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Speaker 1: What's up? Guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Deal Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolt at Sports Doc Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM and

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Speaker 1: the offer that's available right now for new users one

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Speaker 1: at betmgm dot com. All right, so another one and

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Speaker 1: two night. Unfortunately we get the run line with the

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Speaker 1: A's correct, they are abysmal. That was the lowest attended

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Speaker 1: game for an A's home game since nineteen seventy nine.

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Speaker 1: I was born in nineteen seventy seven. Guys, hoh, my

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Speaker 1: five to two loss. More on that next game. Here,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna ride this, We're gonna fade. The A's are

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Speaker 1: now nine and what thirty four on the year. They

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Speaker 1: may not win sixty games. It's unbelievable. I'm talking more

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Speaker 1: about that here in just one second, one and two,

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Speaker 1: because hockey goes under. Unfortunately, the two to one finally,

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Speaker 1: but like I said, I didn't care if I went

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Speaker 1: nine in one, and that's where we went nine and one. Fine,

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Speaker 1: you know, we'll take it every time. We just keep

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Speaker 1: on betting the streak until the streak bucks us off

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Speaker 1: and that's what happened there, And then really bad bet

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Speaker 1: on the under for the Angels. Whoa boy, That game

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Speaker 1: flew over early, flew over home runs like every inning

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Speaker 1: practically in that game. So bad bet. They're betting unders

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Speaker 1: in baseball right now. Not too smart. Offenses are just

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Speaker 1: too hot. It's too the balls are flying at the

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Speaker 1: ballparks and blah blah blah. So I got two baseball bets,

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Speaker 1: and I do have a play on the NBA. I

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Speaker 1: might have NBA player props today. I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: gotta look and see. If there's one that I like

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Speaker 1: a lot, i'll play it. I don't know though, So

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash chat ticket into our

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Speaker 1: Discord channel where I place the player props before Denver

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Speaker 1: and the Lakers play tonight for Game one of the

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Speaker 1: Western Conference Finals. But before we do anything else, let's

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Speaker 1: to the picks today, let's talk more about the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice betting group. Now, you guys have been asking me

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Speaker 1: a bunch of questions about this. Okay, this is for

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Speaker 1: the month of May. We are running a contest to

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Speaker 1: find out which Daily Juice listener has the best ROI

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Speaker 1: for the month of May on their bets. The contest

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Speaker 1: will take place in the new Daily Juice Betting group

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Speaker 1: on the Betting pros app. An exclusive leaderboard for Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice listeners is set up to track performance in showcase

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Speaker 1: the bets being placed. You guys love to hold me accountable.

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Speaker 1: Now I get to hold you accountable. This is fun.

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Speaker 1: In addition to bragging rights, the top five listeners in

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Speaker 1: the month of May will all win prizes. If you

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Speaker 1: win the darn thing, you get a Dennis Rodman Autograft

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bulls jersey. If you come in second to fifth,

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Speaker 1: that's one year of Betting Pros premium. To join the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice group and to compete in this contest, you

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Speaker 1: must do the following one. Go to Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash juice and click the join button for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Group. Number two, download the Betting Pros app in

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Speaker 1: the app store. Number three. Either log your picks in

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Speaker 1: the app or sink your bets using the app. Either

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Speaker 1: approach for tracking your bets will count for monitor the

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Speaker 1: Juice leaderboard to see how you're performing throughout the month

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Speaker 1: of May Greek app. Visit Bettingpros dot com slash juice

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Speaker 1: to join the group. Download the Betting Pros app and

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Speaker 1: make your picks and let's see how you guys do

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Speaker 1: when we track your bets. Here in the month of May,

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Speaker 1: trecking mine every single day, so lost a little yesterday

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Speaker 1: one in two. Let's see if we can win it

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Speaker 1: back here with three bets. Let's start with baseball. We'll

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Speaker 1: get to basketball at the end. I'm not going going

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Speaker 1: to go overboard here, and really, do you know a

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Speaker 1: ton of breakdowns. The A's are awful. They're four and nineteen,

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Speaker 1: and when they lose, they lose on the run line.

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Speaker 1: The Diamondbacks are ten and eight on the road, but

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Speaker 1: they're hot. They won yesterday five to two. They won

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Speaker 1: the final three games against San Francisco, winning on the

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Speaker 1: run line in two of the three games there. But

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Speaker 1: the A's are nine and thirty four. Okay, this team

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Speaker 1: does not want to win. And when this team loses,

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Speaker 1: this team loses on the run line. In their losses

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Speaker 1: during this streak in which they have lost now three

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Speaker 1: in a row and one, two, three, four, five, eight

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Speaker 1: of nine in the losses five two, eleven, three five nothing,

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Speaker 1: four nothing, eleven three ten, five, seven to two five one.

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Speaker 1: You don't overthink this, except the books gave us plus

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Speaker 1: money plus one ten, yes, one unit. It's Tommy Henry

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Speaker 1: against Kyle Muller. Now Tommy Henry is not exactly you know,

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Speaker 1: Clayton Kershaw on his prime. Okay, he's a lefty. They

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Speaker 1: lost his last start. He gave up two earned runs,

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Speaker 1: though in his starts four of them this season, three

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Speaker 1: earned runs, four arned runs, two earned runs and two

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Speaker 1: earned runs. He's been pretty effective. He hasn't been horrible.

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Speaker 1: Is the era of four point four to three is

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Speaker 1: a little bit deceiving if you ask me, just because

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Speaker 1: of the way that he has pitched this season. But

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Speaker 1: on the road he has a horrible ERA. Okay, six

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Speaker 1: point seventy five ERA, but he's one to zero, Okay,

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Speaker 1: only five and a thirty pitched. He had one start,

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Speaker 1: gave up four earned runs, batting average three eighteen. But

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Speaker 1: it's all skewed because it happened. He's only pitched on

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Speaker 1: the road once and that was at Colorado, so we're

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Speaker 1: not at altitude. They won the game eleven to four,

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Speaker 1: by the way, so they won that game on the

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Speaker 1: run line. Tommy Henry doesn't worry me all that much, okay,

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Speaker 1: because the A's can't score, can't score in any they're

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Speaker 1: not trying to score on anybody, and they're running out

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Speaker 1: these pitchers that just I mean, Kyle Muller is one

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Speaker 1: in three with a seven point three four era. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this guy at home is much better than the road,

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Speaker 1: but his ERA is still four point five eight zero

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Speaker 1: to one on the year, ten earned runs given up

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Speaker 1: in nineteen and two thirds innings worth of work. His

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Speaker 1: ERA on the road is ten point three one. Keep

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Speaker 1: that in mind when Kyle Muller is starting on the road.

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Speaker 1: He's one in two, given up twenty seven hits in

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Speaker 1: eighteen innings and twenty one earned runs. Batting average of

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Speaker 1: three sixty on the road to posing batting average, but

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Speaker 1: at home it's three twenty one. I mean three twenty

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Speaker 1: one for opposing batting average at home is ridiculous. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that is not good. His last start against the Yankees,

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Speaker 1: he went four innings, six earned runs against the Royals.

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Speaker 1: Last star after that five and a third five earned runs.

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Speaker 1: His last start at home was pretty good though, five innings,

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Speaker 1: one earned run, and then the time before that against

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Speaker 1: the Cubs, four innings, six herned runs. I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: puck line on the run line. You can just bet

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Speaker 1: money line if you want. Miss one forty is not

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Speaker 1: a horrible bet. I'm greedy, and so I'm gonna push

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Speaker 1: this because I just don't think. I mean, you can

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Speaker 1: bet money line for sure, okay, but I just don't

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Speaker 1: think right now you need to. I mean, I'll probably

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Speaker 1: bet both. I've already bet the run line at plug

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Speaker 1: at my one and a half runs. I'll probably bet

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Speaker 1: money line too, just in case, and just so I

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Speaker 1: could be you know, because I do think the Dbacks

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Speaker 1: win the game. Arizona is looking to keep themselves in

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Speaker 1: pace here. They are two and a half games back

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Speaker 1: of the Dodgers. Dodgers have won five games in a row.

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Speaker 1: Diamondbacks have won four games in a row. So try

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Speaker 1: to keep pace here. In the NL West run line

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Speaker 1: plus one ten Diamondbacks against the Oakland Ace second bet.

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Speaker 1: Just like I couldn't figure out, I'm getting plus money

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Speaker 1: on laying a run on half on a team that

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Speaker 1: always loses by at least two runs. The White Sox

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Speaker 1: are not a good baseball team, and lance Lynn, we've

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Speaker 1: been fading. Lance Lynn first five overs. It's Bieber Day

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Speaker 1: for the Cleveland Guardians. Bieber's three and one with a

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Speaker 1: two point six to one ERA. They're on the road.

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Speaker 1: Lance Linn at home is one in five with a

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Speaker 1: seven point five to one ERA. The number is minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty? What am I missing on this? I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of confused. The Guardians have won two in a row.

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Speaker 1: The White Sox have lost four or five. Lance lynn

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Speaker 1: is he's got a whip of one point six at home.

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Speaker 1: He is a nine point five six ERA. He's zero

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Speaker 1: and three at home so far this year, seventeen earned

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Speaker 1: runs in sixteen innings worth of work, four home runs

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Speaker 1: given up in an opposing batting average of three four

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Speaker 1: Why is it minus one twenty? What am I missing

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Speaker 1: with this? Uh? This is like I still am going

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Speaker 1: back and forth going what am I missing on Shane Bieber? Because, okay,

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Speaker 1: Shane Bieber, maybe he has not been as good on

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Speaker 1: the road two point seven to three ERA one to

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Speaker 1: zero on the road, thirty three innings pitched, just ten

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Speaker 1: earned runs given up and posing batting average of two

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Speaker 1: twenty eight for Shane Bieber on the road. I mean

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Speaker 1: the last time out for Shane Bieber pitching on the

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Speaker 1: road at the Yankees. He lost the game, but he

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Speaker 1: went eight innings two earned runs. His last start against

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Speaker 1: the Tigers, they won two to nothing. He went six

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Speaker 1: seven hits scattered, no earned runs given up, won the

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Speaker 1: game three to know. I'm sorry when we have two

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Speaker 1: to nothing, I'm prouv moving to three to one. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Against the Red Sox on the road, he

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Speaker 1: pitched really well. Seven innings, five hits, two earned runs.

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Speaker 1: Again minus one twenty give me the Guardians one point

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Speaker 1: two units down money line. Bieber and the Guardians to

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Speaker 1: beat and get a win here against the White Sox

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Speaker 1: and lance Lynn. You can bet first five you want

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Speaker 1: as well. I just don't know how many runs the

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Speaker 1: White Sox score, so first five over maybe you can

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Speaker 1: look at that, or maybe even you know, over for

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Speaker 1: the game team total over for the Guardians. But I'm

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Speaker 1: just going to take the safe route and go minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty. Cleveland's minus one twenty, one point two units

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Speaker 1: down on the money line. All right, baseball minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty money line, Guardians, run line, Diamondbacks. Now to basketball

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Speaker 1: Lakers Nuggets. Six points is a lot. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what to make of this. Okay, in the playoffs, like

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Speaker 1: we've always said, dog outright favor to cover, I don't

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Speaker 1: know about this. Tonight six is tough. Lakers might get

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Speaker 1: one of the two games. I kind of want to

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Speaker 1: watch Game one to see how it's gonna go before

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Speaker 1: I bet sides. I think people who are betting the

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Speaker 1: Lakers are guessing. And this team at home for Clee

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Speaker 1: for Denver was stupid this year. I mean just straight

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Speaker 1: up stupid. Ats thirty sixteen and one against the number.

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Speaker 1: At home, Lakers were twenty one to twenty five and one,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of those games took place before they

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Speaker 1: made the big trades at the trade deadline in February,

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Speaker 1: Denver's straight up record at home was forty and seven

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Speaker 1: forty and seven. On the road, Lakers were twenty two

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Speaker 1: and twenty five. Now, these teams played four times during

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Speaker 1: the regular season two to two, but all the games

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Speaker 1: took place before the trade deadline, when the Lakers made

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Speaker 1: big moves. The last three games, though, have got my attention.

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Speaker 1: One twenty one, one ten one twenty six one oh

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Speaker 1: eight in one twenty two one oh nine. All three

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Speaker 1: of those games the last three times the two insteads

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Speaker 1: these teams played over to twenty two easily easily over.

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Speaker 1: Now in the playoffs, Denver hasn't been as aggressive to

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Speaker 1: the over, but on the road, the Lakers are thirty

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Speaker 1: and seventeen in their last two games up against the Warriors.

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Speaker 1: Both games went over to eighteen over by five points

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Speaker 1: in the clincher against the Warriors, and to twenty three

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Speaker 1: over by four points, one twenty one to one oh six.

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Speaker 1: The Lakers are scoring, but so are the Nuggets. One

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Speaker 1: twenty five, one eighteen, one twenty four in one fourteen

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Speaker 1: over the final four games of that series. Now, the

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Speaker 1: games went under because Phoenix didn't score all that much.

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Speaker 1: They only scored one hundred and one eighteen in the

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Speaker 1: final two games, sorry, one hundred and one oh two

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Speaker 1: over the last two games. They just stopped scoring and

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Speaker 1: games went under by half a point and seven and

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Speaker 1: a half points. I think the Lakers will score here tonight.

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Speaker 1: I think the tempo is going to be fast, and

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Speaker 1: I think this game goes over. I lean towards Nuggets

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Speaker 1: money line. Well, I mean, I think the Nuggets win

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Speaker 1: the game. I think you want to bet Nuggets money line.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna hate on it as well. It's just

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Speaker 1: mins two fifty, Okay, it's really expensive. You want to

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Speaker 1: lay the six points, don't hate it. It just feels heavy, Okay,

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Speaker 1: feels a little bit. I'd rather number be three and

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Speaker 1: a half, you know, just a little over one possession

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Speaker 1: having it be two threes. That's heavy to me. I

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Speaker 1: don't trust it yet. There may be a zigzag theory

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Speaker 1: bet coming here. Winner game one. Now here's the thing.

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Speaker 1: I would love for Lakers to win Game one because

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Speaker 1: I'll come back heavy on the Denver Nuggets in Game two. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I would love Lakers win outright tonight. That's actually

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Speaker 1: a really good thing because Denver Game two will be

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Speaker 1: all in on the Nuggets. But I just don't know

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Speaker 1: right now. I see a lot of people liking the Lakers,

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Speaker 1: a lot of people taking the points, a lot of

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Speaker 1: people taking money line. I want to watch and see

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Speaker 1: how this plays out. Denver against Boston would be such

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Speaker 1: an interesting NBA Finals, and I really think Denver would

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Speaker 1: have a huge chance of winning it. I think Jolkic

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Speaker 1: could have an absolute killer series. I mean, Robert Williams

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Speaker 1: again against Denver will be amazing. But they got to

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Speaker 1: get past the Lakers. And look, Boston's got to get

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Speaker 1: past the Heat too. But they're such big favorites that

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Speaker 1: it would be really stunning if Boston lost to the Heat.

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Speaker 1: But Lakers Celtics is very much on the table. I

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Speaker 1: can't believe it Lebron owns the Celtics, I don't. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be Oh boy, the NBA would be salivating

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Speaker 1: over Lakers Celtics. The winner gets eighteen. Both Boston and

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Speaker 1: LA have seventeen championships each. You kidding me? Unreal if

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Speaker 1: it happens. But let's see what happens in game one.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting over to twenty two one point one units

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Speaker 1: for the Lakers and the Nuggets. Maybe NBA player props

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Speaker 1: coming in this game. I don't know yet, but I

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Speaker 1: like the over, and in games I bet the over,

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Speaker 1: I tend to like betting player props, so stay tuned

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Speaker 1: for that. In the Discord channel betting pros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash chat, all right over to twenty two Lakers Nuggets,

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Speaker 1: run line for the Diamondbacks against the A's at plus

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Speaker 1: money and miss one twenty for the Guardians up against

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Speaker 1: the White Socks. BET's for today on a Tuesday when

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Speaker 1: as Matt Parol following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it is the Daily Juice Podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by Bedam Jam