1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm Pim 2 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: Fox along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day 3 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: we bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews 4 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: for you and your money, whether you're at the grocery 5 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: store or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m 6 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: L Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. 7 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: It's really interesting to hear about what the market response 8 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,480 Speaker 1: has been like too some of these UH malware attacks, 9 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: and indeed we are going to take a closer look. 10 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: It does look like governments and companies around the world 11 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 1: are getting the upper hand against this wave of an 12 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: unrivaled global cyber attack, but there still are some pretty 13 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: important lessons to be learned up from this outbreak. To 14 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: sort of understand what the implications are, let's bring in 15 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: Michael Coden. He's head of the cybersecurity practice at BCG 16 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: Platina that's part of the Boston Consulting Group. He's also 17 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:07,199 Speaker 1: associate director of the m I T I see cubed um. Michael, 18 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. I want to 19 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: just start with why this is happening now and are 20 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: you surprised that an attack like this, which is considered 21 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: to be the biggest one ever, hasn't happened sooner? Good question, Lisa, Um, 22 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: it's I think it's happening now only because people were 23 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: made aware of this latest vulnerability and the attackers see 24 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: it's done on the opportunity knowing that a lot of 25 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: systems have not been patched. They were made aware that 26 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: they were made aware because of the hack into the 27 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: US right into the release of the information of what 28 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: what c IA was doing here. Um, it's possible that 29 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: you could link those two, but not necessary because every 30 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: time Microsoft issues new patches, those patches are the fact 31 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: that the patches out there is exposing the vulnerability. So 32 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: if you you know, the lesson here really for for 33 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: companies is to install the patches as soon as possible 34 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: after Microsoft issues them. Once Microsoft issues at patch, both you, 35 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,519 Speaker 1: the good guys and the bad guys know that there's 36 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: a vulnerability, and it's it's a race. If you can 37 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: patch your system before they can exploit it, that would 38 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: be great. The statistics are not in our favor. Typically, 39 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: once Microsoft issues a patch within seven days, there are malware. 40 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: There's malware available to that that exploits that vulnerability. Typically, 41 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 1: on the other side, we find that attackers are inside 42 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: our clients systems for up to two days before they're detective. 43 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: You know, I was. I'm sort of surprised because when 44 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: I was looking at the way that this attack unfold 45 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: it's sort of the classic don't open anything suspicious because 46 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 1: that's how it starts, right correct. So, and then you're 47 00:03:02,600 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: actually recommending that people do pay the ransom that they 48 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: are forced to pay in order to get their files back, 49 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: because that might be the cheapest way to recover some 50 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: of their data. Correct. Correct. Um, if you don't have backups, um, 51 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: and then you need your data, Uh, is not a 52 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: lot of money. I hate to say it, because I 53 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: don't endorse crime and I hate to reward the criminals. 54 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 1: But you're you have you're in the conundrum. The lesson here, 55 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: and that's front is make frequent backups of your data. 56 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 1: Make sure that they're um isolated from your your main 57 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: system so that you can go and easily retrievable so 58 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: you can go and get them in in the event 59 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: of the you know, the next ransomware attack that that 60 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: you do get hit by. So, Michael, your clients, have 61 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: they been materially increasing the amount of money that they're 62 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: putting towards cybersecurity recently. And also do you expect them 63 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 1: to only accelerate their expenditures in this front going forward. 64 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 1: I can't talk about our clients, but I can talk 65 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: about general industry trends. UH. The the spending on cybersecurity 66 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 1: has been increasing substantially, UH, and we do expect to 67 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 1: see that going forward. The key here is that boards 68 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: of directors are now realizing that cybersecurity is a true 69 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: business risk, and that's every much of risk is credit 70 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 1: risk is to a bank, or the risk of a 71 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: natural disaster is to a manufacturing facility or an office building, 72 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: and they're beginning to deal with it as a true 73 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: business risk. They've elevated it from oh, just something I 74 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: t should take care of to something that we have 75 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: to worry about as a as a corporation or an organization. 76 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: Are most of them uh, perhaps not your clients, but 77 00:04:57,600 --> 00:04:59,919 Speaker 1: the people that you talk to who might know something 78 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: you can talk about. Do you think that people are 79 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: looking for to to outsource their cybersecurity? Are they looking 80 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:11,279 Speaker 1: to beef up their in house protection. It's a mixture 81 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: of the two. UM Many or Most organizations would like 82 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: to beef up internally, but that gets expensive and there 83 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: is a huge shortage in the labor force. There's probably 84 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 1: a million vacant cybersecurity jobs right now. UH. So we 85 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 1: see a very healthy mixture of UH companies hiring UH 86 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: and training and UH and and then outsourcing those things 87 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: for which they need special expertise. The real key that 88 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: we see is the training. UM. Your your first line 89 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: of defense and cybersecurity are your employees and the kind 90 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 1: of culture they have. The analogy I always give is 91 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: if you walk into an oil company building, whether it's 92 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: a refinery or an office building, there's a sign over 93 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 1: the where that says two and thirty seven days since 94 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: the last industrial accident, and nobody wants to be the 95 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: one who sets that counter back to the hero. We 96 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 1: need the same mentality, the safety mentality, the quality mentality 97 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: that corporations have built into their cultures. They need to 98 00:06:15,400 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: build in the same cybersecurity mentality. Don't lend your password 99 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: to somebody and you can't even though you trust them. 100 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,680 Speaker 1: Don't click on that email attachment even though you think 101 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: it might be an order from a new customer. Well, 102 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: we're gonna have to leave it there. We could talk 103 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: for a long time. This is fascinating. Michael Coden, head 104 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,160 Speaker 1: of cyber the cybersecurity practice at BCG platini in which 105 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 1: is part of the Boston Consulting Group. Let us find 106 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: out what is the latest drama brewing in Washington. D C. 107 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: Tolu l Arunaba is following it all for us, our 108 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: White House reporter for Bloomberg News, who comes to us 109 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: from the White House us to lou Gosh, where do 110 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 1: we even start? I mean, it's like every day more 111 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: build on, but I really want to begin with the 112 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: news of a possible shake up in President Trump's inner circle. 113 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 1: Can you talk about how realistic these rumors really are 114 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 1: and what it would mean. Yeah, after the last week 115 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 1: that the president had, uh, you might not be too 116 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 1: too surprised to hear that he wasn't happy with how 117 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: the week went, how all of his decisions were covered 118 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: in the news media and on Capitol Hill, with criticism 119 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:33,559 Speaker 1: coming from Democrats and Republicans and UH. News analysts looking 120 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: at how he fired the director of the FBI and 121 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: all the questions of that race. So the president is 122 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: looking at a potential shake up. We've heard that he's 123 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: you know, considered making some changes. He said publicly that 124 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: he's considered changing the way he the way his his 125 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 1: operation briefs the press, maybe getting rid of the press briefing. Uh. 126 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: Some people are even saying that a couple of his 127 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: communications staffers could be on their way out the door. 128 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: And hold on, you're sanitizing this to lou. Basically people 129 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: are thinking that Sean Spicer is out. Uh, and we 130 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: have heard we've gotten a tweet from President Trump saying 131 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: that he might issue uh, you know, comments just to 132 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: send out send out comments rather than have press conferences. 133 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: Is that what you mean? Yeah, it's not clear how 134 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 1: realistic that is, but he basically is taking the taking 135 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: it a bit hard that a lot of the criticism 136 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: for his press officials has come every time they've made 137 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: a statement that's been contradicted by the President himself or 138 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: by the facts. Uh, he's saying that, instead of, you know, 139 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 1: expecting them to be perfectly accurate, maybe we'll just put 140 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: out a paper statement with all of the facts correct 141 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:39,719 Speaker 1: and see how the media likes that. I don't know 142 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: if he'll actually will follow through on that, but he 143 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: is looking at some some changes in his communication shop, 144 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: and even higher even his chief of chief of staff 145 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: and chief strategist. Ranks Previous and Steve Bannon are people 146 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 1: who have been reported reportedly on the chopping block and 147 00:08:55,800 --> 00:09:00,200 Speaker 1: potentially could be UM have their positions changed, or could 148 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 1: be on their way out the door in the White House. 149 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 1: Why I mean, I guess I'm trying to understand they 150 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 1: were not from what I have read, behind the decision 151 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: to fire James Comey as head of director of the 152 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: FBI as Director of the FBI um at least not 153 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: in the past two weeks. So what would be achieved 154 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 1: by getting rid of them? Yeah, It's hard to know 155 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: what's in the President's head as he as he moles 156 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: over these staffing decisions. But I think one thing that 157 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: we've seen is that the President has been surprised by 158 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:30,680 Speaker 1: the blowback on a number of different things that he's done, 159 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: everything from the first round of healthcare, which struggled to 160 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 1: get through the House to UH this issue with Jim Comey. 161 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: The president is a newcomer to Washington, and he's hired 162 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: people like UH, like previous who are supposed to know 163 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: the ins and outs and know how how things might 164 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: be received and I think the fact that he was 165 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,840 Speaker 1: surprised by so many different things. It's one reason that 166 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 1: he's questioning his chief of staff and his top officials 167 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:58,320 Speaker 1: about how well they're preparing him for, you know, for 168 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: potential blowback when he makes some of the decisions. And 169 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,440 Speaker 1: he seems to be blindsided by the fact that, you know, 170 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 1: they're not going to go over too well in Washington. 171 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:08,680 Speaker 1: So that may be one of the things that he's considering. 172 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: And you have to remember that he's uh as he 173 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,760 Speaker 1: has he's focused so much on loyalty. UH. These are 174 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: people who have come into his orbit in the last 175 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: year or so, whereas he has his daughter and his 176 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,679 Speaker 1: son son in law who have been much closer to 177 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: him for a much longer time since birth. UM. I 178 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: do want to ask you about a comment that former 179 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: Director of National Intelligence Jane Clapper said yesterday in a 180 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: televised interview. He thinks that our quote institutions are under 181 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: assault and quote by both other nations such as Russia 182 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: and by the president. Can you explain what that means 183 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: and if if he is right, what the implications are. Yeah, 184 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: that was quite a statement coming from the former Director 185 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: of National Intelligence. I think he was definitely focusing on 186 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,240 Speaker 1: the fact that President Trump has called into question the 187 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: intelligence agencies. He's called uh news accounts to be fake 188 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: news if he doesn't like them. He's even questioned whether 189 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 1: RUSSI was a a factor in the election, and that's 190 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: something that all the intelligence agencies have, um have concluded 191 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: was the case. So I think the fact that the 192 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 1: President is questioning so many of our our institutions, from 193 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 1: the intelligence agencies to the media, that's caused a number 194 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: of people who uh see the value of these institutions 195 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: to wonder whether or not um some real lasting damages 196 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 1: being done to them. When you have the you know, 197 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: the highest official in the land, uh questioning, you know, 198 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: whether they have any value and and deciding to sort of, um, 199 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: you know, go against some of these institutions, even institutions 200 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 1: like the FBI by dismissing the director of the FBI 201 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: in such a sort of embarrassing way that he did, 202 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 1: uh and which seemed to happen kind of uh like 203 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: a spur of the moment decision. Uh. Those types of things, 204 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 1: those types of institutions and norms are being thrown out 205 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 1: the window by the President, and I think that's what 206 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: Clapper was talking about, Can I just ask about the 207 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 1: tapes that has have been speculated about that President Trump 208 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 1: may have tape some of his conversations with former FBI 209 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: Director James Comy. Do you really think, from the talks 210 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 1: that you've had with people who have a better sense 211 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: of the matter, are there really tapes. I would highly 212 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 1: doubt that there are tapes of these conversations that there 213 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: is a secret taping recording system within the White House. 214 00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 1: I think this is more sort of the President blowing 215 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,200 Speaker 1: off steam and trying to change the news cycle and 216 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: make a veiled threat at the FBI director after some 217 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,680 Speaker 1: stories had come out about what the FBI director was 218 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: thinking and saying. And I think that the White House 219 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: isn't isn't saying much about this. But I don't think 220 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 1: that the President has installed a taping system within the 221 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:40,200 Speaker 1: White House. If he has, that would be a major 222 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,959 Speaker 1: scandal and we'll definitely hear more about it. So, Lou, 223 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: thank you so much as always for bringing us this 224 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: news to lose. Alorna but is our White House reporter 225 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg News and comes to us from the White House. 226 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: We want to take a moment to let you know 227 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 1: about something new from Bloomberg. Starting right now, you can 228 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 1: use our io s app or our new Google Chrome 229 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: extension to scan any news story on any website, instantly 230 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: revealing relevant news and market data from Bloomberg and other 231 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 1: sources related to the companies and people you're reading about. 232 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: So no matter where you're reading the news, you can 233 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,320 Speaker 1: bring the power of Bloomberg's news and data with you. 234 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 1: It's pretty amazing. Download our Io s app or search 235 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 1: for the Bloomberg extension on the Chrome Store to try 236 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 1: it out. Learn more at Bloomberg dot com slash lens. 237 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: We hear a lot about political turmoil in Washington, whether 238 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 1: it's the firing of James Comee as a head of 239 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: FBI or potential turnover in President Trump's inner circle. At 240 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: what point will some of these developments bleed into the 241 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 1: market complacency that has led to a kind of melt 242 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 1: up of stocks and risk your bonds. David Dietz perhaps 243 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,439 Speaker 1: has some answer. David Eats, founder and president and chief 244 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: investment strategist at Point View Wealth Management, which oversees two 245 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 1: two million dollars in Summit, New Jersey. David, thank you 246 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: so much for joining us. So let's start there. At 247 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:16,200 Speaker 1: what point does the political issues that are painted with 248 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 1: such inflamed rhetoric uh in newspapers across the world, At 249 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: what point will that bleed into the market. Yeah, that's 250 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 1: a great question, Lisa, Thank you so much for having 251 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: me on. Certainly we see that as a critical risk, 252 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: which leads into our fundamental caution on the stocks right now. 253 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 1: We saw tremendous ramp up in stocks post election as 254 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 1: investors priced in the pro growth Trump agenda. UM, then, 255 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: of course we saw was the first failure to repeal 256 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: the a C a UM doubt starting to creep into 257 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: Trump's ability to push that agenda forward. Now, of course, 258 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: with the firing of James call Me and other issues, 259 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: you will start to wonder whether there will be so 260 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: much distraction on an Siller issues that the Washington would 261 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: not be able to focus on any of the pro 262 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: growth items that have caused such enthusiasm on the part 263 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 1: of investors. Having said that, you know clearly it's not 264 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: just enthusiasm over the Trump agenda which is forcing stocks higher, 265 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 1: ironically enough or not ironically enough. Overseas stocks that actually 266 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 1: outperformed the United States this year. Hopefully they don't think 267 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 1: it's all about the Trump agenda. If anything, the Trump 268 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: agenda would have curtailed some UM cross border trade. So 269 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: obviously there are other cross currents. I think we're seeing 270 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 1: them today. I think the fact that China is taking 271 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: some leadership here in terms of global trade also is 272 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: providing a boost to this market. Well, so let's talk 273 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 1: about China and the fact that they have come out 274 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: and tried to present themselves as the new global leader, 275 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: replacing the United States. UH in the wake of some 276 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: turmoil and protectionist hype rhetoric in the U. Asked you 277 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 1: from your fund managing expertise, do you plan on investing 278 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 1: more in China as a result of this move? UM 279 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 1: China per se, we think it's actually fully valued UM where, 280 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: but we liked ancillary place based on in effect growth 281 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: initiatives that are put forth by China. UM, the so 282 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 1: called One Road one Belt would increase trade trade dramatically 283 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: with Europe. UM. So we are investing in Europe and 284 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: tilting in that direction. Why would that be? First of all, 285 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 1: earnings projections going forward are actually stronger than the United States. UH. 286 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 1: They are a major trader with Asia, including China. UM 287 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 1: and also the valuations significantly less. One of the challenges 288 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: to the US market is the near nineteen times forward earnings, 289 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 1: but in Europe that's closer to fifteen times forward earnings, 290 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: and the davidend yields are better. Um. So the Europe 291 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 1: is I think, in a way to take advantage of 292 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: a uh, the leadership that China is showing on global trade. 293 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 1: So uh. One thing that I am thinking about as 294 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: you speak is that last week I believe that mutual 295 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 1: funds in Europe focused on equities in that region received 296 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 1: their biggest weekly inflow ever. So it's not as though 297 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 1: people are ignoring European stocks, and yet you're saying they're 298 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 1: still not fully valued. Are there particular areas in European 299 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: stocks that you think have greater values than others? Well, Lisa, 300 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: first of all, I would profis my words marked by saying, 301 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:38,120 Speaker 1: we think industrial sectors, what you're doing is probably more 302 00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:42,440 Speaker 1: important than where you're doing it from. So, for example, um, 303 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 1: whether you're in the energy business versus the tech business 304 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 1: is probably more important than whether you're based in Dallas 305 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 1: or Paris. So what we like to do is overlay 306 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: those sectors that we find most attractive with those geographic reasons. 307 00:17:54,880 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: For US, it would be three key areas financial, uh, energy, 308 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:04,439 Speaker 1: in healthcare. So we're actually beating the bushes looking for 309 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,439 Speaker 1: the best opportunities in those areas that are European based. 310 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 1: So one question that keeps coming up is are we 311 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,879 Speaker 1: just seeing a continuation of the there is no alternative trade? 312 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 1: In other words, because interest rates are so low and 313 00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 1: continue to be uh and and as central banks continue 314 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:26,880 Speaker 1: to buy vans around the world, our stocks simply as 315 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 1: high as they are because of this, And could a 316 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: material increase in benchmark rates in the US disrupt this 317 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 1: and cause a pretty big sell off in stocks? Do 318 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 1: you think that's realistic? Well? Is yes, and yes, really, Lisa, 319 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 1: I mean the reason they continue to be bullish, notwithstanding 320 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 1: higher the normal valuation is not notwithstanding you know some 321 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 1: distressing news on the political front is you still got 322 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 1: that ten year treasury below two point four percent. So 323 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: in Donwin's pensions, individuals trying to finance kids education retirements 324 00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:02,240 Speaker 1: still think that's just not enough. So every time there's 325 00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: a perceived opportunity pull back, I think people are going 326 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: to continue to push into stocks. So that's the bullish case, 327 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: and that's why Frankly, it's even more bullish in Europe. 328 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:14,639 Speaker 1: Is interesstrated that much lower, even though stock valuations have 329 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:19,360 Speaker 1: higher yields. Um? So could that upset the apple cart 330 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:24,479 Speaker 1: if interest ratement went significantly higher. Absolutely? Um. There's nothing 331 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:27,679 Speaker 1: that makes the present value of any type of investment 332 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 1: more more valuable if there's a trace higher. Uh. The 333 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: one silver lining might be if they're going higher because 334 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,160 Speaker 1: of stronger economic growth, that's probably better than a stagflation 335 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 1: inflation situation. We're just driving interest rates higher. So I'm 336 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 1: looking at a ten year treasury yield of two point 337 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: three or four right now. How high does that yield 338 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,160 Speaker 1: have to go before people start taking the money out 339 00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,359 Speaker 1: of stocks and going back into government bonds? You know, 340 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 1: I don't think there's any one tipping point, And of course, 341 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,679 Speaker 1: even to back that up is I challenge anyone to 342 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,879 Speaker 1: figure out exactly we're in strates are going to be 343 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 1: one year for now, that's a very complicated topic. Assuming 344 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 1: they go higher, I think at the margin that will 345 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 1: reduce enthusiasm for the so called Tina trade. But to 346 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 1: the extent that people are saying, well, that's because everyone's 347 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: going out to buy a new house um. New projects 348 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 1: are getting off the drawing boards and being built, so 349 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 1: they're borrowing money that can help offset that gradual drift 350 00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: up and interest rates. David Diets, thank you so much 351 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: for joining us. David Diets is a founder, president, and 352 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 1: chief investment strategist at Point View Wealth Management, which is 353 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: based in Summit, New Jersey. Talking about industrials as well 354 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,719 Speaker 1: as gas companies, some of his stock picks are Chevron, 355 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:55,920 Speaker 1: Blacks and Smith Klein and a I G. We hear 356 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 1: a lot about small businesses in the U S. Since 357 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 1: they do provide such a big part of the growth 358 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,920 Speaker 1: in this country. But just how dire is a situation 359 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 1: for small businesses? We hear a lot of rudder. I 360 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,359 Speaker 1: can here to put some reality to it. Uh to 361 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 1: it all is Karen mel Senior Fellow at Harvard Business 362 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 1: School in Boston. She also was the former Small Business 363 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:21,679 Speaker 1: Administrator for President Obama from two thousand nineteen. Karen, it's 364 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:23,920 Speaker 1: terrific to have you in the studio here in Bloomberg 365 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,159 Speaker 1: Bloomberg eleven three oh studios. Let's just start with the 366 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,880 Speaker 1: state of US small businesses today. We hear so much 367 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 1: about them struggling to gain the same kind of traction 368 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: as larger businesses, and yet it seems like credit is 369 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,760 Speaker 1: fairly free flowing. What's the disconnect here? What is what 370 00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 1: is sort of the health here? Well, it's always important 371 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 1: to talk about the health of small business because half 372 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: the people who work in this country own a work 373 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 1: for a small business. So I used to say I 374 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 1: went to sleep at night worrying about half the jobs. 375 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 1: So even in a robust economy, which is what we've 376 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 1: been having, you have to keep your eye on the ball. 377 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,439 Speaker 1: You can't um take your foot off the gas for 378 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 1: small businesses or you will have a slowdown, and it 379 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 1: can happen quite quickly. Right now, we're a little worried 380 00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:13,960 Speaker 1: about that slowdown because the recent optimism indexes all showed 381 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:18,360 Speaker 1: a few sort of glitchy moments, and they don't believe 382 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:22,680 Speaker 1: small businesses now don't believe that pumped up economy that 383 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 1: came from the early Trump bump in the fall is 384 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 1: really going to be maintained and maybe their business will 385 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 1: go down. Well, and when you talk about the optimism readings, 386 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 1: what's the practical implication of a decline in optimism among 387 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: small business operators? Well, when small business operators are concerned 388 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 1: about the future. They don't hire more people, they don't 389 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: invest in their business, they don't expand, and the kinds 390 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: of job creation that you might otherwise see from them 391 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 1: slows down. And that can actually have a pretty big 392 00:22:56,760 --> 00:23:00,919 Speaker 1: effect because the main street businesses, uh, you know, we 393 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: don't think about them as the innovation drivers of the 394 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 1: next Google, but they actually create a huge amount of 395 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 1: the jobs. So what does the current administration need to 396 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 1: do to bolster optimism among these business owners as well 397 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 1: as provide a more supportive backdrop for them. Well, if 398 00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: I were in Washington day and I saw this, and 399 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 1: the President was going off on a foreign trip, I 400 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 1: would get all of the domestic folks in the White 401 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,880 Speaker 1: House or in Congress, and I would hatch a small 402 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:35,560 Speaker 1: business piece of legislation, you know, the Small Business Growth 403 00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: Act of twenty seventeen. She's even naming it, absolutely and 404 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 1: everything has a name in Washington, and you know, you 405 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 1: could fill it with some tax credits. Small businesses love 406 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: tax credits, and you doesn't have to wait until some 407 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 1: big piece of legislation goes through. You can do some 408 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:59,160 Speaker 1: things to reduce regulation and signal to the small business 409 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 1: owner that Washington has their back. So how bipartisan with 410 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 1: something like that be what would be very bipartisan. Small 411 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 1: business is the holy grail if you look at UM, 412 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 1: what people can agree on the first is the military. 413 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,879 Speaker 1: Right behind it is small businesses. And I found in 414 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,920 Speaker 1: Washington we were able to pass a lot of small 415 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:26,439 Speaker 1: business legislation because people congressmen go home to their districts 416 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: and they see the small business owner and they hear 417 00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 1: from them. So whether they're Republican or Democrat, they feel 418 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 1: this sensibility and they want to do something for their 419 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 1: small business owners. So why isn't there more of a 420 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 1: push to do something like what you just said as 421 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 1: President Trump to uh disembarks for for the rest of 422 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,399 Speaker 1: the world, He's gonna be away. Why aren't they doing 423 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,600 Speaker 1: something like this? You know, the notion that small businesses 424 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,199 Speaker 1: are so critical to the economy is actually kind of 425 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,640 Speaker 1: new in Washington because small businesses don't have great big 426 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:02,919 Speaker 1: lobby a lobbyists and people watching out for them. They're busy, 427 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: they're just home doing their business. So this time I 428 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 1: spent in Washington, one of the things I'm the most 429 00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,439 Speaker 1: proud of is that UM the position was made a 430 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:17,679 Speaker 1: cabinet level position, and small business really had a voice 431 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: at the table. But sometimes, um, the macro economists and 432 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,399 Speaker 1: others don't get around to putting small business at the 433 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:29,360 Speaker 1: top of the action items, and I think that's a mistake. 434 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: I think we're really missing the boat here, particularly at 435 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:35,200 Speaker 1: a time where it could bring people together and kind 436 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 1: of keep our whole democracy and our whole economy on 437 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: a more positive footing. So last week we had a 438 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:48,960 Speaker 1: former business administrator for UH, former President Bush, George W. 439 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: Bush UH, and he was Hector Barretto, and UH he 440 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 1: blamed some of the distraction that we've been seeing from 441 00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,480 Speaker 1: the firing of James Comey, the former FBI director, as 442 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,639 Speaker 1: well as other things that have gotten a lot of 443 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: attention in the prosidy, so that this distraction is what's 444 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 1: sort of keeping legislators from getting things done. I mean, 445 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:12,120 Speaker 1: do you see that as the reality that basically as 446 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 1: long as we continue to discuss the FBI dust up 447 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,120 Speaker 1: as well as the Russia investigation, there's going to be 448 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: just absolute lack of action from Washington. Well, I think 449 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 1: that's letting politics get in the way of facts. You know, 450 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 1: the reality is that there are lots of people in 451 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 1: Congress who want to do something good. We need leadership 452 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,159 Speaker 1: both in the White House and in the Republican and 453 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party to decide that they do want to 454 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 1: work together on something, and small business would be a 455 00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,439 Speaker 1: likely candidate for that. If they decide they want to 456 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: work together, this is a place where they know they 457 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:53,520 Speaker 1: can find common ground. So, um, you're talking about rolling 458 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,359 Speaker 1: back certain parts of Dodd Frank or at least allowing 459 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 1: it to be a little bit easier. How would that 460 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: help small businesses? Well, one of the first things there 461 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,160 Speaker 1: where there's bipartist agreement on Dodd Frank is to do 462 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:10,919 Speaker 1: something about small community banks. And here we see, with 463 00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,719 Speaker 1: the advent of fintech, community banks have figured out that 464 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,879 Speaker 1: they really need to serve the small dollar loans to 465 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: the smaller customers. And you know, surprisingly enough, these very 466 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:27,239 Speaker 1: small rural banks are getting innovative and they're competing with 467 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: the fin techs. So making it easier for UH for 468 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 1: them to do that and taking away some of the gobbledegook. 469 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: They have seven federal regulators who are all telling them, um, 470 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:43,119 Speaker 1: how to categorize their loans and what to do about 471 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:47,160 Speaker 1: their third party arrangements, and sometimes the guidance is conflicting 472 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: and they don't know what to do. So these people 473 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: want to comply. I do think we can make it 474 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,880 Speaker 1: easier for them to do it real quick. Is there 475 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: one other provision that you think could be changed or 476 00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: tweaked to make things easier for small businesses? Well, I 477 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: do think we need small business borrowerk disclosures. We have 478 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 1: a very vibrant, innovative new fintech community. They've put out 479 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,399 Speaker 1: loans to some businesses who couldn't get loans before. But 480 00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,440 Speaker 1: sometimes they charge a lot of money, and sometimes small 481 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 1: businesses can't see exactly what they're paying. So I think 482 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: protecting a small business owner with some disclosure that would 483 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 1: be appropriate. Thank you so much for joining us. Karen 484 00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:28,679 Speaker 1: Mills is a senior Fellow at Harvard Business School. She 485 00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:32,720 Speaker 1: also was the former Small Business Administrator under former President 486 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 1: Obama from two thousand and nine to two thousand and thirteen, 487 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 1: talking about how perhaps Congressman should get together while President 488 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 1: Trump is on his global trip and try to pass 489 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: some real material changes for small businesses to drive forward 490 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: uh this growth. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P 491 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,840 Speaker 1: and L podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews 492 00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. 493 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: I'm Pim fall Box, I'm on Twitter at pim Fox. 494 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's one before the podcast. 495 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 1: You can always catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio