1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by fan 2 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: Duel Football Seasons. Here no better place to get in 3 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: on the action. FanDuel app is safe. You get paid fast. 4 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: A lot of ways to play the spread, the money line, 5 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: team totals, players, props, a lot of stuff over unders, 6 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: jump into the action, same game parlays are my favorite. 7 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: Just use the promo code, Colin and download the FanDuel 8 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: app today. All right, let's have an instant reaction to 9 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: what we all just witnessed the Colts and overtime escaping. 10 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: What was like an ugly accident on a freeway, smoldering, 11 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: smoke and awful, except you didn't even want to crane 12 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 1: your neck to look at it. It didn't slow traffic. 13 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: People just drove by. They didn't want to look at 14 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 1: this thing. That was really atrocious. So generally in football, 15 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: there is a way out of most of yr problems. 16 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:19,040 Speaker 1: This is going to be a lot of finger pointing. 17 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: I don't think Nathaniel Hackett is a head coach, even 18 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: the special teams. At the end of the half whatever, 19 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: it's like five seconds left and a half, the ball 20 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: was kicked seven yards deep and somebody brought it out. 21 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: You wouldn't see that with the Patriots, Like what are 22 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: you doing? I mean, that's just lack of discipline, a 23 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: lack of coaching. There's special teams in Denver bad and 24 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: you can get rid of Nathaniel Hackett. You can after 25 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: the year get rid of him. That's the easy one. 26 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: I mean, that's what teams like the Giants do with 27 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: Ben McAdoo Cleveland, Freddie Kitchen, Steve Wilkes in Arizona. You 28 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: can move off a coach pretty quickly. Wilkes got one year. 29 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: That is oble. Denver's got some really good players at 30 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 1: all levels. What is not really solvable is Russell Wilson. 31 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: That's a huge contract. So listen, we know what washed 32 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,799 Speaker 1: looks like. Remember Big Ben about a year ago, rolled 33 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: out and just fell over. That's washed. Baker Mayfield looks washed. 34 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: Cam Newton in New England at the end of that year. Accuracy, 35 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: Jake Cutler, Peyton Manning in Denver's final year, Like, we 36 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: can see what washed is Russell Wilson scrambled a couple 37 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: of times in the first half. He looked athletic. His 38 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 1: velocity is good enough. But the one thing with Russell 39 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 1: Wilson that even I can't deny is that he was 40 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: known I think beyond his ability to make people miss 41 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 1: and move around in the pocket. His second pitch was 42 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: always he threw the softest, pretty most accurate deep ball 43 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: in the league. It was a rain drop, and he 44 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: was just sort of understood that's what he did as 45 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: well as anybody. And some thought, ever, just that rainbow 46 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: over the defense. That is no longer a great element 47 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:18,959 Speaker 1: to his game. He can still move. We saw it 48 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,519 Speaker 1: in the first half. We've seen it five or six 49 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 1: times this year. He can still move. He still has 50 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: decent speed. I think he has his fastball. I don't 51 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: see his velocity. Matt Ryan looks like he's lost about 52 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: seven miles an hour off his fastball. But Rus Soul's 53 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: deep ball, which was really he could throw for a 54 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: strike anywhere on the field, it's bad. He had the 55 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: worst interception that I can recall in his career at 56 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: one point on a deep ball, and then that interception 57 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:51,839 Speaker 1: in the end zone. He just threw it too late. 58 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: So there are elements to his game that remain. He 59 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: doesn't look like Big Band. The last two years we're 60 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: been literally couldn't move, fell down, rolling out he doesn't 61 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: look as physically incapable as Peyton Manning's last year or 62 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: like Baker Mayfield right now, that's not what I see. 63 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: But his inability to drop that deep ball in was 64 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: such a part of his game and it's not there now. 65 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: People aged differently. Lebron has aged wonderfully, Carmelo, Anthony and 66 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: Westbrook have not. Brady has aged wonderfully. Aaron Rodgers has 67 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: aged very well. He's late thirties, and there's a lot 68 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:45,239 Speaker 1: of different reasons Matt Ryan isn't aging well. Is it pliometrics? 69 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 1: How do you take care of your body? Some of 70 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: it's just genetics. Some guys are just built to compete longer. 71 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: Brady's obviously been obsessed with nutrition, working out and off seasons. 72 00:04:56,080 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: But Russell Wilson's inability to hit on that deep ball 73 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: when you have Jerry Judy, who's a burner, is a 74 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 1: real problem. It's not an element of Denver's offense. And 75 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 1: then with Hackett you have what I consider to be 76 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: a suboptimal creator of offense. He's not a play designer 77 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: like Andy Reid. I will give Nathaniel Hackett credit for this. 78 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: On that big drive, latent regulation fourth down and two, 79 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: he went for it. I would have done the same. 80 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: He went for it. He knew it was an ugly night, 81 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: we're at home, we're gonna go for it. And in overtime, 82 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 1: fourth and one, he went for it. I'll give Nathaniel 83 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:38,880 Speaker 1: Hackett credit for that. There was no indecision, no pause 84 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: in both instances. He was trying to win the game. 85 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: That's what you should do when you have a playmaker 86 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: at quarterback and you're at home and you're facing an 87 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: average team. So Hackett gets credit for that. I still 88 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: don't think they'll run enough motion. They don't have enough 89 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: variants in their sets. They're not multiple enough. They're kind 90 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 1: of predictable. They don't roll the pocket out ever. For 91 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. They never ever roll the pocket out. It's 92 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: just uncreative. It's lacking in juice or energy. They don't 93 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: put Russell Wilson in great situations to succeed. But I 94 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: don't think Russell's washed. But he has lost his number 95 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: two pitch. He's lost it. He just can you regain it. 96 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: I also think the offensive line for Denver and Mitchell 97 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 1: Schwartz on social media Twitter mentioned this. I mean he's 98 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: been there like five six months. The offensive line, the 99 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: cadence with Russell Wilson, doesn't feel great. It's just things 100 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 1: aren't clicking. They're not hitting. Matt Stafford's first game was 101 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: Sean McVay. Remember that against the Bears. Good defense was outstanding. 102 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:54,160 Speaker 1: But then again Tom Brady in Tampa. He had an 103 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: awful Thursday night game against the Bears in Chicago. It 104 00:06:57,279 --> 00:06:59,919 Speaker 1: took him until week fourteen or fifteen to get it 105 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 1: going with an offensive coach, Bruce Arians. So Stafford and 106 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: McVeigh clicked immediately. By the way, Shannon and Jimmy Garoppolo 107 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: remember that first year, he came his first five starts, 108 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: five and oho, this thing is a work in progress. 109 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: I have great reservations about Hackett going forward, but some 110 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: of it has to go on Russ. Those were two 111 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: of his worst interceptions. He's still mobile, but they don't 112 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 1: roll the pocket. He still has a fastball. You could 113 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: see that in a couple of his sideline throws. He 114 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: gets rid of it quickly. But you take away that 115 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 1: rain drop deep ball and he's not the same quarterback. 116 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: So of course you add to this that Geno Smith 117 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: is like second or third in the NFL and quarterback rating. 118 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: John Snyder, the GM of the Seahawks, and Pete Carroll, 119 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:56,560 Speaker 1: the head coach. You and I know they were texting 120 00:07:56,600 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: each other tonight watching this. You know it and I 121 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: know it. Pete Carroll and John Snyder were on the 122 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: phone texting tonight and those were laughing emogs because this 123 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: was a standalone game and incredibly ugly. And for those listen, 124 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: for those people who think Russell Wilson is washed, you 125 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: win tonight. Now, can it become Brady and Arians in 126 00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: week twelve or thirteen? I don't know. I don't have 127 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: high hopes. I don't think Nathaniel Hackett's Arians. I don't 128 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 1: think Russell Wilson is Brady. Listen, a lot of times 129 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: in the NFL, you can cut people. The answers are quick. 130 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: That Russell Wilson contract with those new owners. You can't 131 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 1: get out of that thing. I mean, you cannot get 132 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: out of that contract. You can get out of Nathaniel Hackett. 133 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: I mean, you can fire him today, just give it 134 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: to a coordinator. But I mean when they took those 135 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: shots of John Elway and George Peyton, the GM of 136 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 1: the Broncos, who I think is really sharp. I mean 137 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,559 Speaker 1: you saw the look on his face. It was not anger, 138 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:18,080 Speaker 1: it was despair. It was not anger for a bad moment, 139 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: it was how are we going to get out of this? 140 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: Let's go to chat Millman Action Network, the CCO. 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Add your job and the purple hashtag 151 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: hiring frame to your LinkedIn profile. By the way, spread 152 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 1: the word faster screening questions, simple tools make it easy 153 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: to focus on candidates with the right skills. Every business 154 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 1: owner knows how important it is to finish the year 155 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: out strong. You need the right team members. LinkedIn jobs 156 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:24,120 Speaker 1: go there right now. Post your job for free LinkedIn 157 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:29,440 Speaker 1: dot com slash colin LinkedIn dot Com slash colin. Terms 158 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: and conditions apply all right, Chad Millman, Action Network c CEO. 159 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: All odds presented by a fan duel. It's sharp or square. 160 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,200 Speaker 1: I didn't like the lines initially this week, but I'm 161 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: warming to them. Let me throw you out one that 162 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,559 Speaker 1: just feels right. Tomlin is one of the great underdog 163 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: coaches in the league. Pittsburgh plus fourteen against Buffalo feels 164 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: like the obvious one. Fourteens an absurd number. Buffalo jumps 165 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 1: to a lead, hides the playbook, pulls some starters. They're 166 00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: already missing five due to injury. Steelers plus fourteen sharper square, 167 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: totally sharp. That's Look, you look at a fourteen point 168 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: favorite in the NFL, and it's like a forty two 169 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:22,239 Speaker 1: point favorite in college football. And I'm not even exaggerating, 170 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 1: That's just what it is. And you're talking about Mike 171 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 1: Tomlin being in a Mike Tomlin ra Ros spot. That's 172 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: the favorite spot. And that doesn't matter if he's got 173 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger or Duck Hodges or now Kenny Pickett, who 174 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 1: at least showed some mobility, He showed some ability to 175 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: throw the ball downfield, he showed some athleticism. This is 176 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,679 Speaker 1: a team that I think has more opportunities with Kenny 177 00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 1: Pickett to move the ball than they had with miss Rubisky. 178 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 1: So and it's always hard to play a quarterback for 179 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: the first time. You don't have any film on him yet. 180 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: The wise guys are going to be on the Steelers 181 00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 1: A plus fourteen. Okay, here's a game. Some times a 182 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: line is so weird. I think Vegas knows something, or 183 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 1: fan Duels knows something that I don't. Saints minus six 184 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:12,080 Speaker 1: hosting the Seahawks, who have looked good, I don't get 185 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:15,080 Speaker 1: it at all. I think the line should be three 186 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 1: and a half. I would lean Saints. Sharper square Well, 187 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: you would lean Saints if you think the line should 188 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: be three and a half. Well, there's something here I 189 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:31,680 Speaker 1: am missing. Now. I know the Saints defense is really good. 190 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:36,199 Speaker 1: They're at home. Gino has done it a little bit. 191 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 1: They have rookie tackles a little bit, smoking mirrors playing 192 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 1: better at home on the road. Saints awful loss. It 193 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: seems to me the Saints. That line seems way too big. 194 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: So Vegas knows something I don't. I would lean Saints, 195 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 1: all right. So this is a very interesting game, and 196 00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: it's come up a lot in plenty of wise guy 197 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: conversations because there's no planet in which the Saints are 198 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:12,199 Speaker 1: worthy of being six points exactly over anybody right now. 199 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: So I saw this on Sunday night. It was one 200 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 1: of the first bets I made of the Seahawks plus 201 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 1: five and a half. And this is where it gets 202 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 1: really interesting in betting. Betters like to bet the number 203 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: and then they like to sprinkle in and compliment the 204 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: number with situations and personnel. The Seahawks had just beaten 205 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: up on the Lions on the road. Geno Smith has 206 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 1: looked amazing one of the better quarterbacks in the NFL 207 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:48,360 Speaker 1: this year, and offensively, the Seahawks are second in DVOA, 208 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: which I don't have to break it down, but essentially 209 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: it means, according to all the advanced metrics that every 210 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:55,559 Speaker 1: geek likes to play with, the Seahawks are the second 211 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: best offense in the NFL right now. The Saints, we 212 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 1: don't know who's going to be quarterback. Alvin Kamara looks 213 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: like he's not Alvin Kamara anymore. Michael Thomas, we don't 214 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 1: know if he's going to be playing. Everybody was questionable 215 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,320 Speaker 1: this week on the injury list, the defense has not 216 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 1: been getting to the quarterback the way they have. It 217 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 1: feels like the books have not adjusted on this game 218 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: yet from what they thought in the beginning of the season, 219 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 1: which was the Saints could be contenders in the NFC 220 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 1: South and the Seahawks are supposed to be one of 221 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 1: the two or three worst teams. I think there's still 222 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: value in the Seahawks here. The wise guys have been 223 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: betting the Seahawks in this game. The line just feels 224 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: fishy to me. It feels very fishy. Hate big favorites. 225 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: Don't think I'm getting the best of the number, but 226 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers are getting healthy. I think the Chiefs are 227 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: the best team in the league and are competitive. Atlanta 228 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: is really bad against good teams. Little bit fool's goal. 229 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 1: They can play average and below average teams close Buccaneers. 230 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 1: In my blowout of the week nine ten, I think 231 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: I'd take him sharper square. So this is the game, Colin. 232 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: As you know on the podcast that I co host 233 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: with my friend Simon Hunter. Because I don't want you 234 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: trying to drive a wedge between us, we'll do the 235 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: segment sharp Calls where professional betters will call us about 236 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 1: games that we talked about in part one of the 237 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 1: podcast early in the week so they can give us 238 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: their input when we talk about it in part two 239 00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 1: of the podcast later in the week. We loved Atlanta 240 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 1: early in the week. Atlanta one of the three bets 241 00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: I made on Sunday, along with the Seahawks. In one 242 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: other game, which we may talk about at eight and 243 00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 1: a half, I loved it. I am shocked the line 244 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: has moved to ten. Even more shocked because this is 245 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: a pro Joe's game. The bets are coming in on 246 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. When you see bets on one side, that's 247 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: usually the public. The money is on the Falcons, that's 248 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 1: usually professional money. The line usually moves in the direction 249 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:55,680 Speaker 1: of the professional money. Simon got a lot of calls 250 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 1: this week about how much people love the Bucks, and 251 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: betting is a little bit like investing. You want to 252 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: ride the wave and then you want to sell at 253 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 1: the peak. And with the Falcons specifically, professional betters have 254 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: been on the Falcons every single week. They are four 255 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: and against the spread. Professional betters have loved him every 256 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: single week. I think what they saw with the Bucks 257 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: last week was Tom Brady playing really well in a 258 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: high scoring game when he's got a full complement of 259 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: his receivers available. And I think they're thinking we're selling 260 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 1: high on the Falcons and getting in on the Bucks. 261 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: So there's a little bit of a split in what 262 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 1: the conversation is. I can't fault you for taking the Bucks. 263 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 1: I'll be on the Falcons. Bailey Zappi is not mac Jones, 264 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,360 Speaker 1: but I'm not so sure he's that much worse than 265 00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 1: mac Jones. Patriots only minus three and a half. Jared 266 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: Goff splits he's great at home, not so on the road. 267 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: Still missing Swift, still missing his top receiver. Detroit has 268 00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 1: not shown an ability. This is going to be a 269 00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: ball control game. With the Patriots owning time of possession. 270 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win, dominate the clock. Mac Jones 271 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: may play the number tells me about Detroit, three and 272 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:14,440 Speaker 1: a half. I'm gonna take Patriot. Sharper square. Well, look 273 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 1: if it's three and a half, take the Lions. If 274 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 1: it's three. If you like the Patriots, take the Patriots 275 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 1: and hope for a push. Because the Lions. Everything you're 276 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 1: saying is right, and we don't know about DeAndre swift right. 277 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: We don't know about aman Ra st Brown. Playing on 278 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 1: the road in New England is different than playing inside 279 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 1: where the Lions have been playing, and they've they've performed 280 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,399 Speaker 1: incredibly well offensive Liam Jared Goff looks like he's, you know, 281 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: a different player than what he really is. But this 282 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: is a number and the Lions have risen up and 283 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: bitten kneecaps and played with three toes and half a 284 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: butt cheek. And doesn't matter how far out of the 285 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 1: game they are, they don't stop coming at you. And 286 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,800 Speaker 1: even if the Patriots are up by a touchdown or 287 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,199 Speaker 1: ten points late in the game, the lines are going 288 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 1: to find a way to make cookie plays and keep 289 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 1: playing until the final whistle. So just feels like you 290 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: got to play the number here, and if you've got 291 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 1: half a point, you play the lines. If you don't, 292 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:18,159 Speaker 1: you play the Patriots. College football is back, baby, and 293 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: now is the perfect time to download fan Duel, America's 294 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: number one sports book. Right now, new customers get a 295 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: no sweat first bet up to a thousand dollars. That's 296 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 1: free bets back if your first bet doesn't win. The 297 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: promo code is always Colin. Fan Duel has tons of 298 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,840 Speaker 1: betting options. I like the same game, parlay, bet a 299 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: little win a lot. 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Or tex Hope, n Y. 317 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 1: For six seven three six nine in New York, tennessee 318 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:36,719 Speaker 1: redline one one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight 319 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: nine Tennessee visit one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia. 320 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,160 Speaker 1: All right, here's a game where I liked the Rams initially. 321 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 1: Then I got news the Lions moved to Cowboys plus 322 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: five and a half, and news the Rams are missing 323 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:58,680 Speaker 1: another starting offensive linemen. They're now down to a right 324 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:03,160 Speaker 1: tackle off lash your Super Bowl team until Alan Robinson 325 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 1: becomes something. They have a one man wide receiving crew 326 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 1: beat up on the offensive line. I think they'll tread water. 327 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: But at five and a half with that injury, I 328 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: would take Dallas and the point sharper square. So that's square, 329 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: and this line is moving, really because the wise guys 330 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 1: like the Rams a lot. They liked him at four 331 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,359 Speaker 1: and a half, they liked him at five, they'll like 332 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 1: him at five and a half. When you're betting, and 333 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 1: this is technical, five to five and a half, it's 334 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:36,120 Speaker 1: a dead number. Games don't really land on those numbers. 335 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:38,160 Speaker 1: So if you're getting four and a half, you might 336 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:39,640 Speaker 1: as well, bet the five. You might as well bet 337 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:41,400 Speaker 1: the five and a half. If he gets to six, 338 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 1: then you want to reevaluate. But there's no real delta 339 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 1: between four and a half and five and a half. 340 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,119 Speaker 1: I bet this game at four and a half. The 341 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: offensive line was in shambles, whether or not they were 342 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: down one more player. Matthew Stafford has been getting pressured. 343 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,399 Speaker 1: This has been a challenging offensive year for the Rams, 344 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:01,159 Speaker 1: but they're betting against Cooper cut Cooper Rush here, okay, 345 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: And what you're seeing is Cooper Rush starting off hot, 346 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 1: not throwing interceptions. If you look beyond the final score 347 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 1: in these games, look at who the Cowboys have played. 348 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: They've played teams in disarray, they've played not very good teams, 349 00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: and Cooper Rush, while he doesn't have any interceptions, he's 350 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: had three interceptions called back because of defensive penalties and 351 00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:31,959 Speaker 1: two interceptions dropped. So this is not a team that 352 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 1: is flawless in any way. And people, I think are 353 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: getting hypnotized by what he's done and by Michael Parsons 354 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 1: and what he can do as a pass rusher against 355 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 1: a Rams offensive line. But I don't think this Cowboys 356 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,439 Speaker 1: team is good enough to stay with the Rams. For 357 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,360 Speaker 1: the record, Kyle Allen won a bunch of games years ago, 358 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,880 Speaker 1: was a backup, and then after about four games, everybody 359 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 1: got tape and then Kyle Allen's back to being a backup. 360 00:21:56,160 --> 00:22:00,240 Speaker 1: Cooper Rush. That, by the way, is the exact compard. 361 00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 1: I've heard so many people talking about that this week 362 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:07,639 Speaker 1: that Kyle Allen is a perfect analog for this scenario. Okay, 363 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 1: I took I took the Texans based on your recommendation 364 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,840 Speaker 1: last week and took it in the shorts. I ask 365 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 1: you every week for a bet you like fireaway Sharper Square. 366 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 1: The Texans last week was tough because they could have 367 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 1: covered that game right And I'm glad you bring that up. 368 00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 1: Because the Texans played the Chargers this week. The Chargers 369 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 1: are on the road again. The Chargers are three point 370 00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:38,119 Speaker 1: favorites at Cleveland. I'm not buying it. This is a 371 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 1: this is we talked about stock market terminology before. This 372 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 1: is a Bilow sell high situation. The Browns coming off 373 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,520 Speaker 1: a loss to the Falcons, the Chargers coming off a 374 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 1: road win against the Texans. The Browns have the best 375 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 1: running back in football. The Texans are missing their best 376 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: defensive play along the front seven in Joey Bosa. I mean, 377 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 1: not the Texans, the Chargers. They're still missing their best 378 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 1: offensive lineman and will miss him for the rest of 379 00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:12,439 Speaker 1: the year in Rashaan Slater. So you've got a better 380 00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:15,359 Speaker 1: defensive front in the Browns. You've got a better rushing 381 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 1: game in the Browns. You're playing the Browns outdoors, not indoors, outdoors, 382 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 1: A really well coached team. I love the Browns in 383 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: this spot. I think the Browns are going to win 384 00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,159 Speaker 1: this game. I actually feel like Colin I'm going to 385 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:34,640 Speaker 1: say it here now it's October. Browns win this game. 386 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 1: There's going to come a point in time later in 387 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 1: the year when Deshaun Watson comes back in December. The 388 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,159 Speaker 1: Browns are going to be hanging around and then all 389 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:44,919 Speaker 1: of a sudden, they're going to get to Shaun Watson. 390 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:46,959 Speaker 1: We're going to see how well rounded they are, and 391 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: we're gonna wish we had bought Cleveland Browns AFC futures 392 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:55,959 Speaker 1: in October. And finally, don't have a strong feeling on it, 393 00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:58,680 Speaker 1: though I did tell you starting in the second half 394 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:03,200 Speaker 1: against Dallas, Cincinnati got right. I think Miami's a very 395 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 1: good team beating them is impressive. Half with two and 396 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 1: a half with Teddy Bridgewater, the Ravens are struggling to 397 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 1: score in the second half. Concerning just where do you 398 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: land on this? Again, all of our odds provided by FanDuel. 399 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:21,679 Speaker 1: I don't know what the latest number is, but I 400 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 1: just kind of your interpretation of a big division rivalry 401 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 1: game where you know they're going to put their best 402 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,760 Speaker 1: corner on Jamar Chase or they take him out. The 403 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 1: Bengals aren't running it very effectively. Where do you land 404 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:39,280 Speaker 1: on that one? So I am on the Ravens at 405 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:43,439 Speaker 1: minus three in this game right now. I'm checking it 406 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: on FanDuel as we speak. Had been moving around a 407 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: little bit, so it's three and a half. So the 408 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:56,159 Speaker 1: money has been coming in on the Ravens. I'm not surprised. 409 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 1: I think it will continue to come in. I think 410 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: the Ravens. You say they've struggled to score in the 411 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 1: second half. I think they're a couple of plays away 412 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:09,640 Speaker 1: from being four oh and having beaten two really good 413 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: teams in Miami and in Buffalo. And I think the 414 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 1: Bengals while I was on them last week, and I 415 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 1: do feel like they started to get right. I think 416 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: this is a really tough spot for them, and so 417 00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: I'm on the ravens here. The wise guys have been 418 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,159 Speaker 1: on the ravens. It's one of the reasons why this 419 00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:31,199 Speaker 1: number is flashing to three and a half. Chad Millman 420 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: Action Network as owa's it's great seeing you again. Say 421 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: hi to Simon Hunter. I do feel bad about the 422 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 1: fissures in your relationship, but you can amend that hopefully 423 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 1: over the course of the season. Listen, we have one 424 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,200 Speaker 1: more thing to bring up. I listened to your radio 425 00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 1: show and today I'm listening to it driving my kid 426 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: home from school. What phrase did you bring up today? 427 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 1: That's a Corner TV game? Corner TV game. Yeah, we 428 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,439 Speaker 1: have a fissure right now. Do you know why? You 429 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 1: know why you couldn't say, by the way, how much 430 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: hypocrisy is happening right now? Last week you're on me 431 00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 1: because I say, we're talking about the podcast, and you're like, well, 432 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,480 Speaker 1: you didn't mentioned Simon Hunter, who's like my best friend. 433 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,920 Speaker 1: And today I'm listening to my friend Colin Cowards radio show. 434 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,040 Speaker 1: He's talking about Corner TV's did he once say Corner 435 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 1: TV that my friend Chad moment gives me all the 436 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,720 Speaker 1: time when he talks on his podcast favorites. Not once 437 00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,560 Speaker 1: you mentioned it like four times with Jason McIntyre. Well, 438 00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 1: you know what, there were time restraints. I had to 439 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 1: get out commercials. Otherwise I would have jammed it right 440 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 1: in there. Oh yeah. A guy who's been doing radio 441 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,520 Speaker 1: for thirty years and has the clock in his head 442 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 1: and knows exactly how much time he has couldn't fit in. 443 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:52,359 Speaker 1: My friend, Chad moment. Good to see anybody, all right, man, 444 00:26:52,400 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 1: I'll talk to you later the volume. Make sure to 445 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 1: check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green 446 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: into the volume because one of the more entertaining voices 447 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:23,080 Speaker 1: in sports. Unique perspective understands behind the rope, also chops 448 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. 449 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get 450 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: your podcasts, only on the Volume podcast Network