1 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites. I'm Chad Milman from the Action Network. 2 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: It is Monday morning. This is the Parlay Show from 3 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast series. I am joined as always by 4 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: Paula Duca Action Network analysts, ten years in the major leagues, 5 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 1: four time All Star, Jeff Schwartz, Action Network analyst, eight 6 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: years in the trenches in the NFL Fellas. We came 7 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: so close to winning our nine team parlay. We were six, 8 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: we were six and three. I mean, I know, you 9 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: don't win the party way if you lose one of 10 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: the games, but I feel like we each lost one game. 11 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: If we can, just if we can just turn that around. Jeff, 12 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: you're already laughing, Well, I think because the weirdest game 13 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 1: to me that nineteen parlay was that Kentucky win. Like 14 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: I just I didn't see Kentucky in the history of 15 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: the football program has never shown the ability to do 16 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 1: what they did in Missisippi State on Saturday night. Like 17 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 1: I think we were. I think we were generally pretty 18 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 1: good with our bets, um, and that's why we're getting there. 19 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: We're we're we're we're gonna tighten things up a little bit. 20 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 1: It's kind of a reset week in the NFL. Things 21 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: didn't go like we expected, kind of how the NFL goes. 22 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 1: And now we we got Week four coming up in 23 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 1: the NFL. Week five and culge football. What do you think? 24 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: I mean? The overreaction factor in the NFL works every year, 25 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: doesn't it. I mean, I turned my phone on. I'd 26 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: have to say, Jeff, my pick was the worst with 27 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: Minnesota because I turned my phone on and Buffalo was 28 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 1: up seventeen nothing. I mean it was literally seventeen and man, 29 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: and it happened in the game. It seemed like so Um, 30 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: weird things happened in the NFL. This is just the 31 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: bottom line. Um, some weird things in college football. Um. 32 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: But that's why we love um playing this game and 33 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: betting on it. So for people who need a refresher, 34 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: we are going to quickly review what happened this weekend, 35 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: and then we are going to look ahead, mostly to 36 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. The goal is for me and Jeff 37 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 1: and Paul to come up with a nine team parlay 38 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: that we love in which we can win twenty thousand dollars. 39 00:02:33,040 --> 00:02:35,239 Speaker 1: That's the payoff for the bet that we're gonna put 40 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: down sixty bet wins dollars. This is the week it 41 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 1: could happen. I feel like we're close, and the one 42 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:44,799 Speaker 1: thing I will say if we want to get into 43 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: sort of this past weekend. The first two weekends I 44 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 1: felt lost. I like I didn't have data to rely on. 45 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: I didn't have a feel for these teams. This past 46 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 1: weekend I did pretty well generally, um in the place 47 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: that I had had. I had the Bengals, I lost. UM. 48 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: I had the Niners. I lost, which was disappointing because 49 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,239 Speaker 1: that game was playing exactly as I thought it would, 50 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: where I thought it would be a shootout and I 51 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: thought that it come down to the end and they'd 52 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: be trading touchdowns and I thought the Niners would basically 53 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 1: have a chance to backdoor cover, which they almost did. Um. 54 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: But then I won the Saints, which was a miracle. 55 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: I won the Bears, which felt great, and um, who 56 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: else did I win? Hold on? I won h Washington, 57 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: that's right in Washington. But this week felt like and 58 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: with the Lions winning and with the Bills winning, things 59 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: were righted like the things that I personally believe in 60 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 1: betting against massive seventeen point favorites. I didn't do it 61 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: because I was scared. Uh, but it worked out betting 62 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: against the road favorite. That's getting of the money. I 63 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: didn't do it because I was scared of the Patriots, 64 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: but the Patriots lost. Those things are coming around. If 65 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 1: I can rely on those things, I feel better about life. Jeff, 66 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: I I my my issue, and I think Paul feels 67 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: the same way at times, like I just love to 68 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 1: put money on stuff because it makes it more exciting 69 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: to watch the games. And the games I felt really 70 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: good about. I think I generally, you know, did pretty 71 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: well minus the the under in the in the Cowboy 72 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: assuming the Giants, and in the Texans game. I felt 73 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: good about the Colts. I felt good about the Red Skins. 74 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: I fe about the under in in Dallas and Seattle. 75 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: But you know then I put a bunch of units 76 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: on the Patriots last night and they just lay next. 77 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: So it's a learning lesson for me to not take 78 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: an I agree. If you look at this week, only 79 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: one road favorite covered and that was the Saints this week, 80 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: and generally speaking, you're right, it doesn't happen that Saints 81 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: were in the road favorite. Saintsworth Yeah, they working, yes, 82 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: none of them. Ever, I believe you're right. Yes, they 83 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: were getting three as many units as I did last 84 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: night in the Patriot. Yeah, Paully had a probably had 85 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 1: a rough night. Paul's daughter got into his phone and 86 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, she is like sing and doubling down. 87 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: Paul explained that this is not a good thing. It's 88 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:08,919 Speaker 1: not a good thing. And I'm hoping that Max if 89 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: he's not listening to this. Um, I'm literally was on 90 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: why on TV yesterday, you know, covering the horse racing. Um, 91 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: I played Minnesota, worst bet of history. UM told her, 92 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: hey play Minnesota in the second half, worst bed history. UM. 93 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: She did pick up the phone and goes, is this real? 94 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 1: And I'm like realizing what Like she thought, Okay, it's 95 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: just like you're many people that this is your this 96 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 1: is your fourteen year old daughter. Okay, we know this chat. 97 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: I have issues. I just I don't think you just 98 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: like if it was a seven year old, I think 99 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: it'd be different than like a fourteen year old. Oh god, 100 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: I think it's encouraging back. I just know that I 101 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:53,159 Speaker 1: text Paul about eleven thirty last night after I saw 102 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 1: that he was down ninety units yesterday, and I was like, 103 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: Paul what are you doing? Because I chase two of times, um, 104 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: I did not last, thankfully in that Patriots game, I 105 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: was gonna take the Patriots second half, I didn't um 106 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: And I was like, Paulie, what are you doing, buddy? 107 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: And he explained everything to me. I just giggling to 108 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 1: myself because he was a thirty seven unit bet. I 109 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 1: was like, doesn't sound like paul Yeah, and then a 110 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 1: unit bet on the Patriots in in in Detroit over 111 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 1: in the first half was the topping. But the greatest 112 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: part about it is you're right is that she got 113 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: caught playing the games and then she kept trying to 114 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: double down and trying to chase to try to get 115 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 1: the units back. So if you look like like thirty 116 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: three and thirty five I think in the NFL and 117 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: minus ninety units. I was wondering, what's going on this morning? 118 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 1: I woke up very early, as I always do when 119 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: I was on the app, and I noticed that, like 120 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 1: with DUCA had a rough day and like, it's funny. 121 00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 1: The best part is if you look at the app, 122 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 1: she laid the Patriot game over and under, Yes, that 123 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: that was the fairy thing. I thought you I thought 124 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 1: you were trying to do a weird middle because like 125 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 1: you had over fifty three and a half and then 126 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: under like fifty four and a half. I thought you 127 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: knew the game with finishing fifty five. Like I was 128 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: just like very I was very surprised. I saw that 129 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 1: play out. I was like, because you've done like I 130 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 1: remember once, I think you did something wrong, sort of 131 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 1: like that before Texas, Like do you realize what you did? 132 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: And you're like, yeah, I screwed up, But like I thought, 133 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: you're just very specific the fifty four points we're gonna 134 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: be scored in this game. I was laughing myself. I 135 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: don't even want to correct you. I just see if 136 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: you hit it. I'm on the for all the people 137 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: out there realized when when we put our plays in, 138 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: they stay in. So I was on the phone last 139 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: night at midnight with Michael Boff and Scott Miller that 140 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: people work at the Actual Network. They are literally mine 141 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 1: literally yeah, a little in my blood. They they give 142 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: him my articles, they make them in the magic we 143 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: we They're just phenomenal. And I'm talking to audience. Scotty's like, 144 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: what are what happened? And I'm like, oh my god, 145 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: you don't even want to know. You don't even want 146 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: to know. So, Yeah, I was on the phone last 147 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: night after watching Tom Brady really not not look good. 148 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: That whole game was ugly. Um, I mean for the Patriots, 149 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: but it also speaks to like why I love home dogs, 150 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 1: the Redskins. Why I love home dogs, Like teams show 151 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,199 Speaker 1: up at home, the percentages are with them, They're always 152 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 1: going to be the right side. I want Sports Center 153 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: yesterday morning, and I was talking about the Redskins. Yeah, exactly. Uh. 154 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: And I was talking about the Redskins, but at the 155 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 1: time of the money was on the Redskins, right, the money. 156 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: The tickets were on the Packers. But the money, follow 157 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: the money. It's the same story in every investigation, whether 158 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: it's Russia, whether it's election tampering, whether it's politics, whether 159 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: it's finance, whether it's betting, or follow the money, like tonight, 160 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: are getting a lot of the money and everyone in 161 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: the public's way on Tampa. Let me ask you something, chat. 162 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:18,959 Speaker 1: Can I ask you a quick question? You've been doing 163 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 1: this for so long? Do you think so? Because I 164 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 1: always thought in the n b A, my theory is 165 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: that the Thursday night games, they give you four games. 166 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: They give you like a little treats and they go, 167 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: you know what, here, you can win these games because 168 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: we know Friday Night. We want you to come back 169 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: and play a full slate of Friday night basketball because 170 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 1: we know what we're going to get you, do they think? 171 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: I mean, like Mondays and Thursdays, they give you easier games, 172 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 1: follow the money, and then then maybe on Sunday you 173 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: have to play a little bit tricky or or play 174 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: a little bit you know what I mean. I mean 175 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: it feels like the mother. I think they I think 176 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: they want to win everything. Talking about books every night. 177 00:09:58,080 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: They're not going to give you like because they're not 178 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: to give you a treat. Hey, hey, if there's a 179 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,960 Speaker 1: little sample. They're not like pushers. You know. It's like 180 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 1: I went seven and oh on Thursday last weekend last 181 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 1: week with NFL and Cultureball, so I including Friday Night, 182 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 1: as I say, Friday Night and conturball too. So I 183 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: agree with you, Paul. They they sucker me in with 184 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: a good couple of nights and then I just bawn 185 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: this weekend. By the way, they're not suckering you in. 186 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: I know they're not. I know they're not, But maybe 187 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 1: it's just because you're concentrating on lesser games and there's 188 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 1: like seventy games on the slate on Saturday and you 189 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 1: and I are sickos. That's probably the problem. Um, But 190 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: I do think that say night and Monday night games 191 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: are just easier because you're you're you're concentrating and you're 192 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:42,560 Speaker 1: researching one game, two games. Or the flip side is 193 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: you just care less, like there are plenty of games. 194 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:49,360 Speaker 1: Look on Saturday, I look, I had Mississippi State minus 195 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 1: ten in our parlay. Bet them the second that game 196 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 1: open on Sunday night, they get destroyed by Kentucky. I 197 00:10:56,720 --> 00:11:00,320 Speaker 1: bet Florida State minus ten. I think on Saturday warning 198 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 1: as a throwaway after I had read all the stuff 199 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: on Action Network and so many of our guys were 200 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 1: coming into Florida State minus ten. Like that was a 201 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 1: throwaway to me. I didn't even think about it. And 202 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 1: you win that game, so like you just don't know. 203 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: Here's what we gotta do. We gotta get to our parlays. Okay, 204 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,199 Speaker 1: we gotta get to this parlay so we can win 205 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 1: twenty thousand dollars. Jeff Schwartz, as is our custom europe 206 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: First let's start in college football. You talk about lines, 207 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: you bet right away. B y U is plus sixteen 208 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 1: and a half. Now, I got him last night at 209 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,079 Speaker 1: plus seventeen at Washington, and this game the under is 210 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 1: not posted yet, and I would be very inclined to 211 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:42,559 Speaker 1: take the under eventually when I see it get post. 212 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,520 Speaker 1: So Washington this year has an interesting year. They did 213 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: not cover Week one against all Burning, they lost sixteen. 214 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,440 Speaker 1: They that they believed they might have covered against Utah 215 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: but they only one one to seven. And this weekend 216 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: they beat Washington assume in Arizona State UH twenty to 217 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 1: um as huge favors in that game. UM as well, 218 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: they're they're just not playing on offense quiet like people 219 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: expected with the fifth year quarterback. It's not surprising Jake 220 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: Browning didn't play terribly well last year. And then on 221 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: the flip side, their defense is just as good as 222 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,199 Speaker 1: it was last year. Their fourth and points allowed last 223 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,680 Speaker 1: year there right now at only allowing twelve points a game. 224 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: But b y U as well. They went into a 225 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 1: ranked Cow and Cows now ranked and lost by three, 226 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 1: kept that game very close, went to a ranked Wisconsin 227 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: and beat him one, and then play mcnei State this 228 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 1: week to throw away again. They wont get that game, 229 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: and then also week one went to Arizona and won 230 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 1: by five. I think it's way too many points to 231 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: give the Cougars in a game that's gonna be a 232 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: defensive game. Uh by us only allowing allowing seventeen points 233 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 1: a game UM to a defensive game against two teams. 234 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:48,599 Speaker 1: I think that are that are matched well and B 235 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: y U is not getting any love. I want the 236 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 1: points here. Probably I love this pick. I almost picked 237 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,160 Speaker 1: buy you in this game. I watched the you know, 238 00:12:57,200 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: being aris in the State Lum. I watched the whole 239 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: the Arizona State UM Washington game, and I don't know it. 240 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 1: Still it feels like Jake Browne is playing a little 241 00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: bit conservative there, or they're just playing conservative completely on offense. 242 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 1: And and the way that B y U plays UM, 243 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,199 Speaker 1: they played the old school style. They're not running a 244 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:21,679 Speaker 1: play every seconds. It's excuse me, Mary, five ten seconds. 245 00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: They running five seconds. So I think this line was 246 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 1: way too big. So I like by you here, I 247 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:32,800 Speaker 1: really do. I love this place so much that I'm 248 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: trying to uh bet it at the same time that 249 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 1: we're talking see that's the way. That's when you're full confidence. 250 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: It just seems like a very a very weird line, 251 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: like I don't I think we're still overvaluing Washington. I don't. 252 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:48,880 Speaker 1: I don't quite get it. They haven't really done much 253 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: this year to think to say that was gonna be 254 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 1: the case? Is it? Maybe because maybe because of the 255 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: only team that Look, here's the thing, we're an agreeing, 256 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: we're in agreement. Let's move on, let's do it. We're 257 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 1: one pick into dollars, So let's see. Let's see what 258 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: kind of trash Mr minus ninety units Paula Duke I 259 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: can bring to the conversation. Okay, you want some trash 260 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: m the Hawaii. I don't even want the rainbows, right, 261 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: I think I think only football's rainbow Warriors. Okay? At 262 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: San Jose State. Okay, now, I got this game at 263 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Um, it's already gone to thirteen 264 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: and a half. And here's the reason why Hawaii is 265 00:14:36,880 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 1: number one in the nation in total offense. Guess who's 266 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: last in the FBS in total defense? San Jose State. 267 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: So so I started looking at why they are last, 268 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: and and I started looking at sort of percentages, you know, 269 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 1: and looking at the splits of San Jose State, and 270 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 1: they're actually not bad against the run. There forty nine 271 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 1: in the country against the run. They are dead last 272 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,440 Speaker 1: against the past. They give up over three hundred and 273 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: ninety one yards a game. Hawaii ninth in the nation 274 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: in passing um, over four hundred thirty seven yards a 275 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: game and five hundred yards per game in total offense. 276 00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 1: You have to get on this line right now, Hawaii 277 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: minus it's thirteen and a half. Now, I got it 278 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 1: in the last night at eleven and a half, and 279 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: then this might go up to fourteen or fifteen or so. UM. 280 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 1: And now Hawaii has been on the mainland the last 281 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: two times, and usually what that happens, they'll stay here. 282 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 1: So I think they're they're they're okay. Um all over 283 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 1: the rainbow wires. I hate this. Go ahead, Jeff, I 284 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 1: think you're gonna say you hate, you hate the road. 285 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 1: The big road favorite. UM Saursday stayed is really bad. UM. 286 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: And that might be part of this. If you look 287 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 1: at when they play in Washington State now that we're 288 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 1: all on the road, they lost thirty one nothing. That's 289 00:16:04,520 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 1: the biggest comp to me to Hawaii's offense, right is 290 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 1: the air rate of of Mike Leach compared to what 291 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 1: Hawaii runs. Um, I think I know where Chad's going 292 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 1: with this, but go ahead, Chad, Well. I just hate 293 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,640 Speaker 1: the idea of betting a huge road favorite when the 294 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,480 Speaker 1: line is going in the opposite direction of where we 295 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 1: want to bet it. Because by the time we get 296 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: this bet down, you know it's gonna be two to 297 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 1: three points off the best of the number. Right and 298 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: opened it eleven and a half, It's already a twelve 299 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 1: and a half by the time we get this bet 300 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: down at the end of the show, it could be 301 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: at thirteen. Who wants to bet on a parlay where 302 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: I can win when I'm not getting the best of 303 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 1: the number. But I'm always so in love with Laduca 304 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 1: comes in with research like I sort of got every 305 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: time he heard his mouth. I have no idea who's 306 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: where he's going. But he's ready, he's ready, he's ready, 307 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 1: he's ready. He comes in with the Hawaii like looking 308 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,840 Speaker 1: at their splits on offense versus the Santo's day splits 309 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,879 Speaker 1: on defense. It's genius, so I can't go against it. 310 00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: The only thing I don't like is that we're not 311 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 1: getting a great number, but we gotta choose it. We 312 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 1: gotta do it. Yes, we can. We can do this. 313 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,080 Speaker 1: And you know there is a there is a fun 314 00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: thing called open parlay. So I can if we want, 315 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: I can add this game on Saturday the number comes 316 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: down a little bit, or we can put it in 317 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: the other you want gonna sell like Hawaii's three and 318 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:32,440 Speaker 1: one lone loss, Army by seven. Army gave Oklahoma fits 319 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:36,400 Speaker 1: all they could handle. I think Hawaii's for real. Hawaii's 320 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 1: pretty good by the way. We're in. We got it. 321 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:46,880 Speaker 1: We got it. Um listen. I said last night when 322 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 1: we were trading notes on this that I wanted New 323 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 1: Orleans at the New York Giants, and I am I'm 324 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 1: changing it up. That's not going to be one of 325 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 1: my picks. I actually look at that, I'm like, that 326 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: is a god awful square a pick. I can't even 327 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: believe I'm doing that. Um Like, there's no way I 328 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: should do that. They're gonna be a It goes against 329 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,159 Speaker 1: everything I believe in a road favorite. That's gonna be 330 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: getting all the money. That's what I think when I 331 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: look at that. Um, So, I'm gonna have to reimagine 332 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:19,159 Speaker 1: my pick. But my first pick is gonna be Indie 333 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 1: as a two and a half point home favorite against 334 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans. I'm getting a home team that I've 335 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,360 Speaker 1: watched a lot in the first three weeks. I've had 336 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 1: action on the Colts or against the Colts in every 337 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 1: game in the first three weeks, and twice i've been 338 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:42,199 Speaker 1: on them. I think this team is really good. I 339 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:46,200 Speaker 1: think their defense is so much better than people expected 340 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 1: it to be. And Andrew Luck, despite the fact he 341 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: couldn't play in the last play last night because they're 342 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: afraid his arm would fall off and threw it more 343 00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 1: than fifty yards UM like this team that the Eagles 344 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: needed in a leathern minute nineteen played drive that was 345 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 1: aided by multiple phantom penalties to beat the Cults yesterday. 346 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: You know, last Jeff said something last week because you 347 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: you like the Colts last week and it was a 348 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 1: great call to last weekend, Chad. But Jeff, you said 349 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: something last week. They are a great cover team and 350 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 1: it's because of of Luck. He just he keeps, he 351 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: finds a way to keep them in the game. Now 352 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,400 Speaker 1: he does. And we were talking a little bit off 353 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: air and I think Chad was exactly right about this. 354 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: Chris Bauer, the Colts GM has been really hammering defense, 355 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:39,480 Speaker 1: and he brought some offensive linement two in the draft, 356 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: but hammering young athletic defenders. He was in Kansas City 357 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 1: that that was the defense that Bob Sun imagined having, 358 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: as a bunch of athletes who can run everywhere and 359 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,640 Speaker 1: blitz and create havoc. And that's what they're doing right now. 360 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 1: And you have a Texans offensive line that's probably the 361 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 1: worst NFL. DeShawn Watson looks absolutely show. He looks nothing 362 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: like he did last week. There's no creativity all that offense, 363 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 1: and it feels very much like the Colts are, for 364 00:20:04,840 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: whatever reason, still aren't getting the respect that they should 365 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 1: be getting. Also, at the end of the day, sometimes 366 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: I don't even look at the teams, like if I 367 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 1: have a home team getting less than three points, like 368 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 1: I'm just taking it. That's it. I'm in in in alright, Jeff, 369 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: you're gonna be up next. But first I want to 370 00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: talk about Hello Fresh. Anyone who listened to the podcast 371 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: knows we want to spend our time researching bets and 372 00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 1: we want to spend our money making those bets, which 373 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: means we need help feeding ourselves and feeding our families. 374 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:49,680 Speaker 1: That's why we love Hello Fresh. We have three plans 375 00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:53,159 Speaker 1: to choose from. We have the classic, the veggie, and 376 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 1: the family. We get to look forward to our Hello 377 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:59,880 Speaker 1: Fresh delivery knowing dinner just got that much easier. We 378 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: will not spend all night in the kitchen because recipes 379 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: only take around thirty minutes, and that means more time 380 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 1: researching our bets. We get delicious, filling meals delivered right 381 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 1: to our door every week for less than ten dollars 382 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: per serving and free shipping, which means more money to 383 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:22,879 Speaker 1: spend on our bets. I have had everyone knows. Anyone 384 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:28,719 Speaker 1: who listens to the podcast knows I love figs. Conveniently, 385 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,360 Speaker 1: Hello Fresh has a figgy balsamic pork that we had 386 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: in my house. We also tried the Southwestern beef tacos 387 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:39,679 Speaker 1: because my fifteen year old we're really only eat tacos. Um. 388 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,159 Speaker 1: It's been fantastic. We loved making the meals together for 389 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: a total of sixty dollars off. That's twenty dollars off 390 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 1: your first three boxes. Visit Hello Fresh dot com, slash 391 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:57,680 Speaker 1: favorites sixty and enter favorites sixty. Again, that's a total 392 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: of sixty dollars off twin of dollars off your first 393 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: three boxes. Visit Hello Fresh dot com slash favorites sixty 394 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 1: and enter favorites sixty. It's like receiving six meals free 395 00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 1: or up to off of three boxes. What is better 396 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,840 Speaker 1: than getting something with figs that saves you money and 397 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 1: gives you more time to research your bets? Guys, go 398 00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:28,120 Speaker 1: get Hello Fresh? All right, Jeff Europe? All right, So 399 00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna, like I said, I need to go against 400 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 1: what I would normally do here um and I am 401 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,399 Speaker 1: going Denver plus four. Don't hate me, Kansas City fans. 402 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,520 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, my brother. Now you can still win this game. 403 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,720 Speaker 1: But but I think Denver covers your Monday night football. 404 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you why again four points at how 405 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: much I like their defense is good? We we all 406 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: know their defense is good. Yes, they didn't play terribly 407 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: well in Baltimore, but generally speaking, their defense is really legit. 408 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:59,199 Speaker 1: Third third in rush yards per game um uh eight 409 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,200 Speaker 1: and rush yards or a tim like they are good 410 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 1: defense passing, of course we know, and the problem with 411 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 1: the Chiefs defense being so bad is It puts so 412 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 1: much pressure on the Chiefs offense to have to be 413 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 1: perfect every single time they get the football, and that's 414 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: hard to do, especially on the road on Monday night football. 415 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,360 Speaker 1: That crowd is going to be amped up. And I 416 00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,360 Speaker 1: just don't know if that offense can be perfect every 417 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: single jobby Because Denver's offense will score points against the Chiefs. 418 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 1: The Chief's defense is horrendous. It's not getting any better, um. 419 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 1: And I I just this is a game of the 420 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: public is gonna be all over the Chiefs in this game. 421 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,040 Speaker 1: The line has already dropped a little bit from when 422 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,320 Speaker 1: it came out. I think Denver the points at home, 423 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,199 Speaker 1: UM is gonna be very much against what what what what? 424 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 1: The public is gonna bet like this idea. I hate 425 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,720 Speaker 1: this pick. I like this pick, and I'll tell you why, 426 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:56,400 Speaker 1: what do you think about it? I said it last 427 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,160 Speaker 1: week and I was right. It didn't matter if Blaine 428 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 1: Gabbert or Mariota started. After Jacksonville beat New England, they 429 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: were the toast of the town and then boom they 430 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: get beat out right nine six in a pictures duel. 431 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:15,360 Speaker 1: Then now you're looking at this game and Pat Mahomes 432 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:21,800 Speaker 1: right now is literally on every single channel, and I'm listen. 433 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: I I love the kid. I always been telling everybody 434 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 1: that I thought this kid is the real deal and 435 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 1: he's finally gonna be a big twelve quarterback. But this 436 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:30,440 Speaker 1: is the one time you got to fade him. And 437 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 1: this lion is a little bit low. I think going 438 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: into Denver, into that air, it's a divisional foe. They 439 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 1: know the offense. I know it's explosive. I actually liked 440 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,120 Speaker 1: this pick, I really do. And listen, he's picking against 441 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 1: his brothers, So it's like picking against a team that's 442 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: like like your your favorite team. So when a guy 443 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 1: gives you, like a play against my team, you get 444 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: a better You get that nice warm feeling inside of yead. 445 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 1: You feel like you feel like his credibility is bolstered. 446 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:07,480 Speaker 1: Why don't I like this picture? No faith in case Keenum. 447 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 1: None like he He has been the case Keenum before 448 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,439 Speaker 1: the Case Keenum of last year. He has been the 449 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: guy who there was a reason why he had been 450 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 1: sort of a journeyman bench player. He is making bad decisions. 451 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: He is throwing the ball into coverage. I don't think 452 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 1: the running game for the Broncos is good enough to 453 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 1: support him, Like, I just don't think he can he 454 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,680 Speaker 1: can be the reason why they win games. I don't 455 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: think he can be the reason why they win a shootout, um, 456 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: which is what this could potentially be. Listen, the Chiefs 457 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: can't sustain They're gonna play a team with a really 458 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,879 Speaker 1: good defense at some point. The Broncos do have an 459 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 1: amazing defense, but they haven't been so amazing. They couldn't 460 00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: like keep the Ravens from scoring twenty seven points or 461 00:25:56,000 --> 00:26:02,960 Speaker 1: whatever they scored. So just like if I'm gonna if 462 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna win twenty I don't think I don't think 463 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: it's gonna be betting on the Broncos against the Chiefs. 464 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,159 Speaker 1: So you're throwing a challenge flag. Now, I'm holding that 465 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: I got I got some later. Oh you have to later, 466 00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 1: you have a challenge tape later. So you're projecting that 467 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: one of us is gonna have a bad pick. YEP. 468 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: I just think that I need to do something different 469 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,080 Speaker 1: this week. And it feels like the public is going 470 00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 1: to be all over Kansas City, and I just the 471 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:38,520 Speaker 1: Chief's defense really worries me. They just can't off anyone. 472 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 1: They can't stop off one and it's just yeah, it's bad. 473 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 1: The Broncos offense is better than that you give a 474 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,679 Speaker 1: credit for. I thinks, all right, all right, let's do it, 475 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:55,120 Speaker 1: all right, PAULI, Okay, we're gonna go back to college football. 476 00:26:56,480 --> 00:27:02,400 Speaker 1: Old Dominion at East Carolina. Now, this line is East 477 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:07,200 Speaker 1: Carolina minus five, so Chad will start laughing. Your boy, 478 00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:12,000 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson's on this game. Colin Wilson, college football analysts 479 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 1: for the Actration networker's a genius, Yes he is. And 480 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 1: you know what he made me start researching. And I 481 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: didn't realize that East Carolina there one and two. Um. 482 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 1: They lost last week to a tough us F teams 483 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 1: South Florida, who's now four and oh um, but they 484 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: boat raced North Carolina, who actually beat Pittsburgh, um this 485 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 1: last Saturday. But the public is knee jerk reaction to 486 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 1: Old Dominion. Who they're playing. Old Dominion beat Virginia Tech. Okay, 487 00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:45,880 Speaker 1: at home, Virginia Tech is awful. A lot of people 488 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 1: don't look at the other games that Old Dominion played. 489 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:53,359 Speaker 1: They lost to Charlotte and they got beat by Liberty 490 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 1: by forty two. Those are the two road games. So 491 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,479 Speaker 1: now they got to go into East Carolina, who, by 492 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 1: the way, is eighth in the nation in total defense. 493 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: You're betting East Carolina right now? I don't know, man, 494 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 1: I think I think I think Paul is onto. I 495 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:19,000 Speaker 1: already got this, already got this game in every app 496 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 1: like they if you look at how many how your 497 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:29,199 Speaker 1: daughter put on this game. I flew to Jersey. She's fourteen. 498 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: Now she can fly. I feel like we have a 499 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:36,199 Speaker 1: fluke college game every year, and it feels like this 500 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech game was one of those because if you 501 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,959 Speaker 1: look at it at old Dominions and the last thing 502 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,280 Speaker 1: would have showed you like Charlotte. I'm telling you Charlotte 503 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 1: is really bad. They're bad at football. They were one 504 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,440 Speaker 1: in eleven last year. Um, they're tiny bit better this season, 505 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 1: but you know they went, they went and lost to 506 00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 1: Charlotte in a road game, and Charlotte this year lost 507 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: to Massachusetts absolutely blew them out. I mean, it's just 508 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,480 Speaker 1: I don't I don't know. This is an off the 509 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 1: wall pick, but I kind of sort of like it. 510 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 1: What do you think? All right? I think anytime I 511 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 1: can get uh dolls riding on East Carolina, it is 512 00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: this better? This is better? Or worse than betting on 513 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 1: New Mexico. Did we win that bet? Yeah? We did, 514 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 1: didn't we We won that bet? Yeah? That was the 515 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 1: I believe that was the Red River arrivalry Rio Grande rivalry. Well, 516 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 1: there you go, red the Red River is the Red River? 517 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 1: Like Oklahoma Texas? Yeah, Oklahoma Texas or like that much 518 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 1: of a difference between Oklahoma Texas and New Mexico New Bicoast. 519 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: They're proctably the same in the ISAA college football fans. 520 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 1: So Paul al has been kind of right on these 521 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 1: weird college picks. Man, I know he is, he totally is. 522 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: But now we're like, we're going into conferences Eastern Carolina 523 00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 1: even playing I can't even find them in the in 524 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: the app to put bedded uh the the Eastern Carolina Conference. 525 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 1: It's East Carolina. Aren't they in North Carolina? Just like 526 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 1: they're in a tiny I'm sure they're far from me 527 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: with the state is bigger than you think it is. Um, 528 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: let's see where East Carolina football is. They got their 529 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: their game was canceled what two weeks ago against Virginia Tech. 530 00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 1: They were supposed to be a Virginia Tech two weeks 531 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: two weeks ago yeah, yeah, I got canceled. And then, 532 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: like I said, USF is pretty good. Four non turn right, Okay, 533 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:41,080 Speaker 1: let's go a million monster. Here we go. Chad Millie 534 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 1: Monster picks the Oakland Raiders as three point favorites at 535 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:54,239 Speaker 1: home against Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns. It is 536 00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 1: time to get off the Baker train, do you know 537 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,720 Speaker 1: what I'm saying? Like, this game is never gonna have 538 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 1: a shorter number than it does this week. The wise 539 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: guys were all over the Raiders this past week, and 540 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 1: I cannot figure out why because Miami I thought was 541 00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 1: a better team. But Oakland kept it really close for 542 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 1: most of the game. They're actually ahead obviously for most 543 00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 1: of the game. There's one flute play that really put 544 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 1: the Dolphins over the top, and then a touchdown at 545 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 1: the end that really just sort of sealed it for them. 546 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:30,880 Speaker 1: But um, like I think Baker Mayfield going on the 547 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: road for the first time as a starter into Oakland 548 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: where this Oakland team they're starting to play much much better. Um, 549 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: that is a very easy number, uh to top? Like 550 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 1: that is a short home number. Uh, I don't think 551 00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: I think Oakland's playing better than his record reflects the 552 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 1: problem with Oakland is they have wilted now at the 553 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 1: end of every game this season. Um, where they have 554 00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:01,320 Speaker 1: started strong, and I like the offense for that exact reason. 555 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,560 Speaker 1: Last week, UM, I guess yesterday because you know they 556 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 1: have they just have wilted. Um. But I think you 557 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 1: have time to prepare for Baker Mayfield. Now we know 558 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,800 Speaker 1: the first game typically like a coming in Baker Mayfield 559 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: is like the Hero and Cleveland. The second game is 560 00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 1: just not as good. Um. I don't know, Paul, I 561 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 1: don't even. I haven't even. I didn't look at this 562 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,280 Speaker 1: game because I didn't think anyone was gonna bet it. 563 00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 1: While the line has moved, it opened it one, it's 564 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 1: gone to three. Um. Yeah, Actually, I think I listed 565 00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,880 Speaker 1: it last night when we um when we were talking 566 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: about these games. It was at one and a half 567 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:43,520 Speaker 1: when I liked it. So three is a big number. 568 00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:45,560 Speaker 1: I actually I'm wrong when I'm saying that it won't 569 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 1: get any shorter, or that it that it was a 570 00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 1: really nice short number. I liked it one and a half. Well, 571 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:57,120 Speaker 1: I actually liked the play just because the reason why 572 00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 1: I get the logic has nothing to do with stats 573 00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: or anything. The logic has to do with Hugh Jackson. 574 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:09,720 Speaker 1: He just won his second game. I mean, I played 575 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:15,000 Speaker 1: maybe three downs of football in high school. Okay, it does. 576 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,920 Speaker 1: It doesn't take. It takes like a seven year old 577 00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 1: kid to realize that Baker Mayfield's arm strength awareness around 578 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,680 Speaker 1: the park. He was so much sharper and so much 579 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 1: better than Tyrod Taylor. The first of all, Baker Mayfield 580 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:32,479 Speaker 1: not starting the season is an absolute joke. If you 581 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 1: can't tell me and you could not see with your 582 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 1: own eyes that Baker Mayfield is twenty times more talented 583 00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:42,920 Speaker 1: the Tyrod Taylor, you're an idiot. Number two, After winning 584 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 1: that game, he's gonna say, I'm not gonna announce my 585 00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 1: quarterback to Monday. You know what, million monster, You're right, 586 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: but against this schmuck. Uh. The funny part is I've 587 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:53,440 Speaker 1: been like on a Fade Raiders thing all season, so um, 588 00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 1: I don't I don't mind going with the Raiders here. 589 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: But the reason I just want to put off because 590 00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,479 Speaker 1: this has been a misconception. The reason why Hugh Jackson 591 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,320 Speaker 1: did not announce Baker Mayfield right after the game is 592 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,720 Speaker 1: because A. Tyrod Taylor is in cushion protocol and B 593 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,520 Speaker 1: he probably doesn't want to have his quarterback learn on 594 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,880 Speaker 1: Twitter that he's being replaced right after that game, Like, 595 00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,280 Speaker 1: just he's gonna he's not gonna be two passes into. 596 00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:20,279 Speaker 1: I know he knows this. He's not, he's not He's 597 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 1: not a moron. He knows he's not gonna play anymore. Um, 598 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 1: just like last night Steve Wilkes said, we have to 599 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,120 Speaker 1: watch the film. Josh Rosen is gonna play next week. 600 00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: We know he's gonna play. You know he's gonna be 601 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 1: the starter. It's just code for let me tell my 602 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 1: guy in private before I announced the world that my 603 00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:43,280 Speaker 1: new quarterback is playing. Yes, OK, so I'm sorry Tyrode 604 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 1: all write you a letter to apologize. No, I don't 605 00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 1: have to apologize to him, but I'm just saying that, 606 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 1: Like I knocked the Browns all the time, Like I am, 607 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,960 Speaker 1: I think that they have no plan whatsoever. I think 608 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:55,440 Speaker 1: they wasted two games not not playing Baker Mayfield. But 609 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 1: this is one where look, I gotta I gotta defend 610 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,239 Speaker 1: Hugh a tiny bit on this because I think he's 611 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,160 Speaker 1: getting a little flak for this. You shouldn't get. So 612 00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 1: we agree. We're on the Oakland Raiders. Yes, Wow, another 613 00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 1: bull picked by the million Monster. But I mean, if 614 00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,719 Speaker 1: you keep picking these kind of picks, I don't even 615 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 1: know how you can make the million Monster like you can, 616 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 1: you can make it evolved into its own It already 617 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: is its own brother. It's a fully fledged monster as 618 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 1: we speak. Jeff, get us, get us the funk out 619 00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:40,439 Speaker 1: of this, all right. I The next pick is uh oh, 620 00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:45,520 Speaker 1: No Lions in the Cowboys in Dallas plus three and 621 00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:47,520 Speaker 1: a half. For a couple of reasons here. One, the 622 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,840 Speaker 1: Lions finally played last night like I thought they would, 623 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:52,759 Speaker 1: which is they revamped their offensive line and they're all 624 00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: healthy now. They all played well. They dominated if they 625 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 1: had their first hundred yard rusher since Thanksgiving of they 626 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:02,680 Speaker 1: drafted Rion Johnson from Auburn. He played really well. Matt 627 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,360 Speaker 1: Stafford might have the best trio of wide receivers in 628 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 1: the NFL as far as all three of their guys 629 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:10,880 Speaker 1: who they have with Tate and and and Um and 630 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,799 Speaker 1: Jones and and Gala Day. They finally played to their 631 00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,319 Speaker 1: potential on on offense, I thought last night, and look 632 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,240 Speaker 1: they've they put up twenty seven points against the Niners. 633 00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 1: Um and defensively they have a good back end. They're 634 00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: starting at the pass rush going. They play fast at 635 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:28,239 Speaker 1: linebacker UM, and they are a great backdoor cover team 636 00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,919 Speaker 1: because they put up a lot of points and I 637 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,279 Speaker 1: have Stafford's down fourteen points in the third quarter. They'll 638 00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:34,960 Speaker 1: go up tempo and they'll score a lot of points. 639 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,719 Speaker 1: And also the Cowboys are a disaster. We talked about 640 00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:40,840 Speaker 1: coaches that that could be fired. Jason Garrett to me, 641 00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:43,600 Speaker 1: has lost his team. They look lifeless now in Week 642 00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 1: one and in Seattle last week. UM. Offensively, they're just erect. 643 00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 1: Their offensive line, which used to be very solids, having issues. 644 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,120 Speaker 1: They have no one to throw the ball to. Um. 645 00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 1: Defensively speaking, they have a good defensive front, but really 646 00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,400 Speaker 1: nothing else. I think this is too many points. And 647 00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:03,040 Speaker 1: that hook is really nice for the Lions call in. 648 00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 1: I'm all in, Wow, you're done. You're done with Dugie 649 00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 1: howser Jason Garrett. He's never been in control of that team, 650 00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:16,879 Speaker 1: by the way, No, he he's sort of the most 651 00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:23,600 Speaker 1: nondescript coach who doesn't puppet milktoast like no personality. He's 652 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:29,000 Speaker 1: a black flyer. Yeah, exactly, puppet like every MLB manager. 653 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:34,680 Speaker 1: He said about six Wow, Oh that's true. I used 654 00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:39,399 Speaker 1: to read literally, the Dodgers are eight and ten when 655 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,480 Speaker 1: La Duca hits fifth. They're eleven and one when he 656 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:45,200 Speaker 1: hits second. And I hadn't hit second in a month, 657 00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,759 Speaker 1: boom might be hitting second. They just read the newspaper 658 00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: and boom they plug. Well, we know that. I don't 659 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,239 Speaker 1: know if you ever listened mus to Ross Porter. I 660 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,520 Speaker 1: used to call Dodger games. He was the best person 661 00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:56,480 Speaker 1: I've ever seen in some of those weird stats, like 662 00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 1: Paul paula duke up with the plate when it's uh 663 00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:02,640 Speaker 1: four before four pm facing a lefty on a Saturday, 664 00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,960 Speaker 1: Paul is seven for twenty three with eight grounders. Like 665 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 1: it's just like You're like, dude, that's a lot of 666 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,400 Speaker 1: information I did not need to know about really, uh 667 00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:12,920 Speaker 1: our managers. I've always wanted to ask this, Paul. I 668 00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 1: know the football podcast, but I don't think managers do 669 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,480 Speaker 1: they matter very much? Like does a good manager really matter? 670 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 1: Is it more just like managing almost like the bullpen? 671 00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,080 Speaker 1: Like like what does a manager, a good manager do 672 00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:25,759 Speaker 1: for a team? A good manager does with Joe Torre 673 00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: does he keeps everybody out of trouble outside the clubhouse 674 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 1: and makes everybody happy inside the clubhouse. And you know, 675 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,880 Speaker 1: when you're managing a lot of guys and you're managing 676 00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,680 Speaker 1: every single person in that clubhouse is making more money 677 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:40,960 Speaker 1: than you. You're managing a ton of egos. You're also 678 00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:46,120 Speaker 1: trying to be um, somewhat of their father figure but 679 00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,560 Speaker 1: not too much, somewhat of their best friend but not 680 00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:51,880 Speaker 1: too much. Plus you're also dealing with a kid from Georgia, 681 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 1: a kid from Venezuela, a kid from Puerto Rico, a 682 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,879 Speaker 1: kid from the Dominican, a kid from Texas. So all 683 00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:02,640 Speaker 1: different cultures and eclecticness that goes into a clubhouse. You 684 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:07,080 Speaker 1: gotta be able to handle that on the fence, if 685 00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:10,960 Speaker 1: that makes any sense. So you gotta play both sides, um, 686 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,680 Speaker 1: But you also got to be truthful. The best managers 687 00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:15,120 Speaker 1: you played for the guys to tell you the truth. 688 00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:17,719 Speaker 1: Hey you're not playing today, Hey be ready, You're gonna 689 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,319 Speaker 1: be playing tomorrow, so you're not surprised. How is that 690 00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:25,480 Speaker 1: different than a football coach? Football? I think a football 691 00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:28,560 Speaker 1: coach does manage personalities, but they are much more in 692 00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: excess and os than I'd say a baseball Now there's 693 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 1: not as much exos and baseball obviously, um, but I 694 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:38,600 Speaker 1: think a football locker room polices itself a little bit, 695 00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:40,919 Speaker 1: maybe more than baseball does. I don't know, I don't, 696 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:42,759 Speaker 1: I don't. I guess I wouldn't know. But I think 697 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,800 Speaker 1: there's much more strategy evolved to be a football coach 698 00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:52,279 Speaker 1: than a baseball manager. Yeah. I think in baseball base 699 00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:55,319 Speaker 1: by play by play, right, Chad, Like each play the 700 00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:58,719 Speaker 1: football coaches involved. The baseball managers not involved at every 701 00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,680 Speaker 1: single pitch, which would be aculous, But um, there's not 702 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,680 Speaker 1: as much in game strategy. You know what works, Chad? 703 00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:08,839 Speaker 1: You hire guys to do a certain thing. Every team 704 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:11,200 Speaker 1: that I've played on that's had success and we you know, 705 00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:13,920 Speaker 1: I almost got to the World Series. It didn't win anything. 706 00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 1: But when a coach lets the batting coach be the 707 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:21,200 Speaker 1: batting coach or the the head coach, meant lets the 708 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:24,919 Speaker 1: offensive line coach be the offensive line coach. And even 709 00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 1: though he was an offensive lineman, I understand they lend hands. 710 00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:30,760 Speaker 1: And my best manager I ever had was Mike Sosha. 711 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,280 Speaker 1: He just handled the catchers because he was a catcher. 712 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,560 Speaker 1: He didn't try to handle the hitters, the outfielders and 713 00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:40,160 Speaker 1: everything else. That's why you hire other coaches to do that, 714 00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 1: and if you let your other coaches do their job, 715 00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:44,360 Speaker 1: they are going to have the confidence to do it. 716 00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,560 Speaker 1: But if you put your two cents into everything, it's 717 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,719 Speaker 1: just not gonna work. I am going to do what 718 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 1: good managers do, and I'm gonna let Paula Duca do 719 00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 1: his job right now and make our next choice. Okay, 720 00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,000 Speaker 1: So last night when we were we're putting these picks 721 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:05,359 Speaker 1: in and we were thinking about playing, I originally had 722 00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:09,920 Speaker 1: said New England they're minus They were minus eight last night. 723 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:12,440 Speaker 1: Now I've taken the game off the board. Their minus seven, 724 00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 1: and I have a feeling that the people are going 725 00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:21,799 Speaker 1: to go in and play the Patriots. I think I 726 00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:25,360 Speaker 1: saw something the last time the Patriots had lost two 727 00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 1: games by double digits. It's the like the price of 728 00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:30,719 Speaker 1: gas was like twenty nine cents or something like that. 729 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:35,920 Speaker 1: It's like something stupid, right, I mean, um, so I 730 00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:41,279 Speaker 1: am gonna call a little bit. Oh man, I'm gonna 731 00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:47,360 Speaker 1: call an audible. I like it. I'm gonna go with 732 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:56,960 Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. Dude, like this amazing podcast. I 733 00:41:57,000 --> 00:42:01,480 Speaker 1: love this thing. I don't even know to say. I'm 734 00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:06,759 Speaker 1: challenging that there's no already said in the beginning, I 735 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,480 Speaker 1: had the Saints, but then I realized, I'm not going 736 00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,480 Speaker 1: on the Saints. They're gonna be like they're gonna be 737 00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,879 Speaker 1: road favorites. They're gonna be getting all the money. There's 738 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,440 Speaker 1: no way we can go in the Saints. We can't 739 00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:22,680 Speaker 1: bet the Saints. And I was gonna I almost was 740 00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,959 Speaker 1: gonna throw a challenge fog baying the Patriots too. Um yeah, yeah, 741 00:42:25,960 --> 00:42:28,520 Speaker 1: I don't. I almost like the Patriot game is like 742 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:32,160 Speaker 1: I'm laying off the game. See this is this is 743 00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,680 Speaker 1: one of those chad where like I have to like 744 00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 1: I struck, you know, I told you that to be 745 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 1: in the year like I was gonna do I do 746 00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,080 Speaker 1: I bet games based on how I think they're gonna 747 00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:41,879 Speaker 1: go as a player, or do I bet them as 748 00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,399 Speaker 1: like a as a sharp shit? Right? So I think 749 00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 1: I agree with you with the sharp is gonna be 750 00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,560 Speaker 1: there's gonna be a ton of money on the Saints. Um, 751 00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 1: no one's gonna trust the Giants. Yet there are a road. 752 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,560 Speaker 1: Um there are a road uh favorite, and and that 753 00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:56,560 Speaker 1: hook is three and a half, right, so they have 754 00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:59,279 Speaker 1: to win obviously by four or more. Um. But like 755 00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,080 Speaker 1: the player in me, he says the Saints should win 756 00:43:01,080 --> 00:43:03,880 Speaker 1: this game, right, there's no doubt about it. They they're 757 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,800 Speaker 1: you're gonna score a ton of points. The Giants the 758 00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,640 Speaker 1: first half yesterday, really good second half. Their offensive line 759 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,080 Speaker 1: did not play well. Again, Eli didn't play so well. 760 00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:15,399 Speaker 1: Scan Barkley did played. It was a good game for him. Um, 761 00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:19,080 Speaker 1: the Texas are just bad. So like, uh, you feel 762 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,680 Speaker 1: very strongly about this. Correct? How about this million monster, 763 00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:24,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna change the pick for what's your other pick? Paul? Yeah? 764 00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,160 Speaker 1: Do you do you want to hear my other pick? Millions? 765 00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:34,200 Speaker 1: The Minnesota Vikings. What's this numbers? Plus five and a half? 766 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:37,839 Speaker 1: I think opened up in seven. It's to me, it's 767 00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:39,799 Speaker 1: the it's the plus six and a half. They just 768 00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 1: got blown out at home against the Battles five and 769 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:49,720 Speaker 1: a half. So the money is going six and a half. Okay, 770 00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,080 Speaker 1: just what do you guys tell me? You're telling me 771 00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:55,200 Speaker 1: still six and a half? I like six. I like that. 772 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,319 Speaker 1: I like that pick. I'm great A three and oh. 773 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,279 Speaker 1: Would you would think that game would have probably been 774 00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:03,800 Speaker 1: eight seven and a half, eight, or at least opened 775 00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:07,040 Speaker 1: at seven. Actually, the money has gone towards the over 776 00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:13,080 Speaker 1: which Minnesota looked pathetic on offense, but I would think 777 00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:15,600 Speaker 1: that number is telling you in Vegas, is telling you 778 00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:19,640 Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot of money on the Rams. 779 00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:25,160 Speaker 1: I'll take a flyer on this one. Here's what I'm 780 00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,719 Speaker 1: gonna do. Can me the New York Giants plus three 781 00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:36,279 Speaker 1: and a half? No? He basically back towards You're going 782 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 1: back to the Giants coming full circle? Boys. Oh man, 783 00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,080 Speaker 1: if you want to throw the challenge, you can. I've 784 00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:49,200 Speaker 1: got two other picks I would go with. Can I hear? 785 00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:50,680 Speaker 1: Can I at least hear what the other picks are 786 00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:52,919 Speaker 1: going to be? Oh? I want to hear. Why why 787 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:57,080 Speaker 1: you loathe New Orleans? I know you don't want to 788 00:44:57,120 --> 00:45:03,200 Speaker 1: do at all. It's against his personal better strategy. Yes, 789 00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 1: it's exactly what it is. It's like the money is 790 00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:08,160 Speaker 1: gonna be on the Saints. They're gonna be They're gonna 791 00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: be road favorites. I'm getting a hook right now. Uh. 792 00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:16,120 Speaker 1: I like that. I like the percentage play there. That's it. 793 00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:19,520 Speaker 1: So what do you let me hear another pick? Just 794 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:28,040 Speaker 1: before Arizona plus three or t C plus three three? Arizona? 795 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 1: I mean, do they get energized with Josh Rosen yes, yes, Oh, 796 00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,000 Speaker 1: the Seattle plays off on the road. They've they've struggled 797 00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,360 Speaker 1: in Arizona. This is one of my other NFL plays. 798 00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,720 Speaker 1: I was hoping that people would bet a lot in Seattle, 799 00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,640 Speaker 1: and I get even more points for for for the 800 00:45:42,680 --> 00:45:47,239 Speaker 1: Cardinals at home. I am in on the Cardinals. All right, 801 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:53,080 Speaker 1: I'll change it. I'll do Arizona plus three. Boys, guess 802 00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:59,560 Speaker 1: what we have? Not a winner? Was that a flyer 803 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 1: chat Arizona lit? A flyer with a flyer on the 804 00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:10,200 Speaker 1: two teams that are bird themed. Uh, and you know 805 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,319 Speaker 1: what the funny part is? We have nine games and 806 00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:16,880 Speaker 1: I'm really excited to watch New Orleans against the Giants. 807 00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:22,480 Speaker 1: So true. Al Right, guys, let me let me recap 808 00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:25,120 Speaker 1: here for the for you know, for the for the 809 00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:29,080 Speaker 1: thousands of fans. Um, here's our nine team parlay b 810 00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:33,400 Speaker 1: y U plus sixteen and a half at Washington Hawaii 811 00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:39,160 Speaker 1: minus fourteen at San Jose State, Indianapolis Colts minus two 812 00:46:39,160 --> 00:46:42,440 Speaker 1: and a half at home against Houston, The Denver Broncos 813 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:46,800 Speaker 1: plus four against the Kansas City Chiefs, Easter East Carolina 814 00:46:46,960 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 1: minus five and a half against Old Dominion Oakland minus 815 00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:56,360 Speaker 1: three versus the Cleveland Browns Detroit plus three and a 816 00:46:56,440 --> 00:47:01,840 Speaker 1: half against Dallas. We have the Vikings plus six and 817 00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:06,200 Speaker 1: a half on Thursday night against the Los Angeles Rams. 818 00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 1: The Arizona Cardinals plus three at home against the Seattle Seahawks. 819 00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:18,000 Speaker 1: I like it. That's gonna be six sixty bucks. It's 820 00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:25,560 Speaker 1: gonna pay twenty thousand dollars. So here we go. Thanks 821 00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:29,920 Speaker 1: for listening to the Favorites. We have shows on Monday, 822 00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:34,239 Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday. Check out our website Action network dot com. 823 00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:37,600 Speaker 1: Download our app where you can play along with us. 824 00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:41,080 Speaker 1: If you bet our parleys, share your betting slip hashtag 825 00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:45,040 Speaker 1: Favorites Parley on social and tag Action Network h Q 826 00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:49,239 Speaker 1: at Action Network h Q, and you can win a 827 00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:53,360 Speaker 1: free subscription. You might be able to win that and 828 00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:57,160 Speaker 1: we'll do a drawing. Um paul Le Duca, Jeff Sports. 829 00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:59,680 Speaker 1: Thanks for joining me. See you guys on Wednesday when 830 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:03,240 Speaker 1: I tell r Bookmaker to the world. Bob SCOOCHI until 831 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:09,719 Speaker 1: next time, h