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Speaker 1: a really good show today. I've got some thoughts about
Speaker 1: the Steelers went over the Titans. Kenny Pickett and Will Levis.
Speaker 1: Very encouraging night if you're a Titans fan. Will Levis
Speaker 1: out played to meet Picket until the very end, and
Speaker 1: then we'll have Chad Milman on Sharper Square. I had
Speaker 1: another winning week on Blazing five tougher week. I like
Speaker 1: a lot of favorites last few weeks. That's not my history.
Speaker 1: But we'll get the Chad Millman Action Network CCO in
Speaker 1: about ten minutes. So there's a saying in football that
Speaker 1: winning is not a quarterback stat and tonight's a great example.
Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett has significantly better wide receiving talent, significantly better
Speaker 1: roster at home, much more support, better defensive front to
Speaker 1: pressure Will Levis, and Will Levis for most of the
Speaker 1: night out played him with a very spartan, very mediocre
Speaker 1: receiving tight end core on the road. This franchise in
Speaker 1: a rebuild with multiple offensive line injuries. Now it's important
Speaker 1: to note because I know we have a history of
Speaker 1: Brady going in the sixth round and Dak Prescott going
Speaker 1: in the third or fourth round and Russell Wilson in
Speaker 1: the third round. Remember, Will Levis was a first round
Speaker 1: He was a lottery talent in terms of arm talent,
Speaker 1: he has a huge arm. Mom went to Yale, was
Speaker 1: a four point college student. He just turned people off
Speaker 1: in the interview process. A lot of the gun show
Speaker 1: stuff to cocky. So he was a first round talent
Speaker 1: that dropped to the top of the second Kenny Pickett,
Speaker 1: two general managers told me and a couple of the
Speaker 1: best guys in the league, Kenny Pickett was the top
Speaker 1: of the third to middle third talent. But he was
Speaker 1: a Pittsburgh kid, and the Steelers needed a quarterback now,
Speaker 1: and it was a bad quarterback class. And so you
Speaker 1: can see when they play. Levis has a significantly better arm,
Speaker 1: a special arm. He's bigger, stronger, thicker, plays with more confidence,
Speaker 1: easier thrower. Kenny Pickett doesn't have a lot of special
Speaker 1: but he's got pickings Deontay Johnson, a couple of really
Speaker 1: good backs, I think, a healthier offensive line. He's at home.
Speaker 1: Winning is not a quarterback stat right now. Obviously the
Speaker 1: great quarterbacks win more than mediocre quarterbacks or certainly bad quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: But you can see special with Will Levis. Kenny Pickett
Speaker 1: has played I think twenty one games as a pro,
Speaker 1: and I think he's had one game with multiple touchdown
Speaker 1: passes that is hard to do with this receiving corps.
Speaker 1: Will Levis has played two games and has won multiple
Speaker 1: touchdown game. This was a big ask for him. Even
Speaker 1: on the final drive, that was a big ask under pressure,
Speaker 1: not a lot to work with. I drove him down
Speaker 1: the field. Will Levis is really really good. And this
Speaker 1: is what I mean about Kenny Pickett.
Speaker 2: Folks.
Speaker 1: It just doesn't take long, you know. I use the
Speaker 1: analogy all the time. I listen to music. I don't
Speaker 1: know anything about it, but if you watch the Voice
Speaker 1: or you watch American Idol, you can tell in fifteen
Speaker 1: seconds who has talent. It doesn't take long, and none
Speaker 1: of us are music executives. I looked it up today, Burrow, Trevor, Lawrence,
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, Herbert Dak Mahomes, Russell Wilson. You saw brilliance
Speaker 1: first year, Jared goffin TUA. You saw brilliance when they
Speaker 1: finally got an offensive coach McVeigh or Mike McDaniel. So
Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett's not going to be getting an offensive coach soon.
Speaker 2: Now. People always point to that.
Speaker 1: Well, Josh Allen wasn't very good in it initially, But
Speaker 1: I went and looked at his rookie stants. Now I
Speaker 1: remember him jumping over people. He was specialist. First year,
Speaker 1: he had ten passing touchdowns in eighteen total touchdowns. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he ran for eight six hundred and thirty yards of
Speaker 1: rushing seven yards of carry. There was all sorts of
Speaker 1: special from Josh Allen his first year, all sorts of special.
Speaker 1: If you don't see it as you get to Thanksgiving
Speaker 1: the second year, and that's the longest you should have
Speaker 1: to wait. Will Levis's first start he had four touchdowns
Speaker 1: and no picks. Four touchdowns, no picks with that Tennessee
Speaker 1: tight end wide receiver corps and that old line. So
Speaker 1: I think you already see Will Levis's talent. And again
Speaker 1: he was a top ten talent arm wise, brain wise.
Speaker 1: People just thought he was off putting in cocky the
Speaker 1: gun show at the Combine.
Speaker 2: People just didn't like him. He interviewed very poorly.
Speaker 1: Remember he was the guy that used to eat the
Speaker 1: banana peelon put Manny's in his coffee, and then a
Speaker 1: couple of teams asked him about that during the interview
Speaker 1: process and he.
Speaker 2: Said, why you bringing it up.
Speaker 1: Reportedly, he was kind of a brusque in the interviews,
Speaker 1: blunts and people didn't like it. Executives didn't like it.
Speaker 1: But he has first round, top ten arm talent, so
Speaker 1: it just doesn't take long.
Speaker 2: People. There's a rule to.
Speaker 1: Me that when you start complaining about play calling and
Speaker 1: wide receiver drops, you have.
Speaker 2: A bottom tier quarterback. Right.
Speaker 1: You think Justin Herbert gets great play calling or Mahomes
Speaker 1: Mahomes receivers lead the NFL and drops. At some point,
Speaker 1: you got to make plays and again, can you pick it?
Speaker 2: I'll get the win.
Speaker 1: But I think if you're a Tennessee Titan fan, you
Speaker 1: got your quarterback. There's no reason to play Ryan Tannehill.
Speaker 2: None.
Speaker 1: Will Levis big, strong, smart, lets it rip, plays with confidence,
Speaker 1: thick kid. I think he got something now. This organization
Speaker 1: like New England can't get wide receiver, right. They had
Speaker 1: Aj Brown for a minute. Now he's an Eagle. But
Speaker 1: I think you got to be really happy. And I
Speaker 1: say this regularly, routinely that I am always rooting for
Speaker 1: all quarterbacks, even Baker Mayfield, to crush it, because nothing's
Speaker 1: worse than watching backups.
Speaker 2: Nothing.
Speaker 1: Look at this weekend in the NFL, I mean there's
Speaker 1: four games I want to watch. Lamar Jackson's in one
Speaker 1: of them, two against Mahomes and another one, Burrow and
Speaker 1: Josh Allen another one, and Dak against Jalen Hurts in
Speaker 1: another one. I mean, we're only halfway through the season
Speaker 1: and there's four games I'm really locked into. And the
Speaker 1: worst quarterback in that group is Geno Smith, who I
Speaker 1: think led the NFL in passer rating last year.
Speaker 2: So mediocre quarterback play is.
Speaker 1: A bad, bad watch. I still feel the same way
Speaker 1: about Kenny Pickett. He'll win some games. It's a great organization.
Speaker 2: I mean, they just.
Speaker 1: Draft and developed so well in Pittsburgh. But Will Levis
Speaker 1: to me, I see special, I see juice. They got
Speaker 1: something there, big strong arm, thick kid plays with a
Speaker 1: ton of confidence. Just get him some help, Okay, Chad Millman,
Speaker 1: CEO Action Network, Sharper Square all right, NBA fans, Bad
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Speaker 1: but it had another winning week two one and two.
Speaker 1: I took Dallas Detroit. On a theory I've been using.
Speaker 1: It's about week three, which is, if you look at
Speaker 1: scoring and you look at what's happening and what the
Speaker 1: referees are allowing, which is more holding that it's really
Speaker 1: separating more than ever good quarterbacks from average quarterbacks. That
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks that are having some success. Last week, the
Speaker 1: better quarterback won every game except Denver against Kansas City.
Speaker 1: And frankly, right now, passer rating Russell's higher than Mahomes.
Speaker 1: So as I say that, and this is a wonky
Speaker 1: week for lines, let me throw a couple I like
Speaker 1: based on favorites.
Speaker 3: All ready to go, let's hear it brother.
Speaker 1: Chad Millman, CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings.
Speaker 1: So NFC teams against Lamar. I like Gino, don't like
Speaker 1: him trailing, don't love him on the road, don't think
Speaker 1: this is the best number. But at five and a half,
Speaker 1: I can see them winning by a touchdown Again Gino
Speaker 1: trailing second half. Baltimore. I believe Baltimore and I've said
Speaker 1: this for three weeks to the best team in the league.
Speaker 1: I think Lamar's my MVP. It's a big number. I
Speaker 1: hate it, but it's one of those four or five
Speaker 1: numbers I'll roll with. I would take the favorite Ravens
Speaker 1: my MVP minus five and a half against Seattle Sharper square, Dude.
Speaker 3: This is a really brutal week. If you can find
Speaker 3: consensus on any game, I will cover your entire betting
Speaker 3: table this week, and this game is the centerpiece of
Speaker 3: the conversation. There is no reason why anybody should be
Speaker 3: betting on the Ravens. We've got two top ten defenses,
Speaker 3: We've got a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who is not
Speaker 3: good at all as a large favorite more than a
Speaker 3: field goal. Not good when he is a large favorite
Speaker 3: at home. We've got a coach in Pete Carroll who's
Speaker 3: great as an under dog against the spread. We've got
Speaker 3: a really good offense, balanced offense in Seattle. And while
Speaker 3: while Baltimore's defense is great, it's not that great against
Speaker 3: the run. So there's no reason anybody should be betting
Speaker 3: on Baltimore this week. And yet, and yet this number
Speaker 3: went up from five and a half and then went
Speaker 3: down to six. So what that tells you is that
Speaker 3: the wise guys came in on Baltimore at five and
Speaker 3: a half and they bet Seattle at plus six. So
Speaker 3: to me, this is a number game, and it's going
Speaker 3: to be about what number are you seeing? Baltimore five
Speaker 3: and a half Seattle at six. I will tell you
Speaker 3: this true story. Sunday night, I'm looking at the lines.
Speaker 3: I decide I do. The podcast The Favorites was Simon Hunter.
Speaker 3: We will talk about the lines that we're going to
Speaker 3: bet the following week. First game that we discussed was
Speaker 3: this game, and we were both like, we know Seattle
Speaker 3: is the right side to this second, I have not
Speaker 3: bet Seattle. I cannot pull the trigger on it. I
Speaker 3: haven't at Balton either, but I haven't been Seattle. It's
Speaker 3: a weird game, dude, it's a weird game.
Speaker 1: Let me throw another one at you. Kansas City minus
Speaker 1: two and a half offul loss, much better quarterback I've seen.
Speaker 1: I think Kansas City's defense is the best in the
Speaker 1: Mahomes era. And I've seen Miami against really good competition
Speaker 1: and really fast, aggressive defenses. They're not the same. Now,
Speaker 1: the Dolphins got there a week ahead of time. They've
Speaker 1: got a time advantage. They are closer than Kansas City.
Speaker 1: But again, three I pass minus two and a half Chiefs,
Speaker 1: I like case off a loss.
Speaker 2: Sharper square.
Speaker 3: Another really interesting one, Colin. You know when you and
Speaker 3: I used to do the Collins Football Show on Sundays
Speaker 3: on ESPN, and I would get certain games where all
Speaker 3: of my reporting, all the numbers, nothing would indicate a consensus.
Speaker 3: Or I would be with you and we'd say, dude,
Speaker 3: I don't care what people are saying. We'd know football too,
Speaker 3: this is the right side, and we'd make an executive decision. Yes,
Speaker 3: we're making an executive decision about the Chiefs. So here's
Speaker 3: a really interesting thing. The Chiefs opened as two point favorites,
Speaker 3: it got that up to two and a half, and
Speaker 3: then all of a sudden, between Tuesday and today, forty
Speaker 3: eight hours, the wise guys have been pounding the Dolphins.
Speaker 3: And it could be because the Chiefs are missing Nick Bolton.
Speaker 3: It could be because the Dolphins got there earlier and
Speaker 3: people are skeptical. Are we having a real conversation here?
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes is one of the best quarterbacks in the
Speaker 3: history of the NFL. Patrick Mahomes a is a favorite
Speaker 3: of less than three points. Where you're basically saying, Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes go in a football game. You don't You don't
Speaker 3: think about this. You just met Patrick Mahomes. This is
Speaker 3: a no brainer.
Speaker 2: Okay, I'll give you another one. Okay right now.
Speaker 1: Since Week five, Joe Burrow minus two and a half
Speaker 1: home against the Bills is completing seventy eight and a
Speaker 1: half percent of his passes. Think about this, It's not
Speaker 1: a seven on seven drill seventy eight percent take out
Speaker 1: September start in October. This is arguably the best team
Speaker 1: and the best quarterback without question. Now he wouldn't be
Speaker 1: my MVP because what Lamar does sort of the soul.
Speaker 1: They're running everything and he's got a bunch of new
Speaker 1: pieces and it's all working. But again, the numbers come down.
Speaker 1: Some say it's one and a half, two, two and
Speaker 1: a half. I'm gonna take Cincinnati. This is also one
Speaker 1: of those rare spots. I talked about this with Detroit
Speaker 1: on Monday Night. The Lions never play Monday night football
Speaker 1: at home, so it's Marty Gras. How many games has
Speaker 1: Cincinnati hosted that are the national TV game in Cincinnati?
Speaker 2: Not many.
Speaker 1: This is really special for them, small market Joe Burrow.
Speaker 1: They want to show off. I like the Bengals minus
Speaker 1: two and a half Sharper square.
Speaker 3: Sharp this game. It's really interesting. This game actually opened.
Speaker 3: The Bengals is one and a half point underdogs. Immediately
Speaker 3: the wise guys started coming in on the Bengals Sunday Night.
Speaker 3: Last Sunday Night, it was at one and a half,
Speaker 3: then it was two, two and a half. Three wise
Speaker 3: guys took a little bit of a taste at three.
Speaker 3: But that's the limit. As you were just saying, sometimes
Speaker 3: this is about the number, right. Everything you just said
Speaker 3: about Joe Burrow is true. This is a much better
Speaker 3: team since the bye week he's fully healthy. Do not
Speaker 3: discount the Bengals defense. Trey Hendrickson is grading out as
Speaker 3: the second best pass rusher in the NFL right now.
Speaker 3: He's got eight and a half sacks, one and a
Speaker 3: half behind Danielle Hunter, the league leader in the NFL.
Speaker 3: And by the way, he's got six and a half
Speaker 3: of his sacks while the Bengals have won for the
Speaker 3: past five games, Like this defense is starting to get
Speaker 3: into a much better rhythm. And they've played together for
Speaker 3: a long time. Their defensive cornery has stayed there for
Speaker 3: a long time. The other side of the ball, and
Speaker 3: we've talked about this with the Bills, that makes them
Speaker 3: a scary team to bet on right now. Matt Mulano
Speaker 3: All Pro linebacker, true Davius White, Pro Bowl level corner
Speaker 3: to Kwan Jones defensive lineman. Like they have lost guys
Speaker 3: at every level that are playmakers. Not just like, okay,
Speaker 3: we got someone who can fill in. They've lost above
Speaker 3: average players. That's a defense that's struggling right now.
Speaker 1: All right, let me give you some underdogs, So that's
Speaker 1: where I'm prone to go. Let me start with a
Speaker 1: game that I flipped on today. Vikings plus four and
Speaker 1: a half at the Falcons, so they're going to Taylor Heineke.
Speaker 1: I'm a fan of Josh Dobbs, super bright kid. I
Speaker 1: think Minnesota's left tackle, two top receivers, head coach, tight.
Speaker 2: End is a really good group. Jordan Addison is popped.
Speaker 1: Yeah, four and a half salt, Dobbs will make plays
Speaker 1: with his feet. I think Minnesota is one of the
Speaker 1: smartest teams in the league. Just certainly unlucky early in
Speaker 1: the season. In recent weeks not as unlucky. I know
Speaker 1: it's a new quarterback, but I've seen this with interim
Speaker 1: coaching changes. You see this this energy. I would take
Speaker 1: the Vikings plus four and a half sharper square.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the sharp side. It's not like, oh wow,
Speaker 3: I can't wait to bet the Vikings this week. The
Speaker 3: number was at five. It's moved down to four and
Speaker 3: a half. The Heinike thing for the Falcons is interesting
Speaker 3: because he's the kind of quarterback that professional betters love
Speaker 3: to bet on when he's an underdog, because he's so
Speaker 3: the variants on his performance is so high, and he's
Speaker 3: will to sling it anywhere anytime. But that's a liability
Speaker 3: when you're a favorite and making the Falcons this big
Speaker 3: of a favorite right now, I think undervalues the rest
Speaker 3: of the Vikings team, as you just said, And so
Speaker 3: the wise guys are in agreement with you, Colin, and
Speaker 3: they would take the Vikings.
Speaker 1: Here Bears now eight and a half again, all odds
Speaker 1: provided by DraftKings. The Saints aren't going to score a
Speaker 1: lot of points. I think they have one of the
Speaker 1: weaker coaches in the league. I like their personnel, but
Speaker 1: I think we have to be we have to acknowledge
Speaker 1: what Derek carr is. Eight and a half is a
Speaker 1: ton for the record. Montes sweat. Chicago media way too
Speaker 1: harsh on that move. There will be no second rounders
Speaker 1: as good as Montees sweat on the defensive line. You
Speaker 1: give up a second you don't for Chase Claypool for
Speaker 1: an elite defensive lineman. You give up a second round
Speaker 1: pick when you have two firsts, you're going to trade
Speaker 1: the second one down and get that number second round
Speaker 1: pick back. I thought Chicago media just there. They've had
Speaker 1: so much shrap through the years on the Bears, they
Speaker 1: just immediately say bad move. I had two GMS said
Speaker 1: there are now Montese sweats in the second round.
Speaker 2: That good.
Speaker 1: Now forget it, and this coach wants to win now.
Speaker 1: I think the Bears plus eight and a half is
Speaker 1: one of the stronger underdog bets. Whatever quarterback plays, they
Speaker 1: both move. Okay, I would take it Sharper square. Yeah,
Speaker 1: at eight and a half, it's the play.
Speaker 3: It's a really interesting game, and it's one of the
Speaker 3: wise guys have been a little bit anxious to go
Speaker 3: all in on. Derek Carr as a favorite is just
Speaker 3: not very good right one five to one this season
Speaker 3: as a favorite and as a team, the Saints are
Speaker 3: not very well coached. I don't think you can go
Speaker 3: in on what happened last week and say, Okay, the
Speaker 3: Saints are back. They're operating as they're supposed to. The
Speaker 3: flip side is the Bears defense, even with Montes sweat,
Speaker 3: is not going to be a You're really hoping that
Speaker 3: the Saints play a ball control game and try not
Speaker 3: to make mistakes and just try to win the game
Speaker 3: and don't get a little bit crazy. And they recognize
Speaker 3: the opportunity they have to play against a defense and
Speaker 3: against an offense that is not going to be able
Speaker 3: to score a lot of points. So I think you're
Speaker 3: on the right side here because the number has just
Speaker 3: gotten so big.
Speaker 1: Finally, Jets plus three and a half. I don't trust
Speaker 1: Brandon Staley, and I do think Robert Salad gets the
Speaker 1: most out of his personnel. The Jets are getting over
Speaker 1: a field goal, so the hook is obvious. This is
Speaker 1: a Jets team that's ugly but finds ways to win
Speaker 1: ugly games and remain viable with an offense that is
Speaker 1: a water pistol. This comes down to trust. I think
Speaker 1: sala is the right coach with the wrong quarterback. I
Speaker 1: think Staley is the wrong coach with the right quarterback.
Speaker 1: I'm not laying that hook. I would take the Jets
Speaker 1: plus three and a half sharper square.
Speaker 3: Boom, love it go. Finally, Finally, Colin, you're looking at
Speaker 3: an ugly game, a home dog getting the hook with
Speaker 3: a quarterback who probably shouldn't even be considered as a
Speaker 3: backup on most rosters, and you're playing the right move.
Speaker 3: It's exactly what you just said. This has been an
Speaker 3: opportunistic defense. They get up when they're playing the best quarterbacks.
Speaker 3: It is a coaching mismatch. It is a game at
Speaker 3: home for a team that has a lot to play
Speaker 3: for still, so yes, please thank you for taking the
Speaker 3: New York Jets at plus three and a half, because
Speaker 3: I was afraid that was going to be the game
Speaker 3: that I have to convince you of. And so now
Speaker 3: if you say, what are you going to convince me of,
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have to look at my notes and be like,
Speaker 3: oh my god, he took all the ugliest games, which
Speaker 3: is impressive.
Speaker 1: Okay, so we do this every week. I ask you
Speaker 1: about a game that I want you to talk me
Speaker 1: into that I have a feeling for. I like the
Speaker 1: Houston tech sense I really really do. I like their coach,
Speaker 1: I like their quarterback, I like their spirit.
Speaker 2: CJ.
Speaker 1: Stroud's come back down to Earth a little. People have film,
Speaker 1: but minus two and a half hosting the Bucks who
Speaker 1: don't have a ton to play for. I think Tampa
Speaker 1: was a cute story, not a cute team. The reality
Speaker 1: is Houston still in that wonky division. I think still
Speaker 1: convinces itself it can be a wild card team and
Speaker 1: really truly believes it. And frankly, I think the Texans
Speaker 1: personnel is a little better than people think. They're just young.
Speaker 1: I would swallow the two and a half here Sharper square.
Speaker 3: No, honest to God, it's all over the place. And
Speaker 3: it's why this number is still a two and a half.
Speaker 3: If there was a real consensus, this number would have
Speaker 3: gone down to two or it would have gone up
Speaker 3: to three. And you can always tell that's the case
Speaker 3: with a number of two and a half, that it's
Speaker 3: settled there on Sunday night has not moved. I bet
Speaker 3: the bucks at plus two and a half. I feel
Speaker 3: like it's possible. The book is out on CJ. Stroud.
Speaker 3: I feel like if you look at you mentioned right
Speaker 3: off the top, Russell Wilson better quarterback rating right now
Speaker 3: than Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, more touchdown passes than Patrick Mahomes,
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson, fewer interceptions than Patrick Mahomes. If you were
Speaker 3: to do a blind who's the QB with just their stats, CJ.
Speaker 3: Shroud and Baker Mayfield, they would generally be the same
Speaker 3: completion percentage, the same, pretty close QB rating, the same
Speaker 3: CJ has fewer interceptions but not a ton and then
Speaker 3: Baker has another touchdown, so you're not getting a huge
Speaker 3: quarterback advantage here. In the past three games, CJ has
Speaker 3: definitively come down to Earth after having QB ratings over
Speaker 3: one hundred in his first three games. So there's not
Speaker 3: a huge consensus here. I could see why you're going
Speaker 3: to take the Texans two and a half less than
Speaker 3: a field goal at home. Probably a good matchup for them,
Speaker 3: but it's not one you're going to get consensus. I'm
Speaker 3: not going to be betting on the Texans, all right.
Speaker 1: Give me an ugly one. You know a team I
Speaker 1: have stayed away from all year?
Speaker 3: Oh? I know a lot of them.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Colts, the Patriots. The New England game was
Speaker 1: interesting to me. So Washington comes off a vaunted rival
Speaker 1: back down to Earth. New England's only minus three to
Speaker 1: two and a half. I think New England's the side.
Speaker 1: So I'm guessing that's the ugly.
Speaker 2: Game you're going to talk me into.
Speaker 3: How about the Carolina Panthers plus two and a half?
Speaker 3: So number one? Number one? The Panthers, they were the
Speaker 3: Colts were. They really struggled defensively. We've seen that, and
Speaker 3: they've consistently gotten worse as the season has gone on.
Speaker 3: The Panthers, meanwhile, made a very specific change, and that
Speaker 3: was Frank Reich no longer calling the place, and even
Speaker 3: in a couple of games, even though it was a
Speaker 3: low scoring game against the Texans, they beat the Texans, right,
Speaker 3: They beat the Texans in Carolina, where the defense tends
Speaker 3: to play better. Now Bryce Young is moving the ball
Speaker 3: more quickly, the pace of the offense is faster. This
Speaker 3: is not an Indianapolis defense that is equipped to beat
Speaker 3: a team like the Panthers on the road. They're not
Speaker 3: that good. You really want to bet on Gardner Minshew
Speaker 3: as a road favorite. So the wise guys are back
Speaker 3: in the Panthers here. It's an ugly game. It's one
Speaker 3: of the few games on the board where people are
Speaker 3: looking at it as a professional better and being like, oh, yeah,
Speaker 3: that's the one I'm taking.
Speaker 1: Finally, I stay away from big emotional TV games. I
Speaker 1: think the numbers right, Philadelphia minus three. I think one
Speaker 1: of the reasons they played poorly last week they knew
Speaker 1: they were playing Dallas. So I think they'll win twenty
Speaker 1: seven to twenty three. Dak's a great home favorite. I
Speaker 1: think the last three games against Philly he's three and
Speaker 1: zero two or nonsense. You know, Gardner Minshew one of
Speaker 1: almost a week seventeen game when Philadelphia emptied the bench
Speaker 1: just for our audience. It does feel like the numbers
Speaker 1: right to me, Yes, is there anything wise?
Speaker 3: Guys think exactly. It is split down the middle, no joke.
Speaker 3: Every single person I've spoken to, they find reasons to
Speaker 3: like the Eagles, they find reasons to like the Cowboys.
Speaker 3: I like the Eagles better coach, much better coach. I
Speaker 3: think they have a better roster. I think they are
Speaker 3: more comfortable winning right the Cowboys. Sometimes you watch them
Speaker 3: play and they seem like a super emotional kid who
Speaker 3: when things are going well like they are the happiest
Speaker 3: person in the world, and when things aren't, they don't
Speaker 3: really know how to manage it. I think Dak is
Speaker 3: a little bit too boisterous for someone who has really
Speaker 3: never won anything, and takes some of these things a
Speaker 3: little bit too sensitively. And I think Jalen is so
Speaker 3: even keyo and so comfortable whether you're winning or losing.
Speaker 3: The challenge is is Jalen hurt? But I do think
Speaker 3: the Eagles as short favorites. To me, it's almost like
Speaker 3: the Chiefs. It's going to be hard for me not
Speaker 3: to take them. If all I need to do is
Speaker 3: win by a field goal.
Speaker 1: They're also a very good big game team, a big
Speaker 1: situation team, the best team right now on fourth down
Speaker 1: and third down in the league, which keeps it away
Speaker 1: from CD and DAK. I think that's a big deal.
Speaker 1: We agree the best fourth down team with Tush push,
Speaker 1: they're now the best third down team and big situational,
Speaker 1: dramatic games. That's an undervalued stat.
Speaker 2: Move the chains.
Speaker 3: You also got to think about AJ Brown right five
Speaker 3: straight games, one hundred and twenty five receiving yards or more.
Speaker 3: The Cowboys secondary it's been playing better, much much better
Speaker 3: than I think people are giving it credit for, given
Speaker 3: the fact they've had so many injuries. But AJ Brown
Speaker 3: is a different kind of player right now. He's a
Speaker 3: guy who's less than one hundred yards behind Tyreek Hill
Speaker 3: to lead the league in receiving yardage because of the
Speaker 3: run that he's on. AJ Brown can make people get
Speaker 3: healthy fast. So if Jalen Hursts is injured, throw the
Speaker 3: ball to AJ Brown and you're going to see how
Speaker 3: quickly this team in Philadelphia starts to play a little
Speaker 3: better and starts to feel a little bit better.
Speaker 1: All right, buddy, Chad Millman, Action Network CCO. Good seeing
Speaker 1: him man, good luck to us all.
Speaker 3: Colin the volume