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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the court. Ten seconds

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Speaker 2: of eatings.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna just go throw up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the croup for the wind God.

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Speaker 3: A miracle.

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Speaker 2: I the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 3: Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the college

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Speaker 3: Basketball weekend betting Preview. I'm your host, stuck you in

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Speaker 3: joining me as always are my co hosts, Mike Calabrese

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Speaker 3: and BJ Cunningham. Gentlemen, what's going on?

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Speaker 1: Mike?

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Speaker 3: You fully recovered.

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Speaker 1: I'm fully recovered. I'm ready for the Birds on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I have so many different bets. I got a lot

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Speaker 1: of bets tied up in the Phoenix Soap and Waste

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Speaker 1: Management tournament out there in Arizona as well. So if

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Speaker 1: the Eagles win and it goes under the number of

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Speaker 1: fifty one and Justin Thomas wins, I'll be quite happy this.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this is the week to have cross

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Speaker 1: sports parlays and everything else, so trying to really lean

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Speaker 1: into that. Plus I'm big time in on Kenny Gainwell

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Speaker 1: at one hundred and twenty five to one to win MVP.

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Speaker 1: He's led the Eagles in rushing in the playoffs, so

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Speaker 1: why not let's take a.

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Speaker 3: Shot on him.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, in general, this is a great week, lots

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Speaker 1: of good sports in college basketball's as good as it's

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Speaker 1: been this whole season. So I'm excited for this slate,

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Speaker 1: you know, Thursday through Sunday.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I'm against you in the Super Bowl. I

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Speaker 3: have the over and I hope you push. I have

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Speaker 3: over fifty and a half and when I have the Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: But I just got back from Philly, where my whole

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Speaker 3: family's from, and oh my god, I if people aren't familiar,

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Speaker 3: I'm sure they are. Like the greeting in Philly now

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Speaker 3: is not he low, It's just go birds. In all

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Speaker 3: co it's more like go birds. But yeah, I heard.

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Speaker 3: I was thinking New I was a visiting my mom.

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Speaker 3: The news is just like in everywhere, it's just Eagles.

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Speaker 3: So if I do lose my I will be very

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Speaker 3: happy for both my mom and dad and my entire

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Speaker 3: family here. Especially with my mom and dad, I don't

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Speaker 3: know how many more Super Bowls they will get to see,

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Speaker 3: you know, I know that they were extreme I was

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Speaker 3: very happy for them back in twenty seventeen, So maybe

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Speaker 3: they win this one. I'll be like, all right, that's enough.

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Speaker 3: That's two and two and five years. I think you

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Speaker 3: got your fill, But any any might as well just

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Speaker 3: throw it out there if you haven't checked out on

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Speaker 3: Action Nework podcasts Raybaund, Chris Raybut and I. We have

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Speaker 3: our super Bowl betting for you out there also for

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Speaker 3: the super Bowl. If you're in Cleveland, come to the

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Speaker 3: Punch Bowl RCP. I tweet off the link, watch super

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Speaker 3: Bowl with me, drink and bet. BJ you have a

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Speaker 3: pick for the super Bow before we get into college.

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Speaker 2: Troops, Well yeah, I'm gonna be with you on the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: And you know I'm very different you you two obviously

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Speaker 2: you know live for around the Philly area. Well, I

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Speaker 2: live in Chiefs Country. I live three hours from Kansas City,

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Speaker 2: and I can't tell you how many Bandwagon Chiefs fans

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Speaker 2: have come on in the last like three four years

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Speaker 2: ever since Mahomes has gotten there. So I have just

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Speaker 2: seen nothing but red and yellow for like the last

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Speaker 2: four or five years, and especially with the super Bowl

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Speaker 2: lead up. So I mean, I mean again, I don't

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Speaker 2: really follow the NFL that much. I basically just tail you, stucky.

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Speaker 2: So if you're on the Chiefs, then so am I,

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Speaker 2: and I'll be on a million props as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah I'm in. I'm kind of in. No one cares

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Speaker 3: land now about the NFL. Like I remember going to

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Speaker 3: we go to my ways far for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 3: It's just like the people who work there was no

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Speaker 3: one there and no one on well Sundays, the bars

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Speaker 3: are clean, just completely open. But we started to get

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Speaker 3: a little more Bengals, like there's some Bengals or some Colts,

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Speaker 3: but Lexan just all about the college basketball team. So

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Speaker 3: now I have to Kentucky lost Arkansas. This guy's falling again.

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Speaker 2: Literally, I thought they were back for a second.

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Speaker 3: They're stuck. Yeah, they They just don't get coaching. It's

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Speaker 3: so bad. It's a good transition into what we learned

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Speaker 3: from this week. We'll get into our future, a lot

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Speaker 3: of futures to our portfolio here. We'll talk a little

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Speaker 3: Friday Night Lights and then go around the Horn for Saturday.

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Speaker 3: We'll also talk some by low Sell High for the

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Speaker 3: Pac twelve, which we haven't really talked about much so

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Speaker 3: far this season. But let's get into what we learned

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Speaker 3: from the week that was, and and then any rants

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Speaker 3: you have, I'll kick things off. Yeah Kentucky, I mean

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Speaker 3: they just are so poorly coached, Like why are you

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Speaker 3: letting Arkansas the way that they were the way that

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Speaker 3: they were defending the Arkansas screens? Like why are you

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Speaker 3: letting Arkansas defending the three against Arkansas? Why are you

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Speaker 3: letting them get to the rim? Like the team can't

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Speaker 3: shoot just and sheepway remains just a liability, especially on defense.

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Speaker 3: You know, you move him around and he also just

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Speaker 3: struggles it with post defense. So yeah, Kentucky has some issues.

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Speaker 3: I think that they're starting to figure out their their

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Speaker 3: line up, their most ideal lineup, but it's still far

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Speaker 3: from perfect. But the thing I guess I take away

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Speaker 3: the most is well BC with quintin post back is

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Speaker 3: pretty is more formidable than people are giving them credit for.

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Speaker 3: And VA Tec lost all of its equity that it

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Speaker 3: built with that UVA win. So I don't know if

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Speaker 3: a tech can get their way back of the bubble.

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Speaker 3: The reason is is the ACC stinks, so like who

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Speaker 3: do you play right? You just you just got to

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Speaker 3: avoid bad losses and they took one here, So I

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Speaker 3: might be targeting VAH Tech. You know, get Maddox back

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Speaker 3: in the AC tournament again, which should be pretty wide open.

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Speaker 3: At North Carolina has been disappointing. I don't think Duke

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Speaker 3: is that great. So it's yeah, it's a it's a

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Speaker 3: good tournament to pick for a long shot. And the

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Speaker 3: other one is we'll touch on this more in the futures,

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Speaker 3: will go. But I'm glad that we added Indiana when

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Speaker 3: we did right fifty to one. They beat Rutgers, they

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Speaker 3: beat Perdue down now pretty much twenty five to one

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Speaker 3: across the board. So we'll get to that in a second.

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Speaker 3: But my rant of the week Oklahoma, that was I

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Speaker 3: was on a good run until last night. I think

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Speaker 3: I finished three and three, but that swung my night,

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Speaker 3: not plus nine and a half. They lose by ten,

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Speaker 3: which is the largest episode of the game. Down five

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Speaker 3: eighty five percent free throwsher misses the front end, and

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Speaker 3: I'm like, oh no, there's two minutes ago. Leads to

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Speaker 3: a transition bucket and then turnover mess turner and Baylor,

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Speaker 3: of course makes every single free throw down the stretch

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Speaker 3: and then Oklahoma calls time out twenty seconds left, down eight,

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Speaker 3: So you know they're gonna fail. They foul, come down,

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Speaker 3: chuck of three air balls, then that don't foul? Like

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Speaker 3: can we coaches at the end of the game. I

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Speaker 3: know you're just trying to coach, you don't care, but

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Speaker 3: have some awareness of the number like you you have alumni,

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Speaker 3: you have fans, boosters. It's not gonna make a difference.

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Speaker 3: Why you found you're fouling down nine, down eight with

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Speaker 3: ten seconds left. Know when to call off the dogs,

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Speaker 3: you know, and if you're down ten, then why not

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Speaker 3: foul again? Right? If you're gonna keep playing and keep teaching,

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Speaker 3: what is the do you mean they're fouling at the

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Speaker 3: end of these games? I wish there's just more awareness

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Speaker 3: quarter Moser figure it out. So that was frustrating. And

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Speaker 3: then why I had Wyoming too, who basically mean one

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Speaker 3: of their their starting quick cards is out for the

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Speaker 3: year now. And then they three players were kicked off

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Speaker 3: the team yesterday afternoon. The team's like down to like

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Speaker 3: five or six scholarship players. What a mess for Wyoming

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Speaker 3: in Gramy k red shirt and so what a disaster

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Speaker 3: this year in Laramie. But that's some of my takeaways.

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Speaker 3: In Tennessee fraud I mean that they're good, but the

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Speaker 3: team can't win it. They go down to Vanderbilt, they

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Speaker 3: just they can't score consistently enough. I don't care. I'll

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Speaker 3: go their defenses and teams aren't going to shoot twenty

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Speaker 3: percent from three once they get out of the sec. Michael,

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Speaker 3: let me go to you. Anything you want to take

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Speaker 3: away from the week in any rants.

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Speaker 1: First lesson when Stucky makes a point that a team

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Speaker 1: is broken like Tennessee, don't just fade them against the spread.

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Speaker 1: Some have some you know, guts and go with the

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Speaker 1: money line play.

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Speaker 3: I was right there.

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Speaker 1: I end up taking a small play on Vanderbilt plus

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Speaker 1: the points, Like why not?

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Speaker 3: I totally agree with you.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you pregame about Tennessee's inability to score

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Speaker 1: and run away from teams. I may as well just

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Speaker 1: like put a little more faith in it. And this

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Speaker 1: isn't just a Tennessee conversation. We've been beating the drum

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Speaker 1: for weeks on this podcast that in February and March

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Speaker 1: there's gonna be some crazy upsets and teams that are

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Speaker 1: vulnerable are going to expose themselves to losing his double

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Speaker 1: digit favorites.

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Speaker 3: So now's the time.

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Speaker 1: To start to push some money into the middle of

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Speaker 1: the table and really go for it. Second thing, my rants,

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Speaker 1: I haven't got all that fired up lately because I've

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Speaker 1: been running.

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Speaker 3: Pretty well for about a month.

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Speaker 1: But I had Saint John's on the money line last

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Speaker 1: night against Butler and a couple things for starters. Yes,

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Speaker 1: they can't score at the end of the game, but

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Speaker 1: in terms of the officiating and the way that Mike

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Speaker 1: Anderson handled it. The final basket, they have an inbounds

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Speaker 1: under their own basket. They run a perfect law play,

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Speaker 1: Soriano gets it, puts it in. They end up waving

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Speaker 1: it off, saying that even though he caught it and

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Speaker 1: immediately shot the ball er point eight seconds wasn't enough,

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Speaker 1: which was crap because they started the clock early. Additionally,

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Speaker 1: in the review, you can see the defender holding his

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Speaker 1: jersey as he's going up. That could have been a

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Speaker 1: clear foul. It's just a reminder in terms of money

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Speaker 1: management that there's going to be bad officiating. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: just happen in the Big East. It's going to happen everywhere.

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Speaker 1: So don't get over levered on a particular game because

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Speaker 1: officiating can swing these games so much and beyond that

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Speaker 1: play too, I think Butler had like a twenty shot

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Speaker 1: advantage from the foul line.

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Speaker 3: Just that's gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: So in terms of a rant, I was just pretty

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Speaker 1: much furious. I'm also kind of a Saint John's fans.

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Speaker 1: My mother went there for law school, and it is

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Speaker 1: a rough experience being a Saint John's fan because this team,

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Speaker 1: you could just see it in the huddle a couple

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Speaker 1: of times coming out of timeouts where they were frustrated.

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Speaker 1: They didn't believe it.

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Speaker 3: Was going to happen.

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Speaker 1: They have all this talent and they're probably gonna end up,

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Speaker 1: you know, sub five hundred and big East play and

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Speaker 1: certainly not in the at large conversation.

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Speaker 3: So just a not a.

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Speaker 1: Great way to end my night on a otherwise pretty solid,

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Speaker 1: you know run for the last couple of days.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that was a rough one. Yeah, you bring up officiating.

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Speaker 3: It was so bad last night. I mean I was

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Speaker 3: almost ran warming to rent about that West Virginia game

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Speaker 3: and West Virginia Iowa State. I know, the physical game,

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Speaker 3: but the foul calls, and I mean there was it

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Speaker 3: was just an unbelievably bad watch. Make up charge calls,

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Speaker 3: horrible charge calls across the board. No one could play,

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Speaker 3: There was no flow to the game. The Utah State

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Speaker 3: San Diego State game was a mess. They threw out,

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Speaker 3: they were throwing out players, too many rough shows. Lately,

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Speaker 3: archie call continues to be a major issue. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's uh, it's been a while for since Saint John's

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Speaker 3: fans could be really excited about their team. When was

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Speaker 3: the last A little bit last time? Yeah, Marcus Hatton,

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Speaker 3: you gotta uh, you gotta go way back. But Saint

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Speaker 3: John's are they like they played Providence is Saturday? Or

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Speaker 3: are you are you are you gonna mention that game later?

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Speaker 3: Or are they just stay away now they've lost a

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Speaker 3: bunch in a row. Yeah, so I read.

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Speaker 1: It's I try to tread carefully, reading too much into

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Speaker 1: the body language, but you just saw it. And I

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Speaker 1: have this feeling from the way they've been playing the

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Speaker 1: last few games, and also just the overall effort and

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Speaker 1: the fact that, I mean, if I got to have

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Speaker 1: my brothers like you can't have Carbello handling the ball

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Speaker 1: at any critical moment offensively. The guy reminds me of

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Speaker 1: It's a Lou Holtz quote about one of his wide

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Speaker 1: receiver from the eighties. He's like, you're the best wide

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Speaker 1: receiver I've ever coached until we throw you the ball.

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Speaker 1: It's like Carbello, You're the best offensive player in Saint

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Speaker 1: John's until you have to try to shoot the basketball.

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Speaker 1: Like he can get to the rim, he can create

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Speaker 1: his own shot, and he's just awful.

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Speaker 3: Long story short, I'm.

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Speaker 1: Just I'm in fade mode on Saint John's. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with Providence in that game. I mean, assuming

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Speaker 1: I can get a reasonable number. But I think it's

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Speaker 1: white flag time for the Johnnys.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they might just be getting it in until maybe

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Speaker 3: try to make a run in the Big East Tournament.

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Speaker 3: Maybe you'll get some value then. But yeah, it doesn't

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Speaker 3: look great for them as late. I mean even there,

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Speaker 3: they've lost what five of six and since since winning

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Speaker 3: at Yukon, and that one win was at home by

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Speaker 3: two of her Georgetown, So things are not trending in

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Speaker 3: the right direction for the Johnny's PJA. How about you,

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Speaker 3: anything you want to take away from the weekend?

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Speaker 2: Ran about the one thing I kind of took away

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Speaker 2: from this week, And I don't know how this is

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Speaker 2: going to sound, but I don't really trust any team

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Speaker 2: from the Big Twelve to potentially win the national title.

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Speaker 2: Like I really think that this conference is incredibly just.

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Speaker 3: An indirect Iowa State slight No, I mean like I

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Speaker 3: was State.

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Speaker 2: It's just like you know, Io State's basically what Tennessee

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Speaker 2: is right. They're an incredible defensive team, they're elite that

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Speaker 2: they just have no offense and that's gonna plague them

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Speaker 2: come March. But even looking at teams like we've talked

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Speaker 2: about with Kansas, we've already ridden Kansas off. They're too streaky.

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Speaker 2: Even Texas obviously they had you know, that Peck game

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Speaker 2: on Monday was very up and down, a ton of

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Speaker 2: possessions and everything. But this conference is so deep there's

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Speaker 2: not one elite type team. And maybe that team will

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Speaker 2: emerge as we get deeper into the season. But and

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Speaker 2: the Big Twelve has been a fun league to bet

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Speaker 2: this year because it just seems like every single week

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Speaker 2: there's a slam dunk like home spot for one of

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Speaker 2: these mid level teams like an Oklahoma, Texas Tech or whatever.

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Speaker 2: But if you look through all these Big twelve teams,

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Speaker 2: I mean all of them have serious flaws. You look

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Speaker 2: at Baylor, they can't defend at the room, Kansas State

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Speaker 2: can't defend inside, Iowa State's offense is terrible. Texas is

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Speaker 2: way too streaky. So my biggest takeaway is, like, I

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Speaker 2: think these teams are going to be very dangerous when

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Speaker 2: they're gonna be on the eight to nine line trying

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Speaker 2: to potentially upset a one seed, but going all the

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Speaker 2: way and deep into the tournament, potentially winning it. I

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Speaker 2: have really no interest right now in a Big twelve team.

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Speaker 2: They're very deep, and it's the best conference in the country,

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Speaker 2: but they just don't have a team that I think

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Speaker 2: can stack up with maybe in Alabama or Purdue or Houston.

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Speaker 2: So that's my thing. Am I rant you talk about officiating.

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Speaker 2: The officiating College Station on Tuesday was awful. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I had Auburn plus three and a half. Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M shot thirty nine free throws and Auburn was

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Speaker 2: leading most of the game. It wasn't like Auburn was

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Speaker 2: down and they were just fouling a ton. At the end,

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Speaker 2: Auburn got two technicals, Bruce Pearl almost fought a fan

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Speaker 2: in the stands. It was so bad. I couldn't believe

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Speaker 2: the whole officiating through the whole second half and nobody

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Speaker 2: on Auburn can even take a shot out than Wendell

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Speaker 2: Green down the stretch. So it was just horrible all around.

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Speaker 2: I mean, tex Sam scored eighty three points, thirty one

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Speaker 2: of them came from the free throw line, so they're

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Speaker 2: another team. They're nine to two in the SEC. They're

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Speaker 2: big time frauds for me, So I don't know. The

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Speaker 2: officiating has just been horrible. That's two games in a

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Speaker 2: row that Auburn's been been screwed officiating because they got

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Speaker 2: some you know, bad whistles in Tennessee as well. So

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Speaker 2: that was just a horrible game on Tuesday to watch

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Speaker 2: with that officiating.

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Speaker 3: Bad week for the officiating. I will say that that

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Speaker 3: one team in the Big Talk because I agree with you.

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Speaker 3: I think the bottom of the Big twelve will be undervalued,

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Speaker 3: the mid to bottom teams once you get to the turnament,

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Speaker 3: but I think the top of the the conference might

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Speaker 3: be a bit over value. Now. Baylor is an interesting case.

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Speaker 3: They're playing really well. They have the guard play and

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Speaker 3: with the return of every Day John, we'll see if

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Speaker 3: they can improve their room defense, but they do have

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Speaker 3: issues there. TCU is the team though at the top

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Speaker 3: that I think we have them in our futures portfolio,

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Speaker 3: but they need Mike Miles back and then Eddie Lampkin

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Speaker 3: to get healthy because Lampkin was out there, I don't know,

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Speaker 3: he was limping around. And then Kansas State, I mean

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Speaker 3: they had TAC had nineteen turnovers, turned it around twenty

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Speaker 3: six percent of their possessions against Kansas State, which it

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Speaker 3: just highlights how important Miles is. You know, in Lampkin too,

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Speaker 3: but you know this is a team that with Miles

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Speaker 3: he can get the clutch Shoty his great facilitator, and

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Speaker 3: then in transition they're so deadly, and then Lamptin's so

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Speaker 3: important the offense rebund So I think when healthy, they're

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Speaker 3: the class of it and they're the tw that could

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Speaker 3: win it all, and we have them in our futures portfolio.

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Speaker 3: If you have them forty to one, you can find

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Speaker 3: them thirty five to one. Still recommendinding because Miles is

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Speaker 3: going to come back, Lampkin is going to get healthier,

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Speaker 3: and we have Yukon who's been playing better of late.

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Speaker 3: I like that they're twenty two to one. You can

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Speaker 3: find I think twenty five to one. Stop there, and

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Speaker 3: then we have Indiana. We had last week fifty to one.

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Speaker 3: They're down to about twenty five to one. Not sure

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Speaker 3: I would take it there. Thirty to one is probably

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Speaker 3: the lowest I would even entertain. But they're only going

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Speaker 3: to get healthier. They've shown their peak. They're especially dangerous

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Speaker 3: at home. So let's get into who we're going to

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Speaker 3: add this week. Each person, if your first time listener,

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Speaker 3: will bring one future to the table and make their case,

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Speaker 3: and then we'll all vote at the same time, and

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Speaker 3: if everyone votes for everyone else's then I will break

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Speaker 3: the tie. Mike, let me throw it to you first,

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Speaker 3: who you bring to the table this week.

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Speaker 1: So looking through the board, my mindset was I want

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Speaker 1: a team that is at least elite in one thing

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Speaker 1: that I consider to be in and that's why I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go with Marquette. They're still at forty to

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Speaker 1: one out in the market. They're ten and two in

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Speaker 1: their last twelve games. They're fourth in offensive efficiency in KEMPOM,

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Speaker 1: sixtieth in defense. I understand that we talk about this

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Speaker 1: at length leading up to March Madness, that you generally

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Speaker 1: want to have that combination between your offensive and defensive

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Speaker 1: ranking and Kenpom certainly sub fifty. But in terms of

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Speaker 1: what they're able to do, they're shooting efficiency the second

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Speaker 1: nationally assists a turnover ratio fourth. Yes, they can't rebound,

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Speaker 1: they're deep in the two hundreds and all the main

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Speaker 1: metrics on the boards that's going to hurt them. They

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Speaker 1: do make up for it and turnover margin though they

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Speaker 1: protect the basketball and shot a smart system. They're usually

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Speaker 1: about plus five in the turnover margin on a nightly basis.

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Speaker 1: They have five players who average double digits, which I

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Speaker 1: really like because when you look at, you know, having

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Speaker 1: to win six games or even really four games to

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Speaker 1: get to the final four, you're not going to be

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Speaker 1: able to necessarily rely on one or two guys. It's

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Speaker 1: got to be a team effort and then they can do that.

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Speaker 1: My obvious concern is shockas Smart six first round exits

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Speaker 1: from the NCAA tournament. How long are we going to

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Speaker 1: be able to hang our hat on the fact that

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Speaker 1: he took you know, VCU all the way to the

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Speaker 1: final four?

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Speaker 3: Is he a tournament coach? Kenny put it together. Y's

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Speaker 3: some of them you can look back.

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Speaker 1: You know, with Texas, I think it was Northern Iowa

386
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Speaker 1: hits a half court shot, and some of it's been

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Speaker 1: bad luck, but that certainly is the front of my mind.

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Speaker 3: But at forty to one, I'm willing to roll the dice,

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Speaker 3: and I.

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Speaker 1: Think it's actually a nice addition at the right time

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Speaker 1: to our overall portfolio.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a bit concerned about the defense a bit,

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Speaker 3: and particularly what they allow on the offensive glass if

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Speaker 3: they don't turn you over. There's definitely some issues on

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Speaker 3: that defense. But I mean, they've obviously exceeded all of

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Speaker 3: my expectations here, and they seem to be a really

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Speaker 3: cohesive team and they're not too dependent on the one

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Speaker 3: person and everyone kind of knows their role, and you know,

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Speaker 3: Kolik is just a great facilitator, and they just have

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Speaker 3: a lot of players who can get you fifteen to

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Speaker 3: twenty on a given night, which I like. They're not

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Speaker 3: too reliant on any one thing. They just want great

403
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Speaker 3: offensive number four, adjusted offensive efficiency number one and two

404
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Speaker 3: point percentage offense. Beja if you bring to the table.

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Speaker 2: You know, I think we should have maybe called our

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Speaker 2: friend Colin Wilson for this one, because I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: Arkansas at fifty five to one. The biggest thing with

408
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Speaker 2: this is that they're going to be getting their star

409
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Speaker 2: freshman Nick Smith back here. I think he started practicing

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Speaker 2: this week, And if you look at their schedule upcoming,

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Speaker 2: it's actually quite easy. I mean they're going to get

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Speaker 2: Misissippi State at home, they go two Texas A and

413
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Speaker 2: M at home, gets Florida at homing, get Georgia, and

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Speaker 2: they got two huge games on the road back to

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Speaker 2: back against Alabama and Tennessee. Bracket Matrix has them as

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Speaker 2: a nine seed right now. If they win four straight here,

417
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Speaker 2: they're probably going to be higher on the seed line. Here,

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Speaker 2: really really good defensive team. The tent their twelfth in

419
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Speaker 2: defensive efficiency. They're very good at defending both a three

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Speaker 2: point line and inside, a team that can tack the

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Speaker 2: rim at a very very elite level. So getting one

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Speaker 2: of your best offensive threats because it is a small

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Speaker 2: sample size and he only did play in five games,

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Speaker 2: but when he was on the floor, Nick Smith was

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Speaker 2: their highest percentage shot guy. He was shooting thirty two

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Speaker 2: percent of the time, higher than anybody else. So you're

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Speaker 2: getting your offensive threat back when you already have a

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Speaker 2: really really good defense. So at fifty five to one,

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Speaker 2: I think the time is now to buy on Colin

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Speaker 2: Wilson's Arkansas Razorbacks.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. My, I think this would be the time to

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Speaker 3: do it, because it is. It just it was reported

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Speaker 3: that Smith is going to come back and he's practicing.

434
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:25,000
Speaker 3: My only issue with Arkansas is that they can't shoot.

435
00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 3: And like Nick Smith is the you know, first round

436
00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 3: draft pick and a hell of a player's goingn be

437
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:33,240
Speaker 3: a huge addition, but he's not some flamethrower from the outside.

438
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,680
Speaker 3: He's still gonna be a mid range guy. And they're

439
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 3: gonna run into a team and a half court that

440
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 3: is just gonna zone them and think they're gonna shoot.

441
00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:40,399
Speaker 3: They're gonna shoot their way out of the tournament. You know,

442
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:43,440
Speaker 3: they're eighth percentile in zone offense on the air, they're

443
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 3: thirty one percent from three on the year. That's three

444
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 3: hundred and fifteenth in the country. So I really worry

445
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,640
Speaker 3: about that. But this is a team that has been

446
00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 3: what after slow starts in conference play, they've been the

447
00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:01,680
Speaker 3: back to back Elite eights, so the.

448
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,639
Speaker 2: And it's fifty five to one. That's my main argument

449
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:04,840
Speaker 2: is that I don't think we're going to be fifty

450
00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 2: five to one come tournament time.

451
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:11,359
Speaker 3: Uh, this will be a case for a long shot,

452
00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:13,160
Speaker 3: which you know, ideally one hundred to one you wanted

453
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 3: to get to the final four. And again, I just

454
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,639
Speaker 3: don't think that there's a huge there's any elite teams.

455
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 3: Like who are the projected one seeds right now? Like

456
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 3: per bracket matrix, it's per Due, Houston, Kansas and Alabama

457
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 3: like it's one of the weakest one seeds. And then

458
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 3: you know the twos your Tennessee, Texas, Ucla, and Arizona,

459
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,040
Speaker 3: your threes Baylor, Iowa State, Xavier, and Virginia like the

460
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,439
Speaker 3: top like it is it is. I know, we keep

461
00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 3: having hope, but it is so wide open. So let's

462
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 3: go with San Diego State one hundred to one. I think,

463
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,440
Speaker 3: you know one of my problems with San Diego State now,

464
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:50,240
Speaker 3: I believe in the Mountain West this year, which is

465
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 3: part of this, but I think that they're one of

466
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 3: the fifteen. They're right around if you at if they're

467
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 3: all just at offensive and defensive fishy right around you

468
00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:58,639
Speaker 3: got to be, you know, around fifty. They're right there

469
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,440
Speaker 3: with the cutoff, and I think by the end of

470
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,440
Speaker 3: the year their offense will be a little bit better

471
00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 3: and they'll get there. But This is a team that

472
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,960
Speaker 3: is as experienced as any in the country. They're extremely

473
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,120
Speaker 3: well coached. Brian Dutch is one of the best game

474
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,639
Speaker 3: planners in the entire country, so which I think that

475
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 3: they'll farewell on the tournament setting. The one thing I

476
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 3: don't like about them is that they are very reliant

477
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 3: on Matt Bradley. You know, he takes a ton of

478
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 3: their shots, and what he's hot, he is scorching hot.

479
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 3: When he's off, he can shoot them out of a game.

480
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,120
Speaker 3: But at one hundred to one, that's something you like, right,

481
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 3: You like that variance of Bradley just catching fire in

482
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 3: a tournament and setting, you know, especially like Elite eight

483
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 3: Sweet sixteen weekend. He gets in a gym and is

484
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 3: just feeling it for two games. With their defense and

485
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,399
Speaker 3: offense overall and coaching could shoot them right to the

486
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:50,919
Speaker 3: final four. So this is a team that you know,

487
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,920
Speaker 3: they got UNLB at home now in Fresno, Colorado State.

488
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 3: They're at New Mexico at Boise home against Wyoming. So

489
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 3: the amount wess I believe in. I think that they're

490
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,360
Speaker 3: probably gonna win their next three, so this might come down,

491
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 3: you know. Then they're at New Mexico, who they have

492
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 3: revenge against, and then they play a Boise State team.

493
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 3: I think they match up pretty well within their home

494
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 3: against the Wyoming Corps. So I think this is probably

495
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 3: the right time of it. I think this is one

496
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,720
Speaker 3: of the best fifteen to twenty teams in the country

497
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:21,639
Speaker 3: and they don't have a you know, the teams that

498
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 3: I'm writing off in the that are in this mix

499
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 3: of the top twenty teams are the teams that I

500
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 3: have like a glaring flaw. For example, Iowa State, like

501
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 3: I don't, I don't believe in their offense. They're gonna

502
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 3: turn it over too much and they just go through

503
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,800
Speaker 3: way too many droughts. You know, take Tennessee. It's their

504
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 3: offense as well. I don't think San Diego State has

505
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 3: a glaring issue that's going to prevent them. You know,

506
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 3: they're solid on both ends of the floor. So that's

507
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 3: my case for the long shot. So let's hold up.

508
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 3: You're gonna hold up one for Marquette, two for Arkansas,

509
00:22:56,200 --> 00:23:00,639
Speaker 3: and three for San Diego State. Can't vote for your own, alright,

510
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:05,400
Speaker 3: three two, one, all right, Marquette it is I've never

511
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 3: been happier.

512
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 2: I also, by the way, I had Marquette as well,

513
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 2: like written down and notes for it. So I think

514
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 2: Colin doesn't win, maybe we can have on next week

515
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 2: and he can make it.

516
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:18,119
Speaker 3: Now we already we already told Colin Arkansas is no

517
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 3: chance we get all. We're on the record of all

518
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:22,600
Speaker 3: I think, Mike, you had I said, I don't want

519
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 3: to tell someone else in town. So we're already on

520
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 3: the record to say that. So we cannot add Arkansas.

521
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:32,200
Speaker 3: So we're going with Marquette thirty five to one, and

522
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:37,199
Speaker 3: to go with Indiana, TCU, and Yukon. We'll probably we'll

523
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 3: probably end up with six until we get into maybe

524
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 3: some maybe there'll be some conference features out there and

525
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 3: hopefully we can hit one of these and maybe you know,

526
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 3: profit on another. All right, good stuff there, added the

527
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 3: futures to the futures portfolio. Let's move on to Friday

528
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 3: night lights. Why let football have all the fun. Let's

529
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:04,679
Speaker 3: bet Friday Night I'll start. I'm gonna go with Fresno State.

530
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 3: It's a team that I think is undervalued in the

531
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 3: Mountain West. You know, a couple they've dealt with some

532
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 3: injuries a couple of weeks, or they couldn't even run

533
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,360
Speaker 3: full practices because they had so many injuries. They've won

534
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 3: two straight. They won at UNLV, they won easily against Santose,

535
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 3: stayed at home. I think that they're undervalue. They're probably

536
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 3: be catching double digits against Nevada, and Nevada is coming

537
00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 3: off of a game, you know, a huge win against

538
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 3: the Mexico probably stamped their tournament birth. They've won three

539
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 3: straight including San Diego State, Air Force New Mexico. A

540
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 3: little bit of a letdown spot here if there's such

541
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 3: a monumental win. They got that role at the end,

542
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 3: one at the buzzer to sweep the season series against

543
00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 3: Mexico in two games. They probably should have lost. But

544
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 3: I think this Presno State team. They're just a tough

545
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 3: team to beat by margin because they play so slow.

546
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 3: They make you run offense forever, and they defend so well.

547
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 3: The offense is very limited. They go through droughts, but

548
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 3: I think they can get some things done here geinst

549
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 3: Nevada's defense, so give me fresnow. I think they're a

550
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 3: bit undervalued for some of the things they were dealing

551
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:07,360
Speaker 3: with a couple weeks ago to starting to come into

552
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 3: their own. So I think this is a good spot

553
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 3: to fade nevad at home. Mike, what you got?

554
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 1: This might be my top play.

555
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 3: Since we started the podcast.

556
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: I was shocked when this number came live. I actually

557
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,400
Speaker 1: had it at the team. I like minus seven. It's

558
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Go with Youngstown State lay

559
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 1: in two and a half at Fort Wayne. This is

560
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,359
Speaker 1: a revenge game for the Penguins. They lost by five

561
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 1: to the Masdons on New Year's Eve. Since then, they're

562
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 1: nine and one straight up. Youngstown is the best covering

563
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: team in the Horizon fifteen and eight against the spread,

564
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 1: thirteen and seven as a favorite, four starters averaging thirteen

565
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: or more. But Dwayne Cohill has been absolutely special, so fireball.

566
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: He's incredible, almost eighteen points per game, five assists, three

567
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,439
Speaker 1: and a half boards, shooting just a hair under fifty

568
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 1: percent from three point range. As a team, they're second

569
00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:00,040
Speaker 1: nationally in shooting efficiency. This is the youngstound team to

570
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,919
Speaker 1: break the curse of Marchmadness. They're gonna go dancing for

571
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 1: the first time. It's time to get in on them.

572
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:06,760
Speaker 1: This may be the last time you get a real

573
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 1: nice number. I understand it's hard to win on the

574
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 1: road in conference play, but Like I said, this is

575
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 1: off by about five points in my opinions, So I'm

576
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 1: gonna take the Penguins lay in two and a half.

577
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, Cohill, I mean the the Horizon Tournament. It's gonna

578
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 3: be really interesting. I think Youngstown is the best team.

579
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 3: But you have teams I mean, they play no defense,

580
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 3: but their offense is e electric led by Cohill, similar

581
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 3: to Detroit. Detroit plays even less defense and they are

582
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 3: electric on offense. And they're led by Antoine Davis, who

583
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,639
Speaker 3: is a flamethrower of his own. So and then you

584
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:46,919
Speaker 3: have a bunch of like odd teams, you know, some

585
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,320
Speaker 3: teams who run zone and some just solid teams on

586
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 3: both ends. So it's gonna be a really interesting conference

587
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 3: tournament to break down. But I think Youngstown State is

588
00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 3: your likely favorite. DJ What you got for Friday to.

589
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:04,240
Speaker 2: Go with Akron minus one on the road at Ohio.

590
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 2: This is a big thing. Akron is the best defensive

591
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 2: team in the MAC. They're coming off that loss on

592
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 2: Tuesday to Toledo at home, but I think this is

593
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:17,399
Speaker 2: a good spot for them. Ohio defensively has been terrible,

594
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 2: and the biggest thing for Ohio is is they let

595
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 2: teams to the free throw line, one of the highest

596
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 2: rates in the MAC. L Akron's shooting close to eighty

597
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 2: percent from the free throw line. They hardly ever turned

598
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 2: the ball over. Ohio cannot defend the three point line whatsoever.

599
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 2: And Akron's taking the most threes of anybody in the MAC.

600
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 2: And I guess started the flip side. Ohio takes a

601
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:37,480
Speaker 2: ton of threes themselves. And Akron is the best team

602
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: in the MAC at defending the three point line. So

603
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 2: at a short number of minus one, give me the

604
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 2: zips on the road.

605
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 3: All right, there you have it. So we have Little

606
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 3: Youngstown Akron out of Ohio love, and then we're going

607
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 3: to go out west for Fresno State. Speaking about West,

608
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 3: let's talk a little PAC twelve, which we haven't talked

609
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 3: about a lot this year, but let's talk a little

610
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 3: by sell in the PAC twelve, I'll stave maybe one

611
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 3: of you guys will steal mine, and I'll just build

612
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 3: on it. So Mike, let me go to you. Who

613
00:28:11,600 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 3: are you buying and selling in the Conference of Champions.

614
00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 3: So I'll go.

615
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: Ahead, and you know the least sexy buy situation. Arizona's

616
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 1: plus one thirty to win the conference title. They're fifteen

617
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: to one to win it all this year. Despite all

618
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,399
Speaker 1: of that, I still think at twenty one to three record,

619
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,960
Speaker 1: they're not getting as much love nationally in a year

620
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: when a lot of the top teams just keep losing.

621
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,720
Speaker 1: If one sixth straight A Julis Tubellus is fourth and

622
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 1: NBA efficiency bollows actually thirty six as well. So in

623
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 1: terms of being a great defensive rebounding team, they have

624
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 1: the size, they get it done there. They play fast,

625
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,560
Speaker 1: they share the ball incredibly well fourth and assistant made

626
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 1: basket ratio seventh and shooting efficiency. My concern is, I'm

627
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 1: sure what everyone's concern is, can they have the consistent

628
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,479
Speaker 1: guard play to get them over the top. They've been

629
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: slobby with the basketball fourteen turnovers per game and kerk crisa. Listen,

630
00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 1: they played five.

631
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 3: Really good teams this year.

632
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 1: They played UCLA, Tennessee, Indiana, Creighton, and San Diego State.

633
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 1: He no showed three of those games, and really the

634
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: only one that he played well in was out in

635
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 1: Malley against San Diego State when he went for twenty

636
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 1: one and five. He has to play well for them

637
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,160
Speaker 1: to win in those Sweet sixteen Elite eight kind of games.

638
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 1: So from a fifteen to one perspective, to win the

639
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 1: national title, I'm kind of on the fence. I'd probably

640
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:26,840
Speaker 1: need a little bit better number to get raked in

641
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:28,880
Speaker 1: on it. But at plus one thirty, the way that

642
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,080
Speaker 1: they're playing right now and the fact that they've already

643
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 1: avenged their loss, you know, to Oregon as well, I

644
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 1: think they're going to get it done. I think they're

645
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: going to close this out strong. I think UCLA potentially

646
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: has some issues and it could rear its head this

647
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: weekend on their road trip. So I'm going to go

648
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 1: ahead with the Wildcats on a team that I'm buying on.

649
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, there'll be an interesting team come marks. They're very

650
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 3: well coached. Tommy Lloyd is extremely I still think underrated,

651
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 3: so I mean everyone knows about his recruiting, but he's

652
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 3: a great game planner as well well. This is a

653
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 3: team that wants to get out in transition. They want

654
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 3: to play fast. The question is, just like last year,

655
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 3: if you slow them down and you can pack the

656
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 3: paint because their bigs are so good, but if you

657
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 3: can pack the paint against them, will their guards shoot

658
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 3: them out of a game? Because their guards are very

659
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 3: inconsistent you know, will Creasa just have a you know,

660
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 3: a game, you know, and he turns it over. They

661
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 3: do one of the things that I'm married about a

662
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 3: couple things that they're turnovers, and it all comes down

663
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 3: to just think consistent guard play. They're turnovers and then

664
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 3: they're inconsistent shooting. So if you're able to kind of

665
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 3: pack the paint in and just dare them to shoot,

666
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 3: which is I think probably with the game plan will

667
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 3: be from a lot of teams. Can Pella, Larsen, Raimi

668
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 3: and Crease a you know, consistently play at a high

669
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 3: level through the tournament, so their floor is pretty low

670
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 3: with their bigs, but that they'll determine if they've reached

671
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 3: their ceiling or not. You know, maybe you have a

672
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 3: guy like Boswell's, the highly touted freshmen who can come

673
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 3: start to come on even more, but that that that's

674
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 3: shooting from the outside. Larson's only shooting twenty eight percent

675
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,959
Speaker 3: from three. You know, Ramy's a flamethrower, but he kind

676
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 3: of needs to. He needs to. He's not going to

677
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 3: create his own shot, and Cresa just he's so hit

678
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 3: or miss and really shoot them out of a game.

679
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,160
Speaker 3: When you know it's going to be more of a

680
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 3: half court team that can take them out of transition

681
00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 3: and pack the paint. There'll be an interesting team to

682
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 3: break down team you're selling Utah.

683
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: I think just the way that the schedule has shook

684
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 1: out for the Utes this year. You know, when they

685
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 1: played elite teams, they lost at UCLA, at USC at

686
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: Oregon all recently, but really last week the loss to Stanford,

687
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 1: that was a game in my opinion, that they really

688
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: needed to try to break through to get to, you know,

689
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 1: maybe the four line in the Pac twelve tournament.

690
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 3: When you look at what's right around the corner from them.

691
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 1: From a scheduling perspective, at Arizona, they play the LA

692
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: schools at home and a Thursday Saturday back to back

693
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 1: at the end of the month. I think they're going

694
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 1: to be exposed. They have, you know, some nice size,

695
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 1: but outside of that, I don't think there's anything that

696
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: really makes them special. But I just keep coming back

697
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,240
Speaker 1: to this six point home loss to Stanford, who I

698
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 1: think is pretty awful.

699
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: I think that's.

700
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 1: Closer and more indicative to who they are as opposed

701
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 1: to the wins that they've wrecked up. Kind of feasting

702
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 1: on you know, the Washington schools Oregon State. You know,

703
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: I think this is an opportunity to get off of

704
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 1: the Utah bandwagon if for any reason you've bought yourself

705
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 1: a ticket.

706
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Kate Matt's in a walking boot. I think the

707
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 3: last time I saw him, so I think that he'll

708
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 3: be out. Yeah, it looks like he's gonna be out

709
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 3: four to six weeks. So they're now shorthanded, which is

710
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 3: not ideal for utap ech. I'm gonna go, do you

711
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 3: buy selling the PAC twelve?

712
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna buy Washington State. They went through a really

713
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 2: rough stretch this past week. They go into the game

714
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 2: against USC and right before the game, it just said, oh,

715
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 2: by the way, they only have seven total scholarship players available.

716
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 2: DJ Rodman was out for that game. He was out

717
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 2: for the game against UCLA where they got blown out.

718
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 2: But the schedule sets are pretty nice for them coming

719
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 2: home here is they're gonna get it any he and.

720
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 3: I forget who else was out not important.

721
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 2: To Yeah, it was all and all just was was

722
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 2: an illness as well.

723
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 3: And it looks like week he's.

724
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,040
Speaker 2: Probable to play on Saturday against Washington. So it's a

725
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 2: good spot for them, and it's really a team that

726
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 2: you know, they they defend very well. I mean, they're

727
00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 2: a top sixty team in defensive efficiency. They're a good

728
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 2: three point shooting team, they space the floor really well.

729
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 2: And again, they got three home games coming up here,

730
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 2: two against the Oregon Schools, one against Washington and they're

731
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 2: fighting for their you know, their potential tournament line. I

732
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 2: mean they're they're ten and fifteen. I don't know if

733
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 2: they're potentially going to make the tournament or whatever, but

734
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 2: as we get into the Pac twelve tournament, they're going

735
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 2: to be a very very dangerous team once they are

736
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 2: fully healthy, because they're what I like to classify, is

737
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 2: this this average team, but when they're healthy, like they

738
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 2: have good wins, like this is a team that has

739
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 2: blown out Arizona on the road, like they have good wins.

740
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 2: So they've beatn USC in the reverse fixture at home.

741
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: So I'm buying Washington State coming here down the stretch

742
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 2: in a pretty easy schedule, and potentially when we get

743
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 2: into the PAC twelve tournament, I think they're gonna be

744
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 2: pretty dangerous team because they can shoot the lights out

745
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 2: when they get hot. Because they shoot a ton of

746
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 2: three pointers as well.

747
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, really this was my buye as well. So I'll

748
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 3: just add on this is a team that's I mean,

749
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 3: they're not gonna make the turn, but maybe if they win,

750
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:10,359
Speaker 3: if they went six straight to close the Yorks, they

751
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:14,440
Speaker 3: could do they you know, they could be favored and

752
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 3: the rest of their remaining six games, and then if

753
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:17,879
Speaker 3: they get to like the PAC twelve times. I don't

754
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 3: put them at sixteen and fifteen. But this is one

755
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,319
Speaker 3: of the best ten to fifteen teams I've ever seen

756
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 3: in my life. They've had a tough schedule too, and

757
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 3: some tough losses. Has been one of the unluckiest teams.

758
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 3: And like you said on that LA swing last week,

759
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 3: they didn't have Rodman, who will be back this weekend.

760
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 3: But yeah, really in they run a really unique offense

761
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:37,719
Speaker 3: with Mohammed Yee, who's who I love, who kind of

762
00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:39,720
Speaker 3: runs like a point forward. And yeah, they have shooters

763
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 3: all around them. I think they've actually are owed some

764
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:46,480
Speaker 3: shooting regression in league play, you know. And they lost

765
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 3: to what they lost to Utah and overtime. Earlier this

766
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 3: year they lost a UCLA by one, so they've been

767
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 3: right there in a number of games. I mean, they

768
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:56,760
Speaker 3: played Baylor in a neutral game they lost by six,

769
00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 3: so they've been closed. They lost in at Arizona the

770
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 3: other night by five, Colorado by three. The team lost

771
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 3: a ton of close games, but they they're not that experience.

772
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 3: So they've gone through some struggles as expected. But I

773
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:10,839
Speaker 3: think they're gonna start the peak. And as you mentioned,

774
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,959
Speaker 3: the pactill is pretty wide open outside of the top.

775
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,319
Speaker 3: I agree with you this, this could be like the

776
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,959
Speaker 3: they could be the a better version of But the

777
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 3: Oregon State team that I still forget went to the

778
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:25,399
Speaker 3: Elite eight two years ago.

779
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, they may be Loyola.

780
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,359
Speaker 3: Yeah two years ago, and I think watching States, I'm

781
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 3: still in mourning for that.

782
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 1: When I was holding in Illinois fifty to one national

783
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,680
Speaker 1: title ticket and I was like, this is all coming together.

784
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 2: I had loyal and Calcutta too, I was so I

785
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 2: was so distraught when Oregon State beat them.

786
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 3: Yeah. So I think they're gonna be a really intriguing

787
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 3: future in the Pac twelve when it comes. So I

788
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 3: completely agree with you on Wazoo.

789
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 2: Two things a lot with Wazoo as well. They're per

790
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 2: Ken Palm. They have played the fifth toughest schedule in

791
00:35:56,840 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 2: the country and they're second to last in luck. So again,

792
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 2: just adding on to this team's going to be a

793
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 2: nice future to buy comepacks all the time. But I'm

794
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:08,399
Speaker 2: selling USC. They're going on the Oregon back to back.

795
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,320
Speaker 3: That's bye bye, was Washington State, myself was USC.

796
00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 2: I just don't trust this USC team. Yes, they're very

797
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,760
Speaker 2: elite at defending inside and they have a good defense,

798
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 2: but they can't shoot from deep. They can't. And what's

799
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:22,839
Speaker 2: funny is that, like USC consistently over year over year,

800
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 2: they've been top ten and average height, but they suck

801
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 2: at rebounding, like they're three hundred and thirty second in

802
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 2: defensive rebounding percentage and they're not even dominating dominating on

803
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 2: the offensive glass as well. So I think the team

804
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,359
Speaker 2: has major flaws here. Again, the schedule is not going

805
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:38,680
Speaker 2: to set up for them pretty well. They got back

806
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: to back. They got Oregon tonight on Thursday, and then

807
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:43,879
Speaker 2: Oregon State, who you might be a zombie right now,

808
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 2: but that might be a potential nice spot there for

809
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:49,280
Speaker 2: Oregon State to potentially maybe pull off an upset on Saturday.

810
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 2: But yeah, just a team that I really think I'm

811
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: just not buying as we go into the second half

812
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:57,240
Speaker 2: of the season here and potentially into the into March,

813
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,360
Speaker 2: that the team that just can't shoot and really just

814
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:00,959
Speaker 2: can't rebound. Know you have all that height.

815
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, this USC is my cell team too. I think

816
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:06,479
Speaker 3: this is probably the top of the market on them.

817
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:10,879
Speaker 3: They you know, they really struggle with Washington. Washington State

818
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,800
Speaker 3: had guys out. They had a huge comeback against the UCLA.

819
00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:17,399
Speaker 3: The problem is, you know, I do think that I'm

820
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:18,879
Speaker 3: gonna be looking to sell them, but like, I can't

821
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,879
Speaker 3: figure out Oregon for the life of me. Then they

822
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 3: play at Oregon State and Cal very hard to trust

823
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 3: either one of those teams. But later in the year,

824
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 3: I still think they're gonna be overrided in those games.

825
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 3: We'll see if I end up pulling the trigger. But

826
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 3: you know, one of their strengths has been, which is

827
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 3: seemingly has been for years, is their interior defense. But

828
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 3: now they're missing one of their most important pieces inside.

829
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:46,839
Speaker 3: I don't know how long Josh Morgan's going to be out,

830
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:50,279
Speaker 3: but he is dominant inside. He's also I think he's

831
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 3: top fifteen in the country and block percentage, but he's

832
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 3: an elite rim defender and without him, you know, he's

833
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 3: out or out an ankle injury, maybe it's a couple

834
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:02,080
Speaker 3: of weeks. But without him, know, you do have Iwuchuku,

835
00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 3: who's you know, the highly touted freshman seven to one kid,

836
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 3: but he's just where he's still raw defensively. He got benched,

837
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 3: you know against Washington the other night because he just

838
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:12,279
Speaker 3: kept missing assignments, you know, And then I have power Forward.

839
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,720
Speaker 3: It's like Drew Peterson's more of a stretch for Shooter

840
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,560
Speaker 3: the year down to like niagu who's another seven foot

841
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:22,800
Speaker 3: freshman Hornery, like Harrison Hornery is like h you know,

842
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:24,720
Speaker 3: he's more of a stretch. He's not like you're okay,

843
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 3: so like you're they're really thin now on the front

844
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 3: line without Morgan because eachuku has issues and they're just raw,

845
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:34,839
Speaker 3: and that's one of the biggest strengths. So I think

846
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 3: that their rim defense and interior defense can be exploited now.

847
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:41,759
Speaker 3: Now I don't know, you know, I think Oregon could

848
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:45,800
Speaker 3: do it tonight with Dante, but keep that if Josh,

849
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:49,760
Speaker 3: he's super important everything they do inside and without him,

850
00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:53,480
Speaker 3: they're really thin now up front. That's one of the reasons, Uh,

851
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:56,319
Speaker 3: I'm going to be I agree on that USC is

852
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,640
Speaker 3: the sell team in the BAC twelve. As a reminder

853
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 3: where you going any for other college basketball season is in

854
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 3: full swing, so get in on the action with the

855
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:08,000
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856
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:12,200
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857
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858
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860
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 3: Ontario only. Must be twenty one or older to wager

861
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,120
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862
00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:33,680
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863
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,280
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864
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 3: seven days for missions excludes Michigan dissociated persons. Please gamble responsibly.

865
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 3: Gambling problem call one one hundred, next Step in Arizona

866
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:44,520
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867
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,960
Speaker 3: zero zero In Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming or

868
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 3: Virginia one eight hundred twenty seven zero seven to one

869
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,160
Speaker 3: one seven for confidential help in Michigan one eight hundred

870
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 3: gambler in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey or West Virginia one

871
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 3: eight hundred bets off in Iowa one hundred nine eight

872
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,120
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873
00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 3: seven seven eight hope and why, or text hope and Why.

874
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,399
Speaker 3: In New York, called text the Tennessee Redline at twenty

875
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 3: hundred and eight nine nine seven eight nine or call

876
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 3: one eight eight eight seven seven seven ninety six ninety

877
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 3: six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions or

878
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 3: concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please

879
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 3: contact Connects Ontario at one eight sixty six five three

880
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:20,320
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881
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 3: free charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii and

882
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,760
Speaker 3: Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not available

883
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,480
Speaker 3: in Nevada. In New York, all right, let's move to

884
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 3: Saturday and talk. Our circled spots will go around the

885
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 3: horn as always Sat.

886
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 1: Saturday the time.

887
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 3: Micha, what's your first one?

888
00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 1: You got so you get the Michael Calibary special here

889
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:52,280
Speaker 1: because I graduated from Loyal, Maryland, but spent many weekends

890
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:56,359
Speaker 1: up in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania at Lehigh, enjoying the fine camaraderie

891
00:40:56,360 --> 00:41:00,360
Speaker 1: there amongst all the engineers. This game, I'll play this

892
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 1: up to the Mountahawk's minus seven. Loyola is in free

893
00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: fall in Patrio League play. They are ninth in scoring,

894
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: which is second to last, and dead last in scoring defense. Lehigh,

895
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:13,440
Speaker 1: on the other side, is a quality team. They're third

896
00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:16,880
Speaker 1: and scoring in the pat League, fifth in scoring defense. Loyola,

897
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:20,160
Speaker 1: as I mentioned just you know in this uncontrolled dive,

898
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:23,120
Speaker 1: lost six of seven straight up two road wins for

899
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 1: the entire season at Bucknell and Binghamton, who were two

900
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 1: hundred ninety seventh and three hundred and thirteenth respectively in

901
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,759
Speaker 1: ke penbom. They can't score, they can't shoot from the line,

902
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:35,240
Speaker 1: three hundred and sixtieth nationally at sixty one point four percent,

903
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 1: and one of the very worst defensive rebounding teams of

904
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: all the things. If you told me at the beginn

905
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 1: of the year for the Greyhounds that because of their

906
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 1: size they'd be able to rebound, I could at least

907
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 1: talk myself into that they haven't been able to do it.

908
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 1: There three hundred and fifty eighth in defensive rebounds per game.

909
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,360
Speaker 1: And then finally, when you look for a team to

910
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 1: be able to pull away, Lehigh won by four down

911
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:56,440
Speaker 1: in Baltimore. They had three point shooting to kick this

912
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,839
Speaker 1: up into double digits in this game. They're sixty fourth

913
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 1: nationally thirty six point two percent from deep, and I

914
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 1: likely High's backcourt a lot. I think this is a

915
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 1: team that could win the Patriot League tournament. You know,

916
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 1: between Taylor Higgins Junior and Whitney Sidney the average forty

917
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 1: two points per game as a trio out of that

918
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:13,919
Speaker 1: back court. So I'm gonna go ahead and play Lee High.

919
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: You know you should follow me on this one. Take

920
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,439
Speaker 1: those winnings, head down to the tally Ho. Karaoke starts

921
00:42:19,480 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 1: at ten pm on Saturday nights, so enjoy yourself there in.

922
00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 3: Bethlehem the tally Ho. I used to go to Tallyho

923
00:42:25,560 --> 00:42:29,240
Speaker 3: Liquors in I think it's let me see Talio Spirits

924
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 3: and Wilmington, Delaware when I was like, I think it's

925
00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 3: still there, and then down the street was another shout

926
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 3: out to my guy uh for one of my favorite

927
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 3: liquor stores in all of Delaware. Smaller, smaller spot, but

928
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 3: Italio Liquors, big place, and I used to they used

929
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:48,480
Speaker 3: to take my fake when I was like under twenty one.

930
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 3: This is God forever ago. But yeah, tally Hoo Spirits

931
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 3: is like connected to a huah wah in Wilmington right

932
00:42:55,520 --> 00:42:58,200
Speaker 3: off of two or two. Anyway, PJ, what do you got?

933
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:03,880
Speaker 2: I'll go Illinois at home against Rutgers. I think this

934
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 2: is a really good spot for Illinois, who hasn't played

935
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:08,239
Speaker 2: this week. They've had a full week off since the

936
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 2: two point loss at Carver Hawkeye Arena. Rutgers coming off

937
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:14,279
Speaker 2: that loss against Indiana on Tuesday, But most importantly, they

938
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: lost mag for the season, which is a huge loss

939
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:22,719
Speaker 2: for them, especially defensively. Yeah, second best defensive rebounder. He's

940
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 2: actually leading an offensive he's actually leading the team in

941
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:27,319
Speaker 2: two point field goal percentage from inside the ark. So

942
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,359
Speaker 2: for an offense that's really struggled this season, they're losing

943
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 2: their best interior offensive player. And the thing is is Rutgers, Yes,

944
00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:35,560
Speaker 2: they are one of the best defensive teams in the country,

945
00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:38,399
Speaker 2: the best defensive team in the Big Ten, but they're

946
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:41,000
Speaker 2: twelfth in the Big Ten in conference play in defensive

947
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,839
Speaker 2: rebounding percentage, and like Aldy mentioned, they just lost their

948
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: second best defensive rebounder. Illinois third in the Big Twelve

949
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,720
Speaker 2: in offensive rebounding percentage. They're really struggling for three point range,

950
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 2: which means there's going to be a lot of second

951
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 2: chance opportunities balls bouncing off the rim. So the other

952
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,920
Speaker 2: problem here for Rutgers is they do struggle offensively. They

953
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:01,359
Speaker 2: can't shoot from outside. A lot of their shots are

954
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 2: coming at the rim. Illinois is second in the country

955
00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 2: in points for possession allowed at the rim. So for

956
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 2: a Rutgers team that can't shoot doesn't have one of

957
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 2: their best interior players, this is a really really good

958
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:14,960
Speaker 2: spot for Illinois on a week long rest at home

959
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 2: in Champagne. So Ken Palm haads this set Illinois minus too.

960
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:19,920
Speaker 2: I'm sure it will be up there a little more

961
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:23,200
Speaker 2: with mag being out, so I'll go Illinois minus five

962
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:24,000
Speaker 2: and a half or better.

963
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with the spot on Illinois had that

964
00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 3: circled as well. If but even though they're one of

965
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 3: my teams that I just have circled is who is

966
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:34,000
Speaker 3: this team? Because They're just a check on and hide sometimes.

967
00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 3: But I agree on the spot here and the matchup.

968
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 3: I'll throw out a couple spots early that are similar Oklahoma.

969
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 3: They just burnt me, but you know they early. I

970
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,839
Speaker 3: think they match up pretty well against Kansas, especially at home.

971
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 3: They can control the tempo, keep Kansas out of transition

972
00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 3: where they really thrive. I still think Kandas has some issues,

973
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 3: especially from a depth perspective. They also struggle to defend

974
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:00,440
Speaker 3: cutting action, which Oklahoma does really well. They're in the

975
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 3: kandas of fourteenth percentile per certain synergy there. Okcluma is

976
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,360
Speaker 3: also due for some shooting regression on both ends in

977
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 3: league play. They're, you know, fifteenth percentile nationally on uncontested jumpers.

978
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 3: Some of those are going to start to fall. I

979
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:15,920
Speaker 3: also like some of the rotation things. I saw like

980
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:20,319
Speaker 3: they were going with a couple guys that Maasili and Away.

981
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:21,839
Speaker 3: They were playing a little bit more, which I think

982
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 3: gives quarter Mozer a little more flexibility and it gives

983
00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:28,600
Speaker 3: them a little more athleticism here to match up with Kansas.

984
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:32,000
Speaker 3: Earlier this year they played, they were two of seventeen

985
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:34,920
Speaker 3: from deep in Lawrence. They lost by three They actually

986
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:37,879
Speaker 3: led by ten with five to go before Clandis goes

987
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 3: on an eighteen to four run that ended in a

988
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,919
Speaker 3: four point loss, which sums up Olahoma season. They've lost

989
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 3: by one, one, two, three, three, four and four, and

990
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 3: you know, just that Bailor the other night they were

991
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:54,960
Speaker 3: right there. This is a huge, massive game for Oklahoma,

992
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:59,640
Speaker 3: who is teetering on the bubble. They need this game.

993
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:02,480
Speaker 3: I think you get an by the way, that doesn't

994
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:05,959
Speaker 3: always mean that the team's gonna win. There's sometimes these teams.

995
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 3: You'll see more teams play themselves out of the bubble

996
00:46:08,000 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 3: than in. But I think after Kansas is a big

997
00:46:11,080 --> 00:46:14,360
Speaker 3: win on Monday. Oklahoma's reeling here. They've lost six straight

998
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:16,839
Speaker 3: conference games, been much better at home. I think it's

999
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 3: a good spot for Oklahoma. And then speaking of their

1000
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:21,400
Speaker 3: one win Oklahoma a couple weeks ago, when I was

1001
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 3: on them against Alabama they beat by forty. I think

1002
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 3: we gotta fade Alabama. On Saturday against Auburn, I mean

1003
00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,000
Speaker 3: Auburn's been better of late. They dropped four or five,

1004
00:46:30,040 --> 00:46:31,720
Speaker 3: so I think it's a good Bylows Cell hot spot.

1005
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:33,439
Speaker 3: Three of those losses came on the road against quality

1006
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 3: opponents and games they could have won easily, and two

1007
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 3: of the four losses came against text in M. But

1008
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:39,799
Speaker 3: they don't really match up well with and they probably

1009
00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:42,480
Speaker 3: should have beat text A and then regardless the last game,

1010
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 3: because why text A and M. They turn opponents over,

1011
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:47,360
Speaker 3: they dominate the offensive glass, and they get through the

1012
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,319
Speaker 3: line a ton. That's the formult of beating Auburn. They

1013
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 3: struggle in all three of those areas well. The tied

1014
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 3: are seventh or worse in the SEC in all three

1015
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:55,480
Speaker 3: of those categories. Most importantly, they're outside the top three

1016
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:59,280
Speaker 3: hundred turnovers force, which just crushes the Auburn offense. Now

1017
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:02,320
Speaker 3: Auburn their guards, it's just night and day. They're a

1018
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 3: erratic guard. Play at home, they are so much better.

1019
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 3: They also have some shooting regression coming their way. And

1020
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,439
Speaker 3: same with Alabama. I mean, teams are shooting twenty one

1021
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 3: percent in league play from three against Alabama. I know,

1022
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 3: no one in the s as you could shoot. I

1023
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 3: know Alabama is a ton of length, but that's artificially low.

1024
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:23,240
Speaker 3: And for what it's worth, per Hazlo Mestrics, Alabama's three

1025
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:25,840
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty third in the country in a in

1026
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 3: the away from home metric, which is different between their

1027
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:30,440
Speaker 3: home and away performance. They're also, believe it or not,

1028
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 3: three hundred and fifty eighth in consistency. The team that

1029
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,960
Speaker 3: I think that, I think that's one of the teams

1030
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:36,839
Speaker 3: you can trust. But they're three hundred and fifty eighth

1031
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 3: in consistency. And what does Alabama do? It's rim, get

1032
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 3: to the rim or shoot a three. There's no mid range. Well,

1033
00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:47,560
Speaker 3: Auburn ninety nine percent tile in points per position allowed

1034
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,960
Speaker 3: on three pointers, ninety seventh percent tile in points per

1035
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:52,720
Speaker 3: possession all out at the rim. They are an elite

1036
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:54,920
Speaker 3: rim and three defense. So I think it's a smash

1037
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 3: spot for Auburn here against Alabama at home. Mike, let

1038
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 3: me throw it to you, all right.

1039
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:05,239
Speaker 1: I'm going to go to the middling of all mid

1040
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:09,879
Speaker 1: major conferences, which is the A ten, basically the soft

1041
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:12,319
Speaker 1: middle of the A ten. Who's to say who's the

1042
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 1: ninth best team and who's the fourth best team. So

1043
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and play one of the hot

1044
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 1: teams right now, and that's Saint Joe's. They're hosting George Washington.

1045
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:21,000
Speaker 1: Saint Joe's have won six of eight straight up home

1046
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:25,239
Speaker 1: this first time on the pod in multiple years ever.

1047
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 1: Playing Saint Joe's Eric Reynolds the Second is finally living

1048
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,479
Speaker 1: up to the hype. He's averaging twenty points per game,

1049
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:34,560
Speaker 1: really improved from three point shooting and his three point

1050
00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:37,120
Speaker 1: shooting during this run. And Hawk Hill's been looking for

1051
00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:38,480
Speaker 1: a game like this to get fired off for.

1052
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 3: It's a one o'clock.

1053
00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:43,759
Speaker 1: Tip on a Saturday, and this is the moment to

1054
00:48:43,840 --> 00:48:46,799
Speaker 1: potentially help yourself in the A ten tournament because all

1055
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:48,919
Speaker 1: these conference tournaments are a little bit different in terms

1056
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:49,760
Speaker 1: of their structure.

1057
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:51,640
Speaker 3: But if you get a top four seed, that's a

1058
00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:53,799
Speaker 3: double buy. They're a game and a half out.

1059
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:57,160
Speaker 1: This becomes a must win situation against the George Washington team,

1060
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 1: who's pretty awful defensively two hundred ninety six opponent shooting percentage.

1061
00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:05,239
Speaker 1: They allow teams to essentially operate their offense unimpeded three

1062
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:07,879
Speaker 1: hundred and thirtieth and assistant made basket ratio, and they

1063
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 1: barely force any turnovers, only eleven per game.

1064
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 3: That's two hundred and.

1065
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:14,000
Speaker 1: Eightieth so with as well as Saint Jose is played,

1066
00:49:14,040 --> 00:49:17,200
Speaker 1: including an overtime loss down at GW where they only

1067
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,320
Speaker 1: lost by one at I think.

1068
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:21,359
Speaker 3: This is the time to buy on Saint Jose. I'll

1069
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:24,840
Speaker 3: probably play this up to minus three. Maybe minus three and.

1070
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,400
Speaker 1: A half is probably my cutoff. But if there was

1071
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 1: ever a time to get in on the Hawks, I

1072
00:49:29,040 --> 00:49:29,359
Speaker 1: think now.

1073
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:32,240
Speaker 3: Is the time. I mean Dehawks technically, so we are mathematically

1074
00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 3: allowed to win the A ten and nothing would shock

1075
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,880
Speaker 3: me from in the A ten this year. And yeah,

1076
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:40,200
Speaker 3: gw my alma mater, who stinks did just beat Richmond

1077
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:43,239
Speaker 3: in double overtime last night. And you know, now they

1078
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 3: hit the road, and that's important because they have zero bench.

1079
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 3: They literally have no bench whatsoever. Is now you're on

1080
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 3: the road after a double ot wild game that ended

1081
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,399
Speaker 3: one oh seven to one oh five, So legs could

1082
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:58,759
Speaker 3: be an issue this late in the year for a

1083
00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 3: team that's gonna be playing, you know, a couple of

1084
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,120
Speaker 3: days after a double overtime thriller BJ what he got.

1085
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 2: Let's go Oregon against UCLA. The last time that UCLA

1086
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 2: had one of these back to back road trips, playing

1087
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 2: on a Thursday and Saturday, they beat Arizona State and

1088
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:19,960
Speaker 2: then they lost very convincingly to Arizona in Tucson, Usily

1089
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 2: plays Oregon State on Thursday night, so they're probably gonna

1090
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 2: beat them because they're a fifteen point favorite. But the

1091
00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 2: biggest thing when you match up with UCLA, they're one

1092
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 2: of the highest frequency pick and roll teams in the country,

1093
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:31,799
Speaker 2: so you have to be able to defend it. If

1094
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:36,560
Speaker 2: you look at the teams that they've lost to, Illinois, Baylor, Arizona,

1095
00:50:36,600 --> 00:50:39,439
Speaker 2: and USC, well, Illinois, Baylor, and Arizona are all top

1096
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:41,600
Speaker 2: twenty five in the country in points for possession allowed

1097
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 2: off the pick and roll, in USC is still top

1098
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:46,440
Speaker 2: one hundred in that category. Oregon is sixtieth in defending

1099
00:50:46,440 --> 00:50:48,839
Speaker 2: ball screens. Now, the worry here is Oregon doesn't defend

1100
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,200
Speaker 2: the midrange jumper that well, but if you're able to

1101
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:52,840
Speaker 2: defend the pick and roll, you do take away a

1102
00:50:52,840 --> 00:50:55,440
Speaker 2: lot of those easy poll up midrange jumpers for Tiger

1103
00:50:55,680 --> 00:51:00,239
Speaker 2: and Hockas and Company as well and UCLA, so we

1104
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:01,880
Speaker 2: love to play their slow pace and majority of their

1105
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 2: offense coming from the half court. Well, Oregon is the

1106
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 2: top fifty team in the country in points for possession

1107
00:51:06,360 --> 00:51:07,719
Speaker 2: allowed in the half court. They're third in the Pac

1108
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 2: twelve during conference play. And you also have to be

1109
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:12,680
Speaker 2: able to rebound the ball against UCLA because they're a

1110
00:51:12,719 --> 00:51:15,160
Speaker 2: top twenty team and offensive rebounding percentage, Oregon can do

1111
00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 2: that as well. And for whatever reason, in conference play,

1112
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:21,400
Speaker 2: teams are shooting eighty two percent from the line against Oregon,

1113
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:24,680
Speaker 2: so their free throw defense sucks. But on the flip

1114
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 2: side of is UCLA has been pretty average defending inside

1115
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 2: like they're seventh in the Pac twelve and two point

1116
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:32,759
Speaker 2: field goal percentage. Well, Oregon is the best team in

1117
00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:34,799
Speaker 2: the Pac twelve, shooting fifty over fifty five percent during

1118
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 2: conference play from inside the arc and sixty two percent

1119
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 2: on shot attempts at the rim. So catching UCLA on

1120
00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:42,080
Speaker 2: a back to back like we've already seen once this season,

1121
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:43,719
Speaker 2: I like Oregon as a dog here.

1122
00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:46,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, Oregon again. I mean you're going with Illinois and

1123
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:49,080
Speaker 3: Oregon as are two of the team's hardest their balls too,

1124
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:51,399
Speaker 3: the hardest Samson figure out in the country. But uh yeah,

1125
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 3: or I think you want to zone this UCLA team.

1126
00:51:55,200 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 3: It kind of disrupts a lot of what they do,

1127
00:51:57,040 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 3: and you can they haven't been great against the press.

1128
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,200
Speaker 3: Now they've you know, they faced one hundred and fifty possessions.

1129
00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:06,080
Speaker 3: They've been a fortieth percent tile They've also been worse

1130
00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 3: against zone and man Oregon will throw out a ton

1131
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:11,960
Speaker 3: of press and a ton of zone, so that could

1132
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:14,240
Speaker 3: be effective here, and it really kind of disrupts everything

1133
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:17,239
Speaker 3: that UCLA wants to do from a half court perspective.

1134
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 3: All right, here's an ugly one Georgia State. This They're

1135
00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,840
Speaker 3: gonna be playing their fourth straight home game taking on Marshall,

1136
00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:27,160
Speaker 3: who's gonna be playing their fourth straight road game. They

1137
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:30,399
Speaker 3: absolutely were embarrassed at Marshall Ar this year. They trailed

1138
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:32,400
Speaker 3: by fifty at one point. The biggest reason for this

1139
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:39,240
Speaker 3: handicap is Marshall has no bench whatsoever. They play mainly

1140
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:41,120
Speaker 3: five to six guys but one guy out the bench,

1141
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:44,200
Speaker 3: one of the shortest benches in all of college basketball.

1142
00:52:44,520 --> 00:52:46,879
Speaker 3: And they play as fast as anybody. And they're playing

1143
00:52:46,920 --> 00:52:50,760
Speaker 3: their fourth straight road game late in the season. Legs, legs, legs.

1144
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 3: This is a nightmare spot. So I'll be looking for

1145
00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 3: Georgia State as a home dog. Speaking of Stan Conference,

1146
00:52:56,680 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 3: JMU four straight road game against Coastal Carolina. Coastal Carolina

1147
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 3: great transition defense, which is important against JMU. They've also underachieved,

1148
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,319
Speaker 3: but they recently got Jamora Brown back. He didn't play

1149
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:13,600
Speaker 3: in the first meeting, which Jamu won, and Jmu everything

1150
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:15,839
Speaker 3: they do is predicated on getting to the rim. They

1151
00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:18,240
Speaker 3: get to the rim on fifty seven percent of possessions.

1152
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,720
Speaker 3: That's ninety eight percent Tile, sixth highest in the country.

1153
00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:25,319
Speaker 3: Coastal Carolina does a phenomenal job of preventing teams from

1154
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:28,160
Speaker 3: getting to the rim. That the seventh lowest in the country.

1155
00:53:28,239 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 3: So I think it's a pretty good matchup, a good

1156
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:32,319
Speaker 3: spot for an underachieving Coastal Carolina team that I think

1157
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:34,359
Speaker 3: is probably at the bottom of the market. And then

1158
00:53:34,360 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 3: why not an ugly one Monmouth they've covered Machine probably

1159
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,960
Speaker 3: gone back to Wemouth against Hofstra. They started out one

1160
00:53:41,000 --> 00:53:44,279
Speaker 3: and twenty. They've won four straight, all his underdogs, and

1161
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,560
Speaker 3: the emergence of a walk on Jacari Spence at point

1162
00:53:46,560 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 3: guard has helped they had so many turnover issues. Has

1163
00:53:49,000 --> 00:53:51,560
Speaker 3: it's helped alleviate some of their turner issues. He's had

1164
00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,279
Speaker 3: twenty assists to just eight turnovers during their current four

1165
00:53:54,320 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 3: game winning streak. And this is a team that basically

1166
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:59,000
Speaker 3: was brand new, So you know, the see King Rice

1167
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:02,000
Speaker 3: kind of have them playing better as the year has progressed,

1168
00:54:02,080 --> 00:54:04,040
Speaker 3: is not that surprising. I'll go back to the Wealth

1169
00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:07,400
Speaker 3: Mammoth as a dog, Mike, what do you else you got?

1170
00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 1: The last one that I have here is, you know,

1171
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,439
Speaker 1: it pays to know the scheduling quirks. We talked about

1172
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 1: it in the PAC twelve where those Thursday Saturday road trips,

1173
00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:19,160
Speaker 1: you know, which can be pretty lengthy in terms of

1174
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 1: overall distance traveled. The Ivy League's another one for me,

1175
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,360
Speaker 1: where you have those Friday Saturday back to backs, and

1176
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:27,680
Speaker 1: when you can avoid that, I think that changes the

1177
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:32,640
Speaker 1: calculus on these games. And for me, Princeton traveling to Dartmouth,

1178
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 1: I know they went to overtime at home against them

1179
00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 1: in the last time that they played. Princeton's won eight

1180
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,919
Speaker 1: of their last ten games straight up. A Woma has

1181
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 1: been tremendous. He also gave Dartmouth twenty points in that

1182
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:47,040
Speaker 1: overtime win. And Dartmouth in general is one of those

1183
00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 1: teams that at this point in the season, to be

1184
00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:50,640
Speaker 1: able to crack the top four and to make the

1185
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:52,640
Speaker 1: Ivy League Tournament, it's not going to happen for them,

1186
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 1: So it's a little bit difficult in terms of overall motivation.

1187
00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 1: Plus they're buried in the three hundreds and a lot

1188
00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:01,520
Speaker 1: of the shooting metrics, they can't get their own offensive

1189
00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:03,799
Speaker 1: rebounds to be able to offset that. And this is

1190
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:06,320
Speaker 1: a Princeton team that needs to stay focused to be

1191
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 1: able to lock up that that number one overall seed

1192
00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 1: and potentially set themselves up for a postseason if they

1193
00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:14,280
Speaker 1: aren't able to win the IVY League tournament.

1194
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:15,560
Speaker 3: So with all of those.

1195
00:55:15,400 --> 00:55:17,360
Speaker 1: Motivation factors and the fact that they don't have to

1196
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 1: play it back to back on the road, I'm going

1197
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:20,759
Speaker 1: to go ahead here with the Tigers. I think they

1198
00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:22,839
Speaker 1: win by double digits, So I'd go ahead and lay

1199
00:55:22,840 --> 00:55:24,640
Speaker 1: all the way up to ten here with Princeton.

1200
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:25,360
Speaker 3: FIJA.

1201
00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:29,080
Speaker 2: Let's go Texas Tech at home against Kansas State. The

1202
00:55:29,160 --> 00:55:31,239
Speaker 2: last time these two teams met, I mean Texas Tech

1203
00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:33,279
Speaker 2: could have very easily won this game. I mean they

1204
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:36,600
Speaker 2: were up, they were up by eight with thirteen to play,

1205
00:55:36,640 --> 00:55:39,279
Speaker 2: It was fifty to fifty with eight to forty six

1206
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:41,160
Speaker 2: left in the game, and then they just didn't score

1207
00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 2: for six straight minutes and Kansas ended up winning by ten.

1208
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,759
Speaker 2: And now we're at the Red Raiders are one to

1209
00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:50,319
Speaker 2: ten Big twelve play. Six of those ten losses have

1210
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:53,399
Speaker 2: come by seven points. Or less in the last meeting.

1211
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,520
Speaker 2: They did held Kansas State to thirty two percent from

1212
00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:57,879
Speaker 2: behind the arc, but the Wildcats went to the free

1213
00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 2: throw line twenty seven times compared to just twelve for

1214
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,480
Speaker 2: Texas Tech. And Tech they are a top fifty team

1215
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:05,480
Speaker 2: in the country and field goal percentage at the rim

1216
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 2: when Kansas State is very average at defending inside their

1217
00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:10,960
Speaker 2: seventh in the Big twelve and two point field goal percentage,

1218
00:56:11,200 --> 00:56:14,240
Speaker 2: while the Wildcats are just an elite three point defense.

1219
00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:15,960
Speaker 2: But Texta Tech doesn't take a lot of three pointers,

1220
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:18,479
Speaker 2: so it's a It's a good spot here for Texa

1221
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 2: Tech coming off back to back road losses while Kansas

1222
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 2: State coming off a couple wins here. So I think

1223
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 2: this is just a slam duck Texas Tech spot. So

1224
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 2: Ken Palm as that Kansas State minus two. So I'll

1225
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:33,240
Speaker 2: take anything Texas Tech plus money and get hurt once again.

1226
00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this Kansas State team has been quite fortunate.

1227
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:38,640
Speaker 3: I mean in league play, they're shooting with close to

1228
00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:40,600
Speaker 3: thirty eight percent from three, they're holding teams of twenty

1229
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,520
Speaker 3: seven percent, they lead the conference in both They've gone

1230
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:46,919
Speaker 3: four to zero and overtime on the season. I would

1231
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,640
Speaker 3: agree with Texas Tech as well. Here I'll throw out

1232
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:54,080
Speaker 3: Saint Francis, PA. They just solved Mary mac zone. They

1233
00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:56,160
Speaker 3: actually can shoot the three. I think they'll be better prepared.

1234
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:57,920
Speaker 3: We'll see. I'll have a right up on all my

1235
00:56:57,960 --> 00:57:01,200
Speaker 3: favorite spots that'll be in there. One or Michigan. Maybe

1236
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,400
Speaker 3: do we sell Indiana? Now I mentioned that hasle metrics

1237
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:09,520
Speaker 3: away from home metric, Well, they are three hundred and

1238
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 3: sixty second in the country in away from home performance.

1239
00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:16,439
Speaker 3: That'd be second to last, right, yeah, who's the worst?

1240
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:19,160
Speaker 3: And all right? The worst team in the away from

1241
00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 3: a metric? Uh. By the way, Georgia State is the

1242
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 3: third worst, and it's a difference between home and a

1243
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:29,680
Speaker 3: way which and we're I'm looking at a bat them

1244
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:35,440
Speaker 3: against Marshall. Iowa is the fourth worst, I believe, and

1245
00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:40,920
Speaker 3: it's okay Iowa states this. Iowa States the sixth worst,

1246
00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 3: Bradley's the seventh worst, Dukes the eighth worst. The worst

1247
00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:47,760
Speaker 3: is Rutgers mm hmm, worse than the country over.

1248
00:57:47,720 --> 00:57:50,840
Speaker 1: There no home cooking like the wreck, so that makes sense.

1249
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:55,480
Speaker 3: Yep. The best away from home performs us F is

1250
00:57:55,680 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 3: a random one. It's fun just because they suck at home.

1251
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 3: There's a lot of no and the best ones. Yeah,

1252
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:08,400
Speaker 3: like UNLV is up there, which Aitas State East Tennessee State.

1253
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:10,280
Speaker 3: Is that one of the teams that any Tennessee State's

1254
00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:10,720
Speaker 3: right up there.

1255
00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:10,960
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1256
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:13,440
Speaker 3: They they can't win at home this year, which is

1257
00:58:13,520 --> 00:58:15,680
Speaker 3: very odd. They have a decent home court advantage usually

1258
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:19,720
Speaker 3: by the way, Michigan since two thousand and five ninety

1259
00:58:19,760 --> 00:58:23,920
Speaker 3: eight sixty eight and two against the spread at home

1260
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:28,720
Speaker 3: in conference play one of the most underrated home court advantages.

1261
00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 3: I still think of the country, it doesn't get as

1262
00:58:31,120 --> 00:58:33,320
Speaker 3: much love as some of the other top ones, but

1263
00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:36,760
Speaker 3: I think that you know, Michigan can do some things

1264
00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:38,960
Speaker 3: here in Indiana might be you know, they just come

1265
00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:41,480
Speaker 3: off two huge wins. It's not the best of spots.

1266
00:58:41,560 --> 00:58:44,360
Speaker 3: Michigan fighting for the attorney lives in Indiana might be

1267
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,960
Speaker 3: like adding some players back, like David Johnson might come back,

1268
00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:49,640
Speaker 3: which I think is good for their long term perspectives

1269
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:52,680
Speaker 3: through long term prospects, but it might not be great

1270
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:54,360
Speaker 3: for like the first game or two. Right, you gotta

1271
00:58:54,400 --> 00:58:56,080
Speaker 3: he's gonna have some rusts. You gotta work them back

1272
00:58:56,080 --> 00:58:57,520
Speaker 3: in the rotation with throw off some of the rhythm.

1273
00:58:57,520 --> 00:59:00,680
Speaker 3: They're building, so I think Michigan and does it again

1274
00:59:00,720 --> 00:59:04,560
Speaker 3: at home against Indiana. All right, that'll do it for us.

1275
00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 3: Thanks as always for tuning in, Thanks of course to

1276
00:59:08,520 --> 00:59:11,320
Speaker 3: my co host bj and Micah, and thanks to our

1277
00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 3: audio and video teams on the back end. Don't get

1278
00:59:13,640 --> 00:59:16,080
Speaker 3: enough credit. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to

1279
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:18,560
Speaker 3: a friend to one enemy, leave a review five star review,

1280
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Speaker 3: will do giveaways some next week. They really help us out.

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Speaker 3: Make sure you download the orbiting action of our gap.

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Speaker 3: Thanks to our sponsors bet MGM. It's time for us

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Speaker 3: to go find some more winners for Saturday is huge card.

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Speaker 3: Enjoy the weekend of hoops and the Super Bowl. I'll

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Speaker 3: be back Saturday morning big Bets on Campus Lid with

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Speaker 3: the guys from the Three Man Weave, and then we'll

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00:59:39,600 --> 00:59:43,760
Speaker 3: be back on Tuesday with a recap episode of the

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00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:45,960
Speaker 3: weekend that was. If you haven't check out the guys

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00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:47,600
Speaker 3: from the Three Man Weave, they're always back in mid week,

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Speaker 3: and then we'll be back next week, of course with

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Speaker 3: the weekend preview. Thanks for tuning in. We'll catch you

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Speaker 3: on next week.

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Speaker 1: Chos Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

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01:00:09,240 --> 01:00:12,000
Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help

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Speaker 1: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

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Speaker 1: Gambler