07.160 conversations because there's no planet in which the Saints are 0:13:07.240 --> 0:13:12.199 worthy of being six points exactly over anybody right now. 0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:15.160 So I saw this on Sunday night. It was one 0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:18.440 of the first bets I made of the Seahawks plus 0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:21.880 five and a half. And this is where it gets 0:13:21.920 --> 0:13:25.480 really interesting in betting. Betters like to bet the number 0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:29.840 and then they like to sprinkle in and compliment the 0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:36.160 number with situations and personnel. The Seahawks had just beaten 0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:40.560 up on the Lions on the road. Geno Smith has 0:13:40.600 --> 0:13:43.920 looked amazing one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL 0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:48.360 this year, and offensively, the Seahawks are second in DVOA, 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.280 which I don't have to break it down, but essentially 0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:53.040 it means, according to all the advanced metrics that every 0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:55.559 geek likes to play with, the Seahawks are the second 0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:59.120 best offense in the NFL right now. The Saints, we 0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:02.120 don't know who's going to be quarterback. Alvin Kamara looks 0:14:02.160 --> 0:14:05.760 like he's not Alvin Kamara anymore. Michael Thomas, we don't 0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:08.080 know if he's going to be playing. Everybody was questionable 0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:11.320 this week on the injury list, the defense has not 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.600 been getting to the quarterback the way they have. It 0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:16.680 feels like the books have not adjusted on this game 0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:19.480 yet from what they thought in the beginning of the season, 0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.200 which was the Saints could be contenders in the NFC 0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:24.400 South and the Seahawks are supposed to be one of 0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:26.680 the two or three worst teams. I think there's still 0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:29.560 value in the Seahawks here. The wise guys have been 0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:32.720 betting the Seahawks in this game. The line just feels 0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:36.600 fishy to me. It feels very fishy. Hate big favorites. 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:38.640 Don't think I'm getting the best of the number, but 0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:41.040 the Buccaneers are getting healthy. I think the Chiefs are 0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:46.520 the best team in the league and are competitive. Atlanta 0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:52.040 is really bad against good teams. Little bit fool's goal. 0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:55.640 They can play average and below average teams close Buccaneers. 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:59.000 In my blowout of the week nine ten, I think 0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:03.120 I'd take him sharper square. So this is the game, Colin. 0:15:04.120 --> 0:15:07.000 As you know on the podcast that I co host 0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:10.000 with my friend Simon Hunter. Because I don't want you 0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:13.360 trying to drive a wedge between us, we'll do the 0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:17.080 segment sharp Calls where professional betters will call us about 0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:19.120 games that we talked about in part one of the 0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:21.480 podcast early in the week so they can give us 0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:23.120 their input when we talk about it in part two 0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:26.720 of the podcast later in the week. We loved Atlanta 0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:29.360 early in the week. Atlanta one of the three bets 0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:31.800 I made on Sunday, along with the Seahawks. In one 0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:35.080 other game, which we may talk about at eight and 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.920 a half, I loved it. I am shocked the line 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:41.520 has moved to ten. Even more shocked because this is 0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:43.720 a pro Joe's game. The bets are coming in on 0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.440 the Buccaneers. When you see bets on one side, that's 0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:49.600 usually the public. The money is on the Falcons, that's 0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.520 usually professional money. The line usually moves in the direction 0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:55.680 of the professional money. Simon got a lot of calls 0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:57.720 this week about how much people love the Bucks, and 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:03.200 betting is a little bit like investing. You want to 0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:05.720 ride the wave and then you want to sell at 0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:09.840 the peak. And with the Falcons specifically, professional betters have 0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:11.920 been on the Falcons every single week. They are four 0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:14.560 and against the spread. Professional betters have loved him every 0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:17.000 single week. I think what they saw with the Bucks 0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:20.360 last week was Tom Brady playing really well in a 0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:23.000 high scoring game when he's got a full complement of 0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:27.560 his receivers available. And I think they're thinking we're selling 0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:30.600 high on the Falcons and getting in on the Bucks. 0:16:31.560 --> 0:16:33.920 So there's a little bit of a split in what 0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.520 the conversation is. I can't fault you for taking the Bucks. 0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:41.320 I'll be on the Falcons. Bailey Zappi is not mac Jones, 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.360 but I'm not so sure he's that much worse than 0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:48.400 mac Jones. Patriots only minus three and a half. Jared 0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:51.280 Goff splits he's great at home, not so on the road. 0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:57.320 Still missing Swift, still missing his top receiver. Detroit has 0:16:57.400 --> 0:16:59.440 not shown an ability. This is going to be a 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:03.040 ball control game. With the Patriots owning time of possession. 0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:06.720 I think they're gonna win, dominate the clock. Mac Jones 0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.600 may play the number tells me about Detroit, three and 0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:14.440 a half. I'm gonna take Patriot. Sharper square. Well, look 0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:17.240 if it's three and a half, take the Lions. If 0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:21.040 it's three. If you like the Patriots, take the Patriots 0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:23.600 and hope for a push. Because the Lions. Everything you're 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:27.240 saying is right, and we don't know about DeAndre swift right. 0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:30.560 We don't know about aman Ra st Brown. Playing on 0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:34.399 the road in New England is different than playing inside 0:17:34.680 --> 0:17:38.920 where the Lions have been playing, and they've they've performed 0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:42.399 incredibly well offensive Liam Jared Goff looks like he's, you know, 0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:45.520 a different player than what he really is. But this 0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:49.320 is a number and the Lions have risen up and 0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:52.600 bitten kneecaps and played with three toes and half a 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:55.480 butt cheek. And doesn't matter how far out of the 0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:59.000 game they are, they don't stop coming at you. And 0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.800 even if the Patriots are up by a touchdown or 0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:04.199 ten points late in the game, the lines are going 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.280 to find a way to make cookie plays and keep 0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:08.960 playing until the final whistle. So just feels like you 0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:10.359 got to play the number here, and if you've got 0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:11.920 half a point, you play the lines. If you don't, 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:18.159 you play the Patriots. College football is back, baby, and 0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:21.080 now is the perfect time to download fan Duel, America's 0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:24.800 number one sports book. Right now, new customers get a 0:18:24.880 --> 0:18:28.720 no sweat first bet up to a thousand dollars. That's 0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:33.280 free bets back if your first bet doesn't win. The 0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:36.520 promo code is always Colin. Fan Duel has tons of 0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.840 betting options. 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Or tex Hope, n Y. 0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:34.560 For six seven three six nine in New York, tennessee 0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:36.719 redline one one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight 0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:42.000 nine Tennessee visit one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. 0:19:44.720 --> 0:19:47.160 All right, here's a game where I liked the Rams initially. 0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:50.440 Then I got news the Lions moved to Cowboys plus 0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:53.040 five and a half, and news the Rams are missing 0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:58.680 another starting offensive linemen. They're now down to a right 0:19:58.840 --> 0:20:03.160 tackle off lash your Super Bowl team until Alan Robinson 0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:06.760 becomes something. They have a one man wide receiving crew 0:20:07.200 --> 0:20:11.040 beat up on the offensive line. I think they'll tread water. 0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:13.560 But at five and a half with that injury, I 0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:18.040 would take Dallas and the point sharper square. So that's square, 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.840 and this line is moving, really because the wise guys 0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:24.040 like the Rams a lot. They liked him at four 0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:26.359 and a half, they liked him at five, they'll like 0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:29.159 him at five and a half. When you're betting, and 0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:32.440 this is technical, five to five and a half, it's 0:20:32.440 --> 0:20:36.120 a dead number. Games don't really land on those numbers. 0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:38.160 So if you're getting four and a half, you might 0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:39.640 as well, bet the five. You might as well bet 0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:41.400 the five and a half. If he gets to six, 0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:44.240 then you want to reevaluate. But there's no real delta 0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.080 between four and a half and five and a half. 0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:48.119 I bet this game at four and a half. The 0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:50.600 offensive line was in shambles, whether or not they were 0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:54.080 down one more player. Matthew Stafford has been getting pressured. 0:20:54.240 --> 0:20:57.399 This has been a challenging offensive year for the Rams, 0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:01.159 but they're betting against Cooper cut Cooper Rush here, okay, 0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:05.480 And what you're seeing is Cooper Rush starting off hot, 0:21:05.880 --> 0:21:10.840 not throwing interceptions. If you look beyond the final score 0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:14.760 in these games, look at who the Cowboys have played. 0:21:15.080 --> 0:21:19.800 They've played teams in disarray, they've played not very good teams, 0:21:20.359 --> 0:21:23.880 and Cooper Rush, while he doesn't have any interceptions, he's 0:21:23.920 --> 0:21:27.760 had three interceptions called back because of defensive penalties and 0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:31.959 two interceptions dropped. So this is not a team that 0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:36.280 is flawless in any way. And people, I think are 0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:40.600 getting hypnotized by what he's done and by Michael Parsons 0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:43.080 and what he can do as a pass rusher against 0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:45.680 a Rams offensive line. But I don't think this Cowboys 0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:47.439 team is good enough to stay with the Rams. For 0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:50.360 the record, Kyle Allen won a bunch of games years ago, 0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:52.880 was a backup, and then after about four games, everybody 0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:56.040 got tape and then Kyle Allen's back to being a backup. 0:21:56.160 --> 0:22:00.240 Cooper Rush. That, by the way, is the exact compard. 0:22:00.359 --> 0:22:03.720 I've heard so many people talking about that this week 0:22:03.760 --> 0:22:07.639 that Kyle Allen is a perfect analog for this scenario. Okay, 0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:13.000 I took I took the Texans based on your recommendation 0:22:13.080 --> 0:22:15.840 last week and took it in the shorts. I ask 0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:19.800 you every week for a bet you like fireaway Sharper Square. 0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:22.560 The Texans last week was tough because they could have 0:22:22.600 --> 0:22:25.320 covered that game right And I'm glad you bring that up. 0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:29.840 Because the Texans played the Chargers this week. The Chargers 0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:33.040 are on the road again. The Chargers are three point 0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:38.119 favorites at Cleveland. I'm not buying it. This is a 0:22:38.520 --> 0:22:41.840 this is we talked about stock market terminology before. This 0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:46.720 is a Bilow sell high situation. The Browns coming off 0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:49.520 a loss to the Falcons, the Chargers coming off a 0:22:49.600 --> 0:22:54.240 road win against the Texans. The Browns have the best 0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:59.080 running back in football. The Texans are missing their best 0:22:59.200 --> 0:23:03.440 defensive play along the front seven in Joey Bosa. I mean, 0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:07.280 not the Texans, the Chargers. They're still missing their best 0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:09.320 offensive lineman and will miss him for the rest of 0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:12.439 the year in Rashaan Slater. So you've got a better 0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:15.359 defensive front in the Browns. You've got a better rushing 0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:20.960 game in the Browns. You're playing the Browns outdoors, not indoors, outdoors, 0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:25.240 A really well coached team. I love the Browns in 0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:27.080 this spot. I think the Browns are going to win 0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:30.159 this game. I actually feel like Colin I'm going to 0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:34.640 say it here now it's October. Browns win this game. 0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:37.720 There's going to come a point in time later in 0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.840 the year when Deshaun Watson comes back in December. The 0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.159 Browns are going to be hanging around and then all 0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:44.919 of a sudden, they're going to get to Shaun Watson. 0:23:44.920 --> 0:23:46.959 We're going to see how well rounded they are, and 0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:50.480 we're gonna wish we had bought Cleveland Browns AFC futures 0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:55.959 in October. And finally, don't have a strong feeling on it, 0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:58.680 though I did tell you starting in the second half 0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:03.200 against Dallas, Cincinnati got right. I think Miami's a very 0:24:03.240 --> 0:24:07.520 good team beating them is impressive. Half with two and 0:24:07.520 --> 0:24:11.520 a half with Teddy Bridgewater, the Ravens are struggling to 0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:16.159 score in the second half. Concerning just where do you 0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:19.600 land on this? Again, all of our odds provided by FanDuel. 0:24:19.880 --> 0:24:21.679 I don't know what the latest number is, but I 0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:26.720 just kind of your interpretation of a big division rivalry 0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:29.359