1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the 3 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan. 4 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 5 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectacular. 6 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:22,240 Speaker 4: I'm saying it's a cash totar. 7 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 5: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go. 8 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 4: To wind That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 5: I like to make money. 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,639 Speaker 6: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to pull, 11 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 6: and we are underway. 12 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode 13 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM, 14 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 2: the official odds provider of the show. I'm Matthew Friedman, 15 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 2: the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs, and here with 16 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 2: me are Sean Corner and Chris Raybond. Sean is the 17 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 2: Action Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a senior 18 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: editor and analyst at the Action Network. There too of 19 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 2: the best fantasy football rankers in the world. It is 20 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: the divisional Round. We have four games this weekend, and 21 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 2: in this episode we are highlighting the players at the 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,960 Speaker 2: top of our rankings and the fantasy tool at Action Network. 23 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 2: We were discussing the guys who are high and low 24 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 2: on and looking at how they do in our Fantasy 25 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:23,119 Speaker 2: Labs models, and we are speculating on some player props. Okay, 26 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: so let's get into it. At the top of our 27 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 2: quarterback rankings we have Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson. 28 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 2: I don't think much of a surprise their Raybon. I 29 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 2: want to kick it to you. I'm assuming you actually 30 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 2: have your your projections done, although who knows, maybe not, 31 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 2: maybe I catch you by surprise. Who is someone that 32 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 2: you are high on this week at the quarterback position? 33 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 7: Yeah, Matt, I definitely did projections because last week. I 34 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 7: don't know if the too are related, but I knew 35 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 7: nothing about football last week. 36 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 4: Betting or fantasy wise. 37 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 2: So it was bad. It wasn't You weren't the only 38 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 2: one who didn't perform. Well, I had my worst sports 39 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 2: betting week of my existence and maybe in all of existence. 40 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: So you know, hopefully we rebound this week. 41 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, it was rough, so get back to it. 42 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 7: Hopefully the first snap doesn't go over our head the proverbial. 43 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 4: First snap, since I'm up first here. 44 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 7: But I like Josh Allen this week, and I think 45 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 7: you know, anytime you look. 46 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 5: At you know, the group of quarterbacks in a given week. 47 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 7: The first thing you kind of do is you look 48 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 7: at and say, okay, who's gonna who has the potential 49 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 7: to add points on the ground and who doesn't. And 50 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 7: for this late you have Mahomes, Alan and Jackson, and 51 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 7: then you have Brady Breeze and Rogers and Mayfield and 52 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 7: Goff and you know, so there's a clear cutoff. And 53 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 7: to me, I have Alan ranked as a number two 54 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 7: quarterback on DraftKings. He's the third highest priced. He's coming 55 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 7: up with the highest projected. 56 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 5: Plus minus in our models. 57 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 7: So lamar, excuse me, Josh Allen for me, even in 58 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:00,799 Speaker 7: a tough match up against of them. 59 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Josh Allen projected number one, just kind 60 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 2: of in the first go round of projections. I'm not 61 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: sure how I actually feel about that, because I just 62 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 2: look at Mahomes and the matchup that he has, so 63 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 2: I feel like the delta between quality of quarterback and 64 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 2: quality of defense is the greatest for Mahomes this week, 65 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 2: you know, at home coming off the by highest total 66 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 2: on the slate, and I probably need to adjust his 67 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 2: rushing share a little bit because he tends to run 68 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 2: a little bit more in the playoffs than he does 69 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:32,920 Speaker 2: during the regular season. And you know, maybe that's kind 70 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 2: of anecdotal, smaller sample size, but I feel like there's 71 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 2: you know, you could sort of rationalize it by saying, like, okay, 72 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 2: like these are the games that matter, Like he's not 73 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: going to run as much in the regular season and 74 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 2: risk injury, but he's he will be a little more 75 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 2: willing to take off and run during the playoffs. So, 76 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 2: you know, out of the eight remaining defenses, the Browns, 77 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 2: you know, I don't have much respect for them relative 78 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 2: to the other units that we have here. So given 79 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 2: mahomee in his rushing ability and of course the receiving 80 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 2: ability Andy Reid coming off of the by I'm pretty 81 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 2: in on Mahomes, But surprisingly, I just I don't have 82 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: him projected as highly as I expected I would, you know, 83 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,839 Speaker 2: given that Josh Allen is ahead of him. But I'm 84 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,479 Speaker 2: with you, Raybond on Allen, and I also really like 85 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 2: Mahomes this week. Sean, who are you on? 86 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm with you guys on that top three. It's 87 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 6: a pretty clear high end tier this week. So you 88 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 6: really can't go wrong with Mahomes, Jackson or Allen when 89 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 6: it comes to ceiling. But since you know it's a 90 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 6: four game slate, I do want to get somewhat contrarian here, 91 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 6: and I think Baker Mayfield does warrant some consideration at 92 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 6: fifty three hundred. He's just way too cheap. He was 93 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 6: on fire a few weeks ago, you know, weeks twelve 94 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 6: through fifteen, he was QB three. Then there was the 95 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 6: hot tub party where he ended up missing four receivers. 96 00:04:57,720 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 6: He had multiple games this here where there was this 97 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 6: high whens nobody could really throw on that. So I 98 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 6: think when Baker has had you know, everything lineup, he's 99 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 6: shown that he has a pretty high ceiling. So this 100 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:11,599 Speaker 6: week should get Kevin Stefanski back. This could be a 101 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 6: game script wer he's forced to throw. So if you 102 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 6: think this is gonna be a shootout, you can use 103 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 6: Baker Mayfield and you can run it back with a 104 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 6: couple chiefs as well. So I think Baker, well, he 105 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 6: doesn't have nearly as high as a ceiling as the 106 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 6: top three. A sigh like this, he does offer some 107 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:27,120 Speaker 6: contrarian upside. 108 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: Who is a quarterback you are low on this week? 109 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,799 Speaker 6: I'm low on Aaron Rodgers just because that top tier, 110 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 6: like we mentioned, is so good that Rogers he's priced 111 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:40,280 Speaker 6: you know, in the middle at six and anine hundred. 112 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 6: But this matchup we saw last week how good this 113 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 6: Rams defense is. We'll have to wait and see on 114 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 6: Aaron Donald's status. If you know, it turns out he's 115 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 6: shaky for this week, I might change my mind. But 116 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:55,160 Speaker 6: you know, Jalen Ramsey potentially locking down DeVante Adams, if 117 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 6: that's even possible, you know, that's just going to lower 118 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,160 Speaker 6: Rogers floor end ceiling here. So I think if there 119 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 6: was a week to fade, Aaron Rodgers would be here. 120 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 2: Raymont, who are you long? 121 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 7: I'm gonna low on the Rams quarterbacks, which Jared Goff 122 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 7: you know, wasn't playing with much confidence last week. And 123 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 7: I think if you're if you're gonna be one Aaron Rodgers, 124 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 7: which I think is fair, you also have to kind 125 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 7: of look at how that game script could potentially go. 126 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 7: You know, most of the year, Aaron Rodgers has just 127 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 7: been lighting it up and that causes you know, Green 128 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 7: Bay to get into some shootouts. But I think this 129 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 7: game script will be completely different. The total's just forty six, 130 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 7: so not only you know, a lower expectation for Rogers 131 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 7: going against that ram defense, but you know, golf in 132 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 7: that offense on the other side as well. 133 00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 2: Okay, one guy I'm relatively low on as Tom Brady, 134 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 2: you know, playing in New Orleans. Brady's been great since 135 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: Week ten, and of course last week he had three 136 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: hundred and eighty one yards. You know, until the Steelers game, 137 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:56,960 Speaker 2: it looked like Brady was going to be the guy 138 00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 2: who actually led the weekend in passing. Didn't work out. 139 00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 2: But but you know, his recent run came right after 140 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:06,520 Speaker 2: his Week nine stinker against the Saints, in which the 141 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 2: Bucks were just totally blown out thirty eight to three. 142 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 2: Brady had just two hundred and nine yards three interceptions 143 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 2: in that game. This is the third divisional game between 144 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 2: the opponents, and so you know, they know each other well, 145 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 2: and the Saints are pretty good in past defense. So 146 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 2: I think it's just a situation where as good as 147 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 2: Brady has looked recently, I'm still going to want to 148 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 2: be off of him in this matchup. Sean, we have 149 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 2: reached the part in the show where you give us 150 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 2: the quarterback prop and everyone should be sure to check 151 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 2: out the Fantasy Labs player prop tool with props with 152 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 2: a bet Quality to ten have a sixty percent win 153 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: rate over the past two seasons. When player props are posted, 154 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 2: you can bet them at bet MGM. Sean, give us 155 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 2: the player prop. 156 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 6: We are going to stick with Lamar Jackson's rushing yards 157 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 6: this week. Last week, I remember I felt like I 158 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 6: was way too high at eighty three and a half. 159 00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 6: You guys thought as well, and then he just went 160 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 6: off for I think it was one hundred and thirty 161 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 6: six yards. So he is very, very tricky to project. 162 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 6: Right now, I'm bumping his rushing yards up to eighty 163 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 6: nine and a half. Where you guys, and what do 164 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 6: you think this matchup? I think the Bills could struggle 165 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 6: to contain Lamar, so I think his ceiling is just 166 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 6: super high in this market. 167 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm I haven't projected well to the under, 168 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 2: but I mean there's no way that I can actually 169 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 2: bet that, right, you know, Like I just you know 170 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 2: what I'm saying, Like I feel like there's something wrong 171 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 2: with my numbers and I need to go in and 172 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 2: somehow fix them, and more on than I am, I 173 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 2: don't know how to do that. I will take the under, 174 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 2: but I don't have any confidence in it. 175 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 6: The best thing you can do is click on the 176 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 6: cell and Excel and click the numbers to be higher. 177 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:51,839 Speaker 6: That's what I do. But I'm going to say, but 178 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 6: like mathematically speaking, you're absolutely right, it's hard to project 179 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 6: him too high. But just if you look at his 180 00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:00,200 Speaker 6: recent performance, I know, and just watch him, it's it's 181 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 6: really hard to keep his his projection low. 182 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 7: Yeah, you can also go the route of a manual 183 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 7: override column to the right of the official column, and 184 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,439 Speaker 7: then you in the in the real cell you have it. 185 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 7: If that column is blank, you use the original, but 186 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 7: if it's if the override is in, you use that one. 187 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 7: So there are many ways, Friedman, but I have to 188 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 7: go under too. 189 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 5: Listen, like Lamar, he. 190 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 7: Got what I think it was forty eight of those 191 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 7: yards last week on one amazing play that essentially turn 192 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 7: turned around the whole game, and that could very well 193 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 7: happen again. But if we're talking medians, I still think 194 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 7: eighty nine is a bit high. There's also the possibility that, 195 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 7: you know, Baltimore comes out in a little bit more 196 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 7: of a positive game scrip this time around. You know, 197 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 7: Tennessee's always been a bugaboo, and we saw it for 198 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,680 Speaker 7: them even last week. You know, they got down to Tennessee. 199 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 7: So if he they're they're up, he may not run 200 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,080 Speaker 7: quite as much. So I'll still go under. It doesn't 201 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 7: feel good, but I still think the median's a little 202 00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 7: lower than eighty nine and nine if you say so. 203 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,199 Speaker 4: No, it's not a high confidence. 204 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 5: That's a one start, right. 205 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 6: Sam on my end, That's what I'm saying, just a 206 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:09,439 Speaker 6: wide ride range of outcomes. 207 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 2: This just thinking about Lamar's rushing prop like hurts my stomach. 208 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,839 Speaker 2: So like the first ten games that he played weeks 209 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 2: one through eleven, his average was fifty seven and a 210 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 2: half yards rushing, and then the COVID thing hit. He 211 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 2: comes back in week thirteen, and so for the final 212 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 2: five games of the season, he's basically back to his 213 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 2: twenty nineteen Lamar Jackson form where his average at that 214 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 2: point in the final five games was eighty six yards. 215 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:40,440 Speaker 2: And then of course we saw what he did last 216 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 2: week with one hundred and thirty six yards. Like it 217 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 2: just it feels like since he came back, he's he's 218 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 2: just been playing at a different level where he's much 219 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 2: more willing to take off and run. In the middle 220 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 2: of the season, he wasn't running at nearly the same rate, 221 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 2: So I do feel but I need to make those 222 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 2: adjustments and significantly upgrade him. But I don't know. Man, 223 00:11:03,800 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 2: Like he's also he's running for like seven point seven 224 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 2: yards per carry, and like that's what he's done over 225 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 2: the past or to close the season in his final 226 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,440 Speaker 2: five games, and then last week eight point five yards 227 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 2: per carry, Like that just feels unsustainable. But at the 228 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: same time, like he's Lamar Jackson, who's going to stop 229 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 2: him from running for more than seven yards per Carrie? 230 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,559 Speaker 6: Right, you said he's reverting to twenty nineteen, Lamar, I 231 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 6: think he's reverting to twenty eighteen. 232 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 2: Lamar wow. 233 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 6: I mean last year you had to project him for 234 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:35,839 Speaker 6: two hundred and thirty yards passing and a ton of 235 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 6: rushing yards, whereas now he's just kind of a banning 236 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 6: too much in the way of passing yards. I mean, 237 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,320 Speaker 6: he's only thrown for over one to eighty five yards 238 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,319 Speaker 6: once in the past, you know, a couple of months here, 239 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 6: so he's just he's really just you know, pushing his 240 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 6: foot on the gas when it comes to his rushing 241 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 6: here and kind of dominating that way. So that's that's 242 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 6: why I think he's more twenty eighteen lamar if anything. 243 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:01,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's interesting. I mean it's not as if Yeah, 244 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 2: it's not as if he's running so much more than 245 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 2: he did in the first half of the season. But 246 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:09,840 Speaker 2: I mean he did take off sixteen times last week, 247 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 2: so I mean he is. He is rounding into running form. 248 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,839 Speaker 3: I hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I 249 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:17,520 Speaker 3: want to make sure you know about the Locked On 250 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 3: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your 251 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 3: favorite team. 252 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. 253 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 4: You are locked down of the Dallas. 254 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 5: Marriage everybody for the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's Go. 255 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:30,959 Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who 256 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 3: know your team better than anyone and give you the 257 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 3: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search 258 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:40,559 Speaker 3: locked On your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast. 259 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 2: Okay, let's talk about the running backs. At the top 260 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 2: of our rankings, of course, now with Derrick Henry no 261 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:52,439 Speaker 2: longer in the playoffs. At the top, we have Alvin 262 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 2: Kamara and then Cam Akers yes my guy, and then 263 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 2: Nick Chubb coming in at number three on who are 264 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 2: You relatively? You know what we're going to Nick get 265 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 2: to Sean first. Sean, who are you relatively high on 266 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:08,680 Speaker 2: this week at the running back position. 267 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 6: I'm high on Devin Singletary mostly because of his price 268 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 6: in the situation. He's forty five hundred this week at 269 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 6: home against Baltimore. Know Zach Moss is expected to miss 270 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,199 Speaker 6: the rest of the playoffs, so that that should boost 271 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 6: Singletary's usage way up. What he does with that remains 272 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 6: to be seen, but you know, Devin, he's priced basically 273 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 6: as if this was still going to be a fifty 274 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 6: to fifty time share. One of the things going for 275 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 6: Singletary is he's faced the second lowest percent in terms 276 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 6: of eight men in the box at four point five percent. 277 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 6: You know, this Ravens defense is going to be doing 278 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 6: everything possible to stop Josh Allen, so it could leave 279 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 6: for pretty good running room for Singletary. You know, he's 280 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 6: probably only gonna get twelve to fifteen carries, but he's 281 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 6: also going to see expanded usage in the passing game, 282 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 6: and I think that's where the value really comes into 283 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,199 Speaker 6: play here. He ran around on sixty eight percent of 284 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 6: the routes last week, but you know that could be 285 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 6: closer to you know, seventy to eighty percent. It remains 286 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 6: be seeing how they're going to really work in, is 287 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 6: it TJ Yeldon and Taiwan Jones? Like this could be 288 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 6: Singlitary's game where he's you know, a true warhorse. But 289 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:18,320 Speaker 6: you know, he could be very highly owned, so he 290 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 6: could be a potential pivot here. But I love him 291 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 6: early in the week. And the other guy you mentioned, 292 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 6: Cam Akers, I don't know how he could pass him 293 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 6: up right now at this price, he's fifty seven hundred. 294 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 6: They should lean on him a ton in this matchup 295 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 6: against green Bay. You know, green Bay did bring in 296 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 6: Damon Snax Harrison, so that might shore up the run 297 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 6: defense a little bit, but I don't think it matters here. 298 00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 6: I think Akers could see another twenty plus carries. And 299 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 6: you know he saw a spike in ruts run last 300 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 6: week going up to sixty two percent. So again, this 301 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 6: is another workhorse back on a four games slate. That's 302 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 6: that's pretty hard to pass up at his price. 303 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, very much with you. On Acres. In his final 304 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 2: four games in the regular season, he had three hundred 305 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 2: and forty yards rushing, ninety six yards receiving on you know, 306 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 2: twenty three and a half touches per game, and that 307 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 2: was while playing with an injury in Week seventeen. You know, 308 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 2: last week dominant against the Good Seahawks run defense with 309 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty one yards on the ground, a touchdown, 310 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 2: twenty eight carries, and then added the forty five yards 311 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 2: as a receiver. This Rams offense right now just flows 312 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 2: entirely through him with the quarterback situation that they have, 313 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 2: and the Packers are number six and most fantasy points 314 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 2: allowed to running backs, so I think a great situation 315 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 2: for him. I'm more pessimistic on Singletary, and you know, 316 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 2: maybe part of it is that I just need to 317 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: adjust my projections more to account for to account for 318 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 2: Moss being out. But I still think that Josh Allen 319 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 2: ends up getting a pretty significant share of the carries. 320 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 2: And then I think that they also rely a little 321 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 2: bit more on the passing game than on the running game. 322 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 2: So maybe I'm a little bit lower on Singletary. But 323 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 2: also that Ravens defense, I mean, they're tough all over, 324 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 2: but I mean they shut down Derrick Henry last week, 325 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:58,000 Speaker 2: and you know, it's not to put too much weight 326 00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 2: on like one game, but you know their their defense. 327 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 2: When they choose to stop the running game, they can 328 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 2: be pretty good with it. And you know, so that's 329 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 2: not to say they're going to focus on shutting down 330 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 2: the running game. But I don't know. It's a little bit, 331 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 2: just a little bit harder for me to think that 332 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 2: they're going to let Devin Singletary run all over them 333 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 2: when Derrick Henry couldn't. But I don't know. Ravon, where 334 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 2: are you on Singletary? And give us your thoughts on 335 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 2: some guys you are high on. 336 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 7: Actually, I think Singletary is in a good spot. You know, 337 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,680 Speaker 7: the price is just so well that if he you know, 338 00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:36,479 Speaker 7: puts up normal starters numbers that at forty five hundred. 339 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, he's a stapewaker. 340 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 2: You're right, his price is great. 341 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 7: And I mean the thing about it is you kind 342 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 7: of hit on it. You know, Baltimore was telling out 343 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 7: to stop Derek Henry. They had, you know, eight men 344 00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 7: in the box. You're gonna play the opposite against Josh Allen. 345 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 7: I think you're gonna you're gonna have to cause I mean, 346 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 7: you have to have a guy on each sideline just 347 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 7: to slow down Gabriel Davis at this point and then 348 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 7: you still have to worry about Diggs and all these guys, 349 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 7: so you know, it's a completely tougher matchup. I think 350 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 7: he'll do fine, but I like Nick Chubb here. I 351 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 7: think Nick Chubb is is really interesting. You know, he 352 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 7: ran nineteen pass routes last week to Kareem Hunts ten, 353 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,439 Speaker 7: so he kind of doubled him up in that bascet. 354 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 7: And I think against Kansas City, who's been one of 355 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 7: the weaker run defenses in the league, you're going to 356 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,080 Speaker 7: try to play keep away and then if you're still 357 00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:28,359 Speaker 7: having Chubb run double the pass routes as a Hunt, 358 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 7: I think he's an interesting guy because you know, he's 359 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 7: probably not going to be very high owned, considering you 360 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 7: have Acres at fifty seven and Singletary at forty five. 361 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,640 Speaker 5: So like Nick Chubb this week as well. 362 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 2: I'm wondering about the Kareem hunt revenge game spots, true Raymond, 363 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 2: who is someone that you were relatively low on. 364 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 7: I think Aaron Jones qualifies just because he's in this 365 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 7: that he's price second highest, and you know, I could 366 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:05,119 Speaker 7: see Green Bay, you know, not having as much offense 367 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 7: as they usually do, and Jones has kind of been 368 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 7: he hasn't always been that like guaranteed lead back. Each 369 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 7: and every week we saw AJ Dillon come with a 370 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 7: big game. You still have Jamal Williams and there so 371 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:19,959 Speaker 7: I'd rather pay up for Alvin Kamara or actually go 372 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:23,879 Speaker 7: with Nick Chubb in a better matchup than Aaron Jones. 373 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I definitely hear you there. I agree, I prefer 374 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: Chubb to Aaron Jones. Sean, who are you lowing? 375 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 6: Same reason as last week? But I'm low on JK. 376 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 6: Dobbins again here he's six k. You know, last week 377 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 6: he rushed nine times for forty three yards, but once 378 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 6: again he's salvaged with the touchdowns. So I mean he 379 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 6: wasn't worth his price last week, but especially you know 380 00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 6: this week, if he doesn't score, I don't think he's 381 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 6: gonna be worth six k. He had one catch for 382 00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 6: minus six yards. This is pretty typical for him. I 383 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,040 Speaker 6: think it's twenty twenty one. Stock is through the roof. 384 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:05,360 Speaker 6: I mean we talked about it, you know right now, 385 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 6: I don't think they're trying to preserve Lamar Jackson. So 386 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 6: he's just running it more times than he would during 387 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,880 Speaker 6: the regular season. So you know that's going to take 388 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,120 Speaker 6: away from JK Dobbins. But starting next year, I mean 389 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:20,120 Speaker 6: a lot of these carries are going to go Dobbin's 390 00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 6: way while they try to preserve Lamar Jackson's for the playoffs. 391 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 6: So I think, right now this is just the time 392 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 6: to fay Dobbins while I'm still super high on him 393 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 6: for next season. 394 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean thinking of Dobbins for twenty twenty one. 395 00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:35,160 Speaker 2: There's a scenario in which mark Ingram is gone and 396 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:39,479 Speaker 2: Gus Edwards is a restricted free agent, so the possibility 397 00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,919 Speaker 2: that he might leave, he might stay too. But you know, 398 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 2: there's a scenario where it's JK. Dobbins, you know, locked 399 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 2: in as the lead back in the league's most run 400 00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 2: heavy offense, which is also pretty darn good running the 401 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 2: ball too. It's not that it's just volume, they're efficient 402 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 2: running it, So that could be pretty exciting. Sean, give 403 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 2: us the running back player prop. 404 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 6: Let's go Dublin Singletary, so his total rushing and receiving yards, 405 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 6: let's go. I got it at eighty and a half. 406 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,719 Speaker 6: And while you guys think about it, I agree, Freeman. 407 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,359 Speaker 6: You know, they did a good job shutting down Derrick Henry, 408 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 6: but that was clearly their game plan. Yeah, I don't 409 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,560 Speaker 6: think their game plan is going to be anything shutting 410 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 6: down a Singletary, so think I think they'll kind of 411 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:28,120 Speaker 6: invite runs to Singletary. What he does with those rans 412 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 6: be seen, but I don't think he's going to be 413 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:31,960 Speaker 6: a big part of their defensive game plan. 414 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,280 Speaker 2: I'll take the under, but you know, knowing that you 415 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 2: and Raymond are both on him, and at forty five hundred, 416 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 2: he's great value, but knowing that you guys are on 417 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 2: him makes me a little less comfortable with it. I 418 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 2: have this projected at you said around eighty and a half. 419 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 2: I haven't projected around seventy three and a half. 420 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 6: Got it. 421 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 7: I will take the let me see it's close eight, 422 00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 7: I will go under. I have it right right around eighty, 423 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 7: but that's more of an average, so you know, listen, 424 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:09,880 Speaker 7: I still think he's he can be worth his price. 425 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 7: It's gonna come down to a touchdown probably, but he 426 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,639 Speaker 7: has been their main pass down back for much of 427 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,920 Speaker 7: the year anyway, so you know, if he can catch 428 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 7: a couple of passes and or get in the end zone, 429 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 7: I still think he pays off that price. 430 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 5: But yeah, I think I think right right eighty is 431 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 5: a good line. 432 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 6: Yeah with Freeman. You know, I'm kind of with you 433 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 6: there because he's probably not gonna win a GPP. He's 434 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 6: gonna be so highly owned. So yeah, if if you 435 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,360 Speaker 6: feel like fading him, I think this is the time 436 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,199 Speaker 6: to do it. If we're relying on a touchdown here, 437 00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 6: he's not the guy that you want to be relying 438 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,639 Speaker 6: on a touchdown four. So yeah, he's an interesting fade. 439 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 6: Even though all of our projections and models we'll say 440 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:46,200 Speaker 6: he's a good play, he does have a low enough 441 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 6: floor where if you want to fade him this, you know, 442 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 6: he would be the guy to be aggressive in fading 443 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 6: because because of his ownership being so high. 444 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 2: This week, all right, let's talk about wide receivers. The 445 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 2: guys at the top of our rankings are Tyreek Hill, 446 00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:01,119 Speaker 2: Stefan Diggs, Davante Adams. You know, I mean, what a 447 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,719 Speaker 2: week for DeVonta Adams that he's gonna have to go 448 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 2: against Jalen Ramsey. I mean, ordinarily it would be you know, 449 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 2: easily Devanta Adams number one in this spot, ranked number three, Sean, 450 00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:13,919 Speaker 2: who are you high on this week? 451 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 6: I'm high on Diggs just because what you said, I 452 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 6: have Devanta Adams just slightly by point one below him 453 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:25,960 Speaker 6: right now, Yet Adams is one point three k more expensive. 454 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,200 Speaker 6: You know, I don't love Diggs matchup either. He's facing 455 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,480 Speaker 6: Baltimore who have three great corners. It's really going to 456 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 6: be hard to move him around to avoid a tough matchup. 457 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 6: But you could say that with pretty much all receivers 458 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,120 Speaker 6: this week. Maybe Tiger Hill probably has the best matchup, 459 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 6: but we were not sure if he's one hundred percent 460 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 6: healthy quite yet. But this is a tough week for receivers, 461 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 6: so I'm more than willing to just spend up on digs. 462 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 6: He should be a lock for plenty of targets, so 463 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:54,879 Speaker 6: I'll have plenty of dig shares this week. But the 464 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 6: one guy I do like that's a bit more under 465 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,399 Speaker 6: the radar is Rashad Higgins. He's forty one a one 466 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 6: hundred right now. Again, I mentioned that Baker Mayfield has 467 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 6: some sneaky upside this week. I think Higgins is a 468 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,120 Speaker 6: sneaky stack partner. If you're going to be even more 469 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 6: controlling and not go with Landry. You know, last week 470 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 6: he ran around eighty six percent of the time. He's 471 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 6: he's a full time player, consistently under the radar, and 472 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 6: when Baker had that good stretch weeks eleven through fifteen, 473 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 6: Higgins was the wide receiver twenty two and half PPR. 474 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 6: So he's one of those guys that a four games slate, 475 00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,439 Speaker 6: you're gonna have to be somewhat contrarian, and he just 476 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 6: seems like a no brainer play at forty one hundred, 477 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 6: which is in a game which you know the Browns 478 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 6: could throw more, could be a shootout. So I love 479 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 6: having some Higgins exposure here. 480 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 2: Sean, you mentioned that this is a tough week really 481 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 2: for all of the wide receivers, and it's true if 482 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,880 Speaker 2: you just kind of look down the cornerbacks who were 483 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 2: left in the playoffs. So obviously you have DeVante Adams 484 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 2: going against Jayalen Ramsey. On the other side of that, 485 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 2: you're going to have Robert Woods matching up against JayR 486 00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 2: Alexander the most, and obviously Woods moves around the formation, 487 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,840 Speaker 2: so it's not as if he's going to face Alexander 488 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:06,679 Speaker 2: all the time, but that's the guy he's going to 489 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 2: face the most. And Alexander a second team All Pro 490 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 2: this year. I think arguably he should have been a 491 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,400 Speaker 2: first team All Pro. But I mean, even if he's 492 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:18,200 Speaker 2: not obviously in that elite tier of cornerbacks this year, 493 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 2: and then you just go through all of the matchups. 494 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:24,920 Speaker 2: Baltimore obviously has great cornerbacks, Buffalo has tru Davius White, 495 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 2: who is likely to be shadowing Hollywood Brown. For Cleveland, 496 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:35,440 Speaker 2: Denzel Ward might return and he's not going to play 497 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:37,200 Speaker 2: in the slot, so it's not as if he's going 498 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 2: to be shadowing Tyreek Hill. But you know, when Hill 499 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:42,720 Speaker 2: is on the outside, I think he will probably match 500 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:46,199 Speaker 2: up most with Ward, and Ward is one of the 501 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 2: few cornerbacks who really does have the speed to at 502 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 2: least maybe to hang with someone like Tyreek Hill as 503 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:56,439 Speaker 2: much as any cornerback can. Kansas City with the defense 504 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 2: that they play, they don't have like a Marquee cornerback, 505 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 2: but they are a pretty good against wide receivers. And 506 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,400 Speaker 2: then in that final game, we have Tampa Bay going 507 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,119 Speaker 2: against New Orleans and we have that great matchup of 508 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,639 Speaker 2: Mike Evans versus Marshaun Lattimore where Latimore is just in 509 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,159 Speaker 2: Evan's head at this point, that like that is a 510 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 2: fantastic one on one matchup. And then on the other 511 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:20,400 Speaker 2: side you have the Bucks, who have a great pass 512 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,560 Speaker 2: defense going against Michael Thomas. You know, whether Thomas is 513 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 2: lined up against Carlton Davis, who's pretty good against big bodied, 514 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 2: big bodied wide receivers, or whether he's match up against 515 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 2: Jammel Dean, who's had a good season. Like it's it's 516 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 2: a tough matchup either way. So you just look at 517 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 2: all of these wide receivers and you can come up 518 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 2: with pretty clear reasons not to be on someone. And 519 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,360 Speaker 2: uh and so yeah, within that context, I mean, Stefan 520 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 2: Diggs is still standing out to me as as someone 521 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:51,200 Speaker 2: I want to be pretty high on this week for 522 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 2: you know, all the reasons that you mentioned. You know, 523 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 2: tough matchup, of course, but he has such a high 524 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 2: target share. 525 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 6: Uh. 526 00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 2: And you know, again every wide receiver has a tough matchup, 527 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 2: but up on, Diggs has league high marks in the 528 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 2: regular season and receptions and yards receiving and then last 529 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 2: week one hundred and twenty eight yards in a touchdown 530 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 2: on nine targets. He's just I think playing a cut above. 531 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:16,400 Speaker 2: So Diggs is someone I'm very high on this week. Raybond, 532 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 2: who are you high on this week? 533 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,760 Speaker 7: I still think Tyreek Hill is another guy we shouldn't, 534 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 7: you know, forget about going against Cleveland. And yes, Denzel 535 00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,679 Speaker 7: Ward has the speed to guard him, but you know, 536 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:30,520 Speaker 7: as you mentioned, like Ward is not going to move 537 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 7: around as much, and you know Andy Reids had the 538 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 7: week off to prepare Cleveland defense. Clearly the worst of 539 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,159 Speaker 7: the past defense is remaining in the playoffs. 540 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 5: I think. 541 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 7: So I think Diggs could also have a just a 542 00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 7: monster game. I mean, excuse me, Hill could have a 543 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 7: monster game. So that's going to be interesting the way 544 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,920 Speaker 7: ownership shapes up, because I think Diggs will get higher 545 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 7: ownership just because he's cheaper. But you know, with the 546 00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:55,760 Speaker 7: ownership on my homes, we could see a lot of 547 00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 7: stacks kind of equalize it. So I'm depending on the 548 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 7: ownership is how I go. And another guy is the 549 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 7: other on the other side is Jarvis Landry. You know Landry, 550 00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,680 Speaker 7: it has been really bailing out for the last month 551 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 7: month and a half when he's been in there, and 552 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 7: I expect this Cleveland team to be playing from behind, 553 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:16,919 Speaker 7: so like Landry to continue to put a big numbers. 554 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:19,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you on Hill. I do like the 555 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 2: analysis there because out of the number one, you know, 556 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 2: kind of top tier wide receivers we have, he is 557 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,640 Speaker 2: the one who has the best matchup because he does 558 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,879 Speaker 2: play in the slot so much, and then you know, 559 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 2: just going against a pass defense that isn't as good 560 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,919 Speaker 2: as the other ones. Anyway, I will definitely be keeping 561 00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:40,679 Speaker 2: an eye on the practice reports for Hill during the 562 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:44,199 Speaker 2: week to you know, just to see how available he 563 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:49,119 Speaker 2: is because if if he's healthy, Yeah, absolutely with you, Raybon, 564 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 2: I think at that point he would be the number 565 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:54,600 Speaker 2: one receiver on the slate, Raybond, who are you low on? 566 00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,400 Speaker 7: So you kind of hit on it, But I mean 567 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 7: DeVante Adams, I think it's a little bit of a 568 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 7: peg down. And then on the other side, I think 569 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:08,120 Speaker 7: the Robert Woods in particular, you know, the Green Bay 570 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,480 Speaker 7: just their perimeter defense against wide receivers has been excellent, 571 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,639 Speaker 7: and Wood's going to play a little more on a 572 00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:15,200 Speaker 7: perimeter than Cooper Cup. 573 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 5: So you know, he. 574 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 7: Gets his he gets carries, he gets kind of schemed 575 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 7: the ball. So it's not always a complete dug for Woods. 576 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 7: But I do think we should expect a little West 577 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 7: this week. 578 00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 2: Sean, I think you also are low on Woods. 579 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,520 Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, I'm low on Woods as well. You know, 580 00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 6: typically he's worth every penny. One of the most underrated 581 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 6: receivers in DFS. But you know fifty nine hundred, you 582 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,239 Speaker 6: know Jared Goff and his thumb, it does lower his 583 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:47,280 Speaker 6: floor quite a bit, so that's a concern. Freeman. You 584 00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 6: mentioned that he could face quite a bit of Jyr 585 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,360 Speaker 6: Alexander coverage. So you know last week he caught four 586 00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:55,400 Speaker 6: balls forty yards and a touchdown. So if he's not 587 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 6: able to salvage with a touchdown, again, like I said, 588 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,120 Speaker 6: his floor is a bit lower, you know, there's I 589 00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 6: think there's much better options with higher flour end ceiling 590 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 6: in his price range. So I'll be fading Woods, which 591 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 6: is rare because like I said, he's usually worth every penny. 592 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:14,560 Speaker 2: The one thing that would be interesting we need to 593 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 2: monitor Cooper Cup, who has Bresidas in his knee, and 594 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,479 Speaker 2: so if Cup is out, they will use Woods as 595 00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:23,320 Speaker 2: the primary slot receiver, so that that will mean he 596 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,640 Speaker 2: doesn't have to face that tougher perimeter defense against wide receiver. 597 00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 2: So definitely something to keep an eye on as we 598 00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 2: progress into the weekend. A guy I'm relatively low on 599 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 2: is Mike Evans, and I mean I mentioned it before, 600 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 2: like his matchup with Marshaun Latimore. Latimore is one of 601 00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 2: the most like boom bust cornerbacks in the league. Like 602 00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:44,959 Speaker 2: sometimes he looks like an all Pro and then the 603 00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 2: next game he's giving up like one hundred and twenty 604 00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 2: yards to a backup wide receiver. But whenever he's facing 605 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:53,720 Speaker 2: Mike Evans, it just seems as if like he is 606 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,960 Speaker 2: totally in a locked in mindset, and Evans is still 607 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:01,880 Speaker 2: dealing with a knee issue. So Evans isn't one hundred percent. 608 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 2: You know, in Week one, Evans had just two yards 609 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:09,719 Speaker 2: on four targets against Latimore. In Week nine had sixty 610 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 2: four yards on six targets. Given the other options that 611 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 2: they have in that offense, and given that Latimore almost 612 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,959 Speaker 2: certainly will be shadowing Mike Evans, I don't know how 613 00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 2: much they will fill the need to force targets in 614 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,960 Speaker 2: Evans direction. So I could see, you know, a bigger 615 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 2: game for Godwin, maybe bigger game for Antonio Brown, with 616 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 2: Evans really just not being a key part in the 617 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 2: passing attack. So I am relatively low on Evans this week. Sean, 618 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 2: I saw you smiling over there. My fear is that 619 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 2: you might be asking for the player prop some sort 620 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 2: of question on Mike Evans. But maybe I am wrong, Sean, 621 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 2: give us the player prop. 622 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 6: I am going with the matchup of the week here, 623 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,160 Speaker 6: Davante Adams versus Jalen Ramsey. So let's let's go with 624 00:30:55,640 --> 00:31:00,400 Speaker 6: DeVante Adams receiving yards. I have it set at eighty 625 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 6: nine and a half. 626 00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 2: I will take the under. I have it projected it 627 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 2: eighty eight and a half. Oh nice, so strong strong under. 628 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, I have it at eighty six, So going under 629 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 5: as well. 630 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 7: You know, we and Adams can affect the game without 631 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 7: you putting up a huge total. We've seen you know, 632 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 7: he can still score a touchdown or even two. But yeah, 633 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 7: I don't expect him to have a huge yards day. 634 00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean eighty eight in a touchdown, you know, 635 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 2: like that's that's still a great day for a typical 636 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:38,160 Speaker 2: wide receiver. For Adams, it would seem like a total disappointment. 637 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,200 Speaker 2: And honestly, like for Ramsey, like if he holds him 638 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,080 Speaker 2: to eighty eight yards or something like that, Like, I mean, 639 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'd say that was a success, 640 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,560 Speaker 2: but it's like DeVante didn't beat them. You know, if 641 00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 2: DeVante Adams has only eighty eight yards in a touchdown, 642 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 2: So that might be kind of the way to approach 643 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 2: it if you're the Rams. Let's talk about the tight 644 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 2: ends at the top of our rankings. I don't think 645 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 2: any surprise that Travis Kelcey is number one, Mark Andrews 646 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 2: is number two, and then there's a massive gulf between 647 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 2: those two guys and everyone else. Rob Gronkowski we technically 648 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 2: have number three, but I mean you there are other 649 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 2: guys who are all kind of within a point of Gronkowski's. 650 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:26,960 Speaker 2: Mark is the third guy that we have in the projections. Sean, 651 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 2: who are you high on this week? 652 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 6: Well, obviously I'm high on Kelsey and Andrews, but if 653 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:34,920 Speaker 6: you know you're gonna go cheap at tight end, I 654 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:40,200 Speaker 6: think Austin Hooper offers some sneaky value at thirty eight hundred. Again, 655 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,280 Speaker 6: this is a matchup at case where you know the 656 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 6: Browns could be forced to throw a lot more, and 657 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:48,720 Speaker 6: Hooper's heating up last week. He saw eleven targets he 658 00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 6: ran arout on save seventy nine percent of Baker's dropbacks. 659 00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 6: And we know Casey, can you know they're prone to 660 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 6: allow stuff underneath, So I think Hooper could find those 661 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:01,520 Speaker 6: soft spots and he could have, you know, a pretty 662 00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 6: big receiving day. You know, he he does lack the 663 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:06,920 Speaker 6: touch on upside as you know, like an Andrews or Kelsey. 664 00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 6: But again, this is one of those times where four 665 00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:11,640 Speaker 6: games slight, you're gonna have to be contrarion somewhere, and 666 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,600 Speaker 6: I think these sneaky Brown Snacks are one of the 667 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 6: ways that I'm going to be attacking this slight. So 668 00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:17,760 Speaker 6: love who brought thirty eight hundred. 669 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just going to be highly unoriginal and say 670 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:26,040 Speaker 2: that I'm high on Travis kelce however high a normal 671 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 2: person should be. I'll just say I'm even higher than 672 00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 2: that because he's Travis kelcey and he's going against the Browns, 673 00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,960 Speaker 2: who allow the fourth most fantasy points in the league 674 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 2: to tight ends. You kind of look at DVOA, They're 675 00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,200 Speaker 2: not that good there against tight end. So it's just 676 00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,680 Speaker 2: you know, Kelsey is an all world player and he 677 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 2: has a good matchup on top of it, and you 678 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 2: know he should be very fresh coming off of the bye, 679 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:52,560 Speaker 2: So I'm going to find a way to prioritize Kelsey, 680 00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 2: certainly in cash games. Ravon, who are you high on? 681 00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 7: So you know, you guys mentioned the top overall ceiling 682 00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 7: player and Kelsey and the top value in Austin Hooper. 683 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 7: So I'll just go with the guy that kind of 684 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,400 Speaker 7: fits into a little of both, and that is Mark Andrews. 685 00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:15,160 Speaker 7: When you watched Buffalo last week played defense, I think 686 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,000 Speaker 7: one thing that stood out was that their real issue 687 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:19,399 Speaker 7: came against covering tight ends. 688 00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 5: That was kind of the weakness. 689 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,480 Speaker 7: And you know, they could obviously scheme this up a 690 00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 7: little bit differently this week with Andrews being such a 691 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,319 Speaker 7: big part of Baltimore's passing game, but you still have 692 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,520 Speaker 7: to worry about Lamar running, so you know, I think 693 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:33,319 Speaker 7: that you. 694 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,480 Speaker 5: Will see some some weaknesses. 695 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,919 Speaker 7: And you had last week you had Jack Doyle catch 696 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 7: seven of nine targets, you had Trey Burton catch three 697 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 7: or three, and then you had Molei Cox catch four 698 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 7: or four. So that's you know, fourteen of sixteen to 699 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 7: the tight end. I think this could be a big 700 00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,160 Speaker 7: game for Mark Andrews. 701 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 2: I was on Andrews and his over prop last weekend 702 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 2: did not work out. I'm hoping that it works out 703 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 2: this week. Give us a player that you are low on, 704 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:03,359 Speaker 2: so I. 705 00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:07,400 Speaker 7: Think just kind of by default Robert Tunyan for the Packers. Again, 706 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:11,400 Speaker 7: I think it's one of the few downgrades for their offense. 707 00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 7: And you know, Tanyan is a guy that you know, 708 00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,960 Speaker 7: when Aaron Rodgers is throwing forty eight touchdowns in a season, 709 00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,160 Speaker 7: he's going to catch some of those and he's going 710 00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:21,320 Speaker 7: to be a part of those those big games. 711 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,560 Speaker 5: But I think this is a much more kind of. 712 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 7: League average game for Aaron Rodgers, which is still better 713 00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:29,719 Speaker 7: than most against the Rams offense defense. But yeah, I 714 00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 7: don't think it's a big game. So not looking for 715 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 7: much from Tanyan. 716 00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,120 Speaker 2: Sean, I believe that you were also, I mean, Raymond 717 00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 2: just snakedy there. I believe you also are a selection 718 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:47,359 Speaker 2: also low on Tanyan this week. Rayvon hit on it. 719 00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:49,799 Speaker 6: You know, he scored his touch on six of his 720 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:53,239 Speaker 6: last seven games, and I keep emphasizing that, you know, 721 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:55,279 Speaker 6: touchdowns are pretty fickle, so you don't want to be 722 00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 6: relying on a touchdown. You know, his his odds to 723 00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 6: score touchdown most sports books this week will be you know, 724 00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 6: minus one sixty on no. So you're taking your chances 725 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,280 Speaker 6: here by fading a guy that's unlikely to score a touchdown. 726 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,759 Speaker 6: You know, he hasn't seen more than three targets since 727 00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:14,120 Speaker 6: week fourteen, so it just goes to show that, you know, 728 00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,959 Speaker 6: he does rely on these touchdowns. Now there's a chance 729 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 6: Ramsey could shut down Adams and Rogers pivots to a 730 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 6: guy like Kanyan, But I think Rogers is going to 731 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 6: force the issue. I think he's still going to target Adams, 732 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,600 Speaker 6: and I think you know, Tanyan's gonna see just you know, 733 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:30,160 Speaker 6: maybe two to three, two to four targets. So at 734 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 6: forty two hundred on this slate, I think you got 735 00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:34,759 Speaker 6: pass on it. You either have to spend up or 736 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,120 Speaker 6: spend down. Tanian's just in a very tricky price range 737 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:38,479 Speaker 6: this week. 738 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:43,200 Speaker 2: Okay, I am looking to stay away from Rob Gronkowski. Uh, 739 00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,560 Speaker 2: he's in a big tier with everyone who's underneath Kelsey 740 00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:48,840 Speaker 2: and Mark Andrews. I don't think there's anything that really 741 00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:52,320 Speaker 2: differentiates him. But he had just one target last week, 742 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,000 Speaker 2: and the Saints are number two in past dboa against 743 00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:58,360 Speaker 2: tight ends, so a tougher matchup and perhaps he's trending 744 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,160 Speaker 2: in the wrong direction in terms of its usage. So 745 00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:05,160 Speaker 2: it just seems like an easy player to stay away from. Sean, 746 00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:09,520 Speaker 2: you promised that this tight end prop was going to 747 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:11,880 Speaker 2: be something that was a little bit creative. 748 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,880 Speaker 6: Given to us. All right, so here we go. What 749 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:19,880 Speaker 6: will be greater this week? The number of times Chad 750 00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 6: backs Freedman's bet unconvinced me this weekend. So that's out 751 00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:30,040 Speaker 6: of six total bets or David jokhu receptions against the Chiefs. 752 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 4: I eat gluten. 753 00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,520 Speaker 2: Wow, you're giving us two things that we really need 754 00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 2: to think hard about here. 755 00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:38,840 Speaker 6: Yes, so think. 756 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:45,400 Speaker 7: Let's see Matthew Friedman's average hitting percentage is about zero, 757 00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,080 Speaker 7: which mean Chad will bet back off six. 758 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:52,040 Speaker 2: So I mean, here's the thing. Chad on the Sunday Show, 759 00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 2: he backed me twice and both of those lost, So 760 00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,520 Speaker 2: I think there's a there's less than a one out 761 00:37:58,520 --> 00:37:59,160 Speaker 2: of three chance. 762 00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 6: So what let's let's work backwards. What do you guys 763 00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:03,560 Speaker 6: have projected for Joku's receptions? 764 00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:04,720 Speaker 5: Is one point four? 765 00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:10,080 Speaker 6: Okay, what would you project Freedman's over under for convince me? 766 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,040 Speaker 7: I'd have to go with two, just because I don't 767 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:16,680 Speaker 7: think Chad is purposely trying to back anyone more than 768 00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:17,000 Speaker 7: the others. 769 00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:18,440 Speaker 4: So yeah, I'll go, I'll go, I'll go. 770 00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:19,040 Speaker 5: Friedman. 771 00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:22,399 Speaker 2: I don't know how to manage anybody. Okay, I'm I'm 772 00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,879 Speaker 2: going Friedman as well, but it has more to do 773 00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:31,440 Speaker 2: with massive in Joku fade than any any confidence that 774 00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:34,239 Speaker 2: I have in my ability to convince Chad that he 775 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,240 Speaker 2: should bet on anything I recommend. 776 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,520 Speaker 6: Well, I think Joku has some sneaky three catch three 777 00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,880 Speaker 6: to four catch upside this week, So maybe I'm hiring 778 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,480 Speaker 6: on than you guys. But yeah, I think both the 779 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 6: projections right around too. But Joku has probably a wide 780 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 6: range of outcomes. 781 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,560 Speaker 2: But I oh, that's that's certainly true. I think does 782 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:53,720 Speaker 2: have the wider range of outcomes. 783 00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:55,840 Speaker 6: Right, You're you're gonna be either one or two this weekend. 784 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,000 Speaker 6: I think we all are, like our projections one and 785 00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,400 Speaker 6: a half to two, but I think you're pretty much 786 00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:02,760 Speaker 6: gonna have one or two. So it's it's gonna mostly 787 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 6: come down to in Joeku this week. 788 00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:06,680 Speaker 2: But I would yeah, I think the line for me 789 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 2: is one and a half, but with a strong lean 790 00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 2: to the under. That's that's why that's how I would 791 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:12,000 Speaker 2: bet it. 792 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:14,799 Speaker 6: Okay, So you guys are you guys are booked on 793 00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:16,200 Speaker 6: Freeman over right? 794 00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:16,839 Speaker 5: Yeah? 795 00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 2: All right, Friedman, they're Freedman over this. This is not 796 00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:21,640 Speaker 2: going to end well for anyone. 797 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:26,360 Speaker 6: Melvyn one of the biggest sets. 798 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,319 Speaker 2: All right, that is going to do it. For the show. 799 00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:31,800 Speaker 2: You can follow Sean, Chris and Me in the Action Network, 800 00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:34,600 Speaker 2: AAP at the Underscore, Osmaker, Chris Raybond and Matt at 801 00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,360 Speaker 2: the Oracle. Use the app to get real time odds 802 00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,279 Speaker 2: and track your bets for free. Be sure to check 803 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,920 Speaker 2: out our rankings at the Action Network. Please subscribe to 804 00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,480 Speaker 2: and rate Interview the show and listen and download on Spotify. 805 00:39:45,760 --> 00:40:00,719 Speaker 2: See you again next episode. 806 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:04,560 Speaker 6: We're finished talking