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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up

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Speaker 1: straight Fire, Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday,

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Speaker 1: February tenth. It's Super Bowl weekend. It is here, ladies

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Speaker 1: and gentlemen. I'm exhausted. Woke up at the as crack

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Speaker 1: of dawn this morning after another quasi late night out

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Speaker 1: here in Arizona. UM shaking hands, kissing babies, saying hello

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Speaker 1: to people, acting like I'm the mayor of Arizona. Now

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Speaker 1: I'm just kidding around. I will just say shout out

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Speaker 1: to all the people who have come up to me

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Speaker 1: randomly the last two nights and just said how thrilled

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Speaker 1: they are with the podcast with the herd um My

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Speaker 1: general not rise and that's probably a silly word, but

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Speaker 1: just my general sports takes here over the last six months,

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Speaker 1: I guess I've picked up Steam in some way, shape

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Speaker 1: or form, and y'all love him so thank you. I

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Speaker 1: was able to play some pick up hoops little media

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Speaker 1: game on Thursday, fun run for about two hours. Uh

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Speaker 1: little fox Um, A couple of Phoenix radio guys played

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Speaker 1: a little younger um. The Gottlieb showed up, his nephew

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Speaker 1: came was like a high school I mean he could

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Speaker 1: play hit three straight threes to beat us after we

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Speaker 1: had won six straight games, of course, and I gotta

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Speaker 1: get this him because I was pissed. But I was

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Speaker 1: guarding the high school kid. I mean literally, he's like

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Speaker 1: almost thirty years younger than me, and um, you know,

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Speaker 1: I kind of could pick up his game or quickly.

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Speaker 1: You know, he's a good shooter. I'll let him drive

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Speaker 1: because we're playing twos and threes. I'll get the help

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Speaker 1: on the drive, right, I'm not gonna give up threes.

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Speaker 1: So he drove on me twice and I think scored

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Speaker 1: on one and the other one rolled out and they

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Speaker 1: still put the put back or whatever. So I was like,

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Speaker 1: listen to this one year old. You gotta guard him.

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Speaker 1: I'm done because it's a sixth game. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: get injured chasing around some high school kids. So what

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Speaker 1: does the kid do. He steps it out HiT's three

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Speaker 1: straight threes to win the game. I was just like, damn,

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Speaker 1: I mean the kid could play. He plays high school

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Speaker 1: varsity as a sophomore or whatever. Blah blah blah. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: you don't care about that. You're here for the takes now.

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Speaker 1: It is Super Bowl Friday. UM, Saturday will be a

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Speaker 1: big day here in Phoenix, and then of course Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl Sunday. Nobody has anything going on except Super Bowl parties.

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Speaker 1: I've got to say we'll get to the game breakdown.

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Speaker 1: We have our guest Preston. You guys know him well,

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Speaker 1: he's been on the pod before, like legit gambler. I mean, listen,

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Speaker 1: I gamble early, I gamble often. Um. I had a

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Speaker 1: three and three night, not great on Wednesday, three and

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Speaker 1: two profitable Thursday, it had been a great early week

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Speaker 1: for college hoopes. I think five in a row. I

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Speaker 1: put the picks on Instagram stories. Um, I love college basketball. Um,

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Speaker 1: and it's I have this weird vibe here with the

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Speaker 1: NFL and the Super Bowl is at a The NBA

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Speaker 1: has been bonkers this week and that's sucked up a

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Speaker 1: lot of oxygen and b I don't think anybody has

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Speaker 1: a clue who's gonna win this game. I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people early bet the Eagles on the assumption

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Speaker 1: that Kansas City had some injuries. Is Mahome's gonna be okay?

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Speaker 1: What's up with Nicole Hartman? By the way, Nicole Hartman's done.

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Speaker 1: He will not play. Sneed got hurt. The wide receiving

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Speaker 1: corps was just beaten down. So earlier it was the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: But now here we are. You know, what's forty eight

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Speaker 1: hours a little more to game day, and it looks

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Speaker 1: like the Casey Chiefs are gonna be pretty healthy. So

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Speaker 1: I think that the line's coming back to Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: But there's so many unknowns here and it is kind

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Speaker 1: of tough to bet this game. I mean, yeah, you

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Speaker 1: can get down a lot, but do you feel supremely confident,

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Speaker 1: like you have an edge somewhere, Like, for instance, last

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Speaker 1: night in college hoops, Loyal to Marry Mount loved it.

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Speaker 1: This is a frisky team. I happen to know the

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Speaker 1: coach as his son late a U ball with my

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Speaker 1: son last year, and I know this is a pretty

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Speaker 1: good loyal and mary Amount team in same area is

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Speaker 1: just coming off the big win over Gonzaga. It was

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Speaker 1: it was, you know, I think they were getting seven

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Speaker 1: and a half and they end up winning the game

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Speaker 1: by four. So Leola is now beating Gonzaga and St.

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Speaker 1: Mary's Loyola rises their level against the best. This is

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Speaker 1: a great spot. Now maybe I'll fade him this weekend.

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Speaker 1: But I think that's the kind of edge you can

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Speaker 1: find in college hoops. What's the edge here? Really? Chiefs

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Speaker 1: are gonna go up and down the field. I think

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Speaker 1: the Eagles probably go up and down the field. And

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Speaker 1: I think the over might be the best bet, but

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Speaker 1: it's also probably the squarest bet you can make, right Like,

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Speaker 1: what are what are the squares gonna bet when they

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Speaker 1: go into the casino online, whatever their their local guy.

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Speaker 1: What are they gonna bet? But the over they got

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Speaker 1: at Points Kansas City Chiefs Petrock Mahomes. I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people take the over, and you know, I'll

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Speaker 1: give my prediction at the end. We'll do s bets

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Speaker 1: a couple of props, although I've given out problems throughout

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Speaker 1: the week. Um, but for now, why don't we actually

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Speaker 1: before I get depressed? In one final note, as there

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Speaker 1: was a flurry of trades Thursday morning, obviously, we did

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Speaker 1: the pod with Kevin Durant. If you missed it yesterday,

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Speaker 1: you know, tune in, go back and listen. It was

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Speaker 1: got a lot of interesting comments about it. We'll see.

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Speaker 1: We'll do much more on Katie here in the coming weeks,

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Speaker 1: as he returns from injury. Um, just I'll mention two

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Speaker 1: quick ones because I'm not again this Super Bowl weekend.

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Speaker 1: Number one coming off James Wiseman the Warriors. I had

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Speaker 1: seen that they saved potentially in the next year and

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Speaker 1: change up to a hundred and thirty one million dollars

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Speaker 1: by dump pick Wiseman, that which is insanity. It's early

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Speaker 1: to give up on a on a twenty two year old.

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Speaker 1: I think it turns twenty three here soon. But Detroit's

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Speaker 1: buying low on him. I'm fine with that. Um, it's

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Speaker 1: just weird. You know, the Warriors are not being tagged

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Speaker 1: with this as a colossal with and and I mean

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Speaker 1: I don't you don't want to call the guy a

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Speaker 1: bus But anyway you slice it, the Warriors screwed that

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Speaker 1: up badly. They had a golden opportunity to really prolong

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Speaker 1: the dynasty and they whipped on Wiseman. It should be

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Speaker 1: talked about more, but it wasn't. And if they're losing

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, I will definitely be hammering that point home.

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Speaker 1: The other one, I thought that was super interesting. No,

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Speaker 1: it's not the Lakers. Don't big bat dev from mo Bamba.

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Speaker 1: It's bones Highland. Who you know? Listen this comment to VCU.

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Speaker 1: You guys know, I'm um. I grew up in northern

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Speaker 1: Virginia and I followed Virginia Hoops, I e. James Madison,

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, v c U. I follow it all as

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Speaker 1: closely as someone can living on the other side of

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Speaker 1: the country. Bones Highland can get buckets. The kid is

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Speaker 1: a scoring machine. He fell out of favor in Denver.

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Speaker 1: Maybe he doesn't play defense. It's really unclear why they

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Speaker 1: don't like him, because he's a scoring machine. He's like

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Speaker 1: a Lou Williams type guy comes off the bench and scores.

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Speaker 1: And of all the places Denver is going to trade

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Speaker 1: away a potential six man who's going to play in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs and score, you sent him to the Clippers,

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Speaker 1: a team there's a damn good chance you're gonna face

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Are you serious? I thought that was

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Speaker 1: really dumb. Bones Higland now will be extra motivated, insanely

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Speaker 1: motivated by the team that wouldn't play him here in

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Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, a lot of did not

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Speaker 1: play coaches decisions, a lot of hears four minutes for

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Speaker 1: you as disrespectful to a guy of Highlands caliber, like,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you couldn't you send him to the East.

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Speaker 1: I'm extremely disappointing. I will also know the Clippers did

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Speaker 1: bring back Eric Gordon. I'm just gonna rattle off a

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Speaker 1: couple of ages for you. Are you ready for the

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Speaker 1: l A Clippers Ready? Nick patuone thirty four, Robert Covington

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Speaker 1: thirty to, Paul George thirty two, Eric Gordon thirty four,

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Speaker 1: Kawhi Leonard thirty one, Marcus Morris thirty three? Are you

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Speaker 1: seeing um seeing a theme there as an aging team?

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Speaker 1: I don't know if this last year of PG and Kauai,

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Speaker 1: but we shall see. All right, Without further ado, let's

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Speaker 1: get to our guests to break down the Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: and some NBA talk and some soccer talk. Preston Johnson

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Speaker 1: Jason likes to think he knows everything when it comes

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Speaker 1: to sports. I know what sports dance want, but for

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Speaker 1: everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does. Let's

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Speaker 1: just say I know a guy who knows a guy

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Speaker 1: who knows another guy. All right, Let's welcome back to

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Speaker 1: Straight Fire, one of the most in demand guests we

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Speaker 1: have because he's so knowledgeable on gambling. He's been written

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Speaker 1: about in The Washington Post a couple of times over

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Speaker 1: the last year. He's now joining us all the way

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Speaker 1: from London. I believe London somewhere in or maybe I'll

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Speaker 1: just say parts unknown since he's so wealthy. Preston Johnson,

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Speaker 1: how are you, man? I am doing well. Thanks for

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Speaker 1: having me back on. I'm excited. It's a big week

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Speaker 1: super Bowl weekend. I got in. Yeah, a lot of people, Um,

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Speaker 1: you know, I kind of put it out. There's some

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Speaker 1: of our hardcore listeners who are suggesting names. And you know,

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Speaker 1: we've had some guys on multiple times, so we can't

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Speaker 1: have them on over and over. But you know, we've

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Speaker 1: only had you want to think, twice on the pot.

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Speaker 1: But I am curious. The last time we spoke, you

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Speaker 1: were going through a health thing and I see your

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Speaker 1: i G postings. You've lost a lot of weight. How

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Speaker 1: are things going on that front? Good? Yeah, there was

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Speaker 1: the early stage melanoma scare. I had four procedures done,

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Speaker 1: but over the holidays I got it all clear once

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Speaker 1: they did a body scan on and biopsies on all

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Speaker 1: the stuff during those procedures, and so I'm in a

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Speaker 1: good place to stuff to do, like lifetime checkups every

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Speaker 1: three months. But I mean that's that's all it is.

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Speaker 1: It's not that bad. So yeah, it's great man every

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Speaker 1: three months. Uh, And do you have to like do

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Speaker 1: extra skincare in the sun. You have to wear wide

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Speaker 1: brimmed hats. They tell me I probably should since I

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Speaker 1: live right there by the beach. It's uh, I gotta

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Speaker 1: probably take a little extra precaution. But in general, hopefully

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Speaker 1: you know, we just caught it early and I got

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Speaker 1: lucky that I is able to nice and you would

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Speaker 1: recommended a book the Midnight Library. I instantly downloaded it

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Speaker 1: on audible and buzzed through it. It was awesome. Um,

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Speaker 1: it was a little grim at the beginning the first

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Speaker 1: like the beginning, yeah, I was like, come on, Preston,

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Speaker 1: what is this? And then I plowed through that and

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Speaker 1: got to the good stuff. It's a it's a great book.

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Speaker 1: A lot of life lessons in there, I think exactly.

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Speaker 1: I think, yeah, it's it's a book that makes you

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Speaker 1: think and like contemplate your decision making day to day

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Speaker 1: and macro as well. So yeah, I think I said

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Speaker 1: what I brought it up. It's very philosophical and so yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm super into philosophy. Now, I know that's a cringe worthy.

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Speaker 1: Look California got into philosophy. Um, but I will say,

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Speaker 1: like I listened to some philosophy podcast. Do you have

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Speaker 1: any other book recommendations? Maybe you read something on your

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Speaker 1: trip across the pond recently? I actually I just read

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Speaker 1: there's two more that are kind of similar, and they're

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Speaker 1: they're not as like heavy or dark. Um have you

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Speaker 1: heard of it's called They Both Die at the End?

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Speaker 1: It was it was like it was a best seller

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Speaker 1: from like two thousands having seen and then there's a

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Speaker 1: prequel they just came out a couple of months ago,

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Speaker 1: months ago, called the First that Dies at the end.

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Speaker 1: The First dies at the end. Yeah, they both die

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Speaker 1: at the end. That's the original. So read that one first.

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Speaker 1: Only the second one is Well, my wife is in

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Speaker 1: a book club. I'm sure she's all over these already,

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Speaker 1: do you which I bet you she's heard of at

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Speaker 1: least the original one. Um, yeah, it's it's it's very

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Speaker 1: That one is also extremely interesting. It's essentially I'll give

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Speaker 1: you the premise. I'm not going to run anything. It's

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Speaker 1: a book. It takes place as this thing called death

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Speaker 1: Cast and you find out the day that you die

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Speaker 1: from this company that has a way and method to

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Speaker 1: figure out the day you die. They call and tell

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Speaker 1: you and so you can live your last day however

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Speaker 1: you please. And it's a story about how you would

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Speaker 1: do that, and like what goes around and um, it

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Speaker 1: follows a couple of characters and it's like fictional, but

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Speaker 1: it's just it's an interesting premise. Very Grandma, I like it.

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Speaker 1: I like your stuff. All right. Let's pivot to the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl and Chiefs Eagles. It's one of those weird

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Speaker 1: match of presson Like the Eagles beat arguably the worst

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Speaker 1: run of quarterbacks in the history of the playoffs to

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Speaker 1: get here, Daniel Jones and Brock parties last Josh Johnson

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Speaker 1: and Brock Party couldn't throw for a half. And people

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Speaker 1: are questioning the Eagles a little bit. I hear a

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Speaker 1: lot of people seem to like the Chiefs here because

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Speaker 1: of the Patrick Mahomes Andy Reid factor. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Eagles small. I'm on the over um

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Speaker 1: big picture. Where are you on the game? When did

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Speaker 1: you bet the Eagles just died of curate? Well, foolishly

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Speaker 1: minus two. I thought it would go higher would not,

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Speaker 1: you know, knowing the Steed injury, the wide receiver injuries

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Speaker 1: for the Chiefs. So this was like maybe day three

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Speaker 1: after the conference championships, day two or three. Do you, um,

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Speaker 1: you think it's interesting? You know. At one point I

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Speaker 1: believe it was Circa, who is pretty well respected in

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Speaker 1: the market worldwide. They they opened Kansas City, it was

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Speaker 1: either minus one and a half or minus two early on.

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Speaker 1: And I think if if it wasn't for the fact

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Speaker 1: that Mahomes has obviously the one foot injury, who knows

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Speaker 1: how severe it is, you know, Kansas City would typically

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Speaker 1: be a favorite here. Um. So for me, it's like

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Speaker 1: if you you're actually betting on Philadelphia, I think you're

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Speaker 1: kind of paying a premium because you're paying your you're

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Speaker 1: playing a number that probably is wrong. If Mahomes is healthy.

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Speaker 1: If he's not healthy, then it's probably about right anyways. Um.

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Speaker 1: But in the times that he is pretty healthy, then

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Speaker 1: you're getting a discount. You're getting plus money on the

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Speaker 1: money line or getting a point in a half or

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Speaker 1: two with casey. Um. So that's the direction I would lean.

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Speaker 1: And I am pretty you know, for a lot of betters,

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Speaker 1: especially ones that are modeling out games. It's it's um.

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Speaker 1: It's about like the big story and a lot of priors.

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Speaker 1: Or they referenced priors a lot. It's like your historical

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Speaker 1: numbers from even previous seasons. But one thing I think

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Speaker 1: that I was helpful for me is I was betting

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Speaker 1: regularly as I was, I think more quick to adjust

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Speaker 1: mid season UM than other guys that were modeling who

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Speaker 1: would put more stock into priors and I thought was

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Speaker 1: necessary and so UM. In a similar light, I would

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Speaker 1: say I would put more stock into the fact that

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. I think the two times they did play

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Speaker 1: a quarterback decent quarterback in the last couple of months

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Speaker 1: it was Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott, they gave up

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Speaker 1: like thirty three and thirty four points. I believe we're

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Speaker 1: the numbers. UM. I would put more stock than I

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Speaker 1: think most people that would. I want to say, oh,

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Speaker 1: small sample size or recency buyas I think there's a

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Speaker 1: I think there's something to that narrative. I would be

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Speaker 1: surprise if Kansas City can't move the ball in Philly,

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Speaker 1: Now can the Eagles run the ball and keep the

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Speaker 1: ball out of the home stands for you know, thirty

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Speaker 1: seven to forty minutes, Like that's possible for sure. So

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Speaker 1: it'll end up coming down to the Chiefs defense to

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Speaker 1: some degree. But I would say if I would have

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Speaker 1: been anything at this point, it would just be Casey

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Speaker 1: at a discount of the homes is healthier. The fact

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Speaker 1: that I think Philadelphia is probably especially their defense, um

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Speaker 1: slightly overrated. Yeah, why do you think the Eagles defense?

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Speaker 1: The numbers of the metrics are incredible, the sacks, all

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Speaker 1: that fun stuff, but they got torched by Prescott and Rogers.

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Speaker 1: If I recall Rogers, didn't Christian Watson have a monster game?

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Speaker 1: I'll look that up. But why do you think that happened?

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Speaker 1: I don't think there were any massive injuries those weeks,

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Speaker 1: were there? No? I think I think that's kind of

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Speaker 1: the main point is in every other game of that

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Speaker 1: lift of the last couple of mon and they're just

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Speaker 1: playing at below average quarterback or backup or even a

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Speaker 1: third string quarterback, and so, uh, the numbers are pretty

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Speaker 1: skewed overall. But then you look at those two games,

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Speaker 1: you know, you know they're giving up four hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy three yards through the air. It's just like, you know,

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Speaker 1: a real quarterback like my homes, whether he's one foot

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Speaker 1: or two like, it's it's better than what they've seen

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Speaker 1: to this point in general, So that that would be

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Speaker 1: my concern on the Philly side is that their defense

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Speaker 1: is probably um unless you're adjusting for strength of quarterback,

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Speaker 1: which there are people out there that do that, their

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Speaker 1: numbers are pretty inflated. I think on the defensive side

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Speaker 1: of the ball. Oh yeah, wow, Ego Packers put up

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Speaker 1: seven point oh yards per play. Um cheez, that is

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Speaker 1: significant that that I remember that game now, Um, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I if you remember, if I recall it was a

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Speaker 1: push due to a late field goal maybe yeah, um,

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Speaker 1: and Watson did have a big, huge touchdown. Mhmm. What

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Speaker 1: about m v P. Have you looked at that market

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Speaker 1: at all? I haven't, but it's it's not what I

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Speaker 1: would typically bet, even when I was doing couple stuff

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Speaker 1: pretty regularly. I think a lot of the smarter people

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Speaker 1: just shop around for the quarterback of the team that

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Speaker 1: think is gonna win because you had a better price,

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Speaker 1: like my homes to be m v P is gonna

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Speaker 1: be better than the Chiefs some money line and they

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Speaker 1: would just take shots at that sometimes. Um, But I

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Speaker 1: haven't gone around like looking for a defensive like sleeper

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Speaker 1: or uh, you know who's who's the second string or

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Speaker 1: third string tight end with Foster is his name? Maybe

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Speaker 1: for the Chiefs, like I think I know someone to

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Speaker 1: bet that and for him to score a touchdown, it

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Speaker 1: was like ten to one or something as well. But

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Speaker 1: they just in a world that Kelsey um is double

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Speaker 1: teams are taken out of the game or he gets

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Speaker 1: here because remember two or three weeks ago, Kelsey also

334
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Speaker 1: was questionable to even play in a playoff game, so

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Speaker 1: he was trying to take a shot at some of

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Speaker 1: that uncertainty. But anyways, I I typically am not someone

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Speaker 1: that just tries to take a much of long shots

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Speaker 1: on those markets. And to be frank, you know, when

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Speaker 1: it comes to props just in general, there's so many

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Speaker 1: options now out there where the bet, there's so many lines,

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Speaker 1: there's so many books, there's so many different props. Now

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Speaker 1: there's thousands of them. When I was really grinding, you know,

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Speaker 1: I would actually lead. I was living in La Vegas

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Speaker 1: made it easier, but I would actually just like blank

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Speaker 1: at every book, every number and an arbor or arbitrage,

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Speaker 1: bad numbers or there's just so much fluctuation and prices,

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Speaker 1: or sometimes you have middles on you know, an over

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Speaker 1: forty nine and a half at minus one in ten,

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Speaker 1: but in under forty nine and a half a plus

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Speaker 1: one of fifteen, so where you can't lose if you've

351
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Speaker 1: bet either side and you can actually guarantee yourself. A

352
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Speaker 1: small man, I would just do that because there's so

353
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Speaker 1: much opportunity and so many different lines being offered so

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Speaker 1: um for people that are out there, they just want

355
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Speaker 1: to actually like grind to make a profit in the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl, just keep an eye on prop prices all

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Speaker 1: the time. They're constantly shifting, especially coming this weekend. You

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Speaker 1: say that, but Preston, there's like literally hundreds of props

359
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Speaker 1: to dig through. Um. It used to be like you

360
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Speaker 1: could find I mean now there's just too almost too many,

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00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:51,760
Speaker 1: don't you feel that's probably true? I remember there's a team.

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Speaker 1: There's like a team of us, there's like three of

363
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Speaker 1: us that and they had these Excel sheets where had

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Speaker 1: every prop bed at every book and we would just

365
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Speaker 1: be logging in and updating I'm based on when we like,

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Speaker 1: you know, we'll be on our apps and our phones

367
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Speaker 1: and other Vegas books. But we'd find opportunity, we'd end

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Speaker 1: up like turning, you know, like a r oh I.

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Speaker 1: But it was that was risk free r oh I,

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Speaker 1: just because again I want to reiterate, it's it's you know,

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Speaker 1: if you're betting an over thirty and a half and

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Speaker 1: under a thirty seven and a half and the prices

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00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:19,399
Speaker 1: are right, you have a free middle or or you

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Speaker 1: were just getting like um m v P prices or yes. No,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of yest knows where you'd have guest

376
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,560
Speaker 1: is where people would bet one way and then the

377
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,480
Speaker 1: know would have value at one book and you know,

378
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: some books move, the others don't. It's just it's annoying.

379
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 1: It's extremely mundane, but it is. It's there's so many

380
00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: opportunities and so many lines that there's the stuff to

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00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,879
Speaker 1: pick off, piggybacking off the yes. No, there are a

382
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:45,840
Speaker 1: lot of these massively um lopsided Like for instance, I'm

383
00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 1: looking at records an interception Shalen Watson no minus nine

384
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 1: fifty yes plus five sixty six, like is he gonna

385
00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:58,639
Speaker 1: get one? No? No way, right, But is it worth

386
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:03,600
Speaker 1: thinking bucks into Jalen Watson to to record a hundred

387
00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:05,880
Speaker 1: allar profit Like I've never been a kind of guy

388
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 1: like that, but I know some of the other guys

389
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,239
Speaker 1: you know are keen on that. But I guess you've

390
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,440
Speaker 1: gotta have a huge bank roll to be sinking big

391
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,080
Speaker 1: money into yes, no where the where the juice is

392
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:18,679
Speaker 1: like minus yeah. The popular one is like for for

393
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: no safety. Everyone loves to better safety. And I know

394
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,119
Speaker 1: there's been a run of not a run, but every

395
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 1: two or three years for a while now there's been

396
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,840
Speaker 1: a safety coincidentally, but a lot of the sharp professionals

397
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:30,399
Speaker 1: will lay the no price on no safety or I

398
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:32,520
Speaker 1: think a popular one because of so many missed extra

399
00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 1: points with the Cowboys especially, but just throughout the playoffs

400
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 1: is a no our p a T missed Yes, I've

401
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 1: I've heard some guys that say the no is like

402
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,440
Speaker 1: the best it's ever been in this scenario, especially cause

403
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:48,600
Speaker 1: I think the no price on yeah no no miss

404
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: p a T is like in the minus two fifty

405
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:54,399
Speaker 1: range to forty. I think I even know someone that

406
00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 1: bet that, and it should be good if I recall

407
00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:00,280
Speaker 1: like to minus three hundred, just historically, like in a vacuum. Now, Bucker,

408
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 1: I thinks this two or three this season, So you

409
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 1: look at that, and you look at everyone remembers the Cowboys,

410
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 1: um the last few weeks from a few weeks ago.

411
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 1: It's it's why everyone's betting the Yes, there's gonna be

412
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,840
Speaker 1: this extra point. But in theory anything in that minuses

413
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,879
Speaker 1: actually value. So anyway, they just try to find stuff

414
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 1: like that because it's just really it's a math game

415
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 1: over time. The other one I bet early you talked

416
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,879
Speaker 1: about it yesterday on the pod was over nine and

417
00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 1: a half points first quarter. A lot of people tend

418
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 1: to lean under given the pomp and circumstance of the

419
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,280
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and all the UH stuff leading up to it,

420
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,160
Speaker 1: the two weeks off and the history of sluggish starts,

421
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: especially with Brady and the Bucks uh and then the

422
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,919
Speaker 1: Patriots as well. UM. Any any thoughts on like first

423
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,879
Speaker 1: quarter over or under? Nothing for me on this one, No,

424
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 1: and I and I genuinely haven't put a ton of

425
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,200
Speaker 1: effort into shopping prices or anything like that or looking

426
00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:55,959
Speaker 1: at the prop options. The general narrative though, is that

427
00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: super Bowls tend to start slow, right because two weeks off,

428
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 1: I should say, an extra week off versus the norm.

429
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 1: You have defenses that have extra time to prepare offenses.

430
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 1: The narrative is that they like to dink and duncan

431
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 1: start to get a feel of what the defense is

432
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 1: giving them, and it takes time. At this point in

433
00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 1: the year three like, I'm fairly confident that the books

434
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 1: are accounting for all of that, and that the prices

435
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: are probably um pretty good. And if anything, you said

436
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: you bet over night and a half, I would look

437
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:24,880
Speaker 1: the other way because I think people tend to think,

438
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 1: oh slow, start extra week off, They're going to be

439
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 1: out of rhythm. So if I was to do anything,

440
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 1: I think I would probably bet over there without knowing

441
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 1: the prices, because everyone else is generally looking at under

442
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

443
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,479
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Fox sports

444
00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,680
Speaker 1: Radio dot com and within the I Heart Radio app

445
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 1: search f s R to listen live. Somebody smart I

446
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 1: was talking to about props said that he's looking at

447
00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 1: Nick Bolton over tackles for a big play, and I said,

448
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:56,919
Speaker 1: in Nick Bolton, what's that all? You know? He's very

449
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 1: good dot number thirty two, He's got the dreads, He's everywhere.

450
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 1: If Philly is able to run the ball a ton

451
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 1: and they're able to play their game, Bolton is gonna

452
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: be chewing up a lot of tackles in the middle

453
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 1: as opposed to the Eagles linebackers. Apparently they're more of

454
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 1: a rotation and they mix up their coverage so their

455
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 1: linebackers aren't always on the field. But Bolton like never

456
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 1: leaves the field apparently. Now I haven't had time. He

457
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: literally just told it to be today and I haven't

458
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 1: had time to look in. But like, is that that

459
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 1: kind of I mean to get all the stuff is

460
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,960
Speaker 1: baked into the lines, I'm sure, but when you hear

461
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 1: something like that, what do you think, Preston, I think

462
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 1: that's it's It's an interesting thing just about props in general.

463
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,199
Speaker 1: Is there if you have a position on Philadelphia and

464
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 1: the Eagles, there are other ways to bet it where

465
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: that are correlated. So, like, if you think the Eagles

466
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 1: are gonna win and they're gonna establish the run and

467
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 1: handle business, and that probably is the right bet. And

468
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 1: there's also a world that the Chiefs still went anyway

469
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,239
Speaker 1: and Bolton still goes over right, and so it kind

470
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 1: of gives you extra opportunity to be right about your

471
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,879
Speaker 1: Eagles position that they control the game on the ground. Um, well,

472
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,439
Speaker 1: winning it into a way and while still giving you

473
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 1: an opportunity to win even if the Chiefs sort of wins.

474
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 1: So it's just like a way of limiting variants in

475
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 1: a sense, right, because you can bet on the Eagles

476
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 1: and lose that one bet. But if you bet on

477
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,879
Speaker 1: the Eagles Bolton over a couple of Eagle player props um,

478
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:18,439
Speaker 1: it kind of like the UH separates or distribute your

479
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 1: portfolio over a course of multiple events. That just kind

480
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:24,400
Speaker 1: of balances things and reduces risk. So that's one that

481
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 1: that totally aligns up. If if you like the Eagles

482
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 1: and you think they're gonna run the ball well and

483
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 1: have a lot of volume, then Bolton's gonna be there

484
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 1: to eat up a bunch of tackles. It's probably nothing,

485
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 1: but it seems like every other year for the last

486
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 1: few we've had something weird. Chiefs no touchdowns against Tampa. Um,

487
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 1: I somebody had to have cleaned up on that Rams.

488
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 1: No touchdowns against Patriots Patriots Falcons over time, I mean, um,

489
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 1: something like Denver Seattle had the safety. It's it's been

490
00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 1: very odd. And again, is that just happens stance Ustin

491
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: or are you thinking, hey, maybe there's an angle for

492
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 1: something all and wacky here. I mean, I think when

493
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 1: the Rams lost to the Patriots three, the Rams had

494
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:09,679
Speaker 1: like the best offense in the league that year with

495
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: goffin company Um and the Chiefs. Obviously with Mahomes two

496
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 1: years ago, we're a jugger. Not nobody saw them not

497
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 1: scoring a touchdown. Is there any game state that you

498
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 1: can think of or envision happening here that you could

499
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: see a betting angle unfold? You know, That's that's a

500
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 1: good question. I think in general, I wouldn't assume that

501
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:31,320
Speaker 1: there's something weird happening in recent years that's gonna like

502
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 1: make it more likely that one of those things or

503
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: events happen Sunday. What I would say is that it

504
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: is an interesting scenario where you have even hurts isn't

505
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:43,879
Speaker 1: like a right like we weren't even sure with the

506
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,399
Speaker 1: shoulder and everything. Um he seems to be, but they

507
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:48,399
Speaker 1: also been running him last They haven't really needed to

508
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 1: use him though as much in the ring game, and

509
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 1: my Homes obviously has the fust like there's definitely a

510
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: pathway to some weird like four minutes in Mahomes can't

511
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 1: return and it's Chad Henning versus defense. But then the

512
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 1: Eagles numbers look really good, right, and yeah, maybe the

513
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 1: Chiefs don't find a way to you know, even get

514
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 1: in the end zone. And so if you're it's almost

515
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 1: like you're betting on an injury though, right, But it's

516
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: there's a couple of there's a couple of pathways there.

517
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: But it's um, nothing that I would put a ton

518
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:17,879
Speaker 1: of stock into your I mean, this season we or

519
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 1: these playoffs, we've seen some wacky injuries, the brock Purty

520
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 1: thing on, like the sixth play offensively for the Niners.

521
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 1: That screwed that game. Anything you had for the Niners

522
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 1: was torched. Um. The Mahome Mahomes went down briefly, but

523
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 1: Henny still was able to go to the distance. I

524
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 1: had the first half Chiefs, and I was obviously nervous

525
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:37,679
Speaker 1: when he goes down, but Henny delivered, I mean and

526
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 1: over during the course of the season, like I had

527
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 1: the alt wind totals for the Giants and Vikings and

528
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 1: both hit now. I had also all under on the Cowboys,

529
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: which with badly. But I don't know. The alt lines

530
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 1: are interesting to me. But again, it does feel like

531
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:55,840
Speaker 1: more of a dart throw than anything, right, Yes, I

532
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: don't think there's anything historically that you that's correlated to

533
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: how this Chief Seagulls game is going to play out

534
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 1: that gives you any type of edge. Um. But again,

535
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: if you have a narrative or theory, and this is

536
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: what's great about the super Bowl, and they're all the

537
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: options to bet, like if you're just doing it for

538
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,399
Speaker 1: fun and it's not like a serious bat like do

539
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 1: whatever you want. Like it also like it comes down

540
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 1: to that. I know we've tried to talk more seriously

541
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:19,880
Speaker 1: about betting and trying to make smart decisions, but it's

542
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: the super Bowl that happens once a year. If you

543
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 1: want to take a flyer on the Eagles to win

544
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 1: by you know, fifteen plus minus fourteen and a half

545
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: because you're getting good, I was like, go for it, Like,

546
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:29,480
Speaker 1: I don't know, it's it's still like part of the

547
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 1: I know your buddies with Rufus and we've had him

548
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 1: on here. He's getting down like five dollars or whatever,

549
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,640
Speaker 1: maybe more, I don't know on this problem. Probably more.

550
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 1: I would bet over half a million that they get down. Yeah,

551
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,680
Speaker 1: that's a little insane. I would assume most guys listening

552
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: to this are probably five to two thousand dollars on

553
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl spread around. Some of it's for fun,

554
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,679
Speaker 1: you know, squares whatever else. Yeah, yeah, yeah, some of

555
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: that stuff like that just makes it a fun experience.

556
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 1: You know, you're sitting around rooting for a field goal

557
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,120
Speaker 1: over fifty ars or whatever. Um, that that stuff can

558
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 1: be fun and entertainment value and present. We've talked about this.

559
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 1: I know that like the hardcore gamblers, they just hate

560
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 1: how the guys on TV talk about sports gambling, but

561
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:15,159
Speaker 1: they don't understand that there's a large segment of the

562
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 1: population that is finds just entertainment in sports gambling. Yeah, totally,

563
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 1: I think um, I even probably felt victim to that

564
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: when I was in ESPN for a few years. You're

565
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 1: trying to sound smart, you want to make sure you're

566
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: giving a good information across. But at the end of

567
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,399
Speaker 1: the day, like you're at, ninety nine point x percent

568
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:34,160
Speaker 1: of these people just want to have fun and watch

569
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:35,639
Speaker 1: games and have a little bit of money on it.

570
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:37,359
Speaker 1: And you know, the Super Bowl obviously is like the

571
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 1: main event for that. So I am totally on board

572
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 1: with anyone in the end, even if you think it's

573
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 1: a bad decision or a stupid one, but it's one

574
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,520
Speaker 1: you want to do, go for it. It's it's all

575
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 1: for fun at the end of the day. But I

576
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 1: would say Rufus, um, you know, there's only a couple

577
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 1: of opportunities a year, and this is probably one of

578
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 1: the top that you over time team like have a

579
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 1: guaranteed r A lot. I'm not guaranteed like on average,

580
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:03,200
Speaker 1: you're gonna have an r o I that's just way

581
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: stronger than any single game. If you're able to get

582
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 1: enormous amounts down over there across hundreds of different bets. Again,

583
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 1: it minimizes variants, and your r ow I is going

584
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:15,159
Speaker 1: to be pretty high year to year. And so that's

585
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:16,919
Speaker 1: why I know Rufus and some of the people he

586
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: worked with will just do everything they can to to

587
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:21,240
Speaker 1: get as much down as possible. When you're talking about

588
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: hundreds of bets, Preston, I don't know if you've dealt

589
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 1: in that space. At some point there's no there's no value,

590
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:28,880
Speaker 1: and you having all your bets in front of you,

591
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,199
Speaker 1: you just watch the game and then at the end

592
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: check your seven or ten accounts or however many there are.

593
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 1: Right Literally, he's supposted like stacks of tickets. It's just

594
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,000
Speaker 1: like hundreds of tickets. There's just stack because you sometimes

595
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 1: somebody just to go to Kioskar tom at the window

596
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 1: and then you go through and you have to cash

597
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 1: them out. But it's you don't really know mid game

598
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 1: where you're at or where you stand. It's really hard

599
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: to know because there's so much action and just netherse tracks.

600
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 1: So you're right, so you just do it after Yeah,

601
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 1: I do want to wrap up by asking about you know,

602
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 1: you're obviously the owner of a soccer team, um, and

603
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 1: are you allowed to gamble on any sports at all

604
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 1: now that you were team owner? I am? They said,

605
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 1: you know nothing soccer related. I think their example that

606
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 1: EFL told me when I asked was I can't even

607
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: bet on like fourteen year old Japanese women's fourth division

608
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 1: like anything that soccer. No, anything else is totally fine.

609
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 1: So I remember last year, I was in Vegas for

610
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 1: March Madness for one day, UM, a better bunch, bet

611
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 1: a bunch there. I was at in Vegas for a

612
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 1: bachelor party. UM for a friend. On a college football Saturday,

613
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:34,440
Speaker 1: I got to bet some games. Then this last fall,

614
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 1: so I've had a couple of days where I've been

615
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 1: able to throw around, but otherwise I'm not really betty

616
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 1: much anyways at this point. But it's it's it's it's

617
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 1: allowed as long as it isn't soccer. Yeah, I don't know.

618
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 1: While while I you brought up college basketball, any futures

619
00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 1: that you've taken a flyer on or that you think

620
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: there is value in UM currently on the college basketball front.

621
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 1: You know how many college basketball games I've watched this year?

622
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 1: I'll go one, it's I think it's two. Yeah, they're

623
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 1: both b y U game this with my dad. Uh,

624
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 1: it's it was just one of the Agazagga game. I

625
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: can remember you messaged me about that game beforehand. Yeah,

626
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: what you choked at the end, ended up losing by

627
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 1: war and I believe, But yeah, I just haven't. I

628
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 1: an of time, and I prefer the NBA to college hoops,

629
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 1: and so I when I do watch basketball, I'm just

630
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 1: watching in the NBA. UM And I'll wrap up with

631
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 1: one soccer question. I don't know if you know the

632
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 1: answer to this. I heard it off hand from someone

633
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 1: adjacent to our soccer group that owns the team in Mexico.

634
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 1: Morocco had that incredible run at the World Cup. I'm

635
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: sure you followed it closely. Yeah, apparently they worked with

636
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 1: a stats group ahead of the World Cup and I

637
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 1: don't know what they found because I haven't been able

638
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 1: to confirm this, but apparently it tremendously helped and aided

639
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:52,959
Speaker 1: their run. A have you heard this story? Be? Do

640
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: you know where I can read about it and see? Um,

641
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on analytics and soccer, because I

642
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 1: think last time we spoke, uh, there was some interesting

643
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 1: stuff on the on the x G front and so forth. Alright,

644
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: my initial thought is that every country slash team probably

645
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 1: had some form of analytics help, and so the fact

646
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 1: that one underdog made a run analytics help. The fact

647
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 1: is there's probably some favorites that lost games that we're

648
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 1: getting help from analytics too. So I would I would

649
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 1: say it goes both ways, and when you have an

650
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: underdog and make a run and then it just just like, oh, well,

651
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 1: now we have an excuse to tell that story. I would.

652
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: I would. I would have more information if and I

653
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: don't know if there's stories on it, specifically who the

654
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 1: analytics group is. If you said who it was, then

655
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 1: I could tell you if it made a difference or

656
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 1: not more than I thought that they actually won a

657
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:50,239
Speaker 1: few games. The um the analysts companies stats Bomb, do

658
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: you know that everyone has access to think very so

659
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 1: like like even our club, which is leaked to in England,

660
00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 1: we use stats Bomb every day. So I would say

661
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 1: if they're attributing it to that, it's kind of just

662
00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 1: like part of their narrative because everyone uses stats Bomb,

663
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 1: So it could be coming from the stats Bomb trying

664
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,160
Speaker 1: to pump up their brand. Hey, we're the reason Morocco

665
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: made that incredible Roco ended up. It's totally possible. Yeah,

666
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: and I love stats on my note Ted and you know,

667
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,959
Speaker 1: we actually scooped one of their employees to be our

668
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 1: director of football a couple of months ago, named Crystally.

669
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:28,080
Speaker 1: So um like it's a it's the best platform for

670
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,840
Speaker 1: visual for for data play by play that there is,

671
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 1: but also like everyone uses it so and it wasn't

672
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: what gave Morocco on itches in my opinion, unless there

673
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: was some special consulting deal on the side that we're

674
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 1: not pretty too. That's possible as well, because as you know,

675
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 1: as as an analytics guy, you know that there's a big,

676
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 1: big discrepancy in stats and soccer. The Athletic had a

677
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 1: piece recently about what is the value of stats in

678
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 1: soccer and the old school mentality? And I know you're

679
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 1: dealing with some of that in your front office, and

680
00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 1: let's just say you're not the only team on the

681
00:32:58,880 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 1: soccer front. How to deal with um the new idea,

682
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:05,720
Speaker 1: a way to look at analytics and meldol with soccer

683
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 1: and the old school, well, we've always done it that way,

684
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 1: and I know, talent and blah blah blah. You know,

685
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: it's interesting, I think because in America just seems like

686
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 1: so obvious now after we saw have them at baseball

687
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 1: and then the NBA and then even more so the

688
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:23,120
Speaker 1: NFL in recent years, and soccer, uh, internationally still like

689
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 1: pretty far behind, especially at lower leagues, like at the

690
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: Premier League at the top in England, like they're they're

691
00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 1: going all out. But where we're at in league too,

692
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 1: you know that we still think there's a lot of

693
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 1: opportunities and edges to be had. You know, even it

694
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: ultimately comes down to who you have managing or coaching

695
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 1: your squad, your your team, and if they're going to

696
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 1: buy in or not and so like the most recent

697
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: manager we appointed, his name Scott Lindsay. You know, he's

698
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 1: someone that was already utilizing metrics and analytics and data

699
00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 1: to his approach, and like even on a call we

700
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 1: had with him yesterday, we were mentioning like x G

701
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: on throwing specifically in a certain area of the pitch,

702
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 1: and he was like, oh, that's amazing, it's really great.

703
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 1: At He's like, that actually really makes sense and I

704
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 1: can you know, dumb it down and like actually help

705
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,920
Speaker 1: players digest this is why we're giving upset pieces on throwing.

706
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,400
Speaker 1: Look at look at the numbers here And he's like,

707
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: can you send me that going forward every week? And

708
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 1: also for our opponents And that was just his natural reaction,

709
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,239
Speaker 1: Whereas there'll be other managers that we've we've spoken to

710
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 1: that will just hear it and kind of you know,

711
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 1: put it to the side and won't follow up, or

712
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: just will actually find an excuse as to why that

713
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: the number is wrong, and it's like, I mean the

714
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:27,920
Speaker 1: number is not wrong, it's just there. So it did

715
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 1: I done always a mentality thing and I think it

716
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:32,800
Speaker 1: just takes some time and soccer all get there eventually.

717
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 1: But it's yeah, you have a lot of that old

718
00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 1: traditional headbutting happening. Still all right, Preston Johnson, Uh, soccer

719
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: owner gambler. What else the bond vivant? Basically, I mean,

720
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 1: man about I try to I just I'm doing a

721
00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 1: bunch of music stuff for fun, and I play drums

722
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,000
Speaker 1: and write songs with the band, and like that's like

723
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 1: my outlet for all the stress and all the high

724
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:59,080
Speaker 1: pressures of everything else. Um, but it's Uh, I'm blessed

725
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 1: to just be doing what I'm doing, so I cannot complain.

726
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 1: It's been a wild year year and a half, but

727
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 1: we continue on just trying to win some some games.

728
00:35:06,920 --> 00:35:10,160
Speaker 1: Congrats man on all your success and being healthy. Talk

729
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,480
Speaker 1: to you soon, Preston, Thank you, Jason. Fox Sports Radio

730
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch

731
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,800
Speaker 1: all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com

732
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 1: and within the I Heart Radio app search f s

733
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 1: R to listen live. The only thing better than sitting

734
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 1: on your couch watching the game. He's making money while

735
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 1: you do it. Here's your best bat good stuff from

736
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:41,279
Speaker 1: Preston Johnson. I will be looking for They both die

737
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:44,280
Speaker 1: at the end on audible as soon as the Super

738
00:35:44,320 --> 00:35:47,400
Speaker 1: Bowl ends. And we move forward into the NBA in

739
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: March Madness, I'll have more time for reading, obviously, more

740
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 1: time for TV shows, catching up on the good stuff.

741
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 1: But before we go, I thought I would just unload

742
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 1: a couple of wagers that I made in the Super Bowl.

743
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 1: I'm sure there'll be more like as we get closer

744
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 1: to the game. It's interesting, it's as you get closer

745
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 1: to the game some of the smartest bets are unders

746
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,400
Speaker 1: because the lines have moved so much they're almost you know,

747
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 1: they're moving too far. And if you take unders on

748
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: some that have moved a ton, there's probably more value

749
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:24,439
Speaker 1: in that than trying to chase numbers that are long gone.

750
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: At any rate. Here are some of my most latest bets.

751
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,920
Speaker 1: Um there's heavy juice here, and it carries a little

752
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 1: minimal risk, especially if the Eagles are playing from behind

753
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:40,000
Speaker 1: and chucking in a lot. But Quez Watkins has kind

754
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 1: of fallen out of the rotation. I know he had

755
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:45,759
Speaker 1: a big game against the Niners last year with like

756
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 1: one yard catch or whatever it was, and there was

757
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 1: kind of this thought that Quas Watkins is your burner

758
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,200
Speaker 1: deep Well, now, when you have DeVonta Smith and a J. Brown,

759
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 1: and Dallas Scottart Watkins is target chair is just plummeting

760
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 1: and you can get under one and a half receptions

761
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 1: with heavy juice minus two on Quez Watkins, like, if

762
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 1: he plays twelve snaps, is he getting a target? I mean,

763
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:18,879
Speaker 1: is he getting two catches? It would be It would

764
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 1: be stunning to me. Now, maybe there's an injury we

765
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,400
Speaker 1: don't know about and you get screwed. But the minus

766
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,920
Speaker 1: too introduced is not great. But it feels like Watkins,

767
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 1: whose playing time is just shrinking, is not going to

768
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,880
Speaker 1: be a factor. And if the Eagles happen to grab

769
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:34,600
Speaker 1: a lead and they do go to a more ground

770
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: heavy attack than Watkins, certainly is it gonna be featured.

771
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:40,839
Speaker 1: So that's a prop I like, um, I did take

772
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 1: a flyer on this one UM game decided by seven

773
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 1: points exactly UM plus six eighty one. I don't I

774
00:37:53,239 --> 00:37:56,320
Speaker 1: think it'll be close, But listen, there's a scenario where

775
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:58,719
Speaker 1: the Chiefs blow him out. I don't think there's a

776
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 1: scenario where Eagles run away and hide. But remember I

777
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 1: had said this slat against for Niners Eagles. I could

778
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,760
Speaker 1: see the Eagles winning close, Niners winning close, and Eagles

779
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 1: and a blowout. I couldn't see the Niners running away

780
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:15,279
Speaker 1: from the Eagles. The only scenario I cannot see here

781
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,160
Speaker 1: is an Eagles blow out of the Chiefs. I just

782
00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: don't think that's on board. So could seven? Could it

783
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,760
Speaker 1: land on seven? The way these teams go for two?

784
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:27,319
Speaker 1: The way these teams will ab horor field goals and

785
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,759
Speaker 1: go for it on fourth down? Um? So I took

786
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: a flyer plus six eighty one Eagles Chiefs game decided

787
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 1: by seven points. You guys don't have the over. We

788
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 1: talked about that earlier this week. I'm a little pot

789
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 1: committed on a j Brown to an m v P

790
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 1: of the Super Bowl. Um, you know that that's one

791
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 1: that I had going into the final four that I'm

792
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:52,279
Speaker 1: pretty comfortable with. I do believe Jalen Hurts is gonna

793
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,240
Speaker 1: be fine. I know the big narrative is how's his shoulder?

794
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 1: Is he okay? You know? Can Jalen Hurts be the

795
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:01,760
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts he was? I mean, what was that Jalen

796
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 1: Hurts running around dominating bad teams for three quarters? And

797
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 1: then I saw a stat that Jalen Hurts through the

798
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 1: second fewest passes of any starting quarterback in the fourth

799
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 1: quarter this season, and a lot of that is because

800
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:18,359
Speaker 1: they were dominating teams and rolling and Jalen Hurts is

801
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 1: not needed to throw. I'll be interested. I mean, they

802
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: haven't played a close game with their starters in like

803
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 1: two months, and with Jalen Hurts healthy, they have not.

804
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 1: Neither playoff game was close in the in the second half,

805
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:37,080
Speaker 1: but double digits spread on both. So you know, it's

806
00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: gonna be interesting how this game progresses if it's close

807
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,319
Speaker 1: and tight or the Eagles are trailing. Just Hurts get

808
00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 1: I don't. We haven't seen him in a close game

809
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 1: in a while. Guys. It's just a it's just a

810
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,240
Speaker 1: fact he has not played a close game and forever.

811
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: I do believe the Eagles come out on top. I'll

812
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:58,279
Speaker 1: go Eagles. Um, I am pop committed to a J.

813
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 1: Brown m v P. I do think that the game

814
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:04,879
Speaker 1: state could be one where the Eagles m vps up

815
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,799
Speaker 1: in the air or as if the Chiefs win, Like,

816
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:09,320
Speaker 1: think about it, who's going to give the m v P?

817
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:14,120
Speaker 1: Almost certainly Patrick Mahomes and Kelsey's the only other guy

818
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 1: I could honestly consider on the Eagles and literally a J.

819
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: Brown there's I mean Miles Sanders odds have plummeted this week.

820
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:24,680
Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys, you guys have followed

821
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 1: that closely. Jalen Hurts obviously, Um Dallas Goddard is very

822
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:33,399
Speaker 1: good and has an edge against these Chiefs linebackers. Hell

823
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,160
Speaker 1: DeVante Smith has had some big games. He could easily

824
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:39,320
Speaker 1: have a seven for one ten against his chief secondary.

825
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 1: So and then you've got the defensive players. Um Reddick

826
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 1: could go go bonkers. By the way, speaking of the

827
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: Eagles defense, I did see this. Patrick Mahomes over three

828
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 1: and a half Russia attempts is kind of it. Now,

829
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 1: there is heavy juice here, but it's it's interesting because

830
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 1: is Mahomes going to be in shape where he's going

831
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 1: to be escaping the pocket and running and trying to

832
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:05,439
Speaker 1: get yards or is he just throwing it away because

833
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 1: he's a mobile I think he's gonna be running the football.

834
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 1: And remember this is not an Egos team that blitzes,

835
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 1: So if they are getting home with four and putting

836
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 1: pressure on him, I think Mahomes more than likely will

837
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:20,920
Speaker 1: be on the run. And I was able to play

838
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:24,240
Speaker 1: this wisely with Joe Burrow. And if you guys remember

839
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 1: Burrow scramble yards. He had like one run there was

840
00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,319
Speaker 1: like eighteen yards. I'm I don't. I'm not gonna do

841
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 1: the yards with Mahomes simply because of the whole kneel

842
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:35,600
Speaker 1: down garbage at the end of games. And let's say

843
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 1: he gets like minus eight yards and kneel downs or

844
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 1: minus six or whatever, and then all of a sudden,

845
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:42,800
Speaker 1: you've lost your over. So I just think rushes. Kneel

846
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:48,120
Speaker 1: downs are not rushes. Um. So I do believe over

847
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: three and a half Russia attempts for Patrick Mahomes is

848
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 1: a good bet, um. And I would obviously lean over

849
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 1: on Mahomes passing yards as well. And now I'm losing

850
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 1: my vows, and now i gotta go do a TV show,

851
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 1: So I will talk to you on Monday,