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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go throwing into spect. We're saying

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Speaker 2: it's a catch that we.

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Speaker 1: See most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go

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Speaker 1: to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 1: it's just the ultimate kabak you want to pack.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 1: What is up everybody? This is the Week three Action

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Speaker 1: Network Podcast presented by FANDU. Today we've got our NFL

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Speaker 1: player projections for week number three. I am your host,

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybon. Joint is always by my dude, Sean Kerner. Sean,

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Speaker 1: how's it going. How is your week two?

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Speaker 2: It's good? Still uh still recovering, not gonna lie. Had

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Speaker 2: an amazing week in fantasy dfs. Christian Kirk baby yeah everywhere.

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Speaker 2: So that was nice. But you know, like after two weeks,

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Speaker 2: I'm feeling pretty good looking forward to week three. Enough

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Speaker 2: about me though, how about you? And congrats on not

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Speaker 2: only an amazing week two, but an amazing week one

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Speaker 2: in two. What a run you're on, buddy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, man, I don't know. I feel like it's ever

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Speaker 1: since that day we hung out back in back when

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Speaker 1: the NBA playoffs started. I feel like I've been on

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Speaker 1: just like one. It's felt like one.

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Speaker 2: I thought that was a Gay Davis shirt ripping and

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Speaker 2: the market prop was just a you know one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well that's true, but I feel like there was

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Speaker 1: like a I took a break into seeing that though,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know, it just feels. It feels good.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, twenty three and four since the.

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Speaker 2: That's like almost impossible, it is.

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Speaker 1: I said that when I was going on the NBA heater,

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Speaker 1: I was like, I'm never going to do this.

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Speaker 2: Ye sure enough. And the NFL, I mean, NBA is

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Speaker 2: tough as well, but nothing's tougher than the NFL. So

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Speaker 2: congrats again on the blistering stuff.

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Speaker 1: Let's keep it up though, Let's do it man, and

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Speaker 1: on this episode, we're gonna run through our top five

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Speaker 1: at each position. We're going to discuss the players who're

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Speaker 1: especially high and low on in our projections that will

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Speaker 1: have used for obviously player props, the FST fantasy and

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Speaker 1: walso through out a player prop for each position and

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Speaker 1: the other person will act as a book and will

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Speaker 1: twey him up at the end of the year. See

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Speaker 1: who wins. I know you went to and o last week.

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Speaker 1: So oh yeah, you're killing.

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Speaker 2: One and four against the books, but I think your

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Speaker 2: own to five against me, So that's all that matters.

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Speaker 2: I took you for all your drinks. I'm sure you'll

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Speaker 2: make it up somehow.

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Speaker 1: Let's up, let's get let's get into quarterbacks man week three.

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Speaker 1: Who do you got in your top five?

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Speaker 2: So I got Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and then Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Maholmes, and then a surprise of my top five

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Speaker 2: is Kirk Cousins. He's essentially tired with Justin Herbert just

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Speaker 2: due to the rib injury, Keenan Allens, you know Iffy

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Speaker 2: again this week I have Herbert just point one less

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Speaker 2: than Cousins. Cousins faces, you know the Lions this week

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Speaker 2: they're gonna look the bounce back. So as of now,

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Speaker 2: I have Cousins in my top five.

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Speaker 1: That is that's spicy. I mean it's not like one

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Speaker 1: of the sexy top five, like yeah, but that's I

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Speaker 1: have Cousins. Seventh, I do have Allen Hurtz, Jackson, Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: and then my fifth is Herbert. As of now, I

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Speaker 1: have him about half a point ahead of Kyler Murray

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Speaker 1: who's in six. So always going with those Russian quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: that they always tend to land in my top five six.

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Speaker 1: So I got some more that are that again I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna be high on as well. So let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: Who do you like? Who do you hire on a consensus?

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Speaker 2: I should say, Well, first off, I guess it's Kirk Cousins.

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Speaker 2: I have to be five. His ecer is keeping seven,

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Speaker 2: so I'm not that crazy. But this is a good matchup.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: I faded the Vikings last night the Eagles minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half was an easy win. I look for

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Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson to bounce back this week. It was great

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Speaker 2: to see Irv smith Ball get role in this offense.

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Speaker 2: He dropped the like what would have been a touchdown right,

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Speaker 2: so it could have been a bigger day for him.

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Speaker 2: Good call on him. So I like her Cousins here.

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Speaker 2: I think he's going to bounce back. But my top

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Speaker 2: streaming option this week is Marcus Mariota. He's my QB

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Speaker 2: fourteen right now. His consensus is QB eighteen. It looks

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Speaker 2: like but I mean he's the QB thirteen on the season,

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Speaker 2: and he had a tough start of the season. You know,

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Speaker 2: he faced the Saints, the Rams, and now this week

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Speaker 2: he gets the Seahawks, so this should be a great

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Speaker 2: matchup for him. Just love Drake London. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: fact that he's hit already in the first two weeks

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Speaker 2: is great to see. Kyle Pitts will get his at

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Speaker 2: some point, hopefully right and Marioda has a Sea Pat

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Speaker 2: who should be, you know, a pretty good option against

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Speaker 2: the Seahawks. They tend to be vulnerable to pass catching

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Speaker 2: running backs, so this could be a great spot for Mariota.

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Speaker 2: His rushing ability to give him QB one upside. So

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Speaker 2: he's my favorite string option this week and right knocking

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Speaker 2: on the door of a QB one option this week

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Speaker 2: for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I love Marcus Mariota. This week I have him

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Speaker 1: QB ten. So whenever you have him, I'm going to buy.

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Speaker 1: I got her in here, Yeah, spicy, I got him

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Speaker 1: in the top ten again. You know, I think it

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Speaker 1: has to do with this the rushing upside. And you

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Speaker 1: look at this week and you know you're facing a

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Speaker 1: defense in the Seahawks that it's not a great defense.

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Speaker 1: You kind of know what they're gonna do. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: sit back in a lot of zone. It's not going

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Speaker 1: to be a tough defense for Mariota to be And

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Speaker 1: you know, I haven't projected for thirty six rushing yards

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Speaker 1: in this matchup and at about point three touchdown, So

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Speaker 1: you know that's really the key here, you know, getting

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Speaker 1: a quarterback that can get you know, over thirty yards

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Speaker 1: on the ground, that's you know, now you're getting into

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Speaker 1: Kiro territory. Kiwer is right around thirty usually. So love

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Speaker 1: Mariota this week my QB ten and Jalen Hurts, I

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Speaker 1: should mention him. I mean, I love Jay when he's

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Speaker 1: kind of like right there with Josh Allen for me. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, he's almost at TV one, So I think

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Speaker 1: his rushing upside is just insane because the more, uh,

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Speaker 1: the more the sample grows with Jalen Hurts, the more

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Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns he keeps getting, and I keep having a

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Speaker 1: raises rushing touchdown. So I'm I'm up to about zero

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Speaker 1: point seven five rushing touchdowns Jaylen Hurts, which is insane,

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Speaker 1: Like like you could have bet at anytime touchdown prop

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Speaker 1: rushing for Jalen Hurts and I have a better than

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Speaker 1: fifty to fifty shot, and.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure, Yeah, I love me. I was saying he's

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Speaker 2: the most likely QB other than Josh Allen to be

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Speaker 2: the QB one this year. Although Josh Allen looks unstoppable. Man,

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Speaker 2: the Bills kind of remind me of that undefeated season

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Speaker 2: with the Patriots where they're up by thirty points, it

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Speaker 2: doesn't matter, They're still going to air it out, you

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Speaker 2: know kind of thing. So, uh, Jalen, how how many

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Speaker 2: points do you have Jalen Hurts below Josh Allen. That's

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Speaker 2: a better question, That's what I'm getting at.

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Speaker 1: Right now. I have about zero point three separating them.

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Speaker 1: But it really comes down to, like like before I

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Speaker 1: updated my uh you know, the data that I use

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Speaker 1: to project like the plays and the pace and that stuff,

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Speaker 1: Hurts was actually my number one quarterback and then you know,

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Speaker 1: so it's it's really that close. It's like if I

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Speaker 1: just change the Eagles, like if I bump them down

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Speaker 1: like a couple tenths of a If I bump the

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Speaker 1: Bills abound a couple of tents of a play, or

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Speaker 1: you know, bumped their pass percentage down or bump you know, whatever,

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Speaker 1: everyone will change. Hurts Well could be number one.

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Speaker 2: Where you start projecting Josh Allen to only play three quarters.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like we've a match yet.

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Speaker 2: We might get to that point eventually, but yeah, this

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Speaker 2: week I'm not doing that obviously, But yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: Jalen hurts. You know, I haven't had point six rushing touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Maybe that's why I have them a point and half

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Speaker 2: below Josh Allen. But the whole point is it's very

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Speaker 2: close right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have them twelve for sixty one on the

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Speaker 1: ground with point seventy five and then another one point

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Speaker 1: four throwing with two hundred and thirty six yards on

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Speaker 1: in nineteen and a half completion. So yeah, it should

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Speaker 1: be a good week for hers. Like this Washington defense

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Speaker 1: is not great. We kind of saw that against the

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Speaker 1: Detroit lines. Now Washington will be at home, it'll be outdoors,

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Speaker 1: but not great home field advantage. And this ego team

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Speaker 1: doesn't like doesn't look like it's getting stopped right now.

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Speaker 1: All right, what about guys, you're low on I think

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Speaker 1: I think I know where you're going. It's but.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'm low and Russell with Wilson having QB seventeen, now,

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Speaker 2: the consensus is still stuck on. You know, his preseason

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Speaker 2: rank of QB eight, QB eleven, But we have to

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Speaker 2: downgrade him after the first two games, especially since you know,

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Speaker 2: he faced the Seahawks, which he ended up having a

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Speaker 2: big day throwing for three forty, but struggle last week

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Speaker 2: against the Texans. He has a non existent you know,

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Speaker 2: rushing upside. Right now, He's totaled what five yards in

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Speaker 2: the season. Just does not look good now. Jerry Judy

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Speaker 2: is heartain. We have to remember they're already without Tim Patrick.

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Speaker 2: I think that was the first major blow to Will

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Speaker 2: and Stock was like, if they had Judy, Sutton and

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Speaker 2: Tim Patrick, I'd be all in on him, but they're

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Speaker 2: just not. He's not doing it right now. He's facing

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Speaker 2: the Niners this week, so he's all the way down

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Speaker 2: to QB seventeen for me. And then on a similar note,

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Speaker 2: you know Aaron Rodgers, you know, and he had his

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Speaker 2: Week two bounce back game against the Bears, which I

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Speaker 2: think we all knew was going to happen. But this

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Speaker 2: week he's all the way down to QB nineteen for me.

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Speaker 2: Looks like his DCRs QB twelve. But this normally we

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Speaker 2: would expect to see fireworks with Buccaneers orus Packers. The

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Speaker 2: total right now is forty one. I mean, both teams

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Speaker 2: are dealing with wide receiver and offensive line issues, so

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Speaker 2: this could be a defensive sort of run heavy game.

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Speaker 2: So you know, Rogers gets a big hit in my model.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, he's you know, more of a mid range

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Speaker 2: QB two this week.

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Speaker 1: For me, it's so lucky you get to go before

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Speaker 1: me because he's just taking all my guy.

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Speaker 2: Slip Like, oh my guy, yeah we could slip. I

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Speaker 2: don't have to.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, the yeah, the rank and king you get

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Speaker 1: first DIBs on everything. I don't mind, but I totally

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Speaker 1: agree Aaron Rodgers. Yeah, he's around QB eleven twelve and

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Speaker 1: consensus I have him QB twenty three and you know

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Speaker 1: the but the reason is you mentioned it. I use

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Speaker 1: you know, I project out the score. You know, my

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Speaker 1: lines are obviously gonna be similar to Vegas's lines and

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Speaker 1: the Packers in this game. I haven't projected for like

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Speaker 1: twenty points now, that's almost unheard of for the Packers.

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Speaker 1: So his touchdown expectation, you know, from his baseline, which

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Speaker 1: you would expect against like the weak average, it goes

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Speaker 1: way down in this matchup because you're facing this bucks

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Speaker 1: d on the road, and that's I have generally had

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Speaker 1: a good feel for, like Aaron Rodgers just massacre spots.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Niners used to be able to get

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Speaker 1: that four man rush, and the Bucks, those teams, it's

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Speaker 1: just really tough for them, especially without Devonte Adams, because

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Speaker 1: nobody's gonna break open quickly, and so I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to run the ball just to kind of

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Speaker 1: stay in this game and give himself a chance to win.

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Speaker 1: And they have a chance to win obviously with the

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Speaker 1: Buckstalne with injuries on offense as well, but this is

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Speaker 1: one of those matchups that you just do not want

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Speaker 1: any part of Aaron Rodgers. I mean, the last two

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Speaker 1: meetings he's gotten sacked nine times against Tampa Bay, and

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Speaker 1: I think their defense is better this time around than

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Speaker 1: it's been in any of the other previous meetings that

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Speaker 1: he's faced them. So yeah, Aaron Rodgers just not like

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Speaker 1: he's like low in QB two for me this week,

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Speaker 1: I have him for two hundred and forty two yards,

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Speaker 1: one point three touchdowns and and yeah that's about it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah nothing about five rushing yards, but yeah, nothing nothing.

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Speaker 2: To speak up.

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Speaker 1: And then yeah, I totally agree on Wilson as well.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why he's still up at QB ten.

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Speaker 1: I have him projected for two hundred and forty six

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Speaker 1: yards and one point six touchdowns with like you said,

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Speaker 1: nothing really on the ground nine yards point oh less

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Speaker 1: than a tenth of a touchdown on the ground. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, this is a yeah, this is a tough matchup.

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Speaker 1: It's still San Francisco. I know it's at home, but uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, Denver, they're probably gonna have to get to

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Speaker 1: run in the ball a little more. That's their strength

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Speaker 1: of the team right now, especially if Judi's third, because

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Speaker 1: Judiy is the one who got that long touchdown.

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Speaker 2: Yep, Russ. I love all the lett Russ Cook memes

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Speaker 2: and gifts this week. The Kendall Jenner flipping the cucumber

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Speaker 2: upside down and cutting it all. All that's great fun stuff.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and also like this line, the line completely flipped.

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Speaker 1: I got this at two and a half for the Niners,

250
00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:33,839
Speaker 1: and the Niners are favored by a point point and

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Speaker 1: a half.

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Speaker 2: Oh you got you got the Niners plus two and

253
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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like right when the line draft.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so it did open at Denver because I was

256
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Speaker 2: we were doing a piece on how the Niners poweraking

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Speaker 2: rating actually goes up just a little bit with g

258
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Speaker 2: and her center, and I was saying, this should be,

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Speaker 2: you know, Denver minus one and a half or something

260
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Speaker 2: that if I had known to open minus two and

261
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Speaker 2: a half, I would have been all over that. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: so the Niners are wet minus two right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're fluctuating between like one and a half

264
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Speaker 1: and one actually I think. But yeah, it got hit

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Speaker 1: really hard, which you know that. I mean, that's just

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Speaker 1: not great for the Denver scoring expectation. I know the

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Speaker 1: total did go up a little bit. Yeah, outside of

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Speaker 1: my top twelve this week, let's jump to uh the

269
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Speaker 1: crop and that's you.

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Speaker 2: That's I got a good one for you. We're going

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Speaker 2: with two passing yards this week after his four hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixty nine yard outburst. Now he faces the Bills,

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Speaker 2: so it's gonna be a shootout, tough defense though, I

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Speaker 2: don't know where the hell is set this, so I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna just throw this number out there, but I'm going

276
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Speaker 2: to go with two fifty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I got it a two fifty eight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't even cheat.

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Speaker 1: Look at the sheet way off here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, either direction, just because how do you set this

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Speaker 2: line right now? But okay, that makes me feel better.

282
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Speaker 1: I wait, do I want to take this over? Yeah?

283
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Speaker 1: You know what, I'll take the over because I think

284
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Speaker 1: you know, it's one of those situations where they're probably

285
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Speaker 1: gonna have to throw to be in this game. It's

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Speaker 1: a high total, but yeah, I don't think you're expecting

287
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Speaker 1: another four hundred. This Bill's team can get a lot

288
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Speaker 1: of pressure. So yeah, I have him two fifty eight

289
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Speaker 1: one point eight touchdowns, zero point nine interceptions, and about

290
00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:18,839
Speaker 1: five rushing yards.

291
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Speaker 2: So I would not be surprised if Tua ends up

292
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Speaker 2: throwing for fifty eight yards this week.

293
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Speaker 1: All right, let's jump to running back? Who you got?

294
00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:29,080
Speaker 1: Top five?

295
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:34,600
Speaker 2: I got Jonathan Taylor, Sakoon Barkley, Dalvin Cook, Krishia McCaffrey,

296
00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,480
Speaker 2: and Austin Eckler at five, which I do not love.

297
00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:39,120
Speaker 2: But right now he is in my top five.

298
00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's it's tough. He's Did you hear

299
00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:46,760
Speaker 1: on the Chargers game how they I believe it was

300
00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 1: al I think it was either Al Michaels or Herbst.

301
00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,600
Speaker 1: I forget who said it, but they were like Eckler. No,

302
00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:53,320
Speaker 1: I think it was a sideline reporter. It was like

303
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,280
Speaker 1: Eckler kind of asked for a reduction and workload this year,

304
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Speaker 1: Like he asked for it. So that's why they've been

305
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Speaker 1: mixing in because I remember you texted me like, oh

306
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Speaker 1: my god, wasting carries on Sony Michelle totally.

307
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Speaker 2: No. I always say they try to cap. They try

308
00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:11,040
Speaker 2: to cap. Eckler's carries at like twelve to thirteen in

309
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Speaker 2: the game. It was his I mean, he's just receiving

310
00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,600
Speaker 2: usage in Week one was kind of fishy. It was

311
00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,720
Speaker 2: last year though, too, So that's interesting that he was

312
00:15:20,760 --> 00:15:23,320
Speaker 2: asking for that. He's such a fancy football diehard. He

313
00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,880
Speaker 2: could have let us all know that before the season started.

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Speaker 1: Right, Yeah. I feel like he just felt like he could,

315
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Speaker 1: and I mean he can. He can be very efficient,

316
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Speaker 1: so he probably wasn't worried about it. But I mean,

317
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Speaker 1: home favored against the Jags with your quarterback a little

318
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Speaker 1: bit banged up, maybe good spot for Ecklers, though I

319
00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,200
Speaker 1: don't mind that I actually have him RB seven. There

320
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Speaker 1: is a guy I have six that I'll talk about

321
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Speaker 1: in a second, but my top five is Jonathan Taylor

322
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Speaker 1: McCaffrey number two, so we're storing some order to this.

323
00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 1: Barking over three. Dallan Cook, oh my god, what a

324
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Speaker 1: disappointment out of number four, and Joe Mixon dido but

325
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:07,120
Speaker 1: got him number five against the Jets.

326
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Speaker 2: Yeah, love love mixing there, if anything like mixing will

327
00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,840
Speaker 2: probably replace Eckler by the end of the week. For me,

328
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Speaker 2: just what is there not to like with Mixon's usage

329
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Speaker 2: so far?

330
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Speaker 1: I mean the usage fine, but like, come on, bro,

331
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Speaker 1: like you gotta get the four yard to carry Actually.

332
00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:25,480
Speaker 2: Reh having this issue. I'm not gonna lie. I was

333
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,480
Speaker 2: fiddling with some things and Jonathan Taylor fell out of

334
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:33,440
Speaker 2: my top one spot briefly. Chris McCaffrey was there at

335
00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 2: one point, Barkley was there at one point, but talk

336
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:40,240
Speaker 2: about restoring order. Jonathan Taylor ended up as my RB one.

337
00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:43,120
Speaker 2: But it just goes to show that he is prone

338
00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,480
Speaker 2: right now, especially facing the Chiefs and what could be

339
00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,920
Speaker 2: a trailing game script, especially after last week. You know,

340
00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,200
Speaker 2: Taylor isn't as much of a slam duck this week,

341
00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 2: So I think the top four is gonna be interesting

342
00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:54,400
Speaker 2: this week.

343
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Speaker 1: Yeah, do you I have him at ninety two rushing

344
00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:00,480
Speaker 1: and twenty four seeding.

345
00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,160
Speaker 2: What do you what you got on ninety four twenty one?

346
00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,040
Speaker 1: Okay, so we're right there, yep, all right? Who are

347
00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:08,600
Speaker 1: I am? So?

348
00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:10,920
Speaker 2: I'm high on I always love doing this. You hate

349
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 2: going there, But I'm high on Jeff Wilson. I think

350
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:17,320
Speaker 2: we finally have some clarity and the forty nine ers backfield.

351
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,280
Speaker 2: Ty Davis Price, it looked like he was going to

352
00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:23,920
Speaker 2: be in an even time share with Wilson, but unfortunately

353
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,040
Speaker 2: it looks like he suffered a high ankle's brain so

354
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,560
Speaker 2: he's going to be out least the next few weeks.

355
00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:32,120
Speaker 2: Shannon doesn't seem to trust rookie Jordan Mason at all.

356
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:34,440
Speaker 2: He has yet to see a touch despite all the injuries.

357
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,920
Speaker 2: So we could see Marlon mack yay called up see

358
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,560
Speaker 2: some Touchdows. I don't know how many, but I think

359
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,560
Speaker 2: Jeff Wilson is now like more of a mid range

360
00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:49,560
Speaker 2: RB two despite the tougher matchup against the Broncos. I

361
00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:53,000
Speaker 2: think it helps with Jimmy g under center, just less

362
00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 2: competition for goal line carries without Trey Lance. But yeah,

363
00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,399
Speaker 2: I like Jeff Wilson now. Now there's a little bit more,

364
00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:03,840
Speaker 2: a lot more clarity on the backfield right now. Thank

365
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,840
Speaker 2: god they don't still have Trey Sermon. And then I'm

366
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,439
Speaker 2: high on a guy who's high on week one. Trust me,

367
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,160
Speaker 2: I do not want to be high on this guy.

368
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:15,919
Speaker 2: I wish Breese Hall was a workhorse back in this offense. However,

369
00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,920
Speaker 2: we cannot deny the fact that Michael Carter is still

370
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 2: the lead back for the Jets.

371
00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,720
Speaker 1: Michael Carter, I don't think you got to hate it.

372
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,119
Speaker 2: I hated that the Jets drafted Breese Hall because I

373
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,320
Speaker 2: do like Michael Carter. It kind of righting of ETN

374
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 2: and James Robinson. More on that later, but you know

375
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 2: Carter and I thought, I asked nicely to just get

376
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:36,119
Speaker 2: rid of Ty Johnson. I don't want to have to

377
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 2: project him anymore. But sure enough, he factored again on

378
00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 2: you know, passing downs last week got ate into Breese

379
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 2: Hall's usage of it, but Carter was unaffected. His routes

380
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 2: run rate jumped over fifty percent, so he's clearly still

381
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 2: you know, the pass catching back in this offense, which

382
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:56,119
Speaker 2: this week against the Bengals is a good thing. That's

383
00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,040
Speaker 2: you know, the most valuable asset in the backfield right

384
00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 2: now is whoever is catching passes from check down, Joe

385
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 2: Flacco throwing the ball fifty times a game. So I

386
00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:07,280
Speaker 2: have Michael Carter's RB twenty nine right now. The East

387
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:10,480
Speaker 2: R is still way too low on him. He's RB

388
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,119
Speaker 2: thirty nine, So I think he's a sneaky, you know,

389
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,919
Speaker 2: high end RB three flex kind of play, especially in

390
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:17,320
Speaker 2: PPR formats.

391
00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:19,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Carter. He looks good out there, you know,

392
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 1: watching a play. The Jets got it. They got something

393
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 1: out with that offense. I mean it's not it's not

394
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,800
Speaker 1: what you expected, but they got enough pieces and they

395
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,960
Speaker 1: did upgrade those skill positions. So even with the O

396
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,359
Speaker 1: line not in a great spot, you know, they have

397
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 1: enough skill players to make it happen. And Carter's a

398
00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:37,919
Speaker 1: big part of that.

399
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 2: Yep. And Joe Flacco seems to be a luck for

400
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 2: three hundred and seven yards every week apparently back to

401
00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 2: back weeks three oh seven on the dot. Maybe we

402
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,560
Speaker 2: should make a side bat. I'll give you a F

403
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,080
Speaker 2: to one or something on three oh seven exactly.

404
00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 1: Oh, that's not a good those are good adds. It

405
00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:54,360
Speaker 1: would be fun.

406
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:56,440
Speaker 2: But he's slinging around, like you said.

407
00:19:56,520 --> 00:20:01,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am high on Leonard or this week you

408
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,280
Speaker 1: know like it. I think. I mean, look at what

409
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,760
Speaker 1: was going on with the Bucks. They have a marquee

410
00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 1: matchup at home as a favorite with no receivers, So

411
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 1: what do you think is gonna happen. You're gonna feed

412
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 1: Lenny who is, you know, fresh off not getting suspended

413
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 1: for his part in the altercation last week. But they're

414
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 1: feeding him. I mean, he's already up to forty five

415
00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 1: carries already on the year, so he's averaging twenty two

416
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,360
Speaker 1: and a half per game. I only got him about

417
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,360
Speaker 1: seventeen carries for this one, but I do have him

418
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: for over twenty touches. I have him seventy rushing thirty receiving,

419
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 1: so I've got right around one hundred scrimmage yards for

420
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: Nett and this one he's my RB sixth and Green Bay.

421
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 1: You know, I thought this defense was gonna be improved

422
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,640
Speaker 1: against the run, but David Montgomery Kuil Herbert ran over

423
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:54,679
Speaker 1: them on on Sunday night and they're already thirtieth in

424
00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 1: run defense DVOA, So it looks like more of the same.

425
00:20:58,080 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 1: And I mean the Bucks don't really have a choice

426
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 1: in the and the Packers are also no. Bottom ten

427
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 1: against running backs in the past game in Dvoa. So

428
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 1: I think this is going to be one where he's

429
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 1: either going to get it put in his belly or

430
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: he's going to catch the ball. But one way or another,

431
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 1: he's going to get a lot of Touchdow.

432
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 2: Can we get him some receptions? That's been the only

433
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 2: like underwhelming thing besides a lack of touchdowns is only

434
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,159
Speaker 2: two catches in each of the first two games. His

435
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 2: underline usage has been phenomenal though, So yeah, like you said,

436
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,440
Speaker 2: love him this weekend, you're projecting closer to four receptions.

437
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 1: Yep, got four on the dot. Yeah, because he's running

438
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 1: route on over seventy percent of the dropbacks, which is

439
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 1: like a week RB one like Christian McCaffrey level usage,

440
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 1: So the catches will come. I also like David Montgomery,

441
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:50,200
Speaker 1: speaking of which he is the consensus RB fifteen. He's

442
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 1: actually in my top ten this week. What, Yeah, gave

443
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 1: a home favorite against the Houston Texans. Thank you very much.

444
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:02,639
Speaker 1: I'll take it. You know about David Montgomery getting about

445
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 1: three fourths of the carries in the backfield, running a

446
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 1: route on over sixty percent of the dropback. So another

447
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 1: guy with great underlying usage. In a game where what

448
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 1: do you think the Bears They just threw eleven times

449
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 1: against Aaron Rodd Books, Like, what do you think they're

450
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 1: gonna do as a home favorite against the Houston Texas

451
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,159
Speaker 1: with it? I think the totals have just hit forty.

452
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 1: I still think Montgomery is the guy that we know.

453
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 1: He looked really good, uh last week, so he's you know,

454
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,400
Speaker 1: there was some concern I think, you know, new coaching staff,

455
00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,120
Speaker 1: you know, maybe they give Herbert more run, but it's

456
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 1: gonna it's like a one to two punch. But Montgomery

457
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,159
Speaker 1: is still clear with that the lead back there, so

458
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 1: I have him projected close to one hundred scrimmag yards

459
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 1: as well.

460
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,159
Speaker 2: What were the odds of Reggie Gilliam having more receptions

461
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 2: than Cole Comet after two weeks back?

462
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 1: Reggie Gilliam alec ingold, I mean every every fullback?

463
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's bizarre. And that's that's the only value.

464
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,919
Speaker 2: Who's going to provide those receptions and yards and he

465
00:22:58,920 --> 00:22:59,760
Speaker 2: can't even do that.

466
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 1: Who do you down on a running back this week?

467
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 2: Who am I down on? Oh? Man, I hate to

468
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,120
Speaker 2: say it. By AJ Dillon. He's my RB twenty six

469
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 2: right now, compared to say, I know, I.

470
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: Gotta see what do you got through production? I got

471
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 1: him Marbi like twenty one, I think, yeah.

472
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, see you're I mean you're lower twenty six.

473
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,640
Speaker 1: Oh no, no, I'm nineteen. I'm nineteen. That's actually high.

474
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:25,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just have them, you know, less volume. So

475
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 2: you know, thirteen carries from fifty three yards two catches

476
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 2: for seventeen yards, way way lower touchdown odds with the

477
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 2: did you find something wrong with yours? Or well no,

478
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 2: you have him.

479
00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: You said two catches like on the.

480
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 2: Dot two point two. Sorry, I'm running down.

481
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,600
Speaker 1: So I have them with a whole extra catch. I

482
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 1: have them at two points. Okay, they put them on

483
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: the field a lot together last week, so see. Yeah,

484
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 1: so Joanes ran arout sixty two percent at the time,

485
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,359
Speaker 1: and then Dylan ran arout fifty two percent, which means

486
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 1: they had an average of like one point running back

487
00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 1: routes per dropping. Yeah.

488
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 2: No, it's been surprising to see that. I think week won.

489
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: He was just saying a really high percentage of targets

490
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 2: on running downs, like it was like first and tent

491
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 2: like you know, things like that. So I thought that

492
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 2: his target share would go down but it's been a

493
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 2: pleasant surprise to see that. Nonetheless, either way, I just

494
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 2: think this is Aaron Jones spot, very you know, low

495
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 2: total forty one. Like I said, so Dylan, you know

496
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 2: he's going to bank on his touchdown projection, so he's

497
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 2: just a lot lower. And you know it is Tuesday morning,

498
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 2: so things will change. But as of now, I have

499
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:35,160
Speaker 2: Dylan pretty low compared to consensus. But yeah, maybe maybe

500
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 2: my receiving projection will go up and he might end

501
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 2: up being closer to RB twenty two or RB twenty four.

502
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,399
Speaker 2: Either way, I am down on him this week. And

503
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 2: then James Robinson. It's really tough because it's been surprising

504
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,119
Speaker 2: to see him just absolutely dominate the JAG's backfield coming

505
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 2: off his Achilles tear. I think he certainly benefited from

506
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 2: the game script last week. You know, they won twenty

507
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 2: four nothing. I think anytime the Agwars are gonna be

508
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 2: playing with the lead, that's gonna be James Robinson game script.

509
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:09,119
Speaker 2: But you know this week against the Chargers, yeah, it

510
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 2: is going to be a negative game script ideally, So

511
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 2: I think this could be a spot where we're going

512
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,919
Speaker 2: to see Travis atn get a spike in usage. So

513
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 2: I'm just a little bit lower on James Robinson at

514
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 2: RB twenty eight compared to RB twenty two, and last

515
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 2: but not least, Rashad Penny just because Kenneth Walker came back,

516
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,719
Speaker 2: he ate into his usage quite a bit. You know,

517
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 2: Penny had a six to four edge when it comes

518
00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 2: to rush attempts. But Travis Homer, like I said, he's

519
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: gonna boy ask yeah, boy, is just obviously the receiving back.

520
00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 2: So it's it's really tough to project Penny or Walker

521
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 2: for too much as long as Travis Homer is there

522
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 2: eating up the receiving work. So down on Penny this week.

523
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 2: He's RB thirty three for me, and consensus still has

524
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 2: him RB twenty seven.

525
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,920
Speaker 1: One thing I will fay for Robinson that's a positive

526
00:25:56,280 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: is he is averaging three point four yards per attempt

527
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 1: after contact, and that's always what you want to see,

528
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 1: especially from a guy coming back from an injury. You know,

529
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: like that's like like the the yards before contact. That's

530
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: going to really depend on the offensive line. But it's

531
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,239
Speaker 1: good to see Robinson, you know in the you know,

532
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 1: one of the top backs in the league in yards

533
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 1: after contact. So that's why I'm pretty I'm right on

534
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: consensus that I have him at RB eighteen. I think

535
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:27,879
Speaker 1: that's where he's at all. Right for me, it's Damian Harris.

536
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: He's RB twenty six consensus, I have him RB thirty seven.

537
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 1: Now I am. I don't know what happened with the injury,

538
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 1: Like he said he's good. That didn't look good. But

539
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:42,199
Speaker 1: either way, he got outsnapped by Ramandre Stevenson forty two

540
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 1: to twenty seven. And you know they had a debacco

541
00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 1: in week one and then they looked like they made

542
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: a few changes on the offense. So and also we

543
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:53,639
Speaker 1: got to remember Toime Montgomery's out, so Stevenson's going to

544
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 1: be more of the pass catcher. And he ran a

545
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 1: route on sixty one percent of the dropbacks last week

546
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 1: compared to twenty four percent for Harris. So Harris really

547
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 1: never gets higher than like thirty percent. And so I think,

548
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: you know, we're all playing pprs one form or another,

549
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 1: whether it's happened, but at this point, so I just

550
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 1: think right now, Stevenson like their neck and neck at worst,

551
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,199
Speaker 1: Like if I don't doc Harris at all for an

552
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,639
Speaker 1: injury and just give him like one hundred percent, he

553
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,400
Speaker 1: still comes out RB thirty one to Stevenson's thirty two,

554
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 1: so they're essentially even. So uh yeah, I'm I'm at

555
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 1: least five, if not ten spots down on Damien Harris.

556
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,840
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see Stevenson kind of gradually. And

557
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 1: you called this earlier too, earlier in the off season,

558
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: that Stevens probably gradually take over some of the carries,

559
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,640
Speaker 1: just like Harris did for Sony Michelle. So yeah, I'm

560
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,120
Speaker 1: gonna get ahead of that and bade me some Harris

561
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 1: like like him as a player, but I just, you know,

562
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: want I want one guy who catch the ball. Let's

563
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: go with a prop, and you know what I gotta do,

564
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 1: Gotta go to cam Akers, you know, a faded Henderson

565
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 1: on the carries. Last week. They was like, hey, I

566
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 1: liked Acres week of practice, but now now we're back

567
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 1: to like we don't know what's going to happen this week,

568
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 1: cam Akers or didn't do anything last week. He went

569
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 1: to fifteen for forty four. So we're gonna set his

570
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: rushing yard line at thirty eight and a half.

571
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: You have to be kidding me. Not only is this

572
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 2: just a tough prop, but I have it at thirty

573
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 2: nine right now.

574
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: Me too. That's why I said at thirty eight and

575
00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 1: a half, I'll go.

576
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 2: Under, just because it's in these situations I like to

577
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,160
Speaker 2: lean under. But yeah, you did call it last week.

578
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:38,280
Speaker 2: I don't know how, but but Acres Acres what he

579
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 2: averaged what two point.

580
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:43,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's averaging two point four since the occasion, like

581
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: ninety carries.

582
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 2: So he got his you know, audition to be out

583
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 2: of the doghouse last week, but he's gonna go right

584
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 2: back in it. So I'm going under.

585
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 1: Yeah. I did not expect myself to be on a GARYL.

586
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 1: Henderson under after everything that transpired that week. Like it

587
00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 1: was just like one of those things where like I

588
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: like to, you know, I'm doing my prop research and

589
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 1: I'm just always trying to just taking as many beat

590
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 1: reports as I can for that kind of stuff, and

591
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 1: I just like, wait a minute, like John McVay said

592
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 1: he likes Acres, then they're gonna split work. Nobody's talking

593
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 1: about this. It's just like the immediately went to like

594
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 1: Henderson's prop carry proper and it was fourteen and a half.

595
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,480
Speaker 1: I was like, that's a lot of carries. You didn't

596
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: even get over that with Acres not playing the week before. True,

597
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,959
Speaker 1: all right, let's jump to wide receiver. Who got your

598
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:24,360
Speaker 1: top five?

599
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: I got Cooper Cup, Justin Jefferson, Stefan Diggs, welcome out

600
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 2: of top three, Davante Adams, Jamar Chase.

601
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 1: Dave exact top five for me, same order and everything.

602
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:38,800
Speaker 2: So had you know, yeah, on or off the past,

603
00:29:38,960 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 2: you know, seventeen straight weeks, I would say, but Diggs Man,

604
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 2: who a monster?

605
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I remember saying in the Aufseeason, I think

606
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 1: we were talking to Ratcliff was like, you know, this

607
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 1: dude led the league in catches in yards two years

608
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,360
Speaker 1: ago and he kind of forgotten. I forgot about him.

609
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:56,560
Speaker 1: But it just a little choir last year. But he

610
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 1: still has that upside and it's looking it's looking like

611
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 1: he's back.

612
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: He needed our boy gave Davis to be out. But

613
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 2: either way, like how do they just go away from

614
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,719
Speaker 2: him at all? But yeah, it's good reminder, like this

615
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 2: is a good year to draft a wide receiver early

616
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 2: in those first couple of rounds. That's for sure.

617
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 1: We high on a wide receiver.

618
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 2: I'm high on CD Lamb. I was built low on

619
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:18,200
Speaker 2: him last week, but he's wide receiver. Sixteen right now,

620
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 2: should still see playing targets with Cooper. Rush had eleven

621
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 2: last week put up a seven catch for seventy five

622
00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 2: yards game, So he's a mid range wide receiver two.

623
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: His upsides cap because I don't think the touchdowns are

624
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 2: going to be there until Dak is back. But he should,

625
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 2: you know, return to wide receiver one status once he returned,

626
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: so I would try to buy low if he can

627
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 2: right now. I liked what I saw out of Marii

628
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,360
Speaker 2: Cooper in week two. He struggled Week one, but you know,

629
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 2: he could just be a target monster in this offense.

630
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 2: They don't really have many other weapons. So he's wide

631
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 2: receiver twenty six for me right now, I view him

632
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 2: more of a high end wide receiver. Three. And then

633
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 2: Stirling Shepherd, I mean, projecting the Giants wide receivers right

634
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 2: now has to be the biggest headache. The only guy

635
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 2: we can try straight nowt of Sterling Shepherd. So he's

636
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 2: benefiting from both Mondale Robinson and Kadarius Tony dealing with Andrew.

637
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 2: So I'm the wide receiver forty right now, and he's

638
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 2: even higher in PPR formats, so I'm you know, continue

639
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 2: with the Sterling Shepherd train while we can.

640
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: He did right, Yeah, he ran a road on like

641
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the drop back. I don't trust Dable

642
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 1: Like I this is like the Shanahan buce.

643
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 2: I'm saying, Shepherd is the only guy that's like the

644
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 2: debo guy, Like he's not gonna mess that. But I mean,

645
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 2: you could understand why Galladay was phased out, but yeah,

646
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,240
Speaker 2: what a what a complete shit show.

647
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 1: I am high on guess who aman Rah?

648
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I said.

649
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: It two weeks in a row. Yeah, nobody was hid

650
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: like he's not a wide receiver seven, he's still wide

651
00:31:45,040 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 1: receiver nine songs. I'm going right back. This guy touches

652
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: eight ball of the game and a touchdown book it

653
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 1: every game. That's what he's doing that. That's what it's

654
00:31:55,000 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 1: been since uh what November of twenty twenty one, every week,

655
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 1: week in and week out. He's a sick route runner.

656
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: He you know, he has a nose for the end zone.

657
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 1: He can run with the football. We saw him go

658
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 1: for fifty eight yards on a very well schemed carry

659
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 1: last week. But they're they're giving him about half a

660
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 1: carry a game since that like stretch, So that's always

661
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 1: a help for wide receivers because you know you can

662
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 1: always that gives you a chance to get in the

663
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:26,320
Speaker 1: end zone, uh not just catching the football, So that's big,

664
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 1: and then you're in the game with I believe it's

665
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:33,760
Speaker 1: the highest total on the board in Vikings and Lions.

666
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,280
Speaker 1: Vikings probably gonna play a lot of zone. Don't really

667
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 1: expect him to play a ton of man coverage. You know,

668
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 1: they're kind of right around league average in man coverage rates.

669
00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: So always like Saint Brown in these kind of spots.

670
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 1: If Minnesota bounces back after that ugly game against the

671
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 1: Eagles and the Lions are in a comeback script, even better.

672
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 1: But I mean, this dude can ball either way, So

673
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 1: love me some asb this league. We gotta stop, we

674
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 1: gotta stop fading this guy. Like I know.

675
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 2: I So I was splitting hairs heading in the season

676
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 2: like four or five. You're like, yeah, but I always

677
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 2: pivot based on new information, So like last week, heading

678
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 2: it last week, I was super highth it was my

679
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 2: wide receiver nine. I think ECR is like twelve or

680
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 2: thirteen right now, he's wide receiver seven. So after Week one,

681
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 2: after that, usage been super high him and I think

682
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 2: it was ever I need to go back and look.

683
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: But ever since Dan Campbell has been calling plays, the

684
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 2: running back usage in the playing the passing game has

685
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 2: dropped significantly, so Swift isn't eating into those targets. So

686
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 2: it's just been more targets for a monra in those

687
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 2: underneath routs. So I after reading that and seeing that trend,

688
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,160
Speaker 2: I boosted him up significantly. Like you said, he's a

689
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,600
Speaker 2: red zo weapon out so he's you know, scoring touchdowns

690
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,560
Speaker 2: along with his eight catches and one hundred and twenty yards.

691
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: So yeah, he's absolutely a wide receiver one. Now we'll

692
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 2: hang to admit that.

693
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean it's like my my thing is always

694
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:56,720
Speaker 1: I'm always looking at the targets per route runs because

695
00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 1: it's like everyone's like, okay, he bawled out when when

696
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 1: Hockinson was out, when Swift was mostly out, but you

697
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 1: look at the targets per route and he's still beating

698
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,719
Speaker 1: those guys. So like, when they're all healthy, who do

699
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 1: you expect to lead the team at target? It's the ASV.

700
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,439
Speaker 1: I also, you got to get ahead of this because

701
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: I got his perception over. I should have just took

702
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:23,480
Speaker 1: all of his overs last week. Garrett Wilson. I have

703
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:26,919
Speaker 1: him wide receiver twenty nine. I might be able to hide.

704
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 2: I know that that is a legit ranking. There's no

705
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 2: arguing that.

706
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,000
Speaker 1: Now. Yeah, okay, because he's wide receiver forty one consensus,

707
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 1: But I mean, what else do you want from the

708
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 1: guy he's he has. He's averaging a target thirty one

709
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: percent of routes. That is elite. I know it's only

710
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,840
Speaker 1: two games, but they're running a lot of routes. We

711
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,879
Speaker 1: got a big sample size because the Jets have had

712
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,479
Speaker 1: to throw quite a lot in these first two weeks.

713
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:52,680
Speaker 1: But more importantly, his route participation went from fifty six

714
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: percent in week one to seventy five percent in week two.

715
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 1: So now he's only behind Elijah Moore in terms of

716
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 1: routes run. He's pulled even with Corey Davis, and I

717
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if that goes up again because he's

718
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:07,160
Speaker 1: been the best receiver on the field for them. He

719
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 1: leads them in targets by a landslide, and he would

720
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 1: be leading them in yards too if Davis hadn't got

721
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 1: that busted coverage. So he's six yards behind Davis, and

722
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: by the way, he leads the NFL in red zone targets.

723
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 1: So yeah, liked me some. Garrett Wilson. I think he's

724
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 1: already he's already here. He showed up, he's been here.

725
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,880
Speaker 2: But in our waiver piece, I said, you know, I

726
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 2: was waiting for him to pass up Brax and Barrios, right,

727
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 2: which finally happened, thank god, in week two. But he

728
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 2: is pushing Elijah Moore's role as a wide receiver. Win

729
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:41,319
Speaker 2: thisss offense immediately, So yeah, he's way up there. He's

730
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 2: definitely in the wide receiver three discussion. So I don't

731
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 2: think your wide receiver twenty nine rank is crazy at all.

732
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have him, had him more.

733
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I don't think that's I mean, I'm still

734
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 2: Elijah moorricks stand, so I have him a little bit

735
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 2: ahead of him, but I can't argue with that right now.

736
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:57,399
Speaker 2: They're like one A and one B right now.

737
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's again, it's like the those targets

738
00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 1: per route run, it just stabilizes like it's one of

739
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 1: the most stickiest, you know, metrics. So it's like Wilson's

740
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 1: they've been running routes together more than on the field

741
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,800
Speaker 1: almost every snap, and so more than on the field

742
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 1: what I think ninety two percent of the time, and

743
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 1: yet Wilson leaves the team and like he was out

744
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 1: eight more targets than more, Like that's that's significant.

745
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 2: Are we are we gonna downgrade anybody once Zach Olsen

746
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 2: comes back? Do we want flash? Like?

747
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:27,240
Speaker 1: Yes, we absolutely do want flaers.

748
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I'm thinking too. Okay, good, I'm not crazy.

749
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, And I have more than thirty three, so

750
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:34,360
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not too far down. But yeah, I

751
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:39,799
Speaker 1: have Wilson for four catches just over fifty yards all right. Else,

752
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:41,880
Speaker 1: So I like, oh, Drake London got to mention hit.

753
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, going against the Seahawks, great matchup. They play

754
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,680
Speaker 1: zone over ninety percent of the time unless they switch

755
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 1: it up, which I doubt. And Drake London is in

756
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 1: the ninety second percentile among wide receivers already this year

757
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 1: in yards per route run versus zone at three point

758
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 1: three according to PF so Ale Pitts, he's been the

759
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 1: man beater, like that's kind of been his thing. When

760
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:06,920
Speaker 1: you get man coverage, he's a miss. He's obviously a

761
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 1: myth match piece, but everyone's kind of wondering where' Kyle Pitts.

762
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 1: Falcon's been seeing a lot of his own. You know,

763
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:13,720
Speaker 1: you gotta kind of keep eyes on that crazy rushing

764
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:17,000
Speaker 1: attack with Mariota and Patterson. So teams aren't going to

765
00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 1: play a ton of man against the Falcons, and uh,

766
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,279
Speaker 1: they've been taking advantage of it. With Drake London, he

767
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 1: looks great and he's producing. So yeah, he's uh, he's

768
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,200
Speaker 1: my wide receiver twenty two right now, he's twenty four consensus,

769
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: so's he's there. But another guy, I just think we

770
00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 1: might be seeing a monster game sooner or later from him.

771
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:39,359
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, love me some Drake London Huiloa. Well we're

772
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 2: on the same guy, so I'll let you pick this

773
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 2: one first.

774
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: Oh h Terry mclaurran, Man, I mean, I love hi

775
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:49,279
Speaker 1: me some some scary Terry. But this Washington receiving court

776
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 1: is just crowded right now because Curtis Samuel's bawling out.

777
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz just seems to be having some difficult to

778
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,040
Speaker 1: get in the ball outside. You know a lot of

779
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:03,439
Speaker 1: production to Samuel where Dotson and mclauren's target rates are down,

780
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 1: but Dotson's been masking it with touchdowns. Mclauren hasn't. But

781
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 1: mclaurin's target per route is just eleven percent. And that's

782
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:14,239
Speaker 1: worrisome because you know, Dotson is a legit talent and

783
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 1: he ran, He was on the field every snap last week.

784
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 1: He played more snaps than mclauren in terms of the

785
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 1: route in the pass plays anyway. And then Curtis Samuel,

786
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 1: he's out here getting carries, he's out here getting targets.

787
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 1: Logan Thomas is getting healthier, called a touchdown last week,

788
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 1: still got Gibson and a chissic. So it's getting a

789
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: lot more crowded, and mclaurin's target per route is going down,

790
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 1: and that's exactly what we don't want to see. And

791
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 1: by the way, Darius Slay, that's that's who he's going

792
00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:46,320
Speaker 1: up against. So last year and two meetings he fifty

793
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 1: one scoreless yards and seventy one scoreless yards and Slay

794
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 1: is the number one graded corner in PFF through two weeks.

795
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 2: Yep, ditto. And yeah, just with Samuel and Dotson stepping up,

796
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:01,359
Speaker 2: mclaurin's more of a you know, I risk reward high

797
00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: end wide receiver three I would say this week, Yeah,

798
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 2: just kind of gonna be the downfill threat, so he

799
00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 2: might give some Mike Williams vibes in the meantime until

800
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 2: and unless somebody gets hurt. Plus, you know, Logan Thomas

801
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 2: is only get healthier, run more routes going forward, So

802
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 2: it's just crowded. Carson Wentz isn't gonna be able to

803
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 2: throw for three hundred yards and three touchdowns every game.

804
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,320
Speaker 2: They're not going to be facing the Lions and Jaguars

805
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 2: every game. So yeah, definitely a scary start for scary Terry.

806
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 1: What do you got for the prop?

807
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:29,600
Speaker 2: So you're gonna like this one? I think I already

808
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 2: know who you're gonna go. But both of these rookies

809
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:35,319
Speaker 2: had breakout weeks, So I want you to pick which

810
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,760
Speaker 2: rookie wide receiver gets more receiving yards this week. Garrett

811
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 2: Wilson or I should have said Drake, I should say

812
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 2: grip On here, but I'm gonna say Chris olave Oh.

813
00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:47,279
Speaker 1: Why they had a big game last week, right.

814
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 2: They both broke out in their white, you know, crowded

815
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 2: wide receiver rooms, So I thought that we might have

816
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 2: similar projections, But it sounds like you're much much higher

817
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 2: on Wilson, and rightfully so. But I think both are

818
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 2: you know, on the wide receiver three radar now even

819
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 2: with you know the crowded wide receiver rooms.

820
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 1: Yes, I'm yeah, I am lower on o'lave. I have

821
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:11,720
Speaker 1: Wilson right around four for fifty whereas I have Olave

822
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,799
Speaker 1: at about three and a half for forty eight. So

823
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: a lot of that is just due to you know,

824
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 1: he's still running routes with Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry.

825
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: So I just think it's a little bit it's gonna

826
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: be a little bit tougher for him to get as

827
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,720
Speaker 1: many targets. Like his target perroute rate is twenty two percent,

828
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 1: whereas Wilson's is thirty one percent. And I'm also I

829
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 1: believe I'm projecting these Saints for West passes than Flacco

830
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:40,760
Speaker 1: because Blaco needs a bunch of passes to get yards,

831
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 1: like his two yards for completion is yeah. Yeah, I

832
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 1: have Flacco throwing like thirty seven passes and Winston throwing

833
00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 1: thirty three, right yeah, So yeah, so that that's kind

834
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 1: of the difference if like, their underlying metrics are both good,

835
00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 1: but Wilson a little bit stronger. So yeah, I will

836
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 1: go with Wilson. All right, let's jump into tight end.

837
00:40:59,160 --> 00:40:59,919
Speaker 1: What a shit show?

838
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:04,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, five we got so, I got Travis Kelcey, Mark Andrews,

839
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,399
Speaker 2: Darren Waller. I'm putting George Kittle in there at four

840
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 2: right now, and then Zach Ertz at number five.

841
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 1: Oh, you're just fading Kyle Pitts. It's just over.

842
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 2: Well, I would say it's over. He's I think just

843
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 2: Drake London's emergence. You kind of hinted that is taking

844
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 2: away from Pitts a bit. But I have Pits right

845
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 2: there at six, so I mean he's right there.

846
00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 1: I am. I still got him, I still got him. Four,

847
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,719
Speaker 1: I got Kelsey, Andrews, Waller, Pitt's Goddard. I think that's

848
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,760
Speaker 1: my same top five from last week. But aside from Pitts,

849
00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 1: it worked out. So, yeah, who are you high on?

850
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 2: So? I have Evan Ingram, Tyler Conklin, and Irv Smith

851
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:44,759
Speaker 2: right on that low end tight end one tier. So

852
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 2: I have those like twelve through fourteen. It's discussing, I know,

853
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,560
Speaker 2: but the ECR for them is still outside the top fourteen.

854
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 2: Erv Smith is obviously the most appealing one. You called

855
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 2: that last week. He's back. He's back and his routes

856
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 2: run rate jumped up to sixty percent. I think we

857
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 2: can get it up to seventy maybe eighty. So he

858
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 2: looked good and he dropped that one potential touchdown. Mate,

859
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 2: I made that joke, who needs a thumb to catch balls?

860
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:12,239
Speaker 2: Apparently IRV Smith because he could have had an even

861
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,439
Speaker 2: bigger game. But either way, I think he's the guy

862
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:17,440
Speaker 2: to target in season one because he has you know,

863
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,280
Speaker 2: low end tight end one potential the rest of the season.

864
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 1: I liked what I thought usage drives out of IRV Smith,

865
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 1: but I don't know if he looked good. I mean,

866
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:29,800
Speaker 1: he wasn't really he was not really separating from linebackers

867
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 1: like it. I feel like they thought they were gonna

868
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:37,320
Speaker 1: like catch Philly by surprise with like oh unwishing Smith

869
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:39,640
Speaker 1: and he like he should have caught his touchdown so

870
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:41,320
Speaker 1: right that everything would have been a point.

871
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 2: His underlying usage was good. Yeah's still an athletic freak

872
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,520
Speaker 2: in many ways, so that could just be rust. He

873
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 2: hasn't played in you know, two years. I feel like

874
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 2: he didn't play in the preseason, so that could be rusted.

875
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:55,319
Speaker 2: I think, like, who else are you gonna have in

876
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: your top twelve right now? He's kind of taken advantage

877
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 2: of the shit show that is the tight end position.

878
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,320
Speaker 2: He's just a guy that probably has the most upside

879
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:05,080
Speaker 2: in this range.

880
00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:08,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's a guy. It's no, it's it's It makes

881
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:12,120
Speaker 1: a lot of sense and the matchup is great. So yeah,

882
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:16,160
Speaker 1: I am high on Tyra Higby. I have him tight

883
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,040
Speaker 1: end six because like you said, there's somebody's gotta be there,

884
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 1: and his consensus tight end nine. You know, I think

885
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:25,520
Speaker 1: we are both pretty high on Higbe entering the season,

886
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 1: just because with these tight ends, you're really just looking

887
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 1: for guys who are gonna run routes and are attached

888
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:35,479
Speaker 1: to quarterbacks who are going to be successful. And Tyra

889
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:39,280
Speaker 1: Higby is that guy. You know. He's attached to Matthew

890
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:42,760
Speaker 1: Stafford and he's been running a route about eighty seven

891
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:45,799
Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the dropback, so not really past

892
00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: blocking at all. He's usually in the routes they're not

893
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 1: we really leaving guys in the block. His target per

894
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 1: route run rate this year is twenty four percent, and

895
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 1: my prior coming into the year was around eighteen percent.

896
00:43:56,280 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 1: So that's kicking up for Higbee. I haven't projected for

897
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:04,880
Speaker 1: four point three catches for forty two yards in point

898
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,480
Speaker 1: three five touchdowns this week, which it's a lot of

899
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 1: tight ends in that same range, but that point three

900
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:12,960
Speaker 1: five touchdowns is higher than pretty much any tight end

901
00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 1: under him, just because the Rams, you know, they're going

902
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 1: against the Cargos, the totals like fifty one to fifty two,

903
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 1: expect the expecting a high scoring game for them, and

904
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,760
Speaker 1: I will you know, I'll mentioned Dawson Knox as well,

905
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,920
Speaker 1: just because he's got to come through at some point, right,

906
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 1: Like it's like it's like he's been quiet to start

907
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:36,160
Speaker 1: the year. But Josh Allen, I mean he's been like

908
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: the forgotten one. It's like in Week one and two,

909
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 1: you had Digs. Week one, you had Gabe Davis, Koomerow

910
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,160
Speaker 1: was ball in lat Week two. I just think he's

911
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,720
Speaker 1: gonna ge Dawson Knox like two three touchdowns at some point.

912
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 1: And Miami's twentieth and dvo against tight ends. They do

913
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:54,600
Speaker 1: have Xavi and Howard on the outside do like their safeties,

914
00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: but I mean, Knox is not like he can he

915
00:44:56,800 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 1: can just body up anybody. So I'll mention him just

916
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:02,799
Speaker 1: because you're the guy that we all had like consensus

917
00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:05,439
Speaker 1: in the top he was at tighten nine to ten

918
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: and he's now he's kind of forgotten, so I'm expecting

919
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 1: him to have a big game.

920
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 2: Who you won, Logan Thomas. I'm at tight end eighteen

921
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 2: right now versus e Ciarra's tight end twelve, which is surprising.

922
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:21,239
Speaker 2: But his rots round rate stayed at fifty eight percent unfortunately,

923
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,600
Speaker 2: so maybe he's not quite one hundred percent yet. I'm

924
00:45:24,600 --> 00:45:26,359
Speaker 2: going to have to see his playing time go up

925
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 2: over seventy percent before I can treat him like a

926
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:30,759
Speaker 2: low end tight end one, similar to what you said

927
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:34,080
Speaker 2: with Terry McLaurin. You know, with Curtis Samuel and Johan

928
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 2: Dotson stepping up, it's it's really tough to come by

929
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 2: targets in this offense, at least consistent ones. So, like

930
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:41,680
Speaker 2: I said, right now, Logan Thomas is more of a

931
00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 2: mid range tight end two than a low end tight

932
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:44,680
Speaker 2: end one.

933
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:47,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Logan Thomas, he's not running the He used to

934
00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:49,000
Speaker 1: run like ninety percent of the.

935
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 2: Ninety five percent or something.

936
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:53,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, and now it's kind of more like a two

937
00:45:53,480 --> 00:45:56,520
Speaker 1: to one. You know, he he'll play two and Bates

938
00:45:56,560 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 1: gets one for me. I am low on Pat Fryer

939
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:03,160
Speaker 1: and Uh, I don't like the player, but we're talking

940
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,960
Speaker 1: again tight ends. You're really just hoping for a touchdown

941
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:07,799
Speaker 1: if you're not if you don't have like a top

942
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 1: five guy and briar Mouth this week is the consensus

943
00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 1: tight end six. But Pittsburgh and I like Pittsburgh this

944
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:16,399
Speaker 1: week it's it's a Tomlin spot. You know they're coming

945
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 1: off a loss, they're an underdog. Uh, they're going on

946
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 1: the road convision game like perfect Pittsburgh spot. But still

947
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:26,880
Speaker 1: the totals like thirty eight in this game, it's gonna

948
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 1: be windy. Uh, you know, everyone's hurt for everybody, Like

949
00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:34,479
Speaker 1: this is gonna be an ugly game, I think, And uh,

950
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 1: not really a game where like his touchdown projection is maximized.

951
00:46:39,680 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 1: Select for example, I have him nearly the same catches

952
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 1: in yards as Higby, like four for forty, but zero

953
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 1: point two nine touchdowns and whereas Higby has point three five. So, uh,

954
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:51,320
Speaker 1: you know, just not a game where I'm expecting a

955
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 1: lot of touchdowns from Mitch Trubisky.

956
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:58,279
Speaker 2: Like so tight end pro Oh great, what do you got?

957
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 1: We gotta go to cows Man. Everyone's under in okay,

958
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 1: everyone's wondering what's going on with Kyle Pitts. Where's he at?

959
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:13,400
Speaker 1: I am going to set his receiving yardage prop at

960
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:14,480
Speaker 1: and a half.

961
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:16,680
Speaker 2: I had fifty and a half in my head, so

962
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to go with the under. Yeah, I'm

963
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 2: not that down on Kyle Pitts as a player. Again,

964
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 2: it's the ascension of Drake London and I think that

965
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 2: this is a matchup where Clarrel Patterson could thrive. You know,

966
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:34,040
Speaker 2: the Seahawks are very prone, very vulnerable to pass catching backs,

967
00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:36,919
Speaker 2: so it could be a Sea Pac game. Man. Yeah,

968
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 2: I'm not I'm not low one pits going forward, but

969
00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:41,439
Speaker 2: this week give me the under. I just think Drake

970
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:44,319
Speaker 2: London's too good. So he's he's definitely eating into his

971
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 2: target chair going forward. Yeah, very good line, very good line.

972
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 2: I have it.

973
00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it right around right around fifty three

974
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 1: and for the average. But I kept it there because,

975
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:57,160
Speaker 1: you know, I feel like he's also kind of due

976
00:47:57,200 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 1: for some regression. He's only averaging nine and a half

977
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 1: yards perception this year, so.

978
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:05,279
Speaker 2: Guys for catching up his targets per route run rate

979
00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 2: should absolutely go. If it doesn't, somebody should get fired there.

980
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,440
Speaker 2: So I'm you know, I'm projecting closer to twenty two

981
00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:14,560
Speaker 2: percent targets per out run ray Are you similar to that?

982
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:15,600
Speaker 1: Yeah? Twenty one to five.

983
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 2: Oh okay, so we're similar. Maybe I just have less

984
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:18,960
Speaker 2: passing hours to go around.

985
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, probably because I'm pretty high on Mariota. I have.

986
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:23,280
Speaker 1: I have them for two seventeen.

987
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 2: Seventeen too. All Right, anyways, see you next week.

988
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:30,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is going to do it for the week

989
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:36,160
Speaker 1: three Action Network Projections podcasts presented by FanDuel. Be sure

990
00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 1: to check out Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker.

991
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 1: You can find me at Chris Raybon. You can find

992
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 1: us at those same handles on the free award winning

993
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: Action Network app. Be sure to check actionnetwork dot com.

994
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 1: But all of our great fantasy football and betting content

995
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:55,640
Speaker 1: for the NFL and also our player projections, and we'll

996
00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:57,799
Speaker 1: catch you on the flip side. Until next time, Let's

997
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 1: get thish money strading to

998
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:11,440
Speaker 2: Studing the spading to the state ugan stading straining