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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: It's our week one preview episode where we'll give you

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Speaker 1: our picks and predictions for the top ten games on

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Speaker 1: the slate. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I'm all

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Speaker 1: but ready to inject a full slate of college football

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Speaker 1: back in my veins this weekend. The fall weather It's

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Speaker 1: officially back out this way as well, and I think

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Speaker 1: everyone's looking forward to one last long weekend before we

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Speaker 1: get into the busy fall season. And backrolling with me

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Speaker 1: is the crew, of course, including a man who's coming

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Speaker 1: off a scorching hot Week zero Big game Hunter, Treil

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Speaker 1: Furman Junior Trell. How does it feel to come out

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Speaker 1: of a wacky first weekend? Very much in the Green?

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Speaker 2: Oh, it feels great. I mean everything went right. Iowa

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Speaker 2: State money line shout out, so our Lord and Savior

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Speaker 2: Rock Obeck. We had a great job with Kansas as well,

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Speaker 2: little iffy there at times, but Kansas was able to

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Speaker 2: get it done and cover the number with these there

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Speaker 2: at and then Carson Hansen, the running back for Iowas

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Speaker 2: Day associated running back group was revamped and he got

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Speaker 2: it done on the receipt on the rushing, plus we

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Speaker 2: hit the parlay as well. So like it's been a

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Speaker 2: it was a great week zero. And you know what,

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Speaker 2: like Kobe said, job is not done. Job not done

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Speaker 2: is week one. I'm ready to roll it over and

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Speaker 2: have another great week.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, glad you're back in the saddle today

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Speaker 1: and also on it down as someone who stands alongside

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Speaker 1: Matthew McConaughey in support of his Texas Longhorns this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Scott Bogman Boggs, how are you today? Hook them as always?

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Speaker 1: And what movie holds the number one spot in your

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Speaker 1: McConaughey rankings?

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Speaker 3: Oh man, we are.

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Speaker 4: Marshall's pretty strong, a little sappy, but I love the

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Speaker 4: story of it is pretty good. But there's so many

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Speaker 4: good McConaughey movies. I mean, I'm not gonna I'm not

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Speaker 4: gonna sit here and list them all for you. So look,

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Speaker 4: we're enjoying all of the talk leading up to the

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Speaker 4: Ohio State Texas game.

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Speaker 3: Obviously, you guys know I'm dialed in for that.

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Speaker 4: I'm ready for that eleven am kickoff my time here

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Speaker 4: in Houston, so ready to watch that. Excited, But there

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Speaker 4: are more plays for week one that I like that

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Speaker 4: I thought I was gonna like, which yeah, you know,

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Speaker 4: makes me a little nervous. A lot of dogs I

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Speaker 4: went through and looked like this. Just a lot of

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Speaker 4: massive point spreads this week. Ten FBS versus FBS games

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Speaker 4: with spreads over twenty points, lots of home dogs, ten

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Speaker 4: that are within a touchdown. There's three home dogs that

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Speaker 4: are getting more than a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: But it's not good matchups.

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Speaker 4: It's UNLV or I'm sorry, Southern miss getting catching thirteen

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Speaker 4: and a half against Miss State, FSU getting fourteen against Bama,

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Speaker 4: Sam Houston getting nine and a half against UNLV. So

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Speaker 4: not a lot great there. Home favorites and close games.

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Speaker 4: After Ohio State and Clemson, it's Tulane Temple, U Toss State,

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Speaker 4: Oregon State that you can take, and then home.

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Speaker 3: Favorites with big with a lot of juice.

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Speaker 4: There's like, I think another ten games in there between

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Speaker 4: eighteen and a half and eight and a half, So

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Speaker 4: a lot of big spreads, but with a lot of

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Speaker 4: non con and a lot of FCS matchups that you're

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Speaker 4: gonna see.

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Speaker 3: There's just a lot of mismatches this week.

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Speaker 4: So to me, it's like finding a favorite I like

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Speaker 4: and trying not to find a reason I hate it, Right,

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Speaker 4: That's what I did. And there are more games that

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Speaker 4: I came away with laying points that I liked than

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Speaker 4: I typically would on.

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Speaker 3: A normal week.

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Speaker 4: So I'm interesting to be picking a lot of favorites

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Speaker 4: in these mismatches.

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Speaker 3: I feel like this week.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'm excited to dive into that with you. Also,

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Speaker 1: Days and Confuse? Can we give Days and Confuse a

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Speaker 1: low respect?

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Speaker 4: Man?

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Speaker 1: I feel like, of.

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Speaker 4: Course, but that's like the creepiest character he ever played. Oh,

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Speaker 4: I think it's his character. I guess so.

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Speaker 1: I think it's say is most iconic role as well.

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Speaker 3: Didn't we cancel that character?

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Speaker 1: I guess. I guess that's a good point. It is

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five before we get going. Shout out to

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Speaker 1: everyone who is hanging out with us either on the

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Speaker 1: BEG pros YouTube channel or the audio feed the easiest

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Speaker 1: freeway support us. Give this video a thumbs up if

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Speaker 1: you enjoy college football betting content, and if you're new,

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Speaker 1: make sure you're subscribing to the channel so you don't

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Speaker 1: miss a moment of coverage this season. Great to see

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Speaker 1: so many of our regular listeners back in the comments

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Speaker 1: of our early Lines episode this week, so do the

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Speaker 1: same here. Let us know your best bets for week one?

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Speaker 1: What are you tailing of ours? What are you fading?

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Speaker 1: We want to hear from you, and let's go ahead

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Speaker 1: and jump into the Week one college football picks and predictions.

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Speaker 1: And we'll go ahead and start in Tampa Bay on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night at five thirty pm Eastern Time, where the

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Speaker 1: spread is actually shrunk since our earlier Lines episode this week,

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Speaker 1: leaving the twenty fifth rank to Boise State. Broncos is

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Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites against the South Florida Bulls.

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Speaker 1: This is a matchup between two pretty solid G six teams.

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Speaker 1: I would say Boise State they won twelve games last year,

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Speaker 1: of course, won the Mountain Watch Championship, advanced to the

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Speaker 1: College Football Playoff, and they will have no action genty

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Speaker 1: in this game. Meanwhile, the Bulls, they were seven and six,

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Speaker 1: but they do get veteran dual threat quarterback Byron Brown

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Speaker 1: back under center here this week, and as well as

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Speaker 1: a lot of their defense that's returning. So it's a

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Speaker 1: clean bill of health for both of these squads. And

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Speaker 1: our projections are showing that they should actually be closer

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Speaker 1: to a nine and a half point spread. So, Terrell,

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Speaker 1: do you agree that there is some ev on the

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Speaker 1: Broncos here?

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Speaker 2: I think so. I'm not one hundred percent there, but

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Speaker 2: I just have a lot more question mark's on the

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Speaker 2: soft floor to side a ball that I do. Boise State.

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Speaker 2: I know Boise State offense should still be really really

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Speaker 2: good with Madson still at the helm and the running backs,

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Speaker 2: I mean, jeen C has gone, and so everybody's just

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Speaker 2: kind of assuming that this running back room is going

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Speaker 2: to take a big fall off in production, and I

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Speaker 2: don't even think so. Like I think that Malik Sharad

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Speaker 2: and sire Gains are both really really good. The offensive

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Speaker 2: line is great. They got ninety nine career starts with

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Speaker 2: sue NFL prospects along the line. I think that the

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Speaker 2: offense is at actually going to be very comparable to

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Speaker 2: what they did last year. Whereas South Florida Biden Brown

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Speaker 2: is back from injury, so we'll see the question marks there.

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Speaker 2: He was a quote unquote surprise starter last year before

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Speaker 2: he even got hurt, and they're missing the school all

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Speaker 2: time leader in receiving. So I just don't know how

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Speaker 2: good This offense is going to be the top three

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Speaker 2: running backs league. The defense is veteran and they're bringing

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Speaker 2: back a lot, but I don't know if it's good

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Speaker 2: enough for Boise State. So I'm not necessarily there laying

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Speaker 2: the points with Boise State, even though I probably should.

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Speaker 2: But I like that Boise State team told over thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half. I think Boise is going to

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Speaker 2: have a great offense like they did last year, and

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Speaker 2: it's all going to continue to click for him even without.

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Speaker 1: Gent Okay, so team's point total for Terrell here bugs,

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Speaker 1: do you have a play in this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I like the under in this game, and I think

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Speaker 4: that Boise State is missing a gigantic piece in ash

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Speaker 4: and Gente. Like I do think that they're going to

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Speaker 4: be good, I think people are underrating them. There's a

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Speaker 4: lot of talk about South Florida upset in this game,

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Speaker 4: which wouldn't be the most shocking thing. They're at home

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Speaker 4: right take away the quote unquote heart of this offense

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Speaker 4: with Ashton genty. Maybe this is a completely different Boise

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Speaker 4: State team, but I don't think that's giving enough credit

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Speaker 4: to the Boise State defense and what they did last year.

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Speaker 4: Getting this team to the playoff right, And I think

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Speaker 4: really South Florida is kind of capped by Brown. Like this,

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Speaker 4: they live or die by Byron Brown, So if he

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Speaker 4: doesn't have a good game, I don't think South Florida's

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Speaker 4: offense does. So I like with figuring it out for

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Speaker 4: Week one, Boise State without their star player and Ashton

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Speaker 4: Genty to score less than they typically do doesn't mean

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Speaker 4: that they'll go you know, it doesn't mean that they

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Speaker 4: won't score points. But I think the defense also holds

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Speaker 4: South Florida to a low point total. So for me,

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Speaker 4: the under isn't play in this game. I am following

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Speaker 4: the public, which I know Terrell doesn't typically love following

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Speaker 4: the money, but I think that they have it right

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Speaker 4: on this one. And while we start to see that

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Speaker 4: number slide towards South Florida, I'm more and more willing

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Speaker 4: to jump upon Boise State.

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Speaker 3: Here as well.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, well, so we got some totals action

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Speaker 1: there on Thursday. Let's pick things up on Friday night

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Speaker 1: in Boulder, where the Georgia Tech Yellowjackets are four point

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Speaker 1: road favorites against a new look Colorado Buffalo's Team. Tech

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Speaker 1: has some new phases on the defense and in the

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Speaker 1: receiving corps, we do it. Veteran quarterback Haynes King and

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Speaker 1: running back Jamal Haynes still leading the way after back

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Speaker 1: to back seven and six seasons under Brent Key. And

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Speaker 1: this just in as well, just a little bit ago,

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Speaker 1: this came across the wire. It will be Liberty transfer

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Speaker 1: quarterback Cayden Salter under center for Dion Sanders squad. However,

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Speaker 1: he could be without top running back Dallan Hayden, who

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Speaker 1: is doubtful for this game. The BP projections have this

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Speaker 1: right at a three and a half point line. What

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Speaker 1: say you, Bogman, I say, I hate this game. I

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Speaker 1: do not like it at all. I think that Colorado

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Speaker 1: is the better team here. Wow slightly. I think there's

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Speaker 1: more talented in there at home. My lean is towards

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Speaker 1: taking the points, I guess, but I just don't like

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Speaker 1: this game. I don't because we heard Juju Lewis is

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Speaker 1: gonna play as well, so you're gonna do this dueling

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Speaker 1: quarterback weird stuff at Colorado, which makes me just less

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Speaker 1: confident in what they have.

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 4: Georgia Tech is a team that if you make mistakes,

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Speaker 4: they will absolutely eat you a lot. So how many

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Speaker 4: mistakes is Colorado going to make? Are they gonna make enough?

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Speaker 4: Or are they just gonna put the boots to this

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Speaker 4: squad like they did to TCU a couple of years

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Speaker 4: ago in Week one and no one saw that coming

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Speaker 4: as well. So I don't like this game. I think

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Speaker 4: it's gonna be very tight. I like Haynes King. I

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Speaker 4: like what Georgia Tech has on defense as well. I

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Speaker 4: think we talked about it in particularly the other day Seth.

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Speaker 4: You know, can they take this next step? Can they

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Speaker 4: really move themselves in here? And I just it's Haines.

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Speaker 4: It's kind of the problem that we saw with with

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Speaker 4: South Florida. It's like Haines King, I like Jamal Haynes

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Speaker 4: means they're losing Eric Singleton though, right, So what are

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Speaker 4: these what is this wide receiver room going to look like?

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Speaker 4: I like Rutherford, I like the old line. I just

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Speaker 4: think that Colorado has a lot of talent and they're

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Speaker 4: at home, so I don't really want to mess with

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Speaker 4: this one Week's zero or week one.

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Speaker 3: Excuse me.

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Speaker 1: They also did get Eric Rivers to transferend, who was

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Speaker 1: one of the best receivers in the g six last year,

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Speaker 1: so I think the receiving corps will be a little

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Speaker 1: bit better than given credit for. But I understand the concerns. Trell.

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Speaker 1: Do you have similar concerns to Bogman?

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Speaker 2: Absolutely not. No, you guys hate Colorado on here. This

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Speaker 2: is the same thing as last year. I got to

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Speaker 2: cove here and be the voice of reason. I am

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Speaker 2: the Georgia tech Risper. I know what's going on with

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Speaker 2: his team. First of all, the Heisman talks for Haines

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Speaker 2: King are absurd. I understand he had a better year

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Speaker 2: as a quarterback last year. You don't have to get

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Speaker 2: better and then automatically beat in the Heisman conversation. No,

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Speaker 2: this is not it. He is a little bit too

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Speaker 2: indecisive and needs more more as a passer. Great runner

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Speaker 2: of the football, very fun, needs more work as a passer.

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Speaker 2: Britt Key the coach five and seven ats as a favorite,

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Speaker 2: twelve and five ats as a dog. You buy into

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Speaker 2: him as a dog, you fade him as a favorite.

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Speaker 2: You got Dion Sanders here, great head coach four and

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Speaker 2: oh ats as a home dog. The Caden Salter error

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Speaker 2: is here. There was no doubt in my mind that

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Speaker 2: Salter was going to be the starting quarterback and the

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Speaker 2: Juju Lewis stuff is all facade and maybe he comes

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Speaker 2: in there for like a stap or two or a package,

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Speaker 2: but like, there's no way this is all Saltter's show.

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Speaker 2: And I think saltterzs is gonna go and have a

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Speaker 2: great season. The offensive line is the best offensive line

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Speaker 2: that Deon Sanders has had there already, and so yeah,

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Speaker 2: absolutely best officers line they had. And then the defense

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Speaker 2: he brung in a bunch of transfers, transfers from Bama,

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Speaker 2: from Texas State, from Fresno, second team All American, first

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Speaker 2: Team All Conference USA, USF Wyoming. Like they have a

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Speaker 2: whole bunch of new talent around the defense, and I

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Speaker 2: think that they're maybe not be as good, but they're

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Speaker 2: going to be better. And so yeah, I like Colorado

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Speaker 2: plus four man. I think this is a good spot

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Speaker 2: where Caden Saltzer is going to show that he can

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Speaker 2: run this offense and this can still be really really

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Speaker 2: dynamic Colorado offense, and I think they're going to be

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Speaker 2: right there, locking step with Georgia Tech the whole way.

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Speaker 2: So I like Colorado here. I'm a back dr getting

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Speaker 2: it done on the road as I mean at home

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Speaker 2: as a dog four to Ozho eightcs.

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Speaker 1: Yet again, Yeah for me, like you guys know my

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Speaker 1: fandom for the Yellow Jackets, for Haines King, and I

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Speaker 1: think this is just another one of those business trips, right,

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Speaker 1: Like we saw these guys go overseas, upset Florida State

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Speaker 1: in Week zero last year. We saw them in Week

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Speaker 1: one a season before that, go and you know, upset

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Speaker 1: a TUCU squad coming off a national championship game. So

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Speaker 1: for me, I think Georgia Tech not only was better

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Speaker 1: in total offense last year thirty fifth to Colorado sixty ninth,

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Speaker 1: and that was with Shaidor Sanders and Travis Hunter, but

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Speaker 1: also better in total defense as well, and they played

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Speaker 1: their best in these big games. They upset Miami, they

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Speaker 1: took Georgia to eight overtimes in cleid, old fashioned hate.

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Speaker 1: And I can also vividly remember watching Caden Salter last

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Speaker 1: year on a Wednesday or Thursday night against Kennesaw State,

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Speaker 1: one of the worst FBS teams last year. Absolutely Falter

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Speaker 1: and ruin a big parlay I had when the money

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Speaker 1: line was like minus thalls. So I'm not buying in man,

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Speaker 1: I'm not buying in insalter.

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Speaker 2: I some upset Florida State was the wildest statement you said.

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Speaker 2: And I didn't hear anything else after you said upset

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Speaker 2: Florida State last year. Florida State wasn't horrible.

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Speaker 3: They were horrible.

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Speaker 2: Just because everybody buys into some fake preseason rankings and

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Speaker 2: assumes that the good teams are the good teams yet

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Speaker 2: again over year. It doesn't mean it's an upset. Florida

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Speaker 2: State won one game.

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Speaker 1: Last year too, but I mean.

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Speaker 2: On purpose, just so that you could correct me and

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Speaker 2: say two, so you could realize how crazy you So

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Speaker 2: it's off about upset Florida State. Oh my gosh, upset Florida,

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Speaker 2: Florida State. The Florida State thing was was up upset

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Speaker 2: Florida State. Just say they were.

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Speaker 1: Game?

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Speaker 2: He could have. I know, I bet them outright, I know,

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Speaker 2: and it was or like Fort State or something like that. No,

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Speaker 2: upset Florida State was where you lost me. Upset Florida State. Wait,

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Speaker 2: so we talk about Florida State today.

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Speaker 4: I mean this is a four point game, right that

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Speaker 4: Colorado is replacing a ton on offense, So uh, they're

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Speaker 4: bringing in a bunch of transfers. I'll agree with you, Trell,

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Speaker 4: And this is why I said that I leaned towards Colorado.

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Speaker 4: I think the roster is better, you know, coaching, let's

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Speaker 4: call it even, right whatever, Colorado's at home also elevation,

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Speaker 4: so they're yeah, a little bit. I'm not to litlevation

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Speaker 4: it is. They're playing at elevation, yes, but I'm not.

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Speaker 4: That's not a factor that I'm really putting in here.

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Speaker 4: But you know, to your point, it does make a difference.

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Speaker 4: But again, it's a lot of transfers. It's week one,

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Speaker 4: it's the first time we're seeing this group play together.

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Speaker 4: That's why I'm laying off of it, right, is because

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Speaker 4: there's so many transfers coming in and you're replacing so

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Speaker 4: much of Colorado. I think they should win. I kind

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Speaker 4: of think they shou wouldn't going away, like Terrell, says Seth.

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Speaker 4: Sorry to say, but Georgia Tech is absolutely one of

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Speaker 4: those teams that if you make mistakes and that is

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Speaker 4: definitely within the realm of possibility for a brand new

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Speaker 4: Colorado offense, Georgia Tech will capitalize on them.

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Speaker 3: So I don't like this game at all.

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Speaker 1: Give me the Tech money line minus one twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: I used a fifty percent boost at fandle to get that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm forgetting the points and I'm just taking a

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Speaker 1: side here. But yeah, it looks like I'm on a

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Speaker 1: little bit of an island. But let's go ahead, let's

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Speaker 1: get to the main course.

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Speaker 3: The top ring.

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Speaker 1: Texas Longhorns are catching two and a half points on

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Speaker 1: the road in Columbus to battle the defending national champions

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Speaker 1: and third ranked Ohio State Buckeyes. No line movement on

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Speaker 1: the spread so far this week. OSU does have starring

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Speaker 1: defensive tax Edric Houston listed as questionable. Heading in. Texas

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Speaker 1: has a few injuries they're monitoring on their offensive line,

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Speaker 1: but should be healthy otherwise. Our projections agree this line

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Speaker 1: should be right around two and a half. Do you

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Speaker 1: agree with that trail?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the line should be around two and

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Speaker 2: a half. But no, come on, first game of the season,

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Speaker 2: horn is down. I'm not taking Texas here, and it's

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Speaker 2: just for me. I'm sorry. I get the revenge angle

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Speaker 2: that could possibly exist there with Texas, but since two

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Speaker 2: thousand and six one and six ats versus the Big

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Speaker 2: ten Sarkesian area, we can narrow it down a little

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Speaker 2: bit more. At Texas's one in six straight up two

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Speaker 2: and five. ATS is a dog. And yes they have

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Speaker 2: Arch Manning. I think Arch can be really really good

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Speaker 2: this year. But I do have questions along the offensive

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Speaker 2: line for them. He talked about the injuries already just

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Speaker 2: one starter back along that offensive line when forty five

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Speaker 2: combined starts. I do think that the running back room

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Speaker 2: actually is still really interesting. But CJ. Baxter is coming

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Speaker 2: off of a nasty ACL mcl PCL type injury. They

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Speaker 2: have the talent and raw talent everywhere on this team,

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Speaker 2: just straight up raw talent of very very good high

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Speaker 2: school recruits around the entire team. But they lost first

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Speaker 2: team All American and a third team second third team

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Speaker 2: SEC in the secondary, So I think that secondary is

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Speaker 2: going to be a little bit rough. And at the

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Speaker 2: end of the day, I think Saying is enough to

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Speaker 2: be Will Howard. I don't think Will Howard was anything special.

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Speaker 2: I think Saying is good enough to be what Will

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Speaker 2: Howard was for this Ohio State team. And they bring

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Speaker 2: in CJ. Donaldson in the running back spot, and if

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Speaker 2: you watched him at Virginia West Virginia, then you know

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Speaker 2: that he is good. He should be a thousand yard

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Speaker 2: rusher behind this Ohio State offensive line. I think he's

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Speaker 2: going to be really, really good for the Buckeyes this year,

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Speaker 2: and this is going to be one of those games

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Speaker 2: where they just kind of show, hey, look I'm here

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Speaker 2: and I'm here to stay. So I think Ohio State

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Speaker 2: actually has enough here. A little bit less experienced than defense,

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Speaker 2: but still highly recruited, highly talented players. First team All

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Speaker 2: American Caleb Downs is back in the secondary. That's really

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Speaker 2: help against the young, inexperience wide receivers against Texas. So

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Speaker 2: I'm on Ohio State. I think Ohio State is getting

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Speaker 2: this done. I think they're a better team. And I

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Speaker 2: just I don't think that Texas is the number one

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Speaker 2: team in the country. That's just how I'm a putt it.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that the number one single country right now.

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Speaker 1: I understand standard points. I do like the CJ. Donaldson ad.

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Speaker 1: I think him and James people will be a great

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Speaker 1: one A one B situation there in that backfield. I

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Speaker 1: do worry though, that maybe Texas is coming in with

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Speaker 1: a little bit more power up front on the offensive line, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: is that gonna be a difference maker for you in

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Speaker 1: this game?

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think this game is so tight, it's

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Speaker 4: gonna be so down the line, you know. I maybe

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Speaker 4: I'm wrong on that, but I just think this is

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Speaker 4: a very very good game, and it's gonna be one

390
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,919
Speaker 4: weird bounce one way or the other. It's gonna be

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Speaker 4: a play that we talk about that go, oh my god,

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Speaker 4: did you see this interception or this fumble or whatever.

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Speaker 4: I think that is going to be the difference. Terrella

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Speaker 4: is right, right, I think the offensive line has major

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Speaker 4: questions in Texas. Now, roster strength says six in the country, right,

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Speaker 4: but experience, there's not a lot there. We're replacing so

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Speaker 4: many players now Goosby, big Feldman, freak guy, right, Like,

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Speaker 4: there's a lot of good there, but it is a question.

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Speaker 1: Allio State also replacing a lot on their line.

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Speaker 3: Too, absolutely, yeah.

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Speaker 4: And really the thing that concerns me the most for

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Speaker 4: both these teams is replacements along the defensive line.

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Speaker 3: Right.

404
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 4: I think that Mikel Williams j T Twomlow or Mikel

405
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,919
Speaker 4: Williams JT two Molow and company over on the Ohio

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Speaker 4: State side, that's going to be a big missing piece.

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00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 4: I think Texas is going to be able to run

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Speaker 4: at them. But also Texas lost Broughton, they lost the

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Speaker 4: interior of their line as well, and brought in transfers.

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Speaker 4: I think both those things are going to be tested early.

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Speaker 4: So I think, like I said, maybe a first half

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Speaker 4: under I believe it was twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 4: Don't really love that number. I'd like to see go

414
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Speaker 4: up a little bit more before we get there, to

415
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Speaker 4: like just over twenty four and a half. I think

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Speaker 4: that is my favorite playing this game. Picking a side

417
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Speaker 4: is flipping a coin to me. I think if Arch

418
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Speaker 4: plays the way we expect him, two Texas wins. If

419
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Speaker 4: Arch makes mistakes and the line can't keep him clean,

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Speaker 4: Ohio State could easily win, and Julian Zayan making mistakes

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Speaker 4: could change this as well. It's his first start ever, right,

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Speaker 4: so there's a lot going in here, a lot of

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Speaker 4: moving pieces from last year. It's a massive game. Ohio

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Speaker 4: State gets is catching points and they're at home, thought

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Speaker 4: Or is laying points and they're at home. So I

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Speaker 4: don't have a good argument to tell you to come

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Speaker 4: off of the Ohio State side, Trell, But I also

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Speaker 4: would not have an argument if you would pick the

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Speaker 4: Texas side. So to me, this is down the middle

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Speaker 4: let's find something we like here. I'll take the first

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Speaker 4: half under because I think both these teams with the

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Speaker 4: inexperiensive quarterback run in the first half at the weakness

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Speaker 4: of that defense just to test it. So that's my

434
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 4: favorite play in this game would be first half under

435
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 4: twenty three and a half.

436
00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,480
Speaker 1: I really like the first half underplayed because especially in

437
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: Week one in general, right, you got a lot of

438
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 1: moving parts on the offense. I mean, how many hold

439
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,840
Speaker 1: did we see against k State over there in Farm

440
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: again in last last week, especially in the first half

441
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 1: early on. So I think that could be a play

442
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 1: that you applied to a couple games on this slate,

443
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 1: but really appreciate that breakdown from you guys. This is

444
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 1: gonna be one that I'm just gonna park my butt

445
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,199
Speaker 1: in front of the TV and have some action on

446
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 1: some other games and not get invested here, but really

447
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,480
Speaker 1: love those plays nonetheless. Before we keep it moving, though,

448
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,119
Speaker 1: I did want to remind everyone to please track line

449
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,280
Speaker 1: movement on your own in real time with the Betting

450
00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:31,600
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451
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:35,000
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452
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453
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,920
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454
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,800
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455
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:51,080
Speaker 1: Create custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities.

456
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,159
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457
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,719
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458
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: using the code juice and activating your trial on the

459
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: upgrade screen. Let's get to the unranked Toledo Rockets heading

460
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 1: into SEC territory when they take on the Kentucky Wildcats

461
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:14,199
Speaker 1: in Lexington. Toledo clear favorite to win the MAC and

462
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,560
Speaker 1: they have a ton of returning production on both sides

463
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: of the ball and really no injuries to report of Kentucky. Meanwhile,

464
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,360
Speaker 1: they have some injuries including RB one Dante Dowdell and

465
00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,879
Speaker 1: RB two Seth McGowan. They are both listed as questionable

466
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 1: coming in. This line has moved from Kentucky being favored

467
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,680
Speaker 1: by seven and a half earlier this week to now

468
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 1: nine and a half. But is that still long enough

469
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 1: in most better's eyes. I don't think so, because the

470
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: projections are telling us, hey, maybe they should be closer

471
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 1: to thirteen point nine. What say you, Bogman, Is this

472
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 1: too short of a line for a Mac versus SEC matchup?

473
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, we talked about it before. I know you're a

474
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,920
Speaker 4: big Toledo fan, but Goo rockets.

475
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the only reason we're talking about this game.

476
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:00,719
Speaker 4: Look, Kentucky gets some juice on offense with Cal's coming over. Right,

477
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,880
Speaker 4: thirty five touchdowns nine picks it in carnif word. They

478
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,880
Speaker 4: just need to score points. And we talked about this before, Seth.

479
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 4: Like the SEC versus the Mac is not a very

480
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 4: good matchup most of the time, right, So I just

481
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 4: think that Kentucky at home Kentucky is a low level

482
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 4: SEC team, but a low level SEC team still stomps

483
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,160
Speaker 4: almost every MAC team, probably every MAC team. So they're

484
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 4: at home, it's their opener. They have a much needed

485
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 4: quarterback to actually make this happen. Like I said on Monday, Seth,

486
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 4: I've seen Kentucky on quip mode.

487
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,439
Speaker 3: It is miserable.

488
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, so, but Kentucky on hard mode put up with

489
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 4: Georgia last year at home. So I do think that

490
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 4: Kentucky has it in them to get up. I think

491
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 4: if you're not getting up for week one of the season.

492
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 4: What are you doing? You're not coming off a major

493
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 4: loss or anything here, And I think they put the

494
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 4: boots to the rockets. I think Toledo's very good for

495
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 4: a MAC team, but coming into play on the road

496
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 4: against the SEC team in week one, it's just too

497
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:00,400
Speaker 4: tall a task.

498
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: Gassling where you at on this one trail?

499
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, opposite side of box. I'm with you and the

500
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:13,400
Speaker 2: tileda rockets here. First of all, PSA, PSA, please, PSA

501
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:18,440
Speaker 2: to all coaches out there, stop thinking that you can

502
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:22,160
Speaker 2: change these quarterbacks. They are who they say they are

503
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: at times. I'm sorry, but Kauzada didn't work at Texas

504
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 2: A and m didn't work at Auburn, goes to incarnate

505
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 2: word and now I'm supposed to believe that he's just

506
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,399
Speaker 2: the guy at Kentucky. Again here, we've already seen the

507
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 2: first two stops. It didn't work. But oh, he gets

508
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,160
Speaker 2: to win over Bama at home in college station when

509
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 2: Bama had the first back to back away games, and

510
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:48,200
Speaker 2: like forever, and that's his claim to fame and how

511
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 2: he gets this job. He is not a power five quarterback.

512
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 2: He's not that good. I'm trying to tell you he's

513
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 2: not that good. I promise you he's not that good.

514
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 2: He has a veteran offensive line and maybe that's enough

515
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 2: for here. But if you're talking about the questions at

516
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 2: running back as well, oh dude, this is way too

517
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,399
Speaker 2: many points. Like You've got a duel threat quarterback with

518
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 2: Gleason for Toledo that I think could really really give

519
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,399
Speaker 2: that defense problems with how he can move with his legs.

520
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,159
Speaker 2: And you got Junior Vander Ross, who is one of

521
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 2: the best receivers in the MAC. Like I trust the

522
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 2: secondary of Toledo, I think they'll be able to stay

523
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,640
Speaker 2: with those receivers and just give some nasty looks to Kazata,

524
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 2: who can throw interceptions and be off target with the football.

525
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 2: I do not believe in him as a quarterback. So

526
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 2: I will not be like a big number with with

527
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 2: Kentucky at all this year. I'm very much on Toledo.

528
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: I think they could get it done, and I wouldn't

529
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,080
Speaker 2: be surprised if they get out right victory here. But

530
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 2: I'll take the nine and a half for sure. Yeah.

531
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,160
Speaker 1: Hey, that's why I picked this game, because I knew

532
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 1: there were gonna be some dissenters on both sides, and

533
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 1: to me it's I really do believe Toledo is the

534
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:59,640
Speaker 1: better team despite the inferior overall recruiting, and I think

535
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 1: even the AP voters agree. I mean, they were in

536
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: the other receivings vote category as well. In Kentucky one

537
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:08,200
Speaker 1: hundred and fourteenth in total offense last season. I don't

538
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 1: see that getting much better with big Zach Calzada here

539
00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 1: and Toledo eighty six. Again, those numbers a little bit

540
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 1: skewed based on the competition, but Kentucky was a top

541
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 1: fifty defense, Toledo right outside of the top fifty defense

542
00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 1: as well, and Kentucky lost a ton in the portal.

543
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: We can't overlook that too. They lost a lot, and

544
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 1: the Rockets are always shown up in big games in

545
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 1: the non con here Terrell. Last year they beat Mississippi

546
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:34,320
Speaker 1: State forty one to seventeen. Last season in start Bill,

547
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 1: they also kept yeah and then they also kept it

548
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 1: within two of Illinois the season prior and going all

549
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 1: the way back to twenty twenty one, Coming off a

550
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 1: year where they only played a couple games in the MAC,

551
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: Toledo took eighth rank Notre Dame to the brink in

552
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,400
Speaker 1: South bend in Week one thirty two to twenty nine.

553
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 1: So I think Toledo's experience on defense will be too

554
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 1: much for Big Zach, who hasn't played a snap of

555
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 1: FBS ball since twenty twenty one, especially without his top

556
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 1: running backs. I think he won't be able to get

557
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: out to a big lead. And Toledo keeps this close.

558
00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 1: I don't know if they win it, but I think

559
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: they keep it close. Give me the nine and a

560
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 1: half as well.

561
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 4: Cutter Bowley, big time prospect, miserable last year. But if

562
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:15,919
Speaker 4: Calzada fails, yeah, maybe both. Maybe an off season for

563
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 4: Bowley would be better.

564
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, well shows you you know how poor that

565
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:22,919
Speaker 1: that room was. That Calzada comes out of it right, So.

566
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,399
Speaker 4: I mean it's not a good room, But I like

567
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,879
Speaker 4: it's the trenches. For me, it's a line of Kentucky

568
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:31,400
Speaker 4: and the d line of Kentucky versus Toledo. So it's

569
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 4: the court they can beat, the size, it's what.

570
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 2: It's the quarterback for me, I think I understand.

571
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 3: I understand that.

572
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 4: But if he's handing the ball off and making the

573
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 4: most of his opportunities, maybe he's better. A lot of

574
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 4: experience and he's thirty five to nine touchdown of picks

575
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 4: last year. I just we saw improvement last year. Doesn't

576
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 4: mean he's going to be good for Kentucky. It doesn't

577
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 4: mean he's going to beat Toledo either, But I like

578
00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 4: the difference on the line.

579
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 1: To me, is okay. Another early kickoff takes us to Atlanta,

580
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 1: where the twenty fourth ranked Volunteer are still between a

581
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:03,840
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half to a fourteen and a half

582
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 1: point favorite against the Syracuse Orange app State transfer Joey Agilor.

583
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 1: He's expected to start for the Balls. They will be

584
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 1: without a starting qrnerback on defense who's out with a

585
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,199
Speaker 1: knee injury. They also have their top tight end and

586
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,160
Speaker 1: two wide receivers questionable heading into this one, which could

587
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 1: be trouble because this is a very brand new wide

588
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:26,960
Speaker 1: receiver corps. They lost Squirrel White in company over the offseason. Meanwhile,

589
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 1: talk about losses Syracuse, they lost their top quarterback Coyle McCord,

590
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: running back LeQuinn Allen, their top receiver Trevor of Penya

591
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 1: he's now a Penn State and any Lion, and Ronde

592
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,200
Speaker 1: Gadsden junior at tight end. He's also in the NFL

593
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 1: now a Los Angeles Chargers, So I think that they're

594
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 1: going to have their hands tied behind their back a

595
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 1: little bit here. On offense. Notre Dame quarterback transfer Steve

596
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 1: and Jelly he will be under center that leads the

597
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 1: BP projection showing massive value on Tennessee. Do you agree

598
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 1: with that, Trell?

599
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:58,640
Speaker 2: No, I don't think so. I think it's a lot

600
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 2: of points, be honest, but I'm not I didn't get

601
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,040
Speaker 2: there on the side. I just like the under give

602
00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 2: me under fifty and a half. I think that both

603
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 2: of these two teams lost so much production offensively and

604
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 2: they're still trying to figure it out. Both new quarterbacks missing,

605
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 2: both running backs, thousand yard rushers on both sides, Like

606
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 2: I mean, Samson is one of the greatest, you know,

607
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 2: the best season in school history. So I think that

608
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 2: they're both missing so much all along down three receivers

609
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 2: for the Syracuse Orange. He talked about all everything that

610
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 2: Tennessee is moving. But the defenses actually have a lot

611
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 2: of production on both sides that are coming back, especially

612
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: in the front seven, and I think that defense is

613
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 2: gonna lead the way here. So yeah, give me under

614
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 2: fifty and a half.

615
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: I liked I actually kind of do like that play

616
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:45,120
Speaker 1: What about You Bogs?

617
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 4: I like that play. I also like Tennessee here more

618
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 4: of a lean. I just think that Syracuse is one

619
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 4: of those acc teams that bowse up every once in

620
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 4: a while and they're good and then they returned to

621
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 4: just being garbage for a while. Right like, They're definitely there,

622
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 4: definitely a free flowing team. They're not a perennial powerhouse

623
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,400
Speaker 4: at all. And when you're one hundred and twenty eighth

624
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 4: in returning production in the country, you lose so much

625
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 4: off of a team that surprised everyone was so good

626
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 4: last year. I just don't have a lot of faith

627
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:18,640
Speaker 4: for you going into Tennessee week one and making any noise.

628
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,360
Speaker 4: Even if Tennessee is down production, there's still eleventh and

629
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 4: returning defensive production. There's a lot of juice on that

630
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 4: defensive side specifically. So I like laying the points and

631
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 4: taking Tennessee. And I like Terrell's underplay as well. I

632
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 4: think the logic behind it is outstanding. I really don't

633
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:37,479
Speaker 4: like the Syracuse offense. Steve Angeli had a pretty good

634
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 4: drive for Notre Dame last year. Is that going to

635
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 4: translate to a whole good year of opening up this

636
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 4: offense again, I'm not so sure, so yeah, give me Tennessee.

637
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,200
Speaker 3: And I like the underplay as well.

638
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: The best game of the three point thirty slate is

639
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 1: billed as the number eight Alabama Crimson Tide on the

640
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 1: road as twelve and a half point favorites against Mike

641
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 1: Norvel's Florida State Seminals. Bama they're returning fourteen starters, while

642
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: the Noles they're bringing back just six starters from that

643
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 1: two to ten team last year. Yes, two wins Trail

644
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: not one and Ty Simpson. He's in at quarterback for

645
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 1: the Tide, but he'll be without running back jam Miller,

646
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 1: who suffered a collarbone injury, expected to return by the

647
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,280
Speaker 1: Georgia game at the end of the month. In September,

648
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 1: Tommy Castellanos, he will be under center for Florida State,

649
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 1: should have his whole healthy roster to work with. The

650
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: BP projections are telling us there's a ton of ev

651
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: ev on Bama here and that this should be closer

652
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 1: to a twenty point spread. What do you think about

653
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 1: this one here, Bobby? Do you agree with the projections

654
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: that Bama by a long shot?

655
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 3: Yeah?

656
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 4: Like, I mean this is a good roster for Florida State,

657
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 4: right but Week one, even at home against an Alabama

658
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:53,719
Speaker 4: team that you know, Ty Simpson might make this offense

659
00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 4: better than it was last year. I agree Milroe. Milroe

660
00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 4: is very athletic and he has so much edible upside.

661
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 4: I don't know if he was ready to start for

662
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 4: Bama last year, so I kind of think him starting

663
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 4: for the Seahawks this year. And that talk is irolling,

664
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 4: but ty Simpson might be better just in the as

665
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 4: a passer.

666
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 3: He's not going to have.

667
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 4: Twenty rushing touchdowns like Milroe. He's not going to have

668
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 4: that spark that Milroe brought this team on occasion. But

669
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 4: I do think that Florida Dada is a really good roster.

670
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 4: They brought in and recruited you know, Castianos and a

671
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 4: lot of really good transfers. But their focus is going

672
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 4: to be running the football right on offense. That's traditionally

673
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 4: very hard to do against Alabama. So I don't like

674
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 4: this matchup for Florida State to start the season. I

675
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 4: think They're going to run into a lot of brick walls,

676
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 4: So I'll lean towards Bama here.

677
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: What about you, trell.

678
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 2: I mean, it's really hard to like for me to

679
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 2: want to bet you when you shoot yourself in the foot.

680
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 2: Why would you ever, as a former Boston College quarterback

681
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 2: who got bitched and then you quit on the team

682
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 2: ever in your life open up your mouth to say,

683
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: as you transfer to a two win Florida State team,

684
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 2: right that Nick Saban won't save them from you this year? What? What?

685
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 2: Why did you give this Alabama team that is so

686
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 2: disappointed in how last season went any type of bulletin

687
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 2: board material for playing you week one? I mean, this

688
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 2: is completely this is this is working backwards. This is

689
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 2: not getting inside of their head. You're actually giving them

690
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 2: bulletin board material that this Alabama team has a deep

691
00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 2: RB room, So I don't think it matters if Ty

692
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 2: Simpson is in mobile. In fact, that's actually the stereotypical

693
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,960
Speaker 2: Alabama quarterback who is just really just a simple quarterback

694
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 2: that can Wow. That was embarrassing. That a very simple

695
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 2: quarterback that could make the passes and hand the ball off,

696
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 2: and you use all the other really good skill position

697
00:33:55,360 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 2: players like Ryan Williams, Jeremony, Jeremy Bernard, and the strong

698
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 2: offensive line that they had. By the way to Bower

699
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: thirteen to two and one in the first four weeks

700
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 2: of the season in his career, Dog, why would you

701
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:08,680
Speaker 2: open your mouth?

702
00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:11,839
Speaker 3: No, it was media day this.

703
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 4: Team, it was media day. They were goading him, you know.

704
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 4: But also, you're right, why give them any fuel to

705
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:21,720
Speaker 4: the fires?

706
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 2: State might not even.

707
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,200
Speaker 4: The Florida State Trrell though, Florida State is the opposite

708
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 4: of Syracuse.

709
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 1: Right.

710
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 4: They are a perennial powerhouse that was down last year.

711
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:37,640
Speaker 4: So the roster strength is good, but Alabama it's not good.

712
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 2: The offensive line is still a question mark. They don't

713
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 2: have They have no improvements along the offensive line. They

714
00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:45,280
Speaker 2: just have a bunch more starts. They barely got better

715
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:46,919
Speaker 2: on the defense and the only reason they're deep better

716
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 2: on the defense last year. They may win four games,

717
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 2: which is double So okay, I guess that's great. It's

718
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 2: not going to be this game against Alabama. This is

719
00:34:56,520 --> 00:35:00,839
Speaker 2: I think Alabama lay thirteen and a half. They are

720
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 2: going to beat the crap out of Florida State.

721
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I laid two units on it. I

722
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 1: think anything under two touchdowns is more than enough for me. FSU.

723
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,799
Speaker 1: Keep in mind, while they were a two win team,

724
00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:13,840
Speaker 1: they're also only two eight and two against the spread

725
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,440
Speaker 1: last year as well, fourth worst clip in the FBS,

726
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 1: and I just think starting with Bama is going to

727
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 1: be really tough sledding for him. Man Like against non

728
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 1: SEC opponents last year, Alabama won by an average of

729
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 1: forty point three points. The only non ACC opponents the

730
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,879
Speaker 1: Seminoles faced were Memphis they lost twenty to twelve, Notre

731
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,760
Speaker 1: Dame they lost by forty nine points, and then Florida

732
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,799
Speaker 1: they lost by twenty points as well. So I think

733
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 1: this Alabama team, as Bog said, I think it's better

734
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 1: because they have a more conventional trigger man under center,

735
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 1: a better offensive coordinator there, and Ryan Grubb as well

736
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,319
Speaker 1: one of the best offensive lines in the country. They

737
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 1: faced Louisiana Minroe next week, followed by Wisconsin at home

738
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: and then a Bot before taking on Georgia, So no

739
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: worry about a letdown spot for Bama. Rolltide. Another top

740
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 1: ten matchup getting underway in South Carolina Saturday night and

741
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 1: at primetime with the number nine LSU Tigers meet the

742
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 1: number four Clemson Tigers. Not much line movement since earlier

743
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,879
Speaker 1: the week or no injuries to report as well. BP

744
00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:17,719
Speaker 1: projections also not showing an edge on either side of

745
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,360
Speaker 1: this one. It's gonna be tight, Terrell. But you know me,

746
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 1: You know how I like to fade LSU under Brian Kelly.

747
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:27,320
Speaker 1: Are you thinking the same thing here with the Clemson

748
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: Tigers and Dabo Sweeney who now using the transfer port

749
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 1: a little bit?

750
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 3: Nah?

751
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:35,160
Speaker 2: I think I'm actually gonna back him here. This is

752
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:39,400
Speaker 2: it seems like he's really taking the fact that they

753
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 2: haven't won a hold an opener. I'm sorry, an opener

754
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:44,879
Speaker 2: at all in the three seasons that he's been there,

755
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 2: and he's taking it to heart and he's posting it

756
00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 2: and selling everybody, and hey, waity to get ready for

757
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,760
Speaker 2: week one. We're going on the road to Death Valley,

758
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,400
Speaker 2: the Battle of Death Valley here, and we've got to

759
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 2: be prepared. And I think the defense isn't proved from

760
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 2: last year only allowed twenty four points per game. They're

761
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 2: going to be better than that. Nesmyer should be improved,

762
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 2: and they have a bunch of talent around them, and

763
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:08,879
Speaker 2: Clemson has to figure out replacing MafA. The defense still

764
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 2: is going to be really, really solid. Like I think

765
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 2: that this is really just a tight game all the way,

766
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 2: and I'm just not walking into Club Nick having this

767
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 2: Heisman performance in that first game. Matter of fact, Clemson

768
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 2: and Club Nick both actually are not really good in

769
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,640
Speaker 2: the openers. Clemson four and four straight up two and

770
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 2: six ats in the last eight openers. So I like

771
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 2: the points here, give me four points. I'm getting over

772
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:33,640
Speaker 2: a field goal here, I like taking over a field goal.

773
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 3: Give me LSU plus four Bogvin.

774
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,960
Speaker 4: I think both can be correct. Give me Clemson on

775
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 4: the money line and let Terrell have his four right,

776
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 4: I think we might be able to thread this needle.

777
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 4: I think this is a very very close game. I

778
00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 4: like Clemson because they're at home. They have the number

779
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:55,280
Speaker 4: one returning production in the nation, number first on offense,

780
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,919
Speaker 4: fifth on defense, so much NFL talent. I like you said,

781
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 4: Dabo has opened up portal, but LSU had like one

782
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,719
Speaker 4: major issue last year. It was the secondary, and they

783
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 4: went out and plugged those holes with the transfer portal.

784
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 4: Ls he was number one in roster strength in the

785
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 4: country this year based on the stuff that I look at,

786
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:20,479
Speaker 4: So I really think LSU is probably the better team,

787
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 4: but going on the road, having to put it together

788
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:26,000
Speaker 4: against the team with the best returning production in the

789
00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 4: country and NFL talent at every position on the field.

790
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 3: I think it's a tall task to ask week one

791
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 3: for LSU.

792
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 5: To do that.

793
00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 4: So I like Clemson, but I want if you want

794
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 4: against the spread. The money is flowing towards LSU right now.

795
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 4: I would wait and see if this drops to two

796
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 4: and a half, or I would just say Clemson on

797
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 4: the money line and pair it with another bet that

798
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,840
Speaker 4: you like in a parlay or something to add you.

799
00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:53,360
Speaker 4: So I'm on the Clemson side here. But this is

800
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,160
Speaker 4: obviously gonna be such a fun game. This is like,

801
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 4: this is why you're gonna get Texas Ohio State, and

802
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 4: then later you're gonna get LSU Clemson.

803
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 1: What a great day, man, It's gonna be sensational. I

804
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 1: can't wait. Do not text me, do not tweet me,

805
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 1: do not beat me like you're not reaching me, because

806
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 1: my butt's gonna be on the couch all day. I

807
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 1: already did the landscaping for this week, so I will

808
00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 1: be ready to uh to enjoy one one full day

809
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:18,920
Speaker 1: of college football.

810
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 3: You got done before Thursday? He's ready for that. Thursday's

811
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 3: late too, I'm ready.

812
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: I'm ready, baby. Let's do you want to track all

813
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 1: your wagers in one place. I know it's difficult. We

814
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:31,040
Speaker 1: got landscaping, we got mowen to do, we got all

815
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 1: these other things going on in our life. But you

816
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 1: can actually do it. With the Betting Pros Pick Tracker.

817
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 1: It syncs up with your sportsbooks to tally which picks

818
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:40,879
Speaker 1: hit and which miss. Plus, it gives you a live

819
00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:43,359
Speaker 1: look at what the public is doing, so you can

820
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:47,240
Speaker 1: know in real time whether you should be fading these plays,

821
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 1: maybe you should be backing them. Track your picks today

822
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:52,920
Speaker 1: with the Betting Pros Picktracker at Bettingpros dot com, slash

823
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 1: Tracking or on the Betting Pros Sports Betting app. On

824
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 1: Sunday afternoon, the fun continues with the Verrgin Jinia Tech

825
00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 1: Hokies traveling to Atlanta, where they are seven and a

826
00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:06,279
Speaker 1: half to eight and a half point dogs against the

827
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 1: thirteenth ranked South Carolina game Cocks. Despite the height for

828
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 1: Lenora's Sellers and Company and no injuries for South Carolina

829
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: to speak of, this line has not moved since earlier

830
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 1: in the week when we visited a Bogman. Meanwhile, though

831
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,040
Speaker 1: vaw Tech they could be without their starting running back

832
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:27,160
Speaker 1: Bowling Green transfer Terian Stewart and their and their right guard,

833
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 1: Brody Meadows. So projections do have a slight shade towards

834
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,160
Speaker 1: the game Cox. What about you, Bogman, Yeah.

835
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 3: I'm I'm on. I would lean towards South Carolina.

836
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,400
Speaker 4: But the big question here is what I said before,

837
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:45,920
Speaker 4: is can Vawtech keep up offensively with South Carolina here?

838
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 4: And you know that's the question we talked about Drones, right,

839
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 4: Drones is a very good, experienced quarterback, but I don't

840
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,720
Speaker 4: know that he has the juice to do it against

841
00:40:56,719 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 4: an SEC defense. Right this SEC, this South Carolina defense

842
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:05,000
Speaker 4: is still very, very strong. They're ranked right now forty

843
00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 4: first nationally. I think Dylan Stewart is one of the

844
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 4: best players in college football on the defensive side of

845
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 4: the ball. I think he's going to kind of be

846
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 4: an issue. We saw VOTEC come out struggling last year

847
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:21,919
Speaker 4: in Week one as well, So I just I really

848
00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:24,840
Speaker 4: like Leonora Sellers. I like what they're doing there, but

849
00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 4: this is a lean. I don't really love this game.

850
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 4: I lean towards South Carolina.

851
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:31,200
Speaker 1: What about you Treell I know Bogman and I earlier

852
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:32,840
Speaker 1: in the week we were looking can we get a

853
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 1: six and a half for South Carolina looks like it's

854
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:37,759
Speaker 1: not going to move in that direction unless you have

855
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 1: some type of boost equity offered by sportsbook. So where

856
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 1: do you move and land on this current line that

857
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 1: we do have offered.

858
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,440
Speaker 2: Well, I would hope that the contingent was waiting for

859
00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,800
Speaker 2: my thoughts on this game, because you know, close ties

860
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 2: to the South Carolina program, close ties to the Virginia

861
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 2: Tech program. To let you know, Virginia Tech plus the

862
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:01,480
Speaker 2: points is the way to go here. Wow, there's just

863
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 2: a little bit overhype in South Carolina and what they

864
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 2: were from last year. They lost a lot of NFL production.

865
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:11,600
Speaker 2: You've got the sophomore second year kind of slump there

866
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:14,359
Speaker 2: for sellers. Just a little bit, not saying this a lot,

867
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 2: but just a little bit. Especially he got some money

868
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:21,320
Speaker 2: in the offseason. They stayed loyal to South Carolina, like

869
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 2: I understand it. And also Beamer, this is a big

870
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 2: game for him. I mean, Frank Biemer is Virginia Tech.

871
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 2: That that's Virginia Tech. Like as so Shane his son

872
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 2: being able to coach against them. He's been talking about it.

873
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 2: But I think this Virginia Tech team knows that too,

874
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 2: and I think they're gonna give it to him as well.

875
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 2: Drones was hurt playing with a sprain mcl a lot

876
00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:45,279
Speaker 2: of last season, so I don't think that he were

877
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 2: really seeing the best version of him. Plus, Virginia Tech

878
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,799
Speaker 2: brings in a lot of transfers on the defensive side

879
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:52,319
Speaker 2: of all. I think that side of ball is gonna

880
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,640
Speaker 2: be so much better for Virginia Tech this year that

881
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:56,439
Speaker 2: this is gonna be one of those kind of ugly

882
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,239
Speaker 2: games that Virginia Tech just finds themselves in on the road.

883
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,000
Speaker 2: I think a lot of may get it out right win,

884
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 2: but I definitely like Virginia inside. Plus the points and

885
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:06,279
Speaker 2: that plus money on the dog is enough for me

886
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:06,800
Speaker 2: to sprinkle.

887
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 1: All right, Terrell taking the dogs once again here is

888
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:13,800
Speaker 1: saying not so fast, my friends. Enjoy it, enjoy it.

889
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,880
Speaker 1: It's another Top ten matchup in South Beach on Sunday

890
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 1: night as well, with the sixth ranked Notre Dame fighting Irish.

891
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 1: They're coming in as a two and a half point

892
00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:26,280
Speaker 1: favorite on the road over the tenth ranked Miami Hurricanes. CJ.

893
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 1: Carr will be taking over at quarterback for the Irish,

894
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: a team that's returning eleven starters, and we'll have a

895
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,920
Speaker 1: roster at full health behind him to begin the season.

896
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:38,320
Speaker 1: Carson Beck, on the other hand, he's getting his first

897
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,920
Speaker 1: test as Miami Hurricane, and he should have a full

898
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,759
Speaker 1: allotment of weapons around him and upfront. Although we talked

899
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,759
Speaker 1: about it on our earlier show this week that they've

900
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 1: lost a ton in the receiving corps. All three receivers

901
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 1: are gone, the running back's gone, the tight end is

902
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 1: now a Seattle Seahawks and Elijah Royo as well. So

903
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,919
Speaker 1: BP projections are confirming this line should be right around

904
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:01,920
Speaker 1: where it is two and a half to three points.

905
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:04,720
Speaker 1: So where are we going here, Terrell? Is this somewhere

906
00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:06,800
Speaker 1: where it's time to hammer down on the Irish?

907
00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:14,960
Speaker 2: I mean, like I mean, if you guys, if you

908
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 2: guys want to Mario Christaballa, it got Carson Beck, alright, man,

909
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:22,320
Speaker 2: Mario Crista ball across the Beck for the rest of

910
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 2: the season, all right, all right, Mario cristal ball. Oh

911
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: and four ats last four games against top ten teams?

912
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 2: Are you trusting Mario christaball in a close game? It

913
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 2: was projected to be a close game, and that these

914
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 2: two teams are supposed to be very comparable. Like I

915
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:41,319
Speaker 2: understand the youth of Notre Dame, especially in the quarterback spot.

916
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:44,480
Speaker 2: But Marcus Freeman is an ATS covering machine. He coaches

917
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 2: a great defense, and I don't think Christo ball with

918
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 2: the lack of weapons that they've had from last year,

919
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:54,719
Speaker 2: and then Carson Beck at quarterback for whatever reason, I'm

920
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:56,600
Speaker 2: gonna enjoy fating this team all year. Let's just say

921
00:44:56,640 --> 00:44:58,880
Speaker 2: that Notre Dame all the way, all right?

922
00:44:58,960 --> 00:44:59,760
Speaker 1: Rolling with the Irish.

923
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 4: Say what says you, Bogman, I say, I don't like

924
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:06,440
Speaker 4: this game in Miami. With Rayne New starting quarterback for

925
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:09,400
Speaker 4: Notre Dame, I don't like Carson Beck. I'm with you

926
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:13,319
Speaker 4: guys in this I do really like Miami's defense, though

927
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:16,879
Speaker 4: I really like Ruben Bayn and company on the side there.

928
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 4: I get Notre Dame wrong consistently, so it's probably Notre

929
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:24,320
Speaker 4: Dame since I'm leaning towards Miami, but I will have

930
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:25,160
Speaker 4: no bet in this game.

931
00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 1: I don't like it.

932
00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 4: Carson Beck has a lot of experience, He's not good right,

933
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:32,879
Speaker 4: and we've seen him fold like Origami under pressure. There's

934
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,560
Speaker 4: a lot of pressure in this game. So I think

935
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 4: traditional conventional wisdom says, let's take Notre Dame We've seen

936
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:40,800
Speaker 4: Carson Beck ruin this cake before.

937
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 3: I get it. But I really like Miami's defense. I've

938
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:44,839
Speaker 3: never seen CJ.

939
00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 4: Carr is Jeremiah Love one hundred percent right now, I

940
00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 4: think there are enough questions from Notre Dame to make.

941
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:53,879
Speaker 3: Me not like this game. So I'm just gonna stay

942
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 3: away from it.

943
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, my biggest bet of the week. I'm going multiple

944
00:45:57,320 --> 00:46:00,959
Speaker 1: multiple units on it. It's Notre Dame money line three

945
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: and one. Yeah, go go Catholics. The new Pope will

946
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 1: hopefully be watching from overseas. He might be a Notre

947
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:09,160
Speaker 1: Dame fan. He was from up in that Midwest area,

948
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 1: so yes, so the New Pope might be riding with

949
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 1: us Terrell. But I mean, eighty percent cover rate last season,

950
00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:19,759
Speaker 1: one of the best in the FBS, and that was

951
00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:22,120
Speaker 1: when that like, let's all forget dude, all the injuries

952
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 1: that Notre Dame faced down the stretch. Their offensive line

953
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:27,359
Speaker 1: was a mess, their defensive line was a mess, They're

954
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:29,719
Speaker 1: too deep was a mess. And also Jeremiah Love was

955
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 1: not healthy in that run of the National Championship Game.

956
00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 1: So they are such a better team last year than Miami.

957
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:39,360
Speaker 1: All their returning players I think are in the positions

958
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 1: that matter compared to Miami, who's missing pretty much their

959
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: entire offense outside of some linemen.

960
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:45,440
Speaker 3: So I'm with you.

961
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:48,919
Speaker 1: I'm baden Carson Beck here, Notre Dame by. I don't

962
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,880
Speaker 1: know enough enough here for me to take it. So

963
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 1: really looking forward to that one on Sunday night and

964
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: then Monday night. What a treat this slate as Boys

965
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick make his college football coaching debut. On Monday

966
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: night at eight pm Eastern Time, the TCU horn Fogs

967
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:08,880
Speaker 1: will be traveling to Chapel Hill, where Sunny Dyke squad

968
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 1: is a three to three and a half point favorite

969
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:14,920
Speaker 1: against the North Carolina tar Heels. No injuries to report

970
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,839
Speaker 1: on either side of this, and the projections this week

971
00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 1: will get you up. They love the horn Frogs. They

972
00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:22,680
Speaker 1: think they should be closer to an eight point line.

973
00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:27,240
Speaker 1: They're showing twenty two percent expected value on the horn Frogs.

974
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:29,560
Speaker 1: If you're willing to lay at our uterurel.

975
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:33,040
Speaker 2: No, absolutely not. Where are we getting at?

976
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:33,239
Speaker 3: Then?

977
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:36,040
Speaker 2: CCU is just this great, good team that they're supposed

978
00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 2: to be that much favorite over.

979
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:38,359
Speaker 1: Josh Hoover's nice man.

980
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:42,120
Speaker 2: No, no he's not. They're okay at best this This

981
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 2: CCU team has been up and down around the way

982
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:48,840
Speaker 2: all the time. I think he's turnover prone. And then

983
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:50,920
Speaker 2: they got a true freshman behind him that they really

984
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 2: want to play in front of him, So now he's

985
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 2: playing with the pressure of that, all of that, and

986
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 2: then you add all of that into the fact that

987
00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:59,120
Speaker 2: you're taking a turnover prone and a true fresh and

988
00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:01,400
Speaker 2: QB which ever one that they end up deciding to

989
00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:04,000
Speaker 2: play more because you can never trust TCU and you're

990
00:48:04,040 --> 00:48:08,359
Speaker 2: giving them against Bill Belichick, that defensive mind, who, by

991
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 2: the way, got his guys. He's got seventeen overall transfers

992
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 2: coming in on his defense with five starters, so he's

993
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 2: got a lot of talent coming in. And then on

994
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball, we got Go Lopez

995
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:25,200
Speaker 2: from South Alabama. Do you guys not remember us betting

996
00:48:25,280 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 2: Go Lopez last year and how good he was on

997
00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 2: that South Alabama team, And he's got an offensive line

998
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:31,800
Speaker 2: that has one hundred and fifty five career starts. Like,

999
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:35,279
Speaker 2: I don't understand the thought process of let's fade Bill

1000
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:38,319
Speaker 2: Belichick this first week because there's been nothing that's been

1001
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 2: talked about more this entire offseason. Bill Belichick, his girlfriend,

1002
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:44,320
Speaker 2: all of that, and what is the last What happened

1003
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,520
Speaker 2: the last time TCU went to go play Week one,

1004
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:49,759
Speaker 2: a team that had been talking about all the way

1005
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 2: through the offseason, they took an L to Dion and Colorado.

1006
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 2: This is Bill Belichick and you NC all day. He's

1007
00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,920
Speaker 2: gonna set a statement and TCU can't be trusted, Bogs.

1008
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:03,719
Speaker 1: It's a noaw for me, dog on just betting this

1009
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:04,640
Speaker 1: game in general?

1010
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:08,319
Speaker 3: What about you hard pass. I am with you, Seth

1011
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:08,839
Speaker 3: on this one.

1012
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 4: Like listen, you can roll your eyes Trel And I

1013
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:16,040
Speaker 4: don't mind that the take that Bill Belichick is a

1014
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 4: technician that will stomp Sunny Dyke's and company into the ground.

1015
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:23,600
Speaker 4: But I also don't mind the fact that, hey, Bill Belichick,

1016
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 4: you know, had the best quarterback in the world ever

1017
00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:29,640
Speaker 4: for a long time in his career. Maybe he's not

1018
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:32,800
Speaker 4: as good as we think in the college level is

1019
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,400
Speaker 4: going to be tough for him. We've seen the college

1020
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,759
Speaker 4: level humble a lot of NFL coaches. We've seen the

1021
00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 4: NFL humble. It's fair share of college coaches as well.

1022
00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:44,960
Speaker 4: It's a different game, and I think that TCU comes

1023
00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:48,320
Speaker 4: in with experience here. I would lean towards them, but

1024
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:51,520
Speaker 4: I am a hard pass on this game. I don't

1025
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 4: want any part of it. I don't think I can

1026
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:55,759
Speaker 4: pretend to know what UNC is going to look like

1027
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:59,000
Speaker 4: coming out the gate, and I know that I am

1028
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 4: luke warm on TCU right a lot of experience with Hoover.

1029
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,040
Speaker 4: I think this is a better team than the post

1030
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 4: getting stomped by Georgia in the National Championship, team that

1031
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:13,320
Speaker 4: got rolled up by Colorado and that awesome offense.

1032
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:16,600
Speaker 3: But I just I'm gonna stay away from this one.

1033
00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,360
Speaker 3: This is a fun one to bet. We'll find some

1034
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:22,080
Speaker 3: player props for it on Friday, but I'm not gonna

1035
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:25,040
Speaker 3: take a side or okay, a total in this game.

1036
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, before we get out of here real quickly,

1037
00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 1: give me your best bet of week number one for

1038
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,120
Speaker 1: the college football season. Terrell starts out, Man.

1039
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 2: Dude, how do you talk crap about Bama? Like what

1040
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:40,920
Speaker 2: Nick Saban can't save you? Like they don't have one?

1041
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:43,359
Speaker 2: Is still one of the top recruiting crasses in the nation,

1042
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 2: and you got bitched at Boston College Alabama lane thirteen

1043
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:47,960
Speaker 2: and a half.

1044
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:52,799
Speaker 4: All day, Boggs, I'm gonna lay a bunch of points here.

1045
00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 4: We're gonna lay twenty three and a half for Indiana

1046
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 4: versus Old Dominion. And my question is, is Zodi you're

1047
00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 4: gonna score Allan had the chance to put the boots

1048
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:03,600
Speaker 4: in the opponent last year, they did it.

1049
00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 3: Seven and eleven wins were by twenty four or more points.

1050
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:06,920
Speaker 3: Last season.

1051
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 4: Some of those games were Power four teams UCLA, Nebraska,

1052
00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 4: Michigan State, Purdue. They all beat those guys by more

1053
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 4: than twenty four points. You can't replace the magic from

1054
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 4: last season. But Mendoza comes over from Cal I think

1055
00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:21,360
Speaker 4: he could be better than Rourke and he has thirty

1056
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:24,480
Speaker 4: second in total returning production, thirty eighth on offense, twenty

1057
00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 4: fourth on defense. They have a top twenty five transfer

1058
00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:31,760
Speaker 4: class as well. So Mendoza hem beat Coogan on offense.

1059
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:34,440
Speaker 4: They plugged the holes on defense. Oh do you surprise

1060
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 4: South Carolina last year in Week one? I don't think

1061
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 4: coach sig is going to let that happen to his

1062
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:39,879
Speaker 4: guys at all.

1063
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:40,680
Speaker 3: Google him.

1064
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:44,879
Speaker 4: He beats guys, He beats opposing teams by a lot.

1065
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 4: So when they get a chance to put the boots

1066
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 4: to somebody, they do it. And I think they are

1067
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:49,760
Speaker 4: going to smoke Old Dominion.

1068
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:52,440
Speaker 1: Give me the Notre Dame money line minus one thirty

1069
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 1: ESPN bet. I'm going four units down on it. I

1070
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:57,120
Speaker 1: don't care. I don't care about the weather. I don't care.

1071
00:51:57,360 --> 00:51:59,239
Speaker 1: I'm going to keep fading, Mario Christoball, I'm going to

1072
00:51:59,320 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 1: keep fading cars Becket's what we do best here on

1073
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:04,040
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros College Football Show, and that's also going

1074
00:52:04,120 --> 00:52:06,680
Speaker 1: to do it for us on this Week one episode

1075
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 1: still to come later this week and every single week

1076
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:12,640
Speaker 1: here on the channel, Bog's best bets and our parlay picks,

1077
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 1: So make sure you're tuning in for those and let

1078
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: us don't down in the comments below your favorite Week

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00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:19,880
Speaker 1: one picks, and while you're here, make sure you're smashing

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00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:22,960
Speaker 1: that like button and subscribing to the channel as well

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00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:25,000
Speaker 1: if you're new, so you don't miss a second of

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00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:29,319
Speaker 1: CFB coverage this season. For Scott Bogman and to rail

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00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:32,359
Speaker 1: hot Money Furman Junior, I'm set with Wilcock. Take care

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00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 1: of y'all.

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Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

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00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts.

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00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 3: Or Spotify.

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00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,360
Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

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Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL.

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00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:47,799
Speaker 3: Also subscribe to our

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Speaker 5: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros