1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 3 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding of professionals 4 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 5 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: day after day. It's like banking with P and C Bank. 6 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: It might seem boring to save, plan and make calculated 7 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 1: decisions with your bank, but keeping your money boring is 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly 10 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark of 11 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C Bank 12 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: National Association Member FDIC. 13 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: What is the outlook for twenty twenty six in the market. 14 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 3: It's gonna be tumultuous, but I think it an impositive 15 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 3: and then twenty twenty seven that will have iceberg slim 16 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 3: show up. The most important lesson that I need you 17 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 3: guys to know for twenty twenty sive whether we have 18 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 3: a deep decline or we're flat. Your job is to 19 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 3: accumulate as many assets as possible. Now, you got to 20 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 3: be an asset order like if it's accumulation time. For 21 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: those of you who believe in micro strategy. If you 22 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 3: believe in that, then it's time for you to pile in. 23 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 3: If you believe in bitcoin, it's time for you to 24 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,960 Speaker 3: pile into that. A lot of you asking about SpaceX. Okay, well, 25 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 3: let's cover Microsoft first, your index funds first. But this 26 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 3: has to be a deep accumulation year. And also too, 27 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 3: now's not the year for you to learn more. And 28 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 3: I know he just said that, but in the market, 29 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 3: we've given you what to invest in, you have. 30 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 2: To deploy more capital. 31 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 3: There the sense that I get from every person that 32 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 3: I talk to, and no one knows what the free 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 3: fall cause is going to be, but everyone I talk 34 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 3: to knows that there's going to be a free fall 35 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 3: at some point in twenty six going into twenty seven. 36 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 3: And here's the part that no one's going to tell you. 37 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 3: No one's going to save you when you're in desperation, 38 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 3: because no one really gives a fun. 39 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 2: That's why most. 40 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 3: People who have information, they're quieter than ever. In Gatekeeper, 41 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 3: there's not many people telling you. Even on SpaceX, thank 42 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 3: god for VLAG, but look how much pushback they gave 43 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 3: him on tokenization. 44 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: Of pre IPO assets. We got this. 45 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:22,959 Speaker 3: Market down, but they're going to block you out. The 46 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 3: VC and the angel deals. Why the private equity deals. 47 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 3: Why because they don't want you to have access to it. 48 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 3: They want to keep that one percent. It's like, well, 49 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 3: we gave y'all a stock market. You can have that, 50 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 3: but the seven hundred percent gainers that you can get 51 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 3: before even hits the market, we don't even want you 52 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 3: to touch that. 53 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: Yeah. 54 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 4: I think that's why this is such an important time, 55 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 4: such an important show, such an important moment. 56 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 2: Twenty twenty six. I'm optimistic about it. 57 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 4: And there's a couple I always talk about catallus events 58 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 4: and things that can have the market move. I think 59 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 4: if you look at the the Hyperscalers, the Metas, the Amazons, 60 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 4: the Microsofts of the world, Google's Tesla, I think from 61 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 4: what we've seen in twenty twenty five and what their 62 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 4: future projections are for twenty twenty six, I think the 63 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 4: Cappeck story still is the same. You ask yourself the question, 64 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 4: are they going to spend less or are they going 65 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 4: to spend more? 66 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 2: And the answer is more. 67 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 4: And if we're talking about infrastructure, are we talking about 68 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 4: spending less? Are were going to be talking about spending more. 69 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 4: We're going to be talking about spending more. We're spending more. 70 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 4: Deregulation is a word that keeps coming up, and I 71 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 4: think it plays a major part into the story of 72 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 4: twenty twenty six in terms of AI, specifically when we 73 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 4: talk about Jensen and our battle, our race to make 74 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 4: sure that we stay ahead of China, he said, the 75 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 4: deregulation is going to be the biggest issue. Right If 76 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 4: it takes us six weeks to build or six years 77 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 4: to build a data center and it takes them two 78 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 4: days to build a hospital, that's going to be a 79 00:03:58,040 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 4: problem for us in the future. We have to figure 80 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 4: out how we can get these things happening in ult 81 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 4: ground faster, to the point where now AI deregulation is 82 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 4: going state by state, so. 83 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 2: You start to see the early signs with that. 84 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 4: Deregulation helps the AI industry, but it also helps the 85 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 4: financial industry when we're talking about banks, and we'll talk 86 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 4: about those a little bit later. 87 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: So that's a tale that I think helps the market. 88 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 1: When you talk about autonomous and EV this is the 89 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: year for Tesla, so it show improve. 90 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 2: So that's another event. I think the new fetcher. 91 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 4: Right, This is not going to be a person who 92 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 4: is going to be, you know, someone that's going to 93 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 4: set the economy back, or you would think if or 94 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 4: they wouldn't be selected. 95 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 2: So that is one. 96 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 4: The China story with Nvidio is another one. I think 97 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 4: that first half of the year, I'm super optimistic. I 98 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 4: think we're going to have another positive year. I know 99 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 4: you we're pacing. We're pacing at seventeen percent right now 100 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 4: or just under it three years and potentially of twenty 101 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 4: percent gains. Now, that's happened once before. I was listening 102 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,039 Speaker 4: to Tom Lee earlier. It was like, we've seen this 103 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 4: happen in the nineties when we were talking about the internet, 104 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 4: and then that fourth year was actually one of the 105 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 4: better years out of the four. Obviously we know what 106 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 4: happens in ninety nine and two thousand, But I'm optimistic 107 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 4: about the market. I saw Oppenheimer had an S ANDP 108 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 4: target of eighty one hundred, and then there was sp 109 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,159 Speaker 4: rays of seventy one hundred. But that meeting it's like 110 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 4: seventy seven hundred, which tells us again that we potentially 111 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 4: will be sitting at another eleven to thirteen percent game 112 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 4: for the SMP, which is I mean just above average, 113 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 4: was as good, so I'm optimistic about it. I think 114 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:48,719 Speaker 4: toward the end of the year we may see some 115 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 4: tailwinds that might turn the market a little bit negative. Obviously, 116 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:54,720 Speaker 4: this is a mid term year. 117 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 1: We already spoke about how markets perform in midterm years 118 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: as government chain and political offices change, so we'll be 119 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 1: looking toward that in November. 120 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 2: But I think we set off the year pretty well, and. 121 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 3: You got to be more focused on the decade targets 122 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 3: as a gym. I think too often people get too 123 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 3: caught up in how a year is going to do, 124 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 3: opposed to if you really want generational wealth, if you're 125 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 3: not willing to hold for ten years, you're just talking. 126 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 3: You're missing on too much upside to care about what 127 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 3: it was going to happen in a quarter or six months. 128 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I don't I say that because I don't 129 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 1: want people to be fearful, right Like, they keep hearing 130 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,799 Speaker 1: about this crash, they keep hearing about we're going into recession, 131 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: and then it doesn't happen, and then you don't do 132 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 1: anything because you kept listening to what people were saying. 133 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 3: So well, we hear recession in twenty two and they 134 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 3: changed the definition of what it was. But that was 135 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 3: an immense boyd opportunity, just like they won't print the 136 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 3: fit reports now. 137 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, and look at the returns out of that from 138 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 4: twenty two, right, you're talking about again three years or 139 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 4: potentially twenty percent games So you can't the recession if 140 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 4: it does happen, right, or let's say we have a downturn, 141 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 4: We've just got to be prepared for that because that's 142 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 4: when people are going to make money. That's the exact 143 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 4: time when you should be investing in Like, okay, here 144 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 4: we are. We were prepared for it. We got our 145 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 4: entry prices, whether it was in futures and options. If 146 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 4: you're just buying equities, now we can grab those shares 147 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 4: that we want at a price that we want. Unlet's 148 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 4: watch those returns over the next two, three, five, ten, 149 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 4: twenty years. 150 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 2: Earners, what's up? 151 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: You ever walk into a small business and everything just works, 152 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 1: like the checkout is fast, or seats are digital, tipping 153 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: is a breeze and you're out the door before the 154 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: line even builds. Odds are they're using square? 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