1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: Good morning. It's one day, the thirteenth of November here 2 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: in London. This is the BlueBag Daybreak podcast. 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,799 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepki and I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today, 4 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 2: Talks continue to secure the release of hostages held in 5 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 2: Gaza as the death toll on the ground rises. 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: UK house prices dramatically drop as boring costs rise and 7 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: buyers dry up. 8 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: Plus Britain's two hundred and sixty two billion pound trust problem, 9 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: a special report on a uniquely British investment challenge. 10 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 11 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: Senior officials in Israel and the United States say talks 12 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,480 Speaker 2: about securing the release of Hamas held hostages are intensifying. 13 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: More than two hundred people were forcibly taken to Gaza 14 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: during the October seventh attack on Israel. Speaking to NBC's 15 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 2: Meet the Press, as Raeli Prime Minister Benjaminettania, who was 16 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 2: asked if a deal to secure their return may be possible, 17 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 2: There could. 18 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 3: Be, but I think the less I said about it, 19 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 3: the more I've. 20 00:00:57,640 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 4: Increased the chancels that it materializes. 21 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 3: And it's a result of pressure, military pressure. 22 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: Those comments from the Israeli leader were echoed over the 23 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 2: weekend by the White House's National Security Advisor, Jack Sullivan, 24 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 2: teld NBC News that a number of countries are involved 25 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 2: in the talks. 26 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 5: There are ongoing negotiations involving the Israelis, the cutteries, and 27 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 5: we the United States are actively engaged in this as well, 28 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:23,960 Speaker 5: because we want to make sure that we bring home 29 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 5: those Americans who have been taken hostage, as well as 30 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 5: all of the other hostages. 31 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 2: Jack Sullivan's remarks came as President Biden spoke to the 32 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 2: Amir of Katar about efforts to secure the release of 33 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 2: additional hostages. The two leaders also discussed efforts to increase 34 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: the flow of humanitarian assistance to Gaza. 35 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: The hostage negotiations come as israel As military continues its 36 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: offensive against Hamas in Gaza, engaging in ground battles in 37 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: a northern refugee camp. The United Nations says that shelling 38 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: has increased around hospitals there, with several being directly hit. 39 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: Tom Potoka is the chief surgeon for the International Committee 40 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 1: of the Red Cross in Gaza. He described the conditions there. 41 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 3: Still relentless, still bombardment every night, one very close half 42 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 3: past one this morning, that whistled over the top of 43 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 3: the building. We're in, still patients arriving, still inundated, with 44 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 3: internally displaced people, so not really getting any better. 45 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: Tom Pottercar's account in a video diary comes as the 46 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: Palestine Red Crescent Society so that Al Kudz Hospital in 47 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: Gaza City is no longer operational because of a lack 48 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: of fuel. Israel's military says that her Mass, designated a 49 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: terror organization by the US and EU has a command 50 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: center underneath the medical center, something the group has denied. 51 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: The Mass run Health Ministry says that more than eleven 52 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 1: thousand people have now been killed in the fighting in Gaza, 53 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: including thousands of children. 54 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 2: UK Prime Minister Hi Sunak is considering a cabinet reshuffle 55 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 2: after extremist groups clashed with police on Armistice Day. His 56 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 2: Home Secretary so while a Bravman has been blamed for 57 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,839 Speaker 2: inciting the far right with her rhetoric against pro Palestine protests, 58 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: Defend Secretary Grant Shaps was asked if Bravman would still 59 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 2: be in a job next week, as you. 60 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 3: Know, and I know, well, a week's a long time 61 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 3: in politics, and I never made predictions about these things. 62 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 2: As I say, it's some tiny matter. 63 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 6: For the Prime Minister. 64 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 2: In addition to Shapps's comments, two Cabinet members have told 65 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: Bloomberg that Bravman's challenge to the Prime Minister's authority made 66 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:33,679 Speaker 2: her position untenable. 67 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: Now, the leaders of the world's two superpowers meet this week, 68 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 1: and Bloomberg estimates an economic partnership where trillions of dollars 69 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: is on the line. Joe Biden and Shijingping are looking 70 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: to thaw their frosty relationship as both faced political and 71 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: economic headwinds. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen hosted China's Economics 72 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: are last week in preparation for she's visit. She says 73 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: the aim of the talks is to find a healthy 74 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: economic relationship. 75 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 6: We do not seek to decouple our economy from China's. 76 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 6: This would be damaging to both the US and China 77 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 6: and destabilizing for the world. 78 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: Yellen's comments come after years where economic priorities have taken 79 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: second place to security concerns. The White House says that 80 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: its priority for the summit is to restart US China 81 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 1: military communications, which were severed last year in a dispute 82 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: about Taiwan. 83 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 2: Asking prices for homes in the UK saw their biggest 84 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: fall in the month of November since twenty eighteen. Bloombergs 85 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 2: tiwa Adabaio has more. 86 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 7: The property portal right Move says the average asking price 87 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 7: for a UK home dropped by one point seven percent, 88 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 7: the biggest discount scene at this time of year in 89 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 7: five years. That's slicing an average of six thousand pounds 90 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 7: of price tags, with the biggest falls seen in London 91 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 7: and the Southeast. The number of sales agreed was also 92 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 7: down by ten percent compared to pre pandemic levels. Landlords 93 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 7: are under pressured too, from the highest interest rates in 94 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 7: fifteen years. Data from Hampton's International shows buy to let 95 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 7: property deals slumping by more than a quarter this year 96 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 7: in London. Tiwa Adebayo Bloomberg Radio. 97 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: The people of Iceland are bracing for what could be 98 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: the most devastating volcanic eruption in fifty years. Authorities say 99 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: that there's a significant likelihood of magma reaching the surface 100 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: in the coming days. The town of Grindovik, home to 101 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,839 Speaker 1: over three thy six hundred people, risks being wiped out 102 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: entirely by the blast. Experts say that an explosion spewing 103 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 1: volcanic ash cannot be ruled out in the event of 104 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 1: an eruption. Now, there is a fascinating read on the 105 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Terminal over the weekend about Shijingping and his relationship 106 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:57,359 Speaker 1: to a group of Iowans. Apparently, when he was quite young, 107 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: at kind of a young official, he spent a couple 108 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: of weeks on a kind of fact finding trip to 109 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: Iowa and created this or got this kind of bond 110 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: with local people who took him around to see agricultural towns, 111 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: the Iowa State University, in various different kind of businesses 112 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: to see how agriculture worked there. And he's kept in 113 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 1: touch with that same group the whole way long, and 114 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: apparently he's going to see them when he's visiting San Francisco. 115 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, they've been invited to a reception and dinner on 116 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 2: the sidelines of the APEC meeting, which this was ANICE 117 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 2: reunion for them as well. There's some great detail on 118 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 2: the story about like I'm sleeping in one of the 119 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 2: child children's bedrooms that were Star Treks themed. Yes at 120 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 2: the time, this is the mid eighties, so look, a 121 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 2: very interesting aspect of this story is, of course we're 122 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 2: thinking very much about US China relations in the week 123 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: of that important meeting. 124 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 1: I think it's totally fascinating that, you know, the personal 125 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,039 Speaker 1: is politics, and one of them joke that they still 126 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 1: couldn't quite understand the I ones. That is why this 127 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 1: now all powerful sort of Chinese leader is still so 128 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 1: friendly with them. But of course very very open to 129 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: the meeting. Yet it was a really very testing piece 130 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: over the. 131 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 2: Weekend this as President Biden has been discussing the urgent 132 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 2: need to secure the release of Hamas held hostages in 133 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 2: Gaza as Israel's military continues their offensive, including ground battles 134 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 2: in Gaza. The US President, as we've been saying, meeting 135 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 2: face to face with China's Chujing Ping in San Francisco 136 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 2: on Wednesday of this week, joining US Now to discuss 137 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 2: Blinbrog's EMA and news director Razdin Matheson Ras, Good morning 138 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 2: to you on the first of all, on the issue 139 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 2: of the hostages in Gaza. What do we know about 140 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 2: the latest and the attempts at negotiation. 141 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 8: Well, as you was saying, we know that the US 142 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 8: President Joe Biden spoke with Ya Mirror of Qatar, and 143 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 8: Qatar has been real key player in all of this 144 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 8: a conduit in the conversations around the hostages, not just 145 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 8: in this war, but also in other issues in recent times, 146 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 8: including the war between Russia and Ukraine, and so Kata's 147 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 8: increasingly seeing itself as an intermediary in all of these 148 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 8: and able to be seen as a good faith actor 149 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 8: on all sides, which is really important in these conversations. 150 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 8: But they're extraly delicate. So what we know is they 151 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 8: seem to be inching forward, but only inching. We're getting 152 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 8: a lot of caution from Israel that they're not yet 153 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 8: near a deal, because it's very difficult for Israel to agree, 154 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 8: for example, to hand back some Hummas prisoners to Gaza 155 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 8: in exchange for the Israeli nationals. Hammas, meanwhile, seems to 156 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 8: be okay to maybe release foreign hostages who hold US 157 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 8: passports Australian passports, but less willing to release Israeli nationals. 158 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 8: So it's inching forward maybe, but not yet signs of 159 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 8: a deal. 160 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, the ground war continues, it sees more casualties. There 161 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: is also more pressure increasing on Israel. Israel says Hamas 162 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:44,560 Speaker 1: is using hospitals as command centers, but the fighting is 163 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 1: certainly becoming what do we know about the fighting. 164 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 8: Well, we know the fighting's really intense around these hospitals 165 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 8: in the north of Gaza. There's several key hospitals in 166 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 8: the area. We know a lot of people moved into 167 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 8: the hospital grounds to seek shelter when the war broke out. 168 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 8: We know that the international aid agencies say that some 169 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 8: of those hospitals have now run out of fuel and 170 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 8: they're struggling to maintain contacts. So certainly a focus of 171 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 8: the humanitarian disaster inside Gaza. But also, as you say, 172 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 8: Israel says that Hamas uses these hospitals as staging points 173 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:21,319 Speaker 8: for their attacks. That's where some of their command center's ars, 174 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 8: where the tunnels fan out. So it's extremely tricky because 175 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 8: Israel says, well, these are places we need to attack 176 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 8: because Hamas is using them and essentially using the people 177 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 8: of Gas. Are there for protection. International agencies and others 178 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 8: and doctors say well that's possibly the case. Harmas denies it, 179 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 8: of course, but there's also a lot of civilians in 180 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 8: the area, so it's extremely tricky and we can see 181 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 8: warnings that the casualties may increase obviously as the fighting 182 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 8: in those areas does. 183 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 2: When we think taking a step back of the events 184 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 2: directly occurring in the Middle East and thinking about the 185 00:09:54,800 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 2: international diplomacy behind all of this as well. We have 186 00:09:57,440 --> 00:10:01,679 Speaker 2: that meeting between Joe Biden and shooting being happening this week. 187 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 2: What is China's place and all of this. It's attitude 188 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 2: to the events in the Middle. 189 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 8: East, Well, China has been very cautious about it, not 190 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 8: really wanting to get drawn into it. We know from 191 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 8: the comments so far they say that the lives of 192 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 8: everybody in this matter Israelis and Palestinians equally. They've supported 193 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 8: the cause from Arab nations for a cease fire, but 194 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 8: certainly a sense of not really wanting to get drawn 195 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 8: in frankly, to a fight that they see is not 196 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 8: really in their interest. What will be interesting from the 197 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 8: meeting between Joe Biden and Sieging Ping is that the 198 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 8: US President will no doubt use that to lean on 199 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 8: Sieging Ping to use his leverage in turn with Iran 200 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 8: and to say can you please convey messages again to 201 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 8: Tehran not to allow this conflict to spiral and extend. 202 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:47,959 Speaker 8: You know, the US believes that China has a fair 203 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,680 Speaker 8: amount of leverage with Iran. It's possibly not as strong 204 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 8: as the US might think it is, but certainly you'll 205 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 8: get that message very much from Joe Biden during that 206 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 8: meeting this week. 207 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,080 Speaker 1: The US China relationship, of course, has been frosty on 208 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:05,319 Speaker 1: a kind of bigger take has does this show a 209 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 1: kind of thawing at all. 210 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 8: Well, it's been a really big build up to this meeting. 211 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 8: It's been months and months and months of careful diplomacy, 212 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 8: of shuttling back and forth between US and Chinese officials, 213 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:21,439 Speaker 8: increasing in seniority, meeting each other, pointing towards this meeting. 214 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,679 Speaker 8: And certainly it's not going to be a magic fix 215 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,440 Speaker 8: for their relationship, but the main thing is it helps 216 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 8: them put a flaw under the relationship so at least 217 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 8: prevents it from getting worse in a way. And they've 218 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 8: both got an interest in having this meeting happen. Seaging 219 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 8: Ping needs his economy to improve, so it needs the 220 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 8: US to take the pressure off. For the US also 221 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 8: doesn't really need tensions with China being so high at 222 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 8: the moment, with so many other problems around the world, 223 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 8: so it's probably not going to lead to a lot 224 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 8: of tangibles. But the fact that it's happening in itself 225 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 8: is quite notable. 226 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 2: Okay, Rosin Matson, right, Yemian News director, thank you very 227 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 2: much for joining us this morning. 228 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 1: Now we turn our attention masters here in the UK, 229 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 1: when interest rates were low, this sector boomed. Now the 230 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 1: pressure is piling on the UK's investment trust sector. There 231 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 1: could be a reckoning coming for it. It's worth two 232 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:15,960 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty two billion pounds. The average UK trust 233 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 1: is now trading at a sixteen percent discount to asset value. 234 00:12:19,520 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: That's the most since the global financial crisis. Johnning's now 235 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: to discuss is Bloomberg's cross asset markets, reported Justina Lee, 236 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 1: just in the Good Morning. I mean, first, just explain, 237 00:12:28,920 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: I suppose exactly what an investment trust is. What makes 238 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 1: it different from a mutual fund in ETF. You know, 239 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: they're quite they're quite widely used in the UK. 240 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. The biggest difference between them and a mutual 241 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 4: funder a ETF is how they raise the cash in 242 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,719 Speaker 4: the first place. What happens with investment trust is that 243 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 4: when they want to raise money, they actually start by 244 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 4: doing an IPO, so they get listed on a stock 245 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,840 Speaker 4: exchange and then they take money from investors. At that 246 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 4: step and then they invest in, you know, whatever they're 247 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 4: supposed to invest in. And the purpose of that is that, 248 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 4: you know, when you want to cash out of an 249 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 4: investment trust, you actually sell your shares and so it 250 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 4: doesn't actually affect you know, the investments itself, and so 251 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 4: the perk is supposed to be that it lets the 252 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 4: investment managers kind of think about everything in the long 253 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 4: term because they don't need to worry about the direct 254 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 4: effect of redemptions. They're not the ones giving you cash 255 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:39,000 Speaker 4: directly when you redeem. But the flip side of that 256 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 4: is it means that the trust, when trades in the 257 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 4: stock exchange, it can trade at a discount to the 258 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 4: net asset value of the underlying holdings of that trust. 259 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 4: And that is exactly what we're seeing right now. 260 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 2: To see why are these trusts so big in the. 261 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,079 Speaker 4: UK, Well, some people would say that it's partly a 262 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 4: historical work. I mean, the first investment trust in the 263 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 4: whole world was actually established in the UK to buy 264 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:09,160 Speaker 4: government bonds, and that was back in eighteen sixty eight. 265 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,959 Speaker 4: But part of it is also a reflection of the 266 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 4: macro environment we've been until recent years. I mean since 267 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 4: the global financial crisis, yields have been at zero, and 268 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 4: so you know, when people were looking for yields, they 269 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 4: kind of really wanted something higher. And one kind of 270 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 4: benefit of these trusts is that they were able to 271 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 4: retain income every year, which means they don't have to 272 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 4: pay out all of their dividends. And so because of that, 273 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 4: they were able to smooth out the dividend payout. And 274 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 4: so there were many trusts who even in the zero 275 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 4: rate years, could give you dividend increases year after year. 276 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 4: And kind of another benefit was that they could invest 277 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 4: in i liquid assets and so you could get kind 278 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 4: of income from kind of quirkier things such as like 279 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 4: you know, student dorms or kind of renewable energy and 280 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:05,600 Speaker 4: generation and all that. 281 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: So then they're on depression. Now, I mean, how bad 282 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: is it? 283 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 4: Yeah? Exactly, I mean everyone knows that now you can, 284 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 4: you know, go out and buy even UK government bonds 285 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 4: for five percent, and so suddenly a lot of these 286 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 4: trusts we're are looking a lot less attractive. I mean, 287 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 4: one good example is, for instance, like the Hypnosis Trust, 288 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,200 Speaker 4: which a lot of people might have heard of because 289 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 4: they bought a lot of music royalties from you know, 290 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 4: red hot chili peppers or fifty cent and that was 291 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 4: because they were paying out, you know, dividends from the 292 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 4: streaming rights. But now you know, people don't want that 293 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 4: anymore when they can just go out and buy really 294 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 4: safe government bonds. And another example is, you know, there 295 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 4: are a lot of trust that buy a liquid assets 296 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 4: and now a lot of people are worried about, you know, 297 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 4: are they really worth what you tell us they're worth 298 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 4: because interest rates are going up and so we're seeing 299 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 4: you know, discounts and also even a lot of trust closing, 300 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 4: including hypnosis. 301 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:09,120 Speaker 2: Actually, this is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on 302 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 2: the stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 303 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, 304 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 305 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 306 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,479 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 307 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 308 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 309 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 310 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 311 00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 2: the news you need to start your day right here 312 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:39,680 Speaker 2: on Bloomberg day Break. 313 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 1: Europe