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Speaker 1: If you try and take it easy on them and

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Speaker 1: the casuals, just t train blows down upon you. So tonight, tonight, tonight.

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Speaker 1: In the words of Philip Collins, I think it's time

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Speaker 1: for us to punch back a little bit. Now, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna punch down because by default, when you're fighting a casual,

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Speaker 1: you're punching down. But we got to do it for

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Speaker 1: the sanctity of all that is good on this show.

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Speaker 1: Late Kick is live. It It's Tuesday, October three, the

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Speaker 1: year of our lower twenty twenty three, jam packed high

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Speaker 1: top just a picture perfect downtown Nashville, Tennessee. We got

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Speaker 1: full week six predictions. Please don't misunderstand me. This show

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Speaker 1: is and always will be on Tuesdays centered around predictions.

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Speaker 1: I've got what do we got, Jesse? We certainly got

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Speaker 1: the game. We're going to ou Texas. We've got Bama,

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Speaker 1: A and m We got Georgia, Kentucky. We're gonna do

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame Louisville. We're gonna do a lot of games tonight. Actually,

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Speaker 1: new JP pull mirror moments from now, minutes from now.

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Speaker 1: We have a new number one tonight spoiler alert, and

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Speaker 1: also another team that's not gonna be inside the top

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Speaker 1: twenty five. What I want to talk about in just

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Speaker 1: a second. As I said, we got some casual affity

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Speaker 1: to deal with, and it's in the vein of Dion Sanders.

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Speaker 1: But it's really not a Deon Colorado thing as much

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Speaker 1: as it just is an ignorance thing. And we are

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Speaker 1: anti ignorance on this show, always haven't, always will be.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Fayette, Alabama, Saint Joseph, Missouri, Detroit, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: and Columbia, Kentucky. Thank you guys so much. Now, I

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Speaker 1: just got the numbers in for September. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: bore you with how great they were, but who trust me?

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Speaker 1: Clap for you guys. They were great. But it occurs

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Speaker 1: to me every time I look at those numbers. We've

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Speaker 1: got tens of thousands of new people coming to this

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Speaker 1: show every month, and that's a conservative number. So thank

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Speaker 1: you welcome. I know a lot of this stuff doesn't

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Speaker 1: make sense. I know a lot of the phraseology doesn't

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Speaker 1: make sense. Why does this dude say immunity so many

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Speaker 1: times per show? It'll all make sense in time. But

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Speaker 1: what I do want you to know is this show

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Speaker 1: is free we don't charge a dime for it. All

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Speaker 1: I need you to do, if you have not already,

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Speaker 1: is subscribe to the YouTube channel and subscribe to the podcast.

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Speaker 1: Do both of those and it'll always be free. That's it.

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Speaker 1: There's no further catch. Thank you guys so much. And

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Speaker 1: if you want a little added entertainment, especially on Friday

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Speaker 1: nights and Saturday afternoons at late kick Josh, Twitter and Instagram, Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's dive in. I'm so excited about this week. I

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Speaker 1: don't even have to try and hide it. It is

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Speaker 1: Red Rivershootout Week, the Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Texas, Texas versus Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma versus Texas. Whatever order you want to go in,

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Speaker 1: I will follow you because I get to be there

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Speaker 1: just like we were two years ago. It's really when

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Speaker 1: I first took the eye Josh out on the road

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Speaker 1: and started showing you the vantage point that we get.

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Speaker 1: We get to be on the sidelines for these games,

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Speaker 1: and it's perfect pretty much, especially if weather cooperates. It's

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Speaker 1: a perfect scene. They're at the State Fair. The fact

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Speaker 1: that I will get to watch a half of football

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Speaker 1: and then eat funnel cake and then watch the second

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Speaker 1: half of football, frankly, is a little bit too much

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Speaker 1: for me to go into in great detail because I

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Speaker 1: get a little bit too worked up about it. But man,

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Speaker 1: what a game we have setting up first first time.

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Speaker 1: Both of these teams are undefeated in this game since

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Speaker 1: twenty eleven. Once upon a Saturday tour in town, I

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Speaker 1: was doing some chatting, and by me, I mean I

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Speaker 1: sent producer Jesse to do some chatting with Colin Kennedy

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Speaker 1: and Tom Green and the guys over it sooner illustrated

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Speaker 1: because I've seen Texas in person already this year, I

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Speaker 1: have not seen Oklahoma in person. And here's what I

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Speaker 1: hear a lot. Maybe you're contributing to this, Tell me

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Speaker 1: if you've heard this before. Yeah, Oklahoma's four and over.

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Speaker 1: They haven't played anybody. Our buddy, Brandon Walker, well, our

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Speaker 1: acquaintance Brandon Walker is busy polluting the college football airwaves

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Speaker 1: with not such nonsense because it may be true, but

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Speaker 1: just such statements lately. Now, I have always been of

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Speaker 1: the opinion that it wouldn't like you could lower the

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Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs into college football as currently constructed, and

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Speaker 1: if they played for Tomato Cans, people would say, well,

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Speaker 1: they're no good. They haven't played anyone like the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: are the Chiefs or maybe the number one team in

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Speaker 1: the country's Oklahoma. For all we know, they play who

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Speaker 1: they play like. It doesn't necessarily it doesn't necessarily negate

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Speaker 1: how good you are if you haven't played anyone. Now,

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Speaker 1: it also doesn't prove anything. So they may be a fraud,

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Speaker 1: they may be a total contender. But eventually, if you

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Speaker 1: play in that conference, if you play in a Power

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Speaker 1: five conference, tests will come. Oklahoma has played one top

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Speaker 1: fifty team in the S and P plus so far

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Speaker 1: this year, and they don't play another one inside the

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Speaker 1: top thirty after this. We told you they had a

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Speaker 1: workable schedule in the preseason. This shouldn't be a surprise

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Speaker 1: to you, but they got Texas to deal with this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: What's going to happen in plus territory in this game?

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Speaker 1: I think will ultimately decide the game. Yes, starting field

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Speaker 1: position is wonderful, and if you can give me a

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Speaker 1: padlock stat that someone's gonna average starting on their own

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Speaker 1: forty three yard line, I would lean that way. But

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Speaker 1: in absence of that kind of padlock stat, you tell

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Speaker 1: me what happens once teams get across the fifty yard line.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma has forced a bunch of field goals this year,

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Speaker 1: so they've been pretty good at this defensively. Texas at

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Speaker 1: times has struggled offensively when they've gotten past the fifty. Now,

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Speaker 1: as you know, and it's gonna be a theme on

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Speaker 1: tonight's show. Just because you have a season's worth of

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Speaker 1: stats baked into a particular cake, it doesn't always mean

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Speaker 1: the slice you get that Saturday equals what the rest

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Speaker 1: of the cake would lead you to believe it equals.

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Speaker 1: So in other words, you could be plus five turnovers

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Speaker 1: on the season and be minus three to one Saturday afternoon,

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Speaker 1: or you could be really subpar in plus territory scoring touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: but on any given Saturday, you can get in there

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Speaker 1: four times, score four touchdowns, and boom, you just beat

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma by double digits. Like that could be the long

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Speaker 1: and short of it. What's real versus what's mirage? Though,

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Speaker 1: That's what I want to know, because everyone's out there

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Speaker 1: telling me Texas hitting back. Well, all of a sudden

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Speaker 1: they beat Bama and now people are convinced Texas is back,

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Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden they're like tied with

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Speaker 1: Wyoming in the fourth quarter, and oh, maybe Bama was

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Speaker 1: a fraud. Maybe Texas is not back, if we please

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Speaker 1: not fluctuate on our opinion of good old Texas week

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Speaker 1: by week. And then with Oklahoma. With Oklahoma, I'm being

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Speaker 1: told around every street corner, yeah they're four and oh,

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Speaker 1: you know, lady bagged my groceries today and said thank you.

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Speaker 1: Come again. By the way, Oklahoma is a fraud that

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Speaker 1: hadn't played anyone, are they though? Is it a real

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Speaker 1: or is it a mirage? I don't know, Guys, I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Couples retreat. CJ. Vogel over at Action had

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Speaker 1: a really good stat Texas's defense has faced four inside

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Speaker 1: the top seventy and scoring. They faced four teams inside

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Speaker 1: the top seventy and scoring so far this year. Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: has faced zero. What does it mean? What does it

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Speaker 1: all mean? I know what it's supposed to lead me

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Speaker 1: to believe, but what does it all really mean? The

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Speaker 1: beauty of this game, aside from the rivalry aspect, aside

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Speaker 1: from the fact that you can smell the State fair outside,

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Speaker 1: aside from the high level competition, the fact that in

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Speaker 1: many years it's an absolute shootout. Last year, notwithstanding, is

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Speaker 1: we finally get to learn some stuff. We finally get

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Speaker 1: to learn things that frankly, Arkansas State Oklahoma could not

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Speaker 1: teach us. But Texas Oklahoma's gonna teach us a lot.

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Speaker 1: This Saturday is Dylan Gabriel's moment. Make no mistake about it.

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Speaker 1: You can talk to me about Texas's defensive front, quin yours.

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Speaker 1: You can talk to me about cook, you can talk

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Speaker 1: to me about all those guys. I think Dylan Gabriel

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Speaker 1: is actually the most important player in the game. He

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Speaker 1: missed it last year when they got body bagged at

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Speaker 1: the Cotton Bowl. He wasn't the starting quarterback, he was injured.

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Speaker 1: He does not have a lot of big games started

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Speaker 1: at Oklahoma. And that's how I define games. Brent Vinnables

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Speaker 1: will tell you every game is a big game as

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Speaker 1: long as we're playing four quarters. Yeah, if you're the

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Speaker 1: head coach at Oklahoma, you better feel that way. I

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Speaker 1: don't coach at Oklahoma. Probably never will. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to rule it out totally. Probably never will. So I'm

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Speaker 1: sitting here telling you I have not seen him in

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Speaker 1: big games in the Crimson and Cream. Well, I do

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Speaker 1: get to see that this Saturday, seventy five percent completion

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Speaker 1: percentage this year. But he hasn't faced any one. I know, guys.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen tds, two interceptions, but he hasn't faced anyone. I know, guys,

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Speaker 1: I hear it. You don't have to type into comment section.

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Speaker 1: He's got four rushing touchdowns too. He hasn't faced anyone.

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Speaker 1: I'm doing this sarcastically because that is what the comment

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Speaker 1: section will devolve into later this week. You know, they've

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Speaker 1: asked him to run a fair amount, and in all seriousness,

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Speaker 1: it's because they don't have a solid running back one

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Speaker 1: right now. They've been sort of running back by committee.

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Speaker 1: They're averaging about four yards per carry. It's not good

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Speaker 1: enough over the course of a season. If you want

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Speaker 1: to compete for a national championship, that won't be good enough.

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Speaker 1: Their offensive line struggled at times against Cincy, struggled at

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Speaker 1: times against SMU. This is by far the best front

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Speaker 1: they will face all year and will hit face to

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Speaker 1: this point, and Texas is going to be able to

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Speaker 1: get after them. So what's the answer. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the answer is Dylan Gabriel running around a whole lot.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the answer is Oklahoma's running game is

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden gonna find itself against Texas of

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Speaker 1: all teams. So if they're going to win the game,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be Dylan Gabriel throwing the football. And that's

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Speaker 1: why he's the most important player in this game. Quinn

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Speaker 1: Ewers does not have to light it up Saturday. He

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Speaker 1: needs to play very good. He does not have to

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Speaker 1: have a career day. Dylan Gabriel has to have a

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Speaker 1: career day for Oklahoma to win this game. I'm paying

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Speaker 1: attention to some Texas injuries. Jatavian Sanders, a big tight end,

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Speaker 1: leads all tight ends and receiving yards nationally right now questionable.

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Speaker 1: We'll see Also Ryan Watts. You see the two guys

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Speaker 1: on the screen here, He's a dB. He's really important

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Speaker 1: because he got size and he matches up with Nick

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Speaker 1: Anderson really well. Nick Anderson is a twenty eight yards

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Speaker 1: per catch guy right now. He's big, he's a red

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Speaker 1: zone mismatch. It greatly helps me if I'm Texas, if

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Speaker 1: I've got Ryan Watts playing. Okay, Colin, let's see what

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Speaker 1: the model thinks. Let's talk about what Vegas thinks. The

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Speaker 1: current line is Texas minus six and a half. Pretty

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Speaker 1: close to what our in house thinking is, we go

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Speaker 1: over seven. So we got Texas minus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: The more I look at it, the more I feel

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Speaker 1: the game out, the more I think Texas feels like

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Speaker 1: they're a year ahead of where Oklahoma is, And so

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Speaker 1: there's a path, and I could paint you one for Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: but I wouldn't lean it. I lean Texas to win

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Speaker 1: the game, and at six and a half, I lean

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Speaker 1: Texas to cover in the game. And remember two years

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Speaker 1: ago I met this thing and Texas gets this huge

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Speaker 1: lead and then they wilt in the second half, and

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Speaker 1: they did that a number of times. That is not

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Speaker 1: Texas now. So it's no guarantee they're going to dominate

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Speaker 1: late in the game. But they are a totally different program,

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Speaker 1: not just team, but program than they used to be

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Speaker 1: in the second half. So if I get Texas with

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Speaker 1: a lead late third quarter, early fourth quarter, I feel

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Speaker 1: really good about my odds. Speaking of odds, these are

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Speaker 1: the two odds on favorites to win the Big Twelve Championship.

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Speaker 1: Texas number one, OU number two. I'd be interested if

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Speaker 1: OU did win this game to see how those odds

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Speaker 1: flipped or whether they did flip imagine than they would.

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Speaker 1: But remember we're just taking the top two teams in

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Speaker 1: this conference to play for the title. So the odds

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Speaker 1: right now would strongly indicate maybe we'll see this game again.

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Speaker 1: How beautiful is it that right now in conference play

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Speaker 1: we've got four undefeateds and Neil Brown in West Virginia's

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Speaker 1: one of them. Also, how beautiful is this T shirt?

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Speaker 1: Collins about to show you the once upon a Saturday

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Speaker 1: tour headed to Dallas. When I announced this Saturday or

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Speaker 1: Sunday night, the shirt started to fly out off the

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Speaker 1: shelves to the point where Monday morning, Warehouse texted me

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Speaker 1: and said, we just smashed a twenty four hour record

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Speaker 1: and that does not surprise me because Texas and know

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Speaker 1: you are big viewer basis of ours. This shirt's available

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Speaker 1: for one week. If you're listening on podcast, just picture

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Speaker 1: one of the greatest shirts you've ever seen in your

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Speaker 1: life and one of the greatest shirts you've ever worn

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Speaker 1: in your life. I kid you not, And this has

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Speaker 1: happening every week now. I'm walking along the sideline at

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Speaker 1: Jorden Hair Stadium and about four or five times Saturdays

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Speaker 1: called my name. I look over Bam once upon a

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Speaker 1: Saturday shirt. It is the item of the fall. I

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Speaker 1: don't think I'm stretching it when I'm saying that it

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Speaker 1: is the item of the fall. But unlike other items

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Speaker 1: where they just throw it at you and throw it

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Speaker 1: at you and throw it at you. Nope, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tell you right now. This is the last time I'm

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Speaker 1: mentioning it on the show tonight, and it's available one

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Speaker 1: week and one week only to commemorate our trip to

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Speaker 1: the Cotton Bowl, the real one, not the boogie when

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Speaker 1: they have over at Jerry World at the end of

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Speaker 1: the year. This is the real deal Cotton Bowl. And

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Speaker 1: come Saturday, my social accounts will just turn into Cotton

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Speaker 1: Bowl propaganda accounts because I am that in love with

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Speaker 1: the building. So we're looking forward to being out there Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Cannot wait. Eleven am Local time, kickoff Texas to win,

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Speaker 1: Texas to cover is my pick? Prove me wrong, Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: just don't put it in the hype video if you do.

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Speaker 1: Next up, same state, no less, Next up Bama at Texas,

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Speaker 1: A and M. It's a three point thirty Eastern kick

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Speaker 1: on CBS this Setdaturday. A lot of folks thought we

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Speaker 1: were going to be at this game. It is a

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Speaker 1: fifty five to forty five sort of thing. But we

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Speaker 1: chose Red River. But this is where you better get Alabama.

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Speaker 1: I strongly feel like Alabama is facing their toughest remaining

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Speaker 1: test this Saturday. In this game, a lot of folks

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Speaker 1: out there pull against Alabama pretty much. You got Bama

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Speaker 1: fans and then the rest of the world roots against them.

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Speaker 1: That's the price for being the King. As long as

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Speaker 1: they've been the King. Well, if this is their toughest test,

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Speaker 1: then that means they're on upset alert, right. I don't

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Speaker 1: even call it upset alert. When you're favored by under

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Speaker 1: a field goal, it's a coin flip, but it's not

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Speaker 1: upset alert anything. It's not an upset If Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M wins this game, I cannot overstate how radically

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Speaker 1: the tone shifts four ways. It was one of those

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Speaker 1: classic four way tone shifters, as me Mab would call it,

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Speaker 1: that we've got coming up Saturday. If Bama wins the thing,

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Speaker 1: they will have faced the most physical team they'll face

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Speaker 1: the rest of the way in the most hostile environment

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Speaker 1: they'll face the rest of the way, and that will

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Speaker 1: be two weeks in a row where they face stiff

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Speaker 1: competition in one, and people will say Alabama's once again

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Speaker 1: a prime contender for the SEC and beyond. If Bama loses,

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Speaker 1: I don't think you're ready for how toxic that conversation

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Speaker 1: will be around Tuscaloosa. But I think you get exactly

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Speaker 1: where I'm going with that. If Texas A and m wins,

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Speaker 1: they are the favorite in the SEC West period end

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Speaker 1: of sentence, case closed. And if they lose, I don't

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Speaker 1: think you're ready for how toxic the conversation in college

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Speaker 1: station will be, particularly around Jimbo Fishercluse what they'll say,

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Speaker 1: and they wouldn't be wrong and say in this what

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Speaker 1: they'll say is, you know, losing to Bama, that's understandable.

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Speaker 1: Why are we a two loss team right now? Why

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Speaker 1: did Miami hang half one hundred on us? How did

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Speaker 1: we let that happen? How are we once again barely

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Speaker 1: above five hundred as we as we just get into October?

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Speaker 1: Mark my words, four way tone shifter right here. Alabama's

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Speaker 1: offensive line face their final test Saturday. Now you may think,

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Speaker 1: what when the world are you talking about? It's early October?

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Speaker 1: How's that a final test? Because they can't afford to

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Speaker 1: lose the game, and it's the most vulnerable union on

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Speaker 1: this team. That's why it's their final test. They're not undefeated,

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Speaker 1: they've already got a loss. There is zero margin for error.

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Speaker 1: Their back is not against the wall, their back is

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Speaker 1: up against the cliff, and if they get pushed back

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Speaker 1: any further, it's just it's a long way down. It's

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Speaker 1: a great song by Goo Goo Dolls. It's on the

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Speaker 1: Twister soundtrack, long way Down, Look it up, kids. But

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Speaker 1: also it's a long way down. And I don't think

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Speaker 1: the numbers necessarily favor this team. But I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: what that means. That just means you have to be

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Speaker 1: a version of yourselves. You haven't been so far this year.

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Speaker 1: That's really all that means. They are second worst. So

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Speaker 1: here's the mismatch. If you want to talk about what

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Speaker 1: paper says, this stuff where games aren't played, paper says

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Speaker 1: this doesn't look good for Alabama. Second worst sack rate

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Speaker 1: allowed in fbs A and M's defense. Conversely, the best

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Speaker 1: sack rate in all of college football. And they got

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Speaker 1: home field at their back. So that sounds like a mismatch,

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Speaker 1: doesn't it. Second most tackles for loss in college football,

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M as well Bama struggle with it

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Speaker 1: all year. You want to you want to set yourself

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Speaker 1: up behind the chains consistently Saturday. You want to count

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Speaker 1: on throwing the football in that environment to win. If

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Speaker 1: those numbers hold, that's the position they'll be in A

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Speaker 1: and M secondary. Their numbers look good, Okay, I think

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Speaker 1: the Jesse they're like ninth in the country and pass

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Speaker 1: yards allowed, So that's good. That's a wonderful number on

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Speaker 1: the surface. But when you dive deeper, you realize when

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Speaker 1: you throw it thirty or more yards in the air

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Speaker 1: against that A and M secondary, the Tyler van Dijk

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Speaker 1: proto called as we would call it, they're a little

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Speaker 1: more vulnerable. And Alabama do that. And I'm not asking

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Speaker 1: can Milroe physically do it? Of course he can't. He

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Speaker 1: throws a beautiful deep ball, will he have time to

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Speaker 1: Will their receivers get open consistently enough? Those are the questions.

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Speaker 1: In other words, I'm circling A and M's biggest diffen

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Speaker 1: to vulnerability is this the team. Is this Alabama team

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Speaker 1: capable of exploiting and exposing that. If they are, they'll

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Speaker 1: win the game Alabama. Actually, if they can expose that,

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Speaker 1: they're capable of pulling away just like Miami did. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if they're capable of exploiting it. And that's

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Speaker 1: why I see saw it on this thing all day. Immunity,

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Speaker 1: Jimbo Fisher, Bobby Petrino. One thing you need to know

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Speaker 1: about them is they have absolute confidence in Max Johnson.

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Speaker 1: So America is gonna probably pull up to the table

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Speaker 1: around Friday afternoon and start thinking about this game, and

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Speaker 1: they're gonna say, oh, backup quarterback against Nick Saban's defense.

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Speaker 1: Uh huh. Jimbo Fisher can't win the big one. Uh uh.

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Speaker 1: Bobby Patrino, the scarred up face guy, h uh. That's

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Speaker 1: the casual for you. The more advanced college football mind

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Speaker 1: which we sometimes pretend to be around here, understands two things.

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Speaker 1: Max Johnson's about thirty seven years old. He's got a

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Speaker 1: lot of experience. He is not your your mema backup

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Speaker 1: in other words, And secondly, they're not gonna hide him.

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Speaker 1: Fisher and Petrino will not hide Max Johnson against Alabama Saturday.

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Speaker 1: They will put the game in his hands and they

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Speaker 1: won't be terrified to do it either. Deep ball's also

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Speaker 1: a key for Texas A and M. Quinn ewers in

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Speaker 1: Texas had some success, didn't they throwing the ball down

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Speaker 1: the field against Alabama. In fact, anybody who's beaten Alabama

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Speaker 1: found out how to throw the ball down the field

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Speaker 1: and down the middle of the field. In most cases,

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Speaker 1: that's where the success has had. I was at this

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Speaker 1: game last year. I was on the field for this

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Speaker 1: game last year. Evan Stewart he caught one of those

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Speaker 1: deep balls. Moose Mohammed he caught one of those deep balls.

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Speaker 1: And I had stats in info check. But turns out

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Speaker 1: both of those players still play for Texas A. And

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Speaker 1: m Anya Smith does too, and he didn't play in

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Speaker 1: this game last year, and he says it's personal for

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Speaker 1: him this year. I don't care how personal it is.

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Speaker 1: I couldn't care less if a Nia Smith has never

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Speaker 1: heard of Nick Saban or Alabama. He's a good enough

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Speaker 1: football player to single handedly change the outcome himself just

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Speaker 1: by showing up A and M's offensive line improving. I

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Speaker 1: think it's safe to say they've been improving week over week.

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Speaker 1: Pass pro and run blocking Alabama's front seven against them,

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Speaker 1: don't think for a second Bama can't take this game

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Speaker 1: over defensively. Sounds like I'm down on them. I'm not.

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Speaker 1: I'm actually sky high on Alabama's defense. That is another

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Speaker 1: reason why I seesawed on picking this game one way

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Speaker 1: or another. All day. Texas took the physical fight to Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Texas was the more physical team. Texas actually made Bama

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Speaker 1: look like the road team in their own building. I've

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Speaker 1: never seen it before. Texas A and M's fully capable

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Speaker 1: of doing that too. You know, Texas A and M's

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Speaker 1: got those kind of horses too. That's what they'll have

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Speaker 1: to do Saturday. I am I know what pasted Alabama

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Speaker 1: teams would do in this situation, and it may not

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Speaker 1: be pretty. I know what they'd do. They would they

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Speaker 1: would go in and they would lock the door behind them,

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Speaker 1: and they'd be the one that emerged. Two would go

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Speaker 1: in that locked the door, and one would emerge, and

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Speaker 1: it would be Bama. Because they could beat you in

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Speaker 1: a fight. And I'm not sure if this turns into

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Speaker 1: that kind of fight Saturday. If Alabama wins that and

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Speaker 1: if that upsets some people, so be it. There's an

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Speaker 1: easy way to shut folks up when they say that,

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Speaker 1: and they hadn't done it so far this year. Now,

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Speaker 1: as much as I say that, I think back to

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Speaker 1: last week, and I think back to the second half

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Speaker 1: of that game. It's the best Bama's looked all year.

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Speaker 1: That's what gave me again a reason the seesaw because

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Speaker 1: if I package up not just the execution, but if

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Speaker 1: I package up the speed and physicality they played with

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Speaker 1: in the second half against Old Miss, I'll take that. Man,

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Speaker 1: you don't have to light it up offensively. I'll take

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Speaker 1: that because you don't have to score a ton if

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Speaker 1: you play that way. So with that in mind, Colin,

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Speaker 1: could I please see what the model thinks and let's

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Speaker 1: talk about what Vegas thinks. Bama minus two and a

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Speaker 1: half right now is the number out in the desert,

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Speaker 1: but it all depending on what state you live in.

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Speaker 1: It could just on your mobile device. The model is

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Speaker 1: even closer than that. We got Bama minus one and

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Speaker 1: a half. I think this is Texas A and M's time,

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Speaker 1: and I think they are a surging football team. I

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Speaker 1: think Bama may be as well, But I don't know

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Speaker 1: if that second half last week is just the second

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Speaker 1: half last week. And I keep going back to this,

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Speaker 1: I keep going back to Bama on the road the

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Speaker 1: last couple of years, and how they haven't looked like

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Speaker 1: vintage Bama teams. I'd be happy to change my tune

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Speaker 1: on that. They've got to change it, and so until

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Speaker 1: I see it, I'm not changing my tune. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M to win the game. Therefore, I

426
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,359
Speaker 1: obviously think Texas A and M covers the game. I

427
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 1: cannot stress enough how little confidence I have in this.

428
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: This will be a viewership only special for me. There

429
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 1: will not be a dime placed on this game. I

430
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 1: promise you well, I virtually promise you. We will either

431
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 1: lead the show with it Sunday night or it will

432
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,359
Speaker 1: be right near the top of the show. Because this

433
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:59,119
Speaker 1: one has major consequences. Jesse told me today Texas A

434
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 1: and M is not ranked, which is whatever. We'll do

435
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,359
Speaker 1: the JP pole later. I'll show you where they should

436
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: be in a power rating. This right here is Bama's

437
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 1: toughest test remaining. I know who else they got to play.

438
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 1: I know they got Tennessee, I know they got LSU.

439
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 1: I know where they play them too, and I know

440
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 1: how physical Texas A and M can be. Now that's

441
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: no guarantee they're going to follow through on it. But

442
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,199
Speaker 1: this right here is the matchup. This is the toughest one.

443
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:25,639
Speaker 1: Alabama knows it. At coaching staff knows it. Practice this

444
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,640
Speaker 1: week in Tuscaloosa is reflecting it. They know Sledgehammer fight

445
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 1: in College Station Saturday. If they survived this one. I

446
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 1: don't think Bama's losing the rest of the way. But

447
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,840
Speaker 1: I just picked them to lose Saturday. So we'll see

448
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 1: double paper pop, We'll see Academy Sports and Outdoors. They

449
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 1: love them. In College Station, Texas. There's an Academy on

450
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 1: every street corner down there. You gotta love that. They

451
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: haven't even gotten you, guys, a Bucki's there yet, but

452
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 1: we got Academy Sports and Outdoors. There one stop shop

453
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 1: for a canopy if you need it, a cooler, a grill,

454
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 1: big league chew. Yeah, all of the above, and then

455
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,719
Speaker 1: some tense You guys about to do some camping this fall.

456
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 1: Maybe you're just gonna, I don't know, play play fall

457
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:11,119
Speaker 1: softball somewhere. If you live in a southernmost portion of

458
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 1: the United States, just go to Academy Sports and Outdoors.

459
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,239
Speaker 1: You need clothing, go to Academy Sports and Outdoors. They

460
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 1: got white T shirts. They're in multiple brands. I know

461
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 1: they do because they have pretty much everything you need.

462
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 1: If you can't get there in person, Academy dot com

463
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 1: has you hooked up. The reason I sound so passionate

464
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,960
Speaker 1: about this is well, Number one, I know my audience

465
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 1: and I know what you guys need in your life.

466
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 1: I know they've got your hook up, and they let

467
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: us do this show for free. That's why you don't

468
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 1: have to pay for this. That's why there's no bundle,

469
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:42,080
Speaker 1: there's no subscription package, there's no paywall like everything else

470
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: we watch these days. No, this show right here is

471
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 1: free as long as you got internet, thanks to Academy

472
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors. And it's been that way for a

473
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 1: while and we appreciate them, so in turn, just toss

474
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,120
Speaker 1: a couple of dimes their way when you're out next time.

475
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 1: If you can't get there in person, Academy dot com,

476
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: I'll hook you up. I can't believe this is still happening.

477
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 1: Not Academy. I'm not talking about them anymore. I can't

478
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 1: believe this is still happening, but it is. And I

479
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 1: just take a long sigh, and I'm gonna do it here.

480
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,879
Speaker 1: Let me take a sip from the chalice. You know

481
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 1: this brings me no pleasure. If you're watching on YouTube,

482
00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:24,360
Speaker 1: you already see the question on the screen. So as

483
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 1: you know, I'm a very humble person. As you know,

484
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 1: the last thing I like to do is say I

485
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 1: told you so. Okay, that is just well known. Those

486
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:36,439
Speaker 1: two facts are well known about me. But sometimes that

487
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 1: gets weaponized against me. Sometimes people take my niceness and

488
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 1: they just can you believe it, They try and walk

489
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: all over me. And I got to set a good example.

490
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 1: Bradley's in the other room, and I want a better

491
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 1: future for him. I know he looks up to me,

492
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:53,199
Speaker 1: and so I don't want him looking up to me

493
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 1: and see me. Let people walk all over us as

494
00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 1: a staff. And so I open Twitter today and Marcus

495
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: sent me this, But it might as well have been

496
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,840
Speaker 1: five hundred more of you, because I kid you not.

497
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: I got this like five hundred times over the past weekend.

498
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 1: Marcus said, I guess you don't have much to say

499
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 1: about your boy Dion, now, do you. I got every

500
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,040
Speaker 1: bit as much to say about Dion Sanders now as

501
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: I did two weeks ago. I sat here and I

502
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 1: thought about this for a solid thirty six hours. It's

503
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: why we didn't talk about it. Sunday. We talked about

504
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 1: the USC game, but I didn't address all the trash

505
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 1: talk that was going on towards me, of all people me,

506
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 1: I've never even been to Boulder, so I have no

507
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,399
Speaker 1: clue what it means. I stared at it and stared

508
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: at and stared at. I have no clue what he's

509
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 1: talking about. It's just proof not everyone is paid state material.

510
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,120
Speaker 1: They make Juco's for a reason. Some folks are juco

511
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,879
Speaker 1: at best. Go try it out for two years and

512
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,439
Speaker 1: reapply two years from now. I got like five hundred

513
00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 1: of these. This is not isolated. If it was isolated,

514
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,680
Speaker 1: I wouldn't talk about it. So anyway, what I did

515
00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 1: with Marcus and the Marcuses of the world is I

516
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 1: created one reply and I just copied and pasted it

517
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: to like four hundred people. And the reply reads as follows,

518
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:13,520
Speaker 1: are you listening Marcus? Quote? What have I said about

519
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 1: Dion in Colorado that was inaccurate? Unquote? And I sent, sent, sent,

520
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 1: sent sent. I didn't get a single logic based or

521
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:26,199
Speaker 1: truth based response. And I know that shocks you, but

522
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: let's walk through it. Anyway, this is dealing with casuals.

523
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: We are we are, We are in a casual world

524
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 1: these days. The first and most common refrain in the

525
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: replies was, well, you just hyped them up too much.

526
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 1: I picked Oregon to beat him, I picked USC to

527
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: beat them, I picked TCU to beat them, and I

528
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,199
Speaker 1: was wrong. I've hyped him up, Jesse. Do you have

529
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 1: those numbers? By the way, I'm the one who hyped

530
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 1: him up. Have you seen the numbers that this team

531
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: has done when they play on TV? They played at TCU,

532
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,800
Speaker 1: that was the second most watched game that week. They

533
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 1: played Nebraska, second most watched game. Guys. The past three weeks,

534
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: Colorado has been in the most watched game in America.

535
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 1: And that includes a game against Colorado State that went

536
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,160
Speaker 1: to like two am on the East Coast. I didn't

537
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: hype them up. You did. You're the one watching them,

538
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: you know. I don't know how we define hype. I

539
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 1: really don't like talking about what people are interested in.

540
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 1: Is that what you're talking about now? I will grant

541
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 1: you this, Marcus and company. There have been some clownish

542
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 1: takes on Dion Sanders in Colorado. There have been we

543
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: call it the Dion tax on this show, and we've

544
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 1: been very intentional about not contributing to the Deon tax.

545
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,360
Speaker 1: The Dion tax is they're really popular. He's a high

546
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 1: profile figure. Some folks who are opportunist and casual enough

547
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: in nature and drive by our sport normally have parked

548
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 1: in the driveway started to run their mouth about our

549
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 1: sport because they know if they say Dion, if the

550
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,399
Speaker 1: word Dion or Colorado comes out of their mouths, people

551
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 1: will just clap like seals. Booooooh, Okay. We have not

552
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 1: trafficked in that, nor will we. We were talking about

553
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,880
Speaker 1: him in the spring. We talked about it in the summer.

554
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,119
Speaker 1: We've never talked about it just to talk about it.

555
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: We've always had a particular angle or things have been

556
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,479
Speaker 1: in the news. Otherwise. I hadn't hype that dude up

557
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,239
Speaker 1: one bit. Who in the world needs a guy on

558
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,119
Speaker 1: YouTube hyping Dion Sanders up for him to be hyped.

559
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: He's Deon Sanders. He played for the Falcons when I

560
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:29,360
Speaker 1: couldn't even walk like. Deon Sanders has been hyped as

561
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: long as Deon Sanders been Deon Sanders. Secondly, the second

562
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: most popular response I got was I told you they

563
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 1: couldn't contend. You didn't have to tell me. Vegas putting

564
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: an over under a three and a half out was

565
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: a pretty good indicator they weren't gonna contend for a title.

566
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:53,239
Speaker 1: Who said they were? Again, if anyone did, those are

567
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: the folks to clown on. Those are the folks to

568
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,680
Speaker 1: dunk on. Because if anyone tried to lead you to

569
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: believe Colorado was a top fifteen team, if anyone tried

570
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:03,240
Speaker 1: to lead you to believe Colorado was going to contend

571
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 1: for or compete for a conference championship, let alone a

572
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 1: college football playoff spot or a national championship, that's casual.

573
00:29:12,840 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 1: That's clownish. Go dunk on it. No one here, nor

574
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 1: anyone in their right mind said that. No one said it.

575
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 1: It's like people kind of create what they want to

576
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 1: have heard in lou or in absence of it actually

577
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:33,840
Speaker 1: being said. For every one person who said, hey, Deonna Colorado,

578
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 1: who win the Pack twelve, like five hundred million people

579
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 1: said they're not going to win the Pac twelve. Like

580
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: they're a surprise and they're really fun to watch, highly entertaining,

581
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 1: They're not going to win the Pack twelve. It's like

582
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: I watched one time, I can't remember where it was.

583
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 1: There was an alleged riot going on, and there was

584
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: this behind the scenes picture of like five hundred photographers

585
00:29:55,200 --> 00:30:00,040
Speaker 1: around one person throwing a bottle, and all of the

586
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 1: outlets run with this one picture that's supposed to encapsulate

587
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: the riot that happened. There's no riot it was. It

588
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 1: was kind of an indictment on a false message being spread. Well,

589
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,600
Speaker 1: this is the same way people talk about how how

590
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,960
Speaker 1: many folks built Dion and Colorado up as contenders. Hardly

591
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: anyone did. And so about five voices out there who

592
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 1: rightly should be mocked and drug through the mud have

593
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 1: been amplified to I don't know, reflect like eighty five

594
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:30,800
Speaker 1: percent of college football fandom. It's just not the way

595
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 1: it is the number three most popular refrain I got.

596
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 1: I told you that stuff doesn't work. I told you

597
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 1: Dion's approach wouldn't work. It is working. Who says it's

598
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 1: not working. Dion's approach not working is not proven out

599
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 1: by them not beating Oregon. Deon's approach not working isn't

600
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 1: proven out by him not beating USC. What was the

601
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 1: alternative which approach would work? They won one game last

602
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 1: year that's the that's the other approach. At Colorado, they

603
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 1: tried the other approach. The other approach is what the

604
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 1: rest of the Pac twelve wants them to keep trying.

605
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: Deon Sanders approach is working. You know what the approach is,

606
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 1: get good players. That's it. Get good players. Well, Josh,

607
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 1: you got to develop them. You got to put him

608
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 1: in the right position. They've got to execute. Tell you what,

609
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 1: go recruit crap and then develop it and put it

610
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 1: in the right position and have it execute. It wins

611
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 1: one game. That sounds harsh. If you think it's harsh,

612
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 1: you didn't watch Colorado football last year. Judging by the ratings,

613
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 1: you did not. You are watching it this year. There

614
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 1: wasn't even Travis Hunter or shaudor Sanders walking around Boulder,

615
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: Colorado unless they were on the visiting team last year.

616
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: His approach does work. What the world are you talking about?

617
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 1: Because they didn't win ten games or won't win ten

618
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 1: games this year, it doesn't work. Again, these are people

619
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 1: who recalibrate their expectations because they were made fools of folks.

620
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,480
Speaker 1: Picked TCU to beat them. I did. But the difference

621
00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: is when Deon and Colorado beat TCU I just said, Wow,

622
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 1: it proved me wrong. Golf clap for Colorado. Well not

623
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,200
Speaker 1: everyone did that, because some folks are too prideful about

624
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:07,920
Speaker 1: things as dumb as picks in football to admit they're wrong.

625
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 1: So instead what they do it's they say TCU's gonna

626
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 1: smoke Colorado. Colorado just beat TCU. Yeah, well they won't

627
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 1: win the PAC twelve. Well that's quite a leap. You

628
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 1: made their friend, and then they don't win the PAC twelve.

629
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 1: Told you? You told me? What told you they wouldn't

630
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 1: win the PAC twelve? No one suggested otherwise, why are

631
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: you yelling? By the way, what's got you? So? Is

632
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: there an underlying issue here? It sounds like there's a

633
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: lot of rage built up that Dion Sanders nor Colorado

634
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 1: necessarily put there. Are you okay, Cedric? Are you okay? Freddy?

635
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 1: Are you okay? Marcus? Are you okay? I know I

636
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,560
Speaker 1: know the Marcuses of the world actually like to think

637
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: they know me. It's normally the you're an idiot crowd y,

638
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 1: Oh you are, You're an idiot. In reality, I know

639
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 1: this crowd. I know Marcus better than Marcus knows me.

640
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 1: Marcus made a lot of allegations that were patently like,

641
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 1: I will Venmo five hundred dollars to the Marcus Foundation

642
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 1: if you provide me one bit of evidence that I

643
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 1: hyped Dion and Colorado against Oregon or USC, that I

644
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:14,920
Speaker 1: hyped them at all. Talking about them is not hyping them. No, Marcus,

645
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:20,120
Speaker 1: I know you. You're probably just an unhappy individual. And you

646
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 1: looked at Dion Sanders going to Colorado and you listen

647
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 1: to him, and he rubbed you the wrong way, which

648
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 1: is totally fine, But then you took it personal. Even

649
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 1: though Dion couldn't pick you out of a lineup, you

650
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 1: could pick him out of a lineup, and so he

651
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:36,640
Speaker 1: is living rent free in your head, and anyone who

652
00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 1: talks about him is guilty of hyping Dion Sanders. No,

653
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: I'm guilty of being entertained by a guy who's doing

654
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 1: it a different way. I am guilty of being entertained

655
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 1: by it. I am guilty of rooting for him. If

656
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 1: you call that unprofessional as a journalist, let me remind

657
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 1: you I've never called myself a journalist. I just got

658
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 1: a YouTube channel. I got a college football show. It

659
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 1: does pretty well because of you guys siate it. But

660
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:04,520
Speaker 1: make no mistake. I've got some favorites and Dion's one

661
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 1: of them, and I pull for him. So there it is.

662
00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 1: I'll still be called a Dion Hayter somehow in the

663
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 1: comments on this particular video. But yeah, Marcus, I'm gonna

664
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 1: pray for you tonight, and I would encourage the listening

665
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 1: and viewing audience to do the same. So, friends, that's

666
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 1: how we undress a casual next up, and also every

667
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,359
Speaker 1: Tuesday night we like to do something on this show.

668
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 1: This is not your endpoint yet if you're new around here.

669
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 1: Sometimes I give that instruction to director Colin because Director

670
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 1: Colin chops the show up like slices of bread. So

671
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: pretend the whole show is a loaf, and Director Colin

672
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 1: slices it into individual slices based on the segments we do,

673
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 1: and he puts the individual segments on the YouTube channel.

674
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 1: So some of you just like to watch individual slices,

675
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:54,319
Speaker 1: some of you like the whole loaf. I'm a loaf,

676
00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 1: go a whole loaf guy myself. But to each his

677
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:01,080
Speaker 1: and her own. So we do the JP pole every

678
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 1: Tuesday night. And this is it's an unmitigated disaster because

679
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:07,640
Speaker 1: the less people know about the show the more they

680
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,600
Speaker 1: talk about the JP pole, which is fine, but I

681
00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 1: also get accused of clickbait, even though we put it

682
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,040
Speaker 1: on social media and I don't even know what a

683
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 1: Twitter click is. For the life of me. The next

684
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 1: dime I make off a Twitter click will be the

685
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 1: first time I've ever made off of Twitter click. But nonetheless,

686
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,920
Speaker 1: we are accused of clickbaiting, and mainly by people who

687
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 1: don't know what they're talking about. So I'm gonna tell

688
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: you for the umpteenth time, as me Ma would say,

689
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you what this is and what it

690
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 1: isn't I got. Actually, I've got big problems with the

691
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 1: AP pole, but I just never talk about it. I

692
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 1: don't look at it. So that's how I handled the

693
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 1: AP pole. Well. In lieu of the AP pole and

694
00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:50,360
Speaker 1: that methodology, we invented our own, and it's not rocket science.

695
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:55,960
Speaker 1: We have a model, and we have certain criteria that

696
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 1: we wait and factor, and we have a power rating

697
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 1: that's put on each and its sole purpose. The sole

698
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 1: purpose of that number is to be equal to what

699
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,759
Speaker 1: an odds maker in Vegas would have pump out from

700
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,239
Speaker 1: a computer to make his point spreads. So all we

701
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:14,879
Speaker 1: care about is favorability on a neutral field, and sometimes

702
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:19,280
Speaker 1: a team beats you, like for instance, Duke beat Clemson

703
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,799
Speaker 1: in week one handedly if they play it again the

704
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:27,440
Speaker 1: next week, Clemson would have been favored again. So you

705
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 1: could either look at Clemson being power rated above Duke

706
00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 1: after they lose and say that makes no sense, or

707
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 1: you can understand what a power rating is like. If

708
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 1: I were an AP voter, I would not put Clemson

709
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 1: ahead of Duke after week one. But if I were

710
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 1: running a power rating and I didn't want to be

711
00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,439
Speaker 1: taken to the woodshed by sharp betters, you better believe

712
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: I might have Clemson ahead of Duke even after week one,

713
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 1: because not everything that you need to know about the

714
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 1: strength of a team is born out over four quarters

715
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 1: on a football field on Saturday. So with that in mind, now, Colin,

716
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 1: here's you roompoint JP Poll week six. These are not rankings,

717
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 1: These are power rates, And if you want to know

718
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 1: what that means, go watch the whole show and rewind it.

719
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 1: Right before this point in the show, I need to

720
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,480
Speaker 1: tell you before we get into the top twenty five,

721
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 1: I am so proud of Neil Brown. West Virginia is

722
00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 1: in the top thirty. They're not quite in the top

723
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 1: twenty five. But this was a dude who everyone was

724
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:19,960
Speaker 1: convinced would lose his job this year, and instead they're

725
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 1: undefeated in conference play. They're three and one in their

726
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 1: bye week. They are in the top thirty of the

727
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,919
Speaker 1: JP pole, which I never thought i'd say this year,

728
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,279
Speaker 1: and their only loss is to Penn State. So if

729
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: they just scheduled a creampuff week one, maybe that'd be

730
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 1: four and oh. But nevertheless, hot Seat Talk completely cooled

731
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 1: on Neil Brown. Good for him, good for West Virginia.

732
00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:40,880
Speaker 1: I wanted to mention that because we couldn't get it

733
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:43,319
Speaker 1: in the show the other night. Okay, now twenty five

734
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:46,440
Speaker 1: to one, let's dive into it. I have some bones

735
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,720
Speaker 1: to pick with the way the Model has Power rated

736
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 1: these teams. Remember, if you're pissed, it's not on me,

737
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 1: it's on the Model. I just want the credit. I'm

738
00:37:56,040 --> 00:38:00,040
Speaker 1: not interested in the blame. Start at twenty five and

739
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 1: Louisville is at twenty five. First time we've had Louisville

740
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 1: in the power ratings all year. They play Notre Dame

741
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:11,520
Speaker 1: this coming Saturday. Very much looking forward to that. One

742
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:15,040
Speaker 1: third straight high emotion leverage spot for Notre Dame in

743
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 1: as many weeks. Louisville on long rest by twenty four hours.

744
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,399
Speaker 1: Kansas State's back in the top twenty five. They've kind

745
00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 1: of been fluctuating there all year in the twenty to

746
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:27,759
Speaker 1: thirty range. UCLA they got Washington State this week. They're

747
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,640
Speaker 1: at number twenty three. Utah dropped seven spots. They're at

748
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 1: number twenty two. I don't trust the model on Utah.

749
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,640
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you the model has no grasp on Utah.

750
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,360
Speaker 1: It is anti ute, and I can't explain why, probably

751
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,799
Speaker 1: a virus. Can't explain why LSU is still twenty one.

752
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: People are going to have problems with this. This is

753
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 1: not a ranking. That's how I explained it. LSU would

754
00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 1: still be favored over a lot of these teams. And

755
00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: you may say, well, that doesn't mean anything. They were

756
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,320
Speaker 1: favored against against Old Miss. I know, well, what do

757
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 1: you mean? You know they lost against Ole Miss. I

758
00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:04,400
Speaker 1: know I picked Ole Miss. Well, how can you have

759
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:06,480
Speaker 1: them at number twenty one. I'm telling you that still

760
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 1: be favored doesn't mean then win the games. That just

761
00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 1: be favored. That's all we care about. If you want

762
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:13,840
Speaker 1: something else, go look at the a people top twenty.

763
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:18,279
Speaker 1: Let's go LSU at number twenty one. Kentucky is at

764
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 1: number twenty and they play Georgia this Saturday. Now, let

765
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:23,680
Speaker 1: me warn you. Let me warn you. If they go

766
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 1: into Athens as a fourteen and a half point dog

767
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:29,320
Speaker 1: and they lose by sixteen, Kentucky is not gonna fall.

768
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 1: We're not punishing them for doing exactly what the model,

769
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 1: and in this case Vegas says they should do. North

770
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 1: Carolina is at nineteen, Miami is at eighteen, virtually unchanged.

771
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 1: That's where pretty much those teams were last week. Ole

772
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 1: Miss hiked up seven spots here and Oregon State is

773
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,919
Speaker 1: at sixteen. These are some really good teams because there's

774
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:52,400
Speaker 1: not a lot of gap right now point wise in

775
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 1: the ten to twenty range. Let's take a look at

776
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:59,240
Speaker 1: the top fifteen. Tennessee down two spots. I'm not gonna

777
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 1: tell you bru mCOL has a massive value as a player,

778
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:06,359
Speaker 1: but Bruce McCoy in our eyes, as about a three

779
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 1: quarter a point per game player. I don't even want

780
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 1: to try and explain how that point assignation works to

781
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:15,560
Speaker 1: people unfamiliar. Most odds makers would not tell you he's

782
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 1: worth that. I disagree. In fact, I've disagreed for a

783
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:21,760
Speaker 1: long time with what higher level wide receivers are worth

784
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,920
Speaker 1: in terms of point total per game. Anyway, that's boring.

785
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 1: It did impact Tennessee. They beat South Carolina handily, they

786
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 1: lost a big time player, so they fell slightly their

787
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,560
Speaker 1: number fifteen. Clemson's at fourteen as a two loss team.

788
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 1: Advanced metrics guys out there all over the place still

789
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:39,840
Speaker 1: like Clemson, and we kind of do too. We got

790
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 1: him at fourteen, we got Notre Dame at thirteen, and

791
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 1: f or Texas A and M at twelve. Now A

792
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 1: and M's not ranked in the AP right now, which

793
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:54,840
Speaker 1: is it's whatever? I am confidently telling you Texas A

794
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 1: and M would be favored over several teams in the

795
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:02,239
Speaker 1: AP top twenty five. So whether they deserve to be

796
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 1: there or not, I don't care, because this is not

797
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:08,400
Speaker 1: the AP. In odds making world, A and M's at twelve.

798
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: USC is at number eleven. Now we get to the

799
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 1: top ten. We got Florida State ten. Now, if you

800
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 1: follow poles, Florida State looks low right if you follow

801
00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 1: some of the advanced metrics folks, We've actually got Florida

802
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,719
Speaker 1: State higher than they do. In fact, what if I

803
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:33,879
Speaker 1: told you a lot of them still have Clemson ahead

804
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:36,920
Speaker 1: of Florida State, and Clemson's got two losses and one

805
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 1: of them is too Florida State in their own building. Now,

806
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:42,880
Speaker 1: what kind of pretzel does that tie your mind in?

807
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: It's a funny world out here, kids. Oklahoma is at nine,

808
00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 1: and I can assure you Texas is going to be

809
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 1: up here somewhere. So we got a top ten matchup

810
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 1: in the Cotton Bowl out there in the Red River

811
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:55,400
Speaker 1: Shootout Saturday. Penn State is at number eight, just like

812
00:41:55,480 --> 00:42:00,360
Speaker 1: they were last week. Washington they didn't really fall, I

813
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 1: mean falling two spots means like falling a tenth of

814
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 1: a point. So Washington's at seven. Bama is at six.

815
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:08,879
Speaker 1: They've they've pretty much been there for the last couple

816
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 1: of weeks. Top five time. Georgia is down to five.

817
00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:18,919
Speaker 1: Georgia was our number one, and it was it's still

818
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:22,240
Speaker 1: the ap number one. I think we got four teams

819
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 1: wo'd pick over Georgia on a neutral field right now,

820
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 1: and Oregon's one of them. Now, that's a little difficult

821
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 1: to swallow immunity when you think about the fact that

822
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 1: Oregon faced Georgia on a neutral field just over twelve

823
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,760
Speaker 1: months ago, didn't they And they're still cleaning duck blood

824
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:43,320
Speaker 1: off the wall of Mercedes Benz Stadium. So the model

825
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:45,439
Speaker 1: is sitting here not caring about that at all, telling

826
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 1: you who cares. Twelve months later, Oregon favorite on a

827
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:53,719
Speaker 1: neutral field. Oh okay, Model, that's nice, that's not Maybe

828
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 1: we'll see that matchup down the road. I'm really high

829
00:42:56,120 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 1: on Oregon now, don't get me wrong. Michigan has vaulted,

830
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: so I don't know what the model all of a

831
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 1: sudden saw in Michigan now that they beat Nebraska. But

832
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:11,919
Speaker 1: Michigan's up there now with where most of America has them,

833
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 1: So maybe the model course corrected on Michigan. But we

834
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 1: got them number three now, But we still got Ohio

835
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 1: State ahead of Michigan. And that game is going to

836
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 1: be played at the end of the year and it's

837
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:23,959
Speaker 1: going to be in ann Arbor, So I don't really

838
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:26,440
Speaker 1: care what people think would happen on a field today

839
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 1: or tomorrow. We're very high on Ohio State, but Ohio

840
00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 1: State was number one last week and they're not this week.

841
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 1: Texas has taken over the number one spot in the

842
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:41,080
Speaker 1: Jpeople for the first time since I've done the Jpeople,

843
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 1: not just this year, and here we are. As far

844
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 1: as I'm concerned, Texas is back. As of October three,

845
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:52,400
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. Some of you were waiting for them

846
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,440
Speaker 1: to win the Big Twelve some of them, some of

847
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:56,319
Speaker 1: you were waiting to make the playoff for to win

848
00:43:56,360 --> 00:44:01,759
Speaker 1: the national Championship. Nope, from my lip speaking into existence,

849
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:04,879
Speaker 1: as soon as Texas becomes number one in the Jpeo pole,

850
00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 1: that's when they're back. Texas is number one, they're back.

851
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 1: If you guys lose Saturday and you embarrass me, I

852
00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 1: will never forgive you this model. Bought into Texas blindly

853
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:20,400
Speaker 1: all year last year, and I was mocked, I was ridiculed,

854
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 1: And now here we are again. Not much has changed,

855
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,680
Speaker 1: except it has because I think the quality of team

856
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 1: Texas and Steve Sarkisian are putting on the field has changed.

857
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go out there Saturday and I'm

858
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:34,759
Speaker 1: going to stand right there on the sideline. I may

859
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,480
Speaker 1: even go over to the Oklahoma sideline so it doesn't

860
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:40,759
Speaker 1: look like favoritism because it's not. Although I would like

861
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 1: to be right, but HM Texas won Ohio State two.

862
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 1: Welcome to what two thousand and five? Welcome to two

863
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 1: thousand and five. It just feels like mid two thousands.

864
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:56,719
Speaker 1: E It's beautiful. Ohio State was two, I think when

865
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 1: they won that title. Then we had Texas USC and

866
00:44:59,640 --> 00:45:02,920
Speaker 1: five and Ohio State was a mainstay. There was a

867
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:05,920
Speaker 1: player there. In the two thousands, Texas was to a

868
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 1: lot of these brands that I was told Florida State

869
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:11,239
Speaker 1: among them, a lot of these brands. I was told,

870
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,040
Speaker 1: we're just going to disappear, and college football had passed

871
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:17,360
Speaker 1: them by whatever in the world. That means they're right here. Again.

872
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,399
Speaker 1: It's a good year to be a college football fan.

873
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 1: But then again, every year is a good year to

874
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 1: be a college football fan. I welcome criticism of the

875
00:45:25,160 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 1: JP pole in the live chat. I welcome it in

876
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:32,320
Speaker 1: the comment section. Just please understand what we're doing here

877
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 1: before you talk about who's ranked above who. Nobody's ranked

878
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 1: above anybody, because they're not rankings. They're watching us in Austin, Texas.

879
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 1: What do you know about that. They're watching us in Vail, Colorado,

880
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,400
Speaker 1: they're watching us in Tampa, Florida. Thank you guys so

881
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 1: much for that let's get back into predicting some games.

882
00:45:49,080 --> 00:45:52,839
Speaker 1: And if you're watching live, only one out of five

883
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 1: of you have liked this video so far. I just humbly.

884
00:45:57,360 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 1: I think we can do better, and I know we will.

885
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 1: That thumbs up button. Kentucky plays Georgia Saturday. Hmmm upset alert?

886
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:10,840
Speaker 1: Dare we say it? This is a clinic. This game

887
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:14,440
Speaker 1: before it's even been played, is a clinic on the

888
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 1: difference between rankings and power ratings. Since we were talking

889
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,239
Speaker 1: about the JP pole earlier, you want a lesson in

890
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 1: odds making. You want a lesson in why Vegas looks

891
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 1: the way it looks when you fly into it, especially

892
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 1: at night. Just beautiful, all those bright lights. Well, those

893
00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:35,560
Speaker 1: folks didn't pay for that. You did by saying things like,

894
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 1: uh oh, Georgia struggled, struggled mightily against a bad Auburn team.

895
00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 1: Kentucky just boat race Florida. Ooh, Kentucky, man, I think

896
00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 1: they're gonna go into Athens and they may win outright Saturday.

897
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:52,759
Speaker 1: And then the folks who built that city out there

898
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 1: in the desert, they say, you do, well, how about this,

899
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: We'll give you fourteen and a half points. They don't

900
00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 1: even have to win free money, right, free money. It

901
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:07,279
Speaker 1: may be free money, just not for the entity you think,

902
00:47:07,560 --> 00:47:10,320
Speaker 1: because that stuff comes out of your pocket more times

903
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:14,240
Speaker 1: than it goes into your pocket. Anyway, That's not necessarily

904
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: the way I'm picking the game. I'm just telling you

905
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:21,279
Speaker 1: one week proves nothing. It proves nothing. I know you

906
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:23,640
Speaker 1: saw a snapshot of these teams last week. You may

907
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 1: see a totally different snapshot this week. Kentucky held Georgia

908
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: to sixteen points in this game last year. Do you

909
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:35,280
Speaker 1: remember that sixteen points? I was in the Rose Bowl,

910
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:37,640
Speaker 1: of all places. I remember watching this game on TV

911
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:42,240
Speaker 1: in the bowels of the Rose Bowl, in what glorious bowels.

912
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 1: They are out of context, late kick later. This is

913
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:49,399
Speaker 1: why they brought Devin Leary to Lexington. And he has

914
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:51,320
Speaker 1: not lit the world on fire this year. That's the

915
00:47:51,400 --> 00:47:54,200
Speaker 1: Kentucky quarterback for those unfamiliar. I know he has not

916
00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 1: rained touchdowns all over the place, the likes of which

917
00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:59,919
Speaker 1: you thought he would. But like I just said, whether

918
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 1: to a team or an individual, I don't care what

919
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 1: he's done so far this year. I see every Saturday,

920
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:09,000
Speaker 1: guys play out of their mind for four quarters, and

921
00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 1: I've got a guy up in the broadcast booth, saying,

922
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:14,760
Speaker 1: who would have ever expected this coming into today based

923
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 1: off of his season stats. Stuff happens all the time.

924
00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:21,960
Speaker 1: It just needs to happen for Devin Leary Saturday. I

925
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 1: know what you're thinking, Josh. They ran it up on

926
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 1: Florida and he didn't even throw for seventy yards. What

927
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:31,560
Speaker 1: team have you been watching? They are not running the

928
00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:34,040
Speaker 1: ball like that on Georgia. I promise you they will

929
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:36,879
Speaker 1: not run the ball like that on Georgia. Georgia's run

930
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:41,600
Speaker 1: defense will decide this game. Georgia's defense is sixty seventh

931
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:45,839
Speaker 1: in rush yards per attempt allowed. Makes them sound vulnerable, right.

932
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,400
Speaker 1: In fact, I saw the same thing you did last week.

933
00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 1: Or maybe we didn't cause you watched the Auburn game.

934
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:55,759
Speaker 1: But you looked at that box score and you said,

935
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 1: who Auburn ran for over two hundred? In fact, Auburn

936
00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 1: had over two hundred on the ground by the start

937
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:02,839
Speaker 1: of the fourth quarter. I was there, guys, I'm still

938
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,399
Speaker 1: on the sideline. I watched it. You know what else

939
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 1: I watched. I watched Peyton Thorn of all people, at quarterback,

940
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:11,799
Speaker 1: running the ball of all things, racking up a lot

941
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:15,080
Speaker 1: of that yardage, and so I asked myself, is Devin

942
00:49:15,160 --> 00:49:17,759
Speaker 1: Leary gonna do that? And the answer is no, he's not.

943
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:19,799
Speaker 1: So you know who it falls on. It falls on

944
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 1: Ray Davis, who is a stud. It falls on traditional

945
00:49:23,640 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 1: ground and pound. That's what it falls on, and they

946
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,640
Speaker 1: do creative things. Please don't misunderstand me. I'm not calling

947
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:32,880
Speaker 1: it antiquated. I'm not calling it old school in theory.

948
00:49:33,520 --> 00:49:37,799
Speaker 1: Philosophically it is. They are very, very advanced and good

949
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 1: at what they do. But at the end of the day,

950
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:46,239
Speaker 1: if you're telling me it comes down to Kentucky's dudes

951
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:49,240
Speaker 1: up front versus Georgia dudes, I will take George's dudes.

952
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:51,360
Speaker 1: I'm not telling you they're stuffing the run. I'm not

953
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 1: telling you it's Ray Davis thirty carries for thirty eight

954
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:57,400
Speaker 1: yards or anything like that. But I'm also telling you

955
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:02,360
Speaker 1: they are going to stroke uggle mightily to run it

956
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 1: for one twenty five, one fifty Saturday. That's my feel, Okay.

957
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,880
Speaker 1: So if that is the case, it's not Kentucky running

958
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:13,200
Speaker 1: to victory and Athens Georgia in a primetime game. What

959
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:16,400
Speaker 1: it'll be is them running the ball good enough to

960
00:50:16,440 --> 00:50:18,319
Speaker 1: set up Devin Leary to make some plays through the air,

961
00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 1: and if he can, they can compete in this game,

962
00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 1: and they can win this game. If he can't, they can't.

963
00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:24,440
Speaker 1: But I do not think it comes down to Kentucky's

964
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:26,839
Speaker 1: ground game, although that's the talking point, and it will

965
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:29,719
Speaker 1: be through the broadcast, that ain't it. Devin Leary is

966
00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:31,520
Speaker 1: the player that's who's got to win the game for him.

967
00:50:31,680 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 1: Kentucky's defense tenth in rush yards per game, sixty second

968
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 1: in pass yards per game allowed. That means throw the

969
00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:43,360
Speaker 1: ball on him, and that means Carson Beck's got to

970
00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 1: do it again. So I know we're talking about the

971
00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 1: ground game a lot out there. I'm sorry, that's not

972
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 1: how I see this game. I think about George's coaching

973
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,320
Speaker 1: staff after what we watched brock Bowers do against Auburn.

974
00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:58,279
Speaker 1: Everybody praises brock Bowers. What I would do if I

975
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 1: were a Georgia coaches, Look look at the rest of

976
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 1: the pass catchers in that bus on the way back

977
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 1: to the airport, and I would say, how about someone's

978
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,399
Speaker 1: stepping up and helping nineteen here? How about someone else

979
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:12,000
Speaker 1: being open every now and then? How about someone else

980
00:51:12,040 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 1: popping on the stat sheet. There will be plays to

981
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:19,799
Speaker 1: be had against that Kentucky secondary. I unlike apparently some

982
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:22,920
Speaker 1: folks in the Georgia community, I think Carson Beck kind

983
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:25,480
Speaker 1: of came alive last Saturday, especially in the second half.

984
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,399
Speaker 1: Thought he made a number of good plays. I think

985
00:51:28,400 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 1: it'll be on Leary instead of the ground game to

986
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:34,319
Speaker 1: beat Georgia on Kentucky side, I think it'll be on

987
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:36,640
Speaker 1: Carson Beck. I don't think Georgia will run the ball

988
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: all that well against Kentucky. I think it'll be on

989
00:51:38,680 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 1: Beck to win the game for Georgia, and I think

990
00:51:43,120 --> 00:51:45,600
Speaker 1: Beck can. I'm interested to see if Leary can. Let's

991
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 1: take a look at what the model thinks, Colin, Let's

992
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 1: take a look at what Vegas thinks. Georgia minus fourteen

993
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:53,279
Speaker 1: and a half. I think George is gonna play their

994
00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 1: best game of the year Saturday. I know they're gonna

995
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 1: beat Kentucky. I think they'll cover in the process. And

996
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 1: I'm really high on Kentucky. I just think that you

997
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:04,920
Speaker 1: beat Florida last week and that was wonderful. George struggled

998
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,960
Speaker 1: against Auburn and that is not wonderful for them. They're

999
00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:11,839
Speaker 1: coming home, they don't have a loaded home schedule at all,

1000
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:14,600
Speaker 1: and those season ticket holders are none too pleased about it.

1001
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:17,759
Speaker 1: But all of a sudden, you're tossing them a top

1002
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:21,120
Speaker 1: twenty matchup out of nowhere, and you're doing them the

1003
00:52:21,160 --> 00:52:24,520
Speaker 1: benefit of getting hyped up because you just beat Florida

1004
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 1: and you're coming in probably playing a style of ball

1005
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 1: very conducive to this Georgia defense shining against you. And

1006
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:34,399
Speaker 1: I think that there is probably more to be had

1007
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:39,240
Speaker 1: through the air against Kentucky's defense than at first glance

1008
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:42,640
Speaker 1: we see. I think George is actually going to figure

1009
00:52:42,640 --> 00:52:45,160
Speaker 1: out a way to win and cover. Now we also

1010
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:48,520
Speaker 1: know something else, don't we We know I picked Florida

1011
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:50,920
Speaker 1: last week. So what does it all really mean? I

1012
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:53,319
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know what it really means. I

1013
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:57,680
Speaker 1: will say that that apologies Mark Stoop's piece of paper,

1014
00:52:57,880 --> 00:52:59,920
Speaker 1: I never threw it away, So if I need to

1015
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:02,720
Speaker 1: use it Sunday, I have it on deck. It's ready

1016
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:06,040
Speaker 1: to use Sunday. And look, hey, no one would be

1017
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:09,000
Speaker 1: happier than me if Kentucky goes in there and beats

1018
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 1: Georgia goes what kind of chaos does that throw the

1019
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:14,680
Speaker 1: Sunday Show into? And I've been wrong before, I'll be

1020
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 1: wrong again. Those usually make the most entertaining Sunday shows.

1021
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:20,959
Speaker 1: So whatever happens, see you here Sunday. We're not done

1022
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:24,040
Speaker 1: with the show. I'm just that's kind of my rap

1023
00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 1: on that particular pick. There's another game that's happening in

1024
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:33,920
Speaker 1: primetime Saturday night, and we warned you about this team.

1025
00:53:34,719 --> 00:53:37,080
Speaker 1: We warned you about Louisville, didn't we? Notre Dame at

1026
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:40,920
Speaker 1: Louisville Saturday, seven thirty eastern on ABC. Do we have

1027
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,799
Speaker 1: a pre padlock stat here? I don't normally lead these

1028
00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:48,719
Speaker 1: prediction segments like this, but Audric Estimate that running back

1029
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:52,839
Speaker 1: for Notre Dame. Do you realize right now he has

1030
00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:55,880
Speaker 1: ten rushes of twenty plus yards this year, ten of

1031
00:53:55,920 --> 00:53:59,360
Speaker 1: them of twenty plus yards already. Producer Jesse tells me

1032
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:03,360
Speaker 1: late in the day he Audric Estimate's ten carries of

1033
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:08,160
Speaker 1: twenty plus yards is more than Oklahoma, Florida, Ohio State,

1034
00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 1: and Penn State combined. The entire teams, four of them combined,

1035
00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:17,400
Speaker 1: And he's got more carries of twenty plus yards than

1036
00:54:17,440 --> 00:54:21,160
Speaker 1: those teams put together. So he's good. Notre Dame's good.

1037
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:23,520
Speaker 1: But Notre Dame man They've been taken to the wire

1038
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 1: two weeks in a row. They lost one of them

1039
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 1: against Ohio State, they won against Duke, and now they

1040
00:54:28,800 --> 00:54:33,560
Speaker 1: face what, yes, are we hearing this right? Undefeated Louisville.

1041
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:37,960
Speaker 1: Explosive plays will decide this game. Louisville. Here we go.

1042
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 1: Maybe another pre padlock stat. Louisville is ninth offensively in

1043
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:45,360
Speaker 1: plays of twenty plus yards. They're second in plays of

1044
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:48,400
Speaker 1: thirty plus yards. They are first in America in plays

1045
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:52,520
Speaker 1: of forty plus yards. Notre Dame also top ten offensively

1046
00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 1: in all three of those categories. I looked at that

1047
00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,160
Speaker 1: alone at about three o'clock today, and they had to

1048
00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,480
Speaker 1: hide my phone from me to keep me from betting

1049
00:55:01,560 --> 00:55:03,879
Speaker 1: like nine or ten units on the over in this game,

1050
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 1: which is fifty three and a half by the way,

1051
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:09,080
Speaker 1: I still lean the over, have not bet it quite yet,

1052
00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:11,799
Speaker 1: but I will be making a pick on the game momentarily.

1053
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:14,400
Speaker 1: You know, I've been told Sam Hartman has been dipping,

1054
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,279
Speaker 1: not tobacco. I don't know how he lives his life

1055
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:20,920
Speaker 1: up there. I know he has some interesting social posts

1056
00:55:20,920 --> 00:55:22,319
Speaker 1: earlier today, but I don't know how he's living his

1057
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:24,360
Speaker 1: life up there. I'll just say that Notre Dame quarterback

1058
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:28,640
Speaker 1: is being accused of falling off a little bit, you know,

1059
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 1: not nearly as productive. Well, what if I told you

1060
00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:35,120
Speaker 1: he's faced the number eleven and number five pass defenses

1061
00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:38,479
Speaker 1: the last two weeks Ohio State and on the road

1062
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,920
Speaker 1: at Duke. Not the easiest things in the world to do.

1063
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:44,080
Speaker 1: I think there are gonna be a lot of folks

1064
00:55:44,360 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 1: if you talk to them about this game this week

1065
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 1: who claim to be hardcore college football types, and they're

1066
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 1: gonna say, you know, Notre Dame's got the quarterback edge.

1067
00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:56,800
Speaker 1: Stop them right there, take their phone from him, and say,

1068
00:55:57,320 --> 00:56:01,360
Speaker 1: name me the Louisville quarterback. This is how you expose

1069
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 1: casualty folks talking about stuff they don't really know anything about.

1070
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:10,000
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's got the quarterback edge. Yeah, who's the other quarterback? Uh?

1071
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 1: You know, you know who the Louisville quarterback? It's really no,

1072
00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 1: I don't tell me the kid. You know the guy.

1073
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:21,360
Speaker 1: It's Jack Plumber. That's Jack Plumber. Yeah, that Jack Plumber

1074
00:56:21,440 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 1: by way of cal by way of Purdue, that Jack Plumber.

1075
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:28,399
Speaker 1: Notre Dame may very well have the quarterback edge here,

1076
00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 1: but one magical evening by mister Plumber in Louisville, Kentucky

1077
00:56:33,680 --> 00:56:36,240
Speaker 1: could change it all. Notre Dame is fourth in pass

1078
00:56:36,360 --> 00:56:39,920
Speaker 1: yards per games, fifty second in rush yards per game defensively,

1079
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:45,080
Speaker 1: so I'm thinking to myself, did Louisville run the ball

1080
00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:47,760
Speaker 1: to win the game here? I don't know, man, Because

1081
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 1: they twenty nine attempts for twenty yards against NC State,

1082
00:56:53,040 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna have much success on the ground.

1083
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 1: It's gotta be Jack Plumber, It's gotta be. And they

1084
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:01,319
Speaker 1: are fourth, Like I said, Notrename, fourth in pass yards

1085
00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:03,920
Speaker 1: per game allowed. So when I tell you, I almost

1086
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:07,319
Speaker 1: bet that over. This is where I got hesitation. I

1087
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:10,879
Speaker 1: got strong hesitation. The externals matter here. I really think

1088
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 1: they do. Like you could X and know this thing.

1089
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 1: You can stat category this thing to death. Bottom line

1090
00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:18,000
Speaker 1: is this is college football. Those are still twenty year

1091
00:57:18,040 --> 00:57:22,440
Speaker 1: olds and Notre Dame. You face Ohio State and have

1092
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:24,640
Speaker 1: that game come down to the wire, then you face

1093
00:57:24,720 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 1: Duke on the road and have it come down to

1094
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:28,840
Speaker 1: the wire. Then you go on the road again. So

1095
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:31,200
Speaker 1: back to back. Road stretches in general are tough in

1096
00:57:31,240 --> 00:57:34,439
Speaker 1: college football, but when you've totally expended yourself two weeks

1097
00:57:34,480 --> 00:57:37,240
Speaker 1: in a row, and you go play another team Super

1098
00:57:37,240 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 1: Bowl and it's Louisville and they're on extended rest. They

1099
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:44,440
Speaker 1: played Friday last week, so they got long rest, and

1100
00:57:44,480 --> 00:57:46,760
Speaker 1: you've been burning the candle at both ends. I think

1101
00:57:46,760 --> 00:57:49,680
Speaker 1: that matters. Let's take a look at what the odds say.

1102
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:52,920
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model says. You know,

1103
00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:56,160
Speaker 1: Notre Dame's favored by six and a half. We think

1104
00:57:56,200 --> 00:58:00,840
Speaker 1: the wrong team's favored. We think Louisville minus one is

1105
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:04,080
Speaker 1: the number. The model spit out. I'm gonna go with it.

1106
00:58:04,120 --> 00:58:07,160
Speaker 1: I think Louisville's gonna win the game out right, big upset.

1107
00:58:07,520 --> 00:58:09,120
Speaker 1: I guess you want to call it that. The model

1108
00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 1: wouldn't see it as an upset. Dead storm the field,

1109
00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:17,040
Speaker 1: you know, maybe someone does a swanton bomb front flip

1110
00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:20,080
Speaker 1: off the goalpost up there. Turf feels better to land on,

1111
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 1: probably than grass. Maybe a security guard give some chick

1112
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 1: a forearm shiver to the jaw. We saw all of

1113
00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:29,560
Speaker 1: these things happen last week during a field storming, by

1114
00:58:29,560 --> 00:58:31,720
Speaker 1: the way, So I'm gonna take Louisville to win. I'm

1115
00:58:31,720 --> 00:58:33,440
Speaker 1: gonna take them to cover. I just don't like the

1116
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,240
Speaker 1: spot for Notre Dame. I don't know what to tell you.

1117
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:37,080
Speaker 1: There are some matchups that favor him. I just don't

1118
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:40,360
Speaker 1: like the spot for him. And Louisville plus seven is

1119
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:42,480
Speaker 1: a Ramen Noodle Express best bet, by the way, the

1120
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 1: number six and a half now, but we betted at

1121
00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:47,680
Speaker 1: seven Sunday night, and I handed it to you Sunday night.

1122
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:50,919
Speaker 1: Speaking of the Ramanudle Express, to close the old show

1123
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:54,880
Speaker 1: here and make sure that you like and subscribe if

1124
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:57,560
Speaker 1: you haven't already. To close the show here, I'm gonna

1125
00:58:57,640 --> 00:59:00,760
Speaker 1: add two best bets to these, said Ramaneddelix's. So, we

1126
00:59:00,800 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 1: got Louisville plus seven, it's locked in. We got Texas

1127
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:07,320
Speaker 1: Tech plus one, it's locked in. We're about to lock

1128
00:59:07,320 --> 00:59:10,560
Speaker 1: two more of these bad boys in. Arizona goes to

1129
00:59:10,600 --> 00:59:14,040
Speaker 1: Southern Calis Saturday. We're taking Arizona plus twenty one and

1130
00:59:14,120 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 1: a half. Arizona games have been very very good to us.

1131
00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:20,520
Speaker 1: Baseball was very very good to Sammy Sosa. Arizona's been

1132
00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:23,600
Speaker 1: very very good to us. And also another team we've

1133
00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,520
Speaker 1: had a fair amount of success with Kent State. We're

1134
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:29,240
Speaker 1: gonna take them plus twenty six and a half. They're

1135
00:59:29,240 --> 00:59:32,840
Speaker 1: playing Ohio. I believe so Ohio, feel free to win,

1136
00:59:33,040 --> 00:59:36,240
Speaker 1: just you know, keep it around three touchdowns or so. Louisville,

1137
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:39,320
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, Arizona, Kent State, And what do you know?

1138
00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:42,200
Speaker 1: They said it couldn't be done. They said we couldn't

1139
00:59:42,200 --> 00:59:44,280
Speaker 1: do a Tuesday night show in under an hour, but

1140
00:59:44,400 --> 00:59:47,800
Speaker 1: I did it with twenty six seconds to spare. Thank

1141
00:59:47,840 --> 00:59:50,080
Speaker 1: you guys so much again. Make sure you're following on

1142
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:55,400
Speaker 1: the socials at late kick Josh like and subscribe until

1143
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:58,520
Speaker 1: Thursday for producer Jesse. For direct colin, I'm Josh Bate.

1144
00:59:58,560 --> 01:00:01,040
Speaker 1: Take care, have a great rest of your even Gottlis