1 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 1: Welcome to Prognosis. I'm Laura Carlson. It's day one and 2 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: seven since coronavirus was declared a global pandemic. Our main story. 3 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: It's well known that nursing homes have suffered some of 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: the worst COVID nineteen outbreaks, but some care homes seem 5 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: to be much safer than others. So what's the secret 6 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: to protecting elderly patients? But first, here's what happened in 7 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 1: virus news today. Florida suspended drinking at bars across the state, 8 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: effective immediately today. It was the state's first major policy 9 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: shift in response to a surge in COVID nineteen cases 10 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: this month. The state's one day increase in cases Friday 11 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: was its biggest ever. Other Sun Belt hotspots are also 12 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: seeing cases continue to rise. Cases in Arizona jumped five 13 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: point four percent today and the state had its biggest 14 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: yet jump in hospitalizations. Governor Doug Doocy said Thursday that 15 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: hospitals are likely to hit surge capacity very soon, with 16 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: a number of cases and hospitalizations expected to worsen in 17 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:36,279 Speaker 1: the next two weeks. And in Harris County, Texas, where 18 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 1: Houston is located, a Level one emergency was declared today 19 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 1: that's equivalent to a recommendation that residents stay at home 20 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 1: as much as possible to prevent or slow the spread 21 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: of the virus. Finally, the alarming spread of the virus 22 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: in the US isn't stopping some airlines from forging ahead 23 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 1: with a comp fleet return to pre COVID business as usual. 24 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: American Airlines will sell flights to capacity starting on Wednesday, 25 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: abandoning limits on passenger loads it had put in place 26 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 1: as a coronavirus safety measure. United Airlines hasn't guaranteed to 27 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: block seats, but Delta Airlines has said it will keep 28 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 1: middle seats open through September. Southwest Airlines has committed to 29 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: block middle seats unless customers are traveling together. And now 30 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: for our main story around the world, care homes have 31 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: been a hotbit for COVID nineteen outbreaks because older people 32 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: are particularly vulnerable. Nursing homes and assisted living facilities have 33 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:58,239 Speaker 1: had some of the deadliest outcomes during the pandemic, but 34 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: some nursing homes have done much better than others at 35 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 1: containing the virus spread and protecting their elderly residents. Bloomberg 36 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: reporter Angelica Livito reports that one company in the Seattle 37 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: area learned early in the pandemic the essential ingredient for 38 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: COVID management. Testing, testing and testing again. So I'll start 39 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,640 Speaker 1: by well, coming everybody, thank you for coming. And this 40 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: is important WAK. We're fighting the invisible enemy UM. Today's 41 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 1: broad testing. We're testing all residents and all staff. He 42 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: at the University House Wallingford. Albert Nanga is the regional 43 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: director of Health and Wellness at Era Living. He is 44 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: preparing to test residents at University House Wallingford and assisted 45 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: living facility in Seattle. Testing is a key tool to 46 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: identifying people infected with the novel coronavirus and assisted living 47 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: facilities and nursing homes. It might sound obvious now, but 48 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: that was not always the case, and Nursing Home first 49 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: exposed the US to just how deadly the novel coronavirus 50 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:16,479 Speaker 1: could be. The virus swept through the Life Care Center 51 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: of Kirkland in late February. It infected residents and employees alike. 52 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 1: Deaths had been linked to the Washington facility a short 53 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: drive away in Seattle. Alarm bells started going off at 54 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: Earra Living's Ida Call of our House for Venna in 55 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 1: early March. One resident visited his doctor on March four. 56 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 1: His earlier trip to an urgent care center did not 57 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 1: resolve the unexplained confusion he was experiencing. The doctor prescribed 58 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 1: antibiotics for what looked like bacterial pneumonia. On the way 59 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: back to the ida call of her house, the family 60 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: called that the heads up suspicious. A nurse called Manonga 61 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 1: and so for me, that was a rich flag. I 62 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: for minus that let's talk to the family to see 63 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: if we can actually request this resident not to enter 64 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:16,280 Speaker 1: the community but proceed to the emergence room and detested. 65 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: At the time, we are not testing abilities anywhere. Two 66 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 1: days later, on March six, the hospital called the resident 67 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: tested positive. We are to stay calm. We anticipated that 68 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: it could potentially cause a lot of panic in many 69 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: people around within and outside the combility. So we had 70 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 1: to come together and to seek some understanding of what 71 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: we delivered with and we agreed on sweeping protective measures 72 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 1: to be able to potentially it's so late anyone any 73 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: kind of symptoms that we thought could be of concern. 74 00:05:57,440 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 1: Presidents and employees were notified. Were kers who came in 75 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 1: close contact with the patient were sent home. The dining 76 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: room was closed. Meals were delivered to residents who were 77 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: asked to stay in their apartments, but the virus was 78 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: already lurking inside. Fever, cop and other flu like symptoms 79 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 1: are the hallmarks of COVID nineteen. The first patient did 80 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 1: not show any of those signals. He died on March nine. 81 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,599 Speaker 1: Another resident was hospitalized on March tenth. There was no 82 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: way to know how many others were infected. Ear A 83 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: Living had already been exploring how it could test everyone, 84 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: says Vice President of Operations Nissan Harrel. It was challenging 85 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:41,440 Speaker 1: because at the time the testing guidelines were very narrow, 86 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: and we felt the only way to know if you 87 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 1: have it is to test, which seems simple, but we 88 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,119 Speaker 1: felt really strong that we had to get that done, 89 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,600 Speaker 1: and we had wanted it from the very beginning when 90 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: we heard there was a positive test um, and we 91 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: had been having conversations of about that, but then once 92 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: the resident passed away, we made a phone calls at 93 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,919 Speaker 1: night and really pushed to to have it done. The 94 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: next day, University of Washington researchers came in and tested 95 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: all residents and employees. Infectious disease specialist Dr Alison Roxby 96 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: and her team were afraid and outbreak was brewing inside. 97 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 1: I've participated in surveys in multiple congregate settings in King County, Washington, 98 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: and we have seen many outbreaks that take off like wildfire. 99 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: So having one patient positive in a community can quickly 100 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: result in many positive patients if people are not distancing 101 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: appropriately and if they don't have adequate personal protective equipment 102 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: or PPE. Nanga says he was not afraid, but he 103 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: was prepared. I was prepared for potential wide spread because 104 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: we didn't know that the covidos into community. Nobody had 105 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 1: dressed their symptoms. Gentlemen that had nothing exhibited no science. 106 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: Now we worked up to a new reality that potentially 107 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: look with that better people without two dumps, and so 108 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: I was prepared to see in Hambok cases. Through that experience, 109 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:30,000 Speaker 1: Roxby and her team at the University of Washington screened 110 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 1: everyone for symptoms. They asked them to record anything out 111 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: of the ordinary, like a cough or a fever. Then 112 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: they swabbed three of eighty residents and two of sixty 113 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: two workers tested positive. Some did not report any symptoms. 114 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: They tested all residents again one week later. Just one 115 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 1: more resident tested positive. The interventions worked. Roxby and her 116 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: team shared the results in a study that was published 117 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: in a medical journal and shared by the CDC. Her 118 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 1: conclusion testing can catch infections that screening for symptoms can't. 119 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: We were very hardened that despite having two patients in 120 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 1: the facility with confirmed coronavirus, that we did not see 121 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: a facility wide outbreak, and it suggested to us that 122 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 1: when facilities follow all of the recommendations, it's possible to 123 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 1: avoid a facility wide outbreak. Ida culver House Ravenna has 124 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: not detected another case of COVID nineteen among its residents. 125 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: Parent company Era Living has since tested its roughly two 126 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: thousand five d residents and employees across its eight communities 127 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: in the Seattle area. Four residents have died, nineteen residents 128 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: and seventeen workers tested positive and recovered. The company is 129 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: now in the process of testing everyone again. Sit back 130 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: in your chair. I'm gonna put this in and we're 131 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: going to count to ten. Okay, ready, cart with me, 132 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: Mononga says broad testing informed air Livings practice. All these 133 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 1: measures we had away delivery wonderful outcomes for us in 134 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:15,079 Speaker 1: terms of limiting the spread of copy nine. And this 135 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: is I think the story of how we overcame two three, four, five, six, seven, 136 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: eight nine excellent. I'm gonna go to the other side. Okay, 137 00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 1: you are so good. Almost killed. It's been nearly four 138 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: months since the IDA call our house, Ravenna and assisted 139 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 1: living facilities across the country canceled activities and barred visitors. 140 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: The virus continues spreading in the US, with new hotspots 141 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: emerging in states like Arizona and Texas. In Seattle, restrictions 142 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 1: are starting to loosen air livings, residents can leave their 143 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 1: rooms and walk outside, and testing remains a crucial part 144 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:07,560 Speaker 1: to keeping them safe. Safety is not a game of chance. 145 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:10,200 Speaker 1: We need to make sure we trip or check every 146 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: single time. You guys, thank you for you angelic help. 147 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 1: We always have precated you for for all the other 148 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: volunteers from other communities. A house Brodie, thank you so much, 149 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:40,080 Speaker 1: you guys. All right, that was Angelica Levito and that's 150 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: our show today. Before we go. A programming note, starting 151 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 1: next week, we will drop our Tuesday and Thursday episodes. 152 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 1: That's not because coronavirus isn't still the most important news 153 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 1: story in the world. It is and we expect it 154 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: will continue to be, but in recent weeks other important 155 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 1: issues have also begun to demand our attention in the US, 156 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 1: for example, a profound reckoning with racism and a potentially 157 00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:14,560 Speaker 1: world changing presidential election in a few months. We have 158 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: no intention of abandoning our commitment to cover the full 159 00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:21,440 Speaker 1: range of stories related to COVID nineteen. We are simply 160 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: stepping back slightly to make room for some others. And 161 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: that's it for our show today. For coverage of the 162 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: outbreak from one bureaus around the world, visit Bloomberg dot 163 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: com slash coronavirus and if you like the show, please 164 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: leave us a review and a rating on Apple Podcasts 165 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,680 Speaker 1: or Spotify. It's the best way to help more listeners 166 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:48,439 Speaker 1: find our global reporting. The Prognosis Daily edition is produced 167 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 1: by Tophor foreheads Jordan Gaspore, Magnus Hendrickson, and me Laura Carlson. 168 00:12:55,440 --> 00:13:00,320 Speaker 1: Today's main story was reported by Angelica Levido. Original music 169 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: by Leo Sidrin. Our editors are Rick Shine and Francesco Levi. 170 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: Francesco Levi is Bloomberg's head of Podcasts. Thanks for listening. 171 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:14,719 Speaker 1: H