1 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday 2 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,159 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and yes, the streak 5 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: lives on now. Fourteen is my lucky number. So I 6 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: was feeling pretty good about the bet streak yesterday. If 7 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: you don't know what that streak is, we have hit 8 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:47,239 Speaker 1: fourteen consecutive Daily Juice betting pros picks of the day fourteen. 9 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: If you played one unit or to win one unit 10 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: on all fourteen plays, you be up fourteen units in 11 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: fourteen days. This has been primarily with NBA player prop 12 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: but not only with NBA player props. Primarily with NBA 13 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 1: player props, because that's what happened yesterday, NBA player props. 14 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,960 Speaker 1: Max Christy points, rebounds and assists, Thank you very much, sir, 15 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: under twenty three and a half chuching cash it. Isaiah 16 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 1: Hartenstein also got to the window for us as well 17 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: there with his points, rebounds and assists going over Capitol's 18 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: money line and overtime wins. Capitol's puck line does not 19 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: three and one up a unit little bit of a 20 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: debt into the awful, awful Tuesday. I had still down 21 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: for the week. But we've got three NBA player props 22 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: and I have and two college basketball bets to give 23 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: you guys. Now you might go, oh, no, Matt, it's 24 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: college basketball. You might. I would agree two things in 25 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:48,559 Speaker 1: my favor. Two things. The first, I hit ukon Mine's 26 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: three and a half last night they won by four. 27 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: Maybe the luck is turning. Maybe the being on the 28 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: wrong side of the hook is going to stop. So 29 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: we are on the right side of the hook there, 30 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: And it's Arch Madness. If you guys do not know. 31 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: I moved to Omaha, Nebraska in two thousand and four. 32 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 1: There I did Afternoon Drive and I was the pre 33 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 1: and postgame show host for Creighton basketball, and most of 34 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: it in the Missouri Valley actually all of it. When 35 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 1: I was in Omaha in the Missouri Valley Conference five 36 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: straight years going to Arch Madness. Then I moved to 37 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: Des Moines, where I covered Drake in the Missouri Valley 38 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: Conference and went to two more years of Arch Madness 39 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: in Saint Louis. I've been to seven of these, Okay, 40 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: I've been to seven Arch Madness. I then became the 41 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: first rivals writer for Creighton University, and so I did 42 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 1: that for an additional five years. So basically I was 43 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: covering professionally Creighton basketball for ten years. But they had 44 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: moved to the Big East, so I had stopped going 45 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 1: to Arch Madness, but with Drake and Darren DeVries who's 46 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: now at West Virginia, I was heavily involved still with 47 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: the Valley, and the Valley starts today Arch Madness in 48 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I've got two bets on the first two 49 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: games to give you guys here to day, so I'm 50 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: not gonna lie. Picking the player props is getting hard 51 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: when you're having a streak like this, you're like, my goodness, 52 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,119 Speaker 1: because it's not just the picks that I make. Mike 53 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 1: Mayor Mayo's going to make it two, okay, So I 54 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: gotta get three good ones because I don't know which 55 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: one he's going to pick. It's a nice little collaboration 56 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: we got going on between Mike and I trying I 57 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: give him three, he picks one he likes the best. 58 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: So far, that's cash fourteen straight times. He's been pretty 59 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 1: good at picking which bet he thinks is going to 60 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: be the best bet of the day. So can we 61 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: get to fifteen maybe? But at some point this is 62 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: gonna stop. Just FYI, Okay, at some point we're gonna lose. 63 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: But fourteen straight is fourteen straight un leaping believable. If 64 00:03:56,120 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: you guys want to tool around with the betting either 65 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:05,119 Speaker 1: a bet system, prop bet cheat sheet, prop bet analyzer, 66 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: here it is. And this is why you guys have 67 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: to watch and listen to the podcast, because for those 68 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: of you who are going to fast forward on this, 69 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: you're going to miss out. Bettingpros dot com slash trial 70 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: that will give you seven days for free of access 71 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: to the prop bet cheat sheet, the prop bet analyzer, 72 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:30,719 Speaker 1: and all the betting systems on the prop on Betting 73 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: Pros for all the prop bets you can want. And 74 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 1: also with college basketball, NBA, NHL, all of it, free access, 75 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 1: full access to every projection, all the data, all the 76 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 1: information everything I use every night to make player props. 77 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: You guys can have access to it simply by logging 78 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: onto Bettingpros dot Com slash Trial t R I A 79 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 1: L and that will give you a seven day free 80 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: trial to the Betting Pros app and Bettingpros dot Com 81 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: again bettingpros dot Com Slash Trial to get a seven 82 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: day free trial of everything I use for the prop 83 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 1: betcheat sheet and the like. If you are curious what 84 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: I'm talking about from a system's perspective, what is the systems? Well, 85 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 1: Betting prossystems are on the app and behind the paywall. 86 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: Mostly it's our new Betting Pros tool for betting systems. 87 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 1: It's designed to help you find winning strategies and make 88 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: smarter bets. You can customize your betting systems by sport, 89 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: by bet type, and timeframe to find the best opportunities. 90 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: Using real time data and expert analysis, track the performance 91 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 1: of different betting systems over time, and optimize your bets 92 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 1: to increase your chances of success. Download the Betting Pros 93 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: app today just told you how to do that, or 94 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: go to bettingpros dot com Slash Systems to elevate your 95 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: betting strategy and make smarter bets today and use the 96 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: sign up bettingpros dot Com Slash trial to get full 97 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: access to all the systems in all the data that 98 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 1: you guys may be after all right, let's talk about 99 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: the plays here. Let's go to an old friend I 100 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: mispronounced his name a while ago. But zacharaych Zachariah Risa Shay. 101 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 1: I came close and I said it last cent Resa Schay. 102 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: This missed last time, so maybe he's gonna miss again. 103 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,119 Speaker 1: But the prop bet analyzer and the prop pit cheat sheets, 104 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:31,280 Speaker 1: they are in agreement here with this. It is a 105 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 1: five star play. It is a positive thirty four percent 106 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 1: ev bet points, rebounds and assists were going back to 107 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 1: the under for Zachariah Resa scha now. The last time 108 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 1: out against Milwaukee, way under. He had eleven. It was 109 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 1: set at eighteen and a half. In his last game 110 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 1: against Milwaukee, it went way under, but it was nineteen 111 00:06:56,440 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 1: and a half against it against Memphis and it flew over. 112 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 1: He had twenty eight. He scored twenty seven points. That 113 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: was his That was the most points he scored in 114 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: a long time. That was a fluke anomaly. Against Oklahoma 115 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: City prop was sixteen and a half. He had twenty three, 116 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: scored twelve points, nine, nine rebounds, two assists. Had a 117 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: good game against OKC. But the two previous games against 118 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 1: Miami seventeen and a half and seventeen both went under 119 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: with seventeen and six and one of the games against Miami, 120 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: he scored two points, had three rebounds in one assists. 121 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: In his last game out against Milwaukee, richa Cha was 122 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: three of ten from the field, oh for one from 123 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: behind the from the fre throw line, in one for 124 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: six from behind the three point line. Now against Memphis, 125 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 1: where he scored twenty seven points, he was five of seven, 126 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: which is really unusual. He's a streaky shooter from behind 127 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: the arc. But you can pretty much say if he 128 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: hits his threes, going to go over this number of 129 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. It opened at sixteen and a half. 130 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: It was bet to seventeen and a half. We're gonna 131 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: bet the under under seventeen and a half points, rebounds 132 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 1: and assists for Zachariah Resa Schey bet number two. Ce 133 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: J McCollum, let's bet an over. We have two unders 134 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: and one over CJ McCollum for New Orleans against Houston, 135 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: points and rebounds. The number is set at twenty and 136 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 1: a half. Projection is for twenty four point one. This 137 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: is a five star play, a twenty five percent positive 138 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: ev bet and a bet that's basically, you know, fifty 139 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 1: percent of the time head to head has hit for CJ. 140 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: McCollum in the last game out against Houston on the 141 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: twelfth of December twenty sixth sorry, twenty sixth December, way 142 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: under fifteen. The line was twenty four and a half 143 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: at the time it went way under for McCollum. The 144 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:06,319 Speaker 1: only game he has gone over in his last six 145 00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: games is against Utah. It was set for twenty three 146 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: and a half. He had twenty eight because he scored 147 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: twenty five points. Okay, he scored twenty five on the 148 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: second of March against Utah. He scored forty three on 149 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 1: the thirteenth of February against Sacramento, but in between sixteen twelve, 150 00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: thirteen nineteen, not a ton of points being scored. Last 151 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: time out against the Lakers, his prop was set at 152 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: twenty one and a half under by thirteen points. Shot 153 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: four of eleven, one of five from behind the three 154 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 1: point line for seedon McCollum only grabbed three rebounds. The 155 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:50,839 Speaker 1: rebound numbers pretty much are three four, you know, three 156 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 1: three four, four, three six seven for that game back 157 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: against Sacramento, but mostly it's three or four. So really 158 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: we're coming down here with a number for season. McCollum 159 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 1: we're talking about whether or not he's gonna wind up 160 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: grabbing you know, seventeen eighteen points, right they mean that's 161 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: that's how we fly over this with rebounds if he's 162 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: into the upper teens scoring, because he's probably gonna have 163 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: three rebounds, three or four rebounds, so we want to 164 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:19,199 Speaker 1: keep him under eighteen, under nineteen. This is a pretty 165 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: good defensive team in Houston, Okay, third against this prop 166 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: for defense for points and rebounds, I'm gonna play the over. However, 167 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,199 Speaker 1: we're gonna go with CJ McCollum. We're gonna watch him 168 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: to get eighteen nineteen twenty points hopefully here on this 169 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: because rebounds he might get four or five. But let's 170 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 1: get the over over twenty and a half points and 171 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 1: rebounds for CJ. McCollum in the games back last year 172 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 1: over on December nineteenth and twenty twenty four, and over 173 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: on February twenty second, twenty twenty four, both games going 174 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: over twenty three and thirty four points. Going over twenty 175 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:01,719 Speaker 1: and a half. Propa pitt Chie sheet likesis because it's 176 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: a low number of twenty and a half. We're going 177 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 1: over CJ. McCollum over twenty and a half points and 178 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: rebounds here tonight and finally Kris Lavert points, rebounds and assists. 179 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: This is a thirty three percent positive ev play, again 180 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: a five star play with a pretty big point project differential. 181 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: Projection differential of three point nine. The prop is said 182 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: at twenty two and a half for points, rebounds and 183 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 1: assists for Lavert of Atlanta up against Indiana projections for 184 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 1: eighteen point six head to head. This has not hit 185 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 1: for Lavert, however, his last three games have been pretty good. 186 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 1: His last five games have gone over his points, rebounds 187 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 1: and assists prop. Last three games went over the projection 188 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: number here for Lavert of twenty two and a half. 189 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 1: He had twenty eight against Milwaukee. Last time out, he 190 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: had thirty three against Memphis, and he had twenty nine 191 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: against OKC, but that snapped a four game stretch where 192 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 1: he was under this number for all four games. However, 193 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 1: the prop has been normally set eighteen and a half 194 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: had twenty one, eighteen and a half had twenty one, 195 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: eighteen and a half had twenty nine. Then the books 196 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: adjusted propped it up to twenty one and a half 197 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:30,480 Speaker 1: got thirty three. Twenty and a half went to twenty eight, 198 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 1: so we're selling high on this for LeVert in this game, 199 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,080 Speaker 1: this might be a little bit scary, but you gotta 200 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: trust the math on this, Okay, is how we are 201 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: here math wise with twenty two and a half. That's 202 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 1: the highest this number has been. Let's see all season, 203 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: we've never gotten this point. So when you're this high 204 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: for points, rebounds, and assists for Lvert, this is where 205 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:01,079 Speaker 1: you just see the books keep on raising the number 206 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 1: and he keeps on dropping it. At some point it's 207 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: gonna go under, and at some point it starts to 208 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: move down. So this is the prop bit cheat sheet 209 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 1: basically saying, Okay, this number on our projections is too high. 210 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:16,319 Speaker 1: Last time out was twenty eight, so he still went 211 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 1: over twenty two and a half. But the math is saying, okay, 212 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 1: he's overperforming. What are he supposed to perform here? Indiana's 213 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,079 Speaker 1: up the best team defensively, so that's one of the 214 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 1: kind of worries on this, Like defensively, they're not great 215 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 1: on this, but on this season it's only gone over 216 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: twenty nine percent of the time for Chris Lavert. Trust 217 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: the math under twenty two and a half for Churs 218 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: Lavert here points, rebounds and cists. Okay, so three NBA 219 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 1: player props. LeVert point rebounds and assist under twenty two 220 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: and a half, McCollum points in rebounds over twenty and 221 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: a half, and Risha che points, rebounds and assists under 222 00:13:56,400 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 1: seventeen and half. At some point we're going to miss, 223 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: all right, I don't know when, but fourteen and oh 224 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 1: is fourteen and oh and at some point that's gonna miss. Now. 225 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: Maybe Mayer will go crazy and take one of these 226 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: next two bets, but I don't think so, because archs 227 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 1: madness begins really pretty early in the day, So generally speaking, 228 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 1: we like to have the pick of the day sit 229 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 1: for a little while so more people can bet it 230 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: and be aware of it. Because we're starting at noon 231 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: Central time in Saint Louis with Southern Illinois against Indiana State. 232 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 1: In the eight to nine game. We have Illinois State 233 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: the five seed, take it on Missouri State, the twelve 234 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: seed in the two thirty game. It's all Central time. 235 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 1: Then Murray State the seventh seed, battles Evansville and the 236 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 1: ten seed, and then Illinois Chicago the sixth seed battles 237 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: Valpo the eleven seed. Let's just take a look at 238 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: the top bracket. The winner of Southern Illinois and Indiana 239 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 1: State will play Drake. The winner of Illinois State and 240 00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: Missouri State will play Belmont. That's tomorrow, Friday. Let's just 241 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: focus on the first game of the day. This has 242 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: been a bet for me and somebody made a joke 243 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 1: about it on Twitter and said, I'm guaranteeing you're gonna 244 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: bet this, and they're absolutely right. I have been betting 245 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 1: the under in the first game of Arch Madness forever. 246 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: Why it's dead. You used to be called the Scott 247 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 1: Trade Center. Now it's called the Enterprise Center. No one's there. 248 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: You're talking about a three and eighteen team in Southern 249 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 1: Illinois and a fourteen and seventeen team, Sorry, thirteen and eighteen. 250 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 1: I said, three thirteen and eighteen teams Southern Illinois against 251 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 1: a fourteen and seventeen team in Indiana State. They're both 252 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: eight and twelve in the valley. So the Sulukis bring people. Okay, 253 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 1: there'll be some Suluki fans. But the problem is it's noon. 254 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: It's lunchtime. So unless you live in Saint Louis, are 255 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: you driving all the way to Saint Louis from southern Illinois. 256 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 1: You're driving that whole way, which I'm I gotta look, 257 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 1: I think it's two hours. You're driving that whole way 258 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: to watch one game at lunchtime, meaning you're leaving your 259 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 1: house really early in the morning to drive all the 260 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: way down there, unless you're in a bus, or you're 261 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: in the band, or you're like a pep rally person 262 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: like you don't care about this game. Same thing with 263 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: Indiana State, Like that's a hike from Indiana to get 264 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: over to Saint Louis for what could be one game. 265 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 1: And again the time at noon. This is a nine 266 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: am West sorry, ten am Pacific time start, one pm 267 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: Eastern time start. This is a game in which these 268 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: teams come out and they're like, Eh, all right, fine, 269 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: we're playing. We're not gonna win. We gotta play the 270 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:46,600 Speaker 1: one seed tomorrow. That's horrible, and we have to figure 271 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 1: out what to do here now tomorrow. I'll give you 272 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: a little tip of the cap here, a little look 273 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:55,479 Speaker 1: to tomorrow. I don't care who wins this game. I'm 274 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: on the total, but whoever wins it, bet them in 275 00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: the first half against Drake on the first number, the 276 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 1: first number, whatever it is. Whatever the first number is, 277 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:05,919 Speaker 1: take the points bet the team at plays because they 278 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: will have played a game on the court, and more 279 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,159 Speaker 1: people will show up for the games on Friday than 280 00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:13,679 Speaker 1: they will for the games on Thursday, just how it 281 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 1: works with travel. Drake will have a lot of people there. 282 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: Though Drake fans are checked up. They're the one seed. 283 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: They're excited. There'll be a lot of Drake fans there. 284 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 1: But Drake will win the game. But I mean Indiana State. 285 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 1: They hit threes and then they run. Indiana State could 286 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,639 Speaker 1: stay in it at the half. I don't know what 287 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 1: the number is going to be. I'd be curious to 288 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:31,919 Speaker 1: see what that number is going to be. But regardless, 289 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 1: these two teams just played. This is sort of a weird. 290 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: This is sort of sort of a strange deal because 291 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: Southern Illinois is a I don't know, rival of Creighton 292 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 1: for a long time. This is a one point win 293 00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: for Southern Illinois eighty to seventy nine against Indiana State. 294 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 1: What's interesting about these teams? Like I mentioned, they just 295 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:05,399 Speaker 1: played and Indiana State scored ninety five on them. They 296 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 1: dropped ninety five on them. Only seventy seven were dropped 297 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 1: and it was the only meeting of the season between 298 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 1: these two teams. Now on the road this year or 299 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 1: away from home, Indiana State was fifteen and two to 300 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 1: the under fifteen and two, so the Sulukis were six 301 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: and seven or seven and six to the under. But 302 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: their final three games all went over, including the game 303 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 1: against Indiana State where the total was one fifty seven 304 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: and a half. I don't keep that in mind. Here 305 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 1: one fifty seven and a half and it went over 306 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: by fourteen and a half points. Why because Indiana State 307 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: scored ninety five points. You don't think the Sulukis have 308 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 1: been staring at game tape ever since. You don't think this. 309 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,160 Speaker 1: Stott Nagi, the head coach of sal Ionllinois, has been 310 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:59,120 Speaker 1: in his players behind about their defensive effort, how poorly 311 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: they played, and how embarrassing they were defensively. Now, they're 312 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:05,639 Speaker 1: not a great defensive team anyway, but to give up 313 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: ninety five points to Indiana State in their last game, 314 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: and they're gonna see the same team, the same plays, 315 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 1: the same scouts. I expect a much better defensive effort 316 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: out of Southern, and if Southern wins the game, this 317 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: game's going under Okay, I disagree with ken Palm. They 318 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 1: have it at one fifty nine the total e stept 319 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:27,119 Speaker 1: for one fifty seven and a half. I hope this 320 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 1: thing climbs. Let it climb, Let it climb, let it go. Okay, 321 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: under Southern Illinois and Indiana State under one fifty seven 322 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:36,560 Speaker 1: and a half. I hope for you guys get one 323 00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 1: fifty eight. I would be get one fifty nine. I 324 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: would be get I mean right up to my guess 325 00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 1: is the pros are gonna bet this right to ken 326 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 1: Pom's projection. But this building, man, I'm telling you, it's 327 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:49,639 Speaker 1: not a this is not a typical college basketball building. 328 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,200 Speaker 1: This is a hockey arena for the Blues play and 329 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: site lines aren't great. They're okay, they're not great. And 330 00:19:58,040 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: for these kids who haven't played in it all year 331 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 1: under one fifty seven and a half for Southern and 332 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 1: Indiana State for one point one units. And finally we 333 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:13,480 Speaker 1: go to the second game between these two of arch madness, 334 00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: Missouri State and Illinois State. Illinois State's gonna win this 335 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: game by five points according to kempom. That's the number five. Well, 336 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: here's my thing with this right now, looking at the 337 00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 1: way that Illinois State has played this year. Illinois State 338 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: did not end the year well at all at all. 339 00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 1: Illinois State, this is almost like a second chance for them. 340 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,680 Speaker 1: They beat Evansville by nine, laying ten and a half 341 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: in their final game of the year, but before that 342 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 1: they lost two Southern Illinois, the team that's playing before them, 343 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 1: by nine. Against Missouri State, they laid three and they 344 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:52,399 Speaker 1: won by two. That was three games ago on the road. 345 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 1: The first time that played Missouri State at home, they 346 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 1: were laying eight and a half and they won by six. 347 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 1: They are zero to two ats so far. Here's the problem. 348 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: Five consecutive losses and seven out of eight losses straight 349 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: up for Missouri State. I don't know what motivation they 350 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:17,119 Speaker 1: will have going into this game. They are two and 351 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 1: eighteen in the Missouri Valley Conference. One of two things 352 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: happen when a team is this bad. Either a throw 353 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 1: out the records, it doesn't matter, we're playing a whole 354 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,160 Speaker 1: new season. Because that's what the coaching staff's gonna tell everybody. 355 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 1: I mean, that's what you're literally gonna hear, you know, 356 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 1: a constant refrain out of this probably you know, the 357 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 1: whole game and from the sidelines. You're gonna hear Missouri 358 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,120 Speaker 1: State coaches in Kwanzo Martin, who's a very good coach, 359 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,760 Speaker 1: by the way, say hey, it doesn't matter. We're all good, okay. 360 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 1: But this team in the month in the year of 361 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, this team has won two games Evansville 362 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,640 Speaker 1: and Murray State. Both are at home. That's it. They 363 00:21:57,680 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 1: won two games in the valley. They went two in 364 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: a eight. They weren't horrible against the number. Against the number, 365 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 1: they were nine ten and one this year in the Valley. 366 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:10,760 Speaker 1: Away from home, they were nine six in one. They 367 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: actually were a good team away from home. And I 368 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 1: said they're two and oh ats against this Illinois State team. 369 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,720 Speaker 1: But I think Illinois State's gonna have something here. And 370 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,520 Speaker 1: I think Illinois State is gonna win this game by 371 00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: more than five points. And I think we have a 372 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,320 Speaker 1: chance to see this Illinois State team. The Red Birds 373 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 1: aren't bad. They won three of their last four. They 374 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: lost this out on the road, but they beat Bradley 375 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 1: and they beat Evansville at home. They beat Missouri State 376 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,400 Speaker 1: on the road. That's notpped a three game losing streak 377 00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:40,400 Speaker 1: to Northern Iowa, Drake and Indiana State Indiana State loss 378 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:42,400 Speaker 1: is the only bad one. Losing to Drake and Northern 379 00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,080 Speaker 1: not that big of a deal. But the red Birds 380 00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: bring people. This is in my experience. The red Birds 381 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,160 Speaker 1: bring people. They'll have people in the building. I doubt 382 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: Missouri State, even though you know they're it's a home 383 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: town team, a nine to twenty two team with a 384 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:01,040 Speaker 1: two and eighteen record in the Valley, they're not bringing anybody. 385 00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 1: Illinois State Redbirds will have people in the building. They're 386 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 1: the five seed. They've got Belmont if they win this game, 387 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: so they got a chance. I mean, I like Illinois 388 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,120 Speaker 1: State's draw a lot. And look, Illinois State could wind 389 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: up playing up against Drake, and that could be an 390 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: awesome game for Illinois State. They lost by Drake to 391 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,679 Speaker 1: four at Drake sixty six to sixty two, and then 392 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,440 Speaker 1: they lost at home to them eighty four to seventy seven. 393 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: But they haven't been blown out by Drake. So if 394 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,560 Speaker 1: they played Drake in the semi finals, Illinois State's not 395 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 1: going to feel like they don't have a puncher's chance 396 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,439 Speaker 1: to potentially knock out Drake. That's not a great matchup 397 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 1: and a great draw for Drake to be quite honest. 398 00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,600 Speaker 1: So take care of Missouri State here, then get up 399 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 1: against Belmont. Not saying that that's a control walk in 400 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,480 Speaker 1: the park, but Illinois State beat Belmont at home eighty 401 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: one to seventy eight. And they only played I think 402 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: they played once. Only they lost to them ninety nine 403 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: ninety seven in overtime in the first Valley game back 404 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,439 Speaker 1: on December the fourth, So I mean they pushed them 405 00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: on the road, they pushed them all the way overtime, 406 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 1: they lost their game ninety ane ninety seven. So Illinois 407 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,399 Speaker 1: State can absolutely win that game and then go and 408 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 1: take on Drake. So I like Illinois State to win, 409 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 1: Illinois State to cover here lay in the five for 410 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 1: Illinois State up against a really bad Missouri State team. 411 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:18,960 Speaker 1: So plays for today. Lavert point rebounds and assist under 412 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,920 Speaker 1: twenty two and a half, mccollumn points and rebounds over 413 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 1: twenty and a half, Risha Shay point rebounds and assist 414 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:29,439 Speaker 1: under seventeen and a half. It's ISU and SIU. It's 415 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 1: a lot of eye, It's a lot of similar letters. 416 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 1: Indiana State against Southern Illinois under one fifty seven and 417 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: a half for one point one units, and Illinois State 418 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 1: laying five up against Missouri State for one point one 419 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:45,199 Speaker 1: units in Arch Madness minus Matt Perelt. Let's see if 420 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 1: we can go fifteen for fifteen with the play of 421 00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 1: the day. Wherever you guys get your podcasts, you can 422 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:53,919 Speaker 1: follow me at sports talking about on my socials, but 423 00:24:54,280 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 1: wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice.