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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Reading in the court ten seconds ormaining, so you just

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Speaker 1: go show up to the basket. Under the basket, it's

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Speaker 1: the troup for the wind.

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Speaker 3: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 2: I water hit that.

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Speaker 1: One from the parking lot and welcome to the Big

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Speaker 1: Bets on Campus Podcast. I am your host, Matthew Coxshaw.

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Speaker 1: I'm at the rest of the three men, and we

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Speaker 1: have cohorts Jim and Kai. Every morning, here we are

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Speaker 1: again dropping other BBOC episode talking all things wagering in

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Speaker 1: the domain of collegiate hoop. I hope everyone enjoyed your

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl Sunday. It is now officially college basketball's time

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Speaker 1: to shine. Today's episode the usual rundown games of the week,

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Speaker 1: Power mid major level favorite favorites, live Dogs. We'll take

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Speaker 1: out the trash to close it out, and we've been

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Speaker 1: pretty money at taking out the trash in terms of

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Speaker 1: identifying good under trash picks, so we'll try and keep

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Speaker 1: that trend going. But first falls, let's r off with

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Speaker 1: the big games on Monday and especially Tuesday. But I

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Speaker 1: think Monday has sort of the headliner of the week

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Speaker 1: here with Arizona going to Kansas the undercar. I think

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Speaker 1: Monday is going to be NC State at Louisville the

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Speaker 1: Tuesday A lot of action but a per Kem Pomps

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Speaker 1: thrill score Purdue It in Nebraska feels like the biggest

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Speaker 1: bout there. Indy at Auburn. A few others we could

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Speaker 1: talk about. You guys have any strong takes, but I

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Speaker 1: will save Holster some which I think are good spots

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Speaker 1: and good money line live dogs, and maybe a couple

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Speaker 1: of good favorites in there. But first, let's sart off

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Speaker 1: with Arizona. Ku Jim, what's your breakdown of this game here?

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Speaker 1: Kay uses interior defense against Arizona's basically juggernot of a

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Speaker 1: team with almost zero weaknesses at this point.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Arizona's ridiculous. Was sitting with a friend on Saturday

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Speaker 2: watching a little bit of the Arizona Oklahoma State game

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Speaker 2: or like man nineteen and a half, that's the spread

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Speaker 2: okome of States and tournament team right now, and they're

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Speaker 2: up eighteen and a half, They're up thirty five minutes

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Speaker 2: into the second half, Like the team is just a

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Speaker 2: complete animal. Now you've got the fog here that is

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Speaker 2: also a major factor. Fog is a tough place to play.

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Speaker 2: I think Evan Miya has joked Amyakawa on Twitter's joked

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Speaker 2: like that the number one team in the country is

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Speaker 2: fog Allen. That's got to be a challenge here for Arizona.

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Speaker 2: It feels a lot like was it a couple mondays

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Speaker 2: back when Arizona went to BYU Kai and it's this

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Speaker 2: home run spot for a great home team at elevation

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Speaker 2: for BYU? Can they take down the Wildcats? And Arizona

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Speaker 2: got up like fifteen in that game ended up having

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Speaker 2: to hang on late. I think they were only up

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Speaker 2: one bi to the ball with the chance to win.

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Speaker 2: But I just think the interior, even for Kansas with

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Speaker 2: Badunga and Tiller, is gonna be a little bit too

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Speaker 2: much to overcome. It's gonna have to be a home

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Speaker 2: run game from Darren Peterson, and I just think Arizona's

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Speaker 2: got a bunch of length athletics guards to throw at him.

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Speaker 2: You can get a little more physical with Karchenkov every

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Speaker 2: once in a while, rough them up some Bradley's quick

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Speaker 2: Berry's's got size. I think there's enough to bug Peterson

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Speaker 2: and I'm just not really getting in front of Arizona

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Speaker 2: Right now, I think Arizona finds a way here. Maybe

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Speaker 2: it's not the runaway that the BYU game was at first,

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Speaker 2: and this disappoints KAYU fans with Kai like Arizona.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's boy, they're good. I like to take these

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Speaker 3: games and think, Wow, I have an opportunity to bet

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Speaker 3: Arizona at a really short price or as a heck,

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Speaker 3: maybe they end up a dog at Kansas if the

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Speaker 3: market goes that way. And that's tempting because his team

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Speaker 3: might just be as dominant as that Yukon team that

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Speaker 3: won the title a couple of years ago that just

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Speaker 3: looked unstoppable from start to finish. I do think if

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Speaker 3: Zona's gonna drop a game, it's gonna be here, or

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be at Houston later on. This month, Kay's

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Speaker 3: been impressive too, They've won seventh straight. I think they're

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Speaker 3: interior defense can at least stand up to Arizona. Matt

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Speaker 3: mentioned it right off the top, at least slow them down.

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Speaker 3: And of course you have the best player on the

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Speaker 3: floor in Peterson as good as Arizona as Peterson is

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Speaker 3: the best offensive player in this game, and I think

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Speaker 3: the handlers might let him play thirty thirty five minutes. Matt,

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Speaker 3: I think they might. So I actually think Ku takes this.

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Speaker 3: One plus three would be great to get in the fog.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the actual number is going to

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Speaker 1: be here. I'm still recording a little earlier to comminate

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl festivities. No official. Oh, I see a plus

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Speaker 1: two for Kansas.

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Speaker 3: That's probably my limit. If I was gonna go on,

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Speaker 3: KU wouldn't probably recommend lower than plus two.

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Speaker 1: I agree, I think it's I think anything lower you're

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Speaker 1: you're just to Jump's point, there's no reason to force

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Speaker 1: to pay a tax to bet against Arizona as good

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Speaker 1: as they've been as birstals, they've been, as proven as

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Speaker 1: they've been on all over the country.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we state fand will have Arizona juiced one and

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Speaker 2: a half, like gotta pay you one it's one sixteen,

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Speaker 2: when it's one eighteen, and then only one and a

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Speaker 2: half for Ku. Yeah, I just I want a little

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Speaker 2: bit more if I'm going against the top team in

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Speaker 2: the country.

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Speaker 1: There, Yeah, I want like three or more to like

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Speaker 1: feel like the ooh bill self home Dog, to like

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Speaker 1: if that angles, if you're that kind of thing acc

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Speaker 1: NC State at Louisville very fast sating handicap here talked

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Speaker 1: about how Louisville has been kind of a bimodal team

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Speaker 1: and competition not so we're NC State falls on that spectrum, right,

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Speaker 1: Are they in the Duke UNC Virginia tier or are

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Speaker 1: they more in the middle of mushy tier. Obviously been

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Speaker 1: playing better as of late, but we know they've been

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Speaker 1: inconsistent and unreliable. I think it's a good live betting

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Speaker 1: game if you're like, actually like that in this game

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Speaker 1: watching kai. I don't know if I have a pregame

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Speaker 1: opinion on this sidewise, if it's around minus five, I

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Speaker 1: would wager it might be a little bit lower than that,

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Speaker 1: like four. Actually, just I think the market has a

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Speaker 1: pretty high opinion of NC State, given the kind of

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Speaker 1: they feel like a by low for some in some respects.

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Speaker 3: Kind of similar ish profile teams in terms of like

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Speaker 3: resume wise, neither team is beaten the top or well, okay,

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Speaker 3: NC State's beaten one top thirty team in kempom, Louisvill's

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Speaker 3: beaten zero, so they don't have like Marquis Markie wins.

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Speaker 3: Both obviously very good teams both run, both shoot a

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Speaker 3: lot of threes. Both are really well coached at Wade

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Speaker 3: and Kelsey obviously very good coaches. NC State has looked

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Speaker 3: very good lately. We've talked a couple of times about

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Speaker 3: how they're feeling themselves. Recently six wins in a row.

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Speaker 3: Nothing just needs at Their shooting is also just crazy,

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Speaker 3: So louis will shoot the most threes in the country.

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Speaker 3: NC State actually makes them six best three part percentage

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Speaker 3: of the country, number one in the ACC. I think

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Speaker 3: it's pretty real, But I do think this is a

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Speaker 3: game that Louisville can't extend in given the possessions we're

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Speaker 3: bound to see. I think we can get mid seventies

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Speaker 3: up here. I think a transition is going to be

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Speaker 3: hot and heavy. Islank towards the Cardinals gym minus five

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Speaker 3: is probably my limit on that one. That's kind of

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Speaker 3: the Kim Palm line, but ilean their way.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I've been kind of on NC State and OFFENSEY

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Speaker 2: State recently. I backed them last Monday at SMU and

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Speaker 2: per what I'm looking at for team rankings that came

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Speaker 2: close pick I got like minus one and a half

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Speaker 2: and lost, So I you know, line value matters. Folks,

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Speaker 2: make sure you get the right one or do the

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Speaker 2: best you can to do so. But then on Saturday

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Speaker 2: I back Virginia Tech because I thought cocky NC State

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Speaker 2: would take it off the gas a little bit and

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Speaker 2: kind of got lucky for Virginia Tech to sneak in

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Speaker 2: the back door and cover nine and a half ten.

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Speaker 2: This says it closed nine. So looking actually at team

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Speaker 2: rankings closing lines, NC State is five to zho and

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Speaker 2: one against the spread their last six. Yeah, I thin

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Speaker 2: they're playing very well. My concern here is their perimeter

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Speaker 2: defense can be awful, and SMUs sort of lit them

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Speaker 2: up from deep. They gave up. They give up threes

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Speaker 2: at bottom twenty five eight in the entire country. Now

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Speaker 2: you're playing Louisville, who just wants to get them up. Now,

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Speaker 2: part of that maybe helps NC State because they're intior

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Speaker 2: defense is not very good. They don't have a ton

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Speaker 2: of size shot blocking around the rim, so they're just

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Speaker 2: forcing you to beat them with jumpers. But Louisville's is

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Speaker 2: going to be happy to do that. And I think

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Speaker 2: this is one where Louisville's kind of impressive two way

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Speaker 2: dominance inside the top ten nationally in both two point

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Speaker 2: percentage offense and defense, helped by their two point attempt distance,

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Speaker 2: which is really good on both ends. Two. I think

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Speaker 2: they forced their way to the rim, get some easy

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Speaker 2: ones against in NC State. That loosens things up. They

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Speaker 2: start knocking down threes. It's not it would be the

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Speaker 2: biggest Louisville win of the season so far this year.

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Speaker 2: I guess Kentucky's aging well too, but I lean towards

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Speaker 2: Louisville like.

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Speaker 1: Kai, Yeah, I think both team. I mean, Louisville's probably

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Speaker 1: what a six to seven SEA. I mean, they're not

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Speaker 1: all the way safe, but they're safe fish. But this

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Speaker 1: is kind of, I think, a pretty huge game for

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Speaker 1: teams that are, you know, a league where don't have

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Speaker 1: a ton of big one opportunities. You got to take

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Speaker 1: care of business when you got the chances. N C

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Speaker 1: State probably needs a little bit more of note or

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Speaker 1: NC State is five and two against the spread on

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Speaker 1: the road this year. They've been a pretty good road team.

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Speaker 1: They've traveled pretty well, which kind of makes sense with

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Speaker 1: sort of the will wait and how they're arrogance. They

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Speaker 1: like to kind of go in and silence the crowd

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Speaker 1: of opposing team. I think they kind of play with

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Speaker 1: a little bit so well, they have some adults on

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Speaker 1: that team, guys who've been around for five, six, seven years,

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Speaker 1: who've played in every hostile environment you can think of.

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Speaker 2: Colplan's been amazing. It's probably been amazing. Yeah, they've last

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Speaker 2: five games tennisiss sixteen assists, Ninus ninusus like he has

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Speaker 2: been mega table setter and obviously having the shooting that

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Speaker 2: kind mentioned helps because they knocked out every jump verst.

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Speaker 2: All he has to do is set them up then

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Speaker 2: the shots going.

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Speaker 1: It's funny. They're fourteen to nine against the spread on

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Speaker 1: the year. Feels like they've like underachieved, but they've they

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Speaker 1: get a lot of close covers in their cover margin,

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Speaker 1: not like crazy, but they've you know, lil Wade has

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Speaker 1: been a plus EV portfolio this season. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: go to Tuesday. Let's leave with Purdue at Nebraski. Guy,

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Speaker 1: great matchup here, battle of Biggs and I guess solid

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Speaker 1: skilled guards. I wouldn't say either team is crazy athletic.

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Speaker 1: It just feel like kind of a high variance game,

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Speaker 1: right like Purdue's recent struggles to put it lightly, you know,

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Speaker 1: does this feel like you're getting a by low on

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Speaker 1: Purdue here or is this just a weird match but

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Speaker 1: the wind Debraskan kind of space you out there with

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Speaker 1: their inverted big approach and rink mast Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The first question I asked was when's last good game

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Speaker 3: Produce played. They beat their Maryland, so that's probably the answer,

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Speaker 3: which is recent. But other than that, like they're one

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Speaker 3: and eight against the spread in their last nine games,

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Speaker 3: it has not been good. And Nebraska, while they finally

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Speaker 3: showed they were mortal by losing games, they had Michigan

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Speaker 3: on the ropes and they let Illinois in the second half.

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Speaker 3: I think this team is super legit still, and I

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Speaker 3: kind of think Purdue's in trouble in this game. Jim,

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Speaker 3: I think the Huskers are in much better form. I

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Speaker 3: think masten Burke can kind of stand up to the

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Speaker 3: Perdue front line at least somewhat, and the team just clicks.

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Speaker 3: They're so well connected. Sam Hoiberg is a very underrated player.

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Speaker 3: I'm not a big Nepo baby guy, so I don't

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Speaker 3: love the coaches something, but he really does play hard

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Speaker 3: and he makes a lot of stuff happen out there.

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Speaker 3: I lean Nebraska in this one. Kim Palm's got it

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Speaker 3: minus two.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of went starting to handicap this game,

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Speaker 2: thinking I'd end up on Purdue like a little bit

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Speaker 2: more by low, and as I look at some of

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Speaker 2: the matchup stuff, I don't really think so. I think

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Speaker 2: Perdue has struggled badly against bigs that can shoot like

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Speaker 2: Oregon stuck with them. Illinois hit them the heck up offensively.

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Speaker 2: Billodeou hit four threes for UCLA. Their bigs don't want

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Speaker 2: to be out on the perimeter, and Rick Masts can

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Speaker 2: light it up. He's had some games this year where

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Speaker 2: he's made like five plus threes. He's going to fire away.

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Speaker 2: They space it so well that opens things up for cuts.

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Speaker 2: And they've got some bigger wings like Frager. I think

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Speaker 2: is gonna be a problem off the bounce. Lawrence even

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Speaker 2: is kind of a physical driver, and that has really

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Speaker 2: given major problems to Purdue because they don't have wing size,

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Speaker 2: they don't have athleticism that can guard that type of player.

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Speaker 2: And then Sanford has sneakily been like one of the

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Speaker 2: best shooters in the entire country, high volume, over forty percent,

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Speaker 2: perfect fit for this offense. I think Purdue really struggles

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Speaker 2: to get stops and we continue to wonder what's going

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Speaker 2: on with their defense. I mean, that Oregon effort at

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Speaker 2: home was bad. I know Biddle returned, but still then

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Speaker 2: they they were desperate to escape from that game late.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I lean Nebraska to Math. You're not something

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Speaker 2: I'm locking in, but I'm Huskers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. You gotta think what would that Rasca game with

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Speaker 1: against Michigan looked like with mast out there? And it's

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Speaker 1: almost beat him without him, but that would have been

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Speaker 1: a good matchup. Obviously he's a great player, but that

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Speaker 1: sort of piece back against Purdue I think means a ton.

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Speaker 1: Do we have any take on Vandy Auburn? It just

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Speaker 1: I feel like the Prudy Dabrasca game feels like it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be there's some volatility there, but Vandy Aubert feels

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Speaker 1: like man who knows. Vandy's certainly had their recent skid issues,

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Speaker 1: and then Auburn. I still can't quite figure out I

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Speaker 1: was really selling this team hard. But they've been like

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Speaker 1: a lot of sec middle mushie teams that there's been

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Speaker 1: just some kind of good and bad with a lot

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Speaker 1: of these squads. Kem Pom has this like minus one

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Speaker 1: feels like Alabama off the ironble loss in the better spot, Jim,

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Speaker 1: But I don't know Vandy's off of tough loss to

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Speaker 1: you at home, which wasn't great either.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they played like garbage. They says they lost by one. Well,

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Speaker 2: they were twenty one five minutes left. The almost erased

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Speaker 2: it and came all the way back, which would have

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Speaker 2: been crazy. But I can't mistake that for them having

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Speaker 2: actually played well. Yeah, neither team really firing and cylinders

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Speaker 2: thought at Albata or excuse me, I thought Auburn would

276
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Speaker 2: be a very good by low, but their three point

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Speaker 2: splits continue to be just brutal on both ends of

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Speaker 2: the court and sec player there's some thirty percent on offense,

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Speaker 2: opponents are at almost forty percent. That scares me against Vandy,

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Speaker 2: who can really light it up. Tanner was brilliant down

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Speaker 2: the stretch against Oklahoma trying to get them back in

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Speaker 2: India thirty seven. Good lord, it's still good. Yeah, I

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Speaker 2: that one's I'm kind of staying away from it. I think

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Speaker 2: they're validough you mentioned live betting game earlier with NC

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Speaker 2: State SMU. I could see this one being fairly good

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Speaker 2: live betting two. Both teams like to play fast could

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Speaker 2: be a little bit of radic an outcome.

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Speaker 3: It's very hard to picture Auburn losing two in a

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Speaker 3: row at the Jungle, but they've lost four games at

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Speaker 3: home this year. They're clearly vulnerable.

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Speaker 1: And lost five but then Cookman had them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a good point, and I know who the

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Speaker 3: better coaches no offense to see, even Pearl, But I'll

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Speaker 3: take Byington every single day of the week. And I

295
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Speaker 3: think vanderbild has some nice matchup options for Keisha on Hall.

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Speaker 3: Mcloughton I think is a great matchup for him. Murphy

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Speaker 3: worries me a little bit on Auburn's side against Vanderbilt.

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Speaker 3: They're just not a huge team. I kind of like

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Speaker 3: Vandy here lean their way at certainly a plus one

300
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Speaker 3: what kem pum has.

301
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Speaker 1: It's a big turnover battle of turnover forcing possession, tug

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Speaker 1: of war. Both teams really excel at that on both ends.

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Speaker 3: And Bandy really good with the ball too.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

305
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Speaker 1: Uh, let's talk mid majors. Monday. We have a couple

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Speaker 1: of Missouri Valley teams and Action. Actually, every team in Missouri

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Speaker 1: Valley is an Action on Monday, except for our Flames,

308
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Speaker 1: who did not get it done at home in the

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Speaker 1: biggest game in program history over the weekend, and you'd

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Speaker 1: see on went to at Charlestons is sinky awesome tilt.

311
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Speaker 1: I have a take in that game. And then there's

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Speaker 1: a bunch of swack in Southland games Tuesday. We'd a

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Speaker 1: lot bigger, a lot more half to with Mountain West

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Speaker 1: Action eight ten Action, Horizon Action, a couple which we

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Speaker 1: can touch on butt first, any take on any of

316
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Speaker 1: the Valley games, either of you Bellmut at Bradley, Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa ed Murray or probably the two best games bellmanut

318
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Speaker 1: Bradley specifically Bellot's been a dump truck. Bradley has been

319
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Speaker 1: sort of inconsistent, but they're quietly sitting like right there

320
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Speaker 1: at the top of the leader board. It's been a

321
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Speaker 1: lot of middle to bad team merchant team. I would

322
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Speaker 1: say Kai I kind of leaned Belmont in that one.

323
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Speaker 1: I was considering firing. But no official play for me

324
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Speaker 1: any of those Valley games. But I'm just not a

325
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Speaker 1: big Brawdley guy.

326
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Speaker 3: This year.

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Speaker 1: I think they're a little overvalued with some high margin

328
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Speaker 1: victories against bad teams in that league.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and Belmont Rocks they're full two games ahead of

330
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Speaker 3: the next team in the valley, and they're thirty spots

331
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Speaker 3: highering Keim Palm for the next best team. They're running

332
00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,920
Speaker 3: away with it. Game one on this in between these

333
00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:36,920
Speaker 3: two teams, it was close most of the way. Belmont

334
00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,920
Speaker 3: extended late. Both team shot very very well. I just

335
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Speaker 3: think Belmont's more consistent and Bradley's a really tough place

336
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Speaker 3: to play. But I can't go against the Bruins. Man.

337
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:48,880
Speaker 3: They're number one in the valley in both two and

338
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Speaker 3: three point percentage. Their offense is beautiful. Lund Blade is

339
00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:55,600
Speaker 3: a fireball from deep. Definitely lean their way at minus

340
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Speaker 3: four and the other one, Jim, I think Tristan Smith

341
00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,800
Speaker 3: is the key for Northern Iowa against Murray Back played

342
00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:03,760
Speaker 3: a little bit in their last game. You and I

343
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Speaker 3: actually beat Murray State without him. I don't think that

344
00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:08,680
Speaker 3: happens again. They got dominion the glass, they shot well,

345
00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,360
Speaker 3: and Murray shot like piss. So I leave Murray State

346
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Speaker 3: in that one pretty hard. In fact, I'm gonna take

347
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Speaker 3: Murray State in that game.

348
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Speaker 2: Yeah. I watched that entire first game and that was

349
00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:19,920
Speaker 2: like my ultimate. Murray State can't guard anything without Tristan Smith.

350
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:22,240
Speaker 2: They were just getting torched by Nordon and Iow, whose

351
00:16:22,280 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 2: offense is awful. It's ninth in the valley, it's two

352
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,240
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty seventh nationally. They play really slow, they

353
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:31,840
Speaker 2: never score, and they racked up eighty points the very

354
00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:34,880
Speaker 2: efficient performance to one point two two at home. I

355
00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 2: think Murray State does probably bounce back there. My concern

356
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,920
Speaker 2: with Belmont and why I'm not going to bet them,

357
00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:41,680
Speaker 2: even though they've covered five and six and look like

358
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,920
Speaker 2: a wagon, it's still no Nick McClain. Back and Jakwan

359
00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 2: Johnson can like mess up your world. For Bradley, he's

360
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,200
Speaker 2: one of the best on ball guys in the country.

361
00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:52,920
Speaker 2: Steal a rate fifth in the country. He's so quick

362
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 2: and get under you. And if Belmont can't really get

363
00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:57,720
Speaker 2: into some of their their stuff and they turn it

364
00:16:57,720 --> 00:16:59,880
Speaker 2: over a little bit, they're just not comfortable. Maybe the

365
00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,000
Speaker 2: offense doesn't look as smooth, but there's not a lot

366
00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,560
Speaker 2: of reason to worry about them based on their recent results,

367
00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:08,320
Speaker 2: having won nine in a row and ascended right back

368
00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,359
Speaker 2: to the top of the valley by multiple games. So

369
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Speaker 2: the one I like most there is probably Murray State.

370
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,280
Speaker 2: Even with Tristan Smith. Maybe Back is kind of he

371
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,800
Speaker 2: played eight minutes and did nothing, so it's like barely

372
00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:19,760
Speaker 2: counts that he returned.

373
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Speaker 1: It is crazy in the Valley Drake, who I think

374
00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,879
Speaker 1: is becoming more respectable, in SIU, who is better than

375
00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,960
Speaker 1: the record, obviously in Valpo being kind of feisty. It's

376
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:30,960
Speaker 1: like nine really good teams in that league that could

377
00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:32,720
Speaker 1: probably win the tournament. I mean, obviously, if you're in

378
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,760
Speaker 1: that back draw, it's tough, but Indiana State and Evansville

379
00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:39,080
Speaker 1: are not like the others. All right, let's talk you

380
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 1: and you went to at Charleston. This is official bet

381
00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:44,199
Speaker 1: for me. I love Charleston updated. Let's see, is there

382
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,680
Speaker 1: a number out? Ooh, I like minus one. I might

383
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,240
Speaker 1: be betting that live on the show. Sorry, folks if

384
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,480
Speaker 1: it's minus street when you hear this tomorrow. This team,

385
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,800
Speaker 1: as we kind of thought would be the upside was

386
00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 1: always there. I had a lot of injuries, had the

387
00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 1: weird Don con thing where Mac part of Way is

388
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,160
Speaker 1: one of his assistance. There's some frustration, but now you've

389
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:06,399
Speaker 1: kind of got the emergence in parallel with chol and

390
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,400
Speaker 1: Reeves like the two most dominant interior players in the league,

391
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,200
Speaker 1: except for maybe Pat Westler, who will be neutralized I

392
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,480
Speaker 1: think by one or both of them. And they got

393
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 1: Dugan back, which has been kind of a key catalyst defensively,

394
00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:19,440
Speaker 1: and they're gonna need him to sli one of those

395
00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,119
Speaker 1: good wings that Wilmington has. So I just think the

396
00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:24,080
Speaker 1: matchup's really good here. Willington's coming off that loss at

397
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:27,160
Speaker 1: home at Trask, which is a rarity. You could argue

398
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,679
Speaker 1: it's a good spot. I just I'm not. I'm not

399
00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:31,239
Speaker 1: buying into that. I just think Charleston is the more

400
00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:34,359
Speaker 1: talented team here and their their mojo is ascending up

401
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 1: por quickly. So best bet for me, they're kay any take.

402
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 2: Yeah.

403
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 3: I like Charleston too. To your point about them being

404
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,600
Speaker 3: hot five straight covers, nine and three against the spread

405
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 3: the last twelve, you guy, shooting your rush on your side.

406
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 3: They're due for better shooting in the league and Wilmington.

407
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,320
Speaker 3: No one can make a three against them. Their defense

408
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,760
Speaker 3: is very good, but they they allow a high rate

409
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,480
Speaker 3: of threes and Charleston doesn't fall and that's really a

410
00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:58,480
Speaker 3: key against the Wilmington team that gets slimed better than

411
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,920
Speaker 3: any team in the in the Coast. So I like

412
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,400
Speaker 3: Charleston two, Matt, and I'm adding it as an official

413
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 3: play minus one sounds pretty good to me.

414
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 2: Across the board. Make it three. I'm in on Charleston

415
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:09,800
Speaker 2: as well. I've got some futures on the UNC Wilmington

416
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,440
Speaker 2: to win this conference, and the home loss to William

417
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,520
Speaker 2: and Mary that I watched most of the second half

418
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 2: was alarming, and they could not get stops. UNC Wilmington

419
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 2: made eleven threes forty six percent from three. Okay, William

420
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 2: and Mary also did the same thing eleven threes right

421
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 2: up there, but the defense didn't look that sharp to me.

422
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 2: The interior defense especially hasn't been good in league play.

423
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,679
Speaker 2: Westler's a great finisher, like double double machine inside, but

424
00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:35,359
Speaker 2: he's not like an intimidator at the rim, not a

425
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:39,880
Speaker 2: vertical presence, whereas as Matt mentioned, Charleston's got multiple of those.

426
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 2: And they've kind of come together. They lost mister Dean

427
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,760
Speaker 2: to the ACL tair early and Hickman was is he

428
00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 2: going to play or not? They are kind of coalescing

429
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:50,119
Speaker 2: into the team that people saw in the preseason. The

430
00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 2: talent on the roster. They have definitely the most expensive

431
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 2: roster in the league, and Wilmington hasn't gotten some guys healthy,

432
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 2: like CJ. Wester is going to miss the whole year.

433
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:00,719
Speaker 2: Gavin Walsh has been out a great rebound under So

434
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:02,919
Speaker 2: I think Charleston's like a better version of themselves right

435
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,399
Speaker 2: now than Willington is. And yeah, at home, very very

436
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 2: high stakes in this league. It's basically for conference lead

437
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 2: and the edge to win the title. I like Charleston

438
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 2: as well.

439
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna suggest Charleston to win the league futures.

440
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 1: I think a couple books have those out there still available,

441
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,200
Speaker 1: but they do have a tough schedule come down the stretch.

442
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,479
Speaker 1: I think the check the updated sim I think they

443
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 1: have to go back to Trask obviously, which is a

444
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 1: tough place to play, up to go to NCA and

445
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:27,920
Speaker 1: t which is a weird tough place to play. Campbell's

446
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 1: been red hot. I like my roll hump Campbells right

447
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 1: now too. But that's a team on a mission. So yeah, Charleston,

448
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,639
Speaker 1: clean sweep. Let's put it to Tuesday. I don't have

449
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 1: anything officially here. I did want to mention one that

450
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 1: I looked at, and we'll talk up this later potentially

451
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,440
Speaker 1: as San Jose. Actually I'll just hold sex. I think

452
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,160
Speaker 1: I will have official money line play on San Jose

453
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 1: and plant UNILVI who will go through is maybe the

454
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 1: biggest variance monster in the entire country. But anything on

455
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 1: Tuesdays stand out to you, guys from the Horizon or

456
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:02,920
Speaker 1: the A ten Saint Joe hosting Fordham IU Indie hosting Milwaukee,

457
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 1: a couple that I looked at. Just Milwaukee seems to

458
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,879
Speaker 1: be playing better with fields back, but I had nothing officials,

459
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 1: so I want to belabor stuff that I don't have

460
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:11,920
Speaker 1: action on.

461
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:14,160
Speaker 3: I gotta get it, Matthew.

462
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,359
Speaker 2: I get to fade Air Force with the top one

463
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 2: hundred team. I'm gonna do that.

464
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 3: That's a good point.

465
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,679
Speaker 2: Colorado State, mine's thirteen at air Force team. That's not

466
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 2: gonna be impacted at all by elevation. Air Force just

467
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 2: lost by thirty four again to San Diego State. I

468
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 2: know we got burned with Grand Canyon on this show

469
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:34,320
Speaker 2: last week Backdoor Bowl crap by air Force to cover

470
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 2: like the final number with LA that's not gonna It's

471
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 2: not gonna keep me off it again. I just think

472
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 2: that team is a total zombie. Sorry the air Troops,

473
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 2: but they're bad and Colorado State can be very erradic

474
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:46,439
Speaker 2: because they take a lot of threes. They give up

475
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 2: a lot of threes, but they can shoot the lights

476
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,159
Speaker 2: out and if air Force tries to zone them at all, like,

477
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:53,200
Speaker 2: good luck, so will I will take Colorado State. There.

478
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:56,479
Speaker 2: It's thirteen right now at Ken Palm, I'd lay up

479
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 2: to fifteen.

480
00:21:58,119 --> 00:21:58,880
Speaker 3: That's pretty short.

481
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, they dominated for the first game, and that's the game.

482
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:06,119
Speaker 1: I think they got twenty nine Jordansen back, which is

483
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 1: a huge boost. I just feel like they're not super athletic,

484
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 1: but they did clearly. I mean they controlled that game

485
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 1: the first time. So yeah, I'll all right, maybe Jim,

486
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:30,200
Speaker 1: all right, we're going to live dogs last uh toughly

487
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: last week for our recommendations, U I see South Carolina

488
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 1: and Valpo.

489
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:41,959
Speaker 2: Freaking Elijah Crawford man him like the second minute for us.

490
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 2: See that really all.

491
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 1: But still big game team. Need you don't get ejected

492
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: after that.

493
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 2: Whole handicap is this guy's been back, he's been awesome,

494
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 2: and then he's booted from the game immediately.

495
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:57,000
Speaker 1: Uh I got well, I guess sorry, I got two

496
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 1: This week Organ at Indiana we mentioned Organ and how

497
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 1: unimpressed for the Purdue. But Biddle's back, and I think

498
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 1: this is a good value. I'm curious what the line

499
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 1: is going to open here on Monday Oregon at IU. Well,

500
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: let's see, let's show. Yeah, it is opens eleven, so

501
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 1: right on. I think Orgon money is coming hard because

502
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,800
Speaker 1: of the Bill return, and I think the perceived matchup

503
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: that he's a mismatch for IU's front line. Although Sam

504
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 1: Alex is coming off his best game of the year.

505
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 1: I don't think Sam Lexis can guarden a Biddle, though.

506
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: I think I will have to very clearly scheme around Biddle,

507
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,320
Speaker 1: as any coach who's smart should given what Organ's limitations

508
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 1: are this year. But Dana Altman what he just kind

509
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 1: of proved in MACKI the quick trip down to Bloomington,

510
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 1: that's a look for me. I don't I didn't officially

511
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: pull it, but I wanted to bring it up. And

512
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: then also Howard versus Yale. These two teams have played

513
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 1: every year last four or five four years. The two

514
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 1: that have been at Howard, they've been very close. The

515
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,880
Speaker 1: two at Yale have been complete runaways. So this one

516
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 1: at Howard, Nation's Capital. We've always talk about some of

517
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 1: these miax swhack teams getting rare home game against cool teams.

518
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 1: Just the thoughts fellas for your Monday to what your beaks.

519
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm intrigued by Geword for sure. Like I before

520
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 2: I even saw you put it in the outline, I

521
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 2: was like, Oh, that's a weird spot. Yale's like in

522
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 2: a real dogfight in the ivy. It's not like they've

523
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,399
Speaker 2: pulled away the way we thought they would. So that

524
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 2: like one off game going down to DC and playing

525
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 2: at a mex school that should have a very good atmosphere,

526
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 2: like Howard fills that arena. I definitely think that's why

527
00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 2: I I probably won't go money line, but very very

528
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,280
Speaker 2: interested in the plus nine. The other one. It's not

529
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,119
Speaker 2: one of the ones that you brought up, and we

530
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,080
Speaker 2: did kind of like gloss over the eight ten before.

531
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 2: But GW without Raphael Castro has been No Bueno and

532
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 2: Rhode Island well not a team I love is erratic

533
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 2: enough to go in and win there. They won at Dayton,

534
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,719
Speaker 2: they won at Richmond, they won at Davidson. They've actually

535
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,679
Speaker 2: traveled reasonably well. And I don't know if Castro's going

536
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 2: to return. It's a Tuesday game, so this is something

537
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:56,919
Speaker 2: to monitor for people, and I'm not going to lock

538
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 2: it in officially because of that. But if he's out

539
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 2: and you're getting like five five and money line somewhere

540
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 2: like plus two twenty, I don't know exactly what that

541
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 2: would be. That's more of the.

542
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,840
Speaker 1: Converter than That's not gonna have my table up here.

543
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,919
Speaker 2: But I think Rhode Islands at least worth looking at there.

544
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 2: If Castro is out in matt I'm going to Oregon.

545
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, your first one plus eleven, though I'm gonna take

546
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,679
Speaker 3: the spread. They've lost nine straight. They're clearly bad, but

547
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 3: they're obviously way better against PURDUEY because Bill's huge on

548
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 3: both sides and see the analytics will tell you that

549
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 3: as well. They need him to play good offense. They're

550
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 3: the worst offensive team in Big Ten play mostly because

551
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,359
Speaker 3: he and Shell said of an out, but they can

552
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 3: play through him in the post. I think he dominates

553
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 3: Indiana's front line. He had twenty three against Produced, so

554
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna do just fining against Indiana's and

555
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 3: even he hit like one for eight from three in

556
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 3: that game too. I think he really bounces back from

557
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,919
Speaker 3: from distance against the Hoosiers. I think they keep this

558
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 3: one close. I think they maybe have a little bit

559
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:54,160
Speaker 3: of confidence coming into this game. They have nothing to lose.

560
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,440
Speaker 3: They can make the tournament unless they go on a

561
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 3: miraculous run in the Big ten tournament and win it.

562
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,679
Speaker 3: I think I like them getting doubles here short travel

563
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 3: as well as you mentioned.

564
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's you guys are kind of warming me

565
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:07,239
Speaker 2: up to it too, Like, why is this eleven when

566
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 2: ken Pom has it eleven and Biddle was out for

567
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,440
Speaker 2: like five games and they got alacked and tumbled. Analytically,

568
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 2: I don't think it should be eleven. It probably won't

569
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,640
Speaker 2: close eleven considering where it's sitting right now. But yeah,

570
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 2: Indiana's off overtime controversial, actually ended up thinking it was

571
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: the right call against Wisconsin was kind of a trip, yeah,

572
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 2: based on the stepping on of the foot for Wilkerson.

573
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,360
Speaker 2: But yeah, eleven points with Biddle in there, I think

574
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 2: that's too many.

575
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 1: Should be about five to one roughly. I wouldn't say

576
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: anything below four to one, and I think you're basically

577
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 1: paying like a plus eight tax. But again, if it

578
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,399
Speaker 1: closes plus a, you actually that's pretty decent value, or

579
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 1: at least it's closer to fair value. All right, Tuesday

580
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:46,919
Speaker 1: idea of a fishal I'm gonna take San Jose, but

581
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,960
Speaker 1: first I want to bring up Wisconson Illinois and no opinion,

582
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: you guys thought this was intriguing. Wisconsin was the you know,

583
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 1: the way they can kind of spread and shredgion that

584
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 1: they can shoot from the perimeter. They kind of use

585
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 1: that formula. It's Michigan Illinois obviously. I mean their games

586
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: are they are more high variants with the amount of

587
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,639
Speaker 1: threes that they take and allow and drop coverage that

588
00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 1: the matchup was consin Michigan. Wisconsin Illinois is not identical,

589
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: but there are similar parallels where I think Wisconsin could

590
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 1: play well and maybe shock Illinois here. Again, line should

591
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 1: be close to a dozen. I think worth a worth

592
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 1: of thought.

593
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 3: That's all.

594
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 1: I'm saying nothing if there's therefore, but.

595
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I will not be fading. Illinois is so good

596
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 3: a loss.

597
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 2: I don't imagine Keaton Walger is going to take a

598
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 2: second straight poop on the floor. He was horrible at

599
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 2: Michigan State for eight Inside the inside the.

600
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: Art, Yeah, you know, I wonder for wow, the.

601
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 2: Athleticism stuff Kyle we talked about we did on our

602
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 2: Saturday show, Like he gets into the lane against Michigan

603
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 2: State and just got swatted like he clearly couldn't elevate,

604
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 2: And yeah, makes sense, there's a problem there. Yeah, Wisconsin

605
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:54,520
Speaker 2: doesn't have that kind of athleticism, so I think he

606
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 2: has a big game here.

607
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I wonder if NBA scouts are putting an asterisk

608
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: next to the game, given what produced defense can can

609
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,119
Speaker 1: make players look like, all right, I'm gonna fire on

610
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 1: San Jose and I'm trying to find out the stats

611
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 1: for Jermaine Washington, who was back out again. The problem

612
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:10,920
Speaker 1: with San Jose is you don't know who's playing. Ever,

613
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 1: the Kolby Garland was back and univ has I was

614
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 1: trying to run the number they've been they believe the

615
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 1: most in one of the most inconsistent teams in college

616
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: basketball for a lot of obvious reasons. They had a

617
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 1: huge win at home over Grant Canyon. I feel like

618
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,360
Speaker 1: this is such an obvious letdown spot against the Spartans

619
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,919
Speaker 1: and Tim Miles sort of engineering of a sharp shooting

620
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 1: fifteen to thirty type of performance, and they got some

621
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:35,960
Speaker 1: guys who can shoot, and you know, v sometimes we'll

622
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: we'll let you get open and lose dudes, and and

623
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: that Monster's front line that hasn't edge normally. I sometimes

624
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 1: they just don't weaponize it. So I like San Jose,

625
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 1: They're kay, that's how my card. I'm gonna circle it.

626
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: I just think it's gonna be a good value. I'm

627
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 1: curious what this line opens at.

628
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:52,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, lean your way, Matthew. I have nothing to add

629
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 3: in that game.

630
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 2: Just a couple quick thoughts for you. Met Tyron Jones

631
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 2: miss last game for he's.

632
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 1: He should be back this game. I fail. It seems

633
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 1: like he was really close, So yeah, that doesn't that

634
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 1: is important.

635
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 2: But to your point of erratic, maybe potential letdown. Grand

636
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: Canyon had like a much multiple busses of like five

637
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 2: hundred students drove up from Phoenix to Vegas and passing

638
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 2: some quotes after the games look good, that's money in

639
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 2: our pocket, and like helped the atmosphere. You're not gonna

640
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 2: have any Santa Say State fans, trand like traveling for

641
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 2: this it's going to be a dead Thomas and Maxtime center.

642
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 1: Let's go to favorite favorites, and last week we talked

643
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: about a few that were kind of hover. I mean

644
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. We don't need to talk about that up

645
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 1: thirty a half and got ten to run. I think

646
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 1: the last four minutes against Air Force Saneo State did

647
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 1: not cover and Bella was right on the number. But yeah,

648
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: there's been a few of these where there's you know,

649
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: there's been a little bit of favorite fatigue at the

650
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 1: end of these games. We're in the non kind of

651
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 1: you tended just to see a favorite runaway with FOK,

652
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: so I had nothing on my card. I know you

653
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 1: guys like south Land Action more than I do. You're

654
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: both Team Jack's SFA hosting East Texas A and m

655
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 1: that's on Monday. That was the one that kind of

656
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 1: stuck out to me, And then I got Houston in

657
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 1: Utah on my potential watch was for Tuesday, back to

658
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: back games at Altitude for Houston after their big one

659
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 1: at BYU. I think they are the first team this

660
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 1: year to do the back to back road trip, So

661
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 1: that's kind of noteworthy, maybe concerning, but also maybe why

662
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: you get good value against a Utah team that I

663
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: think is kind of a zombie team. Any interest in

664
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: the other these two or any other big favorite shots

665
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 1: you're looking to better, be a bully better, Yeah.

666
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 3: I SFA. Yeah, they rock their best team in the

667
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 3: South Lands. Surprisingly, they have that buffer game in between

668
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 3: the McNeese emotional win. They beat Lamar by ten, which

669
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 3: is right on the number of what it was in

670
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 3: the market. Game one was not close against sex A

671
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 3: and M. They won by twenty seven and I didn't

672
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 3: see anything in that game that it's not repeatable. They

673
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 3: scored easily, they won the turnover battle, the glass battle.

674
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 3: They're way more talented team. They're at home, so I'll

675
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 3: be on SFA as a favorite faite.

676
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, intrigued by Houston, Matt. I don't think I'm going

677
00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 2: to do it because the spot, the double altitude and

678
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 2: beating BYU is a rather large win for them. And

679
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 2: this is a different Utah team than last year, but

680
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 2: Houston beat them at home seventy to thirty six. Last

681
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 2: year just eviscerated Utah, and Utah is pretty weak in

682
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 2: the paint. This year they're small. It's DAWs and that's

683
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,479
Speaker 2: kind of it. Oh Concho battles on the offensive end,

684
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 2: but Houston could eat on the offensive glass. I mean

685
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 2: they destroyed BYU's interior. I grabbed thirty seven percent of

686
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:36,960
Speaker 2: their misses. I think Houston physicality and just overall talent

687
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 2: in the backcourt gives them a pretty strong chance to

688
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 2: do it in that, but I think the angle is

689
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 2: scary enough to stay away.

690
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 1: The other thing here, there's no travel really, right, I

691
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: mean there is, but it's not like you're not like

692
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 1: the Utah at Colorado where you actually have to, you know,

693
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 1: board a plane and fly and play a second game

694
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 1: in altitude. You're not used to it. Let's go to

695
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,920
Speaker 1: spots and I'll start with one that could have mentioned

696
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: in the Favorite Favorites, depending on you guys stand on

697
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: the matchup versus psychological tug of war, The Patino Battle

698
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 1: Part two, Saint John's Kai Monday tomorrow or today PHO

699
00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: listens today. Excuse me laying fifteen and a half on

700
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 1: the opener. I kind of like Xavier weirdly here. Matchup wise,

701
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 1: we saw how they could expose Saint John's in the

702
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,120
Speaker 1: first half, and Saint john sometimes has trouble like guarding

703
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 1: the ball. But when Saint John's styles up their pressure,

704
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 1: that's where they kind of flipped the script to get

705
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: that close win at Centas. Now you got Saint John's

706
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 1: off a huge win against Yukon and maybe Baby Patino

707
00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:35,800
Speaker 1: wants to kind of catch his dad off of fat

708
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 1: and happy win. I don't know Kai fifteen and a half.

709
00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 1: I know this game will be at a its one

710
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty two totals, so yeah, it's gonna be

711
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,800
Speaker 1: up and down. I like the Muskies. I'm deciding whether

712
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 1: or not I'm gonna fire on this one or.

713
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 3: I won't be official with you, Matt, but I like

714
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 3: where your heads at. Zaper's up sixteen. In that first game,

715
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 3: they were cruising to win, and then yeah, daddy came

716
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 3: in and put he put baby to bed is what

717
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 3: he did. I lean away, but nothing official from me.

718
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:04,000
Speaker 2: Jim. I'm gonna take Xavier sixteen and a half. It's

719
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 2: just opened at DraftKings as we are on the horn

720
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,719
Speaker 2: right now, Semester Pook, I'm going to take that.

721
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 3: Yeah.

722
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: The first game was a very emotional thing. It was

723
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 2: Rick Patino's nine hundredth win. They're a whole big lead

724
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 2: up to that, and Richard was like joking, like, well,

725
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 2: no one's making any big deal about me getting my

726
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 2: like two hundred and fourteenth win or something like that.

727
00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 2: He's he's great on Twitter, Richard Patino.

728
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 1: He's Richard's great he's actually a funny test.

729
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, like maybe you get the focus Saint John's effort

730
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 2: because Xavier pushed him to the brink class game. But

731
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 2: I think it's more likely that they're not one on

732
00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 2: a Monday after the Friday night game against Yukon where

733
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 2: they were all in basically led that game most of

734
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,760
Speaker 2: the second half, and I think I think Xavier can

735
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 2: hang around and make it competitive worth mentioning.

736
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:49,960
Speaker 1: We did identify both u Kin and Saint John's on

737
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 1: our spotwash last week, and it did not matter as

738
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 1: they were both looking ahead in theory to their big game.

739
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 1: So maybe the biggest the biggest spots, maybe not always

740
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: as yes.

741
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 2: The other biggest teams are so bad that it just

742
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 2: doesn't matter, right.

743
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: I think the best spot on the board is Tuesday

744
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 1: U n C, who just beat Duke. For those who

745
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 1: were under a rock, pretty crazy comeback. A lot of

746
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:17,240
Speaker 1: questionable coaching and officiating things, I'll say as a sort

747
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 1: of as a as a quasi Duke fan there. Yeah,

748
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 1: I don't know how Duke shot five free throws, just

749
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 1: kind of swallowed the whistle there late, but it.

750
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:28,880
Speaker 2: Was the least the least files committed in a p

751
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 2: five versus P five team in like twenty.

752
00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 1: Years, HATH teams are good about not that was a

753
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 1: little that was a little bit of outlier for me.

754
00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 1: But Miami is now hosting UNC, the former Dukie assistant

755
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 1: Jay lucas part of the Brotherhood Kai the Real Brotherhood.

756
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,520
Speaker 1: Does he exact revenge on behalf of his former boss

757
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 1: in a really good spot with a team that we

758
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 1: know has plenty of talent and plenty of size and

759
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:56,760
Speaker 1: should in theory match up pretty well with UNC health wise?

760
00:34:56,800 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 1: We need to check on I believe did True play

761
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 1: last though? He didn't love my best.

762
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 2: To check and it's personal issues per Lucas, right, you're

763
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 2: left to wonder what's going on I don't know if

764
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 2: there's internal drama there.

765
00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:11,160
Speaker 3: Man.

766
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 1: I think he's super important this matchup to guard Trimble.

767
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 1: I would if he is playing, I love Miami. If

768
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 1: he's not playing, I still like Miami. I just don't

769
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 1: love it.

770
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's a home run spot is it

771
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 3: is the spot of spot you know all that stuff? Yeah? Great? Short,

772
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 3: so short though, I mean they're projected, they're projected to

773
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 3: win minus one kimpom.

774
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 1: It's within the two either way. I batn't see drifting

775
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 1: outside too.

776
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 3: I am very worried that Miami cannot shoot the ball.

777
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 3: And if you can't shoot against North Carolina, could look

778
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 3: scoring against North Carolina. Miami has to score inside and

779
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 3: I don't know if that's possible against this front line.

780
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,840
Speaker 3: They haven't been anybody in top sixty five and kimpom Miami.

781
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,359
Speaker 3: They just haven't played many people. I don't think they're

782
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:58,360
Speaker 3: as good as their record shows. And heck, Boston College

783
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 3: with kind of tooth and nail, I don't I'm not

784
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 3: backing Miami. Jim in a very good spot.

785
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:06,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, they had the three hundred and fortieth ranked non

786
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:10,320
Speaker 2: conference schedule per per ken Pom, and their league schedule

787
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 2: hasn't been difficult either. They didn't have to go West,

788
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,839
Speaker 2: they haven't. They don't have to play Duke at all.

789
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 2: They haven't seen Virginia at they haven't seen Louis yet.

790
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:21,280
Speaker 2: Like this this team is. If you're battle tested Florida

791
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 2: and BYU back in November. That's the battles that they've

792
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:27,040
Speaker 2: been tested. It's a great spot. I just don't trust them,

793
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 2: especially without Washington, and you want guards that are like

794
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 2: killers in the mid range. So they smu had because

795
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 2: that's what UNC's defense forces a ton of. I don't

796
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,719
Speaker 2: think Miami can do that, So I'm going I'm gonna

797
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 2: stay way, Matthew. But I love the spot.

798
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 3: Yeah.

799
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 1: I think Shelan Anderson can kind of be like that power,

800
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 1: that weird powerful middle of the belly of the of

801
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,919
Speaker 1: the the mid range area score that could go off here.

802
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, you're right. The kind of shooting thing concerns me.

803
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 1: It's why they've had to play Malavich and Dort and

804
00:36:57,239 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 1: dove Rat even at times which those guys are one waylayers, right,

805
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 1: so you kind of sacrifice your defense for offense to

806
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:07,440
Speaker 1: make that make that move other notables duke off. The

807
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 1: loss goes to Pitt. Yeah, I just feel like, I

808
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:13,440
Speaker 1: don't know very high.

809
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 3: It's it's really badly What does m have that projected

810
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:19,320
Speaker 3: as fifteen?

811
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, yeah, a sixteen like an hour ago.

812
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 3: Hey, you go to kim Pom that's a.

813
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:31,839
Speaker 2: Pretty wild Yeah. No, I think it was seventy seven

814
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 2: to sixty one. Seventy six.

815
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:36,399
Speaker 3: Someone lost today and they shifted somehow. USC Penn State

816
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:37,399
Speaker 3: must have influenced it.

817
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you Pit lost by eleven at Clemson, not bad

818
00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 2: by twenty ath Virginia nineteen at home SMU like they're

819
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 2: in a murders row in the in the ACC. They've

820
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 2: got UNC on the road on deck. Jesus. I think

821
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 2: Duke pounds them.

822
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 1: We'll see if the Becommings plays. I think he would

823
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 1: be a huge boost. Miss last week for Pitts, they

824
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:58,800
Speaker 1: just don't have any depth. I think if you like

825
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 1: pitt you would take first half. I think you can

826
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 1: be sort of a second half. Put you to bed

827
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:06,399
Speaker 1: against these bad teams. So I would look pitt first

828
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,879
Speaker 1: half maybe sort of an opposite trajectory of the UNC game.

829
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,800
Speaker 1: After you control the first twenty minutes, to the trash,

830
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 1: we go.

831
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:19,240
Speaker 3: What's that smell? It's dings me this trash.

832
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 2: The sweet sweet trash.

833
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 1: The trash is a gold.

834
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:26,319
Speaker 3: Yeah.

835
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,879
Speaker 1: We have the Canecious Niagara under tagged pretty well last week.

836
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:31,480
Speaker 1: I guess our theme here is we're just trying to

837
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 1: isolate really crappy games and do we like the under

838
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:36,320
Speaker 1: or do we like the side, But generally we like

839
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,720
Speaker 1: the under. I love that we get the Illinoi directional battle.

840
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 1: There's no official name for this rivalry. I was trying

841
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 1: to do some research on it Eastern Illinois versus Western Illinois.

842
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 1: The points first, the leatherneck kui, good old fashioned hate

843
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 1: though as we know not so far from the region.

844
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,319
Speaker 1: I think Eastern is the better team. I mean they

845
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,919
Speaker 1: are the better team. That's objective at this point. It's

846
00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 1: like the one time where Eastern will be laying a

847
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:02,799
Speaker 1: we'll see what the number is going to be. But

848
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 1: part of me is a little bit tempted to bet

849
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 1: against a the Panthers as like a six point favorite,

850
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:13,880
Speaker 1: as bad as w Alleny that just like as it

851
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 1: just feels wrong to me.

852
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's one of those things like should this team

853
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 3: be favored by five against anybody? And Western kept it

854
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 3: close than in the first game it is a two

855
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 3: point game. It was as in Charleston. You don't just

856
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 3: walk into Charleston, Illinois and expect to walk out with

857
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 3: a victory easily. Just don't do it.

858
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: If you've been there, haven't you? Did you go watch

859
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 1: Dom play there once?

860
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,359
Speaker 2: I went to see a game in Macomb. I sure did.

861
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 3: Alvin McComb and Macomb Yeah yeah, so I leen towards

862
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 3: Westernoi Matt getting getting the points. The first game was

863
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,799
Speaker 3: like decent possessions and it was one hundred and twelve points.

864
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,160
Speaker 3: It was so inefficient. Uh, these are two really bad offenses.

865
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,919
Speaker 3: Weston oysh to fourteen in the OBC. They've won one

866
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 3: game against a D one team this season. It's been

867
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 3: bleak for Boudreau there. Yeah, I lean towards eleven next though,

868
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 3: as as a five dog.

869
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 2: I believe in Jeff Goodman's job rankings coaching job rankings,

870
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:08,280
Speaker 2: they were the unanimous last place team in the OVC Western,

871
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 2: a league of bad jobs. They were everybody voted them twelve,

872
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 2: which is tough to see. Yeah, lean towards the Eastern.

873
00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 2: Both my parents went there. They're always talking about how

874
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,359
Speaker 2: they hate the leather necks. They can't stop bringing up.

875
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 2: It's a constant topic of conversation. Over meals massive rivalry.

876
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,200
Speaker 2: I want nothing to do with it. I think hopefully

877
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:31,240
Speaker 2: the both bad offenses and both playing slow offensively outside

878
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 2: the top three hundred possession length helps the under because

879
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 2: I think that's what we're probably sniffing out.

880
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 3: Like Matt said, not to believer Matt, but it is

881
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 3: worth noting that Western is like new to the OVC.

882
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 3: They were in the Summit for a long time. YEP,

883
00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:45,720
Speaker 3: like these teams weren't even the same conference for forever,

884
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:47,959
Speaker 3: so it is kind of funny you think it would

885
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:49,719
Speaker 3: be a big rivalry and I'm not even sure it

886
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 3: really is.

887
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 1: I don't think yeah, I don't think it registers other

888
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:55,360
Speaker 1: games that I looked at. It's funny. I want to

889
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 1: talk about Central Arkansas. I don't know how to can

890
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 1: fit them in. It's like sort of like the so

891
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 1: no one is paying it to but they're all of

892
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 1: a sudden dominating the A Sun team they play North

893
00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:07,439
Speaker 1: Alabama on the road. Tony puy Ole team man, Wow,

894
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 1: what a fall from Grace three hundred and forty first

895
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: and Ken.

896
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 3: Poss the worst team of his career. Yeah, n D

897
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 3: one Yeah, I don't know how.

898
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 1: I almost put this in like live Dog, I was like,

899
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 1: no favorite favorite, But I just want to bring that

900
00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 1: up because fun team that deserves some attention and I

901
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 1: think qualifies for a lot of our discussion sections here.

902
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 3: But I think that's it.

903
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:26,759
Speaker 2: We haven't we haven't talked to my favorite bet of

904
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 2: the Monday Tuesday Slate.

905
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 1: What is it? Share it?

906
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:34,279
Speaker 2: BYU at Baylor. BYU has lost five of six, and

907
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 2: a lot of it's been against really tough opponents. Baylor

908
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 2: kind of competed down the stretch. Scott Drew got his

909
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: first ever cover against t J Alzielberger.

910
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 3: It was like pressive.

911
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 2: Really yeah, it was done fourteen with four minutes left

912
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: and the spread was fourteen and a half. I was like, oh, man,

913
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:48,560
Speaker 2: as I was tak going to get the cover again.

914
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:50,760
Speaker 2: I looked up again and it was a one possession game.

915
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,600
Speaker 2: B Yu had a little bit troubles with Houston's physicality.

916
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,720
Speaker 2: That's not going to happen really against Baylor. They're awful

917
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 2: on the defensive glass Baylor is there. They battle offlatively,

918
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 2: but I think Kebaketa has a big game. Kevin Young

919
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 2: had some quotes about like our bigs didn't make layups,

920
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 2: they didn't make free throws, kind of putting them on blasts.

921
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 2: Despite the good games of Right and Demanta, I just

922
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 2: don't really trust this Baylor team playing up. Skilling has

923
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:17,839
Speaker 2: missed that game again, He's kind of been in and out.

924
00:42:18,520 --> 00:42:20,720
Speaker 2: So I will go with e Yu. There it's minus

925
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 2: one at Ken Palm. We don't have a line yet.

926
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 2: Oh it's two now again another one that moved Since

927
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:25,680
Speaker 2: we've been about this.

928
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 1: Frustrated live streaming this. We're obviously someone's got got a

929
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:31,839
Speaker 1: patch and feed. They're hidden that the books are hitting

930
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:32,279
Speaker 1: it alive as well.

931
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 2: I don't know if like the USC Penn State result. Yeah,

932
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,879
Speaker 2: the numbers there, but I'll take b YU up to three.

933
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,400
Speaker 2: It's it's two right now for Ken Pom, but minus

934
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 2: three give it to me.

935
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 3: I'm with you, Jim. I'm taking b YU. And that's

936
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,320
Speaker 3: with the guy that's lost to bets On Baylor recently

937
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,400
Speaker 3: West Ginia, Colorado, and I always say it would be

938
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:54,880
Speaker 3: their third cover in a row, so they are like

939
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,719
Speaker 3: they're playing better. I suppose b YU losing five in

940
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,840
Speaker 3: a row, six of seven, that'd be surprised. Give me

941
00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 3: the Cougars as well.

942
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 1: I thought them there. I don't trust you all you

943
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 1: I know I don't like Baylor at all, but I

944
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 1: be why. It's just been weird to me too top heavy.

945
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 1: Let's recap our picks here. I'm trying to decide. Am

946
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 1: I going to fire on two fringe fancs that I

947
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,360
Speaker 1: had mentioned? Jim, do you want to run through your sleigh?

948
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:21,560
Speaker 1: You got five looks.

949
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 2: Like yeah, And I will acknowledge that I was Garbagio last.

950
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 1: Should recap last week. I was trying to get our

951
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 1: takes around it.

952
00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 2: But yeah, we try to, you know, pop our chests

953
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,320
Speaker 2: out when we do well, and we had for a

954
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 2: couple of straight weeks and then last year our last

955
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 2: week Texas Tech didn't win at UCF Fancy State depends

956
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:39,960
Speaker 2: the number you got with that they did against SMU.

957
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 2: I lost. McNeice was just dumb. What am I doing

958
00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: against SFA South Carolina covered U. I see you had

959
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 2: the frustrating Elijah Crawford thing and Grand Canyon got back

960
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 2: toward h So Arizona, I'm going to back just one

961
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 2: and a half. I know you guys both lean the

962
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:57,879
Speaker 2: other way, but I just a team that good. I'm

963
00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 2: going to take him at the fog. Sorry to Peterson

964
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 2: and Company, Charleston minus one, joining both of you there,

965
00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 2: Cairo State. The Air Force fade continues minus thirteen, b

966
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 2: YU minus two and Xavier plus sixteen and a half.

967
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:14,840
Speaker 2: I think Little Patino competes with Big Patino.

968
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 3: Kai to you love it five for me? Yeah, two

969
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 3: and three last week, thanks Jim. I got the SMU one,

970
00:44:19,640 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 3: So I'll take that one on my record just so

971
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:25,360
Speaker 3: ra but as a as a bowl as a unit.

972
00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 2: Won.

973
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:31,400
Speaker 3: That was really cool and one we actually we done that?

974
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 2: Yeah maybe yeah.

975
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 3: Murray minus four I'm taking against you and I I'm

976
00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:40,320
Speaker 3: taking Charleston as well with the boys Oregon plus eleven

977
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 3: against Indiana U s FA and a blowout against East

978
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 3: Texas A and M. And I'm with Jim on b

979
00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 3: YU as well. Minus minus two minus three is where

980
00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:52,239
Speaker 3: I had to go there, Matthew, I'm going to add

981
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 3: Xavier officially. I just want to conferm. That game is

982
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 3: at the Garden? Correct?

983
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,000
Speaker 1: Are they playing any other conference games at Carnessuckers? Is

984
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 1: it all garden? I think Patinos kind of made that

985
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 1: all Guarden stipulation.

986
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 2: He wants anybody if he wants it, like we are

987
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:05,920
Speaker 2: the New York guest Yorks team.

988
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 1: Which I get I get that, but I'm taking Xavier.

989
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:11,400
Speaker 1: I feel like first has a better play in the

990
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:13,359
Speaker 1: full game, but I'll to not make it cute. I'm

991
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 1: gonna go full game. That one San Jose State money line.

992
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:19,640
Speaker 1: Jermaine Washington, I would like to know what your situation is.

993
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:21,799
Speaker 1: If you're listening, please let me know if you're gonna play.

994
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 1: That'd be great. And then Charleston times too, if I

995
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 1: could plut my first two bet of the year, I

996
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,239
Speaker 1: think that's this would be it. I just feel pretty

997
00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 1: damn confident that they're just the better team with a

998
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:35,400
Speaker 1: real league matchup trending up, still some meat left on

999
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: the bone of value. And that's all we got. Thank

1000
00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:42,280
Speaker 1: you for stopping by college hoops fanatics. Our season begins

1001
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:44,840
Speaker 1: tomorrow or today. If you're listening to us on Monday.

1002
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,319
Speaker 1: Hope you can go to the super Bowl. I hope

1003
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:49,360
Speaker 1: the Seahawks plan. I guess, not that I care. I

1004
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,919
Speaker 1: hope the Seahawks won. But uh, that's all we got.

1005
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:52,759
Speaker 3: Take Care.

1006
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1007
00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:18,600
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1008
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1009
00:46:21,560 --> 00:46:22,400
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