WEBVTT - Scalise Nomination, China Focus at IMF Meetings

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Brian Curtis and I'm Doug Prisner. Here are the

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<v Speaker 2>stories we're following today.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll be getting more on the US House speakership maneuverings

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<v Speaker 3>and also the Israel Hamas war all throughout the program.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it's time for Global News.

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<v Speaker 3>US House of Representatives will not be voting on a

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<v Speaker 3>speaker today, as some had hoped would be the case.

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<v Speaker 3>At Baxter is covering this story as well as the

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<v Speaker 3>latest on Israel and the Gaza strip head.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, some would hope, but not really expected. Brian. The

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<v Speaker 4>House's closed session, although the negotiations go on behind closed doors.

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<v Speaker 4>Steve Scalise has been nominated by the caucus as a whole,

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<v Speaker 4>and Jim Jordan says he supports that, but Bloomberg's Laura

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<v Speaker 4>Davison says, there is a long way to go.

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<v Speaker 5>This is really a replay of what we saw happen

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<v Speaker 5>in January. The Republicans coming out of various meetings today

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<v Speaker 5>so that there are about twenty people who are not

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<v Speaker 5>behind Scalise. If you'll remember, that was basically where vote

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<v Speaker 5>number one started with McCarthy. You hit about twenty people

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<v Speaker 5>voting against him on the Republican side. This is where

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<v Speaker 5>all the negotiations happen, and a lot of Republicans going

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<v Speaker 5>into the said, look, we want to learn from our

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<v Speaker 5>mistakes from last time. We don't want to have these

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<v Speaker 5>fights in public. We want to change the rules to

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<v Speaker 5>prevent any one person being able to oust a speaker

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<v Speaker 5>at any time. None of that has happened.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but that's not happened. Right, there's a group of

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<v Speaker 4>twenty holding things up now. Meanwhile, Scalise says there's a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of work to be done.

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<v Speaker 6>The conversations we've been having with my colleagues over the

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<v Speaker 6>last few days leading up to this show that there's

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<v Speaker 6>a result that we need to get back to work.

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<v Speaker 6>There's a lot of business to take.

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<v Speaker 4>Care of and focus on the Middle East.

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<v Speaker 6>Our first resolution that we pass under Speaker Steve Scalise

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<v Speaker 6>will be to make it clear that we stand with Israel.

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<v Speaker 6>The McCall meeks resolution will be our first order of business.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but again, nobody knows how long that's going to take.

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<v Speaker 4>Israel meanwhile, forming an emergency coalition government today bloomber' skalaid

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<v Speaker 4>Allstein in Tel Aviv.

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<v Speaker 7>This is in fact a new party. Benny Ganz's party

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<v Speaker 7>just joined the forces with Nan Nathaniel's government's former government

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<v Speaker 7>to days in effect. But what we're seeing now is

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<v Speaker 7>Gans's party join in basically to form a very narrow

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<v Speaker 7>war managing cabinet. They will be leading any operations the war.

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<v Speaker 7>You can say that we'll be moving on from moving

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<v Speaker 7>forward from now on.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah. Galate saying life is not normal at all in Israel,

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<v Speaker 4>that many people have just hunkered down, not going to work,

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<v Speaker 4>kids not going to school. Also where today that Israeli

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<v Speaker 4>bombing on the Gaza has knocked out most power to

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<v Speaker 4>the strip. US President Joe Biden stopped to talk with

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<v Speaker 4>a group of Jewish leaders in Washington, d C.

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<v Speaker 8>Today, I would argue, said deadliest day for Jews since

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<v Speaker 8>the Holocaust.

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<v Speaker 4>And he says silence his complicity, he will not. He says,

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<v Speaker 4>be silence.

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<v Speaker 8>This attack was a campaign of pure cruelty. I just

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<v Speaker 8>hate cruelty against the Jewish people.

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<v Speaker 4>And says without Israel, Jewish people everywhere are in danger,

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<v Speaker 4>says the US and Israel doing everything possible to get

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<v Speaker 4>the US hostages home. The President says a second carrier

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<v Speaker 4>group is headed to the eastern Mediterranean and has a

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<v Speaker 4>warning for Iran when we moved.

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<v Speaker 8>The US carrier fleet to the Eastern Mediterranean and are

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<v Speaker 8>sending more fighter chitch there in that region, and made

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<v Speaker 8>it clear, made it clear to the Iranians be careful.

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<v Speaker 4>At one point, Biden pounded the podium, saying the globe

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<v Speaker 4>cannot allow this kind of action to go on Global

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<v Speaker 4>News powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and

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<v Speaker 4>analysts in over one hundred twenty countries in San Francisco,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm at Baxter in This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>Now onto some of our other top stories of the day.

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<v Speaker 3>Minutes from the FED September meetings show that policymakers agreed

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<v Speaker 3>last month that monetary policy should remain restrictive for some time.

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<v Speaker 3>They also noted that the risks of overtightening had to

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<v Speaker 3>be balanced against the idea of keeping inflation on a

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<v Speaker 3>downward path toward two percent. Markets are now eyeing tomorrow's

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<v Speaker 3>inflation report for clues on the Fed's.

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<v Speaker 1>Rate hiking path. Bloomberg's Michael McKee with a preview.

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<v Speaker 9>Wednesday's unexpected rise in the September producer price index hasn't

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<v Speaker 9>changed forecasts for consumer prices. Analysts still see the index

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<v Speaker 9>up at only half the pace of August, as gasoline

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<v Speaker 9>prices remained relatively steady during the month even as oil

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<v Speaker 9>prices rose, and while goods prices rose faster than services.

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<v Speaker 9>In the PPI, investors and FED officials will focus on

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<v Speaker 9>CPI services services minus housing costs have contributed much of

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<v Speaker 9>the inflation pressure over the past year, and the expectation

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<v Speaker 9>is that should continue to ease over the past two weeks.

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<v Speaker 9>A number of policymakers have suggested they're inclined not to

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<v Speaker 9>raise rates November first, and expected CPI could ratify that,

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<v Speaker 9>while at upside surprise may push market rates up in

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<v Speaker 9>a expectation those FED officials will change their minds. Michael

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<v Speaker 9>McKee Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Onto the trial of Sam Bankman Free today. His former

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<v Speaker 2>business partner and former girlfriend, Caroline Ellison, was on the

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<v Speaker 2>stand for a second day. She told the jury Bankment

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<v Speaker 2>Freed directed her to orchestrate a massive fraud at FTX

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<v Speaker 2>and its related hedge fund Alimeter Research. Tomorrow, that is

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<v Speaker 2>Thursday here in New York. Ellison will be cross examined

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<v Speaker 2>by Bankman Freed's lawyers. Bloomberg's Angela Moon tells us how

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<v Speaker 2>the defense will try to refute Ellison's testimony.

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<v Speaker 10>Basically, their strategy has all been all along that Sam

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<v Speaker 10>Bankmint Freed was unable to if he committed crime. He

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<v Speaker 10>wasn't able to do this alone, right, He had his

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<v Speaker 10>inner circle, He had advisers who were advising him, and

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<v Speaker 10>they specifically mentioned that she was put in this role

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<v Speaker 10>so that she could hedge the customer's money, so that

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<v Speaker 10>when things got bad, that she was basically the one

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<v Speaker 10>that he was going to really rely on to get

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<v Speaker 10>them out of trouble. They're going to be very vocal

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<v Speaker 10>about the fact that she did not do her job well.

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<v Speaker 10>And part of the reason why the SPF empire fell

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<v Speaker 10>was because they had an incompetent CEO, that is.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Angela Moon. Now Bankman Freed has admitted he did

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<v Speaker 2>make several mistakes, but he has denied intentionally defrauding anyone.

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<v Speaker 3>Bran Well onto some corporate news. Shares of German footwear

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<v Speaker 3>maker Birkenstock dropped twelve point six percent today in its

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<v Speaker 3>debut and more from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett.

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<v Speaker 11>According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the German sandal maker's

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<v Speaker 11>debut was the worst opening for a listing of one

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<v Speaker 11>billion dollars or more in New York in over two years.

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<v Speaker 11>The data show, out of more than three hundred usipos

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<v Speaker 11>of that size in the past century, only nine have

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<v Speaker 11>fared worse, the last being app Love and Corp, which

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<v Speaker 11>opened twelve and a half percent below its IPO price

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<v Speaker 11>in April of twenty twenty one in New York. Charlie

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<v Speaker 11>Pellet Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>The head of the French Central Bank, says that China

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<v Speaker 2>must play by global rules if it wants to get

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<v Speaker 2>more sway at the IMF. Here is Bloomberg's von Man

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<v Speaker 2>from Hong Kong.

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<v Speaker 12>Central Bank Chief Francois Villoi de Galjo said a revision

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<v Speaker 12>of the voting shares including China, will be inevitable, but

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<v Speaker 12>he said those countries must play by the rules. Villoy

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<v Speaker 12>also said a future shakeup at the IMF could be

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<v Speaker 12>an opportunity to create European groupings behind board seats. It

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<v Speaker 12>can also change majority voting rules to soften the veto

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<v Speaker 12>power of some countries. Vilori's comments are in contrast with

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<v Speaker 12>a position taken by the US. The US has been

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<v Speaker 12>calling for an equiproportional increase of quotas that would boost

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<v Speaker 12>contributions to the fund without reallocating voting shares in Hong Kong,

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<v Speaker 12>i'm Von Mann Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Separately, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is planning to meet

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<v Speaker 2>this week with China's Central Bank governor Penggong Sheen. That

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<v Speaker 2>will happen in Morocco, and she is hoping to make

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<v Speaker 2>some progress on the debt relief talks that include China.

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<v Speaker 3>And perhaps bearing out what Yvon was just reporting on

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<v Speaker 3>Doug China has reached a tentative debt agreement with Sri Lanka,

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<v Speaker 3>ruffling feathers at the IMF.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's Bonnie al with that story from Hong Kong.

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<v Speaker 13>The IMF was caught off guard by China front running

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<v Speaker 13>IMF negotiations with Sri Lanka by striking this deal. The

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<v Speaker 13>IMF and various Paris Club members had been expected to

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<v Speaker 13>hold talks on a deal this week. China's Foreign Ministry

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<v Speaker 13>said the deal between the Export Import Bank of China

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<v Speaker 13>and Sri Lanka was reached late last month, but it

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<v Speaker 13>only emerged this week as a result. SOSA say an

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<v Speaker 13>announcement on the IMF Paris Club deal now looks unlikely.

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<v Speaker 13>In Hong Kong, I'm Bonnie Al Bloomberg Radio and.

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<v Speaker 3>Joining us now to discuss the latest on the House

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<v Speaker 3>Speakership vote is Joe Matthew, host of Bloomberg Sound On,

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<v Speaker 3>and So I guess there were a few surprising moves today.

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<v Speaker 1>What caught you most off guard, Joe?

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<v Speaker 14>The fact that we got a nominee for starters the

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<v Speaker 14>whole day was kind of a surprise, to be honest

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<v Speaker 14>with you. We woke up this morning with the idea

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<v Speaker 14>that this would go on for days, if not weeks,

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<v Speaker 14>before anything ever came to the floor, because Republicans wanted

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<v Speaker 14>to settle on a nominee to avoid the embarrassment of

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<v Speaker 14>what we saw last January fifteen rounds that it took

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<v Speaker 14>for Kevin McCarthy. But there was a very interesting turn.

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<v Speaker 14>There was an effort to actually raise the threshold for

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<v Speaker 14>that nomination to mirror the majority that would be required

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<v Speaker 14>on the floor. That failed, in large part because Steve

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<v Speaker 14>Scalise mobilized the troops to vote against it, and that

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<v Speaker 14>gave him the opportunity to close the deal.

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<v Speaker 15>Today. The question is how long.

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<v Speaker 14>Will it take for him to actually get the votes

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<v Speaker 14>needed to win the speakership, because it appears they still

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<v Speaker 14>will not go to the floor until then, or will

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<v Speaker 14>they Either way, there's a lot of confusion and chaos

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<v Speaker 14>still around this whole story.

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<v Speaker 2>So Joe, where does that leave us when it comes

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<v Speaker 2>to aid not only for Ukraine but Israel as well.

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<v Speaker 14>Well, that's a great question, because nothing can happen, and

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<v Speaker 14>until there is a speaker they're talking about it. I

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<v Speaker 14>spoke with Michael McCall earlier today, who chairs the House

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<v Speaker 14>Foreign Affairs Committee and is close to leadership.

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<v Speaker 15>He voted for Steve Scalise and.

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<v Speaker 14>Has already has a promise from the Speaker in waiting,

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<v Speaker 14>assuming that Scalice gets the gavel, that the first order

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<v Speaker 14>of business will be to bring McCall's resolution on Israel

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<v Speaker 14>to the floor. That would condemn the attack and express

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<v Speaker 14>support for Israel and set the stage for a supplemental

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<v Speaker 14>funding request. But Doug, it's important here. We're talking now

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<v Speaker 14>about combining funding for Israel, funding for Ukraine, funding for Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 14>and for border security all in a single bill. There's

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<v Speaker 14>strategy essentially to dare people to vote no against.

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<v Speaker 15>Any of them.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly, because of the urgency that I was about

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<v Speaker 3>to mention. We also heard from Israel's Prime minister and

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<v Speaker 3>the Defense minister today about wiping out Hamas. And in

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<v Speaker 3>addition to that, you had these air raid sirens sounding

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<v Speaker 3>in northern Israel. That raises a specter of his Blah

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<v Speaker 3>getting much more involved in this. I'm curious so because

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<v Speaker 3>I know this will have come up in the shows

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<v Speaker 3>that you've done and from talking to guests today, what

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<v Speaker 3>might have raised some hairs on the back of your neck.

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<v Speaker 14>Well, that's the great worry right now. This is what's

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<v Speaker 14>keeping people up at night, that if this breaks out

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<v Speaker 14>to the north, it's going to change the game. And

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<v Speaker 14>it's partly why we now have not one, but two

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<v Speaker 14>aircraft carrier groups that are steaming toward the eastern Mediterranean

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<v Speaker 14>as a deterrent to keep Iran out of this, to

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<v Speaker 14>keep Hezbollah out of this. But look, you hear sirens

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<v Speaker 14>like that today and you immediately think that something's going

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<v Speaker 14>on here.

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<v Speaker 15>The Israelis did go out.

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<v Speaker 14>Of their way to say that that was not what

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<v Speaker 14>first was thought, that there was no incursion into Israeli airspace.

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<v Speaker 14>But you know, look, this is an extremely delicate moment.

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<v Speaker 14>Right now, and if we do see things break out

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<v Speaker 14>to the north, it's going to be a military problem,

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<v Speaker 14>it's going to be a problem for the oil market,

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<v Speaker 14>and it's going to change the conversation in Washington most definitely.

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<v Speaker 2>And Treasury Secretary Yellen was saying that her department is

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<v Speaker 2>going to continue to review sanctions on not only Iran,

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<v Speaker 2>Hamas and hezbalah Is. Within Congress, are there calls for

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<v Speaker 2>tougher sanctions right now?

0:12:09.200 --> 0:12:11.760
<v Speaker 14>Sanctions have been less a part of the conversation, although

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 14>we are hearing about it. I think there's a drive

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.840
<v Speaker 14>to start enforcing the sanctions that are in place, whether

0:12:17.840 --> 0:12:20.000
<v Speaker 14>you're talking about Iran or Russia for that matter, But

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:22.480
<v Speaker 14>there seems to be just a general sort of I

0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:25.240
<v Speaker 14>don't know if I should use the word realization, because

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 14>not everybody agrees on this, but there's a thought that

0:12:27.679 --> 0:12:31.080
<v Speaker 14>sanctions just have not been working and that there needs

0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:34.160
<v Speaker 14>to be a different approach. If not stronger enforcement, then

0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:37.319
<v Speaker 14>maybe we should be talking secondary sanctions or something beyond that.

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 14>But we can't even get a resolution passed in the

0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 14>House right now, and we'll take things one step at

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:42.800
<v Speaker 14>a time.

0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:45.520
<v Speaker 3>You know, Joe, I'm just curious if we go back

0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:49.880
<v Speaker 3>to the speakership vote again, how involve the Democrats are

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 3>sort of feeling they must get here in order to.

0:12:54.640 --> 0:12:55.920
<v Speaker 1>Press the vote and press the action.

0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:58.719
<v Speaker 15>Well, look, they'll tell you that they're prepared to.

0:12:58.679 --> 0:13:01.080
<v Speaker 14>Vote for a man named how Kim Jeffries, and that

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 14>Democrats are not going to go out of their way

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 14>to help Republicans figure this out because they do see

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 14>a long game here that brings us to an election

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 14>at the end of the year that could mean Democrats

0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:13.000
<v Speaker 14>retaking the majority in the House. They're not going to

0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:15.800
<v Speaker 14>help Republicans try to limit the chaos. In other words,

0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:19.960
<v Speaker 14>at least that's been the case so far. We are allowing, however,

0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.439
<v Speaker 14>for some deal making to take place. Steve Scalise has

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 14>worked with Democrats in the past and is very different

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:27.880
<v Speaker 14>than Jim Jordan. Could be cutting a deal as we

0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 14>speak with Hakim Jeffries or with the White House, and

0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 14>that's the part that happens behind the scenes that we

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 14>just don't know about. But I wouldn't expect to see

0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 14>a lot of Democrats voting Scalise on the floor.

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:40.440
<v Speaker 2>So we avoided a shutdown a couple of weeks back

0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:43.840
<v Speaker 2>funding through November seventeenth. Is there a high risk that

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:47.080
<v Speaker 2>we could be facing the threat of another shutdown in

0:13:47.120 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 2>a big way?

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:48.440
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely.

0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:52.320
<v Speaker 14>I mean, look that there were thoughts of creating a

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:56.559
<v Speaker 14>caretaker speakership with Patrick McHenry, who's the Speaker pro tem

0:13:56.679 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 14>right now, has no real power but just to avoid

0:13:59.880 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 14>the shutdown. So it appears that there is going to

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 14>be an effort to get this figured out before then,

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:08.680
<v Speaker 14>But that doesn't mean that the work will be done.

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 14>The House has only gotten through four bills. The Senate

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 14>has all of the appropriations that it needs to, so

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:17.080
<v Speaker 14>now we're talking about another continuing resolution. Both Jim Jordan

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:20.280
<v Speaker 14>and Steve Scalise have acknowledged that that would be likely

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:23.120
<v Speaker 14>the next step if they became speaker, because there's no way.

0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 3>They're going to have a budget ready for the seventeenth

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 3>of November. Joe, probably the question you're dreading. Has Donald

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 3>Trump weighed in at all, privately or publicly.

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 14>On the speaker fight. Absolutely, and it probably helped us

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 14>get to this point. He endorsed Jim Jordan, and that

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 14>might be the very reason why Jim Jordan did not

0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 14>become the nominee today. It did not help him in

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.680
<v Speaker 14>any regard Donald Trump was talking about coming up here.

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.440
<v Speaker 14>He did not do that, but you're hearing analysts on

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 14>both sides of the aisle say Trump lost another one.

0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, your morning brief on the

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